[HN Gopher] Book Review: Progress and Poverty
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Book Review: Progress and Poverty
        
       Author : TimPC
       Score  : 49 points
       Date   : 2022-05-13 18:11 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (gameofrent.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (gameofrent.com)
        
       | a9h74j wrote:
       | FWIW, John Michael Greer recently outlined[1] some alternative
       | philosophies in political economy (including cooperatism,
       | distributism and social credit), aiming to spur increased
       | imagination. He cites numerous alternative resources, enough to
       | suggest a study list or initial-study guide.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.ecosophia.net/reimagining-political-economy/
        
         | TimPC wrote:
         | I think Georgism's main appeal is that if you interfere as best
         | as possible in the mechanism by which land captures the value
         | of labour and use that to reduce other capture of the value of
         | labour you remove the worst excesses of capitalism. You
         | literally don't have to change the rest of the system.
         | 
         | Tenants pay the same rents they do now (perhaps slightly lower
         | due to removal of speculation) but no longer have to pay any
         | income tax. Property owners pay more in LVT but no longer pay
         | income tax as well. No one gets to hold land value unearned and
         | benefit from the work of others except the government who uses
         | it to reduce other taxes and provide services we've come to
         | depend on in modern society.
         | 
         | This is quite different from various radical re-imaginings of
         | the entire economic system. Those systems are looking to solve
         | almost entirely different problems and introduce far more new
         | ones.
        
       | ur-whale wrote:
       | For the horse's mouth:
       | 
       | https://cdn.mises.org/Progress%20and%20Poverty_3.pdf
       | 
       | https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/55308
        
         | at_compile_time wrote:
         | For the audio-inclined:
         | 
         | https://librivox.org/progress-and-poverty-by-henry-george/
        
       | jmole wrote:
       | It seems like the biggest challenge to Georgism is that
       | municipality/county/state/federal regulations on land use would
       | have a significant effect on land value.
       | 
       | A landlord might lobby for restrictive land use policy while
       | sitting on a parcel, and then lobby for opening those
       | restrictions when it comes time to sell. Essentially avoiding the
       | tax by using government policy to suppress the true land value.
       | 
       | There are solutions to this of course, but they come down to
       | zoning and land use regulation, which is sort of the core of all
       | our other problems with real estate in America.
        
         | TimPC wrote:
         | The problem is current speculation on land is relatively easy.
         | Having to lobby for a change in zoning one-way when you buy the
         | land and having to take on the risk of not being able to get
         | the change of zoning back the other way when you sell it is a
         | significant risk. I'd also argue because LVT rates are much
         | higher as percentages than property tax rates, holding the land
         | would still be more expensive than the solution.
         | 
         | I agree there are also significant issues with zoning, but
         | zoning alone won't solve the problem. A bunch of people capture
         | a bunch of economic rents unearned, and it would be much better
         | for government to capture these economic rents as part of the
         | system and charge us less tax on things that actually are
         | earned.
        
         | zozbot234 wrote:
         | > municipality/county/state/federal regulations on land use
         | would have a significant effect on land value.
         | 
         | That's not "a challenge" it's a positive side effect. Those
         | government institutions would be enabled to internalize the
         | value that they create, which is presently being captured by
         | random private parties that did not create it.
        
           | jmole wrote:
           | Look at the case of Atherton, CA - multi-million dollar home
           | values due to city ordinances around minimum lot size and
           | land usage. The land value here is created by scarcity, and
           | driven largely by the success of the greater metro area.
           | 
           | But if you are trying to value this land from a Georgist
           | perspective, and one that takes into account property zoning
           | and use requirements, the land is worth much less than it
           | should be due to the restrictions, and would be taxed lower
           | than parcels of similar size in nearby cities.
           | 
           | This seems, in theory, to reward obstinate enclaves of low-
           | density development within larger metros. The homeowners have
           | no reason to elect a council that would vote against their
           | interests in this respect, and their taxes would stay low.
        
