[HN Gopher] Primer: Statistical Armour
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Primer: Statistical Armour
        
       Author : germinalphrase
       Score  : 133 points
       Date   : 2022-04-15 14:50 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.tanknology.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.tanknology.co.uk)
        
       | Decabytes wrote:
       | It's clear that the writer is very passionate about this topic. I
       | didn't realize that the idea was for the RPG to get stuck in the
       | bar. I always though it was so the explosion was outside of the
       | vehicle. This article doesn't paint a particularly good picture
       | for the armor. Which makes me believe that the person who came up
       | with this got a lot of good money, but the value for the soldiers
       | isn't there.
        
         | burnished wrote:
         | How did you come to that conclusion?
        
           | meatmanek wrote:
           | Indeed. The author of the article came to the opposite
           | conclusion:
           | 
           | > Is bar armour worth it? It depends, but broadly yes, it is
           | cheap, simple, and adds a layer of increased protection
           | against a common and widely proliferated threat that would
           | otherwise be very likely to do significant damage to a
           | vehicle, particularly lighter classes of vehicle like
           | protected patrol and utility vehicles (MRAPs in old money)
           | that are vastly overmatched by the threat.
        
         | aidenn0 wrote:
         | I don't know; I get the sense that it was "Someone shoots an
         | RPG-7 at your MRAP; you're definitely screwed. Someone shoots
         | an RPG-7 at your MRAP with bar-armor, you're only maybe
         | screwed"
         | 
         | Seems like "maybe screwed" is a big improvement over
         | "definitely screwed"
        
       | george_ciobanu wrote:
       | Super helpful and well documented article, thank you!
        
       | sorokod wrote:
       | Given the apparent vulnerability of MBTs (main battle tanks) as
       | demonstrated in Ukraine to cheap-ish weapons, is this the end of
       | the road for MBTs?
        
         | mcguire wrote:
         | Tanks have always been vulnerable to cheaper weapons, whether
         | that's an anti-tank gun hidden in rubble or a NLAW. This is why
         | tanks require infantry support---to locate and deal with those
         | threats while the tanks deal with things the infantry cannot.
         | 
         | Many of the videos from Ukraine have been ambushes (sort of a
         | separate matter) or of AFVs operating without close infantry
         | support. That's not a good way to do things.
        
           | sorokod wrote:
           | Is your assumption that the Russians do not know that "tanks
           | require infantry support" or just ignore this fact?
        
             | dogma1138 wrote:
             | More likely lack of training, discipline and morale.
             | 
             | The Russian armed forces are still prone to inter branch
             | fighting and intra branch infighting between officers.
             | 
             | Basically they still operate like the military of some el
             | presidente banana republic.
             | 
             | And currently there is no larger than life actually
             | competent field marshal Zhukov like leadership to make all
             | of them fall in line.
        
         | ranger207 wrote:
         | Well, what would an MBT be replaced with? You'll still need a
         | vehicle carrying heavy weapons to take out bunkers, enemy
         | vehicles, etc. Maybe you can have an ATGM carrier with a bunch
         | of missiles. But missiles are expensive, so maybe if you fit a
         | specialized fire control system to a gun you can get the same
         | accuracy as a missile but cheaper. That's going to be heavy, so
         | you'll probably want tracks to spread the weight[0]. Then
         | you'll want to protect your big and heavy vehicle too so it
         | can't be killed by say someone with a common RPG-7. And now
         | what do you have? A tank.
         | 
         | Certainly things are going to change in the future. Active
         | protection systems (APSs) are going to be basically required,
         | and I wouldn't be surprised if APSs became the main armor.
         | After WWII the effectiveness of HEAT made designers believe
         | armor was ineffective, so many post-war designs sacrificed
         | armor for speed, such as the Leopard 1, so something similar
         | could happen again.
         | 
         | But an important part of the equation is tactics. A very
         | similar question to "why do we still need MBTs" is "why do we
         | still need infantry" and the answer is the same: they
         | synergise[1]. Infantry need tanks to blow up hard points, and
         | tanks need infantry to keep an eye on the surroundings,
         | suppress and occupy potential firing points, take buildings to
         | prevent them from being used to fire ATGMs and to use to look
         | out for enemy ATGMs, etc. Infantry itself doesn't do anything
         | to reduce the threat of missiles, but infantry-tank
         | coordination tactics do.
         | 
         | [0] For example, the Stryker MGS is a wheeled vehicle carrying
         | a gun. It's widely regarded to suck badly, but in principle
         | there's no reason you couldn't have a good wheeled gun carrier.
         | 
         | [1] Also you need infantry to go places tanks can't go and root
         | out defenders, plus actually do the work of holding enemy
         | territory like talking to local leaders, clearing the radio
         | station of hostile DJs, etc
        
