[HN Gopher] Globalstar SEC filing, Apple to use 85% of its satel...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Globalstar SEC filing, Apple to use 85% of its satellite network
       capacity
        
       Author : samwillis
       Score  : 203 points
       Date   : 2022-09-07 19:04 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (sec.report)
 (TXT) w3m dump (sec.report)
        
       | manv1 wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globalstar
       | 
       | 9,600 bit/s packet switched Internet access (Direct Internet)
       | 9,600 bit/s circuit switched data calls (Direct Dial-Up)
       | 
       | That's probably under ideal conditions.
        
         | SSLy wrote:
         | APPL pays for new HW to replace their infra
        
       | greesil wrote:
       | Globalstar also has spectrum and the capability to have ancillary
       | terrestrial ground systems. Apple could just buy them now and
       | roll out its own cell network.
        
       | GekkePrutser wrote:
       | I'm surprised this feature is provided by Globalstar. That
       | network is, as the name says, global so why limit the feature to
       | the US and Canada?
        
       | wdb wrote:
       | Wondering how long it will take for it to work outside the Us
        
       | ceeplusplus wrote:
       | > Partner has agreed to make certain payments to the Company for
       | (i) 95% of the approved capital expenditures Globalstar makes in
       | connection with the new satellites described
       | 
       | The real secret that will be studied in business school for
       | decades to come is Apple's supplier model.
        
         | hackernewds wrote:
         | Having trouble understanding this. Why is it special that the
         | supply model be studied?
        
       | yardie wrote:
       | While I wish it was Iridium I guess it sort of makes sense. Out
       | of all the GMDSS satellite provider Globalstar had the weakest
       | offshore coverage. It appears they focus on the probably more
       | popular land based coverage rather than true global open water
       | coverage. Iridium probably has more expensive product for true
       | global coverage.
        
         | walrus01 wrote:
         | Globalstar having "weak" offshore and truly global coverage is
         | because the present globalstar architecture is a bent pipe, a
         | satellite needs to be simultaneously in view of a globalstar-
         | run earth station and the end user terminal (handheld phone,
         | data modem module with antenna, etc).
         | 
         | Globalstar in the serious two way satellite business has been a
         | joke for 15+ years, everyone who needs something serious
         | that'll work anywhere on the planet has implemented solutions
         | with Iridium, or something else geostationary based for low
         | data rate (inmarsat isatphone, if not needed for very high
         | latitude services). Or of course the wide array of different
         | types of Inmarsat medium speed much more costly data terminals
         | for briefcase-size folding (BGAN terminals, etc), ground
         | vehicles, ships and aviation.
         | 
         | One of the Inmarsat 3rd party RF/modem partners is now making a
         | data terminal for the medium sized UAV market which is about
         | 3.5 pounds of stuff total including the antenna and good for
         | 200-300 kbps of data, albeit at a typically high inmarsat $ per
         | MB cost.
         | 
         | Or with small ku/ka-band self aiming vsat terminals in radome
         | (commonly seen on ships), which get costly, which are quickly
         | having their market eaten by starlink's much higher speeds and
         | lower costs.
         | 
         | The value of globalstar at this point is probably in its
         | spectrum licenses and legal entity's ability to operate, which
         | given sufficiently deep pockets in capital resources, can be
         | replaced with much newer and better tech in the L/S-band
         | satellite-to-phone RF segment. I would bet good money that the
         | people who are bankrolling this believe that they now have
         | reliable access to two things:
         | 
         | a) relatively low $/kilogram cost for launches to LEO on some
         | spacex competitor
         | 
         | b) low cost per unit mass production of satellites in an
         | assembly line fashion, much as starlink satellites are
         | currently churned out in large quantities.
         | 
         | Obviously they now know that what Motorola designed in _1997_
         | for satellite-to-satellite data links in the same orbital plane
         | for Iridium was the right way to go, I 'd be shocked if a
         | replacement Globalstar network did not implement a more modern
         | version of the same. Same general idea as spacex's beta
         | satellite-to-satellite laser links.
         | 
         | In the defense contractor/military/DoD world I have literally
         | never seen a Globalstar terminal in use for anything anybody
         | cares about. The only globalstar phones I've seen were in the
         | hands of the staff of enthusiastic-but-utterly-telecom-clueless
         | international aid NGOs, which not surprisingly completely
         | failed to work in the location where they were trying to use
         | them. They ended up packing them back into their boxes, putting
         | them in a closet and buying Iridium handhelds.
         | 
         | Here's a CURRENT globalstar coverage map:
         | 
         | https://www.globalstar.com/Globalstar/media/Globalstar/Image...
         | 
         | The part in the filing that says this:
         | 
         | > Partner has agreed to make certain payments to the Company
         | for (i) 95% of the approved capital expenditures Globalstar
         | makes in connection with the new satellites described
         | 
         | I translate this as meaning that they intend to forklift
         | upgrade the entire network to something that they think can
         | reasonably compete with Iridium (and now SpaceX/Starlink) in
         | addition to other regional players like Thuraya, and also of
         | course Inmarsat.
        
           | kylehotchkiss wrote:
           | Apple figured out how to effectively buy a satellite network
           | without inheriting their pile of debt! What happens to the
           | apple funded satellites if Globalstar goes under, is there
           | some special clause that moves them directly to Apple?
           | 
           | If Apple really does acquire, I hope they ditch the bent pipe
           | architecture, work on sat-to-sat connection, and most
           | importantly for us, allow 2-way messaging on phones from sat,
           | enough to send photos and stuff.
        
