[HN Gopher] Bright flash is a black hole jet pointing at Earth, ...
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       Bright flash is a black hole jet pointing at Earth, astronomers say
        
       Author : wglb
       Score  : 198 points
       Date   : 2022-12-05 15:33 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (phys.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (phys.org)
        
       | 7373737373 wrote:
       | How wide is this jet here? Does it cover the entire Milky Way?
        
         | moloch-hai wrote:
         | 8.5 billion light years away, vs. ~100,000 light years across.
         | To cover the whole galaxy, from a point source it would need to
         | spread out just 1 part in 100,000. So, probably.
         | 
         | Yes, technically our galaxy is a lot bigger than 100,000 ly,
         | but the part somebody looking out from Andromeda could see
         | isn't.
        
       | mensetmanusman wrote:
       | How many years advance notice would we have before we knew that
       | such an event was our fate? To be eaten by a black hole...
        
       | cuSetanta wrote:
       | Typically Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) with the jets pointed
       | directly at Earth are referred to as Blazars.
       | (https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8300/7754600044_e7635a1c8f.jp...)
       | 
       | But this event seems to be something a little different. Its a
       | lot closer to us than a lot of blazars typically are, and the
       | emission seems to infer a different source than is typically
       | seens for blazars.
       | 
       | Quite an interesting paper, will be cool to see how this might
       | change our understanding of AGN and accretion of matter onto such
       | objects.
        
         | jcims wrote:
         | >referred to as Blazars
         | 
         | For me, legitimately one of the best names for anything ever.
         | First time I heard the word it gave me goosebumps lol.
        
           | mongol wrote:
           | How about blazer? Any reaction to that?
        
           | zikduruqe wrote:
           | I'm partial to Thagomizer.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thagomizer
        
             | unsupp0rted wrote:
             | > The term thagomizer was coined by Gary Larson in jest. In
             | a 1982 The Far Side comic, a group of cavemen are taught by
             | a caveman lecturer that the spikes on a stegosaur's tail
             | were named "after the late Thag Simmons".
        
               | mattkevan wrote:
               | My 5 year old surprised me when she pointed to the spikes
               | on a dinosaur tail and said 'that's the thagomizer'. I
               | knew about the cartoon and that it'd been adopted as the
               | official term, but somehow wasn't expecting it to be
               | taught in primary schools as standard dino anatomy.
        
               | LegitShady wrote:
               | thagomizer is a lot more fun to say than something
               | technical like "distal tail bone spikes" or something
               | similar.
        
           | maxnoe wrote:
           | The name comes from BL Lacertae (the prototypical object) and
           | Quasar (A kind of Active Galactic Nucleus, that name is for
           | quasi stellar, which it really isn't...)
        
         | russellbeattie wrote:
         | So you could say they're... Star Blazars?
         | 
         |  _" We're off to outer space... We're leaving mother Earth...
         | To save, the human race! Our Star Blazers!"_
         | 
         | (OK, so the spelling is off. But since I'm going to be humming
         | this the rest of the day, might as well see if there's some 80s
         | kids out there that will join in with me.)
        
       | nathcd wrote:
       | paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2211.16537.pdf
        
         | gammarator wrote:
         | Here's the paper by the discovery team:
         | https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.16530
        
       | subsubzero wrote:
       | Wonder if this burst could have been seen with the naked eye?
       | They mentioned it was visible on multiple spectrums.
        
       | wumms wrote:
       | > 8.5 billion lights years away--more than halfway across the
       | universe
       | 
       | Why is it halfway across? The universe's diameter is 93 billion
       | ly. Shouldn't 8.5 billion be more like "ten percent across"?
        
         | yayr wrote:
         | universe is a relative word, and typically treats us at being
         | at the center (which in the whole of reality is somewhat
         | unlikely). So it only describes that part of reality observable
         | by us. 8,5 bn ly refers to roughly half distance to all of the
         | observable events in that observable reality at the time these
         | events occured. Since 3D space presumably expands, it would now
         | take much more time for any event in our observable "universe"
         | to reach from one end of the observation limit to the other...
         | 
         | by the way - if you want to go down further that rabbit hole a
         | good place to start is to search for "levels of multiverse"
        
         | anotheraccount9 wrote:
         | (I'm not an astrophysicist). They possibly are referring to the
         | initial age of the universe times the speed of light (13.8
         | billion light-years), as if it was static.
         | 
         | Like you infer, "[...] stuff is everywhere, light goes at c,
         | stars and galaxies move, and the Universe is expanding."
         | 
         | https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2018/02/23/if-t...
        
           | nicksrose7224 wrote:
           | I think it's more likely they got it wrong and are referring
           | to what they assume the size of the universe is. It's hard to
           | grasp why the observable universe is 92 billion ly in
           | diameter
        
       | denton-scratch wrote:
       | > Typically, such bright flashes in the sky are gamma-ray bursts
       | --extreme jets of X-ray emissions that spew from the collapse of
       | massive stars.
       | 
       | Is that right? Surely gamma ray bursts are gamma rays, not
       | X-rays. At least, shouldn't it say "extreme bursts of X-rays _and
       | gamma rays_ [...] "?
        
