[HN Gopher] System - A resource that aims to explain how everyth...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       System - A resource that aims to explain how everything in the
       world is related
        
       Author : daniellenewnham
       Score  : 106 points
       Date   : 2022-03-14 10:23 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.system.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.system.com)
        
       | andrewstuart wrote:
       | Great idea. Visionary idea, could be really significant I love
       | it.
       | 
       | How did you get the domain and how much did you pay?
        
         | sideproject wrote:
         | I was going to say.. what a great domain name you got there...
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | Thank you so much! We really appreciate it.
         | 
         | We obtained the domain from a company that was using it for a
         | very different purpose. They appreciated our mission and we
         | arrived at a reasonable price. And we're grateful to them.
        
       | dmje wrote:
       | Isn't this wikidata? [1]
       | 
       | https://m.wikidata.org/wiki/Wikidata:Main_Page
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | No, Wikidata is an open database of semantic definitions and
         | relationships. System is a public resource that aims to explain
         | how anything in the world is related to everything else based
         | on statistical evidence. Semantic vs statistical is the
         | difference.
         | 
         | System is possible today because of Wikidata and the
         | advancement of open knowledge: All definitions on System are
         | sourced from Wikidata. System will contribute back to the open
         | knowledge commons with a new, free, open, and living knowledge
         | base of statistically-based relationships between things in the
         | world.
        
           | tux3 wrote:
           | >System is a public resource that aims to explain how
           | anything in the world is related to everything else based on
           | statistical evidence
           | 
           | People have made a game out of finding spurious correlations
           | that are both impressive and funny.
           | 
           | For now the site seems to have a focus on Medicine. That's
           | great because we spend a whole lot of money running RCTs and
           | collecting trial data. But the stakes are also very high.
           | 
           | How do you make sure that System doesn't accidentally become
           | a public resource that explains how anything is (spuriously)
           | related to everything else by confounders and unfortunate
           | correlations?
        
             | adam_bly wrote:
             | And we're big fans of those often hilarious spurious
             | correlations!
             | 
             | But System filters them out (methodologies here:
             | https://docs.system.com/system/using-system/investigating-
             | re... and here: https://docs.system.com/system/how-system-
             | works/relationship...).
             | 
             | Relationships on System are gathered, stored, and presented
             | with a variety of contextualizing fields designed to help
             | System and users evaluate and weigh the evidence. These
             | include Strength, Sign, Direction, Population, Controls,
             | and Reproducibility.
             | 
             | ICYI we discuss and review these methodologies on our slack
             | community (link on system.com).
        
       | MaggieL wrote:
       | Drivel. Intro is global warming alarmism.
        
         | Aachen wrote:
         | I don't know what drivel means, but I also thought that claim
         | was a bit out of place when I saw it in the video (the only
         | thing I can see on mobile...). Sure, yeah, we have droughts and
         | climate change on our hands, but what does that tell me about
         | your product? Instead of using scammer tactics of instilling
         | fear and urgency with a looming problem that only they can fix,
         | just tell me what the product is. I had to scroll quite far
         | down in the comments to find it (specifically this comment:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30689872) because the
         | video is just too abstract.
         | 
         | Edit: looked up drivel, learned a new word today. Not quite how
         | I'd describe this product though...
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | Thanks very much for the feedback.
           | 
           | Hopefully the welcome screen (post video) more clearly
           | spelled out the product purpose. You can also read our full
           | product guide here ICYI ("Using System"):
           | https://docs.system.com/system/
           | 
           | As a Public Benefit Corporation, the societal context we
           | explore in the video is the purpose behind System. ICYI, you
           | can read our purpose here
           | (https://about.system.com/company/our-purpose), our legal
           | charter here (https://about.system.com/company/our-charter),
           | and our launch announcement here
           | (https://about.system.com/blog/announcing-the-public-beta-
           | of-...).
        
       | daniellenewnham wrote:
       | System is a free, open, and living public resource that aims to
       | explain how anything in the world is related to everything else.
        