             | hackernewds wrote:
             | Globalstar is a terrible asset and has limbered along for
             | 15 years. The fact that they would give up almost all their
             | capacity without even calling for an acquisition speaks to
             | their desperation, perhaps even Apple's
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | I am actually quite surprised that it hasn't gone fully
               | belly up some time in the past 10-12 years as their
               | product has been eclipsed by much more robust offerings
               | from competitors. How they've limped along with
               | additional funding I truly don't know.
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | > Global customer segments include oil and gas,
               | government, mining, forestry, commercial fishing,
               | utilities, military, transportation, heavy construction,
               | emergency preparedness, and business continuity as well
               | as individual recreational users.
               | 
               | From wikipedia.
               | 
               | Their customers seem to be pretty phone-call heavy
               | industries, they aren't competitive on the data front,
               | but aren't they cheaper than Iridium for phone calls?
        
               | Melatonic wrote:
               | Those radio band licenses though are the real value here
        
             | walrus01 wrote:
             | If one looks at the past 10 years of revenue and company
             | size as a whole of Globalstar, it's absolutely minuscule as
             | a corporate entity, apple could buy them on a casual whim.
        
             | jsmith45 wrote:
             | No. The terms seem designed to have the fallback option be
             | for Apple to purchase the company outright, or possibly to
             | purchase at least a controlling interest.
             | 
             | They have rules requiring the current Executive Chairman to
             | retain majority control for 5 years. They have a right of
             | first offer with him if he wants to sell stock.
             | 
             | With the company they have the right to submit a
             | counteroffer to any sale of assets required to provide the
             | services, or proposed sales of the company itself.
             | 
             | All of this makes me feel that they want to have this
             | company as an independent supplier, but have buying it up
             | as their backup plan.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Globalstar was a joke, not because of its architecture, but
           | because its satellites got irradiated and degraded to the
           | point they couldn't handle a phone-call even in their on-
           | shore/near-shore use case.
           | 
           | Nobody is going to invest in satellite phones or credits for
           | a provider that couldn't do space right.
           | 
           | An interesting alternative to sat comms is HF-DL if you don't
           | care for security. Cool to see all the Russia seized and
           | reregistered jetliner equipment pinging and hearing HF-DL
           | stations around the world on ACARS. Slow though, 300-1200bps.
        
             | mardifoufs wrote:
             | How did they survive with such a degraded service, who is
             | still using them when there are alternatives? Were they
             | competitive back when they launched, but just couldn't fund
             | maintenance? Iridium also had severe financial problems but
             | their own constellation and services are still pretty
             | reliable (all things considered), so I'm curious!
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | They survived primarily on machine to machine telemetry
               | data services.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Yep, these don't need instantaneous transfer so things
               | can buffer it, and they're probably already installed ...
        
             | walrus01 wrote:
             | Various ham radio data modes for 1200 bps or approximately
             | that speed can be implemented with big ass dipole and yagi
             | uda antennas for directional data links, with standard
             | crypto libraries between Linux systems operating as serial
             | bridge, it's just very very slow. And it's a gargantuan
             | pile of equipment and huge antenna compared to something
             | like iridium.
        
           | pclmulqdq wrote:
           | It turns out that long-range sat-to-sat connections are
           | actually really hard to do. SpaceX hasn't figured them out
           | yet, and neither has any other LEO provider. The people who
           | have figured them out are at MEO and higher, where you can
           | have fewer satellites and they can be a lot more expensive,
           | and they don't have any tricks: they just throw money and
           | power at the problem.
        
             | walrus01 wrote:
             | They were figured out in ka band rf for iridium 24+ years
             | ago, just at not very high data rates. For quite some
             | period of time the entire iridium network worldwide talked
             | to terrestrial networks in only two locations, Hawaii and
             | Arizona.
             | 
             | I'm not sure what you mean by meo operators figuring them
             | out because the only current noteworthy meo operator is o3b
             | and their satellites are bent pipe architecture.
             | 
             | Oneweb satellites, which is presently an incomplete
             | network, also do not implement satellite to satellite data
             | links.
        
             | pvarangot wrote:
             | Bird to bird in MEO in this type of constellations also
             | benefits from lower relative speed/doppler shift between
             | parties involved in the network.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | leetrout wrote:
       | Interesting they will do this but for smaller companies they will
       | not go into contract if they are more than X% of ARR.
        
         | walrus01 wrote:
         | globalstar as a corporate entity is in such a weak and
         | precarious financial position (due to its near obsolete
         | satellite tech and existing network), with no money to fund the
         | many hundreds of millions needed for a new build+launch
         | campaign, that any partnership of this type is a life saver.
         | 
         | without this deal it would be inevitable for the company to get
         | acquired and broken up for just the value of its operating and
         | spectrum licenses.
        
         | pmorici wrote:
         | Apple also appears to be taking an ownership stake in the
         | company so that probably aligns the incentives and reduces the
         | chance of them cutting and running.
        
       | samwillis wrote:
       | If I'm reading this filing right, Apple have committed to using
       | 85% of Globalstars satellite network capacity for the new
       | emergency messaging feature. It's seems astonishing to me that
       | they would be using this much bandwidth for that emergency
       | feature, and (at least initially) only on a small portion of
       | iPhones.
       | 
       | My only thinking is that they may be planning to make the
       | satellite network available to none emergency messaging too, and
       | that's what's covered in this filing.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | schappim wrote:
         | It isn't just used for the emergency feature, it is also used
         | for the "Find My" network. I suspect more traffic will come
         | from "Find My" than from the emergency feature.
        