           | TimPC wrote:
           | I agree that there is a positive side effect here in that
           | municipalities now have a strong incentive to rezone in ways
           | that increase land value since they capture a portion of that
           | value from their share of the LVT.
        
       | MiddleEndian wrote:
       | On a personal level, I like the LVT as a single tax because then
       | I wouldn't have to do any paperwork. They give me a bill, I pay a
       | bill, there's no exceptions, I can improve (or fuck up) my
       | property, and overall the numbers won't change (unless a ton of
       | people improve or fuck up their properties around me as well).
       | Nice and easy.
       | 
       | But it also seems effective overall. After I quit my last job and
       | before I got my current job, I did not work for several years
       | (some due to choice, some due to circumstance). During this time,
       | I obviously paid no income tax. But I still paid my mortgage
       | (some of which obviously went to property tax, but mostly to the
       | bank). Presumably with a land value tax, my payment to my
       | mortgage company would be notably less less and the tax would
       | notably be more, so during that time instead of paying a bank I
       | would be paying taxes that go to infrastructure and welfare and
       | whatnot.
       | 
       | I think this sort of thing is more accurate than an income-based
       | source of taxes, because I obviously wasn't really in the same
       | economic situation as an underemployed person who truly couldn't
       | find a job for several years. It also allows you to assess your
       | own level of taxation. For instance, I could have sold my place
       | or rented it out, and moved elsewhere to a cheaper place (or I
       | guess a more expensive place, were I so inclined to do so while
       | not having a job).
       | 
       | Of course, the big disadvantage, as mentioned elsewhere in this
       | thread, is that it is difficult to assess land value sometimes.
       | It also seems like it may force people to move a bit more often,
       | and moving is exhausting. And also presumably you'd have to
       | convince people to pair this form of taxation with more lax
       | zoning laws (with some stricter exception for farmland or
       | something to keep the value per square foot low enough for it to
       | still make sense).
       | 
       | Even weighing these factors, it seems like an improvement over
       | the current system. But I guess the real issue is that in the
       | current world of mortgages and such, even if 90% of the
       | population decided it truly did make sense as a form of tax, the
       | transition seems nearly impossible.
        
         | TimPC wrote:
         | The transition is hard. I'm convinced it has to be both gradual
         | and compensated.
        
           | zozbot234 wrote:
           | Since all taxes are ultimately borne by land (specifically,
           | by resources in fixed supply), it's not at all clear that
           | compensation is required for a neutral tax shift.
        
             | TimPC wrote:
             | Some people argue no compensation is required but I think
             | in reality an LVT at 100% reduces the price of all land to
             | $0. Given that land is substantial portion of retirement
             | savings in our current economy, completely obliterating
             | land prices without any compensation seems morally dubious.
             | Perhaps if you do it slowly enough that you give everyone
             | time to adjust and make the market adjustments gradual
             | enough that people who need to sell land for retirement can
             | still get something like 90% of the value initially it
             | could work.
        
               | zozbot234 wrote:
               | Nobody is arguing for a literal 100% LVT. You'd want to
               | still leave a fraction of land rent (say 10% or so)
               | untaxed, since this introduces a desirable market
               | mechanism in property assessment - and George even
               | acknowledges this. What's nutty is to let land
               | speculators capture _all_ of that value for no real
               | reason.
        
               | TimPC wrote:
               | I think the group that is capturing the most value is
               | actually landlords, followed by speculators. I also agree
               | that 90% LVT may be better in practice, although I do
               | know people who still argue for 100% and various auction
               | mechanisms to determine the LVT.
        
               | MiddleEndian wrote:
               | As much as I think LVT makes sense, having to go to some
               | sort of annual auction for my own land does seem worse
               | than just paying taxes. Along with that being a tedious
               | process, that could put you at the mercy of malicious
               | actors who may just dislike you and have enough cash to
               | outbid you.
               | 
               | Any implementation would have to not include this for
               | people to be able to have stable lives.
        
