[HN Gopher] US military's mysterious X-37B space plane zooms tow...
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       US military's mysterious X-37B space plane zooms toward orbital
       record
        
       Author : ortusdux
       Score  : 34 points
       Date   : 2022-06-28 21:43 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.leonarddavid.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.leonarddavid.com)
        
       | ncmncm wrote:
       | The best publicly available evidence suggests that X-37B is
       | practically useless, but storing it in orbit _looks_ better than
       | leaving it parked in a hangar on the ground. They can pretend it
       | is on  "a mission".
       | 
       | Whatever instruments it is "testing" clearly could as well have
       | been lofted without the X-37B attached, for less money, as for
       | STS payloads. I.e., instead of X-37B, wrap in a fairing and
       | disposable insertion-burn rocket atop rather smaller booster.
        
         | duxup wrote:
         | > The best publicly available evidence suggests that X-37B is
         | practically useless
         | 
         | Got some links that we can read on that?
        
       | CapitalistCartr wrote:
       | If the X-37s were civilian, they would be lauded as a fantastic
       | step forward in space tech. They would carry numerous public
       | experiments. But because we use them to spy on the rest of the
       | World, they remain mostly shrouded.
        
         | lizardactivist wrote:
         | I think it's a weapon (projected radio, radar interference,
         | etc.) rather than a tool for spying.
        
         | krono wrote:
         | The article mentions several publicised experiments that were
         | on this mission.
         | 
         | Who knows what else its carrying or doing - anti-satalite
         | weaponry, ICBM counter-measures, or for all we know it's been
         | coasting about in standby mode with an empty bay all this time
         | and the B in its name stands for "bluff" :)
        
         | FredPret wrote:
         | I wonder what the best space vehicles today look like. We may
         | only know decades from now. If having spy satellite photos
         | reduces the chance of WW3 by even 1%, it's worth the wait
        
           | adhesive_wombat wrote:
           | What if it increases it by 1%?
        
             | moffkalast wrote:
             | What if 73% of statistics get made up on the spot?
        
               | adhesive_wombat wrote:
               | Well that's one stat in the world that you definitely
               | want to know the sign of at least!
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | jdironman wrote:
           | This is an interesting thought experiment. Take open source
           | vs closed source software for example. Usually closed source
           | with strong financial backing tends to fare better stability
           | wise it doesn't always performance wise. Usually features can
           | be pretty on par. For example LibreOffice and Microsoft
           | office products. I guess where I was going with that train of
           | thought, was this: are there any public domain knowledge
           | repositories of what's possible now? Such as higher education
           | research / publications or news site which aggregates
           | advancements which happen outside the government sector? I'm
           | guessing such info might be highly regulated, I don't know.
           | And possibly not much use to the average civilian, so that
           | niche of information is highly guarded / commercialized.
        
           | jcfrei wrote:
           | Why is this such a persistent meme that governments always
           | have some crazy tech up their sleeves? Highly advanced
           | military tech is mostly about intimidation so there's little
           | benefit in keeping stuff secret for decades (actual war is
           | mostly a numbers game so having a plane that's 2x better is
           | not very useful if the other side has 10x as many).
        
         | adhesive_wombat wrote:
         | It's an incredible waste. The best and brightest slaving
         | lifetimes away for things that will hopefully never be used,
         | and if they are, for death.
         | 
         | If only we could just agree to staff military research on all
         | sides with the biggest wasters and toxic personalities and let
         | the rest of the world get on with something that doesn't leave
         | other humans splattered across some battlefield.
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
        
           | golem14 wrote:
           | Ja, let's put all the Hitlers in charge of the militaries.
           | What could go wrong ?
        
             | adhesive_wombat wrote:
             | Well everyone's taking that wayyyyy too seriously.
             | 
             | Put the assholes together and let them fight it out
             | uselessly. They probably won't be able to agree who's name
             | goes at the top of the table, let alone figure out to
             | rocketry.
             | 
             | Pardon me if burning a good propertion of the brainpower of
             | the species on killing each other seems wasteful.
             | 
             | Obviously you can't actually do that because that's
             | basically a prisoners' dilemma with bombs.
        
               | coffeeblack wrote:
               | And then there is this thing called "reality".
        
