[HN Gopher] Chess Investigation Finds U.S. Grandmaster 'Likely C...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Chess Investigation Finds U.S. Grandmaster 'Likely Cheated' More
       Than 100 Times
        
       Author : freefal
       Score  : 190 points
       Date   : 2022-10-04 19:41 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wsj.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wsj.com)
        
       | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
       | Cheating at 3+2 games while streaming? How's it is even possible
       | to input all moves/positions into a chess program in parallel too
       | main game and also while commenting? IMO it is impossible without
       | some very specialized software or external assistance who would
       | do the clicks. And how does he cheat in over the board events?
        
         | beardyw wrote:
         | It is very easy indeed. Stockfish would be an immense help.
         | Best moves are calculated progressively, that is they are
         | refined over a few seconds. Inexperienced players are given
         | away by delaying over obvious moves waiting for the best move.
         | It is definitely not rocket science. You can download and run
         | Stockfish yourself. I think chess.com possibly runs it in the
         | browser.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | I know the basics how to do it, it is rather obvious. I just
           | feel that operating two boards manually is really a chore,
           | and definitely not while streaming.
        
             | Bud wrote:
             | Are you familiar with professional Starcraft II? Those guys
             | are executing ten moves PER SECOND. While streaming.
             | 
             | This is two to four orders of magnitude faster than chess
             | players in a classical game. One to two orders of magnitude
             | faster than blitz.
        
               | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
               | StarCraft players also aren't really thinking, all micro
               | is mostly almost reflexes. Chess does require way more
               | analysis, so if you are on a very short time limit,
               | checking up with an engine and operating it would eat all
               | your time.
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | Computer vision for chess is widely available (and very
         | useful!)
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19563768 ( _"
         | Chessvision.ai - Analyze chess position from websites, images
         | or video"_, 49 comments)
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21162466 ( _" Show HN:
         | ChessBoss - enhancing physical chessboards with computer
         | vision"_, 36 comments)
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | Things that are easy for some members of HN crowd are likely
           | not that easy for a 19yo person who's only notable
           | achievement in life so far is being really good at chess
           | (well, presumably). Such software also doesn't explain his
           | OTB results, which are consistent with his online results.
        
             | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
             | Some OTB tournaments allow players to go to the bathroom
             | with their phone, others allow audience in same room - so
             | an accomplice (such as Hans' coach Maxim Dlugy - another
             | admitted cheat) could relay moves via signal. I've seen
             | suggestion on Hiraku's channel that current scanning for
             | players for communication devices is sub-par, although Hans
             | has offered to play naked to disprove that theory (some
             | porno site is calling his bluff by offering him $1M to
             | actually do it). Anal beads? I dunno ...
             | 
             | Magnus has estimated it would usually only take one or two
             | computer corrections per game for himself to play
             | perfectly, so we're not talking about every move, just at
             | key points. Apparently even just an indication that there
             | is some key/winning move at a given point, without
             | indicating what it is, is enough for the player to stop and
             | put in the time to find it.
        
           | ccooffee wrote:
           | Here's a story from Reddit about someone using these systems
           | during over-the-board play to cheat: https://www.reddit.com/r
           | /BestofRedditorUpdates/comments/xigy...
        
         | fxtentacle wrote:
         | Human assistant?
        
         | Version467 wrote:
         | I don't know how market leading chess cheating software works,
         | but it's not that hard to imagine that it just captures the
         | screen, or scrapes the moves in any number of ways
         | automatically is it? I'm sure it's not needed to manually type
         | in all the moves.
         | 
         | As to how he'd cheat over the board, that's the big question.
         | There are a couple of theories floating around, some more
         | realistic than others, but if we knew for sure than this whole
         | debacle would already be over.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | Anyway his over the board results are more or less consistent
           | with his online results, so either he has invented some
           | cheating method that had evaded detection for many years at
           | top level events, or that he is really good on his own.
        
             | FireBeyond wrote:
             | I mean, probably the worst way to cheat is 'mindlessly'. If
             | you're doing nothing more than 'transcribing' moves from
             | one client to the other, sure. But if I'm cheating and
             | trying to figure out maximum ROI, I'm looking at what the
             | computer did for me, trying to understand it and figure it
             | out. That way I can learn and get better myself, as well as
             | talk/bluff intelligently about why "I" might have made a
             | certain move.
        
         | bluecalm wrote:
         | 3+2 is a lot of time to input the moves several times over and
         | prepare coffee in the meantime. Seriously, it's not a slightest
         | problem for a competent online blitz player.
         | 
         | OTB cheating: there are many possible ways. The simplest one
         | being having a script reading the moves from the live broadcast
         | and feeding them to an engine and then sending the info to the
         | player. Hans' strength magically decreased in the Sinquefield
         | cup once broadcast delay was introduced for example.
        
           | energyy wrote:
           | > Hans' strength magically decreased in the Sinquefield cup
           | once broadcast delay was introduced for example.
           | 
           | This might be the solution. But then on-site audience would
           | need to be monitored as well.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | > Hans' strength magically decreased in the Sinquefield cup
           | once broadcast delay was introduced for example.
           | 
           | So you discount a possibility that the controversy and
           | allegations against him had at least _some_ effect in him
           | playing worse in the Sinquefield Cup?
           | 
           | Anyway, there were studies out there that there were no
           | statistical differences in his rating gains in tournaments
           | broadcasted with delays and without it. Study by Kenneth
           | Regan also found no irregularities in his play, so the only
           | 'evidence' of him using computer help are allegations by a
           | company that is in business relationship with Carlsen, and
           | his 'bad' analysis in post game interview. I'm not very
           | impressed.
        
             | jsnell wrote:
             | > Anyway, there were studies out there that there were no
             | statistical differences in his rating gains in tournaments
             | broadcasted with delays and without it.
             | 
             | It is exactly the opposite of what you claim: there is a
             | massive statistical aberration in his performance of
             | broadcast tournaments vs. non-broadcast. He is _200 Elo_
             | higher in the former.
             | 
             | https://talkchess.com/forum3/viewtopic.php?p=933597&sid=1fd
             | 7...
             | 
             | You're clearly very invested in this case. How can you
             | possibly be getting the polarity of the evidence wrong?
        
             | Bud wrote:
             | Yet earlier in this thread, you were incredulous about even
             | the possibility that a chess game state could be entered
             | into software or communicated during play. Which is clearly
             | a ludicrously blind statement. So pardon us if it's hard to
             | be particularly impressed by, well, whatever you are
             | impressed or not impressed by. Because you don't seem to
             | have much grasp on the basics involved, here.
        
               | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
               | > Which is clearly a ludicrously blind statement.
               | 
               | This statement came from an experiment I conducted. I
               | just tried playing lichess 3+2 game while running a
               | nearby chess.com/analysis on a second display. ...
               | 
               | ... and I was barely keeping up with all the clicks, and
               | in the endgame was unable to keep up. So no, efficient
               | cheating in fast games requires at least a special
               | training, and better some automated software to keep up
               | with the moves and to communicate best moves back to
               | player.
        
