[HN Gopher] Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads gu...
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       Caroline Ellison, CEO of Alameda Research, pleads guilty to seven
       offences
        
       Author : Animatronio
       Score  : 79 points
       Date   : 2022-12-23 21:45 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | It's interesting to see this play out because much of it was
       | predictable. Personally, I was amused at the people complaining
       | that the SBF case was taking too long. If however you know
       | something about how Federal prosecutions work, you'd know (and I
       | made many comments about this) that the case was moving
       | incredibly quickly.
       | 
       | As soon as SBF was indicted, it confirmed that the Feds had 1 or
       | more cooperating witnesses and many correctly theorized Caroline
       | Ellison was one of them. The other is less well-known but this
       | basically maps out the prosecution's case. Ellison will testify
       | to SBF's knowledge of the scheme. The other will testify to SBF
       | instructing him to build the backdoor. Case closed.
       | 
       | This is an open and shut case. SBF getting out on bail was a
       | surprise and it shows the double standard to how the US uses its
       | civil asset forfeiture power. Specifically, that doesn't seem to
       | be used against SBF, his parents and his associates in a way that
       | it has with far less wealthy people. I want people to realize
       | that. For the record, I consider civil asset forfeiture to be
       | unconstitutional and a travesty of justice but it is the law of
       | the land.
       | 
       | I'm going to be really interested to see what kind of deal the
       | Feds cut for two witnesses. Could it be as light as no jail time?
       | I have doubts but it's not impossible. It'll probably be a much
       | lighter sentence, probably less than 10 years, maybe less than 5.
        
       | 1vuio0pswjnm7 wrote:
       | Strange. By today's 24-hour news cycle standard, this is arguably
       | "old news". These documents have been available for at least 24h.
       | I know because I submitted them to HN yesterday.
       | 
       | Ellison's Plea Agreement
       | 
       | https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/r478tCuj...
       | 
       | CTFC v SBF, Ellison and Wang Amended Complaint
       | 
       | https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rRCRC2hQ...
       | 
       | Wang's Plea Agreement
       | 
       | https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rWKaiz60...
        
       | MarcelOlsz wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
         | ttoinou wrote:
         | Why did you trust them in the first place ?
        
           | MarcelOlsz wrote:
           | I never trusted any of these cunts. I didn't give them my
           | money because I'm not a fucking idiot. How dare you try to
           | assume I wrote my post out of personal anger. How dare you
           | victim blame me in the face of a robber barons. You are an
           | awful person.
        
             | Nicksil wrote:
             | >I never trusted any of these cunts. I didn't give them my
             | money because I'm not a fucking idiot. How dare you try to
             | assume I wrote my post out of personal anger. How dare you
             | victim blame me in the face of a robber barons. You are an
             | awful person.
             | 
             | You're trying way too hard.
        
           | danrocks wrote:
           | How could he _not_ trust them in the first place? C-level
           | executives are on the record, before Congress, with the
           | biggest and brightest politicians around, saying everything
           | should be regulated, including themselves. They 're actively
           | projecting that they acknowledge the general sleaze
           | surrounding the crypto industry and they are not a part of
           | it.
           | 
           | Hindsight is 20/20, but can you look at Binance, crypto.com,
           | and other 'trusted' crypto exchanges _now_ and say  "how can
           | you trust them"?
           | 
           | SBF was hanging out with people who lent him their
           | credibility and actively asking to be regulated - it doesn't
           | get much better than that for the average person.
        
             | serf wrote:
             | >Hindsight is 20/20, but can you look at Binance,
             | crypto.com, and other 'trusted' crypto exchanges now and
             | say "how can you trust them"?
             | 
             | after this history of crypto exchanges thus-far?
             | absolutely.
        
               | danrocks wrote:
               | Well, when this particular exchange is operating legally
               | in the US and its CEO is respected enough to have a sit
               | at the table with Maxine Waters, the hardest-ass
               | congressperson when it comes to the financial sector,
               | it's much harder than some guy yelling about his exchange
               | on TikTok or Instagram?
        
