[HN Gopher] FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up
       its downfall
        
       Author : mfiguiere
       Score  : 321 points
       Date   : 2022-11-10 15:29 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wsj.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wsj.com)
        
       | solotronics wrote:
       | Probably a good time to mention the original mission statement of
       | Bitcoin was to custody your own money without counterparty risk.
       | Time and time again we have seen altcoin ponzis and exchanges
       | collapse under the weight of their fractional reserve. What is
       | still working? Bitcoin.
       | 
       | Greed in this space causes people to act with a more short term
       | view for quick profits while ignoring fundamentals. Over and over
       | again.
        
         | n0tth3dro1ds wrote:
         | Not your keys, not your coins.
        
         | varsketiz wrote:
         | Is Bitcoin history a metaphor for "society needs to learn more
         | about technology"?
        
       | laluser wrote:
       | The Twitter thread from SBF is even better where he admits he
       | messed up. And still trying to throw jabs at Binance here and
       | there like it's their fault they're here. Unbelievable.
        
         | sillysaurusx wrote:
         | In case anyone wants a link to the thread, here it is:
         | https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1590709166515310593?s=20&...
         | 
         | It was actually in an adjacent paywalled article
         | (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-
         | today-11-...). If anyone knows a way to bypass that paywall,
         | I'd be curious to read the rest.
        
           | Projectiboga wrote:
           | Pop it into archive.is or dot tv
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | saberdancer wrote:
           | Usually you can get a copy of the article by going to
           | archive.ph and pasting the paywalled link.
           | 
           | It may not be most ethical thing to do but if you want to
           | read an article or two behind a paywall, I don't think it is
           | insane to do.
           | 
           | This article though seems to be some kind of a live feed
           | where there is not really a lot archived - maybe it works
           | better for paying users viewing things live.
        
           | zeven7 wrote:
           | That article is miniscule and mostly just links to the
           | tweets. After the 3 sentence preview which is visible to
           | anyone it has 1 more sentence (a quote from SBF) then "Other
           | highlights from his series of tweets" followed by 5 short 1
           | sentence bullet points summarizing things from the tweets.
           | Then an embed of the first tweet wraps it up.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | warinukraine wrote:
         | To me the funniest part is him saying "I should've done
         | better", as if he was attempting something worthwhile, but
         | failed. No, he stole his customers and "done better" would've
         | been doing the opposite.
        
         | oldgradstudent wrote:
         | Even Saul Goodman would have told him to shut up.
        
           | the_doctah wrote:
           | Suggesting Saul was actually a bad lawyer? He always told his
           | clients to shut up.
        
         | skippyboxedhero wrote:
         | He also attempted to claim that the problem was due to an issue
         | with the "labelling" of funds...this story leaks, we know he
         | has been telling people he lent the money to Alameda, and in
         | these tweets he is now saying that he has a problem expressing
         | what happened...
         | 
         | ...I feel bad for him because he obviously believes his own
         | bullshit, but he should have just said nothing rather than lie
         | about what happened and pull the Mr. Magoo act.
        
         | nemo44x wrote:
         | I think he's in the anger and bargaining phases of it all. I
         | expect he will either kill himself or go to prison when his
         | fraud laid out. "I messed up" isn't going to get him out of
         | this. This story has just begun.
        
       | crakhamster01 wrote:
       | I have no sympathy for Sequoia et al and the various celebrities
       | that lost their money betting on FTX. I feel terrible for the
       | average retail investor that got duped by the string of
       | endorsements that made FTX seem "legitimate".
       | 
       | I'm hoping the little guy is able to get their money out before
       | investors do, but history makes this seem unlikely.
        
       | shp0ngle wrote:
       | I highly recommend reading this article, from _50 days ago_.
       | 
       | So many humorous quotes to be had in that article.
       | 
       | https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-spotlig...
       | 
       | edit: archive https://archive.ph/GQkCp
        
         | maxFlow wrote:
         | This was one of the worst written, saddest pieces I have ever
         | read. It's full of idiotic commentary, unjustified praise and
         | just plain ignorance. Out of the dozen+ remarkably stupid
         | quotes I found I'll share this excerpt:
         | 
         | > That's when SBF told Sequoia about the so-called super-app:
         | "I want FTX to be a place where you can do anything you want
         | with your next dollar. You can buy bitcoin. You can send money
         | in whatever currency to any friend anywhere in the world. You
         | can buy a banana. You can do anything you want with your money
         | from inside FTX."
         | 
         | > Suddenly, the chat window on Sequoia's side of the Zoom
         | lights up with partners freaking out.
         | 
         | > "I LOVE THIS FOUNDER," typed one partner.
         | 
         | > "I am a 10 out of 10," pinged another.
         | 
         | > "YES!!!" exclaimed a third.
         | 
         | > What Sequoia was reacting to was the scale of SBF's vision.
         | It wasn't a story about how we might use fintech in the future,
         | or crypto, or a new kind of bank. It was a vision about the
         | future of money itself--with a total addressable market of
         | every person on the entire planet.
         | 
         | > "I sit ten feet from him, and I walked over, thinking, Oh,
         | shit, that was really good," remembers Arora. "And it turns out
         | that that fucker was playing League of Legends through the
         | entire meeting."
         | 
         | Lo and behold. The intricate, behind-the-scenes scheming of the
         | highly educated financial elite, revelead at last. All
         | predicated upon the grand vision of... buying a banana with
         | your "super-app". No wonder we're going through a much needed
         | correction, some people need to be weeded out of decision
         | making roles ASAP.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | shp0ngle wrote:
         | > o I find myself convinced that, if SBF can keep his wits
         | about him in the years ahead, he's going to slay--that, just as
         | Alameda was a stepping stone to FTX, FTX will be to the super-
         | app. Banking will be disrupted and transformed by crypto, just
         | as media was transformed and disrupted by the web. Something of
         | the sort must happen eventually, as the current system, with
         | its layers upon layers of intermediaries, is antiquated and
         | prone to crashing--the global financial crisis of 2008 was just
         | the latest in a long line of failures that occurred because
         | banks didn't actually know what was on their balance sheets.
         | Crypto is money that can audit itself
         | 
         | > there. The FTX competitive advantage? Ethical behavior. SBF
         | is a Peter Singer-inspired utilitarian in a sea of Robert
         | Nozick-inspired libertarians. He's an ethical maximalist in an
         | industry that's overwhelmingly populated with ethical
         | minimalists. I'm a Nozick man myself, but I know who I'd rather
         | trust my money with: SBF, hands-down. And if he does end up
         | saving the world as a side effect of being my banker, all the
         | better.
        
         | reso wrote:
         | Please tell me someone has this on internet archive.
        
           | shp0ngle wrote:
           | https://archive.ph/GQkCp
           | 
           | archive of google cache (best thing I can do!)
        
           | chmod775 wrote:
           | https://web.archive.org/web/20221109025610/https://www.sequo.
           | ..
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | songeater wrote:
         | "Among Wall Street's financial elite, SBF's Bitcoin arb is
         | mentioned in the same hushed tones as Paul Tudor Jones's 1987
         | shorting of the entire American economy, or George Soros's 1992
         | raid on the Bank of England, or John Paulson's 2008 bet against
         | subprime mortgages. Alameda's capture of the kimchi premium
         | (and other trades like it) gave SBF the grubstake he needed for
         | his next move: founding the crypto exchange FTX--a company that
         | may very well end up creating the dominant all-in-one financial
         | super-app of the future."
        
           | nullc wrote:
           | The hushed tones of 'that is obviously bullshit'.
        
       | josaka wrote:
       | Customers with assets in custodial accounts of an exchange that
       | goes bankrupt are likely general unsecured creditors, and the
       | assets are probably property of the bankruptcy estate.
       | https://www.creditslips.org/creditslips/2022/02/what-happens...
       | 
       | This means that, in the line of people to get paid out of those
       | assets, you're not even at the front. Custodial accounts leave
       | you with little protection.
        
       | trident5000 wrote:
       | This seems to be a slam dunk for prison time.
       | 
       | Only thing I can think of is if these companies are international
       | so he doesnt get prosecuted in the US under US laws. Thats his
       | only hope.
        
         | elefanten wrote:
         | Well, his ultimate hedge is that both his parents are Stanford
         | law professors. Slam dunk unlikely.
        
           | AustinDev wrote:
           | He was also the 6th largest political donor for the 2022
           | election cycle.
        
             | _fizz_buzz_ wrote:
             | Bernie Madoff was also a big political donor, didn't help
             | him in the end. SBF will also probably not hand out
             | donations in the near future, so there is very little
             | incentive to help him out at this point.
        
             | adrr wrote:
             | Good investment. Steal from customers and use their money
             | to prevent prosecution.
        
       | skullone wrote:
       | I checked my FTX account, only had play money in there. But,
       | despite all the people saying "FTX is fine, withdrawls still
       | work, it's all fine" - nope, everything is disabled, withdrawls
       | show $0.10 avaialble to withdrawl (out of a few hundred I had in
       | actual US cash, plus the BTC and doge transactions are all
       | disabled. This is very serious for many people - there are some
       | who had substantial amounts of money, including my friend who is
       | at the moment suicidal, a lot of his identity and worth was tied
       | up in crypto. Please offer support to those you know who are
       | affected by this scam, and do not encourage or enable anyone else
       | to dablle more than throwaway money into anything crypto
        
         | pmcollins wrote:
         | FTX.us or intl?
        
           | skullone wrote:
           | ftx.us - checked again, at least my account is still unable
           | to withdraw.
        
         | woah wrote:
         | This has nothing to do with crypto, it has to do with people
         | sending their money to a con man. If your friend had "his
         | identity tied up in crypto", then why wasn't he holding it
         | himself?
        
       | chatterhead wrote:
       | Countdown to Fried fleeing to Israel begins...
        
       | tinktank wrote:
       | Scam after scam after scam. Welcome to crypto, folks.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Maybe so, but please don't post unsubstantive comments to
         | Hacker News. We're trying for a different sort of forum.
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
       | jo6gwb wrote:
       | For all those who want to draw parallels to the banking industry,
       | Reg O delineates rules for lending to insiders.
       | 
       | https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/legalinterpret...
        
         | esotericimpl wrote:
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _Reg O delineates rules for lending to insiders_
         | 
         | Also, in case this isn't painfully obvious, broker's can't make
         | prop bets using client assets. And exchanges can't make prop
         | bets using their flows.
        
       | jwmoz wrote:
       | Apparently he was playing league of legends whilst the market was
       | falling apart
        
       | chlodwig wrote:
       | From the article: "FTX Chief Executive Sam Bankman-Fried said in
       | investor meetings this week that Alameda owes FTX about $10
       | billion, people familiar with the matter said. FTX extended loans
       | to Alameda using money that customers had deposited on the
       | exchange for trading purposes, a decision that Mr. Bankman-Fried
       | described as a poor judgment call, one of the people said."
       | 
       | In the FTX International terms of service (
       | https://help.ftx.com/hc/article_attachments/9719619779348/FT... )
       | they say that users have full title, ownership and control of
       | digital assets. They say that the assets are the property of the
       | user, and shall not be loaned to FTX trading, shall not be
       | treated as they belong to FTX trading, and that users control the
       | assets in the account.
       | 
       | So if they did indeed loan out customer deposits, that is just
       | straight up criminal fraud, open and shut. This isn't like some
       | DeFi scheme where they are working around some legal loophole or
       | in the fine print tell you that they will probably lose your
       | money. This is just straight up illegal under the plain vanilla
       | theft and fraud laws of any country. This isn't even a bank run
       | (banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out) --
       | it's a run on a U-Haul self-storage where you find out that they
       | actually sold all the furniture in your storage unit to a pawn
       | shop.
        
         | dools wrote:
         | > banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out
         | 
         | Side not but that's not really how banking works. Banks create
         | deposits when they originate loans and separately look for the
         | assets they need in order to satisfy any regulatory
         | requirements and net flows of funds for inter bank settlements.
         | 
         | https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/quarterly-bulletin/2014/q1/m...
        
         | wefarrell wrote:
         | I'm pretty ignorant when it comes to this space. Do they not
         | have any kind of compliance structure? In hindsight it seems
         | pretty obvious that this sort of thing would happen without it.
        
           | convolvatron wrote:
           | compliance to what? all those regulations are just hindering
           | the operation of the free market, and we started this whole
           | crypto thing to avoid them on purpose?
        
           | exolymph wrote:
           | Well, they at least _had_ compliance staff.  "Most of FTX's
           | legal and compliance staff quit Tuesday evening, people
           | familiar with the matter told Semafor, leaving few executives
           | who could answer questions that now loom large over the
           | firm." https://www.semafor.com/article/11/09/2022/ftx-legal-
           | and-com...
           | 
           | Pretty much every large exchange has a compliance team, btw,
           | at least the ones with US operations.
        
           | fnordpiglet wrote:
           | They're not securities and they're regulated. Theres nothing
           | to comply to. Perhaps crypto exchanges should be regulated?
        
           | hacker_lady wrote:
        
         | fnordpiglet wrote:
         | This is why in regulated securities markets customer assets
         | must be held in segregated accounts. Corzine, who knew better,
         | ended up with an orange suit for not doing this.
        
