[HN Gopher] Shell's carbon capture plant is emitting more than i...
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       Shell's carbon capture plant is emitting more than it's capturing
        
       Author : bjourne
       Score  : 135 points
       Date   : 2022-01-22 19:37 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.vice.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.vice.com)
        
       | fallingknife wrote:
       | Correct me if I'm wrong here but it sounds like "emitting more
       | than captured" here just means reduced emissions by less than 50%
       | but still a lot. Seems misleading.
        
         | lvs wrote:
         | It's a massive government subsidy for fossil fuel demand.
         | That's not helping anything.
        
         | simondotau wrote:
         | Correcting you because you're wrong. They're talking
         | specifically about emissions _caused by_ the capture plant
         | being greater than emissions it captures. The carbon footprint
         | would be lower if the plant didn 't exist.
         | 
         | The plant was not penalised for emissions it failed to capture.
        
           | rank0 wrote:
           | The original study is considering the emissions of the entire
           | hydrogen plant, not just the carbon capture portion.
           | 
           | Its a hydrogen plant with a carbon capture piece on top. Not
           | a "carbon capture plant."
        
       | throw8932894 wrote:
       | And? My country produces electricity mostly from coal, ICE uses
       | way less energy, but everyone will argue tooth and nail electric
       | vehicles are CO2 neutral and green!
       | 
       | Why this creative statistics should not be used in this plant?
       | For example carbon capture could be in one country, while energy
       | production and negative externalities in second! Boom, we
       | captured N millions tons of CO2!
        
       | kolinko wrote:
       | Flagging as a clickbait title.
       | 
       | The title seems to suggest that shell has a carbon capture plant
       | that is emitting more than producing, where in reality it's a
       | hydrogen generation plan that captures some, but not all co2.
       | 
       | This article is way less better:
       | https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/fossil-gas/shell-...
        
         | _Nat_ wrote:
         | Looks like you're right.
         | 
         | [This fact-
         | sheet](https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/quest.html
         | ) lists the plant has intending a 35% capture-rate. And while
         | that's a weirdly low target-(capture-rate), it doesn't seem
         | hidden.
         | 
         | Looks like [a Canadian-government-hosted report from
         | 2011](https://open.alberta.ca/publications/quest-carbon-
         | capture-an... ) also includes this in the executive-summary:
         | 
         | > The purpose of the Quest Project is to deploy technology to
         | capture CO2 produced at the Scotford Upgrader and to transport,
         | compress and inject the CO2 for permanent storage in a saline
         | formation near Thorhild, Alberta. Over one million tonnes of
         | CO2 per year will be captured, representing greater than 35%
         | capture of the CO2 produced from the Upgrader. Quest is a part
         | of the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP), an oil sands joint
         | venture operated by Shell and owned by Shell Canada, Chevron
         | Canada and Marathon Oil.
         | 
         | So if they're capturing ~38.4% when they proposed " _greater
         | than 35% capture_ " to the government, then... that sounds
         | kinda like they're doing what they said they'd do.
        
         | stjohnswarts wrote:
         | I would like to see the absolute amount of energy produce vs
         | emitted carbon compared with oil/gas/{fossil_fuel} rather than
         | an article by a pissed off reporter/magazine. Is it an
         | improvement over existing technology/efficiency? Is it just the
         | first step and can be improved or has it been a failure? These
         | are the types of articles people should write. NetZero carbon
         | won't happen over night.
        
