[HN Gopher] How much do things really cost?
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       How much do things really cost?
        
       Author : hhs
       Score  : 64 points
       Date   : 2022-04-02 19:08 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.newyorker.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.newyorker.com)
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | http://web.archive.org/web/20220402193358/https://www.newyor...
       | 
       | https://archive.ph/5qZDc
        
       | Gunax wrote:
       | I think it's good as a lesson or exercise, but I think a lot of
       | this tallying must end up being dubious.
       | 
       | How does one account for _underpayment of labour_ or the
       | _inconvenience of roads_?
        
       | fortran77 wrote:
       | The "true cost" of food is made even more complex in countries
       | like the U.S. where 66% of people are obese or overweight. The
       | cost of obesity is tremendous, affecting everything from health
       | care costs, to clothing costs (for every extra inch you are
       | around the waist, you need several square feet of fabric), to
       | transportation fuel costs (it costs more to move obese people
       | around). So perhaps charging much more for food over 2,000
       | kCal/day per person makes a lot of sense. There are externalities
       | that we all end up paying for.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | shrubble wrote:
       | So what would happen to the water in the tomato, if the tomato
       | was never grown? This whole concept seems prone to "imaginary
       | dollars" being considered as real.
        
         | toper-centage wrote:
         | What is your point? Tomatoes are grown in sunny locations and
         | usually watered artificially. So ungrown tomatoes are unwatered
         | tomatoes.
        
           | dsr_ wrote:
           | Tomatoes grow really nicely in New Jersey with much less
           | artificial irrigation. But New Jersey real estate is much
           | more expensive than the California desert.
        
           | forum_ghost wrote:
           | imaginary accounting isn't bounded by the consensus reality.
           | 
           | you could really paint the picture either way you like, given
           | enough effort.
        
         | 6510 wrote:
         | A better question is to wonder how we can at least visualize
         | externalities. On the one hand it is impossibly hard, on the
         | other it is easy to improve over the current _lets not talk
         | about them_ approach.
         | 
         | I had pondered itemized bills so that we may at least make that
         | data available but it wouldn't be very useful compared to what
         | it costs to gather the data. It just wouldn't fit in our
         | attention span. The shooting from the hip approach taken by De
         | Aanzet is good enough to expand the attention all the way up to
         | HN and beyond.
        
       | matsemann wrote:
       | In a similar vein, drivers don't realize just how much their car
       | usage is subsidized. They feel they pay more than enough for
       | their use, given petrol taxes and other fees, but it's not even
       | remotely close to cover the cost impacted on society.
        
         | WildGreenLeave wrote:
         | Given the article talks about a company in The Netherlands, and
         | that The Netherlands is the most expensive country to own a car
         | within Europe [0], I truly wonder how far off we are. Not
         | saying that we are (or should be) close, but genuinely
         | interested how far off we are.
         | 
         | [0]: https://www.fleeteurope.com/en/financial-
         | models/europe/featu...
         | 
         | Edit: added source
        
           | thazework wrote:
           | This article suggests about 5k euros in social costs per year
           | for Germany
           | 
           | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092180092.
           | ..
        
         | rtlfe wrote:
         | The link with the actual data is long dead, but the numbers in
         | this image seem plausible.
         | 
         | https://twitter.com/BrentToderian/status/801641590380851200
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | What numbers? It just asserts that society pays $9.20 for
           | every $1 you spent driving. I don't see how that alone is
           | plausible. A quick google says the annual TCO for a car (ie.
           | how much "driving costs you") is $9,561[1]. If that figure is
           | correct, then each car is costing society a whopping
           | $87,961/year. Keep in mind, the US GDP per capita is only
           | around $60-70k/year. Yes I know each person doesn't
           | necessarily own a car, but it seems implausible that cars are
           | actually costing a significant fraction of the GDP.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/loans/auto-
           | loans/total-co...
        
             | amelius wrote:
             | Yes, if you take negative externalities into account, the
             | GDP is actually negative :)
             | 
             | ...
             | 
             | :(
        
         | PopAlongKid wrote:
         | > drivers don't realize just how much their car usage is
         | subsidized.[...]it's not even remotely close to cover the cost
         | impacted on society.
         | 
         | Aren't car drivers, and their passengers, a very large portion
         | of "society"? And even for those who never use a vehicle, don't
         | they depend heavily on many other members of society who do,
         | such as doctors, teachers, fire and police, food providers, and
         | almost every other class of worker?
         | 
         | Are you saying that somehow the vast legions of car
         | drivers/passengers out there are not part of society and
         | therefore are not paying the true cost?
        
