[HN Gopher] DOE announces breakthrough in residential cold clima...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       DOE announces breakthrough in residential cold climate heat pump
       technology
        
       Author : josephscott
       Score  : 289 points
       Date   : 2022-06-18 16:39 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.energy.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.energy.gov)
        
       | jamisteven wrote:
       | "can save families as much as $500 a year on their utility
       | bills".... ehhh, people affected by an extra 500 per year arent
       | going to fork over 20k for a new system that will save only 500
       | per year.
        
         | gehsty wrote:
         | Overall the cost may not be that much but the bigger shift is
         | to electrification of heating instead of a gas burning boiler,
         | as electrical systems can take advantage of power from offshore
         | wind / solar etc. another way of looking at it is most people
         | will replace their boilers in the next 20-30yrs, if they can
         | get a electrical heat pump system they should (and the
         | governments should make this economically advantageous to do
         | so).
        
         | hsbauauvhabzb wrote:
         | Is the cost on new homes comparable? Does the US subsidise this
         | at all?
        
       | disantlor wrote:
       | hmm as someone about to purchase a heat pump system for heat in a
       | northern climate I am not sure if I should wait...
       | 
       | is this an announcement of a breakthrough or a challenge to find
       | a breakthrough?
        
         | zip1234 wrote:
         | There are already heat pumps that work at very low temps.
         | Mitsubishi has models that are still heating at -13f
        
         | boulos wrote:
         | FTA, they already measured it and will deploy in 2024:
         | 
         | > The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
         | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF. DOE's
         | Oak Ridge National Laboratory validated the performance and
         | efficiency of Lennox's prototype.
         | 
         | > Lennox is one of nine manufacturers competing in the CCHP
         | Technology Challenge. Its product and others that meet the CCHP
         | Technology Challenge will undergo trials in cold climate
         | regions over the next two years to demonstrate performance,
         | efficiency, and comfort when applied in the field throughout a
         | winter. Deployment and commercialization are planned for 2024.
        
         | Jgrubb wrote:
         | I just bought a Mitsubishi mini split system to replace our oil
         | furnace and bring A/C to our house here in New Jersey for the
         | first time. Their high end outdoor units heat down to -13 F,
         | which is colder than I've ever seen here. It arrives in august.
         | 
         | Gree has a system that claims to have full heat down to -31, so
         | I'd say just keep researching and you'll probably be fine.
        
           | throw0101a wrote:
           | > _Gree has a system that claims to have full heat down to
           | -31, so I 'd say just keep researching and you'll probably be
           | fine._
           | 
           | Doing a quick search, they're using 'standard' R410A
           | refrigerant (PDF):
           | 
           | * https://www.greecomfort.com/assets/our-products/multi-
           | plus-u...
           | 
           | the same as everyone else. It seems just that they though it
           | worth the engineering effort to push a little further than
           | most other companies.
           | 
           | See anything with the label "For Extreme Conditions":
           | 
           | * https://www.greecomfort.com/our-products/
        
           | david422 wrote:
           | What is the plan for when it gets colder than -13? Do you do
           | a hybrid with your furnace? Some other solution? Thinking of
           | getting some heat pumps myself.
        
             | leviathant wrote:
             | In nearby Philadelphia, it rarely gets that cold, and not
             | for extended periods of time, but when it does, we bust out
             | blankets and space heaters to make up the difference.
        
             | Jgrubb wrote:
             | We usually switch to the wood stoves once winter sets in.
             | Our forced air furnace is incapable of making the house
             | warm and cozy because duct reasons that I can't really fix.
             | 
             | I'm planning on getting rid of it altogether and doing the
             | heat pump(s) most of the year, the wood stoves in winter
             | and reclaiming a lot of headroom in the basement and an
             | entire utility room that the furnace currently takes up.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | I've looked into heat pumps pretty extensively for my
             | upcoming boiler replacement (looking at an air-to-water in
             | my case, but very similar principles apply).
             | 
             | In my case, the 99% design temperature is high single
             | digits Fahrenheit. For the 3.5 days/year colder than that,
             | the plan is to have the house "coast" on thermal mass.
             | 
             | That's for cases where the ambient temp is below design
             | (where the heater can make heat but just no longer enough
             | to keep up with the building heat loss), not for when it's
             | below a cutoff (where the heater shuts off entirely). In my
             | case, that's so far below design temp that I'd expect to
             | never see it. (We hit -9degF in 2016 and would have to go
             | all the way back to 1943 to find a low of -14degF.) If it
             | happened, thermal mass would start to carry us with
             | electric space heating keeping the house from totally
             | freezing.
        
               | hamandcheese wrote:
               | I might invest in some backup propane heaters as well (a
               | buddy heater at Walmart is pretty affordable and is safe
               | for indoor use). I feel like in blizzard-like conditions
               | having electricity be your backup plan might not be too
               | wise.
        
         | newsclues wrote:
         | Go ahead as planned but perhaps have the installer plan for a
         | future upgrade when the current device fails
        
         | mjmahone17 wrote:
         | You probably should not wait: it will be 2 years of testing
         | according to the announcement, and if you're doing a retrofit
         | most the cost of installation will be installing the transfer
         | lines inside, mounting the unit, etc (opening walls and closing
         | them back up). Transferring from an old outdoor unit to a new
         | one should be a fraction of the original install cost
         | (basically just the new unit cost plus the cost of hooking it
         | up).
         | 
         | But, if you're willing to wait or pay extra for the efficiency
         | gains, you might be even better off getting set up with a
         | ground source heat pump now. The install cost is more up front,
         | but because ground temperature is higher than air temperature
         | in winter and lower than air temperature in summer, the
         | differential you need to pump in or out is a lot less, and
         | therefore much more efficient. I don't think any air to air
         | heat pump in the next 20 years will be as efficient as a ground
         | to air system you could install now. The air to air systems
         | just have lower up front install costs.
        
       | selimnairb wrote:
       | This doesn't sound any better than the efficiency of
       | Mitsubishi/Trane "hyper heat" heat pumps, which are already on
       | the market.
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | It depends on what they mean by this:
         | 
         | > The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
         | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF. DOE's
         | Oak Ridge National Laboratory validated the performance and
         | efficiency of Lennox's prototype.
         | 
         | Usually when people talk about efficiency of heat pumps they
         | are comparing to electrical resistance heating (which is 100%
         | efficient). If that's what they mean then they are saying 200%
         | efficient at 5, which is not as good as Mitsubishi, which is
         | better than 200% at 0.
         | 
         | But in the first paragraph they say:
         | 
         | > The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today announced that
         | American heat pump manufacturer Lennox International became the
         | first partner in the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's)
         | Residential Cold Climate Heat Pump Technology Challenge to
         | develop a next-generation electric heat pump that can more
         | effectively heat homes in northern climates relative to today's
         | models.
         | 
         | It could be that they are stating efficiency compared to
         | current heat pumps, not compared to resistance heating, in
         | which case they would be claiming quite a bit higher efficiency
         | than Mitsubishi, which would certainly justify calling it a
         | breakthrough.
         | 
         | Another possibility is that what they could be claiming as the
         | breakthrough is the 100% heating at 5 part. The Mitsubishi cold
         | weather heat pumps start losing capacity below 23, falling from
         | 100% at 23 to 76% at -13.
         | 
         | I don't think that would be as big a breakthrough as double the
         | efficiency of current heat pumps, because it wouldn't make it
         | so heat pumps are feasible in climates too cold for Mitsubishi.
         | But it would make it so that in places you can use a heat pump
         | you might not need as big of a heat pump with the new
         | technology as you would need with a Mitsubishi. That could
         | lower up front cost making converting from something else to a
         | heat pump more feasible for many.
        
         | joenathanone wrote:
         | Domestic is the key here.
        
         | adrianmonk wrote:
         | Mitsubishi's products seem to be mini-split systems[1].
         | 
         |  _-- > EDIT: Or maybe not... they seem to offer forced-air too.
         | <--_
         | 
         | The DOE challenge is for ducted systems. Their site[2] says:
         | 
         | > _The Challenge is currently focused on residential, centrally
         | ducted, electric-only HPs._
         | 
         | The DOE challenge also has other requirements[3] that I don't
         | know if the Mitsubishi systems satisfy. It requires certain
         | levels of efficiency and "grid interactivity" (meaning Energy
         | Star "demand response"[4] where your utility can temporarily
         | tweak your thermostat settings).
         | 
         | ---
         | 
         | [1] https://www.mitsubishicomfort.com/residential/new-products
         | 
         | [2] https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/cchp-technology-
         | challe...
         | 
         | [3] https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2021-10/bto-
         | cchp-...
         | 
         | [4]
         | https://www.energystar.gov/sites/default/files/ENERGY%20STAR...
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | Kind of a shame, ducted heating has a lot of issues, but is
           | the best for retrofit I guess.
        