         | monocasa wrote:
         | GRBs start, as their name suggest, as a burst of gamma rays,
         | but have long tails of emiting of x-rays and other lower energy
         | photons that we're more likely to notice.
        
       | anigbrowl wrote:
       | > From a rough calculation, the flash appeared to give off more
       | light than 1,000 trillion suns
       | 
       | Not a single astronomical photgraph
        
         | BlueTemplar wrote:
         | Overexposure issues...
        
       | freddealmeida wrote:
       | * blackholes are not confirmed science. It is theory and little
       | evidence supports the theory. * Math is not reality, it is a
       | description of reality that should require evidence * this could
       | be many other things including plasma
        
         | cthalupa wrote:
         | Little evidence? We've got pictures of them a this point,
         | friend. While we are not entirely sure on all of the specifics,
         | and some things, such as the singularity, are likely a bit
         | different than our current theories suggest, there's mountains
         | of evidence that support the existence of black holes, or at
         | the very least, something that is very very very very very very
         | very similar to them on the macro level.
        
       | wigster wrote:
       | it's the focused beam of tortured souls escaping the event
       | horizon that worries me.
        
         | ordu wrote:
         | Why do you think they were tortured? Maybe they were ejected
         | for heavy drinking while waiting in a queue to a paradise. We
         | do not know what is inside of a black hole, but funny ways of
         | matter around a black hole seems like a result of drunkinness.
         | How one can miss black hole while falling into it? Try to miss
         | Earth while falling on it. No amount of gin seem to be enough.
         | But they somehow managed to miss a black hole which is much
         | heavier than Earth. They used a tremendous amount of gin to get
         | into the right state of a mind. No wonder they were stripped of
         | their right to a paradise and ejected from a queue.
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | What is the probability of something so far away pointing
       | straight towards Earth? What is the angle in which this
       | phenomenon spreads out into space?
        
       | moloch-hai wrote:
       | The big untouched mystery is how these things collimate the beam
       | so exactly.
       | 
       | In order for all the mass to end up going in exactly one
       | direction, so focused, something would have to get them started
       | off that way. Any sort of thermal phenomenon would need a
       | parabolic reflector/nozzle.
       | 
       | Currently favored is some sort of electromagnetic process that
       | works like a particle accelerator, applying a linear electric
       | field to highly-ionized nuclei over thousands or millions of km.
       | 
       | The "geysers" coming out of Enceladus would likewise need
       | parabolic nozzles to stay collimated, so must be similarly
       | electromagnetic. Unfortunately the notion was first promoted by
       | reviled "electric universe" enthusiasts, so astrophysicists need
       | to file the serial numbers off before they can acknowledge it.
        
       | beedeebeedee wrote:
       | Is this going to annihilate us? I didn't see them mention any
       | safety risks, but it sounds similar to a quasar to me (a non-
       | astronomer), and I think if one of those is pointing at us, we're
       | toast. If they just detected the light, and the matter is going
       | 99.9% of the speed of light, does that mean we're toast tomorrow?
       | Next week? Next year?
        
         | evan_ wrote:
         | If it is going to, would you even want to know?
        
         | Gh0stRAT wrote:
         | Well it seems like we've detected 3 other jets pointed straight
         | at us as the black hole devoured a star so it seems like a very
         | common event on a geological time scale. The fact that we
         | managed to evolve and are still here is a decent sign.
         | 
         | >The team says the black hole's jet may be pointing directly
         | toward Earth, making the signal appear brighter than if the jet
         | were pointing in any other direction. The effect is "Doppler
         | boosting" and is similar to the amped-up sound of a passing
         | siren.
         | 
         | >AT 2022cmc is the fourth Doppler-boosted TDE ever detected and
         | the first such event that has been observed since 2011.
         | 
         | Also, I believe that as the universe's volume expands, the
         | probability and intensity of being in the direct path of any
         | particular such jet goes down. Then again, the frequency of
         | these events may (or may not) be increasing at a rate that more
         | than counteracts that. (I'm just speculating here, I'm not a
         | cosmologist!)
        
           | dotnet00 wrote:
           | Most of the threat from relativistic jets is from within ones
           | own galaxy (and at worst, its local group). So, yes as the
           | universe expands the risk from the latter should decrease,
           | the risk from the former wouldn't really change due to
           | expansion. The risk probably does still come down, but more
           | due to age as larger clouds of gas get used up and spread
           | around by supernovae, preventing enough mass from gathering
           | for the things that produce relativistic jets.
           | 
           | One possible answer to the Fermi paradox is that we're early
           | because the universe may have only recently gotten calm
           | enough for life to survive long enough to develop
           | intelligence.
        