         | DoingIsLearning wrote:
         | The issue still stands why are governments subsidizing this
         | dead end research?
         | 
         | 5.6 trillion dollars of taxpayer money went to Fossil Fuel
         | subsidies. That's almost 7% of the world's gdp, or about 11
         | million dollars per minute just in 2020 [0]
         | 
         | Oil companies continue to capture trillions in subsidies while
         | deflecting blame and misleading the public along the way.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/09/23/Sti...
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | _Nat_ wrote:
       | It sounds like this was intended.
       | 
       | It looks like the project may've been based on winning a grant
       | [from this call [PDF]](https://www.alberta.ca/release.cfm?xID=263
       | 8932A61D80-09C7-C9... ) from 2009, which wanted:
       | 
       | > The first round of commercial scale projects is expected to
       | achieve annual carbon dioxide reductions by 2015 equivalent to
       | taking approximately one-million vehicles, or about a third of
       | all registered vehicles in the province, off of the road.
       | 
       | Sounds like the Canadian-government was looking for projects
       | that'd remove a lot of CO2 for the money, rather than necessarily
       | a high portion of CO2 from the source.
       | 
       | Then from the executive-summary of [this report from
       | 2011](https://open.alberta.ca/publications/quest-carbon-capture-
       | an... ):
       | 
       | > Over one million tonnes of CO2 per year will be captured,
       | representing greater than 35% capture of the CO2 produced from
       | the Upgrader.
       | 
       | Plus [this project-
       | database](https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/quest.html
       | ) also listed it as being intended to capture ~35%.
       | 
       | It's kinda weird to capture just ~35%, but apparently they didn't
       | need to go higher to meet the project-specification.
        
       | codewithcheese wrote:
       | They run this same scam in Australia, see this honest government
       | ad https://youtu.be/MSZgoFyuHC8
        
       | JulianMorrison wrote:
       | It's capturing money.
        
       | Comevius wrote:
       | Another way of looking at it is that they captured 6 million
       | tonnes of CO2, which is not a bad demonstration for the
       | technology. Shell never claimed that they can achieve zero or
       | negative emission. It's a hydrogen plant, it creates hydrogen and
       | CO2. They managed to capture almost half of the CO2.
       | 
       | Still not climate-friendly, but it's something.
        
         | NotACop182 wrote:
         | It takes as much or more energy to capture the co2 as it took
         | to create it in the first place. It's just the laws of the
         | universe.
        
         | fatbird wrote:
         | As someone else said: "We lose money on every sale, but we're
         | hoping to make it up in volume!"
        
         | JoeyBananas wrote:
         | It's not like Shell would make a carbon capture plant for
         | nefarious purposes. They wouldn't set up a carbon capture plant
         | just to accelerate global warming.
        
           | WesolyKubeczek wrote:
           | They don't think along this axis at all, I'm afraid. They try
           | to maximize profits while having more compliance checkboxes
           | checked than their competition does.
           | 
           | Good/bad for planet is more of a marketing sort of issue.
        
             | JoeyBananas wrote:
             | Even if Shell is a completely amoral company (they're
             | really not) setting up a carbon capture plant that emits
             | carbon is still not even rational.
        
               | brazzy wrote:
               | As the first comment in this tree pointed out, it's not,
               | in fact a "a carbon capture plant". It's an oil refinery
               | with added facilities to capture the CO2 that the
               | refinery emits. And now it turns out that it captures
               | less than half of the overall emissions. Which is better
               | than nothing, but not nearly good enough.
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | If they're not amoral, they are morally evil, since they
               | have repeatedly tried to cover up global warming, oil
               | spills, and have many many other sins to their name.
        
           | Comevius wrote:
           | I mean I agree that carbon capture should not be used as an
           | excuse to prolong the fossil fuel industry, but we sort of
           | need to produce hydrogen to produce ammonia.
           | 
           | It's hard to get out of this trap, because ammonia is
           | critical for the agriculture, and this is not a sustainable
           | practice, but it's a Sophie's choice. Starve now or kick the
           | can down the road and likely face bigger problems.
           | 
           | The fossil fuel industry gets the angry letters, but in this
           | case agriculture is the one that needs to be reinvented
           | first.
        
