[HN Gopher] Turning back time with epigenetic clocks
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Turning back time with epigenetic clocks
        
       Author : Brajeshwar
       Score  : 134 points
       Date   : 2022-01-29 14:32 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | Metacelsus wrote:
       | Stem cell biologist here. Note that different cell types have
       | different epigenetics. Most of these studies are looking at white
       | blood cells. Effects on these cells may be different from
       | elsewhere (brain, muscle, etc.)
        
         | kkoncevicius wrote:
         | The epigenetic clock by one of the people quoted in the article
         | - S. Horvath, is notable for working across different tissues,
         | with a few exceptions like germ cells.
        
       | axg11 wrote:
       | I used to work in genomics. I think the quest to have a universal
       | epigenetic measure of ageing will end up in a dead end.
       | 
       | Ageing is relative to a starting point and the variability
       | between people in terms of phenotype is huge.
       | 
       | By way of analogy, would it be possible to come up with a
       | universal measure of ageing for cars? Cars are a complex system
       | made of thousands of components, each of which can age
       | differently over time. Each car make and model will age in a
       | different way. Some of the components even slightly improve in
       | performance over time as they "break in".
       | 
       | The best way to measure epigenetic ageing is relative to a
       | starting point. There are few studies that follow the same people
       | over time (longitudinal) because it's difficult and expensive to
       | pull off. We'll eventually get there though.
        
         | jonmc12 wrote:
         | Any thoughts on the organ-based biological age score that Bryan
         | Johnson presents? More equivalent to monitoring all the
         | components of the car.
         | 
         | I think these biological age scores are a really healthy way to
         | debate and create broader awareness about a) how our bodies
         | work and b) how we understand aging.
         | 
         | https://blueprint.bryanjohnson.co/
        
           | axg11 wrote:
           | Organ-specific is the most promising in my opinion. It's also
           | more likely to be actionable. Different organs will "peak" at
           | different ages.
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Sounds like a task for data science.
        
         | kkoncevicius wrote:
         | Counterpoints:
         | 
         | - The accuracy of current epigenetic clocks suggests it might
         | not be a dead-end with average error of 2-3 years, across
         | multiple tissues (and even Chimpanzees).
         | 
         | - The variability of an aging phenotype is not that high. We
         | all loose bone density, loose teeth, hair turns white, memory
         | degrades, wrinkles appear, etc. In other words - aging follows
         | a pattern.
         | 
         | - The car analogy assumes that aging is caused by damage over
         | time. But there is an alternative explanation: aging provides
         | and evolutionary advantage for a species and hence is
         | predetermined.
        
           | ikrenji wrote:
           | aging mostly happens after an organism reproduces, so there
           | is no evolutionary pressure to maintain fitness. there is no
           | pressure to develop maintenance mechanisms...
        
             | SuoDuanDao wrote:
             | There would be plenty of pressure to keep reproducing
             | indefinitely, just that then there might be too much
             | competition between ancestors and descendants for the same
             | resources.
        
           | echelon wrote:
           | > The variability of an aging phenotype is not that high. We
           | all loose bone density, loose teeth, hair turns white, memory
           | degrades, wrinkles appear, etc.
           | 
           | People age at different rates depending on a wide variety of
           | factors.
           | 
           | Progeria, over consumption of alcohol, too much stress, too
           | much radiation from sunlight, etc.
           | 
           | The things you point to are measures of a biological age, not
           | a wall clock age. While they do correlate, they're not 1:1.
           | Some people age faster.
           | 
           | > But there is an alternative explanation: aging provides and
           | evolutionary advantage for a species and hence is
           | predetermined.
           | 
           | I don't buy this. We don't have a pre-programmed death. It's
           | rather that we haven't had any genetic pressure to live
           | beyond our current lifespan as it doesn't increase our
           | offspring's chances of success.
           | 
           | There's little pressure from competing with children for
           | resources. Look at how many people there are in the world
           | today - the world supports billions of humans. There are far
           | greater pressures being exerted in other ways.
        
             | ridgeguy wrote:
             | From an evolutionary perspective, I think we can at least
             | say that absence of death doesn't confer a selective
             | advantage, else it would have appeared and radiated in
             | several billion years of biological evolution.
             | 
             | It might even be that death provides selective
             | advantage(s), which would account for its being a nearly
             | universal feature of known life. A "pre-programmed death"
             | mechanism would be consistent with this.
        
