[HN Gopher] The Calvine UFO photograph
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       The Calvine UFO photograph
        
       Author : lukeplato
       Score  : 63 points
       Date   : 2022-08-12 19:21 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (drdavidclarke.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (drdavidclarke.co.uk)
        
       | h2odragon wrote:
       | Lighter than air radar reflector / target? Looks like good shape
       | for something like that.
        
       | yarg wrote:
       | The one thing that makes me think that there might be something
       | there: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avro_Canada_VZ-9_Avrocar.
       | 
       | Not because it worked, more because it really didn't (and they
       | thought it would); it makes me feel like it was (very) loosely
       | based on something else (something only seen).
       | 
       | I'd be very interested to see what would happen if you
       | incorporated some very fast very heavy gyros inside of a disc.
        
       | miniwark wrote:
       | I only see an small island with reflection on a Scottish lake or
       | a large river a foggy day... And the "plane" is just a floating
       | tree branch for me...
        
       | night-rider wrote:
       | My razor for filtering out any UFO/UAP photo is simply: unless I
       | have physically seen the UFO in question, any attempt by others
       | to persuade me they're real or operated by intelligences orders
       | of magnitude higher than ours, is invalid. You can't audit these
       | people's claims short of being physically with them when the
       | photo was taken. For all I know, someone put a piece of cheese on
       | the lens and then passed it off as a UFO.
       | 
       | That said, I did witness something strange about a year ago when
       | I looked up at the sky randomly. This object was darting really
       | fast at quite a height. I dismissed it as a drone, but I didn't
       | know drones could operate at such a height, and it done acute
       | turns without slowing down, something drones can't do, no matter
       | how many videos of drones turning acutely at speed you show me,
       | because an object _has_ to slow down before it does that. It 's
       | basic physics.
       | 
       | Anyway, it was good to see, since I was physically present, so at
       | least I can say these things could possibly fit the narrative of
       | 'aliens' or 'watchers' who are doing recon on our planet.
        
         | amerine wrote:
         | I also saw what you described once in southern Oregon right
         | along the California border, but it was in 1996 and I was a
         | kid. None of the adults around believed I saw an object moving
         | like that and were convinced I had noticed a satellite.
         | 
         | Satellites don't turn at acute angles without losing momentum.
         | They didn't believe me.
        
         | libertine wrote:
         | You might have seen a satellite, nowadays it's pretty common to
         | see them, especially starlink ones.
         | 
         | At least from a couple onward.
        
           | aaaaaaaaaaab wrote:
           | Satellites travel in straight lines. [1]
           | 
           | [1] akshually, those are elliptical orbits, but you get what
           | I mean
        
         | tshaddox wrote:
         | > and it done acute turns without slowing down, something
         | drones can't do, no matter how many videos of drones turning
         | acutely at speed you show me, because an object has to slow
         | down before it does that.
         | 
         | What you saw probably wasn't an expert flying a small RC
         | helicopter, but those can do things that I believe would appear
         | to some people as being almost impossible. It's not rare to see
         | seemingly genuine online comments on these sorts of videos
         | claiming they must be fake or sped up.
         | 
         | https://youtu.be/KmPchrGW1TQ
         | 
         | https://youtu.be/XlyxmqfTLxk
        
         | hammyhavoc wrote:
         | Now I want some Gouda.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | TrainedMonkey wrote:
         | I think a better way to phrase this is - extraordinary claims
         | require extraordinary evidence. Being present myself is a good
         | litmus test, but humans are pretty unreliable. Having multiple
         | corroborated credible sources would be much better. E.G.
         | multiple radars detecting an object approaching, many videos
         | from different view points, governments (who have access to
         | better data sources) scrambling interceptors, defcon level
         | rising, etc..
        
         | BLKNSLVR wrote:
         | > cheese on the lens
         | 
         | Or a faulty stench coil.
        
         | withinboredom wrote:
         | > so at least I can say these things could possibly fit the
         | narrative of 'aliens' or 'watchers' who are doing recon on our
         | planet.
         | 
         | Mandatory must-read: Backyard Starship. The writing isn't the
         | best in the world, but the premise and story is pretty darn
         | good.
        
           | smallmouth wrote:
           | Indeed. I second this recommendation.
           | 
           | I also recommend John Keel's "Operation Trojan Horse". He's
           | my favorite writer on the phenomenon and brings a skeptic's
           | wit to the analysis while not discounting the volumes of
           | testimony from highly credible witnesses.
        