           | c7DJTLrn wrote:
           | Source? That seems like a big omission from their keynote
           | earlier today.
        
             | melvinram wrote:
             | It wasn't omitted. It was covered in the keynote. It's also
             | on their website:                 Let friends know how
             | remote you go.              If you're on an adventure
             | without cell service,        you can now use Find My to
             | share your location        via satellite so friends and
             | family know where you are.
        
             | ezfe wrote:
             | They did mention it during the keynote, but it's not
             | automatic. It appears you have to open Find My and click to
             | share your location over satellite each time. Might be
             | wrong though, they didn't go into detail.
        
               | valine wrote:
               | I was under the impression that the iPhone needs to be
               | very precisely pointed at a satellite for this to work. I
               | doubt it can be done passively when the phone is in your
               | pocket.
        
               | xenospn wrote:
               | If the phone detects you're away from the network, they
               | could prompt you to update your location every once in a
               | while.
        
               | chrisshroba wrote:
               | I have a Garmin InReach and it can send location
               | periodically. While it is more effective to have it out
               | and pointed at a satellite, it still works in my pocket,
               | but may just take a little longer to send the messages.
               | For a feature like Find My, many people won't mind if the
               | location being sent is a little stale, but with emergency
               | SOS, you really want your message to go out ASAP, so it
               | makes sense that you need to point at a satellite for
               | SOS, but not for Find My tracking.
        
               | GekkePrutser wrote:
               | The InReach Mini has a helix antenna specifically built
               | for maximum gain towards the sats though. The iPhone
               | doesn't. Apple has even built in a pointing feature for
               | it.
               | 
               | You can't even realistically point the InReach Mini at a
               | satellite because it doesn't tell you where they are. At
               | any time there's only a couple of iridium sats in view
               | and they move quite fast across the sky.
               | 
               | But the device has an antenna with the right amount of
               | upwards gain and the right polarisation to deal with
               | that. For an iphone it's a lot harder to incorporate
               | that.
        
         | quitit wrote:
         | You are correct - the keynote mentioned that location sharing
         | is also available over satellite.
        
         | gigatexal wrote:
         | There's 1B iPhone users. If 10% upgrade to a 14 pro and over
         | the course of a few years that will ramp
        
         | closetohome wrote:
         | Apparently it works with Find My as well. I wouldn't be
         | surprised if they started rolling out premium features that
         | take more bandwidth once everybody's free two years expires.
        
           | Melatonic wrote:
           | Yea this must be the main feature. And is pretty huge. The
           | emergency thing is icing on the cake.
           | 
           | Unfortunately GlobalStar is probably one of the worst
           | satellite constellations out there (that I know of at least)
           | for actual communication (SPOT devices used or still use
           | GlobalStar and are famously crap compared to Garmin inReach
           | on Iridium). Of course it could be improved and they do have
           | the bandwith licenses which is important.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | This is it right here! The "emergency" part is a feel-good on
           | top of the real service, which is location updates every X
           | time even when off in no cell service land.
        
             | manderley wrote:
             | "every X time" meaning as often as you're willing to point
             | your phone at a satellite and wait a few minutes for your
             | location to transmit?
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | Not sure how much else they could do with it. You need to wave
         | your phone around at the sky to send a few bytes of data. It
         | must just be a really low capacity network.
        
           | matt-attack wrote:
           | Apple has apparently used a very very high gain (i.e. highly
           | directional) antenna. That's how they got around having that
           | big external antenna found on competitive hand-helds.
           | 
           | I quite like the idea of aiming it by hand using software as
           | the guide.
        
             | oceanplexian wrote:
             | Maybe Globalstar needs a big antenna, but Iridium doesn't.
             | I have a Garmin InReach with a 1 inch antenna and it works
             | fine without any antenna pointing antics.
        
               | jsjohnst wrote:
               | > I have a Garmin InReach with a 1 inch antenna and it
               | works fine
               | 
               | Your definition of the word "fine" is apparently rather
               | generous. Be in an actual emergency situation and the
               | InReach is down right frustrating as hell, but "better
               | than nothing". I don't have optimism for Apple's offering
               | either for the record.
        
               | turtlebits wrote:
               | I'd rather have no exposed antenna, no subscription fees
               | and no separate device.
               | 
               | For emergencies, having to point at the sky isn't a big
               | deal.
        
               | dougmwne wrote:
               | But it IS a big deal!
               | 
               | There's been a lot of research into emergency UX.
               | Basically, it needs to be dead simple or people die. In
               | an emergency, people are usually panicked, injured or in
               | shock. The tool needs to do its thing simply and
               | effortlessly to cut through the panic and confusion of a
               | real emergency. I have an avalanche transponder that is
               | one big button because when you friend just got buried
               | under 20 tons of snow and rocks, you have the leftover
               | brain for one button.
               | 
               | From the demo, I think Apple is very aware of this which
               | is why they give you a series of canned prompts. They've
               | probably already used up a significant cognitive load by
               | having you point the phone for signal that having you
               | type as well was considered dangerous.
        
             | sbierwagen wrote:
             | Those large external antennas _are_ high gain. Gain is a
             | function of antenna area: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ape
             | rture_(antenna)#Effective_a...
             | 
             | Apple's antenna can only be smaller if it's lower gain. I
             | would bet they're making that tradeoff because they don't
             | need as much bandwidth. (Emergency pings could be measured
             | in dozens of bytes, let alone kilobytes or megabytes.)
        