             | kkoncevicius wrote:
             | I think we do have a pre-programmed death. Almost all
             | creatures die when they get older so in order to look for
             | evolutionary pressures we have to look across a long time
             | period and far back. For one - if organisms wouldn't die
             | evolution would not happen. Or at least the non-dying ones
             | would stay behind and be left living in environments they
             | are no longer suited for. For ancient creatures food and
             | resources might have been scarce and so it was advantageous
             | for non-evolving old members to die-off sooner.
             | 
             | Also, whatever we think about these epigenetic clocks,
             | there are few things to come to terms with: 1) they work
             | across pretty much all individuals (and people with
             | progeria do exhibit older epigenetic age [1]) 2) they work
             | across pretty much all tissues. I don't see how this could
             | be explained through "damage over time". The way I see it
             | damage should be random and not lead to something so
             | predictable that we could use it to guess a persons
             | chronological age with 2.5 year accuracy.
             | 
             | [1]: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30048243/
        
               | ddingus wrote:
               | I do too.
               | 
               | Look at the tortoise. We know some that have lived two
               | centuries. They have their niche, do what they do, and
               | live a very long time.
               | 
               | During their evolutionary journey to their current local
               | maxima, I wonder whether they lived shorter lives?
        
         | kgin wrote:
         | What are your views on the trial that reversed epigenetic age
         | in optic nerves, allowing them to regenerate?
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2975-4
        
           | axg11 wrote:
           | I think epigenetic age _does_ make sense for very specific
           | systems. For example, just focused on the optic nerve. Good
           | luck getting an optic nerve sample in a live human though!
        
         | cblconfederate wrote:
         | The reason for pursuing clocks is to use them to assess the
         | efficacy of longevity interventions. Currently, with an error
         | bar ~3 years they are not bad at all, and can be used to assess
         | aging relative to a starting point, as you suggest.
        
         | ericmcer wrote:
         | A thirteen year old having low bone density, heart problems and
         | degenerating joints would be strange, but for someone > 70 it's
         | almost expected. The car example is dumb because cars don't
         | have a built in mechanism for regeneration that is failing. Our
         | bodies mechanisms for self-regeneration weaken and then we see
         | all the symptoms of aging.
        
           | elromulous wrote:
           | You made good points, but maybe you could have done so
           | without calling the parent's analogy "dumb"?
        
       | monkeycantype wrote:
       | I believe we have a genetically determined lifespan. There is a
       | reason lifespan has been optimised to this duration. As we age we
       | accumulate viruses, mutations. The tissues that were positioned
       | and differentiated during development accumulate damage. From the
       | perspective of the species the only feasible way to get back to a
       | healthy state isn't to eradicate the viruses and repair the
       | tissues, its to jettison the withered husk and repeat the
       | development process with a fresh new body. I we 'reset the clock'
       | we're not removing the damage, the mutations, we're just
       | overclocking the body. If overclocking can get me another 20%,
       | I'll take it. Hell 3%, we'll take it. But what I want I really
       | want is the full factory refurb, with a little extra ram please.
        
         | pishpash wrote:
         | Many species can regenerate, especially plants.
        
       | f38zf5vdt wrote:
       | > In 2019, a small study raised the tantalizing prospect that
       | ageing could be reversed. Scientists in California gave 9 men
       | aged 51 to 65 a growth hormone and two diabetes medications for a
       | year. The drugs seemed to rejuvenate the men's thymus glands and
       | immune function. They also shaved 2.5 years off the men's
       | biological age, as measured by one of the most talked-about
       | technologies in ageing research: epigenetic clocks.
       | 
       | It's also worth nothing that another study shaved "3.2 years" off
       | the "epigenetic clock" simply with lifestyle changes over 2
       | months. [1]
       | 
       | [1] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8064200/
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | Doesn't fasting and possibly IF radically raise hgh?
        
       | habitmelon wrote:
       | All these measures of biological age might be useful, but the
       | real test is just waiting and seeing how long people end up
       | living.
        
         | robbedpeter wrote:
         | Specifically, watch Bill Gates, Bezos, Branson, Thiel, and
         | Musk. They're first in line with all the influence and
         | resources needed, so if current life extension efforts pan out,
         | we should see it happen.
         | 
         | If it happens soon, the Putin situation could get weird.
        
