[HN Gopher] The Antikythera mechanism reveals new secrets
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The Antikythera mechanism reveals new secrets
        
       Author : ppod
       Score  : 185 points
       Date   : 2022-01-04 17:29 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.scientificamerican.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.scientificamerican.com)
        
       | mensetmanusman wrote:
       | Great read, love how it has a display. Something for the kings of
       | the era to be amazed by.
        
       | areoform wrote:
       | The Antikythera mechanism gives me nightmares. Just as the
       | suggestion that a lack of transmissions from intelligent life
       | means the existence of a great filter. The Antikythera mechanism
       | is a strong indicator of technological regression in human
       | beings.
       | 
       | Perhaps more terrifying is the fact that it is not the first time
       | we've regressed or collapsed. The mysterious Late Bronze Age
       | Collapse is another example,
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Bronze_Age_collapse Or, the
       | Classic Maya civilization collapse,
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classic_Maya_collapse
       | 
       | It is inconceivable for us to imagine a rapid regression today.
       | Our civilization seems invincible, the knowledge seems to be too
       | widespread. But most of our knowledge is brittle. If you were to
       | send a time capsule forward with the recipes to remake our modern
       | world, including eUV technology. How would you do it? (using
       | extant literature)
       | 
       | Research papers require years of study and background knowledge
       | to fully understand and they fully fail to capture the science
       | involved. Patents are even more inscrutable. We couldn't send our
       | CAD drawings and specifications forward either, because they
       | require specialized knowledge as well. After all, how would they
       | build an iPhone if they don't know how to make screws or glue?
       | Or, the multi-layer PCBs etc.
       | 
       | Another renaissance to recreate our civilization from our
       | published work would be nearly impossible. Or, take centuries to
       | accomplish.
       | 
       | It may be fruitful to imagine ways to fit civilization into a box
       | that can last tens of thousands of years, so that future
       | generations can find it ---- post apocalyptic tragedy ---- and
       | rapidly recreate our world.
        
         | FooHentai wrote:
         | >If you were to send a time capsule forward with the recipes to
         | remake our modern world, including eUV technology. How would
         | you do it?
         | 
         | Acknowledging that I'm being edgy here...
         | 
         | "What do you get the man who has everything? Might I suggest a
         | gravestone inscribed with the words: so what?" -- Simon Munnery
         | 
         | I think I probably just wouldn't do it. In part because I
         | suspect the main motivation is our existential angst more than
         | a genuine desire to help unknown future persons.
        
           | short12 wrote:
           | Or a copy of ozymandias?
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | > The Antikythera mechanism is a strong indicator of
         | technological regression in human beings.
         | 
         | Is it evidence of widespread technological regression, or "this
         | small group with strong leadership did amazing things, too bad
         | nobody can do that anymore", or just people not wanting it
         | anymore?
         | 
         | For centuries after it was built, there was no large scale
         | collapse that could bring a widespread regression (there were
         | many localized ones, including on the place that built it), and
         | clockmaking was never considered a lost art or anything like
         | that.
        
           | Terry_Roll wrote:
           | Well some ancient alien conspiracy theories suggest nuclear
           | bombs have been dropped on different parts of the planet.
           | 
           | Mahabharata a short distance from Jodpur in India, which
           | Oppenheimer commented on.
           | 
           | Mohenjo Daro in Pakistan
           | 
           | Nuclear destruction of Sumer linked with the Anunnaki.
           | 
           | Pyramids in other places around the planet besides Egypt, its
           | possible mainstream history isnt telling us everything or we
           | have a sanitised version of history.
        
             | throw1234651234 wrote:
             | As fun as these speculations are, there is nothing cohesive
             | about it. "which Oppenheimer commented on" - or he just
             | wanted to say something that sounded badass and educated in
             | his "I am become...the destroyer of worlds."
             | 
             | /* Mohenjo Daro in Pakistan Nuclear destruction of Sumer
             | linked with the Anunnaki. */
             | 
             | 0 evidence
             | 
             | "Pyramids in other places around the planet besides Egypt,
             | its possible mainstream history isnt telling us everything
             | or we have a sanitised version of history."
             | 
             | Very different pyramids. Other places had houses too. Some
             | of them were square and some round. Could it be ancient
             | aliens?!
        
