[HN Gopher] MythBusters Helped a Wrongly Convicted Man Prove His...
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       MythBusters Helped a Wrongly Convicted Man Prove His Innocence
        
       Author : gbourne
       Score  : 105 points
       Date   : 2022-10-09 18:38 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (innocenceproject.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (innocenceproject.org)
        
       | hanniabu wrote:
       | > Deceptive tactics -- like offering leniency in exchange for a
       | confession or falsely telling children they can go home if they
       | confess -- have been identified as risk factors for false
       | confessions, and young people are especially vulnerable to
       | falsely confessing as a result of these tactics.
       | 
       | The great american justice system
        
         | pstuart wrote:
         | The American _Legal_ System. Justice is for sale.
        
       | gnicholas wrote:
       | So if it's impossible to light a pool of gasoline with a match,
       | what is being used in movies when this appears to happen?
        
         | MichaelDickens wrote:
         | I would think any fire on film is either CG or, if real, is lit
         | by a hidden fuse being controlled by a pyrotechnician. It would
         | probably be too dangerous to have an actor directly light a
         | fire using a match.
        
         | suzzer99 wrote:
         | I've lit a pool of gasoline with a match before. Screwing
         | around in junior high melting our plastic toys in the driveway
         | - not something we should have been doing.
        
         | giantg2 wrote:
         | A lot of times it looks like they're burning alcohol to me.
         | 
         | It's even more funny when they show them lighting jet fuel with
         | a match or lighter.
        
       | mlindner wrote:
       | This reminds me of how people get angry at me whenever I poke
       | holes in the science of movies. Movies affect people's ideas of
       | what is possible and what is impossible.
       | 
       | This is why I'm also quite against, in the general case, post-
       | apocalyptic movies that predict a future based on non-science
       | impossible things happening. Many spaceflight movies and TV shows
       | for example show very bad things in the future giving people a
       | false impression that the future will be worse than the past even
       | that goes against direct evidence that throughout human history
       | things have trended better, on average, every single year with a
       | few moments of worsening.
        
         | taberiand wrote:
         | How do you reconcile your prediction of a better future with
         | the current scientific projections of the effects that climate
         | change (and a myriad other environmental challenges and
         | resources issues) will have?
         | 
         | Especially given that our current position at the top of the
         | trend of improvement is in enormous part due to fossil fuels -
         | the primary contributor to climate change and our expected
         | future trajectory.
         | 
         | Past performance is not indicative of future results and quite
         | frankly, to me, it all looks downhill from here.
        
         | chordalkeyboard wrote:
         | > giving people a false impression that the future will be
         | worse than the past even that goes against direct evidence that
         | throughout human history things have trended better, on
         | average, every single year with a few moments of worsening.
         | 
         | This is called 'Whig history' and in my view it is an incorrect
         | characterization of history that gives people a false
         | impression that things will get better without them having to
         | understand the enabling factors that lead to social
         | improvement, ironically leading to the possibility of a
         | _decrease_ in prosperity and social welfare as people take
         | improvement for granted and fail to bring it about through
         | their actions.
        
         | emkoemko wrote:
         | its art.... leave it alone, these films are not documentaries
        
         | walrus01 wrote:
         | > Many spaceflight movies and TV shows for example show very
         | bad things in the future giving people a false impression that
         | the future will be worse than the past
         | 
         | I think The Expanse got it right, in that we're more likely in
         | the near to medium term to get a bunch of oligarch type Jules-
         | Pierre Maos (Hi Bezos!) running things behind the scenes. Not a
         | utopia type technology + spaceflight + social inequity problems
         | solved future.
        
           | mlindner wrote:
           | The Expanse is one of the TV series that I was thinking of
           | actually when I wrote that comment. It'd be too long to write
           | down here but I feel like while The Expanse got many things
           | right it also portrayed all sorts of fundamental things that
           | were completely off.
           | 
           | For example even in the first season things that are
           | fundamentally off that result in very different futures:
           | 
           | * The idea that we would actively intentionally re-create the
           | situation of MAD in another context. MAD was an accident of
           | historical happenstance and now that we know about it, we
           | wouldn't try to re-create it.
           | 
           | * The idea that a magical new engine would suddenly appear
           | that made many of the things in the tv series possible.
           | 
           | * The idea that Earth will for some reason simultaneously
           | become a massive welfare state, yet still somehow have solar-
           | system spanning power.
           | 
           | * The idea that there would be a complete backtrack in labor
           | rights and labor safety (the ice asteroid mining scene).
        
