[HN Gopher] Alphabet Q2 FY2022 Earnings [pdf] ___________________________________________________________________ Alphabet Q2 FY2022 Earnings [pdf] Author : ra7 Score : 106 points Date : 2022-07-26 20:05 UTC (2 hours ago) (HTM) web link (abc.xyz) (TXT) w3m dump (abc.xyz) | paxys wrote: | Marginally better numbers than expected. Stock is up ~3% after | hours. | adam_arthur wrote: | Worse than expected by analysts, better than expected by | investors. It was technically a miss | robertlagrant wrote: | Analysts got it wrong again? | donalhunt wrote: | Alphabet are known for not providing any guidance to the | analysts so I would take that with a pinch of salt. | | Consensus seems to be that the results could have been | worse. Some signals that large advertisers are pulling | spend in some areas. If that continues, you would expect Q3 | earnings to be below the upward trajectory that Alphabet | have enjoyed for years. | danielmarkbruce wrote: | Crazy good numbers given the environment and their size. | gigatexal wrote: | Revenue grew 13% or 8B but operating income fell as did net | income. Yikes. Either that additional 30k in headcount really | took a toll or they are investing heavily in other areas. That or | acquisition costs are rising. (I'm still reading the PDF). | donalhunt wrote: | Capex spend is one area mentioned in the Investor Relations | call - primarily new datacenters, office fitouts and server | purchases. | | Comparing q2 in 2021 and 2022 is difficult because the pandemic | boosted revenues in 2021 but capex spend was delayed. And in | 2022, some revenue didn't materialise due to uncertainty but | investments for the future are being made. | | As usual with alphabet, look at the mukti-year trend. And don't | be surprised to see investment in bets that will pay off in 5+ | years time. | gigatexal wrote: | Ahh pages 4 and 5 make more sense now. TAC went up 2B but also | costs of revenue as well. | gigatexal wrote: | Total costs and expenses 42,519 50,232 (2021-2022) cost of | revenue tracked more or less 1:1 with rise in revenue which | is why net income was the same. Hmmm. | jeffbee wrote: | Ah but remember it's "hard" somehow to give google money. I read | it here on HN. No idea where these billions came from. | lifeisstillgood wrote: | Google: Total Rev: 70B, ads:57B, cloud 6B. | | Amazon: Total rev: 116B Ads: 31B cloud:71B | | It's reasonable to say that Google's biggest threat is Amazon's | ad business. And instagrams not far behind. | spiantino wrote: | Here are accurate numbers: | | Google Q2: 70B, ads: 57B, cloud 6B. Net profit: $16B | | Amazon Q1: 117B, ads: 8B, cloud 18B. Net profit: -$4B | jsnell wrote: | Your Amazon ads / AWS numbers look annual, the other numbers | quarterly. Just what kind of conclusion are we supposed to draw | from that? | [deleted] | nym375 wrote: | I think you might be mixing quarterly and yearly numbers. | adam_arthur wrote: | Aren't Amazon ads just sellers prioritizing their listing on | the Amazon page? Seems totally different from the ad market for | Google | alecb wrote: | Amazon has a pretty developed video and display advertising | market for publishers called Unified Ad Marketplace; for our | business, it's typically in second behind AdX/Adsense for | revenue and impressions won. That said, I'm not seeing any | revenue breakout from Amazon that specifies how much this | side of the business makes. | xyzzyz wrote: | Aren't Google ads just businesses prioritizing their listings | on Google search page? | adam_arthur wrote: | Who will advertise a concert or any various services on | Amazon? Or a restaurant? A conference? | | Very niche focus for Amazon vs broader set of customers for | Google ads. Seems totally different to me | kevinsundar wrote: | Ecommerce sellers have higher margins (gross margin 40%) | than the other services and businesses you mentioned. So | they have more money to spend on Ads. | | Also Google competes with FB and has to split the | advertising pie for those other services and businesses. | Amazon owns basically the whole pie for the people who | want to advertise products. | adam_arthur wrote: | E-commerce has terrible margins | | Amazon itself had negative operating margins for its | retail business last quarter. | | Amazon retail: "Its U.S. segment recorded $206 million in | operating losses, while the international side lost $1.63 | billion." | | Single digit margins at best, once a market is | competitive. | | Edit: You edited your above, but gross margin is | meaningless. It doesn't even include salaries for | employees or infrastructure costs. Net margins for retail | will always be slim, outside of specific first mover | advantage