[HN Gopher] A better way to divide the pie
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       A better way to divide the pie
        
       Author : geox
       Score  : 58 points
       Date   : 2022-03-20 16:07 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (insights.som.yale.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (insights.som.yale.edu)
        
       | hackernewds wrote:
       | Employee compensation would hilariously soar so much if this were
       | the model. Currently employees in reality, are provided 0.00001%
       | of the company.
        
         | the_lonely_road wrote:
         | Salary is often the single largest expense on the income
         | statement, and especially so for service based companies. This
         | expense will frequently massively outstrip the profit line
         | item. So no employees are not getting 0.000001% of these
         | companies, they are in fact getting the majority of the money
         | flowing through these companies.
         | 
         | You are noting that the employee line item is split up amongst
         | 50,000 employees and the smaller profit number is behind split
         | up among 50 owners. So an individual owner makes massively more
         | money than an individual employee but missing that employees as
         | a class are still getting more of the money than the owners.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > Currently employees in reality, are provided 0.00001% of the
         | company.
         | 
         | 0.00001% of Amazon's entire revenue (not profit, but revenue)
         | last year would be about $14,000.
         | 
         | Fortunately, every one of their full time employees is paid
         | more than that. Entry level engineers make 10X that amount and
         | the best engineers make 50X that or more.
         | 
         | At some of the most highly paid companies like Uber, paying
         | employees according to the value they create would actually
         | make salaries go _down_ in every scenario, because the company
         | is still fueled by investor funds and can 't self-sustain on
         | revenue alone.
         | 
         | After round-tripping from IC to manager and back a couple
         | times, I've come to realize that the value given to engineers
         | especially is extremely high. Many initiatives in the tech
         | industry don't ever turn a profit for the company or investors,
         | yet we get paid six figures all the same.
         | 
         | If anything, I would expect such a hypothetical initiative to
         | redistribute more of the wealth _away_ from engineers like us
         | and toward people like the customer support team who are fixing
         | all of the problems created by products that don 't work quite
         | right. The person on the phone with grandma walking them
         | through a support issue arguably contributes more to the LTV of
         | that customer than anyone else.
         | 
         | Stepping outside of tech, I think people imagine profits to be
         | much higher than they are in reality. Grocery stores are a
         | common example of a business that has very narrow profit
         | margins (some times a couple percent) that don't actually have
         | large amounts of leftover profit to distribute to employees.
         | 
         | Regardless, it's all hypothetical. The employment market is
         | supply and demand, and that's why engineers are paid so highly.
         | End of story.
        
       | beowulfey wrote:
       | I was trying to think of an alternative example; the initial
       | condition (the fallback) seems kind of contrived.
       | 
       | So let's say there's some investment opportunity where someone
       | has $4,000 to put in and I have $2,000. The investment requires
       | $6000, so neither of us can access it alone. If we agree to
       | invest, let's say the value is guaranteed to increase, in this
       | example by 200% to $12,000. The power analysis way of
       | distributing that increase would be that the other person gets
       | $8000 and I get $4000. Using this pizza analysis, it would
       | instead be distributed as $7000 and $5000 -- splitting the
       | increase of $6000 equally.
       | 
       | It's an interesting concept. Certainly I, with only $2000, would
       | be more inclined to contribute. And the other party would
       | certainly benefit more than if we had decided to not go through
       | with it at all.
       | 
       | I think it comes down to how much the person with the weaker
       | power is likely to _want_ to contribute. It 's a good way to
       | convince them if the power is fairly offset, but when they are
       | close it's not really necessary to convince them.
       | 
       | I think this is partially touched on in the article itself, and
       | it makes sense. It comes down to what _seems_ fair to the parties
       | involved!
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | I actually think the method proposed in the article works
         | perfectly in this case as well.
         | 
         | If you found a magic investment that was _guaranteed_ to return
         | 200%, but were some money short so couldn 't invest at all, if
         | I made up the difference and said we had to split the gains
         | evenly it would still be in your best interests to say yes.
         | 
         | Of course the obvious response is that investments aren't
         | guaranteed to return money. Going by this method, the losses
         | would be "split" evenly as well rather than in proportion. So
         | if the company could only return 50% of the initial investment,
         | you would claim extra money towards your principal, thus
         | reducing your overall risk at the expense of the person who
         | invested less money.
        