             | Izkata wrote:
             | > The idea that we would actively intentionally re-create
             | the situation of MAD in another context. MAD was an
             | accident of historical happenstance and now that we know
             | about it, we wouldn't try to re-create it.
             | 
             | I haven't seen The Expanse, but "try" doesn't seem to come
             | into it: We are very close to that situation right now with
             | NATO and Russia.
        
             | samatman wrote:
             | It sounds like fiction isn't your style, basically.
             | 
             | It would be a boring landscape if all the predictions which
             | went into every science-fiction story were the ones you
             | happen to like.
             | 
             | Add them up, you get Star Trek. That's great: but we
             | already have Star Trek.
        
             | haswell wrote:
             | Addressing your points:
             | 
             | 1. Is it recreation, or just maintaining the status quo?
             | Once MAD exists, I don't think it ever stops existing.
             | Space creates an opportunity to escape MAD thus
             | intrinsically a threat. It's not hard to imagine MAD
             | proliferating as humanity proliferates. It may seem obvious
             | that this is the wrong path, but it's not obvious that
             | major world players see things the same way.
             | 
             | 2. I think books and shows tend to be made about periods of
             | time that involve extraordinary discoveries because the
             | time prior to this is not particularly interesting and
             | there wouldn't be anything to tell a space story about.
             | 
             | This show also sets out to show the relatively near future
             | and early stages of space exploration which means it must
             | necessarily come on the heels of some major breakthrough.
             | 
             | 3. Why do the two have to be mutually exclusive? Is this
             | too far off from current reality?
             | 
             | 4. Look at the current climate towards human rights and the
             | trend towards losing them worldwide. Recent major decisions
             | by the US Supreme Court also come to mind. That old
             | behaviors would re-emerge in environments subject to less
             | oversight seems pretty plausible.
             | 
             | Obviously everyone has personal preferences, but $0.02.
        
             | lozenge wrote:
             | "The idea that there would be a complete backtrack in labor
             | rights and labor safety"
             | 
             | Our economy has always relied on people lacking labor
             | rights or safety. From serfdom, to colonialism, to slavery,
             | to police fighting strikes, to banana republics
             | (governments overthrown for not trading on the US terms),
             | and today hundreds of millions work in unsafe conditions or
             | as child labor for coffee, chocolate, diamonds, precious
             | metals, clothing, in recycling, etc. But that doesn't make
             | good TV, so it's asteroid mining and there's no kids on
             | screen.
             | 
             | As for the idea the human race has transcended past MAD...
             | that's just wishful thinking on your part! I could equally
             | say capitalism was due to historical happenstance and
             | wouldn't be invented today. It would have about as much
             | evidence.
        
             | kiba wrote:
             | Utopia makes for very boring television. Dystopian
             | megacorporations make the future interesting to watch.
             | 
             | There's a reason why there's a Chinese curse: "May you live
             | in interesting time."
        
               | Broken_Hippo wrote:
               | Utopia doesn't mean that there are no more challenges, it
               | just means they are different. You can have space travel
               | in a utopia - same with time travel. There are lots of
               | ways to get into dangerous situations. The drama is just
               | centered around different things than it is with
               | dystopias.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | > There's a reason why there's a Chinese curse: "May you
               | live in interesting time."
               | 
               | This cannot be true, because there is no such curse.
        
               | Anthony-G wrote:
               | Another myth busted: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/May_yo
               | u_live_in_interesting_ti...
        
