[HN Gopher] How big was the Tonga eruption? ___________________________________________________________________ How big was the Tonga eruption? Author : giuliomagnifico Score : 432 points Date : 2022-01-24 17:03 UTC (5 hours ago) (HTM) web link (graphics.reuters.com) (TXT) w3m dump (graphics.reuters.com) | unethical_ban wrote: | The gif time-lapse gives me some anxiety - it reminds me of the | Sega game Space Harrier where the enemies come at you quickly, | within a few frames. | Synaesthesia wrote: | Most of Tonga is covered in ash. https://www.bbc.com/news/world- | asia-60065767 | dr_dshiv wrote: | And it still wasn't big enough to put sufficient sulfur dioxide | in the atmosphere to have a noticeable cooling effect. Too bad :( | | https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-60088413 | llampx wrote: | Too bad? It would be extremely cool for one summer, ruining | crops and causing famines and then back to hotter summers from | next year onwards. How does that help anyone? | robertwt7 wrote: | That is huge! As someone who originally came from tropical | country, volcano eruption sucks even if you live far away from | it. The dust, the earthquake, tsunami warnings, etc. hopefully | everyone who is affected is doing fine | wslh wrote: | I posted previously this reference: "Likely the Tonga shockwave | from Buenos Aires, 10000 km from the eruption". | | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29949782 | alliao wrote: | world's largest boom box for sure.. that bass travelled | milliams wrote: | The title is ungrammatical and refers to "states" where the | article does not. | VeninVidiaVicii wrote: | Also poster apparently means US states, not like physical | states of a system. | throwthere wrote: | > Also poster apparently means US states, not like physical | states of a system. | | I think the article means "state" in the sense of "country," | not US State. | giuliomagnifico wrote: | Okay okay, I changed States in Nations, better now? | danbruc wrote: | I fear you will soon learn that nation is not capitalized | and strictly speaking refers to a group of people, not a | geographical region. | mynegation wrote: | No, if you check the article, poster means sovereign states, | or what in US is called "countries". There is not a single | example of a state in USA. | [deleted] | TehCorwiz wrote: | There's one of Florida and one of California. | giuliomagnifico wrote: | I changed "states" to "States", I thought it was obvious | giuliomagnifico wrote: | Write a better tittle and I'll change it. | | By the way for me Spain, Florida or UK are states, how you call | them? | sixstringtheory wrote: | Tonga eruption as if it had* happened in various nations | giuliomagnifico wrote: | Edited, thanks a lot for the correction! English is not my | first language! | ketzo wrote: | just so you know, you are correct to call Florida and | California "states." | riffic wrote: | the article does not refer to "Nations" either (the phrase | used in the Reuters text is "well-known land masses"). title | nitpicking is one of the worst things about HN (and there are | many things wrong with this site), imo just use the original | title. | dang wrote: | You should have used the article's original title, because it | was neither misleading nor linkbait. I've reverted it now. | | " _Please use the original title, unless it is misleading or | linkbait; don 't editorialize._" | | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html | NikolaNovak wrote: | Interesting; on aside, I would call: | | Florida - State | | Ontario - Province | | Spain & UK - "Country" colloquially; might use the term | "Nation" if I needed to be more inclusive/ambiguous | | (Understanding that formally, State _might_ in fact be a | better term: e.g. it 's "Minister of the State" or | "Statesmanship" etc; but this is how I'd use them in daily | life. ESL, 25 years in Canada FWIW) | Clubber wrote: | State and Country are used interchangeably. The United | States, before the Civil War was just that, a union of self | governing entities. A nation is a group of similar peoples | such as the Nation of Islam or Navajo Nation. | | _Country and State are synonymous terms that both apply to | self-governing political entities. A nation, however, is a | group of people who share the same culture but do not have | sovereignty._ | | https://www.infoplease.com/world/diplomacy/state-country- | and... | | https://www.thoughtco.com/country-state-and-nation-1433559 | cletus wrote: | Someone else estimated the Tonga explosion at 10 megatons [1] and | it was heard thousands of miles away. Bear in mind, humans have | detonated nuclear weapons larger than this, most famously the | Tsar Bomba [2] at 50 megatons. Compare this to something not that | long ago: Krakatoa, estimated at 200 megatons [3]. | | Then compare this to the Year Without Summer (536 AD) [4]: | | > Falling in the time known as the 'Dark Ages', the year 536 AD | fully embraced this moniker as Europe, the Middle East and parts | of Asia were plunged into 24-hour darkness for 18 months. Summer | temperatures plummeted between 1.5-2.5degC causing crops to fail | and millions to starve to death. | | All of this has happened in the last 10,000 years, which is | regarded as a relatively stable period and a mere blink of the | eye in cosmic timelines. I'm reminded of the thin blue line [5]. | You begin to realize how narrow a niche we live in. | | Humanity almost died out 70,000 years ago [6]. It's not really | known why. There are lots of theories on the cause. It's | estimated the population dropped into the tens of thousands. It's | actually a big reason why there is little genetic diversity in | humans (compared to other primates, for example). | | Far worse has happened on Earth and will likely happen again: the | Chicxulub impact, supervolcanic eruptions like Yellowstone (about | every 700,000 years in recent times), the magnetic poles flipping | (and what that'll do to solar radiation hitting the Earth) and so | on. | | And all of these pale into comparison to any space-based | cataclysmic events (eg gamma-ray bursts, supernovae, magnatars, | neutron star and black hole mergers). | | It really makes you think how fragile our existence is. | | [1]: https://www.npr.org/2022/01/18/1073800454/nasa-scientists- | es... | | [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tsar_Bomba | | [3]: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krakatoa#:~:text=With%20an%20e... | | [4]: https://www.history.co.uk/articles/what-was-the-worst- | year-i... | | [5]: | http://lightexhibit.org/earth_atmosphere.html#:~:text=Earth'.... | | [6]: | https://www.npr.org/sections/krulwich/2012/10/22/163397584/h... | pmayrgundter wrote: | Maybe interesting, I keep a list of large energy events/stores | for thinking about the scale of global catastrophes. | | Looks like this Tonga eruption is VEI5 or 6, so between St | Helens and Pinatubo. | | Comments appreciated in the doc! | | - Mt. Toba 74kya, VEI 8/M8.8 eruption energy: 1e21-1e22 Joules | | - M8 Volcanoes once every million years, but M7 yield > 10x | more energy over time. | | - Global Warming: 7.88e21 Joule/year | | - Hiawatha Crater (Pleistocene, possibly 12kya) impact energy: | 3e21 J | | - Hurricane (1% kinetic, 99% latent heat): 1e21 J | | - Human energy production 2013: 5.7e20 J/year | | - Mt. Tambora 1815, VEI 7 eruption energy: 1.3e20 J | | - Largest earthquakes 2: 1e19 J | | - World nuclear weapon stockpile yield (extrapolated from USA): | 16e18 J | | - United States nuclear weapon stockpile yield 2020 (~2Gt TNT): | 8.3e18 | | - Mt. Pinatubo 1991, Krakatoa 1883; VEI 6 eruption energy: | 8.3e17 J | | - Mt. St. Helens 1980, VEI 4 eruption energy: 1e17 J | | https://docs.google.com/document/d/14EslUTRCwOgc_EobxH6X5e01... | GekkePrutser wrote: | The magnetic poles are about to flip Austin actually :) At | least we know this time | Zash wrote: | What I'm curious about is whether this was equivalent to, or | larger than | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1883_eruption_of_Krakatoa | | Also whether it will turn the sky red for months. | metalliqaz wrote: | I think if there was another Krakatoa, it would eclipse Covid | in the news cycle for weeks. | phreeza wrote: | My understanding is it's smaller even than Pinatubo, which | happened in living memory, and significantly smaller than | Krakatoa. | chris_va wrote: | The estimate is about 20x smaller | samcheng wrote: | We have had really beautiful sunsets here in Northern | California for the past week. Maybe related? (We also have a | winter wildfire in Big Sur that could be contributing.) | markdown wrote: | Nah, the ash cloud went westwards towards Australia. | dragonwriter wrote: | Krakatoa is estimated at 200 MT energy, this was estimated as 6 | MT. | Robotbeat wrote: | The 6-10MT estimate is really a lower bound based on the | amount of material moved from the island. A more reliable | estimate is based on the overpressure, which was | significantly larger than the Tsar Bomba (also exploded over | an island) which was 50MT. https://text.npr.org/1074438703 | | That said, the amount of SO2 was fairly low, so the climate | impact not likely to be large. | acchow wrote: | Any idea if this will have a measurably effect on climate | change? | brendyn wrote: | I heard from an Anton Petrov video it would reduce the | planets average temperature by half a degree for some | time, but I don't know where he got that info from. | thomascgalvin wrote: | That is absolutely mind-boggling. | Tuna-Fish wrote: | Mount Tambora is estimated to have been about 33GT. That | one messed up weather globally for two years. | neuronic wrote: | And it's suspected to have had an impact on Napoleons | Waterloo disaster by changing the weather... | silisili wrote: | Will this have a cooling effect on the Earth this year? I seem to | remember global temperatures fell after the big one in the | Philippines. | twiddling wrote: | The amount of sulfur injected into the atmosphere was quite | small compared to the explosion of Pinatubo | 6d6b73 wrote: | Yes about .5deg | subsubzero wrote: | Curious if this will cause a slight cooling of the earth's air | temperature due to increased volcanic particles in the air. I had | no idea of the size of this eruption and it looks absolutely | enormous based on this article. It didn't mention how many metric | tons were ejected into the atmosphere | | Here is an article saying that after a eruption the air | temperature rapidly cools for a while. Lets hope this doesn't | wreck crop production. | | https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/volcanoes-cooled-... | burkaman wrote: | Not this time apparently. | | > Pinatubo erupted for several days, sending about 20 million | tons of sulfur dioxide gas into the stratosphere, or upper | atmosphere. There, the gas combined with water to create | aerosol particles that reflected and scattered some of the | sun's rays, keeping them from hitting the surface. That had the | effect of cooling the atmosphere by about 1 degree Fahrenheit | (about half a degree Celsius) for several years. (It is also | the mechanism of a controversial form of geoengineering: using | planes or other means to continuously inject sulfur dioxide | into the stratosphere to intentionally cool the planet.) | | > But the Hunga eruption lasted only about 10 minutes, and | satellite sensors in the days that followed measured about | 400,000 tons of sulfur dioxide reaching the stratosphere. "The | amount of SO2 released is much, much smaller than, say, Mount | Pinatubo," said Michael Manga, an earth sciences professor at | the University of California, Berkeley. So unless the Hunga | eruption resumes and continues at a similarly strong level, | which is considered unlikely, it won't have a global cooling | effect. | | - https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/19/climate/scientists- | tonga-... | RowanH wrote: | Heard it go bang, 2600km away, echoing through the hills around | our place at the top of the South Island of New Zealand. That's | pretty staggering to think about it. Then to see other peoples | Home Assistants around the world pick up the change in pressure | on opposite sides of the planet. Mental, just mental... | dylanz wrote: | Takaka or Motueka? I used to live in that area. Golden Bay has | a pretty unique geographical layout! | belter wrote: | Talk about long distance effects.... | | "Tonga volcanic eruption shockwave reached the Netherlands" | | https://nltimes.nl/2022/01/16/tonga-volcanic-eruption-shockw... | wiredfool wrote: | There was a report from a climate org in Miami that they | recognized the pressure pulse 9 times, once each ~35 hours | since the eruption. | divbzero wrote: | What did the "bang" sound like? Was it the sharp crack of | thunder close by, the slower rumbling of distant thunder, the | sound of fireworks exploding, or would some other description | fit better? | muti wrote: | I also heard it in the north of the South Island of NZ. To me | it sounded like very distant explosions, like a cannon | firing, or avalanche control explosives. | | We heard multiple explosions over the span of a minute or | two, presumably from the multiple paths the sound took as | they all sounded the same. | swamp40 wrote: | Close up (next island over) it was a low loud fast