           | oneplane wrote:
           | I wonder why ducted systems were part of the requirements, is
           | it because it's just aimed at the USA and then mostly at
           | adoptability for existing systems (which seems to be ducted
           | mostly)? I only have anecdotal experience and no numbers to
           | back that up, but it's the only reason I can come up with
           | that would put such a restriction in place.
           | 
           | I'd say rip the ducts out and just use split systems but I
           | imagine other people have thought about that and figured it's
           | not the best way to go. (or at last not in the US)
        
             | pkulak wrote:
             | Yes, because nearly every house in cold climates is ducted,
             | and we're trying to get people off oil heating quickly,
             | easily, and cheaply. Popping a new heat exchanger in an
             | existing furnace is stupid simple compared to running
             | coolant lines to new, wall-mounted exchangers all over the
             | house.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | Hydronic heat distribution (baseboard and radiators) is
               | quite common in New England.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | I think that's true, if the ducts exist already that's
               | simplest and cheapest. If they don't mini-split type
               | systems are. But I suspect that long term those are going
               | to be a pain in the butt because you have a lot of
               | failure points.
        
           | gwittel wrote:
           | Many of the Mitsubishi heat pumps work with central ducted
           | systems just fine. I have one (replaced a central gas heat,
           | electric AC system). It's just a different air handler but
           | the heat pump was the same as would have been used in a mini-
           | split install.
           | 
           | When cross shopping the Mitsubishi vs Trane, the Mitsubishi
           | was miles ahead. I didn't even get the most cold weather
           | efficient option (not needed for my climate).
        
             | adrianmonk wrote:
             | Oh, you must be right. I was finally able to find this on
             | Mitsubishi's site:
             | 
             | https://www.mitsubishicomfort.com/residential/products/duct
             | e...
             | 
             | And that says it's compatible with some "hyper-heat"
             | outdoor units. So apparently they do offer both.
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | I wonder if the ideas used here can make low temperature
       | geothermal systems more efficient. An example is the 760 kW
       | system at Chena Hot Springs, 50 miles east of Fairbanks, Alaska.
       | The system there uses hot water from said springs to generate
       | power using repurposed refrigeration technology.
        
         | fghorow wrote:
         | Chena Hot Springs geothermal _is_ a heat pump. It 's an
         | absorption chiller used partially (primarily?) to keep an ice
         | house chilled as a tourist attraction. It works for such
         | relatively low geothermal temperatures because the average
         | Carnot Delta T is pretty good (because Alaska).
         | 
         | As to whether or not thermo-acoustic technology could work,
         | that's a good question.
        
       | markvdb wrote:
       | So much air in this statement, but almost zero raw numbers.
       | 
       | In the mean time, there are good quality air/water heat pumps on
       | the market in Europe. Look at the Nibe F2120 for example. It
       | blows this thing out of the water. It has a COP of 2.5 at -25C...
        
         | gorbypark wrote:
         | Any sources of info on good heat pumps in the European market?
         | I just moved to Spain and am casually looking at options.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | impostervt wrote:
       | That's great news. I have a heat pump in my house, but still need
       | to use the gas furnace when the temp drops below 40 degrees
       | Fahrenheit.
       | 
       | A repair person goofed the settings last January, and I didn't
       | notice the furnace wasn't kicking in until the end of February.
       | My electric bill went from $150-ish for Feb 2021 to $450-ish for
       | Feb 2022.
        
       | dukeofdoom wrote:
       | So 10k+ outlay to save under $500/year. That would take only 20+
       | years to pay off. The wall units are kind of flimsy. Expect at
       | least one to break. And that $500 in savings is probably
       | $300/year in reality. Its still a great option for some places,
       | just not really to switch over from a gas furnace.
        
         | prirun wrote:
         | Seems more reasonable to compare the typical initial cost vs
         | the increased initial cost for the higher efficiency unit that
         | saves $500/yr.
         | 
         | My house was built in 2000 with a regular AC unit for the main
         | floor and heat pump for the 2nd floor, both Payne, a builder
         | grade of Carrier. The inside coil went first, at the 9-yr mark
         | with a 10-yr warranty, so I did get a new coil at no expense
         | but it cost $600 to install it.
         | 
         | A couple years later, the outside heat pump went out, and
         | because of the system's age (about 11 years), they recommended
         | replacing the furnace and heat pump.
         | 
         | A couple year later, the main floor furnace exhaust gas blower
         | mechanism went out, and again, the outside unit was replaced
         | because it was 14 years old.
         | 
         | In contrast, my previous house had an American Standard AC and
         | furnace that was installed in 1970 when the house was built. I
         | had to replace the furnace blower motor one year - about $500 I
         | think - but the original AC and furnace were working like a
         | champ when I sold the house in 2003.
         | 
         | In summary, you aren't getting 20 years out of any modern,
         | shitty system anymore. They're designed to fail after 10 years.
         | You might get lucky and have something fail after 9 years; then
         | you'll only have to pay for labor. But because there are 2
         | major independent components, the outside compressor and inside
         | furnace, it's unlikely they'll both fail within the warranty.
         | 
         | My AC guy told me the main reason they fail is because the new
         | coils are made of very thin aluminum and so fail sooner than
         | the old systems. If a coil fails, either in the furnace or the
         | outside condenser, you're screwed. They can sometimes fix them,
         | but good luck with that. Most HVAC dealers don't want to bother
         | doing that; they just want to sell a new system.
        
         | hgomersall wrote:
         | Which is always the problem when you ignore the negative
         | externalities. One would hope those externalities might start
         | to be internalised to the cost of burning fossil fuels for
         | heat, then heat pumps might become a better prospect.
         | 
         | (Tbh, I recently did a high level analysis of a heat pump in a
         | temperate climate, and in light of climbing fuel bills and the
         | potential for low price electricity from renewables at low
         | demand plus batteries, heat pumps start to make a lot of sense.
         | You need to think about using them differently to gas though)
        
           | bialpio wrote:
           | I think it also ignores the fact that one of the big energy
           | suppliers entered a war of territorial expansion and it may
           | take a while until it's business as usual - I'd expect this
           | to also affect energy prices.
        
             | hgomersall wrote:
             | Is this a US thing? Please elaborate...
        
       | kmax12 wrote:
       | Interesting to see heat pumps come up more and more these days.
       | As a lot of comments here point out, heat pump technology is
       | already pretty good, even in cold climates.
       | 
       | It seems to me a lot of the barriers to adoption in the US are
       | lack of awareness from consumers and widespread support from
       | installers. The equipment for a heat pump shouldn't be much more
       | expensive then an air conditioner since they share so many parts,
       | but that isn't the case in practice.
       | 
       | I think government regulations that encourage heat pumps
       | manufacturing and installation are part of the solution. For
       | examples, Biden administration recently issued orders to use the
       | Defense Production Act to produce heat pumps [0] or NYC banning
       | new natural gas hook ups for heating [1].
       | 
       | The other part of heat pumps adoption is making them exciting for
       | consumers. It feels like if you get the right combo of all of
       | that, heat pumps could be the next electric vehicle.
       | 
       | I only recently learned about heat pumps and found it difficult
       | to understand how they worked and potential benefits. Towards
       | that end, I started hacking on this tool for others to get that
       | info: https://www.heatpumpswork.com
       | 
       | [0] https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-
       | action...
       | 
       | [1] https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/15/22837799/new-york-
       | city-b...
        
       | rocqua wrote:
       | Reminds me of this company: https://www.blueheartenergy.com/
       | 
       | The claims are pretty amazing. High efficiency, efficient over a
       | wide range of temperature difference, high temperature
       | differences possible.
       | 
       | The operating principle is totally different. It is based on
       | acoustic waves. Not using phase-changes but just the ideal gas
       | law (pressure and temperature are proportional). I tried to get
       | my head around it, and I got it with a standing sound wave. But
       | they use a traveling wave, for which I could not find
       | explanations I understood.
       | 
       | The general idea is "lower air pressure and move gas to cold side
       | so the gas heats up" followed by "raise air pressure and move gas
       | to warm side so the gas cools down". That means the low pressure
       | needs to be low enough that the gas gets colder than the cold
       | side, and the high pressure needs to be high enough that the gas
       | gets hotter than the hot side. Luckily that is 'just' a matter of
       | amplitude of the sound wave. I think this is how they achieve
       | their wide range of efficient temperature deltas.
       | 
       | That wide range is the main difference with a phase-change based
       | unit. The phase change happens at a much more difficult to change
       | temperature.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | lifty wrote:
         | Really curious what kind of COP this technique can achieve.
         | Cool tech if real, since it doesn't need any refrigerant.
         | Wondering if there are other downsides.
        
