[HN Gopher] "This shouldn't happen": Inside the virus-hunting no...
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       "This shouldn't happen": Inside the virus-hunting nonprofit
       EcoHealth Alliance
        
       Author : jashkenas
       Score  : 116 points
       Date   : 2022-03-31 18:12 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.vanityfair.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.vanityfair.com)
        
       | nl wrote:
       | Is it any surprise meetings around this topic are contentions?
       | 
       | Fauci was receiving credible death threats and even on this topic
       | thread here there are a number of dead comments with comments
       | similar to (and I quote): _Fauci must be executed for us to move
       | forward._
       | 
       | The idea that people voice approval for executing people they
       | disagree with is so repugnant and contrary to the idea of civil
       | discourse I don't find it surprising people start yelling in
       | science meetings about the topic.
        
         | pvarangot wrote:
         | So I don't think a single person is to blame for the COVID-19
         | pandemic. I think it was bad (and maybe even happened at all!)
         | because of a systemic failure of the scientific medical
         | community. Now, if you believed a single person or a small
         | group of persons where to blame for it, you don't think they
         | should be executed? I think it's a valid position to have. It's
         | not mine, but I wouldn't censor it or call it contentious. I'm
         | willing to personally kill someone for way less than that. I
         | just don't think the someone to blame for the pandemic exists,
         | but if I did yeah I would think they deserve to die.
        
         | 323 wrote:
         | Hypothetically speaking, if it is ever proved that SARS-CoV-2
         | was indeed leaked from a lab, and that the people working there
         | are guilty of gross negligence and the evading of gain of
         | function controls, what do you think the punishment should be?
         | Considering ~20 million world wide excess deaths.
         | 
         | Or should they just be forgiven because they were scientists
         | with good intentions.
        
           | hallway_monitor wrote:
           | The death sentence for everyone in the decision-making chain
           | would not be excessive.
        
           | nickff wrote:
           | The even bigger (to me) question would be what level of
           | liability would be attributed to people who granted funding
           | or otherwise supported the work. Would they be charged with
           | 20MM counts of contributory negligence? This situation does
           | seem to have been "foreseeable" in the legal sense.
        
         | goodluckchuck wrote:
         | Millions of people have died over the past couple of years. I
         | think it's important to know why.
         | 
         | If someone released this plague on purpose, then it would be
         | the clearest case for the death penalty that has ever occurred.
         | Do you honestly disagree?
        
           | brazzledazzle wrote:
           | Engineering this virus intentionally for research purposes
           | and releasing it on purpose are very different things. If we
           | still haven't demonstrated the former conclusively why are we
           | even discussing what the consequences should be for the
           | latter?
        
       | 5lerg45y4y5 wrote:
        
       | Imnimo wrote:
       | A lot of this is tough to evaluate as a lay person. For example:
       | 
       | >From the 75-page proposal, a striking detail stood out: a plan
       | to examine SARS-like bat coronaviruses for furin cleavage sites
       | and possibly insert new ones that would enable them to infect
       | human cells.
       | 
       | >A furin cleavage site is a spot in the surface protein of a
       | virus that can boost its entry into human cells. SARS-CoV-2,
       | which emerged more than a year after the DARPA grant was
       | submitted, is notable among SARS-like coronaviruses for having a
       | unique furin cleavage site. This anomaly has led some scientists
       | to consider whether the virus could have emerged from laboratory
       | work gone awry.
       | 
       | Should I interpret it as a would-be unbelievable coincidence that
       | they would be working on the very same furin cleavage site that
       | is unique in CoV-2? Or should I interpret it as obvious - maybe
       | the furin cleavage site is the most important part for
       | infectiousness, and so we should expect any new human-infecting
       | virus to have changes there, and should also expect that to be
       | the area scientists focus on.
       | 
       | Without expert knowledge, I have no way to tell, but it feels
       | like the sort of thing I could very easily interpret incorrectly
       | one way or the other.
        
