[HN Gopher] NASA finds super-emitters of methane
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       NASA finds super-emitters of methane
        
       Author : walterbell
       Score  : 195 points
       Date   : 2022-11-01 20:38 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.smithsonianmag.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.smithsonianmag.com)
        
       | idiotsecant wrote:
       | Another example of why we need the 'regulation' that is so
       | demonized.
        
         | stetrain wrote:
         | Hmm but if we make businesses do something that is not the most
         | short-term profitable choice, then the shareholders may not be
         | able to extract maximum value!
        
           | ch4s3 wrote:
           | This isn't a very good take. Business leaders are generally
           | fine with reasonable regulations that are evenly applied and
           | easy to comply with. The operations out there spewing methane
           | are essentially free riding, and their competitors who don't
           | do that probably want better enforcement. Obviously this
           | isn't universally applicable to all conceivable regulations,
           | but its true enough in this case.
        
             | ohbtvz wrote:
             | I personally don't care in any way about what business
             | leaders are comfortable with. Our planet is burning. They
             | should be uncomfortable.
        
               | ch4s3 wrote:
               | My point is that businesses aren't even necessarily
               | against this kind of regulation. The reality is that
               | controlling methane requires a lot of unsexy
               | followthrough and monitoring, and international deal
               | making. This is a political failure.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | We need it at the worldwide level, which is especially
         | difficult.
        
           | themitigating wrote:
           | Not if you use force
        
             | cowtools wrote:
             | it is strictly impossible to establish a one-world
             | government through force, at least given our current
             | technology.
             | 
             | If a country has the army of robots needed to make it
             | happen, then you have two problems.
        
               | steve_taylor wrote:
               | It's impossible to establish a one-world government
               | without force.
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Good luck doing that on renewables and positive vibes!
        
               | themitigating wrote:
               | We can sacrifice for the greater good.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | That 'we' sure is carrying a lot of weight. From the
               | context of this thread, it seems likely most of the
               | sacrifice would be from folks in Turkmenistan, who would
               | be told to change at the point of a gun no? Likely
               | leading to a non trivial death count from violence or
               | starvation.
               | 
               | I'm pretty sure you didn't ask them if they were Ok with
               | that sacrifice.
               | 
               | To quote C.S. Lewis - " Of all tyrannies, a tyranny
               | exercised for the good of its victims may be the most
               | oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons
               | than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber
               | baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at
               | some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our
               | own good will torment us without end for they do so with
               | the approval of their own conscience. They may be more
               | likely to go to Heaven yet at the same time likelier to
               | make a Hell of earth."
        
               | themitigating wrote:
               | In a democracy the population is responsible for voting
               | in the government.
               | 
               | In a dictatorship the population is responsible for not
               | overthrowing the government.
        
           | guelo wrote:
           | Instead of the geopolitically-driven western trade regime we
           | have today we should be basing trade relations on
           | environmental standards.
        
           | stetrain wrote:
           | Yes, but that shouldn't prevent us from implementing it where
           | we can first.
        
             | Alupis wrote:
             | Not if all your efforts are wasted because other nations
             | won't follow in-step or do not care.
             | 
             | This isn't grade school were trying your hardest gets you
             | an 'A' for the day... in reality trying your hardest and
             | failing is still failure.
             | 
             | The US could do all the magical things and net zero
             | emissions next year and it won't matter one bit. That's
             | just reality... without a globally concerted effort, it's
             | all just waste.
             | 
             | But I realize there is a non-trivial amount of folks that
             | believe doing _something_ , _anything_ is better than
             | nothing - even if it is not logical and has no beneficial
             | outcome.
             | 
             | Perhaps we should put those energies into productive means
             | of solving the problem instead of emotionally "feel-good"
             | solutions. Why does developing countries use dirty energy
             | production? What can we do to make it cheaper to use
             | renewables instead? Can we make biodegradable plastics more
             | attractive than traditional plastics? That's just
             | scratching the surface...
        
               | llsf wrote:
               | I would disagree, in this case, we have a combination of
               | 2 issues:
               | 
               | 1. Climate change due to CO2/etc. emissions
               | 
               | 2. Fossil fuel (oil/gas/coal) peak
               | 
               | Even if we do not care about climate change, as fossil
               | fuel addicts, any decline of fossil fuel production would
               | be catastrophic for the world wide economy.
               | 
               | So, in this race to avoid fossil fuel, the sooner you are
               | out of it, the more resilient you will be when pumping
               | oil/gas/coal would be too expensive.
               | 
               | Capturing all those methane gas, if not for the climate,
               | but for usage is good for the national security.
        