             | VintageCool wrote:
             | Green hydrogen is a thing. It is not economically viable
             | now, but the costs of electrolyzers are falling.
             | 
             | The world in 2020 had 300 MW of electrolyzer capacity, but
             | multiple companies (Cummins, thyssenkrupp, etc) are
             | building factories with the capacity to build 1 GW of
             | electrolyzers per year.
             | 
             | The IEA anticipates 17 GW of installed electrolyzer
             | capacity in 2026.
             | 
             | https://www.iea.org/articles/could-the-green-hydrogen-
             | boom-l...
             | 
             | Green hydrogen could be cost-competitive in a few years.
        
           | zapataband1 wrote:
           | They set it up for the purpose of staying in business and
           | staying in business for them means continuing to extract
           | petrol. So yeah they are doing this to _continue_ to
           | accelerate global warming.
        
             | stjohnswarts wrote:
             | Staying in business is all the ultimately care about. If
             | they can use their expertise to make green energy in an
             | economical way that is on par with their current money flow
             | they would have no issues with that. It's all about money
             | in the end with investors.
        
         | dasil003 wrote:
         | Okay, but why is the government subsidizing this? That just
         | encourages increasing the volume of production that increases
         | emissions over time. Instead we need to progressively ramp up
         | taxes on fossil fuels to drive down demand over time.
        
           | rzwitserloot wrote:
           | For the same reason governments the world over subisidize
           | research (which, on its own, obviously emits more co2 than it
           | directly saves, as it directly saves zero), or why e.g.
           | germany has subsidized solar so hard there were plenty of
           | obvious net-negative cases to be found:
           | 
           | To pull the technology through the hole where it is
           | financially inefficient - without having to wait for some
           | investor to take that gamble (and expect the 10x return that
           | goes with it).
           | 
           | _IF_ the subsidies continue forever and _IF_ this technology
           | now takes over all other attempts, you're totally right:
           | Utter madness.
           | 
           | But those 2 ifs are extraordinary claims.
        
           | bawolff wrote:
           | If you only fund things that fully work, you'll never get
           | anything new because research takes steps. It doesn't happen
           | in a day.
        
             | lvs wrote:
             | This is not a research effort. It's a scam.
        
             | azinman2 wrote:
             | My question is why the government is funding Shell of all
             | companies. The ones who have contributed to so much climate
             | change and climate denial in the first place -- shouldn't
             | this come out of their own pocketbook?
        
               | caminante wrote:
               | FTA:
               | 
               |  _> Joanna Sivasankaran, the press secretary for the
               | Minister of Natural Resources, said, "Carbon capture
               | utilization and storage is not a silver bullet to the
               | climate crisis but it is an important tool on the pathway
               | to reaching Canada's ambitious climate goals and reducing
               | emissions in many industries, including oil and gas."_
        
               | azinman2 wrote:
               | Oh I'm not suggesting to avoid gov funding research. I'd
               | just rather see that money go to academics, gov labs, and
               | startups rather than a multinational who has raped the
               | Earth for decades, and helped (helps?) fund climate
               | denial. For those companies, I'd suggest forcing them to
               | subsidize the research rather than the public subsidize
               | them.
               | 
               | No to privatizing profits while socializing loses.
        
               | caminante wrote:
               | _> I'd suggest forcing them to subsidize the research
               | rather than the public subsidize them._
               | 
               | I'm afraid the sanction approach would merely force Shell
               | to limit research/commercialization efforts and take jobs
               | and tax revenues out of Canada.
               | 
               | You're not designing a greenfield system. But if you want
               | to go hardline, there would be severe consequences for
               | Canada.
        
               | WJW wrote:
               | It's a pretty pragmatic call: Shell has decades of
               | experience with large scale chemistry operations, and the
               | oil majors have been hiring all the smartest engineers in
               | the field for decades, similar to how FAANG hovers up
               | much of the software engineering talent by offering
               | humongous salaries. If there is any company that has a
               | decent chance at success for scaling up carbon capture
               | technology, it is probably Shell or one of their main
               | competitors.
               | 
               | This type of hardware-based market is much less amenable
               | to the type of startup-driven innovation that we see in
               | the software world, because building a large scale
               | chemical plant is so incredibly expensive.
        