           | qeternity wrote:
           | Did Corzine actually go to jail? This didn't sound right to
           | me and a quick search suggests no.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | wslh wrote:
         | How many years could Sam Bankman-Fried get in jail?
         | 
         | It is also interesting to read on his Wikipedia profile [1]
         | about "Bankman-Fried is a supporter of effective altruism and
         | claims to pursue earning to give as an altruistic career. He is
         | a member of Giving What We Can and has claimed that he plans to
         | donate the great majority of his wealth to effective charities
         | over the course of his life.". Having direct access to a lot of
         | money changes a some people ethics.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sam_Bankman-Fried
        
         | Digory wrote:
         | So if the chain is supposed to enable "trustless" finance, what
         | enabled Alameda to take anything? Seems Alameda and its clients
         | should be screwed, but FTX's holders should be relatively easy
         | to identify and restore.
         | 
         | But everyone seems to say that's not the case. So what broke
         | down here? Why isn't the ledger ledgering?
        
           | delusional wrote:
           | The ledger ensures that the handing over of the "thing" can
           | happen without trust in any intermediary. You still
           | ultimately have to trust the counterparty to deliver what
           | they promise.
           | 
           | Think of it like HTTPS. Nobody can sneak anything into the
           | request, but the counterparty you're contacting could still
           | be a fraud.
        
             | ChadNauseam wrote:
             | There are fully-decentalized exchanges which have to have
             | much less counterparty risk (because anyone could take the
             | other side of your deal, so you don't want to trust them).
             | As a simple example, imagine a contract which I send 1 ETH
             | to, and if you send it 1000 USDC it'll send you the ETH.
             | The big counterparty risk with that system is that the
             | price of ETH will skyrocket and someone else will call the
             | contract to make the trade before I can cancel it, but that
             | kind of thing is hard to avoid in any system.
        
               | LeafGuild wrote:
               | >but that kind of thing is hard to avoid in any system.
               | 
               | No it isn't, that's what limit orders are for. There's
               | still the exact same counterparty risk there anyway, in
               | the form of USDC. Circle is another big dodgy centralized
               | provider. The major critical flaw with all this defi
               | stuff is that it can only reliably trade cryptos for
               | other cryptos. Once you actually try to get any of it out
               | into real assets, the counterparty risk immediately comes
               | back again. No crypto defi stuff can ever solve that. The
               | idea is just bad, it's a scam from the very beginning.
        
               | topranks wrote:
               | The big risk with that system is a bug in the smart
               | contract that lets me take all the ETH and USDC.
        
             | Digory wrote:
             | But this isn't counterparty risk, it's fraud risk, right?
             | It sounds like "Atrium borrowed a bunch of houses from FX,
             | but FX didn't own the houses." When you check the Recorder
             | (the blockchain for houses), the deeds should all say "John
             | Doe owns 123 Main St."
             | 
             | In the world with a Recorder of Deeds, Atrium is screwed,
             | and FX might be screwed, but John Doe is easily confirmed
             | as the owner of 123 Main.
             | 
             | It sounds like people here gave their coins to FX, so that
             | the "deed" shows FX "owns" the coin. In effect, they
             | destroyed the 'trustless' part of the equation. And then
             | SBF violated the trust.
             | 
             | So, the next innovation seems to be a blockchain that shows
             | an owner and an agent?
        
               | fnordpiglet wrote:
               | I think technically you would look at this as exchange
               | risk. Securities regulations exist because of precedent,
               | and this isn't specifically fraud but lack of customer
               | funds segregation from the business risks.
        
           | phas0ruk wrote:
           | FTX is a centralised exchange, it is not routing all customer
           | trades on chain. It's not a blockchain failure, it's just a
           | lack of client asset segregation by a traditional centralised
           | trading house.
        
             | Digory wrote:
             | So the internal trades aren't on chain. Well, that's going
             | to leave a mark.
             | 
             | Is there a coin that distinguishes agent and owner? Seems
             | like you want trustless agency if you're pursuing trustless
             | finance.
        
               | legutierr wrote:
               | This is the whole idea behind DeFi. All trading is done
               | autonomously on-chain, and owners retain custody
               | throughout.
        
             | chironjit wrote:
             | This is the correct answer. When you move your tokens into
             | a centralised exchange like FTX, your funds are pooled with
             | everyones deposit.
             | 
             | There are always deposits and wihdrawals, and of course
             | maybe you traded your tokens for another before
             | withdrawing. So its hard to parse how much customers
             | deposited vs genuinely withdrew, and so you cant really
             | tell if the exchange is short unless they declare their
             | actual assets and liabilities.
        
               | cma wrote:
               | From the Sequoia puff-piece:
               | 
               | > Something of the sort must happen eventually, as the
               | current system, with its layers upon layers of
               | intermediaries, is antiquated and prone to crashing--the
               | global financial crisis of 2008 was just the latest in a
               | long line of failures that occurred because banks didn't
               | actually know what was on their balance sheets. Crypto is
               | money that can audit itself, no accountant or bookkeeper
               | needed, and thus a financial system with the blockchain
               | built in can, in theory, cut out most of the financial
               | middlemen, to the advantage of all. Of course, that's the
               | pitch of every crypto company out there. The FTX
               | competitive advantage? Ethical behavior. SBF is a Peter
               | Singer-inspired utilitarian in a sea of Robert Nozick-
               | inspired libertarians. He's an ethical maximalist in an
               | industry that's overwhelmingly populated with ethical
               | minimalists. I'm a Nozick man myself, but I know who I'd
               | rather trust my money with: SBF, hands-down. And if he
               | does end up saving the world as a side effect of being my
               | banker, all the better.
        
             | LeafGuild wrote:
             | It is absolutely a blockchain failure. Blockchains are
             | intentionally designed to facilitate this. They have no
             | possible way to stop this kind of fraud. Even if you built
             | an elaborate set of smart contracts that could audit
             | participants, they would still not stop anything. That
             | activity can just be moved to another chain and avoid the
             | audits. This kind of thing can just keep happening over and
             | over again, as it already has for the last 12 years.
             | Remember Mt Gox? Nothing fundamental has changed about
             | blockchains that could ever prevent this from happening.
             | It's viewed as a feature that everyone just loses their
             | money sometimes. The designers of blockchains _want_ this
             | to happen. From speaking to them, they view any kind of
             | fraud prevention as an affront to their definition of
             | "economic freedom" and what it entails.
        
           | twawaaay wrote:
           | That's because it is all built on greed and a lot of lies.
           | 
           | The only time you actually are part of the trustless system
           | is when you are sole custodian of any private keys necessary
           | to access the coins.
           | 
           | The issue with this is that a whole lot of people have no
           | idea what it is, how it works, how to be part of the system
           | and how to keep keys secure and safe at the same time.
           | 
           | And it is fine. People can't know everything.
           | 
           | But one thing I know, if you buy stuff you do not understand
           | and then you loose money, it is on you.
        
           | joe_the_user wrote:
           | Maybe you're thinking of Etherium or other smart-contract
           | systems, Etherium is a system where things like that happen
           | automatically. With Bitcoin, the only thing you have is a
           | secure (but static) ledger of who (which wallet/id) has what
           | bitcoins. Any transfers have to be "manually" and just
           | recorded by the blockchain.
           | 
           | Of course, the automatic processes in Etherium produce a
           | bunch of other weird effects.
        
             | mccorrinall wrote:
             | Where does this Etherium-meme(?) come from? I've seen
             | several people writing Etherium and Monaro instead of
             | Ethereum and Monero on mailing lists, but never understood
             | what it means and where it comes from.
        
         | newfonewhodis wrote:
         | I put $100 in my Chase account. Chase goes horse betting with
         | my money and loses it all. My account shows $0.
         | 
         | That's basically what happened here.
        
           | jefftk wrote:
           | Well, your account still shows $100, but Chase has paused
           | withdrawals while they "sort out liquidity issues" so it's
           | effectively $0
        
             | ericd wrote:
             | Yep, this is exactly what happened en masse during the
             | Great Depression. People were selling their bank account
             | books for a fraction of their nominal value.
        
           | chlodwig wrote:
           | Not exactly, because banks tell you that they will loan out
           | your money and you might not get it back, that's why you get
           | interest on the account. They can't go horse betting, but
           | they can loan it out. You don't have "title" over the USD in
           | the bank reserves.
           | 
           | This is like if you put $100 in _Chase 's security deposit
           | box_, and they opened it up, took the cash, and lent it out,
           | and then when you come to get it, they say, woops, we lost it
           | all. That would be just straight up theft or fraud.
        
             | SilasX wrote:
             | >Not exactly, because banks tell you that they will loan
             | out your money and you might not get it back, that's why
             | you get interest on the account.
             | 
             | That's not right either. They promise you will get it back
             | (the FDIC insurance), just that e.g. large amounts may have
             | a delay. They are also scrutinized by regulators to ensure
             | that the loans are sane enough not to all evaporate in
             | value overnight, as a horse bet might.
        
             | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
             | In the USA, bank accounts are guaranteed by the government,
             | up to $250K.
        
               | eftychis wrote:
               | Per institution. And there is a lot of consolidation. So
               | I would be careful. It is really easy to be placing money
               | into different banks, but essentially the same one.
        
               | achenatx wrote:
               | there are a variety of caveats, on your side it is per
               | entity.
               | 
               | If you are married it is 500K, if you have a trust it is
               | like 1.25M. 250K for each beneficiary up to 5 (or
               | something like that).
        
               | tootie wrote:
               | And the FDIC can afford to do that because there are laws
               | dictating liquidity requirements to banks and disclosure
               | requirements to inspect and enforce those rules.
        
               | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
               | It's almost as if our existing financial system, built
               | upon the lessons from hundreds of years, is worthwhile!
               | :-)
        
               | Animatronio wrote:
               | That's what makes it so boring, whereas DeFi is so
               | exciting it gives you a heart attack seemingly every
               | other day.
        
               | legutierr wrote:
               | What does DeFi have to do with any of what is happening
               | with FTX?
        
               | Veliladon wrote:
               | It's been funny to watch crypto basically speedrun the
               | entire monetary system from Rai stones all the way to
               | calls for central banking.
        
               | nostrebored wrote:
               | You would've been correct two years ago. We're doing zero
               | fractional reserve banking now. Hearing this should
               | convince people that they should get their money out now,
               | but nobody seems to care.
        
               | NovemberWhiskey wrote:
               | > _We're doing zero fractional reserve banking now._
               | 
               | No; we're not. In fact, banks are positively awash with
               | reserves by historical standards.
               | 
               | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TOTRESNS
        
               | klodolph wrote:
               | I don't know about others, but I suspect that if the FDIC
               | ran out of money, congress would figure out a way to fund
               | it even if it meant printing money. I am okay with this.
        
               | nostrebored wrote:
               | But liquidity is the issue here. In the event that this
               | happens, how long would it be before you could have
               | access to your funds?
        
               | klodolph wrote:
               | Why do you say liquidity is the issue? It sounds like you
               | are imagining some specific scenario here.
        
               | iamthirsty wrote:
               | While you're correct[0], still the FDIC is guaranteeing
               | it up to $250k.
               | 
               | [0]:https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reserve
               | req.htm
        
               | JamesianP wrote:
               | It may be that what the FDIC promises to do is not in
               | sync with what it can actually afford to do.
        
               | iamthirsty wrote:
               | The FDIC, as of March 2021, has 119.4 billion[0], along
               | with "... a US$100 billion line of credit with the United
               | States Department of the Treasury.[9]"[1].
               | 
               | I think they've got enough to cover any consumer issues.
               | 
               | [0]: https://www.fdic.gov/about/strategic-
               | plans/strategic/insuran...
               | 
               | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Deposit_Insura
               | nce_Corp...
        
               | JamesianP wrote:
               | How much is the total liability they are guaranteeing?
               | 
               | And $119 billion where exactly? In US treasuries? If so
               | it's about as safe as the social security "fund". What if
               | the "customer issue" includes a govt default?
               | 
               | All you're saying here is that we can treat an FDIC
               | guarantee like a govt guarantee, which is probably true,
               | but still not the same as a case where the guarantor has
               | actual assets which the prior poster was suggesting. The
               | FDIC is making promises and backing those promises with
               | other promises. There's not cash laying around anywhere
               | to back it up. I'm not saying the only response is run
               | for the hills like the other poster, but I find these
               | defenses rather naive. The likelihood of any insurance
               | scheme failing is not zero. Same for a government's
               | finances.
        
               | iamthirsty wrote:
               | > There's not cash laying around anywhere to back it up.
               | 
               | Did you not read the part where they have $119.4 Billion
               | dollars? And that was a year-and-a-half ago, it's
               | probably closer to $130B now. It seems like you didn't
               | read any of the source material, let alone my comment,
               | before replying.
        
               | JamesianP wrote:
               | ...yes I did. Your post at least, which was short and
               | sweet. Bravo. I did not read the wiki article and don't
               | plan to, but I skimmed the other one. Got as far as this
               | at least: "Means and Strategies: The FDIC maintains the
               | viability of the DIF by investing the fund, monitoring
               | and responding to changes in the reserve ratio,
               | collecting risk-based premiums, and evaluating the
               | deposit insurance system in light of an evolving
               | financial services industry."
               | 
               | "DIF fund" being the $119B. In my post I presumed that
               | 119 billion is in US Treasuries. I'm also presuming US
               | treasuries are not the same thing as cash. Whatever the
               | case, generally people don't refer to "cash laying
               | around" as an investment.
               | 
               | EDIT: Try this much more readable doc:
               | https://www.fdic.gov/about/financial-
               | reports/reports/2020ann....
               | 
               | The $119B in assets includes only $3B in cash, with $110B
               | in treasuries.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | Bank of America has an estimated 67 million customers.
               | Assuming $250k per person, and I've got the number of
               | zeros right, that's $16 trillion ($16,750,000,000,000) in
               | liability if they were to go down, enough to sink FDIC.
        
