[HN Gopher] Electrolyser development: 200 times less iridium needed
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Electrolyser development: 200 times less iridium needed
        
       Author : FrankyHollywood
       Score  : 132 points
       Date   : 2022-10-29 12:17 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.tno.nl)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.tno.nl)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | The important metric for electrolysers now is not so much
       | efficiency (although that's nice), it's capital cost. For use
       | with intermittently available power capital cost becomes more
       | important. This is different from the old notion of a hydrogen
       | economy, using relatively expensive nuclear power to drive
       | electrolysers 24/7.
       | 
       | It may also be nice if the electrolysers were reversible, so they
       | could also act as fuel cells.
        
         | galangalalgol wrote:
         | Have we solved the hydrogen storage issue yet? This seems like
         | pumped hydro storage except the dam has a not-so-slow leak.
         | 
         | People keep the o2 as well right? Even in fuel cell mode you
         | could use air as the oxidizer and keep the purified o2.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | Hydrogen can be stored in underground reservoirs, like
           | solution mined cavities in salt domes and spent natural gas
           | fields. The cost is as little as $1 per kWh of storage
           | capacity. This is the great advantage of hydrogen over many
           | other storage schemes, which have a much higher cost per unit
           | of energy storage capacity.
           | 
           | There is also the per-power cost of charging and discharging
           | equipment, but that's independent of per-energy capacity
           | cost.
           | 
           | I don't believe the oxygen is kept. Even if it were, O2 is
           | very cheap. Liquid oxygen is the second cheapest industrial
           | liquid, after water. Maybe it would make sense to store O2
           | underground as compressed gas also, for use in Allam cycle
           | turbines (which would prevent NOx formation and even recover
           | the water of combustion for reuse.)
           | 
           | In fuel cell mode you're consuming oxygen, not purifying it.
        
             | galangalalgol wrote:
             | What is the source on the price of liquid o2? That seems
             | insane that it would be so cheap, don't you have to either
             | chill the air until it condenses, or use a selective
             | absorber to separate it from air?
             | 
             | My point was why waste purified o2 on the fuel cell when
             | you could use air and then sell the o2?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Yes, you chill the air. You get to recover the "cold"
               | from the nitrogen (by using the cold separated nitrogen
               | to chill the incoming air via countercurrent heat
               | exchange), so you're actually only chilling (without
               | recovery) the oxygen.
               | 
               | Cryogenic air separation is done on a vast scale to get
               | gaseous oxygen for the basic oxygen steelmaking process.
               | LOX can be obtained by tapping off some of that rather
               | than also using to chill the incoming air.
        
             | daveguy wrote:
             | Liquid oxygen is definitely not the cheapest industrial
             | liquid after water. Just the temperature required to
             | maintain liquid oxygen makes this false on its face. Even
             | oxygen gas isn't the cheapest gas.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | NASA in 2001 paid $0.67/gallon for liquid oxygen. What
               | industrial liquid aside from water (or things dissolved
               | in water) is that cheap?
        
               | tuatoru wrote:
               | Just recently methanol was $378/ton in small amounts. In
               | 2019 it was between $200/ton and $300/ton. I'm too lazy
               | to do the price deflation--and I wouldn't know what
               | deflator to use--but that seems like it would have been
               | at least comparable.
               | 
               | Fuel oil may have been similar.
               | 
               | Sulfuric acid $170/ton in 2022.
        
               | Robotbeat wrote:
               | Liquid oxygen is about $100/tonne in large quantities,
               | and the price can be even lower if you pay for large
               | scale, on-site generation.
        
               | londons_explore wrote:
               | Liquid oxygen pricing is mostly the electricity
               | pricing... Equipment cost is small in comparison.
               | 
               | Which means it varies widely depending on where in the
               | world you're wanting it. It isn't valuable enough to ship
               | far.
        