               | Terry_Roll wrote:
               | Unfortunately watching an increasing number of TV
               | programs is like watching/listening to someone talking
               | whilst on drugs, they jump around all over the place, I'm
               | sure its creating ADHD in me as a result.
        
           | areoform wrote:
           | The mechanism suggests a strong "industrial" base to support
           | it. They had to get the metals from somewhere, find the
           | expert artisans to craft from somewhere else, source the
           | parts, find the tooling etc.
           | 
           | Just as a mass produced pencil isn't just a pencil, it is the
           | _capacity_ to produce the pencil.
           | 
           | They had the capacity to create precision gearing, which
           | suggests a level of mechanical prowess that isn't matched
           | until a century or so before the dawn of the industrial age.
        
             | nemo wrote:
             | FWIW, the device is called an 'orrery'. When it was made in
             | Syracuse, it wasn't a product of an industrial base, but
             | was a project made by a certain sort of mathematician and
             | scholar doing cutting edge engineering and applied
             | mathematics. The Antikythera one seems to go back to the
             | traditions from Archimedes' workshop which was amazingly
             | advanced. Archimedes wrote a treatise on building them (now
             | lost, alas). Orrery making in something like Archmedes'
             | tradition continued on for hundreds of years outside
             | Syracuse, esp. in Athens and Alexandria, and we have
             | references to orrery making through the ages. The art of
             | making them was a product of libraries and schools where
             | they were created by scholars as an academic craft, not an
             | industrial production facility.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | It's not that industrial base.
             | 
             | If devices like the antikythera were commonly produced,
             | we'd find more of them, and descriptions of them. This
             | looks like a one-off achievement.
             | 
             | I'd rather say that this maybe more like a Saturn-5 of the
             | day: a top achievement that required extraordinary efforts,
             | and not very reproducible because of that. Most things
             | around and in its production chain were not nearly as
             | advanced.
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | Commercial metalworking stayed around all the time until
             | today. It only increased and improved. (It's made of
             | bronze, it's not like bronze working was lost.)
             | 
             | The tooling may evidence some kind of regression. I really
             | don't know what kind of tooling was needed to create this,
             | although gears by themselves and high precision in a single
             | mechanism do not say much. From the looks of it, this
             | devices requires a lot of theoretical knowledge, but not so
             | much practical one (but that's an uninformed opinion, if
             | you have information, it would be great). The theory was
             | not lost in any way.
        
               | hasmanean wrote:
               | Don't forget the fact that the mechanism used a model
               | made by Hipparchus, but after Hellenism the Greeks
               | adopted the Ptolemaic geocentric view of the cosmos with
               | epicycles and stuff.
               | 
               | Epicycles delivered more precision but at the cost of
               | much greater complexity. Ultimately it took Kepler to
               | simplify it even more through his iterative equation
               | though I can't imagine how to turn that into a mechanical
               | model.
               | 
               | The Antikythera mechanism was possible because of the
               | simplicity of the underlying solar system model that lent
               | itself to easy implementation by gears. It's much more
               | elegant than even modern methods of computing orbits.
               | That's the main surprise I find in its design...how much
               | they could simplify it (and not how complex the
               | mechanical construction is).
        
         | xyzzyz wrote:
         | Or, even better documented, the civilizational collapse in the
         | aftermath of the fall of Western Roman Empire. It recovered in
         | the second half of the medieval period, but in the West, the
         | first few centuries after the fall were truly Dark Ages indeed.
        
         | momojo wrote:
         | Reminds me of Asimov's Foundation trilogy.
         | 
         | "Seldon explains that his science of psychohistory foresees
         | many alternatives, all of which result in the Galactic Empire
         | eventually falling. If humanity follows its current path, the
         | Empire will fall and 30,000 years of turmoil will overcome
         | humanity before a second Empire arises. However, an alternative
         | path allows for the intervening years to be only one thousand"
         | 
         | Source:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundation_series#Foundation_(...
        