           | YeGoblynQueenne wrote:
           | >> Well, what would an MBT be replaced with?
           | 
           | Powered armour?
        
           | sorokod wrote:
           | > Well, what would an MBT be replaced with?
           | 
           | Don't know, but that is a different question.
           | 
           | BTW some/many of the MBT in this war are already equipped
           | with active protection systems e.g Shtora (
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shtora-1 ).
           | 
           | See the T-80 and T-90 sections here:
           | https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-
           | docum...
        
             | greedo wrote:
             | Shtora is really not an APS. It's more of a countermeasure
             | system designed to fool the laser guidance used by missiles
             | etc. Think of it like ECM for a tank.
             | 
             | APS is more along the lines of Trophy (Israeli and
             | eventually US), or Drozd/Arena (RU) where radar senses
             | projectiles, and fires counter projectiles at the incoming
             | round/missile.
             | 
             | Drozd was never really implemented; partially due to cost,
             | but also because it tended to kill any infantry
             | accompanying the tanks. Arena appears to be much of the
             | same tech, focused on RPG type weapons as well as ATGMs. I
             | think the reason we don't see much of it on the Russian
             | tanks is again, cost. The export version was pitched to
             | South Korea at $300k per unit. And compared to the cost of
             | a T-72B3, that's a significant amount to add. Or it could
             | be the typical Russian military corruption we've been
             | seeing in Ukraine.
        
               | sorokod wrote:
               | I think you are confusing APS systems in general (of
               | which Shtora is one) and the subset of APS systems that
               | are hard-kill such as Trophy.
               | 
               | Of course regardless of efficiency, an APS system has to
               | be installed in the first place and it is possible that
               | that is not the common case in Ukraine.
        
           | rectang wrote:
           | > _Well, what would an MBT be replaced with?_
           | 
           | For taking out hard targets: precision artillery firing
           | guided munitions from further behind the front lines, with
           | minimal armor but protected by APS, and highly mobile to
           | shoot and scoot?
        
         | dogma1138 wrote:
         | No.
         | 
         | Both the US and Germany bought Trophy, the Dutch bought Iron
         | Fist (another Israeli APS), a few other NATO members are
         | evaluating Trophy and also working on their own APS.
         | 
         | So MBTs are going no where, APS would become more common and
         | more important and the doctrine of now not having your tanks
         | alone without infantry and ISR proving support would be even
         | more solidified.
        
           | sorokod wrote:
           | I suppose that by APS you mean hard-kill systems such as Iron
           | Fist and Trophy. As far as I know they are not effective
           | against "top attacks".
        
             | dogma1138 wrote:
             | Both are advertised as being effective against high
             | elevation threats, both Trophy and Iron Fist have been
             | tested against missiles launched from helicopters when
             | during their acceptance testing by the Israelis.
             | 
             | Trophy has a +- 38 degrees of elevation firing, Iron Fist
             | can do -40-+60.
             | 
             | At least against something like an NLAW that flys above the
             | tank both would have a firing solution.
             | 
             | The US when evaluating the system for both the Bradley and
             | the Abrams tested it against the Javelin and other modern
             | anti tank threats.
             | 
             | As far as non-western weapon go Trophy has intercepted
             | fairly modern ATGMs like the Russian Kornet-E and it's
             | licensed Iranian clones which also employ a top-attack
             | attack profile.
        
