[HN Gopher] "When we all have pocket telephones" ___________________________________________________________________ "When we all have pocket telephones" Author : mayiplease Score : 302 points Date : 2022-11-14 08:44 UTC (14 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.openculture.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.openculture.com) | azik123 wrote: | [deleted] | nonrandomstring wrote: | Lately, stand-up comedians have been saying they're out of a job, | because the absurdity of reality is escaping parody. Nothing | stays funny for long, because soon enough it's true, and then | banal. | | In a world where all things are absurd, ipso facto nothing is | absurd. | | An interesting question becomes what remains? What are the solid | relations that underpin our humanity? | | Having a boss that tells you what to do? No, long since passed | the point where I have to tell my boss what to do - it's called | being the consultant in a clueless, inverted meritocracy. | | People wanting to take your money? No. The insane conceit of a | "cash-less society" has already created situations where you | cannot physically force someone to take money from you. | | I'm honestly struggling to see what is cast in stone. Even death | and taxes are looking worried. <shakes fist at clouds> | keithalewis wrote: | You can always count on the existence of charlatans in every | society. People who deceive others to get something by lying | have existed since the beginning of recorded history. | oneoff786 wrote: | It's just another wave of some people getting older and | decrying all change as bad. Comedy is thriving. The world is | fine. | | Also, are you complaining that you cannot be mugged as easily? | mbg721 wrote: | I'm not sure if it's related to or orthogonal to everything | actually being absurd, but there has been a decades-long trend | of America/the West taking longstanding elements of culture | less and less seriously, just as a matter of fashion. That | removes a lot of the low-hanging fruit for comedians. | | Decades ago, acts like Monty Python or Allan Sherman were | subversive; now they might still be kind of funny, but | certainly not shocking. When you have generations that grew up | on self-conscious irony, where the way to be cool was not to be | seen caring about anything, it's harder to make comedy stick. | | Politicians and religious figures may not be any more or less | corrupt and out-of-touch than they always were, but now they | can gain enough support to keep their jobs without anyone | actually taking them seriously, and that's where the self- | parody comes in. | | I wouldn't say comedy is failing because the source material is | too ridiculous, I would say it's failing because the audience | is a tough crowd. | germinalphrase wrote: | "I wouldn't say comedy is failing because the source material | is too ridiculous, I would say it's failing because the | audience is a tough crowd" | | We are certainly a more 'educated' crowd living completely | awash in content. | papito wrote: | The race to the bottom, this unwinding of civilization, should | halt and rewind at some point after people realize this is | unsustainable. Hopefully. | | Seems like the nihilists, the "nothing matters" crowd, and the | neo-libertarians (chaos is good) have been having a bad streak | lately. | zitterbewegung wrote: | There was an issue while I was giving a presentation for a | cryptocurrency startup I was a part of and I started telling | jokes. Afterward people asked me if I did stand up and I said | well I do now. | | Absurdity will find a way . | pmontra wrote: | They can turn to satire. There is an endless stream of public | figures unwillingly creating scripts for them. | coldtea wrote: | Yes, but satire is not so effective when everything is | satire-able, and people get along fine with everything turned | so. | | Satire needs a point of sanity and order to stand on (and | refer to as the way things should be, versus the bad version | it mocks). | jpm_sd wrote: | "Satire died when Henry Kissinger won the Nobel Peace Prize" | - Tom Lehrer | Barrin92 wrote: | >Lately, stand-up comedians have been saying they're out of a | job, because the absurdity of reality is escaping parody | | that's not a recent phenomenon. It's a cultural debate that's | been going on for decades, probably the most prominent figure | is David Foster Wallace, the 'New Sincerity' genre as a | response to detached irony and that sort of thing. | jeltz wrote: | I think that you are just getting old. | nonrandomstring wrote: | That is true. And the older I get, the funnier things are. | | I just don't see many young people laughing these days. | otikik wrote: | My dog has no nose. Ask me how does it smell. | ArcMex wrote: | Like a dog? | 867-5309 wrote: | actively it cannot, passively like dogshite | wizardforhire wrote: | Careful, you're treading in ITAR territory. | user_7832 wrote: | ...Does their dog use a radar to smell? | | (Context: there was a recent HN post on radar software | being restricted in the US partly due to ITAR) | easywood wrote: | It smells terrible! | jonathanstrange wrote: | They can just literally quote real-life dialogues instead. Rick | & Morty featured a whole court session that really happened.[1] | | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5bjDkQR57fA | asddubs wrote: | this is a fan-made animation, it wasn't on the show (the | voices are of justin roiland though) | sethammons wrote: | Wow, that is batshit crazy. | creshal wrote: | Germany's highest form of comedy is political cabaret, i.e. | someone quotes a politician verbatim and the audience, | briefly, imagines _they were actually serious_. It 's the | only form of entertainment that keeps getting funnier every | year. | markeibes wrote: | There is Tatortreiniger and Stromberg, both of which are | funnier. | yackback wrote: | Simulacra! | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulacra_and_Simulation | googlryas wrote: | Stand up comedians are saying this while they're...performing | standup? | coldtea wrote: | Yeah, so? | | Your comment is like saying "CEOs saying the current market | is bad for their industry, while ...still running | companies?!" | | It's not like the observation that a trade is being hurt (in | this case, in the kind of disconnect between your job being | pointing out absurdity as something that stands out and | making it funny, and a society that seems to drown and revel | in it) cannot be done by practitioners of said trade while | they practice it... | robertlagrant wrote: | No it's like saying "CEOs saying they're out of a job