               | MarcelOlsz wrote:
               | She is the opposite of "hardest-ass" as she is sitting
               | down with these robbers and they're all greasing each
               | others palms. This shit doesn't magically happen.
        
               | braingenious wrote:
               | Considering the fact that we now know that Maxine Waters
               | got bamboozled by a 20something crypto bro, has your
               | opinion of her being a competent regulator of the finance
               | industry changed at all?
               | 
               | It's fascinating when people think of politicians like
               | sports teams and not public employees with a mandate of
               | competence.
        
             | braingenious wrote:
             | > How could he not trust them in the first place?
             | 
             | Because they were running a crypto exchange, a sort of
             | business that very frequently ends rapidly and in a way
             | that is not good for regular users.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | jazzyjackson wrote:
           | I don't see an implication that this person is personally
           | fucked by FTX/Alameda, just mad that fraudsters are rolling
           | in dough (til they get caught anyway, as they say, high risk
           | high reward)
        
             | MarcelOlsz wrote:
             | Yes. Exactly. Every day I wake up and I have to hear about
             | some next cunt I've never heard of before. "Richest before
             | 30!". Some other trillionaire. Some other little kid son of
             | ivy's who ran away with another billion. It's always some
             | fucking scam. Every fucking day. What is the point anymore?
             | I'm a regular cunt who wants to do regular cunt things but
             | I have to wake up to news that Google is planning a 30B
             | "tech park" local to me.
             | 
             | Just kill me please.
        
               | neilv wrote:
               | That one word doesn't translate well across countries.
               | And in the US will come across as misogyny, which will
               | affect how people interpret everything else you said.
        
               | baeaz wrote:
               | That's not a problem as long as people exist outside the
               | US.
        
               | neilv wrote:
               | "Two peoples, divided by a common language."
        
               | owlglass wrote:
               | While watching these people use their privilege to steal
               | so much money is frustrating, I don't see how some Ivey
               | League twenty-something's wrongdoing prevents you from
               | doing regular things.
        
       | klipt wrote:
       | I wonder if something similar will eventually happen to the
       | Tether people? To my understanding they're printing money (USDT)
       | which they claim is backed 1:1 by USD but really isn't. These
       | USDTs can then be spent to pump up various other crypto assets.
       | Seems a very shady business.
        
         | ummonk wrote:
         | My conspiracy theory is that USDT is actually well backed, but
         | the Tether people intentionally make it look shady so they can
         | buy the dip and arbitrage against panic selling. Some
         | volatility would actually increase their ability to profit.
        
           | roland35 wrote:
           | That's crazy. I'm thinking Hanlon's razor applies here, there
           | is absolutely no evidence that tether is legit.
        
             | 323 wrote:
             | Where are all the Tether holders complaining that they
             | can't convert it into dollars?
        
         | potatototoo99 wrote:
         | They don't claim it's backed 1:1 by USD. They claim it's backed
         | by more or less liquid alternatives:
         | https://tether.to/en/transparency/#reports
        
           | rcxdude wrote:
           | Now they do (previously they claimed 1:1 with actual dollars
           | in a bank account, but failed to demonstrate that). But that
           | 80% "Commercial paper" is suspicious as hell, considering it
           | would make up more than half the total market for said paper
           | (so 'liquid' is already questionable), and no-one else in the
           | market has heard of them.
        
           | richbell wrote:
           | > They don't claim it's backed 1:1 by USD. They claim it's
           | backed by more or less liquid alternatives
           | 
           | They used to, for several years, until they were pressured to
           | prove it and could not (27:05).
           | 
           | https://youtu.be/-whuXHSL1Pg
           | 
           | They were also investigated and found guilty by the New York
           | Attorney General, and were subsequently banned from activity
           | in New York and fined 18.5M.
           | 
           | > Bitfinex and Tether recklessly and unlawfully covered-up
           | massive financial losses to keep their scheme going and
           | protect their bottom lines," said Attorney General James.
           | "Tether's claims that its virtual currency was fully backed
           | by U.S. dollars at all times was a lie.
           | 
           | https://ag.ny.gov/press-release/2021/attorney-general-
           | james-...
        