boom like | dynamite going off nearby. Over in an instant. From a | Facebook video. Really strange that it would sound that way. | throwaway894345 wrote: | I've heard that the Krakatoa eruption was so loud that the | sound wave reverberated around the globe several times. I | assume that means if you're on exactly the other end of the | world, the sound is coming at you from every direction? | Similarly, no matter where you are on earth, the sound is | coming at you from different directions at different times? Of | course, I'm assuming that the sound wave was in audible | frequencies which may or may not be the case... | mkl wrote: | Even exactly on the other side of the world, the sound will | reach you at different times from different directions due to | different pressures, temperatures, mountains, etc. on the | way. | Railsify wrote: | But there would be a spot where the pressure waves would | cross? | thaumasiotes wrote: | > But there would be a spot where the pressure waves | would cross [simultaneously]? | | There could be, but it's not immediately obvious that | there has to be. | | It does seem like certain points would need to be on | 'cusps' of the wavefront, though, so something like | getting the wave from the north and the northeast | 'simultaneously'. | gnramires wrote: | I think so. I think there is necessarily a circle | "eversion" (turning it inside-out) with a crease. | Whatever is the point of the crease would hear sound from | all directions. Even with something like a figure 8 | collapsing wavefront, eventually one or more creases | should form. | rocqua wrote: | If the crease is a line, would it not sound like comming | from two opposite directions simultaneously? | layer8 wrote: | Not necessarily. The set of points reached last by the | waves could be multiple points, or a line, or multiple | lines. | LeoPanthera wrote: | My back yard weather station picked up the shockwave here in | the bay area: | https://twitter.com/DavidCWG/status/1482451910154014720 | | I had no idea that was even possible. Crazy stuff. | madaxe_again wrote: | Mine picked it up too - in Portugal. | | Teeny little dip and crest, and I wasn't sure until the | meteorological station in a city 30km tweeted that they'd | seen it too, and the times coincided (well, I was about a | minute later) very neatly. | muti wrote: | We also heard it while tramping on the thousand acre plateau | just north of Murchison. It was very quiet, so we were lucky to | be where we were with no noise pollution to drown it out. | | Though at the time we had no clue what it was, we joked about | being in the Tomorrow series timeline. | depereo wrote: | My colleague's backyard weather station picked up the pressure | wave in Christchurch several times as it repeatedly circled the | globe. | | Sea levels in the upper south were a little 'odd', trending | higher and more variably than usual, even if not by that much, | for a week. | jmspring wrote: | Here in California in the Sierra Nevada, a pressure variation | was noticeable around 4am pacific. | sandworm101 wrote: | I find it difficult to believe that even a massive eruption | could literally push sea levels up or down in the surrounding | area (waves /= sea level). Volcanoes are massive, but the | energy to move cubic miles of water, water many hundreds or | thousands of miles away, is at different level. Hurricanes | can move water like that, but they do so with orders of | magnitude greater energy (tens of thousands of nukes). | TheOtherHobbes wrote: | US tsunami monitoring has a record. | | https://www.tsunami.gov/previous.events/?p=03-19-09-Tonga | sandworm101 wrote: | A tsunami is a wave. Not sea level. Waves literally come | and go over a period of seconds to minutes. They wobble | back and forth without actually moving much water. Sea | levels move on the order of hours and days and involve | the physical movement of literally hundreds of cubic- | miles of water. Raising or lowering a sea level | measurement (not a temporary wave) requires far more | energy than a volcano. | | From the link: "Listed wave heights are maximum amplitude | in cm (above sea level)." In other words, even tsunami | waves heights are not changes to sea level. | thaumasiotes wrote: | > A tsunami is a wave. Not sea level. Waves literally | come and go over a period of seconds to minutes. They | wobble back and forth without actually moving much water. | Sea levels move on the order of hours and days and | involve the physical movement of literally hundreds of | cubic-miles of water. | | You should be aware that tsunamis behave in the way | you're calling "sea level", and not in the way you're | calling "wave". It's true that a tsunami is a wave, but | it's not true that they come and go over a period of | minutes, or that they fail to move much water. They're | very large. | sandworm101 wrote: | Some of them, specifically those involving undersea | plates moving upwards, but even those do settle out | quickly. That is why the term literally means "port | waves" because they bypass normal wave protections and | move into ports, similar to how tidal bores move up | rivers. But the comment above spoke of sea levels being | impacted for many days, something beyond even thrust | tunamis and more akin to hurricanes. | lnwlebjel wrote: | Think of it more like a very long period wave, much like | a tide, but on a much shorter time period than the tide. | Tides, waves (periods on the order of seconds), and tidal | waves (or tsunamis) are all fluctuations in sea level. | Water can be moved when the waves encounter enclosed bays | or harbors. Think of the water level dropping 3 ft over | 20 minutes in front of a harbor entrance and imagine the | currents that can result. | | Here's an example of observations from coastal California | (red line shows sea level measured every 6 minutes: https | ://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=941211.. | . | | It is truly amazing - I'm not surprised that it's hard to | believe. | samatman wrote: | A tsunami is an entirely different kind of wave than a | normal wave. | | A normal wave is transverse, and a tsunami is a pressure | wave. The first bobs the water up and down and the wave | moves forward, the second shoves water ahead of it, | displacing it upward into the wave. | | The tsunami won't break when the column gets short, but | rather transfer all of the energy of moving a deep water | column to a shallow one. That's what makes them | dangerous. | TheOtherHobbes wrote: | I don't think anyone - except perhaps you - is suggesting | that the eruption caused an actual rise in sea levels. | vmception wrote: | These are totally memeable