         | akomtu wrote:
         | It's the normal progression of civilizations. When one gets too
         | rusty, it dies to lets its small and better offspring live:
         | those people start from scratch, but they retain knowledge and
         | rebuild all bells and whistles very quickly. We are the fifth.
         | America will be home for the sixth and then, in a thousand
         | years, it will become a history too. This is what Revelation
         | 17:10 talks about, but in a more poetical form.
        
         | npunt wrote:
         | If you're interested in the subject, I'd recommend the Fall of
         | Civilizations podcast which digs into various civilizations and
         | their decline:
         | https://www.patreon.com/fallofcivilizations_podcast
        
         | interroboink wrote:
         | You might like Jonathan Blow's talk "Preventing the Collapse of
         | Civilization": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pW-SOdj4Kkk
         | 
         | Also, is your name a reference to the Mars trilogy? Reading
         | that now (:
        
           | areoform wrote:
           | Yes, it is! I even had the chance to talk to Kim Stanley
           | Robinson about it :)
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | lisper wrote:
         | > It is inconceivable for us to imagine a rapid regression
         | today
         | 
         | To the contrary, I'm finding it increasingly likely that I will
         | see the collapse of civilization within my lifetime, and I'm
         | 57. I see two prospective tipping points on the horizon: the
         | collapse of democracy in the U.S. leading to nuclear war, and
         | climate change leading to world-wide food shortages. The former
         | seems likely within 5-10 years, and the latter within 20-30.
         | 
         | (And BTW, I am not feeling anywhere near as sanguine about this
         | as the text above makes it sound.)
        
           | FpUser wrote:
           | Why would collapse of democracy in the US lead to nuclear
           | war?
        
             | imoverclocked wrote:
             | The US is a major nuclear power and is one body that
             | actively works to counter-balance nuclear proliferation in
             | the world.
        
             | tehjoker wrote:
             | they'll fight other countries to deflect from internal
             | problems
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | Did the collapse of democracy in Russia lead to nuclear
               | war?
        
               | tehjoker wrote:
               | It didn't which is great news, but tbh I regard the
               | Russians as more rational than us.
        
               | quacked wrote:
               | You don't know any Russians then, haha
        
               | lisper wrote:
               | Or you don't know any self-styled "real Americans".
        
               | tehjoker wrote:
               | I'm thinking more of their cold war strategizing, but I
               | also ask you, have you ever met an American QAnon
               | enthusiast? ;)
        
               | FpUser wrote:
               | Nothing new. They were fighting other countries all
               | along. Still not suicidal.
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | Not quite sure how to answer that if it's not already
             | obvious to you. If democracy collapses, the result will
             | almost certainly be Donald Trump being effectively a
             | dictator. He very nearly started a nuclear war on more than
             | one occasion during his first administration when some
             | checks and balances were still in place [1] [2]. Nothing
             | could stop him if he decided to do it again during his
             | second.
             | 
             | [1] https://gizmodo.com/the-pentagon-worried-trump-was-
             | about-to-...
             | 
             | [2] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/military/milley-acted-
             | prevent-t...
        
               | FpUser wrote:
               | >"He very nearly started a nuclear war on more than one
               | occasion during his first administration
               | 
               | The info in the links you've mentioned does not inspire
               | much confidence.
        
           | oh_sigh wrote:
           | I'll bet you $1M that civilization doesn't collapse within 30
           | years!
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | I would like nothing better than to lose that bet, but I
             | don't think my wife would approve. How about a bottle of
             | your favorite scotch? (Which may well cost $1M 30 years
             | from now.)
        
           | kingcharles wrote:
           | I don't think any of those events will come to pass, but I
           | suspect you might live long enough to see The Singularity
           | arrive, and that might be the harbinger of doom you are
           | seeking.
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | One could argue that this has already happened: social
             | media is the singularity. The evil AI doesn't have to be
             | implemented entirely in silicon. Indeed, that fact that it
             | runs in part on human brains helps it remain stealthy.
        