         | 323 wrote:
         | > _These USDTs can then be spent to pump up various other
         | crypto assets_
         | 
         | So why don't they do that now? Why are the crypto prices at two
         | years low?
         | 
         | This is the age old ZeroHedge conspiracy recycled - if the
         | stock market goes up, it's because of WOPRs (their name for HFT
         | algos) and the Fed plunge-protection-team, but if it goes down
         | it's because of healthy market forces which are calling the
         | Feds bluff.
        
         | pearjuice wrote:
         | If anything, the pressure on Sam might result in him turning on
         | Tether/Binance/other-frauds with key insider evidence for
         | reduced sentencing. The guy's a pvp gamer at heart so probably
         | min-maxing with his lawyers what he can do as a criminal
         | informant.
        
           | quanticle wrote:
           | He's a PVP gamer who can't even get out of the bottom-most
           | tier of League of Legends. [1] I very much doubt he's trying
           | to game plan anything of this kind of sophistication.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.ft.com/content/23ab2258-ce03-4fbb-a9b2-7d9ec
           | 6e3d...
        
         | danrocks wrote:
         | Didn't Tether get ordered the other day to disclaim all of its
         | reserves? What happened to that? I find it incredible they keep
         | surviving attempts to reveal exactly how the sausage is made in
         | their reserves.
         | 
         | https://www.yahoo.com/video/stablecoin-issuer-tether-ordered...
        
           | maria2 wrote:
           | It seems like they were ordered to give the plaintiffs the
           | documents, but they weren't ordered to publicly release them.
           | NYAG also looked into them last year. They were fined but it
           | doesn't seem like anything else came of it.
           | 
           | > The New York Attorney General's probe into Tether's
           | reserves concluded in February 2021 with an $18.5 million
           | settlement.
           | 
           | I don't hold any tether, and I wouldn't recommend it to
           | others. But the common opinion that Tether is insolvent might
           | be wrong. Tether, as a stable business, is a money printing
           | machine. I'm not sure it'd be worth risking the business and
           | jail time to pump shitcoins.
        
             | rcxdude wrote:
             | If Tether is solvent and above board then it's being run
             | utterly incompetently. absolutely everything they do
             | regarding their reserves makes them look shady as hell (the
             | most likely situation where they are solvent is that they
             | are solvent with dirty money, which would explain why they
             | are so unwilling to demonstrate exactly where the money is
             | and where it came from).
        
             | richbell wrote:
             | > I don't hold any tether, and I wouldn't recommend it to
             | others. But the common opinion that Tether is insolvent
             | might be wrong. Tether, as a stable business, is a money
             | printing machine. I'm not sure it'd be worth risking the
             | business and jail time to pump shitcoins
             | 
             | I encourage you to watch Coffeezilla's video about Tether.
             | There's lots of shady stuff going on behind the scenes,
             | like them borrowing $383M from Bitfinex and showing that to
             | an auditor to prove they were solvent (~20:00).
             | 
             | https://youtu.be/-whuXHSL1Pg
        
             | PeterisP wrote:
             | Well, FTX, as a stable business, should be a money printing
             | machine - but that definitely wasn't an obstacle for its
             | leaders to risk the business and jail time to speculate
             | with customers' funds.
        
               | maria2 wrote:
               | FTX might have been a money-printing machine, but the
               | situation with Alameda is a lot less clear. Being a
               | market maker is hard. If you make a mistake, you can lose
               | a lot of money. It's probably easier to be a crook.
        
               | HWR_14 wrote:
               | If Tether put all its money into low-yield short term US
               | treasuries, the founders could pay every employee $10MM
               | USD a year and still be paying themselves $1 billion USD
               | a year.
               | 
               | That is a phenomenal amount of risk free income. That's
               | putting the founders somewhere high, probably first 50
               | names high, on the Forbes 400 list.
               | 
               | That seems foolish to risk to commit crimes.
        
             | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
             | The founder posted publicly about printing tether to pump
             | Bitcoin I'm the earlier days of Tether (after previously
             | being convicted of fraud) - and then tried to delete the
             | posts - but couldn't because of Internet Archive...
        