         | peeters wrote:
         | As far as I understand it, gravitational lensing would affect
         | the trajectory of particles travelling different speeds
         | differently. So it would seem entirely possible that the matter
         | wouldn't even be pointed at us. That assumes that either is
         | being significantly affected by gravity of course.
         | 
         | Also bear in mind that though the light of 1000 trillion suns
         | has been pointed at us, it's not like we have a second sun in
         | the sky right now. It's really, really far away.
        
         | czbond wrote:
         | I'd believe the small percent of a percent of the sky we're in
         | for it to be pointing at us is still a large swath of trillons
         | of miles.
         | 
         | And 850k years from now - our galaxy would have moved from it's
         | location anyways. Some other galaxy will probably waltz into
         | it.
        
           | snarf21 wrote:
           | Very interesting. Does this imply (assuming these jets have
           | been occurring for a _very very_ long time) that we 'd be
           | able to see the consequences of _other_ jets in other
           | galaxies /planets? Said another way, have we ever observed
           | something that could actually have been "... some other
           | galaxy waltzing into it"?
        
             | Gh0stRAT wrote:
             | One of Earth's past mass extinction events is hypothesized
             | to have maybe been caused by a gamma ray burst[0]. I don't
             | know enough to speculate whether it could have been caused
             | by one of these jets instead.
             | 
             | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Ordovician_mass_exti
             | nctio...
        
         | adgjlsfhk1 wrote:
         | It's 8 billion light years away. We'll be fine.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | 317070 wrote:
           | If the matter is trailing at 99.99% the speed of light as
           | reported, it gives us 800k years.
        
             | cthalupa wrote:
             | The matter was traveling at 99.99% the speed of light in
             | the jet. While we generally consider space to be a
             | friction-less vacuum for something like a spaceship, that
             | isn't true for things like a stream of particles traveling
             | across the universe. Even if the Earth stood still in this
             | exact position for another 800,000 years (which it won't,
             | since our galaxy is not stationary, nor is the solar
             | system, and there is of course the expansion of space as
             | well), very little of the physical matter from this jet
             | would hit us.
        
             | zdyn5 wrote:
             | Wouldn't it give us way more than that? If it were
             | traveling at 100% the speed of light it would take 8
             | billion years right?
        
               | sp332 wrote:
               | The light has _already_ taken 8 billion years to get
               | here. The particles have also been traveling for that
               | time and are only 800,000 years away now.
        
           | insanitybit wrote:
           | For now!
        
       | ck2 wrote:
       | Hmm. If an alien race a million years older than humans
       | eventually figured out how to make synthetic wormholes on demand
       | for FTL when no other method existed, can we theorize what the
       | endpoint might look like?
       | 
       | (this is a "fun" but not kidding question)
        
         | dotnet00 wrote:
         | One idea is that they'd be one-directional, with a black hole
         | on one end and a white hole on the other end. But considering
         | that we haven't really seen any evidence of white holes
         | existing, such a thing probably isn't possible.
         | 
         | Other than that, a simple traversable wormhole entrance/exit
         | would just look like a sphere where you see the other side sort
         | of 'mapped' onto the surface.
        
           | ck2 wrote:
           | Oh wow, were the Hollywood versions in Contact and
           | Interstellar vaguely based on that science?
           | 
           | Will have to watch them again this weekend and double-check.
        
             | dotnet00 wrote:
             | I wouldn't necessarily say they're based on science since I
             | don't really think there's enough concrete science on
             | wormholes to say what they would look like precisely
             | (although Interstellar did put some effort into visual
             | accuracy: https://cerncourier.com/a/building-gargantua/).
             | 
             | My reasoning is that just like a circle is formed on a 2d
             | surface when 'bridging' two parts of it (the pencil through
             | folded paper analogy), a bridge on a 3d surface should have
             | a sphere as the hole (or maybe since it's technically a
             | space-time bridge, it should be a hypersphere, which would
             | still appear as a sphere to us 3d observers). Then, to not
             | tear apart anything going through, it'd need to conserve
             | 'symmetry' (so something that goes in comes out unchanged),
             | so the light would go through unchanged, making it just
             | appear like the view of the other side is mapped to the
             | surface.
        
         | theGnuMe wrote:
         | Imagine this is the end of a wormhole and it fries any planet
         | at the exit.
        
           | hiccuphippo wrote:
           | The Vogons did tell us about the hyperspace expressway in
           | advance but did we listen?
        
         | ionwake wrote:
         | (I can give you a "short" but not short answer to this)
        
       | waltbosz wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old-fashioned_(short_story)
       | 
       | An Asimov story about stranded astro-miners who throw rocks into
       | a black hole to generate x-rays with the hopes that they will be
       | spotted by observers back on Earth. The throws are timed to spell
       | out S-O-S.
        
         | Mistletoe wrote:
         | Sorry for a stupid question but I've seen it repeated on the
         | internet many times that we can never observe anything actually
         | falling into a black hole because it takes forever to actually
         | fall in due to time lengthening the closer it gets. Is that
         | true? It has never made sense to me, since we see effects of
         | black holes all the time.
        