         | silisili wrote:
         | This example system starts falling apart as the amounts shift.
         | If one party has 5999, and the other 1 dollar, is that type of
         | split still fair? It would never benefit anyone to be the
         | higher of the contributors, a system of everyone looking for
         | suckers.
        
           | beowulfey wrote:
           | No, of course not. That's why I pointed out that at the end
           | of the day it comes down to what _seems_ fair, and what the
           | two parties are willing to negotiate.
        
         | tromp wrote:
         | > let's say the value is guaranteed to increase, in this
         | example by 200% to $12,000.
         | 
         | Still kind of contrived:-(
        
         | awestruckshoe wrote:
         | Thanks for the more concrete example--the pizza situation in
         | the article seemed really contrived and unintuitive to me! One
         | question this leaves me with and I don't think the article
         | addresses is what happens when losses are sustained when
         | collaborating. Your stock example provides a good basis for an
         | exploration of this question.
         | 
         | Say A puts $4000 in and B puts $2000 in with the expectation
         | that they will double their money, but instead they lose it
         | all. By the procedure outlined in article, the "pie" worth
         | -$6000 would be evenly distributed, meaning both A and B would
         | have to pay $3000. So A ends up with $1000 and B ends up with
         | -$1000. This seems especially punitive to B, and they end up in
         | a worse place than they would have with what the article calls
         | the "power" arrangement, under which they would have $0 after
         | losing only $2000 instead of $3000.
         | 
         | I'm curious about how many weaker parties continue to favor the
         | "pie" method when losses are divided the same way as gains---my
         | intuition is that a "pie"-style deal is typically reached only
         | when there is an almost-certain probability of gain, but I'm
         | curious about how negotiators actually behave!
        
           | HWR_14 wrote:
           | There is a whole subcategory of behavioral economics that can
           | be summed up as "people treat potential losses and potential
           | gains _very_ differently ". But what you're saying isn't the
           | example that is being presented. You have A and B being equal
           | partners with a loan from A to B of $1000. That's different
           | from the kind of ultimatum style (with 100% certainty) game
           | that is proposed.
           | 
           | I would say a better example is that A owns 66% of a startup
           | and B owns 33%. They decide to sell the tech for X dollars.
           | However, they are offered a 2X buyout if both of them agree
           | to work for 3 years at the acquiring company. There's no
           | "partial" offer though, it's both partners or neither. How is
           | the 2X split up?
           | 
           | The contrived example fails because of the 33% and 66%
           | wouldn't be assigned randomly.
        
         | eps wrote:
         | If I were the $4000 person, I would reject the 7/5 split as
         | unfair, because, conventionally, the expectation is that the
         | return is proportional to the participation.
         | 
         | Consider an extreme sceanrio - $5990 and $1. As per the article
         | the return should be $8999 and $3001. That's not going to fly
         | in the real world.
        
         | UnquietTinkerer wrote:
         | This is a good line of questioning. I believe that the
         | difference between the two situations is that the pizza deal is
         | implied to be just for Alice and Bob. If either walks away then
         | the deal is totally sunk, so they both have equal "leverage"
         | over the deal.
         | 
         | When you frame it as an investment question, the implication is
         | that if either person walks away then they can be replaced by a
         | third party who is willing to stake the cash. Since it is
         | easier to replace someone when their stake is lower, the person
         | putting up the $2k has less leverage in this case.
         | 
         | If you explicitly limited the investment to two specific people
         | (imagine a crazy term in a will or something), then I think
         | you'd end up back with a $7k/$5k split.
        
           | beowulfey wrote:
           | Definitely agree, a big part of this is also how badly the
           | person putting more into it needs that other partner.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | wyager wrote:
       | Duh. The hard part is that negotiators will lie to make it seem
       | like the difference is smaller than it is.
        
