[HN Gopher] Cruise's Robot Car Outages Are Jamming Up San Francisco
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       Cruise's Robot Car Outages Are Jamming Up San Francisco
        
       Author : fortran77
       Score  : 34 points
       Date   : 2022-07-08 20:53 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wired.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wired.com)
        
       | fudged71 wrote:
       | If a human driver is lost or in distress, the default behavior
       | would be to find the nearest safe spot to pull over and put on
       | your hazards. Shouldn't this be the default fallback behavior if
       | a remote driver isn't responding?
        
         | nerdbaggy wrote:
         | Yup they do that. Just happened to pull off to the side in a
         | crosswalk
         | 
         | > Cruise spokesperson Tiffany Testo provided a written
         | statement that said the company's vehicles are programmed to
         | pull over and turn on their hazard lights when they encounter a
         | technical problem or meet road conditions they can't handle.
        
         | jdminhbg wrote:
         | > If a human driver is lost or in distress, the default
         | behavior would be to find the nearest safe spot to pull over
         | and put on your hazards.
         | 
         | Well, it _should_ be...
        
       | 37ef_ced3 wrote:
       | From a customer's perspective, it isn't clear that a
       | hardware/software taxi driver is in any way better than a human
       | taxi driver, particularly with (human) driver assist preventing
       | collisions and all the other warnings provided by a modern car.
       | 
       | In both cases someone else is driving for the customer. With a
       | human driver (plus driver assist braking and collision warnings)
       | you have the most flexible, sophisticated intelligence on Earth
       | driving. With a robotaxi you have something inferior. But maybe
       | it's a lot cheaper, right?
       | 
       | The robotaxi can only compete on price because that's its only
       | advantage. If you own a car that drives itself, that's a
       | different story. Everybody can see the value proposition.
       | 
       | But is the robotaxi actually cheaper at all? We would have to
       | look at the cost of the hardware (how often do lidars fail and
       | how much do they cost to replace?) and the cost of the software
       | development and the cost of the fallback human remote operators
       | (fleet monitoring and teleoperation) and the years of huge R&D
       | investment (billions of dollars) to evaluate whether a robotaxi
       | fleet is indeed cheaper. So how much cheaper is it, exactly? 5%?
       | 10%? 15%?
       | 
       | As a customer, would you pay a little more to have the most
       | flexible, sophisticated intelligence on Earth (human brain +
       | driver assist) or would you want to save a few dollars and risk
       | having some dumb piece of software strand you in the middle of
       | the road somewhere?
       | 
       | We all use Google Maps or Apple Maps when driving and most of us
       | have seen these systems do boneheaded things. Just imagine the
       | dumb things a robotaxi could do. It's hard for a normal person to
       | be excited about this. I don't know a single person who is
       | excited by robotaxis.
        
         | AlotOfReading wrote:
         | There's a couple misunderstandings here.
         | 
         | > The robotaxi can only compete on price because that's its
         | only advantage.
         | 
         | That's one advantage. Another is that that it's a third option
         | to the traditional dichotomy of driving yourself or be driven
         | by a stranger.
         | 
         | It's worth taking a step back and looking at the bigger
         | picture. Robotaxis aren't the end-all-be-all for anyone. It's
         | just a bounded problem domain with some promise of commercial
         | profitability on the road to "full autonomy". A baby step, in
         | other words. Yeah, the autonomous vehicles on the road today
         | aren't clearly and obviously better than the best human
         | drivers, but how are they going to get to that point without
         | going through all the intermediate steps to get there?
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | Yes, the robotaxy will be much cheaper. Maybe not the first
         | generation, but once it matures any little bit, it will be
         | cheaper.
         | 
         | They will also be available at 3AM at a medium sized city.
         | 
         | And yeah, that's basically their benefit. That's enough to
         | displace all the human competition, anyway.
        
         | hansword wrote:
         | I think your 'only advantage' is a bit premature.
         | 
         | 3 seconds thought: Robotaxis can't get covid (or warthog-flu or
         | whatever new pandemic the next years will bring), which might
         | be an advantage to some customers.
         | 
         | Having said that, I don't drive nor use taxis, so I don't care
         | much.
        
       | jjulius wrote:
       | I can't wait for that point many moons in the future, where FSD
       | is fully/widely-adopted, and where every Honda (or pick any
       | mfg'er, really) on the planet stops right where it is because
       | some key piece of their critical infrastructure went down.
        
