[HN Gopher] US companies are producing heat pumps that work belo...
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       US companies are producing heat pumps that work below -20F
        
       Author : jbrins1
       Score  : 212 points
       Date   : 2022-12-28 13:19 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (electrek.co)
 (TXT) w3m dump (electrek.co)
        
       | sneezesForAttn wrote:
       | We just installed a Solstice Inverter Extreme[0] before the the
       | storm hit. The low in our area was -24F. The heat pump is
       | advertised to work at -22F, but was still heating the house at
       | the low. Efficiency and capacity are reduced with as the
       | temperature drops. We have backup resistive heat in the buffer
       | tank of our hydronic setup. It is early but we are happy with the
       | performance during this first cold snap.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.spacepak.com/solstice-inverter-extreme
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | What's the rough cost?
         | 
         | (obviously there will be lots of variation based on the
         | complexity of the install, but the ballpark is still
         | interesting)
        
           | sneezesForAttn wrote:
           | About $10k for the heat pump. NPV is positive for 10 years
           | compared to a propane boiler. This doesn't include
           | installation, but it is doable for the advanced DIY
           | homeowner.
           | 
           | The entire system cost $25k + installation. Not cheap, but in
           | our climate we heat 7+ months and it is worth it. The
           | extended federal tax credits help, but our state does not do
           | anything in terms of rebates.
        
       | DIVx0 wrote:
       | I recently bought some land in Minnesota on a lake. I really want
       | to do a 'no compromise' off-grid setup. Water and septic wont be
       | a problem but I am worried about the heat.
       | 
       | I plan to install a huge solar array with a battery house. I'd
       | like to run everything off electric, including the heat.
       | 
       | I am in early days of thinking about this and I have time to
       | plan. Anyone have insights on electric heat in ultra cold
       | environments? I assume I can simply scale up a solar array and
       | battery capacity to meet needs (dead of winter, with spans of
       | cloudy days). The only fossil fuels I want on property are for
       | equipment and if I must have it, a backup NG generator.
       | 
       | I don't know anyone who runs heat pumps in MN, I'm sure there are
       | some but most folks are burning NG or wood pellets. Electric heat
       | seems relegated to secondary needs, like base boards or heated
       | floors.
       | 
       | *edit cloudy
        
         | jupp0r wrote:
         | If you do some back-of-the-envelope math on this, you'll notice
         | that this will be cost prohibitive to implement using
         | batteries.
        
         | mrinterweb wrote:
         | I have a Mitsubishi Hyper Heat, and it operates to -13f, which
         | would be unheard of in Western Oregon (where I live). So long
         | as your house is well insulated, you'd likely be fine with a
         | heat pump. Pay attention to R-Value for insulation, but if you
         | choose the right materials, that goes a long way for heat
         | storage.
         | 
         | I know there exceptions in Minnesota where it can get
         | considerably colder than -13f, but I don't know how long those
         | super low temps are sustained. You would definitely need some
         | sort of emergency heating system. An outdoor propane tank (the
         | larger variety) and a propane heater would likely do the trick
         | as an emergency backup. Not great for air quality in your
         | house, but plenty of people use that as their normal heating.
        
         | inthepipe wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | zamalek wrote:
         | Look up ground-sourced heat pumps. You store your heat in soil
         | during the summer, and draw it out in the winter.
        
         | vitaflo wrote:
         | I want this someday too (also live in MN). Wood pellets or just
         | a wood burner are your best bets for secondary heat. I grew up
         | in WI and we only had electric base boards and a wood burner
         | (then pellet stove). Get the house up to 85 before bed and by
         | morning it's in the high 50's and start the fire again. You
         | need to be ok with fluctuating temps to really make it work.
         | 
         | You mention cloudy days but the one positive about our brutally
         | cold winters is that when it's below zero it tends to be sunny
         | out. If you set up your solar to extract as much sun as
         | possible during these times, as well as build your house with
         | large south facing windows with stone or concrete flooring you
         | will not need to heat the house much during even the coldest
         | days (solar radiation will heat the house and the concrete
         | flooring will release what heat it gained in the evening).
        
         | Qwertious wrote:
         | Keep in mind that you don't need a traditional electrical
         | battery for heat - storing heat directly is _extremely_ cheap,
         | you just need insulation and thermal mass (i.e. sand /rocks,
         | any old crap will do). There are a fair few systems that use
         | easy summer-solar to generate heat, store it for months at a
         | time and then release the heat in winter.
         | 
         | It scales up really well thanks to the cube-square law, which
         | is a euphemistic way of saying it's hard to make a viable
         | system that's really small. But if you're off-grid because
         | you're in the middle of nowhere, then you can spare a few
         | square meters anyway.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | nashashmi wrote:
       | Can they work in pair with co2 capture? Assuming neg 20 deg is
       | co2 liquid point ?
        
       | londons_explore wrote:
       | The needs of the homeowner and the needs of the grid are at odds
       | with one another here.
       | 
       | The electricity grid wants the highest possible efficiency on the
       | coldest days, so that they can serve as many users as possible
       | without building more infrastructure.
       | 
       | The homeowner wants the _average_ efficiency to be as high as
       | possible over the whole season, to reduce heating /cooling costs.
       | They don't care if one or two really cold days have bad
       | efficiency, as long as the system has sufficient output to keep
       | the house comfortable.
       | 
       | Someone needs to use laws or incentives to align those two -
       | because if every home owner used one of todays heat pump systems,
       | then the electricity grid would fail on the coldest days of the
       | year.
        
         | itake wrote:
         | If my power goes out (due to ice storms or hurricanes) and I
         | need to rely on a local power supply (battery, solar panels,
         | gas generator), I would like my AC to be as efficient as
         | possible.
        
           | londons_explore wrote:
           | I didn't explain clearly... AC systems don't have a single
           | efficiency number - they have different efficiencies
           | depending on the indoor temperature, the outdoor temperature,
           | and the number of kilowatts you want delivered.
           | 
           | You can generally design any AC system to work efficiently at
           | any specific combination of those variables - but if any
           | variable deviates far from the optimum design point,
           | efficiency will drop.
           | 
           | So the real question is, not "I want an efficient system",
           | but "I want an efficient system when it is 20F outdoors,
           | because that's the temperature most of the year".
        