         | WalterGR wrote:
         | Nice domain name.
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | Thank you
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | Thanks for sharing our beta Danielle! We appreciate it. I'm the
         | founder of System.
        
       | toss1 wrote:
       | Interesting concept, potential to scale like Wikipedia
       | 
       | They'll definitely need to attend to the same problems of
       | preventing poisoning of the well by partisans, hacks, cranks, and
       | general malcontents.
       | 
       | Looking forward to it!
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | Thanks very much. We hope System will be complementary to
         | Wikipedia. They share a core open ontology that will allow for
         | possible future interoperability.
         | 
         | That is very much the risk and one we have taken on as part of
         | our tech and culture from day one. Today, System considers
         | parameters like evidence reproducibility, significance, and
         | statistical strength. But there is a lot more to do here. As a
         | Public Benefit Corporation, we've codified it in our charter
         | that we must consider and share the potential unintended
         | consequences of each major release. And we'll be publishing our
         | first such report shortly.
        
       | _justinfunk wrote:
       | I don't understand this. Surely there are lots of things that are
       | connected in ways that aren't mapped here:
       | 
       | COVID-19 and Vaccination, Real Estate Price and Housing,
       | Socioeconomic Status and Happiness are all nodes that are not
       | connected in the graph - but are obviously connected in the real
       | world.
       | 
       | Is this a WIP until everything is connected to everything else?
        
         | teawrecks wrote:
         | I wouldn't say a direct connection between those things is
         | "obvious". Seems like you could just as easily argue that they
         | are "obviously" indirectly related (ex. COVID-19 would effect
         | social distancing, which would effect population density, which
         | would effect real estate and housing).
         | 
         | But I agreed that the "nodes" I just made up are arbitrary, and
         | that you could make an argument that everything effects
         | everything else in some way. So it's not clear to me what gets
         | to be a node and what constitutes an edge.
         | 
         | A noble effort, I'm all for exploring it, but it seems like pie
         | in the sky.
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | Our technical documentation details what constitutes a node
           | and edge ICYI: https://docs.system.com/system/
           | 
           | In brief, System is designed to maximize precision in how
           | evidence is captured and represented, while also ensuring
           | that information about the same or similar things is grouped
           | together. This is key to building and representing one
           | system. This translates into three types of nodes of
           | increasing specificity: Topics, Metrics, and Features. More
           | here: https://docs.system.com/system/using-system/topics-
           | metrics-a....
           | 
           | Edges are statistical relationships backed by statistical
           | evidence that meets certain criteria for significance,
           | strength, and reproducibility. More here:
           | https://docs.system.com/system/using-system/investigating-
           | re....
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Why not mine the data from Wikipedia?
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | There is great work out there that mines Wikipedia for
           | semantic relationship (co-occurrence of topics for example,
           | parent-child relationships, etc.). But that methodology would
           | not provide the statistical evidence that is the building
           | block of System. Relationships on System are statistical in
           | nature. A predicts B, C is caused by D, E and F are highly
           | correlated, G and H change together, etc. By organizing these
           | (billions and billions of) statistical relationships, anyone
           | will be able see anything that's important to them as the
           | system it truly is, rather than the silo we often see today.
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | Search results are not necessarily comprehensive -- but they
         | will be. System is in the early stages of its development as a
         | public resource and you should expect that knowledge will be
         | missing (just like the early days of Wikipedia and Google). The
         | knowledge base will also be constantly growing and improving
         | and evolving as knowledge does. ICYI, you can join our slack
         | community to discuss this work further (the link is on
         | system.com).
        