         | BiteCode_dev wrote:
         | Similar observation a few years ago in the sea sky: some ligh
         | moving very high, with a strange flying pattern (like a very
         | fast bee), for 20 minutes, above my head, then disapearing. No
         | apparent light beam, support for light reflection, animal
         | presence or mechanical vehicule. Clear weather conditions.
         | 
         | It was, to my eyes, an object that was flying and that I
         | couldn't identify. So UFO applies.
         | 
         | The problem is not seing those.
         | 
         | The problem is making interpretations out of those.
         | 
         | Humans often prefer to create explanations than say they just
         | don't know.
         | 
         | Centuries ago, somebody spot lightning and said it was Thor. We
         | are mocking them now, but we are doing the same.
        
           | spaceman_2020 wrote:
           | I saw similar lights in the sky off the eastern coast of Sri
           | Lanka back in 2017. I assumed it was military aircraft since
           | that area is a hotbed of military activity.
           | 
           | But then it abruptly turned almost 60 degrees at a sharp
           | angle - like a cue ball bouncing off the walls of a billiards
           | table.
           | 
           | I don't know of anything that can move like that.
        
             | jay_kyburz wrote:
             | I've also seen 3 lights fly in formation then the two on
             | the wings make instant 90 turns and fly off into the
             | horizon.
        
             | puchatek wrote:
             | Search light hitting a cloud?
        
       | 1-6 wrote:
       | What ever happened to crop circles. Have we ever gotten to the
       | bottom of those?
        
         | spullara wrote:
         | https://www.smithsonianmag.com/arts-culture/crop-circles-the...
        
       | mikewarot wrote:
       | Context -- You can build a "ufo" (ion wind lifter) yourself, many
       | have[1]. The power to weight ratio is roughly equal to that of a
       | helicopter, so it's not trivial, but it could in theory be scaled
       | up to large enough to move battle tanks around on. You'd end up
       | with a large dark craft that glows a bit around the edges.
       | 
       | That's old physics, who knows what's been done since then.
       | 1 - http://jnaudin.free.fr/html/liftbldr.htm
        
       | yuan43 wrote:
       | > The Calvine UFO photograph is in my opinion the best image of
       | an unidentified flying object ever taken.
       | 
       | And yet the no evidence for this is presented in the entire
       | article. Government cover-up/friction is not evidence of
       | authenticity.
       | 
       | The person making the extraordinary claim is obligated to bring
       | the extraordinary evidence. There is none, so the author is
       | resorting to spinning conspiracy theories. Unfortunately, quite
       | typical of UFO "research."
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | sudden_dystopia wrote:
       | Ok so let's just say that the author is correct, and this thing,
       | among other sightings, are actually US secret projects. I can
       | believe that, but I would be much angrier if the government has
       | been covering up some sort of wild capabilities for at least the
       | past 30 years than if they have been covering up aliens for the
       | past 80 years. If we have the ability to fly silently at high
       | speeds, we have the ability to generate much more power at much
       | lower cost than we do currently...which means the technology is a
       | secret because releasing that tech into the world liberates the
       | peasants from their rulers.
        
         | spaceman_2020 wrote:
         | If these are indeed secret government projects, you'd wonder
         | why did taxpayers ever fund a trillion+ dollar F-35 program
         | that keeps running into problems year after year.
         | 
         | Surely these black ops operations couldn't have had a bigger
         | budget than the F-35 (if they did, you'd ask how did they
         | source the funds?). And if they didn't, how were they able to
         | get these experimental aircraft to fly better and faster than
         | the trillion dollar F-35 jets - decades ago? And if they were,
         | why are we not funding these hypersonic gravity defying jets
         | instead of an evolutionary upgrade to 4th gen fighter planes.
        
           | bee_rider wrote:
           | The F-35 ended up being a pretty impressive jet after all,
           | but let's go with the old story that it way under-performed
           | for the cost -- a possible explanation would be that most of
           | that trillion+ budget actually went to secret projects like
           | the hypersonic UFO stuff. (I don't actually believe this, but
           | it is at least a self-consistent explanation under the
           | assumption that the government is hyper-competent and has
           | this sci-fi UFO technology).
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | Same was said about the B-2 stealth bomber program: its
             | cost was so high that a popular conspiracy story was that
             | much of the funds go to something _really_ advanced and
             | thus not even spoken of publicly.
        
               | subsubzero wrote:
               | I think the cost per fighter was something like $2B which
               | to me seems absurd as once the initial research and test
               | plane were created the other planes should be relatively
               | cheap as they are making them off of well tested plans.
               | So either major grift by the manufacturer or something
               | else is getting that money. And the cost per plane keeps
               | getting higher every year which doesn't make sense.
        