       | recursivedoubts wrote:
       | if you want a vision of the future, imagine an ambulance stuck
       | behind an automated vehicle trying to update its firmware when
       | AWS is down, forever
        
         | sonofhans wrote:
         | Nice.
         | 
         | "If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping
         | on a human face-- forever." -- George Orwell, 1984
        
       | salmonfamine wrote:
       | Self-driving cars are a solution for a problem that has already
       | been solved. Build trains. But of course, this doesn't benefit
       | automakers, requires a move towards high-density housing that
       | NIMBY's and certain classes of investors oppose, so instead we'll
       | create an entirely new class of problems by allowing these
       | companies to unleash their insufficient technology on public
       | roads.
        
         | DoneWithAllThat wrote:
         | Explain how trains solve the last mile problem? The thing that
         | roads already solve?
        
           | salmonfamine wrote:
           | Walk.
           | 
           | EDIT: or just drive, as you do now.
        
             | rnk wrote:
             | so we build giant parking lots at our metro train stations?
             | We need different transportation. The us is terrible at
             | building needed train infra. But just like in Europe, you
             | need different solutions at diff levels.
        
               | SECProto wrote:
               | > so we build giant parking lots at our metro train
               | stations
               | 
               | No. The comment you're replying to specifically said
               | "walk", while the comment at top of thread specifically
               | mentioned that building trains "requires a move towards
               | high-density housing". High density housing, trains, and
               | walking is a solved transportation solution for cities
               | with much higher/denser populations than we have in North
               | America.
               | 
               | Getting there from here is not such a solved solution,
               | but the general process many places are working on goes:
               | 
               | build train (with park and ride at outskirts for current
               | ridership) --> build high density mixed use near stations
               | (which now doesn't need parking for each unit) --> rinse
               | and repeat until city is more sustainable without blowing
               | $$$,$$$,$$$ on road capital projects every year to deal
               | with ever-increasing traffic
        
               | eric-hu wrote:
               | What cities or countries did this successfully? Were they
               | as dependent on cars as American cities tend to be?
        
           | tmcw wrote:
           | Sure, so I'm from a tiny town in New Jersey. I was used to
           | having to drive 30 minutes to the train station as a kid, and
           | there are no buses there, so car ownership is mandatory.
           | 
           | Took a long time to realize that next to one of the buildings
           | in town was a train station. And twenty years ago there were
           | buses, too.
           | 
           | Anyway, solve the last mile by funding transit and rebuilding
           | trains. We had them before, we should have them again.
        
         | aetherson wrote:
         | I am willing to bet that if self-driving cars come along, they
         | will see strong sales/rental/deployment, however they end up
         | working in Europe, or Japan, or wherever else you have in mind
         | as some place that has "already solved this problem."
        
           | salmonfamine wrote:
           | That only raises more questions. People will buy them, of
           | course. People buy cigarettes, heroin, and NFT's. Will they
           | actually meet high enough safety standards in these places?
           | Will they reduce commute times?
           | 
           | In other words, are they actually going to deliver the long-
           | haul, end-all-be-all transit solution that many of its
           | proponents imagine they will? Or is it just a nice-to-have
           | feature that will make driving a little safer and a little
           | easier for some people? And if so, is that value really worth
           | the incredible amount of effort that's gone into making it a
           | reality?
        
         | AlotOfReading wrote:
         | How do you plan to get permission/funding to build trams,
         | metros, and trains in every city in America? The minuscule
         | commercial deployments we've already seen in cities like
         | Phoenix and SF cover vastly more area than the last 50 years of
         | passenger rail construction in those same cities.
        
           | salmonfamine wrote:
           | Well, that's the problem. Self-driving cars does not solve
           | that problem.
        
         | CamperBob2 wrote:
         | Ah, yes, fixed rail. Great for locking assumptions about
         | population and labor distribution over the next 50-100 years
         | into multi-billion dollar financial commitments that have to be
         | made today. And unmatched when it comes to moving people from
         | one place where they don't want to be to another place where
         | they don't want to be.
        
           | salmonfamine wrote:
           | As opposed to highways, which magically have none of these
           | problems.
        
           | ROTMetro wrote:
           | It does seem sort of iffy from this article (though I have
           | not researched if the article is just FUD yet)
           | https://eurasiantimes.com/a-whopping-900b-debt-chinas-
           | once-p...
        
       | [deleted]
        
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