       | hammock wrote:
       | There is a whole book about this? The dark slices are each
       | party's BATNA (best alternative to negotiated agreement, from
       | Getting to Yes). Makes perfect sense that the negotiation is over
       | the remaining pie
        
         | stavros wrote:
         | The point is that the remaining pie should be split evenly
         | between the two parties, because they both have equal power in
         | creating it.
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | In the simplistic example it could be argued that they have
           | equal power. In a real scenario they likely don't.
           | 
           | In a real scenario, the dark slices may or may not be
           | irrelevant; Bob must also consider making a deal with
           | Charlie, who was left out of the example and has 6 dark
           | slices of his own, or with David, who has 3 dark slices.
           | 
           | There is also the pizzeria across the street to consider
           | which gives Alice and Bob each 3 dark slices.
        
       | tomcatfish wrote:
       | Another formulation (unless I misread the article and it's the
       | same thing here) is the Shapley Value [^sv], where you divide up
       | the extra spoils according to the value added by each agent. This
       | works pretty nicely with high numbers of agents too, as well as
       | makes sure it's in everyone's interest to join your sharing
       | scheme even if they're not already in it.
       | 
       | [^sv]: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shapley_value
        
       | reggieband wrote:
       | One thing I learned in a class on negotiation was that many
       | people look at negotiation as a one-time thing. Examples like
       | buying a car happen for most buyers once every 5 to 10 years. It
       | is also a negotiation that most often happens with a new sales
       | agent / sales manager combo for every transaction.
       | 
       | However, a large number of negotiations in business happen with
       | the same group of people over and over again. The example was a
       | set of directors in a large org negotiating over budget. That
       | kind of thing might happen every single business quarter between
       | a stable set of peers.
       | 
       | Whenever I see strategies like these I consider those two cases
       | since they have influence on how negotiations are done. In the
       | car-sales case, there is an incentive to get the most out of the
       | individual negotiation since you almost certainly will never see
       | each other again. In the business case you are incentivized to
       | prioritize the relationship with your peers over any individual
       | negotiation.
       | 
       | So I don't agree with the simplistic conclusion in the article.
       | It seems to only consider fairness within the context of a single
       | transaction/negotiation. It does not consider what happens when
       | this strategy is repeated between actors across multiple
       | negotiations.
        
         | WinterMount223 wrote:
         | This is throughly discussed in game theory. Single games,
         | finitely repeated games, infinitely repeated games.
        
         | gpsx wrote:
         | I like the way you say that. I was going to say that Ann can
         | push to split the pizza 7-5 if it is OK that she is being an
         | a@#hole. If not, she should split it 6-6.
         | 
         | I think the author makes a good point in the article, but he
         | should have at least mentioned future ramifications.
        
         | svilen_dobrev wrote:
         | this reminded me of: Evolution of trust
         | 
         | https://ncase.me/trust/
        
         | jka wrote:
         | > One thing I learned in a class on negotiation was that many
         | people look at negotiation as a one-time thing. Examples like
         | buying a car happen for most buyers once every 5 to 10 years.
         | It is also a negotiation that most often happens with a new
         | sales agent / sales manager combo for every transaction.
         | 
         | You may have been implying this already, but just to reinforce
         | the message: it's an asymmetric event frequency.
         | 
         | For the buyer, it occurs once every few years. For the seller,
         | it's occurring on a weekly or perhaps daily basis.
         | 
         | That means that the seller is fairly likely to know most of the
         | common weaknesses and opportunities for buyers, and the ways in
         | which those buyers communicate (or fail to communicate) them.
         | Sellers can choose to do what they want with that information
         | advantage.
         | 
         | To me the question is a broader one: why are Alice and Bob
         | accepting to enter into some byzantine challenge where they
         | have to co-operate in order to receive a larger amount of
         | pizza? And why is there an entire book for sale on the topic,
         | when at first-glance it seems to closely (~80%) resemble what
         | can be defined as the prisoners' dilemma within a paragraph?
         | 
         | I think Alice and Bob should publish the ridiculous situation
         | they've been faced with at the pizza restaurant and find
         | somewhere else to go to eat, and I don't think they require a
         | book to teach them that.
        