               | hackerlight wrote:
               | Nirvana fallacy. Your efforts aren't wasted if others
               | don't follow suit. A partial solution is better than no
               | solution. At the least you're buying the world a few
               | extra years to figure it out.
               | 
               | Also, being the leader makes it easier for other
               | countries to follow suit. Every country has a large bloc
               | of cynical reactionaries within their boarders pointing
               | their fingers and saying "why would we do anything if
               | other countries aren't?". If _you_ do things first, you
               | disarm that narrative that 's going on in other
               | countries, which makes it easier for their progressives
               | to get change done locally.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | The "problem" countries are not going to start setting up
               | wind farms just because the US can do it. These countries
               | are burning coal for a reason... it's exceedingly cheap.
               | 
               | Make something else exceedingly cheap and they will use
               | it. Anything else is just a distraction and made to make
               | you feel good at night while not accomplishing anything
               | significant.
        
               | hackerlight wrote:
               | Firstly, many poor countries are doing some of that. Look
               | at China. They don't like being covered in smog all the
               | time and the respiratory problems that creates.
               | 
               | Secondly, the cost curves are decreasing for a reason.
               | It's because of investment in these technologies by
               | richer countries. The richer countries pave the way by
               | making the technology so cheap that it's irresistible and
               | a better deal to poor countries. The way you make it
               | cheap is by funding the transition yourself. The cost
               | decreases naturally follow as part of R&D.
               | 
               | Thirdly, rich countries _should_ subsidize the energy
               | transition of poor countries. They 've emitted much more
               | than poor countries per capita since the Industrial
               | Revolution, so a de-facto retroactive carbon tax to fund
               | poor countries' transition on an expedited timeline is
               | only fair.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | > Firstly, many poor countries are doing some of that.
               | Look at China.
               | 
               | China is far from a poor country... by some measurements
               | they outpace even the US.
               | 
               | > Secondly, the cost curves are decreasing for a reason
               | 
               | This is true - however we also need to recognize the
               | technology is not ready today. It might be tomorrow, but
               | throwing everything out and going full-in on green tech
               | today is foolhardy. Some prominent states in the US
               | already struggle to keep electricity on year round... how
               | on earth can we expect new tech to not only do better but
               | be cheaper in that environment? What chance do developing
               | nations have if the wealthiest nations cannot solve this
               | already?
               | 
               | > Thirdly, rich countries should subsidize the energy
               | transition of poor countries
               | 
               | I agree on some level. However I do not agree with
               | pushing unproven technology just because it makes us feel
               | good day. That will just burn developing nations and make
               | them less likely to trust us next time we come up with
               | some amazing new solution to all their problems...
        
               | xmonkee wrote:
               | "The United States accounts for only about five percent
               | of global population, but is responsible for 30 percent
               | of global energy use and 28 percent of carbon emissions."
               | 
               | https://www.eesi.org/articles/view/u.s.-leads-in-
               | greenhouse-...
        
               | stetrain wrote:
               | Well if the options are:
               | 
               | 1) Try to improve what we can and hope others follow.
               | Outcomes are either a global improvement in emissions or
               | significant adverse climate effects.
               | 
               | 2) Don't do that. Outcome is significant adverse climate
               | effects.
               | 
               | What's the argument for choosing 2)?
               | 
               | Okay we might be at an economic advantage for 20, maybe
               | 50 years? But then what?
               | 
               | PS: I agree with your last statement. But I don't see how
               | reducing excess methane emissions prevents us from
               | pursuing those solutions as well. Nor would I categorize
               | that as an emotional "feel-good" solution.
        
               | anonymous_sorry wrote:
               | To me the obvious solution seems like it would be to
               | impose targeted tariffs on imports from countries that do
               | not act to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, alongside
               | taxes on domestic emissions.
               | 
               | Does this happen? What are the difficulties with it?
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | The countries producing majority of the world's emissions
               | are doing so because they are using the cheapest forms of
               | energy production available - not because they are evil
               | doers or something nefarious.
               | 
               | The only way to convince these nations to "go green" is
               | to make green energy cheaper than the alternatives.
               | Tariffing goods from these nations will not have the
               | desired impact - the nation still needs cheap energy
               | production and will not stop just because the US made
               | their goods more expensive for it's own citizens.
        