         | dr_dshiv wrote:
         | Fascinating. I wish my physics courses had focused more on
         | waves.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermoacoustics
        
           | honksillet wrote:
           | When you get past freshman physics it is all waves! (Mostly)
        
             | WJW wrote:
             | All of it is also particles! (Mostly)
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | Non phase change systems are inherently more efficient because
         | every heat exchanger (air/air, air/coolant and coolant/water)
         | can be counterflow, allowing substantially greater efficiency.
         | 
         | In phase change systems, the 'hot side' and 'cold side' are all
         | at the same temperature, which means any gradient in whatever
         | you are heating/cooling is lost energy.
        
         | jabl wrote:
         | Another non-phase change method is the reverse Brayton cycle.
         | Kind of like running a gas turbine in reverse. I think it is
         | somewhat widely used in cryocooling, and in jet airliner cabin
         | AC, but it seems to not have caught on for domestic heat pump
         | applications. Presumably the traditional phase change
         | approaches are more efficient in the relevant temperature
         | ranges.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Does this have something to do with vortex tubes?
        
         | thinkingkong wrote:
         | This same mechanism is also how the james webb space telescope
         | stays cold!
        
         | babyshake wrote:
         | > The general idea is "lower air pressure and move gas to cold
         | side so the gas heats up" followed by "raise air pressure and
         | move gas to warm side so the gas cools down".
         | 
         | This sounds like Maxwell's Demon, where the work required to
         | prevent the system from reaching thermodynamic equilibrium is
         | equal to or greater than the extra energy. How does this differ
         | from that?
        
           | chroem- wrote:
           | Energy input in the form of compressor work. It's not even
           | remotely similar to Maxwell's Demon.
        
           | huffmsa wrote:
           | Not at all. You use a compressor or some other means to
           | increase the pressure. That's what the electricity is for.
        
           | Dylan16807 wrote:
           | Can you explain in more detail how it sounds like Maxwell's
           | Demon? There's nothing that sounds like it sorts the air
           | particles, so I don't see the connection.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Maxwell says that the effort you put in is more than the work
           | you can get out. So the heat difference you get, even if
           | converted perfectly to other kinetic energy, will always be
           | less than the electricity input.
           | 
           | But we aren't after kinetic energy, or work. We are after
           | heat.
        
       | no-dr-onboard wrote:
       | DOE should probably be capitalized as it's unlikely that a doe (a
       | deer, a female deer. . .) came through with a technological
       | breakthrough ;)
        
         | RicoElectrico wrote:
         | The opaque HN automatic title mangler doing its job. I'd argue
         | it does more harm than good.
        
           | libria wrote:
           | We can't argue that until we have data on the true positives.
           | For all we know, HALF the titles had the submitters pet word
           | in all caps.
        
             | mh- wrote:
             | We could flag those.
        
             | RicoElectrico wrote:
             | How do we know? I did not notice such thing in original
             | submission titles (as in <title></title>).
        
         | dpcx wrote:
         | I thought it was Doe-Anderson (a local ad agency) first... I am
         | not a smart man without enough coffee.
        
         | im3w1l wrote:
         | This makes me idly wonder if we could use those rays of golden
         | sun for heating more efficiently than we are. Pitch black
         | panels facing the sun through which you pump some heat-transfer
         | fluid? Hooked up to a heatpump?
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | fortran77 wrote:
       | The Technology Connections guy is going to be vindicated!
        
         | pkulak wrote:
         | Someone Tweet this at him, pronto!
        
       | joemazerino wrote:
       | Big news for us NorthEasters. Propane and oil are going up.
        
       | endisneigh wrote:
       | Cheapest thing to do is remove all exterior drywall, spray foam
       | everything and call it a day.
        
         | mh- wrote:
         | Where do homes have "exterior drywall"?
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | I guess they meant demolish the interior finishes of exterior
           | walls, spray foam the wall cavities.
           | 
           | That's certainly a way to retrofit an older building, but you
           | still need a heat pump.
        
             | endisneigh wrote:
             | You really don't. I've been in a house in Maine with spray
             | foam in 20 degrees with no heat turned on and interior temp
             | was around 65. It was pretty amazing actually.
             | 
             | A heat pump isn't cost effective compared to Reno with
             | spray foam. An average heat pump probably takes a decade
             | minimum to pay off.
        
             | mh- wrote:
             | Ah, thanks. I get what they mean now. It doesn't sound like
             | a good idea, but I get what they mean. :)
        
           | t3rabytes wrote:
           | drywall on the interior of exterior-facing walls
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | Spray foam is expensive. It's considerably cheaper to install
         | mineral wool or blown cellulose or fiberglass. And you can blow
         | in insulation without removing the drywall.
        
           | endisneigh wrote:
           | Spray foam is expensive, but it pays for itself pretty
           | easily. You can diy drywall hanging simply enough so you're
           | really just paying for the foam and someone to plaster, you
           | can paint yourself.
           | 
           | A cheaper option is rigid foam with canned spray foam around
           | the perimeter.
        
           | mh- wrote:
           | Aren't the tops of walls capped usually? How does one blow in
           | insulation without removing drywall?
           | 
           | Serious question.. I'd have thought it not practical to
           | remove the cap on the wall (and that's assuming you can
           | access it from the attic).
           | 
           | edit: "top plate" is the term I couldn't remember. substitute
           | for cap in my comment.
        
             | magicalhippo wrote:
             | > How does one blow in insulation without removing drywall?
             | 
             | We got blown insulation in the floors (ie between roof and
             | floor), he drilled a 2 inch hole every two feet or so. We
             | added our parquet floor right on top, with just some thin
             | XPS sheets inbetween for noise.
             | 
             | Not sure about drywall, but I'd imagine it's similar.
             | Easiest would be to just put some 6mm plasterboards on top
             | to cover the holes, saves you handling each one
             | individually.
        
             | amluto wrote:
             | You drill smallish holes in the drywall in each stud bay,
             | blow the insulation in through the holes, and patch them.
             | This is much less expensive and less messy than removing
             | and replacing drywall. It can be done with cellulose
             | insulation, with fiberglass (the loose fluffy kind, not
             | batts), and possibly some other products.
        
               | mh- wrote:
               | Ah ok that makes sense. Thanks!
        
       | beepy wrote:
       | "Lennox International... developed the first prototype that
       | achieved the Technology Challenge's standards about a year ahead
       | of schedule. The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at
       | double the efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and
       | -10degF."
       | 
       | The release goes on to say they expect commercialization and
       | deployment in 2024.
        
         | tempestn wrote:
         | Perhaps I missed it skimming the article, but my question is,
         | double the efficiency compared to what? To the current state of
         | the art cold climate hear pump? Or to a resistive heater?
        
           | pkulak wrote:
           | Yeah, and what is "100% heating"? Do they mean 100% of the
           | capacity? Why do people write things with important words
           | just left out?
           | 
           | My new car can do 100% driving!
        
             | yason wrote:
             | What they probably meant is that at 5degF the pump can
             | supply 100% of the heat required to keep a house (of
             | certain size) warm, with no other form of heating required.
             | At -5 and -10, it can still extract enough heat from the
             | outside to supply 70-80% of what's needed but you will need
             | other means of heating such as resistive electric radiators
             | to complement the heat pump.
             | 
             | Surely not engineering way of thinking but that's a common
             | heat pump metric for ordinary people.
        
           | joemazerino wrote:
           | To the current cold pump which can only be efficient at 0 or
           | above. Then you get diminshing returns for the electricity
           | expenditure
        
           | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
           | Heat pumps have efficiency > 100%
        
             | OJFord wrote:
             | No they don't. Just because you don't pay for an input
             | (outside air/the ground/a body of water) doesn't mean it
             | isn't an input.
        