         | ceeplusplus wrote:
         | I'm guessing we're going to see more active protection [1] that
         | tries to detonate incoming projectiles at a distance to nullify
         | the effectiveness of shaped charges.
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iKeuVHKc92U
        
           | picture wrote:
           | Good lord.. While I know about existence of APS especially on
           | Merkava tanks, this video really shows how modern warfare can
           | brush right up against science fiction.
           | 
           | We're able to detect an incoming round and automatically kill
           | it with a directed explosion, all faster than you can blink.
           | What, are we going to see munitions that has submunitions of
           | its own to counter the countermeasure next? (That might be a
           | reasonable development actually)
           | 
           | Either way I'm fortunate that these things aren't used around
           | me, and I'm not in any danger. I would love to one day see
           | those C-beams glitter, as a spectator in safety
        
         | cwmma wrote:
         | Not really, everybody has known that tanks on their own,
         | unsupported by infantry are incredibly vulnerable to anti-tank
         | missiles since, at least the Yom Kippur War (50 years ago)
         | probably longer. The Russians for various reasons didn't and
         | the results were predictable. So no MBTs aren't obsolete they
         | just are very easy to break if you use them wrong.
         | 
         | Also there are newer active protection systems that can defeat
         | missiles like the ones being used, the Russian tanks in the
         | invasion either don't have them or don't have the ones that can
         | detect threats from above.
        
           | sorokod wrote:
           | Actually Yom Kippur war went well for Israel's armour in the
           | north (Golan Heights), the largest tank battle ever if memory
           | serves.
           | 
           | Can you reference the relevant active protection systems?
        
             | cwmma wrote:
             | Re: Yom Kippor in the south is where Egyptian anti tank
             | misses did shocking damage to Israeli tanks which caused a
             | lot of people to predict the imminent death of the MBT 50
             | years ago.
             | 
             | The Russian active protection system is called Arena [1]
             | 
             | 1. http://www.military-today.com/tanks/arena.htm
        
               | sorokod wrote:
               | Looks like a very selective view of the Yom Kippur war
               | given what has happened on the Syrian front and the
               | subsequent development of Israel's own MBT. Can you
               | please share some references to "caused lot of people to
               | predict the imminent death of the MBT 50 years ago" ?
        
               | cwmma wrote:
               | https://fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/land/docs/2sparks98.pdf
               | 
               | https://www.benning.army.mil/armor/earmor/content/issues/
               | 201...
               | 
               | https://www.baen.com/tanksfuture
        
               | sorokod wrote:
               | Thanks!
        
             | jdkee wrote:
             | The largest tank battle would be the Battle of Kursk.
             | 
             | See https://www.britannica.com/event/Battle-of-Kursk
        
       | nosianu wrote:
       | I thanked my good star that when I was drafted into the German
       | army (1991, freshly reunified) I got to be a Leopard 1A5
       | electronicd and weapons systems mechanic (EloWaMech), instead of
       | having to fight in one.
       | 
       | Closer on topic, that tank had an additional no-holes layer of
       | armor in front of the actual armored turret mostly on the two
       | sides, and in the back with much more distance. Here is a model
       | that nevertheless shows it pretty well:
       | 
       | https://www.super-hobby.at/zdjecia/0/7/3/35478_rev03320-4.jp...
       | 
       | If "detonate at a distance" does not work I wonder what the
       | function of _that_ kind of add-on armor was, on the sides
       | specifically?
       | 
       | It should have worked fine against RPG from the back because as
       | you can see it extended quite a bit there, creating external
       | storage space and probably providing ample room that an RPG
       | detonating there would not have done anything to the main unit.
       | But on the sides it was just a few centimeters of space between
       | the additional armor layer and the main armor.
       | 
       | I do remember it was really good steel. We had to replace one of
       | those armor plates, and the new ones had the holes slightly
       | different than the tank we were working on. Getting a new hole
       | drilled into the armor plate proved to be impossible with the
       | drilling tools we had.
        