           | nanomonkey wrote:
           | Our existing natural gas pipelines can handle storing up to
           | 10% added hydrogen gas. If we were to start ramping up biogas
           | production from waste streams we could produce some, if not
           | all of the methane that goes along hydrogen in natural gas.
           | This would utilize existing infrastructure, and help with
           | energy production at night (think heating) when solar is
           | unavailable.
           | 
           | Hydrogen is only difficult to store if it is pressurized, at
           | low pressures there are low losses due to adiabatic
           | expansion. Embrittlement is only a concern when you're
           | holding back high pressures, and isn't a big concern for
           | pipelines which can conceivably hold a large amount of
           | reserve fuel.
           | 
           | I think the purified oxygen is an overlooked resource, as it
           | can be used at, or near, the electrolizer as a method of
           | producing pure syngas from waste organic matter using
           | gasification. Normally woodgas or producer gas isn't
           | desirable because it is made from atmospheric air as the
           | oxidizer which contains a large amount of inert nitrogen
           | which takes up space and produces nitric oxides at high
           | temperatures. By using pure oxygen one can produce higher
           | temperatures in the gasification reactor, and a purer syngas.
           | This could be stored, and then used along with the hydrogen
           | to produce heat and electricity in existing natural gas
           | turbines when it is needed.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | And in a world where meth heads are climbing under cars to
         | steal catalytic converters we have a problem with small
         | portable boxes full of precious metals getting up and walking
         | away when nobody is looking.
         | 
         | Particularly in some rural areas which might be good for power
         | generation.
        
       | beckingz wrote:
       | This is exciting because it could reduce the capital expenditure
       | needed for hydrogen production. The biggest reason we don't use
       | intermittent electricity generation (wind, solar) for hydrogen
       | production or desalination is that a significant fraction (~30%)
       | of the total cost is capex.
       | 
       | The efficiency here is lower by a factor of 2 or 3 for electrical
       | consumption (for now in the lab), but if you can get electricity
       | at near zero cost for a few hours a day this could make
       | economical sense.
        
         | prox wrote:
         | Had to look capex up : _business, finance CAPitalEXpense or
         | CAPitalEXpenditure; A financial term for the initial costs of a
         | business, in contrast to operational expenditure._
        
           | HPsquared wrote:
           | Commonly used along with OPEX (operating expenditure).
        
       | ajross wrote:
       | So... this is a fuel-cell-adjacent technology, and as such you
       | need to read announcements like this with a somewhat cynical eye.
       | I have no reason to doubt the science here. It probably works, or
       | certainly is no less likely to fail than any other new
       | technology.
       | 
       | But here's the thing: PEM electrolysis promises to reach hydrogen
       | production efficiencies of... 80% or so, using exotic materials
       | and entirely new chemistries. _Regular DC electrical
       | electrolysis_ (literally the  "stick a wire in water to make
       | bubbles" experiment we all did as kids) is starting out around
       | the 65-70% mark. This just isn't that much better.
       | 
       | And doubly so when you realize that the most efficient
       | reconversion of that hydrogen to electricity is going to lose
       | another 20%.
       | 
       | This is better, but it's only incrementally better. 30% cheaper
       | hydrogen would be nice, I guess, but it's not going to change any
       | fundamentals of the energy economy.
        
         | Swenrekcah wrote:
         | I'm no expert on this but it certainly seems conceivable that a
         | 30% cost reduction can be the difference between "not
         | profitable" and "profitable".
         | 
         | In regards to the efficiency argument against hydrogen:
         | Sometimes that is an issue but sometimes it's just not an issue
         | at all. Fossil fuel efficiency is abominable but they're still
         | used.
        
         | snek_case wrote:
         | 80% isn't amazing, it's not ideal for an electric car, but it's
         | not terrible either. IMO, to switch to 100% renewables, we're
         | going to need grid-scale batteries, but it might also help if
         | we had a mechanism to achieve seasonal energy storage.
         | 
         | I know hydrogen is hard to store, so I think it would be best
         | if we could somehow use electricity to produce ethanol directly
         | from CO2 and water (is that feasible with reasonable
         | efficiency?). But just imagine if we could, in the summer, we
         | could turn excess solar power into ethanol and stockpile it for
         | the winter. We could also use that fuel to power jet airplanes
         | and cargo ships without using any fossil fuels.
        
           | snewman wrote:
           | CO2 to hydrocarbon fuels (not ethanol, but methane and
           | potentially liquid hydrocarbons as well) is exactly what
           | Terraform Industries is planning to do.
           | 
           | https://terraformindustries.com/
        
             | snek_case wrote:
             | Do you know what kind of efficiencies they get and how
             | close to practical or not this is?
        