       | bmacho wrote:
       | This is the most interesting part for me:
       | Computers have "nearly infallible tactical calculation," the
       | report says, and are capable of beating even the best human every
       | single time. The report says dozens of grandmasters have been
       | caught cheating on the website, including four of the top-100
       | players in the world who confessed.
       | 
       | I can't really comment it, but I leave it here if you haven't
       | read the article.
        
         | wisnoskij wrote:
         | I can 100% garenty you that anyone interested enouhg to get
         | into the top 50k chess players is going to be interested enough
         | in chess to want to play around with a chess engine, and why
         | not use it in the most convenient way possible, to play a few
         | chess.com matches with it.
        
       | shagie wrote:
       | Gift link - https://www.wsj.com/articles/chess-cheating-hans-
       | niemann-rep...
        
       | whartung wrote:
       | So, I'm not much of a chess person, much less a competitive chess
       | person.
       | 
       | Can the "over the board" cheating potential be reduced with a 5
       | minute "tape delay" of broadcasting the game? Is that enough time
       | to thwart the influence of an external signal?
       | 
       | Seems to me the only way this person can redeem himself is
       | through over the board play under strict conditions ("Come
       | dressed in shorts, a t-shirt and sandals").
       | 
       | But I don't know if how long they're allowed per move, and if 5
       | minutes is enough time to thwart external influence.
        
         | sh4rks wrote:
         | The delay would have to be a lot longer than 5 minutes. It's
         | not uncommon for players to take 30+ mins on a single move in
         | OTB chess.
         | 
         | Also, if your cheating device allows you to somehow input chess
         | positions, then you wouldn't even require an external signal.
         | Though it would be extremely impressive if somebody could pull
         | that off.
        
         | umvi wrote:
         | Depends on the game type and cheating type.
         | 
         | If blitz type game where players have <5 minutes to decide a
         | move, then yes, delayed broadcast might be effective. Other
         | game types allow for >5 minutes per move so tape delay would be
         | ineffective since cheater could just stall.
         | 
         | Cheating type also matters. There's external help (friend in
         | the audience communicating 1 or more bits of information via
         | auditory, optical, radio, or some other signal), and there's
         | also internal help (raspberry pi zero + battery and pressure
         | sensor embedded in your shoe or something). There are so many
         | ways to cheat that it's hard to enumerate all of them let alone
         | prevent all of them.
        
         | Hamcha wrote:
         | In blitz, 5 minutes totally would work, in classical chess I
         | have my doubts.
         | 
         | The Sinquefield Cup (the tournament where the drama started)
         | added a 15 minute delay which would be much more noticeable and
         | less forgiving.
        
           | robswc wrote:
           | That's a question I was going to ask. Sure, not _every_ move
           | is 5 min, but wouldn't a 5 min delay almost ensure any
           | cheater would play mostly more than 5 min, each turn?
           | (besides some simple moves, ofc)
           | 
           | Or is it that they only need to cheat at a few points where
           | taking more than 5 min wouldn't be abnormal at all?
        
             | cantaloupe wrote:
             | The latter. The article briefly points out that cheating on
             | only a few moves can give one grandmaster a significant
             | advantage, which makes cheating difficult to detect. In
             | discussion of a previous article, some HN commenters
             | suggested that even having a binary "be careful here"
             | signal based on a chess engine could make a big difference.
        
               | robswc wrote:
               | So one could take on average ~5 min per move. On any
               | moves they want help with, they could wait out the 5 min
               | and have an accomplice send the signal?
               | 
               | Honestly, it does seem next to impossible to stop a
               | dedicated cheater if any feedback makes it out of the
               | room in a reasonable amount of time.
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | It might work if there are _no_ spectators live in person.
         | Otherwise you can easily have someone in person relaying the
         | information to a computer, or you have to search everyone, not
         | just the players.
        
           | ActorNightly wrote:
           | If it happened, I don't think it happened realtime.
           | 
           | Given sufficient notoriety and money involved, it would be
           | possible to just hire someone to essentially run a training
           | model of alpha zero against moves specifically selected to be
           | likely to be made by Magnus, and then all you really need is
           | memorization of key scenarios (which for a good chess person
           | should be no problem) to identify the right move to make.
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | That specific scenario is just considered normal good prep
             | - they will even play games against people who "play" their
             | opponent's openings. That's all well known but you can't
             | memorize enough to make a major difference.
        
             | ianferrel wrote:
             | I don't think that what you described is cheating.
        
       | moralestapia wrote:
       | Keep this in mind(!)
       | 
       | Magnus Carlsen is a majority shareholder in chess.com.
        
       | MAXPOOL wrote:
       | The next _' move'_ for cheaters is to use chess computers in a
       | way that passes _' Chess Turing Test'_ and makes cheating
       | indistinguishable from normal human play under analysis.
       | 
       | When there is money in the game, there is incentive to cheat.
       | 
       | > The report says dozens of grandmasters have been caught
       | cheating on the website, including four of the top-100 players in
       | the world who confessed.
       | 
       | There are probably smart cheaters already playing who are able to
       | evade detection.
        
         | somenameforme wrote:
         | Cheat detection isn't done by only by move analysis, but by an
         | extensive profiling of a person and games based on many factors
         | beyond even just the moves. For instance one of the easiest
         | ways to catch a weak player cheating is move times. Such a
         | player will have no idea whether a move is trivial or works
         | only due to an exceptionally precise and lengthy series of
         | counter-intuitive calculations that no human could do without a
         | significant think. And so they'll tend to rely both in
         | approximately the same amount of time.
         | 
         | Even during the Carlsen-Niemann game it was meta-factors that
         | initially clued Carlsen in. Niemann was playing without any
         | significant effort or tension, in spite of playing in a game
         | where he was outplaying the world champion. And after the game
         | he was unable to explain his own ideas, proposed ideas that
         | were simply losing, referenced games that did not exist, and
         | was generally (relative to the class of player here) clueless.
         | None of that final section is definitive proof of cheating to
         | say the least, but it helps create a probabilistic profile of a
         | player (and a game).
         | 
         | The point of this is that even a computer that played human-
         | like (which I would argue will not happen for the distantly
         | foreseeable future), would be just one factor among many in
         | busting cheaters. I expect this is why Magnus was also
         | initially reluctant to directly accuse him of cheating. He
         | _felt_ he was cheating based on the meta-factors and probably
         | got folks more capable than himself to evaluate the technical
         | factors, and when that also came up as a redflag - yeah, the
         | dude 's a cheater.
        
           | KennyBlanken wrote:
           | This is exactly how I get clued in on how someone is cheating
           | in a shooting game I play.
           | 
           | You can tell how experienced someone is based off the gun
           | they use (some are stronger than others), whether they use
           | cover or just run out into open spaces and shoot, how they
           | move, whether they use 'gadgets' like grenades, and so on. A
           | lot of novice players don't even use the sprint function to
           | run.
           | 
           | When someone who literally just walks around the map but can
           | laser everyone with headshots (which have a significant
           | damage multiplier)? They're cheating.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | > Niemann was playing without any significant effort or
           | tension, in spite of playing in a game where he was
           | outplaying the world champion.
           | 
           | Carlsen was making mistakes. That wasn't his best game at
           | all. Are we sure we aren't talking of this because someone's
           | ego was hurt?
           | 
           | > And after the game he was unable to explain his own ideas,
           | proposed ideas that were simply losing,
           | 
           | That doesn't mean anything at all
           | 
           | > referenced games that did not exist,
           | 
           | That did exist close enough to the period he mentioned.
           | Remembering the position and analysis is necessary,
           | remembering when exactly this position happened and even
           | between whom exactly is utterly useless.
           | 
           | > and was generally (relative to the class of player here)
           | clueless.
           | 
           | He didn't make a clueless impression to me. But I'm not
           | Carlsen's fanboy whos accusations can cloud my own reasoning.
           | If I was, I'd probably believe that Niemann is a proven
           | cheater and would look for facts to confirm that bias.
        