gifs | | Reminds me of the "problem solved" pictures | | California, Florida, the Koreas, Israel, Somalia? | | These are totally intentional examples for the memes aka for the | lulz | | I'm saving all these before other people notice | nabla9 wrote: | Globally event appears unlikely to have a significant cooling | effect on temperatures globally, h | | >"However, to date, it injected 'only' 0.4 Tg (400,000 tonnes) of | sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere, which is not enough to | result in significant surface cooling for this individual | eruption. "Unless further eruptive activity occurs, we should not | detect significant surface cooling. At present, hazards related | to ash fallout are really the number one concern." | | https://news.abs-cbn.com/spotlight/01/19/22/explainer-tonga-... | | Local environmental harm: | https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/tongas-volcanic... | boringg wrote: | Pretty cool way to look at it. My take away ... Florida is almost | as big as Britain? Wow, I didn't realize how small Britain was. | rootusrootus wrote: | As another comparison, the UK is just slightly smaller than | Oregon. But has 16 times as many people. | munificent wrote: | Yes, these images are incidentally an excellent reminder to | Europeans of how big the United States is. I read a _lot_ of | criticisms of the US from people overseas that seem to rest on | a lack of understanding of the _scale_ of the country. The US | is huge. A volcanic plume that covers most of Britain or Spain | would only cover about _half_ of California. | | You can wrap your head around it using "Measure distance" in | Google Maps and comparing some in the US to Europe. Some | examples: | | - ~1,200 km will take you from London to Valencia. You can fit | a straight line that long just in California or Texas. | | - Miami to Seattle is about as long as Gibralter to Moscow. | Tronheim in the Arctic Circle is closer to Cairo than Seattle | is to Miami. | | - Paris is closer to Tehran than San Diego is to Bangor. | boringg wrote: | Have you ever looked at how big earth is relative to Jupiter | to the sun? And how far each one of them truly are from each | other? We're terrible at sense of scale :) | sveme wrote: | Bit similar to how everyone misunderstands the size of | Africa. Here's a nice toy to play around with for a couple of | hours: https://thetruesize.com | | So it makes sense to compare the US to Europe as a continent. | Got it. What kind of criticism have you read that is wrong | due to a misunderstanding of the scale of the US? | rootusrootus wrote: | > What kind of criticism have you read that is wrong due to | a misunderstanding of the scale of the US? | | My guess would be population density. The US has ~330M | people, Europe has ~748M. | lovecg wrote: | US is more dense though (going by www.worldometers.info). | I think these explanations "why we can't have good | things" are too simplistic. Ignore rail and fiber for a | second, and look at commuter air travel for example: | European market is much more competitive and prices are | much lower than for comparable flights in the US. | munificent wrote: | _> What kind of criticism have you read that is wrong due | to a misunderstanding of the scale of the US?_ | | The main one is just not understanding how difficult | transit and logistics is here. I've heard British people | complain that we should just put high speed passenger rail | all across the country like they did while not realizing | that their country is literally 1% of the size of the US | and more than ten times the population density. | | The most sadly hilarious one I see fairly often is | Europeans planning vacations to the states and intending to | drive across the country in a few days so they can see all | the big landmarks on the east and west coasts. It takes a | lot longer than they realize. | cwillu wrote: | I find the EU is a better frame of reference for the US than | any given country is. | munificent wrote: | Yes. And to put it in further perspective, the entire EU is | still only 43% of the area of the US. | rrrrrrrrrrrryan wrote: | https://mapfight.xyz/map/gb/#us.fl | azinman2 wrote: | ... or how big Florida is. | boringg wrote: | I already knew the size of Florida :) | ec109685 wrote: | Britain is 1.7 times larger: | https://www.mylifeelsewhere.com/country-size- | comparison/flor...) | throw_nbvc1234 wrote: | As an American who enjoys soccer, it's crazy when you then | overlay the entire football pyramid onto Britain. I don't see | how USA soccer (MLS, grassroots, lower leagues ect...) could | ever be like the "ideal" of how things are done on the other | side of the ocean. | baron816 wrote: | Is this expected to have a global climate impact? | smitty1110 wrote: | The Wikipedia page[1] for the event says a temporary drop of | 0.1-0.5 degrees C for the next 12-15 months. | | [1]: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Hunga_Tonga_eruption_and_... | cwkoss wrote: | Is this a net 'good thing' for global human life because it | will counterbalance anthropogenic climate change? | | (Probably still a significant net harm to Tongans I'd imagine | :-( ) | | To what extent are the particles kicked up into the | atmosphere a problem for life? Are they carcinogenic or | respiratory risks? | throwawayboise wrote: | I doubt it; it's a short-lived effect and probably doesn't | really fall outside the normal range of year-to-year | temperature variances. | adamredwoods wrote: | No, it wasn't dense enough. | | https://www.ecowatch.com/volcano-eruptions-hunga-tonga-clima... | notjustanymike wrote: | The animation with it placed over Florida helped me understand, | but also gave me a really good idea... | darknavi wrote: | No need to take action, Florida Man is on the job! | michilehr wrote: | My cheap weather station has recorded the blast wave three times. | | https://michilehr.de/the-eruption-of-hunga-tonga-volcano-and... | phist_mcgee wrote: | I find the mix of your commas and periods in numbers a little | confusing. | | >305,8 m/s but also 8.7m and ~1.4 hPa. | | I know that Europeans have a different notation to Americans, | but is there a rule here I am missing? | tacker2000 wrote: | No, there is no missed rule, the comma is the only official | decimal separator in these parts. But I can relate to the the | OP. Us here in the comma world are forever converting numbers | in CSV and Excel files back and forth so as to display them | in a proper number format. It's like that darned USB port, | you have to flip it 3 times to get it right. | michilehr wrote: | No missed rule. Thank you for your feedback. I have | replaced the decimal separators '.' with ','. Sorry for the | confusion. | smoe wrote: | Growing up in Switzerland with a dot as the decimal | separator, I newer knew just how much of an outlier we are | in this part of the world until now. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decimal_separator#/media/File | :... | | We also use apostrophe as the thousands separator, so: | 1'234'567.89 which I personally always found much more | readable that using commas and dots. Is there any other | country that uses this combination? | nameistaken wrote: | This should be the grand compromise. | | The US will convert to metric, however everyone else has to | convert from commas to decimal points. | | Places using decimal separators and the metric system are | the real winners here. | Bilal_io wrote: | I'll celebrate for a whole week whenever the US converts | to the metric system. I hope I'll still be young enough | to handle it. | r00fus wrote: | Since it's a big "moat" for parts manufacturing (mainly | for defense industry)... I predict the USA will give up | imperial units when it's empire finally collapses. | | Perhaps in the next few decades as China builds its own | economic sphere. | denton-scratch wrote: | Um, it's unamerican to use "imperial" units. When you | have a revolution, you have to get rid of all things | imperial! | | Therefore US pints are 16oz, not 20oz, and so on for most | fluid measures (fluid ounces are based on dry ounces, | which are avoirdupois, not imperial). | manquer wrote: | While OP here made a mistake, some countries use mixed | systems depending on what it is used for . Switzerland for | example uses comma for normal numbers and dot for currency | alone. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decimal_separator#Examples_of_. | .. | api wrote: | Is this going to make our weather measurably colder for the next | year? | woodruffw wrote: | It'll apparently have a slight cooling effect on the southern | hemisphere[1], lasting until this spring. | | [1]: https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/459707/tonga-eruption- | co... | lnwlebjel wrote: | I posted a visualization of the shock wave as a submission, but | I"ll repost it here. This is a satellite measurement of | integrated atmospheric water vapor (IIUC), so changes in the | density of air change the integrated measurement, such that you | can see the shock wave travel around half the globe. | | https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog/images/2022/01/22... | | (it take a few seconds to load, but I believe this is one of the | most incredible things I've ever seen). | LeoPanthera wrote: | 139MB is utter insanity for an animated GIF. | | Crushing it with gifsicle can get it down to 125MB but clearly | GIF is the wrong choice of format here. | | Here's a HEVC compressed video version which is only 25M and | suffers only extremely mild softness: | http://david.gloveraoki.net/f/32M.mp4 | | It would probably be even better if I could work with the | source video and not the gif version. | _qua wrote: | This is a 140 MB gif ** | | I hope you don't mind, I reuploaded as an MP4: | https://imgur.com/BbaLE5U | parhamn wrote: | As a 27mb video: https://imgur.com/a/dqc2Gii | | I think it's super noisy so it doesn't compress well. | tailspin2019 wrote: | Incredible! Thanks for posting this. | rosstex wrote: | I would like to see, "MEDIA COVERAGE OF Tonga eruption compared | as if it had happened in various Nations". Because apparently no | one knows anybody who lives in Tonga with a camera, but damn that | high tide at the Berkeley marina was crazy!! | BookPage wrote: | I have a great aunt who lives in Tonga - my Grandma spoke to | her a couple days ago. Apparently people on the main Island | (Tongatapu) are mainly fine - her main issue is a bunch of ash | on her roof, which apparently is going to cost for $500 to get | removed from local tradespeople. | excitom wrote: | Tonga's Internet connectivity was knocked out by the blast and | it won't be back for a while, thus making it hard to upload | pictures. | | https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/tonga-likely-spen... | goodcanadian wrote: | The submarine cable connecting Tonga to the world was severed. | While satellite connections exist, apparently the ash cloud | interfered with that as well. It has been extremely | difficult/expensive to get any pictures out of Tonga. | fghorow wrote: | For western US trained geoscientists, the Bishop Tuff [1] (from | the ~750,000 years ago eruption of the Long Valley Caldera, near | Mammoth Mtn. in California) is a "modern" comparable ashfall | deposit. | | This was quite a bit larger (edited to add: I meant in areal | extent, not necc. volume erupted). | | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bishop_Tuff | glup wrote: | I was vacationing in Mammoth one time and started reading about | the geology... quite a shock to find that basically everything | to the east is a giant caldera [1]. Also 760,000 years ago is | really quite recent on geologic time scales. | | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Valley_Caldera | pitaj wrote: | That's about the same size as the Henry's Fork Caldera [0] | which is within the much larger Island Park Caldera [1], both | produced by the Yellowstone hot spot. The Island Park Caldera | is one of the largest in the world. | | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry%27s_Fork_Caldera | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Island_Park_Caldera | dheera wrote: | scythe wrote: | This reasoning cannot lead to a practical policy directive. | Volcanoes often lay dormant for thousands of years and their | eruptions can deny _huge_ amounts of land, which is not a | reasonable tradeoff compared to "just rebuilding the | railroad every 5000 years", since its service life is | probably shorter than that anyway. | dheera wrote: | Maybe, but building a railroad invites towns and cities to | be built around it. | vkou wrote: | > I mean, how fucking dumb do you need to be to look at a | lava flow and cut a road or train track through it? Do they | not realize that lava means "run"? Build infrastructure | elsewhere. | | Right, and nobody should build cities on rivers or coasts, | because rivers flood[1] and coasts get hurricanes that cause | floods, nobody should build anything in valleys[1], because | they flood, nobody should ever build anything in mountains, | because they get avalanches and mudslides[1], nobody should | build anything on the Ring of Fire, because earthquakes, and | the midwest should be uninhabited because tornadoes. | | If someone built a two-lane road that cuts through an old | lava flow, maybe