         | mrguyorama wrote:
         | >If "detonate at a distance" does not work I wonder what the
         | function of that kind of add-on armor was, on the sides
         | specifically?
         | 
         | It depends on the shell/threat you expect to come at you. I
         | don't know if "capped" armor piercing shells were still a
         | concept when those tanks were built. In that case, an initial,
         | small amount of spaced armor is designed to "decap" the shell,
         | because the shell under the cap has significantly less armor
         | penetrating capability.
        
       | LambdaTrain wrote:
       | Multiplying the saved cost by probability of a defeat (which is
       | ineffective mentioned by writer) does not seem bad considering
       | the grid is low-cost design.
       | 
       | But placing timer/accelerator in RPG as a backup plan for fusing
       | in case the warhead is shortcircuited also seems low-cost. I must
       | be missing something here.
        
         | mrguyorama wrote:
         | Good luck retrofitting your extra fusing system into thousands
         | and thousands of RPG-7s.
        
       | h2odragon wrote:
       | Says a lot that the folks employed to be inside the tanks are
       | reaching out for enhanced armor however they can.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | picture wrote:
       | I'm quite interested about military technology like this, are
       | there any good books or resources HN would recommend to learn
       | more about anything from engineering to tactics?
        
         | nomilk wrote:
         | Military History Visualised is great:
         | https://www.youtube.com/c/MilitaryHistory/videos
         | 
         | These two playlists by Ryan McBeth (a SWE, former anti-tank
         | infantryman) are very interesting:
         | 
         | Military equipment, tactics and strategy:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r2s0Szx-kVs&list=PLt670_P7pO...
         | 
         | 40 short Q&A videos about Ukraine :
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M8mJ7hG9xM8&list=PLt670_P7pO...
        
         | openasocket wrote:
         | In addition to military history visualized (mentioned by
         | another commenter), I recommend:
         | 
         | * The Chieftain: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheChieftainsHatch .
         | He has a series on the development of Armored doctrine for
         | various nations prior to WW2 which is a very interesting dive
         | into what military doctrine is and how it is formed.
         | 
         | * Battle Order https://www.youtube.com/c/BattleOrder covers how
         | troops are organized and divided into
         | squads/platoons/companies/battalions/etc in various countries
         | and at various times.
         | 
         | * If you are interested in World War 2, the World War 2 in real
         | time series on YouTube is also fascinating:
         | https://www.youtube.com/c/WorldWarTwo .
         | 
         | * For getting the perspective of national security experts
         | dealing with current events, I would take a look at
         | https://warontherocks.com , which has a mix of articles and
         | associated podcasts. The war on the rocks podcast has been
         | doing weekly updates on the state of the war in Ukraine with
         | Michael Kofman, director for the Russia Studies Program at CNA.
         | I've found those very informative.
         | 
         | * Arms Control Wonk (https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/ ) the
         | blog and podcast are interesting for looking at the military
         | from the point of view of strategic stability.
         | 
         | * https://acoup.blog/ is run by a professor of military
         | history. He covers a variety of topics; he does several series
         | analyzing the historical realism of video games and movies for
         | example. But he also discusses some of the fundamentals of
         | military theory, and tends to focus a lot on what the popular
         | imagination gets right and wrong about the military and warfare
         | throughout the ages.
         | 
         | * There are think tanks like the RAND corporation, CSIS, and
         | CNA that publish papers on a variety of topics in military
         | theory and policy. With a little effort, a lot of them are
         | fairly readable to the layman
         | 
         | * For the deepest dive, the US Army field manuals are publicly
         | available if you search around. Skimming through them gave me a
         | much better understanding of how an officer goes about planning
         | an attack, preparing a defense, setting up an ambush, etc.
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | openasocket has made good suggestions in a sibling comment. I
         | would add that one thing that can be illuminating is works by
         | professionals (whether current or past) recommending new
         | directions; reading about arguments for paths not (or not yet)
         | taken can provide a broader perspective.
         | 
         | (It's been a while since I've spent time with this; one which I
         | remember finding interesting was _Breaking the Phalanx: A New
         | Design for Land Power in the 21st Century_. [0])
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1597250.Breaking_the_Pha...
        