in some subsectors. | | You think the Chinese companies selling $5 rubber | spatulas are making 40% margins? Lol, try 5% or less. | | The theory that Amazon retail would grow revenues rapidly | and then eventually expand to high operating margins will | never come to fruition. Margins will be below 10% in | perpetuity | | But sure, ignore all costs of running the business and | look at gross margins. | londons_explore wrote: | Amazon loses money on every sale, yet somehow they are | far pricier than ebay (which is profitable), and that is | far pricier than aliexpress. | | A quick sample of like-for-like products shows that | typical sale+delivery price on amazon is 30% more than | aliexpress and 18% more than ebay. | | I really don't see how you can charge 30% more than a | profit making competitor, sell in larger volume, yet make | a loss. | [deleted] | kevinsundar wrote: | A quick search says 40% gross margins for e-commerce. So | Income - COGS. Which is pretty damn high. Most of these | sellers are selling cheap Chinese goods so I bet it's | even higher on Amazon. | | And Amazon retail margins is way different and in no way | comparable to SELLER margins. | oezi wrote: | Give it 5 years (3?) and they might just sell many of | these. Concert tickets, restaurant bookings/take out | aren't so hard to imagine. | | I think Amazon's ambition is endless. | stingrae wrote: | No. They are ads all over the internet through AdSense. | next_xibalba wrote: | Huh? Isn't the ecomm component of Amazon's "Total Rev" several | hundred billion? | BlackJack wrote: | Amazon Ads 31B is an annual figure. Last quarter it was ~8B. | Same thing with cloud; AWS pulled ~18B last quarter. | | Amazon Ads is a legit threat to Google, especially with product | searches. Instagram struggles to monetize commercial queries to | the same degree as Goog/Amzn. | abledon wrote: | Amazon has PrimeVideo, BlueOrigin, Trucking Fleets etc... so | diverse. What is google doing with all the cash its sitting on? | Is Waymo their only bet? They definitely aren't innovating with | youtube, 3rd rate copycat features like 'shorts' etc... poor | livestreaming/chat design. Maybe they'll just end up buying | rocketlab for their space project ... | rohitnair wrote: | Blue Origin is not part of Amazon. | abledon wrote: | Ok technically yes, but their IP is probably shared. | | For instance, Elon Musk has mentioned the Materials Science | team he has works for all 3 companies | Tesla,SpaceX,BoringCompany etc... | londons_explore wrote: | There are close Google <=> SpaceX links too... The | Starlink backbone network uses Google Cloud features that | appear custom built/aren't available even to big | customers. Nearly all Tesla tech seems built on top of | Google tech - for example they use various private maps | API's for the in-car map display. And everything is built | on top of protocol buffers, google's in-house | RPC/serialization format. | donalhunt wrote: | Protocol buffers have been public for 10+ years (since | 2008 according to Wikipedia). Given the mobility between | tech companies, it's hardly surprising that the same | ideas / solutions are reused across companies. | [deleted] | chickenpotpie wrote: | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alphabet_Inc#Structure | Foe wrote: | They're spending it on feeding their engineers with free food | and massages. | [deleted] | _Algernon_ wrote: | Went over the list of new (consumer facing) products from | Google from the last decade that actually got somewhere and | concluded that Google Cast and Chromebooks are close to the | only one (I may have missed some, but there can't be many). | Nothing that compares to Gmail, search, etc. | | Additionally, their existing services are getting worse and | worse. YouTube is a mess, requiring at least an ad-blocker, | and preferably also an extension like Unhook[1] . Google | search requires a site blocker to prevent ads and spam | domains from dominating the results. | | Instead of furthering the development of good products it | appears that the culture is focusing on creating new products | to get a promotion just to let it die before it gains | momentum (see https://killedbygoogle.com/). | | If Google is still part of the FAANG (or is it MAANG now) | accronym at the end of the decade I'll eat my top hat (I | don't have one but I'll buy one just for this). | | [1]: https://unhook.app/ | pclmulqdq wrote: | To be fair, it looks like Meta and Netflix are in a lot of | trouble too. | HeyItsMatt wrote: | Netflix has always been in trouble and has never been | cashflow positive once they started making content. | Problem is now we're in a recession and