           | lisper wrote:
           | > Is that true?
           | 
           | Probably. We don't know for sure because quantum effects
           | might change things, and we don't yet have a theory of
           | quantum gravity. The event horizon of a black hole is pretty
           | much the one place in the universe where the effects of
           | quantum gravity are most likely to manifest themselves, so
           | one should hedge one's bets when making predictions in their
           | vicinity.
           | 
           | > It has never made sense to me, since we see effects of
           | black holes all the time.
           | 
           | Falling into a black hole is different from falling into a
           | regular gravitational field. All kinds of weird shit happens
           | before you reach the event horizon. Among other things, tidal
           | forces rip you apart, heat you up, and turn you into a
           | plasma. That plasma emits radiation, and that is what you see
           | (because all that happens outside the event horizon).
        
             | bmitc wrote:
             | It all depends on the size of the black hole. HUGE black
             | holes have weak tidal forces.
        
               | lisper wrote:
               | True, but the hole under discussion here is not one of
               | those. (And it's important to note that big holes have
               | weak tidal forces _at the event horizon_. They still
               | probably have pretty significant tides close to the
               | singularity, but God only knows what actually goes on in
               | there).
        
           | waltbosz wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spaghettification
           | 
           | I think spaghettification is my favorite word, maybe it's
           | tied with defenestrate.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | So an observer near the black hole would see an eternally
           | accumulating number of objects falling towards it, but
           | crawling to a halt near the event horizon?
        
             | cthalupa wrote:
             | It depends on the sensitivity of the instruments. For human
             | eyes looking out the window of a spaceship, they would be
             | redshifted away to invisibility pretty quickly.
        
             | MattPalmer1086 wrote:
             | And the light getting increasingly red shifted until you
             | can't really see it anymore.
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | I see. Another way to think of "redshift" is "lower
               | energy", so these things will disappear from sight
               | another way.
        
           | cthalupa wrote:
           | You'll never directly see them fall in, but you will see them
           | "disappear" pretty quickly as the light is redshifted past
           | the point of visibility, etc.
           | 
           | The more sensitive whatever tool you are using to detect the
           | photons is, the longer you can watch, and something that
           | approaches infinite sensitivity would be able to see you for
           | a time period that also approaches infinity, but outside of
           | the realm of the theoretical, anything falling in to the
           | black hole will wink out of existence in a fairly large hurry
           | once it reaches the event horizon.
           | 
           | But things like accretion disks and these relativistic jets
           | are happening outside of the event horizon, so they're not
           | subject to these same concerns to begin with. For example,
           | the accretion disk of Sagittarius A*, the supermassive black
           | hole at the center of our galaxy, has an accretion disk that
           | is roughly 1/100th of a light year, or about 25 times the
           | size of our solar system. The event horizon, however, is only
           | about 16 million miles - or a roughly 1/6th the distance
           | between the sun and the earth. (These numbers are based on
           | our current best estimates - and those estimates have changed
           | frequently over the past 20 years as we get better data, but
           | the general scale should be quite accurate)
        
             | szundi wrote:
             | AFAIK you never see it falling in as it just slows and
             | turns into more red, but slowly.
        
           | dotancohen wrote:
           | The object falling in has its time dilated to forever - it
           | will never actually experience the "getting there". Outside
           | observers, on the other hand, will observe the "getting
           | there" just as if the black hole were any other large mass.
           | 
           | Or do I have that backwards...
        
             | WrtCdEvrydy wrote:
             | Yes, the outside observers can see the item falling into
             | the blackhole while the object experiences more and more
             | time dilation.
             | 
             | If you were falling into a wormhole, you would die of old
             | age before getting there while outside observers would see
             | you fall in quickly.
        
               | OkayPhysicist wrote:
               | Like the comment you were responding to, you have that
               | backward.
        
               | alonmower wrote:
               | You would be ripped apart instantaneously while everyone
               | outside of the black hole would see the light you emit as
               | you're crossing the event horizon frozen in time. It's an
               | optical effect, nothing magical is happening to you as
               | you fall into the enormous mass
        
             | OkayPhysicist wrote:
             | You have that backwards. The person falling into the black
             | hole falls straight towards the singularity as if it was
             | any other massive object, straight through the event
             | horizon without noticing anything change.
             | 
             | The far away observer sees the falling one infinitesimally
             | approach the event horizon, but never cross.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | >The person falling into the black hole falls straight
               | towards
               | 
               | I guess you're assuming zero velocity by that person. But
               | if there is velocity, wouldn't the fall not be straight
               | towards but in an ever shrinking/decaying orbit
               | trajectory?
        
               | he0001 wrote:
               | This "never cross" statement bends my mind. Doesn't it
               | also mean that if we are observers, observing a black
               | hole, we should not see an actual blackness as we should
               | only see things that are slowly falling into the hole?
               | Regardless of how much time that has been spent from the
               | beginning of time? I mean the event horizon is the
               | boundary but that never happen?
        