               | anonymous_sorry wrote:
               | > The only way to convince these nations to "go green" is
               | to make green energy cheaper than the alternatives.
               | 
               | Or make greenhouse gas emissions more expensive.
               | 
               | So you set the tariffs proportionnal to the assessed
               | level of greenhouse gas emissions. Set them at a level
               | where governments are incentivised to act to reduce the
               | tariffs.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | The tariffs only hurt your own citizens.
               | 
               | The nations that matter for emissions are not going to
               | care about US tariffs...
        
               | mtlmtlmtlmtl wrote:
               | Of course it would matter. Just because it's not a
               | solution doesn't mean it wouldn't give the rest of the
               | world more time to follow suit.
               | 
               | It's really scary to me how common this kind of false
               | dichotomous thinking has become. It's everywhere, in
               | politics especially.
        
             | throwawaylinux wrote:
             | If regulations make cleaner and more advanced industries
             | less competitive, pushing production to cheaper places with
             | less regulation and higher emissions intensity of
             | production, then that could actually increase CO2 output.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | Perhaps it should not, but it will. Who is going to accept
             | heavy regulation when their competition is not so
             | encumbered?
        
               | reillyse wrote:
               | Lots of countries do this. It just takes leadership.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | This sounds great and all, but there is no evidence thus
               | far to indicate any of the nations that actually matter
               | for climate emissions care one bit about your nation's
               | leadership.
        
               | reillyse wrote:
               | I'm not sure what nation you are referring to. I was also
               | not proposing my nation was the leader so I'm confused.
               | 
               | I would say the the US is one of the largest polluters on
               | the planet and leadership in the US would change world
               | wide pollution levels. Leadership is just that, leading.
               | It's very easy for other countries to just point at the
               | US and say "they don't practice what they preach, why
               | should we do anything". And they are right. Why should
               | they do shit when the richest country in the world isn't
               | interested in changing their behavior.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | > I would say the the US is one of the largest polluters
               | on the planet and leadership in the US would change world
               | wide pollution levels
               | 
               | You might be surprised if you look into this a bit. On a
               | Per Capita basis, the US is barely in the top 10.
               | 
               | Regardless, developing nations are not burning coal and
               | petroleum because they hate the environment... they need
               | cheap energy production - which is currently a failure of
               | the green energy movement (ie. there is nothing cheap
               | about it, it's a luxury at the moment).
        
         | jiggyjace wrote:
         | 'Regulation' is not a solution for countries that do not answer
         | to the morals of the West, such as Turkmenistan, China, or
         | Russia. Regulation should be demonized, for many situations it
         | ends up being a hammer to a screw.
        
           | pstuart wrote:
           | There's always leading by example, as well as incentivizing
           | via aid.
           | 
           | This is not to dismiss the challenge, just that we shouldn't
           | avoid hard problems just because they're hard.
        
             | themitigating wrote:
             | "Leading by example " having heard that in a long time I
             | believe it's called "virtue signaling " now. That should
             | tell you how well that would work
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | If the haters had any virtue _to_ signal then they 'd
               | just do that instead. You hate the game not the player,
               | but that's just because you're* losing it.
               | 
               | * you referrs to people that use that odious phrase.
        
               | idiotsecant wrote:
               | It's interesting how so much of what we used to consider
               | 'being a decent person' is now 'virtue signaling'. It's
               | the most cynical, worthless meme to come out of the last
               | 50 years and that's saying a lot.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mmaunder wrote:
       | Will be interesting to see how this capability unfolds. They've
       | proven this can be done using an instrument not even designed for
       | the task. A specialized instrument may be able to detect other
       | greenhouse emissions. Imagine the kind of high resolution
       | accountability that might be possible. But does the political
       | will exist in the US to expose ourselves that way? Our political
       | donors that way? Our country as one of the largest emitters?
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | It's now possible for independant charities to do this:
         | 
         | https://www.methanesat.org/
        
         | mturmon wrote:
         | Such as this CO2 measurement, made from a dedicated instrument
         | for the last ~8 years: https://ocov2.jpl.nasa.gov/science/
         | 
         | It uses broadly the same technique as in OP -- spectroscopy to
         | detect the absorption of sunlight from the presence of that
         | particular chemical species. Because the above instrument was
         | designed for the purpose, it's much more accurate and able to
         | distinguish small variations in CO2, not "just" large plumes.
        