             | lupire wrote:
             | Efficiency is a misleading word for heating, because the
             | units don't match; they are both energy, but different
             | "type". The denominator is fuel energy lost, but the
             | numerator is thermal energy change within an area of
             | interest. A heat pump moves thermal energy from outside,
             | changing unimportant thermal energy into good thermal
             | energy.
             | 
             | "Coefficient of performance" is a better term.
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_performance
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | This just seems like unnecessary hair splitting to me.
               | Obviously the efficiency of something is subject to the
               | important inputs and outputs involved.
               | 
               | If someone asks: "how efficient is this heat pump at
               | heating my house?" And you start digressing about how
               | that's the wrong question to ask you'll be giving them an
               | impression opposite reality, which is for most people: it
               | will use less electric energy than heat energy it puts
               | into your house, almost all the time.
        
               | ketzo wrote:
               | Huh, I've always heard the "heat pump efficiency > 100%"
               | but never really understood what that meant. Thanks for
               | the explanation.
               | 
               | So the ">100%" comes from the fact that you're spending
               | less thermal energy than you are moving?
        
               | thedougd wrote:
               | Exactly.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | Yeah take the energy you pump from Reservoir A to
               | Reservoir B divided by the energy requires to do that and
               | that's COP. Which you can think of as an efficiency.
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | Slightly more precisely: you're using less energy (in the
               | form of electricity used to run the heat pump) than you
               | are moving into/out of the heated/cooled space.
        
           | martijnvds wrote:
           | Maybe they're trying to write around the term "Coefficient of
           | performance" (COP) for people who have never heard of heat
           | pumps.
           | 
           | I think a COP of 2 at 5degF (-15degC) is pretty good.
        
             | tssva wrote:
             | Minimum COP for the competition is 2.1-2.4 at 5degF. No
             | idea what the actual COP for this unit are.
        
             | linsomniac wrote:
             | COP of 2 at 5F is good. But... Mitsubishi has one that is
             | 3.13 at 5F and LG has one at 2.65 at 5F, so this isn't
             | really the breakthrough that the press release claims, the
             | breakthrough is that a US company is doing it.
        
               | tssva wrote:
               | That depends on whether the Mitsubishi and LG units meet
               | the other requirements of the competition.
        
       | mikewarot wrote:
       | At some point, it would be great to use a natural gas powered
       | engine to run a heat pump. You could then use the exhaust gas as
       | a heat source for the heat pump, possibly eliminating the need
       | for a pre-heater.
       | 
       | Cooling the output should increase the Carnot efficiency of the
       | motor.
       | 
       | Heating the outside air intake with that heat should be
       | sufficient to avoid the need for an electrical resistance pre-
       | heater.
       | 
       | This combination could also run on propane, ethanol, gasified
       | wood, etc. Anything that gets burned now could be used to create
       | far more heat output than straight up combustion.
       | 
       | There's got to be a flaw in this idea, math/physics wise.
        
         | threeseed wrote:
         | > There's got to be a flaw in this idea
         | 
         | The flaw is that we need to stop using fossil fuels now in
         | order to meet Paris targets.
         | 
         | Natural gas in particular is an issue because demand is
         | increasing globally whilst large suppliers i.e. Russia,
         | Australia for many reasons are not able to meet it. Which is
         | pushing up prices and increasing unreliability over the short,
         | medium and long term.
         | 
         | Now is the best time to bite the bullet and transition to a
         | decarbonised world.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | lazide wrote:
         | I think you're basically describing a steam engine that
         | mechanically powers a heat pump, pumping it's own waste heat
         | and whatever environmental heat it needs.
         | 
         | It's pretty complicated. Direct hearing via heat exchanger is
         | usually pretty good and much simpler, albeit less efficient. If
         | burning thermal sources, raw efficiency is rarely all that
         | necessary though. The heat output per unit mass is usually
         | pretty high.
        
         | speedgoose wrote:
         | > There's got to be a flaw in this idea
         | 
         | Environmental impact or geopolitics issues aside, an
         | electricity grid is much more convenient and cheaper than a
         | propane/ethanol/gasified wood grid. Transporting gaz by trucks
         | and storing it in individual houses is not very convenient too.
        
         | cmarschner wrote:
         | Why would you create new technology with natural gas these
         | days. It seems such an energy source of the past. Europe is jus
         | suffering from the dependency on it and seeks to get away from
         | it as soon as possible.
        
           | finiteseries wrote:
           | Europe is resource poor and suffering from a dependency on
           | Russia.
           | 
           | 55 billion cubic meters annually were set to be added to this
           | dependency as recently as February 21st of this year before
           | yet another land war erupted on the continent, forcing them
           | to _suspend_ certification.
           | 
           | The pipeline is already built though.
        
           | Someone1234 wrote:
           | Agreed. Just electrify everything in the home, then while we
           | still have natural gas then just use it for electricity
           | generation. Natural gas's only benefit is that it is
           | currently cheap, when that stops being true, then it is just
           | worse than electricity across the board.
           | 
           | The great thing about electricity is that it scales REALLY
           | well with new generation and distribution technologies.
        
             | petesergeant wrote:
             | I'd rather cook on a gas hob than an electric one at the
             | moment
        
               | threeseed wrote:
               | You may change your mind when it becomes orders of
               | magnitude more expensive.
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | I use single dollars a month in gas cooking.
        
               | bonzini wrote:
               | Infrared absolutely, but induction cooktops are pretty
               | good and the only thing you can't do with them is stir
               | frying.
        
             | coryrc wrote:
             | So, you burn natural gas in a powerplant to create
             | electricity somewhere around 55% (hopefully) efficiency; in
             | most of the US, the heat output is wasted. You then lose 6%
             | to transmission, getting to 52% efficiency, to put it into
             | a 2x COP heat pump (which we mandate use gases with GWP in
             | the thousands) to get 104% of natural gas heating.
             | 
             | Or, spend the same amount on air sealing reducing heating
             | needs by about 30%, pay workers instead of factories, and
             | get the same reduction in natural gas use, also without the
             | refrigerant bomb waiting to go off, and not needing more
             | power plants built. Mandate every rental have lower than 6
             | ACH50, since misaligned incentives mean they're usually
             | worse than homeowner-occupied units.
        
               | seoaeu wrote:
               | Efficiency percentages are the wrong way to look at it.
               | If you instead frame it in terms of tons CO2 equivalent,
               | then locking in the emissions every year between now and
               | 2050 is going to be worse, compared to the alternative of
               | burning a bunch of natural gas for electricity now but
               | gradually phasing it out in favor of wind and solar.
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | Most heat pumps aren't going to last 30 years. Passivhaus
               | only needs 1500W maximum of heating, so they usually
               | don't use heat pumps.
               | 
               | Wind and solar also lock in natural gas usage, because
               | they don't provide inter-seasonal storage or even intra-
               | day storage.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | 10u152 wrote:
         | These certainly exist and have some, rare use cases.
         | 
         | Personally I've seen them use when there are large air
         | conditioning loads but insufficient electrical power
         | 
         | https://www.yanmar.com/global/energy/ghp/
        
       | starkd wrote:
       | Once again the headline does not match the claim in the article.
       | This is not a breakthrough in terms of technology. This is the
       | announcement of a partnership. There was no "breakthrough". This
       | is government advertising for a private sector company that
       | frankly is beginning to resemble corporate fascism.
        
       | dchichkov wrote:
       | There is plenty of opportunity in being more efficient. To give
       | an example, houses in the Bay Area has gray/black roofs. In the
       | summer such roof receives about 10kW of energy and readily
       | converts it into heat. Heat, which we are trying to evacuate from
       | the house with our super-efficient heat pumps in the air-
       | conditioning units.
       | 
       | If only we'd painted these roofs with white reflective roof paint
       | (~92% reflection). We would have removed ~8kW of heating from
       | such roofs! And then, maybe, we wouldn't have to pump all that
       | energy into air-conditioning. So the surrounding air would be
       | cooler, less noise would be heard from air conditioning, less
       | energy would be spent. And the cost? 4 gallons of white
       | reflective paint and a couple of hours of work, painting the
       | roof...
        
         | drusepth wrote:
         | What happens to the "heat" energy that gets reflected by
         | white/reflective roofs? It seems like it'd stay in the relative
         | vicinity of the house, heating up the outside air further (even
         | by a small amount), right? If that's the case, are there
         | diminishing returns to worry about with effectively just moving
         | heat from one place to another, assuming the (hotter) outside
         | air will probably continue to warm up the house anyway? Do we
         | just bank on something else absorbing the energy instead? Does
         | it leave the area/atmosphere if nothing absorbs it?
         | 
         | (Please don't take this as a rhetorical "this is why X solution
         | doesn't work" -- I'm no expert here and am just curious where
         | all that reflected heat/energy goes!)
        