while | being CEOs". | coldtea wrote: | No, that's the uncharitable, strawman version, that goes | for pedanticness over understanding what it means. | | It's more like a crooner saying they're being put out of | a job after rock n' roll or the Beatlemania, while still | having gigs... | | Yes, they might still get work and sell some records, but | they have a harder time justifying their career, get | smaller audiences, and people see them not that | culturally or socially relevant anymore... | robertlagrant wrote: | It's the opposite of a straw man. The previous post was a | straw man, deliberately changing the analogy as well as | the subject. I restored the analogy. | aikendrum wrote: | Standup comedian is a freelance job. It's perfectly | possible to be unable to perform and still be a comedian, | whether due to lack of material or lack of opportunity. | googlryas wrote: | Yes. But it is not possible to perform while not being | able to perform. | coldtea wrote: | It's still possible to perform while being less able to | get gigs, less able to come up with good jokes, less able | to make those jokes relevant, increasingly feeling the | jokes are superfluous as everything seems to get at | satire-level status by itself, etc - in other words while | "not being able to perform" and being slowly put out of a | job. | | Which was the point (and even made in jest)... | thesuitonym wrote: | Tale as old as time... | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IF2RYhNhBdw | bostik wrote: | I wish I could remember who said this, because it was a | standup saying something ... in an interview. Not performing. | | "It's a sad state of affairs when the most accurate political | commentary is done by comedians, while the country is being | governed by clowns." Such an apt description of the UK. And | while that was said two governments (ie. less than a year) | ago, it's only slightly less accurate now. | jimbokun wrote: | When could that have not been truthfully said? | | Wasn't the court jester the only telling the truth a trope | hundreds of years ago? | bmicraft wrote: | Or a child, in the case of The Emperor's New Clothes | DennisP wrote: | I've seen Jon Stewart say very similar things. | hammock wrote: | No. They say it in interviews, on podcasts, etc. | | Most comedians refuse to play shows on college campuses now | (once a highly lucrative venue for them) because of the | audience | superchroma wrote: | Comedians weren't lining up to do college campuses 20 years | ago either. | hammock wrote: | College campus is never the preferred venue however as I | said, it's a money maker. Similar to corporate gigs. | | The difference is now they're not worth the trouble. | | Seinfeld (not even who you think of as "anti-woke") has a | good take on it you could search for. | https://ew.com/article/2015/06/08/jerry-seinfeld- | politically... | | >"I don't play colleges." Seinfeld says teens and | college-aged kids don't understand what it means to throw | around certain politically-correct terms. "They just want | to use these words: 'That's racist;' 'That's sexist;' | 'That's prejudice,'" he said. "They don't know what the | hell they're talking about" | nonameiguess wrote: | I would at least like to see real quantifiable evidence | that comedy shows on college campuses are less frequent | now than they used to be, as opposed to individual | comedians who are two generations removed from current | college students saying they personally don't feel | welcome there any more. | Melatonic wrote: | Most of the people on a college campus will not even know | who Seinfeld is or identify with his jokes at all - he's | probably older than their parents. I'm sure there are | plenty of younger comedians killing it on campus | atourgates wrote: | I think maybe the teens and college age kids DO | understand what they're talking about, and the Seinfeld | generation doesn't. | | The difference is that many in the Seinfeld generation | (and other generations) think of "Racism" or "Sexism" as | terrible evils that they must never commit. | | While likely the "teens and college-aged kids" he's | complaining about recognize that we all engage in some | level of racism or sexism in our daily internal or | external lives. | | So, if someone accused Seinfeld of racism or sexism, his | reaction might be to defend himself, and say, "No! How | dare you!" | | But if someone told one of the "woke kids" they were | racist or sexist, their reaction would more likely be, | "yeah, probably." | | To Jerry, being "a racist" is synonymous with being a bad | person. The "woke kids" recognize that we're all racist | and sexist and prejudiced to some degree, and (hopefully) | trying to be better about it. | superchroma wrote: | Having talked to trans and bi youth, they're cynical, | well-read, yet simultaneously naive and emotional, use | slurs copiously and ironically, and like any generation, | are politically all over the map, including fashy. I | would not dare to try and paint these people a certain | way. | 867-5309 wrote: | the majority of comedians are residents of said campuses | PuppyTailWags wrote: | Gentle inquiry: Are you a comedian or work in comedy? Can | you state a general region of comedy you're familiar with | (USA Comedy? UK Comedy?) without doxing yourself? | | [I'm not, and therefore have no opinion on this, but I | wanted to know where you're getting your repository of | knowledge of "most comedians" from and how to contextualize | your knowledge in this matter. I'm asking in good faith.] | nonrandomstring wrote: | Since you ask in good faith (hard to tell around these | parts sometimes); | | I'm British, middle aged, and yes I have worked in | entertainments during my career. | | So far I have heard (via media interviews or similar) | John Cleese, Mark Thomas, Eddie Izzard, Stewart Lee, | Frankie Boyle, Charlie Brooker, Chris Morris, Steve | Coogan, Ian Hislop, and Armando Iannucci all say | approximately the same thing in a more-or-less serious | context. | | Of course the "nothing is funny any more" trope is | timeless. It doesn't need saying. However, these comics | are also serious cultural analysts and they're | identifying a genuine sea-change. | PuppyTailWags wrote: | Thanks for providing me context. If it helps to display | the depth of my ignorance about comedy (thus trying to | get more context to the claim) I don't know who any of | those names are. | nonrandomstring wrote: | Sorry, it's a very parochially British viewpoint. Perhaps | where you are there's also the same undercurrent, just | not visible in the mainstream. You may have to dig a | little. | | Cultural malaise often hides beneath the surface. One of | the most frightening accounts of this, on a more | international stage, is what Slavoj Zizek had to say on | it; He said that in the former Yugoslavia, humour kept | ethnic tensions at bay. The civil war was foreshadowed by | a creeping political correctness and people "not finding | things funny anymore". | hammock wrote: | I run a podcast that regularly has comics on as guests. | These comics are typically on the level of filling | theaters across the country. I'm sure the open-mic early- | career comics would be happy to play a college | cainxinth wrote: | No, they say it on podcasts mostly... where many of them they | are making more money than they they ever did at standup. | bluGill wrote: | > Lately, stand-up comedians have been saying they're out of a | job, because the absurdity of reality is escaping parody. | Nothing stays funny for long, because soon enough it's true, | and then banal. | | I've heard them say that as long as I've been alive. I'm sure | 3000 years ago traveling bards were saying the same things. | There is a lot of comedic value from the statement, so of | course any good one will use it from time to time. That doesn't | mean it is true. | asveikau wrote: | Frankly there's parts of life where this resonates more today | than any time I've been alive. | | I've followed US political news since I was a kid. 2016 and | onwards shit started getting really weird. Political satire | from 2015 was no longer relevant by 2017ish not due the | passage of time, but due to the fact that the events that | followed are more ridiculous. | | I imagine this has happened before. For example, my mom's | generation always says 1968 was a crazy year in politics and | culture. I imagine early 60s political satire looked tame by | the late 60s. But I don't think political satire from 2008 | looked ridiculous in 2014, for example. | [deleted] | kjkjadksj wrote: | A good comedian can split your sides with a bit about waiting | in line even. | ekianjo wrote: | Taxes have never been as high as now in recent history. You | dont have to worry about them going away. | throw827474737 wrote: | If that just be true for every tax group we would be in a | much fairer world with less issues... | ThunderSizzle wrote: | No, that is insane. | | If anything, sending arbitrary amounts of money to be spent | on the interest to pay for the debt of corrupt and failed | political ventures is not fair in any regard. | | If taxes actually paid for government services, you might | have a point, but they do not. | pavlov wrote: | In the US, the highest marginal tax rate for individuals was | 70% as recently as 1981. It was 92% in 1952. | | Today it's 37%. So it's really the other way around -- taxes | have never been as low as now in recent history. | ekianjo wrote: | Taking extremes is a strawman. What matters is what most | people pay. | eesmith wrote: | "Average federal tax rates for all households, by | comprehensive household income quintile. 1979 to 2018" at | https://www.taxpolicycenter.org/statistics/historical- | averag... | | "Average Total Federal Tax Rate (percent)" is lower for | every percentile from 1979 to 2018. Year | 1979 2018 Lowest Quintile 9.3 0.0 | Second Quintile 15.0 8.1 Middle Quintile | 19.1 12.8 Fourth Quintile 21.7 16.7 | Highest Quintile 27.1 24.4 All Quintiles | 22.4 19.3 81st - 90th Percentiles 23.6 20.0 | 91st - 95th Percentiles 25.2 21.9 96th - 99th | Percentiles 27.1 24.2 Top 1% | 35.1 30.2 | | So is "Average Individual Income Tax Rate (percent)" | Year 1979 2018 Lowest Quintile | -0.2 -12.0 Second Quintile 4.1 -2.1 | Middle Quintile 7.4 2.2 Fourth Quintile | 10.1 5.9 Highest Quintile 15.9 15.4 | All Quintiles 11.1 9.4 81st - 90th | Percentiles 12.3 9.0 91st - 95th Percentiles | 14.1 11.4 96th - 99th Percentiles 16.8 15.5 | Top 1% 22.6 23.5 | | That makes it really hard to accept your claim that | "Taxes have never been as high as now in recent history." | | Now, sure, there are state taxes, and sales taxes, and | payroll taxes, and all sorts of other taxes. | | Still, where do you get the numbers to back your | statement that after 40+ years of Reaganism and unending | legislative attempts to lower taxes, that the numbers now | are higher than ever before? | ekianjo wrote: | > "Average federal tax rates for all households | | Wait, so you only pay Federal taxes in the US? That's | practical if you only cherry pick a part of the data. | eesmith wrote: | If you read down to the end, I wrote "Now, sure, there | are state taxes, and sales taxes, and payroll taxes, and | all sorts of other taxes." | | I used this to ask for source data for the claim. | ltbarcly3 wrote: | I don't know if taxes are higher now vs some point in | history (probably higher than some, lower than others) | but your implicit claim that 'taxes' == 'US Federal | Income Tax Rate' is so laughable I can't believe you can | make it with a straight face. Not everyone is from the | US, and the people from the US know that there are like 5 | levels of taxation, from local sales tax to property tax | to state income tax, state personal property tax, taxes | relabeled as 'fees' to circumvent state rules about new | tax creation, tariffs, payroll taxes, etc etc etc etc | etc. Then there are taxes like social security, | disability insurance, unemployment insurance, etc. | | Even if all we look at is US federal income taxes, you | don't include them all. Social security is a sum of 12.4% | of your income (and it is regressive!). Medicare is 2.9%. | These have gone up considerably since 1979 (8.1% total in | 1979, 15.3% now) | eesmith wrote: | "so laughable I can't believe you can make it with a | straight face" | | Which is why I didn't. I specifically pointed out that | there are other taxes. | | My point was to get ekianjo to present data to support | their claim. | | Do you have better data? | ltbarcly3 wrote: | This reminds me of the guy who lost his keys. He was | looking by the street light when his friend asked him if | he lost his keys by the light. "No, I lost them over by | my car, but it's too dark to see anything over there." | | Here is a graph from wikipedia that shows that taxes in | the US are in total about as high as they have ever been | (which was 2000). https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/ | commons/7/72/Federal%... You can very clearly see that | while Federal taxes are gradually decreasing, that is | more than made up by Payroll taxes. | eesmith wrote: | It's supposed to remind you of Cunningham's Law: "the | best way to get the right answer on the