those people aren't the idiots. Maybe | they've done the math, and determined that the cost of going | around it is going to be greater than the risk of eruption * | cost of dealing with the consequences. | | [1] Stupid Canadians[2], building a highway through a valley, | and some mountains. If only someone with some common sense | would have come in and told them that this was a bad idea! ht | tps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/November_2021_Pacific_Northwes... | | [2] Now they don't have a highway! | https://www.nanaimobulletin.com/news/aerial-video-of- | coquiha... | dheera wrote: | > Right, and nobody should build cities on rivers or | coasts, | | Many ancient civilizations knew not to build on coasts. | Beijing, Xi'an, Cairo, Rome, Paris, Mexico City, Madrid, | London, Moscow, Kyoto, most of these cities of critical | governmental and strategic importance were not built on | coasts for very good reasons. | | And then you have some modern hipsters after the 17th | century who decided not to take a history lesson and | started to build NYC, Shanghai, LA, Tokyo, Shenzhen, | Singapore, Washington DC, and other cities on the coasts. | Note that none of these cities have much history to them, | for a reason. Not a good plan. Humans are pretty dumb. | Jtsummers wrote: | Ancient civilizations did build on coasts, you're cherry | picking a handful of cities that weren't, but most (if | not all, going off memory) of the cities you listed were | built along rivers. Building on the coast gave (and | gives) access to trade and fishing which are of great | utility to most societies. | | Besides, avoiding the coast itself doesn't do you much | good. Earthquakes, volcanoes, flooding (from rivers or | rain), drought, fire, tornadoes can hit in many different | areas even away from the coast. Hell, hurricanes can go | pretty far inland and do quite a bit of damage (more from | the flooding than the winds, but also the winds, at that | point). You'd be hard pressed to find a totally safe | place on this planet that could support the entire human | population. You'll still need the hazardous areas for | agricultural and mining purposes if nothing else, and | unless people can handle a 1000 mile commute, you'll end | up with communities and cities growing in those places. | finnh wrote: | You seem to have a lot of anger. You might want to | consider letting some of it go - it's a heavy load. | Speaking from experience. | vkou wrote: | You've cherry-picked a bunch of non-coastal cities, but | completely missed that nearly all of them were built on | _rivers_. | | Which have all of the same problems with flooding as | coasts, but much worse. Coasts flood when you get a major | storm causing a surge, or a major earthquake. Rivers | flood when the seasons change, when it rains upstream, | when you get a mudslide upstream, when there's a major | earthquake sending a tsunami upriver... | | Why do you think cities built on coasts and rivers on the | whole grew, and out-competed cities that were built | inland? | GekkePrutser wrote: | I'm pretty happy living in a coastal city though. Which | by the way was founded in the middle ages :) | irrational wrote: | I don't understand. Literally all of Hawaii is built on top | of lava flows. Are Hawaiians dumb idiots for building roads | and other infrastructure on top of lava flows? | dheera wrote: | At least they're smart for putting most of their population | on the inactive islands like Oahu. | dave5104 wrote: | > And then you have idiots that build train tracks and | highways right through lava | | I was disappointed to see no active lava flows in your linked | image. What you show is simply a road and train tracks built | on top of rocks. | dheera wrote: | Lava will likely flow there again the next time Shasta | erupts. | renewiltord wrote: | True, but we were dumb enough to build a civilization on | this planet and lava will flow everywhere the next time | we have something like what caused the K-T event so I | suppose it runs in the family. | dave5104 wrote: | Its eruption history is on the order of once every | hundreds of years. By the time its next eruption comes | around, it's very possible that infrastructure will be | long gone for other reasons. | | In most cases, infrastructure existence and placement is | barely a blip on geologic time. | riffic wrote: | you could make your point without being derisive and ableist, | especially considering the people involved have credentials | and are trained in their fields. | pyrophane wrote: | I'm assuming you meant to write ableist, in which case, how | is the above comment ableist? | riffic wrote: | edited, thank you. | | To answer your question, adjectives related to | intelligence are ableist in origin. I don't think this | needs to be explained and it's not my job to educate you | or anyone else on this forum. | dzmien wrote: | If you are going to call someone out, why not try to make | it educational? | stavros wrote: | There should be a word for the driveby condemnation (ooh | we could call it that) that is "what you said is | unethical but it's not my job to tell you how". | | I doubt driveby condemnation will convince many people. | riffic wrote: | I mean, that's a fair point. I just feel this sort of | dialogue is disrespectful to the engineers who actually | build the stuff the grandparent commenter is complaining | about. | | moot since the comment itself is dead/flagged but if | you're calling people idiots, show me your credentials. | stavros wrote: | Yeah, I agree with you on that, I've just heard the "it's | not my job to educate you" point (you're right, it's not) | before, and I've noticed it only tends to make the | conversation worse. | | I think that's because without the explanation it's more | or less name-calling, since the accused doesn't know what | they did wrong. | czzr wrote: | I had to read it several times to get it, but I think | they're referring to "dumb" which could also refer to | people who can't speak. | | The funny thing about this is that I simply read "dumb" | as "stupid" and didn't make any connection to being mute | - but thanks to the earlier comment I've now made the | association. So, well done policing the discourse, I | guess? | user982 wrote: | It's offensive to idiots. | ajkjk wrote: | Hmm, the problem with the parent is that it's derisive and | also just wrong, not that it is 'ableist'. | dheera wrote: | But it creates "engagement" which is rewarded these days | apparently. | | Also, I thought the trained people should have learned a | thing or two from Pompei not to build near volcanoes. I'll | cut some slack for the people who designed