           | jliptzin wrote:
           | I would assume those light rays reflect off the roof instead
           | of getting absorbed...in that case the heat is absorbed into
           | the atmosphere, I have a hard time believing it sits around
           | the house and lingers there for any significant amount of
           | time (doesn't heat rise?)
        
             | oneoff786 wrote:
             | Heat rises is short for hot air rises. The light would not
             | be completely absorbed by the atmosphere more than it did
             | on the way down.
        
           | extra88 wrote:
           | With a light or reflective surface, a lot of the energy is
           | reflected as light so it's not converted to heat. Relatively
           | little will be absorbed by the air near ground level, heating
           | the air only a little.
        
           | dexwiz wrote:
           | "Heat" from the sun that we feel is mostly IR/Visible light.
           | Mix of stuff happens if we reflect it with white surfaces.
           | Some of it does go back into space. Some of it will get
           | reflected by the atmosphere back towards the ground. IR light
           | is also directly absorbed by the air molecules, but very
           | little. Air is mostly transparent at visible wavelengths so
           | it absorbs very little energy. Solids are much better at
           | converting IR to thermal energy. Realistically air
           | conditioning is just moving heat from one side of a wall to
           | another. Overall painting buildings white won't change the
           | temperature of Earth, but it does help the building in
           | question, which is all air conditioning cares about anyways.
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | Would that work in terms of all the other stuff? Rain snow etc.
        
         | recuter wrote:
         | Imagine instead of paint if we could come up with some sort of
         | material that generates electricity.
         | 
         | P.S. - If you look into the white paint thing more carefully
         | you'll be rather disappointed.
        
           | highwaylights wrote:
           | Wouldn't a reflective coating work better?
           | 
           | Given it's a once off cost it seems like this should be
           | doable.
        
           | throwaway3334 wrote:
           | Actually, I was looking into installing solar, to offset
           | $400/month of air-conditioning costs, during the summer. I
           | could have had around 1.5kW of solar. But the cost of this is
           | north of $25k, plus all the hassle to get the permits, plus
           | all the extra complexity. While the cost of painting the roof
           | is $100 + work. And now it is very rare that I have to run
           | the AC.
        
             | sxates wrote:
             | Do you mean 15kw? 1.5 is only like 4 panels, it wouldn't
             | make $400 per month and wouldn't cost anywhere near $25k.
        
               | throwaway3334 wrote:
               | I was looking at installing a very small solar array,
               | just to offset the AC costs. The quote for the solar kit
               | that could produce ~1.5kW (2170W Solar Kit: 7xURE NSP
               | 310W - Mono 60 Cell - All Black Panels + 7xEnphase IQ7
               | 60-Cell Microinverters w/QCables + 1x Enphase IQ Combiner
               | 3 + Wireless Monitoring) was $6.5k.
               | 
               | But, I was also considering having a 10kW battery to
               | store that energy and to have a backup power, like Tesla
               | Powerwall - $10k. And then there was work to install,
               | permits, my time. Overall my estimate was, realistically
               | it'd be ~$25k. Maybe I was wrong.
               | 
               | On my house I have two sections of roof that are
               | flat/horizontal. Roof is pretty thin there and although
               | there is insulation, on hot days ceiling was getting worm
               | in the 2 rooms under these sections. I also was hoping
               | that an extra layer of solar would insulate my roof a bit
               | more. So I wouldn't have to run AC that much. So the hope
               | was to stop wasting annoying $400 on AC in the hottest
               | months. But the cost of installing solar felt
               | prohibitive. So I've made a quick calculation and spent
               | $100 on the reflective roof paint instead...
        
             | 10u152 wrote:
             | 1.5 kW of solar for $25k ? Somethings way off, closer to $1
             | per watt.
        
         | seltzered_ wrote:
         | Changing how roofs are approached (color, materials) may also
         | have a (possibly beneficial) hydrological effect, even better
         | would be some form of vegetation grown on roofs (likely called
         | 'green roofs' to some) to help with evapotranspiration for
         | facilitating a small water cycle (helping water vapor travel
         | inland) and reduce the 'urban heat dome' effect.
         | 
         | (see Millan Millan's papers like
         | https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/article/69/2/143/5254231 ,
         | can link to some other newer stuff if desired)
        
         | joshocar wrote:
         | This is one of the reasons metal roofs a nice, they reflect
         | heat and you don't need to paint them white, they make special
         | paints for metal roofs that help reflect the heat and also look
         | nice.
        
         | MobileVet wrote:
         | Black / dark tile roofs across the south are completely
         | ridiculous. I doubt people understood this when shingles were
         | first developed but we do now and we should adjust accordingly
        
           | hsbauauvhabzb wrote:
           | Pretty sure they were recently banned in Sydney, Australia.
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | If the roof assembly is decently insulated, then relatively
         | little of that 10kW heats the house. So, while improvement is
         | available, it's not nearly that large.
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | Still, though, I have to wonder what the equivalent "CO2
           | reduction" would be considering that a white roof is likely
           | to radiate most of the incoming sunlight back into space,
           | where if it is radiating in infrared then that heat is more
           | likely to be trapped on Earth.
        
             | throwaway3334 wrote:
             | For now, everyone is free to pump out kilowatts of heat
             | with their roofs, parking lots, air conditioners into the
             | surrounding air. It is not considered pollution, even when
             | it is already 100 degF outside.
             | 
             | On the days when there is an inversion in the atmosphere,
             | the hot air stays trapped. People have to run ACs in their
             | houses, stores and offices. And that results in even more
             | heat routed to the place, with ACs units, literally pumping
             | energy from the solar arrays somewhere in the desert into
             | the city.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | My intuition says that the volume of inside vs outside
               | air is so big that it has little effect.
        
               | throwaway3334 wrote:
               | You can look at how much space roofs cover in the suburb
               | in the Bay Area. It'd be roughly 25% streets, 40% roofs,
               | 30% backyard, 5% front-yard. Adding white reflective
               | coating increases "Solar Reflectance" and decreases
               | "Thermal Emittance" and absorption. Most dark roof
               | materials reflect 5 to 20% of incoming sunlight, while
               | light-colored roof materials typically reflect 55 to 90%.
               | A white roof coating that you can purchase at your
               | regular home improvement store would do that 90%.
               | 
               | So effectively, in the suburban area there is an
               | opportunity to change our average solar reflectance by
               | ~32% (90% - 10%) * 40%. If we just abandon the idea that
               | a good house should look like a house in Normandy and
               | have a black roof.
        
         | csomar wrote:
         | Yeah this was figured out in the Mediterranean probably a few
         | hundred years ago: https://www.santorini-view.com/white-houses-
         | of-santorini
         | 
         | Unfortunately, we are losing some of this cumulative knowledge
         | due to it not being documented, and due to the looks of
         | alternatives (although the grey buildings in the US are as ugly
         | as it can get)
        
         | foobiekr wrote:
         | Hell most of the 1950s and 1960s Bay Area housing stock is
         | worse - it's tar and gravel roofs without any significant
         | insulation thereby turning houses into ovens. The right answer
         | to most of them is a new foam roof which both provides
         | insulation and reflectivity being white but people get quite
         | upset about the foam roof thing, especially with Eichlers.
        
         | epmatsw wrote:
         | There's actually a $500 tax credit to install reflective
         | shingles for this very reason.
         | https://www.energystar.gov/about/federal_tax_credits/roofs_m...
        
       | boardwaalk wrote:
       | > The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
       | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF
       | 
       | So, 2 EER (2x of resistive heat) at 5F, 1.8 at -5F and 1.6 at
       | -10F? Is that right? Seems awkwardly worded.
        
         | brtkdotse wrote:
         | That's uh, pretty terrible? My 15+ year old Nibe gets as much
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | It says "double" the efficiency, so I assume they mean 2x the
         | COP of the previous model at 5F, and 1.7-1.8x the old COP at -5
         | and -10F.
         | 
         | A COP of 2 @ 5F isn't a "breakthrough" vs. the first
         | commercially available model I could find numbers for, and a
         | COP of 1.5 at -10F seems implausible:
         | 
         | https://www.nordicghp.com/2017/01/heat-pump-effective-temper...
         | 
         | Honestly though, this press release is so poorly written, I
         | wouldn't trust the numbers match up to anything.
        
