[HN Gopher] Negative incentives in academic research
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Negative incentives in academic research
        
       Author : ibobev
       Score  : 113 points
       Date   : 2022-07-21 16:13 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (lemire.me)
 (TXT) w3m dump (lemire.me)
        
       | quantum_mcts wrote:
       | I generally disagree with the premise that scientists are
       | becoming less productive. (To me, the complaints that there are
       | no more grand fundamental discoveries is alike to complaining
       | that we are not discovering any new continents on Earth...)
       | 
       | On the subject of incentives in academia - reflecting on my
       | academia run, I've noticed that I was the most creatively
       | productive when I had a longer planning horizon in front of me.
       | It was either at the beginning of a several-years position. Or at
       | the very end when I knew that I'm leaving and didn't care
       | anymore. The least productive was the sequence of one-year
       | postdocs - when I was constantly worrying about the next one.
        
         | commandlinefan wrote:
         | > the most creatively productive when I had a longer planning
         | horizon
         | 
         | I feel the same way. I've never been in academia, but
         | everything he said matches the negative incentive structures
         | I've always seen in the corporate world. For the most part, the
         | incentive structures are designed to catch cheaters (or
         | "slackers"), but since actually discovering and creating
         | something is virtually indistinguishable from "slacking", it
         | just doesn't get done.
        
         | naikrovek wrote:
         | > To me, the complaints that there are no more grand
         | fundamental discoveries is alike to complaining that we are not
         | discovering any new continents on Earth...
         | 
         | anyone of any era could claim this. and many did. yet here we
         | are, still discovering things, and not discovering new
         | continents.
         | 
         | it is folly to assume that we have discovered everything, or
         | even a small fraction of everything.
         | 
         | I think you will find that it is difficult to find someone who
         | has been vetted by a system who would be open to admitting that
         | said system is fundamentally flawed, especially when successful
         | passage through that system grants things that those who have
         | been through it want to have, such as academia does.
        
           | armchairhacker wrote:
           | I 100% agree that academia is flawed. But I think the reason
           | we're not making grand fundamental discoveries is that the
           | "low-hanging fruit" was already done.
           | 
           | We definitely haven't discovered everything, and we're
           | actually making way more discoveries much faster than people
           | back then. But the things which are easy or even "not super
           | hard" to discover have already been discovered. Most of the
           | discoveries require background knowledge or are more "niche"
           | things, because discoveries which are really big and affect
           | everyone are easy to find and going to have everyone
           | searching for them.
           | 
           | In fact we _could_ maybe discover a new continent. But it
           | would have to be tiny or underwater or camouflaged or
           | otherwise have some reason that despite having a map of the
           | whole Earth and satellites everywhere, we haven 't discovered
           | it yet. When Columbus "discovered" America there weren't
           | nearly as many ships floating around as there are
           | boats/planes/satellites today.
        
         | simonsarris wrote:
         | > I generally disagree with the premise that scientists are
         | becoming less productive.
         | 
         | Do you believe the average academic research paper or project
         | written/done today is of the same quality or better as the
         | average in 1980, or 1950?
        
           | matthewdgreen wrote:
           | I can't speak to all science, but I am a CS (cryptography)
           | researcher and routinely read papers from the 1980s. The
           | level of rigor and quality of my field's papers has
           | _absolutely_ improved, by leaps and bounds. The formal
           | definitions in those early papers are often non-existent (and
           | sometimes wrong in retrospect) and the proposed constructions
           | are often much simpler (and sometimes subtly wrong in
           | retrospect.) And the number of papers has increased by at
           | least an order of magnitude.
           | 
           | On the flip side, those early papers contain the most
           | fundamental discoveries in our field: you're only going to
           | invent RSA or blind signatures or zero knowledge once. It's
           | possible all those researchers were much smarter than we are
           | now. (I grant this!) But there are a lot of absolutely
           | brilliant people I know today. Alternatively, the lower-
           | hanging fruit is all gone and the problems have become much
           | harder.
        
             | amelius wrote:
             | > Alternatively, the lower-hanging fruit is all gone and
             | the problems have become much harder.
             | 
             | Reminds me of a patent officer who said in 1899 that
             | "everything that can be invented has been invented."
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | What's amusing about my field is that while much of the
             | rigor was lost (computational biology in the 90s was very
             | CS-rigorous), what we've learned is that deep networks beat
             | any human features, none of the rigors of chomsky hierarchy
             | really matter to find interesting biology, and you don't
             | even need to know how to differentiate because that's
             | automatic now.
        