         | jnsaff2 wrote:
         | Are there even heat pumps where efficiency goes down when the
         | delta-T decreases?
        
           | londons_explore wrote:
           | Yes. If the cold side gets too hot, the pressure on the
           | compressor input gets too high, which means the compressor is
           | doing far more work with every stroke - and input electrical
           | power goes up massively. The motor overheats and the thermal
           | cutout stops it. When the motor is cutting in and out
           | efficiency goes way down.
           | 
           | This is an issue with fridges. When you buy a new fridge and
           | first turn it on, it's called a 'pulldown'. The compressor
           | gets far hotter than it ever normally gets in normal
           | operation. Most fridges are only rated for 3 pulldowns in
           | their lifespan - and if you do more than that and the fridge
           | fails, they'll claim it isn't in warranty anymore. And in
           | modern fridges, the software keeps track of how often so they
           | can deny the warranty claim too...
        
       | the-alchemist wrote:
       | If you want an (entertaining) deep dive into heat pumps, I can
       | recommend Technology Connection's
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43XKfuptnik and its followup,
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFEHFsO-XSI
        
       | moffkalast wrote:
       | Do we really need heat pumps that work that far into the
       | negative? You can always turn on an internal resistive heater to
       | compensate after all.
       | 
       | Not quite something you can do on the other end though, when
       | trying to cool with exceptionally high ambient temperature. It's
       | such bullshit that the physics of this universe does not allow
       | for resistive cooling.
        
         | eppp wrote:
         | Resistance heat is extremely expensive to operate. Burning
         | something is cheaper.
        
         | zdragnar wrote:
         | The problem is that if everyone comes off of fossil fuel heat
         | and switches to heat pumps, you need a grid that is capable of
         | delivering enough eletricity to power simultaneous resistive
         | heating to every house... because every house is going to need
         | resistive heating at the most dangerous time to not have any
         | heat at all.
         | 
         | These cold snaps tend to also coincide with extreme winds and
         | other weather events that can take out power lines, so a
         | stressed grid just compounds the issue.
        
           | jupp0r wrote:
           | On top of that, it's also the time when you need the most
           | energy for heating because it's the coldest.
        
       | EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK wrote:
       | My AC runs just fine at -15C (+5F), the problem is when
       | temperature swings between zero and sub-zero, it causes formation
       | of the ice in the outer unit which can break the fan.
        
         | kwhitefoot wrote:
         | Some heat pumps designed for low temperatures have heaters to
         | avoid the freezing of condensation.
        
       | lizknope wrote:
       | I'd like to see an efficiency curve of this heat pump at -20F,
       | 0F, +20F, +40F
       | 
       | I have a heat pump that can be used for both cooling an heat
       | along with a natural gas burner. The installer has set the system
       | to use the heat pump at 40F and above and switch to natural gas
       | at below 40F below based on the efficiency of the heat pump
       | dropping at low temperature.
       | 
       | My heat pump is a SEER 18 unit primarily for cooling in the US
       | south so I'm sure a heat pump designed specifically for northern
       | cold climates will be more efficient than mine at low temps but
       | I'd like to see how much.
        
         | newZWhoDis wrote:
         | Well that installer cutoff was likely waaaaay too high. Your
         | heat pump should be fine to 30F, maybe even 25F before needing
         | gas.
         | 
         | Modern systems are 24 SEER and good to -5, and these research
         | units take that to the next level.
        
           | bowow wrote:
           | Unfortunately only the very top-of-the-line (very expensive)
           | variable speed compressor units are rated for anything close
           | to 24 SEER / -5F (unless that's what you meant by modern
           | systems).
        
           | rudedogg wrote:
           | > Well that installer cutoff was likely waaaaay too high.
           | Your heat pump should be fine to 30F, maybe even 25F before
           | needing gas.
           | 
           | The parent post was saying it's cheaper to use natural gas at
           | those temps, so that's why the installer did the cutoff
           | there.
           | 
           | You can look at COP numbers for heat pumps here:
           | https://ashp.neep.org/#!/product_list/
        
           | Majromax wrote:
           | > Well that installer cutoff was likely waaaaay too high.
           | Your heat pump should be fine to 30F, maybe even 25F before
           | needing gas
           | 
           | One possibility might be that the unit lacks de-icing
           | circuitry. If that were cut for cost optimization, the unit
           | would still work fine for cooling and for moderate-
           | temperature heating, but anywhere near 30F it would ice up
           | and stop working.
        
       | sokoloff wrote:
       | > "additional efforts are needed to address common technical and
       | market barriers to wider adoption by consumers - which include
       | performance at temperatures of 5F and below, installation
       | challenges, and electricity grid impacts during peak demand
       | periods."
       | 
       | There are definite market barriers at play. In my house in New
       | England, I tried to replace my aged boiler with an air-to-water
       | heat pump (after carefully verifying, via experiments during a
       | cold week in February, that my heat distribution would indeed
       | work fine at a supply of 130degF). Only one company was even
       | willing to come out and provide a quote and their quote was
       | around 2.5x the costs of "put another boiler in", such that the
       | payback period would be "literally never".
       | 
       | If, after doing the research to find out about them and
       | specifically seeking one out, I couldn't manage to make an air-
       | to-water heat pump make sense, I doubt that very many of them are
       | being sold. I suspect it's one of those items that, if more were
       | sold, more firms would sell/install them, bringing the costs into
       | the realm of economically reasonable (and lowering the risk of
       | having a difficult-to-support heating plant in the decades to
       | come).
        
         | lizknope wrote:
         | I watch the PBS show This Old House which takes place in the
         | Boston area. The plumber / HVAC guy Richard Trethewey is a fan
         | both ground ("geothermal") and air source heat pumps including
         | the air source heat pumps that work at 0F and heat water for
         | radiant floor heating. I'm surprised that more companies aren't
         | doing it there.
        
           | maxerickson wrote:
           | The majority of their projects are pretty high end (and they
           | tend to want to demonstrate new technology, because it's more
           | interesting).
        