             | AnimalMuppet wrote:
             | > Since all taxes are ultimately borne by land ...
             | 
             | Objection, your honor. Assumes facts not in evidence.
             | 
             | How is income tax ultimately borne by land? Sales tax?
             | Inheritance tax? Gasoline tax? Corporate income tax on
             | corporations like SpaceX, Goldman Sachs, and Intel?
             | 
             | "Ultimately borne by land" may have made sense a century or
             | three ago, when (almost) all income ultimately came from
             | the land. That's not the world we live in any longer.
        
       | TimPC wrote:
       | Progress and Poverty was once the most popular economics book
       | ever written. The Georgist Theory in it, and the land value tax
       | proposed by it is still endorsed by economists today.
       | 
       | This review clearly illustrates the ideas from George that land
       | captures gains that in a more fair society we'd want to go to
       | labour.
        
         | nickff wrote:
         | > _"... the land value tax proposed by it is still endorsed by
         | economists today. "_
         | 
         | Your comment is somewhat misleading, as it seems to suggest
         | that all or most economists endorse Georgism, which is not
         | true. Some vocal minority of economists are pro-Georgism, but I
         | haven't seen any data suggesting it is the most popular
         | taxation scheme.
        
           | aesh2Xa1 wrote:
           | I have wondered this, too. "Is/was Georgism really so
           | popular?"
           | 
           | Do you have any papers/writing which specifically criticise
           | Georgism?
        
             | TimPC wrote:
             | It's hard to measure precisely how popular it was
             | historically but he campaigned for Mayor of NYC as a
             | Georgist and finished 2nd ahead of Teddy Roosevelt who
             | finished 3rd. So Henry George at least was well liked.
             | 
             | The book itself was the best selling economics book of the
             | 19th century. It inspired art demonstrations and some
             | governments throughout the world even adopted LVT for a
             | while. So yes, it was pretty popular.
        
             | SilasX wrote:
             | Paul Birch had a long essay criticizing it. Here's where I
             | mentioned it on HN to summarize the key points:
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17605751
        
               | TimPC wrote:
               | Thanks for sharing this it's interesting. The first thing
               | I've noticed is that his estimate of the tax revenue is
               | far lower than other far more detailed estimates I've
               | seen by economists.
               | 
               | But by far my biggest objection to his arguments is that
               | he ignores the way density impacts land value over time.
               | If we build huge skyscrapers in the countryside it's
               | reasonable that businesses will spring up around them.
               | Various economists have modelled this and land value
               | increases in proportion to the income of its occupants.
               | It's one of the reasons cities need to pay developers to
               | get affordable housing. The allocation of people into
               | housing that was once affordable in the market sense will
               | naturally result in rising land values and rising rents.
               | In no time and no place in history has density made land
               | cheap.
               | 
               | If we choose to dot the countryside in huge towers the
               | land on which those huge towers are built and the land of
               | the shops immediately beside those huge towers will have
               | a high value that tapers off quickly as you head further
               | into the now empty countryside. You end up with a strange
               | peaky distribution. In practice, the increasing land
               | rents of the building and the decreased land rents of the
               | countryside would encourage occupants to leave for
               | greener pastures. And the developers would know this
               | would happen before even building a huge building in the
               | countryside because it is economically well understood.
               | 
               | He also makes far too big a deal out of the need for a
               | negative land market. You can keep abandonment if you
               | just have a 95% LVT instead of a 100% LVT and you now
               | have a market where land values are overwhelmingly
               | positive.
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | I may have to pick this up -- as someone with no economics
         | training at all, a land value tax seems extremely appealing and
         | intuitive to me. I'd already like to become a complete partisan
         | in favor of this policy, but I guess it would make sense to
         | read what the actual justification is, for it, haha.
        
           | mynameishere wrote:
           | It seems extremely unappealing to me. It seems like something
           | a wealthy apartment-dweller in a tall building in a dense
           | city would come up with to move taxation from himself to the
           | guy in the country with two acres and a mobile home.
           | 
           | The more I think about it, the more I'm sure that's the
           | actual motivation.
        
