[HN Gopher] Turkey Discovers 694M Mt of Rare Earth Element Reserves
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       Turkey Discovers 694M Mt of Rare Earth Element Reserves
        
       Author : ksec
       Score  : 77 points
       Date   : 2022-07-05 19:31 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (news.metal.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (news.metal.com)
        
       | exabrial wrote:
       | Turkey is in EU/NATO, but I question the relationship given
       | Erdogan. My naive assessment is he is now "elected" for life by
       | force. No idea if my perception is correct, but given their
       | strategic geographical importance and this as well, It'd be a
       | damn shame if democracy there disappeared.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
        
         | aiilns wrote:
         | Turkey is in NATO, not in the EU. I believe elections are to
         | happen next year, although democracy in Turkey is probably not
         | going to get better for it.
        
           | mda wrote:
           | Why not?
        
       | ShivShankaran wrote:
        
       | nurettin wrote:
       | I wonder if today's metal future prices crashed for this reason.
        
         | mtoner23 wrote:
         | no
        
       | anonu wrote:
       | Strange article. Economy in the dump. 75% inflation rate
       | rendering everyone's money useless. Great time to "discover" a
       | massive stockpile of hard assets.
        
         | muzani wrote:
         | "drilling work started in 2011"
        
         | greggsy wrote:
         | Take any 'motherlode discovery' announcements with a grain of
         | salt - whether it's gold, rare earth or diamonds.
         | 
         | They're almost certainly exaggerated, and are often announced
         | to satisfy investors with a healthy - temporary - uptick in
         | stock price.
        
       | exabrial wrote:
       | Looking at some of the concentrations for neodymium and
       | praseodymium... why _isn't_ magnet recycling more of thing?
       | Certainly extracting those elements from waste is cheaper than
       | raw ore.
        
         | Victerius wrote:
         | I have a bunch of old (5-15 yrs old) HDD hard drives in a
         | closet. Would that help? I don't know what to do with them.
        
           | cronix wrote:
           | I took mine out and use them as refrigerator magnets. They
           | are awesomely strong. No more cheap magnets sliding down the
           | refrigerator not holding weight.
           | 
           | Edit: Daughter really liked using the shiny platters in art
           | projects (after degaussing with the RE magnets). I've reused
           | some of the dc motors in other projects (arduino type stuff).
           | All that's left is the small circuit board, read/write head
           | and metal body to recycle.
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | I have a couple too, but I broke one by letting it leave my
             | hand too far from the surface.
        
             | rlpb wrote:
             | We've put away all our awesomely strong fridge magnets
             | while we bring up a child. It's not worth the risk of him
             | swallowing them. I don't trust small magnets to stay inside
             | larger plastic frames, either.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | How do you collect enough rare earth magnets to be worth
         | recycling them? I don't mean where do you find that many
         | magnets, I mean how do you store, transport and then process
         | them. You'd have to demagnetize them first, right?
         | 
         | It doesn't seem like the temperature requirements are outside
         | of something one could do with pretty low end hardware, but the
         | problem is that a lot of the equipment you might have to say do
         | this in your garage would be ferrous, which is problematic.
         | Maybe a recycling center wouldn't have that problem?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | yread wrote:
       | million mt? Is that million megatons? And which rare earth
       | elements are they?
        
         | rajandatta wrote:
         | Wouldn't it be 694 million metric tonnes? I million megatons is
         | a hell of a lot.
        
           | dmitrygr wrote:
           | 1 million megatons is ~ 46.55 metric tons
           | 
           | A megaton is 4.184 * 10^15 J, which is equivalent to 46.55
           | grams
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | moralestapia wrote:
             | LOL, 46 tons would hardly ever be news, that's about the
             | output of a medium-sized mine _per minute_.
        
               | ptk wrote:
               | That's astonishing. I clearly don't have any type of
               | intuition for the amount of earth these mines are
               | extracting, because the number you're putting out there
               | seems comical.
        
               | moralestapia wrote:
               | Indeed. Check this ->
               | https://www.grida.no/resources/11419
               | 
               | The volumes involved are huge!
        
             | gpcr1949 wrote:
             | You can't convert mass to energy like that in this context.
             | A megaton just means a million tons (of TNT in an energy
             | context). You can say: (the energy released when
             | detonating) a megaton of TNT is equivalent to 46.55 g of
             | pure mass to energy conversion (E = mc**2 type), but that
             | would be irrelevant in this context because no one is
             | planning converting this mass to energy, nor would it be
             | possible.
        
               | dmitrygr wrote:
        
           | tasuki wrote:
           | Probably metric tonnes, but it's weird to use "Mt" to mean
           | metric tonne rather than megatonne. The symbol for metric
           | tonne is "t" [0]. It would certainly be less ambiguous to
           | just spell it out.
           | 
           | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tonne
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | philipkglass wrote:
         | See pages 14 and 15 of this presentation:
         | https://mric.jogmec.go.jp/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/seminar...
         | 
         | It's mostly light rare earth elements. Over half of it is
         | cerium and most of the rest is lanthanum. Most of the economic
         | value is in the elements that are _not_ cerium or lanthanum. It
         | appears to have about the same proportion of neodymium and
         | praseodymium (valuable light rare earth elements used in
         | magnets) as the Mountain Pass, California mine, plus more
         | terbium (more expensive heavy rare earth element also useful in
         | magnets) than Mountain Pass.
        