           | vineyardmike wrote:
           | I can't quite tell if you're missing the point. The pizza
           | analogy is just some simple case that's easy to explain in a
           | paragraph. The book is on negotiations, so they need some
           | easy case to negotiate.
           | 
           | I've had to negotiate for my team at work before and one
           | common thing I hear at private discussions with other parties
           | when in planning for the meetings is that it's backwards and
           | toxic to have business politics and they want to leave the
           | team over it. this feels like you're take - and it misses the
           | point that today, you have to accomplish some task. Even if
           | you're against politics at work, you're beholden to them once
           | they start. Tomorrow is for deciding if you should accept
           | reality or make changes. And some things aren't likely to go
           | away.
        
             | jka wrote:
             | Generally I think my perspective on the issue is that a lot
             | has been written already, and that people have a tendency
             | to rewrite and bring-to-market content that is a rehash of
             | existing knowledge, as opposed to gathering people together
             | towards consensus (and expansion, and critique) of existing
             | best-known information. Perhaps writing books is an
             | expression of that; and perhaps my frustration is because I
             | wonder whether we could do better in the digital age.
             | 
             | In the context of workplace politics: again, these are all
             | patterns that have been repeated for generations. Perhaps
             | it's possible to document and make those patterns public,
             | and then help people to view and decide upon the kind of
             | workplace(s) they'd like to contribute to.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > Whenever I see strategies like these I consider those two
         | cases since they have influence on how negotiations are done.
         | In the car-sales case, there is an incentive to get the most
         | out of the individual negotiation since you almost certainly
         | will never see each other again. In the business case you are
         | incentivized to prioritize the relationship with your peers
         | over any individual negotiation.
         | 
         | Very insightful point.
         | 
         | The biggest salary negotiation mistake I see is when people
         | assume the negotiation is of the first type (one-off, never see
         | people again) instead of the latter type (part of an ongoing
         | relationship).
         | 
         | If a company works hard to minimize someone's compensation
         | expectations and convince them to accept below-market salary,
         | they're going to pay for it later when the person wises up and
         | leaves for something better. This scenario is well-known.
         | 
         | The less discussed scenario is when a candidate aggressively
         | negotiates a very above-average compensation but subsequently
         | performs in a below-average manner. This is one of the most
         | common complaint scenarios in a private manager forum that I'm
         | part of: Managers who get wowed by people with excellent
         | interviewing and self-selling skills who end up underperforming
         | their lesser-paid peers later. It generates a lot of guilt and
         | anxiety for managers when they realize they've been duped into
         | inverting the contribution:reward relationship in their
         | compensation structure.
         | 
         | These people are the first to go in any downsizing, reorgs, and
         | layoffs (and rightly so), but they're often great at talking
         | their way into the next highly paid job almost immediately.
         | This is one of the main reasons experienced managers will go
         | extra deep on reference checks for people with job-hopper
         | resumes.
        
           | antisthenes wrote:
           | > The biggest salary negotiation mistake I see is when people
           | assume the negotiation is of the first type (one-off, never
           | see people again) instead of the latter type (part of an
           | ongoing relationship).
           | 
           | That depends what you're negotiating. As a counterexample, if
           | you negotiate a big raise upfront for your promotion and then
           | "coast" for 5-10 years, you're still better off than
           | negotiating a series of smaller raises every 2 years, because
           | you forego the overhead of multiple negotiations. Personally,
           | I'd rather just focus on the work.
           | 
           | Negotiation is costly if you're not good at it. It's easier
           | to justify your value once, than multiple times. Due to
           | anchoring, and people getting used to the increased output
           | you bring, it will become harder and harder to negotiate as
           | you go further.
           | 
           | Better to do it once, but do it right.
        
           | rkk3 wrote:
           | > The less discussed scenario is when a candidate
           | aggressively negotiates a very above-average compensation but
           | subsequently performs in a below-average manner. This is one
           | of the most common complaint scenarios in a private manager
           | forum that I'm part of: Managers who get wowed by people with
           | excellent interviewing and self-selling skills who end up
           | underperforming their lesser-paid peers later. It generates a
           | lot of guilt and anxiety for managers when they realize
           | they've been duped into inverting the contribution:reward
           | relationship in their compensation structure.
           | 
           | Isn't this more a failure of the management? What can justify
           | having wide disparities in starting comp for the same role?
           | Seems like the striving candidate should be bumped up a level
           | & you just hold them accountable to the higher bar, rather
           | than evaluating their performance based on comp.
        