               | iamthirsty wrote:
               | I think you got the math wrong, because I'm 100% sure not
               | all 67million customers have $250,000 in their accounts.
               | Being that 56% of Americans can't cover $1,000
               | expense[0], and most people with >$100k assuredly have
               | their money in assets rather than cash, I think your math
               | is way, way, _way_ off.
               | 
               | [0]: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/19/56percent-of-
               | americans-cant-...
        
               | nostrebored wrote:
               | Right, but the FDIC explicitly says large amounts may
               | take longer in the status quo. The only reason to have
               | money in the bank is for a reasonably safe, liquid form
               | of money.
               | 
               | If they aren't providing safety or liquidity, why should
               | you use them?
        
               | iamthirsty wrote:
               | They are providing safety and liquidity, your statement
               | is laughable, honestly.
               | 
               | The safety is personal -- no one can rob your home when
               | you're gone and steal the money under your mattress
               | because it's not under there, it's in a bank.
               | 
               | And in regards to liquidity, if you can tell me the exact
               | day, time, and amount you tried to pull out of a consumer
               | bank (large household bank names) and instead of getting
               | cash in hand the bank told you "sorry, we spent your
               | money on loans, we don't have any to give you", I'd love
               | to see it.
               | 
               | Bonus points if then the FDIC didn't cover it.
               | 
               | Banks provide both safety and liquidity at the consumer
               | level. It would also be a really bad idea to continue to
               | encourage everyone to pull money out of banks and hold it
               | in cash -- both economically and personally. People
               | largely benefit from banks existing, that's, well, why
               | they exist!
        
             | gfd wrote:
             | Only tangentially related, but don't put cash in safety
             | deposit boxes. Police can take them under civil forfeiture
             | laws:
             | 
             | https://nypost.com/2021/06/12/fbi-aims-to-keep-
             | valuables-86m...
             | 
             | https://www.businessinsider.com/fbi-raid-1400-boxes-us-
             | priva...
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | Asset forfeiture sucks, but I'd be more worried about run
               | of the mill bank incompetence. Banks don't really want to
               | be in that business and screw up often.
        
               | roywiggins wrote:
               | The greater risk is probably that your bank will just
               | screw up and lose your stuff:
               | 
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/19/business/safe-deposit-
               | box...
        
               | loeg wrote:
               | Police can take anything anywhere under civil forfeiture;
               | it's truly insane.
        
               | cmeacham98 wrote:
               | Civil asset forfeiture is one of those things that feels
               | really unjust in the US, and I'm somewhat surprised there
               | hasn't been a Supreme Court case ruling it
               | unconstitutional per the 4th Amendment.
               | 
               | I'd love to hear a steelmanned argument in favor of it,
               | maybe I'm missing something obvious?
        
               | klodolph wrote:
               | Civil asset forfeiture is a surprisingly complicated
               | network of related legal issues, unfortunately. It can be
               | incredibly complicated to litigate. Asset forfeiture
               | cases often involve the federal government and have to be
               | litigated in federal court, which is difficult and
               | expensive.
               | 
               | If you want to think of laws as an ecosystem, then think
               | of civil asset forfeiture as a highly evolved species
               | with all sorts of specialized defenses.
               | 
               | It seems to be slowly being ground away. The modern
               | version of civil asset forfeiture was as a tool to take
               | away the profits of drug kingpins in the 1980s and
               | bootleggers during prohibition. Seems like the modern
               | drug kingpins are companies like Johnson & Johnson,
               | though.
        
               | zizee wrote:
               | > I'd love to hear a steelmanned argument in favor of it,
               | maybe I'm missing something obvious?
               | 
               | If it were a big shipment of plutonium laced heroin, it
               | seems fair game.
               | 
               | I think the biggest issue with civil asset forfeiture is
               | the conflict of interest where police departments are
               | keeping/using the seized assets. From the outside it
               | looks a lot like the government acting like a gang.
               | 
               | The other big problem is it seems like it is up to the
               | owner to prove the assets "innocence", rather than police
               | proving the assets were the result of illegal activity.
               | 
               | If assets are seized, they need to go to a third party
               | that can store them safely, return the assets to their
               | owners. If found "guilty", the assets should go to some
               | victims of crime fund, or destroyed.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | HideousKojima wrote:
               | The only steelmanned argument for civil asset forfeiture
               | goes back to its origins, when it was used to seize
               | smuggled goods on ships. Since the ship's owner was
               | almost always a wealthy person living in a different
               | country making them almost impossible to go after, and
               | the smuggled goods were missing tax stamps etc. making it
               | clear that they were being illegally smuggled, the
               | government would simply seize the goods. That's literally
               | the origin of civil asset forfeiture in the US, and all
               | of the horrible and unjustifiable examples of it that we
               | see nowadays grew out of that much more limited and
               | justifiable example.
        
               | tialaramex wrote:
               | Seems to me in the specific case of wealthy foreigner
               | owns smuggled good a better (more just) arrangement
               | accuses _them_ not the goods, but with the mechanism that
               | if they for some reason don 't want to attend court
               | (maybe because they're super guilty?) their goods are
               | seized but the crime still exists.
               | 
               | There are some nuances to work out to ensure cops can't
               | accuse say Vladimir Putin of a crime involving the $8000
               | they found in your house, and then since Putin doesn't
               | show up they keep your money, but the general idea seems
               | more sound than civil forfeiture.
        
               | ChadNauseam wrote:
               | No civil asset forfeiture: cop pulls a drug dealer over,
               | the drug dealer bribes the cop and is on his way.
               | 
               | With civil asset forfeiture: cop pulls a drug dealer
               | over, the drug dealer offers to bribe the cop, the cop
               | laughs and takes all his stuff anyway, books him, and the
               | police department buys a martini machine.
               | 
               | Kind of a weak case, but that was the best steelman I
               | could think of.
        
             | derangedHorse wrote:
             | As others have pointed out in comments on this post, banks
             | typically don't loan out customer funds and instead use
             | them as reserves. For loans, banks can create money out of
             | thin air and just increase the number representing the
             | borrower's bank account balance in a database somewhere.
             | Interest is to incentivize adding more reserves to their
             | balance sheets which in turn allows more loans (with
             | considerably larger interest rates) to be given out
        
           | shapefrog wrote:
           | If the 50-1 shot horse won the race, they would have put your
           | $100 back in your account and put $4900 in their account
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | vgeek wrote:
           | I know pop culture and humor is frowned upon on HN, but
           | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=XhFTG7fFwc4 is just too
           | relevant to not share for this whole situation.
        
           | jojobas wrote:
           | Except
           | 
           | 1) Chase doesn't have to show you $0, you'll still see $100.
           | 
           | 2) When you decide to spend the money, chances are the seller
           | is also with Chase, then all Chase has to do is show you $0
           | and the seller +$100
           | 
           | 3) If the seller happens to be with another bank, Chase will
           | just go in credit with that other bank for $100. The total of
           | such interbank accounts is around 0 as money flows both ways,
           | and, with a decent margin, within the bank reserve amount.
           | 
           | Fractional-reserve banking works so well with so little
           | "actual" reserve money that some consider it counterfeiting.
        
           | fdgsdfogijq wrote:
           | Why is this getting downvoted? its a plain speech description
           | of what they did
        
             | RC_ITR wrote:
             | Because Chase actually does _something_ sort of similar
             | (primarily mortgage lending), but they employ _a ton_ of
             | people to think _all day_ about managing risk.
             | 
             | So I think people don't like the comparison, since the true
             | difference is FTX did horse betting, while Chase does
             | something much more rational.
        
               | zeven7 wrote:
               | To add to that: Chase tells you what they're doing. FTX
               | told its customers it wouldn't lend it out, and then it
               | did. Additionally, customer accounts at Chase are insured
               | by FDIC up to $250k. Chase tells you they're going to bet
               | with your money, manages the risk well* on most days*,
               | and even if they lose your money you get it back anyway.
               | FTX did the opposite of all that.
        
               | mjn wrote:
               | Chase is also more restricted in how the investment
               | banking side of the business can use funds from the
               | retail banking side, precisely because banks in the 1920s
               | _did_ play fast and loose with investing customer
               | deposits, which caused a bunch of depositors to lose
               | savings in the 1929 crash.
               | 
               | The amount of interaction between the two sides that's
               | allowed has increased and decreased over the years, but
               | it hasn't been unrestricted since the Glass-Steagall Act
               | of 1933: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Separation_of_inve
               | stment_and_r...
        
               | based69 wrote:
               | Doesnt fannie mae/freddie mac essentially backstop a lot
               | of this risk too?
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | bin_bash wrote:
       | This is one of the reasons downturns in markets are good. If the
       | market would've just kept growing then SBF likely could've kept
       | his ponzi scheme afloat without anyone noticing.
       | 
       | The 2008 recession is what really stopped Bernie Madoff.
        
         | naraga wrote:
         | Sure, yet, these people will mostly manage to escape. Have no
         | doubt they all have few mils on side and they are ready to lie
         | to themselves all sort of excuses to make them feel better
         | spending them. Sam apparently "miss-labeled" some accounts all
         | in pursuit to give more to charity i am pretty sure.
        
         | justin_oaks wrote:
         | Yes, downturns help expose "the bezzle": the gap between
         | perceived value and long-term economic value.
         | 
         | I first learned the term "bezzle" here on Hacker News and read
         | more about it in the article "Why the Bezzle Matters to the
         | Economy":
         | https://carnegieendowment.org/chinafinancialmarkets/85179
         | 
         | It's an interesting read to those who enjoy economics.
        
         | guardiangod wrote:
         | >ponzi scheme
         | 
         | This is not a ponzi scheme. This is a good old "not firewalling
         | your customer's money and your investment money" that everyone
         | suffered from in 2008. The situation is cataphoric enough
         | without people mis-using terms.
        
           | shmatt wrote:
           | >The first $10,000 USD value in your deposit wallets will
           | earn 8% APY
           | 
           | (This is what FTX was offering customers)
           | 
           | And now we know the accounts weren't actually covered by real
           | money (or "value" as they called it). So when person X was
           | asking FTX for their money back, FTX would send person X+1's
           | money to cover
           | 
           | Sounds like a Ponzi to me
        
             | CamelCaseName wrote:
             | It's only a ponzi scheme if you have no underlying business
             | but transferring money between people.
             | 
             | Presumably FTX expected that its risky bets would pay off
             | and that return would then fund the interest promised.
             | 
             | Otherwise, would you consider corporate debt a ponzi
             | scheme?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | jazzyjackson wrote:
               | > fund the interest promised.
               | 
               | IMO this is key, the interest being paid out to account
               | holders was not profits from any underlying business, it
               | was just paid out from new "customer" deposits.
               | 
               | If a corporation is in debt and paying back interest,
               | it's sustainable as long as the business actually has a
               | plan to grow. If your business is acquiring new users to
               | pay out obscene interest rates to your early adopters,
               | that's a ponzi
               | 
               | (mr ponzi himself didn't mean to scam anyone either way
               | by the way, until he realized his postage-arbitrage plans
               | were going south and he scrambled not to break his
               | promises)
        
               | NickC25 wrote:
               | >Presumably FTX expected that its risky bets would pay
               | off and that return would then fund the interest
               | promised.
               | 
               | So did Bernie.
               | 
               | >Otherwise, would you consider corporate debt a ponzi
               | scheme?
               | 
               | Depends on what you count as corporate debt.
               | 
               | I'd have no problem buying the debt of a mature, massive
               | company like Apple or Microsoft, because they have hard
               | assets, steady cashflows, successful products on the
               | market.
               | 
               | The debt of a zombie corporation with a useless product
               | that was only sustainable due to 0% interest rates? No
               | thanks. Is that a ponzi scheme? Probably not the
               | classical definition of one, but it's ponzi-adjecent.
        
               | IanCal wrote:
               | > So did Bernie.
               | 
               | No, he just straight up didn't invest peoples money, he
               | paid out "gains" just from other deposits. That's why it
               | was a Ponzi scheme - that's what they are.
        
               | NickC25 wrote:
               | Initially, he did invest their money, he just didn't get
               | the (I believe it was) +/- 10% that he promised investors
               | (and was getting like clockwork) before the 08 crash.
               | 
               | Once he started not being able to make those returns did
               | thing start to unravel. His own kids were in denial right
               | up until the end - almost nobody, even inside Bernie's
               | firm, knew it was fraudulent.
        
               | JackFr wrote:
               | > almost nobody, even inside Bernie's firm, knew it was
               | fraudulent.
               | 
               | It's amazing what you can fail to know when not knowing
               | it keeps you out of jail.
        
               | IanCal wrote:
               | He hadn't been doing any trades for 15+ years when it all
               | fell apart.
        
               | squeaky-clean wrote:
               | The original scheme by Ponzi himself was based around
               | profiting from arbitrage from postage stamps. He promised
               | 50% returns within 90 days and couldn't keep up with his
               | claims in a legitimate manner.
        