         | deepspace wrote:
         | If you are interested in the field, almost everything written
         | by Richard M. Ogorkiewicz will be a worthwhile read. He was THE
         | go-to compiler of military engineering information in the 80s
         | and 90s.
         | 
         | While the technologies he describes are a bit dated, his
         | presentation is very comprehensive. Only problem is that many
         | of his works are out of print.
        
       | nomilk wrote:
       | > Hopefully the effect is becoming obvious - by impacting the
       | statistical armour and detonating at that point, the armour has
       | given the RPG a free c.300+ mm of free standoff extension. The
       | armour just amplified the threat capability by a good 20%, making
       | life worse for you inside that vehicle.
       | 
       | For an APC with ~5cm of armour, pretty much any garden variety
       | shaped charge will penetrate it with ease. If the chance of
       | penetration is already 100% it doesn't matter if the charge is
       | 20% stronger. But having the cage at least gives a small chance
       | of stopping the charge from ever detonating.
       | 
       | Different story with tanks though, where the extra 20% could mean
       | the difference between a badly damaged hull and the complete
       | destruction of both tank and crew.
        
       | chrisseaton wrote:
       | So why are the Russians using the very specific small and flat
       | turret-mounted type 'Javelin' cages? The article says they're
       | not-designed for that and would be ineffective anyway and of
       | course RPG has no top-attack (unless you're firing from a
       | building, which as we've seen is tricky to get it to arm in
       | time)... so why are they doing it?
        
         | baud147258 wrote:
         | the same author did another article on that subject, btw:
         | https://www.tanknology.co.uk/post/russian-turret-cages
        
         | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
         | Those aren't javelin cages, they're called "cope cages"[1],
         | because they're just a psychological coping mechanism for the
         | troops inside, but offer no protection against modern smart
         | munitions like NLAW or Javelin.
         | 
         | They're a relic since Russia's war in Chechnya where those
         | cages could protect against ancient RPGs fired from buildings
         | in narrow city streets.
         | 
         | [1] https://i.kym-
         | cdn.com/photos/images/original/002/324/004/043...
        
           | trhway wrote:
           | >They're a relic since Russia's war in Chechnya where those
           | cages could protect against ancient RPGs fired from buildings
           | in narrow city streets.
           | 
           | Actually even in 1945 facing Panzerfausts in European cities
           | Soviet tankists tried to similarly bolt/weld onto the top of
           | the turret the spring metal bed frames. It didn't work well
           | if any. While at the same time it showed the precise position
           | of the tank while in bushes, far in the field/etc. Ukrainians
           | have been joking about those "chicken coops" showing the tank
           | position as another sign of a Russian fail and lack of
           | thinking through in this war.
        
