[HN Gopher] Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring
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       Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring
        
       Author : danso
       Score  : 638 points
       Date   : 2022-05-12 16:40 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theverge.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theverge.com)
        
       | fleddr wrote:
       | Just a spring cleaning that is about a decade late.
       | 
       | Twitter under-performs in every aspect imaginable: financially,
       | product quality, product innovation. Nothing ever gets released
       | and whilst this pace has improved in recent years, those
       | "innovations" don't really deliver. They're barely used, copycats
       | from other apps, and so on. Meanwhile, age-old problems are never
       | addressed, like bots and the extremely hostile mob mentality on
       | the platform.
       | 
       | They're ineffective and lack accountability. They need a reset
       | and mentality change.
        
         | croes wrote:
         | >like bots and the extremely hostile mob mentality
         | 
         | There isn't a solution for these two.
        
         | themitigating wrote:
         | How would they control mob mentality?
        
           | fleddr wrote:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31160916
           | 
           | See above comment thread from another discussion, first reply
           | is from me.
        
             | kbenson wrote:
             | Those may _help_ , but I'm not sure what they could do
             | other than breaking the core conceit of their platform
             | (short form, limited space) to really deal with it.
             | 
             | Limited space to express your intent, and the quick
             | response cycle it engenders are not conducive to productive
             | discussion. It's hot-takes and terse replies that people
             | interpret as hostile even if they weren't meant as such all
             | the way down. Take that out and what makes Twitter any
             | different than every other platform? Though, maybe they're
             | large enough and popular enough they could weather that
             | change.
        
             | dmix wrote:
             | > (e) Make it possible to prevent retweets (including quote
             | retweets) from certain accounts you follow from showing up
             | on your timeline. There are certain people you might like
             | who retweet effluent, and you don't want that effluent
             | going straight into your eyeballs.
             | 
             | There's many good points here. This is the best. They need
             | to assume the content kinda sucks and let people control as
             | much as possible, instead of thinking that AI is doing a
             | good enough job for them.
        
         | AviationAtom wrote:
         | I've learned that, when speaking with a certain half of
         | society, any narrative other than Twitter's future being bleak,
         | and it current state good, is not accepted.
         | 
         | Twitter has huge monetary potential, and adoption potential
         | (beyond the niche audience it current has), but if the status
         | quo is kept them that potential will likely never be realized.
        
         | ilamont wrote:
         | > Twitter under-performs [in] product innovation.
         | 
         | I see things differently. The number of customer-facing feature
         | releases in recent years has been significant.
         | 
         | Yes, some are irritating (GIF integration). Others miss the
         | mark (endless iterations of topics/explore/algo changes). Still
         | others haven't been attempted but are sorely needed (editing
         | tweets, clear verified account policies).
         | 
         | But a few innovations are trying to solve real problems
         | identified by subsets of users (Twitter Professional, Twitter
         | Blue) or help everyone _a lot_ (photos, doubling tweet length,
         | improvements to RT functionality, reporting tools).
         | 
         | Another thing to keep in mind: When discussion forums try to
         | shoehorn too many things into the feature set, often to compete
         | with other platforms, the results can alienate existing users.
         | I see this with Instagram bolting on TikTok-like features, to
         | the detriment of everyone who just likes to share photos.
         | 
         | (I am thankful most of HN's feature improvements have been
         | restrained. Slashdot tried to do too much with new features,
         | and it hurt rather than helped the community)
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | DantesKite wrote:
         | You're 100% correct.
         | 
         | They shut down Vine. TikTok is now a billion dollar industry.
         | 
         | As far as I'm concerned, every product manager involved in that
         | decision shouldn't be involved with Twitter anymore, because
         | they display an astonishingly level of incompetence.
        
           | quickthrower2 wrote:
           | Wow, never heard of Vine (call me out of touch grumpy old man
           | user persona!), but reading the wikipedia page, what is
           | amazing it was aquired for less than one of today's early
           | rounds - $30m. Maybe they were "too early"? Post pandemic
           | things look a lot different.
        
             | mdoms wrote:
             | Vine was not too early by any means. It was exploding in
             | popularity when they shut it down. It absolutely would have
             | been as big as Tik Tok if they got the algorithm right.
        
           | kossTKR wrote:
           | Vine was exploding when they shut it down, and some of the
           | biggest influencers of today started on Vine. It's
           | incomprehensible to me why anyone would shut down such an
           | absolute jackpot, bizarre really!
        
           | throwaway-jim wrote:
           | I will never understand this. I thought vine was going to be
           | the next big thing right until the day they decided to shut
           | it down.
        
             | mhh__ wrote:
             | The fact that vine as a name and at least _some_ vines are
             | still at least somewhat prevalent online, makes me think
             | that vine literally was  "already" the next big thing and
             | twitter just completely misread the room.
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | yeah, people are _still_ reconnecting with vine creators,
               | on TikTok. You can see in the comments, a video came up
               | on the user 's feed and they were compelled enough to be
               | like "are you so and so from vine!?" Vine was killed
               | _half a decade ago_.
        
             | warning26 wrote:
             | "Twitter supports videos now, therefore Vine is redundant!
             | Shut it down and 100% of Vine users will post their videos
             | on Twitter!"
             | 
             | --Twitter PMs, probably
        
               | phillipcarter wrote:
               | I think it's a lot more likely that there are/were a
               | horde of PMs there who thought it was a very dumb and
               | short-sighted decision to shut it down at the time. In my
               | experience, it's usually some high-ranking exec who makes
               | confounding decisions through authority in big tech. Not
               | so much the average IC PM who has to spend time
               | understanding their users for their job.
        
               | dmix wrote:
               | If that's the rationale it has to be one of the worst
               | tech product decisions in history. Out-doing even Googles
               | collection of product shutdowns here.
        
           | JPKab wrote:
           | No shit.
           | 
           | Twitter is filled with extravagantly paid Product Managers
           | with thoroughly mediocre (at best) results. Vine is a great
           | example, but think about the complete lack of imagination
           | when it comes to Musk's idea of charging users $3/month. I
           | would absolutely pay that to be on a Twitter free of bots.
           | And wow, how bad is the data science team at Twitter that
           | they can't spot the OBVIOUS bots all over the site? When you
           | see what they get paid, that's what makes it pathetic.
        
         | pnathan wrote:
         | I do have to agree that Twitter is either (1) basically
         | perfected or (2) coasting.
         | 
         | I also might suggest that the buyout offer has prompted some
         | very hard thinking internally and strategic changes.
        
           | kranke155 wrote:
           | I would say twitter threads need robust support and the edit
           | button is sorely missed.
           | 
           | But yes in a way the paralysis that Twitter is in is
           | interesting in a world where everything is being changed
           | always all the time in agile cycles. Twitter feels like it
           | just exists and this is the way it works.
        
             | Graffur wrote:
             | If they introduce an edit feature people will abuse it in
             | the following ways:
             | 
             | * Bait and switch. Now replies to the original tweet will
             | be out of context
             | 
             | * Everyone will edit their tweet and put EDIT: <Comment
             | addressing all of the replies> at the end. This is what
             | happens on Reddit.
        
       | boringg wrote:
       | On pat leave too. Ouch.
        
       | johnboiles wrote:
       | This is mind boggling to me. Kayvon is one of the best product
       | leaders / visionaries I know. It was confusing to me in Dec that
       | he wasn't Jack's successor.
       | 
       | Kayvon was a huge driving force behind all the interesting
       | product efforts of the last few years: Spaces, Fleets, topics,
       | etc. Twitter went from not iterating on product (remember when
       | Twitter's only change in several years was to change the star to
       | a heart?) to starting to take some shots. Behind the scenes he
       | was often pushing against significant headwinds that resisted
       | product change (not the least of which was the internal 'sacred
       | cow' that all things must be built with Scala and only run inside
       | Twitter's on-prem datacenters).
        
         | JyB wrote:
         | I'm not sure you're supposed to be acclaimed for the features
         | you listed.
        
         | astrange wrote:
         | Spaces is a good feature. Topics is the worst thing I've been
         | subjected to in my life. I have a second account in Japanese
         | and Topics constantly adds posts about trashy American pop
         | stars I barely know to the feed.
        
           | johnboiles wrote:
           | Agree. Spaces is good and the others not as much. Though I do
           | use the 'War in Ukraine' topic a lot.
           | 
           | The main diff though is that Twitter for a moment in time
           | started taking some shots. Not that they were all the best
           | shots. But for my first two years there it felt like the
           | company took nearly 0 shots. That shift happened with Kayvon.
        
             | adamrezich wrote:
             | personally I'm very sick of the "perma-trending topics".
             | "COVID-19: News and updates for $YOUR_LOCATION" still pops
             | up in the sidebar here and there, and it's on the full
             | trending topics list probably forever now?? like, guys,
             | it's over, you can pull it now, I'm good thanks
        
         | Graffur wrote:
         | All of those product efforts are failures so far. Literally
         | nobody outside hardcore twitter users knows what any of them
         | are.
        
         | ellyagg wrote:
         | I had the same reaction as the siblings, so I'm almost
         | wondering if this is satire.
        
         | bobro wrote:
         | Are Spaces, Fleets, or Topics considered successes?
        
           | DantesKite wrote:
           | Fleets was actually relatively good amongst certain content
           | creators, especially as a monetization funnel.
        
         | mdoms wrote:
         | > Kayvon was a huge driving force behind all the interesting
         | product efforts of the last few years: Spaces, Fleets, topics,
         | etc
         | 
         | Honestly not sure if you're being sarcastic. Fleets were killed
         | within months of launch because they were awful and no one
         | wanted them. Spaces will die when the nft bubble finishes
         | collapsing. And topics are just a way to shoehorn crap no one
         | wants onto their timelines without asking first.
        
           | Pxtl wrote:
           | What do spaces have to do with NFTs?
        
             | mdoms wrote:
             | NFT dudes are the only people I have EVER seen using that
             | feature, and I use Twitter daily. I also follow exactly
             | zero NFT dudes so I don't know why I always see their
             | spaces.
        
         | logicalmonster wrote:
         | > Kayvon is one of the best product leaders / visionaries I
         | know.
         | 
         | Maybe this person is absolutely amazing and is just constrained
         | by the crazy realities of working in a very large and political
         | company. Maybe they did the best possible job under difficult
         | circumstances. I'm not the insider and can't easily judge that.
         | 
         | But as an outsider, what I can judge is that it's easy to
         | perceive the Twitter platform as basically doing nothing truly
         | noteworthy in terms of design/features to improve the platform
         | other than feeling like a slower and slower site, while at the
         | same time it's increasingly hostile to the open Internet (stuff
         | like blocking viewing Tweets unless you login), and has some
         | significant and growing freedom of speech issues until Musk
         | came along. The stuff that outsiders can judge doesn't feel too
         | good.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | halfmatthalfcat wrote:
         | Twitter copied all of those features from other apps. Spaces =
         | Clubhouse, Fleets (which was also cancelled last year) =
         | Snapchat. At best, Kayvon was good a being reactionary to
         | competition. Not that great of a track record.
        
         | slotrans wrote:
         | 100% of those features are terrible.
         | 
         | Topics, in particular, are actively and significantly harmful
         | to the quality of my experience on Twitter. If there was a way
         | to hide them permanently, now THAT would be a feature!
        
           | Pxtl wrote:
           | Spaces are warty and ugly right now but I'm enjoying them.
        
         | jiripospisil wrote:
         | Why do you think Twitter needs any changes? I would personally
         | prefer if they removed all of the remaining features you listed
         | and went back to the good old plain chronological list of
         | tweets that made Twitter popular.
        
         | VirusNewbie wrote:
         | >(not the least of which was the internal 'sacred cow' that all
         | things must be built with Scala)
         | 
         | Lol wtf, why should a product person have any say in
         | programming languages?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | bhouston wrote:
       | I suspect this was done in part because Elon Musk wants to make
       | some big changes. It would be best for the outgoing CEO to make
       | these difficult firings and then let Elon Musk come in and set a
       | new tone without dealing with this negativity falling on Elon.
       | 
       | I'm not saying this is right, but it makes a lot of sense.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | Musk doesn't have any control yet or even insight into the
         | company.
        
       | DeathArrow wrote:
       | It would be wise for Musk to rehire him.
        
       | LightG wrote:
       | And so it begins...
       | 
       | With Elon Musk's hand up Parag's jacksie and pressing all the
       | buttons he chooses.
        
       | alkjl34tk34 wrote:
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | First of all, this isn't a diss on the guy who was fired, though
       | it must sting. This is how things go.*
       | 
       | Second of all, for the question "why now?": Twitter's CEO Parag
       | has to "run through the tape": regardless of what he thinks might
       | happen, he has to keep to the plan and in fact can't talk to the
       | potential acquirer. One reason is that perhaps the deal won't
       | happen, but also he's just not allowed to.
       | 
       | If that sounds strange, consider CNN+ which was launched and
       | killed within a couple of weeks. The buyer of CNN couldn't tell
       | CNN what they thought but planned all along to nuke it; the CNN
       | people either didn't understand that, were fanatics, or just
       | didn't give a fuck.
       | 
       | * We don't know the whole story so it's _possible_ he was
       | actually doing something bad. But I think that 's very unlikely,
       | as these days those things are usually mentioned rather than
       | being swept under the carpet.
        
       | Vaslo wrote:
       | All- some of you are clinging onto the paternity leave. I can't
       | quote whether this is true, but at both Fortune 250 companies I
       | worked for, you were paid out for your entire leave even if you
       | weren't coming back after. So I would bet money he is still being
       | paid for the whole leave, but if someone sees something else,
       | please correct me. There is incentive to pay it out since one
       | annoying side effect can be a person gone for 3 to 4 months
       | suddenly calls 2 days before leave is over and says "I think I am
       | resigning." It's better to pay the full leave and have them tell
       | you that from the start so you don't waste 3 months.
        
         | nickstinemates wrote:
         | your point makes it even more weird/indecent. there's literally
         | no (financial) cost to waiting. this breeds insecurity for 0
         | benefit.
        
         | elicash wrote:
         | The concern is that there could be a chilling effect resulting
         | in people not taking this leave. If people expect to be fired
         | for using this benefit, they won't use it.
        
           | bredren wrote:
           | Many folks seem to understand the chilling effect of
           | surveillance but can not fathom that such a thing might exist
           | related to family leave.
        
           | 0xFACEFEED wrote:
           | (M|P)aternity leave cannot ever make you immune from being
           | let go. That would be insane. People are let go all of the
           | time without any warning or cause. Especially executives.
        
             | elicash wrote:
             | Obviously. I'm just explaining the concern.
             | 
             | There's no allegation from the person fired that taking the
             | leave is why they were fired. But the mere PERCEPTION can
             | have a chilling effect. And I have worked with many people
             | who worry about taking this type of extended leave for
             | exactly this reason.
        
       | tls wrote:
        
       | elromulous wrote:
       | Do we have any reason to believe that this was a musk motivated
       | decision?
        
         | dymk wrote:
         | No, and anybody aside from those directly involved who tries to
         | tell you otherwise is just making things up.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | novaleaf wrote:
       | in the last few days Twitter doesn't force me to login to scroll
       | down tweets anymore. Maybe related to the buy action? Want to
       | show increased engagement in the final weeks for bargaining
       | power?
        
         | mrlatinos wrote:
         | I've had the opposite experience. In the past few days I've
         | noticed the "login wall" immediately pops up, along with a new
         | feature - it prevented me from navigating back in my browser.
        
       | Bud wrote:
       | Looks like they fired him during paternity leave.
       | 
       | Stay classy, Twitter.
        
       | Traster wrote:
       | So there's two options right - the first is that Parag is for
       | some reason making big strategic decisions about the direction of
       | the company despite the fact that we all know he'll be gone if
       | the deal closes. Or he's making big strategic changes at the
       | behest of the acquirers before the deal closes.
       | 
       | Neither of these things seem particularly kosher moves to make.
       | The question is how to figure out which one it is.
       | 
       | It would seem weird for Parag to be following Musk's orders given
       | how Musk has behaved. It also seems weird for Musk to already
       | have the insight into the company to know specifically who to
       | fire. There's not much advantage to making these changes now.
       | 
       | On the other hand, going rogue and making big strategic decisions
       | about the company really has the potential to burn Parag's
       | reputation for wherever he would move next.
       | 
       | I guess there's a third option - that Musk has expressed a
       | specific view, Parag has a different view, but that they both
       | think that this move is necessary anyway so just got on and did
       | it.
        
         | TameAntelope wrote:
         | You're discounting the very real possibility that Parag is
         | operating as if the deal will _not_ go through, and is making
         | large strategic decisions in anticipation of that being the
         | case.
         | 
         | For Parag, I don't see it "burning his reputation" at all,
         | considering either a) he's right and will face the tall task of
         | helming a Twitter that continues to disappoint its investors or
         | b) he's wrong and it won't be his problem when Elon fires him
         | next year.
        
           | fny wrote:
           | It maximizes his chance of survival either way.
           | 
           | The probability that Elon is margin called by year end is
           | roughly 40% according to option prices.
           | 
           | - 60% chance you get fired either by Musk or investors if you
           | don't turn the ship. - 40% chance you Musk is margin called
           | and doesn't take over, but still might be fired by investors
           | or acquired by someone else who may in turn can him.
        
             | SemanticStrengh wrote:
             | The crypto crisis should significantly diminish musk wealth
             | no?
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | No, why would you think that?
               | 
               | His wealth is mostly owning 20% of Tesla, plus some extra
               | few billions from owning significant fractions of SpaceX,
               | The Boring Company, and Neuralink. Presumably there's
               | some cash in there as well, but on his scale a hundred
               | million is a rounding error.
        
               | Denvercoder9 wrote:
               | Musk's share of SpaceX is worth more than an "extra few
               | billions". SpaceX is valued at around $100B, and Elon
               | Musk owns about 47% of it.
        
               | SamBam wrote:
               | It still confuses me that being part-owner of an old dot-
               | com payment company, part-owner of a mid-sized car
               | company (by number of cars sold), and part-owner of a
               | (very good) rocket company make a person richer than
               | anyone has ever been in the history of the planet, but
               | that's probably because I just haven't looked into it
               | enough.
        
               | paganel wrote:
               | That "mid-sized car company" has revolutionised an
               | ~120-year industry while still managing to remain at the
               | forefront, that's why its valuation is so high (even
               | though I also do believe it's over-valued).
               | 
               | I'm not saying this as a Tesla-lover nor as a fan of
               | Musk, in fact, as a lover of gasoline engines and of cars
               | in general I see this as a tragedy (I regard EVs as
               | refrigerators with some wheels attached), but it is what
               | it is.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | Where is the revolution? There are competitive cars vs
               | tesla for electric. Even if tesla have an edge, it's
               | evolutionary, not at all revolutionary.
        
               | zamfi wrote:
               | Tesla produced the first ICE-equivalent EV sedan that was
               | not merely a "compliance vehicle" in decades.
               | 
               | Then, it turned out, people bought them by the hundreds
               | of thousands, single-handedly recreating the market for
               | EVs.
               | 
               | Then, other manufacturers noticed, and started realizing
               | they might be left behind if they didn't take EVs
               | seriously.
               | 
               | Now, sure, there are many competitors, but even still
               | they have only been built in small quantities.
               | 
               | How long Tesla's edge will last is an open question, but
               | there's no question that Tesla has single-handedly
               | exploded the demand for EVs in the consumer vehicle
               | market.
        
               | outworlder wrote:
               | The real ace was releasing an EV _sports car_ , the Tesla
               | Roadster. That's what caught people's attention. They
               | were able to see how EV drivetrains were actually better
               | than their ICE counterparts and that electric motors can
               | do much more than drive golf carts - despite having
               | powered everything from submarines to locomotives, people
               | still thought they were weak.
               | 
               | Otherwise, Nissan would have been Tesla. They have
               | produced some of the first practical EVs, way before
               | Tesla did. Unfortunately, they made them for the Japanese
               | consumer, not for the average american. At least not
               | initially.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | I am not an expert in cars and yet I know the Renault Zoe
               | was commercialized in 2012, the year of the model S, for
               | a reasonable autonomy and a much, much cheaper price. I
               | believe tesla were the first to sell low volume, pricey
               | EV cars. Their range and timing advance is only because
               | of choosing the rich over the middle class, aka a lesser
               | impact. Although it's true EV were and remain not cheap
               | but it's getting quickly much better and it's definitely
               | not tesla that will lead the dance of democratisation
        
               | r00fus wrote:
               | I'm no Musk fan, but let's be honest, Tesla released the
               | Roadster in 2008. An expensive luxury product, no doubt,
               | but years ahead of the Leaf or Zoe.
        