           | tagoregrtst wrote:
           | How so? Are you implying that the only way out of the current
           | West-East impasse is through the death of its leaders?
           | 
           | This is not how it panned out in Cuba, China, North Korea,
           | Venezuela, etc.
        
             | robbedpeter wrote:
             | No - Putin is currently dictator for life. A more or less
             | immortal dictator would be an entirely novel, and truly
             | weird, situation on the world stage.
        
               | tagoregrtst wrote:
               | Is Putin popular with Russians? It seems like an
               | important consideration.
        
               | mythrwy wrote:
               | There would be a lot to stay current on to stay in power.
               | 
               | How much information can a brain hold assuming it lives
               | forever? Does it run out of space at one point?
        
               | robbedpeter wrote:
               | It wouldn't be a limitation for centuries, or possibly
               | millenia. The brain very efficiently packs information,
               | and integrates with external storage. We'll be able to
               | digitally augment brains directly long before temporal
               | memory capacity becomes a problem.
        
               | tasty_freeze wrote:
               | Much of the information we collect has a half life, or
               | situations change and that information, while still
               | valid, is not applicable to the issues we are facing
               | currently. The vast majority of things we learn end up
               | getting discarded at some point.
               | 
               | Think of the most recent book you read. How many of the
               | details actually stuck with you at the moment you closed
               | it. Now think of a book you read 10 years ago. How much
               | of that do you remember?
               | 
               | I took years of mathematics and was able to do well on
               | tests, but 40 years later I only recall the "shape" of
               | PDE solutions and couldn't actually solve anything
               | anymore. Instead my brain is stuffed full of arcane
               | knowledge I need to do my job, and if I don't use it
               | within a year, I probably need to learn it all over
               | again.
        
               | robbedpeter wrote:
               | This is a valid question for different reasons, too. I
               | have a problem with the speech and behavior of immortal
               | characters in books - why would a 300 year old powerful
               | vampire behave like an immature emo teenager?
               | 
               | There's a reason we associate wisdom with age. The more
               | times anyone of reasonable intelligence makes mistakes,
               | the more opportunities they have to learn, and their
               | behavior changes according to the degree to which they
               | take on the lessons of life.
               | 
               | One big danger of immortal dictators is the simple fact
               | that they'll stop learning. Through wealth and power they
               | shield themselves from the consequences of mistakes,
               | getting themselves and their people stuck in a local
               | minima.
               | 
               | Imagine immortal Mitch McConnell, ever increasingly
               | wealthy through passive income, maintaining power and
               | privilege for his constituents and thus his hold on a
               | senate seat.
               | 
               | If life extension pans out, liberal societies will have
               | to impose term limits in a serious and well considered
               | way. Humans aren't ready for the existing pace of
               | technological development, and we're going to encounter
               | an exponentially increasing number of problems, like the
               | politics of immortality. The best thing we could do would
               | be to maximize freedom of expression and minimize the
               | duration of social institutions to achieve sufficient
               | maneuverability to adapt to modern life.
        
         | TeeMassive wrote:
         | I think a better question would be not how _long_ but how
         | _well_ people live their end of life. Most people would trade
         | living up to 90 fully aware and mostly active instead of up to
         | 100 in misery and dementia.
        
       | black_13 wrote:
        
       | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
       | I really wish they had a group that had the DHEA and metformin
       | without growth hormone. I can get those easily and cheaply on the
       | internet. I'd like to see how much of the effect they saw was
       | just those two.
        
         | jml78 wrote:
         | One of the issues with metformin is how many times it has
         | gotten recall for cancer causing contamination. Buying on the
         | internet, you are never going to get notified
        
         | DeWilde wrote:
         | Metformin is not ideal for some if not most men. It wipes out
         | testosterone levels.
         | 
         | After a few weeks of taking it my T levels were below average
         | and free-T levels were that of 100 year old men. This was a
         | huge drop from the above average levels, for men in 20s, that I
         | usually have.
        
           | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
           | I've had the same experience. Feel like shit every time I get
           | hopped up on the latest paper and try it again. I don't want
           | to live forever with T levels of an old man. I thought maybe
           | I was the only one feeling this way, although I had seen the
           | papers about it lowering testosterone.
        