           | dragontamer wrote:
           | > They're a relic since Russia's war in Chechnya where those
           | cages could protect against RPGs fired from buildings in
           | narrow city streets.
           | 
           | USA sent IIRC 3x as many "dumb" RPGs (the AT4) as Javelins,
           | assuming that the Ukrainians would be fighting in narrow city
           | streets.
           | 
           | Turned out that urban warfare didn't really happen much.
           | But... I think everyone's plan was for urban combat, and then
           | everybody turned out to be wrong. On the USA side, not a big
           | deal, we sent the wrong mix of weapons but we're fixing that
           | with lend-lease / additional aid packages.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > Turned out that urban warfare didn't really happen much
             | 
             | The war isn't really past tense; the swift advance to and
             | battle for Kyiv with the intent of forcing capitulation
             | didn't happen, but as the shift to seizing territory Russia
             | really wants rather than getting handed it by a friendly
             | government imposed on Ukraine has happened, urban warfare
             | has become a thing in Mariupol, and if Russia continues
             | prosecuting the war it'll probably happen more places.
        
             | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
             | Dumb RPGs are still very useful. Not every target is an
             | armoured tank. An old RPG aimed at a fuel truck is very
             | effective.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | It's more of a range thing.
               | 
               | Hitting an enemy fuel truck from 5000m away is a lot
               | safer than running up and shooting it at 200m.
               | 
               | 200m shots are common in a city, because cover /
               | concealment is everywhere. Sure, there are still trees
               | and hills to hide in the countryside, but having the
               | option for super long range really helps.
        
             | abra0 wrote:
             | >Turned out that urban warfare didn't really happen much.
             | 
             | Siege of Mariupol is ongoing since the start of the war. It
             | has seen very brutal urban fighting.
        
             | chipsa wrote:
             | The slat armor is also only effective against the RPG-7
             | type warheads, where the fuse is in the nose and crushing
             | the side of the warhead keeps the electric detonation
             | signal from getting to the detonator.
             | 
             | Other warheads will detonate when they hit the slat armor.
             | With the net result of improved standoff distance. Most
             | warheads don't incorporate enough stand off because it's
             | hard to do so. The extra standoff actually improves
             | penetration.
             | 
             | That said, the AT4 is perfectly usable for side shots, such
             | as in an ambush.
        
           | bee_rider wrote:
           | Perhaps it is pedantic, but in case someone reads your
           | comment and doesn't click on the image, the name "cope cage"
           | is a meme based around making fun of them. I think these
           | things don't have convenient a real name because they are
           | improvised. "Improvised top attack armor" or something like
           | that is probably what a journalist would call them. And they
           | probably won't get a real name because they apparently they
           | basically suck.
        
             | jjoonathan wrote:
             | Sounds like a long way of saying they are cope cages :)
        
         | dragontamer wrote:
         | You can't stop a Javelin. Its too sophisticated. If a Javelin
         | is launched your tank is dead.
         | 
         | > and of course RPG has no top-attack (unless you're firing
         | from a building, which as we've seen is tricky to get it to arm
         | in time)
         | 
         | These tanks were planning to assault Kyiv. The assumption was
         | that cheaper RPGs (such as the AT4) would be used against these
         | tanks. The AT4 isn't designed to be used vs main-battle-tanks
         | (AT4 has penetration of 450mm), the frontal-armor is too thick
         | (500mm to 700mm effective frontal armor, depending on the tank,
         | depending on the angle the attack hits from... Largely due to
         | geometry, not physical thickness). But the "cope-cage" might be
         | strong enough to deflect an attack against the turret
         | (especially if the AT4 is "top down", because it was fired from
         | an urban building).
         | 
         | There's many, many, many weapons of war. There are many
         | different types of "anti-armor" weapons.
         | 
         | The Russians also know that the turret has the critical
         | weakpoint of the tank: the autoloader. If the autoloader is
         | hit, the entire tank's munitions blow up simultaneously (aka:
         | cooks off), and everyone inside the tank dies. Protecting the
         | turret with a "cope cage" (even if ineffective vs Javelins) to
         | try and mitigate damage from other RPGs (AT4, RPG7, Panzerfaust
         | 3) just makes sense.
         | 
         | ----------
         | 
         | Javelins are the most expensive man-portable anti-tank weapon.
         | There's relatively few of them (yes, I know USA sent thousands
         | of Javelins, but we also sent far more simpler anti-tank
         | weapons as well). Javelins are $170,000 per shot, and the AT4
         | is $1500.
         | 
         | The other man-portable weapon discussed, NLAWs, are like
         | $40,000, much cheaper than a Javelin but still an incredibly
         | sophisticated and expensive weapon.
         | 
         | Media ignores the cheap stuff (AT4, RPG7) because they're not
         | really interesting. But those are probably the workhorses and
         | the more common weapon in the battlefield.
        