             | throw0101c wrote:
             | For the 'project homes', perhaps, but if you're going to go
             | through the effort of building new or re-doing an entire
             | structure, you might as well use the latest and greatest
             | stuff/practices/code.
             | 
             | They also have many segments of smaller DIY jobs for
             | simpler fixes/maintenance, e.g.:
             | 
             | * https://www.thisoldhouse.com/plumbing
        
           | panzagl wrote:
           | The 'cast' of 'This Old House' is mostly MIT MechE grads who
           | figured out they could make more money doing renovations for
           | Route 128 techies than burning themselves out working at
           | their companies.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | throw0101c wrote:
             | Oh yeah, Richard Trethewey and Tom Silva are definitely MIT
             | guys:
             | 
             | * https://www.thisoldhouse.com/21071273/richard-trethewey
             | 
             | * https://www.thisoldhouse.com/21071309/tom-silva
             | 
             | * https://www.thisoldhouse.com/cast
        
               | panzagl wrote:
               | Well, they've done episodes like this:
               | https://www.thisoldhouse.com/season-20-ask-
               | toh/23197052/s20-...
        
               | throw0101c wrote:
               | Advanced technology being developed at advanced research
               | labs: who would have thought?
               | 
               | But that doesn't change the fact that hosts are mostly
               | 'regular folks' in the trades that hook up a bunch of
               | wiring and pipes (or glue/nail/screw together a bunch of
               | wood).
        
               | panzagl wrote:
               | I had 'cast' in quotes for a reason- I was half thinking
               | of Norm (though I don't think he went to MIT) and more of
               | the various sub contractors that filter through the show
               | (some of which seemed to be thinly disguised product
               | reps). Still, you can't deny they were higher quality
               | outfits than anything most of us are likely to run into.
        
             | caycep wrote:
             | I haven't watched since a kid w/ the Bob Villa days....
        
             | ngetchell wrote:
             | No they are mostly second and third generation trades
             | people.
        
             | laidoffamazon wrote:
             | I mean that did describe Car Talk
        
         | ableal wrote:
         | > their quote was around 2.5x the costs of "put another boiler
         | in", such that the payback period would be "literally never".
         | 
         | Doesn't that depend on the costs of both energy sources?
         | 
         | Last year I made a similar choice, albeit at smaller scale,
         | just for one water heater. Picked an electric heater with heat
         | pump, also cost 2.5x more than plain electric, but 1/3 the
         | energy cost. It will take a few years to pay back ...
        
           | sokoloff wrote:
           | > Doesn't that depend on the costs of both energy sources?
           | 
           | Yes, it depends on the costs and efficiencies of the
           | competing energy sources, the difference in capex, the annual
           | building heat load, the projected lifespan of each source,
           | annual maintenance costs, and the interest rate.
        
         | linuxftw wrote:
         | I recently spoke to a well driller that also does geothermal
         | well drilling. He was telling me that the systems are more or
         | less obsolete at this point, as the air-to-air units have such
         | a high SEER rating that the ground loops really will never pay
         | off.
        
           | benmanns wrote:
           | Is geothermal any quieter? I was assuming the ground loop
           | pump would be quieter than the air-to-air fan.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | There's no outside noise in a ground-source system (for all
             | practical values of noise: it's just flow in insulated
             | pipes). The pumps are nearly inaudible inside the
             | mechanical room as well.
             | 
             | Inverter-based air-source outdoor units are nearly
             | inaudible during any time when your neighbors are likely to
             | have their windows open. When the weather is uncomfortable
             | enough to have the units need to run at high-speeds, they
             | are no longer inaudible, but the neighbors are likely to
             | have their windows closed.
        
             | zacharycohn wrote:
             | I'm looking at a system now that is 45 decibels - 10db
             | quieter than my robovacuum which is one of the quietest in
             | the market.
        
           | implements wrote:
           | What attracted me to geothermal was the year round
           | availability of 50F water - easier to extract winter heat at
           | that temperature, and you could create a simple fan /
           | radiator ducted air cooling system for the summer. The latter
           | would actually store summer heat in the ground, and could be
           | powered purely by solar.
        
           | Bedon292 wrote:
           | I have been doing a bunch of research into geothermal
           | recently and this doesn't seem to match with what I have
           | seen. But it probably also varies a lot by location and such.
           | 
           | They appear to still be about twice as efficient as an air to
           | air one, and have less parts and maintenance (no outside unit
           | to deal with). Yes the initial install is a lot higher
           | because of the drilling but that should last for decades. In
           | the US there is also 30% rebate at tax time which helps cut
           | the costs down a bunch too.
        
             | linuxftw wrote:
             | You're looking to spend at least $30k if you need a
             | vertical system, probably a lot more. And from what I
             | understand, they ground loops inevitably don't reach their
             | expected lifespan, so you'll be drilling new holes sooner
             | than later.
             | 
             | If you live in a very cold climate, I suppose with tax
             | credits it could make some sense. For most people, AC +
             | Natural gas is the cheapest way to go.
        
         | dashundchen wrote:
         | Was it a company that also did gas boilers?
         | 
         | If it's not a company that solely does heat pumps, I have heard
         | a lot of contractors will give outrageous estimates because gas
         | is simpler for them and they don't want to do it without the
         | huge markup.
         | 
         | I had ground source heat pump installed with vertical wells in
         | a city by a dedicated geo installer. The cost with tax credits
         | came out not much more than a high end gas furnace and water
         | heater. Going airsource would have been even more cost
         | competitive, especially with the federal tax credits in place
         | starting in 2023.
        
           | sokoloff wrote:
           | They did. To (only partially) guard against that, I made it
           | clear that I wouldn't be hiring them to hang a gas boiler.
           | (That still allows them to prefer someone else's gas boiler
           | job over my air-source job, but at least prevents me bidding
           | against myself.)
           | 
           | And there definitely would be more labor, more piping, and
           | more electrical work to switch to an ASHP; that's part of the
           | market forces problem that is hard to overcome with anything
           | other than large price increases for gas or larger direct
           | subsidies for switching.
        