           | x3iv130f wrote:
           | I had a recent vacation to Japan where the average person
           | commutes by train instead of car.
           | 
           | By your criteria the vast majority of that country wouldn't
           | be classified as a "society".
           | 
           | At least in the US, the government is paying vast and
           | unsustainable sums of money to prop up a failing and
           | inefficient form of transportation.
           | 
           | That inefficiency was created at a time when the US was the
           | only significant industrial power.
           | 
           | We no longer have extra factory capacity from the second
           | world war or armies of returning GIs to work in those
           | factories or buy those products. We now have to compete on
           | the world stage against other economies we're poorly matched
           | to beat.
           | 
           | It is time to move on to the 21st century and design our
           | solutions to fit our current capabilities instead of what
           | existed 70 years ago.
        
           | rtlfe wrote:
           | Driving a car is not a requirement for any of those
           | professions.
        
             | PopAlongKid wrote:
             | My comment had nothing to do with requirements. If I drive
             | a car, and it causes pollution where I live, then aren't I,
             | as part of society, paying the "true" cost? I say "where I
             | live" because every car trip I take starts and ends at my
             | front door.
             | 
             | I simply can't understand how car users impose "true costs"
             | on everyone else, but not themselves, which is what the GP
             | was claiming.
        
               | AlotOfReading wrote:
               | What they mean is that the vehicle-specific costs they
               | incur aren't sufficient to cover the true costs to
               | society, from pollution cleanup to road maintenance.
               | Instead, those funds must be drawn from general sources
               | like income taxes. Once you account for social ills like
               | pollution, the costs end up falling disproportionately on
               | the people who can least afford them and contribute the
               | least to the problem.
        
               | TulliusCicero wrote:
               | > If I drive a car, and it causes pollution where I live,
               | then aren't I, as part of society, paying the "true"
               | cost?
               | 
               | No, because part of the cost is the fact that pollution
               | in that area affects everyone -- including non-drivers.
               | You're paying _part_ of the cost, yes, but not the whole
               | thing.
               | 
               | Imagine if there was some mechanism such that non-drivers
               | inhaled as much pollution as there'd be if there were no
               | cars*, and drivers inhaled as much pollution as is
               | proportional to however much pollution they themselves
               | create (this would vary not just based on a binary do/do
               | not drive, but on how much you drive and how polluting
               | your vehicle is). Then each person would be paying the
               | true cost.
               | 
               | A true cost has to be proportional to the damage done,
               | such that changing behavior results in changing cost
               | paid.
               | 
               | * leaving aside the impracticality of zero non-electric
               | cars for the moment
        
               | rtlfe wrote:
               | > I simply can't understand how car users impose "true
               | costs" on everyone else, but not themselves, which is
               | what the GP was claiming.
               | 
               | The point is that everybody pays the costs whether they
               | drive or not. If the costs were more directly tied to how
               | much each person drives, there would be a lot less
               | driving overall.
        
               | AmericanChopper wrote:
               | The conclusion is total bunk, and you can only reach it
               | by selecting which externalities you want to measure, and
               | which externalities you want to ignore. For instance the
               | fact that a car owner can travel large distances to work
               | or spend money any time they like is a massively
               | beneficial externality. You also have to ignore the
               | externalities that the non-car-owners benefit from. If
               | somebody has managed to situate themselves in an ideal
               | location for them specifically to live without a car,
               | then they almost certainly only managed to do that by
               | benefitting from the positive externalities created by
               | car owners (unless they're living in the woods or
               | something).
        
               | rtlfe wrote:
               | > For instance the fact that a car owner can travel large
               | distances to work or spend money any time they like is a
               | massively beneficial externality.
               | 
               | You shouldn't have to travel long distances to do those
               | things. This is only considered normal in the US because
               | so much was built specifically for the convenience of
               | drivers.
        
               | AmericanChopper wrote:
               | It takes 10 minutes to drive 5 miles at 30mph, walking
               | that same distance would take a typical person about 90
               | minutes. 5 miles is a large distance and wanting to go
               | somewhere that's 5 miles away is normal for any place in
               | the world.
        