         | popcube wrote:
         | I will guess this is because the number of enzymes that we can
         | use is small, and each enzyme only work on specific site. So,
         | check the specific site of each enzyme are first step.
        
         | 323 wrote:
         | Quite a few experts said originally that the furin cleavage
         | site (FCS) is the "smoking gun" evidence that the virus is lab
         | modified.
         | 
         | But then other experts said that it's just a coincidence that
         | could arise naturally.
         | 
         | Now we learn that EcoHealth had these plans to insert FCS's in
         | viruses, yet they stayed quiet during the whole FCS debate and
         | didn't mentioned it until it was found out from FOIA'd emails.
         | 
         | And not only that they didn't mention it, they kept saying it's
         | just a coincidence and to say otherwise is a conspiracy theory.
        
           | fsckboy wrote:
           | part of the claim of the furan cleavage "smoking gun" is that
           | the sequence matches a sequence that was patented by Moderna
           | 3 years before the Covid-19 outbreak
           | 
           | (Hoping somebody here can shed further light. I don't want to
           | spread misinformation, and I'm not able to corroborate this
           | myself, so be skeptical; however we have seen a lot
           | information manipulation or suppression in every direction
           | the past few years, so be skeptical in the other direction
           | too)
           | 
           | https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10542309/Fresh-
           | lab-...
           | 
           | https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/moderna-patented-cancer-
           | ge...
        
         | usernomdeguerre wrote:
         | And even outside the biological details, without cooperation
         | from the Chinese government and the lab in question it seems
         | any investigation into alternate explanations will be nearly
         | unfalsifiable. From the article:
         | 
         | >But as COVID-19 rampaged across the globe, the Chinese
         | government's commitment to transparency turned out to be
         | limited. It has refused to share raw data from early patient
         | cases, or participate in any further international efforts to
         | investigate the virus's origin...And in September 2019, three
         | months before the officially recognized start of the pandemic,
         | the Wuhan Institute of Virology took down its database of some
         | 22,000 virus samples and sequences, refusing to restore it
         | despite international requests.
        
       | TeeMassive wrote:
       | > Presumably, Daszak possessed a great deal of that inaccessible
       | data. He said as much during a March 2021 panel organized by a
       | London-based think tank: "A lot of this work has been conducted
       | with EcoHealth Alliance.... We do basically know what's in those
       | databases." Previously, EcoHealth Alliance had signed a pledge,
       | along with 57 other scientific and medical organizations, to
       | share data promptly in the event of a global public health
       | emergency. And yet, in the face of just such an emergency, Daszak
       | told Nature magazine, "We don't think it's fair that we should
       | have to reveal everything we do."
       | 
       | Even if they fucked up by committing a legitimate mistake doing
       | honest work, the cover-up is a legit conspiracy and downright
       | criminal.
        
         | goodluckchuck wrote:
        
       | 4tlkjgra wrote:
        
       | maxharris wrote:
       | Has anyone else looked into the things that former EcoHealth
       | Alliance executive Dr. Andrew G. Huff (@aghuff on Twitter) has
       | been saying since October? I am surprised that this article
       | doesn't even mention him, despite the fact that he worked at EHA
       | for some of the years in question.
        
         | mikeyouse wrote:
         | His Twitter thread is a mishmash of the zaniest conspiracy
         | theories imaginable and plenty of concerning paranoia (the
         | government is flying drones around his property to shut him up,
         | "spooks" fired bullets through his mailbox, his vehicles were
         | hacked, Hunter Biden funded labs in Ukraine to create pandemic
         | viruses, and on and on) along with tons of promotion for his
         | own book "The Truth About Wuhan - How I uncovered the biggest
         | lie in history." He seems to have a psychology degree and a
         | public health PhD and was a mid-level manager, who likely
         | wouldn't have any insight at all into the research activities
         | of the lab..
         | 
         | Doesn't seem like an entirely trustworthy person..
        