             | cmontella wrote:
             | > you're only going to invent RSA or blind signatures or
             | zero knowledge once.
             | 
             | Well, maybe. Sometimes things that are discovered are lost
             | or go completely unnoticed, so progress is not always
             | monotonic. For example, for a long time it was believed
             | that John William Strutt first documented dynamic soaring
             | [1] in birds in the 1800s, but just recently (2018) it was
             | found that actually none other than Leonardo DaVinci
             | documented the phenomena in his notebooks centuries before
             | [2]. People just didn't notice or forgot, despite those
             | documents being some of the most poured over in history.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dynamic_soaring
             | 
             | [2] https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsnr.201
             | 8.002...
        
               | mmsimanga wrote:
               | Sometimes people just aren't ready for new knowledge or
               | they don't know enough to understand it. I see this when
               | new person enters an industry, healthcare in my case. It
               | takes about a year to understand the nuances between
               | healthcare providers, funders and administrators. I am
               | guessing people read what Leonardo wrote but they just
               | didn't understand the significance.
        
               | virissimo wrote:
               | Good point. The same thing definitely happens in physics
               | too. For example, people attributed important advances in
               | mathematical physics (such as the mean speed theorem) to
               | Galileo despite them having been already developed
               | extensively in the middle ages.
        
           | jules wrote:
           | I can only talk about computer science. The research papers
           | in the past would probably not be able to get published in
           | prestigious journals today. They'd need to get expanded from
           | sketchy 8 page papers into very rigorous 25 page papers. I
           | think we've overshot though. With papers in the modern style
           | you need to wade through a lot of cruft to get to the key
           | idea. As for the quality of the ideas...the older papers do
           | win. I think that's because there was more low hanging fruit,
           | but some part of it may be due to an incentive structure that
           | rewards safe bets.
        
           | seydor wrote:
           | Technically - yes. But it 's just that, a paper. Back then ,
           | people were chasing glory, not "the paper" because papers
           | didnt matter, that s why so many of them were too short,
           | unreferenced etc. Science was small and more personal. Now
           | it's an impersonal industry and science is a product. Science
           | gets a lot of underserved respect out of inertia, but it
           | really is a big industry sector now.
        
           | quantum_mcts wrote:
           | > quality
           | 
           | What do you mean by that? Good writing? Good rigor? Good
           | research work? Have a fundamental discovery? There are not as
           | correlated as one expects.
        
           | bowsamic wrote:
           | In terms of writing and quality of research methodology, far
           | higher in my experience
        
         | BrandoElFollito wrote:
         | > the complaints that there are no more grand fundamental
         | discoveries is alike to complaining that we are not discovering
         | any new continents on Earth.
         | 
         | And this is a very real issue, for instance in physics. It
         | means that if you go for research there, it is likely to be
         | meh.
         | 
         | I did my PhD in physics, I was thankfully at a moment where
         | simulations and ML were just starting so I could have fun.
         | There was exactly zero interesting discoveries in
         | nuclear/atomic/particle during my time in academia. And the 40
         | years before.
         | 
         | Compare this with 1090-1950. These years were simply incredible
         | (especially the ones around 1900, to ~1920). You had almost
         | every day discoveries that were shaking the world, and everyone
         | was aware of that.
         | 
         | This is not the fault of the scientists, this is just that the
         | world is like this. It is indeed like complaining that there
         | are no more continents, but then the reasonable thing to do it
         | to invest more in teaching, or applied science.
        
           | justinclift wrote:
           | > 1090
           | 
           | 1900 yeah?
        