the free money | has run out. Swimming naked when the tide goes out and | all that... | HeyItsMatt wrote: | Google has lacked product leadership since Sergey Brin and | Larry Page left. Since the early-2010's Google has suffered | enormous management bloat and exclusively taken a quarterly | profit focus. | | Always wondered why Larry and Sergey ran for the exits, I | assume they had their kids threatened by a TLA and quietly | cashed out. I assume it has something to do with the | Snowden revelations that their inter-datacenter links were | unencrypted on purpose. | open1414 wrote: | https://www.vox.com/new- | money/2017/4/19/15357290/juicero-400... | [deleted] | arberx wrote: | The earnings call will be interesting. | chollida1 wrote: | What specifically about this particular earnings call will be | interesting? I can't see anything of note that hasn't happened | 20x before. | arberx wrote: | Tiktok threat, current macro conditions, future quarter | expectations, layoffs...so many things | chollida1 wrote: | I mean, sure but those are run of the mill things that can | be said for almost every earnings call. | arberx wrote: | Okay, I just said it would be interesting...it can be run | of the mill + be interesting... | gok wrote: | Is the goal that Google Cloud just loses money forever? | abledon wrote: | by 2025 they will use a 3rd color other than white and blue for | their 'material design' cloud console. | [deleted] | spaceman_2020 wrote: | Over the last few years, I've increasingly had to append | site:reddit.com before any search query if I want some actual | information. | | Product reviews on Google are garbage, but everyone knows that | already. What really disappointed me is searching for any | slightly complex medical condition. Most of the top results are | just repetitive, generic advice from "trusted" names like Webmd. | Not helpful at all. | muro wrote: | https://youtu.be/NT7_SxJ3oSI | | The ending has the point | quux wrote: | FWIW my WaySus 22 has been great | [deleted] | greatpostman wrote: | Nearly every negative google comment is downvoted | ushakov wrote: | on HN this is usually the other way around | | at least as far i can remember | greatpostman wrote: | Same, I'm surprised | MegaButts wrote: | This always happens when there's a popular post about big tech | on HN. Google is a big company with lots of employees and lots | of investors and HN is no longer a tiny corner of the internet. | Just ignore the astroturfing and look for the signal in the | noise. | summerlight wrote: | Among three most downvoted comments, one comment is very (and | likely intentionally) misleading and the rests are | uninteresting, repetitive sarcasm which deteriorates the signal | to noise ratio. This might be very surprising conclusion to | some of ordinary HN audiences, but could there be any realistic | possibilities of those comment deserving some downvotes? | chollida1 wrote: | Numbers: | | - Q1 EPS $1.21 vs EST $1.32 | | - Q2 Rev. of $70B vs est of $70B | | - Ad Rev. $56.3B vs EST of $56B, grew 12% on the year, good job!! | but growth is way down from last year. | | - this add revenue is good, which indicates they aren't really | affected by the Iphone privacy changes like META is. | | - operating margin came in at estimates | | - cloud lost $858M which is higher than expected | | - cloud Rev was 6.2B which is about what was expected | | - Other Bets lost $1.7B, which is small enough no one will care | | - other best revenue is $190M | | - stock is down about 24%, wich is a beta of almost 1, maybe | googles growth is done and its becoming a typical old boring | stock that just makes money now | | To Watch: | | - all advertising is slowing, Twitter, Snap and Pins are all | below their IPO price and META is down big, whatch for GOOG | advertising, though normally you'd expect search advertising to | be more resistant | | - watch youtube add numbers, it really seems like they are | playing alot more adds, normally I see 2 before each video now | | - will google cloud start to approach the big 2 of azure and aws | | - will they talk about hiring or layoffs | | Notes: | | - add revenue held up ok, compared to peers | | - other bets continues to not matter, at some point waymo has to | put up or get shut down | | - will cash on hand grow or shrink? Looks like its down by about | $10B | | - cloud unit disappoints with revenue | | - shares relatively flat after hours( up maybe 2%), probably a | good trade to buy their peers now(snap, pins, etc, meta) | | - whoever runs Google cloud must have blackmail material on | Pichai, AWS and MSFT run big profitable operating margins and | google cloud is losing money, this