         | mlyle wrote:
         | > So, 2 EER (2x of resistive heat) at 5F
         | 
         | Yes (or double of previous model as another commentator points
         | out-- hard to say).
         | 
         | > 1.8 at -5F and 1.6 at -10F?
         | 
         | They've not told us the efficiency-- just that it provides
         | 70-80% of nameplate amount of heating at those temperatures.
        
           | boardwaalk wrote:
           | Ah, I see. I figured they'd keep the input energy constant
           | because otherwise you're not saying much at all (you could
           | figure that the efficiency plummets and you'd be better off
           | with a space heater).
        
             | mlyle wrote:
             | It's possible. Also possible it's barely outperforming the
             | space heater at the lower temperature and input power has
             | increased. They've not told us enough.
        
             | coryrc wrote:
             | The energy input goes down because it physically can't run
             | a differential high enough to get full heating output.
             | 
             | They could choose the lowest temperature, find it's power
             | input, then fix it at that amount. But at low temperatures
             | the concern is usually less "efficiency" and more "am I
             | going to freeze to death", because in most of the cold
             | areas temperatures aren't usually that cold for that long
             | (though in others it definitely is, and if you're running
             | at 1.6 COP for a significant amount of time, you're better
             | off with more insulation than a heat pump).
        
       | ocdtrekkie wrote:
       | With natural gas hitting four times it's cost last year, couldn't
       | come at a better time. Next winter, heat will cost more than rent
       | in Chicago.
        
         | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
         | Don't worry, the rent will go up too.
        
       | formvoltron wrote:
       | Anyone know how this compares to a geothermal system?
        
         | thinkcontext wrote:
         | Heat pumps for geothermal applications don't need to be
         | optimized for less than 0C.
        
       | overeater wrote:
       | Does anyone know why there has never been any breakthroughs in
       | air conditioning for 50 years? Windows air conditioners have been
       | incredibly heavy, loud, expensive, and resource-intensive for so
       | long. Even a small room needs one that is back-breaking to
       | install. And pretty much everyone in the world (except those with
       | central air) needs a couple of air conditioners now.
       | 
       | Sure the "efficiency" is improving but it's mainly tricks for
       | turning it on/off at better times. I know there are some U-shaped
       | ones now, but it's just a slightly different styling.
       | 
       | Edit: two commenters pointed out examples of air conditioners
       | which are 77 lbs and 56 lbs. As a comparison, the OSHA
       | recommended lifting weight is 50 lbs. I would love to see someone
       | apply Apple's obsession with thinner, lighter, "revolutionary new
       | design" to ACs.
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | Most poetically answered by Flanders and Swann:
         | 
         | The First Law of Thermodymamics.
         | 
         | Heat is work and work is heat
         | 
         | The Second Law of Thermodymamics:
         | 
         | Heat cannot of itself pass from one body to a hotter body
         | 
         | Heat won't pass from a cooler to a hotter
         | 
         | You can try it if you like but you far better not-a
         | 
         | 'Cos the cold in the cooler will get hotter as a rule-a
         | 
         | 'Cos the hotter body's heat will pass to the cooler
         | 
         | Heat is work and work is heat and work is heat and heat is work
         | 
         | Heat will pass by conduction and
         | 
         | Heat will pass by convection and
         | 
         | Heat will pass by radiation
         | 
         | And that's a physical law
        
         | kristiandupont wrote:
         | I have pondered this as well and studied it a bit. I feel that
         | there is room for new tech that can help with this increasingly
         | dire problem.
         | 
         | Thermoacoustic refrigeration seems to be one of the more
         | promising technologies but I would love to hear about others.
        
           | vincnetas wrote:
           | Thermoacoustic... love to hear about others :) yes pun
           | intended.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | As I mentioned elsewhere:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31791936 there is a
           | company that claims to use thermoacoustics for general heat-
           | pump duty. I believe they are targeting European style
           | hydronic heating. Aiming to be efficient whilst still
           | producing the 80c water that many older hydronic systems here
           | in Europe still require.
           | 
           | Interestingly, they aren't that loud because any sound lost
           | is energy lost, so they try very hard to 'keep it quiet'.
        
         | lock-the-spock wrote:
         | > And pretty much everyone in the world (except those with
         | central air) needs a couple of air conditioners now.
         | 
         | Absolutely not. Where I live we had 34degCtoday but I would
         | still never buy an A/C unit, which will ruin your health
         | (heat/cold shock, bad air moisture levels, ...), waste immense
         | amounts of energy and makes leaving the house a pain as the
         | rest of the world becomes uncomfortable. Most of my friends
         | here earn very well but I can't think of anyone that would see
         | a reason to buy one. Live with the temperature and adjust -
         | like the famous Iberian or Mexican siesta, where you simply
         | accept that midday are low energy hours.
         | 
         | But even beyond this, the reason for A/C use is just bad
         | architecture and city design. More trees in the streets can
         | lower the temperature in the street itself and nearby
         | residences easily by 1-2 degree. Less absorbing surfaces
         | (asphalt, stone sidewalks, ...) make another difference.
         | 
         | And as regards the houses, there are plenty of ways for passive
         | and energy efficient buildings that keep cool. In the middle
         | east they have built self-cooling houses for centuries.
         | 
         | And in all this, even if you are stuck with bad streets and
         | architecture, you can simply adapt, use efficient ways to keep
         | cool (a fan can work wonders) and drink warm rather than iced
         | drinks and your circulatory system will thank you as you don't
         | switch regularly get shocked with 10-15deg differences and you
         | will sweat much less.
        
           | hahamrfunnyguy wrote:
           | I'd been using a window unit for the bedroom but got sick of
           | taking it in an out and decided to see how long I could
           | manage without it. Now I prefer no air conditioning because
           | of the reasons you state above - it feels much more
           | comfortable being outside on hot days. I keep the windows and
           | doors closed during the heat of the day then open them up
           | when it's cooler outside than it is inside.
        
           | bonzini wrote:
           | Let me guess, where you leave there are "serious" blinds
           | outside the windows that help keeping sunshine out. I wonder
           | when Central Europe will start installing them.
        
           | adrianN wrote:
           | I also won't buy AC for myself anytime soon, but I'm still
           | young and healthy. Older people have a lot more serious
           | problems with heat waves.
        
         | sparsely wrote:
         | Mini splits are widely used and have become dramatically more
         | economical and popular over the last decade or so. They are
         | much quieter and more efficient than window units.
         | 
         | Some areas ( _cough_ nyc _cough_ ) may need some regulatory
         | breakthroughs but the technology is there.
        
           | foobiekr wrote:
           | Can you expand on the regulatory issues or provide a pointer?
        
         | stormbrew wrote:
         | Window units really only exist at all because of buildings that
         | can't accommodate better designs for either practical or legal
         | reasons. There's just no amount of innovation that can make it
         | so that having the intake and the outtake right next to each
         | other without a nearly perfectly sealed box on one side (ie. a
         | fridge or a freezer) is gonna be anything but a big ugly noisy
         | energy gobbler.
         | 
         | If you can't have central, you should have mini-split, and
         | that's where all your problems get solved. If you can't get
         | mini-split because your landlord won't let you drill conduit to
         | outside then you're just kinda stuck and the laws of
         | thermodynamics are your enemy, not a lack of innovation.
        
         | iancmceachern wrote:
         | "Lisa, in this house we obey the laws of thermodynamics!"
         | 
         | It's physics and thermodynamics. It's basically the same as
         | with any heat engine, internal combustion engines included.
         | 
         | There is a certain maximum theoretical efficiency that is not
         | 100%. When we build real machines (not theoretical ones) there
         | are real world losses like heat loss, fluid flow friction,
         | moving part friction, electrical inefficiencies, etc. Those
         | real world losses van be gradually worked on over time,
         | improved incrementally to yield small gains in efficiency. But
         | never large ones, and never more than the theoretical max
         | efficiency, which is not 100%.
         | 
         | It's like hybrid cars (not plug in hybrids, but just gas
         | powered hybrids), they've doubled or trippled the mileage
         | compared to a comparable regular car, but they will always need
         | gas, they will never be 100% efficient.
         | 
         | Same with this. There will always be some fundamental
         | electrical losses in the copper in the motor, air gap losses in
         | the motor, friction in the bearings and fluid, heat losses to
         | the environment, etc. It's the cost of doing the work. There is
         | no free lunch, so we can only incrementally improve the little
         | losses over time.
        
           | eloff wrote:
           | My understanding is that heat pumps can be over 100%
           | efficient because they're actually moving heat from A to B
           | where one side is the outside environment. It doesn't violate
           | thermodynamics if you view the Earth as a closed system. The
           | heat pump itself is not a closed system.
        