           | bambax wrote:
           | > _For instance one of the easiest ways to catch a weak
           | player cheating is move times. Such a player will have no
           | idea whether a move is trivial or works only due to an
           | exceptionally precise and lengthy series of counter-intuitive
           | calculations that no human could do without a significant
           | think_
           | 
           | Ok, but what prevents the helper to communicate the
           | difficulty or the number of minutes to think-pretend as well
           | as the move itself?
           | 
           | Everything that can be measured can and will be gamed. That's
           | why anti-fraud units are so secretive.
        
           | pyuser583 wrote:
           | What happens when it's a strong chess player who is cheating?
           | 
           | Even a strong player can benefit from consulting a computer.
           | Chess games can win fail based on a few moves.
           | 
           | A strong player would only need to consult the computer on a
           | few moves to get a considerable advantage.
        
             | colechristensen wrote:
             | The strongest players would be the "best" cheaters but also
             | the least likely to cheat. Top _n_ players for small _n_
             | would only need one  "this move is important" hint per game
             | to significantly improve their rating. Very hard to detect
             | of course. But when you hear the actual top players talk
             | about chess they genuinely seem interested in playing the
             | game and not so much driven by chasing some accomplishment
             | of winning. It's quite hard to get to that level without
             | having the genuine interest.
             | 
             | But also their games are subject to the most scrutiny and
             | study and they themselves will spend a lot of time publicly
             | talking about and analyzing their own games, those "cheat"
             | moves would stand out as ones which were hard to see and
             | had bad explanations after a while.
        
             | z9znz wrote:
             | > What happens when it's a strong chess player
             | 
             | A strong chess player would have to weigh the risk of
             | losing all their progress and reputation if caught
             | cheating.
             | 
             | After this current situation, I expect the penalties for
             | being caught cheating will be severe. Whether the cheater
             | is banned from all future events or not, nobody will want
             | to support them, nobody will want to associate with them,
             | and they will essentially be cast out of the entire chess
             | world.
        
           | avar wrote:
           | > And after the game he was unable to explain his own ideas,
           | proposed ideas that were simply losing, referenced games that
           | did not exist, and was generally (relative to the class of
           | player here) clueless
           | 
           | Aside from Niemann's case, how is it strategically beneficial
           | to a chess player to provide the "inside scoop" on his plays?
           | 
           | You're presupposing incompetence, but another explanation
           | would be a deliberate strategy to throw off future opponents.
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | > makes cheating indistinguishable from normal human play under
         | analysis.
         | 
         | From what I understand, Niemann got into trouble because people
         | thought that he wasn't able to adequately provide the analysis
         | i.e. the reasoning behind some of his own moves. You'd need a
         | live auxiliary AI to tutor the cheater in how to explain why a
         | particular move was made.
        
           | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
           | Well, that's only one of many reasons. GM Hikaru was laughing
           | at him on his channel when replaying that interview with Hans
           | - a lot of his answers were strange and deflective. A player
           | at this level should be able to fluently describe their
           | analysis at any move in the game.
           | 
           | At one point he described one of his own moves as "a weird
           | move" without offering any explanation, sounding more as if
           | he was observing the move rather than being the one who had
           | actually analyzed it and chosen to play it!
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | The best players only need one or two notes, even something as
         | simple as "there's a good play here" twice a game could throw
         | things dramatically.
         | 
         | That is harder, almost as hard as playing for real, but doable.
         | Much easier to just be a mechanical turk for sharkfish or
         | whatever it's called.
        
         | andy_ppp wrote:
         | You could train a neural network to filter through likely human
         | moves from the engine's top recommendations and never get
         | caught.
        
       | tobyjsullivan wrote:
       | Interesting piece. It highlights how it's hard to differentiate
       | between someone genuinely playing at a level higher, and a
       | cheater. A few things I noted from this article:
       | 
       | 1. The driving force behind the original accusations is that
       | Magnus felt his opponent wasn't "exerting" himself enough,
       | compared to other young prodigies.
       | 
       | 2. Chess.com's case is that his results are "statistically
       | extraordinary."
       | 
       | 3. There is a history of cheating
       | 
       | 4. Allegations that he admitted cheating privately (though it's
       | not clear to whom)
       | 
       | 1, 2, and 3 could easily be cause for suspicion; however, that's
       | not the same as evidence. The one crucial piece absent from this
       | article is any suggestion of _how_ he cheated.
       | 
       | Without providing a means, I find this piece premature and
       | questionable. That said, I don't know anything about chess, lot
       | alone cheating at the master level. So maybe the "how" is common
       | sense and not difficult?
       | 
       | And of course, there's also this:
       | 
       | > The report also addresses the relationship during the saga
       | between Carlsen and Chess.com, which is buying Carlsen's "Play
       | Magnus" app for nearly $83 million.
        
         | EddySchauHai wrote:
         | > it's hard to differentiate between someone genuinely playing
         | at a level higher, and a cheater
         | 
         | Actually, it isn't! Great chess bots have very different play
         | styles and there are people currently studying them. It's very
         | unlikely someone will come out of nowhere so to speak (as in,
         | not on some amazing rise as a young child) with these types of
         | techniques. I'm nowhere near these levels of chess players but
         | have played competitively for my county as a school-kid and
         | still play a couple hundred games a year so have some idea.
        
           | chrisherring wrote:
           | A smart cheater isn't just going to replicate bot moves and
           | make it easy to detect. They may just use it to decide
           | between 2 moves they were 50/50 on already. Do this 2 or 3
           | times and it would make a big difference at the grand master
           | level. This would be quite hard to detect.
        
         | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
         | FIDE are doing their own investigation, but the chess.com cheat
         | detection algorithm is apparently well regarded, and online
         | cheating is obviously very simple to do. He's admitted cheating
         | online as recently as 3 years ago. If he can reasonably be
         | proved to having cheated online more often and more recently
         | than he has admitted to, then that gives good reason to suspect
         | he'll have cheated OTB too given the chance.
         | 
         | There are various ways one might cheat OTB, from taking one's
         | phone the bathroom in the middle of a tournament (some allow
         | this!!), to getting signals from an accomplice who is seeing
         | the game in real time. Signals could be electronic to some
         | device on the player, or visual from an audience member in the
         | room. It's been proposed to introduce a 15-30 min broadcast
         | delay in tournament games as one way to prevent cheating. Some
         | tournaments scan the players for electronic devices - not sure
         | how foolproof this is.
        
         | boredtofears wrote:
         | Wow that last bit seems like a rather important disclaimer that
         | I didn't know about when this saga first unfolded.
        