               | wasmitnetzen wrote:
               | You ignore bikes and usable public transport, which a lot
               | of places in the world have.
        
               | rtlfe wrote:
               | > wanting to go somewhere that's 5 miles away is normal
               | for any place in the world
               | 
               | In pretty much any pre-car city you can get everything
               | you need on a daily basis within a 10 minute walk from
               | home, and if your job is farther you can ride a train.
               | 
               | Edit - For people familiar with the NYC region, here's a
               | 5 miles radius from midtown. https://imgur.com/a/cfIqOvo
               | This is an enormous area, and my rough guess is that 4
               | million people live in that circle.
        
               | AmericanChopper wrote:
               | As I said:
               | 
               | > If somebody has managed to situate themselves in an
               | ideal location for them specifically to live without a
               | car, then they almost certainly only managed to do that
               | by benefitting from the positive externalities created by
               | car owners
               | 
               | I can, and frequently do, walk to my nearest supermarket.
               | But I know for a fact that if cars disappeared for a day
               | then it would be unable to open its doors. These small
               | areas of hyper-convenience don't exist without cars.
               | 
               | I live 9 miles away from my office though, so that would
               | be a lot more difficult.
               | 
               | > In pretty much any pre-car city you can get everything
               | you need on a daily basis within a 10 minute walk from
               | home
               | 
               | I'm sure if you wanted to undo 80+ years of economic
               | development, we'd be able to recreate that society...
               | that economic development is of course one of the
               | positive externalities you're choosing to ignore. So if
               | this is your agenda, I'd suggest you try to figure out
               | how catastrophically devastating that would be for the
               | economy first.
        
               | rtlfe wrote:
               | > These small areas of hyper-convenience don't exist
               | without cars.
               | 
               | That's completely backward. Here are two different takes
               | on how cities subsidize suburbs and rural areas.
               | 
               | https://www.brookings.edu/research/why-rural-america-
               | needs-c...
               | 
               | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI
        
             | moffkalast wrote:
             | Yeah those were terrible examples. But more proper ones
             | would be: truck and van drivers for mail, food and other
             | delivery to stores, bus drivers, taxi drivers, farmers,
             | police, EMT, etc.
        
               | rtlfe wrote:
               | Those could all be less reliant on cars than they
               | currently are too. For example:
               | 
               | * UPS is trying "equad" bikes:
               | https://www.reuters.com/technology/ups-tries-out-equad-
               | elect...
               | 
               | * London has bike paramedics:
               | https://www.londonambulance.nhs.uk/calling-us/who-will-
               | treat...
               | 
               | * Most taxi rides in urban areas could easily be replaced
               | with e-pedicabs
        
               | adhesive_wombat wrote:
               | That's not how bike paramedics work. From your link:
               | 
               | > They are able to reach patients quickly and start to
               | give life-saving treatment while an ambulance is on the
               | way.
               | 
               | You still need an ambulance, because that person is going
               | to need to go to hospital in nearly all cases except the
               | most trivial "fell over while drunk" cases, and backies
               | are impractical for the average person in need of a
               | paramedic.
        
             | ajsnigrutin wrote:
             | Many things are not a requirement for survival, but we
             | still like to do them.
             | 
             | Yes, driving a car to get from A to B in (usually) the
             | fastest and most comfortable way wastes some energy and
             | generates some pollution... but so does reading a book
             | (wood for paper, ink, energy for lighting), eating any non-
             | local food, eating meat, sex not for procreation, etc.
        
               | adhesive_wombat wrote:
               | > some energy and generates some pollution... but so does
               | .... sex not for procreation
               | 
               | I think sex _for_ procreation is likely the one thing you
               | could possibly do with the highest resulting pollution.
        
           | teawrecks wrote:
           | They're saying that fossils fuels don't price in the cost
           | that everyone will have to pay in response to climate change,
           | and that's the only reason they're still considered
           | affordable and a viable source of energy. If we carbon taxed
           | them proportional to the damage they do, it wouldn't even be
           | close to renewables.
        