internet is not | to ask a question; it's to post the wrong answer." | | As nonameiguess already pointed out, your answer disputes | ekianjo's claim, as the peak in your graph was 1999. | ltbarcly3 wrote: | As fun as tribal arguing is, I wasn't taking a side. Did | you read my post at all? I was saying that the | methodology for claiming taxes were lower was so stupid | as to defy even any attempt to ascribe good faith. | | Let me quote my post for your convenience: "I don't know | if taxes are higher now vs some point in history" | eesmith wrote: | I don't know what "tribal arguing" means. | | I did read your side. You believe I'm not arguing in good | faith. I think that's a misinterpretation. I am not | versed in the topic, and I don't pretend to be one. But | the exchange was claim/counter-claim/counter-counter- | claim without any citations, going nowhere. | | While presenting wrong, or at least incomplete numbers, | shifts it to one about presenting the actual numbers and | what they mean, and if it's justified tax increases. | | If that's that's bad faith tribalism, than so be it. But | you'll notice the pointless exchange about "most taxes | EVAR" has stopped. | nonameiguess wrote: | This still directly contradicts the original claim, | though. This graphic shows aggregate tax burden was at | its highest ever in the late 90s and is currently on a | slight downward trend. "About as high" isn't great if you | hate taxes, but it isn't what was being disputed. | PopAlongKid wrote: | >This calculation does not consider the growth of | expenditures | | edit: was meant as reply to a different comment | eesmith wrote: | Where is the data to back the claim "Taxes have never | been as high as now in recent history"? | | My data is half-assed, certainly. Surely you should be | more critical of someone presenting no data, yes? | areyousure wrote: | In case anyone was curious, United States federal tax | receipts were $463 billion in FY1979 and $3.33 trillion | in FY2018, a growth of a factor of ~7.2 = ~5.2%/year. The | population has grown by a factor of ~1.44 = ~0.95%/year | and the effect of inflation has been a factor of ~3.63 = | ~3.36%/year, which multiply together to a factor of ~5.2 | = ~4.33%/year. The receipts grew faster by a factor of | ~1.38 = 0.82%/year. | | This calculation does not consider the growth of | expenditures specifically (as opposed to receipts) and | similarly does not consider the growth of GDP (as opposed | to inflation). | PopAlongKid wrote: | Likewise it makes the false assumption that taxes are | collected in the same year that income is received. | Beginning in the 1980s, many billions of dollars that | were subject to tax ended up in IRAs and 401k retirement | plans where taxes are deferred for many decades in most | cases. Likewise, like kind exchanges of property also | defer huge amounts of taxes. So looking at annual tax | receipts omits a huge amount of taxed-but-deferred | income. | sumtechguy wrote: | That is US federal taxes. Now go grab your check and see | how much you are paying in taxes that are not called that. | Then remember you also pay taxes when you buy things too. | Also remember your must carry insurance (3 of those). Also | in some cases just for owning something. Plus state and | local. My theory is We did not really lower taxes that | much. We just itemized the bill to make it look smaller. | guhidalg wrote: | Ok cool guy, please show your work. That should be a very | easy to verify theory, you have CPI data, historical IRS | tax schedules, state tax schedules, company quarterly | statements, etc... Simply saying that taxes are higher | than ever feeds into right-wing conspiracy theories and | I'm just tired of it. | bena wrote: | Yes, it is tiring when someone posts something with | absolutely no evidence is taken at face value as truth. | But when someone offers evidence to the contrary, it gets | argued to death. "What are taxes?" "Insurance is a type | of tax." "Sales tax counts now." | | None of these people are making the same arguments to the | poster who offered nothing but a claim. Because "of | course it's true, everyone knows it". Well, everyone is | quite capable of being wrong. As those self-same people | will happily tell us when it's time to enact some very | mild preventative measures for the health and safety of | the country that the vast majority of health | professionals recommend. | jean_tta wrote: | It's really tricky to compare marginal rates like that. Has | the definition of taxable income changed over time? How | many people were actually taxed at those marginal rates? | And so on. | bena wrote: | You didn't bother to interrogate the other poster on | these aspects. Why is it only tricky when looking at the | evidence against the claim? | Dracophoenix wrote: | In 1952, there were so many carveouts and exemptions that | few individuals payed the actual 92%. With fastidious | accounting, one's personal tax liability could be zero even | if one qualified for the highest income bracket. This was | the case until 1970 following Congress's invention and | institution of the Alternative Minimum Tax. And while 1981 | wasn't the most friendly year for low income taxes, | increased globalization meant easier opportunities to set | up overseas tax structures for the purpose of reducing | one's overall tax burden (what's commonly referred to as | tax "avoidance"). To make the claim of highest or lowest | tax year for the highest income bracket between 1913 and | today is impossible to make without accounting for | reductions available in the given year. | mantas wrote: | What about tax for a median citizen? | pavlov wrote: | I don't know. It's pretty difficult to compare when the | median citizen's circumstances have also changed so much. | | But in the context of reality's absurdity reaching escape | velocity from parody, it seems fitting that the rich | barely pay taxes anymore and are seeking immortality | cures like Thiel does. Death and taxes are the postmodern | libertarian's greatest enemies. | otikik wrote: | Not for companies or wealthy people. | ekianjo wrote: | Are you either? | otikik wrote: | Irrelevant | ekianjo wrote: | Nope, because most people are not companies nor wealthy | either, so you don't make such an argument on the | extremes. That's what is truly irrelevant. | otikik wrote: | At the time of this writing, 3 Americans own as much as | the bottom half of all the Americans [1] . | | https://inequality.org/facts/wealth-inequality/#richest- | amer... | | I don't know how you qualify that. I would qualify it as | _extreme_. The fact that "most people