               | bsenftner wrote:
               | Now that is an interesting take - are you thinking an
               | emergent hive mind is in social media, and that is
               | controlling society? Quite interesting...
        
               | lisper wrote:
               | More or less. Human brains are an emergent property of a
               | large number of highly interconnected neurons, so I see
               | no reason something similar couldn't emerge from a large
               | number of highly interconnected brains.
               | 
               | But the thing to keep in mind is that this emergent thing
               | is not necessarily conscious or intentional, but if it
               | reaches the point where it self-replicates then it
               | becomes effectively a life form that starts to undergo
               | Darwinian evolution and thus becomes very difficult to
               | get rid of. The point is that all this is (potentially)
               | just a straightforward consequence of the laws of
               | physics, not some sci-fi super-villain going "Bwahahaha!
               | Silly humans!" in the back of data center somewhere.
        
               | bsenftner wrote:
               | Yes, I follow your reasoning. I buy the existence of a
               | subtle, self perpetuating public attitude. It may
               | emergently coordinate to the degree it is
               | indistinguishable from an independant living entity. Once
               | it is named, it will be seen and observed everywhere, and
               | blamed for all manner of evils. It's the boogieman, in
               | reality: a manifestation of all our collective fears.
        
               | ecpottinger wrote:
               | And explains why it is also so messed up at the same
               | time.
        
         | JohnBooty wrote:
         | Another renaissance to recreate our civilization from
         | our published work would be nearly impossible. Or,
         | take centuries to accomplish.
         | 
         | It might not be possible at all.
         | 
         | We've long since used up the "easy" sources of energy on this
         | planet - all of the fossil fuels conveniently located near the
         | earth's surface have long been depleted. By the time they could
         | possibly be replenished, the Sun will be nearing the end of its
         | life. So we probably won't be bootstraping our way back to an
         | advanced society via a second fossil fuel-powered industrial
         | revolution similar to the first one.
         | 
         | The remaining energy sources are generally pretty tricky to
         | harness.
         | 
         | For example, even if the knowledge to build nuclear reactors or
         | solar panels is not lost during a civilization collapse, it
         | will be awfully tough to actually get those power sources back
         | online without an existing industrial infrastructure to
         | mine/refine/transport all of the necessary ingredients.
         | 
         | If we get a "second chance" at this civilization thing, the
         | road there is going to be insanely hard even if we're lucky
         | enough to start out with all of the science-y stuff that our
         | _first_ civilization figured out eons ago.
        
           | istinetz wrote:
           | >By the time they could possibly be replenished, the Sun will
           | be nearing the end of its life.
           | 
           | What? No. You're making shit up and passing it as fact.
           | 
           | >Most anthracite and bituminous coals occur within the 299-
           | to 359.2-million-year-old strata of the Carboniferous Period,
           | the so-called first coal age.
           | 
           | >Astronomers estimate that the sun has about 7 billion to 8
           | billion years left before it sputters out and dies.
           | 
           | There are several other completely made up things in your
           | post.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | Couldn't you just burn plastic directly? Mine a landfill and
           | burn it up.
        
             | ecpottinger wrote:
             | Mine it with slave labour to separate the items, and you
             | end up with glass, metals and plastics is amounts that
             | would be worth a fortune to a roman level civilization.
             | 
             | We think of it as garbage, bur that garbage already
             | represents a lot of energy already used to process them to
             | that level.
        
       | codesnik wrote:
       | Writings on the mechanism are surprisingly crude for the
       | artisanship of the mechanism itself.
        
         | fouc wrote:
         | Probably just different material (not bronze)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | doctor_eval wrote:
       | No wireless. Only five planets. Lame.
        
       | jimbokun wrote:
       | Is it just me, or is the Antikythera calling out for a Dr. Who
       | episode tying it to aliens or some other fantastic explanation?
        
         | jl6 wrote:
         | I think there was an attempt in FlashForward, but the series
         | got cancelled.
        