       | andersonmvd wrote:
       | The 7 offences are not detailed individually in the news, or I
       | couldn't find it.
        
         | danrocks wrote:
         | They are here:
         | https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23495436-crypto-coop...
        
         | mikeyouse wrote:
         | https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23495436-crypto-coop...
        
         | berkle4455 wrote:
         | Two counts of wire fraud, two counts of conspiracy to commit
         | wire fraud, conspiracy to commit commodities fraud, conspiracy
         | to commit securities fraud and conspiracy to commit money
         | laundering.
         | 
         | Maximum sentence of 110 years.
        
           | cma wrote:
           | Howey test classifying some tokens as securities others as
           | commodities I guess?
        
           | baeaz wrote:
           | I have always wondered why "x" and "conspiracy to commit x"
           | are different counts.
        
             | throw_m239339 wrote:
             | > I have always wondered why "x" and "conspiracy to commit
             | x" are different counts.
             | 
             | Conspiracy requires at least 2 people.
        
           | TrackerFF wrote:
           | Anyone here know what the (summed) minimum sentencing is for
           | all those crimes?
        
           | listenallyall wrote:
           | This outcome came about so quickly because she turned state's
           | evidence, in return for what is likely to be an extreme
           | reduction from that maximum (not that it was really a
           | possibility, as a first offender)
        
             | jjtheblunt wrote:
             | it's an enormous first offense, though does that matter?
        
               | Hamuko wrote:
               | Did Madoff have a criminal record before he got hit with
               | 150 years?
        
             | astrange wrote:
             | Seems like it might be a bad move to enter a conspiracy
             | with someone obsessed with game theory.
        
             | dclusin wrote:
             | She's still probably not getting out in less than 5 years
        
             | berkle4455 wrote:
             | I dunno she's comfortable with risk and doesn't bother with
             | pesky things like stop losses.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Barrin92 wrote:
       | >In the absence of a comprehensive regulatory framework over
       | digital assets, the CFTC will use all of its existing power and
       | authority to protect all market participants, while ensuring the
       | integrity of commodity markets
       | 
       | Honestly it's good to see that the responsible American
       | institutions still seem to be reasonably quick and effective when
       | it comes to prosecuting the relevant people here, but can we
       | finally get that comprehensive regulatory framework in question?
       | 
       | Legislators need to stop being asleep at the wheel. Be it the US
       | or the EU or someone else finally needs to take the air out of
       | this entire ecosystem that enables these fraudulent schemes in
       | the first place.
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23495436-crypto-coop...
        
       | nemo44x wrote:
       | What a Queen. Massively connected and after destroying the life
       | of thousands of working class chumps she gets to walk free after
       | getting her wrist slap.
        
       | samwillis wrote:
       | Extensive previous discussion:
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34088840
        
       | sillysaurusx wrote:
       | She's the queen of wallstreetbets. I think she'll hold the yolo
       | record for a long time.
       | 
       | I wish we knew what the fateful market play was that sunk her
       | ship. She mentioned she's not a fan of stop losses, so I wonder
       | if she went to bed with an open market position and woke up to
       | negative three billion. Also I wonder if the entity on the other
       | side of that trade realized they were making someone insolvent.
       | 
       | It'll be interesting to see how long she's sentenced for.
       | 
       | EDIT: Actually, is it possible to see who profited from her
       | trading activity? FTX is in the hands of authorities now, and all
       | the trading took place on it. I wonder if they could claw back
       | some of those lost billions.
        
         | potatototoo99 wrote:
         | There probably wasn't any single one trade.
        
         | baobabKoodaa wrote:
         | > She mentioned she's not a fan of stop losses
         | 
         | At the volume they were trading, stop losses are no longer
         | practical. The market is not infinitely deep.
        