               | tshaddox wrote:
               | They only made 21 of them, which is probably hardly
               | enough for marginal cost to even matter.
        
               | somat wrote:
               | The government tends to include operation costs. The 2
               | billion per plane includes the cost to run the things
               | over their lifespan. so the equation to get it is
               | something like.
               | 
               | stealth_bomber_design + stealth_bomber_r_and_d + ( 21 * (
               | stealth_bomber_manufacturing +
               | (stealth_bomber_operations_cost_per_year *
               | years_of_operation ) )
        
             | mywacaday wrote:
             | I can understand the misappropriation of funds to explain
             | what was done but what I can't understand is the depth and
             | number of layers required for the cover up. The amount of
             | people starting at the maintenance, cleaning etc all the
             | way through engineering, logistics, support to maintain
             | such a cover up just seems impossible to me.
        
           | checker wrote:
           | Alright, I'm no MAD game theory expert so I'll probably get
           | ripped apart, but I'll appreciate the discussion.
           | 
           | I've wondered if there's any MAD incentive to keep some major
           | groundbreaking technology under complete wraps (beyond TS -
           | see recent headlines). If MAD is disrupted by groundbreaking
           | tech, and if this technology would significantly boost strike
           | capabilities and possibly render nuclear weapons useless,
           | then the rival nations would be forced to exercise a nuclear
           | strike preemptively to ensure their security to prevent a war
           | they would inevitably lose.
           | 
           | So that's one theory that I've kicked around in my head as to
           | why we might have such tech but keep it such a tight secret.
           | It certainly could be complete fantasy or misunderstanding of
           | MAD. Please tell me why I'm wrong so I can bury this line of
           | thought!
        
           | Jenk wrote:
           | > trillion+ dollar F-35 program
           | 
           | <tin-foil>It makes perfect sense that the trillion+ didn't
           | actually go to the F-35 and was instead used for secret
           | projects, and the F-35 was a token effort to look
           | legit.</tin-foil>
        
             | Apocryphon wrote:
             | Pretty sure in the Cold War and so forth there were all
             | sorts of paper tiger projects that were just for show,
             | either to the public or for Soviet espionage.
        
         | YeBanKo wrote:
         | Cmdr. David Fravor in one of his interview mentioned, that he
         | does not believe that it is a secret gov program - he was
         | talking about tic tac, not this incident - because since that
         | encounter it would have come to light by now, because the
         | commercial value is just simply too great to stay secret. And
         | that this is what typically happens to military tech.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | I think it is much more mundane. The mythology around secret
         | aircraft makes them out to have super-performance or strange
         | advanced characteristics, when these things probably weren't
         | true at all.
         | 
         | I would believe exactly the opposite. Things like "flying
         | saucers" were attempts at secret advanced aircraft which
         | worked, but not particularly well, and never really went on to
         | be anything more than experimental aircraft. Leaks happened
         | from time to time to prod adversaries to worry and try to
         | develop competing technology to waste their time and resources.
         | 
         | The F117 looks pretty alien, that one worked though.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_F-117_Nighthawk
         | 
         | There are probably a handful of other examples, aircraft that
         | were tried but never made to work very well, work on new
         | principles of design that haven't been figured out yet, and are
         | still on the drawing board with various attempts to make them
         | work ongoing.
        
         | subsubzero wrote:
         | I would say the probability that the US has technology that was
         | demonstrated in the pentagon UFO tapes would be more surprising
         | to me than if these craft were actually made by non-humans.
         | 
         | If the US had possession of such technology in a black project
         | we would see some of the technology "bleed" into other
         | projects, notably the air force and drone technology. And right
         | now nothing the US possesses has those capabilities.
         | 
         | An alternate theory is that this is ruse by the US or another
         | foreign govt. projecting images into the sky and moving them
         | like a person using a laser pointer does across a wall. I don't
         | know of any technology that can project an image into the sky
         | like that, and then there is the radar signatures seen on some
         | of these things.
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | Technology wasn't demonstrated in the pentagon UFO tapes.
           | People extrapolated hypothetical technological capabilities
           | based on uncertain second or thirdhand evidence, sensational
           | reporting and eyewitness testimony. Not all such evidence may
           | be interpreted properly (certainly not by the internet
           | commentariat that wants to believe) nor may all
           | interpretations be valid. One "triangle UFO" video[0] has
           | already been debunked as lens bokeh[1].
           | 
           | Occam's Razor suggests that the vast majority of these
           | sightings are hoaxes or misinterpretations, and the rest are
           | conventional, albeit state of the art, aircraft whose actual
           | capabilites are beyond what people may assume possible (as
           | people in the 1960s might have assumed had they seen an SR-71
           | Blackbird when most commercial aircraft were still using
           | propellers) but still not physics-defying.
           | 
           | [0]https://www.businessinsider.com/pentagon-confirms-ufo-
           | video-...
           | 
           | [1]https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26838782
        
