[HN Gopher] Invest in Lines, not Dots (2010) ___________________________________________________________________ Invest in Lines, not Dots (2010) Author : josephpmay Score : 23 points Date : 2022-06-30 04:18 UTC (18 hours ago) (HTM) web link (bothsidesofthetable.com) (TXT) w3m dump (bothsidesofthetable.com) | alangibson wrote: | What he says is all probably true, but the idea of dropping in to | chew the fat with investors seems like very SV-centric advice. | | 12 years after this was written I'd like to read an update on | strategies for fully remote entrepreneurs. | josephpmay wrote: | I'm submitting this to HN because I think as the pace of funding | slows down, this is going to become increasingly important advice | the_arun wrote: | The title is a great punch line in real life too. | jerf wrote: | I am often thinking in first and second derivatives in real | life as well. Even if I can't put real numbers on them you can | often tell if they're at least "positive" or "negative". Most | people think in the zero'th derivative, or to put it less | math-y, that tomorrow will be the same as today, indefinitely. | If you directly ask them "Do you think that is the case?", of | course they will say "No", and in some sense it'll even be true | they believe that. But I mean, look at their actions, look at | their reactions to possible futures when they try to think | about them, look at what contingencies they plan for and how | hard they commit to them, and by their actions you can tell | they are zero-derivative thinkers at heart. While this is | hardly a recipe to predict the future with total certainty, it | is at least a way of grappling with it more effectively than | zero-derivative thinking. | | I suppose super geniuses beyond my level could operate in third | derivatives and beyond, though I think the utility starts to | diminish quickly after the second. (I think it starts getting | swamped by your uncertainty.) | jhgb wrote: | In real life it sounds like we're being advised to prefer | cocaine over LSD. ;) ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2022-06-30 23:01 UTC)