       | utopcell wrote:
       | I remember reading that Clickspring's Chris has committed to
       | giving away the Antikythera device to a random patreon supporter
       | of his once it is completed.
        
       | skunkworker wrote:
       | Every time I think about the Antikythera mechanism the quote by
       | Arthur C. Clarke comes to mind
       | 
       | "If the insight of the Greeks had matched their ingenuity...we
       | would not merely be puttering around on the Moon, we would have
       | reached the nearer stars."
       | 
       | It's a little sensational but also makes me think of what
       | could've been, if certain paths had been realized in past times,
       | and also makes me put the technical knowledge of past
       | civilizations in much higher regard.
        
         | imoverclocked wrote:
         | I find it to be a good reminder that whatever complexity we
         | have managed to create today likely won't last for 1000s or
         | even 100s of years. We initially didn't believe that precision
         | gears were possible for the time period this device comes from.
         | 
         | Sometimes I think about how I might present a progression from
         | electricity and transistors to fully functional computers for a
         | future society that somehow lost the knowledge. Most of our
         | computing devices won't last 100 years. The ones that do might
         | be older equipment with a little more "silicon redundancy" or
         | even materials that are more resistant to corrosion... if they
         | aren't mined for it first. Given that we store almost all of
         | our current knowledge in electronic form, corroding/losing the
         | ability to retrieve it will likely mean the end of the art.
        
         | kej wrote:
         | You comment reminds me of one of my favorite short stories,
         | Harry Turtledove's "The Road Not Taken":
         | https://eyeofmidas.com/scifi/Turtledove_RoadNotTaken.pdf
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | This realization hit me after spending a few weeks in Italy
         | seeing the remains of the Roman Empire. I had a building sense
         | that they were awfully close to the industrial revolution, that
         | there was no particular reason it couldn't have happened
         | thousands of years ago in the face of a highly organized, long
         | lived, innovative empire with enormous resources. I think it's
         | an accident of history that it happened in England instead.
        
           | cwkoss wrote:
           | What were the main factors that prevented the roman empire
           | from having an industrial revolution?
           | 
           | Is there a single technology, that if sent back in time,
           | would have sustained their empire? (Steam engine? Hydropower
           | improvements? Standardized measurements for tighter
           | tolerances?)
        
             | SapporoChris wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Industrial_Revolution#Require
             | m...
             | 
             | I found this a fascinating read. Below that section is a
             | list of technological developments.
        
             | Kalium wrote:
             | I've seen the argument made that the major factor was
             | slavery. In general, they had a cheap source of unskilled
             | labor. Major advances in industrialization were often
             | driven, in no small part, by high labor costs.
        
           | thewarrior wrote:
           | They did not have the printing press or free markets. The
           | combination of the wider dissemination of ways of knowing and
           | acting in a free market of ideas combined with a free market
           | of individuals and firms that applied the knowledge is what
           | set it all off.
           | 
           | The ancient Greeks had a steam engine. There were no mass
           | printed books so barely anyone knew about it. Even if you
           | knew you couldn't exactly start a company.
        
           | bryanrasmussen wrote:
           | L. Sprague De Camp had the same opinion
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lest_Darkness_Fall
        
             | bsenftner wrote:
             | Although other books claim the title today, for a few
             | decades "Lest Darkness Fall" was considered the first
             | distinctly science fiction novel.
        
           | svachalek wrote:
           | Check out some of the research on how the terra cotta army in
           | Xi'an was produced. There were some very modern (20th
           | century) mass production techniques in place. It's pretty
           | fascinating to see how differently history could have gone.
        