       | mturmon wrote:
       | Several questions ask to contextualize this measurement.
       | 
       | Here's a highly-cited paper in _Nature_ (including some of the
       | researchers quoted in the OP) that describes how an earlier
       | survey of California methane emissions went:
       | 
       | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1720-3
       | 
       | If I remember right, the state of CA asked for this survey. It
       | was carried out by an instrument similar to that of the OP, but
       | airborne, not on ISS as in OP.
       | 
       | California has standards for methane emissions (e.g.,
       | https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/fact-sheets/oil-and-gas-met...)
       | that are now covering landfills and oil and gas infrastructure,
       | and dairies -- three of the largest categories of large emitters.
       | 
       | (One effect of these regulations, that lay people may have
       | noticed, is trying to get food waste out of the landfill stream,
       | and into composting, so that it doesn't decay anaerobically and
       | produce methane. In LA, for example, the LADWP is test-driving a
       | program where food scraps - vegetables, but also meats and fats -
       | are diverted into green bins.)
       | 
       | Strengthened regulations on methane emissions from oil and gas
       | infrastructure are part of this - I'm not saying the studies
       | motivated these regulations, just that they are all part of
       | policies heading in that direction.
       | 
       | It is believed that large oil companies are aggressively selling
       | off oil pumps/fields to get out from under this responsibility.
       | (https://www.propublica.org/article/california-oil-wells-shel...)
       | 
       | The ISS measurements in OP have covered (and will continue to
       | cover) a much broader area than the California airborne survey -
       | but with less spatial resolution - so presumably a broad survey
       | of mid-latitude super-emitters will be possible in the coming
       | months.
        
         | ryanhuff wrote:
         | My Orange County suburb recently mandated putting food waste
         | into a separate can.
        
       | tanto wrote:
       | > Together, the Turkmenistan sources release an estimated 111,000
       | pounds of methane gas per hour
       | 
       | If this is happening all the time, then the number of global
       | methane emissions due to human activity on this
       | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methane_emissions) Wikipedia page
       | can't be valid.
       | 
       | Crazy how human negligence and greed might end humanity.
        
         | proee wrote:
         | From some Google Searches...
         | 
         | 111,000 pounds of methane, multipled by factor of 80x, equal
         | around 388M tons of CO2.
         | 
         | A car produces around 4.6 tons of C02 per year. So this makes
         | the emissions equal to about 84M cars driving around for a
         | year. Google says there are around 1.46 Billion cars in the
         | world.
         | 
         | So this amount of greenhouse gas is around a 5.7% increase in
         | our overall car emissions.
         | 
         | (edited based on feedback below)
        
           | ljf wrote:
           | Quoting here but;
           | 
           | Methane has more than 80 times the warming power of carbon
           | dioxide over the first 20 years after it reaches the
           | atmosphere. Even though CO2 has a longer-lasting effect,
           | methane sets the pace for warming in the near term. At least
           | 25% of today's global warming is driven by methane from human
           | actions.
        
             | guelo wrote:
             | Also, the extra warming from methane can trigger
             | unrecoverable tipping points, such as melting ancient
             | glaciers and permafrost, whose effects will last for
             | thousands of years.
        
           | aeternum wrote:
           | The issue is that this methane is not being oxidized. Burning
           | the methane as it is released is an easy solve. Yes this
           | increases CO2 at the ratio your specify (~1ton Methane to
           | 2.75 CO2) but that is still much better than releasing it as
           | Methane gas.
           | 
           | Methane gas in the atmosphere causes 80x the greenhouse
           | effect that CO2 causes.
        
         | tildef wrote:
         | Maybe I'm misreading something, but I don't understand the
         | discrepancy. According to the wiki article, human output is 363
         | megatons/year. 111,000 lb/hr = 55.5 tons/hr = 0.5
         | megatons/year. Still a lot though!
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | If things get really bad and these things are deemed bad for the
       | planet, could a nation demand the facilities be shut down or else
       | be destroyed by military strike?
        
         | reillyse wrote:
         | This concept is so strange. I'm not sure what country you are
         | from, but I'm going to assume the US. Would you think it was OK
         | if another country destroyed something in America because they
         | thought it was damaging the environment. How about if they
         | tried to force you to change your ways because of the
         | environmental damage you were doing? Because guess what? The US
         | is seriously over represented in pollution. Destroying the US
         | might just solve the entire climate problem, I doubt that would
         | be palatable ?
        