               | squeaky-clean wrote:
               | The Aperture and Gain section of that article says that
               | gain refers to the directivity of an antenna
               | 
               | > antennas with large effective apertures are considered
               | high-gain antennas (or beam antennas), which have
               | relatively small angular beam widths.
        
               | DesiLurker wrote:
               | I wonder if there could be a bluetooth (or connected)
               | high gain antenna attachment for the new iphone they
               | could sell as accessory.
        
             | vageli wrote:
             | > Apple has apparently used a very very high gain (i.e.
             | highly directional) antenna. That's how they got around
             | having that big external antenna found on competitive hand-
             | helds.
             | 
             | > I quite like the idea of aiming it by hand using software
             | as the guide.
             | 
             | In the event of an emergency, fumbling with my phone to
             | find service sounds like a nightmare.
        
               | midasuni wrote:
               | If you're in the middle of nowhere and have an emergency
               | where seconds count, you're dead anyway. This is the
               | difference between rescue in 2 hours and 2 days (or even
               | 2 weeks). Spending 5 minutes finding the transmitter
               | isn't a problem if you're stuck with a broken leg. If
               | you're struggling to control critical bleeding or are
               | doing CPR and are on your own (thus you can't spend the 5
               | minutes finding a signal) then you're screwed anyway.
        
               | JohnFen wrote:
               | In my state, emergency services point out that if you use
               | an emergency locator such as a Garmin, you should expect
               | that it may be a couple of days before rescue comes
               | anyway. It depends on exactly where you are, of course.
        
               | reaperducer wrote:
               | But it will probably reduce the number of casual
               | pranksters.
               | 
               | Also, difficult-to-use is better than zero connectivity,
               | which is the current situation.
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | The tens of thousands billed for a frivolous rescue
               | request probably will stop the casual pranksters too,
               | getting a helicopter out to wherever you're stuck isn't a
               | free service. If you're really out in remote places
               | often, you probably know this well enough to get rescue
               | insurance.
        
               | JohnFen wrote:
               | In my state, the bill will be in the five or six figures
               | -- but if you were legitimately in real danger, they will
               | usually opt not to charge you. If you called them by
               | mistake or as a prank, you'll pay.
        
               | ar_turnbull wrote:
               | Actually it depends. In Canada, many rescue services are
               | free (North Shore Vancouver is a well known one here) as
               | well as in the National Parks (the cost is essentially
               | insurance paid for by the park pass fee) and many
               | provincial parks.
               | 
               | There is an argument that pay for rescue causes people to
               | hesitate to call and that can lead to worse outcomes
               | and/or more dangerous rescue scenarios.
        
               | TillE wrote:
               | I don't know what the current state of the art is, but it
               | sounds considerably easier to use than old satellite
               | phones. Plus you don't have to lug around a satellite
               | phone.
        
               | detaro wrote:
               | It sounds worse than current dedicated emergency beacons
               | (which afaik usually are both satellite uplink and lower-
               | frequency beacon), and I'd expect many/most people using
               | them today will continue to carry them. But many people
               | don't, and even if you do it is another fallback.
        
               | spacedcowboy wrote:
               | The best camera is the one you have with you, and no-
               | one[*] carries around an SLR camera these days.
               | 
               | Similarly, the best emergency-alert system is the one you
               | have with you. Apple is playing the long game, getting
               | their feet wet in a new area, and providing some value.
               | They will iterate, it's what they do.
               | 
               | [1] For some definition of "no-one". Obviously some
               | people do carry around SLR's but it's a tiny minority.
        
               | detaro wrote:
               | Isn't that pretty much what I said?
        
               | oceanplexian wrote:
               | I carry an InReach mini in my airplane when flying over
               | wilderness areas. Unfortunately I don't think I could
               | trust the iPhone. With the Garmin you can press one
               | button and it'll send out an emergency beacon without
               | having to aim it.
        
               | googlryas wrote:
               | Where are you flying out of curiosity? Flying over
               | sparsely populated areas of rockies in Colorado, I very
               | frequently have cell service. Having said that, nothing
               | wrong with being prepared, I'm just curious about your
               | situation. I might start doing that too. I always figured
               | if I actually went down, landing would be the hard part,
               | not staying alive once I landed.
        
               | ar_turnbull wrote:
               | To be fair I barely trust my InReach either. Overcast
               | days, canyons, and any kind of tree cover consistently
               | result in delayed or failed messages. And even if they
               | report as "sent" on the device sometimes the recipient
               | doesn't get them.
               | 
               | And for a dedicated device, the tracking feature is
               | laughably bad with worse accuracy than my friend's watch.
               | 
               | Better than nothing in case of emergency but the
               | reliability leaves a lot to be desired.
        
               | detaro wrote:
               | Are the messaging and emergency functions the same with
               | those? For emergency beacons there is also a ~400Mhz
               | frequency that is monitored independently (vs satellite
               | communication at higher frequencies)
        
               | dewey wrote:
               | > In the event of an emergency, fumbling with my phone to
               | find service sounds like a nightmare.
               | 
               | It doesn't have to be perfect, compared to the current
               | alternative of 1) Having nothing to fumble around or 2)
               | Be one of the few people with a full on expensive
               | satellite phone I think it's a valuable addition.
               | 
               | Similar to how Chase Jarvis said "the best camera is the
               | one you always have with you", this is also the case for
               | emergency equipment.
        