             | jcpham2 wrote:
             | FWIW I have difficulty distinguishing the difference
             | between a Ponzi scheme and "The Time Value of Money"
             | concept itself. Every place I see that offers interest on
             | crypto deposits, I fear they have no business plan to
             | generate the profits to pay the interest on a deflationary
             | fake internet money in the first place.
             | 
             | My fear is they are just Ponzi-ing on Wayne! seeking the
             | next highest interest rate holding the biggest bag, hoping
             | the 'ol Time Value of Money will save their ass.
             | 
             | The whole house of cards has a lot to do with the
             | _velocity_ at which the money moves and whether it's
             | stagnating or generating interest somewhere else.
             | 
             | My rant is over. None of this stuff has affected me.
        
               | largepeepee wrote:
               | Simple.
               | 
               | It is always can you trust the other party.
               | 
               | And that's the basis of society, government and money.
        
               | JALTU wrote:
               | Time value of money is not the same. It's actually simple
               | and elegant and flexible, and to your point, you want to
               | see the borrower have a plan, so to speak. Or cash flows.
               | Or collateral. Or all of the above. And still, you can
               | lose. But the concept of the price of money is separate
               | from that.
        
               | ProjectArcturis wrote:
               | >Every place I see that offers interest on crypto
               | deposits, I fear they have no business plan to generate
               | the profits to pay the interest on a deflationary fake
               | internet money in the first place.
               | 
               | You are correct. Literally every place offering high
               | interest rates on crypto deposits is a Ponzi scheme.
        
           | jrm4 wrote:
           | What makes it not a ponzi? Is the idea that "the possibility
           | that number may go up" the only thing to distinguish it?
        
             | oldgradstudent wrote:
             | According to Wikipedia a Ponzi scheme
             | 
             | > is a form of fraud that lures investors and pays profits
             | to earlier investors with funds from more recent investors.
             | 
             | So if they are paying yield while actually losing money and
             | covering it up by recruiting new clients then it's a Ponzi
             | scheme.
        
             | colinmhayes wrote:
             | So my understanding is that alameda needed more capital to
             | fund its operations that had a track record of success, so
             | sbf created ftx and gave customer assets to alameda to
             | invest. So the business thesis here isn't "use new user
             | money to pay old users" it's "steal all the users money to
             | invest and hope the investments continue to be profitable."
             | I guess they started ponzi-ing once alameda went bust but
             | that wasn't the original plan, although that's probably
             | true for most ponzi's.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Even in 2008 that is not what happened.
           | 
           | Tell me which retail brokerages lost their customers assets
           | because they gambled them away?
           | 
           | There is no glossing over the fact that all these crypto
           | explosions are a result of largely re-implementing a pre-Fed,
           | pre-FDIC, pre Great Depression style banking system with all
           | its long-patched defects.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | ... except in a way that fundamentally prevents the patches
             | and even lauds the defects.
        
               | steveBK123 wrote:
               | Yes, exactly.. this is the end state for crypto rather
               | than a step towards being a normal market that normal
               | people can use
        
           | NovemberWhiskey wrote:
           | > _" not firewalling your customer's money and your
           | investment money" that everyone suffered from in 2008_
           | 
           | ... cite for this, please. I don't recall there being any
           | significant client money problems in that period.
        
             | guardiangod wrote:
             | You are right. Even though there were cases in 2008 they
             | weren't significant contributors to the great recession.
        
             | oldgradstudent wrote:
             | I don't think this was a major problem in the 2008 crisis.
             | 
             | John Corzine's MF Global was a well known case in 2011.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MF_Global
        
           | VHRanger wrote:
           | They used FTT as collateral for loans used on trading
           | activities that boosted FTT value
           | 
           | It's not literally a Ponzi, but it's Ponzi adjacent behavior,
           | like what Bill Hwang did.
        
             | colinmhayes wrote:
             | Bill hwang didn't even take investor money. How did you
             | come to the conclusion that his behavior was ponzi
             | adjacent?
        
             | quickthrowman wrote:
             | Bill Hwang lied about his market exposure to the brokers
             | who sold him the equity swaps. It was just garden variety
             | fraud with no ponzi adjacent behavior at all.
        
               | Kstarek wrote:
               | He actually didn't lie lol, they knew they just didn't
               | care as he was a very profitable customer
        
         | abraae wrote:
         | It's only when the tide goes out that you learn who has been
         | swimming naked.
         | 
         | Warren Buffett
        
         | knorker wrote:
         | "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been
         | swimming naked"
        
       | SilverBirch wrote:
       | I think at this point anyone who has any involvement in crypto
       | needs to ask themselves the following question: Are you Molly?
       | 
       | Becuase if not, you're fucked. She's the only one walking out of
       | this shitshow with a reputation.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | NelsonMinar wrote:
       | To summarize, the WSJ article says he took $10B of $16B in
       | customer deposits to FTX and used that to finance his hedge fund.
        
         | reso wrote:
         | ...and then the hedge fund lost the whole $10B. Corruption AND
         | incompetence.
        
           | MrMan wrote:
           | or just spent it?
        
             | moralestapia wrote:
             | Or stole it.
        
               | bagels wrote:
               | Seems like blaming the economy/stock market can make for
               | a good cover if nobody looks too hard.
        
           | michael1999 wrote:
           | Looks like much of it was spent filling in the bezzle left
           | from the early blow-ups in terra, etc. He was trying to prop
           | up the whole ecosystem.
        
         | jbverschoor wrote:
         | Damn, that's nearly 2/3. Insane.
        
       | RadixDLT wrote:
       | this dude is Bernie Madoff 2.0
        
         | digianarchist wrote:
         | He's more like Nick Leeson than Bernie Madoff.
        
       | rchaud wrote:
       | You know those corner stores that act as Western Union/Moneygram
       | agents? They have to follow stronger regulations (KYC/AML/BSA)
       | and are audited on a quarterly basis by WU/MG to ensure there is
       | no co-mingling of funds.
       | 
       | A bodega conducts better financial oversight than these masters
       | of the cryptoverse.
        
         | selimthegrim wrote:
         | Did SBF have any cats in the office? That should have been a
         | warning sign.
        
           | zhoujianfu wrote:
           | Are you referencing Tibanne?!
        
       | zenapollo wrote:
        
         | steveBK123 wrote:
         | Banks lend your deposits out. Banks do not play the market with
         | your deposits. Anything close to that ended in 2008.
         | 
         | And even the banks that did so, given they were FDIC insured
         | and part of the Fed Reserve banking system did not leave any
         | customers in the hole.
         | 
         | We can argue about taxpayer bailouts and bad incentives, but
         | the system worked the way it was supposed to - normal people
         | can put their money in a bank account knowing they will be able
         | to get it back out, come hell or high water.
        
           | zenapollo wrote:
           | > Banks lend your deposits out. Banks do not play the market
           | with your deposits. Anything close to that ended in 2008.
           | 
           | True that the Volcker rule of Dodd-Frank 2010 eliminated
           | banks using deposits for prop trading as well as other
           | gambling loopholes. That is, until it was weakened in 2019 by
           | R Congress and Trump admin.
           | 
           | https://www.americanprogress.org/article/hollowing-
           | volcker-r...
           | 
           | In any case, I would agree that the FDIC is the big
           | difference, backed by the Fed printing press.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | > Fed printing press
             | 
             | Fed doesn't print money, Treasury prints money. Money is
             | created when banks lend. The FDIC DIF (deposit insurance
             | fund) is $125B and funded entirely by private contributions
             | from member banks. They have a $100B line of credit at
             | Treasury if things go pear shaped but generally they have
             | the authority to seize failing institutions and sell the
             | accounts to other banks without touching the DIF let alone
             | the backup line of credit. They did this in 2008, selling
             | WaMu to JPMorgan.
        
               | zenapollo wrote:
               | I did not know how the FDIC was backed, thank you.
               | 
               | However, yes the treasury is an actual printing press,
               | but the money supply is controlled by The Fed. They tell
               | the treasury how much to print, they can provide
               | unlimited liquidity to banks, and they are the largest
               | backer of govt debt.
        
         | izzydata wrote:
         | I suspect you need to be a bank and aren't allowed to make such
         | risky bets.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | arcticbull wrote:
         | How does this question keep coming up? It's obvious.
         | 
         | 1. Banks _create_ money when they lend. This is the job that
         | their Fed has conferred to them. They do so under a strict
         | regulatory framework and with very tight risk requirements.
         | Lending is where money comes from.
         | 
         | 2. Fractional reserve works because banks are backed by the
         | FDIC which has a massive deposit insurance fund ($125B). The
         | FDIC has a massive line of credit ($100B) with the Treasury in
         | case _that_ ever runs out. And they have the authority to take
         | possession of failed institutions and sell the accounts like
         | they did in 2008 with WaMu (under OTS). When WaMu went under
         | the bank was sold to JPMorgan and nobody lost a penny _without_
         | touching the DIF.
         | 
         | 3. FTX was backed by nobody and nothing.
         | 
         | 4. We know how banks operate, it's public and transparent. If
         | FTX told depositors it was taking their money and gambling with
         | it, and planned to stick them with the losses while keeping all
         | the profit for themselves (a) that would be one thing and (b)
         | nobody would sign up for that.
         | 
         | > Most deposits are used for gambling by banks
         | 
         | No they're not.
         | 
         | > The US fractional reserve requirement for banks is 10%.
         | 
         | No it's not, it's 0%.
         | 
         | > If SBF was gambling with only 10B of 16B that's a 37% reserve
         | - conservative by banking standards.
         | 
         | No it's not. It's wildly irresponsible by any standard.
        
         | oldgradstudent wrote:
         | Just two days ago he claimed that they were not investing
         | customer funds. A few hours ago he deleted that Tweet.
         | 
         | That moves it into fraud territory.
        
           | colinmhayes wrote:
           | He wasn't, he was just loaning them to his other company.
        
             | lordnacho wrote:
             | Loaning things out == investing
        
             | cbzbc wrote:
             | Loaning them to invest them.
        
           | latchkey wrote:
           | Seems so odd to delete a tweet at this point. It isn't like
           | it disappears.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | It's different in a lot of ways. The most important one that
         | you've missed is that banks don't need to have enough liquidity
         | to cover customer deposits, but they do need to have enough
         | _assets_. If a bank 's assets ever drop below its liabilities,
         | it is _immediately liquidated_ , the shareholders lose
         | everything, and insurance steps in to fix any gaps.
         | 
         | SBF has neither liquidity nor assets sufficient to cover its
         | deposits, because most of his assets was a pile of worthless
         | fartcoin that he printed for himself, but pretended that it was
         | worth billions. And because he was not properly audited[1], his
         | equity wasn't immediately liquidated to cover the gap, when the
         | gap could still be covered.
         | 
         | ... Also, reserve requirements have nothing to do with this
         | particular failure case. They have everything to do with
         | issuing loans, and the rate at which money is created
         | (inflation!), but this wasn't a failure caused by issuing
         | loans.
         | 
         | [1] It's weird how VC due diligence seems to go out the window
         | as soon as their money starts funding a hot new crypto scam.
         | It's almost as if they are playing a heads-we-win-big, tails-
         | we-lose-nothing-but-our-investment game...
        
           | oldgradstudent wrote:
           | > If a bank's assets ever drop below its liabilities, it is
           | immediately liquidated, the shareholders lose everything, and
           | insurance steps in to fix any gaps.
           | 
           | That's how it's supposed to work. We've all found out in 2008
           | that's no longer the case.
           | 
           | The FDIC took over and sold or liquidated a few hundred small
           | banks and a handful of medium sized banks. The big ones were
           | considered to be too big to fail and were bailed out. The
           | shareholders of these bing banks did not lose everything, and
           | even the subordinated debt was payed (e.g. Citi).
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | > That's how it's supposed to work. We've all found out in
             | 2008 that's no longer the case.
             | 
             | 1. Not every bank that became insolvent had a hole on their
             | balance sheet that required all of their equity to be wiped
             | out to fill. The shareholders got a haircut proportionate
             | to how big those holes were.
             | 
             | 2. The rot would have gone far deeper, and the holes could
             | not have been covered if those bank balance sheets looked
             | anything like FTX's did. Banks, for the most part, faced a
             | liquidity crisis, not an insolvency crisis, and the owners
             | of the ones that faced the latter were, for all intents and
             | purposes, wiped out.
             | 
             | 3. The FDIC is funded by banks, not by taxpayers. The FDIC
             | only cares about customer deposits, it doesn't give two
             | figs about _investments_.
             | 
             | The controversial, taxpayer bailouts were not for retail
             | banks (The FDIC was designed a very long ago to handle this
             | case, and handled it well, without dipping into the public
             | purse), they were for shit like AIG. And speaking of
             | shareholder equity, that didn't do so hot. Their public
             | valuation went down 98% from 2007 to 2008, and is, as of
             | today, down 75% from their peak. I wouldn't have wanted to
             | have been a shareholder.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | So bail-outs weren't grants, they were loans, and the loans
             | have been repaid netting a massive windfall to the
             | government over over $100B with many more billions to come,
             | a ton of jobs were saved and it's hard to argue that they
             | were at all a bad thing. [1] This is coming from someone
             | who at the time thought the bailouts were a bad idea.
             | 
             | [1] https://projects.propublica.org/bailout/
        
         | NelsonMinar wrote:
         | Banks are highly regulated in exactly how much of the deposits
         | they can use and what kind of risks they can take with it. This
         | is complicated:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_requirement
         | 
         | Also in the US at least banks are FDIC insured, so if the bank
         | is breaking the law and gambling inappropriately consumers are
         | still protected.
         | 
         | "How is crypto different than a bank" is a reductive and
         | foolish comparison. There are many, many differences. The
         | primary one being that almost every cryptocurrency system is a
         | fraud at its heart.
        