             | dkarl wrote:
             | The land value tax incentivizes the owner of scarce,
             | valuable urban land to put it to good social use, such as
             | building apartments for hundreds of people to live in. You
             | would have to be astronomically wealthy to own two acres in
             | a dense city and keep it solely for your own enjoyment. If
             | you want two acres all to yourself, you can move to the
             | countryside, where land is cheap, and one person can
             | conceivably pay the property taxes on an engineer's salary.
        
             | danbolt wrote:
             | Wouldn't a LVT mean that the taxes on the mobile home be
             | much less than the apartment in the dense city?
        
               | mynameishere wrote:
               | I'm just going by the headline definition: "A land value
               | tax is a levy on the value of land without regard to
               | buildings, personal property and other improvements."
               | That's the basic idea.
               | 
               | I think people need to keep in mind the actual purpose of
               | taxation: One group is taking resources from another.
               | Nobody is pushing this tax (or any) because it's
               | "efficient" or whatever. They are pushing it because they
               | will come out ahead.
               | 
               | A person who lives in a 600 square foot apartment in a 60
               | story tower will effectively be paying taxes on 10 square
               | feet of actual land. That land might be very valuable,
               | but I suspect no matter how you twist the numbers, it's
               | going to be less than two acres anywhere in the country.
               | Especially if you go by the spirit of the LVT, which is
               | to ignore improvements.
               | 
               | I could be wrong. I'm just guessing at "who fucks over
               | whom" here.
        
               | TimPC wrote:
               | Land buildings are on tends to become extremely valuable
               | due to all the surrounding businesses that emerge due to
               | a high density of people. If you look at land value maps
               | of cities you get very noticeable spikes in cities.
               | 
               | I've seen land as cheap as $489 an acre and land as
               | expensive as $6,000,000 for a half-lot. Even assuming
               | $12,000 an acre in the countryside in California which
               | can be found now on the internet, it's quite believable
               | that 10 square feet of land beneath a skyscraper is going
               | to be worth more than $24,000. That 10 square feet is an
               | underestimate as well because the unit will be
               | responsible for more than 1/60th of its floor plan.
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | The more I read about LVT the more clear it is to me that
               | it legitimately solves many, many problems society is
               | currently facing. The housing price crisis is effectively
               | solved by LVT. The "greedy landlord" meme is effectively
               | solved by LVT. Income tax being distortionary is solved
               | by LVT. NIMBYism caused by people wanting their home to
               | be worth more is solved by LVT. Yes, some are better off,
               | some are worse. It's not as clear as you think though.
               | Rural land is worth very little compared to urban. The
               | real losers are people who have single family homes in
               | desirable areas.
        
               | zozbot234 wrote:
               | Correct. Land "in the country" is worth zilch compared to
               | a similar plot in a dense urban core. GP has it
               | backwards, they're perhaps thinking of some flat tax on
               | land based on square footage whereas LVT is based on
               | assessed value.
        
             | its_ethan wrote:
             | That sort of assumes that the owner of the apartment-
             | dweller's property doesn't just increase their rent (pass
             | along that tax).
             | 
             | As other people pointed out, there should/would have to be
             | some mechanism to value the land for the LVT. The land the
             | apartment building is built on in the city would have a
             | higher value than some 2 acres out in the country. The
             | owner of that land would have to pay the LVT, and the rent
             | for an apartment on that land would reflect that -
             | ultimately making everyone who lives in the apartment pay
             | that tax, if indirectly.
        
               | TimPC wrote:
               | Interestingly because the supply of land is inelastic its
               | supply curve is a straight vertical line. If you charge
               | the tax directly to tenants they lose say $20,000 in LVT
               | tax. This lowers their demand for land by $20,000.
               | Because the supply curve is a straight vertical line the
               | intersection of the supply and demand curve is now
               | $20,000 lower. They literally pay $20,000 less for land
               | rent. This doesn't work with anything that has elastic
               | supply like buildings where the tax would lower the
               | supply and the new intersection of the supply and demand
               | curves would result in the tenant and owner sharing the
               | tax. But it's well understood and accepted in the
               | economic literature that landlords end up paying the tax
               | not tenants.
        