           | georgia_peach wrote:
           | > _He seems to have a psychology degree and a public health
           | PhD and was a mid-level manager, who likely wouldn 't have
           | any insight at all into the research activities of the lab.._
           | 
           | I don't believe a PhD in virology is necessary to understand
           | that this is some risky business. Not being in-line for
           | patent royalties (or retributions--prisoner's dilemma and all
           | that) may have made his lips a little looser than those of
           | his co-workers.
        
           | president wrote:
           | Would you apologize if you were proven wrong?
        
             | oh_sigh wrote:
             | You have proof that Hunter Biden funded labs in Ukraine to
             | create pandemic viruses?
             | 
             | That is not any kind of idea I ever entertained in the
             | past, but it is so outrageous that yes, I would apologize
             | to you on behalf of OP if you had proof of it.
        
       | 4tlkjgra wrote:
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/xP8Xx
        
       | macawfish wrote:
       | The Intercept has published a whole series of articles on this
       | topic, which include leaked emails from people involved:
       | https://theintercept.com/collections/origins-of-covid/
       | 
       | This article from the American Society of Biochemistry and
       | Molecular Biology is also candid and informative:
       | https://www.asbmb.org/asbmb-today/policy/112121/gain-of-func...
       | 
       | There are also clips out there of Ralph Baric talking openly
       | about making modified viruses (can't find it now but I believe he
       | mentions it in casually passing in this lecture:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BE_H7dTqJXU ).
       | 
       | I guess I get why these researchers are so cagey about sharing in
       | simple terms what they do. The facts have a huge potential to be
       | twisted and weaponized politically in this situation, and I'm
       | sure the rationale for the research is very complicated.
       | 
       | That said in my opinion there needs to be transparency around
       | these kinds of incredibly risky ecological engineering projects.
       | 
       | Another thing,"self-disseminating vaccines": there are
       | researchers who propose the creation and release of engineered
       | viruses in animal populations adjacent to people (to prevent
       | pandemics with zoonotic origins of course!):
       | 
       | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-1254-y
       | 
       | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=self-disseminating+vacc...
       | 
       | It's hard to ignore the double edged sword of research like this
       | though. Is there any question that this "biosecurity" technology
       | has inherently troublesome uses as bioweaponry? The potential for
       | sabotage by misanthropic / malthusian actors is also really
       | unsettling. The game theory involved is probably really gnarly
       | and I can only wonder what twisted offspring of mutually assured
       | destruction intelligence agencies are using to grapple with this
       | stuff, and to rationalize this kind of research.
       | 
       | During the cold war there was a kind of presumption that every
       | life is worth protecting. Unfortunately I have a feeling that
       | with the reality of climate change this belief is not as
       | universal as it once was. I worry that it's quite common for
       | people in positions of power to have Malthusian beliefs about
       | overpopulation and stuff in the face of climate change.
       | 
       | (To be clear, I'm not in any way suggesting covid-19 was
       | intentionally released as a tool of depopulation. I'm making a
       | point about the game theory that has so far prevented nuclear
       | catastrophe... I have trouble seeing what holds it together under
       | the normalization of ethical frameworks that see depopulation as
       | necessary, and wondering how that factors into the chess games
       | that governments, defense agencies and their propagandists are
       | playing right now...)
        
       | mardifoufs wrote:
       | >The report he finally did submit worried the agency's grant
       | specialists. It stated that scientists planned to create an
       | infectious clone of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), a
       | novel coronavirus found in dromedaries that had emerged in Saudi
       | Arabia in 2012 and killed 35% of the humans it infected. The
       | report also made clear that the NIH grant had already been used
       | to construct two chimeric coronaviruses similar to the one that
       | caused Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), which emerged in
       | 2002 and went on to cause at least 774 deaths worldwide. (A
       | chimeric virus is one that combines fragments of different
       | viruses.) These revelations prompted the NIH's grant specialists
       | to ask a critical question: Should the work be subject to a
       | federal moratorium on what was called gain-of-function research?
       | 
       | Wait what?! Is this new information ? Because this is incredibly
       | troubling
        
         | travisathougies wrote:
         | No this is not new information. Rand Paul has been on this for
         | a long time, but has been censored from most platforms because
         | of it.
        