           | duncancarroll wrote:
           | > "every cryptocurrency system is a fraud at its heart."
           | 
           | I'm not sure I agree with you on that part.
           | 
           | Fraud is defined as "wrongful or criminal deception intended
           | to result in financial or personal gain." Encryption-based
           | currency by itself does not meet that definition.
           | 
           | Can people use crypto to commit fraud? Yes, just the same as
           | they could use fiat or anything else that has perceived
           | value.
           | 
           | imho the main value of crypto as a technology is that it is
           | A) decentralized, and B) removes many intermediaries &
           | inefficiencies involved in handling + distributing money.
           | </$0.02>
        
             | NelsonMinar wrote:
             | You misquoted me; I said "almost every cryptocurrency
             | system" for a reason.
             | 
             | A thread where we're discussing a guy using $10B of $16B of
             | cryptocurrency customer deposits to finance his private
             | hedge fund gambling is not a good place to try to make your
             | argument.
        
           | zenapollo wrote:
           | Of course you're right that they are very different. But "at
           | it's heart" all money is imagined. Dollars are simply backed
           | by all the most powerful institutions on the planet.
           | 
           | The reason I asked is because it seems to me that people are
           | clutching their pearls and saying this is stealing. But as I
           | see it, the difference between FTX and Chase Bank are that
           | Chase has a lot of rules and regulations, and a good
           | insurance policy. But "at it's heart" SFB is no different
           | than Jamie Dimon. The ethics of what SFB did and what
           | American banks would like to do is exactly the same.
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | At heart a snake oil salesman and a doctor are no
             | different, but only one of them actually helps people.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | CaptainZapp wrote:
         | Banks usually don't hold their assets in funny money tokens.
         | 
         | There are quite strict rules about their capitalization and the
         | quality of the underlying assets.
        
       | hmahncke wrote:
       | Remarkable that a venture-backed company can loan $10B to the
       | founder's hedge fund without running into some sort of
       | board/corporate sign-off that's required to literally execute the
       | agreement/fund transfer.
        
         | ksherlock wrote:
         | WSJ has another article with more information on that:
         | 
         | https://www.wsj.com/articles/silicon-valley-poured-money-int...
         | 
         | "Silicon Valley Poured Money Into FTX, With Few Strings
         | Attached"
         | 
         | "A marquee roster of investors from Silicon Valley and Wall
         | Street swarmed FTX. They invested nearly $2 billion with few
         | strings attached and no oversight on the cryptocurrency
         | exchange's board, promoting it as a safe bet."
         | 
         | Anyhow, The board of directors consisted of SBF until the
         | summer of 2021. Then 2 "independent" directors were added, 1
         | was an FTX executive, the other was a lawyer in Antigua
        
           | skippyboxedhero wrote:
           | The recent Sebastian Mallaby book about VC charts the growth
           | of this "founder rules" approach.
           | 
           | In the age of ESG, it turns out that the "G" part is being
           | ignored totally (because it counter to the interests of
           | insiders) but the "E" and "S" is ever more important (because
           | it is in the interests of insiders) despite it doing little
           | to help improve returns (SBF was the king of "S"...might
           | there be a correlation between saying you are more ethical
           | than anyone and permitting yourself to steal from
           | customers?).
        
         | shaburn wrote:
         | Would this even be possible at any hedge fund?
        
           | cjtrowbridge wrote:
           | Of course not. Crypto is a vehicle for tech founders to do
           | all the unethical things that are banned in traditional
           | finance without technically breaking the law.
        
           | tanseydavid wrote:
           | Not a hedge fund but MF Global/Jon Corzine was an interesting
           | similar incident that was not crypto-related.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jon_Corzine
           | 
           | > Corzine was subpoenaed to appear before a House committee
           | on December 8, 2011, to answer questions regarding 1.2
           | billion dollars of missing money from MF Global client
           | accounts. He testified before the committee, "I simply do not
           | know where the money is, or why the accounts have not been
           | reconciled to date," and that given the number of money
           | transfers in the final days of trading at MF Global, he
           | didn't know specifics of the movement of the funds. He also
           | denied authorizing any misuse of customer funds.
           | 
           | > On the day of MF Global's bankruptcy, a Bloomberg reporter
           | wrote "Jon Corzine's risk appetite helped destroy his firm.
           | It also provided an object lesson for Paul Volcker's campaign
           | against proprietary trading on Wall Street."
        
             | nonameiguess wrote:
             | And for anyone who wasn't familiar with this guy and
             | doesn't click on the link, he was a US Senator and then NJ
             | Governor who ran this fund immediately after leaving
             | office. He's the guy Chris Christie replaced.
        
           | lordnacho wrote:
           | I was partner at a couple of hedge funds. Every fund has its
           | own docs, but normally it is going to restrict you to sending
           | money to specific things, you can't just do anything you
           | want. Certainly you cannot just lend it to yourself if you
           | want serious investors, they do a whole due diligence
           | questionnaire about what sign-off is needed, who can sign,
           | audits, and so on.
           | 
           | I remember a friend with a fund, he was in a short-term
           | pickle waiting for some money to bridge a house purchase.
           | Didn't even cross his mind to lend it to himself and pay it
           | back two weeks later, even though that would have been nearly
           | risk free and a minuscule proportion of the fund.
        
         | cbtacy wrote:
         | They had no real board. They had no real governance. What's
         | amazing is that large venture funds would put this much money
         | into this kind of company without any board seats.
        
           | largepeepee wrote:
           | Really shows how little oversight any of these venture funds
           | have.
           | 
           | They come across more like frat bros with huge pockets
           | casually giving away billions under a pinky promise of
           | eventual returns.
           | 
           | At this point, they are doing the same level of DD as those
           | degens in WSB.
           | 
           | But I guess you don't have much leverage when the fed is
           | printing trillions for years and we end up with dozens of
           | Zuckerberg types, too much power and no oversight to hold
           | them accountable.
        
             | pge wrote:
             | It is dangerous to extrapolate from one case (or even a few
             | notable cases in recent years) that venture funds have
             | "little oversight" over portfolio companies. These are the
             | exceptions rather than the rule.
             | 
             | Obviously, some boards are better than others at oversight,
             | but the complete absence of a functioning board, as was the
             | case at FTX, is definitely very, very unusual.
        
               | largepeepee wrote:
               | Like you have conceded, there are more than a few notable
               | cases in recent years.
               | 
               | Often hiding their "secret sauce", which often turn out
               | to be lies and deception for a variety of reasons.
               | 
               | It is no longer very very "unusual" when free loans,
               | credit and liquidity has been floating around for years
               | thanks to the money printer.
        
         | huevosabio wrote:
         | It feels like a very Adam Neumann move.
        
           | FormerBandmate wrote:
           | Sequoia did a nauseating, hilarious puff piece on him a
           | couple months ago and this guy sounds like Adam Neumann's
           | second coming.
           | 
           | https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-
           | spotlig...
        
             | lavezzi wrote:
             | Will need the Wayback Machine as they are trying to damage
             | control: https://web.archive.org/web/20221027180943/https:/
             | /www.sequo...
        
               | paganel wrote:
               | > SBF himself has amassed more wealth in a shorter period
               | of time than anyone else, ever. The 2022 Forbes
               | Billionaires List pegs SBF's net worth at $24 billion.
               | He's now 30 years old. But we get ahead of ourselves.
               | 
               | This is just gold.
               | 
               | Hopefully this all circus going down will also bring down
               | all the phonies from VC companies like Sequoia Capital,
               | guys (they're mostly guys, of course) who still live off
               | the few successful bets they made in the early 2000s. We
               | need fraudster-enablers like Sequoia to actually go bust
               | if we really want for our industry to find its lustre
               | again and for real innovation to come back.
               | 
               | Later edit: I've mostly gone through all of it, and I
               | have to say that that that archived article is pure
               | genius, it has copy-paste-ble gem after copy-paste-ble
               | gem. It would most probably deserve its own, separate
               | submission, on HN.
               | 
               | In a saner investment environment that sort of article,
               | and the huge fraud the people behind it helped perpetuate
               | by giving this SBF guy money (one of the Skype founders,
               | really? the rationalist community, really?) should help
               | bring some people down, and in so doing leaving our
               | industry, well, cleaner.
               | 
               | But I'm pretty sure that nothing like that will happen,
               | the small fries will be too scared to call these people
               | out as fraudster-enablers, thinking that they might need
               | money from them at some future point, the other sharks in
               | the pool will behave like nothing has ever happened,
               | hoping that the regulatory powers that be will move
               | along, to say nothing of the politicians, after all, to
               | quote Vox, SBF is "one of Biden's biggest donors" [1].
               | 
               | To re-capitulate, one of the US president's biggest
               | donors has just defrauded people out of $10 billion (that
               | we know of) while some of the biggest
               | figures/institutions in the US tech industry had stood
               | behind him. Business as usual in the rules-based United
               | States.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.vox.com/recode/2021/3/20/22335209/sam-
               | bankman-fr...
        
               | Cipater wrote:
               | >But, right there, between a bright yellow sunshade and
               | the crumb-strewn red-brick floor, SBF's purpose in life
               | was set: He was going to get filthy rich, for charity's
               | sake. All the rest was merely execution risk.
        
             | discodave wrote:
             | I managed to get this screenshot at least:
             | 
             | https://twitter.com/findgriffin/status/1590822569883873280
        
             | threeseed wrote:
             | When I was first read it I thought it was a parody, Silicon
             | Valley style.
             | 
             | But Sequoia this prestigious VC has been shown to be
             | childish, incompetent, reckless and completely
             | unprofessional.
             | 
             | It will be forever be a stain on them.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | robocat wrote:
             | HN discussion (138 comments so far):
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33549059
        
           | rogerkirkness wrote:
           | Self dealing
        
         | radicaldreamer wrote:
         | The people who invest in venture funds need to demand better
         | governance for portfolio companies, otherwise this will
         | continue to happen.
        
           | nemothekid wrote:
           | Sequioa, who invested in FTX quite loudly, reported to their
           | LPs that they only lost 150MM in their fund that had 7.5B in
           | realized gains. Going off their letter they took 5B and
           | turned it into 12.5B for a return of 150%[0].
           | 
           | After this spectacular blowup barely put a dent in their
           | returns, why would LPs demand anything? Sequioa will just
           | tell them "hey it's the name of the game, there are some
           | losers who go bankrupt and winners who return the entire fund
           | several times over".
           | 
           | If Sequioa took a massive markdown on FTX that would be a
           | different story. However they came out unscathed and looks
           | like they are managed well despite fellating SBF quite
           | openly. What would you even demand of them given that they
           | didn't lose much money? They probably lose even more money on
           | companies that end up just not being successful in the first
           | place. You can't ask them to not invest in risky business,
           | thats the whole point of VC.
           | 
           | [0] Could be misinterpreting the letter, they said FTX was 3%
           | of commited capital, 150M / 3% = 5B, and they had 7.5B of
           | realized and unrealized gains.
        
           | skippyboxedhero wrote:
           | I mentioned this is another reply, so sorry for anyone who
           | reads both.
           | 
           | I would read Mallaby's history of the VC industry to see why
           | this isn't possible. Around 1997 the balance of power shifted
           | heavily in favour of founders (this is when dual-share class)
           | started, and they stopped demanding seats on the board.
           | 
           | Iirc, Sequoia was a firm that held out (along with other old-
           | style funds), they missed out on a lot of companies over the
           | next ten years so ended up racing to the bottom...this is how
           | we got here.
           | 
           | Btw, just on corporate governance...it is the most important
           | factor for a company. A lot of the issues with corporates we
           | have today are due to poor oversight from shareholders (not
           | helped by passive). If corporate governance isn't working,
           | capitalism won't work either.
        
           | pge wrote:
           | I generally agree, but it's not "people," it's institutional
           | funds (endowments, pension funds, etc). The way venture
           | returns are distributed is that a small number of funds (of
           | which Sequioia has historically been one) stand out from the
           | rest in terms of returns. With the lengthy bull market that
           | we have had until this year, VC was a high-performing asset
           | class. Pension fund and endowment managers felt they needed
           | to be in the asset class, which really meant being in those
           | top 10 or so funds that were generating outsized returns.
           | When LPs are competing to get into a few top funds, the funds
           | have all the leverage. My sense is that LPs don't feel like
           | they can make any kind of demands on the VC funds, for fear
           | of being blocked out of investing.
           | 
           | Now we have a market turn and VC is unlikely to sustain the
           | returns of the past decade. That may shift the leverage, but
           | history suggests that LPs will still not put any kind of
           | meaningful pressure on the top funds to do anything
           | different.
        
         | returnInfinity wrote:
         | can do only in crypto
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | LatteLazy wrote:
       | Based on a claim by one anonymous source, that SBF told them
       | that.
       | 
       | Might be true, but papers (especially ones like the WSJ) should
       | not publish such pap.
        
         | cycrutchfield wrote:
         | Are you not aware of how journalism works?
        
         | bin_bash wrote:
         | There is absolutely 0 chance that the WSJ would run an article
         | with a headline like this without verifying the information
         | with multiple parties. That verification is often off-the-
         | record so you won't read about it in the article.
        