       | j-krieger wrote:
       | The fact that an athlete in a competitive sport was allowed to
       | partake in an event even after admitting to cheating not only
       | once, but twice, is outrageous in itself.
        
         | antiterra wrote:
         | The admissions were from when he was 12 and 16; many so
         | societies generally believe in redemption from childhood
         | transgressions.
        
           | devindotcom wrote:
           | Report says over 100, as late as 2020.
        
             | smaryjerry wrote:
             | He already admitted to cheating a lot. He didn't say he
             | cheated in two games, he said cheated at two times in his
             | life. He even detailed how his second time was pumping up
             | his rating, you can't pump a rating with only one game.
             | Sounds like if it went to 2020 then he would have been 17
             | at least, not 16 but that's pretty close at least.
        
             | curiousllama wrote:
             | The report hasn't even been released yet - it didn't exist
             | when they allowed him to play
        
           | robswc wrote:
           | 12 is fine... 16 is iffy... it was only 3 years ago.
           | 
           | I'm personally a bit frustrated with the ever changing
           | standards for adolescents. They are as responsible or naive
           | as people want them to be for whatever their bias calls for.
           | (not saying you btw, just in general).
        
             | wisnoskij wrote:
             | neither ages make him exempt from repercussions. If a 9yo
             | pro chess prodigy had cheated in a profession tournament he
             | absolutely should of gotten temporary bans or fines. But
             | even if a 60 yo chess prodigy used a chess engine in one
             | online stakless match, other than a week chess.com ban I do
             | nto see what sort of punishment would want to give them
             | that would be reasonable.
             | 
             | What we are talking about here is a minor who admitted to
             | using a chess engine in a meaningless online match 2 times.
             | Like all the grandmasters don't play with chess engines
             | just to see how they work.
        
             | largepeepee wrote:
             | 12 is only "fine" if you were caught and demonstrated you
             | learned to stop.
             | 
             | 12 is horrible if you have a track record of blatant
             | cheating and only getting worse for years till they
             | permanently banned you.
        
             | t-writescode wrote:
             | Personally, I'm not a fan of permanent Scarlet Letters for
             | .... I think I may go so far as to say _anything_.
        
               | nordsieck wrote:
               | > Personally, I'm not a fan of permanent Scarlet Letters
               | for .... I think I may go so far as to say _anything_.
               | 
               | What's your opinion of the National Sex Offender
               | Registry?
        
               | NaturalPhallacy wrote:
               | > _What 's your opinion of the National Sex Offender
               | Registry?_
               | 
               | People are on it for simply peeing in public. And teenage
               | minors in a relationship sending nudes to each other due
               | to a lack of "Romeo and Juliet" laws.
               | 
               | Not much is black & white.
        
               | jamiek88 wrote:
               | Not this meme again.
               | 
               | I challenge you to post ONE example of this.
        
               | sixstringtheory wrote:
               | Now that the easy stuff is out of the way, what do you
               | think about people on the registry for violent sexual
               | assault?
        
               | willcipriano wrote:
               | I talked to a guy who was on a sex offender registry for
               | "urination in public" at a bar one time. Sounded like a
               | travisty of justice when he explained it that way. Talked
               | to someone else about him afterwards and while yes he was
               | "just peeing in public" he did so in the view of a few
               | young girls who walked past his house on their way to
               | school on multiple occasions and with a erection.
               | 
               | Knew another guy who did a few years in prison for "just
               | a bag of weed", again that was true in a technical sense,
               | he was on parole for a strong arm robbery and had the bag
               | in plain view when he got pulled over.
               | 
               | I'm not saying nobody is ever innocent, but everyone I
               | talk to claims to be and it never holds up.
        
               | andirk wrote:
               | Is there a National Murder Registry?
        
               | twelve40 wrote:
               | yes in a way, it's called criminal record
               | 
               | also probably because people who commit murders and do
               | the time are not always in a permanent urge to do more of
               | that, unlike.
        
               | robswc wrote:
               | Neither am I... I honestly have no idea what the kids
               | punishment should be. Not irredeemable by any means...
               | that seems cruel for the sake of being cruel... but its
               | also not fair to have people compete with a known cheater
               | (and potentially, hopefully not, a liar).
               | 
               | He may have to take a long break.
        
           | lamontcg wrote:
           | This assertion keeps on being made and it seems almost
           | deliberately obtuse to me.
           | 
           | If you do something bad when you are 17.9 should we wipe the
           | slate clean once the odometer rolls over to exactly 18.0
           | where for some reason that age creates a solid barrier where
           | the person emerges like a chrysalis and all their sins are
           | washed clean?
           | 
           | And as a 50 year old, the difference between a 16 year old
           | and a 19 year old are not very big. An unfortunate fact is
           | that if you fuck up pretty big when you're 16 that people
           | aren't going to trust you very much when you're 19. You need
           | to do the time to build up more collateral. I've seen people
           | who were assholes when they were teenagers change, but they
           | didn't wake up on some magic birthday a new person. They were
           | still assholes in their early 20s but their trajectory was
           | such that by the time their early 30s came around they had
           | changed themselves.
        
             | fairity wrote:
             | The rate at which we forgive and forget prior actions
             | should decrease as someone ages in a monotonic way. Reason
             | being an individual's capacity and willingness to learn and
             | change their values and behavior decreases with time. Sure,
             | the 18yo cliff makes no sense.
        
         | briandear wrote:
         | Are we calling chess a sport?
        
           | stonemetal12 wrote:
           | They started playing it online so now it is an esport. /s
        
           | freetime2 wrote:
           | I had the same thought. I don't have a particularly strong
           | opinion about whether chess players should be called athletes
           | or not, but this was the first time that I had ever seen
           | chess players referred to as athletes.
           | 
           | The first result when you google "Are chess players athletes"
           | says no [1], but I realize that this is more of an opinion
           | piece. I would be curious to hear what more members of the
           | competitive chess community think of the designation as
           | athletes.
           | 
           | Edit: Upon further googling, I have learned that the IOC
           | recognizes chess as a sport. Reading up further on how the
           | matches last for 7+ hours, and how important physical
           | conditioning is, I think it's totally valid to refer to chess
           | players as athletes. In different sports there is wide
           | spectrum of physical and mental demands - and I think chess
           | just falls on the incredibly-demanding-mentally-but-less-
           | demanding-physically end of the spectrum.
           | 
           | [1] https://herculeschess.com/are-chess-players-athletes/
           | 
           | [2] https://olympics.com/ioc/recognised-international-
           | federation...
        
           | adamckay wrote:
           | Yes.
           | 
           | It's recognised by the International Olympic Committee -
           | https://olympics.com/ioc/recognised-international-
           | federation...
           | 
           | A common definition is: "Sport pertains to any form of
           | competitive physical activity or game that aims to use,
           | maintain, or improve physical ability and skills while
           | providing enjoyment to participants and, in some cases,
           | entertainment to spectators."
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sport
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | Is there a single sport in the world where a player will get a
         | lifetime ban for admitting to cheating in the past? All major
         | ones will let you compete even after being caught doping/fixing
         | a half dozen times in your career. The bar is a lot lower than
         | you think.
        
           | mzs wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Sportspeople_banned_f.
           | ..
        