           | topper-123 wrote:
           | A fun alternative time line to think about would be if the
           | romans had progressed, had depleted all coal and oil
           | resources, leaving us today in a postapocalyptic wasteland,
           | having the knowledge how to build an advanced society, but
           | lacking the ressources...
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | They had nothing like the Modern age's science. I can't
           | imagine any reason for it not appearing there given enough
           | time, but they didn't have the dispassionate questioning of
           | every theory and total submission to empiricism that are
           | fundamental to science today.
           | 
           | Math advanced a huge amount during the Medieval age. They
           | simply didn't have good tools for calculations, and nearly
           | all of the Modern Age's math was based on questions that they
           | didn't even consider to ask by then.
           | 
           | There were huge advances on material handling during the
           | Medieval and Modern ages. Not only the obvious ones on
           | metallurgy, but on glass working and ceramics too. All of
           | those were important.
           | 
           | And let's not underestimate the individuals. Had Newton not
           | been born, our Industrial Revolution could be delayed for
           | many decades too. Anyway, it's no accident that when he
           | appeared, he was at England, there was basically no other
           | place on the world where somebody like him could do what he
           | did.
        
             | xyzzyz wrote:
             | You are giving way too much credit to science in the early
             | phase of industrial revolution. Science has been extremely
             | important in technological development from late 1800s
             | onwards, but the most critical leaps of late 1700s and
             | early 1800s had little to do with Newton-style science.
             | Instead, they mostly about engineering improvements,
             | combined with a newly widespread social attitude that
             | technology actually can be significantly improved. Flying
             | shuttle has not been based on some theoretical scientific
             | model, but rather on experience with making looms and
             | ingenuity in improving them. Similarly, Watt didn't create
             | his engine based on theory of thermodynamics, instead he
             | just observed that repeatedly heating and cooling the
             | cylinder is wasteful, and came up with a technique to avoid
             | that.
             | 
             | If you follow the development Industrial Revolution, you'll
             | see that it's mostly thanks to ingenious engineers, not
             | smart scientists. The scientists did occasionally deliver
             | something valuable, often in fact paradigm-changing, but
             | importantly, this only became very relevant around the turn
             | of 20th century.
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | Having forces defined as a quantifiable concept that you
               | can easily predict is quite important for tooling and
               | creating reproducible machines. The Mechanics is quite
               | important for mechanical engineering.
               | 
               | Yes, those engineers were inventing most things by
               | themselves, but they didn't work in a vacuum.
        
               | krallja wrote:
               | > The scientists did occasionally deliver something
               | valuable, often in fact paradigm-changing, but
               | importantly, this only became very relevant around the
               | turn of 20th century.
               | 
               | James Watt was only able to build efficient steam engines
               | because Joseph Black discovered latent heat in 1761.
               | Without steam engines, there's no industrial revolution.
        
           | Baeocystin wrote:
           | Not an accident. Energy. Rome as a meta-organism was limited
           | by available energy- trees weren't enough, and denudation of
           | forests was already a limiting factor. Meanwhile, Britain had
           | plentiful coal in easily-accessible abundance. No point in
           | developing steam and a theory of thermodynamics when you
           | can't use the results.
        
             | sideshowb wrote:
             | I thought denudation of forest was a limiting factor in the
             | UK too, indeed a motivating factor for
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Darby_I
        
             | wbl wrote:
             | Italy does have some coal and Rome at one point had the
             | coal seams of the UK.
        
         | me_me_mu_mu wrote:
         | Really dumb question, but one I must ask after reading this
         | article and then your post. Could it be possible that humans
         | had some pretty awesome technology even farther in the past
         | than we know (beyond earliest recorded history), but due to
         | some extinction event all records of society from that time
         | were wiped out?
         | 
         | For example if we had some crazy extinction event, the dark
         | ages that would follow are pretty scary to think about. I would
         | feel like the researchers trying to understand what I'm looking
         | at, and they mention there's some sort of user manual
         | inscription. If we are reduced to small tribes again, with no
         | access to internet, electricity, running water, etc. I can't
         | imagine us actually recovering to the current state without
         | thousands of years. Most people have no idea how anything
         | works, we just buy it on amazon and it arrives tomorrow or
         | stream the latest movie. Just thought I'd throw my dumb
         | question out there lol.
        
           | badlukk wrote:
           | Look into Graham Hancock, he writes a lot about possible lost
           | civilizations. He gets lots of hate and I have no idea if any
           | of it is true, but super fun to read.
        