       | somuchfordonor wrote:
       | > Alameda's CEO is Caroline Ellison, a Stanford University
       | graduate who like Mr. Bankman-Fried previously worked for
       | quantitative trading firm Jane Street Capital. Alameda is based
       | in Hong Kong, where FTX was headquartered before relocating to
       | the Bahamas last year.
       | 
       | Are the folks at Jane Street making money because they are smart,
       | or because they use that perception to perpetuate some scam?
       | 
       | I interact with a lot of Harvard kids. Some of them are from Long
       | Island, they know dads who work at that Republican's hedge fund.
       | They are smart kids. They have good cognitive gifts.
       | 
       | But not once - not from word of mouth, or directly from them, or
       | someone, ever, anywhere - have I heard a common sense way these
       | guys make money due to intelligence, instead of due to a scam or
       | due to luck.
       | 
       | It is really frustrating. So much human potential wasted on
       | chasing the dollar sign. They are in denial that it is scams.
       | 
       | It has always been scams. Why is this so hard to believe? Why in
       | the absence of any positive evidence, like "oh here is our genius
       | but nonetheless expired" trading strategy, which anyone could
       | have furnished in the last two decades, they agree, oh it must be
       | real?
       | 
       | The simple answer seems, because if you believe it to be real,
       | you can be this specific kind of Harvard + New York + "X" kid -
       | and seriously, they are all cut from the same jib, superficially
       | and inside their character, it tarnishes the institution - and
       | you can do this scam and pocket your change and eat dim sum with
       | 20 people on the weekends and have a skinny girlfriend and buy a
       | condo. You can do something pretty meaningless with your life in
       | exchange for the burn out.
       | 
       | This scam life lets 20 year olds not hear from their horrible
       | parents that burned them out and gave them no meaning. Eventually
       | they turn 30 and hope that a decade went by without a crash, and
       | then life decides for them to sell before the ponzi collapses.
       | Like you have a baby with your skinny girlfriend and you buy the
       | condo and great, you sell, and it happens to be well timed!
       | 
       | I fucking hate Jane Street, I have hated them since I've known
       | the assholes who intern there, and I don't know why this Bankman-
       | Fried guy got such a big pass for scamming literally millions of
       | people, and why this Caroline girl isn't going to be sent to
       | jail, and it's frustrating because you can actually tell! You can
       | predict this from when these kids are 20!
        
         | justinbaker84 wrote:
         | This is a very well articulated comment. Thank you for laying
         | this out so clearly. I don't know any hedge fund types so it is
         | helpful to hear from somebody who does.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | govg wrote:
           | Everything in their comment points to them not having a clue
           | about the financial industry in general or about how hedge
           | funds / trading firms generate revenue or even try to.
        
         | markisus wrote:
         | But you actually can make money honestly by finding mispricings
         | in the market. Eg Buffet, or Burry during the housing crisis.
         | 
         | You can also make money through arbitrage or other brief
         | financial blips that occur in the market.
         | 
         | These things aren't really scams in the normal sense.
        
           | somuchfordonor wrote:
           | > honestly by finding mispricings in the market. Eg Buffet,
           | or Burry during the housing crisis.
           | 
           | Like who wants to be on the other side of a Jane Street
           | transaction? Absolutely fucking nobody. If you're talking
           | about "mispricings" during the "housing crisis," my dude,
           | nobody wanted to sell their house to these dumb fucks! They
           | were going to starve, they had no choice! How does that not
           | seem like a scam of some sort to you? That's not honest
           | money!
           | 
           | Those 20 year olds with Math degrees from Harvard. They don't
           | fucking know _anything_ dude, they did not discover a model,
           | they did not make a model with a price that says price is
           | lower than this other price, then persuade some people to
           | make some bet. That 's a _parallel reconstruction_ , that's
           | to justify whatever actual scam is going on. How do you not
           | see that?
           | 
           | There's no common sense reason Math 55 equips you with some
           | magical vision into pricing that actually winds up _meaning_
           | anything. When it does, it might as well be _random_.
           | 
           | If the Mercers were good people, would they be Republicans?
           | No dude. C'mon, use common sense. Don't get hung up on
           | "normal sense." Use _common sense_.
           | 
           | If Sam Bankman-Fried was a good person, would he fuck $10b
           | out of his own god damned customers' money?
           | 
           | No dude, he's made some unspecific, previously-bankrupt-and-
           | now-literally-bankrupt promise to donate some money to
           | something somewhere in the future, to whitewash the fact that
           | he just went around fucking everyone.
           | 
           | I mean get a grip Effective Altruists, whose guts I hate too,
           | and whose energy is the stereotype of the student I am
           | talking about - the same students! - where they get this
           | readily packaged "religion" that happens to align exactly
           | with their meaning-bankrupt approach to life.
           | 
           | So don't even get on it with the "honest" money. I can find
           | the venture capitalists who take some dumb person's money and
           | then hand it over to something risky and interesting: I see
           | how VC is honest, it's just not necessarily intelligent, but
           | it's redeemable. But the Jane Street people: No dude. Not
           | Warren Buffet, not Burry, none of those vultures.
        
             | adamsmith143 wrote:
             | >Like who wants to be on the other side of a Jane Street
             | transaction? Absolutely fucking nobody. If you're talking
             | about "mispricings" during the "housing crisis," my dude,
             | nobody wanted to sell their house to these dumb fucks! They
             | were going to starve, they had no choice! How does that not
             | seem like a scam of some sort to you? That's not honest
             | money!
             | 
             | This comment makes me think you don't have the slightest
             | idea of how the financial sector works, how Warren Buffet
             | makes money, what happened in 07-08 or how Michael Burry
             | made money during the crisis.
             | 
             | >If the Mercers were good people, would they be
             | Republicans? No dude. C'mon, use common sense. Don't get
             | hung up on "normal sense." Use common sense.
             | 
             | This comment makes me think you are just a troll.
             | 
             | >But the Jane Street people: No dude. Not Warren Buffet,
             | not Burry, none of those vultures.
             | 
             | This is just ignorant. If Warren Buffet looks at Coca-Cola
             | and thinks hey this stock is under-priced and will be worth
             | more in the next decade and makes 10B off it there's no
             | scam involved. Michael Burry evidently read through
             | hundreds of Mortgage Backed Securities and saw that the
             | underlying assets were more risky then they were priced at
             | and made a killing betting against them. No scam. I'm not
             | privy to what Jane Street's techniques are but it's most
             | likely some ML driven search for alpha but again nothing
             | screams scam. They aren't taking retail investor money, you
             | couldn't invest with them even if you wanted to. Where's
             | the scam?
             | 
             | All of your posts reek of paranoid delusions frankly.
        
             | tedunangst wrote:
             | How many houses do you think Jane Street was buying up?
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | > But not once - not from word of mouth, or directly from them,
         | or someone, ever, anywhere - have I heard a common sense way
         | these guys make money due to intelligence, instead of due to a
         | scam or due to luck.
         | 
         | Financial markets have a fascinating property: any well-known
         | strategy that can be implemented at reasonable cost [0] stops
         | working. This is because people implement it and the profit
         | goes away. If Jane Street has a common sense strategy or three
         | that makes money, they're not telling you about it.
         | 
         | (I'm taking about actual market profits here. It is well known
         | that you can make _lots_ of money by charging fees on a
         | lackluster fund as long as you can find investors.)
         | 
         | [0] The cost issue is real, and the relevant parameter is some
         | combination of _profit_ (revenue - opex), capex and risk. For
         | example, one can make money (revenue) by being the fastest
         | market on the block. But the revenue there is approximately
         | bounded and competition has driven the cost up to insane
         | levels, so it is _not_ straightforward to do this profitably.
        
           | itsdrewmiller wrote:
           | The original comment addresses that concern:
           | 
           | >Why in the absence of any positive evidence, like "oh here
           | is our genius but nonetheless expired" trading strategy,
           | which anyone could have furnished in the last two decades,
           | they agree, oh it must be real?
           | 
           | I agree that there should be some obviously awesome things
           | these funds did that they can share now given they are no
           | longer able to exploit them. I have no idea if they have done
           | so and I and GP are just not aware of it.
        
             | jeffreyrogers wrote:
             | There are known expired strategies that generated large
             | profits for long periods of time. In some cases the people
             | involved in developing the strategies have directly
             | published things explaining what they did.
        
               | 121789 wrote:
               | Do you have any examples? Would be interested to read
               | sone
        
               | elijaht wrote:
               | Article mentions one (bitcoin arbitrage)
        
               | taliesinb wrote:
               | I'd be fascinated to read these published things if
               | anyone can point to them!
        
               | jeffreyrogers wrote:
               | The books and articles by Ed Thorpe are a good place to
               | start.
        
             | tych0 wrote:
             | And at least in SBF/Alameda's case, they did, and you can
             | google it. IIUC it was basic arbitrage, the hard part was
             | figuring out how to interface with Japan's banks.
             | 
             | Maybe the guy is a bad dude, I don't have a horse in that
             | race. But lots of trading strategies that have worked in
             | the past are well known.
        
             | espadrine wrote:
             | That is part of it. The Sequoia piece[0] describes what
             | kicked off Alameda Research: after a tumultuous hard fork,
             | there used to be a discrepancy between the price of Bitcoin
             | in JPY at a Japanese exchange, and that in a US exchange.
             | So he opened a Japanese account, bought a bitcoin in the US
             | for a low price, and sold it in Japan for a high price.
             | 
             | To be clear, it is described by SBF. I haven't verified
             | historical prices to confirm it. The journalist that wrote
             | this article probably hasn't either.
             | 
             | [0]: https://web.archive.org/web/20221110141739/https://www
             | .sequo...
        
               | peyton wrote:
               | He claims to have been wiring $25m a day from a BoA
               | branch to banks in rural Japan. Total horseshit.
        
           | somuchfordonor wrote:
           | I see a lot of variations on these arbitrage and secrecy
           | themes.
           | 
           | Arbitrage that sticks around for years: those are scams dude.
           | They involve collusion, not intelligence. I understand it
           | might not be illegal collusion, but if either side of the
           | transaction being scammed found out, they would find someone
           | else to work with.
           | 
           | Trust me, I know. I've worked in ad tech.
        
             | adamsmith143 wrote:
             | >Trust me, I know. I've worked in ad tech.
             | 
             | Trust me I know about the inner workings of the Financial
             | world because I did an internship at a Digital Marketing
             | agency and totally didn't get coldly rejected by Jane
             | Street when I applied for their Head of Trading position
             | that I totally deserve because I'm like way smarter than
             | those Harvard Math 55 morons.
             | 
             | Lol this is S tier cope or A tier trolling.
        
             | DebtDeflation wrote:
             | The obvious suspicion, for any company that is both a
             | market maker and doing prop trading, is that they're
             | engaging in some sort of front running. They're probably
             | doing it in a highly obfuscated non-trivial way otherwise
             | they'd get caught quickly, but nevertheless are using their
             | visibility into trillions of dollars worth of order flow to
             | shape their own trading strategy.
        
               | bwi4 wrote:
               | I just assume everyone but retail has order flow data
               | now.
        
             | solveit wrote:
             | I mean, yeah. For arbitrage to stick around for years it
             | requires that the person who first found it be years ahead
             | of the curve, and that's really hard to do just by being
             | smarter than the competition. The vast, vast majority of
             | these will be collusion, or regulatory capture, or literal
             | fraud, or whatever where the competition knows full well
             | what you're doing, but can't/won't jump in for completely
             | unrelated reasons.
             | 
             | But finding lots of different things to arbitrage and
             | consistently being two weeks ahead of the competition _is_
             | something you can do with a dedicated team of smart,
             | experienced people, and this is the business model that
             | Jane Street and others claim to be running.
        
         | deck4rd wrote:
         | Jane Street has been purchasing advertisements with popular
         | math YouTubers[1][2] recently, and it really bothers me. Think
         | how many young, mathematically curious people are watching
         | these channels and getting told that working for Jane Street is
         | a worthwhile use of their time and intelligence.
         | 
         | [1]: Numberphile, e.g.
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rBU9E-ZOZAI
         | 
         | [2]: Stand-up Maths (Matt Parker), e.g.
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGoRJePORHs
        
         | cauthon wrote:
         | I largely agree, but what does dim sum have to do with any of
         | this
        
           | tedunangst wrote:
           | Dude got pranked and had somebody order chicken feet one
           | time, has been living a life of resentment ever since.
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | I hear what you're saying but consider we're going on two
         | entire generations of brilliant people being spent largely on
         | just putting an ad on your phone and computer. The stock market
         | isn't the only waste of intelligence.
        