           | cjbgkagh wrote:
           | I've always worried about the energy density of batteries.
           | They're explosive enough as it is, imagine if it was 10x
           | worse. I've always hoped that we'd transition to synthetic
           | fuel - fuel like diesel is surprisingly stable and safe.
        
             | ajross wrote:
             | Fuel infrastructure burns all the time, though. It's like
             | every month there's a video of some tanker overturned on
             | the highway, or a refinery fire, or a gas explosion. I
             | don't have statistics in front of me but I'm all but
             | certain that lithium batteries as deployed today are
             | _safer_ by pretty much any metric you want to pick.
        
             | flavius29663 wrote:
             | the batteries explode because of the materials in them, not
             | because of the stored electrical energy. An full lithium
             | battery wouldn't explode much more violently than an empty
             | one.
        
               | VygmraMGVl wrote:
               | Lithium Ion batteries do burn much more readily when
               | fully charged than when discharged -- this is because
               | they self-discharge rapidly at elevated temperatures,
               | which provokes an even greater reaction of the materials
               | inside of them. Specifically, if the cathode of NMC/NCA
               | batteries gets hot enough, it will decompose into oxygen
               | and really kick off the graphite + electrolye burning.
               | Discharged batteries are tougher to get to burn since
               | it's harder to heat the cathode to that point externally
               | so oxygen has to come from the environment.
        
               | cjbgkagh wrote:
               | I fly FPV so I deal with exploding batteries from time to
               | time. Fully charged batteries explode much more violently
               | than discharged batteries which tend to smolder instead.
               | I suspect the additional electric discharge is adding
               | 'fuel to the fire.'
        
               | snek_case wrote:
               | Interestingly, a discharged lithium ion battery still has
               | electric potential in it, it's just that we stop
               | discharging it after it hits a cutoff voltage to protect
               | the battery's lifespan.
               | 
               | I wonder if a truly 100% discharged battery (down to zero
               | volts) would actually be basically inert, and not even
               | smolder if you poked it.
        
         | Wowfunhappy wrote:
         | But it should be noted, this is how progress usually happens,
         | right? Little incremental gains in efficiency, added together
         | over time.
         | 
         | Although that does make it hard to judge the significance of
         | any one breakthrough.
        
           | ajross wrote:
           | Yes. But you don't plan on an entirely new organization of
           | the energy economy on the basis of that. To pick other
           | examples: VLSI scaling happened first, _then_ the software
           | industry explosion. Lithium batteries arrived first, _then_
           | people started developing mobile devices (and eventually
           | cars).
           | 
           | Planning on this great new "hydrogen economy" thing when even
           | the best-case theoretical technologies represent only a mild
           | improvement over what we have isn't responsible punditry,
           | it's just playing "What if George Jetson had a Jetpack?"
           | games.
        
             | someweirdperson wrote:
             | Hydrogen doesn't suddenly appear to create a new kind of
             | market, like sudden availability of jetpacks would.
             | 
             | Burning remainders of dinosaurs is on the decline. It is
             | frowned upon by many due to CO2, it is not always readily
             | available (see current war), and finally supply is limited.
             | This leads to a decrease of availability, and at continuing
             | demand an increase in price. Unavoidable.
             | 
             | Prduction of electrical power from renewables is the
             | cheapest form available already today. Also, it can scale
             | without any practical limit. Power just isn't always
             | available when needed, with surplus production at other
             | times. Any improvement in storage cost (mainly device cost,
             | much less efficiency) decreases the price of power from
             | storage.
             | 
             | At some point, the price of power from storage will drop
             | below the price of power from fossil fuels. No magic step
             | will be needed, simply increasing/decreasing prices will
             | meet at some point.
        
