[HN Gopher] Sun-like star found in the region of the sky that ha...
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       Sun-like star found in the region of the sky that has most radio
       signals
        
       Author : bewalt
       Score  : 49 points
       Date   : 2022-05-06 21:38 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cambridge.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cambridge.org)
        
       | spindle wrote:
       | It's not just the region of the sky with the most radio signals,
       | it's the region of the sky with the signal that's (arguably) most
       | likely to be produced by intelligence, of the ones we've noticed
       | so far - the "WOW!" signal.
        
         | abemiller wrote:
         | Yea this title is not on the mark. it's not a region with the
         | "most" radio signals at all. The concern of the paper is only
         | about the Wow! signal.
        
           | bewalt wrote:
           | It was tough to keep the title accurate since I had to change
           | it with the character limit. Thanks for clarifying for
           | everyone!
        
             | pvg wrote:
             | The original title _An approximation to determine the
             | source of the WOW! Signal_ seems to fit the limit just
             | fine.
        
       | callamdelaney wrote:
       | We are definitely not alone. The great filter, in my opinion,
       | does not exist. It's only the vastness of space and the
       | relatively short time a civilization produces radio signals that
       | makes it appear this way.
        
         | nine_k wrote:
         | Any civilization that realizes that they are not alone quickly
         | stops bleeding RF signals to outer space, or at least learns to
         | mask them as natural.
         | 
         | Chances that two civilizations, if they detect each other,
         | would be on the same level of development are slim. And once a
         | less technologically advanced civilization meets a more
         | technologically advanced one, game is over soon. Ask Aztecs, or
         | Sioux, or pick any other historical example.
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | That's a pretty shallow view of the Great Filter.
         | 
         | Your implicit assumption is that not a single other intelligent
         | species decided to harness the universe by, for example,
         | consuming stars for their raw matter, or building Dyson spheres
         | to black out entire sections of the sky.
         | 
         | It is imo on you to explain why there's a hard cap on the
         | exponential growth of intelligent life that prevents it from
         | EVER reorganizing the universe in its own image. Not 99% of the
         | time -- that's not enough for these purposes.
        
           | Ekaros wrote:
           | The truth might be than physics are harsh mistress and there
           | is no way to cheat. Thus actually working extra system space
           | colonization is just not something that we or anyone else can
           | do. Maybe even technology to do stellar engineering is out of
           | reach.
        
             | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
             | Space colonization is best done by robotic ships. These
             | could very well be plying the galaxy and just staying away
             | from primitive life.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | You should still be able to see them, even from distance,
               | if they have any reasonable power output. Stealth doesn't
               | really work in space.
        
               | zabzonk wrote:
               | > Space colonization is best done by robotic ships.
               | 
               | But why do it? If you send a robot to (say) Alpha
               | Centauri what have you actually acheived, at probably
               | enormous cost?
        
             | bpodgursky wrote:
             | Ok, but to be clear, this is an argument that there IS a
             | "Great Filter". It's just a Great Filter that is in front
             | of us rather than behind us.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | no this is a filter to technological progress/expansion,
               | not a filter to life appearance and sustainability in the
               | universe..
        
               | Jach wrote:
               | It seems some people in this thread need a reminder of
               | what the Great Filter is:
               | https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/greatfilter.html
        
         | elorant wrote:
         | The Great Filter can be a myriad of things. From how improbable
         | life is to the hostility of the Universe. A magnetar has a
         | hiccup and it sterilizes everything in a fifty light year
         | radius. There are a shit ton of things out there that could
         | eradicate life.
        
           | danlugo92 wrote:
           | Wikipedia says closest magnetar is 50k light years from
           | earth...
        
       | cosmiccatnap wrote:
       | Sadly 1800 light years away means transmission to 2MASS
       | 19281982-2640123 is impractical at best but observing it more to
       | determine if other techno signals originate is a worthwhile
       | endeavor.
       | 
       | The ghosts of a distant civilization may still hold clues and
       | even the knowledge that 1800 years ago we were potentially not
       | alone is still an existential epiphany we are all hoping for.
        
         | stephbu wrote:
         | Maybe in 1,700yrs they'll see us...
        
         | vinni2 wrote:
         | 1800 years is a not that long in the cosmic scale.
        