               | its_ethan wrote:
               | > Interestingly because the supply of land is inelastic
               | its supply curve is a straight vertical line. If you
               | charge the tax directly to tenants they lose say $20,000
               | in LVT tax. This lowers their demand for land by $20,000.
               | 
               | This might sound good in theory, but it is a _very_ hard
               | sell to say that 's how it pans out in practice. You even
               | say: "This doesn't work with anything that has elastic
               | supply like buildings" - so as soon as you put a building
               | (apartments) on the property, this theory goes out the
               | window.
               | 
               | > But it's well understood and accepted in the economic
               | literature that landlords end up paying the tax not
               | tenants.
               | 
               | I don't dispute that there would be some competition
               | among landlords as to how much of their LVT they can pass
               | off to tenants - it wouldn't be 100%. But to claim that
               | there would be no impact to tenants strikes me as
               | hilariously naive.
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | Absolutely! The biggest advantage for most, particularly
           | readers of HN, is described in part II
           | (http://gameofrent.com/content/can-lvt-be-passed-on-to-
           | tenant...): "...landlords cannot pass Land Value Tax (LVT) on
           | to their tenants..." Renting an apartment in SF would
           | therefore both be cheap, because the LVT encourages high-
           | density, and tax-advantaged, especially if the LVT is (as it
           | is supposed to be) the only tax.
           | 
           | The bottom line is that this idea has literally no downside.
        
             | TimPC wrote:
             | Renting the apartment in SF will not be cheap because the
             | land has extremely high value. It's just the government
             | will capture the high value of that land instead of
             | landlords and that high value land capture will be used to
             | remove other taxes like income tax and property tax. Land
             | prices in SF would fall slightly as the LVT removes most
             | speculation. So likely rents go from $6000/month to
             | something like $5400/month. But the government might
             | capture $4500 of that to reduce other taxes.
             | 
             | If we still had 1870's small government the idea would be
             | to put most of the LVT into a Citizen's Dividend which
             | functions like a UBI and helps people pay for their cost of
             | living (including some of the land taxes).
        
             | colinmhayes wrote:
             | Rental prices would not change, it's just that more of the
             | money would go to government instead of the landlord,
             | especially for low density housing.
        
               | TheCoelacanth wrote:
               | They probably would decrease somewhat, because there's no
               | longer an incentive for landowners to prevent people from
               | building housing to keep the supply low.
        
               | ryukafalz wrote:
               | This is something I've been wondering about with LVT.
               | Wouldn't they still have an incentive to stop people from
               | building more dense housing near them? Even more of an
               | incentive than now, in fact? Because the more people that
               | can live and work in the immediate area near them, the
               | more valuable the land is, and the more they'll pay in
               | tax.
        
           | scythe wrote:
           | The biggest problem with LVT is surprisingly simple:
           | accurately assessing the value of land is very hard, and
           | ensuring that the assessment process is fair is therefore
           | extremely hard.
           | 
           | LVT experiments in history tend to run into problems when
           | people feel that their land has been valued incorrectly,
           | leading to a vocal minority that despises the law. That
           | results in something like this:
           | 
           | https://nassimtaleb.org/2016/08/intolerant-wins-
           | dictatorship...
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | Huh. Property tax is already a thing of course, but I guess
             | if the LVT was going to replace all taxation the stakes
             | would be much higher.
             | 
             | In an urban setting, it seems to me that the land value
             | should be... reasonably uniform, unlike property, which
             | should make assessing much easier, right? But that's just
             | getting the number. Whether people are happy with the
             | number is a whole 'nother problem.
        