               | cthalupa wrote:
               | The light is increasingly redshifted, so for practical
               | purposes it disappears from view quite quickly.
               | 
               | The more sensitive the instrument, the longer you can
               | observe, and this doesn't really have a limit - as
               | sensitivity approaches infinity, so does the length of
               | time you could continue to observe the object.
               | 
               | But for practical purposes, we would not see a black hole
               | as some sort of weird psuedo-magnet with all sorts of
               | junk stuck to the edge of the event horizon.
        
               | OkayPhysicist wrote:
               | Because of time dilation, light emitted (or reflected off
               | of) objects very near the event horizon end up getting
               | spaced out over (almost infinite) amounts of time.
               | 
               | For example, lets say you dropped a beacon that flashes
               | every second into a black hole. As it approached the
               | event horizon, you'd see the flashes only happen every 2
               | seconds, 4 seconds, minute, hour, decade, etc. Meanwhile,
               | the length of those flashes are getting longer at the
               | same rate, while producing the same number of photons, so
               | the light gets dimmer and dimmer.
        
               | he0001 wrote:
               | Another factor, that other things are falling into the
               | whole, wouldn't that mean that the event horizon,
               | relatively, gets closer to an earlier object? Meaning an
               | object may reach the event horizon faster than it would
               | originally or is that constant relatively where the
               | object exist in its descend?
        
             | birdiesanders wrote:
             | Backwards
        
           | cryptonector wrote:
           | It is and it isn't true. Light from the falling object will
           | be red-shifted, and eventually you won't be able to see it,
           | but if you could see extremely long wave-length light, and if
           | you could observe it for a _really_ long time, you 'd see
           | light from that object asymptotically approach the universe's
           | size as its wavelength, and you'd never see the object go
           | over. But obviously it's not possible for humans to observe
           | extremely long wavelength light, so you'd just see the object
           | disappear when light from it red-shifts beyond the range you
           | can observe.
           | 
           | The object, meanwhile, does fall in from its perspective.
        
           | rirze wrote:
           | There's a difference between objects falling into the black
           | hole versus material accreting on the black hole's horizon
           | that can generate high energy beams.
        
           | plonk wrote:
           | https://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/physics/Relativity/BlackHoles.
           | ..
           | 
           | > So if you, watching from a safe distance, attempt to
           | witness my fall into the hole, you'll see me fall more and
           | more slowly as the light delay increases. You'll never see me
           | actually get to the event horizon. My watch, to you, will
           | tick more and more slowly, but will never reach the time that
           | I see as I fall into the black hole. Notice that this is
           | really an optical effect caused by the paths of the light
           | rays.
           | 
           | > This is also true for the dying star itself. If you attempt
           | to witness the black hole's formation, you'll see the star
           | collapse more and more slowly, never precisely reaching the
           | Schwarzschild radius.
           | 
           | I don't understand everything but it seems that the falling
           | guy tends towards the event horizon, getting slower and
           | slower relative to the observer, and never reaching it from
           | the observer's point of view?
           | 
           | Edit: this applies when observing something falling into the
           | black hole. It doesn't apply to faraway objects that deviate
           | because of the black hole's gravity well, so we can observe
           | most of a black hole's effects.
        
             | Mistletoe wrote:
             | Yes they say this but how do we see the jet in the original
             | linked article haha?
        
               | wholinator2 wrote:
               | The types of highly visible bright lights coming from
               | black holes are not actually coming from inside the black
               | hole. The gravitational potential of the well is so
               | incredibly high that objects falling through it gain
               | immense amounts of energy, thus giving of very high
               | energy radiation, i.e. x-rays.
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | Think about the tidal forces that a piece of matter is
               | experiencing near a black hole, but still far away from
               | the even horizon. They deform the matter very violently,
               | hearing it so much that its normal heat radiation goes to
               | the X-ray wavelengths.
        
               | Mistletoe wrote:
               | Ah I see. Thank you everyone that responded!
        
               | plonk wrote:
               | No source now, but I think I've read that the jet is
               | matter that's far enough from the black hole to escape
               | it, accelerated during its rotation.
               | 
               | The wiki page isn't very clear about how the jet is
               | created:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tidal_disruption_event
        
               | dcminter wrote:
               | As I understand it (based entirely on pop sci books and
               | articles) they're purely from the accretion disk i.e.
               | nothing inside the event horizon. I don't think the exact
               | mechanism is agreed upon beyond that.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | rssoconnor wrote:
           | FWIW, I asked my physicist friend this question one time. He
           | said while an outside observer would never see a "massless
           | test particle" enter the event horizon due to time dilation
           | effects, real particles have mass and their own gravitational
           | field, and thus due to complicated stuff they can eventually
           | been seen passing through or otherwise somehow merging with
           | the event horizon.
        