             | athrowaway3z wrote:
             | > Yes. But you don't plan on an entirely new organization
             | of the energy economy on the basis of that.
             | 
             | These kind of breakthroughs change the economics and
             | composition of the new energy economy. They are not a
             | challenge to the fact that harmful, limited, fossil energy
             | is a very cheap and simple way to run an economy for a
             | century or so.
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | Just to be clear. The one change everybody is waiting for
             | is excess renewables capacity at peak times, not
             | improvement on storage technologies.
             | 
             | Of course, improvement at storage will always be good. It's
             | just not the bottleneck right now.
             | 
             | So, yeah, the article is great news. And it won't change
             | the electricity paradigm at all. Both at the same time.
        
               | someweirdperson wrote:
               | > The one change everybody is waiting for is excess
               | renewables capacity at peak times
               | 
               | That's already the case in the northern parts of Germany.
               | On windy days feeding excessive electricity to all
               | neighbors, and still shutting down some wind turbines.
               | The local energy company is planning 320 MW hydrogen
               | production [0].
               | 
               | [0] https://www.ewe.com/de/media-
               | center/pressemitteilungen/2022/...
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | photochemsyn wrote:
         | > "And doubly so when you realize that the most efficient
         | reconversion of that hydrogen to electricity is going to lose
         | another 20%."
         | 
         | I think the real value of water-sourced hydrogen is going to be
         | in three fields: synthesis of ammonia (atmospheric N2 + H2 ->
         | NH3), direct reduction of iron ore to sponge iron (FeO + H2 ->
         | Fe), and synthesis of methane and jet fuel (Sabatier and
         | Fischer-Tropsch processes, respectively).
        
           | legulere wrote:
           | It's important to note, that that methane will be used by the
           | chemical industry and not get burned, it's more efficient to
           | burn H2 directly.
           | 
           | In Germany there's also plans to repurpose gas plants to burn
           | H2 during Dunkelflaute. I'm curious if that will pan out.
        
         | legulere wrote:
         | You can also increase efficiency by using waste heat.
        
           | comicjk wrote:
           | Only if you have something nearby that needs low-grade heat,
           | like warming buildings. Waste heat is a diffuse source of
           | energy that's not worth the infrastructure cost of
           | transporting more than a few miles.
        
         | choeger wrote:
         | If hydrogen would only halve the amount of usable energy, it
         | would already offset the difference in a perfectly sunny
         | location and one that's often cloudy. The case for wind energy
         | is probably similar.
        
       | bilsbie wrote:
       | Could this be used in fuel cells also?
       | 
       | Whatever happened with fuel cells anyway? Did we give up on them?
        
         | comicjk wrote:
         | Too expensive, too easily degraded by minor impurities in the
         | fuel, not improving nearly as fast as batteries (their main
         | competition). Using rare materials more efficiently would
         | definitely help with the cost problem.
        
           | ephbit wrote:
           | I'd guess the one important application of fuel cell tech
           | that people often appear to forget is going to be long haul
           | trucks where it'll replace the diesel power train.
           | 
           | It's a big chunk of overall land transport that IMO in the
           | long-term won't have other technologically/economically
           | viable options besides the fuel cell.
           | 
           | Rail doesn't serve the last few miles to the destination.
           | 
           | Electric trucks are viable for short distances. Trucking
           | dozens of tons of cargo over distances > 500 miles isn't
           | going to roll well with carrying another 3-5 tons of battery.
           | And having to recharge that at 2 MW every now and then would
           | require a very reliable/available and ubiquitous high power
           | charging infrastructure.
        
             | vardump wrote:
             | I think about 2 ton battery is closer to truth for a truck
             | that has about 400-500 mile range. Less, if you consider
             | all the heavy diesel engine and transmission parts an
             | electric truck is not going to need.
             | 
             | Charging at the starting point while loading, at
             | (mandatory) breaks and at the destination should be enough;
             | a BEV truck done right shouldn't require extra waiting
             | time.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | That ignores all the existing infra (or lack thereof).
               | 
               | Fossil fuels are very energy dense, and we still have
               | tons of truck stops everywhere - and need them!
               | 
               | Last mile, most dropoffs are not going to have power
               | infra to allow MW+ Charging of every truck that shows up,
               | at least not without a lot of time to upgrade. And many
               | won't want to even try, as they're paying the logistics
               | companies so they don't need to deal with stuff like
               | that.
               | 
               | Even distribution centers would struggle (capex wise), as
               | we'd be talking 100s of megawatts at least of extra load,
               | possibly giggawatts.
        
