[HN Gopher] The Lilium Jet
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       The Lilium Jet
        
       Author : trollied
       Score  : 48 points
       Date   : 2022-10-01 07:30 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (lilium.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (lilium.com)
        
       | trollied wrote:
       | I had this pop up as a recommendation on youtube. Video of a test
       | flight, VTOL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ywJWka1evH8
        
         | _Microft wrote:
         | The interesting part seems to be happening around 1:20-1:30
         | minutes into the video. The main wings and canadards (that's
         | the smaller wings at the front) are oriented fully parallel to
         | the direction of flight. The threads indicating the flow of air
         | over the surfaces are no longer moving around and therefore air
         | is moving smoothly over the wings. The aircraft seems to be
         | relying fully on lift provided by the wings instead of the
         | engines. As far as I know they hadn't achieved _that_ before.
         | 
         | The thrust required for level flight with lift provided by
         | wings is said to be ~ 10% of what is required for vertical
         | take-off and landing.
         | 
         | https://youtu.be/ywJWka1evH8?t=82
        
       | 6stringmerc wrote:
       | This seems viable especially as next generation power storage
       | comes into the fold. Finally using the wings for sustained flight
       | - something that doesn't take nearly as much energy as getting
       | whatever payload off the ground in the first place.
        
       | zac23or wrote:
       | All electric airplane designs today appear to be frauds (like all
       | crypto currency projects), because no one airplane project
       | answers the most important problem: battery power density.
        
         | johndevor wrote:
         | Talyn does: https://www.talyn.com/
        
         | J5892 wrote:
         | My crypto project is powered by D batteries.
         | 
         | I don't know how dense they are, but they're pretty heavy.
        
           | LightG wrote:
           | Your batteries are my ... my density ... I mean, I mean, my
           | destiny ...
           | 
           | (someone will get this).
        
         | kybernetikos wrote:
         | What level of detail do you want? https://lilium.com/newsroom-
         | detail/technology-behind-the-lil... has some discussion of it
         | in Item 3 as does https://lilium.com/newsroom-detail/liliums-
         | battery-strategy
        
           | zac23or wrote:
           | It's nothing, it's a Pr text.
        
         | karamanolev wrote:
         | Kind of tongue-in-cheek, but I want to know what's the project
         | that scores the most fraud points, while still being serious -
         | blockchain, electric-powered, self-driving/flying
         | airplane/car/submersible hybrid sold as NFTs?
        
       | narrator wrote:
       | The hydrogen conversion of the Cessna Caravan seems a little more
       | practical. Hydrogen is bulky, but light. Fuel cells aren't cheap
       | though. However, hydrogen is quick to refuel unlike battery
       | charging. I think the weight to power is better with hydrogen
       | than li-ion and weight is the most important thing for aviation.
       | 
       | https://www.militaryaerospace.com/commercial-aerospace/artic...
        
         | VBprogrammer wrote:
         | Hydrogen is light but tanks capable of 10,000psi don't tend to
         | be. Nor particularly are cryogenic tanks but at least that
         | improves the situation volume problem by an order of magnitude.
        
         | stareatgoats wrote:
         | Hydrogen will likely win out ultimately, once they have figured
         | out which high density solid-state hydrogen storage solution is
         | the most viable for aviation. It's not going to be the most
         | energy efficient (many big losses in the process of converting
         | to water to solid-state hydrogen), but it is vastly safer than
         | the alternatives and will likely at least enable long range
         | green air travel, at long last.
        
         | chroma wrote:
         | Hydrogen fuel cells won't happen. There are too many downsides.
         | 
         | Hydrogen must be stored as a compressed gas or as a deep
         | cryogenic liquid. Either way such tanks are expensive, heavy,
         | and create safety concerns. Hydrogen is a very pernicious
         | molecule, and leaks cannot be detected by human senses. All
         | hydrogen vehicles and fueling stations need special sensors to
         | detect leaks. Hydrogen is much easier to ignite than gasoline.
         | Any concentration from 4-74% will explode in air, and the flame
         | is nearly invisible.
         | 
         | Refueling a hydrogen tank involves going from high pressure to
         | low pressure, which causes the fuel line and nozzle to get
         | extremely cold. Even in southern California, refueling a few
         | Toyota Mirais causes the nozzle to freeze to the valve. This
         | limits refueling speeds and duty cycles.
         | 
         | Lastly, hydrogen is far less efficient as an energy storage
         | medium. With a battery, you put electricity in and get
         | electricity out. It's 80-90% efficient. With hydrogen, you use
         | electricity to split water, then compress and liquefy the
         | hydrogen, then run it through a fuel cell. The fuel cell itself
         | is 40-60% efficient. At the end of the whole process, around
         | 30% of your initial electricity comes out of the fuel cell.
        