         | RandallBrown wrote:
         | Neal Stephenson's latest novel sort of explores this idea.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Termination_Shock_(novel)
        
       | ZainRiz wrote:
       | Turkmenistan gas extraction company right now:
       | 
       | "Gee, thanks for finding our leaks guys! You won't believe how
       | much money we were just leaking into the atmosphere there."
       | 
       | </dreams>
        
       | possiblelion wrote:
       | So - looking at this it seems Turkmenistan [a repressive, North
       | Korea style dictatorship] is destroying our climate system at an
       | order of magnitude faster than anyone else. I'm well aware of the
       | legacy that Iraq/Afghanistan have left in terms of international
       | interventions into other countries; but if it is our common
       | future on the balance, shouldn't we do something? Something more
       | than just politely asking to stop?
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | I've often imagined a dystopian future, hotter world where
         | bombs are dropped on unauthorized coal / cement plants to
         | prevent more sea level rise / super hurricanes, rendering those
         | with no other options into partisan stone-age tribes.
        
           | NegativeLatency wrote:
           | You might enjoy this book which features similar events:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ministry_for_the_Future
        
         | ZainRiz wrote:
         | Like offering to pay to fix the leaks in their gas pipeline?
         | 
         | Prob way cheaper than invading the country
        
           | 1024core wrote:
           | > Prob way cheaper than invading the country
           | 
           | But they have oil....
        
         | Retric wrote:
         | It's a little over 1/1,000th of human released methane, so on
         | it's own not that critical or that far above expectations for a
         | country with a little over 1/2000th the global population.
         | 
         | The issue is mostly that it's presumably cheap to fix unlike a
         | billion cows all farting.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | adontz wrote:
         | Bring them democracy!
        
           | themitigating wrote:
           | Why don't we forget that since it's expensive. How about "fix
           | the leaks or we'll bomb presidental palaces"
        
       | _HMCB_ wrote:
       | But is the world going to do anything about those spots?
        
       | fortysixdegrees wrote:
       | Have they published a global map we can look at?
        
       | MichaelZuo wrote:
       | How could a 2 mile long methane plume in New Mexico have been
       | undetected for any significant amount of time?
       | 
       | From what I understand basic environmental monitoring is done in
       | 2022 around all major industrial facilities in the U.S.
        
         | abruzzi wrote:
         | what interesting is there is nothing there. The only something
         | are gas wells which the whole area is dotted with, so my only
         | guess is leaky gas wells?
         | https://www.google.com/maps/@32.3761968,-104.0819087,4787m/d...
        
           | whimsicalism wrote:
           | Looks like Marathon Oil is the company
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | They passed laws 2 years ago to penalize this. Goes into effect
         | next year.
         | 
         | This wasn't a surprise. Laws had been previously passed
         | specifically to allow this to continue.
        
         | pojzon wrote:
         | Or simply ,,How come we are finding out about that now and not
         | in last 20 years..."
        
           | lob_it wrote:
           | Because carbon credits and net-zero psychologically imply
           | failure of the populous to prevent climate change.
           | 
           | Are you wornout and tired of the doom and gloom? I worked on
           | my golf swing and actually found new angles to enjoy.
           | 
           | I saw these reports over a decade ago and was aware of
           | methane too.
           | 
           | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tGEKzMgkUhU
           | 
           | I read and watched the reports on CFC's decades ago, where
           | small emissions/leaks will never be detected until they
           | accumulate in the atmosphere and/or cause holes in the ozone
           | layer or the like.
           | 
           | Until all of the "small" greenhouse gas/methane leaks are
           | capped, we can expect temperatures to continue to rise.
           | 
           | After the methane leaks are capped, we can expect around two
           | decades before the atmosphere/temperatures normalize.
           | 
           | I prefer FORE over sooowwwyyy from obvious obsolete goals and
           | inferior data.
           | 
           | Plenty of data available on inaccurate data on the matter:
           | 
           | https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-62917498
           | 
           | https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/methane-super-emitters-
           | mapp...
           | 
           | https://www.wsj.com/articles/tougher-rules-on-methane-
           | leaks-...
           | 
           | https://www.newsweek.com/fracking-wells-tainting-drinking-
           | wa...
           | 
           | https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-63083634
           | 
           | Edit: I'm not a fan of acid rain, but I personally didn't
           | rain on the parade either. Do the math on 24/7/365 leaks of
           | the unaccounted methane emissions too, for a good laugh at
           | how much damage has already been potentially done since 2000.
           | Acid rain warnings predate the turn of the century too :)
        
             | themitigating wrote:
             | Donald trump?
        