             | iancmceachern wrote:
             | Thanks for highlighting this because it's a common
             | misconception.
             | 
             | "The coefficient of performance or COP (sometimes CP or
             | CoP) of a heat pump, refrigerator or air conditioning
             | system is a ratio of useful heating or cooling provided to
             | work (energy) required.[1][2] Higher COPs equate to higher
             | efficiency, lower energy (power) consumption and thus lower
             | operating costs. The COP usually exceeds 1, especially in
             | heat pumps, because, instead of just converting work to
             | heat (which, if 100% efficient, would be a COP of 1), it
             | pumps additional heat from a heat source to where the heat
             | is required. Most air conditioners have a COP of 2.3 to
             | 3.5. Less work is required to move heat than for conversion
             | into heat, and because of this, heat pumps, air
             | conditioners and refrigeration systems can have a
             | coefficient of performance greater than one. However, this
             | does not mean that they are more than 100% efficient, in
             | other words, no heat engine can have a thermal efficiency
             | of 100% or greater. For complete systems, COP calculations
             | should include energy consumption of all power consuming
             | auxiliaries. The COP is highly dependent on operating
             | conditions, especially absolute temperature and relative
             | temperature between sink and system, and is often graphed
             | or averaged against expected conditions."
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_performance#
             | :....
             | 
             | More detail here:
             | 
             | https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/489467/can-a-
             | hea...
             | 
             | In short, a heat pump is more efficient when compared to
             | using the energy to directly generate heat because it's
             | more efficient to move heat than generate it.
        
             | Dylan16807 wrote:
             | They're not talking about that 100.
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | That means you need somewhere to move the heat to, and the
             | thermoynamics of heat capacity are not forgiving if you are
             | trying to make something lightweight. You need atoms and
             | lots of entropic states to store heat :)
        
         | bushbaba wrote:
         | Idk this "toshiba" AC has a built in heat pump and operates at
         | super quiet levels. Would I call it a "breakthrough", likely
         | not. But it is a meaningful improvement over an AC released
         | decades ago.
         | 
         | https://www.homedepot.com/p/Toshiba-14-000-BTU-12-000-BTU-DO...
        
         | JaimeThompson wrote:
         | Check out the inverter type ones such as this one [1] It isn't
         | light but it is quiet and adjusts the amount of power it uses
         | depending on cooling needs much better than a typical window
         | unit making it more efficient.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.midea.com/us/air-conditioners/window-air-
         | conditi...
        
         | devwastaken wrote:
         | Patents, intellectual property, etc. It's why every appliance
         | is trash nowadays. Big corps are IP holders, and there's only
         | so many ways to engineer certain actions. Regardless even if
         | you try to startup a company you'll be pushed out by the
         | control big corps have over manufacturing.
         | 
         | We need to start nullifying IP if we ever hope to see
         | innovation.
        
           | mensetmanusman wrote:
           | Probably not this, most IP can be worked around, and
           | especially in the area of AC operations and thermodynamics,
           | that hasn't changed in almost a century.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | Talk about moving the goalposts. You asked, people answered.
         | The revolution is that you can now buy an 8000 BTU unit that
         | weighs little, costs almost nothing, and can be installed
         | anywhere in a few minutes.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | Thermodynamics are harsh mistress... Add that to limitations on
         | what can be used as refrigerants. The reality that these
         | systems need to operate with rather long duty cycles for
         | decade+ at minimum. And the reality is that there isn't much
         | magic in how they operate. Compression and expansion of gas.
         | 
         | Computers are actually a very special case. They don't really
         | do any physical work in sense other stuff does, thus
         | miniaturization gives lot of gains there. I have long said that
         | small drones are answer to flying cars. We have them and they
         | are small, but lifting people is hard work.
        
         | vanderZwan wrote:
         | AFAIK the physics of heat pumps is considered to have been
         | fully figured out for ages and all that's left is the
         | engineering. Maybe it wasn't considered a "sexy" enough topic
         | to nerd out over and hyper-optimize?
         | 
         | Edit: it might also be an issue of diminishing returns of
         | better efficiency compared to how difficult it is to produce
         | and maintain a better unit. Thermodynamics can be a pain like
         | that.
        
         | mikepurvis wrote:
         | We got a U-shaped one for a big open attic space and I'm a fan
         | of it. It cost more and was a little bit more drama to install
         | (came with a big support bracket thing), but it's very
         | effective and quiet. We meant it as a stepping stone to
         | eventually putting a mini-split setup on that side of the
         | house, but it might end up just being the long-term solution.
         | 
         | EDIT: Oh lol, the unit we got was actually one of those Midea
         | ones linked in a sibling comment.
        
       | pengaru wrote:
       | What a misleading clickbait headline.
       | 
       | This isn't a technology breakthrough, this is a DOE
       | policy/partnership/funding "breakthrough".
        
       | asdfman123 wrote:
       | "Tapping into the emerging clean energy market is a huge economic
       | opportunity that will bring a bolstered manufacturing sector,
       | good paying jobs, and a brighter, cleaner future to _Texas_ and
       | communities across America."
       | 
       | If anyone else is confused by this, it's because Lennox is
       | headquartered in Texas.
        
         | davidro80 wrote:
         | You are confused by this? It's a straightforward statement.
        
           | InsomniacL wrote:
           | what's not straight forward is understanding why the
           | statement lists a single state and everyone else falls under
           | 'communities across America' which the comment above clears
           | up.
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | What's the breakthrough on the tech old level? What did they
       | discover?
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | It can operate efficiently at lower temps. Current air source
         | heat pumps see degraded performance and below freezing temps
         | and will not be able to effectively heat a home at the lowest
         | temps that can occur in the northern hemisphere.
        
           | mrfusion wrote:
           | Thanks. But I'm trying to figure out how they do that.
        
             | margalabargala wrote:
             | The "secret sauce" of the increased efficiency is that
             | they're using thermoacoustics, which previously had been a
             | technology used in one-off applications with a large budget
             | (e.g. the James Webb telescope uses it to stay cool). Prior
             | to now there were no manufacturers providing the technology
             | to be widely available at scale.
        
         | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
         | No idea how the Lennox units in TFA do it, but the Mitsubishi
         | "hyper-heat" units do it by diverting a small amount of their
         | output back into heating up the refrigerant at very cold
         | temperatures. It starts to get a bit "slushy" at the low end of
         | the performance range, which impacts the ability to move heat.
         | By warming it back up to the bottom of its ideal operating
         | range, the whole system functions more efficiently.
        
       | londons_explore wrote:
       | Lab vs typical observed performance differs quite widely for many
       | home heating systems.
       | 
       | Thats because typically each appliance is tested at optimal
       | conditions (eg. water flow rates). Then, in a real deployment,
       | every parameter differs a little from optimal (eg. the water may
       | circulate slower than expected because you have longer pipes
       | around your home than the lab ones, and your hot water tank is
       | hotter than expected because you like it set hot, and your
       | airflow is less than expected because the filter is a bit
       | blocked, etc.). Each knocks a few percentage points off the
       | efficiency, but the overall impact can be dramatic.
       | 
       | We really need 'smarter' heating systems which can detect and
       | correct for such things. For example, water and air pumps which
       | measure temperatures and flow rates of air/water, and adjust
       | speeds up and down to maintain the optimal efficiency point.
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | Could this be useful in electric cars? I know they spend a lot on
       | heating the cabin.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | Yes; many EVs already use heat pumps, so if this has a higher
         | coefficient of power (and is not much heavier), and it can be
         | scaled down to automobiles, then it will be a win.
         | 
         | (None of those details can be inferred from the press release.)
        
       | borner791 wrote:
       | Clever Deers..
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | For anyone else confused, this refers to a previous title
         | version as per https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31791942
         | and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31792348 (the comment
         | I'm replying to was far above those others for me, so I was
         | quite confused)
        
       | visviva wrote:
       | Since DOE is an initialism and not an acronym, the capitalization
       | in the title is incorrect. It should be "DOE".
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Fixed now. Thanks!
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | P.R. with zero tech details is indistinguishable from 100%
       | balonie.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | But it delivers 100% words at 5degF at double the efficiency,
         | and 70% to 80% words at -5degF and -10degF. DOE validated the
         | performance and efficiency of the press release.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | kennywinker wrote:
       | Great, now if someone can crack the engineering challenge of
       | installing a name-brand heat pump for less than $18,000 (CAD)
       | that'd be great.
        