               | dotnet00 wrote:
               | I assume revolutionary in that other companies have only
               | really started taking EVs seriously due to the success of
               | Tesla.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | People constantly attempt to pretend Tesla didn't spark
               | the EV revolution, because they can't stand to give Musk
               | and or a US company credit.
               | 
               | It's the same reason they aggressively pretend Apple
               | didn't spark the smartphone revolution (when it all very
               | obviously derived from the iPhone and its dramatic
               | impact, right down to the design of the phone and
               | interface being copied by everyone else).
               | 
               | It's the same reason if you say the US invented the
               | Internet here on HN, you'll get confused replies by
               | people from outside of the US that are entirely ignorant
               | of that fact, because of foreign revisionist history and
               | the desperate desire to deny the US credit for its vast
               | accomplishments (the America bad brigade). The same goes
               | for eg the transistor, microprocessor and countless other
               | prominent technologies that revolutionized the world.
        
               | MisterBastahrd wrote:
               | So what?
               | 
               | It's still a business and it is tiny compared to the big
               | players. Tesla is only a slightly better value than
               | crypto given how insanely overvalued the stock is. If the
               | company had an $80B market cap, it would still be vastly
               | overvalued.
        
               | paganel wrote:
               | > There are competitive cars vs tesla for electric
               | 
               | It is my belief that those "competitive cars" wouldn't
               | have happened if it hadn't been for Tesla.
        
               | lupire wrote:
               | Nissan was selling the Leaf after the Roadster but before
               | the S/X/3/Y.
               | 
               | The Leaf and the 3 basically met in the middle at the
               | same time at about the $45K price point for similar cars.
               | 
               | Tesla was only first in the category of outrageously
               | expensive cars for virtue-signalling rich people who
               | fake-care about evironmentalism. And fake self-driving.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | But why? Did tesla open source key scientific innovations
               | in the scaling of batteries? Don't think so. See e.g. The
               | seres f5 from Huawei. I don't know wether it's great but
               | about the main metric, it has a higher range than teslas
               | (1000km)
        
               | JohnBooty wrote:
               | Zoom out a little and try and think about the bigger
               | picture.
               | 
               | In many industries, you can see these "bar-raisers."
               | 
               | Starbucks didn't invent coffee, but they created a mass
               | market for a more premium sort of coffee in a country
               | that previously didn't see coffee as something more that
               | a thing you chug down in the morning so you can wake up.
               | 
               | Nintendo didn't invent video games, but they raised the
               | bar for home consoles after the "great video game crash"
               | and have repeated the feat several times since despite
               | rarely if ever being on the cutting edge of tech.
               | 
               | And so on.
               | 
               | Tesla did something similar. Previously, electric cars
               | and hybrids were seen as dorky and decidedly uncool by
               | most. Tesla changed that public perception. It's hard to
               | imagine the "luxury" electric car market existing without
               | them. Perhaps another company might have accomplished the
               | same feat, but Tesla was the first one to pull it off.
               | 
               | From a raw innovation standpoint, these advances are huge
               | because by _creating new market segments_ , they ensure a
               | flow of money into those markets. Tesla's expense has
               | paved the way for billions if not trillions of dollars
               | into EV R&D and battery R&D. That matters, a lot.
        
               | senko wrote:
               | Tesla dragged the rest of the auto industry, kicking and
               | screaming, into the EV business.
               | 
               | EV was, at best, a curiosity and definitely nobody's main
               | focus, until Tesla first showed EV cars are not golf
               | carts (with the rooadster) and then that they can be a
               | desirable higher-class sedan (with Model S).
               | 
               | If Tesla went bankrupt today, we'd still be firmly on the
               | path to phase out ICE cars.
               | 
               | This was totally unconcievable just a few years ago.
               | Tesla did that.
        
               | toyg wrote:
               | This is a bit of a "why dropbox when i can rsync"
               | comment.
               | 
               | Tesla brought glamour and practicality to a field stymied
               | by boredom and theoretical concerns. They pledged to
               | build an EV people would actually want to use, bringing
               | all the latest tech to drive UX with no regard for
               | tradition. They set to solve consumer problems, and they
               | are succeeding in doing that.
        
               | MisterBastahrd wrote:
               | Glamor? Sure. Practicality? Eh. Maybe for daily
               | commuting. When the IC companies convert over, Tesla
               | shareholders are going to feel a ton of pain. The novelty
               | will have worn off and the company will still pace at a
               | mere fraction of its competitors. And at the very least,
               | they'll all have vastly better QC than Tesla.
        
               | carlhjerpe wrote:
               | Great drive UX as opposed to what? Have you driven a
               | modern Mercedes of the higher price tiers? They're pretty
               | damn great to drive or be driven in (comfort and fun
               | wise), but they don't have gimmicks like the door thing
               | and such. If you're talking about those gimmicks I
               | disagree, and if you're talking about "motor/battery/esc
               | technology" I also disagree, they didn't innovate
               | anywhere, they just hit the right market with their
               | product in my amateur opinion.
        
               | Bubble_Pop_22 wrote:
        
               | robertlagrant wrote:
               | Well, refrigerators killed the ICE industry :D
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | What about the Thanos car though?
        
               | sudosysgen wrote:
               | There is no revolution to speak of. Tesla is an evolution
               | in the high-end EV market. In the mid-range market Tesla
               | was late to the punch and faces stiff competition, and in
               | the low-end market they aren't an entity to speak of.
        
               | Turing_Machine wrote:
               | > in the low-end market they aren't an entity to speak
               | of.
               | 
               | So... like Apple?
        
               | lupire wrote:
               | Far more people can afford iPhone, iPad, MacBook Air than
               | can afford any Tesla car.
        
               | FatalLogic wrote:
               | Probably the deciding factor is he owns a relative large
               | portion of those: Almost 20% of Tesla and almost 50% of
               | SpaceX
               | 
               | Compare to Jeff Bezos, for example, who owns 10% of
               | Amazon
        
               | mattmaroon wrote:
               | A lot of the richest people in history (other than
               | royalty) just owned one part of one company. Sometimes a
               | car one. Why's that surprising?
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | It's all about the car company. This company only sell
               | cars for a rich elite but the market bubble over it is
               | the most remarkable of modern times.
        
               | Ekaros wrote:
               | I'm not sure if the target market will be even the elite,
               | but upper middle class. Which happens to have gotten rich
               | working in semi-associated markets.
        
               | JohnBooty wrote:
               | Yeah, I know a lot of "upper middle class" folks in the
               | US who have bought Teslas.
               | 
               | To be slightly more quantitative, we're talking about
               | folks who make roughly $100K and up, particularly the
               | ones who and don't have kids.
               | 
               | So, roughly the top 15% of earners in America.
        
               | geotus wrote:
               | Elon Musk is nowhere near the richest person in history.
               | Augustus Caesar and Mansa Musa IX were multi-
               | trillionaires in comparative spending power.
        
               | chris11 wrote:
               | > a person richer than anyone has ever been in the
               | history of the planet
               | 
               | Tesla's P/E ratio is currently 106. I have no idea why
               | Tesla is so expensive.
        
               | MisterBastahrd wrote:
               | Tesla is currently valued at over 20x Ford even though
               | Ford did 13x Tesla's revenue last year. That stock should
               | have dropped through the floor a long time ago.
        
               | outworlder wrote:
               | Only makes sense if Tesla becomes something else other
               | than a car manufacturer (robots, robotaxis, etc).
               | 
               | If it's just about EVs they should soon be priced below
               | Ford. Even self-driving is insufficient as long as a
               | driver needs to pay attention. Other companies are
               | catching up - who cares if they need more hardware and
               | can't do just vision, it's becoming cheaper.
        
               | tempestn wrote:
               | The majority is due to the fact that Tesla's valuation
               | skyrocketed in 2020-2021. The second-largest car maker by
               | market cap is Toyota at 217B. (They're about double VW
               | group, the next-largest.)
               | 
               | Tesla's market cap is now 740B. For a while there it was
               | over 1T. Here's a fun visualization:
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zRQlsDHbl0M
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | VW will produce more EV next year than tesla (800K)
        
               | omgwtfbyobbq wrote:
               | Hopefully they will produce 800k EVs. In 2020, they
               | produced 263k EVs, so they'll roughly need to triple
               | production.
               | 
               | https://www.volkswagenag.com/en/news/2022/01/Volkswagen_d
               | oub...
               | 
               | Tesla produced 936k cars last year, so VW will probably
               | need to build more than 800k EVs to surpass Tesla in
               | 2022.
               | 
               | https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a38657616/tesla-
               | million-ev...
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | Interesting. BTW they target 1.2 million in 2024
        
               | wutbrodo wrote:
               | > part-owner of a mid-sized car company (by number of
               | cars sold)
               | 
               | Because the market doesn't, and shouldn't, value things
               | solely based on a snapshot of current business, as
               | opposed to a projection of future business, based only
               | partially on the current snapshot. A phrasing that gets
               | at the market's thinking looks more like "A car company
               | that effectively created the electric car market, right
               | before the entire industry started making credible
               | commitments to switch primarily over to EVs, all while
               | being the most successful company at getting some degree
               | of automated driving into consumer hands and awareness".
               | Your phrasing implies "pre-Cruise GM, but with less
               | sales"; it's no wonder why you're confused.
               | 
               | Note that I'm not claiming that Tesla is appropriately
               | valued right now, and as someone who works in AV, I think
               | their approach to self-driving is misleading and
               | irresponsible. But it sounds like the bulk of your
               | confusion comes from a significant misunderstanding of
               | what the stock market _is_.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | The stock market is not about retributing merit though.
               | When the EV market will be very significant, there will
               | be no strong reason to choose a tesla over dozens of
               | alternatives. There will be Huaweis/xiaomis equivalents
               | for cars.
        
               | Ekaros wrote:
               | Not to forget much more strong brands outside the tech
               | circles. It is not like all of Porche, Ferrari, Aston
               | Martin, McLaren and so on just drop dead and stop
               | producing cars. And these have much bigger brand value
               | for traditional customers than Tesla will ever have.
        
               | Bubble_Pop_22 wrote:
               | > But it sounds like the bulk of your confusion comes
               | from a significant misunderstanding of what the stock
               | market _is_.
               | 
               | I think OP would not be the confused one in 6 months
               | time.
               | 
               | Stock market only cares about the future when people care
               | about the future. AKA when there is optimism in the air.
               | 
               | The 2015-2022 wave of optimism was quite frankly uncalled
               | for and overextended given the reality at the base level.
               | Especially what happened 2020-2022.
        
               | JasonFruit wrote:
               | Corrected for inflation, John D. Rockefeller is probably
               | the richest American ever.
        
               | SamBam wrote:
               | Hmm, according to this calculator [1], Rockefeller's net
               | worth of $1.4B in 1937 would be worth $28B today.
               | 
               | Elon's is around $240B, so it sounds like 10x the amount.
               | 
               | Even by different calculations, it seems like an order of
               | magnitude is a big difference.
               | 
               | By GDP, they are both worth around 1% of the US GDP, but
               | the US GDP is many times what it was then, particularly
               | post-WWII.
               | 
               | Musk's buying power seems significantly more than
               | Rockefeller's by any metric.
               | 
               | 1. https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | pixl97 wrote:
               | Tesla is also a worldwide company and trading around the
               | world is significantly faster and easier than in
               | Rockefeller's days.
        
               | ipaddr wrote:
               | The most successful payment company, the top car company
               | on terms of valuation and the top rocket company. We've
               | never seen that profile. Usually it's someone who had
               | monopolized an industry like Gates or Bozo doing under
               | one company.
        
               | lupire wrote:
               | That's kind of arbitrary because Microsoft is an OS,
               | apps, computer, and peripherals company; and Amazon is a
               | retail, logistics, and cloud services company.
               | 
               | Tesla is a battery-based company, but could also have
               | been a transportation company and included Boring and
               | SpaceX.
               | 
               | And Mastercard and Vida are both bigger in payments than
               | PayPal. And PayPal was mostly Thiel's Confinity, which
               | merged with Musk's X.com bank.
        
               | SamReidHughes wrote:
               | I'm really confused how you're confused. What is a better
               | way to become the richest person than by owning and
               | growing a series of hugely successful companies that
               | provide products and services to people?
        
               | lumost wrote:
               | To my knowledge, none of these companies were run at a
               | profit during Musk's involvement. While this is a normal
               | part of growing a business, it leads to a bias on what
               | people think could happen - rather than what does happen.
               | 
               | How much money did musk really make? how much of it is an
               | artifact of monetary policy.
        
               | drusepth wrote:
               | I think that's the big difference that causes confusion
               | here: Musk is wealthy, not rich. The companies are
               | _worth_ a lot, but generally not producing dollar bills
               | for him. His ownership in companies worth a lot is why he
               | 's valued so high, rather than strictly how much money or
               | cash leverage he has.
        
               | lupire wrote:
               | 80% of Musk's wealth is either confidence in Tesla's
               | future, or memes, depnding on your perspective. It's not
               | even pretending to be about completed work.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | Well for one thing you're downplaying several massive,
               | global businesses.
               | 
               | PayPal is a $25b sales, $4b operating income giant in the
               | financial sector (payments / payment processing
               | specifically). They have an $83b market cap and have
               | sales equivalent to Germany's largest bank. Musk doesn't
               | own a meaningful part of PayPal, it plays no role in his
               | present wealth (other than he sold his ownership stake in
               | PayPal to fund the early days of Tesla & SpaceX).
               | 
               | Tesla is very obviously overvalued by a lot (by
               | $400b-$600b at least), there's no rational argument
               | against that. However being a major owner of BMW, which
               | is perhaps what Tesla is best compared to in size and
               | profitability now, is still a rather dramatic financial
               | position to have (obviously). If we (when the market
               | does) adjust Tesla to a more rational valuation, Musk
               | would be a lot less rich, but still among the ~20-30
               | richest on the planet. Owning 16% of a segment-leading,
               | tech-leading, growing car company that generates $12-$14b
               | in operating income, is a very good business to be
               | sitting on.
               | 
               | SpaceX is a lot more than a very good rocket company.
               | Their connectivity business will likely be worth tens of
               | billions of dollars in the future. No other entity on
               | Earth can presently match what they've accomplished in
               | rocketry and satellites, that includes China, the US
               | Government, Russia, or their corporate peers. The
               | connectivity network they're building is exceptional and
               | very, very difficult (and expensive) for others to
               | compete with. The value of their ability to deploy
               | zillions of satellites rapidly, will increase
               | dramatically as more uses are figured out for such
               | constellations (the US Government in particular).
        
               | Bubble_Pop_22 wrote:
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | It's confusing because wealth in this case is based on
               | valuation, which in the case of Tesla is based entirely
               | on what some people think the company will do,
               | monetarily, in the future. In my mind, Bill Gates is
               | truly richer than Elon, because he has a diversified
               | portfolio and could convert more of his holdings into
               | other, different holdings, with less friction.
        
               | lupire wrote:
               | Bill Gates would be straight up wealthier than Musk if he
               | didn't donate half his wealth to his foundation. If you
               | consider that part of his wealth (in the sense of total
               | lifetime income so far, not figure spending power, so
               | subtracting off personal consumption/spending), you don't
               | have Musk being suprosinly more wealthy.
        
               | r00fus wrote:
               | Considering the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is
               | essentially chaired by the two directly, why wouldn't you
               | consider that wealth (that they get nice tax treatment
               | for donating to) isn't theirs?
        
               | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
               | I think Mr Musk will no longer be the world's richest man
               | by end of 2023.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | Bloomberg pegs him as having $9b in cash, $3b Twitter,
               | $40b SpaceX, $3b Boring Company (silly valuation), $5b in
               | misc liabilities, and the rest Tesla.
        
               | heartbreak wrote:
               | You're getting downvoted for no apparent reason, but
               | there's an argument to be made here that crypto crashing
               | would cause retail investors to pull out of investments
               | altogether, and meme stocks like Tesla would take a hit.
               | Bloomberg, WSJ, etc. are all writing about this potential
               | contagion effect today.
        
             | Py-o7 wrote:
             | > The probability that Elon is margin called by year end is
             | roughly 40% according to option prices.
             | 
             | The way tycoons frequently do this involves putting collars
             | around a significant portion of the margined stock (and for
             | a sizable position like this, the trade would flow through
             | to option prices on tesla and the stock itself via delta
             | hedging or whatever the trade desks are doing as part of
             | the trade)
        
               | splistud wrote:
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _Elon is margin called by year end is roughly 40%
             | according to option prices_
             | 
             | The margin loans will almost certainly be replaced with
             | outside equity prior to closing.
        
               | shapefrog wrote:
               | I am wondering what is in it for those people lining up -
               | they are paying 20% over the market value to be locked in
               | with musk.
        
               | toyg wrote:
               | For the same sort of consideration for which one would
               | buy a newspaper in the third millennium: there is
               | something to gain from directing a powerful megaphone,
               | even if it doesn't make money directly.
        
               | ahepp wrote:
               | I don't have any background in finance, but it seems like
               | there are a couple of possibilities.
               | 
               | First, given the recent precipitous fall in the NASDAQ,
               | there's speculation that Musk will lower the offer (which
               | seems quite reasonable).
               | 
               | Second, I'm not sure there's any reason to assume these
               | new equity investors are paying the share price Musk is
               | paying. If Musk pays $54.20 a share, and needs to raise
               | 25% of the acquisition cost by issuing new equity, he
               | could sell 49.99% of the new company at say, $30 a share
               | to his partners and still raise the required capital.
        
               | trothamel wrote:
               | Tesla is up 995% over the past 5 years.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | Musk has hit a lot of home runs. It's pretty comical to
               | watch his detractors squirm about it; watching them have
               | to switch to hilarious flailing attempts at moral
               | condemnation (as if they were all saints and priests)
               | about calling people names on Twitter or saying
               | rude/dumb/ignorant things - who fucking cares, only a
               | psycho envious pedant would be so obsessed about such
               | things.
               | 
               | I'm not particularly a Musk fan, however his record of
               | business success so far is exceptional.
               | 
               | Tesla has plainly kicked the ass of the European and
               | Asian auto giants, something that was entirely dismissed
               | as impossible prior to the mass production of the Model S
               | (right up to its roll out, people here on HN were widely
               | proclaiming it was impossible; then that crowd started
               | with the false predictions again right up to the roll out
               | of the Model 3, that it could never be mass produced;
               | then when those predictions all failed, they moved on to
               | proclaiming that Tesla was going to go bankrupt, whoops).
               | 
               | Tesla's $62 billion in sales has come almost entirely at
               | the expense of the existing auto juggernauts. They've
               | eaten a BMW-size company in under a decade. The
               | automobile industry isn't expanding net very much, and
               | particularly the affluent segment that Tesla is selling
               | in to, those populations are not buying a lot more
               | vehicles (very little population growth in the affluent
               | world), so Tesla's gain is mostly coming at the cost of
               | the existing industry. Not only did Tesla not go
               | bankrupt, they're now very profitable (ie they now have a
               | large self-funding capacity to continue pushing their
               | expansion faster: R&D, plants, chargers, etc).
        
               | mkr-hn wrote:
               | I don't like a world where the only way to assess someone
               | is by how much money they make for investors. That's a
               | bleak reality, so I prefer to act as though a person's
               | behavior matters in the hopes I might create it by force
               | of will. You can recognize the negative with the
               | positive. Anything else is revisionism.
        
               | semi-extrinsic wrote:
               | > Tesla has plainly kicked the ass of the European and
               | Asian auto giants
               | 
               | Tesla had 1.4% of all cars sold in 2021, by number of
               | units. Going by revenue it's somewhere around 1%. It is
               | kinda hard to see that as kicking the asses of the
               | competition.
               | 
               | Kicking ass would be more like what happened with
               | smartphones, where iOS + Android went from 0 to >90%
               | market share in the space of five years, leaving Nokia,
               | Palm, Blackberry etc. as brands nobody would assoviate
               | themselves with. Nothing like that is happening in
               | automotive.
        
               | zamfi wrote:
               | Smartphone upgrade cycles are annual/biennial. Car
               | upgrade cycles average 7-10 years.
               | 
               | Not that I expect Tesla to dominate like apple and
               | android have, but I do think we'll need to wait a few
               | more years before we know the answer.
        
               | cyberlurker wrote:
               | Expensive cars in the emerging EV market. 1.4% is great.
        
               | fny wrote:
               | The question is not whether he's been successful. He has
               | been, the question is whether this is the peak valuation
               | akin to Cisco during dotcom and whether he is over
               | leveraged at this point.
        
               | optimiz3 wrote:
               | People have kept asking this question for the past 12
               | years. Meanwhile my TSLA shares bought in 2013 have been
               | doing just fine.
        