         | runnerup wrote:
         | Sadly, the environmental monitoring is woefully inadequate,
         | even next to the western hemisphere's largest industrial
         | complex (Freeport, TX ... though its a bit better of an example
         | to use or include Deer Park / Houston Ship Channel as well
         | because it's part of America's 3rd/4th largest city). Below the
         | dashed line is a copy/paste of a comment I made two months ago
         | on a post of ProPublica's dispersion model and public health
         | impact modeling of _self-reported_ emission events:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32549653
         | 
         | I am very much looking forward to more and more satellites like
         | this one and ESA's SENTINEL-5P and SCIAMACHY. But AFAIK they'll
         | never be able to tell the difference between, say, ethyl
         | acrylate vs. butyl acrylate (both incredibly toxic) or ethyl
         | mercaptan vs. methyl mercaptan (both noxious/cause headaches at
         | unbelievably low concentrations; ethyl mercaptan has an odor
         | threshold of 0.35 parts per trillion).
         | 
         | So if one plant makes one chemical, and another plant next door
         | makes a similar chemical, these satellites might let the public
         | know that one of the plants is leaking, but both still would
         | have deniability - "it's the other guy across the street". And
         | you'd still not actually know _which_ chemical you 've been
         | exposed to.
         | 
         | For that, you'd need monitoring stations with comprehensive
         | sensor combinations at the property boundaries of each chemical
         | plant.
         | 
         | ------------------------
         | 
         | I live in the western hemisphere's largest integrated
         | industrial complex (Freeport, TX integrated with the eastern
         | edge of Houston as well). Note that Freeport, TX has ZERO state
         | or federal EPA VOC analyzers which can actually detect which
         | chemical is leaking. They can only detect "this amount of
         | something with {sulfur, N-O bonds, aromatic carbon rings} -- no
         | clue what precisely though!". This is the same capability of
         | the most advanced atmospheric pollution satellites. Completely
         | fucking useless for an area which manufactures something like
         | 15-20% of all USA domestic chemicals. The technology to measure
         | individual chemicals exists, but the government isn't paying
         | for it or installing it.
         | 
         | The ENTIRE east side of Houston metropolitan area is dedicated
         | to or "next door" to massive chemical manufacturing. This is an
         | industrial area nearly equal to _the area encompassing all of
         | Seattle /Bellevue/Redmond/Renton/Tukwila_. This massive area
         | has only 3 air quality monitors which test for these kinds of
         | chemicals[0]. During huge major events like the ITC fire[2],
         | they often show no increased pollution at all. I lived next to
         | leaks every day and because I worked in the plants I knew the
         | smells - one day acrylates, next day thiols, next day
         | hydrocarbons, etc. But the 3 monitoring sites over 10 miles
         | from me showed nothing at all.
         | 
         | Here is the one "correct" monitoring station near the chemical
         | plants of Houston: [0]... but several of its analyzers are
         | often offline/broken/pending maintenance. Here's a map of all
         | the other ones: [1] Generally single/dual color dots mark "not-
         | useful" monitoring sites which might measure only PM2.5 or
         | Ozone, for example. The 4+ color dots are generally useful,
         | they measure specific (large) families of chemicals so you can
         | see very roughly _what_ is leaking, even if it doesn 't have
         | "soot" in it.
         | 
         | The data used by ProPublica is actually far worse than the
         | woefully inadequate data collected by TCEQ/EPA air monitoring
         | stations -- because what ProPublica used was "self-reported"
         | data from the chemical plants. But I know from working in them
         | and living next to them that many leaks are never reported and
         | many leaks are never even known internally! Our government's
         | data collection is a travesty. ProPublica couldn't use the real
         | air quality measurements because having 2-3 points across 1000
         | mi^2 is completely useless for the wind models they wanted to
         | apply to the problem.
         | 
         | We don't actually have any data. The government is failing us.
         | They need to spend about $1 million per air monitoring station
         | and build them along the perimeters of each plant so that leaks
         | can be assigned to the offending companies, and they need to be
         | built near housing so that we know how families are being
         | affected. ITC fire which blanketed houston's sky in smoke: [2]
         | 
         | 0:
         | https://tceq.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id...
         | 
         | 1:
         | https://tceq.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id...
         | 
         | 2: https://abc13.com/deer-park-fire-2019-itc-houston-air-
         | qualit...
        
           | kaushikc wrote:
           | It is probably inadequate by design.
        