are not companies" | doesn't matter, what matters is where the wealth is. | coldtea wrote: | > _The insane conceit of a "cash-less society" has already | created situations where you cannot physically force someone to | take money from you._ | | You'd be very very surprised... | hammock wrote: | Yeah isn't that the sinister point of CBDC's... transforming | our world to what you get is doled by daddy govt | dr-detroit wrote: | theandrewbailey wrote: | That comic got one small detail incorrect: in 2022, phones are | rarely in pockets, because most people can't stop using theirs | long enough to put it in a pocket. | IIAOPSW wrote: | Also, they didn't foresee that particular style of mustache | going heavily out of style in a few short years. | danudey wrote: | If my phone is in my pocket I can't watch billionaires destroy | society and the planet in real-time, and then I'll have to | catch up on /r/outoftheloop later that week. | OJFord wrote: | > when the novelty and prestige of cellphones (to say nothing of | their gratingly simple ringtones) | | I don't think I'm just projecting when I say we've pretty much | reverted to that? As far as I can tell it's not 'cool' among | schoolchildren any more either to have some song or joke sound or | whatever. | | The vast majority I hear (i.e. if it rings at all, not just | vibrating!) I would say are 'simple'; it's the 'songs and joke | sounds or whatever' that grate. | layman51 wrote: | This comic really reminds me of the pilot episode of the cartoon | "A Kitty Bobo". It's the same sort of premise where the main | character gets a cell phone before his friends do and he ends up | falling into awkward situations even though he thinks it's very | cool he has a cell phone now. | codetrotter wrote: | Reminds me of one of the pilot episodes of my own life as well | :p When I was in elementary school, my father gave me a cell | phone so me and him could call each other. | | No one else in my class nor in most other classes at school had | a phone. So it was kind of cool. But still for many years the | only thing I could do with the phone, since no one else had | mobile phones yet, was to talk with my father XD It was a blue | and black Siemens phone with an antenna. No games, no GPRS/WAP, | no nothing other than phone call and SMS ability mainly. | huseyinkeles wrote: | what's more interesting to me is at the date of this comic, even | the landline phones were not fully adopted :) | bsza wrote: | Yet it predicted the future more accurately than Blade Runner | (1982) where people still use pay phones in 2019. | seydor wrote: | And rotary phones in the matrix. I mean it s not like people | don't buy record players. The cities of our future will have | payphones out of boredom | Nekhrimah wrote: | But the Matrix was specifically set at the time of "peak | human civilization, 1999". I'm starting to wonder if they | weren't wrong about that. | layer8 wrote: | They may have predicted Y2K differently. :) | nurettin wrote: | I think it might be an aesthetic choice. Pay phones and | perpetual night scenes are more detective-noir than | cellphones. | Melatonic wrote: | Definitely this. Bladerunner is all about being a future | Noir set in Los Angeles where it is perpetually night and | often raining. Surely they knew when filming it or it being | written that LA is extremely sunny and never rains. | eesmith wrote: | Picking nits while skipping how we don't have off-world | colonies or replicants? | | In that case, the comic got things wrong too. | | You'll be hard pressed to find people wearing those clothes | these days, especially the nurse's headgear. Canes and | briefcases are also rare, though I suspect that those rare | few wearing a bowler hat might still use them. | | Also, few people use a bell as their ringtone. | sidewndr46 wrote: | My understanding is in the blade runner universe the off | world colonies aren't somewhere you'd want to live & the | replicants are banned on earth. In other words, two things | to be avoided. | | So we could easily advance past those points without | touching them entirely. | LeonM wrote: | > Also, few people use a bell as their ringtone. | | I have always used a bell ringtone, I like it because I | find it less-invasive then all the other abstract modern | ringtones that only give me alarm clock PTSS. | | Unfortunately, Samsung removed the classing bell ringtone | in their latest models :( | themanmaran wrote: | Relevant XKCD: https://xkcd.com/479/ | dleslie wrote: | Motorola, too. But you can always add ring tones. | eesmith wrote: | Sure. Mine's a bell too. But it's still uncommon, yes? | | Plus, I know a lot of people who only have it on vibrate. | ekianjo wrote: | Blade Runner was never about predicting the future. It was | what could become if technology went in certain ways. Japan | did not end up ruling the west either. | bena wrote: | Blade Runner isn't about the technology per se. It's about | our reactions to the technology. If we create a completely | autonomous artificial life, is it "a person"? Does it | deserve personhood? | | The source book is a little better about the question. The | major difference between Replicants and people is that | people have empathy and Replicants don't. In the book | there's a device that allows people to essentially get into | this weird empathy group mind thing. It's been a hot minute | since I read "Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?" so | forgive the details. | | And that's what the Voight-Kampf device measures. That's | what the questions are designed to test. It's why the first | Replicant flips out on the turtle question. He can't | process the need to flip over the turtle. He can't | empathise with the turtle. | | But he's kind of still a child. Which is a little | understandable, because Replicants have a 3-year lifespan. | They are babies. Toddlers. He flips out because he's | throwing a tantrum. Roy Batty and Pris are closer to the | end of their life, they've developed empathy, as any person | would. That's what gets Deckard. He realizes Replicants are | fully people and what we do to them is wrong. Batty was | never the bad guy. | | But that's all tangential. Blade Runner is set 37 years in | the future. Which is now 3 years in the past. It was trying | to guess when the relevant technology will be available. I | think that's a better way of thinking about it. Science | Fiction isn't trying to predict what will be available in X | years, it's trying to predict in how many years X will be | available. | dfxm12 wrote: | It's like how hacking or computer UIs are depicted in 80s/90s | movies. When the general public doesn't have a good | understanding of a technology or the technology doesn't have a | good foothold in peoples' lives, you can make these crazy | fantastical representations of what (the future of) these | technologies might be. | | I'm sure some people had the imagination when they first saw | radios and how they were removing wires from some devices to | think about what this meant for any device with wires. | _thisdot wrote: | I remember when I was young, my dad came out of a Parent-Teacher | meeting and showed his flip phone which showed 40 missed calls | from work. He worked as a lead programmer in a bank which was | very new to Internet Banking. | | He was clearly annoyed with the calls, but as a kid I was amused | and a little jealous of the fact that in such a short time so | many people wanted to get hold of him. I also remember signing up | for all kind of email newsletters just to get more emails! | | Have to admire the vision of this artist in an age when even land | lines weren't in wide use! | timonoko wrote: | They are now banning cellphones in schools in Nordic countries. | But alas, parents are buying standalone smartwatches for their | precious brats. | | Which reminds me of me in 1950s. I always tried to get seat by | the window where the heat pipes run. My crystal set needed ground | wire and the antenna could be hidden by the curtains. | makeitdouble wrote: | Didn't know about that ban, but doesn't seem to go that well... | | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S02727... | | > In Sweden, we find no impact of mobile phone bans on student | performance and can reject even small-sized gains. | ricardo81 wrote: | I'd bet the majority of phone interactions are Internet based, | though- not people wishing to text/talk but notifications from | apps telling you about the latest inconsequential thing to | promote interaction with them. | 867-5309 wrote: | remember when we used to playback our voicemails on analogue | tape, and check our mail, and interact with strangers, and read | the headlines, all maximum once a day.. | m463 wrote: | I thought voicemails came scrawled on pink sheets of paper | with "While You Were Out" at the top... :) | taylorius wrote: | Now there's a futurologist worth listening to! | darkwater wrote: | I think the joke is still good, because it's still a bad manner | to have your phone ringing and buzzing in many situations (a | concert, at the opera etc). I mean, it's actually an impressive | comic, it imagines a possible future tech and correctly | identifies some real misuses, 70-80 years before it became | reality. | temporallobe wrote: | I was just in an awkward social situation the other day where | someone left their phone on a table at a party and walked away | to do something. Some guy was telling an interesting story and | we were all trying to politely listen, but suddenly that phone | started ringing at full volume. Everyone just kind of ignored | it at first but it kept ringing. I was annoyed and wanted to | reach over and mute/end the call, but, you don't touch other | people's phones in polite society. Eventually it stopped | ringing. Amazingly, everyone just acted like it wasn't there. I | guess we've all become accustomed to such things. | 1123581321 wrote: | In my circles, you would mute the disruptive call with the | side button and tell them, "sorry, your phone was ringing | while you were gone and I muted it." Or just "your phone rang | while you were gone." | wnoise wrote: | When batteries were removable, removing them was the standard | way to make unattended, ringing cell-phones stop. | maxbond wrote: | "A good science fiction story should be able to predict not the | automobile but the traffic jam." | | - Frederick Pohl | | I've heard this misquoted as, "a good sci-fi predicts the | automobile but a great one predicts traffic jams and parking | lots," which I also appreciate. | quickthrower2 wrote: | It is great. I think they got there by extrapolating a home | phone interrupting dinner table conversations, and similar. The | urgency of a ringing phone dominating all else. Like a fire | alarm alerting that this is the most important conversation to | be had! | danudey wrote: | When cell phones were in their infancy, I remember reading an | article, some kind of op-ed, about how they were ruining | society. | | His primary example, his primary complaint, was a situation | where he was at dinner with his wife and his own cell phone | rang. A friend was calling him! On his phone, at dinner! | | How incredibly, unimaginably rude could someone be? To call | someone while he was in a public restaurant, at dinner with his | wife! Can you imagine the audacity? | | I remember thinking what a complete asshole this man must be. A | friend called him while he was at a restaurant, the ringer | went, it embarrassed him at this nice restaurant, and he went | on a tear blaming everyone but himself. | | Meanwhile, we now have people who get on the bus blaring music | from their cell phones or hanging a portable bluetooth speaker | from their backpacks while walking down the street, and people | miss the idea that hey, the problem isn't the technology, it's | that the technology enables inconsiderate, rude people to be | inconsiderate and rude in new and exciting ways, as though boom | boxes didn't exist before bluetooth speakers. | PakG1 wrote: | Seems to me that the Bluetooth speaker is really just the | reincarnation of the boombox. | mrexroad wrote: | To which the Vulcan nerve pinch may still be the solution. | nuggetys wrote: | When we all have telephones embedded into our brains, linked in | to our neural circuitry. When Google advertises to you in your | dreams, daydreams and nightmares. When Huawei gives their | government control over their citizens' thoughts, and feelings | and desires. When Samsung kills millions with a botched over-the- | air firmware upgrade. | alfiedotwtf wrote: | > When Huawei gives their government control over their | citizens' thoughts | | So this I guess would be the ultimate authoritarian end game, | but from my perspective - what's the point. When you've got | _total_ control, what then? Like what 's the next move... | because anything else is just a rounding error to what you've | already got. | trashtester wrote: | > When Google advertises to you in your dreams, daydreams and | nightmares. | | If we let them wire something into our brains, it's a lot | easier to connect it to the happiness centres: | | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3984894/ | | If you can gain networked control of such a