           | lostmsu wrote:
           | 3600 years later: sorry, your bug report was closed due to
           | inactivity.
        
           | teekert wrote:
           | 3600 for a return message. But think about what we looked
           | like 1800 years ago and what will we look like in 1800 years?
           | Will we still use radio even?
        
             | Ekaros wrote:
             | I would guess that if we are technologically advanced
             | species we will. Though there is really question could we
             | discern those signals. Probably there would be push to
             | maximise the usage of available spectrum and then minimize
             | use of power and probably even look into massive mimo.
        
               | bdamm wrote:
               | Or would we have transitioned to highly directed laser
               | pulses, or perhaps using a medium not yet discovered?
               | Since we are still fumbling in the dark about fundamental
               | physics, having no grand unifying theory between large
               | and small, or even much progress in understanding
               | gravity, it is entirely possible that we wouldn't be
               | using radio because we found something much better.
        
           | mhh__ wrote:
           | Other than as an inception agreement for a cult (has someone
           | already written that book, other than L Ron Hubbard) 1800
           | years is unfortunately a very long time in the scale of any
           | human project.
        
             | UnpossibleJim wrote:
             | I guess it would depend on the ship... Though I am reading
             | Rendezvous With Rama right now (my first time), which has
             | completely changed my imagining of space ships. So much of
             | sci-fi owes so much to Artur C. Clarke. I knew, but I
             | didn't realize until I read more and more =/
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | > guess it would depend on the ship
               | 
               | After 72 generations on a ship, it's possible the
               | occupants won't even know they are on a ship
               | (fictionalized by Brian Aldiss in the excellent book
               | "Non-Stop").
               | 
               | And if they know they're on a ship, they probably won't
               | care to leave. After all, it is home and will have been
               | for ages.
        
       | evo_9 wrote:
       | Reading the Abstract I can't help but wonder if their scientists
       | discovered the same thing about us and pointed their 'eyes' (or
       | whatever!) this way. Fun to think about.
        
       | beaned wrote:
       | This part is intriguing to me:
       | 
       | > In fact, if we analyse the history of (the few) radio signals
       | that humanity have sent to several targets in the hope of
       | contacting a civilization, none of those transmissions had a long
       | duration or were repeatedly sent for a long time. [...] An
       | extraterrestrial civilization could have opted to behave in a
       | similar manner.
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | Not the first time I've said this but it's highly unlikely that
       | we'll detect technological civilizations through radio emissions.
       | We've had this kind of radio emission but it's incredibly brief
       | so for Earth, you'd have to be listening for a few decades over
       | the billions of years Earth has existed. That's incredibly
       | unlikely.
       | 
       | The far more likely detection method is IR signatures,
       | specifically from Dyson Swarms. A Dyson Swarm is not a rigid
       | sphere (a confusion caused in part by the original name "Dyson
       | Sphere"). It is a collection of orbitals with the intent of
       | making full use of a star's energy output. The beauty of this is
       | it's all rather low-tech needing little more than solar power,
       | stainless steel level materials science and (this is the big one
       | but is an engineering problem not a science one) getting access
       | to basic raw materials.
       | 
       | Just like a cloud looks solid despite being water droplets, a
       | complete Dyson Swarm would be the same. The visible light would
       | be blocked out.
       | 
       | But here's where the IR part comes in. The only way to dissipate
       | heat in space is to radiate it away. A habitat will have to do
       | this. At any reasonable temperature the signature of that
       | radiated heat is as IR radiation determined by the temperature of
       | the radiating object. That's physics.
       | 
       | So what's more likely: 1. Detecting a few decades of radio
       | emissions or 2. the IR signature of what would likely be millions
       | of years?
       | 
       | So I applaud any investigation into the wow! signal just like I
       | do of FRBs. We should understand likely causes but technological
       | life? It almost certainly isn't.
        
         | slimsag wrote:
         | No stake in this game, but your likeliness assumption depends
         | on the idea that a civilization _could_ get to the point of
         | creating a Dyson Swarm. If civilizations are statistically
         | likely to destroy themselves before then,  'detecting a few
         | decades of radio emissions' could be the only scenario.
        
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       (page generated 2022-05-06 23:00 UTC)