             | PragmaticPulp wrote:
             | That's the point - If you bring someone in at the wrong
             | level (higher comp = higher level) then you have a major
             | problem.
             | 
             | Compensation does vary within a role, though. Even at
             | organizations that publicly share salary info there is
             | often a wide range within each band and the salary bands
             | may overlap.
             | 
             | Paying everyone in perfect lock-step with each other sounds
             | great in theory, but you end up either paying significantly
             | more than you need to or locking yourself out of otherwise
             | great hires that were just a few thousand short of your
             | fixed salary. Obviously, not everyone within a role
             | performs exactly the same.
        
         | sharkjacobs wrote:
         | this is game theory 101 too. The prisoner's dilemma is a simple
         | game, like tic tac toe, and the only correct move is to betray
         | the other player every time. But repeated prisoners dilemma is
         | a much more complicated game about trying to get as much out of
         | your opponent as possible without breaking down cooperation
         | altogether.
        
         | zasdffaa wrote:
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | chociej wrote:
       | Did anyone think to ask "who's hungrier?"
        
         | littlecosmic wrote:
         | As you say, Alice is not in desperate need of pizza, so she'll
         | just wait for a deal that gives her the most. The power to say
         | no to deals is the true advantage of greater wealth.
        
       | NAR8789 wrote:
       | This reminds me of how I used to split rents with my roommates:
       | Identify surplus value, and split that value evenly.
       | 
       | 0. Given a prospective rental house. (And therefore a known set
       | of rooms and a known total rent)
       | 
       | 1. Each person "bids" by pricing every room in the house. Goal:
       | each person should be looking for "break-even" pricing. Try to
       | price such that all the rooms feel "equally good" at your given
       | prices.
       | 
       | 2. Just one restriction on the pricing: each bidder's room-prices
       | must sum to the house's monthly rent.
       | 
       | 3. Reveal all bids.
       | 
       | 4. Choose the room-assignment that yields the highest total
       | price. Because of the restriction in [2], we're guaranteed a
       | surplus over the true total rent. (Unless everyone somehow put in
       | identical bids)
       | 
       | 5. Split the surplus evenly. Everyone gets a room at the price
       | they bid for that room, minus 1/nth of the surplus. Effectively,
       | everyone gets an identical surprise discount.
       | 
       | We lived together for over 10 years, through 5 different rentals.
       | We split up when it came time to start families and buy houses.
        
         | exo-pla-net wrote:
         | 0: Total rent is $10, for ten rooms, to be split among ten
         | people.
         | 
         | 1: One person who really wants a certain room bids $10 on it,
         | and he assigns $0 to the nine other rooms. His roommates bid a
         | neutral $1 on all rooms.
         | 
         | ...
         | 
         | 4: The person gaming the system gets his special room.
         | 
         | 5: The surplus is $10 + 9*$1 - $10 = $9. Split evenly, $0.90.
         | 
         | Thus, the gamer pays $9.10 for his special room, and everyone
         | else pays $0.10 for their rooms.
         | 
         | He has clearly made a terrible mistake. He's covering the cost
         | of the entire rental nearly by himself.
         | 
         | Next time, he bids $1 + one gummy bear on his special room, and
         | he bids $1 on the other rooms. He imagines that now he'll
         | merely have to buy one gummy bear every month, split it in ten,
         | and give everyone a slice. He's outwitted his roommates, he
         | thinks.
         | 
         | However, much to his dismay, he overlooked that one of the
         | rooms in this next rental was underground. Furthermore, the
         | room was next to a leaky sceptic tank. Everyone else bid $0 on
         | it. The gamer handily wins the sewage room, instead of his
         | special room, and he hardly gets any discount for putting up
         | with it. Oops, foiled again.
         | 
         | All of this is to say, your system seems robust. There's danger
         | in over and underbidding on your assessment of a room's value.
         | You want to be very careful in deciding how much a room is
         | worth to you. I think I'll use this system for renting Airbnb's
         | with friends in the future. Thanks!
        