           | ars wrote:
           | You are correct, and it means black holes can never actually
           | form, because it would take an infinite amount of time for
           | them to form.
           | 
           | > since we see effects of black holes all the time.
           | 
           | We do not, we see super massive objects, or black holes in
           | progress, but no actual black holes.
        
           | at_a_remove wrote:
           | Once a black hole -- a collapsar -- forms, and you want to
           | toss something into it, it is best to imagine _two_
           | timelines.
           | 
           | From the point of view of the object being hurled into the
           | black hole, things proceed more or less normally: you
           | accelerate as you fall, but light behind you becomes
           | curiously more blue and brighter. You eventually reach the
           | event horizon, which ought to be called EH-sub-0, because it
           | is only the _first_ event horizon. It might be helpful to
           | think of a black hole 's interior as infinitely layered event
           | horizons, event horizons "all the way down." You'd note a
           | restriction of movement -- "up" (away from the black hole) is
           | no longer a possibility; every direction is some variation of
           | down, perhaps down and to the left, down and east, whatever,
           | but always _down_. Eventually tidal forces take over
           | depending on the size of the thing -- you might notice them
           | before or after the outmost event horizon, and
           | "spaghettification" occurs even as you are pummeled with
           | X-rays and gamma radiation from behind (millennia of
           | impacting photons blueshifted and jammed into a smaller
           | timeline).
           | 
           | From the outside, however, your astronaut or thrown Cylume
           | lightstick becomes more and more red, and dim, slowly
           | approaching that event horizon but you'll never see it get
           | there as it now emits infrared and not much of that. You
           | switch on your FLIR and you can see it, for a while, but it
           | grows dimmer and eventually disappears off of that.
           | Eventually it emits very weak radio waves, and you lose track
           | of the thing, but even if you spent a million years building
           | longer and longer antennae, you'd never see it hit.
           | 
           | The effects you see of a black hole are 1) gravitational
           | lensing (photons bending in their trajectory around the
           | exterior of a black hole, just above the outermost event
           | horizon), 2) the formation of an accretion disc (as matter
           | swirls into it, growing hot from friction and compression),
           | 3) absolute blackness if you managed to get a "transit" of
           | something particularly large across a light path, 4) other
           | knock-on gravitational effects, like disturbed orbits.
        
           | bmitc wrote:
           | The visible effects we see for black holes are things from
           | well outside the event horizon, where black holes behave as
           | just another gravitational object. Things, i.e. gas, can
           | rotate and swirl around them. Since the black hole can be
           | rotating and the gas being slung around violently, it can
           | emit radiation. If I understand correctly, the jets for
           | supermassive black holes can extend out to sizes comparative
           | to the containing galaxy's diameter.
           | 
           | Here's a nice simulation showing this in action (article in
           | description): https://youtu.be/g1aW8TDOm4A
           | 
           | The YouTube channel Kurzgesagt also has some pretty good
           | illustrations and animations.
        
           | monocasa wrote:
           | The effects aren't limited to just falling in. Once you pass
           | the event horizon it's game over, but remarkably little
           | matter from, say a star falling in, will actually reach the
           | event horizon. For one example, a lot of particles get swept
           | up in the magnetic maelstrom surrounding spinning black holes
           | and are shot away from the poles at near the speed of light.
           | That's what we're seeing here.
        
       | freddealmeida wrote:
       | maybe? could be? possibly? Highly doubtful and impossible to
       | verify
        
       | habibur wrote:
       | > 8.5 billion lights years away--more than halfway across the
       | universe
       | 
       | That was the first number I was looking for.
       | 
       | Not a threat to earth. It's not even in our galaxy.
        
         | JoeAltmaier wrote:
         | I don't know, its pretty bright. Maybe this periodic flash-fry
         | is what created life on earth!
        
       | geeky4qwerty wrote:
       | "From a rough calculation, the flash appeared to give off more
       | light than 1,000 trillion suns."
       | 
       | Can any space geeks chime in on this one?
       | 
       | Does this mean the emission of light from the sun at a single
       | point in time x 10^15? My brain pretty much divides by zero even
       | trying to comprehend such a large number and I'm just trying to
       | grasp the relationship of the emitted light to our sun.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | > My brain pretty much divides by zero even trying to
         | comprehend such a large number
         | 
         | I've tried using this line in the wrong company that wasn't
         | math oriented, and it fell flat.
         | 
         | It's also amusing your use of this phrase, as in a lot of the
         | astronomy circles I've seen/read, there's a joke that black
         | holes are where god divided by zero. So it felt very apropos to
         | me in this context too.
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | That would be assuming the same amount of light was emitted in
         | all directions. But we have no indication that that was the
         | case.
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | I roughly translate this to 10^15 x more photons per square
         | meter of surface area at some standard distance.
        
         | yourapostasy wrote:
         | Whoah, this goes way beyond Sarah Connor: "Anybody not wearing
         | two million sunblock is gonna have a real bad day".
        