               | skrtskrt wrote:
               | Your shares did well in of the biggest untinerrupted
               | market bull runs in history????
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | Some of that depends on whether Twitter can partially
               | self-fund the acquisition itself over time.
               | 
               | Most likely it can, that much more so if Musk negotiates
               | a lower price. Debt is very inexpensive right now,
               | especially for large corporations with a strong balance
               | sheet. If Musk owns all of Twitter, he gets their $6
               | billion in cash and their balance sheet has no
               | consequential debt issues.
               | 
               | Twitter is operationally profitable, despite being very
               | poorly run in terms of cost structure. Their margins on
               | sales should be far greater than at present; they have a
               | bloated employee count and have for a very long time.
               | There's no reason Twitter can't spit off $1b in operating
               | income on $5b in sales.
               | 
               | Further, Musk has ~$9b in cash (per Bloomberg), lots of
               | very rich friends (eg Ellison, Google founders, VC
               | billionaires, etc etc) that believe in him, and lots of
               | assets in Tesla and SpaceX he can borrow $10b-$20b
               | against if needed.
               | 
               | That said - I don't think levering himself to the moon is
               | wise and I don't think paying $40b+ for Twitter is smart.
               | Particularly at this point in time (with the global
               | economy shaky, the US economy contracting in real terms,
               | China's economy shaky, and financial markets sinking).
        
               | mywittyname wrote:
               | Leveraged buyout at an inflated price in the short term.
               | Banks backing the loans will get guaranteed interest
               | payments on the loans plus a lucrative contract debt
               | servicing and consulting fees in the medium term. Long
               | term they'll IPO again and/or find a fool to acquire
               | them.
        
             | gitfan86 wrote:
             | The more likely scenario is that some of the financial
             | backers like Larry Ellison will ask Elon to renegotiate the
             | buyout price due to current market conditions and the deal
             | will fall through.
        
               | adventured wrote:
               | Twitter is worth a lot less than what it's trading for.
               | Musk's bid is rather idiotically high. Twitter's
               | shareholders will be desperate if they start to see the
               | full mauling that other prominent, hyper overvalued tech
               | stocks have enjoyed lately. They will take a lower offer
               | accordingly, whether that's from Musk or other. The stock
               | is going into the $20s if they don't take an acquisition
               | offer from someone.
        
               | zimpenfish wrote:
               | > Musk's bid is rather idiotically high
               | 
               | Well, it was either $54.20 or $69.00 (I suppose he could
               | have gone for $44.20 but would that have tempted anyone?)
        
               | swalsh wrote:
               | Twitters P/E ratio is 186.12!
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | CEOs of large companies that are forced out during
           | acquisitions often fail upward. It really depends on how they
           | behave right before the close. Effectively, the CEO has to
           | advocate for the company and get the most out of the
           | acquisition, and if they do, they are often rewarded (with
           | seats on board or choice of next job). realistically, he will
           | be able to retire for life after this if he chooses, and will
           | be able to select a job offer that works well for him.
        
             | throwaway_1928 wrote:
             | Job offer or not, $42 million for doing almost nothing is a
             | great deal.
        
           | altacc wrote:
           | If the deal falls through then Twitter will probably have to
           | announce some big changes to keep its stock price from
           | falling too much. Although this move could have been made
           | after the deal's collapse is announced but maybe he wants to
           | have things in place before that happens.
        
             | kenrik wrote:
             | It'll be a bloodbath if the deal falls through since there
             | was a runup when Elon first started sniffing around.
             | 
             | The fact that it's not pegged to the purchase price already
             | shows there is some skepticism that it actually closes.
        
           | duxup wrote:
           | I worked at a big company that was being acquired. The bigger
           | acquiring company needed our company to sell off some
           | divisions to avoid regulatory issues. So we were in this
           | "going to be acquired.. one day" phase for like 18 months.
           | 
           | In the meantime our company actually had to tell the a
           | subsidiary of bigger acquiring company.... to sort of shove
           | off on a partnership we had with them.
           | 
           | This subsidiary was crap and they were not holding up their
           | end of the partnership. It was reiterated many times that
           | "while we will likely be acquired by their parent company our
           | job is to operate in the interest of our current stockholders
           | and that best interest is to no longer work with
           | <subsidiary>".
           | 
           | No word if the acquiring company ever responded negatively.
           | By all accounts they understood (and really had a bigger
           | picture in mind).
           | 
           | That situation seemed pretty logical to me.
        
             | arthurcolle wrote:
             | so what happened?
        
           | Traster wrote:
           | But what's changed? If Parag wanted to go this direction why
           | didn't he do it when he took over as CEO?
        
             | sulam wrote:
             | A thoughtful CEO doesn't take the role and immediately
             | start making changes. It takes some time to absorb what's
             | going on.
        
               | Traster wrote:
               | It's not like he was an outsider, he was CTO for about 5
               | years before he became CEO. He knew what was going on in
               | the company.
        
               | sulam wrote:
               | Knowing Parag, he probably didn't actually have strong
               | opinions about Product until it was his job to.
        
             | e-clinton wrote:
             | It's been like 5 months. I'd imagine he's still learning
             | about the issues.
        
               | devmunchies wrote:
               | He's been at twitter for 11 years and was the CTO, should
               | take a couple weeks to get up to speed on the knowledge
               | delta between CEO and CTO.
        
               | Infinitesimus wrote:
               | You might be underestimating the complexity of being a
               | good CEO (not to say he is) at a public tech company
               | under a lot of global government scrutiny.
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | This has nothing to do with Musk so I wouldn't try to attribute
         | it to him.
        
         | soheil wrote:
         | A third possibility is the stock market tanking and inflation
         | rate spiking. Many top companies are either freezing hiring or
         | downsizing.
         | 
         | However, it does look better on the balance sheet when you get
         | rid of two of your major cash burning expenses and their future
         | vesting schedules.
         | 
         | CAP rate = net operating income / value of the asset
         | 
         | Basically you can immediately increase the value of your
         | company by lowering expenses without having to justify a lower
         | CAP.
        
         | ibejoeb wrote:
         | So many possibilities. Top people with favorable clauses might
         | be finagling their own golden parachutes.
        
           | morelisp wrote:
           | Also my first thought - you'll probably get a better
           | severance from your long-time coworker than the new guy who
           | came in with the stated belief you've done everything wrong.
        
         | romanhn wrote:
         | Others provided a bunch of alternative options. I'll throw
         | another one in the mix. Parag has been a CEO a few short
         | months. If he's about to be out, he won't have much to show for
         | his time. Bold moves now can show potential future boards of
         | directors that he has what it takes to take on this role
         | elsewhere.
        
         | lettergram wrote:
         | Imo mostly likely scenario is they're removing evidence /
         | firing people as if the evidence is discovered.
         | 
         | If you saw their prior earnings they were over reporting by at
         | least a million users. The people they fired would have
         | potentially known that, or at the very least should have.
         | 
         | Further, due diligence will be done prior to sale. At which
         | point items such as the above can / will be discovered.
         | 
         | Finally, there have been _a lot_ of political decisions made by
         | Twitter (banning a sitting president, etc). If that was done at
         | the behest of government (as some claim) or advertisers (others
         | claim). The result is the same, they made a decision which
         | strategically let Trump start a competing and growing platform.
         | Not good for business.
         | 
         | In any case, I suspect that's the reason for firing.
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | What if they wanted to leave and he gave them cover?
         | 
         | What if the board wanted them out?
         | 
         | There's lots of possibilities that don't have much to do with
         | ol' Musky.
        
         | darawk wrote:
         | I think there's also the possibility that Parag is vying to
         | keep his job as CEO, and so he's trying to guess what he thinks
         | will impress Musk, and executing on it while he's still in
         | charge.
        
         | tempnow987 wrote:
         | My own guess is that this is doubtful that Musk drove this.
         | 
         | That said, he is a very large shareholder already, and so if
         | he, as a large shareholder, communicated something to the
         | board, and they acted, then the claim that isn't kosher rings a
         | bit hollow - large shareholders communicate with boards and
         | some activist ones go further.
         | 
         | Internally I suspect there is some concern about Musk. The head
         | of legal was reportedly crying regarding this buyout. They've
         | got their misinformation management efforts around the biden
         | laptop story and other issues (vaccines etc etc) that musk may
         | not back as fully as Gadde did. So they could be moving some
         | deck chairs in advance of Musks arrival. Be interesting to see
         | how it shakes out, may not be smooth - Twitter is HQ'ed in San
         | Francisco.
        
         | next_xibalba wrote:
         | > So there's two options right
         | 
         | There are far more possibilities than those two. Here's just
         | one off the top of my head (I assign no probabilities here,
         | just pointing out this false binary): This person is being
         | fired as a result of some investigation or process that began
         | prior to the acquisition process and whose results have only
         | just been reached. There are a whole range of process driving,
         | "my hands are tied" scenarios that could explain this.
        
           | lkxijlewlf wrote:
           | Another possibility is the interim person lobbied hard to
           | have the job and made some rather convincing arguments.
        
           | fooey wrote:
           | They could have ignaled that they're not willing to work for
           | Musk, so they're being shown the door ahead of time to
           | minimize turmoil later on.
        
           | twic wrote:
           | Another would be that this person was doing something that
           | could derail the deal (deliberately or not), and the CEO felt
           | the best thing to do was to protect the deal by firing him.
           | Given that he's on paternity leave, and "Parag asked me to
           | leave after letting me know that he wants to take the team in
           | a different direction", that doesn't seem likely.
        
           | Macha wrote:
           | Although if you were fired after being investigated and the
           | company is keeping it quiet, then surely going with the
           | standard "spend some time with the family excuse" and keeping
           | it quiet rather than drawing attention to that fact would be
           | basic self preservation.
        
           | sounds wrote:
           | There's more to this than just today's events supporting your
           | theory that the wheels were in motion before Elon's bid -
           | 
           | https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/21/technology/twitter-
           | securi...
        
         | faangiq wrote:
         | Burn his reputation? No one knew who this guy was 2 weeks ago.
         | Now he will just fail up like all other execs.
        
         | Shadonototra wrote:
         | twitter has no strategy, it became apparent the day they killed
         | vine, and it is still true today
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | spoonjim wrote:
         | Fourth option is that the deal doesn't go through. Deals fail
         | to go through all the time. If you just sit around and the deal
         | doesn't go through you're fucked. The CEO's job is to manage
         | the company as though the deal won't go through, until it
         | actually closes.
        
         | marricks wrote:
         | Isn't there usually some sort of removing of the skeletons from
         | the closets before a deal closes? Yahoo revealed there massive
         | data breach while their deal was closing and such.
        
         | m12k wrote:
         | It's also possible the deal provided an ad-hoc loyalty test and
         | these to execs failed it.
        
         | hemreldop wrote:
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | cronix wrote:
         | Another option - get rid of the talent before the next guy
         | comes in to run it, because you don't like him.
        
         | cycrutchfield wrote:
         | Or the deal is not going to close?
        
           | belter wrote:
           | "SEC is investigating Elon Musk over his late disclosure that
           | he had purchased Twitter stock"
           | 
           | https://www.businessinsider.com/sec-investigates-elon-
           | musks-...
        
             | Sebb767 wrote:
             | Was there a time in the past few years where Musk wasn't
             | actively investigated by the SEC? Hasn't hindered his
             | business ventures much, so far at least.
        
         | adrianmonk wrote:
         | > _So there 's two options right - the first is that Parag is
         | for some reason making big strategic decisions about the
         | direction of the company despite the fact that we all know
         | he'll be gone if the deal closes. Or he's making big strategic
         | changes at the behest of the acquirers before the deal closes._
         | 
         | It's conceivable that he already had a backlog of changes in
         | his mind that he wanted to do at some point, sooner or later.
         | But due to acquisition coming, sooner or later has turned into
         | now or never.
         | 
         | If he legitimately believed these changes were best for the
         | company before, he might still believe so.
         | 
         | In other words, yes, there's a reason, but not necessarily a
         | nefarious one. It could be, or maybe it's as innocuous as
         | urgency.
        
         | rabite wrote:
         | Kayvon is one of the functional employees at Twitter that was
         | actually capable of building a product or feature out. This is
         | most likely further sabotaging the platform in service of the
         | ideological agenda that Parag and his ilk have relentlessly
         | pursued. He's got a very good relationship with Jack and many
         | others that actually built Twitter, but not a good one with the
         | new figures who don't know how to build or run businesses but
         | think they know what should be done with them.
         | 
         | This is just the soldiers of the revolution marching through
         | the institution and filling the chairs as much as possible in
         | anticipation of internally warring against Musk and crashing
         | the whole thing with no survivors in the event that the deal
         | actually goes through.
        
           | nickstinemates wrote:
           | In this version of events, it's likely we'll be able to see
           | how lean Twitter could actually be.
        
           | LightG wrote:
           | Hope so.
        
         | donohoe wrote:
         | He is on paternity leave so unclear how much any of these
         | options hold-up.
        
         | ineedasername wrote:
         | There's a third option, which is that Parag is doing what he
         | things is in the best interests if the company under the
         | circumstances.
         | 
         | Because regardless if whether the acquisition falls through or
         | not, this whole thing has underscored the need for changes at
         | Twitter. The top two execs may need to go in order to move
         | forward no matter what.
         | 
         | Your options are reasonable guesses as well, just not the only
         | two possibilities.
        
         | ManBlanket wrote:
         | What about the possibility guy was going to be asked to leave
         | regardless of recent events, but the executive team decided the
         | least they could do after he put in good time is allow him to
         | collect some PTO on parental leave before handing him the
         | official pink slip? I don't know what Twitter's benefits are
         | but I imagine they have an, "unlimited leave" policy. Could be
         | they've disagreed for a while and an argument came to an
         | affront similar to, "Look man, I'm going to take leave to spend
         | time with my new child, then we'll decide if it's the right
         | move for me to return." Frankly this is a pretty boring
         | conspiracy regardless, people leave jobs all the time. All I
         | have to say is I hope dude enjoys a nice Summer with his family
         | without worrying about this dumb product that for the most part
         | narcissists use to trick themselves into thinking anybody gives
         | a shit about what they have to say.
        
           | gernb wrote:
           | Is it plausable that people at that level would need PTO?
           | They've got 10s of millions in the bank.
        
           | saagarjha wrote:
           | Twitter does have an unlimited leave policy.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | dwighttk wrote:
       | "INSANELY proud...Twitter's DAU has grown by over 87% since Q2
       | 2018..."
        
       | xyst wrote:
       | twitter cleaning house, preparing for the inevitable scorched
       | Earth effect of the transition to being privately owned.
        
       | WORMS_EAT_WORMS wrote:
       | Are we all going to pretend Twitter's consumer product is not in
       | desperate need of reworking?
       | 
       | It's failing hard to users and on the business side.
       | 
       | The decision makes sense...
       | 
       | This is extremely personal matter, beyond the Elon hate, I can't
       | imagine why anyone would think its a good idea to make a public
       | show about all this.
       | 
       | Good luck to him though. Would be awesome if he can prove Twitter
       | (and the world) wrong and not be a one-hit wonder with Periscope.
       | Or, not..
       | 
       | Time will tell.
        
       | Cupprum wrote:
       | Maybe its a way to give his "friends" golden parachutes before he
       | also quits after they sell twitter?
        
       | tfp137 wrote:
       | If he was fired on paternity leave, the credited play is to say
       | nothing. This is potentially a beautiful lawsuit and the last
       | thing you want to do is lose ground on something you said on the
       | internet.
        
       | Proven wrote:
        
       | 5bolts wrote:
       | If he's fired now the current board can offer him a severance
       | package that may not be on the table once Elon takes over. Might
       | be a good thing, or strategic?
        
         | WORMS_EAT_WORMS wrote:
         | Wild. Technically is that legal?
        
           | nickff wrote:
           | Severance packages are usually a deal: company pays you $X,
           | and you agree to say (or not say) certain things, and also
           | agree where you might work in the future (i.e. not at a
           | competitor). The current board/CEO may want to keep things
           | stable, and offer generous money to keep things on an even
           | keel; Elon may not care what a former executive says or does.
        
           | micromacrofoot wrote:
           | Why wouldn't it be? The sale hasn't finalized, so unless
           | there's evidence that they're intentionally harming the
           | company they can continue to operate as usual.
        
         | 1290cc wrote:
         | This is the correct answer, Elon will not be as generous when
         | cutting numbers.
         | 
         | I'll never forget letting go of staff in France and Italy. The
         | employees were overjoyed we were letting them go and got into
         | fights over who would be taking the packages. I learned that
         | they received 1 year of salary upfront tax free with a bunch of
         | additional benefits to help with job training and placement.
         | 
         | An average middle manager friend has had this happen 3 times,
         | each time after a US acquisition. He now has a chateau in the
         | south of france and is very happy with himself.
        
       | csefam14 wrote:
        
       | dylan604 wrote:
       | "To the hard working (current and former) Tweeps out there who
       | made all this happen: Thank you for pouring your heart and soul
       | into this place "
       | 
       | Tweeps? Is that really a term of endearment they refer to each
       | other as? Really?
        
         | moate wrote:
         | Feels less condescending than Apple "Geniuses" or Best Buy
         | "Nerds", and pretty in line with "Googlers", "Toasters" or
         | "Hulugans".
         | 
         | Is this a thing most people refer to other employees as most of
         | the time? No, but it helps corporate create an image of a fun,
         | playful workplace. I think it's utter bullshit, but you know,
         | to each their own.
        
           | robonerd wrote:
           | > _No, but it helps corporate create an image of a fun,
           | playful workplace_
           | 
           | Nah, all of these corporate 'pet names' are applied
           | unilaterally, by the executives to the workers. Condescension
           | is the point. The application of such a nickname is a show of
           | power, meant to remind workers of their place in the system.
        
             | moate wrote:
             | I don't disagree with you, hence the sentence immediately
             | following that. That said, tons of middle managers seem to
             | buy into the BS more than the people above or below them,
             | and seem to proudly think of themselves as _stupid nickname
             | that is applicable_.
             | 
             | If your culture involves calling me anything other than an
             | "employee", I'm not a fan. Personally, I will always think
             | of myself as a "Mercenary" regardless of who's signing my
             | checks currently.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | It all sounds like too much Kool-aid has been drunk by the
           | employees. That's the creepy thing about it to me. Another
           | example of where the employees wear company branded clothing.
           | I've worked for a place where the company sold their branded
           | items to employees and the employees would purchase each and
           | every new version that was offered. I swear I could hear them
           | chanting "one of us".
        
           | hprotagonist wrote:
           | meta-me-tes
        
             | aaaaaaaaata wrote:
             | Metastasized
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Metastases
        
             | corobo wrote:
             | Meta "Creeps"
             | 
             | It's like peeps, but more Facebook-y
        
         | jayd16 wrote:
         | Better than Twits, Teets, Twats, and Tweebs I guess. Even birds
         | is pretty bad.
        
           | jrootabega wrote:
           | Twittalowda is the non-colonial term, I think.
        
           | selimthegrim wrote:
           | I guess Peeps is already spoken for. Drowning their post-
           | firing sorrows in alcohol wouldn't be a good idea anyway.
        
       | robbiemitchell wrote:
       | > Spaces, Communities, Topics, Creator tools, Safety controls
       | 
       | Interesting: as a casual Twitter user since 2008, I am completely
       | unaware of Spaces, Communities, Topics, and Creator tools.
       | Probably because I use Tweetdeck (desktop) and Tweetbot (mobile).
       | I never see trending posts or ads, either.
        
         | sefrost wrote:
         | I use the regular app and website as a casual user and am only
         | aware of Topics.
         | 
         | My experience with Topics was really bad, I followed the "web
         | development" topic and it just surfaces tweets of people who
         | took a coding bootcamp and posting the thread emoji a lot. I
         | tried for a while marking tweets in the Topic as not relevant
         | but it didn't change anything.
        
       | brk wrote:
       | Without knowing details of the severance, non-compete clauses,
       | etc., it is hard to read too much into this. It could be a giant
       | favor, or a giant kick in the balls.
        
       | ramesh31 wrote:
       | Must have been bad blood if he wasn't even given the opportunity
       | to resign and save face. I can't even imagine the vipers nest of
       | toxicity that building must be at this point.
        
         | afavour wrote:
         | Might be a severance issue. If he resigns, no severence. I
         | imagine if he is fired he gets some. So he might have forced
         | them to fire him. I know I would.
        
         | minhazm wrote:
         | > Parag asked me to leave after letting me know that he wants
         | to take the team in a different direction.
         | 
         | I interpreted that as he was asked to resign. Which in practice
         | most people consider the same as getting fired. At this level
         | it's rare for someone to actually get terminated though, you
         | would have to do something illegal or highly inappropriate.
         | It's almost always that you're asked to resign and you get a
         | generous severance package to go with it.
        