         | psi75 wrote:
         | _I generally disagree with the premise that scientists are
         | becoming less productive._
         | 
         | This one's tricky to measure. If you go by the number of words
         | published, they're a lot more productive than they used to be.
         | Ten papers won't even get you tenure. In terms of metrics, the
         | game is a lot more competitive.
         | 
         | I would argue that the bigger problem is that academic science
         | is now _consumptive_. Think of all those tuitions dollars the
         | universities get because they run a protection racket over
         | (what 's left of) the middle class job market. Now consider how
         | terrible the academic job market has been for the past 30
         | years, and that professors who want even a chance of getting
         | respect basically need to self-fund by getting grants. Lots of
         | money is going in, and how much is coming out? Something, for
         | sure, but is it worth it? Or is it like U.S. healthcare, where
         | we're paying 4x for a not terrible but merely acceptable
         | product?
         | 
         |  _I was the most creatively productive when I had a longer
         | planning horizon in front of me._
         | 
         | Right, and this kind of opportunity has gone extinct, due to
         | the hypercompetitive culture you get as our society disinvests
         | itself in research and as funding becomes harder to find and
         | more winner-take-all. If the neoliberals have their way, being
         | a professor will just be another next-quarter focused corporate
         | job within ten years.
        
           | wumpus wrote:
           | > If the neoliberals have their way,
           | 
           | Not sure where that came from. The NSF provides a lot of 3 or
           | 5 year grants. The science org I work for is mostly funded by
           | 3-5 year grants.
        
         | elashri wrote:
         | My supervisor told me recently that it is very risky to focus
         | on breakthrough topics except when you are doing PhD or if your
         | are tenured. probably less true for PhD if you don't have
         | ambitious PI. The demand for publications and results that is
         | mainly the way to evaluate you starting from postdoc until
         | tenure promotion is very tense. People usually try to do many
         | things and stretch themselves. sometimes this even lead to
         | burnout and many people leave academia for that adding to the
         | very competitive and low gain opportunities available in most
         | academic field.
         | 
         | To be honest, I really think that we have wrong metric. Most
         | importantly, if you try to ignore them even if you get some
         | local support within your group. Good luck getting any fund
         | because funding agencies evaluation have the same problems.
        
       | crikeyjoe wrote:
        
       | psi75 wrote:
       | Man, I wish I could use my real name for this reply, but for
       | political reasons I can't (in fact, I change my username
       | regularly) because I have a lot of insight into this problem, why
       | it exists, and why it probably won't get better barring a
       | complete overhaul of our socioeconomic system and the myriad
       | corrupt institutions that support it.
       | 
       | We live in an age of institutional decline and it is severe. You
       | see this in (trade) publishing. Your publisher no longer builds
       | your reputation; the publisher has pushed that responsibility
       | unto the author. The ones who already have the personal resources
       | necessary to market their books get further validation and
       | credibility; the ones who don't will go unheard. Academia's the
       | same way: universities no longer provide funding for people of
       | excellence; rather, they have put the onus of funding on the
       | professors themselves--you'll get more funding (and published in
       | better places) on account of using their name, and for that they
       | take a cut. The relationship has inverted; rather than nurturing
       | emerging talent, these institutions _are nurtured by_ emerging
       | talent, and this vampirism is sustainable because those talented
       | people have no other choice insofar as all the other institutions
       | are failing at approximately the same right.
       | 
       | Consequently, we have widespread duplicated effort, channel-
       | flooding due to metrics-gaming (gotta get that h-index into the
       | three digits before tenure time) and a corporatized, mediocre
       | culture in which agreeability (negatively correlated with
       | excellence and conscientiousness) matters far too much and
       | salesmen run the day.
       | 
       | Historically, there were nations of priests and nations of
       | warriors and nations of farmers. We've become a nation of
       | sellers; but we no longer have much to sell but our own talk.
       | 
       | I don't know, for sure, how to solve this. Anyone who pays
       | attention can see that capitalism (which invariably becomes
       | corporate capitalism) is a dead end at a 21st-century technology
       | level... but of course the eradication of capital is merely a
       | necessary, not a sufficient, condition for scientific excellence.
       | Going socialist is mandatory if we want to fix this, but alone
       | does not guarantee much--there are a lot of cultural changes that
       | probably need to happen before we can build healthy institutions
       | again.
        