       | TruffleLabs wrote:
       | Seeking the ever elusive Oracle to help us make sense...
       | 
       | And when we have the Oracle, we can still choose to ignore what
       | it tells us...
       | 
       | I believe Freebase was trying to meet similar goals (
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freebase_(database) )
       | 
       | And Wolfram Alpha has similar features/functions to provide a
       | look into data & its connections ( https://www.wolframalpha.com/
       | )
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | That choice will hopefully always be true in a free society.
         | 
         | I founded System because the biggest challenges we face in the
         | world -- from COVID to climate change -- are systemic, yet our
         | data and knowledge are organized into silos. I believe this
         | fundamental incongruity makes it impossible to think, plan, and
         | act systemically. As a result, we are stifled in our ability to
         | reliably predict outcomes, make decisions, mitigate risks, and
         | improve the state of the world for everyone.
         | 
         | System is a shared tool for systems thinking -- and, we hope, a
         | springboard for collective action.
         | 
         | We have great respect for freebase (see comment below on
         | metaweb) and WA. System offers a different lens on data and
         | knowledge rooted in the statistical associations between things
         | in the world.
        
       | heavyarms wrote:
       | First of all, I'd like to say that this looks like a great
       | project and I wish you the best of luck. I've done a bit of work
       | on building knowledge graphs from semi-structured data and I know
       | that every aspect of it is challenging. Obviously there's the
       | data pipelines, ETL, semantic matching/categorization,
       | statistical models, etc. Just building a simple UI for presenting
       | a large knowledge graph was more challenging than most front end
       | work I've ever done.
       | 
       | Question: if the goal is to build a knowledge graph that can
       | "explain how anything in the world is related to everything else"
       | how do you measure progress toward that goal? And how do you
       | measure the quality? Just having a bunch of topics and
       | relationships is not a great metric in my opinion. Obviously this
       | is still very early, but here's an example I found in about 30
       | seconds of clicking around:
       | 
       | "Evidence suggests that Heart Failure is related to Income and
       | COVID-19." [https://www.system.com/view/topic/P0XELnR0PaK]
       | 
       | There are topics in System for "Obesity" and "Smoking", but those
       | are not associated to Heart Failure.
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | Thank you so much. We'd love for you to join our Slack
         | community (link on system.com).
         | 
         | Great question. There is no ground truth that we are modeling
         | System after, i.e. there is no causal model of the world out
         | there (to use Pearl's framing). So I'm not sure we can know how
         | far along we are epistemologically. More practically, for the
         | next few years we have plenty of work to just represent all the
         | existing corpuses of scholarship! The truer and arguably more
         | meaningful test of progress though is how decisions are
         | improved -- for users, for organizations -- that use System.
         | 
         | Quality is evaluated and presented using a variety of
         | parameters like strength, significance, and reproducibility
         | (full documentation here: https://docs.system.com/system/using-
         | system/investigating-re...).
         | 
         | Re completeness, as I wrote below, System Search results are
         | not necessarily comprehensive -- but they will be. System is in
         | the early stages of its development as a public resource and
         | you should expect that knowledge will be missing. The knowledge
         | base will be constantly growing and improving and evolving as
         | knowledge does. Our community will play an important role in
         | relating what we expect or know should be related.
        
         | monstertruck wrote:
         | (Note: I work at System)
         | 
         | First, thanks! If you'd like to reach out and learn more or
         | talk about your learnings from building something like this
         | we'd be very interested (we have a Slack community and a direct
         | contact form on the site).
         | 
         | As for your questions - we have tools for assessing the
         | reproducibility (in the statistical sense) of models and
         | relationships added to System, as well as tools for users (and
         | built in to the platform itself) to assess the relative
         | statistical strength between any two relationships that you
         | find on the site.
         | 
         | And, yes, we're early on in the process of writing (peer-
         | reviewed) evidence on various topics, and as you note, the
         | value of seeing these systems will grow with how detailed the
         | topics are covered and the overall number of the world's topics
         | shown to be related. I hope you'll stay engaged to see!
        
       | vorpalhex wrote:
       | Please don't redirect mobile users to a broken mobile website!
       | 
       | Only use a mobile redirect if you _actually_ have a mobile site.
       | Otherwise give us the desktop experience.
        