               | markdown wrote:
               | Doesn't work that way. A subway gets built near your
               | property. The benefit of greater access accrues to you
               | more than it does someone 10km away. So your LVT has to
               | go up.
               | 
               | Now you can't afford the taxes, and you're forced to sell
               | and move to somewhere with lower LVT. It's bought by
               | someone who will put it to better use. Maybe an apartment
               | block instead of your single family home.
               | 
               | Over time, every piece of land is put to its most
               | productive use. But before it gets there, there will be
               | some pain for the individuals who choose (or are forced)
               | to move because they can't afford to the improvements
               | made to the infrastructure in their locality.
        
               | xboxnolifes wrote:
               | > Now you can't afford the taxes, and you're forced to
               | sell and move to somewhere with lower LVT. It's bought by
               | someone who will put it to better use. Maybe an apartment
               | block instead of your single family home.
               | 
               | > Over time, every piece of land is put to its most
               | productive use. But before it gets there, there will be
               | some pain for the individuals who choose (or are forced)
               | to move because they can't afford to the improvements
               | made to the infrastructure in their locality.
               | 
               | Which is why I think it makes sense that the LVT
               | shouldn't be re-evaluated on a rolling basis. It would
               | only be re-evaluated (or at least put into effect) when
               | it changes owners (sale, gift, inheritance, etc).
               | Otherwise you get bad incentives for people to vote
               | against improvements that price them out of living where
               | they currently are.
               | 
               | Corporate land ownership would likely need different
               | rules, as the owner could theoretically be the same
               | forever.
               | 
               | Over time, land is still put to it's most productive use,
               | there is just a delay introduced that considers the human
               | condition.
        
               | its_ethan wrote:
               | I would have assumed exactly the opposite in terms of
               | urban land being uniform in value.
               | 
               | 10 acres that are 30 minutes from Des Moines, IA are
               | going to be very similar in value (price people are
               | willing to pay) compared to 10 acres that are 10 miles
               | down the road. Rural land is generally quite uniform and
               | more likely to be functionally the same. In an urban
               | area, say Los Angeles, 10 acres in Malibu (an area with
               | very high demand for property) is going to have a totally
               | different value (again, price people are willing to pay)
               | as compared to 10 acres 10 miles away in skid row.
               | 
               | The problem, that other people have highlighted, is how
               | do you (the government/IRS/agency in charge) determine
               | the value of each of those land areas? Letting some city
               | planners in LA decide that those two areas should have
               | the same LVT, or allowing them to determine what tax each
               | should have, is gifting a lot of power to people who may
               | or may not be qualified, and may or may not experience
               | any sort of consequence for poor decision making/ biased
               | value assessment/ etc.
               | 
               | The exact way that sort of value/tax-setting would play
               | out would be _very_ interesting, but the unintended
               | consequences could end up being pretty bad.
               | 
               | I've always thought it was interesting that property tax
               | assessments don't just use the previous purchase price,
               | and instead rely on a relatively arbitrary valuation.
               | That could be one way to more accurately determine an LVT
               | - make it a set percent of the previous purchase price of
               | the land, that would allow the taxes to be priced in to
               | land transactions.
               | 
               | I still just don't love the idea at its core.
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | Now you've brought the horror that is prop 13 to a tax
               | that is supposed to replace all other taxes. Things
               | change in value, we have to account for that.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | With a land value tax we could at least come up with
               | pretty straightforward equations, right? Some starting
               | value from being in town, then add something for
               | oceanfront property, then add something some extra bump
               | based on distance from some set of amenities provided by
               | the community (parks, subways, etc). It is at least
               | possible to come up with something, unlike, what, the
               | assessor's gut feeling about how nice your house is? This
               | seems like it is putting much more arbitrary power in the
               | hands of some random person.
        