         | fnovd wrote:
         | >Going socialist is mandatory if we want to fix this
         | 
         | Of course, the lede is buried exactly where expected. How novel
         | an idea it is that the the system is separable from its
         | components and that utopia is indeed achievable if only the
         | rest of the world would wake up and learn to serve your idea of
         | a higher purpose. The inevitable counterpoint is that the
         | system is responding predictably and efficaciously to a change
         | to its environment: more undergraduate funding leads to more
         | students pursuing graduate degrees and a greater deal of
         | competition in the academic space. The "problem" is self-
         | correcting. It turns out science doesn't need happy scientists.
         | 
         | The reason why you don't attach your name to comments like this
         | is because your possession of a name worth attaching would
         | preclude this comment from existing.
        
           | bowsamic wrote:
           | > The reason why you don't attach your name to comments like
           | this is because your possession of a name worth attaching
           | would preclude this comment from existing.
           | 
           | Socialists are actually oppressed in many countries
        
           | psi75 wrote:
        
         | zackmorris wrote:
         | This comment is spot-on. We've traded actual productivity for
         | the appearance of productivity as thrift.
         | 
         | Yes that's primarily due to capitalism, specifically
         | neoliberalism, crony capitalism and late-stage capitalism.
         | 
         | Unfortunately socialism isn't enough to save us, because even
         | democratic socialism demands full employment, which is
         | increasingly at odds with automation and UBI.
         | 
         | I don't believe that we have come up with a system yet that
         | incentivizes the kind of one-off revolutionary invention that
         | most of us got into programming for in the first place. The
         | kind of economy where a single invention frees millions of
         | people from forced labor.
         | 
         | Sergey and Larry come up with PageRank and suddenly everyone
         | wants their search engine and they're set for life. Google wins
         | the internet lottery and keeps all of the trillions of dollars.
         | What about the rest of us? We invent something and our business
         | fails due to long-tail effects and we die broke. 90% of
         | businesses fail in their first year. So it's becoming
         | increasingly competitive as tech improves - the ultimate tragic
         | result. Which self-evidently trends toward a crisis of techno-
         | capitalism in the future: The Singularity. Probably the last
         | failure in human history.
         | 
         | We're looking at a situation by the end of the decade where one
         | guy generates an entire movie from notes scribbled on a napkin
         | with some future variation of DALL-E 2 and makes a million
         | dollars. Meanwhile another guy who doesn't have the right
         | connections spends his life working in the service industry as
         | a wage slave.
         | 
         | Meaning that the most likely indicator of someone's success is
         | a coin flip as we enter this era of neo-fuedalism.
         | 
         | Meaning that civil unrest and violence are all but inevitable
         | now (just turn on the TV to see it everywhere).
         | 
         | Now, I think a lot of people on HN and the world at large have
         | not tried working for themselves, so have no idea how hard
         | money is to come by. Sure, we can make a quarter million
         | dollars every year working 40+ hour weeks at a FAANG company.
         | But make that from a personal project? Highly unlikely.
         | 
         | Writing this now, I have given up on a solution to this coming
         | from the top. People close to me, even the majority of people
         | on HN, don't seem to get it. They'll never get it. Something in
         | the idea of UBI irks them deep down inside, just like with
         | student loan forgiveness. So it's over.
         | 
         | On a personal level, I'm looking towards solarpunk and local
         | cooperatives that create resource streams for people outside of
         | the financial incentive. I think it's possible to invent robot
         | kits that provide things like hydroponic produce for very low
         | cost. Once people have their basic needs met, it liberates them
         | from having to beg for grants or even a job. Which is why the
         | entire status quo is geared against this. Rents and basic
         | expenses will squeeze us even harder before the end. Expect
         | crushing regulations against off-grid living, just like how
         | rain barrels have been criminalized in the southwestern US.
        
       | idiot900 wrote:
       | I'm an assistant professor in a medical school in the US and
       | agree in general with the article. It takes an absurd amount of
       | time to write a grant application, time that could be spent doing
       | science - but we faculty don't have any choice if we want to
       | continue our careers.
        
         | ray__ wrote:
         | I am the first grad student of an assistant professor
         | (chemistry/biology). Seeing her writing workload has made me a
         | lot less enthusiastic about being a professor myself. I like
         | writing about science, but the constant treading water
         | mentality makes it difficult to 1) find the mental space to be
         | creative and 2) take the risks that are often necessary for
         | innovation, especially since the careers of your trainees are
         | on the line. The kicker is that most grant writing isn't even
         | about science. Good luck with your lab!
        