       | hintymad wrote:
       | Growing up outside of the US, I feel kinda cringed when he said
       | he was "INSANELY proud of our collective teams achieved". Such an
       | interesting cultural difference.
        
         | stagger87 wrote:
         | It's boring executive marketing speak, and it's prevalent
         | worldwide, not just in the US.
        
         | mypalmike wrote:
         | What's the issue? Using the adverb "insanely" in a positive
         | light? Or that he's proud?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | TameAntelope wrote:
         | What's odd about it? Why wouldn't he be proud of his team for
         | successfully building stuff he thought was important to build?
        
           | robonerd wrote:
           | Being so proud you lose your sanity? That's quite odd. It's
           | an _insane_ amount of hyperbole.
        
             | jmeister wrote:
             | Didn't Steve Jobs make that usage of 'insane' popular in
             | SV?
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | I thought it came from surfers/skateboarders.
        
               | civilized wrote:
               | I think so. I think he also coined a number of other
               | annoyingly ubiquitous speech patterns, like "Do X. Fast."
        
             | cmelbye wrote:
             | Wait til you find out that "sick" and "ill" can also be
             | synonyms for "really great".
        
             | babypuncher wrote:
             | Seems like a pretty typical use of the word "insane" in the
             | US.
        
               | robonerd wrote:
               | Yes, I agree. That's probably why hintymad shared the
               | context of not being raised in the US.
        
               | thieving_magpie wrote:
               | The cultural difference doesn't seem like something to
               | "cringe" over. I also don't think the hyperbolic use is
               | restricted to the US. Pretty much any english speaking
               | country will use "insane" to describe something with
               | emphasis. Certainly normal in the UK and Australia.
        
               | isbjorn16 wrote:
               | it's kind of insane to me that this is seen as insane, if
               | I'm honest
        
             | TameAntelope wrote:
             | Insanely is just operating as a term of emphasis in this
             | context. Maybe that's not an easy translation?
             | 
             | One definition for "insanely" is [0]:
             | 
             | > to an extreme degree.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/insanely
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | seydor wrote:
           | I will expect more people to mock this decade of extreme
           | marketingspeak that was funded with fake money and fat
           | investor pockets. The people doing the mocking will lead the
           | next wave of tech growth
        
         | samatman wrote:
         | This quirk of dialect should be called the California
         | Superlative.
         | 
         | Everything is awesome, amazing, radical, insane, great, gnarly,
         | not to mention sick, ill, righteous, dope. Californians just
         | love superlatives, use them constantly, wear them out, and need
         | new ones.
         | 
         | This spreads like a fine coating of mold over the rest of the
         | country before going on to annoy the Commonwealth, and then we
         | repeat. It's pretty cool.
        
         | websap wrote:
         | Can you say more? Why did you find it cringey?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | Ombudsman wrote:
         | This comment is insanely cringey
        
         | rossdavidh wrote:
         | I grew up in the US, and I also found that odd. Not
         | unprecedented, but odd. The literal interpretation of that
         | statement might be more justifiable than the one he meant...
        
         | bobthepanda wrote:
         | it's cringeworthy in the US outside of the job-finding/bragging
         | echo chamber this kind of post normally shows up in
        
           | bogomipz wrote:
           | I also believe there would also be a large segment of the US
           | that finds these "job-finding/bragging echo chamber" Twitter
           | posts cringeworthy regardless of context. They appear oddly
           | performative and obligatory. Stay tuned for the follow up
           | "I'm incredibly excited to announce that today I am joining
           | ___" post.
        
         | bobro wrote:
         | you should read this more from the perpective of a dude who
         | just lost his job and will need to soon get rehired. not really
         | a US culture thing.
        
       | ryanSrich wrote:
       | Not entirely related, but I do not understand how someone could
       | say this with a straight face
       | https://twitter.com/kayvz/status/1524787804743475201?s=21&t=...
        
         | exolymph wrote:
         | > I'm proud that we changed the perception around Twitter's
         | pace of innovation, and proud that we shifted the culture
         | internally to make bigger bets, move faster, and eliminate
         | sacred cows.
         | 
         | Lol
        
       | kyledrake wrote:
       | I've been using Twitter since it's main novelty was that it was a
       | successful Ruby on Rails app, and honestly I've been trying to
       | figure out where the exit is for my personal use of Twitter
       | lately. If the acquisition goes through, Twitter won't make
       | enough money to service it's debt, and the things they will do to
       | fix that are pretty much guaranteed to lower the quality of the
       | platform, which frankly has never worked very well for me
       | anyways. The fact that they're doing a leadership purge right now
       | is not helping my opinion on this.
       | 
       | I also think the proposal to have Twitter allow all content that
       | is "legal under US law" is a dangerous idea for the platform
       | being a healthy community that most people actually want to
       | participate in. Content moderation debates have never been so
       | ham-fisted as they are online so I won't try here, suffice to say
       | there's some pretty horrible, disgusting things that are "legal
       | under US law" (and as a content moderator, I've seen them all).
       | If Twitter allows people to do them, it will make it difficult
       | for Twitter to maintain a healthy community, and the platform
       | could quickly devolve into a scarychan-style sewer that only the
       | craziest people on the internet will want to dwell in. To say
       | nothing about whether advertisers will tolerate some of it, or
       | even Apple's app store.
        
         | ellyagg wrote:
         | You'd have to be pretty naive to assume Musk would let trolls
         | run Twitter into the ground.
         | 
         | The most likely upshot of Musk's hints is that Twitter will
         | stop censoring or adding warning labels to "misinformation",
         | the classification of which is highly subject to partisan
         | biases.
        
         | misiti3780 wrote:
         | generally curious, what are some examples of disgusting things
         | legal under US law (I'm not a content moderator)?
        
         | secondcoming wrote:
         | > it will make it difficult for Twitter to maintain a healthy
         | community, and the platform could quickly devolve into a
         | scarychan-style sewer that only the craziest people on the
         | internet will want to dwell in
         | 
         | Twitter is the furthest from a healthy community I've ever
         | ventured. It's full of nutters.
        
         | ilamont wrote:
         | > I also think the proposal to have Twitter allow all content
         | that is "legal under US law" is a dangerous idea for the
         | platform being a healthy community that most people actually
         | want to participate in.
         | 
         | This is key. If @dang suddenly threw up his hands and said
         | "anything goes on HN within U.S. law" this wonderful virtual
         | discussion forum would die and most of us would sign off
         | forever. I say that as someone whose been here for ~15 years.
         | 
         | I've used Twitter for the same amount of time. Despite
         | Twitter's many faults and loopholes, the things that keep me
         | going back day after day is there is enough good discussion,
         | news tidbits, and photos (for me, mostly local nostalgia,
         | birds, and retro computing) that it's a worthwhile place for me
         | to hang out. I won't stick around if it gets too negative and
         | my people start to leave, as they surely will under such a
         | policy.
        
           | knubie wrote:
           | The difference between Twitter and Reddit, hacker news, or
           | 4chan, is that on Twitter you ostensibly only see content
           | from people you follow. If you don't like the content someone
           | is putting out, you just unfollow them. Twitter is more like
           | email than Reddit in that sense, and no one is arguing for
           | email to be moderated.
        
           | numpad0 wrote:
           | It will partially solve locality/language dependency problems
           | of following UGC laws though. There were enough of it for
           | Mastodon devs.
        
           | throwmeariver1 wrote:
        
           | paganel wrote:
           | That only works because HN is, mostly, politics-free.
           | 
           | I'm not a regular Twitter user but afaik that platform is
           | pretty heavy on politics, more than that, it's pretty heavy
           | when it comes to a certain political spectrum, the other side
           | has been mostly de-platformed by now. I don't consider that
           | as a healthy platform to comment on for the general public
           | (even though, I agree, it might be ok for people who happen
           | to share the same political opinions that have not been
           | banned by the Twitter higher-ups).
        
             | KerrAvon wrote:
             | > has been mostly de-platformed by now
             | 
             | Completely inaccurate. No one side has been deplatformed in
             | aggregate. A few individuals have been suspended
             | permanently for violating TOS. They should have been
             | removed earlier, but were considered special cases due to
             | their prominence. It amounts to Twitter removing its own
             | inhibition on enforcing its TOS for certain prominent
             | users.
             | 
             | If you want a hard-right-wing heavy experience, you can
             | certainly get that on Twitter today (and two months ago) by
             | following the hard right wingers. Most of them never left.
             | The subscriber count jumps you heard about when the emerald
             | scion announced his Twitter purchase? Very small
             | percentages.
        
               | jkubicek wrote:
               | I totally agree with this take.
               | 
               | I'm also surprised that there hasn't been more strident
               | push-back against the "conservatives are being banned
               | from Twitter" story from conservatives themselves. If I
               | were right-leaning I would certainly not want to be
               | associated with the q-anon advocates for violence that
               | _are_ being kicked off the platform.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | Trump wasn't kicked off the platform for being q-anon.
        
               | myko wrote:
               | Right, he was kicked off for fomenting an attempt at
               | revolution which included urging QAnon people (who need
               | medical treatment) to attack the nation's capital in an
               | effort to illegally reinstate himself as POTUS and using
               | Twitter in his effort to do so.
               | 
               | Much worse than just promoting QAnon conspiracies IMO!
        
             | d23 wrote:
             | > That only works because HN is, mostly, politics-free.
             | 
             | It's only politics-free because it's heavily moderated.
             | There's nothing magical about the people here that make
             | them apolitical. Political posts are often removed
             | outright, and comments that are political have to be pretty
             | fact-based (or at have the appearance thereof) to not be
             | removed.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | I'd add 1) that HN also didn't start politics-free, that
               | was something that was consciously imposed on it well
               | into its life, and 2) that HN post politics-moderation is
               | far less influential than HN was pre politics-moderation.
        
               | oarsinsync wrote:
               | > HN post politics-moderation is far less influential
               | than HN was pre politics-moderation
               | 
               | Influential in what way?
        
             | vincvinc wrote:
             | Hmm, are we on the same HN? I feel like I see a lot of
             | topics debated I'd call political ("about how society ought
             | to function") on a daily basis.
        
               | turtledove wrote:
               | I was going to say.... HN is full of politics. Not always
               | the Red vs Blue kind, but there's political discussions
               | _constantly_. At any given time several front page
               | stories are explicitly political, and several more are
               | implicitly political (e.g. cryptocurrency).
        
               | walleeee wrote:
               | imo a big mark in favor of this place that politics is
               | less likely to devolve into red team blue team
        
             | myko wrote:
             | > the other side has been mostly de-platformed by now
             | 
             | This is not true, far from it. Why do you think this?
        
             | nemothekid wrote:
             | > _I 'm not a regular Twitter user_
             | 
             | followed by
             | 
             | > _the other side has been mostly de-platformed by now_.
             | 
             | This is probably my biggest peeve when it comes about
             | discussions on Twitter. The media has made it seem that
             | Twitter just routinely bans conservatives voices for "a
             | difference of opinion" when that is not the case. Twitter's
             | high profile bans are on Wikipedia, and they weren't banned
             | for simply saying "abortion should be repealed".
        
             | femto113 wrote:
             | Everything is politics, but most of HN's comment section is
             | sufficiently homogenized around Silicon Valley libertarian
             | ideology that political conflict is rarely at the forefront
             | of discussions. A much more practical reason HN survives is
             | there are no images or videos. It is profoundly easier to
             | filter, downvote, or ignore someone's text ramblings than
             | it is to curate media.
        
             | Pxtl wrote:
             | > That only works because HN is, mostly, politics-free.
             | 
             | That not accidental, but the result of firm-handed and
             | aggressive moderation. My account is rate-limited because
             | of getting into political arguments on Hacker News.
        
             | kranke155 wrote:
             | There are pro-Russian accounts on Twitter. I don't know
             | about right wing US but I follow Marco Rubio. I don't know
             | how you'd get removed just for being right wing.
        
             | ilamont wrote:
             | > but afaik that platform is pretty heavy on politics
             | 
             | Twitter is what you want it to be, topic-wise, based on who
             | you follow and what they like to talk about. Further tuning
             | is possible using blocks and muted keywords.
             | 
             | However, there is bleed because people you follow and
             | Twitter's recommendation features can't help themselves
             | (and not just about politics; anything "newsy" pops up).
             | 
             | What happens when Elon's "anything under U.S. law" approach
             | kicks in is toxic behavior and arguments will get so
             | extreme that it will drive millions of people away, and
             | those who are left will see the quality of their feeds
             | decline. Then many of them will bail, too.
             | 
             | > That only works because HN is, mostly, politics-free.
             | 
             | This place holds together because the signal:noise ratio is
             | so high and @dang and the community work to keep it that
             | way. Toxicity and low-value contributions kill communities,
             | regardless of the topic at hand.
        
               | 2bitencryption wrote:
               | > it will drive millions of people away
               | 
               | I don't see this happening. I see the opposite. With free
               | reign to post "anything under U.S. law", content on
               | Twitter will become even further optimized to get the
               | most eyeballs. You'll see things that make you so mad
               | that you just HAVE to reply. And on and on it goes.
               | 
               | Surely you've seen those Twitter/Youtube/Insta ads that
               | would show a trivially easy puzzle (like, toddler-level
               | easy), and show a person somehow failing it. "Can YOU
               | solve it"? the add entices. Obviously. Of course you can
               | solve it. It's designed to be brain-dead easy to cast the
               | widest net, and to give you just that brief moment of
               | discomfort while you watch someone ELSE fail (as
               | scripted). And you want to dispel this discomfort, so you
               | click on it (or, more likely, you scroll on, but you
               | better believe that other people click on it).
               | 
               | It's like cigarettes. Everyone knows they kill you in the
               | long run. But boy do they tickle those neurons that make
               | you want just one more.
        
               | dleslie wrote:
               | > Twitter is what you want it to be, topic-wise, based on
               | who you follow and what they like to talk about.
               | 
               | I've tried this. It's false. It's a myth that Twitter
               | users tell themselves, AFAICT.
               | 
               | Even disregarding the trending topics and explore
               | interfaces, all it takes is for one of the curated
               | members that you follow to retweet something you're not
               | interested in seeing.
               | 
               | > What happens when Elon's "anything under U.S. law"
               | approach kicks in is toxic behavior and arguments will
               | get so extreme that it will drive millions of people
               | away, and those who are left will see the quality of
               | their feeds decline. Then many of them will bail, too.
               | 
               | But that's contradictory to your claim that Twitter is
               | what you want it to be, based on who you follow, isn't
               | it?
               | 
               | Because Twitter _isn't_ what you claim it is. Twitter is
               | optimized for outrage-oriented engagement. It _wants_ to
               | show you things that will encourage you to engage, to
               | return, and there's nothing quite as engaging as content
               | that upsets you.
        
               | ilamont wrote:
               | > I've tried this. It's false.
               | 
               | So I have I. I currently have about a half-dozen
               | accounts, each following different types of accounts with
               | limited overlap. So, what I get on the genealogy account
               | feed is limited almost entirely to genealogists and
               | historians posting about those topics and very little
               | else. People that stray too much get unfollowed.
               | 
               | That said, my personal account has overlap with a
               | separate startup/media/tech account because of some
               | shared interests in the tech space. But there is also a
               | lot of very different items I see in the personal account
               | because of local accounts in the city I live in as well
               | as topical news accounts relating to Asia and Europe that
               | interest me. Naturally, anything relating to current
               | events in those areas also touches on U.S. politics,
               | foreign policy, and military policy, so I get that too,
               | despite some muted keywords.
               | 
               | > But that's contradictory to your claim that Twitter is
               | what you want it to be, based on who you follow, isn't
               | it?
               | 
               | You missed the part in the paragraph that followed:
               | 
               |  _However, there is bleed because people you follow and
               | Twitter 's recommendation features can't help themselves
               | (and not just about politics; anything "newsy" pops up)._
               | 
               | And not everyone knows how to filter it, or they only
               | have one account. Those are the most likely to leave.
               | 
               | Not disagreeing with your point about outrage, though.
               | Like you said, there's nothing quite as engaging as
               | content that gets lots of responses/RTs/shares/"likes,"
               | and this content tends to be negative.
        
           | brundolf wrote:
           | I'm not sure the comparison holds up. Twitter right now
           | doesn't _moderate_ content, really, it only does anything
           | about outright scams, misinformation, etc. _Toxicity_ can
           | mostly run wild and free. Whereas HN has various moderation
           | mechanisms that seek to decrease the amount of low-quality
           | interaction.
           | 
           | I.e., I think dropping all moderation from HN would have a
           | much bigger effect than doing the same on Twitter
        
             | Pxtl wrote:
             | Twitter absolutely does moderate content. If you say
             | something that the algo interprets as being a suggestion to
             | commit suicide, you'll get an instante 24-hour ban. A tonne
             | of really awful toxic accounts are soft-blocked and their
             | tweets get stuck in the "more replies" box.
             | 
             | And if you're overtly and explicitly racist or sexist,
             | there's a good chance you'll get straight-up banned.
        
           | garbagetime wrote:
           | I've never once thought to myself "I'm happy that the people
           | I follow are only allowed to express some views" or any
           | similar thought. If someone is too rude, I block the person.
           | If I don't enjoy reading a person's Tweets, I unfollow him.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | seydor wrote:
         | Does twitter have a community? My use case for it is that of an
         | RSS reader. I thought reddit was for community
        
           | nickstinemates wrote:
           | twitter is the successor of irc, it's one giant channel with
           | a firehose of information. in the same way #yourfavtopic on
           | your fav $irc_server, community can be the point or the
           | problem
        
         | wfhordie wrote:
         | I hope you're right. I hope Elon takes over and turns into a
         | cesspit . Burn it to the ground once and for all, let the
         | public stare into the abyss that their fellow humans.
        
           | the_doctah wrote:
           | You're assuming it can get any worse than it already is
        
             | rchaud wrote:
             | It can get much worse.
             | 
             | After yesterday's UST/Luna crash, the main Luna subreddit
             | has stopped all posting because of the volume of suicide
             | threats. Only a few of those posts remain and are at the
             | top, with automated messages linking to helplines.
             | 
             | r/terraluna
             | 
             | The average person doesn't realize how manicured the social
             | media experience is. People that want zero censorship are
             | in for a nasty surprise.
        
         | memish wrote:
         | > and the things they will do to fix that are pretty much
         | guaranteed to lower the quality of the platform
         | 
         | The stated plan is to focus on making the platform more
         | transparent and trusted. Why would that lower the quality?
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | > I also think the proposal to have Twitter allow all content
         | that is "legal under US law" is a dangerous idea for the
         | platform being a healthy community that most people actually
         | want to participate in.
         | 
         | I'd counter that platforms like Reddit, Youtube, or Facebook
         | grew into institutions with extremely light content moderation,
         | and it's only after they were successful and were targeted by
         | politicians and media panics that they moderated heavily, and
         | with that moderation their growth slowed.
        
           | oarsinsync wrote:
           | > and it's only after they were successful ... their growth
           | slowed.
           | 
           | Could this simply be because it's easy to sustain a high rate
           | of growth when you're small, and harder to sustain that same
           | rate of growth when you're large?
           | 
           | See Apple, as another example of a firm who's growth rate has
           | slowed, as a natural result of their scale.
        
           | Karawebnetwork wrote:
           | Reddit always has had community moderators which ensured that
           | the subreddits were respecting the rules of their
           | communities. For example, on LGBTQ issues subreddits telling
           | people that they are groomers is not tolerated. If it was,
           | people would quickly go away. While on some other subreddit,
           | it might be tolerated but the targeted people are not present
           | and will not see those messages.
           | 
           | It is similar on Facebook where people will gather in groups
           | that have their own moderation.
           | 
           | This is different on a public platform like Twitter where
           | everyone can see everything. If users can hate-speech each
           | others within the confines of the law, it will not take long
           | until a lot of people leave.
           | 
           | I use hate-speech as an example because the "groomer" as a
           | slur issue is at a peak right now and is fresh in my head.
           | But the same concept applies to a lot of topics.
        
             | the_doctah wrote:
             | >I use hate-speech as an example because the "groomer" as a
             | slur issue is at a peak right now and is fresh in my head.
             | 
             | Mm. I think the problem is that censorship advocates like
             | you try to add words like this into the lexicon of "hate
             | speech" and try to have it censored. It's not, and it
             | shouldn't be, and you should be ashamed of even thinking
             | it.
             | 
             | It is not other people's responsibility to stay up to date
             | on what may or may not be triggering you on any particular
             | day.
        