           | _hypx wrote:
           | There has been no more meaningful progressive in batteries in
           | over a decade. The energy density of batteries today (~265
           | Wh/kg) is marginally better than where it was in 2012 (~250
           | Wh/kg). It's been entirely a function of cost reduction. If
           | this continues, people will need to stop talking about "rapid
           | advances" in batteries and instead talk about stagnation.
        
             | fbdab103 wrote:
             | This report[0] says that battery energy densities have
             | almost tripled since 2010.
             | 
             | [0]: https://cleantechnica.com/2020/02/19/bloombergnef-
             | lithium-io...
        
               | _hypx wrote:
               | The report is wrong. It doesn't even make sense since
               | there is clearly a dot above 200 Wh/kg in 2012. Meaning
               | the graph is only claiming a 40-50% improvement in the
               | last decade.
               | 
               | But regardless, the report is wrong because we most
               | definitely had reached 250 Wh/kg by 2010. Panasonic mass
               | produced a cell with those specs start in 2009:
               | https://news.panasonic.com/global/press/en091218-2
               | 
               | Furthermore, there is no way of buying that 300 Wh/kg
               | cell shown on the chart. No seems to have ever found one
               | available as a commercial product. Meaning it is likely
               | an experimental cell that never made it to production.
        
           | narrator wrote:
           | Asteroid mining for catalyst medals might pencil out one day.
        
       | egeozcan wrote:
       | They are decreasing by a factor of 200, which means 1/200 of the
       | starting amount.
       | 
       | English is not my native language so I was a bit confused by "200
       | times less", which I (wrongly) imagined to mean starting amount
       | (x) minus 200x, getting to -199x, which didn't make sense. Math
       | in speech is a tricky thing.
        
         | arantius wrote:
         | I am a native English speaker, but I also despise this phrase.
         | Exactly because it's so awkward that it's hard to truly know
         | what the speaker means. This pattern is unfortunately common.
         | In my experience when used, they mean "reduced by a factor of
         | 200" but they say "200 times less" as...shorthand?
        
         | resist_futility wrote:
         | 200 * x(less) = y(previous)
        
         | entropicgravity wrote:
         | The trick is in the word "times". In english every kid learns
         | the "times table" ie "3 times 5 is 15; 6 times 7 is 42" so in
         | this case "200 times less" means x/200. Live and learn,
         | especially in a second language :)
        
         | FredPret wrote:
         | Crazy thought: mathematical symbols like +, =, and even
         | variables like x, y, etc are recent-ish innovations.
         | 
         | Before that equations were written out in words!
        
           | HPsquared wrote:
           | That's interesting, are there any famous examples?
        
             | drivers99 wrote:
             | https://personal.math.ubc.ca/~cass/Euclid/dee/dee24.html
             | 
             | From an early/first English translation of Euclid.[1]
             | 
             | [1] https://personal.math.ubc.ca/~cass/Euclid/dee/
        
             | cesaref wrote:
             | I'd guess Netwons Principia would be a good example, given
             | it basically became the founding work of a mathematical
             | approach to physics, gravity, newton's laws of motion etc.
             | 
             | The book is written in Latin and contains diagrams and text
             | to describe each lemma and law. Geometric proof seems to
             | feature heavily!
             | 
             | From wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosophi%C3
             | %A6_Naturalis_Pri...
        
         | Angostura wrote:
         | I thought it might have just meant they needed one third of the
         | amount. Thanks for doing the maths
        
         | GoldenRacer wrote:
         | I am a native English speaker and this annoys me as well. 200
         | times less sounds more impressive than 99.5% less even if it's
         | kind of ambiguous. Same with saying it only needs 1/200th the
         | amount. They want big numbers in the headline and people will
         | figure out what they meant.
        