           | sbierwagen wrote:
           | Also on that slide: "has average 3.14% grade". I assume that
           | doesn't mean the rock consists of 3.14% of the target
           | element, but is 3.14% of whatever ore they're targeting,
           | right?
        
             | loufe wrote:
             | You're right, there's no way they would not tout the "15%
             | grade" of the actual ore, if by some miracle there was
             | 3.14% grade the entirety of their staked land.
             | 
             | Ore is by definition the "economically
             | feasible/interesting" subsection of the rock covered by the
             | claim.
        
           | yread wrote:
           | Awesome, thanks this clears it up. And are these reserves
           | measured, inferred or indicated? Is there a PFS?
        
         | jwilk wrote:
         | No no no, mt = millitonne = kg.
        
         | dificilis wrote:
         | It reminds me of a recent HN story telling us not to trust any
         | number you see in a news story.
        
       | Barrera wrote:
       | The article is vague about the identities of the elements. They
       | tend to occur together, but some are way more valuable than
       | others. Cerium, for example, is considered a "rare earth" but is
       | not that rare at all:
       | 
       | > Cerium is the most abundant of all the lanthanides, making up
       | 66 ppm of the Earth's crust; this value is just behind that of
       | copper (68 ppm), and cerium is even more abundant than common
       | metals such as lead (13 ppm) and tin (2.1 ppm). Thus, despite its
       | position as one of the so-called rare-earth metals, cerium is
       | actually not rare at all. ...
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cerium
        
         | divbzero wrote:
         | A sibling comment [1] cited additional details that the find is
         | indeed mostly cerium, followed by lanthanum which also has
         | limited economic value.
         | 
         | [1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31993668
        
         | vanattab wrote:
         | Honest question. What is the distribution throughout the crust
         | though? If something that is 66 ppm but near uniformily
         | distributed could be much harder to extract then something that
         | is 2.2 ppm but occurs I distinct viens.
        
           | oportunityastro wrote:
           | It is nothing to do with anything. Copper is relatively
           | abundant by this measure, but almost everyone who I know who
           | has a view on copper see the future supply situation as
           | terrible. There is politics, financial cycles, actual site
           | economics...I mean the US right now is the perfect example of
           | this, centuries of discovered natural gas reserves that is
           | proven economic to take out of the ground, and natural gas is
           | skyrocketing...it isn't that simple.
        
           | philipkglass wrote:
           | That's exactly what makes most of the rare earth elements
           | "rare": they are common in the Earth's crust but rarely
           | concentrated into easily mined deposits. Neodymium and
           | praseodymium are also more common than tin but significantly
           | more costly because they don't form ore bodies like tin does
           | under geochemical influences.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_of_elements_in_Earth.
           | ..
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | hrkucuk wrote:
       | God damn. If nothing this will be used to make ppl force vote for
       | Erdogan in 2023... Just another propoganda tool to vote him :(
       | And I was naively keeping up my hopes for this Turkey's 100th
       | birthday elections, but it seems like he will follow a Nazarbayev
       | model for himself. I can only hope him to get pulled into his
       | bubble where he leaves important decisions to liable, honest
       | people. But unless his "magistrates" come down it does not seem
       | possible.
        
         | bayesian_horse wrote:
         | I don't quite see how Erdogan would be any better at exploiting
         | that resource than anybody else. Worse actually, because he'll
         | have trouble attracting foreign investments...
        
         | asciimike wrote:
         | In case you're coming to this thread asking yourself why there
         | are a bunch of comments like this, I really like
         | https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-new-su...
         | as an overview of "how we got here in the first place."
        
       | arcticbull wrote:
       | Despite their name, rare earth elements aren't rare at all - in
       | fact, they're all over the place. They're in the US, Canada,
       | Brazil, Australia, Vietnam, China, India, Russia - and of course
       | Turkey. [1]
       | 
       | Most of the refining takes place in China, though, because only
       | China is willing to pay the toxic environmental cost associated
       | with actually doing so. This is what that process looks like. [2]
       | 
       | It's good to diversify the supply to be sure, but the question
       | is, will Turkey be willing to pay the environmental cost of
       | refining? Or will China continue to take that on. We're not short
       | of input ore, so if not, I suspect the market will continue to
       | look much like it does in spite of this discovery.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.visualcapitalist.com/rare-earth-elements-
       | where-i...
       | 
       | [2] https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20150402-the-worst-
       | place-...
        
       | 11thEarlOfMar wrote:
       | Making them a little less rare.
        
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       (page generated 2022-07-05 23:00 UTC)