         | LeifCarrotson wrote:
         | Income is a combination of two main factors:
         | 
         | 1. The value you add to the economic 'stream' flowing around
         | you
         | 
         | 2. The amount you're able to divert out of that and into your
         | own control
         | 
         | These are influenced by a number of secondary factors:
         | 
         | 1. Starting capital to buy tools and resources to increase your
         | ability to contribute
         | 
         | 2. The ability to help others increase their contributions, or
         | less charitably, the ability to take credit for the
         | contributions of others
         | 
         | 3. A willingness or unwillingness to pillage the commons
         | 
         | A humble farmer can work some acres of land, use his mind to
         | know what best to grow, use his hands to make it happen, trust
         | the sun and rain to grow the crops, and sell the harvest for a
         | value greater than the cost to lease the land and buy the seed.
         | With a million-dollar combine, cultivators, spreaders, center-
         | pivot irrigation systems, an all the other features of modern
         | agriculture, he can reap a much greater - more valuable -
         | harvest.
         | 
         | But when a dealership has negotiated exclusive rights over a
         | region, and the salesmen take a non-negotiable commission of
         | sales, does the salesman who connects the farmer to the combine
         | he knows he needs deserve thousands of dollars for closing that
         | sale, just because he's situated himself between the farmer and
         | the manufacturer?
         | 
         | When Wall Street or Jane Street sees that our massive farm
         | industry needs massive numbers of combines - it's a $500B
         | industry - and they're able to siphon off a percent of that
         | industry's output for "providing liquidity" just because their
         | Daddy knows some people, while the farmer's Daddy worked
         | 18-hour-days every harvest season until he died, and the former
         | is a multimillionaire by age 30 while the latter might make
         | $200k during 4 of 5 seasons and lose $300k in a bad year...it
         | just doesn't feel right.
        
           | sidewndr46 wrote:
           | You're glossing over the fact that part 1 of your income
           | equation is irrelevant if you can get the government on your
           | side.
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | In the US, you don't get the government on your side
             | without money and connections.
        
           | danans wrote:
           | > 3. A willingness or unwillingness to pillage the commons
           | 
           | This is an important point. As we've pushed the limits of our
           | natural resources, and woken up to the externalized costs of
           | some of our ways of creating value (i.e. respiratory disease
           | from fossil fuel based energy), this is increasingly going to
           | require us to re-evaluate how we define 'value' added to the
           | economic stream.
           | 
           | > But when a dealership has negotiated exclusive rights over
           | a region, and the salesmen take a non-negotiable commission
           | of sales, does the salesman who connects the farmer to the
           | combine he knows he needs deserve thousands of dollars for
           | closing that sale, just because he's situated himself between
           | the farmer and the manufacturer?
           | 
           | I'm not arguing for any value added by middle-men in your
           | example, but sales people provide a service that many of us
           | "maker" types don't want to deal with, which is to engage
           | "socially" with potential customers. Selling and buying an
           | expensive product or service is often a social act. That
           | social act has a value in some spaces.
        
           | zen21 wrote:
           | > 1. The value* you add to the economic 'stream' flowing
           | around you
           | 
           | *Real or imagined value.
        
         | 22SAS wrote:
         | I work in the industry at a market-maker. Jane Street is a lot
         | more than just these two people. Prop trading firms and some
         | quantitative hedge funds are a lot different than traditional
         | hedge funds. Jane Street is mainly an ETF market maker, and are
         | very good in that. They make their money because some of their
         | core strategies work very well.
         | 
         | Also, JS has low attrition and traders there mostly stay long-
         | term since it's a very trader-first place than some other
         | places like HRT, Jump. Both SBF and Ellison had short tenures
         | at JS.
        
         | skippyboxedhero wrote:
         | SBF tried to throw Ellison under the bus in his latest tweet
         | storm saying that he was shutting the fund down and that her
         | tweets (some of which appear to have been either straight lies
         | or attempts to manipulate the market) weren't approved by him.
         | 
         | I would suspect that both of them get into legal trouble.
         | 
         | Btw, I would say generally: quant investing isn't a scam, Jane
         | Street make most of their money from ETF AP...that isn't
         | complex, most of the high capacity strategies are quite simple
         | (index replication being one, stat arb being another). The more
         | complex HFT strategies tend to be (at their root) about
         | detecting when someone is moving the market: for example, XYZ
         | fund gets new money from investors, they deploy that into
         | stocks, and HFT is about detecting that and calculating whether
         | that is going to move the market (and XYZ fund now deploys
         | various execution algos to stop HFT funds detecting that they
         | have a huge order that will move the market).
         | 
         | There is nothing wrong with this work and, contrary to what
         | people think, it is valuable. If you look at what it cost to
         | invest capital even ten years ago, it was expensive. As in:
         | $10-20 for a single trade. That has gone down to pennies, and
         | created trillions of value. Saying they are all scammers
         | because one guy is a scammer is not really a valid criticism.
        
         | matt_s wrote:
         | Payment for Order Flow was invented by Bernie Madoff. I believe
         | many of the technical and complex Wall St. "products" like that
         | are probably scams if it were laid out in laymans terms. Not
         | products that retail/brokerage account holders use like buying
         | a stock, ETF's or those "20XX Retirement Fund" - I'm talking
         | about the obtuse derivatives and other "products" that Wall
         | Street invents for themselves.
         | 
         | Edit to add: PFOF is the mechanism that Robinhood (and others)
         | make money on - back of house Wall St. pays Robinhood for the
         | order flow.
        
         | Projectiboga wrote:
         | Hedge fund success comes from better tax treatment to very
         | delayed tac for the 'carry over' part. And they get better
         | trading and much higher margin. Yes skill and good ideas can
         | drive better profitz with lower tax. Scams go easier with lower
         | tax too.
        
         | paganel wrote:
         | > Alameda's CEO is Caroline Ellison
         | 
         | Just search for that Ellison young lady online. She's partly
         | responsible for fraud that saw $10 billion of other people's
         | money go into the ether. How come that kid (she looks to be
         | under 30 years of age) was put in charge of a multi-billion
         | dollar company is way, way beyond me.
        
           | chasd00 wrote:
           | I take it her last name isn't _the_ Ellison right? If so,
           | that could be a hint.
        
             | selimthegrim wrote:
             | Megan Ellison produces movies
        
         | jeffreyrogers wrote:
         | Jane Street isn't a hedge fund so I'm not sure why you're
         | lumping in criticism of hedge funds with criticism of Jane
         | Street.
         | 
         | I'm sure some hedge funds have been scams, and probably a
         | decent percentage are frauds in the sense that they have no
         | alpha even before fees (this isn't a crime though). There's not
         | much evidence that the fund you're referring to is a fraud.
         | There are published strategies now that if implemented in the
         | 90s and early 2000s would've earned returns of >50% after
         | transaction costs so their results seem attainable though
         | obviously exceptional.
        
         | danans wrote:
         | > The simple answer seems, because if you believe it to be
         | real, you can be this specific kind of Harvard + New York + "X"
         | kid - and seriously, they are all cut from the same jib,
         | superficially and inside their character, it tarnishes the
         | institution - and you can do this scam and pocket your change
         | and eat dim sum with 20 people on the weekends and have a
         | skinny girlfriend and buy a condo. You can do something pretty
         | meaningless with your life in exchange for the burn out.
         | 
         | > This scam life lets 20 year olds not hear from their horrible
         | parents that burned them out and gave them no meaning.
         | Eventually they turn 30 and hope that a decade went by without
         | a crash, and then life decides for them to sell before the
         | ponzi collapses. Like you have a baby with your skinny
         | girlfriend and you buy the condo and great, you sell, and it
         | happens to be well timed!
         | 
         | This is great screenplay material, like a "Millenial Fight-Club
         | on Wall-Street". You should keep writing!
        
       | dang wrote:
       | All: please don't fulminate*. Perhaps you don't owe embattled
       | billionaires better, but you owe this community better if you're
       | participating in it.
       | 
       | HN is a site for _curious_ conversation, so please wait to feel
       | some curiosity before you comment.
       | 
       | * https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
         | tr33house wrote:
         | thanks dang! Love this
        
         | iudqnolq wrote:
         | I think this merits your tradition of moderating less if YC's
         | interests are implicated.
        
           | dang wrote:
           | Do you mean because there's some connection between FTX and
           | YC? I certainly don't know of any.
           | 
           | Moreover, even if there were, (a) the OP has been on HN's
           | front page for hours and is currently at #4, (b) this story
           | has been heavily discussed on HN, with several major threads
           | in the last few days alone, and (c) asking people not to
           | fulminate doesn't mean they can't make substantive critical
           | points--if anything it helps them do so.
        
             | iudqnolq wrote:
             | The connection would be that popular posts in the
             | discussion are criticizing Silicon Valley investor culture.
             | 
             | > Moreover, even if there were ...
             | 
             | Makes sense. You have a much better view of that than me.
        
               | _jal wrote:
               | Really only criticizing a particular corner of SV
               | investor culture.
               | 
               | The old school, Sand Hill-style tradition of greed,
               | pettiness, backbiting and double-crosses continues
               | unchanged.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | > fulminate
         | 
         | Hearby nominated as word of the day. Excellent.
        
           | Waterluvian wrote:
           | Diablo 2 taught me this. Along with my other favourite word:
           | Gargantuan.
        
           | JadeNB wrote:
           | Since we're talking language, I hope you won't mind my
           | mentioning it's 'hereby'--etymologically literally
           | 'here'+'by'; nothing to do with hearing.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | You are absolutely correct. I missed that on my proofread.
             | Kind of lame since it is such a short post.
             | 
             | The older I get, the more I find myself making spelling
             | mistakes based on word pronunciation. Sometimes I use a
             | totally different word than what I was thinking, which
             | makes absolutely no sense unless you read it aloud. Then
             | you realize what happened. Hopefully it is not early onset
             | dementia. Though it would not be -that- early.
        
         | 7e wrote:
         | Sorry, no. If I can't protest here, where can I protest? Is
         | this supposed to be a safe space for billionaires? It's my
         | community, too. Don't censor me in the name of curiosities.
         | This isn't Iran.
        
           | dang wrote:
           | This is one of those times where it's helpful to know what
           | you're optimizing for. On HN we have the luxury of a single
           | principle that we're optimizing for: intellectual curiosity.
           | (see https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html plus
           | lots of past explanations: https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=
           | all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...)
           | 
           | This makes it easier to answer questions that would otherwise
           | feel like hard tradeoffs. In this case: should people be
           | shouting angrily in a protesty way in HN threads? No--but not
           | because protest is bad or unimportant. It's just incompatible
           | with intellectual curiosity, and since we're optimizing for
           | the latter, it has to win.
           | 
           | When people are protesting or doing battle, they tend to
           | either repeat their most effective phrases (slogans, etc.) or
           | to spontaneously vent their strong emotions (name-calling,
           | etc.). But repetition and name-calling are clearly bad for
           | curiosity. I believe they're even different neurological
           | states: high indignation comes with a level of arousal that
           | rules out the relaxed playfulness that curious conversation
           | depends on.
           | 
           | I hope it's clear that this isn't a judgment about protest or
           | indignation in general--those are as human as anything else
           | and when they're called for they're called for. It's just
           | relative to the particular mandate of this particular site.
           | We're trying to play one game and not another.
           | 
           | Is that censorship? Well, that word has become so stretchy
           | that you can apply it however you feel. But I'd say no, for
           | the same reason that chess isn't crokinole. It isn't
           | censorship to say you don't get to whack your opponent's
           | bishop.
        
             | fantasyman1 wrote:
        
             | throw10920 wrote:
             | You've clearly and concisely stated what I've been
             | struggling to verbalize for several years now: that heated
             | emotional flamewars aren't discouraged/forbidden on HN
             | because emotion is bad (which is a strawman often brought
             | up), but because _HN is not the place for that_ , because
             | we optimize for intellectual curiosity.
             | 
             | Just like programming languages - HN is neither the only
             | forum in existence, nor does it need to serve the needs of
             | every human in existence.
        
               | dang wrote:
               | (It was more concise before I finished editing)
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Trading halt announcement at FTX.US.[1] Announcement says
       | withdrawals still up. But Twitter messages indicate withdrawals
       | are not working.
       | 
       | FTX Japan shut down by order of Japan Financial Services
       | Agency.[2]
       | 
       | FTX.intl processing some withdrawals, according to blockchain.[3]
       | A few lucky people got to exit.
       | 
       | Way too much happening to mention here. Just use Google to search
       | "FTX" and limit search to 1 day. Margin calls all over crypto
       | land. JP Morgan says expect 50% drop across the board in crypto.
       | Around 10 AM PST, somebody just pulled a billion dollars out of
       | Tether. Word of the day: "deleveraging".
       | 
       | [1] https://ftx.us/home
       | 
       | [2] https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/japan-cracks-
       | down-...
       | 
       | [3] https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/crypto-exchange-
       | ft...
        
         | capableweb wrote:
         | > JP Morgan says expect 50% drop across the board in crypto.
         | Around 10 AM PST, somebody just pulled a billion dollars out of
         | Tether.
         | 
         | Meanwhile, aggregate of the cryptocurrency market is up 5.38%
         | over the last day, Tether recovered landing on 0.9999 USD after
         | 4-5 hours of the drop hitting bottom at 0.9818 USD, which was
         | nowhere near previous all-time low Tether has hit previously.
         | 
         | In other words, everyone screams "panic!" while the world
         | quietly moves on.
        
           | fshbbdssbbgdd wrote:
           | FTX let people withdraw 100% of the time until they didn't.
        
           | ww520 wrote:
           | Because CPI looks better than expected. The entire market
           | goes up.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Tether will stay very close to 1.0 until, some day, they
           | can't make a redemption. The number to watch is their "market
           | cap". Note that Tether can make that go up by minting more
           | Tether, but when you see it go down, that usually means
           | someone cashed out.
           | 
           | Stablecoins have only two stable points: 1 and 0.
        
         | ricardou wrote:
         | SBF tweeted[1] not too long ago that FTX.us was safe and was
         | 100% liquid. I suppose that wasn't the case?
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1590709195892195329?t=tQR...
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Submit a withdrawal order and find out.
        