           | jacobolus wrote:
           | The only reason to have "per cent" (%) as a concept is
           | because decimal fractions weren't invented yet when per cent
           | was first used; until the past few centuries arithmetic was
           | almost exclusively done in terms of integers or ratios (or
           | various mixed units depending on the material being
           | measured). Using 1/100 as a generic unit was a work-around to
           | make numbers less than one easier to compare and recognize by
           | turning them into 2-digit whole numbers instead of needing to
           | do a careful computation to judge between say 5/13 vs. 3/8.
           | 
           | There's not really any particular advantage to saying 0.005
           | of the amount (or 1 - 0.995 of the amount) vs. 200 times
           | less. Personally I find it significantly less clear (though
           | not really any more or less "impressive"), because doing
           | mental decimal arithmetic takes some extra effort and leaves
           | more room for confusion. That is, it is easier to reason
           | about multiplying or dividing some quantity by 200 vs.
           | multiplying or dividing by (1 - 0.995).
           | 
           | But the two numbers are reciprocals; this is grade-school
           | rational arithmetic, not some kind of trick.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | It's even more ambiguous when people say "200% faster". What
           | does 50% faster mean in a world where people can say 200%
           | faster with impunity?
        
             | aordano wrote:
             | 200% faster means 3x the nominal speed:
             | 
             | You're adding speed ("going faster").
             | 
             | You're adding a 200% of speed, which is twice the nominal
             | speed (the 100%). Given the nominal speed is 1x and you're
             | adding 2x, you end with triple the magnitude of the
             | original nominal speed.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | hinkley wrote:
               | You've dodged the question mark. What does 50% faster
               | mean? What does 67% faster mean? What does 75% faster
               | mean?
               | 
               | I'm using the exact same terminology, so splitting hairs
               | on phrasing isn't going to work for me.
        
               | mattkrause wrote:
               | Something crawls along at 1 m/s.
               | 
               | After some clever engineering, it now runs 50% faster.
               | Its speed is now 100% (baseline) + 50% (improvement) =
               | 150% of 1 m/s (original speed) = 1.5 * 1 m/s = 1.5 m/s
               | 
               | The budget option runs 20% slower than the original
               | model. Its speed is 100% (baseline) - 20% (derating) =
               | 80% * 1 m/s (original speed) = 0.8 m/s.
        
               | aordano wrote:
               | As sibling comments said, 50% faster means adding 50% of
               | the nominal speed, so it's 1.5x the original magnitude.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | 50% faster means original speed plus 50%, or 1.5x
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | It would be nice if this were the universal meaning of
               | this phrasing but people do use it to mean both "twice as
               | fast" (2x) and "faster by double the original speed"
               | (3x).
               | 
               | People will rail about them using it wrong but it's
               | pretty useless when you have to basically guess whether
               | people subscribe to your definition of "right" before you
               | can understand something.
        
         | euroderf wrote:
         | This is a horrible language hack perpetrated and perpetuated by
         | people who think a form like "a/one two-hundredth" is some kind
         | of fancy-pants pointy-haired intellectual nonsense that will
         | lose their target audience of the mathematically and
         | grammatically illiterate. Oh well.
        
       | AtlasBarfed wrote:
       | Green hydrogen in theory is valid and a very worthy target of
       | research.
       | 
       | In practice it remains a FUD/policy distraction by petroleum
       | interests to develop an energy ecosystem that is reliant on
       | fossil fuels for the foreseeable (and profitable) future.
       | 
       | This is research that falls into the former category, but it's
       | presence and other "green hydrogen" headlines in the news feed is
       | due to the influence of the latter.
       | 
       | The economics of solar/wind/battery are and will be the driver of
       | primary carbon reduction for the next decade, likely two decades.
       | 
       | Practical hydrogen has the same issue new nuclear has: what price
       | target? LCOE and many other measures of solar/wind/battery have
       | fallen at 10 percent or more per year for the last decade, and
       | while "who knows" when that exponential curve tails off, looking
       | at the scale of what's needed, forthcoming techs like perovskites
       | and forthcoming production of sodium ion / LFP / LMFP and the
       | prototypes of Lithium Sulfur / Solid State in batteries, there is
       | likely another decade of improvement at those rates.
       | 
       | So like "new nuclear", sure, keep up the research, and if price
       | competitive applications can compete with sodium ion batteries
       | (which I think will be a killer app in grid storage based on the
       | materials and gravimetric densities), sure, but I think these
       | techs will be kind of like magnetic RAM vs DRAM: it simply missed
       | the boat of the economies of scale rampup, and now has to wait
       | for that curve to stabilize before anything competitive can crop
       | up.
       | 
       | For hydrogen to be practical in any green form in large scale
       | requires a huge development in generation (which this is),
       | storage, transport, and infrastructure. Fundamentally that
       | hydrogen creation/transport/storage/delivery infrastructure,
       | which is 99.99999% unbuilt, competes with the existing power
       | grid, which likely has TRILLIONS of dollars in accumulated
       | investment and will receive likely another trillion or two
       | globally over the next two years to adapt to dirt cheap solar and
       | wind, to say nothing of what will be invested in home /
       | commercial distributed solar generation and battery storage which
       | hydrogen is not applicable.
       | 
       | Big Oil had a chance when the Bush Administration was talking
       | about hydrogen circa 2003. But the fat cats sat on their hats,
       | and Tesla and solar/wind left them in their dust. The only ones
       | really pushing hydrogen are those and Toyota, who perplexingly
       | missed the EV boat despite releasing hybrids in 1997 and should
       | have been providing an entire product line of PHEVs by 2005 that
       | pushed the entire industry towards PHEVs for all consumer
       | transport by 2015. We'd be immune to OPEC and russia if that had
       | happened, and 70-80% of daily miles would be electric with no
       | range anxiety.
        