         | cuSetanta wrote:
         | As others have said, its not quite the same as the Sun's
         | output, but it is still an incredible amount of light.
         | 
         | I have studied blazars fairly extensively in the past and you
         | are right that the brain cant really fathom the 'real world'
         | appearance of these things. I resort to just thinking in terms
         | of number of photons and avoid thinking about the rest, as it
         | tends to result in a lot of existential dread and drinking.
        
       | swamp40 wrote:
       | > jet speed is 99.99% the speed of light
       | 
       | Does that mean a wave of particles is coming at us right behind
       | the light flash?
        
         | cthalupa wrote:
         | No. The light from these jets travels many many magnitudes
         | farther than the actual material. You wouldn't want to be
         | within a few million light years of it but these particles have
         | mass and will be slowed by all of the matter they interact with
         | in space. The vacuum of space still has roughly an atom per
         | cubic centimeter, which really adds up over the distances we're
         | talking about here.
         | 
         | Edit: Left out a fairly important word. few million light
         | years*
        
         | Renevith wrote:
         | That was my first thought too. But even at that speed, we have
         | quite a bit of time. Since the particles are 0.01% slower than
         | the light that just reached us, the particles would arrive in:
         | 8,500,000,000 light years away * 0.01% speed of light = 850,000
         | years. Humanity will be unrecognizable by that point.
        
           | grayfaced wrote:
           | Wouldn't the galatic rotation mean the earth will be
           | somewhere far away when the jet travels that far?
        
             | suzzer99 wrote:
             | Yes, that and both galaxies careening through space on
             | different trajectories.
        
             | garblegarble wrote:
             | That got me wondering how far we'd move - if my maths is
             | correct then in 850,000 years time our solar system will
             | have travelled 652 light years around the galactic core
             | (230 km/sec * 850,000 years)!
        
               | d0mine wrote:
               | How wide is the beam? (given how far it started) Light-
               | years?
               | 
               | Is it still dangerous at this point? (If its energy is
               | spread over a giant area radius billions light-years)
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | mynegation wrote:
             | On the flip side that also means that we might flow into a
             | burst travelling through space without any warning (?)
        
           | JW_00000 wrote:
           | When doing such a calculation, would you need to take into
           | account the fact that space is expanding while the particles
           | are traveling? (And will have expanded a bit more in the time
           | it takes for the particles to reach us than in the time it
           | took for the light to reach us.)
        
           | swamp40 wrote:
           | A couple more 9's changes that drastically though. Maybe
           | someone just truncated at 2 decimal places?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | 22SAS wrote:
           | If it is 8.5 billion light years away and was traveling at
           | the speed of light (100% instead of 99.99%) wouldn't it take
           | 8.5 billion light years? Wonder how you got to the 850K years
           | figure.
        
             | Victerius wrote:
             | By his logic, an object moving at 0% of the speed of light
             | would arrive instantly.
        
               | alanbernstein wrote:
               | An object moving 0% _slower_ than the speed of light
               | would arrive instantly _after the light arrives_ , yes.
        
             | monocasa wrote:
             | They're saying the difference between the time the light
             | gets here and the particles 'only' going 99.9% of C is 850K
             | years back of the napkin.
        
             | umvi wrote:
             | > wouldn't it take 8.5 billion [years]?
             | 
             | Yes, if you are assuming the jet was emitted right now. But
             | the jet was emitted roughly 8.5 billion years ago. The
             | light in front of the jet has already reached us. If the
             | jet were also travelling at the speed of light we'd be dead
             | right now. But luckily it's travelling slower than light so
             | that's why we have 850k more years before the jet reaches
             | us.
        
               | 22SAS wrote:
               | > If the jet were also travelling at the speed of light
               | we'd be dead right now
               | 
               | Does that mean, once the jet reaches us 850K years from
               | now, we can say that will be a mass extinction event, or
               | even the end of life on Earth? Compared to a billion
               | years from now when the Sun's luminosity increases.
        
               | cthalupa wrote:
               | No. The matter in these jets isn't like a spaceship where
               | the matter is all connected together. It's largely
               | individual plasma particles - over billions of light
               | years they'll run into other particles, be deflected,
               | slow down, etc. There IS friction in space.
               | 
               | Matter decay will have significant impact on the mass of
               | matter ejected by the jet, as well, particularly over
               | billions of years. As it decays into a lower energy
               | state, mass will be turned into photons, and less and
               | less of it will be left to impact.
               | 
               | Plus, we won't be in the same spot in 850k years anyway.
               | The solar system is moving around the galaxy, and the
               | galaxy is moving around the universe, and space in the
               | universe is expanding.
        
               | 22SAS wrote:
               | Interesting, thank you very much.
        
               | darawk wrote:
               | Would we actually? If so, doesn't this imply that the
               | probability of earth just having been destroyed by one of
               | these things was roughly a coin flip, and therefore gives
               | us a (much higher) rough estimate of how likely such an
               | event might be?
        