         | joe_the_user wrote:
         | If you can switch battery packs, refueling could be very quick.
        
           | mikepurvis wrote:
           | And even though they're heavy and bulky, it's much more
           | tractable to install that infrastructure at a few dozen key
           | airports, and also to manage the tracing/ownership of
           | "fleets" of batteries.
           | 
           | Battery swapping has repeatedly faceplanted when it comes to
           | cars, but it's a pretty different scope of challenge, and it
           | seems like every major issue is more favourable to aircraft.
           | 
           | On the other hand, planes are often on the ground for 2+ hrs
           | between flights anyway, so maybe it could be realistic with
           | enough power delivery capability to just charge a big pack in
           | situ. Certainly simpler to plug in a big umbilical at the
           | gate than having to have another ground vehicle reaching into
           | the belly of the thing.
        
         | mattmaroon wrote:
         | I've been wondering also why fuel cells aren't used. Hydrogen
         | is less energy dense than fossil fuels in terms of energy per
         | unit of volume, but much more dense in terms of weight (almost
         | 3) and far far more than batteries, which matters more in
         | aviation.
         | 
         | It seems like an obvious choice to me.
        
           | sacrosancty wrote:
           | Squared-cubed law for tank weight and fuel weight. So
           | hydrogen will have poor energy density at small scales. Not
           | sure where it dips below that of batteries but rockets are OK
           | with it, so smaller than that.
           | 
           | Perhaps if you store it in a balloon? But then volume would
           | bed a problem for an aeroplane.
        
             | mattmaroon wrote:
             | The square cubed law argues in favor of something that is
             | more energy dense by weight but less by volume right? You
             | make the wings a little bigger and the surface area
             | increases a lot less than the volume. There's also the
             | potential of enlarging the fuselage and storing some there
             | too.
        
       | z9znz wrote:
       | I'm glad people take on crazy projects and push them to some
       | level of completion. That's how we learn and progress overall.
       | Unfortunately for the people who do follow through with
       | unconventional ideas, actually getting a thing to work doesn't
       | necessarily mean (financial) success.
       | 
       | In this case, there's really one big benefit at the cost of a lot
       | of negatives.
       | 
       | It can VTOL/VSTOL. Most fixed wing airplanes cannot do that. So
       | it can theoretically take off in a parking lot or a helipad or a
       | small field. That's really the only plus as I can tell.
       | 
       | The negatives are many compared to a traditional plane. In no
       | particular order:
       | 
       | Less efficient cruising due to much more drag from all the ducts
       | and engines.
       | 
       | Much less likely to fly with engine failures as they can
       | dramatically affect control (since they are essential parts of
       | the control system).
       | 
       | Less control surface stability with mechanical or hydraulic
       | failures. Those engines mounted on the surfaces hanging off a
       | hinge are very heavy, and in some failure cases they would hang
       | low and create immense drag.
       | 
       | Yaw (rotational) control is highly dependent on working engines
       | on both sides.
       | 
       | The glide ratio of the aircraft would be very poor with all the
       | drag, even assuming the surfaces were still controllable (not
       | hanging).
       | 
       | I didn't see, but I assume a parachute is part of the plan for
       | this. I doubt it could pass certifications (at least to carry
       | passengers) without it.
        
         | engineer_22 wrote:
         | You repeatedly mention engines, but I'd point out there are no
         | engines on this craft. This craft has electric motors.
         | 
         | I don't know if electric motors are more reliable than ICE, but
         | I speculate that they are.
         | 
         | ------ Edit, my opinion below:
         | 
         | VTOL is a HUGE WIN. It's the holy grail of flight. Fixed wing
         | aircraft are inconvenient because they need a mile of flat
         | blacktop for takeoff and landing.
         | 
         | Affordable eVTOL craft could change general aviation forever.
         | The problem with helicopters is insane maintenance overhead and
         | low fuel efficiency. The problem with fixed wing is you can't
         | land it in your back yard. EVTOL is interesting in that it
         | could bridge the gap between these two to provide a personal
         | aircraft that has the best of both. Napkin math shows it's
         | possible, and we're seeing some really cool products now.
        