               | Joeboy wrote:
               | > Utopia makes for very boring television.
               | 
               | The original Channel 4 version was brilliant (although
               | the subject matter didn't age well, or maybe aged a bit
               | too well). Didn't see the US remake but heard it was a
               | dud.
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uJnN3WMwDsk
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | Dystopia is just as lacking in creativity as Utopia. You
               | can have very interesting things happening even when
               | overall society is getting better. For example: A TV
               | series showing civilization winning against some form of
               | evil is plenty interesting and has been done many times,
               | despite it not being dystopian. Right now it's become
               | "popular" to have things go badly or to have a set
               | standard start of things going badly. This is a mental
               | disease of movie writers in the modern era.
        
             | pehtis wrote:
             | About your first point, MAD was actually developed by John
             | von Neumann and there is nothing accidental about it. 'He
             | also "moved heaven and earth" to bring MAD about.' https://
             | en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_von_Neumann#Mutual_assure...
        
               | gridspy wrote:
               | Yes, but in response to the soviet threat.
               | 
               | > [The Soviets] believed that whoever had superiority in
               | these weapons would take over the world, without
               | necessarily using them. He was afraid of a "missile gap"
               | and took several more steps to achieve his goal of
               | keeping up with the Soviets
               | 
               | (This is an except from the parent's wikipedia link)
        
             | klyrs wrote:
             | > The idea that a magical new engine would suddenly appear
             | that made many of the things in the tv series possible.
             | 
             | Assuming you're talking about the Epstein Drive and not the
             | protomolecule... it didn't suddenly appear, it was
             | invented. And, surprisingly enough, it's way closer to
             | realistic than most scifi.
             | 
             | http://toughsf.blogspot.com/2019/10/the-expanses-epstein-
             | dri...
             | 
             | > The idea that there would be a complete backtrack in
             | labor rights and labor safety (the ice asteroid mining
             | scene).
             | 
             | What labor laws cover the asteroid belt today? Or, closer
             | to home, the moon? If an earthly nation claims some
             | territory out there its own and seeks to enforce the law,
             | that's one thing. But what if a private company sends
             | workers out there in unclaimed space? Humanity hasn't had
             | access to such a lawless frontier in centuries, but we've
             | got a lot of ugly history to look back on. Civil rights are
             | not won by optimists, they're won through bloody and
             | protracted fights. Look no further than Apple to see that
             | companies in today's economy are still fully on board with
             | slavery and sweatshops, and Apple is one of the "good guys"
             | known for holding vendors' feet to the fire over human
             | rights abuses.
        
             | A4ET8a8uTh0 wrote:
             | It is possible that I am biased, because I watched Expanse
             | and ( apart from being annoyed by how it quickly it became
             | a relationship show ) I absolutely bought into the premise
             | including the points you listed:
             | 
             | * The idea that we would actively intentionally re-create
             | the situation of MAD in another context. MAD was an
             | accident of historical happenstance and now that we know
             | about it, we wouldn't try to re-create it.
             | 
             | If there is one thing that best predicts how individual
             | human will behave, it is how they have behaved in the past.
             | It is sad, but that is the reality. Similarly, as a
             | species, once we know, a certain set of actions are an
             | option, there will be people who will aim for that set of
             | actions. If a creation of blackholes becomes possible, you
             | can rest assured, MAD will almost instantly will be
             | recreated throughout the known human biome. I personally
             | think you give humanity way too much credit than it
             | deserves.
             | 
             | * The idea that a magical new engine would suddenly appear
             | that made many of the things in the tv series possible.
             | 
             | Hmm, not exactly magically, but most of recent
             | technological wonders sped up developments in other areas
             | significantly to the point, where ( naturally with
             | exception of fusion which is always 20 years away ) we
             | sometimes see developments in ways that could not be
             | imagined before ( Operation Warp speed and resulting
             | vaccine come to mind ) save for science fiction's like
             | Rainbow's End, where a line between development and
             | production is.. ridiculously short. I think in the span of
             | human existence, suddenly likely needs to be limited by
             | definition somehow.
             | 
             | * The idea that Earth will for some reason simultaneously
             | become a massive welfare state, yet still somehow have
             | solar-system spanning power.
             | 
             | I don't want to be that guy, but not to search very far
             | Soviet Russia was just such a state ( with the tech allowed
             | to it at the time ). I am not sure how this is a
             | contradiction. Each society governs its own priorities.
             | 
             | * The idea that there would be a complete backtrack in
             | labor rights and labor safety (the ice asteroid mining
             | scene).
             | 
             | I can't even.. We can just barely force corporations to
             | maintain labor rights now with some semblance of control
             | since we have them physically operating and we can summon
             | the representative in court and enforce compliance. And
             | even then, those controls are eroded via various means. Is
             | it really that difficult to imagine 'when cats away'
             | scenario?
        