         | moniecodes wrote:
         | Hi @vorpalhex,
         | 
         | We attempt to redirect to our mobile site
         | about.system.com/mobile and are working on a mobile friendly
         | version.
         | 
         | Apologies that you are experiencing issues. Could you send us
         | more details through our feedback tab or our slack community or
         | email hello@system.com(If you could also attach a screenshot,
         | it would be really helpful to see what you are seeing).
        
           | vorpalhex wrote:
           | Your mobile version is not the app. It is a fancy "under
           | construction!" page. Delete that page. Just send mobile users
           | to your app.
           | 
           | Your app works fine on mobile as is.
           | 
           | You don't need a mobile site. Just (eventually, as a small
           | improvement) make your viewports a bit more responsive in
           | size.
        
         | SilasX wrote:
         | Actually, even then, the desktop version is usually better on
         | mobile.
         | 
         | Example LedgerX won't even show you your option Greeks on
         | mobile ... even when you ask for desktop!
        
       | gffrd wrote:
       | Maybe a silly question, but: why?
       | 
       | Is this a way of visualizing connections in a way that, for
       | instance, Wikipedia cannot?
        
       | adam_bly wrote:
       | These threads on Product Hunt may be useful to some:
       | https://www.producthunt.com/posts/system
        
         | lostmsu wrote:
         | I love the idea. Something that I personally live by, but made
         | available to everyone in a format similar to Wikipedia.
         | 
         | RE the core: how are you planning to handle internal
         | contradictions, which will no doubt appear at some moment. Any
         | plans for formal verification?
         | 
         | RE the UI: while looking cool, the 3D interface feels inferior
         | to Wikipedia-like navigation, in particular cards.
        
           | monstertruck wrote:
           | (I work at System)
           | 
           | First, thanks!
           | 
           | By internal contradictions, do you mean conflicting evidence
           | in the relationship between topics or metrics? That will (and
           | does) come up regularly - peer-reviewed studies investigating
           | the same topics have differently measured (or contradictory)
           | results. We have tools for assessing the statistical quality
           | of submitted relationships (through things like statistical
           | reproducibility, algorithm type, statistical controls, etc.),
           | so unreproducible or statistically unlikely relationships
           | will be clearly seen as such. Building tools to
           | programmatically test reproducibility of evidence is
           | definitely something we've thought about (if that's the
           | "formal verification" you are talking about).
           | 
           | Ultimately the goal will be to (statistically) approximate
           | the sum total of all evidence between pairs of topics, and
           | also to provide users with the tools and sources to assess
           | (and apply!) that evidence.
        
           | nojonestownpls wrote:
           | RE your first question, one of their answers from product
           | hunt may be useful:
           | 
           | > Q: Is this supposed to be open source version of Google's
           | knowledge graph?
           | 
           | > A: At their essence, KGs are based on semantic
           | relationships, e.g. coffee is a beverage, apple and banana
           | are fruit, diabetes is a disease, etc. System is based on
           | statistical relationships (collected and synthesized from
           | data, models, and papers): A predicts B, C is caused by D, E
           | and F are highly correlated, G and H change together, etc.
           | [...] We hope these will be complementary ways of
           | understanding the world -- one based on language, the other
           | based on statistics.
           | 
           | I think internal contradictions are more of an issue for a
           | Knowledge Graph, which try to infer things and have to make
           | conclusions based on possibly contradictory evidence. System
           | just tries to present the available connecting evidence
           | without making object level conclusions itself.
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | Thanks so much! That's exactly the point.
           | 
           | Great question. We present all the evidence behind a
           | relationship (on "evidence cards" that show the source,
           | strength, sign, direction, population, controls, and
           | reproducibility). The evidence cards on a relationship page
           | may conflict, and this is clear for users to see and
           | evaluate. We also generate a natural language synthesis of
           | the evidence. We are working on enhancing our meta-analysis
           | of the evidence to flag these kinds of conflicts. And our
           | community will surely play an important role (as is the case
           | on Wikipedia).
        