           | pvarangot wrote:
           | Look I find Rand Paul as amusing as the next guy and I like
           | that he has a voice, but he's been censored because he sounds
           | insane. I watched most of the discussions with Fauci honestly
           | it's just two old dudes that hate each other trying to get
           | the other dude to say the thing that will give them their
           | political win.
        
           | sorry_outta_gas wrote:
           | i'm not worried about it big brother keeps us safe and happy
           | he helps me so i can't ever be wrong
        
           | naoqj wrote:
           | Wait a few years until you hear about the biochem weapons
           | labs in Ukraine.
        
             | travisathougies wrote:
             | I'm confused about this comment. The biochem weapons lab in
             | Ukraine are accusations Putin has made but has not
             | substantiated, whereas the GoF research being done in Wuhan
             | is known and there is ample evidence from many sources,
             | including this Vanity Fair article. If you have a problem
             | with the article's contents, please post your own comment
             | on the main feed instead of making snark comments on mine.
             | Thanks.
        
               | Proven wrote:
        
               | jazzyjackson wrote:
               | > Hunter Biden's little Ukraine-related consulting
               | business related to biolabs
               | 
               | If the Russian defense ministry was a reliable source,
               | Russia might have annexed Ukraine a little sooner. I
               | wouldn't take anything out of state media at their word;
               | I agree NYT can't be trusted, but how is Russia Today
               | better?
        
               | dEnigma wrote:
               | I don't quite understand. Are you saying that Hunter
               | Biden consulted for bio-weapon labs in Ukraine?
        
               | speeder wrote:
               | I believe he is referencing this:
               | 
               | https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10652127/Hunter-
               | Bid...
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | It's not Star Wars; you don't have to work so hard to
               | cram all the different characters together into one
               | single plotline like this.
        
         | nicoburns wrote:
         | No it's not, and yes it is. That these laboratories were (and
         | still are?) doing gain of function research - deliberately
         | creating new variants of viruses to study them - has been known
         | since the start of the pandemic (the results are published in
         | reputable scientific journals, and a lot of the funding came
         | from western medical research bodies). And it's definitely
         | something I think we need to have a societal conversation
         | about. Personally in light of recent events I feel like this is
         | something we probably ought not to be doing.
        
           | f7ebc20c97 wrote:
           | I keep hearing this a lot, but how do "we as a society" have
           | a "conversation" about something, exactly? Twitter?
        
           | mardifoufs wrote:
           | Yeah I knew about GoF research but I didn't know they planned
           | on doing it on MERS. Another troubling thing was that they
           | basically ignored the moratorium so even if measures were
           | taken to stop GoF... they were just ignored by using a
           | foreign lab as a loophole?
           | 
           | To me it's mind-boggling that you could get arrested and
           | fined for violating covid-related restrictions but people who
           | did much much much more potentially dangerous stuff are not
           | only getting away with it but also kept getting financed by
           | the government. Even if covid turns out to not originate from
           | a lab, just the insane potential risks that came from the
           | blatant violations of the GoF moratorium should have been
           | enough to land people in trouble. Especially since us
           | commoners were punished based on the _possibility_ that we
           | could transmit the virus, whether we were infected or
           | completely virus free didn 't matter.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | Yes, this is where the whole lab leak "conspiracy" came
             | from.
             | 
             | The lab was doing GoF research with bat and pangolin
             | Coronaviruses exploring if the spike protein can be
             | modified to enter through the human ACE2 receptor. There
             | are a number of papers from Ralph Baric and Shi Zhengli on
             | the topic with research done at the Wuhan lab.
        