               | BitwiseFool wrote:
               | I get what you're saying, it does seem wasteful, but
               | sadly pacifists are no match for tyrants. It is admirable
               | to want to be left alone in-peace, but as long as there
               | are other human beings willing to use force, it cannot
               | be. The less a society puts towards its war-fighting
               | capabilities the more likely it is to be conquered by
               | some adversary.
               | 
               | It is also probably the case that our brainpower didn't
               | invent warfare, and that this phenomenon isn't unique to
               | us: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gombe_Chimpanzee_War
        
               | adhesive_wombat wrote:
               | Right, I know it's clearly not even close to possible,
               | it's a game theory inevitability. I mean, even biological
               | evolution is basically an arms race. We're doing well too
               | just be where we are after all these millennia.
               | 
               | But could you imagine if we could spend all those
               | trillions on something good (enabled by the other guys
               | doing the same). I know, impossible. But still, imagine.
        
           | trinovantes wrote:
           | Lots of useful stuff came out of military research too e.g.
           | internet, GPS, synthetic rubber, etc.
        
             | adhesive_wombat wrote:
             | Sure, but it took a few trillion dollars literally going up
             | in smoke for that to happen.
             | 
             | I'm not disputing that things come out of war, it's just
             | not an especially great ROI.
        
           | moffkalast wrote:
           | Perhaps so, but perhaps not. The weapons that "will hopefully
           | never be used" are the best kind - a war deterrent - and
           | contribute the most towards peace, since the alternative is
           | so unthinkable that nobody would ever go for it. Laws (or in
           | this case international agreements) are only a thing if
           | they're enforced by consequences, otherwise people ignore
           | them the first chance they get.
           | 
           | It's pretty clear that without those brilliant minds that
           | invented nukes we'd be at WW4 or 5 by now.
        
           | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
           | I wish the defense industry and government agencies paid
           | FAANG salaries.
        
             | adhesive_wombat wrote:
             | If Mark Zuckerberg spent a lifetime writing COBOL to
             | interface with a 1972 missile silo door control panel, we'd
             | certainly be doing well.
             | 
             | Bonus points if his manager is someone like Boris Johnson.
        
             | vibrolax wrote:
             | I wish FAANG paid government and defense industry salaries.
             | Then our best and brightest might be engaged in something
             | other than advertising and social engineering.
        
       | georgeecollins wrote:
       | Does someone know approximately how many times per day this plane
       | would orbit the planet? I was wondering to try and figure out how
       | far it has "flown" to date. You could say the plane has an
       | incredible range!
        
         | CapitalistCartr wrote:
         | No way to know for us, but typically, 75 to 90 minutes per
         | orbit.
        
           | loeg wrote:
           | If we knew the altitude, wouldn't we have a pretty good
           | estimate? And vice verca? I think amateurs have probably
           | observed this already. Here's a claim[1]:
           | 
           | > The spaceplane is orbiting at an altitude of about 320
           | kilometers (a little under 200 miles)
           | 
           | 320 km gives an orbital period of ~91 minutes.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/air-space-
           | magazine/spaceplane...
        
           | robonerd wrote:
           | Satellites like this can be observed from Earth, so those
           | details aren't really as secret as the government may wish.
           | But yes, about 90 minutes; it's generally around 300-400 km
           | up.
        
         | ortusdux wrote:
         | Here is a good tracking page:
         | https://www.n2yo.com/satellite/?s=45606
         | 
         | From those numbers, a rough estimate is 16.25 million miles,
         | 1.45 light minutes, or 0.17 AU.
         | 
         | https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=%282*pi*%28%28333.2km+%...
         | 
         | Orbital tracking of the earlier missions was interesting, as
         | the vehicle can change orbits easily. There was a bit of a cat
         | and mouse game between hobbyists and the operators IIRC.
         | 
         | Edit: This is the vehicle's 6th flight, so summing up all 6
         | missions so far gets you roughly 77.18 million miles / 6.9
         | light minutes / 0.83 AU.
         | 
         | https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=%282*pi*%28%28401km+%2B...
         | 
         | https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=%282*pi*%28%28312km+%2B...
        
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       (page generated 2022-06-28 23:00 UTC)