               | tremon wrote:
               | _we wouldn 't try to re-create it_
               | 
               | Some people argue that we've already recreated it:
               | https://consilienceproject.org/its-a-mad-information-war/
               | 
               | > While the 2016 U.S. election was a watershed in
               | computational propaganda, the same phenomenon has
               | basically swept the planet, beginning as early as
               | 2010.[..] We posit that this frontier leads toward
               | mutually assured destruction, like all frontiers of arms
               | races in weapons technologies.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | dghughes wrote:
         | I find explosions are the worst specifically the sound of them.
         | Far away exploding things don't make a sound the instant the
         | explosive explodes there's a delay. What funny is the delay
         | makes it dramatic it's intuitive to humans far away means
         | delay.
        
         | Laaas wrote:
         | There's a 4chan post somewhere with a hypothesis about how
         | people are subconsciously unable to discern between fiction and
         | reality, even though they might be able to consciously, just as
         | you describe.
        
           | saalweachter wrote:
           | Isaac Asimov had an essay about how, in order for fantasy to
           | exist as a genre, you first have to understand that some
           | things aren't real. It's been awhile since I read it, but I
           | believe he does address that many people have a problem with
           | fantasy _because they don 't really distinguish between
           | talking about something and believing in something_.
           | _Reading_ a story about witches becomes _believing in
           | witches_ or _trying to be a witch_.
        
           | Fezzik wrote:
           | Are people surprised by this? The vast (super?) majority of
           | people on this planet seem to consciously claim to know or
           | believe in supernatural things they cannot possibly know and
           | that there is absolutely no evidence for. People appear to be
           | extraordinarily bad at distinguishing between reality and
           | their hopes and dreams.
        
       | pstuart wrote:
       | Such a great show.
       | 
       | They also censored themselves when they discovered a recipe for
       | an incredibly easy and powerful explosive. I throw that out there
       | as a case of self-regulation in the marketplace of ideas.
       | 
       | Edit: Adam Savage talking about it --
       | https://nerdist.com/article/mythbusters-destroyed-all-eviden...
       | 
       | Apparently it was _not_ well known, so not an original discovery
       | but still a legitimate use of the word.
       | 
       | My comment was a point about censorship in that it can be the
       | right thing to do. I'm curious AF about what the recipe is but am
       | ok with not knowing and and knowing that effectively no one else
       | does.
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | They didn't "discover a recipe". Anyone who was a kid at that
         | time could look up on the internet the recipes for these
         | things, and even pre-internet in things like "The Anarchist
         | Cookbook" and other such literature.
        
         | vore wrote:
         | I don't think that's so much self-regulation as it is the
         | producers would probably not let them publicize something like
         | that on TV and avoid some 3-letter agency knocking on their
         | doors.
        
           | louwrentius wrote:
           | Some people have a basic sense of morality, doing what's
           | right.
        
         | dtx1 wrote:
         | meh, they also censored how to make thermite (iron oxide powder
         | and aluminium powder ignited by magnesium) and you can get
         | explosive material easily almost everywhere gunpowder is
         | available. They censored how to make Nitrocellulose as well
         | which requires strong acids that are arguably more dangerous
         | than Nitrocellulose itself. Anyway that recipee is available on
         | wikipedia anyway
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nitrocellulose#Guncotton
        
         | anon_cow1111 wrote:
         | I had to look this up, it seems it was related to the myth of a
         | LOX tanker truck spilling/crashing and turning the road asphalt
         | itself into an explosive. Seems kinda weird to omit this though
         | as it's not really arcane knowledge (Pretty sure "The Martian"
         | had a scene where they blow open an airlock with something
         | similar).
         | 
         | Other mythbusters censors include dropping an entire episode
         | about credit card hacks/fakes because Visa and friends
         | threatened to pull ads from the network, and another episode
         | where they accidentally caused their test mice to cannibalize
         | each other.
        