is something they should be | good at, but they are somehow the only one that has figure dout | how to lose money on what is a cash cow for the big 2. | | What is going on with their cloud offering?? | | - zero hedge tweet that they've repurchased $15B of stock | hrpnk wrote: | > - this add revenue is good, which indicates they aren't | really affected by the Iphone privacy changes like META is. | | ad density would be an interesting figure. YouTube is | unwatchable with ads turned on. | shawabawa3 wrote: | > stock is down about 24% | | I thought you meant it had massively crashed on this earnings | | It's down ~24% YTD (along with basically every other stock). | | Up ~2% after hours on this earnings report | oneoff786 wrote: | Why is cloud a loss for Google but a cash cow for Amazon? | danielmarkbruce wrote: | A lot of the cost structure is ~fixed (and high). It's pretty | much the ultimate scale game. | gerbler wrote: | Lots of capex | Kstarek wrote: | Because Google is playing catch up and needs to pay higher | salaries to poach from MSFT and AMZN and also pay much more | for infra than what Amazon paid for theirs initially. | fdgsdfogijq wrote: | Google has been "playing catch up" for a decade now. They | also pay less than Amazon (source levels.fyi) | arebop wrote: | Google does not pay less than Amazon (source levels.fyi h | ttps://www.levels.fyi/?compare=Amazon,Google,Salesforce&t | ra...). | | I have heard people claim that Amazon pays more and by | that they mean that if you hold your Amazon stock until | vesting, it appreciates so much that it ends up being | worth more than whatever the Google grant would have been | worth. But then you have to ask if the relative | performance of the stocks will remain stable over time | despite having changed recently, and factor in | differences in employee churn and so on. | fdgsdfogijq wrote: | They pay about 100,000 less. Its widely known, not sure | why you are arguing this. Amazon also raised their | paybands massively, so a blanket comparison doesnt | reflect reality. Look at individual data over the last | year or so. Google also downlevels, so comparing levels | makes less sense, compare years of experience instead | mandeepj wrote: | > Amazon also raised their paybands massively | | that $350k base limit is top of the band, not everyone | walking inside the door is going to get that. A friend of | mind got an offer from AWS about a month ago, his base | was offered $180k | jnwatson wrote: | Back last July, AWS couldn't come close to what Meta or | Google could offer when I was looking. | [deleted] | scottyah wrote: | From what I hear they paw software engineers less, but | find it harder to attract sales personnel, as it's easier | to sell the industry leader (IBM, Oracle vs ???). No | sources, just some posts a few months ago. | ra7 wrote: | What does Google still need to catch up on in cloud? | Building products/services? Sales? AFAIK, they have | comparable cloud services to most AWS/Azure offerings. | colinmhayes wrote: | Mostly I think it's just acquiring customers. The big | cloud providers go to great lengths to lock their | customers in, so convincing them to switch is hard. | Requires a much better product which seems pretty much | impossible against aws and azure or a much cheaper price. | bamboozled wrote: | Trust for one thing. They just cut off customers services | with line of recourse. Also shut down products with | little warning. | ra7 wrote: | I don't think shutting down products applies to GCP | services. Even if it did, it doesn't explain the $858M | loss. They are spending big on something to "catch up", | I'm just not sure what it is. | RandomBK wrote: | IIRC it's mostly incentives for large companies to jump | ship | ushakov wrote: | > shutting down products applies to GCP services | | they regularly deprecate old API versions in favour of | new ones, which are not backwards compatible and usually | more expensive | | any time Google Cloud APIs change you have to update your | code | | and they break stuff, introduce bugs more often that | you'd expect and prioritize new features over fixes (see | bugtracker for confirmation) | | this is why i'm never again touching GCP | lucasbm wrote: | Probably because Amazon is better at retail sales. For larger | companies both Amazon and Google give an enormous amount of | incentives to secure the accounts, so they have lower | margins. Where they thrive is with smaller and medium | businesses. Amazon is better at the market of selling to the | average joe. | the_duke wrote: | Microsoft is also good at upselling Azure through existing | customer relationships, and almost every company is a | Microsoft customer. | | Sales also just isn't in Googles DNA. | | It's an uphill battle for Google. | ghaff wrote: | AWS was actually able to add enterprise sales after | realizing it needed to. Not clearly Google has done | _nearly_ as good a job. | HeyItsMatt wrote: | Google has a cash cow and isn't hungry. Their employees | can half-arse the rest of their business and still be | confident they'll get paid at the end of the week. | Amazon's retail arm bled when AWS was started, and still | bleeds. Success is a matter of urgency. | jjtheblunt wrote: | AWS early mover advantage? | loeg wrote: | Because Google is absolutely awful at Cloud and they have to | subsidize heavily to attract customers. | echelon wrote: | Their cloud platform is fantastic if you're trying to stay | on vanilla k8s and standard managed DBs without getting | into vendor lock-in territory. | | Their management UI is an order of magnitude better than | AWS garbage. It's clean, informational, and easily | navigable. | | Spanner great, but I'm not using it for my startup. | Kstarek wrote: | I don't think Waymo will contribute meaningfully to the bottom | line for at least another 3/4 years, however people had the | same mentality of "put up or get shut down" regarding YouTube a | few years ago, and we all know how that turned out. That said, | I'm still very bullish on both the stock and Waymo | specifically. | bushbaba wrote: | Waymo won't contribute meaningfully for at least 2 decades. | Bottom line = profit. Top line = revenue. | ceeplusplus wrote: | Adding more ads and bringing down video serving costs are | tangible, achievable goals. Solving self driving is not. I | honestly don't think Google has the right culture to deliver | either. There's no hunger to win there. | ghaff wrote: | I'm not sure self driving is a matter of Google culture. | It's just become pretty evident that, while maybe some | limited fully self-driving use cases will become viable in | the next decade or so, this idea that you can have your | personal chauffeur whisk you door to door even in an urban | environment perhaps in your lifetime so you never need to | own a car is not happening. And that really disappoints | some people who bought into the idea. | colinmhayes wrote: | I certainly hope AGI happens in my lifetime. | ghaff wrote: | 1. I doubt it | | 2. Be careful what you wish for | dmitriid wrote: | Main numbers are these: | | --- start quote --- | | - Q2 Rev. of $70B vs est of $70B | | - Ad Rev. $56.3B | | --- end quote --- | | 80% of revenue is advertising. That's all you need to know | about the company's direction and incentives. | azinman2 wrote: | It's their cash cow. Why would they stop? | | But that 20% isn't advertising is much better for Alphabet | than compared to 10 years ago. Waymo is the next big bet. | dmitriid wrote: | Waymo isn't a bet. At least, isn't a bet that is projected | to be even remotely cash positive, much less having a | significant percentage in Alphabet's revenue, in any | foreseeable future. | azinman2 wrote: | That's not how I heard it was viewed internally a few | year ago. | DannyBee wrote: | By who? | azinman2 wrote: | Nothing that's public. | verdverm wrote: | I would submit that knowing the trend of ad revs as a | percentage of the whole would tell you more than a single | snapshot, which has no direction itself. | cromwellian wrote: | That's down from 97%+, the direction is more important than | the current number since the change over time indicates how | the company is evolving and it is obviously moving towards | diversification. | dmitriid wrote: | It has been hovering around 80% for a few years now, hasn't | it? | sidibe wrote: | > at some point waymo has to put up or get shut down | | obviously noone is expecting significant revenue there last | quarter or any near future ones so it's pretty irrelevant how | they do on quarterly reports. It's been over a decade and they | seem to now be making serious progress. That "some point" isn't | going to be this quarter or next quarter or sneak up by | surprise on anybody | ghaff wrote: | That sounds like the sorts of results that tend to hammer a | company. Some barely beats on low expectations. A bunch of | expectations barely or misses. | [deleted] | compiler-guy wrote: | Google added nearly 30k employees in the prior year. | | No way that amount of growth is sustainable. I doubt even half of | those employees are up to speed sufficiently to add value to the | company. Just absorbing that many people means scores of new | teams, hundreds of new managers, and mountains of additional | hardware. | | I'm sure they are seeing this in the costs. | Aethella wrote: | Every