               | its_ethan wrote:
               | > Some starting value from being in town, then add
               | something for oceanfront property, then add something
               | some extra bump based on distance from some set of
               | amenities provided by the community (parks, subways,
               | etc).
               | 
               | How do you know you weren't also supposed to take the
               | floor plan or exterior paint color into consideration?
               | How do you account for the value lost from having
               | obnoxious neighbors? What happens when, in the future, a
               | nice bookstore/coffee shop is opened up down the street,
               | or alternatively a liquor store? Ultimately, how do you
               | know if whatever equation you've constructed is
               | exhaustive or "correct"?
               | 
               | It might sound like "well then you just adjust the
               | equation" but this wouldn't be without consequence. One
               | outcome of getting that equation incorrect is that a home
               | is valued at a point where the imposed tax prices out
               | anyone from purchasing the home - it would sit
               | empty/foreclosed for as long as it takes a local
               | government bureaucracy to come in and attempt to re-
               | assess its value. So you could effectively be removing
               | houses from a competitive home buying market, which is
               | going to increase the price of other homes until they too
               | have priced people out of the area. Multiply that by
               | entire zip codes, and while you're working on adjusting
               | that equation, you could end up having a real shit show
               | on your hands with a bunch of people being displaced or
               | in worse financial positions.
               | 
               | > It is at least possible to come up with something,
               | unlike, what, the assessor's gut feeling about how nice
               | your house is? This seems like it is putting much more
               | arbitrary power in the hands of some random person.
               | 
               | I agree with the point that a home assessment is strange
               | and arbitrary, but you're really just saying we should
               | replace the assessor who goes and visits a property with
               | a group of assessor's that just come up with an equally
               | arbitrary equation that gets blanket applied to entire
               | cities? Why is that preferable to something like just
               | using the previous home sale price or, honestly, just
               | staying with the current system that we know is generally
               | very functional?
        
               | lordnacho wrote:
               | Someone came up with this delicious game:
               | 
               | Landowners decide for themselves what value their land
               | has, and pay tax accordingly. But whatever they say the
               | value is, someone else is allowed to buy it for.
        
               | its_ethan wrote:
               | It's certainly a fun game, but does that mean if I decide
               | my property is worth $100,000, accurate or not, I am
               | forced to sell it just because someone comes along and
               | decides they want to buy it? Also, is this a game that
               | happens every year to allow for appreciation?
               | 
               | For a realistic implementation, why not just use the fact
               | that the landowner already decided what the value their
               | land has when they purchased it and/or paid people to
               | develop it. Why not just use those values?
        
             | notahacker wrote:
             | The biggest problem with it as presented in _Progress and
             | Poverty_ (i.e. as a Single Tax to fund the government
             | budget, not some small supplementary levy to fund something
             | like local services) is that the size of the tax bears
             | relatively little relation to the ability of someone to pay
             | it (at least, to pay it without selling their house).
             | Turfing pensioners out of their house because the land it
             | sits on gained in value faster than their pension whilst
             | others earn millions virtually tax free obviously isn 't a
             | natural vote winner.
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | Maybe Im heartless, but I don't see why people should be
               | allowed to stay in a home they can't afford just because
               | they've been there a while. Especially when the reason
               | they can't afford it is because the community thinks it
               | should support high density housing but they have a low
               | density home.
        
               | TimPC wrote:
               | Most modern day versions proposed allow you to defer the
               | tax until the sale of your home or pay it as part of the
               | settling of your estate.
        
               | zozbot234 wrote:
               | > Turfing pensioners out of their house because the land
               | it sits on gained in value faster than their pension
               | 
               | This is a well-known canard. If someone can't pay their
               | tax on a primary residence, you put a lien on the
               | property that becomes enforceable when the ownership
               | changes hands, whether by sale or inheritance. No one
               | gets "thrown out" of their homes.
        
             | mrob wrote:
             | People who disagree with their assessed value should be
             | given the option to declare whatever value they like. If
             | they take this option, the state should have the option of
             | buying their property at the declared value, plus some
             | extra to cover transaction costs.
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | The problem is that most land has stuff on top of it. The
               | government can't buy the land without the building that
               | comes with it.
        