             | DeWilde wrote:
             | [0] might be relevant to you, seen other papers that I
             | found when I discovered this issue. From what I gathered
             | the reason for this is that metformin reduces blood
             | cholesterol levels which are important for testosterone
             | production.
             | 
             | [0]: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11707532/
        
       | cantrevealname wrote:
       | > _Scientists in California gave 9 men aged 51 to 65 a growth
       | hormone and two diabetes medications for a year. The drugs seemed
       | to rejuvenate the men's thymus glands and immune function. They
       | also shaved 2.5 years off the men's biological age_
       | 
       | The study itself says:
       | 
       |  _During the first week of the trial, rhGH alone (0.015 mg /kg)
       | was administered to obtain an initial insulin response, and
       | during the second week, rhGH was combined with 50 mg DHEA to
       | evaluate insulin suppression by DHEA alone. During the third
       | week, the same doses of rhGH and DHEA were combined with 500 mg
       | metformin. Beginning at the fourth week, all doses were
       | individualized based on each volunteer's particular
       | responses._[1]
       | 
       | So the meds in question are:
       | 
       | - recombinant human growth hormone (rhGH) [2]
       | 
       | - dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) [3]
       | 
       | - metformin [4]
       | 
       | If you wanted to have this treatment for yourself, how could you
       | proceed? I assume that it would be just about impossible to
       | convince your family doctor to prescribe this drug regimen for
       | you? If you were to do-it-yourself, what would be the best way?
       | It seems that metformin is widely available but I don't know
       | about the availability and cost of rhGH and DHEA.
       | 
       | [1] https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/acel.13028
       | 
       | [2]
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Growth_hormone_therapy#Recombi...
       | 
       | [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dehydroepiandrosterone
       | 
       | [4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metformin
        
         | bleachedsleet wrote:
         | AgelessRX will prescribe metformin [1], DHEA is legally OTC in
         | the US, and any kind of HGH is probably readily available at
         | your local gym (also a number of hormone doctors online will
         | prescribe it easily)
         | 
         | [1] https://www.agelessrx.com/metformin
        
         | aaaaaaaaaaab wrote:
         | >I don't know about the availability and cost of rhGH and DHEA.
         | 
         | DHEA: available over-the-counter in the US
         | 
         | rhGH: go to your local gym and ask the biggest guy
        
         | hourislate wrote:
         | For a more thorough dive into this topic, Dr Brad Stanfield on
         | Youtube. I haven't found anyone better in breaking down the
         | latest scientific studies on Longevity.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/c/DrBradStanfield
         | 
         | There is evidence that Metformin doesn't extend the life of
         | healthy people but does extend the life of Type II diabetics.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iByaqfmWfHQ
         | 
         | I would also caution HGH for men since it can enlarge the
         | prostate gland.
         | 
         | David Sinclair had mentioned in a podcast that we use to be
         | cold and hungry and now we're warm and fat all the time. Need
         | to be cold and hungry more often.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwD5YYkbYmN2iFHON9FyDXg
         | 
         | Peter Attia has said that the number one thing he believes will
         | extend healthspan/lifespan (if you did nothing else) is
         | exercise. He wish he could prescribe as a medication.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/c/PeterAttiaMD
        
           | XzetaU8 wrote:
           | Michael Lustgarten Ph.D is another good source for biohacking
           | and longevity matters. he takes a diifferent approach though
           | since he's trying to reverse his epigenetic age specifically
           | through diet.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT1UMLpZ_CrQ_8I431K0b-g
           | 
           | [2] https://twitter.com/mike_lustgarten
        
           | telxosser wrote:
           | The most interesting thing I have heard from Sinclair is the
           | studies on mice that eating once a day was what extended
           | lifespan the most. Everything else was not that important
           | diet wise.
           | 
           | It sounds like to me the method is eat once a day and get in
           | the best physical condition possible from working out. Beyond
           | that, I am just not going to stress about it. Surely, not
           | going to take any reverse risk with HGH or experimental
           | drugs.
        
           | wtetzner wrote:
           | So, exercise, fasting, and being cold?
        
         | AuryGlenz wrote:
         | There are peptides you can buy online that make you overproduce
         | HGH, though it's hard to say if the effects would be the same.
         | You can also easily buy metformin from Indian pharmacies.
        