         | CoastalCoder wrote:
         | My house uses a heat pump + oil-burning furnace. It gives a
         | pretty good combination of efficiency, and ability to handle
         | really cold weather.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | I think this is most of the way to what the future looks
           | like: a high efficiency heat pump with cogeneration, so you
           | can still burn propane or natural gas for heat and limited
           | power to drive the heating system in an emergency (and if you
           | don't have gas service to the premises, you have either a
           | propane tank [1] or an exterior outlet to hook up outside).
           | You must have a solution for when utility power is down for
           | substantial periods of time.
           | 
           | During the winter storm that just passed, a friend in the
           | Midwest called that their house had no power and was rapidly
           | cooling. The utility could provide no ETA to resolution. I
           | walked them through (over the phone) safely enough
           | backfeeding enough power from a gasoline generator (outside,
           | with the extension cord run through a basement escape window)
           | into their furnace circuit to bootstrap the furnace (and run
           | the blower fan) to keep the house warm so that the pipes
           | didn't freeze and burst. If the HVAC system had had a small
           | battery and some way to generate power from the heat it was
           | burning, the gasoline generator would've been unnecessary.
           | Perhaps an integrated thermoelectric generator [2]? A standby
           | generator isn't financially practical for most folks ($6k +
           | install).
           | 
           | (EDIT: to the safety folks out there possibly concerned, the
           | furnace breaker and main breaker were tripped, and the meter
           | was pulled to prevent any chance of harm to electrical
           | linemen from inadvertently energizing the utility line; take
           | no chances with safety, do not attempt this at home)
           | 
           | [1] https://www.amerigas.com/about-propane/propane-tank-sizes
           | 
           | [2] https://patents.google.com/patent/US5427086A/en
        
             | throw0101c wrote:
             | > _A standby generator isn 't financially practical for
             | most folks ($6k + install)._
             | 
             | An Honda EU2200i generator costs US$ 1400 (and less
             | expensive generators can probably be found):
             | 
             | *
             | https://powerequipment.honda.com/generators/models/eu2200i
             | 
             | You also need an external plug, a cable going from that
             | plug to a sub-panel, and a line going from the sub-panel to
             | the main panel with an interlock device for safety, if you
             | wish to avoid running extension cords.
             | 
             | There are dual-fuel generators that can also use either
             | gas/petrol or propane, and some tri-fuel generators that
             | could also be connect to a natgas pipes (and conversion
             | kits that can be added to propane-capable generators).
        
               | phil21 wrote:
               | The Honda EU2200i can be aftermarket modded to run tri-
               | fuel. I did it to mine just in case, and currently have
               | it set to run propane. A simple swap of a small part will
               | let it burn natural gas instead.
               | 
               | I also like that I don't have gasoline to deal with - I
               | can stock up a 20lb propane tanks and generally forget
               | about it. Rotating gas is a giant pain if you keep enough
               | on-hand for an outage of any appreciable amount of time.
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | Would you mind sharing a link to the part you mentioned?
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | https://www.amazon.com/Grenergy-Gasoline-Conversion-
               | Generato...
        
               | phil21 wrote:
               | https://www.hutchmountain.com/products/honda-
               | eu2200i-propane...
               | 
               | If you are at all handy this is probably a 30 minute job,
               | it involves cutting a single hole for the propane tank
               | connection and otherwise can be done with a screwdriver.
               | 
               | It's been reliable for me going on 4 years now - although
               | I only really have run the generator for maybe 100 total
               | hours since then.
               | 
               | I haven't looked for some time, but there are also other
               | kits on the market. I those these guys due to reputation
               | on forums, and how clean it is to install.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | The problem is that while all that electrical work is a
               | weekend project for a DIYer, it's quite expensive to have
               | a professional do it. So then you start bundling things
               | (since I'm already paying thousands, maybe I'll just
               | splurge for that Generac with the auto tranfer switch...)
               | 
               | (FWIW, I believe there is an aftermarket propane
               | conversion kit for the EU2200i. Converting a gasoline
               | engine to run on propane is straightforward)
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | For others interested in preparing for a situation like
             | this, here's a video laying out in reasonable detail what
             | to do.*
             | 
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JNuovFpCpQ
             | 
             | * I don't like that they skipped putting a bushing or an NM
             | clamp on the back of the box into the furnace, but
             | otherwise the video looked sound when I watched it a couple
             | weeks ago.
        
               | jchw wrote:
               | I've been waiting to do this in the event of a power
               | outage; that said, I'm really curious what the current
               | draw of my furnace blower will wind up being. There is a
               | label that suggests it has a peak draw of 8.5A, but that
               | seems like a lot. Still, it seems like a nice backup plan
               | in the event of an outage, even if I only have a couple
               | kWh worth of battery storage.
        
               | a9h74j wrote:
               | Many furnaces use third-party controller boards with
               | well-known suppliers. You might find in the furnace
               | manual that there are different wire-to-board
               | permutations to allow different fan (interior
               | recirculating blower) speeds. From home testing a few
               | years ago, I recall RMS currents 50%-80% of peak rated
               | draw, but could be mistaken.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | What's the model number of your furnace / blower? I've
               | been doing a ton of research in this area as I'm
               | remodeling my place and have several furnaces and duct
               | loops to deal with.
               | 
               | From what I've seen so far, unless your unit is super
               | old, the 8.5A is almost certainly just a 'peak' startup
               | current that's overstated as well. Your blower should say
               | something like "1/3 HP" and from there it's
               | straightforward conversion of 1HP = ~750W so a 1/3HP
               | would be 250W. On a 120v service, that's 2 Amp. With
               | maybe 15% efficiency loss, at peak speed, the blower
               | motor wouldn't be drawing more than 2.5A. It could/will
               | draw more than that to start, but literally just for a
               | second or two.
        