       | dghughes wrote:
       | Curb Your Enthusiasm was filming an episode during a baseball
       | game. A man accused of killing someone walked into frame as part
       | of the crowd and that was proof of his location at the time of
       | the crime.
       | 
       | YouTube video of 60 Minutes Australia:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3V5Cj8d43Yw
        
         | JoshGG wrote:
         | There's a short documentary "Long Shot" about this on Netflix
         | that is pretty good:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Shot_(2017_film)
        
       | giantg2 wrote:
       | So why is deception wrong in an interrogation? I can see some of
       | the other tactics as problematic, but not that directly.
        
       | pkrotich wrote:
       | What scares me about US legal system is; Elected prosectutors are
       | motivated by high conviction rate for obvious reasons (re-
       | election and politics of it all). Add the fact that their line of
       | work requires competitive personalities and you become just but a
       | number, especially if you don't have competent cousel. I'm not
       | saying ALL public defendors are incompetent, but we see to many
       | cases of ineffective representation when the accused cannot
       | afford a high powered attorney.
       | 
       | Yes - you should be scared of ordinary prosectutors in suits
       | doing their "best" job more than a gang member for example! They
       | want are motivated to win at all cost... short of obviously
       | illegal ways.
        
         | caminante wrote:
         | False positives are rare in the US [0]: estimated at only 1% of
         | incarcerations according to the Innocence Project (mentioned in
         | HN article) and go even lower depending on who does the
         | analysis.
         | 
         | Are you aware of legal systems in other countries with lower
         | false positives?
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miscarriage_of_justice#United_...
        
           | el_nahual wrote:
           | That number doesn't seem right to me so I followed the
           | wikipedia citation. It cites "The Innocence Project", which
           | actually says:
           | 
           | > the few studies that have been done estimate that between
           | 2.3% and 5% of all prisoners in the U.S. are innocent (for
           | context, if just 1% of all prisoners are innocent, that would
           | mean that more than 20,000 innocent people are in prison).
           | 
           | https://innocenceproject.org/contact/#:~:text=How%20many%20i.
           | ..).
        
             | nostromo wrote:
             | The 1% actually cites the estimation method (extrapolation
             | from DNA exonerations). The higher 2.3-5% doesn't. What
             | studies are those?
             | 
             | https://innocenceproject.org/how-many-innocent-people-are-
             | in...
        
           | Retric wrote:
           | 2% of people on death row get exonerated and that's an
           | underestimate due to the difficulty in proving innocence.
           | Most crimes don't see anything close to that level of review
           | before or after conviction with death row reserved for the
           | most clear cut cases.
           | 
           | So, most estimates suggest in the range of 2-10% of
           | convictions are probably wrongful.
        
           | polygamous_bat wrote:
           | If every time you enter the legal system and you have a 1%
           | chance of being falsely convicted, that is a broken and
           | dangerous system regardless of how other countries fare at
           | that metric. Especially if you consider that certain
           | underprivileged demographics are already at a higher risk of
           | having more run-ins with the police regardless of their
           | criminal state.
        
             | PebblesRox wrote:
             | > If every time you enter the legal system and you have a
             | 1% chance of being falsely convicted
             | 
             | I agree with you that 1% is a high number in this context,
             | but I don't think the math works for what you're saying
             | here.
             | 
             | If 1 out of 100 convictions are of innocent people, that
             | doesn't mean that 1 out of 100 innocent people put on trial
             | are going to get convicted. That rate could be higher or
             | lower than 1% because it depends how many innocent people
             | are rightfully judged innocent.
             | 
             | Hypothetically, a court system that always returns a guilty
             | verdict could have a 1% false conviction rate if 99% of
             | people put on trial are actually guilty. But the rate of
             | wrongful conviction for an innocent person entering this
             | system would be 100%.
        