         | mkl95 wrote:
         | There are a few competitive sports where the same pattern
         | occurs. Namely decentralized sports, particularly boxing where
         | it's not rare for some elite athlete to be banned temporarily
         | after testing positive for PEDs. Most bans are for 6-12 months
         | which is a joke.
         | 
         | My guess is that the more decentralized a sport is, the more
         | likely it is for cheating to occur and go unpunished. Chess is
         | unofficially becoming a decentralized sport since the pandemic
         | due to the shift to online playing. Even if some organizations
         | claim to be in power, there is only so much they can do.
         | Banning cheaters permanently may not even be possible.
        
           | cool_dude85 wrote:
           | Presumably any long FIDE ban would be the end of a serious
           | chess career, right?
        
           | cco wrote:
           | > Most bans are for 6-12 months which is a joke. An athlete's
           | professional career is roughly ten years* with the majority
           | of their earning potential to be an even smaller set of those
           | years. A ban from being paid for 12 months may represent 10%
           | or more of an athlete's career earning potential.
           | 
           | *Of course this varies a lot by sport, gymnastics careers are
           | obviously very short, a golfer's career may be much longer.
        
             | iudqnolq wrote:
             | Even worse, professional athletes fund full-time training
             | through ways that wouldn't be available during a ban. Skip
             | full-time training for a year and you'll probably not be
             | competitive after.
        
         | pclmulqdq wrote:
         | This is, I think, the single biggest factor in the
         | proliferation of cheating. Most cheaters are smart enough to do
         | the math on how they should win at the sport, or is smart
         | enough to hire someone who can do the math. In other words,
         | cheaters are rational actors.
         | 
         | Allowing people back into the sport swings the EV math heavily
         | in favor of cheating if the penalty isn't massive given that
         | the chance of getting caught is so low (as long as you know
         | what you're doing). The only way to make the EV of cheating
         | negative is to make the sanction very, very bad. Losing all of
         | your future earnings from the sport is a good way to do that.
         | 
         | I used to run Magic: the Gathering tournaments, and there was a
         | tremendous amount of "minor" cheating - forgetting the rules
         | when it benefits them, shuffling in suspicious ways, peeking at
         | opponents decks, etc. Many competitive players even openly
         | admitted to doing this. Even if a tournament official could
         | call them on the cheating and disqualify them (which was
         | frowned upon without hard evidence), they would likely not be
         | suspended from sanctioned play at all unless the evidence was
         | overwhelming. Several famous cheaters did it many times and got
         | caught several times. Minor cheating was very common as a
         | result.
        
           | whatshisface wrote:
           | The alternative - an environment where innocent people were
           | sometimes getting expelled - would be worse when it's just a
           | game.
        
             | pclmulqdq wrote:
             | A tournament with a >$200,000 prize pool (the Sinquefeld
             | cup or a Magic pro tour) is hardly "just a game."
        
             | jonny_eh wrote:
             | Sometimes people are caught red-handed.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | Yeah, it doesn't have to involve banning people for life
               | on borderline cases of cheating, but if you are caught
               | red-handed, a lifetime ban seems in order.
        
           | throwawaysleep wrote:
           | This is why I constantly cheated in school. I got caught once
           | and the penalty was a 0 on the test and a talking to. And
           | only because I was a cheating noob.
           | 
           | The benefits were in the thousands and thousands of
           | scholarship dollars.
           | 
           | I cheat now in my employment. I work three full time jobs
           | remotely and do the bare minimum in each. The risk is getting
           | fired (and if I only get fired from two of the jobs, I am
           | still ahead of honest work). The payoff is decades taken off
           | my working life.
        
             | lotsofpulp wrote:
             | Selling your labor to multiple buyers and delivering
             | acceptable work is not cheating.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | Technically, they might sue you if you represent that you
               | are working exclusively for them, which is a clause in
               | most of these contracts. Still, not illegal.
        
             | threatofrain wrote:
             | Being a TA and discovering that about half the class was
             | engaged in a singular cheating ring (that does not mean the
             | other half is free from cheating) changed my perspective as
             | to how cheating should be dealt with.
             | 
             | In general I feel that if enough people are doing the
             | "wrong" thing, then punishing most of the population is
             | probably an even worse move. Failing individuals, marking
             | their transcript, or kicking them out of college may seem
             | acceptable when you have the perspective that only
             | individuals cheat. But when you hypothetically punish over
             | half the student body by taking their money and kicking
             | them out...
        
               | soperj wrote:
               | Then why even have rules about it. You're basically
               | screwing honest people.
        
           | sirshmooey wrote:
           | This aptly describes the modern state of thoroughbred horse
           | racing. The sport is littered with these so called "super-
           | trainers". All of which possess precedent defying win
           | percentages. It's gotten so bad, a federal governing body has
           | been tasked to combat it. The anti-doping rules will take
           | effect this January [1].
           | 
           | [1] https://www.hisaus.org/about
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | I'm slightly confused about the relationship between chess.com
         | and these tournaments. If he gets caught cheating at a FIDE
         | tournament, they could do whatever they want -- ban him for
         | life, whatever, it is up to them. If he gets caught cheating on
         | an online game, whether it is chess.com or counterstrike, who
         | cares? It is an unranked online game (or the ranking is tied to
         | some account gamerscore thing).
         | 
         | Unless their chess.com scores feed into their FIDE ELO scores
         | or something?
        
         | wisnoskij wrote:
         | when they were 12.
        
           | j-krieger wrote:
           | One time when they were 17. Obviously the sanction at 12
           | wasn't bad enough. A barring for 5 years would've maybe
           | helped him learn his lesson
        
             | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
             | Whatever happened during online play on a second rate chess
             | site is hardly a reason to ban player from OTB events
             | without evidence of cheating in such events.
        
         | jrm4 wrote:
         | Right? I completely didn't understand this part? In pretty much
         | everything else, you cheat, you're basically done.
        
           | jayski wrote:
           | I'm not a fan of this player, I don't even play chess.
           | 
           | Still it sounds a bit harsh to me that a child that cheated
           | online can never in his adult life participate in chess
           | tournaments.
           | 
           | If he had cheated as an adult I would have a different
           | opinion.
        
             | fredoliveira wrote:
             | Well, that's where the report comes in. He has cheated
             | several times as an adult too.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | smaryjerry wrote:
               | If you consider 17 an adult and that the report is
               | correctly identifying those games. This is no different
               | than cheating in a video game online. It's playing random
               | people from matchmaking for rating points tied to that
               | game. Maybe there were multiple tournaments as well for
               | small prizes (probably under $1000 prize money) if the
               | report on the report is correct though. I'd compare it to
               | an NBA player cheating in a pick up game of basketball.
        
               | j-krieger wrote:
               | > If you consider 17 an adult and that the report is
               | correctly identifying those games
               | 
               | For him, that was 2 years ago.
        
           | Bud wrote:
           | Oh. Really? I mean, not in baseball. Not in football. Not in
           | basketball. Not even in President of the United States.
           | 
           | What is this alternate reality you're in, and what is your
           | list of "everything else"? Citations, please.
        
             | jrm4 wrote:
             | I didn't go deep on it, but it seemed like dude's cheating
             | was repeated, open, and notorious.
        