       | fazfq wrote:
        
       | anonymousiam wrote:
       | Although methane does not survive for long within our atmosphere,
       | it can trap more than 100x the heat for the same volume.
       | 
       | https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/why-do-we-compare-methane-ca...
       | 
       | Note that this article points out the potential contribution of
       | the methane to climate change, but this would not be
       | anthropogenic climate change as the gas is already in its natural
       | form, just being released from underground.
        
       | INGSOCIALITE wrote:
       | _fart joke_
        
       | madrox wrote:
       | Worth noting that EMIT wasn't funded for this purpose. It was
       | greenlit to measure and track dust (arguably still for climate-
       | related purposes, but still!). This is a relatively minor example
       | of why funding space-based science is so important. We're still
       | seeing "accidental benefits" of deploying technology there.
        
         | reillyse wrote:
         | Cynical me thinks that if NASA tried to get funding for a
         | project that could detect large scale methane plumes which
         | might be used against the oil and gas industry they might just
         | not be able to get that funding.
        
           | neves wrote:
           | Cynical me is always impressed in how much funding goes to
           | find emitters outside the develop world:
           | 
           | > "...emit methane at high rates span central Asia, the
           | Middle East and the southwestern United States. By finding
           | these sites from space, the satellite is bringing an
           | important perspective to climate accountability,"
           | 
           | USA could close all of its coal mines with the same money
           | spent in emergency Covid vaccines
        
             | chitowneats wrote:
             | > USA could close all of its coal mines with the same money
             | spent in emergency Covid vaccines
             | 
             | Have we not recently been reminded that the true cost of
             | reducing domestic energy production is much higher than the
             | mere bottom line estimate of shuttering the production
             | facilities?
             | 
             | Germany and France might like a word. With Ukraine slowly
             | shaking their heads in the background.
        
               | reillyse wrote:
               | All the more so for switching to wind and solar (and
               | reducing usage). Nobody is saying cancel energy. Just
               | that switching away from coal is probably a good idea.
        
               | chitowneats wrote:
               | Can the current energy demand of the United States be met
               | cost-effectively with wind, solar, and batteries?
               | 
               | I'm a huge proponent of these technologies but the answer
               | to that question in 2022 is still no.
               | 
               | "Ending" domestic coal production would cause a drop in
               | GDP that would make 2020 look like child's play.
        
               | themitigating wrote:
               | Switching over slowly and let the market adjust. Why must
               | everyone make this argument as some sudden disruptive
               | change?
        
               | chitowneats wrote:
               | We are switching over slowly. That's literally the status
               | quo. The argument of "we could end coal for X dollars" is
               | what introduced the idea of a discrete value into this
               | argument. How can you know what we will spend unless you
               | specify a time interval? Clearly we won't be burning coal
               | in 100 years. Maybe not even 50. Or 30.
        
               | derefr wrote:
               | The way that the USA would "close all of its coal mines"
               | would involve replacing that production with different
               | domestic energy production; not by becoming reliant on
               | foreign energy markets.
        
       | hilyen wrote:
       | > The instrument can look for methane in the same way. "It turns
       | out that methane also has a spectral signature in the same
       | wavelength range, and that's what has allowed us to be sensitive
       | to methane," EMIT principal investigator Robert Green said at a
       | press conference, according to Space.com's Mike Wall.
       | 
       | Lol "it turns out". Did they troll Congress and sell them a
       | mineral detector? Of course they knew methane had a spectral
       | signature.
       | 
       | EDIT: No idea why people downvoting, I think it's hilarious and
       | good we can detect it.
        
         | blacksmith_tb wrote:
         | I read that as "we built the detector to be sensitive to the
         | wavelengths of the minerals we wanted to monitor, and methane's
         | spectra are in that range, so it works well for picking it up".
        
         | jacobjjacob wrote:
         | Of course they could have known that beforehand, but it sounds
         | like they weren't designing a methane detector so the fact that
         | it works so well as one is what "turned out" I think. Also
         | articles are really good and taking one quote from a big
         | technical answer and making the speaker sound stupid
        
         | mturmon wrote:
         | Yeah, but CH4 detection was not why the mission was flown, so
         | the PI is being careful to make this distinction.
        
       | hirundo wrote:
       | Looking forward to AR apps that map pollutant emissions from such
       | data and project it as you travel about, making the invisible
       | conscious. There will be more public pressure for reform if the
       | public can see the see the point-source IRL.
       | 
       | If popularized that data could move real estate prices, with
       | political fallout.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Bhurn00985 wrote:
       | And now what ?
       | 
       | Anyone knows what actions will be taken based on this data ?
        