           | Lapsa wrote:
           | I've never understood how stop losses are supposed to help.
           | Traders read heaps of news, do God knows what technical
           | analysis yet simple "moves bit too much in wrong direction"
           | is supposed to be an acceptable exit strategy.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | I think you are assuming way too much here. She's not the queen
         | of anything, she's a fraudster that will spend a long time in
         | jail and that has probably much less understanding of the
         | mechanisms involved than you give her credit for. If she did
         | she wouldn't be in the position she's in. The last thing we
         | really need is for people to start lionizing her.
        
           | ffssffss wrote:
           | Queen of WSB and yolo record are not a good thing... that is
           | a subreddit that mocks bad risk management by ironically
           | celebrating it. They know exactly what she is over there.
        
             | SpeedilyDamage wrote:
             | Hah maybe at one point was that sub ironic, it's been
             | unironic for years now.
        
           | qbasic_forever wrote:
           | That ship has long sailed. She's coming out of this with a
           | slap on the wrist because she ratted on SBF. She's a hero of
           | the alt right because her Tumblr is full of creepy eugenics
           | shit. She has a pervo following for being a poly sex fiend
           | (allegedly). She's going to write a book, sell her movie
           | rights, etc. and live a life of luxury as the woman that took
           | down SBF and FTX (who will be remembered as the real
           | fraudster).
        
             | dclusin wrote:
             | Years in prison is not a slap on the wrist.
        
               | qbasic_forever wrote:
               | She hasn't been sentenced yet. We don't know what the
               | terms of her deal are but they almost certainly involve
               | leniency in the sentencing. Her lawyer likely tried to
               | make a case that the big bad evil SBF sexually
               | manipulated her into committing fraud and actually she's
               | the real victim here.
        
               | dclusin wrote:
               | Leniency is a relative term. It's relative to the size of
               | the harm, number of victims, her centrality to it, etc.
               | If there's a for sure bet to be made here, it's that she
               | will be spending many years in prison for this. Just not
               | her whole life. That's what leniency here means.
        
               | howinteresting wrote:
               | I think she'll probably do 36 months or so. Not nothing
               | but also not life-destroying.
        
             | oldgradstudent wrote:
             | She's not anyone's hero.
             | 
             | She's a freak in a freak show. The praise is ironic.
        
           | antonvs wrote:
           | "Queen of wallstreetbets" is (presumably) not a compliment,
           | it's a reference to the idiots on the subreddit of that name,
           | notorious for their irrational support of companies like
           | Gamestop, and completely disconnected from any actual
           | understanding of market behavior.
        
           | sillysaurusx wrote:
           | But she's highly regarded!
           | 
           | It's all just a little joke. Check out
           | https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets. Also
           | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jg85H26wyLk
           | 
           | She certainly earned her sentence, and I have no sympathy for
           | her. But isn't it hard not to be at least a little impressed
           | with the sheer scale of her losses? Getting in the record
           | books for "most money lost by a single individual" is a hard
           | thing to do in general.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | > It's all just a little joke.
             | 
             | We don't share the same concept of humor then.
        
             | santoshalper wrote:
             | Don't let the killjoy bring you down. I got it and it was
             | funny.
        
             | jjulius wrote:
             | >It's all just a little joke.
             | 
             | Super funny to every single person who lost money to the
             | person "getting in the record books for 'most money lost by
             | a single individual'".
        
               | pretendscholar wrote:
               | Yes it is quite funny when people get surprised that a
               | get rich scheme isn't real.
        
               | Hamuko wrote:
               | Well, if you're going to roll the dice with an
               | unregulated securities market because you want massive
               | profits, it helps to have a sense of humour about it.
        
             | actionablefiber wrote:
             | Bill Hwang has that number beat.
        
               | lmohseni wrote:
               | Masayoshi Son has entered the chat.
        
         | pearjuice wrote:
         | She's not going to get sentenced to any time whatsoever. She
         | cut a deal (full co-operation, forfeiture of assets and some
         | fines) and is voluntarily pleading guilty to honor the deal.
        
         | fredgrott wrote:
         | Gee I wonder if Arrow Capital thought it wise to stop hedging
         | via shorting; did Alameda Research fall into the exact same
         | trap?
         | 
         | The only sure bet is yes they did!
        
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       (page generated 2022-12-23 23:00 UTC)