           | blamazon wrote:
           | Also in use in Ukraine presently are the Stugna-P, a
           | domestically produced antitank weapon [1] as well as the
           | German Panzerfaust 3 [2]. In the footage available online,
           | the infantry are carrying a surprising quantity of all these
           | types of weapons - It's a quirky group of antitank weapons
           | from a bunch of different countries. There are videos
           | circulating in Ukraine on how to use the more foreign
           | systems. [3] [4]
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skif_(anti-
           | tank_guided_missile...
           | 
           | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panzerfaust_3
           | 
           | [3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQThjNgoQRY
           | 
           | [4] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUDrLFrfr_s
        
             | dragontamer wrote:
             | Stugna-P, Javelin, and NLAW all kinda have the same
             | properties. They're large, bulky, and filled with a LOT of
             | explosives. They also have a guidance system: laser for
             | Stugna-P, some kind of computer for NLAW/Javelin, so these
             | weapons can be shot at 1000 meters to 5000 meters and still
             | hit their targets consistently.
             | 
             | But since they're larger / heavier / more expensive, they
             | are the primary-weapon of the soldier (or squad, in the
             | case of Stugna-P). If you're equipped with one of these,
             | your job is to kill tanks.
             | 
             | ----------
             | 
             | Panzerfaust, AT4, RPG7 are variants of the same concept.
             | They're more of a "sidearm" than anything. You don't really
             | want to be facing down a tank with one. They are manually
             | aimed and therefore only effective at 100m to 300m
             | (depending on how good your aim is).
             | 
             | Because they're smaller warheads (84-caliber for the AT4,
             | yes its a pun/joke), they're less effective at penetrating
             | armor. So you really want to use them vs lighter vehicles,
             | such as IFVs instead of proper tanks. If you need to use it
             | against a tank, you should aim for a weak point, like
             | shooting from above, or hitting the side/rear armor.
             | 
             | So your snipers / riflemen / machine gunners have a job,
             | that's the 50-cal, or machine-gun. But what if they come
             | across an enemy vehicle? Well, the AT4 / Panzerfaust are
             | light enough to carry _WITH_ your other weapons. Its better
             | than nothing, and light enough to be a secondary weapon.
             | 
             | Alternatively, maybe you're in an environment where hitting
             | the weak top-armor is possible (ex: Urban / high-rise
             | building in Kyiv). Giving many, many cheap AT4 weapons out
             | to the crowd of defenders will effectively kill even main-
             | battle-tanks, if they are attacked at the proper angles /
             | from their weakpoints.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | > Stugna-P, Javelin, and NLAW all kinda have the same
               | properties. They're large, bulky, and filled with a LOT
               | of explosives.
               | 
               | This is a very common mis-conception. These weapons _don
               | 't_ have a lot of explosive. They instead rely on very
               | precise application of a little explosive, through an EFP
               | design.
               | 
               | If you see a Javelin or NLAW hit an inert target, it's
               | very modest. If you see a big explosion in a demo it's
               | because they've filled it with fuel!
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | The AT4 is 15 lbs weapon.
               | 
               | Javelin is a 50 lbs weapon. Sure, some of that weight is
               | computer and night-vision. But most of that weight
               | difference is explosives (I assume the 2nd tandem charge
               | in particular).
               | 
               | NLAW is 28lbs, somewhere in-between.
               | 
               | ------
               | 
               | Tandem charges (dual-explosives: first explosion disables
               | reactive armor, second explosion penetrates the tank)
               | basically means carrying 2x warheads with every
               | warhead... its weight and heavy.
               | 
               | Each of those Javelin explosions you see is __TWO__
               | explosions, timed carefully to defeat Russian reactive
               | armor. Its a sophisticated weapon for sure, but you still
               | have to physically carry all those extra explosives
               | somewhere.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | > Javelin is a 50 lbs weapon. Sure, some of that weight
               | is computer and night-vision. But most of that weight
               | difference is explosives (I assume the 2nd tandem charge
               | in particular).
               | 
               | No most of it is the motor. The entire warhead of Javelin
               | weight just 8.4 kg. That's the _entire_ warhead - not
               | just the explosive. An EFP contains a lot of  'inert'
               | metal that gets formed into a projectile.
               | 
               | (Can we not use pounds in a technical military
               | discussion, lol.)
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | > The entire warhead of Javelin weight just 8.4 kg.
               | That's the entire warhead - not just the explosive.
               | 
               | And the entire AT4 weapon (including the sling, the
               | barrel, warhead... everything) is 6.7kg.
               | 
               | Javelin is a big boy. Reaching the limits of what people
               | can carry effectively, especially if you need a 2nd or
               | 3rd shot to do your job.
               | 
               | EDIT: I think RPG7 is like 3kg for the rocket AND
               | explosives, 8.5kg for the entire weapon.
               | 
               | EDIT2: So yeah, you can carry 3x AT4 for the same weight
               | as 1x Javelin.
        