           | lurkervizzle wrote:
           | Same exact experience - I finished my CS PhD in 2005 and
           | thought I would go into academia, but decided not to given
           | how much of academia seemed to be just writing grant
           | proposals vs. actual research.
           | 
           | FWIW, also decided not to go into academia because of how
           | much smarter I realized I needed to be to be a top tier
           | academic!
        
       | bachmeier wrote:
       | > if grant applications are valued enough (e.g., needed to get
       | promotion), scientists may be willing to spend even more time
       | than is rational to do so
       | 
       | This isn't worded properly. It's clearly rational _for the
       | scientists_ to spend time on the pursuit of grants. Otherwise
       | they wouldn 't be doing it.
       | 
       | $100 in grant money is not the same as $100 in university income.
       | In fact, the whole point of the grant is to cover the cost of
       | doing research, and in principle should leave the university's
       | net revenue unchanged. (In practice, overhead changes that, but
       | that's a different topic.)
       | 
       | The problem is that the university's objective is to spend as
       | much on research as possible. Grant money is simply the fuel for
       | that process. All else equal, more expensive research is very
       | strongly preferred, because that increases research spending, and
       | that improves the standing of the university.
       | 
       | That is a seriously distorted set of incentives. All perfectly
       | rational. Just insanely stupid.
        
         | BrandoElFollito wrote:
         | > It's clearly rational for the scientists to spend time on the
         | pursuit of grants. Otherwise they wouldn't be doing it.
         | 
         | This is one of the reasons why I left academia. The insane run
         | for grants was just starting and i said that I do not have any
         | intent do do that.
         | 
         | I was a _scientist_. Doing science. Not filling in papers and
         | going to belly dancing shows.
         | 
         | When I was told that this is compulsory and nobody else is
         | going to do it, I sad good bye and left for the industry. I was
         | earning 10x more, had no worries about funding or copier paper.
         | Plenty of my friends did it and then academia was crying
         | because of the brains drain and how unfair it was. The salme
         | who said that grats are compulsory (they were sitting in the
         | various jurys to accept them, instead of doing science)
        
         | denton-scratch wrote:
         | > It's clearly rational for the scientists to spend time on the
         | pursuit of grants. Otherwise they wouldn't be doing it.
         | 
         | Is _that_ worded properly? Are you really saying that nobody
         | would ever do something irrational?
         | 
         | If that's not what you mean, then we have to look at what
         | "rational" means here. I think parent didn't mean "rational" in
         | the sense of "maximising personal gain", but "maximising output
         | of quality research".
        
       | ISL wrote:
       | I agree with point #1, but disagree with point #2.
       | 
       | Academic research is not a place to go for extrinsic motivation.
       | If you're not primarily in it for love, you're going to have a
       | bad time.
       | 
       | An example: Who has heard of the Wolf Prize in physics? It is in
       | the set of prizes known as "second prize to the Nobel Prize", yet
       | essentially nobody outside of the field will react with, "Whoa,
       | she won a Wolf Prize? She must be really good."
       | 
       | Even in the well-resourced research groups, researchers will be
       | find much better extrinsic reward outside of academia. Advancing
       | the boundaries of our understanding is priceless intrinsic
       | motivation for those who can find a way to stay, but doing so
       | requires substantial sacrifice -- more than many of those in
       | academia realize.
        
         | BeetleB wrote:
         | Extrinsic here means "extrinsic to self", not "extrinsic to
         | academia". There's plenty of "extrinsic" motivation within
         | academia.
         | 
         | When you go to top universities, you'll find plenty of
         | academics who are extrinsically motivated:
         | 
         | * Number of research papers
         | 
         | * Cumulative value of grants
         | 
         | * Awards
         | 
         | * Titles. This was insane. Apparently being a Fellow of the
         | IEEE wasn't enough, so they actively sought becoming Fellows in
         | adjacent societies.
        
           | zekrioca wrote:
           | > Extrinsic here means "extrinsic to self", not "extrinsic to
           | academia". There's plenty of "extrinsic" motivation within
           | academia.
           | 
           | Yes, I've also understood it this way.
        