               | Bud wrote:
               | It was.
               | 
               | I was addressing the other part of your statement,
               | however.
        
             | Cupertino95014 wrote:
             | Citation: Pete Rose, Sammy Sosa, Mark McGwire, Barry Bonds,
             | Roger Clemens, and Curt Schilling will never get in the
             | Hall of Fame.
             | 
             | You're right that that's not "basically done," but once
             | they're retired, HoF is all they have to look forward to.
             | Being officially in disgrace is pretty done.
        
               | Bud wrote:
               | Yet I can cite hundreds of cases of cheating in all the
               | major sports in which, yes, there was a suspension or
               | other penalty, but the players or people involved were
               | then allowed to participate again. The examples you cited
               | are very extreme, but even in these cases, they don't
               | support your argument. None of those players were removed
               | from the game during their playing careers and barred.
               | And again, those are just the most extreme cases. There
               | are many, many less severe cases, all of which support my
               | argument and not yours.
               | 
               | You might want to remove Schilling from your list, btw.
               | He hasn't been accused of any cheating; instead, he did
               | other embarrassing things.
        
           | paxys wrote:
           | > In pretty much everything else, you cheat, you're basically
           | done.
           | 
           | The penalty for cheating in most major sports is way more
           | lenient than you think. Most leagues will suspend you for a
           | handful of games in the first instance. In the NBA for
           | example you can be caught three times before being suspended
           | for one season.
        
             | lamontcg wrote:
             | MLS you catch a 10 game ban (out of a 34 game season) for
             | your first PED offense.
        
       | ENOTTY wrote:
       | In case you're looking for whether this says anything about the
       | butt plug allegations, this report does not. It only concerns
       | cheating on an online platform, not in person cheating
        
       | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
       | > "Outside his online play, Hans is the fastest rising top player
       | in Classical [over-the-board] chess in modern history," the
       | report says, while comparing his progress to the game's brightest
       | rising stars. "Looking purely at rating, Hans should be
       | classified as a member of this group of top young players. While
       | we don't doubt that Hans is a talented player, we note that his
       | results are statistically extraordinary."
       | 
       | I basically made the argument that, in any sport, when a player
       | does statistically much, much better than their previous
       | performance would predict, that in and of itself should be
       | considered evidence of cheating - perhaps not _conclusive_
       | evidence, but definitely evidence warranting further
       | investigation: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32990022
       | 
       | > All this talk of "Carlsen accused him of cheating with no
       | evidence" reminds me of the blowback against some athletes in the
       | 70s and 80s who accused rivals of taking PEDs "with no evidence".
       | 
       | > Sometimes the evidence of someone doing monstrously better than
       | can be expected by their history is sufficient IMO. I mean, look
       | at this article about swimmer Shirley Babashoff [1], dubbed
       | "Surly Shirley" at the time by the media, for suggesting the East
       | German women were on PEDs in the 70s. Nowadays we look back on
       | those images of the East German women, looking more manly than
       | any dude I've ever seen, and wonder how we considered with a
       | straight face that they weren't on a boatload of drugs.
       | Similarly, it completely baffles me how any sane person can think
       | that Flo Jo wasn't on PEDs in the runup to the 1988 Olympics -
       | her 100m dash record still stands today.
       | 
       | > I'm not saying Carlsen went about it in the right way, because
       | now Niemann is basically in an indefensible position, but I'm
       | also not willing to quickly dismiss it because Carlsen has "no
       | evidence".
        
         | ehsankia wrote:
         | I think the biggest tell is how he wasn't able to explain his
         | play and just threw a smug response whenever asked to describe
         | anything.
        
           | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
           | I might take into consideration rapid rise in ratings, and
           | even this chess.com report, but please, this argument about
           | post game interview is pure nonsense. It is not a 'tell' in
           | the slightest. Any player with at least IM title will give
           | you a decent analysis of that position _if he wants_ , and
           | Niemann is certainly better than IM even without alleged
           | computer help. He was visibly disinterested in the interview
           | and it was conducted in a rather hostile manner, so it is
           | perfectly understandable that he probably just wanted a break
           | and rest.
        
           | Tenoke wrote:
           | Other players have had questionable post-game interviews.
           | This is evidence but without history of cheating it wouldn't
           | mean much.
        
         | raydiatian wrote:
         | Yeah you pointed out something special here. It's like those
         | unsung Russian sub captains who didn't start the nuclear
         | apocalypse because they had an intuitive understanding between
         | faulty and genuine threats. You can't explain why you know
         | something you just know it.
         | 
         | Besides, Magnus genuinely has never seemed like the guy to get
         | petty and up and throw a fit, he's lost plenty of times without
         | doing such.
        
           | javajosh wrote:
           | _> never seemed like the guy to get petty and up and throw a
           | fit_
           | 
           | More than that, Magnus is a very fierce competitor and he
           | doesn't withdraw from tournaments. He's 31 and this is his
           | first withdrawal AFAIK.
        
             | manimino wrote:
             | Magnus cares deeply about the image of chess as a sport. He
             | has done a great deal to popularize chess. Cheating
             | threatens the legitimacy of chess itself.
             | 
             | It makes sense that Magnus would take a stand on it, even
             | if he risks losing face by doing so.
        
           | JetSetIlly wrote:
           | > You can't explain why you know something you just know it.
           | 
           | The way Carlsen described his suspicions reminded me of
           | "connoisseurship" in the art world. Now that's a "skill"
           | that's not as important as it once was but once the science
           | has given its results and there are still no firm
           | conclusions, connoisseurship is all you have.
        
             | raydiatian wrote:
             | Cheater connoisseurship. Nice.
        
       | ed-209 wrote:
       | Serious question: why isnt online play excluded at this level of
       | competition? Why not restrict these "pro" matches to regulated
       | conditions as in any other pro competition?
       | 
       | We dont generally place full trust in online job interviews so
       | why lower the bar to "honor system" when it comes to the most
       | cheat-friendly competition in the universe?
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | Because it takes a lot of time and money to set up an in-person
         | tournament. A virtual one is basically free and will get a lot
         | more participation from top players.
        
         | buscoquadnary wrote:
         | Pandemic happened that's the big reason.
        
       | tzs wrote:
       | GothamChess coverage on YouTube [1]. Part of this is showing and
       | reading the article itself so if the WSJ paywall is getting in
       | your way you can read it in the video.
       | 
       | Hikaru coverage on YouTube [2].
       | 
       | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s1DCqoBjR4s
       | 
       | [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VptbNKbHQiM
        
       | zqlamp wrote:
       | The chess.com campaign continues. 100 games are nothing online,
       | Carlsen/Firouzja play that in a single night. The headline is
       | pure propaganda and omits the word "online".
       | 
       | In fact, the article tries to paint Niemann as a liar while the
       | purported facts pretty much match what he admitted to. One
       | cheating in a titled tournament at age 12 and multiple cheats at
       | the beginning of 2020. He said he was 16, so he was barely 17
       | according to the article. That isn't a lie, that can easily
       | happen in an interview.
       | 
       | If that is all that chess.com has, their behavior is extremely
       | poor. Also, what about all those other cheating titled players
       | who did not have the misfortune to win against multi-million
       | asset Carlsen?
       | 
       | It is time for Europeans to send GDPR requests for cheating
       | scores etc. and terminate their accounts. The risk is too great.
        