             | ryanobjc wrote:
             | I think your 'commoners' framing... is not helpful here.
             | 
             | You raise a few objectionable assertions that I think is
             | good to contemplate: - GoF was never banned - The ban was
             | NIH funding GoF - The ban was lifted in 2017 anyways - Is
             | this risky? The ban on funding it doesn't mean it's risky,
             | as per se. - The potential pie in the eye risk are
             | infinite, but what are the realistic risks? That really
             | depends on the technical details of how the research is
             | done, and where it's done. - Compare and contrast to
             | activities that are very dangerous and have nearly infinite
             | catastrophic risks but we do every day: driving, flying,
             | operating nuclear power plants, refining oil, and much much
             | more.
             | 
             | All of this research came out of the desire not to be
             | caught flat footed by the next version of SARS or MERS.
             | Overall global research did in fact prep us for SARS-CoV-2.
             | Vaccines "made in months" that have stood the test of
             | efficacy and safety? Months if you ignore the years of
             | research behind it.
             | 
             | Is this particular thing excessively dangerous or not? I'm
             | not 100% sure. Most of the "this is unacceptable" seems to
             | be coming from people who seem to have a visceral hatred of
             | Dr Fauci and who as head of the NIH was indirectly
             | responsible for this funding. But I don't find that a
             | reasonable line of reasoning. One thing I know, is every
             | scientist I know is not paid a boat load, and care deeply
             | about what they are doing and why.
             | 
             | Perhaps GoF is too 'dangerous', but maybe we should also
             | hear about how it can be made safe, how does it compare in
             | hazardousness to other common things that are deemed 'safe'
             | and what the benefits are.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Yep - we kept having near-misses with prior
               | coronaviruses, so understandably, scientists were
               | spending a ton of energy trying to figure out what makes
               | them so pathogenic and how the animal-human jumps occur.
               | Considering the fact that SARS and MERS both came from
               | zoonotic origin (and IMO, Sarscov2 did as well) - we
               | should really be spending our energy on the best research
               | methods to prevent another pandemic, whether that's GoF
               | research or something else.
        
               | TeeMassive wrote:
               | Even if "we" figure out how the animal-jump can occur,
               | it's not like "we" can stop it or even predict it.
               | 
               | And the probability that what is created in a lab will be
               | close enough to what is naturally occurring in nature to
               | be useful are none to zero.
        
               | fn-mote wrote:
               | > Even if "we" figure out how the animal-jump can occur,
               | it's not like "we" can stop it or even predict it.
               | 
               | The first step is understanding. Until you understand how
               | it happens, statements about whether or not you can
               | prevent it do not make much sense to me.
               | 
               | For example: imagine you have not yet discovered that the
               | unwashed hands of doctors are transmitting disease in a
               | hospital. You might make a statement very similar to
               | yours about how "even if we can figure out how people get
               | sick, it's not like we can stop it".
        
               | mardifoufs wrote:
               | I don't have any particular opinion on fauci and 2 years
               | ago I'd have agreed on pretty much everything you said.
               | The issue though is not necessarily the GoF research by
               | itself. If the scientists involved did not try to
               | completely silence everyone, cover their tracks and
               | basically stonewall any potential investigation, I
               | wouldn't see the problem.
               | 
               | From my point of view, you simply cannot access the risk
               | when the main party involved in taking and being
               | responsible for said risk has proven itself to be so
               | shady. We all know that there is inherent dangers to this
               | type of research, but we can't account for human
               | deception and tribal wagon circling on top of that.
               | 
               | The proponents of GoF could've come clean, been
               | transparent and welcomed the scrutiny considering the
               | insane magnitude of the situation. But they have not!
               | Even if it turns out that this is purely zoonotic, the
               | trust is rightfully broken imo. Maybe research should
               | continue, even on GoF, but consequences should now be
               | clear. The article details such a long pattern of
               | deliberate obfuscation, gaslighting and outright
               | manipulation that it's becomes impossible to give them
               | the benefit of the doubt.
               | 
               | Also, considering that we went through the biggest
               | pandemic in past century during which most people have
               | seen their lives literally dictated by arbitrary (and
               | very low) risk thresholds that authorities have decided
               | to follow... it would be a bit rich to now just say that
               | we have to live with the risks of scientists fucking up
               | and that we have to let the pros handle it. Yes screw ups
               | happen, but asking billions of people to just live with
               | the consequences won't work.
               | 
               | Again, 2 years ago I'd have said that we need to take the
               | risk because it can have tremendous benefits. But as much
               | as appealing to "commoners" might sound lazy, there's
               | still something deeply wrong when we see a much stronger
               | and visceral reactions/consequences to maskless "karens"
               | than we do to the individuals involved with orgs like the
               | EcoHealth alliance. Yes it's maybe a populist take, but
               | at some point the elitism becomes so blatant that even
               | populism makes sense
        