               | midasuni wrote:
               | The other option is 3) a satelite distress beacon, but
               | most people don't have them
        
         | heartbreak wrote:
         | Imagine a repeat of Hurricane Harvey, but this time people can
         | request rescues via their iPhone's satellite capability. That
         | could generate a relatively high volume of traffic.
        
         | blantonl wrote:
         | I think you underestimate how many iPhones are sold per year,
         | and how many phones Apple forecasts to sell for the 14 model
         | which is satellite enabled. We're talking tens of millions
         | 
         | Couple that with phones that will roam into satellite coverage
         | in rural areas... there will be extensive bandwidth
         | requirements from this newly deployed fleet. Especially in the
         | summer...
        
           | mort96 wrote:
           | They described the bandwidth as tens of seconds to minutes
           | for sending single, short, compressed messages, with your
           | phone aimed right at a satellite for the duration. This isn't
           | the kind of network which you "roam" with.
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | _phones that will roam into satellite coverage in rural
           | areas_
           | 
           | That's not what Apple announced. Satellite service is only
           | for emergencies and is cumbersome to use.
        
             | bdonlan wrote:
             | They mentioned a feature where your location could be sent
             | via satellite in "find my" even in a non-emergency.
        
               | xattt wrote:
               | It looks it still takes some effort to send out a message
               | with aiming and everything.
        
               | cavisne wrote:
               | The findmy feature was in the press release. The aiming
               | is probably only important for the sos case (sending the
               | message immediately). Findmy can probably just update the
               | location in the background whenever it gets a signal
        
               | tialaramex wrote:
               | Yes, findmy messages are store-and-forward. So the phone
               | notices, "Huh, I saw something, when I was here, at this
               | time, but I have no WiFi or cell signal" so it goes in a
               | pile, and then a while later it has satellite, but still
               | no WiFi or cell signal, so it sends out the pile.
               | 
               | I'm surprised it's worth doing this, I'd have expected
               | that most findmy situations it's enough to get the pile
               | of data hours or days later when somebody has Internet
               | access again. Like, suppose I drop my airpods out of a
               | pocket on some mountain trail on Saturday morning, a
               | subsequent walker's iPhone sees them, but has no WiFi of
               | course, however on Monday they're in the office, their
               | iPhone reports it saw my airpods, X here at T time, and
               | that's enough that I should be able (if I want) to go
               | back and find them.
               | 
               | The place you might spend longer periods with only
               | satellite is the open ocean, but basically if you lose
               | shit in the ocean it's fucking gone.
        
               | vineyardmike wrote:
               | Find My isn't just Find My Stuff. It's also Find My
               | Friends and Find My Family Member.
               | 
               | The use case isn't AirPods lost in the tundra it's your
               | husband or wife lost in the tundra.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | aabhay wrote:
             | For now! It would make sense for Apple to eventually
             | own/manage a satellite fleet for global communication in
             | the near future. The current carriers must be shitting
             | their pants about this.
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | They're funding a large amount of GlobalStar's future
               | constellation, which seems like a pathway to ownership
               | (if Globalstar goes under or apple can acquire without
               | the debt burden)
        
               | ZetaZero wrote:
               | Apple also funds much of TSMC's growth, without any
               | pathway to ownership. Apple is likely just buying top
               | priority.
        
               | rjzzleep wrote:
               | Let's be real here, TSMC's growth is there with or
               | without Apple.
        
               | sangnoir wrote:
               | Apple prefers to keep away from the downsides of actual
               | ownership while having the upsides of being an only
               | customer
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | Does anyone prefer to keep the downsides? The only thing
               | stopping people is not having the cash to be able to do
               | the same.
        
               | jlmorton wrote:
               | I'm not exactly sure what you're imagining, but there are
               | fundamental physics problems in the way of just launching
               | a bunch of satellites and enabling global communications.
               | 
               | Apple has partnered with Globalstar to use geostationary
               | satellites to send incredibly small amounts of data
               | measured in bytes, not kilobytes. These satellites have
               | only limited bandwidth, and it's very expensive. And with
               | the antenna size and power available in a phone today,
               | it's never going to be more than kilobytes.
               | 
               | SpaceX Starlink/TMobile announced a much higher-bandwidth
               | option, but it's incredibly fleeting, lasting just a few
               | seconds.
               | 
               | Starlink satellites are in very low Earth orbit, moving
               | at 8km/second. You can't just point an antenna at it and
               | have it work. The antenna needs to track the satellite.
               | And it needs to have a constant line of sight free of
               | obstructions. Starlink currently builds a very cheap
               | phased-array antenna, but it's still ~$1,000 to
               | manufacture, it's a couple cubic feet in volume, and it
               | uses >100 watts.
               | 
               | Starlink V2 will bring very large antennas to Starlink
               | satellites which will enable direct 5G connectivity, but
               | that connectivity will last for a few seconds, with
               | perhaps thirty minutes between connections.
               | 
               | I'm not saying it's impossible, but no one knows how to
               | build a satellite system currently that will cause any
               | carriers to shit their pants.
        
               | kanbara wrote:
               | not geosync, LEO.
        
               | oceanplexian wrote:
               | The way technology is headed there is a 110% chance that
               | the phased array tech gets miniaturized and put into a
               | phone. And once the constellation is filled in, you'll be
               | able to find any tiny slice of sky and talk to a starlink
               | sat that's flying through it. Indoors is still a problem
               | but who knows, things are always evolving.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | You can't take say Moore's Law for chip tech and slap it
               | on to radio tech. They're fundamentally different
               | physical processes. There are limits to radio
               | transmission and reception bandwidth and range due to the
               | basic physics that you can't end run. The inverse square
               | law is a harsh master, for any given level of technology
               | a transmitter 100x closer is going to have a 10,000x
               | advantage however you slice it.
               | 
               | What they might be able to do is expand this to something
               | like limited texting, or maybe down the line even non-
               | realtime voice messaging.
        