               | agapon wrote:
               | > The entire warhead of Javelin weight just 8.4 kg.
               | That's the entire warhead - not just the explosive.
               | 
               | "just"
        
           | abra0 wrote:
           | Javelin rockets are $80k-$100k a piece, $170k figure is the
           | launcher and the rocket together. Unlike NLAW the launcher is
           | reusable (and even useful on its own because the targeting
           | unit is detachable and has thermal vision)
        
           | PeterisP wrote:
           | I think that out of all the weapons only the javelin strikes
           | from the top of the tank while flying over it, everything
           | else is a direct fire missile that will hit the tank from the
           | side.
           | 
           | So a 'cage device' on top of the turret seems to be intended
           | solely for Javelins, since every other weapon simply won't
           | strike from that direction.
        
             | praptak wrote:
             | NLAW also strikes from the top, just not exactly like the
             | Javelin.
             | 
             | The latter does that by having a steep trajectory. The NLAW
             | just flies horizontally over the tank, then fires down
             | vertically. It also has the other mode where it just hits
             | directly head on.
        
             | dragontamer wrote:
             | > everything else is a direct fire missile that will hit
             | the tank from the side
             | 
             | Kyiv has skyscrapers. A dumb RPG (AT4 or RPG7) fired from
             | the 5th story of a building will hit from the top down...
             | onto the weaker top-armor of a tank.
             | 
             | NLAWs are also top-attack weapons btw.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | chrisseaton wrote:
           | I wonder who started calling them 'Javelin cages'?
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | vpribish wrote:
         | in urban environments an RPG could definitely be coming down
         | from above.
        
           | chrisseaton wrote:
           | As I said - it's tricky to get them to arm in time. We've
           | seen that problem in practice in videos from Ukraine.
        
         | Goronmon wrote:
         | One easy answer is that something being ineffective doesn't
         | mean people won't try it anyways.
        
           | blamazon wrote:
           | In the /r/NonCredibleDefense subreddit, it's been called the
           | "cope cage" among other similar mocking terms.
           | 
           | https://old.reddit.com/r/NonCredibleDefense/comments/t9i7q2/.
           | ..
        
             | ckozlowski wrote:
             | I'll submit another: TheChieftan on YouTube has referred to
             | it as "emotional support armor".
             | 
             | He posted a good video on his views (and cautions!) on some
             | of this subject matter to date:
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W9pVEP0AzZ4
        
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