           | radu_floricica wrote:
           | What'll really bake your noodle is the fact that we most
           | likely couldn't tell if there was a pre-human civilization on
           | earth, even around industrial levels. What we have now will
           | easily last a thousand years - but not a thousand thousands
           | years.
           | 
           | And my favorite hypothesis: Antarctica. If there ever was a
           | species which flourished there, it's a lot harder for them to
           | colonize the rest of the world than it is for us to visit
           | Antarctica. Clothes you can just wear, and heating is pretty
           | straightforward - but having to venture in a place where
           | portable aircon failure means death will pretty much
           | guarantee you don't build a lot far from home. Which puts a
           | pretty high limit on how far a civilization could have gotten
           | there and still have all traces hidden in the ice.
        
             | creato wrote:
             | I doubt this is really true. We've identified many traces
             | of life from millions of years ago. You don't think we
             | could find some bricks or beams from an industrial
             | civilization?
        
           | xenadu02 wrote:
           | We can be reasonably certain there were no such civilizations
           | on Earth prior to modern human history, otherwise we'd see
           | evidence in the archeological record or even fossil record. I
           | don't mean finding silicon chips in a fossil or anything so
           | advanced. I mean very simple things like ceramic chips or
           | bits of worked glass that would survive for millions of
           | years.
           | 
           | The only way a civilization at least as advanced as bronze-
           | age humans existed 100k+ years ago is if it was visitors from
           | a parent civilization on another world that died out. That's
           | the only way you get advanced technology on a small enough
           | scale that we wouldn't be able to find any clues because the
           | clues would be localized to a tiny area we just haven't
           | stumbled across yet (to be clear I don't think any such
           | civilization ever existed).
        
           | decebalus1 wrote:
           | No at all a dumb question :) It's actually a fascinating
           | question!
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silurian_hypothesis
        
       | neogodless wrote:
       | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...
       | 
       | This mechanism comes up a lot. Is there a TL;DR about what's new
       | in this particular submission?
        
       | marstall wrote:
       | this was an amazing read!
       | 
       | I know some are upset at certain recent SciAm op-eds.
       | 
       | But every issue has 2-5 gorgeous, beefy articles like this one
       | that make me a happy paying subscriber.
       | 
       | Absolutely stunning visualization of the inner workings of this
       | marvelous device.
        
       | reactspa wrote:
       | > in his model, the 223-tooth gear turned much too fast for it to
       | make sense. But in my model, the 223-tooth gear rotates very
       | slowly
       | 
       | Science!
       | 
       | (Clarification: it all sounds very narrative-fallacy to me. Hey,
       | but feel free to downvote the opinion of a contrarian!)
        
         | JshWright wrote:
         | I think the downvotes are because you are making a very low
         | effort criticism (even with your clarification). If you expand
         | a bit on why it sounds "narrative-fallacy" to you, you might
         | get more traction.
        
         | ecpottinger wrote:
         | I am sure he mention the engaging a 38 tooth gear that meant a
         | 19 year cycle was done at half the speed first thought was
         | needed.
        
       | cf100clunk wrote:
       | The famous Antikythera mechanism:
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29778874
       | 
       | https://hn.algolia.com/?q=Antikythera
        
       | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
       | I'm wondering if anyone has created a software model of the
       | mechanism.
       | 
       | Is anyone aware of such a project?
       | 
       | It sounds right up the alley of many HN readers.
        
         | sdrabing wrote:
         | I was thinking the same thing! I 3D model would be really neat
         | to watch and pick apart.
        
         | lostlogin wrote:
         | Backwards engineering the front and back and how it all came
         | together and passed though has me picturing this as a possibly
         | the earliest front end/back end development situation. It even
         | included documentation. A software version would be neat to
         | see.
        
         | BizarroLand wrote:
         | I feel like I saw one on the F-Droid app repository
        
         | cormullion wrote:
         | I have one on mu iPad. There are 2 in the App Store, I think.
        
       | amznbyebyebye wrote:
       | The 19 year Metonic cycle is interesting. I think it is also the
       | orbital period of the moons nodes (aka dragon head/tail or north
       | node/south node or rahu/Ketu in Indian astronomy). I wonder if
       | there is a connection.
        