device, you could | easily gain complete control of their motivations and disires. | Much more strongly than with any drug. | | Not only would you be able to make these people hand over | everything of value to you (bypassing any needs to advertise), | you could even make them WANT to work for you (and even go to | war for you) with fanatical motivation and effort. | jsrcout wrote: | I'd be stunned if there aren't well-funded groups working on | this as we speak. | bmicraft wrote: | It was deployed 80 years ago and called Panzerschokolade | robocat wrote: | Internet myth. | https://www.skeptic.org.uk/2022/11/melting-the-myth-of- | panze... | trashtester wrote: | It's already deployed to some extent medically. | | As for the dystopian applications, I would not be suprised | if there are some dr Mengele wannabies in some dark corners | of the world experimenting with how to control prison | inmates or similar "disposable" people using such tech. | a_wild_dandan wrote: | > It's already deployed to some extent medically. | | Can you say more about this? | | I wonder what's feasible in the near future. I recall | excitedly watching a Gabe Newell interview on BCI. Having | struggled with major depression and anxiety, his | speculation on using BCI to control sleep/mood/etc seemed | like a mental panacea. Of course, with that level of | control over one's brain, my delight about potential | emotional stabilization feels akin to lionizing computers | as a newfangled bookkeeping tool -- while true, it's | comically myopic. | | Here's a hard turn into wild speculation for ya: The | Great Filter is either 1) endosymbiosis or 2) inventing | BCI. | trashtester wrote: | > Can you say more about this? | | Not much beyond the article I linked above. I've been | aware of such research for a few decades. It appears that | inducing happiness is super easy. But also way more | addictive than the hardest drugs. There term Wirehead was | a term from SciFi (and later Cyperpunk) to describe | someone addicted to such stimulation. | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wirehead_(science_fiction) | | Early use was limited by how to control the mood. Manual | control would be impossible, since anyone with access to | their own happiness would turn it up to max pretty much | at once, with no ability to turn it back down. With it at | max setting, people would simply stop functioning, not | even able to eat, have sex, etc, so unsupervised it would | probably be leathal pretty soon. | | So for early application, one would have to set it at | some constant offset, which probably had some downsides. | (Possibly poor reaction to normal stimuli, I don't | remember.) | | Later on, maybe about 10 years ago, brain research and | computer tech started to allow more sophisticated control | of the level, where it would regulate the happiness-level | in a way similar to how normal/healthy brains do. (The | patiens would be treatment resistent MDS) | | Still, the potential downsides are obviously immense, | potentially making fentanyl, crack and meth seem like | child's play. | | A self regulated version as this would be so deadly that | I think very few knowing its risks would dare use it. But | one _could_ imagine people setting up arrangements where | they grant the power to regulate the level, according to | some principles. | | For instance, let's say you're bored at work, and | procastinating by reading HN, at a level that reduces | your performance. Let's say that, instead of getting hold | of ritalin or microdosing shrooms, you go to a shady lab | that installs one of these things, and controls it | remotely by lowering happiness just a bit when you're not | doing what you "should" and rewards you slightly when | coding (by monitoring your laptop), with additional | rewards when pull requests are approved. | | Now, imagine your manager (or a CPP rep, if you're in | China) finding out, and bribes the lab to add some more | "features" to your profile, including loyalty to her | personally as well as a more aggressive level of rewards | for workplace performance. | mmcdermott wrote: | I recently read Fritz Leiber's "The Creature From Cleveland | Depths" (https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/23164) and it gives off | a very similar vibe. | insane_dreamer wrote: | Amazing considering the scarcity of landlines at that time. | | Just missed it by vibrate-only mode. | usrusr wrote: | That blog post seems weirdly anachronistic: that cartoon might | have predicted 2005 astonishingly well, but in 2022, how often do | we really use our phones for two-way real-time audio? How often | do you actually hear a ringtone begging for immediate attention? | mixmastamyk wrote: | Sales still exists. | jagged-chisel wrote: | Pretty flippin' often. | 867-5309 wrote: | ah the flip phones of 2005.. | godshatter wrote: | > How often do you actually hear a ringtone begging for | immediate attention? | | More than I would like. Apparently there is a problem with my | SSN and my warranty is about to expire. | quickthrower2 wrote: | Quite a bit for 2 way audio. I think people don't choose garish | ringtones (e.g. crazy frog, nokia ringtone) so much now and | they pick up a lot quicker these days. Someone leaving their | phone at a desk and it ringing and ringing seemed more common | back in the day. Might be modern phones don't let that happen. | WaitWaitWha wrote: | > Now, increasingly, cellphones are * _day-to-day life*_. Far | from the literal "pocket telephones" envisioned a century ago, | they've worked their way into nearly every aspect of human | existence, including those Haselden could never have considered. | | It is now _essential_ to be considered part of the society, to | the point that someone who does not want to or cannot carry a | cell phone is sneered at. Anecdotally, I was in the USA and | during a few day lay-over, I wanted to get a hair cut. I was | refused service at a hair cutting chain because I did not have a | cell phone with me (it was in the hotel, did not want spam, would | not get there and back on time, etc.). I offered credit card or | cash, but was rejected, and explicitly told I have to have cell | phone. | | I am not angry, just sad. | | As @nonrandomstring noted, "absurdity of reality is escaping | parody". | Buttons840 wrote: | I've wondered, as wealth inequality grows, perhaps the poorest | among us simple won't have enough money to exchange for goods. | "Sorry, you don't have enough money to make a haircut worth my | time, but if you let me invade your privacy and show you ads | until the end of time, that will be valuable