         | staticassertion wrote:
         | First and foremost I would suggest doing research. A recent
         | study showed that in healthy individuals Metformin had no
         | impact on all-cause mortality and there are potential side
         | effects.
         | 
         | Of course, doing research is hard. Because it isn't really
         | research in the sense of running a legitimate study, it's
         | research in the sense of studying the work of others as an
         | outsider.
         | 
         | Personally, I like Dr Brad Stanfield.
         | https://www.youtube.com/c/DrBradStanfield
         | 
         | He's not afraid to reverse positions, he's articulate, he calls
         | out when research is or is not compelling and explains why.
         | 
         | Again, personally, I expect the number one thing you can do to
         | improve your healthspan is probably focus on what you can stop
         | putting in your body vs what things you can add. If you're 40+
         | though, might be worth looking at other options.
        
           | sometimeshuman wrote:
           | Berberine is commonly promoted as a vitamin alternative to
           | Metformin. Even if Berberine also has no impact on all-cause
           | mortality (idk), I can anecdotally share that 500mg 30minutes
           | before lunch considerably lessens my post lunch fatigue.
           | 
           | As for human growth hormone, this Huberman Labs podcast
           | advises against taking it but also offers many natural ways
           | you can boost it[0].
           | 
           | [0]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x7qbJeRxWGw
        
         | _0ffh wrote:
         | Funny to see metformin popping up again, it's already a staple
         | in the anti-aging movement.
        
       | ineedasername wrote:
       | _> unblinded study with no placebo control arm. "If you have nine
       | people," says Horvath, "and you get a statistically significant
       | result, it means there's a strong effect."_
       | 
       | Wow, no. Just... No. It doesn't.
       | 
       | That is so wrong that, from a researcher with a doctorate in
       | biostatistics, it's very difficult not to infer deliberate
       | misinformation on their part. To give some benefit of the doubt
       | though, maybe it was just a very poor choice of words.
       | 
       | Statistical significance with 9 samples is suggestive at best. It
       | just barely qualifies as a pilot study.
       | 
       | They even say that significance means there's a large effect,
       | which again... No.
       | 
       | Significance in small sample indicates practically nothing by
       | itself. What was the _actual_ effect size? Though even at 0.8,
       | with 9 samples I would be be very cautious in my optimistic.
        
         | SamoyedFurFluff wrote:
         | I wonder if, read charitably, the intent is to say with a
         | strong enough effect a small statistic size doesn't necessarily
         | mean useless. For example, if I removed the hearts from 9
         | living people and they all died, I can conclude people need
         | their hearts to live.
        
           | ineedasername wrote:
           | Yes, I try to allow some benefit of the doubt in my comment,
           | but from a doctorate is statistics it's a bit harder to
           | excuse.
           | 
           | He doesn't have to make an argument from logical implication,
           | there are perfectly good measures of effect size he could use
           | that would allow him to say something like "not only was this
           | statistically significant but it demonstrated a large effect
           | size as well."
           | 
           | My hope is he said something like _" We not only saw a P
           | value of < 0.04 but a Cohen's D of 0.7."_ and then the
           | reporter was like, "yeah I'm gonna need you to dumb that down
           | for our readers"
        
         | naasking wrote:
         | > That is so wrong that, from a researcher with a doctorate in
         | biostatistics, it's very difficult not to infer deliberate
         | misinformation on their part.
         | 
         | We don't really know the context for that statement. The
         | journalist could have easily misunderstood something and used
         | quoted him in a totally wrong context.
        
           | ineedasername wrote:
           | I can give him a little benefit of the doubt, but if he said
           | those specific words and it wasn't a misquote then it was an
           | extremely poor choice of words. Those words, in that order,
           | are so fundamentally wrong that I cannot imagine them being
           | correct even in additional surrounding context unless the
           | next few words that were cutoff were _"...as measured by
           | [insert preferred methodology for effect size] "_ that would
           | still be poor phrasing, implying that significance led to
           | effect size.
        
       | czbond wrote:
       | Also, a drug free option is intermittent water fasting for 6
       | consecutive days a month. [Disclaimer: do your own research,
       | consult a doctor, blah blah]
        
         | cruelty2 wrote:
        
         | peteradio wrote:
         | 2 days per week I do a coffee and beer only fast. I can
         | guarantee no toxins survive the resulting torrent. I like to
         | know I'm starting the week with a totally blank slate.
        
         | NavinF wrote:
         | 6 days a month!? Even if an RCT comes out proving this works,
         | I'd prefer to die a little sooner rather than do that my whole
         | life lol
         | 
         | The way I see it, you're burning something like (6/30)/2 = 10%
         | of your quality-adjusted life years. Fasting had better
         | increase lifespan by 7-8 years to be even close to worth it
        
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