         | crhulls wrote:
         | I'm not sure if all your comments are fair. For example, fly by
         | wire is extremely reliable, and the large number of engines
         | provides huge redundancy and arguably much more safety in
         | certain constrained environments.
         | 
         | If a plane engine fails, you can glide, but you need a nearby
         | road or field. If a helicopter engine fails, you can auto-
         | rotate but have very little margin for error and need forward
         | momentum. There are also more single point failure parts in
         | both helicopters and fixed wing planes.
         | 
         | If you get a partial failure on a Lilium you probably have much
         | more flexibility to do an emergency landing as you have the
         | other engines for control and redundancy.
         | 
         | I'm sure it will take a while to work the kinks out, and sure
         | there are tradeoffs, but I'm not sure this is a jack of all
         | trades master of none situation. I could see the jet carving
         | out its own niche.
         | 
         | And yes, it could be a huge flop, just sharing a counterpoint.
        
       | cpursley wrote:
       | Can we pass a federal law prohibiting scroll-jacking?
        
       | kybernetikos wrote:
       | This is very cool. But it's also spending a lot of novelty
       | points. I thought energy density was still a huge problem, so it
       | seems weird to try to solve the problem of electric planes with
       | acceptable range at the same time as tackling the enormously
       | energy intensive problem of VTOL.
        
         | tlb wrote:
         | Those are related. Part of what makes engine-powered VTOL
         | difficult is the engines. The V-22 Osprey has two propellors
         | and two engines, but in order to handle an engine failure,
         | there's a complicated driveshaft and gear arrangement across
         | the middle of the aircraft to send power from the working
         | engine to the other propellor. I don't know that anyone has
         | seriously tried more than 2 engines for a VTOL system.
         | 
         | Electric power allows you to have lots of small fans, a few of
         | which can fail without disaster.
         | 
         | Also, throttling turbines up and down fast enough to stabilize
         | an aircraft doesn't seem to work well.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | There have been a few flying VTOL prototype designs with more
           | than two turbine engines. The extra engines were used for
           | powered lift during takeoff and landing. But that approach
           | turned out to be impractical due to safety, cost, and weight.
           | 
           | https://vtol.org/vstol/wheel.htm
        
           | scarier wrote:
           | There are a number of VTOL aircraft that have used multiple
           | engines. The Yak-38 used two lift engines and one lift-cruise
           | engine, the VJ101 used four lift-cruise engines and two lift
           | engines, and the Do 31 used two lift-cruise engines and
           | eight(!) lift engines. Out of these, only the Yak-38 was
           | remotely successful, and not nearly as much as the single-
           | engined Hawker Siddeley Harrier (and its derivatives).
           | 
           | There are plenty of ways to stabilize an aircraft without
           | relying on pure engine thrust, and turbofan aircraft have
           | some advantages here.
           | 
           | The distributed electric propulsion systems do have awesome
           | redundancy, but they have significant losses in efficiency
           | compared to fewer, larger props, which really isn't what you
           | want in an aircraft with severe energy density limitations.
           | I'm curious to see what the production Lillium's payload,
           | range, and power margin end up being.
        
           | dingaling wrote:
           | XC-142 tiltwing, four turboprops
           | 
           | https://vought.org/products/assets/images/1758_005_o.jpg
        
         | lordofgibbons wrote:
         | It makes sense why they'd do this.
         | 
         | Given current energy density of batteries, electric planes are
         | only useful on very short flights. If you can only operate out
         | of airports (without vtol), the useful range of the airplane
         | will be significantly reduced
        
           | kybernetikos wrote:
           | Great point. Reading a little more
           | https://lilium.com/newsroom-detail/technology-behind-the-
           | lil... you're exactly right, and the same thinking drives the
           | requirement of low noise and the ability to utilise helipads.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | There aren't many helipads either. Outside of regular
             | airports, only a few urban areas have any helipads
             | available for commercial use. More can potentially be built
             | but that requires large open areas free of obstructions.
             | Adding helipads to existing building roofs is generally
             | impractical due to weight and safety issues.
        