       | thenerdhead wrote:
       | I've always come to the same conclusion that "tit-for-tat"
       | strategies are the simplest and most effective.
       | 
       | You agree to cooperate at the start. Then you follow whatever
       | choice your opposition made the previous move. The even better
       | approach is to add in generosity randomly as a means to "forgive"
       | misunderstandings.
       | 
       | Maybe just me, but this article seems to add more complexity to
       | the problem.
        
       | gnicholas wrote:
       | I'd be curious how many people were surprised to be greeted by a
       | picture of a pizza after clicking a link that refers to dividing
       | pies.
       | 
       | I'm from California, where "pie" refers exclusively to the
       | dessert variety. I expected the article wouldn't be specifically
       | about pies, but rather about negotiation in general.
       | 
       | Did anyone (from areas where "pie" can mean pizza) think that
       | this was going to be an article in which pizzas were used to
       | illustrate the point?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | joshuajomiller wrote:
       | This is not a new idea. It was written about thousands of years
       | ago in the talmud:
       | http://www.talmudology.com/jeremybrownmdgmailcom/2016/9/27/b...
        
       | rishabhjain1198 wrote:
       | Absolutely incredible! I haven't felt the feeling of insight
       | after just reading 3 paragraphs in a long time.
        
       | ulucs wrote:
       | So... Uhh... Just Nash bargaining? Or Shapley values result in
       | the same outcome too in this case.
        
       | gondo wrote:
       | Reading the title, I thought this will be about a fair splitting
       | of home cooked pie (or any dish). My go-to method for this is to
       | divide the responsibilities. One party cuts (or decides where to
       | cut in the case children are involved), the other party picks.
       | Does anyone use a better, fairer method?
        
         | papandada wrote:
         | For 2 people that's fair. It only gets a bit more complicated
         | with more people or other variations.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Envy-free_cake-cutting
        
       | 11235813213455 wrote:
       | Reminds me of https://www.google.com/doodles/celebrating-pizza
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | This example seem like a lesson for bob on how to not get screwed
       | by Alice's seemingly higher leverage by focusing on what is
       | actually at stake to negotiate, the 6 extra slices. And also
       | recognize Alice does not actually have more leverage just because
       | the fallback is to her advantage, she would still have lost out
       | up to 6 slices, making any type of deal would be better for her.
        
       | delgaudm wrote:
       | Perhaps I got lost in the explanation, or the example is overly
       | simplified, but isn't this just "splitting the difference"?
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | The example is overly simplified.
         | 
         | Imagine if it was a 24-slice pizza. The argument is that the
         | "original" 6 slices should be divided according to the original
         | preferences of 4 and 2, and the "extra" 18 slices should be
         | divided evenly into 9 and 9.
        
           | karmakaze wrote:
           | I imagine in many contexts, the more 'relative status-quo'
           | outcome to the original would be 4+4 to 2+2, double-or-no-
           | change. Bob wanting more than to double could be spiteful
           | bargaining power which Alice could answer with spite.
        
             | HWR_14 wrote:
             | I saw it in the article and literally thought it was a
             | straw man. I believed the author was arguing against a 6-6
             | division and introduced a more unbalanced shift to try to
             | make their position seem reasonable.
             | 
             | You're the first person I've seen suggest that this is a
             | thing and I'm kind of shocked. What reasoning would there
             | be for unequal division of the additional slices in _A 's_
             | favor?
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | No. Splitting the difference could be a term invented to
         | describe this, but it already has a different meaning. It's use
         | is if I offer you two slices and you counter with a demand for
         | six slices, then "splitting the difference" just refers to
         | using the average value of four.
        
           | tromp wrote:
           | It is splitting the difference between Alice offering to take
           | the whole negotiation pie at 10-2 and Bob counter offering to
           | take the whole negotiation pie himself at 4-8.
        
             | HWR_14 wrote:
             | Yes, if each originally maximally said "I want all 6 new
             | slices" then it would be splitting the difference in their
             | asks. However, in the case where Bob counters with an offer
             | to split 6-6, it is no longer splitting the difference.
        