               | HelloMcFly wrote:
               | > It's not, and it shouldn't be, and you should be
               | ashamed of even thinking it.
               | 
               | I didn't see the OP advocating for censorship, but for
               | the enablement of moderation for unacceptable content
               | within a community. Do you think LGBTQ spaces on reddit -
               | for instance - should be prevented from banning users
               | that compare them all to child molesters? Is that
               | "censorship" that the OP should be ashamed of? Must all
               | spaces be entirely laissez-faire about all user-generated
               | content legal within the confines of the law? I do not
               | think so.
               | 
               | You may quibble with a segment of our population being
               | derided as "groomers" as "not hate speech", but at the
               | very least it is received as hate _ful_ by many. We 're
               | not talking about legal statutes in this conversation,
               | we're talking about community moderation.
               | 
               | Frankly, I think you should be ashamed of your own
               | comment. It was incredibly aggressive, presumptuous, and
               | built on a straw-man argument.
        
               | the_doctah wrote:
               | Your argument for "spaces" and "communities" goes out the
               | window when moderators of subreddits are forced to make
               | sure their space adheres to what Reddit wants. That's not
               | your space, it's Reddit's. No one is stopping subreddits
               | from moderating how they want, the problem is when they
               | are forced to moderate how Reddit wants. Furthermore,
               | your "communities" and "spaces" are nothing more than an
               | excuse to create echo chambers, which are not productive
               | for free speech either, but that's just Reddit for you.
        
               | chrsw wrote:
               | Well, it depends. I've never heard this term "groomer"
               | before. I don't even understand the term but it sounds
               | like there's a community or subculture out there that
               | takes it very seriously. So, if I were in public spaces
               | where people from that community where known to
               | communicate with one another I would absolutely want to
               | know if something I said was offensive or hateful. I
               | would expect to have the issue brought to my attention if
               | I inadvertantly said something problematic. I'm not
               | trying to hurt anyone, I just want to talk with people. I
               | don't feel like my free speech is being impinged upon
               | either.
        
               | nickstinemates wrote:
               | on top of this, there is approved hate speech, you just
               | have to use different words/dogwhistles like justice or
               | privilege to activate it
        
               | myko wrote:
               | Could you share an example in a sentence? I'm having a
               | difficult time seeing this as hate speech as written.
        
             | fleddr wrote:
             | Not sure what you're talking about because this kind of
             | hate speech is very common on current day Twitter.
             | 
             | The "grooming" remark typically coming from right-wing
             | accounts is very common and as far as I can tell, not
             | moderated. Likewise, left-wing "woke" accounts openly
             | hating whites, men in general or white men specifically is
             | also "just another tuesday".
        
         | anonAndOn wrote:
         | How much of the DAU do you think is bot driven? I suspect it's
         | larger than a publicly traded stock company is willing to admit
         | and that some of that cesspool rhetoric is Aktive Measures to
         | provoke unrest. Perhaps taking Twitter private and removing the
         | chorus of machines will actually make it a more pleasant
         | experience. Content Mod is never easy but expunging the bot
         | armies is a big first step.
        
           | nickstinemates wrote:
           | >50% would be my guess
        
         | kranke155 wrote:
         | Musk's idea of "anything that is legal" is a terrible idea, it
         | comes from someone who's clearly never moderated a community.
         | 
         | Generally any unpleasantness and lack of civility needs to be
         | moderated out in some extent, or the platform gets completely
         | taken over by trolls and normal people leave. That's just the
         | end result. Anyone who's been involved in online communities
         | know this.
         | 
         | I see this in subreddits. The subreddit of my own country is
         | poorly moderated and virulent in trolling and insults. But you
         | look at something like AskHistorians and you see academic level
         | content. NeutralPolitics is the only politics subreddit that
         | isnt instantly toxic. Why? Moderation and rules.
         | 
         | It's astonishing how far you can move the content with
         | moderation.
         | 
         | A rule I've learnt recently and really loved is - every
         | community can be judged quickly by how comfortable women are in
         | it. The first sign of lack of moderation is male sexual
         | harassment - because that's the first thing male assholes do.
         | You have to deal with the assholes. Assholes exist and are
         | relatively common. If you allow assholes, women leave, and when
         | women leave, you can tell something went wrong.
        
         | cwp wrote:
         | I think the only real way to do content moderation is to
         | delegate it to users. Let people create something like a
         | subreddit, and then be in charge of content policy for it.
         | Different communities can have different standards, and kicking
         | people out of a given community doesn't ban them from Twitter
         | entirely. There's even some informal version of this already as
         | you can see with the "this part of Twitter" meme.
        
           | mywittyname wrote:
           | It's ridiculously easy to get banned from some subreddits for
           | saying truthful things. And if leftist groups make a land-
           | grab to secure the popular sectors of this new twitter-verse
           | (read: the portions the news will report on), then Musk is
           | going to look very silly.
        
           | w-j-w wrote:
        
         | shrimpx wrote:
         | Does this deal have a serious chance of going through? My
         | estimate, based on the direction of Tesla stock, is this deal
         | will not go through.
        
           | KerrAvon wrote:
           | Seems unclear whether Musk actually wants it to go through,
           | doesn't it?
           | 
           | The presidency didn't fix Trump's relationship with his
           | deceased father, and whatever ails Musk won't be fixed by
           | purchasing Twitter and having to deal with all of the
           | attendant headaches.
           | 
           | And it will distract him from Tesla and SpaceX. SpaceX can
           | probably get along without him; Tesla clearly cannot.
        
             | outworlder wrote:
             | I don't think he wants the deal to go through.
             | 
             | Unclear what the end-game is. But paying 3x the annual NASA
             | budget for a social media app is clearly too much. Users
             | have value, but it's too inflated.
             | 
             | If he broke the contract (and lost one billion), added
             | another billion to create a new social media
             | platform(that's quite the funding!) that measured up to his
             | standards, spent an additional 6 billion dollars in
             | advertising in the US (putting him in the number one ad
             | spend - ahead of Comcast), it would still be a bargain.
             | Heck, he could _pay_ for people to switch from Twitter to
             | his platform and still be ahead.
             | 
             | Why bother? Torpedoing Twitter (by blaming the deal going
             | south on them not wanting 'free speech') could energize his
             | supporters - and people in the sidelines - enough to switch
             | away from the sinking ship. And he also gets to sell TSLA
             | shares high (ostensibly to finance the deal) and rebuy low.
             | So, win-win?
             | 
             | If the deal actually goes through, he gets the users, but
             | he also gets a huge mess that he has to clean up.
        
         | nomel wrote:
         | > which frankly has never worked very well for me anyways. >
         | The fact that they're doing a leadership purge right now is not
         | helping my opinion on this.
         | 
         | These two things don't seem compatible to me. The leadership
         | created/perpetuated the twitter that didn't work well for you,
         | so getting new leadership seems like a potential positive.
        
         | Pxtl wrote:
         | Realistically, I'll go where the conversation is happening. I
         | mostly use Twitter to follow municipal politics and YIMBY
         | activists in my city and province.
         | 
         | I also follow a bunch of artists and creatives see their work.
         | 
         | So I'll stay as long as that continues.
         | 
         | But a shitload of those creatives I follow are trans. More, now
         | that a lot of them took the dead times of COVID shutdowns as an
         | opportunity to transition in private. And if Twitter abandons
         | its policy of blocking users that engage in hate-speech, I
         | think a lot of those trans artists will be exiting the
         | platform.
        
       | brodouevencode wrote:
       | Tangential question: who all previously had a Twitter account,
       | abandoned it, then came back when Elon Musk announced he was
       | buying it?
        
       | smm11 wrote:
       | Is Tumblr still a thing?
        
         | nickthegreek wrote:
         | it is and its kinda coming back. alot of genz are opening
         | accounts there.
        
       | Melatonic wrote:
       | Am I just getting old or is Twitter just always been a shitty
       | format? I never got the appeal and still do not.
        
         | draw_down wrote:
        
       | kringo wrote:
       | And keeps himself? Didn't he hire or was responsible for hiring
       | these two?
        
       | haoc wrote:
       | Getting fired during paternity leave, sounds brutal.
        
       | Mindwipe wrote:
       | Twitter's consumer product team is truly awful and have just made
       | the product more and more miserable to use, so I don't cry too
       | much about the change in leadership.
       | 
       | Having said that, firing someone on paternity leave is terrible
       | and would be rightly illegal in many countries.
        
         | criley2 wrote:
         | Firing someone for being on paternity leave is definitely
         | illegal in most places, but laying off executives and high
         | level business folks before a transition at the top isn't
         | illegal. I wonder if being on paternity leave is a "get out of
         | layoffs free" card where you simply cannot be laid off with
         | others while you're out.
        
           | spiderice wrote:
           | My wife was on maternity leave when Covid layoffs happened at
           | her company. She didn't get laid off. But at the time we both
           | looked at each other and wondered "did we just get saved by
           | maternity leave?"
           | 
           | She is great at her job so we have no reason to think she
           | would have otherwise been laid off. But plenty of people who
           | were great at their jobs got laid off due to Covid. So it's
           | hard not to wonder.
        
           | atonse wrote:
           | I haven't seen claims anywhere that he was fired FOR being on
           | paternity leave.
           | 
           | It's that he was fired when he happened to be on paternity
           | leave.
           | 
           | But at the end of the day, isn't it another form of paid
           | leave?
           | 
           | So if he was paid out in advance for that time off would that
           | fulfill the company's obligations?
           | 
           | Genuinely asking, I am neutral on this since I don't know the
           | intents involved.
        
         | YSoManyRaptors wrote:
         | I mean, what do you expect from the United States, one of the
         | only countries in the UN that doesn't require employers to have
         | paid parental leave.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | Ridiculous claim. Here is some actual information
           | 
           | https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2018/06/14/6196042.
           | ..
        
         | asojfdowgh wrote:
         | I'd strongly disagree just because of periscope alone, putting
         | twitter at the forefront of citizen powered news, like
         | livestream before it.
         | 
         | if your boss or board wants numbers, no product will ever end
         | up good, no matter the people in the product teem
        
           | weego wrote:
           | Twitter is an engineering for the sake of it company.
           | 
           | Pair that with their actual consumer product being a chaotic
           | scattergun of failed sub-projects, terrible client UI
           | relaunches and the apparent inability to ship anything
           | meaningful given years of time and resources and frankly if I
           | was a large enough investor I'd have been wanting wholesale
           | firings and reorganisation years ago.
        
         | nullc wrote:
         | > firing someone on paternity leave is terrible
         | 
         | If he was paid through it, which I would assume-- any kind of
         | senior dismissal will come with months of severance, what would
         | the problem be?
        
           | runjake wrote:
           | > what would the problem be?
           | 
           | Well, for one: PR at a critical time, obviously.
           | 
           | And, general employee morale.
        
             | pastaguy1 wrote:
             | The problem is, if they decided they wanted to move on,
             | when would it be "appropriate" "PR-wise"? After he comes
             | back? A few weeks after? They all seem like bad options.
        
               | runjake wrote:
               | I don't know. That's why I'm not in PR.
               | 
               | I'm a systems guy. I'm into straight up logic. Emotional
               | intelligence scares and confuses me.
        
         | s1artibartfast wrote:
         | We have no information on what his severance package is. It
         | would be hard to cry Foul Play if they receive a giant golden
         | parachute
        
       | e_commerce wrote:
        
       | nickdothutton wrote:
       | It is normal to ask the outgoing management to clean house before
       | the new management moves in. Often a condition of any severance
       | payment.
        
       | Operyl wrote:
       | I can't help but wonder if this is to ensure he gets a good
       | severance package before Musk comes in and cleans house? I can
       | only hope, but it doesn't seem likely based on tone :(.
        
         | runjake wrote:
         | You could simply read the linked URL where it doesn't sound
         | like it was a good firing?
        
           | Operyl wrote:
           | I did say "but it doesn't seem likely based on tone".
        
       | kadenwolff wrote:
       | Interesting that he co-founded Periscope and they also just
       | removed any mention of Periscope from their TOS. Maybe just an
       | artifact of them considering removing him, or it has no meaning.
       | Just found the timing notable.
        
         | peppertree wrote:
         | Periscope was one the main reasons they killed Vine.
        
           | newsclues wrote:
           | Funny that Vine was essentially TikTok and they killed it.
        
             | HaZeust wrote:
             | TL;DR: The world wasn't ready to monetize and mass-produce
             | short clips at Vine's time.
        
           | natly wrote:
           | That makes no sense to me, they're completely different
           | products. (Periscope is about livestreaming vine was short
           | clips.)
        
             | peppertree wrote:
             | Beykpour convinced the board live video was the future.
             | Vine founder left so no one was around to defend Vine.
        
       | paulpauper wrote:
       | What if this is just a huge PR stunt on elon's part to get more
       | followers and engagement for his own brand, without having to
       | actually buy twitter?
        
         | outworlder wrote:
         | It likely is.
         | 
         | Don't be surprised if a new company emerges though. There's
         | always some truth behind what he does - even though it doesn't
         | necessarily aligns with what he says.
        
       | SiempreViernes wrote:
       | Literally head of product at Twitter, and still not enough clout
       | to have paternity leave respected.
        
         | encoderer wrote:
         | It's sort of the opposite.
         | 
         | A low level IC would not be called while on leave to be fired.
         | But when the company needs a change of excecutive leadership,
         | they aren't going to wait _months_ because you had a baby. I'm
         | sure he's being paid through the end of his leave period and
         | besides is compensated in the millions.
        
           | firstSpeaker wrote:
           | Yep, that is how it is. People are fired when they are on
           | parental leave only if they are high enough in the ladder
           | that matters.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | oh_sigh wrote:
         | What's wrong with firing someone on paternity leave? It's not
         | like he was fired _because_ he was on paternity leave.
        
           | justinator wrote:
           | Maybe they would like to focus on their newborn, their wife,
           | the new family dynamic - you know: important things - and not
           | some stupid web app - which is what I would assume, since
           | they're on maternity leave in the first place.
        
             | oh_sigh wrote:
             | Would it be better if he was fired the day he came back
             | into the office?
        
             | Domenic_S wrote:
             | Good news then - he doesn't have to focus on some stupid
             | web app anymore! And lord knows he's not worried about
             | providing for his family.
        
               | justinator wrote:
               | And all without agency over the decision!
        
               | oh_sigh wrote:
               | Does anyone ever have 100% agency in a decision when
               | there are multiple mutually consenting parties involved?
        
         | justinator wrote:
         | I absolutely agree. I don't care what the work email is - even
         | if it's "hey you're fired". You're making them work while he's
         | on _leave_. The guy is tweeting all these bullshit, empty  "my
         | incredible journey" tweets for Twitter damage control.
         | 
         | Absolutely toxic workplace.
        
         | jjmorrison wrote:
         | He's still doing his paternity leave and will be paid through
         | it. Company just needs to get going on hiring someone else in
         | the job.
        
       | nashashmi wrote:
       | Related: Twitter diff check on terms of service. Lots of removal
       | of periscope language in the tos.
        
       | bogomipz wrote:
       | While trying to read the Head of Consumer Product's exit Twitter
       | post which was split across 8 or 9 separate Tweets, I was
       | prevented from reading them by the login wall pop up. For me this
       | sums up a lot about the state of the product.
        
       | thunkshift1 wrote:
       | Parags role has changed from ceo to hatchet man
        
       | dpeck wrote:
       | Letting people go while they're on maternity or paternity leave
       | us not cool.
        
         | bobro wrote:
         | what should they have done? waited til he returned? they very
         | likely are giving him a severance, so why wait?
        
           | micromacrofoot wrote:
           | yes, they should have waited... paternity leave isn't
           | vacation, it's leave you're taking because you're living in
           | stressful conditions that make it hard to get things done
           | 
           | that said, in this case this guy's likely a millionaire so
           | it's less of a big deal... kind of rude though
        
         | passivate wrote:
         | What difficulties do you think a highly-paid exec is going to
         | face?
        
         | schnebbau wrote:
         | Don't worry, he'll be getting a severance larger than you can
         | ever imagine.
        
           | mypalmike wrote:
           | The severance is on top of the $20M worth of TWTR stock he
           | already holds, according to public records. Plus whatever
           | other assets he holds, which I would presume to be not
           | insubstantial. I think he'll be OK.
        
           | shadowmatter wrote:
           | Yeah, but it's the rank and file employees who will now think
           | "I'm not there to defend myself against being fired if I take
           | maternity/paternity leave" who will suffer most. The ones who
           | won't be getting a severance larger than you can ever
           | imagine.
        
             | robonerd wrote:
             | > _Yeah, but it 's the rank and file employees who will now
             | think "I'm not there to defend myself against being fired
             | if I take maternity/paternity leave"_
             | 
             | If an executive is gunning for a rank and file employee,
             | there is no defending yourself except through wrongful
             | termination lawsuits, etc. Being sat in the office when it
             | happens won't help you save your job from an executive that
             | wants you gone.
        
       | kosyblysk666 wrote:
       | good
        
       | minimaxir wrote:
       | > I'm just now learning that Parag fired Kayvon while he was on
       | paternity leave, which is truly awful.
       | 
       | > Parag is on his way out too. Why is he firing his product
       | leaders during his lame-duck period?
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/CaseyNewton/status/1524790595968901122
        
         | knorker wrote:
         | If parental leave should legally be counted as "working" (which
         | it is, in many jurisdictions), with pay increase, bonus and
         | promotions being based on virtual work, then why shouldn't
         | firing be just fine too?
         | 
         | Obviously not fire in any way related to parental leave, but if
         | it's to be counted as work then it should be consistent.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | RektBoy wrote:
         | Firing somebody while on paternity/mat. leave is illegal AF and
         | you can sue the company for lost money.......wait the moment
         | this is America. Ok, nvm.
        
           | ar_lan wrote:
           | We get it, you hate America. Just don't come here, we'll be
           | fine without you. :)
        
             | InCityDreams wrote:
             | Fairly specific anti-American jibe gets translated into
             | "you hate America".
             | 
             | Seems you could do with a little more George Carlin in your
             | system. He fucking loved America....apart from the shitty
             | bits that the rest of the world agrees with him about.
        
             | LightG wrote:
        
           | DannyBee wrote:
           | Firing for someone for taking leave is definitely illegal.
           | Firing them for unrelated reasons while on leave is not. This
           | is true even in very progressive places like california.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | bradlys wrote:
         | Firing while on paternity leave isn't really that bad as long
         | as they give you severance to cover paternity leave plus some
         | extra - which I'm guessing they did since severance packages
         | for higher ups tend to be pretty good. (As compared to no
         | severance or two weeks that many ICs get)
        
           | rcoder wrote:
           | I strongly disagree. Firing someone while they're on leave
           | sends a direct signal to anyone else considering taking
           | leave: "watch out, you won't be able to defend yourself if
           | you aren't here."
           | 
           | ICs follow the lead that executives set. A chilling effect
           | like this will cause folks who most _need_ the leave --
           | single parents, people with family in need of care, or those
           | struggling with their own health issues -- to second-guess
           | their choice, while those who can just walk away w/o any real
           | risk can go ahead and try taking time away.
           | 
           | It also puts the lie to the idea that employer-subsidized
           | leave beyond the federally-protected time window is an
           | entitlement rather than an easily-canceled perk. We all know
           | that rationally, but a BigCo obviously exploiting that trust
           | is a good reminder that the company (any company) is not
           | there to help you, they are not your family, and you have to
           | be ready for this kind of "switcharoo" whenever the numbers
           | (or politics) justify it.
        
             | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
             | Totally disagree, primarily because Twitter offers nearly
             | _5 months_ of paternity leave. I don 't know when the
             | Twitter's Head of Product originally left for paternity
             | leave, but if it was a couple months ago, obviously the
             | world has changed under Twitter's feet in that time.
             | 
             | A business can't just stop because someone is on leave. I
             | would expect them to be treated fairly, and the same _as if
             | they were not on leave_ when it comes to personnel
             | decisions. What would not be fair, to both the employee and
             | all of their colleagues, is to say that when someone goes
             | on leave that there is a moratorium on any changes to their
             | status for 5 months.
        
               | jaywalk wrote:
               | From looking at his tweets, he left just over a month
               | ago. So if he had four months left in his leave, it would
               | have been absolutely unreasonable to wait that long.
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | The ENTIRE point of parental leave benefit is to ensure
               | that your employment status doesn't change while you are
               | using it. The business doesn't have to stop in it's
               | tracks, but the legal expectation is generally that you
               | will come back to the same job you left.
               | 
               | This sends a horrifying message to employees.
        