       | w10-1 wrote:
       | kybernetikos said it well: "spending a lot of novelty points"
       | 
       | I would add: in a highly-regulated domain that segregates risk.
       | FAA wants designs that won't kill people (including bystanders)
       | when systems fail.
       | 
       | Battery: using lithium with silicon anodes: unproven at scale?
       | 
       | For landing, the Illium offers only a 60-second reserve after a
       | expected 20-second hover. But can take time to land, particularly
       | in wind: 20-80 seconds is too short. And since it is landing on
       | rooftop helipads, without more reserve you could kill people just
       | by blocking the helipad.
       | 
       | Perhaps they could take-off via hover and land conventionally,
       | but that would require stronger gear placed differently.
       | 
       | Design: This relies completely on fans for directional stability?
       | 
       | FAA even for experimentals, helicopters, etc. requires
       | controllability on power failure, and e.g., 30 minutes of reserve
       | power, more at night.
       | 
       | It's doubling risk to integrate power and control, and engines
       | into the wing. If some fans fail, you're adding controllability
       | to power loss; it's unclear other fans could depower dynamically
       | as required. And what if a fan goes catastrophic -- breaking the
       | wing or nearby fans or control lines? Commercial airplanes can
       | fly even when their engines blow up because the engines are
       | largely segregated from flying and control surfaces (unlike
       | military jets).
       | 
       | I could imagine a more conventional hybrid stepping-stone to this
       | ultimate concept.
       | 
       | If you put fixed horizontal ducted fans at the front and rear of
       | the fuselage, you get the benefit of lower disc loading for the
       | bulk of vertical hover thrust. With colocated batteries, this
       | would reduce power transit. On failure of both, fall back to
       | conventional landing. On failure of one, balance out with tandem-
       | wing alternate.
       | 
       | As an aside: for homebuilt tandem-wing airplane, search for Rutan
       | Quickie or Q200
        
       | consumer451 wrote:
       | Wisk[0], backed by Kittyhawk and Boeing seems like they may have
       | a more practical vehicle, and in some ways it is much further
       | along.
       | 
       | Flight Chops has a great video[1] showing a bunch of details,
       | including the addition of "Digital Flight Rules" to VFR and IFR.
       | Though I do love Lilium's aircraft, it is definitely more of a
       | sports car.
       | 
       | [0] https://wisk.aero
       | 
       | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yrEeCp5xJj8
        
         | googlryas wrote:
         | Why is kittyhawk investing in airplane startups, when they
         | themselves are an airplane startup? Is that just a sign of too
         | much cash to burn with too few ideas?
         | 
         | Not that it matters much anymore...
        
           | addaon wrote:
           | Wisk was spun off from Kitty Hawk when Boeing invested.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | Sounds like Kittyhawk is shutting down [0]. Is the future of
         | Wisk in question?
         | 
         | [0] https://aviationweek.com/business-aviation/kittyhawk-shut-
         | do...
        
       | jimbru wrote:
       | Does anyone know why you would choose a ducted engine design
       | here? Why not a more traditional propellor?
        
         | chroma wrote:
         | Ducted engines make less noise, which is handy for helipads in
         | cities. They also increase thrust efficiency. If done right,
         | the duct can contain any shrapnel if the fan blades come apart.
         | The disadvantage of a duct is extra weight.
        
       | nharada wrote:
       | What kind of range does this specific vehicle get? They've said
       | they're aiming for 300km but that will require density increases
       | to get there, curious what it is _now_
        
       | psadri wrote:
       | I always wondered if this could work, that is if it'd be more
       | energy efficient that using fuel/batteries to reach cruising
       | altitude:
       | 
       | - use lighter than air balloon to life an aircraft to cruising
       | altitude
       | 
       | - transition to powered flight while collapsing the balloon (by
       | compressing the gas into liquid form?). Or maybe detaching from
       | it?
       | 
       | - cruise
       | 
       | - at destination, glide towards touch down?
        
         | pqdbr wrote:
         | Those are crazy ideas. I love them. Anywhere they have been
         | experimented with before?
        
       | polar8 wrote:
       | Why do electric planes like this one have many smaller motor, as
       | opposed to 1-4 engines like typical planes do?
        
         | pvorb wrote:
         | Perhaps it has to do with being failure-safe?
        
           | mikepurvis wrote:
           | With a conventional turbofan (or basically gas-anything) the
           | bigger it is the more efficiency gains can be realised. So
           | I'd expect that conventional jets would really ideally have
           | just one engine, and they typically have 2 or 4 for reasons
           | of fault tolerance and isolating noise from the fuselage.
           | 
           | None of this applies with electric, particularly a cleansheet
           | design.
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | But then they would've been using many smaller ICE or jet
           | engines already to get redundancy. I suspect the reason is
           | that it's easier to get that kind of redundancy with electric
           | motors - they're more compact, lighter weight, less overhead
           | for each.
        
         | iijj wrote:
         | It's called Distributed Propulsion, and it theoretically has
         | advantages over normal aircraft propulsion. Presumably using
         | dozens of piston or turbine engines has enough drawbacks to
         | make it not worth it, which is why it hasn't been a thing until
         | electric planes became possible.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Distributed_propulsion
        
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