               | jchw wrote:
               | Thanks, that's useful! That was my thought w.r.t. startup
               | current, since I assume it is an inductive load. The
               | model is a Carrier 58STA090-14 and it is indeed 1/3 HP.
               | Seems likely I could run that load off my car in a pinch,
               | which is definitely a good option to have available.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | So per the spec sheet -- the "Full Load Amps" for that
               | model could actually be up to 5.2A per the bottom portion
               | of the 90-14 column second from the right on page 5:
               | 
               | https://d1049ui2fjityy.cloudfront.net/userfiles/inriver/d
               | ocu...
               | 
               | That motor has a switch so it could be in 3 different
               | settings -- As shipped, the blower motor speed is set to
               | be faster for AC (more draw in the summer) to prevent the
               | coils from icing over, and then it's shipped to be the
               | slowest fan speed while in heating mode, but it is
               | possible that your installer changed that. If indeed it
               | is in the "slow" speed for heat, then 2.5A would be about
               | right.
        
             | mynameishere wrote:
             | I don't know what's up with that, but the standard fix is
             | to let the faucets trickle.
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | Challenging when you're on a well and your well pump
               | requires power. Will your generator support 220V and the
               | surge start a well pump requires? That surge is going to
               | occur every X minutes to replenish the pressure tank as
               | it depletes due to trickling. In this scenario, driving
               | the 15A furnace circuit was a more simple fix.
               | 
               | Something else to consider: electric pipe heat cable to
               | keep pipes from freezing draws ~7 watts per foot, is
               | quick to install, and easy to power if you've planned
               | ahead.
        
               | mynameishere wrote:
               | I guess I must plead ignorance once again. Maybe flushing
               | the pipes would be possible? I just know I would
               | electrocute myself screwing with anything more powerful
               | than a laptop battery.
        
               | sbierwagen wrote:
               | Houses designed to be vacant in freezing temperatures
               | will have a drain port at the main shutoff valve so the
               | pipes can be fully emptied.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, this is not a universal feature in
               | residential construction.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | I happen to have valves that would allow me to drain
               | almost all of my house to prevent freezing, but that's
               | not universally the case (and even in my case, I couldn't
               | drain the hot water tank fully without power without
               | letting it just flood the basement).
               | 
               | Freezing pipes is one concern, though having heat for the
               | humans is another pretty desirable thing, so if I could
               | spend effort on something that would result in drained
               | pipes and no heat or on something that would result in
               | enough heat in the house to make that unnecessary, I'm
               | going for option #2 every time.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | lizknope wrote:
             | I was also without power last week for 6 hours.
             | 
             | I have a SEER 18 heat pump for cooling which can reverse
             | for heating in the winter but it also has a natural gas
             | burner. Based on the installer's advice we set the system
             | to use the heat pump if the outside air is 40F or above and
             | switch to natural gas below 40F.
             | 
             | The problem was that when the power was out the electronics
             | in the system could not communicate with the thermostat in
             | the house. My Nest thermostat literally said there was no
             | system connected. I wish there was some kind of UPS to
             | power those electronics and the blower fan.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Can't you just hook up a sizeable computer UPS for that
               | purpose? That should run it for long enough to get you
               | through most outages.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | The heat pump will be a 240VAC load. Consumer-level
               | computer UPSes in the US are 120VAC.
               | 
               | The 24VAC transformer for the control circuitry will be
               | on one of the 120VAC legs, but it's likely the installer
               | didn't specifically wire it to allow partial powering of
               | just the transformer and electronics board.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Hm... you might be able to get away with ordering a EU
               | UPS then, those are 240V, you'll have to add a center tap
               | transformer and maybe mess around a bit with it to get it
               | to output 60 Hz (that will only improve efficiency).
        
               | alpos wrote:
               | There is, an inverter sized for the load with an auto
               | transfer switch attached to a set of 100ah batteries will
               | do what you're looking for. And that is what a UPS is on
               | the inside. They just tend to use terribly small
               | batteries.
               | 
               | Such setups are easy to build if you want it and running
               | a 100-200w blower doesn't require too many batteries
               | either. However, if you need to run a compressor, the
               | number of batteries required to power that for 6hours
               | would start to get cost prohibitive.
               | 
               | https://www.amazon.com/s?k=2000w+pure+sine+wave+inverter+
               | aut...
               | 
               | https://www.amazon.com/s?k=220v+automatic+transfer+switch
               | +50...
               | 
               | https://www.amazon.com/s?k=100ah+lifepo4+battery
               | 
               | This guy has accumulated essentially everything you could
               | want to know about such setups, at any voltage, any
               | reasonable power range, in various applications: backup
               | systems, full off-grid, mobile power.
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/@WillProwse
               | 
               | https://www.mobile-solarpower.com/
               | 
               | For a 240v load, there are inverters that output 220v or
               | you can use one inverter to power each hot line, just buy
               | the batteries at the same time from the same manufacturer
               | and ensure they will stay balanced. In your case you
               | could also use a cheaper manual transfer switch if you
               | don't mind going into the closet to flip it when the
               | power goes out.
        
               | illegalsmile wrote:
               | What model do you have? I currently have a boiler for
               | hydronic baseboards and would like to move to a more all
               | in-one-solution for heating/cooling that is predominantly
               | electric. My goal is to move all my gas appliances to
               | electric with solar but it would be great to have gas
               | backup and gas for those cooler days.
        
             | jabart wrote:
             | New homes should be built to better insulation standards.
             | You have to solve so much and use so much energy to solve
             | for a drafty house or lack of insulation on the outside
             | walls. Newer homes are factoring in the R-value of 2x6s and
             | finding ways to insulate those now.
             | 
             | In this scenario, high efficiency heat pump with a backup
             | gas fireplace. Those typically don't require any
             | electricity to run as they can ignite off AA battery or a
             | push button. My PC battery backups barely last 30 minutes
             | on a wifi router because of conversion loss. Furnace fans
             | also account for up to 1/3 of energy usage of a unit.
             | Cogneration would add $5-10k to a home build versus a 50
             | gallon propane tank with a single emergency gas fireplace
             | unit.
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | Most of the heat from a fireplace goes up the flue
               | unfortunately. It's one of the least efficient heating
               | sources per the dept of energy (~15% efficient). A low
               | tech solution is more thermal mass perhaps in high
               | performance dwellings.
               | 
               | Wood burning furnaces are a challenge because homeowners
               | insurance providers don't want to insure dwellings that
               | use them (but will if certain conditions are met, such as
               | it not being the primary hearing source, professionally
               | installed, etc).
        