               | jaywalk wrote:
               | > The ENTIRE point of parental leave benefit is to ensure
               | that your employment status doesn't change while you are
               | using it.
               | 
               | That's strange, I always thought that the point of it was
               | to allow parents to spend much needed time with their
               | newborn child.
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | Anyone can get that time with their child by quitting
               | their job.
               | 
               | The 'benefit' part is that you get your job back after a
               | few months.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | No, the "benefit" part is that you get full salary and
               | benefits while you're not working.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | So if the company has widespread layoffs (not saying
               | that's what happened in this case), then anyone on
               | paternal/maternal leave is automatically immune?
               | 
               | > This sends a horrifying message to employees.
               | 
               | Yeah, as someone without kids, your proposal certainly
               | sends a horrifying message to me.
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | It's not a proposal. It's how the law works. If there are
               | layoffs, then yes you can lose your job on parental
               | leave, technically as long as the elimination of your
               | position is unrelated to taking leave. I'm not saying
               | that there is no way to do it. I'm saying that it's a
               | dumb thing to do.
               | 
               | The message should be just as horrifying whether or not
               | you have kids. The message is: "We made a commitment
               | about your terms of employment. We are willing to break
               | that promise openly and publicly with one of our leaders.
               | Do you think we won't do it to you?"
               | 
               | Anyone at twitter right now should see this as a red flag
               | at a time when everything is in flux.
               | 
               | Management is in chaos in the middle of a politically
               | contentious buyout, and doing things like firing people
               | on parental leave that will necessarily read badly in the
               | press.
               | 
               | If I were at twitter right now I would be getting
               | everything in writing, and lining up a new job that
               | starts the day my RSUs go liquid.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | You have very odd ideas about what this "commitment about
               | your terms of employment" is.
               | 
               | Yes, its true, legally you can not, and should not, be
               | penalized for taking parental leave (a point I made in my
               | original post). At the same time, you should not get some
               | guarantee that because you are on leave you can't be
               | treated the same as if you were working.
               | 
               | If this guy would have been fired had he been working, a
               | parental leave doesn't act like some sort of "get out of
               | jail free" card.
        
             | rmk wrote:
             | If you are being fired, you generally do not "defend"
             | yourself. Also, people at this level are very well-
             | compensated, and the comp generally prices in the risk of
             | things like this. Whether you are on leave or not scarcely
             | matters unless you can show that you are fired because you
             | are a parent (and that's an employment law issue).
             | 
             | It is my experience that people taking time off to be
             | parents also take time off from the machinations that will
             | lead getting promoted (at certain levels), thus hampering
             | their advancement, but they are usually not fired, in tech
             | anyway. Now the treatment of women, who already get a
             | pretty bad deal even if they aren't mothers, is another
             | matter altogether...
        
           | chrisco255 wrote:
           | I mean, it's still getting fired heading into a recession
           | shortly after having a kid.
        
             | rchaud wrote:
             | His stock options have probably been in the black for
             | years.
        
             | nrmitchi wrote:
             | I mean, he apparently sold $1.5M worth of Twitter stock
             | last week, and is estimated to hold (based on some super
             | basic internet research) ~500k more shares, which is ~$25M
             | in stock[0].
             | 
             | I think he'll be able to weather the financial impact of a
             | recession and having a kid.
             | 
             | [0] Note that this is Twitter only, and wouldn't include
             | any other form of diversified holdings.
        
             | bradlys wrote:
             | He's very high up. He's not going to be suffering like the
             | serfs below him. I've seen many let go with no severance or
             | two weeks in a worse recession - including those who don't
             | have a 8+ figure NW...
             | 
             | Don't be fooled - the guy is quite rich.
        
           | travisgriggs wrote:
           | This my feeling as well. Maybe I'm thinking too logically
           | about all this:
           | 
           | A) spend paternity leave enjoying your newborn, but in the
           | second half gearing up and remotivating to go back to work,
           | getting back to work and being let go with a "we didn't want
           | to dismiss you while you were gone, thanks for coming back,
           | here's the door"
           | 
           | vs
           | 
           | B) you're on paternity leave and the company lets you go, but
           | still your leave is fulfilled (I.e you get the payout and
           | time off). Now, instead of investing energy on the return to
           | work, you can just move on with a "best to quit while your
           | having fun" attitude.
           | 
           | I fully support paternal leave. As a father of four who
           | despairs at a fatherless world around me, anything we can do
           | to strengthen fathers (and equally mothers) is a great thing.
           | 
           | But there is a sad reality to extended leaves as well. We
           | hire people with 6 month probationary periods, but rarely are
           | people filtered by this. But I have been in meetings where a
           | person on extended leave (medical, parental, whatever) and it
           | becomes group apparent that the individual hasn't been missed
           | for a variety of reasons, and the consensus emerges that this
           | "individual not being here" is actually a net win for the
           | company and its aspirations. Do we know that that's not what
           | happened in this case?
           | 
           | Remember, "My Job" is an oxymoron.
        
             | rleahy22 wrote:
             | I feel like you're missing the part of scenario B where you
             | have to take time away from your newborn to find a new job.
        
               | SamBam wrote:
               | When you have a few tens of millions to your name, you
               | can probably do that part at your leisure...
        
               | Hallucinaut wrote:
               | It's strictly better though in terms of being able to
               | budget time in the conditions GP posted as the net "last
               | pay day" remains the same.
               | 
               | Psychological effects notwithstanding
        
               | travisgriggs wrote:
               | I feel like you're missing the part where I said I was
               | father of four. I failed to mention I recently helped my
               | oldest with newborn twins (if you're thinking 2 is twice
               | is hard as one, you're wrong, it's more like 4x).
               | 
               | I've accrued some experience with newborns. It's a very
               | tired time at times. It's a time of wonderment.
               | Especially with your first, it's surreal, after 2 weeks
               | you can barely remember "what was life like before this
               | again?" But despite its otherworldliness, it's also a lot
               | of downtime. It's different than normal downtime, because
               | you're tied to this growing little life, but it's there.
               | And I did indicate that it is in the latter half where
               | having this project to work on would be ideal. Guess
               | that's just me and apologies if that seems insensitive.
               | It worked for me.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | He is going to get a severance package larger that most of us
         | will make in our lifetimes. There's no reason to weep for him.
        
           | sp332 wrote:
           | Laid off, sure. Fired, maybe not?
           | 
           | Edi: Kayvon says he was "asked to leave" which is not the
           | same as fired.
        
             | aetherson wrote:
             | When the CEO "asks you to leave," it is absolutely the same
             | as being fired.
        
               | sp332 wrote:
               | If it's for cause, some or all of the severance package
               | might be off the able.
        
           | MuffinFlavored wrote:
           | What does a "head of consumer product" do? Has Twitter's
           | platform/offering changed all that much in 7 years?
        
             | Mindwipe wrote:
             | "Head of bigger fonts and more padding so the product is
             | more unpleasant to use."
        
             | dmix wrote:
             | The only positive change I can remember in the last 5 or so
             | years (besides maybe extending the character count which
             | I'm neutral about) is the toggle to go back to
             | chronological tweets. You used to have to use lists of
             | Tweetdeck, then they added an option but was hidden away or
             | didn't stay default.
             | 
             | For all the hype AI/recommendations algorithms get I don't
             | think it works well on a platform where you already choose
             | who to follow.
             | 
             | Otherwise I've always wondered what the thousand Twitter
             | employees do besides keeping the site running and
             | advertising sales/development. Although I've never worked
             | at a giant tech company before.
        
             | 0xy wrote:
             | Presumably he presided over the only new features added to
             | Twitter, which is more censorship and "adding context" to
             | tweets that have a certain political slant. In any case,
             | it's clear he did almost nothing.
        
               | kevinmchugh wrote:
               | Twitter's launched a Snapchat competitor, a
               | Substack/Patreon competitor, and a Clubhouse competitor,
               | plus Twitter Blue.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | And now a Google+ competitor.
        
             | saagarjha wrote:
             | Spaces, Communities, Twitter Blue?
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | Yes. It was once somewhat pleasant to use and less algo
             | reliant, and now it is very unpleasant to use and reading a
             | tweet's thread has become difficult.
        
           | CobrastanJorji wrote:
           | "Fired while on paternity leave" hurts a hell of a lot less
           | when you're a mega millionaire who will be able to walk into
           | a leadership position anywhere he likes, but it still sucks.
        
             | lesstenseflow wrote:
             | When does getting fired not suck?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | Supermancho wrote:
               | When you want to get fired or don't care.
        
               | lesstenseflow wrote:
               | My point is there's never a "good time" to get fired from
               | a job you don't want to leave. GP doesn't like that this
               | guy was fired on parental leave. OK so fire him on his
               | first day back? There's never a time that won't "suck."
        
               | gibolt wrote:
               | Paternity leave is likely worse, due to losing insurance
               | coverage and other benefits that are useful and otherwise
               | costly for a newborn.
               | 
               | Yes, there is COBRA and he is probably doing just fine
               | financially, but significant unplanned changes in
               | income/costs are never fun
        
               | lesstenseflow wrote:
               | https://www.benzinga.com/sec/insider-trades/twtr/kayvon-
               | beyk...
               | 
               | I assure you, my guy isn't worried about COBRA.
        
               | yupper32 wrote:
               | Idk, if I got an 8-figure severance for being fired, I'd
               | be pretty damn happy. I would say that definitely does
               | not suck.
        
             | simulate-me wrote:
             | Does it really suck? His leave is getting paid and he's
             | getting severance, which is essentially more paid leave. He
             | can spend more time with his child. He might actually find
             | it preferable. Having recently went on paternity leave
             | myself, I would love to have more paid time with my child.
        
         | lesstenseflow wrote:
         | Why would firing someone who's on paternity leave be an issue
         | at all? We're talking multi-millionaires who will get multi-
         | million dollar severance.
         | 
         | It's pretty hilarious to see the pearl clutching of techno-
         | bourgeoisie over something like this, pretending other tech-
         | lords are getting mistreated over some supposed breach of
         | decorum. The mere fact that he gets to take parental leave puts
         | him head and shoulders above most workers in the country.
         | 
         | Parental leave, high salary, severance... where do I sign up
         | for some of this "truly awful" treatment?
        
           | ergocoder wrote:
           | Multi-millionaire doesn't paint the right picture.
           | 
           | That guy combining with his wife is worth 70-100m range.
           | 
           | His startups with like 10 people was acquired by twitter for
           | 100m.
           | 
           | I don't see any issue firing them during paternity leave.
        
           | deltarholamda wrote:
           | Assuming that being fired while on paternity leave is even
           | notable as a tragedy is a very 2022 thing.
           | 
           | People can disagree on whether paternity leave is a good,
           | bad, or indifferent thing, but it didn't even exist as a
           | concept for most of humanity's existence in an official
           | capacity. It went from being an idea, to a right, to
           | something roughly comparable to "fired while undergoing
           | chemotherapy" in a generation. It's odd.
        
             | wutbrodo wrote:
             | There's a very weird strain of culty utopian-maximalism in
             | our culture right now. It'd bother me less if the entire
             | last century wasn't filled with horror stories about what
             | can happen if this sort of childishness festers too much.
             | 
             | I assume it's yet another consequence of social media's
             | effect on culture: being as hysterical as possible has
             | suddenly become heavily rewarded. The downstream effects on
             | broader political culture (and culture in general) are
             | utterly fascinating to me.
        
           | tempnow987 wrote:
           | I thought they paid him something in the 10's of millions
           | range to bring him on through periscope?
           | 
           | I thought the comp packages were more in the single digit
           | millions range for these folks, and stock oriented. My guess
           | is they've taken bigger losses on just the general stock
           | market decline than most, though for those who hold twitter I
           | personally think Elon is wildly overpaying (as usual, see
           | solar city) and they will make out like bandits as a result
           | there.
        
           | corrral wrote:
           | Seriously.
           | 
           | HN: "Firing a millionaire on paternity leave--and by "firing"
           | I mean continuing to pay for the rest of their leave, plus
           | probably a bunch of severance--is horrible!"
           | 
           | 99% of the rest of the US: "WTF is paternity leave? Is that
           | when your boss generously lets you use some of your annual
           | leave for part of the week in which your kid is born?"
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | vmception wrote:
             | Lack of empathy between wage workers, pitted against other
             | wage workers, perpetuates this.
             | 
             | These are people that get taxed at 55% (top california
             | income + top federal income + additional taxes). Not the
             | ones with multiple orders of magnitude more money that get
             | taxed at 4%.
             | 
             | Their boat is so similar that its embarrassing for you to
             | fall for the division.
        
               | corrral wrote:
               | > Their boat is so similar that its embarrassing for you
               | to fall for the division.
               | 
               | Sticks, stones. I'm rubber, you're glue. Et c.
               | 
               | I'm well aware of the problem of false divisions
               | distracting from the very real and much more important
               | class war, but the level of concern on this one's still
               | kinda silly, considering the broader context. Besides,
               | I'm with the faction that'd rather get this news during
               | paternal leave, than on the first week, or even month,
               | back. Provided any pay for the leave--assuming at least
               | some portion of it was paid--continued, anyway, which I
               | expect it will unless they _really_ want to risk a
               | lawsuit for little benefit.
        
             | jdavis703 wrote:
             | Many states in the US have family leave (including
             | paternity leave). California is more than 10% of the US
             | population and the rules for paternity leave are extremely
             | broad:
             | 
             | - Welcomed a new child into the family in the past 12
             | months through birth.
             | 
             | - Paid into State Disability Insurance (noted as "CASDI" on
             | most paystubs) in the past 5 to 18 months.
             | 
             | - Not taken the maximum eight weeks of PFL in the past 12
             | months
             | 
             | Insinuating that 99% of the US lacks paternity leave is
             | disingenuous.
        
               | corrral wrote:
               | Nice, didn't know about that. Expanded-qualification
               | FMLA-like unpaid leave and more limited provisions for
               | paid leave, for some workers, is pretty good compared to
               | most of the country.
        
               | ben174 wrote:
               | This is good information, but the original point is still
               | valid. Kayvon is not struggling in the least bit.
        
           | lpv wrote:
           | I don't see the issue either. In a fancy job like this it
           | seems much better to get fired now so he can calmly plan his
           | next move, instead of them waiting for him to return and then
           | firing him, which would just waste everyone's time.
        
           | bredren wrote:
           | That there is high compensation attached to this job is
           | unrelated to the principal of firing an employee on family
           | leave.
           | 
           | Companies are having to hold the line on what we value in
           | this country, as legislation from environmental to health is
           | not keeping up.
           | 
           | Twitter is specifically of note because the CEO recently had
           | a child and rightfully took paid leave himself.
           | 
           | Whatever your personal opinions are on Elon Musk, he is very
           | influential.
           | 
           | The man has six children and a varying track record on how he
           | has communicated his views and personal use of parental leave
           | and the role of the father following the birth of a child.
           | 
           | https://mobile.twitter.com/elonmusk/status/59806585473604403.
           | ..
           | 
           | https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/dec/12/elon-m.
           | ..
           | 
           | The culture and policy Twitter matters. It doesn't matter if
           | the individual experience is that a janitor or senior
           | management.
        
             | lesstenseflow wrote:
             | From elsewhere in this thread:
             | 
             | - Part of the deal with being an executive is no job
             | security. It's part of the trade you make for gigantic
             | compensation.
             | 
             | - What would be preferred, firing him the first day he's
             | back?
        
               | bredren wrote:
               | > - Part of the deal with being an executive is no job
               | security.
               | 
               | This is the case in any at will hire.
               | 
               | > It's part of the trade you make for gigantic
               | compensation.
               | 
               | This trade is made by people regardless of the
               | compensation amount.
               | 
               | > - What would be preferred, firing him the first day
               | he's back?
               | 
               | Yes, optics matter and it would send a better message and
               | set a better example.
        
           | aetherson wrote:
           | Part of the deal with being an executive is no job security.
           | It's part of the trade you make for gigantic compensation. I
           | never really feel bad for executives who are fired, even for
           | unfair reasons -- it's just part of what they sign up for.
        
             | thrwy_918 wrote:
             | >Part of the deal with being an executive is no job
             | security.
             | 
             | I would say that in the US labor market having no job
             | security is the norm rather than the exception, so it seems
             | peculiar to couch it as "part of the trade you make for
             | gigantic compensation".
        
         | no-dr-onboard wrote:
         | Curious why anyone would see this as "awful"
         | 
         | The sheer amount of equity, cash and packaging going into
         | Kayvon's severance is going to be princely. Additionally, he's
         | a founder of periscopeco, so he's not without direction.
        
         | victor22 wrote:
         | Absolutely, that's how you replace the team, the old leader
         | fires everyone then leaves last.
        
         | skybrian wrote:
         | My guess: the new boss gets started on a more positive note if
         | they don't have to fire people because the old boss did it for
         | him?
         | 
         | Or at least, that would be a good explanation if we weren't
         | talking about Musk.
        
           | andyjohnson0 wrote:
           | What's in it for Parag to play bad cop for Musk? Enhanced
           | pay-off?
        
             | throwmeariver1 wrote:
             | His next company knows that he will do the same for them.
        
         | VectorLock wrote:
         | Maybe the dude just wanted to feel what it was like to fire
         | someone while he still had the chance.
        
         | newaccount2021 wrote:
        
         | droopyEyelids wrote:
         | It's deeply weird, too.
         | 
         | In the enterprise, if someone high ranking is going to be
         | replaced, they're _never_ fired unless there was company-
         | hostile bad behavior.
         | 
         | If the organization is trying to move in another direction,
         | they reorganize and reduce the role of that high ranking
         | leader- maybe to a position where they're alone! and give that
         | high ranking person time to make their next move comfortably.
         | 
         | This goes double when the person is on leave.
        
           | jmeister wrote:
           | Unless there is some severe political rivalry. IIRC this guy
           | was in contention for the CEO position before Agrawal was
           | appointed.
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | > In the enterprise, if someone high ranking is going to be
           | replaced, they're never fired unless there was company-
           | hostile bad behavior.
           | 
           | What? Perhaps in shitty companies that are incapable of
           | making tough decisions, but this is definitely not my
           | experience.
           | 
           | On the contrary, for most cases I don't think there is much
           | "shame" for being fired as a senior exec because a lot of
           | times it's just that there are disagreements among senior
           | leadership about where to take the company, and so it's
           | better to have people leave who aren't on board with the
           | company direction than to have those disagreements fester.
        
             | slotrans wrote:
             | > shitty companies that are incapable of making tough
             | decisions
             | 
             | > the enterprise
        
           | tannhauser23 wrote:
           | You're thinking firing for cause. These two were probably
           | told that they would no longer run their divisions, here's a
           | nice severance package if you want to leave. What are they
           | gonna do, stick around in a lower role?
        
         | RyanShook wrote:
         | Maybe this is Parag trying to keep his job?
        
           | 0xy wrote:
           | Pretty laughable, considering Parag as CTO presided over the
           | slowest product velocity at pretty much any major tech
           | company. The product is almost unchanged, except additional
           | censorship, since he started as CTO in October 2017.
           | 
           | With that track record, one must assume his head will be one
           | of the first on the chopping block.
        
             | Sebb767 wrote:
             | I don't see slow change as a net negative. It's not
             | necessarily positive, either, but not trying to fix things
             | that work perfectly well is a good mantra (looking at you,
             | Google).
             | 
             | Also, he was recently promoted to CEO, which would be
             | strange if the common opinion at Twitter was that he failed
             | as a CTO.
        
             | tinktank wrote:
             | > The product is almost unchanged,
             | 
             | That we can see. Either the entire leadership is stupid and
             | promoted a dud, or maybe there's more going on than meets
             | the eye?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | mytailorisrich wrote:
         | Considering employment law in the US, the person's seniority,
         | and their pay level, frankly it makes no difference.
         | 
         | At least now the guy can 'extend' his paternity leave freely.
        
       | barelysapient wrote:
       | Just freeing up a chair for himself after the deal closes.
        
       | prescriptivist wrote:
       | OT but one thing I've noticed is that Twitter has scaled back its
       | aggressive modal/login prompt when viewing the site without being
       | logged in. This seems to have occurred recently. It seems like it
       | would have nothing to do with the acquisition talks but,
       | curiously, it coincided with them.
        
         | google234123 wrote:
         | Seems the same to me. Maybe A/B testing?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | corrral wrote:
         | It's gotten a little worse, AFAI can tell. Every few days I
         | have to re-load the Twitter tabs I've got in private browsing
         | on my phone (without private browsing, the modals have always
         | come much faster, basically as soon as I scroll down) because
         | they start throwing modals. Then they're fine for a few more
         | days. I didn't used to have to reload the page, ever.
        
         | runjake wrote:
         | Still happens here.
        
           | b65e8bee43c2ed0 wrote:
           | use a US proxy/VPN
           | 
           | or better yet, use Nitter
        
         | lmc wrote:
         | This may be in the middle of an A/B test - I still get pestered
         | every time when in incognito mode.
        