         | com2kid wrote:
         | Lots of do it yourself videos on YouTube showing installs for
         | well under 5k.
         | 
         | Labor is expensive right now. :(
        
           | bbarnett wrote:
           | Name brands tend to be unbuyable by the consumer in Canada,
           | and if you import one, or buy via grey market, the threat is
           | that you have no warranty.
        
           | kennywinker wrote:
           | All the quotes I got were for a day of install. I assume it'd
           | be one tech, but let's be generous... 2 techs x 8 hours x
           | $150/hour = $2400 for labour. So that means either the pump
           | itself costs $15k, or somethings wrong in this market.
        
         | kennywinker wrote:
         | Or my alternate hot-take (or cold-take?): Great, now if someone
         | can crack the engineering challenge of an air-to-water heat
         | pump water heater that doesn't turn your basement into a walk-
         | in refrigerator, that'd be great.
        
           | ortusdux wrote:
           | Rheem, the brand HD carries, is easily ductable. Both the
           | inlet and outlet can take 100' of 8" ducting.
           | 
           | I set mine up with T's, electric dampers and some simple
           | logic.
        
           | metadat wrote:
           | Add a server rack and things will warm up down there.
        
             | kennywinker wrote:
             | Make it a liquid-cooled server rack and we can cut out the
             | hot water heater entirely
        
               | thrill wrote:
               | Run it on solar power and pull the water out of the
               | atmosphere and we can save a bundle on running power and
               | water.
        
           | ulrikrasmussen wrote:
           | Why would it do that? The heat exchanger is placed outside.
        
             | thaeli wrote:
             | Heat pump water heaters mostly draw from room air.
        
             | jacobolus wrote:
             | Common heat pump water heaters (often called "hybrid") have
             | a heat exchanger on the top of the tank, and pull heat out
             | of the surrounding air.
        
           | kevstev wrote:
           | How cold does it really get? This could be great for a wine
           | cellar.
        
           | chrislund wrote:
           | Depending on your market, Sanden and Mitsubishi make air-
           | source DHW heat pumps where the evaporator/heat source source
           | is remote (i.e., outdoor) rather than integrated with the
           | tank. I can't speak to Mitsubishi's line but IIRC Sanden has
           | the DHW go straight to the outdoor unit, but then you may
           | need freeze protection, which I think Sanden provides via
           | heat trace. When my current water heater bites the dust, I
           | plan on getting a Sanden, and looking in to the feasibility
           | of making a glycol loop between the outdoor unit and an
           | indoor "indirect" tank to eliminate the need for freeze
           | protection.
        
             | kennywinker wrote:
             | Thanks for the tip! Where I am Mitsubishis seem to only be
             | available through big-name installers, and the only thing
             | they offered me when I talked to them was the all-in-one
             | style that cools your basement. Living in an old house with
             | not great insulation between floors, that was a hard no-go.
             | I'm now googling the Sanden ones and getting some promising
             | results I hadn't seen before.
        
           | Danieru wrote:
           | What you want is an "Ecocute". It is a air source heatoump
           | supercritical co2 tanked hot water system. Designed for the
           | Japanese market. Without install a 500l tank version costs
           | about 1.5k usd in Japan. So you should be able to get one
           | installed for about 20k usd in the US. If you beg the HVAC
           | guy of course.
        
         | nawitus wrote:
         | Why is it so expensive? It's like $1k in Finland.
        
           | kennywinker wrote:
           | I have no idea.
           | 
           | You can definitely do it for cheaper. There are $1000-$3000
           | single-head units available online for self-install, and you
           | could hire an HVAC person to come out and do the high
           | pressure line part of it (or all of it) for a similar range.
           | It just gets expensive with the name-brand ones. For some
           | reason that $2k-6k turns into 10k-20k when you switch to a
           | name brand (e.g. mitsubishi). They're only available through
           | specific installers, and using a non-authorized installer
           | means your warranty is void.
        
             | magicalhippo wrote:
             | Maybe we're talking about different things? I'm in Norway
             | and we got a Mitsubishi Kaiteki[1] for $1800 total,
             | including installation and 25% VAT.
             | 
             | Of course, a multi-room install would probably get
             | expensive quickly here too.
             | 
             | [1]: https://kaiteki.no/
        
           | euroderf wrote:
           | Units are somewhere over a thou and (simple, not multiduct)
           | installation is somewhere under a thou.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | stormbrew wrote:
         | I recently installed a (quite large) heat pump for less than
         | that, though it came close. A lot of the cost came from a few
         | things:
         | 
         | - the Canada premium: these sorts of things are just more
         | expensive here. The base price was just higher than I could
         | find in the US, but obviously importing is too expensive. I
         | think the reason for this is there's almost no stock.
         | 
         | - adapting my house: the house I live in was built to have
         | central air added to it, but even so the pipes going from the
         | furnace room to the outside had to be insulated both directions
         | instead of only one for an AC. Ripping up our basement ceiling
         | to do this added a lot to the cost. An unfinished basement
         | would help a lot here.
         | 
         | - HVAC company confusion: I had to go through like five HVAC
         | companies before I found one that would believe me that I
         | really wanted it. The one I got is a commercial outfit, so
         | their prices were just higher. Even they were skeptical but
         | they were willing to work with us, and by the end they talked
         | about doing more installs so that was nice.
         | 
         | I think the cost for the install and unit itself was $12k for a
         | top of line carrier unit capable of working down to pretty low
         | temperatures. But we already had a compatible carrier furnace
         | and exchanger. Was another couple thousand for ripping up the
         | basement, which we had other contractors do.
         | 
         | This was also literally during the heat dome last year. They
         | had to ship the unit across the country.
        
       | bradleyjg wrote:
       | I don't believe in breakthroughs anymore until I see a shipping
       | product. I don't care if you are a scientist, company, government
       | agency, or NGO same thing applies.
       | 
       | Tell me you've made an incremental improvement and I'll believe
       | you, tell me you've made a breakthrough and either you're lying
       | or something will prevent it from being realized before
       | commercial availability. This is what decades of press releases
       | and articles that might as well be press releases have taught me.
        
         | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
         | The "save up to $500" in the presser is just so obviously
         | fluff. $500 in what home?
         | 
         | And I suspect the magic here is also an air tight new
         | construction home with a layout designed around this, not leaky
         | everything with an old water heater tucked under the stairs, a
         | 30 year old furnace, and R19 insulated walls.
        
           | WithinReason wrote:
           | > $500 in what home?
           | 
           | The "up to" part means it's the absolutely largest home you
           | can possibly imagine
        
           | pbourke wrote:
           | Presumably the 30 year old furnace is replaced or
           | supplemented with a new heat pump.
           | 
           | I have realized an approximately $500 yearly savings by
           | replacing an older electric tank water heater with a hybrid
           | electric (heat pump) water heater so I can believe that
           | claim.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | linsomniac wrote:
         | You are right to be skeptical, but in this case the lie is not
         | in the performance but that it is a breakthrough.
         | 
         | The announcement is basically: A US company (Lenox) has a
         | prototype heat pump that matches performance of Mitsubishi and
         | LG heat pumps.
         | 
         | The DOE is running a competition to get US companies to improve
         | performance of their heat pumps.
        
           | nfin wrote:
           | it might work.
           | 
           | But there exist sooo many prototyping breaktroughs.
           | 
           | Those who follow press releases for many years know that just
           | a tiny fraction can transfer this in real world products that
           | actually work
           | 
           | (so many more challenges to overcome compared to prototype
           | situations!! I don't even know where to begin... every ground
           | is different, average person doing the manual work is not as
           | skilled and has less support engineers, the guys
           | setting/defining the dimensions of various
           | recipients/pumps/conduits are often undeskilled and the
           | efficiency often lacks tremendously for that reason...)
        
             | linsomniac wrote:
             | My thinking on it is: It'd better work, they're just trying
             | to catch up to the state of the art. The bigger news would
             | be if Lennox _CAN 'T_ make a COP 2 at 5F heat pump. :-
        
         | otter-rock wrote:
         | I agree with the general sentiment, but the article explains
         | that this "breakthrough" is a product prototype that meets a
         | government spec. It's hyperbolic wording, but they're trying to
         | warm people up to the idea of eventually getting a heat pump to
         | alleviate some energy issues.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | osigurdson wrote:
       | >> The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
       | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF.
       | 
       | Double the efficiency of what? All existing technology or
       | something else? Do they simply mean the COP is 2.0?
        
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