               | jaggederest wrote:
               | Wood stoves are really efficient these days, hitting 70%
               | plus, and it's Carbon Neutralish(tm) as a fuel source
               | (obviously uses fossil fuels for harvest and transport
               | and such, but that's only some percentage of the total)
               | 
               | I'm always amazed at the ability of our questionable
               | 1990s wood stove to happily heat the entire house. It's a
               | great backup heat source on days when it gets proper cold
               | out, which is thankfully rare here.
        
               | throw0101c wrote:
               | > _Most of the heat from a fireplace goes up the flue
               | unfortunately._
               | 
               | Depends on the fireplace. Direct-vent gas fireplaces take
               | outside air for combustion and then exhaust it, with no
               | inside air being used in the process. There are also
               | direct-vent wood _stoves_ that can do the same.
               | 
               | Wood stoves can get about 85% combustion efficiency, but
               | that's not heat-delivered efficiency (often 10-20%
               | lower):
               | 
               | * https://www.epa.gov/burnwise/energy-efficiency-and-
               | your-wood...
        
               | masklinn wrote:
               | If you've got wood available, you could also have a wood
               | furnace as backup, and / or an actual fireplace (an
               | efficient one ideally, possibly a masonry heater if you
               | have the space and foundations to handle that load).
        
               | patentatt wrote:
               | This is a great solution too. I have a wood 'heatilator'
               | (or fireplace insert) and during the recent cold snap in
               | the Midwest I went through about 1/4 face cord of kiln-
               | dried oak over 3 or 4 days (that's a lot by my
               | standards). It kept the gas furnace mostly idling and the
               | home warm (in the 80's by the fireplace actually, lol).
               | Probably not exactly cost efficient with the cost of wood
               | these days but I like being able to take some of the load
               | off the gas furnace.
        
             | Scoundreller wrote:
             | Problem is high efficiency furnaces/boilers require a
             | powered vent, so they need quite a bit of power to operate.
             | And then you'd need to circulate "cold" air/water against
             | the heat exchangers.
             | 
             | This usually adds up to several hundred watts.
        
             | alpos wrote:
             | Up in the northeast power goes out every winter. It also
             | gets restored a lot faster than the midwest, personal
             | experience, but the reliability of it going out at some
             | point during the winter means that everyone has a wood
             | stove and a backup generator. Portable ones are practical
             | enough and wiring a couple of circuits and a plug for the
             | generator is not cost prohibitive for most.
             | 
             | What I've found in traveling the whole country for a few
             | years is that local power generation or storage always
             | forces you to consider just how little power you actually
             | need. You can pretty much never just power the whole house,
             | or even a whole RV. Even 50amps is ALOT of power and trying
             | to provide that from solar/generator/batteries is
             | incredibly expensive.
             | 
             | So your real question is pretty much never going to be,
             | "how do I power my whole house in an outage?" but rather,
             | "What is absolutely essential to spend up to 3000w on?" and
             | even then knowing that a generator putting out 3000w burns
             | 20lbs of propane in about 4hrs and 3000w for 4hr on
             | batteries would require 10 to 12 100ah lithium batteries at
             | $350+ each.
             | 
             | I still agree with you that super efficient heat pumps are
             | the future without fossil fuels but that probably also has
             | to come with greatly improved insulation values in almost
             | all homes regardless of region. Think double the current
             | DOE recommendations. If you're running on electricity, you
             | will feel the cost of every bit of heat you lose through
             | the walls, roof, and windows. More insulation is a one time
             | cost versus monthly, it always makes sense in the long run.
             | 
             | However, we'll need regulation to force home builders to
             | invest in that instead of just adding unnecessary sqft that
             | people never use but have to heat and cool anyway. For some
             | reason people don't want to pay extra for a house that is
             | well built and well insulated, they'd rather go with bigger
             | is better even when it's already absurd, and builders have
             | noticed this.
        
           | jcadam wrote:
           | My house uses a NatGas boiler and in-floor radiant heat. It
           | also has wood stoves for those -20F (or worse) nights when I
           | need a little supplemental heat (or the power is out and the
           | main heating system is offline).
           | 
           | A heat pump would be a waste up here in Alaska esp given I
           | don't need A/C. Just opening the windows and running some
           | fans in the summer tends to do the trick for cooling.
        
             | throw0101c wrote:
             | > _Just opening the windows and running some fans in the
             | summer tends to do the trick for cooling._
             | 
             | The problem with 'natural' ventilation is you also get
             | things humidity, pollen, dust, _etc_ coming in as well.
             | 
             | One of the major advantages of mechanical ventilation (like
             | HRV/ERVs, which cycle the air) is that things are tempered
             | and filtered beforehand. Sometimes you also want to deal
             | with individual variables: the temperature is fine, but the
             | humidity is off.
        
               | a9h74j wrote:
               | Is filtering incoming air (for a mix) necessarily the
               | norm, though? Even in the rare high-performance homes
               | built on spec[ulation], my sense is that filtering
               | incoming air might be omitted, in favor of a single
               | filter acting on recirculation.
        
               | sbierwagen wrote:
               | It wasn't the norm, but now that more people have pollen
               | allergies and widespread summer fires are common again,
               | it's become more important.
        
               | jcadam wrote:
               | And forced air can be quite dirty (dust/pollen/etc.) if
               | you don't clean your ducts regularly.
        
               | jcadam wrote:
               | There's the expense of maintaining a central A/C,
               | ductwork, etc., that I'd rather not deal with (not to
               | mention electricity is expensive here). Yes, if the air
               | outside is dirty (forest fires, volcanic eruption, etc.)
               | you've got a point. HEPA filters can help some with this,
               | I suppose.
               | 
               | Humidity isn't usually a big issue here most days. If
               | anything, it can be a bit dry (but not as dry as running
               | an A/C would make it). Though, I do have a portable
               | dehumidifier I use when I need to :)
        
           | wmeredith wrote:
           | Mine is the same with a gas furnace/heat pump combo. It's
           | great.
        