         | tuatoru wrote:
         | Electrolysis at scale has to happen for green hydrogen to
         | replace coking coal in iron smelting/steelmaking (~9% of global
         | carbon emissions)[1] and to replace steam reformation of fossil
         | methane for making ammonia, for fertilizer (~1%).
         | 
         | Those applications don't require an elaborate transport
         | infrastructure; just that the plants be located near large PV
         | farms or vice versa.
         | 
         | Why write "trillions" in capital letters? Is it supposed to be
         | impressive? A trillion dollars is one percent of global GDP.
         | Oil, fossil gas, and coal extraction cost 5 TRILLION dollars a
         | year, and the infrastructure for their use (vehicles, boilers,
         | etc.) cost TRILLIONS more. And that's just to offset
         | depreciation.
         | 
         | 1. An alternative to using hydrogen for iron smelting is direct
         | electrolysis of molten iron ore, but that is at early research
         | stages. It can't be rolled out globally in the next four
         | decades; development will take longer than that.
        
           | AtlasBarfed wrote:
           | Because current investment in hydrogen infrastructure is
           | likely ONE MILLIONTH of that ... or more. As in it is so far
           | behind that there is no feasible way to catch up.
           | 
           | But mostly ecause numbers with lots of zeros are important to
           | keep in mind.
        
           | robocat wrote:
           | Presumably the electricity network can often be used to
           | transport the power, so only the hydrogen electrolysis plant
           | needs to be near the industrial consumer.
           | 
           | The possibility is very dependent on the network constraints
           | to the load: there is often excess network capacity on many
           | links or excess capacity at certain times of day, because the
           | network is built to handle peak loads. There is also
           | availability of capacity on network secondary-links that have
           | reserved backup capacity (to handle failover from network
           | primary-link failure).
           | 
           | One major constraint for green power is locating it near a
           | network node that can accept the power.
        
         | patall wrote:
         | Your thinking ignores that there are many other uses for
         | hydrogen. There is this chart [1] that clearly states where we
         | should go for clean hydrogen production first and where it may
         | not be worthwhile. And what I am noticing, that is more or less
         | where the industry here in europe is going: some experiments in
         | different areas but focus is the chemical industry and soon
         | steel. Everything else will (mostly) come later.
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://mobile.twitter.com/MLiebreich/status/143199000314453...
        
         | wedn3sday wrote:
         | > The economics of solar/wind/battery are ...
         | 
         | Its always been my impression that the only practical use of
         | hydrogen is as a pseudo battery to buffer energy from renewable
         | sources. No need for expensive/dangerous transmission or
         | fueling infrastructure if the hydrogen is stored in the same
         | place it was generated, and then passed through a fuel cell to
         | turn it back into juice when demand increases.
        
           | kotlin2 wrote:
           | You can also use green hydrogen in place of blue hydrogen,
           | e.g. when making ammonia.
        
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