           | hackernewds wrote:
           | Now it has been bastardized by "Never Split the Difference"
           | which is what you now hear from a desperate car salesman now
        
             | HWR_14 wrote:
             | How would a desperate car salesman use that phrase?
        
             | nhod wrote:
             | "Never Split the Difference" is also the name of an
             | outstanding book by Chris Voss, the former head of FBI
             | hostage negotiation. For shorthand, Voss refers to all biz
             | school rational-actor negotiation theory (as espoused by
             | the parent post, for example) as "splitting the
             | difference."
             | 
             | He holds that such theory is useful to know in general, but
             | that real-world negotiations are carried out by emotional,
             | irrational humans. As a result, these rational theories
             | often break down in the face of hubris, anger, fear, love,
             | shame, etc, and as such, relying solely on these theories
             | will not get you the results you want. Thus, you should
             | "never split the difference."
             | 
             | Instead, he then goes on to suggest a whole variety of ways
             | one can achieve better negotiation results, starting with
             | the most obvious: really, truly listening to the needs of
             | the other. The book is fascinating. Highly recommended.
        
       | zw123456 wrote:
       | maybe a little off topic, but....
       | https://yaledailynews.com/blog/2021/10/14/yales-endowment-re...
       | 
       | I am thinking maybe t yale could spend a little time on finding a
       | fairer way of slicing up that pie? It seems like they could
       | easily educate a lot more people who cannot afford their tuition.
       | And I am not just picking on Yale, Harvard and a lot of others
       | could add to a fund, what if all those schools with multi-
       | billions dollar endowments could give half of it to fund the
       | education of anyone who wants it?
       | 
       | This is not a meant to be a rant just a humble suggestion that
       | occurred to me when they were talking about giving away half a
       | pizza.
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | Education doesn't scale. Great professors don't scale. The
         | endowment _is_ used for funding the tuition of people who
         | cannot afford it.
         | 
         | And, to the degree it does scale (Edx, coursera) well endowed
         | universities were at the forefront of putting classes online.
        
           | zw123456 wrote:
           | OK, so if I am understanding your point correctly, education
           | does and doesn't scale, and big universities with huge
           | endowments have done enough because they put classes online
           | and subsidizes tuition for a small number of lucky people.
           | So, it's OK for them to hold onto $42B endowment fund, for...
           | something?
        
             | HWR_14 wrote:
             | Some parts of education scale, some parts don't (see
             | Customer Service and 100 other examples). Universities are
             | doing a good job using tech to scale when they can. It's
             | unreasonable to expect in person attendance to be able to
             | even double and maintain close to the same quality.
             | 
             | Yale give a scholarship for any students, with any part in
             | between the expected family contribution and full cost of
             | tuition/room/board/books/activity fees/small spending
             | stipend. More than half of Yale students get such a
             | scholarship and the average value of that scholarship is
             | higher than tuition and books alone would be, meaning most
             | students are only paying for housing and food. (Okay, it's
             | an average and an average, so it's possible only like 40%
             | of people are having their entire tuition covered, but also
             | their entire room and board and another 17% are getting a
             | dollar.)
             | 
             | But, yes. In general you summarized my points correctly.
             | But I take issue to "small number of lucky people". And, of
             | course, with the sarcasm clearly coming from your post.
        
       | gondo wrote:
       | The naive 6:6 split tries to compensate for the original
       | unfairness. In real life, starting positions are mostly hidden
       | and therefore this problem is avoided.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | est31 wrote:
       | The base case, in which Alice and Bob don't reach an agreement,
       | has a specific name: BATNA.
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Best_alternative_to_a_negotiat...
       | 
       | Also note that it's two humans agreeing on a deal, and the way of
       | looking at things described in the article might not be shared by
       | both. If your other party is convinced that 6/6 is the most fair
       | distribution, it is to your advantage to agree with that notion,
       | at least if you are Bob. If you are Alice, then you should
       | absolutely make the case. Of course if the game is repeated and
       | you don't know the future game's distributions, this might come
       | back at you, if the roles are switched and the other party goes
       | into the game with that memory.
        