         | angio wrote:
         | He cheated in prize money tournaments. That's borderline fraud.
        
           | ghank wrote:
           | Here is Carlsen taking a move from Howell in a Lichess prize
           | tournament, which he'd never do OTB:
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNMcnrmb97g
        
             | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
             | The move was pretty obvious.
        
               | klrobert wrote:
               | Then why does Carlsen ask "how?" before playing it? This
               | is a conversation that would never have happened in an
               | OTB tournament.
        
               | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
               | Likely, because he was thinking of something else. It
               | happens often when playing weaker opponents, you are so
               | concentrated on some genius master plan to defeat an
               | opponent, that when an opponent does something dumb you
               | fail to see it immediately. Of course, my lichess rating
               | is _slightly_ below Carlsen 's so I'm probably not the
               | world's best expert on such things.
               | 
               | (I don't quite understand what you mean by 'those
               | conversation would never have happened .. ')
        
             | mda wrote:
             | So a half drunk Howell blurts a single move to half drunk
             | Carlsen in a bullet game and this is cheating?
        
         | frumper wrote:
         | Did I miss where cheating online is somehow not as bad as
         | cheating in person? I understand it's harder to cheat in
         | person, but I never thought it was "worse" to cheat in person
         | because it's the worst thing you can do to your opponents in
         | either an online, or an in-person game.
        
           | ghank wrote:
           | You miss that 100 _classical_ games OTB are an eternity, and
           | 100 online _blitz_ games are nothing.
           | 
           | And yes, while cheating online is shabby, hardly anyone took
           | online chess seriously before the big money tournaments
           | started during the pandemic.
           | 
           | And that the whole chess.com affair is a side show that is
           | exploited for streamer content and clicks. The relevant issue
           | is cheating or not cheating in the Sinquefield cup.
        
             | frumper wrote:
             | A cheater is a cheater. They are making a choice to cheat.
             | It's not an accident. They know it's wrong, they know their
             | conduct is hurtful. It doesn't make any sense to say that
             | no one took it serious. I'm sure people that lost to him
             | would feel otherwise. If he's so good why would he even
             | bother cheating in tournaments?
        
       | zhivota wrote:
       | Why don't they just put the players into a Faraday cage with
       | wired cameras on the inside? No communication out of the box by
       | any means in that case.
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | I could actually cheat in that situation, if my people could
         | hack the camera controls and dilate the iris or move it or
         | something...
        
         | tempestn wrote:
         | You can run a chess engine that can beat any human on a small
         | portable device, so external communication wouldn't be
         | necessary. Perhaps combined with a metal detector it could
         | work? Honestly though I think the more significant reason is
         | that that would require building the cages, and would prevent
         | live audiences.
        
       | 2devnull wrote:
       | Knew it!
        
       | Madmallard wrote:
       | How is this person like at all able to even compete over the
       | board? Seems like this type of history and even a history of
       | cheating at all should just be a permanent nix.
        
         | spuz wrote:
         | He is a genuinely very good player. That also makes it
         | potentially very hard to detect if he has indeed cheated. His
         | current coach has been quoted in a past interview saying how
         | easy it would be to cheat undetected if you were already at GM
         | level. You only need the engine to guide you in 2-3 moves to
         | swing a game.
         | 
         | 2013 Interview with Max Dlugy:
         | https://en.chessbase.com/post/the-shoe-aistant--ivanov-forfe...
         | 
         | Also, before you ask, "if he is already at GM level, why does
         | he feel the need to cheat?" the answer is that the stronger
         | players and athletes often feel more inclined to cheat because
         | they have such high expectations of themselves. Past cheating
         | scandals in sports have proven this.
        
       | Mountain_Skies wrote:
       | It's important to note that the investigation was conducted by
       | chess.com, which is hardly an impartial authority in the matter.
        
         | Version467 wrote:
         | How aren't they impartial? They are obviously an interested
         | party, but do they have an incentive to skew the facts? If so
         | in which direction? Not doubting you, just genuinely
         | interested.
        
           | axxl wrote:
           | Magnus owns a decent stake in them (20% maybe?) and has been
           | very publicly making accusations as well.
        
             | suetoniusp wrote:
             | Its not that much, but the article ignores the fact that
             | chess.com knew all of this and invited him to their
             | tournaments. Then once the Singfield cup event happened and
             | Magnus got mad they banned him.
             | 
             | They have been selectively releasing information about him
             | and his one time coach for a few weeks now. While in the
             | past they have never, not once, released any of their
             | cheating information. Why now?
             | 
             | If they dont release the report they are talking about then
             | this article is nothing.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Apparently they have a policy of only dealing internally,
               | with their own online systems. Basically they just
               | quietly ban players caught cheating, and don't report it
               | anywhere normally.
               | 
               | Even now, they haven't released this publicly yet.
        
             | heartbreak wrote:
             | Their deal with Magnus hasn't closed, but yes, they are
             | purchasing his company.
        
             | Version467 wrote:
             | Oh, I didn't know that chess.com wanted to buy chess24.
             | That does make it more difficult.
        
           | darkwizard42 wrote:
           | As mentioned in the article they are in talks to buy Magnus's
           | app Play Magnus.
           | 
           | That being said, if they have literal screenshots of the
           | discussions between Niemann and chess.com admitting to
           | cheating and appealing the ban, those seem like smoking guns
           | in addition to all this other analysis
        
         | edgarvaldes wrote:
         | On the other hand, the analysis is about online games on the
         | chess.com platform.
        
       | perihelions wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/TtSEO
        
       | fxtentacle wrote:
       | I believe the critical aspect here is not the specific cheating
       | that chess.com found, but that this appears to contain written
       | statements by Niemann himself which contradict his public
       | statement.
       | 
       | And if it now turns out that he lied in his confession, too, then
       | that's a really bad look w.r.t. his trustworthiness.
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | - _" written statements by Niemann himself which contradict his
         | public statement"_
         | 
         | The article doesn't say that Niemann's admissions to Chess.com
         | were about cheating in prize-money tournaments, nor the other
         | disputed facts. The spreadsheet of incidents they show us isn't
         | what Niemann admitted to cheating in, but was Chess.com's
         | internal anticheat flagged -- we can tell because they label it
         | as _" suspect games"_ and it uses qualifiers like _" likely"_.
         | The inferences that the cheating was for real money prizes, or
         | at an age older than 16, or on for-profit Twitch streams, are
         | drawn from from this list of suspected games.
         | 
         | We don't currently know what facts Niemann confessed too: it's
         | not public whether the facts Niemann is allegedly lying about
         | overlap with the facts Niemann admitted to in writing in 2020.
         | WSJ may have evidence that's dispositive on this point (i.e.
         | those Slack texts), but they haven't printed it yet.
        
         | threatofrain wrote:
         | Confessions have an important role in forgiveness, but given
         | that, the public arena is never the right place for
         | confessions; i.e., do you expect someone to say "Actually, I
         | also hit on another employee last May." That would get you
         | nailed to a cross and no lawyer would ever advise that except
         | on the calculus of further damage control.
        