Pompei, they | didn't know, but everyone after that should have learned. | cyberlurker wrote: | Pompeii was a Pyroclastic flow not lava. | dheera wrote: | OK, I meant more like "dangerous hot shit that wipes out | everything in its path" in a general sense. | | If someone gave me a contract to build something in | modern-day Herculaneum I would say no. I think it's | irresponsible to build there. In terms of lives lost it's | tantamount to knowingly shipping a hundred 777s with | loose screws that cause them to crash. | | The number of downvotes on this thread is also exactly | _why_ we have disasters with volcanic eruptions. This is | like the geological equivalent of a bunch of antivaxxers. | mattmoose21 wrote: | What are the chances that the volcano erupts with a train | on/near that portion of track? How often would you likely | have to fix it? How much does it cost to go around? I am | sure these questions are being asked and the risks being | weighed. They may not be right and you might not agree | with them but unless they did this without any | forethought I would not call them dumb. Also you are | comparing them to Pompei even though this is a train | track not a city. | dheera wrote: | It would disrupt critical supply chains. That train line | is part of a key freight artery between Seattle, | Portland, SF, LA, and SD. | | Railroads and highways also invite towns and cities to be | built around them, so if you want to be responsible | toward future generations of human lives, you should | direct those major arteries through less geologically- | active regions. | | Hugging an active volcano never was a good idea in | history and it still isn't. | Taniwha wrote: | There's a similar image that's essentially "what if it were Mt St | Helens?" .... it covers WA and OR | entropie wrote: | My indoor pressure sensors registered both eruptions (?). Iam | from germany. | dylan604 wrote: | This looks like a tedious process that I would have totally done | on my own had I thought of it. By that I mean the painstaking | process of matting out each frame, then randomly placing it on | places of the map, just because I could, just for the lulz. I'm | not discounting it as "i could have thought of that", but | appreciation for how useful it actually is. | | Some people cannot grasp certain things without visuals, and this | visual is one of those that definintely makes things clearer. | NikolaNovak wrote: | FWIW: | | * I think visuals are great for illumination overall, some | people not withstanding :) | | * I think they also used semi-transparent shadow | lelandbatey wrote: | Yes, they did use transparent shadows. You can tell because | the images are not GIF's, they're actually a sequence of PNG | images overlayed atop other PNG images. There's the base | satellite image of the area, then the frames-of-explosion- | with-transparency overlayed atop them. You can confirm this | by right clicking on the image and choosing "open image in | new tab", which will (usually) open this final frame in a new | tab. | | [0] - https://graphics.reuters.com/TONGA- | VOLCANO/lgpdwjyqbvo/cdn/i... | bt1a wrote: | I tried to save one of the "gifs" to share with a friend | and was quite upset that I found myself with a png. | Interesting technique. Do you think this was done to have | better quality animated images? GIF compression isn't | amazing (relative to WebM at least) | capitainenemo wrote: | I mean, they could have used APNG at this point. | https://caniuse.com/apng | | Doesn't compress stuff like that super well but no worse | than a sequence of PNGs. | | I feel if you're gonna use JS animation anyway, you could | just use 2 jpegs, one for masking and a canvas. | | Hm. Webp is doing darn well these days too. | https://caniuse.com/webp | | Avif isn't an option yet. | jameshart wrote: | Very gratified they didn't just post these as rendered | gifs. | | Imagine the social media scare you could generate in a | year or so after everyone has forgotten about this | eruption by sharing a graphics.reuters.com URL for one of | these animations that appears to show a satellite image | sequence of a massive mushroom cloud obliterating the | Korean Peninsula or the Sinai with a breathless 'LOOK | WHAT REUTERS JUST REPORTED!!!' caption. | | It's really important for reputable sources posting | images to think about the fake news potential of them | getting shared out of context. | dylan604 wrote: | Probably more along the line of they have some library | that uses PNG sequences. Maybe even as simple as a | slideshow with short durations. It's a newsy site. They | don't have a lot of control over what their | CMS/publishing platform can do. Someone probably had a | clever idea on how to use something existing in a way not | envisioned when created. | kaybe wrote: | How about this tool? | | https://evergiven-everywhere.glitch.me/ | | Granted, it's the Evergiven, but how hard would it be to | exchange the image? | goesup12 wrote: | You can choose the 2022 Tonga eruption example on the tool. | https://www.leventhalmap.org/projects/insizeor/ | kaybe wrote: | Oh, nice! Moving around gives a really good feeling for map | projection too. | dylan604 wrote: | I like they handle the relational scaling for you as you | zoom in/out. I was disappointed at not seeing an option | for scaling, but nodded appreciation with "it just works" | aspect | dylan604 wrote: | Sure, that's fun. That has been taken much further than I | would have bothered by just placing a cutout on maps and | saving those images. Somebody had an idea, and just didn't | stop, and took it to that level. My modern day level of | "cleverness" would have stopped well before thinking, "ooh, | integrate into a live website". That is clever and allows | others to share in the fun. | kingsloi wrote: | Yeah I agree! I knew the eruption was big (being able to | clearly see it from space), but those visuals 1) make me | remember how big the Pacific is, 2) how much bigger the | eruption was than I originally thought, when overlaid on | somewhere I know the relative size of (such as Florida). | dylan604 wrote: | Yeah, seeing things above the ocean like that removes human | relatable scale. Putting it over land masses that humans can | relate changes everything. | | Now, imagine the struggle with searching for a lost airplane | in those same waters. Approaches impossible | fortran77 wrote: | I'd like to see what it would have looked like on Mars. | lambda_dn wrote: | Wondering if any ships were destroyed by the eruption the scale | makes me think there had to be? | | Could Volcano eruptions be Earth's way of stabilizing climate | change? i.e. sea water gets warmer