       | huynhhacnguyen wrote:
       | If we can ignore the utility value of the negotiating pie (e.g.
       | Alice may not want a 5th slice anyway), it is an interesting
       | perspective. If only there were more examples and less
       | explanation.
        
         | c1ccccc1 wrote:
         | In general: Suppose the fallback positions are x slices for
         | Alice, and y slices for Bob, and they get n slices total if
         | they reach a deal. Then we can figure out the split by defining
         | the gain, g, as the additional pieces they get if they reach a
         | deal. So g=n-(x+y). Then the fair split should be x+g/2 for
         | Alice and y+g/2 for Bob.
         | 
         | Another kind of situation is if there are 3 people, Alice, Bob,
         | and Charlie, with fallbacks x, y, z respectively. Suppose they
         | all need to reach an agreement to get n slices. Then
         | g=n-(x+y+z) and Alice, Bob, and Charlie should get x+g/3,
         | y+g/3, z+g/3 respectively.
         | 
         | Another possible situation is if there are 3 people, but they
         | have unequal roles. Alice only needs to make a deal with at
         | least one of Bob or Charlie, to get n slices. If Bob and
         | Charlie both agree to the deal, then the total is still n
         | slices. Intuitively, this would make Bob and Charlie less
         | important, so they should get less of the gain. The split here
         | should be x+2g/3 for Alice, y+g/6 for Bob and z+g/6 for
         | Charlie, if they're all in on the deal. The reasoning there is
         | that if we're adding games together, then we should also add
         | the payoffs together. We can make a Alice&(Bob|Charlie) game by
         | adding together Alice&Bob + Alice&Charlie - Alice&Bob&Charlie.
         | Similarly, the payoffs should add like this: (g/2, g/2, 0) +
         | (g/2, 0, g/2) - (g/3, g/3, g/3) = (2g/3, g/6, g/6)
        
       | HWR_14 wrote:
       | It's a modestly interesting point, but it certainly doesn't make
       | sense in the concept of pizza. The author tries to appeal to
       | fairness, but where the fallback positions are knowingly arranged
       | randomly. Therefore, the naive 6-6 solution is just refusing to
       | adjust for a superior random arrangement in the experiment, which
       | was unfairly assigned. Therefore, I would expect the naive 6-6 to
       | be chosen the plurality of them time.
       | 
       | There's also a question of if there is any value to clam pizza
       | beyond the initial four slices. That sounds like a lot of food
       | that reheats poorly.
       | 
       | Now, if you want to say this applies to something in the real
       | world as a concept, I would say it's not a novel concept. No one
       | expects a new employee to capture 100% of the value they add, nor
       | do people expect the new employee to work for free.
        
         | davidmanheim wrote:
         | Also, why is any pizza ever getting cut into 12 slices?
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | Aside from small pizzas, I generally cut pizzas into 12
           | pieces. 8 slices ends up with unwieldy slices, 16 makes for
           | overly narrow ones. Cut it however you want, of course, but
           | for most average sized pizzas 12 makes for a nice sized
           | slice.
        
             | NeoTar wrote:
             | That's very much a cultural thing. An average European
             | pizza is more of a 'personal' pizza and 8 or 10 inches in
             | diameter. Twelve slices would be too much.
             | 
             | I propose the Imperial/English pizza theorem. The optimal
             | number of slices for a pizza is equal to the size in
             | inches.
        
               | HWR_14 wrote:
               | A giant pizza cut so that each slice is a full meal
               | (maybe two if very hungry) is optimal.Eating a slice of
               | pizza should be enough.
        
               | hexane360 wrote:
               | Unfortunately, that guarantees the arc length of the
               | slice to be constant (at pi inches), but not the total
               | area (= d * 1/2 in). I believe this is why larger pizzas
               | make more sense to cut into squares, as long thin pieces
               | are harder to slice and to eat.
        
               | rootusrootus wrote:
               | Yeah, that's my exclusion for small pizzas. We only do
               | personal pizzas for the kids. The rest of the family
               | shares a larger one (or two, or however many).
        
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