       | sycren wrote:
       | Earlier this year I was exploring a web3 industry 4.0 open
       | science solution rethinking how research is performed, by who (or
       | what), skills required, deliverables (no journals needed), a
       | semantic knowledge base of results good & bad, validated through
       | repetition, a framework for how experiments are managed.
       | 
       | Here's my research on the 'Challenges facing Academic Research' -
       | https://miro.com/app/board/uXjVOkNfljM=/?share_link_id=58427...
       | 
       | Quotes that I found important:
       | 
       | "It discourages rigorous research as it is difficult to obtain
       | enough results for a paper (and hence progress) in two to three
       | years.
       | 
       | The constant stress drives otherwise talented and intelligent
       | people out of science also."
       | 
       | - Anonymous
       | 
       | "End the PhD or drastically change it. there is a high level of
       | depression among phd students. long hours, limited career
       | prospects, and low wages contribute to this emotion."
       | 
       | - Don Gibson, Scientist at BioConsortia
       | 
       | Funding "affects what we study, what we publish, the risks we
       | (frequently don't) take, it nudges us to emphasise safe,
       | predictable (read: fundable) science"
       | 
       | - Gary Bennett - Neuroscientist at Duke University
       | 
       | "We need to recognise academic journals for what they are: shop
       | windows for incomplete descriptions of research, that make semi-
       | arbitrary editorial [judgments] about what to publish and often
       | have harmful policies that restrict access to important post-
       | publication critical appraisal of published research." --Ben
       | Goldacre, The Datalab, epidemiology researcher, physician, and
       | author
       | 
       | "An estimated $200 billion - or the equivalent of 85% of global
       | spending on research - is routinely wasted on poorly designed and
       | redundant studies." -
       | https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
       | 
       | "As much as 30% of the most influential original medical research
       | papers turn out to be wrong or exaggerated." -
       | https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/201218#COM...
       | 
       | "The BMJ found that one-third of university press releases
       | contained either exaggerated claims of causation (when the study
       | itself only suggested correlation), unwarranted implications
       | about animal studies for people, or unfounded health advice." -
       | https://www.vox.com/2014/12/10/7372921/health-journalism-sci...
        
       | zekrioca wrote:
       | I agree, specially with the 2nd point. You can see this in
       | virtually every academic institution where researchers will find
       | all ways to simply "plot" good results, i.e., beat the data until
       | you find what you want. The intrinsic value of the research is
       | nearly 0, because all that matters is to get things published to
       | attract citations that will help them in getting promotions and
       | prizes.
        
       | mpweiher wrote:
       | It goes beyond grants and extrinsic motivation...well maybe the
       | latter category is pretty much all-encompassing.
       | 
       | Turing Award winner Michael Stonebraker talked about this at
       | length here:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJFKl_5JTnA
       | 
       | Some points:
       | 
       | - Original (risky) research is detrimental and likely fatal to a
       | career in science
       | 
       | - Actually creating systems doubly so
        
         | psi75 wrote:
         | > _Original (risky) research is detrimental and likely fatal to
         | a career in science_
         | 
         | Although it's trite to blame Boomers for complex problems, I
         | actually think the fall of academia is a case where one
         | generation can be blamed. They're the reason risky research
         | makes you unemployable. They're the reason you have to play it
         | safe and make nice with king-makers who control the journals
         | that decide your reputation (because no one's ever going to
         | actually read your work closely enough to understand it).
         | 
         | The university had a social contract. Teaching was something
         | professors did that merited a middle-class salary; research was
         | also important, but impossible to evaluate, due to these
         | contributions having zero extractible economic value in the
         | median case. You taught so the future decision-makers would
         | consider you and your field relevant; you researched to advance
         | the field. You taught to justify your salary and to promote
         | your discipline's general relevance to society; you researched
         | to justify your access to the highly-paid, part-time teaching
         | gig. That was the deal.
         | 
         | The Boomers were the generation to cop the attitude that
         | research was the only labor that actually mattered (the "male
         | work" of academia) and that teaching ("female work") was low-
         | value incidental labor they simply got stuck with. They started
         | giving their teaching the bare minimum. Society took notice of
         | the shift in their attitude. Universities increased class
         | sizes, and they started using low-paid adjuncts and graduate
         | students for the labor. It turned out that they didn't
         | professors (i.e. research experts) to teach Calc 2 after all.
         | No surprise here, the demand for professors dropped, and the
         | only ones who can get in now are those who can convince others
         | --before they have the freedom necessary to achieve much at all
         | in research--that _their research alone_ merits a (low) six-
         | figure income.
         | 
         | In 2022, evaluating original research is harder than ever, due
         | to hyperspecialization. For a typical Ph.D. thesis, there are
         | less than five people in the world qualified to evaluate
         | whether it's worthy of a tenure-track position. Consequently,
         | actualities matter less; the gaming of publication metrics and
         | salesmanship matter a lot more.
         | 
         | This one actually can be blamed on the Boomers (although the
         | Xers and Millennials have failed thus far to fix it). They did
         | this. Teaching is what kept them relevant and respected... and
         | when they started blowing it off, society began to question as
         | well whether their research was really worth the investment
         | either. It didn't take long before state legislators (poorly
         | educated by professors who'd devalued teaching) and turncoat
         | administrators turned the professorial job market into what it
         | is today.
        