               | CuriousSkeptic wrote:
               | At the surface it seems there should be a market solution
               | for this.
               | 
               | One approach might be to do something clever with
               | mortages and property rights. Basically keep trying to
               | keep the current mechanics of borrowing and just shifting
               | around the parties involved so that the all the interest
               | gets collected as LVT.
               | 
               | Might even let the central bank handle both collection
               | and dividends of it all.
               | 
               | Another option might be to create economic incentives for
               | some party to get the assessment right. Like insurance
               | companies and banks loose either customers or revenue
               | when getting it wrong.
               | 
               | Perhaps can play with some margin for speculation such
               | that lender and borrower get to share some profit.
               | 
               | Or just make lenders outbid each other on who can extract
               | most rent for the property.
               | 
               | I guess one concern here is to make sure the commons have
               | a representation, so that not all land get appropriated
               | to private use
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | This is a 'clever' solution to property taxes. But a land
               | value tax _specifically_ just taxes based on the value of
               | the land. This is supposed to incentivize people to use
               | their land as productively as possible -- with a property
               | tax, any improvements you make increases your tax bill,
               | with a land value tax, it doesn 't.
               | 
               | A moral argument for it is, if you own an empty lot which
               | is gaining in value as the community grows around it, you
               | are essentially leeching extra value from the community
               | through no work of your own. This sort of behavior is
               | punished heavily with an LVT, as your taxes go up but you
               | don't get any extra revenue from your empty lot.
        
             | TimPC wrote:
             | My city already does a two-factor assessment that includes
             | land value and structure value for assessing my property
             | tax. I don't think just doing the land value component is
             | substantially harder although I do agree it's slightly
             | harder.
        
             | notacoward wrote:
             | Focusing on that one issue presents an incomplete picture,
             | to say the least. LVT has been tried many places, and has
             | been no less successful than other tax systems. Here's a
             | pretty thorough analysis and discussion of empirical
             | results.
             | 
             | https://www.lincolninst.edu/sites/default/files/pubfiles/as
             | s...
             | 
             |  _Of course_ there are secondary and /or orthogonal
             | problems that need to be solved. _Of course_ there are some
             | people who complain, either because they are truly being
             | overtaxed or (more often) because they think they
             | personally would do better under some other system. Just
             | like literally every other tax system including the ones
             | most of us live under right now. LVT is no panacea, but
             | there are legitimate reasons to believe it 's a
             | fundamentally better starting point than the mishmash of
             | income, sales, and property taxes we have now.
        
             | markdown wrote:
             | Could you tell us where these experiments were held, and
             | how far they went? For example, were other taxes eliminated
             | at the same time?
        
               | notacoward wrote:
               | See my sibling comment to yours. The most notable
               | examples are in New Zealand, Australia, and several towns
               | in Pennsylvania. Some of those ran into problems with
               | execution, others were abandoned for purely
               | ideological/selfish reasons, but overall it's not a bad
               | record.
        
       | teach wrote:
       | These were previously published on AstralCodexTen and discussed
       | here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29493005
       | 
       | GameOfRent is a new site by the author to collect these and
       | similar writings by him and others.
        
       | simonebrunozzi wrote:
       | I suggest to view Scott Alexander's (Astral Codex Ten) review of
       | the same book [0].
       | 
       | https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-progr...
        
       | rufus_foreman wrote:
       | For those who think a Georgist tax makes sense, why not apply the
       | same type of logic to income?
       | 
       | If someone is employed as say, a teacher making $75,000 a year,
       | but would be most productive as a software developer making
       | $200,000 a year, should we tax them on $200,000 a year?
        
         | TimPC wrote:
         | Georgists get around this issue by abolishing income taxes
         | entirely.
         | 
         | Regardless, I think there are fundamental differences between
         | the two cases. Most notably land doesn't have freedom of choice
         | the way people do.
         | 
         | We also currently tax land based on its market value which
         | corresponds to the most productive use of the land so LVT
         | doesn't change this.
        
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