               | jorvi wrote:
               | We are still able to have two-way communication with both
               | Voyagers.
               | 
               | Google's Lyra codec can already get down to 3Kb/s and be
               | reasonably audible. It's not a stretch to imagine within
               | a few years we'll be able to push that to below 1Kb/s.
               | 
               | Taking those two things together, I think it's fairly
               | reasonable to assume at least text and voice are within
               | reach.
        
               | madengr wrote:
               | Globalstar simplex only takes about 200 mW over 2 seconds
               | to deliver a 72 byte message, into an antenna about 0 dBi
               | gain. See the STX3 transmitter module.
        
               | gtvwill wrote:
               | That doesn't feel very efficient. 72 bytes is nothing.
        
               | pcdoodle wrote:
               | 72 bytes is more than your reply here.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | > Apple has partnered with Globalstar to use
               | geostationary satellites
               | 
               | I haven't read the announcement, but Globalstar's
               | constellation is in LEO.
        
               | tshaddox wrote:
               | Indeed. Until a few years ago I was also under the
               | impression that the satellite phone constellations were
               | geostationary or at least geosynchronous. I remember
               | growing up in the 90s hearing about satellite phones and
               | how they had a very noticeable delay, which I assumed
               | meant they were _way up there_. But perhaps that was just
               | an older generation of constellations, because Globalstar
               | and Iridium (by far the most popular networks in use by
               | consumer-grade devices) are definitely LEO.
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | inmarsat does sell a handheld satellite phone product
               | (google "inmarsat isatphone") which uses narrow band data
               | channels and handhelds to talk to geostationary
               | satellites. Its coverage is not quite as solid or
               | reliable as iridium, because you can be easily obstructed
               | by a mountain on your south side if you're at latitude
               | 45N or something, and doesn't extend beyond about 70
               | degrees north, but it's also priced cheaper than iridium
               | for the hardware and the monthly service.
               | 
               | what _most_ people think of as a satellite phone is
               | indeed LEO since iridium has the lion 's share of the
               | market.
        
               | gtvwill wrote:
               | Yeah but their satellites are basically oversized
               | analogue relays. So bandwidth is bugger all with little
               | capacity to increase it. So Leo or not it's like having
               | CDMA speeds as your cap. Pretty much useless for anything
               | other than a GPS location ping for emergency use.
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | > Apple has partnered with Globalstar to use
               | geostationary satellites
               | 
               | globalstar's existing network and licenses have nothing
               | to do with geostationary _at all_.
               | 
               | please don't comment on things like this if you have
               | fundamental misunderstandings about the nature of
               | different types of mutually incompatible satellite
               | network technology.
        
               | wmf wrote:
               | _Starlink V2 will bring very large antennas to Starlink
               | satellites which will enable direct 5G connectivity, but
               | that connectivity will last for a few seconds, with
               | perhaps thirty minutes between connections._
               | 
               | It sounded like temporary connectivity was only
               | initially; once they have a full shell of V2 satellites I
               | would expect constant connectivity.
        
               | shaklee3 wrote:
               | Starlink is not going to be faster than this necessarily.
               | Starlink is also low bandwidth, but has to be compatible
               | with _all_ phones. So they are not able to design
               | hardware in the phone with a better antenna for this
               | purpose as Apple can do.
        
               | deltree7 wrote:
               | They aren't.
               | 
               | https://www.t-mobile.com/news/un-carrier/t-mobile-takes-
               | cove...
               | 
               | I'd also bet on Starlink to scale better than Globalstar
               | (after they also own the fucking rockets). Add better
               | features and innovate
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | krrrh wrote:
             | The ones that are going to be hurting right away are Garmin
             | with their InReach line and Zoleo. This covers the most
             | important thing that backcountry types pay monthly fees and
             | carry an extra device for, which are emergencies, but Apple
             | didn't mention anything about two way texts which is a
             | secondary but important use. Backcountry hunters will still
             | pay money for now to be able to text home or send a message
             | to the floatplane pilot but that's not going to last for
             | long. Overall what they showed in terms of positioning the
             | phone to get a good satellite connection looks about as
             | reliable and cumbersome as using an InReach, which is fine.
             | 
             | Today was a real shot at two of Garmin's profit centres
             | with the Apple Watch Pro also targeting their GPS sports
             | watches.
        
               | tacoman wrote:
               | I switched from Globalstar to Zoleo (Iridium) because
               | Globalstar wasn't reliable enough for use cases like
               | messaging the float plane pilot. I'd often have to wait
               | for certain times of the day to send messages or make
               | calls. This was at about 54 deg lat, so not in the
               | fringes at all.
               | 
               | It may have been my device (older Qualcomm branded
               | phone), but my experience seems consistent with what
               | others report.
               | 
               | On the contrary, I've been very happy with the Zoleo
               | device and service. It's been 100% reliable in all
               | conditions even in the middle of the bush.
        