       | adam_bly wrote:
       | Hi, I'm the founder of System (www.system.com). System is a free,
       | open, and living public resource that aims to explain how
       | anything in the world in related to everything else.
       | 
       | We just launched our public beta. You can read the announcement
       | post here: https://about.system.com/blog/announcing-the-public-
       | beta-of-...
       | 
       | We would love your feedback.
       | 
       | TL;DR:
       | 
       | - We formed a Public Benefit Corporation, committed to open
       | knowledge and advancing systems thinking, to operate System.
       | 
       | - Our mission is to relate everything, to help, the world see and
       | solve anything, as a system.
       | 
       | - System is built on top of a novel, large-scale graph platform
       | that gathers and organizes evidence of statistical associations
       | between things in the world.
       | 
       | - Like Wikipedia, the information on System is available under
       | Creative Commons Attribution ShareAlike License, and topic
       | definitions on System are sourced from Wikidata.
       | 
       | - Anyone will be soon able to contribute evidence of
       | relationships to System using a variety of tools. v1.0-beta is
       | read only. The determination of what datasets, models, and papers
       | statistics are retrieved from currently falls to members of our
       | team and to users who are beta testing the tools we've built to
       | contribute to System.
       | 
       | - We invite you to join a diverse community of systems thinkers
       | from all walks of like who are coming together to build System.
        
         | jdubb wrote:
         | The link you provided gives a 404. This one works:
         | https://about.system.com/blog/announcing-the-public-beta-of-...
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | Thanks! Updated.
        
         | azinman2 wrote:
         | Initial thoughts:
         | 
         | At the end of your intro video you ask the viewer to imagine
         | what could be possible with such a system. But that's putting
         | the onus on the viewer, who has likely never thought about such
         | a system, rather than the creator who is selling the vision.
         | I'd encourage you to give some concrete examples on what could
         | really be achieved here.
         | 
         | When everything is related to everything, it's hard to get
         | anything actionable out of such a model. Further qualifying the
         | edges should also matter a lot... is something correlated?
         | Causal? Indirectly related? How far does the causality
         | propagate? For example, could changing the formula for
         | toothpaste affect obesity? I'd imagine it would be easy to draw
         | a graph connecting these things, but it's probably difficult to
         | know if a causal change is likely to produce the desired
         | result.
         | 
         | This reminds me a lot of cybernetics, which ultimately failed.
         | I'm be curious for your thoughts on that field and it's
         | relationship to your endeavor.
        
           | adam_bly wrote:
           | Thanks for the feedback.
           | 
           | Relationships on System carry several parameters that address
           | your question. For example, in what population was this
           | measured/what time period, a normalized measure of the
           | statistical strength, statistical significance, the direction
           | of the relationship when possible, the sign of the
           | relationship, and a measure of the reproducibility of the
           | evidence. You can read more in our docs:
           | https://docs.system.com/system/how-system-
           | works/relationship.... Our aim is to synthesize (or meta-
           | analyze) all of this evidence and associated metadata in such
           | a way that helps users take actions. An open causal model of
           | the world, to use Pearl's framing.
           | 
           | Love the question re cybernetics. I am inspired by the
           | writing of Mary Catherine Bateson on the matter. She has
           | argued that the tragedy of the cybernetic revolution, which
           | had two phases, the computer science side and the systems
           | theory side, has been the neglect of the systems theory side
           | of it. We chose marketable gadgets, she says, in preference
           | to a deeper understanding of the world we live in.
        
       | manmal wrote:
       | My master's thesis was related to finding and implementing a
       | music library vis tool, which should show relations between
       | artists and songs by grouping them together. One important aspect
       | I learned is that, in 2D space, there are only so many nodes you
       | can add before the graph becomes useless. You could display nodes
       | multiple times in the same graph, but this lowers usability a
       | great deal.
       | 
       | I'm curious how this problem will be dealt with.
        