and is no longer keeping the | eruptions from occurring. Then the eruptions causes a drop in | temperature due to the ash in the atmosphere? | crakenzak wrote: | > Then the eruptions causes a drop in temperature due to the | ash in the atmosphere? | | Interesting, this prompted me to read[1] into how it works and | made me interested in why we don't pump sulfur dioxide into the | atmosphere to help cool down the planet and buy us more time to | transition off of CO2/CH4 emitting processes? Is it cost | prohibitive? We already cloud seed pretty often so there's | infrastructure in place for a large scale operation? | | [1] https://scied.ucar.edu/learning-zone/how-climate- | works/how-v... | codesnik wrote: | acid rains are no joke either. | iSnow wrote: | "But there are at least 27 reasons why stratospheric | geoengineering may be a bad idea. These include disruption of | the Asian and African summer monsoons, reducing precipitation | to the food supply for billions of people; ozone depletion; | no more blue skies; reduction of solar power; and rapid | global warming if it stops, with devastating impacts on | natural ecosystems. " | | https://cires.colorado.edu/events/stratospheric-sulfur- | geoen... | foobiekr wrote: | Because ocean acidification is also a problem and we wouldn't | actually follow through and reduce emissions with the | borrowed time. | busyant wrote: | This is an excellent lesson in how shitty my sense of geographic | scale is. | | I would have guessed that the size of the eruption was on par | with the size of a small city. | vanattab wrote: | I mean your not wrong, the article is illustrating the mushroom | cloud and ash cloud after 24 hours. So the explosive eruption | its self is much smaller. | robotresearcher wrote: | "Around the time of the initial eruption, a cloud measuring | 38 km (24 miles) wide is thrust into the atmosphere. Its | diameter already measures almost twice the length of | Manhattan, New York. One hour later, it appears to measure | around 650 km wide, including shock waves around its edge." | | One hour. | | Sanity check: it's never dark in the animations, which it | would be if the images were taken over 24 hours. In other | views you can see the night approaching. | ChrisClark wrote: | After 1 hour actually, not 24 hours. But it is really mostly | a huge ash cloud, not the explosion itself. | divbzero wrote: | The Pacific Ocean is ginormous (I think that's the technical | term?) I often find myself surprised when I spin a globe | (physical or virtual) and compare the expanse of the ocean to | my neighborhood of the planet. The scale also makes the history | of Polynesian seafaring all that more incredible. | taneq wrote: | Some experts prefer 'humongous'. ;) | distribot wrote: | Yes, they had incredible techniques. They could detect a | remote island by the way the swell is disrupted. Also | recently read about Magellan's voyage and it is remarkable | that they made it. | thaumasiotes wrote: | > Also recently read about Magellan's voyage and it is | remarkable that they made it. | | Well, they didn't. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferdinand_Magellan#Voyage | | > Of the 270 men who left with the expedition, only 18 or | 19 survivors returned. | | A 93% mortality rate really isn't a success by any metric. | Losing 80% of your ships is nothing to be proud of either. | obmelvin wrote: | I don't see the point of your snark. What they did was | quite hard for the time. What point are you trying to | make? | aaron695 wrote: | [deleted] | maxdo wrote: | will the area of eruption eventually become an island? | pas wrote: | it was a caldera explosion (hot magma + water = steam) | | the island is basically gone: | https://twitter.com/defis_eu/status/1483020866258714625? | herpderperator wrote: | Did the the ocean influence the ease of expansion of the | explosion? Or hinder it? We are comparing an underwater explosion | to one on land, and I'm wondering if it's directly comparable. | mytailorisrich wrote: | From what I've read it seems that the ocean exacerbated the | explosion: the hot magma caused water to vaporize and created a | steam explosion. I've read about a 70x volume expansion and | that the top altitude of the plume was steam. | | On the other hand, the ocean might have captured some of the | ash (?) | wrycoder wrote: | This reminds me of Jules Verne's Mysterious Island, which was | the first adult book I ever read. It featured a catastrophic | underwater volcanic explosion. Great book, it's a Robinson | Crusoe-style sequel to Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea. | | Interestingly, Verne wrote the book nine years before the | Krakatoa explosion. He must have been thinking of Tambora, | though I'm not sure that eruption was well recognized at the | time. | neom wrote: | I wonder if all that steam condensing would also help contain | the ash. If it was that much steam I guess as it cooled it | "rained"? | dredmorbius wrote: | I ran a quick bit of napkin maths a few days back here on HN. | | Based on 6 MT energy release, a maximum of 11 million tonnes | (or 11 million m^3) of water could have been vapourised. | | Liquid-to-gas expansion is on the order of _1,000 times_ , | not 70x. This would be 11 km^3 of expansion. | | If the erruption yield was higher, and I've seen values of up | to 50 MT suggested, the amounts would be roughly 9x greater: | 100 million tonnes and 100 km^3 of steam. | | All of this is _very_ rough and is strictly based on the | quantity of energy and the heat of vapourisation of water. | Actual quantity of water /steam is likely lower. There's no | geology involved in the estimate, just physics. | | See: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30019044 | CoastalCoder wrote: | I'm curious if this would cause a noticeable change in the pH | of those waters, and if that could be a good basis for | estimating how much ash was captured. | zo1 wrote: | I wonder how many _tonnes_ of fish got destroyed, cooked, | or otherwise thrown many kilometers into the air. | OneLeggedCat wrote: | I was thinking that too about whales and birds. Some | species are found only on/around an island or two, like | many of the Galapagos species. | GekkePrutser wrote: | At least for once humans were not to blame :) | datavirtue wrote: | That sounds delicious | Retric wrote: | It should have also significantly reduced the temperature of | the resulting ash cloud which reduced the quantity of | particulate matter in the upper atmosphere. Which presumably | reduces how much short term global cooling you get from the | eruption. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2022-01-24 23:00 UTC)