             | caminante wrote:
             | _> that is a broken and dangerous system regardless of how
             | other countries fare at that metric._
             | 
             | No. It's on topic because the parent singled out the US,
             | and I'm curious if other countries are taking procedures
             | that could be adopted in the US to reduce false positives
             | and ALSO false negatives.
        
               | tialaramex wrote:
               | Wait, why do you think it's necessary to _also_ reduce
               | false negatives?
               | 
               | Suppose there are five people who stole some candy, out
               | of 100 people in the village.
               | 
               | I claim that a system A in which three of the actual
               | thieves are successfully convicted, but the others escape
               | is _better_ than a system B in which four people are
               | successfully convicted, three of them are thieves but one
               | is innocent. You seem to disagree, insisting a better
               | system must also reduce false negatives.
        
               | caminante wrote:
               | _> a system B in which four people are successfully
               | convicted, three of them are thieves but one is
               | innocent._
               | 
               | You might need to re-phrase your hypothetical: "five
               | people [...] stole some candy candy", now you have three
               | getting convicted, a new person is innocent, but charged,
               | and what happened to the 5th person?
               | 
               | Regardless, you're skipping a step to argue values about
               | how many people should be incarcerated, etc. False
               | negatives matter because just like you don't want
               | innocent people being locked up for stealing candy (or
               | serious crimes), you ALSO don't want a high number of
               | murderers freed into the streets!
        
               | TheCoelacanth wrote:
               | If you don't care about reducing false negatives, then
               | the ideal policy is simply to abolish prisons because
               | that results in zero falsely imprisoned people.
        
               | rfrey wrote:
               | They said they don't think it's essential to _reduce_
               | false negatives, presumably from current levels. That 's
               | quite different than your reducto ad absurdum.
        
           | tremon wrote:
           | Does that 1% include the number of people who accepted a plea
           | deal, or only the number of wrongful convictions after a case
           | has gone to trial?
        
           | giantg2 wrote:
           | More like 2-10%. And that's only for the _incarcerated_.
           | There are many more that take deals to avoid prison time and
           | rotting in jail for 2 years just to get a trial, etc.
           | 
           | https://thehighcourt.co/wrongful-convictions-statistics/
           | 
           | Edit: can't find the actual article. Child commenter goes
           | into great detail about this being a rather solid range
           | though.
        
             | DannyBee wrote:
             | Both overall cite NRE data.
             | 
             | So may be better to go to the source (and the latest
             | version). https://www.law.umich.edu/special/exoneration/Doc
             | uments/NRE%...
             | 
             | is the 2021 National registry of exonerations annual
             | report.
             | 
             | What you'll see, interestingly, is neither the 2021, nor
             | 2019 report, estimate the prevalence of wrongful conviction
             | directly.
             | 
             | In particular, the claim "According to the 2019 annual
             | report by the National Registry of Exonerations, wrongful
             | convictions statistics show that the percentage of wrongful
             | convictions is somewhere between 2% and 10%. "
             | 
             | It does not say that. It offers no percent view on the rate
             | of wrongful convictions. It only offers the direct number
             | of exonerations, exonerations broken down by race, by crime
             | type, etc. It points out lots of statistical things
             | (exonerations are not evenly distributed by race, crime,
             | etc)
             | 
             | Someone else, with some other (not obviously explained)
             | methodology is using that to calculate wrongful conviction
             | rates.
             | 
             | That said, roughly all sources i can find are within the
             | 2-12% rate bound (IE i see a number saying 3-6%, a number
             | saying 1%, a number saying 12-13%).
             | 
             | The only truly easily found study (IE pops up immediately
             | on google search) is federal:
             | https://www.ojp.gov/pdffiles1/nij/grants/251115.pdf
             | 
             | The DOJ funded the urban justice institute to figure this
             | out back in 2017, and the rate they came up with was also
             | ~11%.
             | 
             | In there, they point to/compare with previous studies on
             | DNA evidence that suggest a rate of 12.5%
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Good catch
        
             | caminante wrote:
             | Where is the 2-10% in the source document [0]? I couldn't
             | find it in a brief glance.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.law.umich.edu/special/exoneration/Documents
             | /Exon...
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Looks like they're referencing the LA Times but I can't
               | find the actual article.
        