           | pfortuny wrote:
           | Please: do not assign the cause of something toa group of
           | anonymous and unverifiable people. This always end badly.
           | Always.
           | 
           | And there are more non-graduate boomers than graduate ones.
        
             | psi75 wrote:
             | I thought it was clear that I was not blaming an entire
             | generation but, specifically, the much smaller set of Baby
             | Boomers who held positions of power either inside academia
             | or in sectors that have influence over it.
             | 
             | As people, I don't think those born between 1943 and 1964
             | ("Boomers") are any worse or better than anyone else;
             | historical forces explain a lot more than putative
             | generational character. Alas, the Boomers' middle age
             | corresponded in time with some really terrible people
             | rising into positions of leadership, to such an extent that
             | their generation's name has become synonymous with
             | dysfunctions in which the vast majority of people born
             | during that time, in fact, played no part.
        
           | gspr wrote:
           | > In 2022, evaluating original research is harder than ever,
           | due to hyperspecialization. For a typical Ph.D. thesis, there
           | are less than five people in the world qualified to evaluate
           | whether it's worthy of a tenure-track position.
           | 
           | That's simply not true for a _typical_ PhD thesis at all. It
           | certainly doesn 't jive with my own experience, so I'd like
           | to cough up a few examples please.
           | 
           | (Do hyperspecialized PhD theses like the one you describe
           | exist? Certainly! But I refute the idea that such these are
           | _typical_.)
        
         | Tostino wrote:
         | What timestamp on that talk if you don't mind?
        
       | jrumbut wrote:
       | I'm far from convinced that science is less productive as a whole
       | than it was in 1900, though I'm sure the average scientist today
       | isn't as productive as Max Planck (but of course he was above
       | average in his own day as well).
       | 
       | Something I think would help the incentive situation is providing
       | more incentives for teaching and service. My grandfather was a
       | professor emeritus and I can't find any record of him authoring a
       | research paper (or a PhD thesis for that matter) but even 30+
       | years since he last taught I still run into people who rave about
       | the formative experiences they had in his classes. He's a minor
       | celebrity among local engineers of a certain age.
       | 
       | Such a person could still provide a lot of value, but it's harder
       | to measure.
        
         | mmmmpancakes wrote:
         | That's a nice story, but teaching =/= research and I fail to
         | see how this is related to research productivity. If anything
         | the relation is inverse because, as you said, he doesn't have a
         | publication record, so from the perspective of research he was
         | basically useless.
         | 
         | If we are trying to improve research productivity, then
         | removing or dramatically reducing teaching responsibilities for
         | researchers sounds a lot more sensible. Besides, modern
         | pedagogy is getting increasingly complicated and having
         | teaching specialists can be much more beneficial to your
         | average 1-2 year undergrad.
         | 
         | Not to diminish his teaching career, it sounds very valuable,
         | but not in a way that's directly relevant to the OP.
        
           | jrumbut wrote:
           | It's simple! Grant applications are so hard because they are
           | so competitive. They are so competitive because a lot of
           | people want to be professors. Currently, to succeed as a
           | professor you need a research grant.
           | 
           | If, instead, we made it easier to advance your career as
           | exactly the kind of pedagogy specialist you described (as
           | well as through leadership in professional organizations,
           | work in the community, and all the other kinds of service), I
           | believe you would get fewer applications to those research
           | grants. It might result in better post-secondary education as
           | well.
        
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