               | golan wrote:
               | I own a Garmin InReach that I regularly take with me on
               | hiking expeditions (mostly Scotland, Iceland and South
               | Africa) and it's super handy on remote areas with no
               | coverage. The ability to send an SOS is the main feature,
               | but the two-way messaging system is just amazing for
               | peace of mind, for me and my family. However, the main
               | thing about the InReach is its ruggedness and battery
               | life, which I consider essential. I always carry an
               | iPhone with me that I use when and if I get reception,
               | but I need to carry a battery pack for it and it's always
               | in the back of my mind that an iPhone is a relatively
               | fragile device and it's one misstep away from
               | cracking/breaking/etc, hence the inReach.
               | 
               | Moving forward, having both will be great, but I think
               | having to rely only on an iPhone would make me a bit
               | nervous, so I'm not sure how much of a threat this is for
               | the inReach devices (at least for now).
        
               | tshaddox wrote:
               | I think this drastically underestimates or at least
               | undersells the impact of convenience, or in this case the
               | maximum possible level of convenience which is _already
               | having the feature even if you don 't know it_. Similar
               | arguments could have and indeed were made for every other
               | small electronic device the smartphone has replaced. It's
               | not that the advantages you listed don't exist, it's just
               | that they won't hold a candle to the explosion of
               | smartphones with satellite messaging built in by default.
               | I feel like even just 1 year (and 200 million satellite-
               | enabled iPhones) from today pointing out these advantages
               | is going to look like people pointing out that land lines
               | have better audio quality and lower latency than cell
               | phones.
               | 
               | I always carry my InReach with periodic location sharing
               | enabled when I'm on backpacking trips. I also almost
               | always carry it during international travel and road
               | trips, but not usually with periodic location sharing. If
               | iPhones start offering plans with periodic location
               | sharing, I'm fairly confident that I'd stop carrying the
               | InReach unless I was on a particularly remote trip that
               | was outside of my comfort zone (which isn't something I
               | really do anyway).
        
               | cameldrv wrote:
               | I'm pretty sure there won't be a two way feature here.
               | They're using the same network as SPOT and the feature
               | set looks very similar. With the classic SPOT, you can
               | send one of three preset messages along with your
               | coordinates, or send an emergency message. SPOT also lets
               | you track, which is the same message format but the
               | device sends it automatically at regular intervals.
               | 
               | Communication is one-way only and there is no way to
               | verify delivery.
               | 
               | I agree that this will cut into InReach sales, because it
               | provides about 70% of the capability and it's built into
               | your phone. That said, the two way full text messaging
               | and confirmation of delivery are huge advantages,
               | especially if you actually plan to use it as opposed to
               | it being a "just in case" communication device.
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | poulsbohemian wrote:
         | You do have to wonder at what point Apple decides they don't
         | need Verizon, T-Mobile et. al. Maybe it's still a long ways
         | off, but if you've gone through the effort of building
         | relationships, hardware, software, etc to weave together a
         | satellite network, why not just keep going down that path?
        
           | xattt wrote:
           | My guess for Apple's long game is is to turn the Find My
           | network into a distributed network for comms beyond location
           | data.
           | 
           | One of the incentives to participate may be free or reduced-
           | cost satellite data.
        
           | martinald wrote:
           | You're vastly underestimating the bandwidth required for
           | cellular service. A starlink sat "cell" can do ~20gbit/sec
           | (though I actually think real world performance will be
           | massively lower). This covers hundreds of kilometres.
           | 
           | A single cell tower with 5G/4G is not far off doing that, per
           | sector. And these cell towers can cover as little as 500m or
           | less in dense urban areas. The problem is there are very real
           | physics you come up against with this. We are really tapping
           | out efficiency gains these days so the only option is more,
           | higher frequency spectrum and much denser cell networks.
        
             | jsjohnst wrote:
             | > A single cell tower with 5G/4G is not far off doing that,
             | per sector.
             | 
             | Assuming you mean LTE when you say 4G, the per sector
             | bandwidth is customarily an order of magnitude less 20gbps.
             | Even in the case of 5G, with sub-6Ghz, you rarely will see
             | above 15gbps.
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | Or the capacity of the network is _really_ low.
        
           | wongarsu wrote:
           | According to Wikipedia they have 52 first-generation
           | satellites from the late 90s, and 24 second-generation
           | satellites from around 2010. And if we go by Iridium's
           | lifetime I wouldn't expect the first generation to still be
           | operational.
           | 
           | Compared to Starlink's 2400 currently operational satellites
           | that does seem low. Even compared to Iridium's 75 from the
           | late 2010s, Globalstar's 24 seems small.
        
             | thrdbndndn wrote:
             | >I wouldn't expect the first generation to still be
             | operational
             | 
             | From Wikipedia:
             | 
             | >In 2007, Globalstar launched eight additional first-
             | generation spare satellites into space to help compensate
             | for the premature failure of their in-orbit satellites.
             | Between 2010 and 2013, Globalstar launched 24 second-
             | generation satellites in an effort to restore their system
             | to full service.
             | 
             | So you're totally right.
        
             | mirekrusin wrote:
             | They say 85% so it must be 17 out of 20, no?
        
             | oneplane wrote:
             | It's the kind of 'low bandwidth' you'd see with analog
             | telephone modems. A single JSON request-response over TLS
             | would take many seconds.
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | Current generation globalstar is about the same speed as
               | first gen iridium, which is around the speed of a 2400
               | bps dialup modem from the late 1980s.
               | 
               | With the current satellites, yes, if they think they have
               | enough capital (at least many hundreds of millions) to
               | launch a new clean sheet of paper design LEO network
               | using the existing globalstar L/S-band spectrum licenses,
               | they could implement something better.
               | 
               | The value of globalstar is not in the existing satellites
               | and earth stations, which are pretty much trash at this
               | point for any modern use except very low data rate M2M
               | data in certain geographically restricted areas. The
               | value is in the existing LEO network operational
               | licenses.
        