enough to exchange | for a haircut. Read and sign this 200 page contract and I'll go | get a chair ready." | | See also essential software that cannot be purchased, only | rented. Many of the most essential apps today are not paid for | with money, occasionally people talk about how they _want_ to | pay for these apps (in exchange for better customer service, | etc), but no, they don 't want our money, our money is worth | less than the data we give. | dotnet00 wrote: | But the practical necessity of having a smartphone and some | internet access has only resulted in cheaper devices and | services that fit the needs of the poor. It was a pretty big | thing during Covid lockdowns in rural parts of India for | instance, where extremely cheap smartphones and internet | access made it possible for some amount of remote education | to be pursued entirely remotely. | enedil wrote: | I doubt that if somebody cannot afford a haircut, their data | would be that pricey. | Buttons840 wrote: | I'm thinking more on a macro level. | | Someone at Google has said "people want to pay us money to | have better support and be treated like customers instead | of products", and the response was "no, not worth it". On a | macro scale Google was not interested in the money of | individuals. | | Facebook / Meta is one of the richest companies in the | world, and they didn't make their money by taking money | from individuals. | | Politicians aren't swayed by the donations of common | people, but by the donation of wealthy special interest | groups and wealthy individuals. | | The poorest 50% of the United States controls 1.2% of the | wealth. One day they'll look around and collectively ask | "what can we do with our money?", and the answer will be | "buy cheap consumer goods, pay rent, and not much else". | More and more companies don't want the little money they | have, instead they want their attention, their votes, and | their time and labor. Going after their money alone just | isn't worth it. | alistairSH wrote: | Wow, that's a new one for me (only app payments accepted). In | the US, at least. | warner25 wrote: | I haven't encountered that yet, but I'm starting to encounter | mobile apps as required proof of membership for things. My | family got a membership to a children's museum a few weeks | ago, and the expectation is that my wife and I have their app | on our phones to get inside. For our second visit, I brought | our printed receipt, but my wife had to stand there | downloading and installing their app so that we could use our | guest passes. The person at the front desk didn't seem to | have any other way to do it. Similarly, my neighborhood's | community pool and fitness center requires the Brivo Mobile | Pass app to get through the front door (and it's unattended, | so there's nobody who can just look you up in the system and | let you in). | abeppu wrote: | I think the worst part of this is businesses that do this | all have different crappy apps. My gym has their own app | that must be scanned upon entry. But their app is often | slow and unresponsive, and unpredictably logs out. Often at | the entry, a person will be stuck trying to reload the app, | possibly hindered by their phone having switched to the | gym's questionable wifi. Multiple other people will be | stuck behind them, having preemptively loaded the app and | QR code while walking to the door. | | This replaced keychain fobs with a barcode, which had none | of these annoyances. | glowingly wrote: | Better than a gym I turned down: that one required a | fingerprint, then handprint scan. WTF? I didn't buy any | of the excuses for it. | mixmastamyk wrote: | Ticketmaster using monopoly power to force use of app to | attend concerts. Can't even print ticket any longer. | gffrd wrote: | As a: CONCERTGOER | | I want to: USE THE TICKETMASTER(tm) APP FOR MY TICKET, AND | NOT HAVE ANY OTHER WAY TO HAVE IT--DEFINITELY NOT PDF. | | So that: I CAN HAVE THE CONCERT EXPERIENCE OF THE FUTURE(c) | | <Product Owner puts leans back from keyboard and breathes | deeply> | | "That's it. I've just written the perfect product brief." | | <Stands and moves toward CEO's office> | hinkley wrote: | In some ways the smart phone is replacing the car, and I think | I'm okay with that. As long as they don't get as expensive as | cars. | Animats wrote: | What, they wanted you to install some app for a _haircut_? | josefresco wrote: | > I was refused service at a hair cutting chain because I did | not have a cell phone | | I don't believe this. | majormajor wrote: | I wouldn't be shocked. QR code to payment website instead of | on-site card processing hardware. A new small shop may be | trying to run things super minimally. | | I'm skeptical of the "chain" aspect - a chain is more likely | to have hardware and support other methods - but a visitor | may not know what is/isn't a chain anyway. | | _OR_ a particular employ is new or lazy and just didn 't | want to drag out the hardware. ;) | colonelxc wrote: | I actually had a similar problem trying to park in a parking | garage. I talked to some people working there (they were | moving 'event day price' signs around). I asked if there was | a kiosk or any other way to pay (other than by phone). They | said there was not and said I just had to leave and find | street parking. | | This happened when I was trying to park near a place to get | my phone fixed! | CadmiumYellow wrote: | Over the past year all of the paid parking lots in my city | have removed their kiosks and replaced them with QR codes | that open a website with a very unwieldy form. Very | annoying if your phone happens to be dead or broken or you | run out of data or something! | quickthrower2 wrote: | Joined a gym and they me to install an app and did a | walkthrough. They way they asked was as if they were just | asking me to pose for a photo, as if it was barely a request. I | wonder what theyd say if I refused or said I had no phone. | | Also during covid scares the inconvenience of not having SMS | and QR would have been insane. | bloomingeek wrote: | I can remember arguments in the airport because people didn't | like it when you didn't step away to carry on a conversation in | public. Candy Bar phones, anyone? I now use the Samsung Flip and | love how small it fits in my pocket, but I still enjoy the large | unfolded screen. | schwartzworld wrote: | Just needs one more panel where the guy answers the phone only to | hear a recording in Chinese telling them that their student loans | or car insurance need vital attention. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2022-11-14 23:00 UTC)