               | arcticfox wrote:
               | > Compare and contrast to activities that are very
               | dangerous and have nearly infinite catastrophic risks but
               | we do every day: driving, flying, operating nuclear power
               | plants, refining oil, and much much more.
               | 
               | What? The risks for each of those, even the nuclear power
               | plant operation, are extremely limited and localized. GoF
               | research has potential _near-extinction_ levels of risk.
               | Nuclear weapons are the ony thing on remotely the same
               | tier IMO. It 's not to say that GoF is not a good idea,
               | as clearly there is potential benefit. But to compare it
               | to the risks of driving a car is apples to radioactive
               | oranges.
        
             | TeeMassive wrote:
             | The conspiracy theory (at this point, is it even one?) is
             | that they want to create a virus that targets only certain
             | ethnic group, like SARS2 did to some extent, or at least
             | being a able to have the vaccine before everyone else,
             | which also happened to some extent.
             | 
             | Because otherwise there are no valid reasons to create this
             | kind of pathogens in labs; the chance the bugs created
             | there will be similar to the naturally occurring ones are
             | basically none and even less so that the vaccines or
             | treatment will be or remain efficient treatment.
        
               | rcpt wrote:
               | > they want to create a virus that targets only certain
               | ethnic group
               | 
               | Ok that is totally made up.
               | 
               | There are plenty of reasons that researchers make
               | dangerous pathogens that have nothing to do with ethnic
               | cleansing.
               | 
               | Some of these methods even get published despite the
               | risks that the knowledge presents
               | https://www.nature.com/articles/nature.2012.10875
        
           | ars wrote:
           | > doing gain of function research - deliberately creating new
           | variants of viruses to study them
           | 
           | What do they learn from these studies? The drawbacks to GOF
           | is clear - but what are the potential gains that makes the
           | risks worthwhile?
        
             | pvarangot wrote:
             | Disclaimer: I think the virus leaked from a lab because
             | scientists are usually more stupid and reckless than what
             | their funders think they are, so maybe I'm insane and you
             | shouldn't listen to me because I can affect your mental
             | health. Also what I will write may be very dangerous
             | misinformation so be careful because if you keep reading
             | you consent to being misinformed. This writing is known by
             | the state of California to cause cancer.
             | 
             | There's two objectives of this type of research. One is
             | that after you have the new virus you can try different
             | drugs on it, so that if gets out you can rapidly control
             | it. Usually the drugs you try are ones that the company you
             | work for sell or have a patent for. I think creating a
             | pathogen and then testing how you can cure it with stuff
             | that you can sell for a big profit creates a conflict of
             | interest if it's also your responsibility to be sure it's
             | not released, but apparently I'm pretty alone in this
             | conspiranoic belief.
             | 
             | The other objective is creating a bioweapon, or getting
             | ready for one. The US allegedly withdrew from researching
             | bioweapons in an offensive manner but offensive and
             | defensive research are very similar in that field because
             | you speculate what viruses your alleged adversaries have
             | and then recreate them to try the vaccines against them.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | alkjlk43t34t wrote:
        
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