       | krastanov wrote:
       | This very talented machinist (Clickspring's Chris) is recreating
       | the device using tools from that age on their YouTube channel
       | https://m.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLZioPDnFPNsHnyxfygxA0to...
       | 
       | It is an amazing playlist.
        
         | jacobolus wrote:
         | Chris Budiselic and colleagues also wrote a paper
         | https://bhi.co.uk/antikytheramechanism/ proposing that the
         | front dial might be a 354-day lunar calendar rather than a
         | 365-day solar calendar.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | wesleyoneal wrote:
         | Tools from that age? I'm on video 2, and it looks like he's
         | using a bunch of modern tools that wouldn't have been available
         | 2000+ years ago?
        
           | JshWright wrote:
           | It's not exactly "making the whole thing with period tools"
           | but rather "exploring how each part could have been made
           | using available technology (but still doing the bulk of the
           | work with modern tooling)".
        
           | posterboy wrote:
           | Should shut off the camera first of all. I'm too pessimistic,
           | sorry.
        
           | krazerlasers wrote:
           | Keep watching -- he gets more into the period appropriate
           | tools later in the series including home made drills, files,
           | layout ink, soldering tools, etc
        
           | Luc wrote:
           | The ancient tool series is another list of his: https://www.y
           | outube.com/playlist?list=PLZioPDnFPNsGnUXuZScwn...
        
         | incomplete wrote:
         | i'm 5m in to the first video and already hooked. incredible
         | work... i saw the actual device in athens and the craftsmanship
         | is still visible, and this is a fitting tribute. :)
        
         | fuzzylightbulb wrote:
         | Clickspring is an absolute delight. The videos are straight up
         | machining porn and the stuff that he builds is fascinating in
         | its own right, the Antikythera mechanism being a perfect
         | example. I cannot recommend this channel enough.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/c/Clickspring/
        
         | phcreery wrote:
         | This series is so good but it is unfinished with the last video
         | being uploaded 5 years ago. I want for Chris to finish it so
         | badly.
        
           | jaggederest wrote:
           | All of his videos are behind a Patreon paywall these days, as
           | far as I can tell. He's still working on the Antikythera
           | mechanism, it's just only visible to patrons.
        
             | dghughes wrote:
             | Patreon has gone from helpful support by a few to an
             | exclusive club.
        
               | wombatmobile wrote:
               | > an exclusive club
               | 
               | The club is affordable. What makes it exclusive is the
               | intellectual alignment required to unlock the value of
               | the information. Not everyone has that. If you have it,
               | consider joining the club while you are still alive so
               | you can enjoy the benefits of membership and fraternity
               | with people like you. After that brief period expires,
               | the club will be truly exclusive for a long time.
        
               | brchr wrote:
               | For the donation of a single dollar, you are given access
               | to all of his videos. I would not describe that as
               | "exclusive," although I understand what you are saying.
        
               | cercatrova wrote:
               | It was always meant for people to be patrons of someone,
               | like artists were back in the Renaissance. It's simply a
               | way for people to be paid for their work, and what better
               | way than exclusivity? That's basically the same as being
               | able to use software only if it's paid for, like most
               | SaaS these days.
        
           | jacobolus wrote:
           | The most recent video in that playlist was uploaded in
           | December 2020 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MkKgdq57uOo&lis
           | t=PLZioPDnFPN... (before that the previous video was from
           | October 2018; maybe you meant ~3 years ago)
           | 
           | There is also an 'antikythera fragments' playlist with the
           | most recent video from September 2021 https://www.youtube.com
           | /watch?v=BLBDKmFG90U&list=PLZioPDnFPN...
        
             | falcolas wrote:
             | Yeah, working on the paper put a real stop to the work, but
             | it seems to be back up and running again.
        
       | fforflo wrote:
       | I live a 10' min walking distance from the museum the mechanism
       | is displayed. Reading this makes me a bit ashamed for not
       | spending hours just looking at it.
        
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