           | kjeetgill wrote:
           | There's a huge difference between not confessing and making a
           | false confession.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | chaoticmass wrote:
       | If he really is so good, why doesn't he start doing IRL
       | tournaments and rise through the ranks that way?
        
       | chesscom wrote:
       | There is so much more to our report than what was focused on in
       | the WSJ article. The full report will be shared shortly...
        
         | mzs wrote:
         | >Rensch had previously said that Chess-com had never shared a
         | list of cheaters or the platform's cheat detection algorithm
         | with Carlsen.
         | 
         | So who did chess.com share those with?
        
           | largepeepee wrote:
           | And why would they ever share full details of confidential
           | agreements?
           | 
           | Ie, their secret sauce.
        
             | mzs wrote:
             | Cause they shared Dlugy's private emails last week? Cause
             | they leaked this report to the WSJ before putting it on
             | their site? Cause Rensch worded the non-denial denial
             | specifically like that?
        
               | largepeepee wrote:
               | Like I had mentioned previously, why would they reveal
               | their entire hand?
               | 
               | It makes sense to show the relevant part of their
               | upcoming case and who knows what kind of agreement they
               | had with Dlugy and with lawyers before deciding to reveal
               | that snippet.
               | 
               | Like in poker. Just because they showed one card, doesn't
               | mean they are now obligated to show their hand.
        
           | jquantf wrote:
           | Indeed. How did the rumors start? Who received the list? Was
           | it legal?
           | 
           | https://gdpr.eu/fines/
        
       | aluminum96 wrote:
       | It's a real red flag that he plays stronger moves after the
       | browser window loses focus. I'd argue that's much less
       | circumstantial than anything else so far.
        
         | IceWreck wrote:
         | Even if he was cheating, its a dumb move to do that. It's super
         | easy to stop websites from knowing that you're switching tabs
         | or windows.
         | 
         | https://github.com/IceWreck/Page-Visibility-User-Script
         | 
         | I made this a while ago.
         | 
         | Or just use another computer.
        
         | FireBeyond wrote:
         | Which shows ... I don't know ... naivety, or cockiness, or
         | something. If I'm cheating at chess (or poker or whatever)
         | online and I know that there are likely to be some form of
         | anti-cheat scanning happening... why wouldn't you run your
         | chess client on a computer beside you - then everything
         | surrounding that is undetectable (processes, focus, CPU
         | utilization, etc.)
        
           | kuboble wrote:
           | Because he likely wasn't aware they they track it and having
           | this other computer introduces other risks.
           | 
           | If he accidentally showed a picture of his second computer on
           | the same desk during e.g. a stream it would be akin to guilt
           | admission.
        
           | williamcotton wrote:
           | Cheating is a bad decision to begin with. I'm not surprised
           | that further bad decisions were quickly in pursuit.
        
           | bena wrote:
           | People are still rather short-sighted when it comes to what a
           | computer can do.
           | 
           | They can really only think in front of them. If I put
           | information into this program, I get information out. They
           | don't think that applications can monitor their own meta-
           | state. Or the state of other applications.
           | 
           | So I'm not terribly surprised that he thought running the
           | engine in another browser window would have been sufficient.
           | He might have even had it open in "incognito mode". And since
           | it's incognito, it can't be detected, right?
        
             | KennyBlanken wrote:
             | Most people don't realize that the online chat functions
             | for a lot of customer service sites show every character
             | you type, not when you hit 'enter' or 'send'.
        
               | bambax wrote:
               | Didn't know that. Is this really true? What would be the
               | point of it?
               | 
               | When chatting with a customer support it's quite apparent
               | the csr is involved in many chats at once; wouldn't it be
               | quite taxing for them to have to monitor not just the
               | responses but every keystroke of the people they interact
               | with?
        
               | bena wrote:
               | You could passively record without having to force the
               | CSR to engage. You could also then use that text to help
               | prompt the CSR.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | rjj wrote:
       | Just to make sure I read this right: he most likely cheated in 11
       | online tournaments from 2015 - 2020.
       | 
       | Why not analyze his recent and over-the-board games?
        
         | jfghi wrote:
         | I imagine everything is being analyzed but given that cheating
         | in 11 online tournaments is enough to invalidate someone's
         | career it makes for an appropriate topic of article.
        
           | rjj wrote:
           | I get that. Just checking I had it right that this is ~not
           | really the analysis we most want.
        
         | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
         | Kenneth Regan did that and came to a conclusion that there were
         | no cheating.
        
           | jbverschoor wrote:
           | I'd say he could not come to a conclusion that there were
           | cheating.
        
         | Jabbles wrote:
         | From the article:
         | 
         |  _While it says Niemann's improvement has been "statistically
         | extraordinary." Chess.com noted that it hasn't historically
         | been involved with cheat detection for classical over-the-board
         | chess, and it stopped short of any conclusive statements about
         | whether he has cheated in person. Still, it pointed to several
         | of Niemann's strongest events, which it believes "merit further
         | investigation based on the data." FIDE, chess's world governing
         | body, is conducting its own investigation into the Niemann-
         | Carlsen affair._
        
       | mzs wrote:
       | One of the reporters adds a detail that several from the WSJ
       | article means 6 (which we all would have immediately known had
       | chess.com simply published on their site instead of leaking the
       | 72-page report):
       | 
       | >The report made no conclusions about Niemann's in-person games.
       | But it also flagged his play from six over-the-board events,
       | saying those merit further investigation.
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/andrewlbeaton/status/1577380477807300626
        
       | energyy wrote:
       | do I really need to login/pay to read this news?
        
         | hoppyhoppy2 wrote:
         | an archive.ph link and a gift-article link have been posted
         | here in the comments.
        
           | energyy wrote:
           | yeah, saw that after posting this.. thanks
        
       | suetoniusp91 wrote:
        
       | arecurrence wrote:
       | Why don't cheaters just use two machines or even just their phone
       | and a laptop? The evidence is often around other processes or
       | browser tabs running on their device (and in this case also focus
       | loss) but an immediate thought must be to simply use multiple
       | devices.
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | No, the evidence is usually around analysis of the moves and
         | how they compare to those generated by chess engines and how
         | the same player has played in the past. The mechanics of the
         | cheating are mostly irrelevant.
        
           | arecurrence wrote:
           | You're totally right, some of the articles I looked at
           | focused on tangential causes... whereas analysis of moves
           | compared to decisions by a vastly superior system has got to
           | be the smoking gun.
           | 
           | I suppose new algorithms will be designed or trained to
           | account for the user's performance history.
        
         | ActorNightly wrote:
         | Traditionally chess engine moves were identifiable easily
         | enough by regular players, and chess.com even has algorithms in
         | place to detect this.
         | 
         | Thats all going to change now though, and its totally possible
         | to cheat using a second computer with an engine that will be
         | undetectable.
        
         | slivanes wrote:
         | You mostly read about cheaters who get caught.
        
           | olliej wrote:
           | Yeah, I think fail to consider survivor bias to be relevant
           | in cases like this.
           | 
           | It's also why there are occasional surges in cheating (or
           | crime, or whatever) after significant instances - subsequent
           | examination then finds other cases because it's now looking
           | for them, but the reality is the cheating (or whatever) was
           | always there and just not noticed.
        
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