employee they add also takes potential talent away from | adding value to a start-up or competitor trying to catch-up. | It's one way to protect your monopoly when there is a shortage | of skilled labor. | gigatexal wrote: | This is how I think as well. | jmathai wrote: | The suggestion here being that hiring is a strategic play | by Google to prevent startups from forming? | | I think a much better play is to let the startups form at | no cost to you and buy them if/when they show signs of | success. | gigatexal wrote: | Sure that's viable but also hiring top talent means that | talent can't join Meta (sic) or Microsoft or Apple etc. | keep the brain trust full and add to your advantage. | SilverBirch wrote: | I think this is basically wrong. One thing lots of companies | do during a recession is they try to get rid of the worst 10% | of their employees. Instead they lose the top 8% and the | bottom 1% and a random 1%- the top 8% see the bad news, have | options and leave, the bottom 1% are obviously bad and get | let go, and the other 1% are just unlucky becuase the company | doesn't really have a clue who is good. | | This the same thing for trying to corner the smartest | engineers in the market. You're not going to corner the | smartest engineers, the smartest are going to go off and work | on interesting meaningful projects. But what you will get is | a lot of employees who are smart, not that effective but very | happy for you to pay them not to work anywhere else. | | So even if the intention is to corner the top talent, they're | not going to succeed because that's not what motivates most | decent engineers. But also, the pool of talent is so vast | that they'd bankrupt the company with that pay roll. Oh and | the non-compete situation in California means even if you do | manage to hire someone, if they do have a good idea they're | just going to quit and build it - safe with a nest egg you | helped them build. | londons_explore wrote: | A common route for people is to join a big tech company for a | few years, then quit and do a startup using the skills + cash | gained... | jeffdn wrote: | That's ~575 new employees per week (probably more, making up | for turnover)! Absolutely wild. | tmp_anon_22 wrote: | > hundreds of new managers | | _Thousands_ of new managers. Think about that. | lifeisstillgood wrote: | what does a manager actually do in a software business these | days? | adam_arthur wrote: | Depends how competent the people they manage are. Anywhere | from invasive micromanager, to "do little" figurehead that | conveys information. | | The best people don't need to be managed really, just | alignment of direction, but there are far too few of them | to depend on that at scale | hiddencost wrote: | At Google? Cross org coordination, identifying and | prioritizing opportunities, work trading with other teams | (you do this and I'll do that), communicating why the | team's work matters to mid management that has no idea, | helping engineers avoid pitfalls, helping engineers craft | project portfolios and a narrative for promotion. Helping | engineers develop the right skills to succeed at Google. | tmp_anon_22 wrote: | They create value [1]. | | [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYvhC_RdIwQ | summerlight wrote: | Mostly glueing people around. Sounds like a mediocre job, | it's as important as writing glue code. Not interesting, | but most of the code written nowaway are glue code... | Sir_Liigmaz wrote: | xhkkffbf wrote: | But don't worry. They've paused hiring for two full weeks! | ceeplusplus wrote: | Google funds a huge number of teams internally that (in my | opinion) don't do anything that contributes to the top line or | bottom line or the company's image. | | Not only that, but Google is known for being a "chill" place to | work - good WLB, low pressure to deliver, very low chance of | PIP. That attracts the wrong kind of employee. When you start | seeing TikToks of people who work at Google documenting their | life rather than delivering results, that's when you know the | company's standards are too low. | [deleted] | ProAm wrote: | Think about all the chat apps we'll have in a year... | chickenpotpie wrote: | Not really that crazy when you have 174,000 employees. A 20% | increase in employees isn't really that high when you also have | a 13% increase in revenue. | compiler-guy wrote: | Procuring 30,000 laptops is quite different than procuring | 200 laptops. The logistics for 20% growth are materially | different for a 100,000 person company vs a 1,000 person | company. | [deleted] | [deleted] ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2022-07-26 23:01 UTC)