               | caminante wrote:
               | I see the stat referenced in an LA Times OpEd [0] by the
               | fiction author, John Grisham, but hit a dead end.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-grisham-
               | wrongful...
        
           | BlargMcLarg wrote:
           | The actual source mentions the 1% being 'conservative'.
           | Considering the Duluth model rules in many DV cases and there
           | is an obvious bias towards not admitting false positives, I'd
           | be surprised if that conservative measure was a maximum.
        
           | justin66 wrote:
           | A 1% false positive conviction rate is not comforting.
        
           | sanp wrote:
           | This doesn't show what the false positive number is from
           | African Americans or Latinos.
        
           | rfrey wrote:
           | Notwithstanding the other replies to your comment estimating
           | as high as 5%, 1% struck me as shockingly high.
        
         | lalopalota wrote:
         | Most public defenders are competent at their job.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, their job is to minimize the court's time spent
         | spent dealing with their clients.
        
       | awb wrote:
       | A couple things misleading about the title.
       | 
       | 1) Mythbusters wasn't aware of this case
       | 
       | 2) His confession under duress was the major factor in the
       | release
       | 
       | > In 2019, the appellate court granted John post-conviction
       | relief on the grounds of actual innocence -- a rarity in Illinois
       | -- largely based on the abuse used to coerce a false confession
       | from John.
        
         | ergocoder wrote:
         | The insulin inventor wasn't aware of millions of diabetic
         | people either.
         | 
         | MythBusters's episode was the starting point for him. The title
         | is okay.
        
       | woojoo666 wrote:
       | What kind of compensation do these people typically get? I can't
       | imagine what compensation would be enough for losing 35 years of
       | your life, especially the years 18-53. There goes almost all
       | dreams of becoming famous, meeting your soulmate, starting a
       | family, etc.
        
         | hammock wrote:
         | Many municipalities have an online database of all the wrongful
         | death settlements, etc that they (aka the taxpayer, split with
         | e.g. the police pension fund) have paid or are current paying.
         | 
         | Once out of curiosity I googled the name of the officer who
         | simply "took" my online stolen property report, and found out
         | both they and their partner had multimillion dollar judgments
         | against them
        
         | caminante wrote:
         | Here's info for wrongful incarceration compensation at the
         | federal and state level [0].
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://www.law.umich.edu/special/exoneration/Documents/Key-...
        
           | lucb1e wrote:
           | Takeaway from that link: around 50k/year in the USA, more or
           | less depending on the region, and you have to go to another
           | court (or similar) to get it, depending on the region.
           | Additionally, in some regions you might get "tuition
           | assistance", "medical expenses" (national healthcare for the
           | rest of your life I think this might mean?), "job search
           | assistance", and other things that you expect to get in a
           | prosperous country without having to have been wrongfully
           | convicted, and these benefits aren't even universal across
           | the USA after a wrongful conviction. But the 50kx35=1.75
           | million USD should make for a nice retirement fund regardless
           | of anything else.
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | None by default AFAIK. They can sometimes start a civil lawsuit
         | against the state.
        
       | louwrentius wrote:
       | Maybe this has always been obvious to everybody but the American
       | justice system is not about truth or fairness.
       | 
       | The goal is to convict no matter what. That is how the incentives
       | are lined up.
       | 
       | Case in point: the (famous) Serial podcast started about the (now
       | evidently) wrongful conviction of a teenager. He was recently
       | released after 20+ years because of a note found written by a
       | prosecutor that pointed to other plausible suspects, information
       | never shared with the defence.
       | 
       | You are very unlikely to ever be judged by a jury of your peers.
       | You are much more likely to not 'risk' that and take the plea
       | deal. From the perspective of a European (and we have our issues)
       | it sounds the system is fundamentally rotten.
       | 
       | The mythbuster story only highlight how basic truth finding isn't
       | really an issue.
        
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