               | echelon wrote:
               | Pragmatism and realpolitik.
               | 
               | It doesn't really matter who is doing it so long as it's
               | being done. The incentives align, and they're well
               | positioned to do this.
        
               | afarrell wrote:
               | Indeed. In the choice between punishing a corporation and
               | solving the problem, we should pick solving the problem.
        
               | hazza_n_dazza wrote:
               | Thank you for that strawman. In a world with two choices,
               | I take the third. Lets open up dialouge, not close all
               | doors but two.
        
           | FormerBandmate wrote:
           | Because carbon is the negative part of using fossil fuels? If
           | this improves enough there could end up being no problem
           | whatsoever with fossil fuels.
           | 
           | We should fund efforts like this with carbon taxes however
           | because carbon hurts now
        
           | mlyle wrote:
           | Government should do both: tax carbon and use it to pay for
           | pilot projects and moonshots that could be valuable in the
           | fight against AGW.
        
             | lukifer wrote:
             | It was definitely a light-bulb moment, recognizing that in
             | some cases, taxation is not a necessary evil, but a
             | positive good (in this case, pricing externalities) [0].
             | 
             | At this point, I care less about what carbon taxes pay for,
             | than making sure they exist at all, enough to shift
             | incentives on both production _and_ consumption. (That
             | said: the dividend strategy certainly does seem to have
             | advantages for political viability, and avoiding  "yellow-
             | vest" backlash to regressive taxation.)
             | 
             | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pigovian_tax
        
               | jeromegv wrote:
               | Canada carbon tax is interesting because it's meant to be
               | almost a zero-sum game. They take the money and you get
               | it back in your tax refund. So it is more about pricing
               | externality and ensure we slowly switch to better
               | alternatives without disproportionately taxing us.
        
               | edgyquant wrote:
               | That taxes and tax breaks can be used in to create
               | incentives is one of the fundamental aspects of modern
               | liberalism. Most people don't have the libertarian idea
               | of taxes where they are evil/theft.
        
         | petermcneeley wrote:
         | This is like selling 10 dollar bills for 9 dollars.
        
           | lukifer wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dollar_auction
        
           | caminante wrote:
           | Then why is Shell Canada's operating profit margin hitting
           | 29%?
           | 
           | [0] https://reports.shell.com/tax-contribution-
           | report/2018/our-t...
        
             | pharmakom wrote:
             | Because they are selling the tax payers dollar bills.
        
         | gmuslera wrote:
         | It would had captured more carbon (or at least, less carbon in
         | the atmosphere) if you didn't turn it on.
         | 
         | It would be great a carbon capture technology, on which
         | companies should invest billions in a technology that turns
         | carbon into (natural) gas, liquid (oil) or solid (coal) form
         | and bury them deep underground. In the same way with that
         | plant, not extracting them in the first place would be a more
         | efficient solution.
         | 
         | But instead we have this kind of placebo technology that not
         | only does nothing, but worsen the problem, and with some
         | creative accounting gives them an excuse to extract even more
         | fossil fuels and delays even more the urgent actions needed to
         | mitigate the devastating consequences that warming at the
         | current rate will bring.
        
           | kuratkull wrote:
           | Sounds like a great plan... if you don't need electricity
        
         | ajb wrote:
         | The way the capture guys argue is that if you have a plant that
         | captures 50% of carbon emissions, then you run it on >50%
         | renewable fuel, and it ends up carbon neutral or negative.
        
         | zapataband1 wrote:
         | Petroleum companies have captured our governments and are
         | subsidizing bs technology to stay relevant on our dime, it has
         | never been about zero emissions for them.
        
         | lvs wrote:
         | No it is nothing. It has concocted a way to launder fossil fuel
         | demand through another product stream.
        
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