           | euroderf wrote:
           | My use case is similar. The oil furnace feeds hot water into
           | a network of radiators. My design goal is to maximize the
           | electricity outage that we can make it thru without frozen
           | pipes, and it has to be on a budget (so no generator or giant
           | UPS).
           | 
           | The house is mostly unoccupied (a second home). Operation in
           | an outage has to be fully automatic - it needs an automatic
           | transfer switch I guess. The typical indoor temperature is
           | just 5.5C (42F) - this does not leave much margin for the
           | house to cool down during an outage when outside is like -5C
           | (or -10 or -20).
           | 
           | But it turn out that an oil pump and a water circulation pump
           | do not draw THAT much power, so if I can run them off backup
           | power (say, a new car battery plus an inverter), it should
           | last for some time before ice has any chance to form.
        
       | ethagknight wrote:
       | Anyone know how these pumps manage to squeeze enough heat out of
       | ambient air to make it worth the while? -20 is down there! I
       | understand how heat pumps work, but what's the differentiator?
        
         | contravariant wrote:
         | It helps if you look at it as temperatures in Kelvin, to bring
         | something from 250K to 300K requires a 20% increase, which can
         | be done by an ideal engine at an efficiency of 300/(300-250) =
         | 6. Sure you can't ever reach that ideal but the upper limit is
         | high enough to make it worthwhile.
         | 
         | I'm not fully sure at what point it stops being worth it, but
         | anything above 150K can get an efficiency of more than 200%, in
         | theory at least, and 150K is way above any reasonable ambient
         | temperature. As far as I know the ideal is not even that hard
         | to approach it's just how to do it in small scale and quickly
         | that is the problem.
        
           | fallingknife wrote:
           | What does an efficiency above 100% mean?
        
             | Qwertious wrote:
             | It's a multiplier for the electrical input - if your heat
             | pump is 400% efficient, then it means the electricity is
             | being 100% turned into heat, plus 3x as much heat is being
             | sucked in from outside.
        
             | supertrope wrote:
             | Instead of burning fuel to generate e.g. 1500W of heat, a
             | heat pump uses 500W of electricity to transfer heat inside
             | generating the same 1500W heating effect.
        
             | contravariant wrote:
             | It means you transfer more heat than work put into the
             | system.
        
         | yosito wrote:
         | > -20 is down there!
         | 
         | That's 244 Kelvin. It may not seem like a lot of heat to the
         | human body, or judging by the state of everyday elements like
         | water. But in terms of energy, there's actually still quite a
         | bit there.
        
       | ape4 wrote:
       | -29C for non-Americans. Its a prototype.
        
       | Ottolay wrote:
       | The issue with heat pumps is that most of the ones currently
       | being installed in South East of the US don't work well below
       | +20F let alone 0F or -20F. Most of them are being installed with
       | an electrical resistive backup heat, which is incredibly
       | inefficient.
       | 
       | The problem is when a cold spell like Christmas 2022, with
       | temperatures down towards 0F. All the heat pump users switch to
       | resistive backup heat and it overloads the electric grid and we
       | get rolling blackouts.
       | 
       | In my opinion, heat pumps are amazingly efficient at moderate
       | cold temps, but they really need propane or wood heat backup for
       | the really cold temperatures instead of resistive heaters.
        
         | newZWhoDis wrote:
         | We've had heat pumps that work down to -5F for years. If you're
         | installing one that can only go to 20F in 2022(3?) something is
         | very wrong.
         | 
         | Backup heat methods increase the complexity and cost.
        
           | Ottolay wrote:
           | I am just saying what the typical install is in the South
           | East US. The heat pumps installed may produce some heat at 5F
           | but they can't keep the temperature to the set value, so
           | there are resistive elements (Aux heat) to make up the
           | shortfall.
           | 
           | It's pretty common for people with heat pumps to have Aux
           | Heat kick in during cold spells, which cause power grid
           | overload issues.
           | 
           | I realize you can insulate a house well enough and have a
           | good enough heat pump to avoid backup heat, but 5F or 0F days
           | are rare enough that the codes do not enforce this.
        
           | bowow wrote:
           | When I researched this year on replacing my A/C / Propane
           | Furnace system with a heat pump, I found that companies
           | didn't seem to want to advertise what temperatures their heat
           | pumps can operate effectively at. If I look at some marketing
           | materials from Google it seems companies like Carrier and
           | Trane are only willing to talk about their heat pumps working
           | in low temperatures if it's regarding their top-of-the-line
           | (very expensive) variable speed compressor units. No one
           | talks about what temps the mid range units can handle, and
           | I'm guessing it's because they don't work well below 20F.
        
           | mrinterweb wrote:
           | My heat pump is advertised to operate as low as -13F. One
           | thing to note is the efficiency of heat pumps is not optimal
           | when they are operating close to their extremes.
        
         | haberman wrote:
         | What is inefficient about resistive heat? Isn't
         | electricity->heat basically 100% efficient?
         | 
         | Maybe you are saying that heat->electricity->heat is
         | inefficient, since most electricity is produced from heat
         | inefficiently.
         | 
         | I always get tripped up by this, since I live in an area where
         | almost all electricity is hydro. In that case resistive heating
         | seems fine.
        
           | zdragnar wrote:
           | Electricity offers resistive heating, and heat pumps. Heat
           | pumps are much more efficient than resistive heating.
           | 
           | Otherwise, you have chemical fuel which burns, and a bit of
           | electricity to pump it around (either by forced air or water
           | pumps).
           | 
           | In terms of electrical input, resistive heating is the worst
           | of the lot, even if it can be sourced in a carbon neutral way
           | (unlike nat gas or fuel oil).
        
           | 1123581321 wrote:
           | In the US, anyway, when people say electric resistance heat
           | is inefficient they are comparing it to natural gas heat.
           | It's the same story in water heaters; if you install a HPWH
           | you are betting on not needing to resort to resistance heat
           | because if you do that too much, you probably should've
           | installed a cheaper gas unit instead. (I'm a happy HPWH owner
           | weighing the timing of adding a heat pump for central heat.)
        