               | oneplane wrote:
               | Yep, similar value is found on other technically inept
               | solutions that are mostly kept around to keep the license
               | to operate active (since some of those require active use
               | to retain them).
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | The mentioned in the announcement developing a very
               | efficient data codec for text compression, I'd presume
               | something Binary and not over TLS, just raw data packets
               | probably with some encryption
        
               | oneplane wrote:
               | I'm sure the Apple use case is different from a web api,
               | but it was more for illustrative purposes. I imagine most
               | developers know how to wrap data in JSON and how to do a
               | HTTP call over TLS. When using that as a point of
               | reference, having such a transmission take a long time
               | might show how little bandwidth some M2M networks have
               | (or need).
               | 
               | I wouldn't be surprised if the current Globalstar network
               | is so limited it wouldn't even do voice.
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | They support voice (https://www.globalstar.com/en-
               | us/products/voice-and-data), it's my understanding that
               | it's analog and not digital though, like a really
               | narrowband landline phone call
        
       | alecfreudenberg wrote:
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | wmf wrote:
       | The timing of the Starlink/T-Mobile pre-announcement makes sense
       | now.
        
         | darknavi wrote:
         | And a lot more attractive. An addition subscription for a hard
         | to use SOS vs 3G data speeds for "free" for many T-Mobile
         | customers.
         | 
         | I will also say one is vaporware at this point and one is
         | coming out next week.
        
           | alphabettsy wrote:
           | iPhone 14 users will enjoy both though right?
        
           | valine wrote:
           | Tmobile Starlink is text only. It definitely does not support
           | 3G data speeds.
        
           | modeless wrote:
           | SpaceX's offering is not 3G data speeds per user. It's 3G
           | data speed shared between all users in a "cell" which is 150
           | square miles. Which requires drastically limiting what users
           | can use it for to avoid overwhelming the satellites.
           | Initially they will only allow text messages (not just SMS
           | though, select messaging apps will work). Maybe voice calls
           | in the future.
           | 
           | But yeah, SpaceX's offering is going to be way better if it
           | works as advertised. Doesn't require buying a new phone.
           | Doesn't require holding your phone pointing in a particular
           | direction for minutes at a time. Can be used for any purpose,
           | not just emergencies. Potentially works anywhere on the
           | Earth's surface including the oceans and the poles, with the
           | only restrictions being legal/regulatory.
        
       | mandeepj wrote:
       | I believe Apple is going to - either acquire Globalstar or a
       | similar satellite carrier (Lynk?) in the future. It's safe to buy
       | stocks of the former.
        
         | boringg wrote:
         | Probably get some call options on Globalstar on an easy bounce.
        
         | mikece wrote:
         | Or hedge their bets by buying a right of first refusal option
         | from Globalstar should anyone else try to acquire them while
         | leaving Apple free to look for other options and partners.
        
           | jws wrote:
           | The feature is sold as a two year free subscription to the
           | service, not a feature of the device. That suggests to me
           | Apple isn't committed to this forever. They want do be able
           | to abandon the technology and human staffed relay
           | infrastructure if this is eclipsed by satellite 5G or some
           | other option and not get sued in 195 countries for breaking a
           | device feature after the sale.
        
             | mandeepj wrote:
             | > That suggests to me Apple isn't committed to this
             | forever.
             | 
             | Apple TV+ is also offered as 1 year free service when you
             | buy a new phone, then you can also say the same about it,
             | but - in fact - needless to say, Apple is committed to it.
        
         | grork wrote:
         | I mean, there is this clause in the 8k:
         | 
         | "On September 7, 2022, Partner and Thermo entered into a lock-
         | up and right of first offer agreement that generally (i)
         | requires Thermo to offer any shares of Globalstar common stock
         | to Partner before transferring them to any other Person other
         | than affiliates of Thermo and (ii) prohibits Thermo from
         | transferring shares of Globalstar common stock if such transfer
         | would cause Thermo to hold less than 51.00% of the outstanding
         | common stock of the Company for a period of 5 years from the
         | Service Launch (as defined below). This agreement does not
         | prohibit the Company from entering into a change of control
         | transaction at any time."
        
       | vzaliva wrote:
       | On September 7, 2022, Apple Inc. ("Partner") announced new
       | satellite-enabled services for certain of its products.
       | 
       | Where's the announcement?
        
         | rzz3 wrote:
         | At the keynote this morning.
        
       | alberth wrote:
       | Box out competition.
       | 
       | The title is misleading. The filing doesn't say Apple will "use"
       | 85%.
       | 
       | The actual filing says
       | 
       | "Allocate 85% of its current and future network capacity to
       | support the Services (see further discussion of capacity below)"
       | 
       | This could simply be that Apple is buying up the bulk of the
       | capacity to box out competitors from offering same functionality.
       | 
       | Just like what they do with TSMC.
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | I'm pretty sure Apple uses the TSMC capacity they pay for. To
         | do otherwise would be financial mismanagement.
        
       | minus7 wrote:
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | smm11 wrote:
       | Apple needs emergency satellite access the way it routes everyone
       | to the wrong place.
        
         | ezfe wrote:
         | 2012 was 10 years ago lol
        
         | post-it wrote:
         | I've come to prefer Apple Maps. I like that it tells me "skip
         | the next light" or "at the next light/stop sign, turn" rather
         | than just the street name.
        
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