           | prescriptivist wrote:
           | Huh. I haven't been logged in on any of my devices and I
           | never get pestered. Thanks for the update.
        
         | bogomipz wrote:
         | This has not been experience at all. I receive this login wall
         | pop up every time I look at Twitter, including today while
         | trying to read this post. I generally look at Twitter once a
         | day for some link that gets sent to sent to me and this is
         | consistently true.
        
         | b65e8bee43c2ed0 wrote:
         | if this is the individual responsible for that shit, I wish him
         | a lifelong career in some other field
        
         | chrsig wrote:
         | I haven't observed this yet, but it definitely limits my
         | interactions with twitter -- it's a blessing in disguise,
         | really.
        
       | m1117 wrote:
       | Why need product when they have Elon Musk.
        
       | moralestapia wrote:
       | >Twitter's DAU has grown by over 87% since Q2 2018
       | 
       | LOL, that's why you got the boot, pal.
        
       | pdq wrote:
       | Is he the one who gave final approval of the anonymous login-
       | wall, which pops up after 2 screens of scrolling in Twitter?
       | 
       | If so, good riddance, as that is an incredibly hostile user
       | pattern.
       | 
       | BTW, maybe it's purely coincidence, but after refreshing my
       | browser cache it seems to have gone away today.
        
         | fckgw wrote:
         | If you click the login button, then click the X, it makes that
         | popup go away. Still annoying but just a little lifehack for
         | ya.
        
         | BetaDeltaAlpha wrote:
         | I got hit with this wall halfway down the thread, really
         | resonated with this comment.
        
         | rhplus wrote:
         | _Is he the one who gave final approval of the anonymous login-
         | wall_
         | 
         | From the second Tweet in the thread:
         | 
         |  _Twitter's DAU has grown by over 87% since Q2 2018 and our
         | team has shipped bold and exciting new evolutions to the
         | product_
         | 
         | You can't measure DAU precisely without logged-in users! So...
         | yeah, that's probably a big part of how they got their DAU
         | metric to grow 87%...
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | Twitter will never succeed without satisfying the old school
         | whims of HN users.
        
           | NelsonMinar wrote:
           | Really the company started failing when they turned off
           | Jabber.
        
             | Spivak wrote:
             | Really went downhill when they turned off SMS support.
        
           | vdnkh wrote:
           | "Without RSS Twitter will never succeed"
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | bozhark wrote:
         | Reddit does the same thing now if you use their website.
         | 
         | Good thing hardly anyone uses their website to read their
         | website
        
         | gordon_freeman wrote:
         | I would be very happy if it (asking to login) is gone. If
         | that's the case then I can keep being away from social media
         | accounts and still casually surf twitter.
        
         | cronix wrote:
         | That's exactly what got me to use nitter.net to browser
         | twitter. No forced logins. No time limits. No trending section.
         | Most javascript is disabled (you have to click a button to
         | enable it to even play videos). Just tweets.
        
         | user3939382 wrote:
         | Nothing could be worse than the crap reddit has been doing for
         | the last year or so to force users (or from their perspective,
         | useds, as rms likes to say) to download its app or login. First
         | they outright blocked viewing posts unless logged in, then they
         | disabled that, and now brought it back so that random posts are
         | blocked from viewing with a message "This hasn't been reviewed"
         | whatever that means.
         | 
         | Someone at reddit said, hey we can't be honest with users that
         | we're trying to force them to use our app, we need to lie to
         | them while we're doing it!
        
           | jamiequint wrote:
           | Reddit is doing this because it works and has real impact on
           | the bottom line, and effectively zero impact on user
           | retention. As long as users continue to behave the way they
           | do it would be fiscally irresponsible to shareholders for the
           | company not to do it, same with Twitter.
           | 
           | If you don't like it the best thing you can do is to bounce
           | and never use the product again. Users doing this en masse is
           | the only thing that will get companies to do anything
           | differently.
        
             | UweSchmidt wrote:
             | This is such a short sighted thinking, aggravating users
             | because it makes some "user retention" metric look good.
             | 
             | You can either remain the central forum hub of the
             | internet, or be replaced when the next big thing comes
             | around. Just think how many major websites came and went
             | during those last short 20 years.
        
               | user3939382 wrote:
               | > think how many major websites came and went during
               | those last short 20 years.
               | 
               | Notably in the context of this conversation, Digg.
        
           | nickstinemates wrote:
           | Agree nothing more hostile than going to reddit on a mobile
           | device these days.
        
             | simmerup wrote:
             | I ended up buying a blocker to block Reddit on my device
             | because of the pain. It's a shame I couldn't stop visiting
             | the website just from willpower though.
        
               | nickstinemates wrote:
               | pihole deploy, blacklist reddit.com
               | 
               | what's there to buy? :)
        
             | kenrik wrote:
             | Maybe Elon buys Reddit next /s
        
             | throwaway427 wrote:
             | Apollo has the ability to intercept clicks on reddit links
             | and open them in the app. It works pretty well.
        
           | the_only_law wrote:
           | > Nothing could be worse than the crap reddit has been doing
           | for the last year or so to force users (or from their
           | perspective, useds, as rms likes to say) to download its app
           | or login.
           | 
           | They're doing pretty good... at driving away users. I rarely
           | ever look at Reddit now, particularly compared to a couple
           | years before the change.
        
           | azemetre wrote:
           | I'm kinda hoping that reddit will finally remove old.reddit
           | and the old design, not that I think the new design is good
           | but it would finally make me drop reddit from my social media
           | addiction.
        
             | orthecreedence wrote:
             | Yeah the new reddit is unusable. Not borderline unusable,
             | but like actually useless. I can't believe they released it
             | and I can't believe people actually use it.
        
               | windowsrookie wrote:
               | The people that I know who use new reddit, don't even
               | know old reddit exists. They chuckle and say "are you
               | using a website from 2005?" when they see me on old
               | reddit. One of them even works in IT.
               | 
               | Yes I am using a website from 2005. And it's superior in
               | every way.
        
           | pndy wrote:
           | If you want just to browse reddit then you can do that
           | through teddit or libreddit front-end instances. And with
           | extensions like Privacy Redirect [1] you can do it
           | automatically.
           | 
           | There are also front-ends for twitter and instagram but these
           | seem to be most faulty - sometimes it takes a while to reach
           | a stable instance and extension tends to overwrite manually
           | selected instances.
           | 
           | Edit: seems there's already a fork of mentioned extension but
           | it's available for manual installation [2]
           | 
           | [1] - https://github.com/SimonBrazell/privacy-redirect
           | 
           | [2] - https://github.com/libredirect/libredirect
        
           | sva_ wrote:
           | i.reddit.com works for the most part on mobile (isn't great
           | with media though).
        
         | phailhaus wrote:
         | Not for me, doesn't look like it's changed. But also, it is
         | _hilariously_ unlikely that Parag went  "hey I really hate the
         | login wall, you're fired!!"
        
         | LegitShady wrote:
         | its the reason i completely ignore twitter now. its not a site
         | to reach out to the publicc its a site to communicate to a
         | small subset of logged in users.
        
           | Spivak wrote:
           | I think as far as Twitter is concerned if you never bothered
           | to create an account and your only use of Twitter was being
           | linked to a tweet and then closing the tab you were already
           | ignoring them.
        
             | LegitShady wrote:
             | I created an account. I followed some people. They told me
             | it looked like I was a bot and needed to send them a scan
             | of my ID. I laughed and just favorited the few people I
             | wanted to follow. Now I can't even browse their stuff
             | without getting the popups blocking it
             | 
             | So twitter is dead to me.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | omega3 wrote:
       | I would be silent and grateful for the severance package if I had
       | developed a product that has this functionality:
       | https://bayimg.com/EabiBAaHF
        
       | danso wrote:
       | More info and more firings:
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/mikeisaac/status/1524793136051986434
       | 
       | https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/12/technology/two-twitter-le...
        
         | r00fus wrote:
         | Parag was explicitly hired as a hatchet-man:
         | https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/hatch...
        
       | jjtheblunt wrote:
       | It's amazing how horrible a UE is involved in reading that
       | thread. It's so fractured.
        
       | socrates1998 wrote:
       | I deleted twitter around the time Elon's bid got approved. I was
       | thinking about it for a while, as the app is just another way to
       | get pissed off at the world.
       | 
       | These moves seem odd given that Elon isn't even the owner yet and
       | still has some ways to go to get it all done.
       | 
       | I am getting the feeling twitter will be dead in a couple of
       | years. End up like Tumblr or something. It will still be there,
       | but it will have lost it's place in the top 20 social media
       | platforms.
        
       | Overtonwindow wrote:
       | I wonder what changed....
        
       | georgia_peach wrote:
       | Looking at this guy's CV, seems as though the industry has
       | decayed into the electronic version of a direct mail operation--
       | one social/video company buying another for its customer list. A
       | thinner ethnic version of Karl Rove has been let go. Forgive me
       | if my eyes remain dry.
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | The two execs fired were:
       | 
       | - Kayvon Beykpour, Head of Consumer Product (3 years, 11 months)
       | [1]; and
       | 
       | - Bruce Falck, Revenue Product Lead (5 years at Twitter, 3 years
       | and 11 months in this position) [2]
       | 
       | Kinda weird that both people were just shy of serving 4 years in
       | their current roles. When I see moves like this my immediate
       | thought is always, it's to save or make money. For example, there
       | could be an options pool in the event of a change of control.
       | Well, you've just fired a couple of people right before a huge
       | vest (probably; I have no concrete information) and increased
       | your share of that options pool.
       | 
       | It just reminds me of Skype firing executives at the Microsoft
       | buyout to avoid payouts [3].
       | 
       | Otherwise making these moves before an acquisition has closed
       | doesn't make a lot of sense. My money is on this having
       | everything to do with money.
       | 
       | EDIT: Updated comment as the link was updated from the original
       | Twitter thread by Kayvon Beykpour about his firing.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kayvon-
       | beykpour-2b264b4?original...
       | 
       | [2]:
       | https://www.linkedin.com/in/brucefalck?original_referer=http...
       | 
       | [3]: https://www.seattletimes.com/business/skype-fires-
       | executives....
        
         | wnevets wrote:
         | Are there really no clauses in contracts or laws to prevent
         | something like this? That sounds incredibly scummy.
        
           | stingraycharles wrote:
           | I always understood that, while it's frowned upon, it's
           | definitely allowed.
           | 
           | It's very scummy yes, but option plans are always a bit of a
           | disguise trick, as it's seen as part of your compensation,
           | but in reality should really be considered a retroactive
           | bonus you get after staying with the company for N years.
        
           | ntkachov wrote:
           | That would be on the executive and the company to negotiate
           | that aspect in the contract deal. Executive contracts almost
           | always have lawyers behind them.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | dexterdog wrote:
           | Is it also scummy if they leave immediately after getting
           | that payout?
        
           | staticassertion wrote:
           | There can be so-called 'acceleration' clauses where certain
           | events trigger vests.
        
           | t_mann wrote:
           | Well, there are clauses saying after condition X is met you
           | get Y. Clauses that would say you can't be fired up to Z days
           | before you reach X are neither common, nor would they
           | fundamentally fix the problem if you think about it. If you
           | can prove that preventing bonus vesting was the reason you
           | were let go, it might be worth talking to a lawyer, though -
           | courts have the power in principle to intervene in such
           | cases.
        
           | jmyeet wrote:
           | There's a ton of scummy behaviour with things like this.
           | 
           | Skype was particularly scummy. Not only were executives fired
           | to avoid a payout, their options/shares were bought back at a
           | low price (called a clawback agreement) and the company was
           | incorporated in the Caymand Islands (IIRC) so suting them was
           | going to be incredibly difficult.
           | 
           | Mark Pincus of Zynga fame decided a bunch of people didn't
           | deserve to get rich on the IPO so went to some people to get
           | them agree to a smaller options package than they had in
           | exchange for not being fired.
           | 
           | These two fired suggests they didn't have clauses in their
           | contracts for acceleration in the event of termination and/or
           | they possibly had clauses that would give them a big payout.
           | Or maybe it was just the timing to avoid a final vest
           | (assuming a 4 year vest, which isn't a given).
           | 
           | The two may even have grounds to sue so Twitter may have
           | settled with them prior to this announcement for less than
           | they would've had to pay out. This avoids litigation, the two
           | exxecs get something and Twitter has to pay out less. Win,
           | win, win (sort of).
        
             | daniel-cussen wrote:
             | It's so trivial to fire young people and keep them out of
             | court. Not if they're stupid, I wasn't stupid, more if they
             | don't know the magic words. So in my case a lobotomist
             | deleted all kinds of magic words--well "lobotomy" for one.
             | The intention is to fuck all employees over at least one
             | time. Then they get told the magic word and don't get
             | fucked again (except in my case, I need to get fucked twice
             | to learn the magic word twice, at least so far, knock on
             | wood I only have to learn all the magic words twice).[2]
             | 
             | Similar to college students, same thing, we're talking
             | about harm to youngest adults, the 18-22 age category and
             | ongoing if you get cheated out of your career. Those kids.
             | So I tell college students that if they live on campus
             | they're homeless unless they have a second place to live
             | when they get evicted, which can happen at moment's notice
             | with no accountability[1]. So practically every college
             | student is homeless and might end up on the street unless
             | they suck up to the numerous people around them that have
             | them by the balls.
             | 
             | Obviously they're homeless if they have no idea where
             | they'll sleep that night!
             | 
             | So Stanford in practice has a gigantic homeless population,
             | everyone on campus is homeless, no tenant rights. It looks
             | like it has a small homeless population but really it has a
             | similarly small non-homeless population.
             | 
             | [1] Did I say no accountability? Let me read this shit I
             | wrote. Yeah, it says no accountability. Surely I fucked up
             | saying that, oh no! Famous last words then. There's no
             | accountability! I've been waiting for my trial since
             | Friday, February 6, 2009, well I guess that trial could be
             | called into order on Monday, or on Wednesday, maybe I'm
             | speaking too soon and it's in the pipeline. The dean of
             | freshman verbally swore I'd get a trial, as a guarantee
             | after telling her I had to drop out without one. She gave
             | me girl scout cookies in that meeting, surely it wasn't a
             | lie if she gave me cookies!
             | 
             | Any day now. Older adults always say to be patient and
             | humble. Saying so is an act of impatience and arrogance on
             | their behalf, it's arrogant to call people arrogant, asking
             | for patience is impatient. Just like it's selfish to accuse
             | others of selfishness. To the extent I'm a fucking arrogant
             | guy, and I am (slave of GOD, the last shall be the first),
             | I'm not also giving self-serving advice too.
             | 
             | [2] Oh a new memory came back, at 17:24 May 12, "vicious
             | cycle." A magic word came back to me as I wrote this! Maybe
             | it's a vicious cycle and I'll be getting cheated, told the
             | magic word, lobotomized, and repeat, forever!
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | As an employee, or potential employee, you can always request
           | a contract that guarantees employment for a certain period,
           | or immediately vests all options upon termination. Most
           | employers would only agree to such terms for the most
           | valuable employees.
        
         | dymk wrote:
         | The vesting / payout theory makes no sense, firstly Twitter
         | vesting at that point would be quarterly, so the company would
         | be saving at most 1/16th of what those employees had already
         | vested from their initial grant.
         | 
         | Secondly, it's the employees who would have the incentive to
         | leave, not the company to fire them. Assuming a typical 4 year
         | vesting period, it's right at this year when their compensation
         | would have _dropped precipitously_.
         | 
         | Thirdly, the second individual had been at Twitter for more
         | than 4 years, and unless they left and came back (doesn't look
         | like they did), they'd still be vesting their original equity
         | grant. The amount of time they've been at the company isn't
         | even common between the two, so I don't see why you'd use it to
         | establish a theory.
        
           | jmyeet wrote:
           | It's true that there's a lot we don't know. Executive
           | employment contracts are bespoke and quite different to peon
           | contracts. There will be various incentives that might be
           | cash or incentivized stock options ("ISOs") as well as
           | regular compensation that might be RSUs, non-qualified stock
           | options ("NSOs") or both.
           | 
           | But we do know:
           | 
           | 1. The acquisition is imminent but not closed;
           | 
           | 2. Executive contracts often include bonuses on acquisition
           | and/or accelerations for change of control;
           | 
           | 3. There are numerous examples of companies cleaning house to
           | avoid payouts prior to an acquisition closing;
           | 
           | 4. Generally a company on the verge of a likely acquisition
           | just keeps the lights on and doesn't make any big moves so
           | things like hiring freezes make sense; and
           | 
           | 5. The circumstancial evidence that both executives just
           | happen to be shy of their 4 year anniversary (in their
           | current roles).
           | 
           | Conclusive? No. Kinda sus? Absolutely.
        
             | tinbad wrote:
             | It's not uncommon for companies to "clear house" right
             | before close of acquisitions, especially on exec level.
             | However I don't believe it's for the reasons you mentioned
             | (saving money). Instead it's likely to better align with
             | new ownership (whether perceived or actual alignment) and
             | ensure the company is well positioned for the change.
             | 
             | An established/relatively healthy org like Twitter will
             | likely not be penny pinching at the risk of more
             | fallout/attrition. In fact, I'm sure the convo went
             | something like "if you leave now, you will keep xyz/golden
             | parachute".
             | 
             | This has at least been my experience based on limited
             | experience of being part of a few acquisitions and working
             | closely with execs.
        
           | fshbbdssbbgdd wrote:
           | Since the company knows the comp will drop at year four, they
           | will give a large grant for the minority they really need to
           | retain. For rank and file employees, those grants are
           | relatively rare and many will stay anyway because they aren't
           | optimizing their comp. I think at the executive level, not
           | getting such a grant is tantamount to being fired because
           | executives don't get overlooked.
        
           | hitpointdrew wrote:
           | How the hell do you know the vesting period? I get RSU's at
           | my publicly traded company that vest yearly, in May. This
           | could absolutely been done in order to prevent RSU vesting.
        
           | throwaway_1928 wrote:
           | This may be Parag's hail mary play to appease his new master
           | and keep his lucrative job.
           | 
           | I would not be surprised if his next move is to publicly
           | extol the virtues of Free Speech and the First Amendment.
        
             | enos_feedler wrote:
             | Thats what I was thinking too. It felt weird that Dorsey
             | was replaced with such quiet low profile thinker in the
             | first place. He has no presence on earnings calls or
             | spaces. I've listened to him take questions and he seems to
             | handle them no better with no deeper insight then even I
             | could provide. Maybe he was keeping things close to his
             | chest. However, it just made me think they sort of put a
             | puppet in charge for the purpose of acquisition. Parag
             | would be easy to control as a lever into change within
             | Twitter. Attractive feature for a buyer. I thought it would
             | be big tech. Never thought Elon would be the one buying and
             | controlling him. What a plot twist!
        
             | throwaway_2341 wrote:
             | Honest question. Would a CEO be that desperate to keep his
             | job? I imagine Parag can walk away with plenty after the
             | buyout and do something else that he likes.
        
               | hello_moto wrote:
               | CEO jobs aren't plenty like standard SWE jobs.
               | 
               | CEOs typically don't apply for jobs, they can't walk into
               | a company's Career page an apply as a CEO; they are
               | headhunted by specialized headhunter.
               | 
               | Yes, CEO is desperate to keep their job because if they
               | were to let go, they won't score a much higher profile
               | job than their current; they'd be gone to a lower rank
               | companies bidding their luck.
        
               | Graffur wrote:
               | I'd love to read a blog post about CEO movements. One
               | thing they could do is raise money and start a company
               | themselves.
        
               | furyofantares wrote:
               | I imagine it's a pretty intense job that takes up most of
               | your life and permeates your sense of identity.
               | Everything you said can be true and I'd still expect a
               | CEO to be very strongly attached to their position.
        
             | partiallypro wrote:
             | There is basically no way that Musk keeps him on, so I
             | don't buy this. He will be replaced in due time once the
             | acquisition is complete.
        
               | johannes1234321 wrote:
               | Even if Musk wouldn't fire him immediately Musk's
               | management style likely will be quite involved and no fun
               | if you don't align with Musk's goals and ideas.
        
             | donthellbanme wrote:
        
         | pikseladam wrote:
         | wow. i think this is the true answer.
        
         | Simon_O_Rourke wrote:
         | All of these higher up executive firings do nothing but remind
         | me of those lines in Goodfellas "we had to sit still and take
         | it. It was among the Italians. It was real grease ball s*t."
        
         | jiveturkey wrote:
         | maybe twitter accelerated their vest, or (at the exec level)
         | there's a clause for that in their agreement. i'd lean that way
         | before i considered this is a money saving move.
        