             | rtlfe wrote:
             | The impact of burning gas isn't the only hidden cost. There
             | are big health effects from air pollution caused by brake
             | dust, tires, and other car components. There are all the
             | people who are disabled and killed in crashes. There's all
             | the space that could be used for parks, flood mitigation,
             | etc if it wasn't dedicated to driving and storing cars.
             | There's noise pollution that has a tangible impact on sleep
             | and stress.
        
               | ajsnigrutin wrote:
               | Most of that can also be said for bars, restaurants,
               | living rooms, gyms etc. If you have a kitchen at home,
               | you don't need a bar and a restaurant. Soft drinks?
               | Useless unhealthy pollution. Alcohol, even worse. Why
               | have two rooms (bedroom+living room) if you can't be in
               | both at once? And you're wasting space with then, and
               | energy to heat and cool them.
               | 
               | Looking at the causes of death in the developed world, I
               | think food (fast, restaurant, processed and junk food +
               | sugary drinks) kills way more people than cars, even when
               | accounting for pollution, brake dust, etc.
        
               | rtlfe wrote:
               | > Looking at the causes of death in the developed world,
               | I think food (fast, restaurant, processed and junk food +
               | sugary drinks) kills way more people than cars, even when
               | accounting for pollution, brake dust, etc.
               | 
               | A big difference is that I can chose to eat healthy food
               | as an individual, but it's basically impossible to escape
               | the negative impact of cars without a major shift in how
               | government allocates space and money.
        
               | lucb1e wrote:
               | > Soft drinks? Useless unhealthy pollution.
               | 
               | Bit of a false comparison. I have no problem with you
               | drinking soft drinks, and I can do it myself in the
               | moderation that I choose. However, if I want to live near
               | a train station, odds in Germany are basically 100% that
               | there is also a well-traveled car street there with all
               | the accompanying problems. It's more like smoking in
               | someone else's apartment and less like drinking sugar in
               | someone else's apartment.
               | 
               | > Why have two rooms (bedroom+living room) if you can't
               | be in both at once?
               | 
               | I mean you clearly don't even believe this yourself. Not
               | sure if there's a point trying to explain how this
               | comparison doesn't make any sense, either. It has nothing
               | to do with the aforementioned hidden cost of >1 ton metal
               | box transportation with an occupancy rate of one point
               | something.
        
           | dijit wrote:
           | > Are you saying that somehow the vast legions of car
           | drivers/passengers out there are not part of society and
           | therefore are not paying the true cost?
           | 
           | I think the point here is that driving is subsidised and
           | therefore more people that perhaps otherwise wouldn't drive.
           | 
           | It's perhaps very easy to assume the consequence of decisions
           | are obvious and inevitable, but it can be good to question
           | that too.
           | 
           | I guess this would be an immensely tangled argument, but I
           | think the broader point that people don't understand the
           | total cost of driving because it is so subsidised is a good
           | one.
        
         | cgb223 wrote:
         | You could make the economic argument that the "subsidization"
         | of car usage has economic benefits that outweighs the cost of
         | subsidization.
         | 
         | If more people can afford to get to work because of the
         | subsidies then the net output of work done could be greater
         | than the cost of the subsidy itself.
        
           | newsclues wrote:
           | You could argue that, but it would conflict with the fact
           | that the auto industry dismantled public transportation
           | networks to sell more gas, tires and cars.
           | 
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motors_streetcar_con.
           | ..
        
           | ivanech wrote:
           | sure but this frames it as if cars are the only way to get
           | people to work. There are more efficient means that would
           | require less subsidy and cause less waste (heavy rail
           | transit, building places to live that don't require a car,
           | bike roads, etc)
        
             | anamax wrote:
             | You're assuming that people live to work when most people
             | work to live.
             | 
             | The difference is that the latter would happily NOT work,
             | or at least not work at what they do, if they could support
             | their life. The former will happily change their life to
             | make work easier.
        
               | lucb1e wrote:
               | I don't understand how building nice bicycle
               | infrastructure instead of smokey stroads implies living
               | to work rather than working to live.
        