         | twawaaay wrote:
         | Not necessarily. Particles will all be charged plasma and it is
         | possible that those will be deflected by magnetic fields. But I
         | am not astrophysicist so you would want to check on it.
         | 
         | Also, in contrast with the flash where all light has the same
         | speed, the particles will have different speed so it will all
         | be smeared in time (read -- much smaller in amplitude and hard
         | to detect) and arriving much later than the flash.
         | 
         | Then from the point of view of observer on Earth surface,
         | charged particles will not be coming exactly from the source
         | but at a bit of an angle (due to magnetic fields present).
         | Again, I have no knowledge about the magnitude of the effect
         | and I also suspect that the people who know this shit have some
         | way to account for it...
        
       | baobabKoodaa wrote:
       | When they say "pointing straight toward Earth", is that
       | hyperbole? Or are they actually saying that by pure random
       | chance, out of all the possible directions this thing could have
       | taken, it just happens to be pointed directly at earth?
        
         | PKop wrote:
         | But there are a lot of black holes yes? Surely some of them
         | will point towards us.
        
           | Cpoll wrote:
           | Depends on the width of the beam. If it's as wide as a laser
           | pointer, the odds of it hitting anything are infinitesimal.
           | When something's a light year away, changing the bearing of
           | the laser by a degree will cause you to miss it by hundreds
           | of thousands of kilometers. Or to rephrase, to hit something
           | a light year away you'll have to get the heading accurate to
           | many decimal points. (Exercise left to the reader, it's high
           | school trigonometry, but I'm rather lazy).
        
             | PKop wrote:
             | It's also a statistical question that involves how many
             | black holes there are. Do you have a strong sense of that
             | number, because I sure don't?
             | 
             | Quick search says there are a very large amount of black
             | holes but maybe not so many super-massive that produce
             | these beams of light so eh, who knows.
        
         | cogwheel wrote:
         | The beam is surely wider than the planet so there's a large
         | range of "straight toward"
        
           | dan_mctree wrote:
           | It should be at least broad enough to compensate for some
           | movement of the earth, considering it was observed for at
           | least some days
        
           | cuSetanta wrote:
           | Yeah this is pretty much the case.
           | 
           | The important thing is that the light from the beam is
           | sufficicently bright that it is not possible to resolve the
           | surrounding region of space to see more detail.
        
           | baobabKoodaa wrote:
           | If I point a flashlight directly at you, that's different
           | from me pointing the flashlight at the person standing next
           | to you. Even though in both cases the beam will light you up.
        
             | dotnet00 wrote:
             | But that becomes effectively the same thing if the
             | flashlight is being pointed in your direction from 10km
             | away and it's reasonable to just describe it as pointing at
             | you. Coming from 8 billion ly away, the beam is probably
             | wide enough that it would appear to be pointed at the Milky
             | Way in general.
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | It's 8 billion light years away, even if the beam was _very_
         | focused by the time it reached us it is probably tens of
         | thousands of lightyears wide.
        
           | ricardo81 wrote:
           | I suppose the metric expansion of space over this scale would
           | also diffuse the light
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | I tried to find a calculator (you can find ones for "laser
             | over meters") that would support supernovas over lightyears
             | and came up short.
        
       | umarniz wrote:
       | Want to point out how incredibly good the website phys.org is.
       | 
       | I was first introduced to it over 15 years ago and remember
       | visiting it using dial-up internet from Pakistan as a teenager to
       | learn about the latest developments in physics.
       | 
       | Gem of a resource that is still going strong.
        
       | ourmandave wrote:
       | Kurzgesagt just did a vid on black holes and how close they have
       | to be before we're f'd.
       | 
       |  _The Most Extreme Explosion in the Universe_
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q4DF3j4saCE
        
       | jschveibinz wrote:
       | "Pointing directly toward earth" ...hmmm. In what possible frame
       | of reference could anything be pointed directly toward earth for
       | longer than a moment in space and time? We are traveling through
       | space and time in multiple frames of reference at a tremendous
       | rate. This confuses me.
        
         | ddevault wrote:
         | We are incredibly far away from objects like this, so the
         | apparent movement is negligible.
        
           | peheje wrote:
           | haven't you got this backwards? the further the distance the
           | smaller movement an object would need to not be in the
           | trajectory?
        
       | winReInstall wrote:
       | If you could controll the direction of a black hole, you could
       | use it to "disinfect" the neighbourhood or send messages.
        
         | Victerius wrote:
         | It's 8.5 billion light years away. It would be like aiming a
         | water hose at Mars from low Earth orbit.
        
         | backtoyoujim wrote:
         | so given this tool we would either murder or flirt
         | 
         | can there be anything so human ?
        
       | pigtailgirl wrote:
       | https://telescope.live/sites/default/files/styles/photo_w102...
       | 
       | very bright ^^
       | 
       | https://telescope.live/blog/transient-flash-identified-dista...
        
       | dustingetz wrote:
       | ChatGPT has made contact
        
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