           | ww520 wrote:
           | He doesn't get it. The entire brand is tarnished. Nothing to
           | salvage.
        
           | tootie wrote:
           | If FTX were a real company that Tweet would be enough to be
           | put in handcuffs by the SEC.
        
             | umeshunni wrote:
             | Why doesn't that apply here?
        
             | lotsofpulp wrote:
             | SEC only enforces the law via civil means, so they do not
             | do handcuffs. Handcuffs would be FBI territory.
        
               | NovemberWhiskey wrote:
               | Ehhh, that's misleading. The SEC often files enforcement
               | actions directly with the DOJ and the SEC attorneys are
               | often dual-hatted as SAUSAs.
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | Interesting, I did not know that!
        
             | largepeepee wrote:
             | That's assuming SEC enforce their own rules, they are
             | often... Subjective and reactive.
        
               | WoahNoun wrote:
               | Because the law isn't computer code and there are always
               | grey lines. From Matt Levine:
               | 
               | >But there are also a lot of places in securities law
               | where the rules are a little bit vague and you are
               | operating a little bit on the cutting edge and the best
               | practice is to pick up the phone and call the SEC staff
               | and say "hey what do you think about this?" Sometimes
               | this is fairly formalized: The SEC staff issues "no-
               | action letters" (you send them a letter saying "is it
               | okay if we do this," and they send back a letter saying
               | "if you do that, we probably won't sue you," which is
               | almost as good as them saying "yes") and "telephone
               | interpretations" (you call them up and ask "is it okay if
               | we do this," they say "sure seems fine" or "no that's
               | bad," and then they write down the question and answer so
               | other people with the same question don't have to ask it
               | again). These are places where the rules are unclear, or
               | they are clear but applying them as written would create
               | bad results, so the solution is to ask the SEC "is it
               | okay if we do this" and they just tell you.
               | 
               | >Crypto people want rules! I don't mean that they want to
               | be regulated; I mean, specifically, that they want rules.
               | They want published, objectively specified, open and
               | transparent rules, so that everyone is on a level playing
               | field to do crypto stuff that complies with whatever the
               | rules are. I don't mean that everyone in crypto wants
               | that: Informal regulation favors the well-capitalized and
               | the incumbent, and if you're a big crypto firm on good
               | terms with the SEC (which might be an empty set) you
               | might prefer informality and opacity. I just mean that,
               | philosophically, crypto people should want open
               | transparent rules for permissionless innovation. That is
               | how the crypto system is designed to work, and they
               | should want the securities laws to work the same way. And
               | in fact Coinbase Global Inc., which is maybe the closest
               | thing the US crypto industry has to a big regulated
               | incumbent, has sent the SEC a petition asking it to make
               | rules for crypto securities.
               | 
               | >Temperamentally I do not think the SEC likes this, and I
               | think that Gensler means what he says about "working
               | directly with entrepreneurs," and I think that this is a
               | reasoned choice. Look at how crypto often works in
               | practice. People write smart contracts with immutable
               | public code, and then other people hack them to steal
               | their money. That could be the SEC! If you are the SEC,
               | and crypto people say "please write clear transparent
               | rules so we know what is and isn't allowed," you might
               | hear that as "please write clear transparent rules so
               | that we can game them." This would be a reasonable lesson
               | for the SEC to take from (1) the history of crypto's
               | "code is law" philosophy ending in hacks, (2) the history
               | of crypto firms ignoring the US securities laws, and for
               | that matter (3) the history of traditional finance firms
               | trying to game the SEC's rules. Crypto is a wholly new
               | area for US securities regulation, and if you try to
               | write all the rules from scratch in one go you will get
               | things wrong. And then people will ruthlessly exploit
               | whatever you get wrong.
               | 
               | https://news.bloomberglaw.com/securities-law/matt-
               | levines-mo...
        
       | blastonico wrote:
       | But he said he is sorry
        
       | rkagerer wrote:
       | _FTX extended loans to Alameda using money that customers had
       | deposited on the exchange for trading purposes_
       | 
       | If that's true, Bankman-Fried should go to jail. It wasn't FTX's
       | money to lend.
        
       | colesantiago wrote:
       | All these kids should be chucked in jail and seized of their
       | assets. I don't care how smart they are.
        
         | RadixDLT wrote:
         | all criminals think they are smart because they figure out a
         | way to scam people
        
           | nullc wrote:
           | and frequently failing to get that the reason that other
           | people aren't performing the scam is that they don't want to
           | rip people off and don't want to suffer the consequences--
           | not because they couldn't figure out how.
        
       | SevenNation wrote:
       | > FTX Chief Executive Sam Bankman-Fried told an investor this
       | week that Alameda owes FTX about $10 billion, the person said.
       | FTX extended loans to Alameda using money that customers had
       | deposited on the exchange for trading purposes, a decision that
       | Mr. Bankman-Fried described as a poor judgment call, according to
       | the person.
       | 
       | This raises the question of who else Alameda owes. It's a sign of
       | the times that $10 billion doesn't seem like a lot today, but
       | it's way more than the Long Term Capital Management debacle:
       | 
       | > LTCM was initially successful, with annualized returns (after
       | fees) of around 21% in its first year, 43% in its second year and
       | 41% in its third year. However, in 1998 it lost $4.6 billion in
       | less than four months due to a combination of high leverage and
       | exposure to the 1997 Asian financial crisis and 1998 Russian
       | financial crisis.[4] The master hedge fund, Long-Term Capital
       | Portfolio L.P., collapsed soon thereafter, leading to an
       | agreement on September 23, 1998, among 14 financial institutions
       | for a $3.65 billion recapitalization under the supervision of the
       | Federal Reserve.[1] The fund was liquidated and dissolved in
       | early 2000.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management
       | 
       | When it comes to things like this, the connectivity of the money
       | seems at least as important as the quantity.
        
         | wbl wrote:
         | LTCM was a problem because everyone lent to them since they had
         | lots of government bonds to hock as collateral. So that 4.6
         | billion loss due to impairment of the value of the Russian
         | loans was a huge problem.
         | 
         | By contrast no bank would have touched Alameda with a ten foot
         | pole. Loan to a crypto fund?
        
           | SevenNation wrote:
           | > By contrast no bank would have touched Alameda with a ten
           | foot pole.
           | 
           | Would you believe... a pension fund is involved with FTX?
           | 
           | https://fortune.com/2022/11/10/canadian-teachers-could-
           | have-...
           | 
           | I doubt the full extent of the connections to Alameda (or
           | FTX) have been disclosed.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | This is embezzlement. Mr. Bankman-Fried should be arrested. Now.
        
         | bhaskara2 wrote:
         | Arrested by UN? Genuinely curious
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Richmond, CA police department. Alameda Research HQ is at
           | 5327 Jacuzzi St Ste 1c, Richmond, CA 94804. Since they were
           | apparently the recipient of the money, and he's apparently
           | the principal beneficiary of all this, that's where to start.
           | Mr. Bankman-Fried may not physically be there, but they have
           | jurisdiction.
           | 
           | Once there's an arrest warrant, getting away becomes much
           | more difficult.
        
             | dvt wrote:
             | You're conflating FTX.us (which is regulated) and operates
             | in the USA, and FTX global (where all this chicanery
             | happened) and is located in the Bahamas.
             | 
             | With that said, the SEC is already also investigating any
             | potential links between the two entities. I don't think
             | they'd be stupid enough to cross those wires, but you never
             | know.
        
               | Animats wrote:
               | No, see Molly White's blog and the WSJ parent article.
               | What seems to have happened is that 1) FTX.intl loaned
               | money to Alameda Research in the US in exchange for some
               | token, 2) Alameda Research, which is a crypto trading
               | firm, speculated with that money and lost, 3) the
               | collateral from Alameda to FTX turned out to have little
               | value, and so 4) FTX.intl goes down. Bear in mind that
               | Mr. Bankman-Fried heads all three organizations.
               | 
               | Whether FTX.us is also involved is not yet clear. But it
               | will be. The SEC and CFTC are descending, with hard
               | questions.
               | 
               | Molly White: "This suggests to me that a) they are in a
               | really bad spot, and b) they want as few people sniffing
               | around in their books as possible." Right. That was
               | probably the real goal of a merger with Binance. In
               | bankruptcy, all the dirty laundry comes out. Being
               | acquired by Binance offered hope of keeping any criminal
               | activity hidden. That hope is now gone.
        
               | Emma_Goldman wrote:
               | Thanks - this is the most succinct summary of the
               | financial nexus leading to FTX's spiral into insolvency
               | that I've seen, and squares with my own understanding.
               | What we don't know is how the chain of cause and effect
               | played out over a timeline. How did Alameda lose $10bn?
               | How long has FTX been insolvent? Surely they have been
               | staring down the end of a barrel for a good while?
        
               | dvt wrote:
               | I fully understand the purported chain of events. But,
               | again: the US does not have jurisdiction over FTX. So why
               | would he "get arrested" in California for embezzlement?
               | He didn't break any US laws. The FTX/Alameda deal was
               | likely done via SAFT[1], which is both legal and popular.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/simple-
               | agreement-future...
        
               | cmeacham98 wrote:
               | Does FTX international have any US investors? This would
               | be a theft of their funds too, right?
        
               | nemothekid wrote:
               | It does, but those investors were breaking FTX ToS by
               | using the site (you had to use a VPN to access it).
               | 
               | I'm not sure if the SEC has standing for American
               | investors that pretended to not be American.
        
               | cmeacham98 wrote:
               | Sorry, I mean investors in the company itself, not crypto
               | traders.
        
               | dvt wrote:
               | Sequoia marked their $150M investment into FTX down to $0
               | in a letter to LPs[1].
               | 
               | [1] https://twitter.com/sequoia/status/159052271865049907
               | 3/photo...
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | If years of following crypto has taught me anything, it's
               | the answer to "They couldn't possibly be that stupid,
               | could they?" is _always_ yes.
        
           | reso wrote:
           | SEC often asserts jurisdiction over anything where American
           | domiciled investors have suffered a large loss. That bar will
           | definitely be met here.
        
             | chollida1 wrote:
             | > SEC often asserts jurisdiction over anything where
             | American domiciled investors have suffered a large loss.
             | That bar will definitely be met here
             | 
             | Thankfully for Sam, US investors are banned from FTX and
             | must use FTX.US which so far has not been linked to any of
             | this.
             | 
             | So its going to be very hard to show US investor harm given
             | that they are all banned from using it by US law.
        
             | colinmhayes wrote:
             | The entire point of FTX is that Americans were barred from
             | using it. Now Americans certainly ignored that rule by
             | using vpn's, but I'm not sure that gives the sec
             | jurisdiction. The Americans using the exchange were
             | explicitly breaking the TOS
        
               | willcipriano wrote:
               | Is it legal to defraud people in other countries from the
               | US? I can't imagine that it is.
        
               | colinmhayes wrote:
               | Well he's in the bahamas, not the US.
        
             | criddell wrote:
             | SBF says US customers are not affected by this.
             | 
             | > This was about FTX International. FTX US, the US based
             | exchange that accepts Americans, was not financially
             | impacted by this shitshow.
             | 
             | > It's 100% liquid. Every user could fully withdraw (modulo
             | gas fees etc).
             | 
             | https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1590709195892195329
        
         | returnInfinity wrote:
         | We need some lawyer to confirm if he can be arrested or even
         | prosecuted in the US. Since its a business based out of
         | Bahamas.
        
           | mzs wrote:
           | He, not the company, his criminal actions victimized
           | Americans.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | andirk wrote:
       | How ironic that crypto bros (like me) want a libertarian-yet-
       | democratic user-owned form of currency without government
       | intrusion, and then something like FTX not being overseen by the
       | government tanks all cryptos.
       | 
       | When pretty much any company or industry gets to a certain
       | valuation size, it seems that oversight is an absolute
       | requirement lest things go south quickly, whether intentional or
       | negligent. Government oversight isn't a guarantee of fair play,
       | but it can lessen the risk.
        
       | rdtwo wrote:
       | So they stole 10 billion. It's always a good deal to invest other
       | people's money into risky bets then take all the profit. If you
       | lose you stick them with the losses.
       | 
       | A lot of people should go to jail but probably won't.
        
         | SQueeeeeL wrote:
         | They only _should_ go to jail if the US had that actual
         | ideology. Remember, every decision made by the state is
         | political, these people not getting punished is everything
         | working exactly as intended
        
           | AustinDev wrote:
           | No idea why you're being downvoted. It is a fact that he
           | donated ~40M to politicians this election cycle.[1] If I had
           | to guess the donations were part of a hedge to avoid
           | accountability for this scam he ran.
           | 
           | [1]https://www.opensecrets.org/elections-overview/biggest-
           | donor...
        
       | tspike wrote:
       | http://archive.today/nZNmw
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | leet_thow wrote:
       | Where does did all that money go? Is it part of a zero sum game
       | and in someone else's hands now, did it evaporate, or a
       | combination of the two?
        
       | scrivna wrote:
       | How do you lose $10B in a few years trading? That's truly
       | impressive.
       | 
       | "We lose money on every trade but make it up on volume"
        
         | adrr wrote:
         | I'll bet they lost 90% of that money in the last 7 months. They
         | were probably doing fine during the bull market.
        
         | ketzo wrote:
         | Oversimplification, but: Alameda made a lot of money on paper,
         | kept mostly in incredibly volatile assets. Over the last week,
         | it turned out that those assets were worth very little.
        
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