         | adhesive_wombat wrote:
         | It's also hard to untangle from other things. For example, car
         | drivers are subsidised heavily by road infrastructure being
         | paid for by general taxation.
         | 
         | However, those same roads also allow rapid and fine-grained
         | transport of almost everything physical that anyone in society
         | uses: food, clothes, furniture, building materials, most
         | industrial materials, machinery and components all probably
         | were moved on a truck at some point. Probably the only thing
         | that likely didn't is water, and even then the treatment
         | chemicals did. Even if goods moved from ports to regional hubs
         | by train (which they probably should), you still need to move
         | them by road from the hubs (and again if they are used to
         | produce other goods). Much as I love trains, they're no good
         | for delivering 1000kg to a specific urban building, and much as
         | I love bicycles, neither are they.
         | 
         | So, much of that road that counts for the cost of the car
         | drivers would still exist even if the cars didn't. Even in the
         | suburbs you will still need houses to be visited by vehicles
         | sometimes, even if only for construction or emergency purposes.
         | 
         | Moreover, because the vehicles that would be left are
         | physically large and heavy (heavy goods vehicles, emergency
         | vehicles, public transport and construction equipment), the
         | cost of roads would not substantially decrease even if you
         | deleted every car, since it's those vehicles that dictate
         | minimum road strength and that wear roads most in the first
         | place.
        
           | mjevans wrote:
           | Inclined to agree, but those giant noisy consumer trucks with
           | multiple tires or the mini-monster truck tires seem likely to
           | be heavy enough to matter.
           | 
           | It would also be a generally good idea to break this "go to
           | the office" mentality unless there is work that can only be
           | done there. That's some low-hanging fruit to reduce our
           | energy use.
        
         | ta8645 wrote:
         | Another way to express what you're saying is: only the rich
         | should drive.
         | 
         | IMHO, we should things the way they are, and spread the true
         | costs of driving across all of society. The rich should pay
         | higher taxes so that they pay more than the true cost of their
         | car usage, to subsidize the driving of the less well off.
        
           | elil17 wrote:
           | Or to subsidize the construction of public transit
           | infrastructure - long term, society will be wealthier
        
           | rtlfe wrote:
           | > only the rich should drive.
           | 
           | Alternate ways of saying the same thing include "make driving
           | optional" or "driving should be considered a luxury."
           | 
           | I.e. we should structure our cities and towns so that most
           | people are able to conveniently do most of their activities
           | without driving.
        
             | ivanech wrote:
             | Yes, my ideal terminal state would be for driving to be
             | predominantly done by professionals (like delivery drivers)
             | or for leisure. Nobody in major metro would need to drive
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | hhs wrote:
         | In the U.S., there is the Monroney sticker that provides some
         | information about petrol/fuel economy and society impact (e.g.,
         | the environment):
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monroney_sticker
        
         | ascar wrote:
         | I would really like to see a reference for that.
         | 
         | Just to state one potential counter argument: as far as I know
         | most road damage is caused by trucks (I don't remember exactly
         | but IIRC there is a quadratic or even kubic relation between
         | weight per wheel and applied force to the asphalt), so most
         | road maintenance cost is not related to personal car usage.
        
           | SECProto wrote:
           | The depth of a road (thickness of asphalt and granular
           | layers) is determined largely by the loading (i.e. how many
           | big trucks will be travelling on it).
           | 
           | The width of a road (# of lanes) is determined mostly by how
           | many vehicles per hour are travelling on it, which means
           | mostly cars.
           | 
           | The width of a lane is determined by how many large vehicles
           | per hour are travelling on it, which means buses and trucks.
           | 
           | The grade of a road (how steep it is) is generally determined
           | by the lowest weight-to-power ratio, i.e. fully loaded
           | transports
           | 
           | The grade of asphalt used is determined by annual average
           | maximum and minimum temperatures, how many heavy vehicles
           | will be using it, and how many vehicles total will be using
           | it (lower grades of asphalt can be used on smaller streets,
           | lower quality binder can used in areas with less temperature
           | variation, and asphalt with higher quantity of coarse
           | aggregate and larger compactive effort has to be used if it's
           | a truck/bus route)
           | 
           | The frequency a road is resurfaced is governed by a few
           | things, frequency of heavy road users is a big one (but at
           | least in my local area, the number of freeze-thaw cycles is
           | more important)
           | 
           | All that is to say: road damage is largely caused by trucks
           | and freeze-thaw cycles, but cost of the road is largely
           | governed by how many lanes of traffic there are, which is
           | caused by cars. Remove all the cars from your street and a
           | two lane non-divided highway with a passing lane every couple
           | KM would suffice in most places.
        
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