         | jollybean wrote:
         | No, this is not about 'a few options'.
         | 
         | They are about to transform the company - and they need the
         | talent to do that.
         | 
         | It's difficult to tell, but it could be that these guys are
         | scapegoats, or they are going to be stumbling blocks to the
         | 'new approach', or they company wants fresh blood there, or
         | might have fresh blood lined up.
         | 
         | Whatever this is - it's in the domain of 'strategic', not
         | likely to due to someone's equity package.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Ok, we'll change to that first link (submitted URL was
         | https://twitter.com/kayvz/status/1524787801757126656) - thanks!
        
         | mattmaroon wrote:
         | If the moves were made at 11 months I'd agree. It'd be really
         | unusual if there was some large vest at the 4 year mark. Unless
         | maybe they've recently been granted something for retention.
        
           | toyg wrote:
           | More likely they had initial vests at two years, then
           | additional ones every extra year, on a rolling basis.
        
         | yuvadam wrote:
         | Is it common to have huge vesting cliffs at senior management
         | level at those time frames?
         | 
         | This isn't some junior developer waiting for their 1 year
         | cliff, even in that scenario options usually vest on a monthly
         | basis after that.
        
         | lmkg wrote:
         | Aside from that 3.93 is slightly less than 4, it's odd that
         | both employees were in their current position for the same
         | amount of time. I.e. they were part of the same cohort. What
         | was Twitter doing in June-ish 2018 that resulted in them hiring
         | multiple people in key roles? Was there an expansion, or a re-
         | org, or executive turn-over?
         | 
         | Or just overfitting two data points?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | arthurcolle wrote:
           | That's when the Chik-fil-a "scandal" happened
           | 
           | https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/on-
           | leadership/wp/2018/06...
        
           | tmp_anon_22 wrote:
           | > What was Twitter doing in June-ish 2018
           | 
           | I think your timeline is off, wouldn't executive hires have a
           | much longer timeline from inception to close such that the
           | "event" predicating their hires could have been 5 years, 6
           | years out?
        
       | hnthrowaway0328 wrote:
       | Is him on Elon's side or not?
        
       | Graffur wrote:
       | Probably a good thing - Twitters product sucks. I feel bad for
       | Kayvon Beykpour since he said he was on paternity leave but I
       | guess that is what happens when you fly high.
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | Why is Parag making _any_ major changes at this point? What  "new
       | vision" is he going to execute in his last few months at the
       | company before Elon comes in and torpedoes it anyways?
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | Elon Musk has no intention of actually acquiring Twitter. He's
         | just using it as a smoke screen to liquidate a huge amount of
         | Tesla stock. The fact that TWTR is currently trading at a 25%
         | discount to the supposed acquisition price shows I am not the
         | only person in the market who doubts the ultimate consummation
         | of the acquisition.
        
           | jjeaff wrote:
           | Interesting thought. But if he doesn't go through with it, he
           | will be on the hook for a $1B penalty. Is that perhaps a
           | selling fee that makes sense for him to pay?
        
             | jeffbee wrote:
             | He would only be trading it for the chance to go to court
             | and argue over who owes the $1e9 and to whom.
        
         | whoisjuan wrote:
         | Parag is likely the first one getting the boot after the
         | takeover is finished.
        
         | mr90210 wrote:
         | "I may go down, but I won't go alone"
        
         | austinl wrote:
         | I think Parag is making decisions that he sees as inevitable,
         | whether the deal goes through or not. The deal, and all of the
         | discussions that have come from it about the future direction
         | of Twitter, is probably enough of a catalyst for certain
         | changes. Twitter is likely not left unchanged even it falls
         | through.
        
         | didip wrote:
         | Maybe Parag is trying to meet his own KPI before he got booted
         | out to ensure his golden parachutes?
        
         | philosopher1234 wrote:
         | Its not over till its over. Elon may still not end up owning
         | twitter.
        
           | lr4444lr wrote:
           | But it's clear he's already 0wn3d it.
        
         | encoderer wrote:
         | He's being paid millions to keep his hand on the wheel and not
         | be distracted by a deal that may never close.
        
           | paxys wrote:
           | That's my point though. The board accepted the buyout offer.
           | "Hands on the wheel" means keeping the lights on and making
           | sure everything stays stable until the deal closes. Firing
           | the company's product and revenue leads is the opposite of
           | that.
        
             | ctvo wrote:
             | You do realize it's going to be months before the deal
             | closes, and there's a chance Elon walks away from it due to
             | market conditions or other reasons? In this reality,
             | counting something like this as done seems premature. The
             | reasonable course of action is that plans made prior to
             | this deal continue. Elon can sort it out if / when he takes
             | the helm.
        
             | gojomo wrote:
             | "Keeping the lights on" isn't enough: to be a good CEO, he
             | needs to keep making progress, especially on shared goals
             | of both old & possible-new ownership.
             | 
             | One guess (albeit not one of high confidence) is that the
             | outgoing head may have expressed some reservations about
             | whatever balancing-of-concerns Agrawal was expecting, or
             | even mentioned a firm intent to leave if/when new-ownership
             | arrives. In that case, it'd be very reasonable for the CEO
             | to say, "I need someone here who at least has a chance of,
             | and can earnestly simulate an intent to, stay through the
             | change-of-ownership."
        
             | ckastner wrote:
             | You're assuming that the deal will definitely close.
             | 
             | The deal can still fall apart for a number of reasons. The
             | risk of this happening is far from remote. This is evident
             | from the current stock price of about $46, which is
             | significantly lower than the $54.20 Musk is offering.
        
               | shrimpx wrote:
               | And the only reason it's $46 and not lower is that people
               | are staying in the stock waiting for the Musk 15-20%
               | payout. When it becomes clear that Musk isn't buying
               | Twitter, Twitter stock will implode instantly.
        
               | KennyBlanken wrote:
               | Yep. Aside from Musk having the attention span of a 6
               | month old puppy: the margin loan requires Tesla's stock
               | drop less than 40%, otherwise he has to personally
               | bankroll the Twitter purchase.
               | 
               | Right now it's down 26% this month, more than twice the
               | general market drop, and shows no sign of slowing.
               | 
               | Musk has already started trying to ditch the margin loan.
        
               | BbzzbB wrote:
               | These mergers never are almost never at parity months
               | before closing. This one isn't even so far a spread, 15%
               | rebate on proposed takeout price. Activision, with an
               | offer from Microsoft for which even Buffett is partaking
               | in the arbitrage, sits at 20%. Even back at the
               | announcement in January, before this market turmoil which
               | can threaten these deals, it traded at a like 14%
               | discount.
               | 
               | With that in mind, special situations are clearly still a
               | valid strategy.
        
               | throwaway92394 wrote:
               | If the market was highly/certainly confident the deal was
               | going to go through it would be at ~54.20$ or higher
               | (technically, although not likely much higher).
               | 
               | If you're 100% sure the deal goes through then that's
               | essentially a free 6$ per share guaranteed right now.
        
               | thaway2839 wrote:
               | And that's because a lot of such mergers/buyouts fail.
               | 
               | That's why the price is never on parity.
               | 
               | Putting everything on hold until the merger closes is a
               | severe dereliction of duty.
        
               | BbzzbB wrote:
               | Indeed, there's no such thing as free money. You get
               | payed (or burned) when trading on these mergers for
               | bearing the risk of the deal failing or renegotiating.
        
               | boringg wrote:
               | Only reason twitter hasn't tanked is people holding on
               | hoping this deal goes through otherwise it would have
               | dropped significantly with the rest of the tech index. My
               | point is that its market cap is artificially overvalued
               | currently on hopes that elon buys at 54$ (which i doubt
               | he will)
        
               | ckastner wrote:
               | I too believe that he'd be crazy not to renegotiate.
               | 
               | As far as I recall, they agreed on a break fee of ~$1bn
               | if Musk walks away. But if he can lower the price to $40
               | a share (which is still far higher than market would
               | probably be, at least in this market), he gets Twitter at
               | $31bn instead of $42bn.
        
               | boringg wrote:
               | Painful break fee - worth it in current market conditions
               | though his equity hes putting up will have been
               | reevaluated downwards too.
        
             | mikeryan wrote:
             | So there's a few things that _could_ be in play here.
             | 
             | 1. The tech market right now is a shit show, Twitter has
             | only been saved from the general market trends because of
             | the Elon offer. Once the Elon offer closes or falls
             | through, Twitter's stock will correct. While Twitter is
             | healthier is the time to get set up for that inevitable
             | correction. The current market is driving fairly drastic
             | action in the Tech Sector, just ignoring it because you're,
             | potentially, a lame-duck CEO would be irresponsible.
             | 
             | 2. These firings and changes may have been in the works
             | since Parag took over so this is a course of action that
             | predates the Elon offer.
        
               | runnerup wrote:
               | So...if the deal goes through the stock cannot "correct"
               | because there will be no open market for twitter shares.
               | 
               | Elon is proposing to buy all the shares, not just a
               | controlling majority. Twitter would no longer be on the
               | NYSE.
               | 
               | So twitter can be saved from general market trends
               | indefinitely, as long as whoever is bankrolling it can
               | continue feeding it cash whenever twitter operates at a
               | loss.
        
               | paxys wrote:
               | Elon isn't going to hold 100% of the shares. He already
               | has a ton of VCs and other outside investors (including
               | some funds) lined up to finance the deal. So Twitter will
               | still be active on private markets.
        
             | barkingcat wrote:
             | if you need an example of "hands on the wheel" look to
             | nvidia's attempted purchase of ARM. all board says ok, all
             | shareholders ok, passed through a lot of paperwork but no
             | deal in the end.
             | 
             | Both Nvidia and ARM definitely needed "hands on wheel"
             | regardless of what happened.
             | 
             | any company at this size needs "hands on wheel"
        
               | ckastner wrote:
               | That is indeed an excellent example!
        
             | three_seagrass wrote:
             | There is a non-zero probability that Twitter's board is
             | simply calling Musk's bluff.
             | 
             | Musk loves attention, but dumping his Tesla holdings to
             | keep getting it may be too much for him.
        
               | ericbarrett wrote:
               | I wonder if he'll try to renegotiate the deal at a lower
               | price. Given the entire tech sector has fallen
               | precipitously since the first announcement, it wouldn't
               | surprise me if Twitter's board accepts a haircut and does
               | the deal anyway.
        
               | three_seagrass wrote:
               | It was already a low ball deal.
               | 
               | Knowing Musks shenaningans, it's likely he wanted to sell
               | his Twitter stock but wanted to pump it first with a
               | semi-formal offer. Same he did with Crypto/Tesla.
               | 
               | Not surprising that Twitter board would call the bluff.
               | Even if Musk tries to renegotiate to save face, the
               | Twitter board will look better to shareholders by saying
               | no to even lower offers.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | There's a real risk the deal doesn't close. The lower TSLA
             | goes the further away that deal gets. I think keeping the
             | hands on the wheel to me means staying the course -
             | executing on roadmap and vision - until the money is in the
             | bank.
        
             | lastofthemojito wrote:
             | Could just be that Kayvon Beykpour got replaced by someone
             | better at the job?
             | 
             | Baseball fans know of Wally Pipp, who was a solid first
             | baseman for the Yankees for a decade or so. One day Pipp
             | had a headache and was replaced in the lineup by a young
             | Lou Gehrig, who turned out to be one of the greatest
             | hitters in baseball history.
             | 
             | I have no idea if Jay Sullivan is a Lou Gehrig talent, but
             | he's been doing the job while Beykpour is on paternity
             | leave. If you're the CEO of Twitter and you believe the
             | temp guy is doing a better job, why not make the change?
        
               | jerf wrote:
               | "If you're the CEO of Twitter and you believe the temp
               | guy is doing a better job, why not make the change?"
               | 
               | Well, it's a big lawsuit, for one thing. Firing someone
               | on paternity leave is not a great plan in the US.
               | 
               | At this level, a company may just accept that as a cost
               | of doing business. But this is at least _an_ answer to
               | your question.
        
             | dragontamer wrote:
             | Elon Musk's networth is a big mystery. Not because its
             | private information (we all know Musk's holdings for the
             | most part), but because in 2 or 3 months, the Fed will meet
             | a few more times and may raise interest rates again.
             | 
             | TSLA's stock price may be $1000 by then, or it might be
             | $500. If its $500, Musk may not have the physical money to
             | finish this buyout offer, even if he wanted to.
             | 
             | This entire deal was made when Tesla was near $900 or
             | thereabouts. But then the stock market started to change
             | severely, the bond market changed severely, and now there's
             | a lot of uncertainty if anyone really has enough money for
             | everything to go through fine.
             | 
             | ---------
             | 
             | Twitter's board has to keep both possibilities in mind. If
             | Elon Musk's buyout offer fails (either due to Musk
             | personally, or because of changing prices which rekt Musk's
             | networth), Twitter will still need a plan for a Musk-free
             | Twitter future.
        
             | wpietri wrote:
             | Why's that? There's a significant chance this deal won't
             | close. There's also a chance that the deal will close and
             | Parag will be kept on. And even if it happens and Parag
             | goes, I don't think there's a great business case for just
             | putting everything in amber. Twitter's competitors are
             | moving ahead, so just freezing things will give them extra
             | months of lead that Twitter can ill afford no matter who's
             | owning it.
             | 
             | I think it's somewhere between possible and likely that
             | Parag ran this change by Musk. Who is already on record as
             | wanting high-level changes. So this could be just as easily
             | read as the CEO honoring the board's acceptance and getting
             | started early on the changes. Or it could be both:
             | Something that both the current and future CEO saw as in
             | the bests interest of Twitter.
        
             | SatvikBeri wrote:
             | The fact that the stock price is roughly halfway between
             | the pre-Musk price and Musk's bid suggests the market
             | expects roughly a 50% chance the deal will actually go
             | through.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | tw8345 wrote:
               | its probably higher than that. Imagine what it would be
               | if it had crashed along with everything else in the
               | market. If the deal breaks the stock is probably worth
               | 25-30$
        
               | SatvikBeri wrote:
               | That's a good point. Metaculus estimates 85%. If Parag
               | thinks there's a non-trivial chance the deal falls
               | through his actions make sense.
        
             | boringg wrote:
             | Board may have accepted the terms but the valuation of
             | twitter has since tanked as have the equity markets as a
             | whole. As have musks fortunes from an equity perspective so
             | unless all the numbers recalibrate to everyones liking deal
             | is dead imho. The world outlook has changed since this was
             | getting hashed out.
        
             | samstave wrote:
             | So they can re-negotiate with NewTwittah at higher salary?
        
         | goodoldneon wrote:
         | I'd be shocked if these changes weren't Musk's
        
           | jjeaff wrote:
           | I would think taking orders from someone who is not yet in
           | charge could open up Parag and the board to shareholder
           | lawsuits.
        
           | mlindner wrote:
           | It's got nothing to do with Musk as he has no control of the
           | company what so ever. He doesn't even know who the employees
           | are.
        
           | afavour wrote:
           | I would because it would be a pretty egregious violation of
           | how takeovers like this are supposed to work.
        
             | samstave wrote:
             | Keeping the "hostile" in "hostile takeover"?
        
             | curuinor wrote:
             | i mean, when's that ever stopped this guy?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | r00fus wrote:
         | Why do you think this isn't what is required as part of the
         | acquisition plan?
        
           | paxys wrote:
           | That's not how acquisitions work. Elon made the offer, it was
           | accepted. Now the company has to continue to operate without
           | his influence until the deal actually closes.
        
             | ericbarrett wrote:
             | Musk's financing is secured in part by his Tesla stock.
             | Rumor had it that $740 was the share price where the
             | lenders had the contractual right to withdraw their
             | financing. As I write this, TSLA is $716. (Don't remember
             | where I read that; but whether or not it's the actual
             | price, I'm sure such a clause exists.)
        
               | KennyBlanken wrote:
               | The margin loan required less than 40% drop in price
               | 
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/06/business/elon-musk-
               | tesla-...
               | 
               | He's currently trying to ditch the margin loan:
               | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-
               | seek...
        
             | qgin wrote:
             | I've been on the receiving end of an acquisition boot more
             | than once.
        
             | enraged_camel wrote:
             | There isn't any guarantee that the deal will actually
             | close, especially with tech stocks (and much of Elon's own
             | wealth along with them) taking a dive.
        
             | sophacles wrote:
             | If those changes were planned before Musk's offer, wouldn't
             | changing the plans to that "keeping the lights on and
             | making sure everything stays stable until the deal closes"
             | be opposite of operating without his influence?
        
               | paxys wrote:
               | Operating without his influence means not inviting him
               | into the boardroom and not taking directions from him.
               | They can still make their own decisions on how best to
               | prepare for the acquisition. That's something every
               | company in that situation does.
        
             | robonerd wrote:
             | > _Now the company has to continue to operate without his
             | influence until the deal actually closes._
             | 
             | What do you mean by "have to"? Do you mean there is a legal
             | obligation?
        
             | wpietri wrote:
             | What's your citation for the notion that post-acquisition
             | changes never happen before the deal fully closes? I grant
             | that irreversible structural changes are rare, and cross-
             | company integrations of course can't happen. But here this
             | isn't one company acquiring another, and it's just changing
             | one exec. Maybe you're right, but I've never seen anything
             | showing that.
        
         | dimitrios1 wrote:
         | Are you certain Elon would torpedo anything? What if it the
         | move he would make as well? Would he still torpedo it? I am not
         | sure how anyone can say with certainty what Elon will or won't
         | do.
        
           | throwmeariver1 wrote:
        
         | qbasic_forever wrote:
         | Is the twitter deal actually happening? Elon had to get a loan
         | using Tesla stock and if the price of Tesla drops a lot then
         | the whole loan and deal falls apart. I don't know if we know
         | the exact stock price number where it happens, but it's seeming
         | pretty dicey with Tesla continuing to drop in value IMHO.
        
           | ksherlock wrote:
           | As of last week, there is $7 billion in outside funding --
           | new money and existing shareholders that will retain their
           | stake. That cuts the amount borrowed on the back of $TSLA in
           | half.
        
       | cloudwalking wrote:
       | A lot of assumptions here that Parag is out after Elon takes
       | over. Is that backed up by evidence?
        
         | glerk wrote:
         | I may be wrong, but I assume that once Twitter becomes a
         | private company there will be no more board and Elon will be
         | the CEO. Parag may stay at the company in a different role.
        
           | pie_flavor wrote:
           | I don't think Elon particularly wants to be in the actual
           | driver's seat of Twitter. That's a job and a half, especially
           | when he already has SpaceX and Tesla to manage. I rather
           | assume he will have someone competent at the helm to which he
           | can give incredibly broad orders like 'figure out how to make
           | free speech work'. Though that doesn't mean Parag _won 't_ be
           | out - the competent person is likely to be someone who is not
           | soft on free speech like Parag is, and there's a good chance
           | it'll even be Jack.
        
       | corndoge wrote:
       | I can't read this thread, a black screen pops up that asks me to
       | log in.
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | https://nitter.net/kayvz/status/1524787801757126656
        
         | tonguez wrote:
         | not sure why you're being downvoted.
        
         | bobro wrote:
         | i wonder if the guy who got fired was in charge of the decision
         | to add that pop up...
        
       | jeffrallen wrote:
       | Heh hey. Popping me some popcorn.
        
       | donohoe wrote:
       | Some insights and kind words by Tony Haile, founder of Chartbeat
       | and Scroll:
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/arctictony/status/1524813920514482179?s=...
        
       | lvl102 wrote:
       | Not sure what he is proud of? Twitter did NOTHING for a decade.
       | That's why they're being acquired. Zuckerberg was right about his
       | "clown car" comment.
        
         | bogomipz wrote:
         | >'Zuckerberg was right about his "clown car" comment.'
         | 
         | I was curious what this was because I don't think I've ever
         | heard Zuckerberg say anything that was either remotely or
         | intentionally funny:
         | 
         | Mark Zuckerberg: "Twitter is such as mess -- it's as if they
         | drove a clown car into a gold mine and fell in."[1]
         | 
         | It's seems to be largely anecdotal but a funny comment none the
         | less.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.huffpost.com/entry/zuckerberg-twitter_n_4256014
        
         | Sebb767 wrote:
         | Examples like Digg and MySpace should sufficiently show that
         | iterating on a perfectly fine product is not necessarily a good
         | idea. In fact, being able to stay cool and not steer into a
         | ditch is definitely a rare skill.
        
         | ibejoeb wrote:
         | > Twitter is one of the most important, unique and impactful
         | products in the world.
         | 
         | As long as there are no follow-up questions...
         | 
         | SV hubris is its own thing.
        
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