         | Simon_O_Rourke wrote:
         | Why? If we've got that capability then why telegraph it to
         | everyone else, including peer (or near peer) air forces around
         | the world.
         | 
         | If it's ours, great, let's keep a tight lid on it until we need
         | it. If it's not, let's discretely find out what it was. Period.
        
           | sudden_dystopia wrote:
           | Because if we do have the capability to create lots of cheap
           | energy, it could have been applied to various other sectors
           | and improved the quality of life for billions of people.
           | Instead of constraining us to the whims of oil barons.
        
             | krapp wrote:
             | Assuming this for the sake of argument, it might not be
             | cheap. Maybe we're talking about small portable fusion
             | engines that cost half a trillion dollars a piece to make,
             | and have a very short, single-purpose shelf life.
             | 
             | Remember the Area 51 lawsuit where workers sued over being
             | exposed to toxic fumes and chemicals, and as a result the
             | facility was exempted from all environmental laws? Maybe
             | the byproducts of creating this energy are more toxic and
             | dangerous than spent nuclear fuel, but it's the government
             | and the government doesn't give a damn, but there's no
             | feasible (much less legal) way to mass produce the
             | technology.
        
       | Flankk wrote:
       | The thing that doesn't make much sense to me is the variety of
       | shapes these things come in. Saucer, triangle, tic tac, pyramid,
       | cube, etc. The triangles are probably just military, but where
       | does that leave this other stuff? The military has had supersonic
       | drones for a long time so that could explain many other
       | sightings. The thing about aliens is it's exciting. The thing
       | that makes me wary is that even if the military declassified
       | hypersonic saucer drones people would just call it a psyop.
        
       | huron wrote:
       | That's totally an aircraft banked towards the camera. Turn the
       | image 90deg and it looks like a testbed a/c that Boeing had that
       | looked like something out of Batman. Brown from above makes sense
       | as it would help to hide it from foreign satellites.
        
       | thinkingemote wrote:
       | Stargazing and watching satellites in a very dark skies place, I
       | noticed that some satellites zigzaged about, moving at right
       | angles. I explain this by saccades of my eyes and the brain
       | trying to work out the pattern based on a black featureless
       | background.
       | 
       | Would make sense for the brain to estimate it as "flying bug"
       | with erratic flight than very smoothly straight flying mechanical
       | thing.
        
         | jcims wrote:
         | Very plausible explanation, but fwiw the 'zigzag' behavior
         | you're describing is also described by people out in places
         | where they have high end night vision goggles and nothing to do
         | all night but stare at the sky.
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | If you ever find yourself tempted to look down on or judge
       | someone for getting roped up in a cult or simply spewing some
       | dogma that you find ridiculous, please consider that UFOs (and a
       | bunch of other conspiracy theories) are just religion for
       | atheists.
       | 
       | Humans have a deep need, a very egotistical need in some ways, to
       | feel like there's a bigger plan, that they're part of something
       | and even that they're in possession with some secret knowledge
       | the masses aren't.
       | 
       | It's not too dissimilar to those who jump on the trend of the
       | latest fringe FTL technology idea. Warp drives, wormholes, space
       | folding, whatever. Part of this comes from a genuine desire for
       | some Star Trek or Star Wars future of visiting other stars
       | without taking a lifetime to get there. But part of it is also
       | some people realize that if the speed of light is a cosmic speed
       | limit (my personal belief) then the idea of alien visitors and
       | UFOs becomes truly ridiculous.
        
       | jeremycw wrote:
       | I wonder if it's possible this was an optical illusion. Seeing
       | optical illusions where oil tankers are hovering in mid-air has
       | changed my perception of what people could see and how it could
       | be misinterpreted. [1] I'm not a physicist but it almost looks
       | like the photo could be a mountain and it's reflection somehow
       | projected up into the sky similar to how the oil tanker is
       | projected in the sky.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-cornwall-56286719
        
       | saaaaaam wrote:
       | Isn't this just a photo of something similar to the Boeing "Bird
       | of Prey"
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_Bird_of_Prey
        
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       (page generated 2022-08-12 23:00 UTC)