       | dboreham wrote:
       | This looks like metaweb (acquired by Google long ago).
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | We're big fans of metaweb (and had one of their founding
         | engineers as an advisor early on).
         | 
         | At their essence, knowledge graphs (like metaweb) are based on
         | semantic relationships, e.g. coffee is a beverage, apple and
         | banana are fruit, diabetes is a disease, etc. System, instead,
         | is based on statistical relationships (collected and
         | synthesized from data, models, and papers): A predicts B, C is
         | caused by D, E and F are highly correlated, G and H change
         | together, etc. While statistics (probabilities for example) can
         | definitely be used in a KG (and certainly in large scale ones),
         | the nature of the relationships themselves (x is a movie, x
         | stars y) are semantic.
         | 
         | By organizing these (billions and billions of) statistical
         | relationships on System, anyone will be able see anything
         | that's important to them as the system it truly is, rather than
         | the silo we often see today.
         | 
         | We hope these will be complementary ways of understanding the
         | world -- one based on language, the other based on statistics.
         | Importantly, System leverages the same core ontology as
         | Wikipedia (i.e. Wikidata) so the definition of "coffee" on
         | System is the same as on Wikipedia. So these two ways are very
         | intentionally interoperable.
         | 
         | You can read more about System's methodologies in our technical
         | documentation: docs.system.com/system.
        
       | daenz wrote:
       | Ambitious!
       | 
       | In a similar space, I wish someone would make a graph like this
       | for materials required to produce something, for society-
       | bootstrapping. For example, the different tools and materials
       | required to make a functioning water well, and how to make those
       | tools and materials.
        
         | malka wrote:
         | A real life technology tree would be cool
        
           | daenz wrote:
           | Exactly. It could be built incrementally as well, with
           | placeholders, until the relevant experts are consulted who
           | can fill out the details.
        
       | garethcoleman wrote:
       | V. Interesting approach, but does making connections statistical
       | avoid making system a consistent system as in in Godel
       | incompleteness? How does system represent things like the liar
       | paradox (if it does?).
        
       | rodolphoarruda wrote:
       | How is this type of UI classified? All elements have no color
       | fill, just borders. Wireframe, maybe?
        
         | melony wrote:
         | Wannabe IBM
        
           | rodolphoarruda wrote:
           | You're probably not serious about your comment. But... thanks
           | anyway. I found this IBM design website with some elements
           | that align in concept with the ones at System.
           | 
           | https://www.ibm.com/design/language/iconography/ui-
           | icons/des...
        
       | agentdrtran wrote:
       | I clicked on "unemployment" and the results were unsatisfying to
       | say the least. All it told me was that unemployment is related to
       | being out of work or unemployed. I love the idea though.
        
         | adam_bly wrote:
         | Hmm. A System Search for "unemployment" shows you how
         | unemployment is (importantly) related to crime, health,
         | substance abuse, and suicide.
         | 
         | https://www.system.com/view/topic/lBZj8Zxk60L?view_context=g...
         | 
         | https://docs.system.com/system/using-system/finding-and-expl...
         | 
         | What are you seeing?
        
       | melony wrote:
       | How much did that domain cost?
        
         | Aachen wrote:
         | I was thinking the same. Quite sad really: if simply nobody
         | else was using it for something useful yet, it should just be
         | available... I hate that domain squatting is legal.
         | 
         | I'm fine with normal trade. I might use such a domain for
         | personal use if this is my nickname or something, and if
         | someone wants to have it and I want money for that, that's fine
         | (it's annoying for me to move after all), but just buying whole
         | dictionaries of domains... should be illegal for a scarce
         | resource.
        
           | amelius wrote:
           | If that were the case, they would just install some simple
           | game on that domain, so nobody could claim the domain was
           | unused.
        
         | lekevicius wrote:
         | No idea, but system.com can tell that domain cost is related
         | to: TLD, word being common, word being short. Hopefully that
         | was useful! (sarcasm)
        
       | [deleted]
        
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