         | kelseyfrog wrote:
         | Everyone has always had the option to vote with their dollars.
         | If we allow ourself to be eco-capital-realists for a moment, we
         | have to conclude that living on a habitable planet is simply
         | not that important for most people.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | I think this is an extremely privileged perspective.
        
             | kelseyfrog wrote:
             | For a brief moment before civilization-wide collapse, we'll
             | be able to generate a lot of shareholder value.
        
           | themitigating wrote:
           | That's not what people think. They don't care because it
           | won't effect them.
        
         | hotpotamus wrote:
         | My plan is to move a bit north before the wet bulb temperatures
         | in the southern US get too bad. I'm thinking ruralish Michigan
         | for my retirement.
        
       | jakub_g wrote:
       | Since Turkmenistan was mentioned, mandatory link:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darvaza_gas_crater
       | 
       | > One of the more popular theories is that Soviet geologists
       | intentionally set it on fire in 1971 to prevent the spread of
       | methane gas, and it is thought to have been burning continuously
       | ever since.
        
         | xen2xen1 wrote:
         | I'm not quite sure, does burning it make it less harmful?
        
           | josephpmay wrote:
           | Yes, burning methane converts it to CO2, which is much less
           | harmful of a greenhouse gas
        
             | danuker wrote:
             | In the short term.
        
       | MonkeyClub wrote:
        
       | omgJustTest wrote:
       | Stupid question: How much is this actually contributing to
       | climate change?
       | 
       | Any climate scientists who make active predictions about how much
       | we don't know?
        
         | barbazoo wrote:
         | > Methane is more than 25 times as potent as carbon dioxide at
         | trapping heat in the atmosphere
         | 
         | It's a pretty potent greenhouse gas.
         | 
         | https://www.epa.gov/gmi/importance-methane
        
           | Georgelemental wrote:
           | Methane is a much more potent greenhouse gas compared to CO2,
           | but also stays in the atmosphere much less long (on the order
           | of a few decades).
        
             | khuey wrote:
             | The way methane "exits" the atmosphere is by becoming CO2,
             | so it's strictly worse.
        
               | mirekrusin wrote:
               | Methane becoming CO2 means it also produces H2O + a lot
               | of heat, correct? Enough heat to use it as energy source
               | for example.
        
               | tmtvl wrote:
               | Yes, biogas is primarily methane, and it's one possible
               | energy source that can be (is?) used while transitioning
               | away from fossil fuels.
        
               | Pokepokalypse wrote:
               | CO2 plus H2O (water vapor is also a highly potent
               | greenhouse gas).
        
             | CrazyStat wrote:
             | The 25x number is already accounting for the fact that
             | methane doesn't stick around as long. It's based on
             | 100-year GWP calculations [1]. If you look at shorter
             | timescales methane is relatively much worse.
             | 
             | [1] https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/understanding-global-
             | warmin...
        
         | rowanG077 wrote:
         | Methane is a very strong greenhouse gas. But the upside is that
         | it doesn't stay in the atmosphere for long. The half life of it
         | is something like 9 years.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | Would it be ecologically responsible to set these leaks on
           | fire?
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | At which time it turns into CO2 which stays around longer,
           | and water which I believe is a more potent greenhouse gas
           | than either
        
             | Georgelemental wrote:
             | Water falls to the earth as rain
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Something like 90 or 95% of the greenhouse effect is from
               | water vapor. The only reason we really care about
               | atmospheric CO2 is because we think that it triggers more
               | atmospheric water which is the real driver of global
               | temperature change.
        
               | Pokepokalypse wrote:
               | warmer atmosphere == higher capacity to hold water vapor.
        
         | pkaye wrote:
         | According to the article, it lasts shorter time in the
         | atmosphere compared to CO2.
         | 
         | > Since methane only lasts in the atmosphere for about ten
         | years, compared to the centuries that carbon dioxide sticks
         | around, reducing methane emissions could contribute to slowing
         | global warming sooner,
        
           | namuol wrote:
           | Worth mentioning that CH4 ultimately turns into CO2.
        
           | idiotsecant wrote:
           | At which point it reacts with ozone to form carbon dioxide
           | and water. It's like saying the best way to destroy water is
           | by freezing it.
        
       | marricks wrote:
       | Really hoping this was outside our solar system and indicative of
       | life, TBH.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2022-11-01 23:00 UTC)