           | thatcherc wrote:
           | That 100% efficient figure is correct - you get one Watt of
           | heat for one Watt of electricity. It's just that heat pumps
           | can deliver 3 or 4 Watts of heat for each Watt of electricity
           | (usually quoted at around 300% or 400% efficiency!). Compared
           | to that, resistance heaters aren't as efficient.
           | 
           | The explanation that made the most intuitive sense to me is
           | that it takes less energy to move heat from one place to
           | another (air at 273 Kelvin to air at 300 Kelvin, like a heat
           | pump does) than it does to create heat from nothing (like a
           | resistor does). That's why the heat pumps can get deliver
           | more heat to you from the same amount of electricity.
        
             | haberman wrote:
             | That makes sense, but GP was calling resistive heating
             | inefficient compared with propane or wood heat, which
             | doesn't make sense to me.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | The best natural gas power plants are 64% efficient. A
               | modern furnace is around 95%. Sure electric restive heat
               | is 100% efficient in your house, but the whole system us
               | much worse.
               | 
               | Of course electric can come from many sources, if your is
               | renewable at the time resistive is good. However you
               | might also be using some old 1920s coal generator that is
               | 10% efficient (these still exist, but are only used in
               | the worst emergencies)
        
               | anikom15 wrote:
               | Natural gas (not sure about wood; in most areas it's
               | abundant) is about 1/3 of the cost of electricity in
               | America, so it's economically less efficient.
        
           | ARandumGuy wrote:
           | Resistive heat is 100% efficient, but heat pumps can operate
           | at greater then 100% efficiency. That's because a heat pump
           | doesn't actually generate heat, but just moves it around.
           | Even when it's cold outside, there's still a lot of heat
           | energy in the air, which can be moved inside to warm your
           | home.
           | 
           | Due to the increased efficiency, heat pumps are better then
           | electric resistive heat (when temperatures outside are within
           | the heat pump's operating range, that is). This is regardless
           | of the method of power generation.
        
           | gibspaulding wrote:
           | Since heat pumps are moving heat around rather than actually
           | producing it, they can be effectively better than 100%
           | efficient so it's not so much that resistive heat is
           | inefficient, but that it's less efficient than a heat pump.
        
       | brilee wrote:
       | I wrote up a brief discussion here on the boiling points of
       | refrigerants https://www.moderndescartes.com/essays/refrigerants/
       | 
       | The long and short of it is that if the heat pump works below
       | -20F, then the boiling point of the refrigerant must be below
       | -20F. This, in turn, implies a higher pressurization (as per the
       | Clausius-Clapeyron eq) required in order to achieve a T_hot of
       | 80F (or whatever output temperature you want. The higher
       | pressurizations require more expensive components and
       | compressors.
        
         | Scoundreller wrote:
         | Maybe I'm dumb, but aren't compressors pressure-agnostic? They
         | just add pressure, right?
         | 
         | Other than needing to be a bit stronger to keep from bursting
         | against the higher delta with the ambient atmospheric pressure
         | like the rest of the components.
        
           | zip1234 wrote:
           | Even if you do need to make thicker pipes, strength in a
           | metal generally increases with the square of the thickness,
           | so it doesn't cost twice as much in materials to double the
           | strength.
        
             | londons_explore wrote:
             | This isn't true. For pipes, double the pressure requires
             | double the wall thickness, which requires double the
             | material.
             | 
             | However, I don't think raw material cost is a big part of
             | the cost of refrigeration systems anyway.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > For pipes, double the pressure requires double the wall
               | thickness, which requires double the material.
               | 
               | Double the wall thickness requires more than double the
               | material.
        
               | samtho wrote:
               | The "soft" copper tubing they use in refrigerant lines is
               | not only very cheap (it's not 100% copper) but is very
               | much over built for pressure it is likely going to be
               | subject to. It's way cheaper, in this instance, to simply
               | sell a line set that works with 99% of systems instead of
               | having dedicated factory lines and consumer confusion
               | from having different grades of registrant tubing.
        
           | SnowHill9902 wrote:
           | Power for compressible fluids is approximately proportional
           | to the relation of pressures not difference.
        
           | Cerium wrote:
           | In this case there is a higher delta between the system and
           | the atmosphere as well as a higher delta between the hot and
           | the cold side, which is what requires a stronger compressor.
        
             | Gibbon1 wrote:
             | I had a HVAC guy mention that seals are problematic always
             | with non hermetic compressors. Everything larger than a
             | fractional HP system has a shaft seal between the
             | compressor and the motor. Small systems being a pain
             | because there is less refrigerant and no way to monitor the
             | amount.
        
               | warmwaffles wrote:
               | There is a way to monitor it, but you'd need to put in
               | T-Junctions and add a pressure sensor on the high and low
               | pressure sides. You'd then need to rig up some system to
               | read those pressures. But _you_ would be unfortunately
               | the one that has to do it because I don't think there are
               | any off the shelf solutions.
        
           | mindslight wrote:
           | The ideal model of everything is everything-agnostic.
           | 
           | Refrigeration stuff is generally soft copper, and modern
           | refrigerants are already working up in the hundreds of PSI.
           | So I can see that getting expensive or requiring a sea change
           | in materials.
        
             | eloff wrote:
             | If they're using copper, changing materials would probably
             | save money. Copper is comparatively expensive. I suspect
             | your premise that they are using mostly copper is
             | incorrect, but then I write software for a living, what do
             | I know.
        
               | loeg wrote:
               | Copper is (very) effective for conducting heat. Aluminum
               | is also pretty effective but obviously has different
               | material properties than copper. It might be a good fit
               | here; I don't work in the space.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Aluminum generally has fatigue limits that mean it will
               | fail eventually, releasing refrigerant (which is normally
               | an environmental disaster)
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | what qualifies as a disaster? the amount of refrigerant
               | in a consumer unit just doesn't seem like a lot even if
               | 100% of it was released. if it was a continuous supply,
               | then maybe it could get disaster level, but these are
               | closed systems with a finite amount. at these levels, it
               | seems to me that just driving one's car would qualify as
               | an environmental disaster.
        
               | adonovan wrote:
               | If a typical large split system has about 10Kg of R410A
               | (GWP = 2000x CO2) that's about 20 metric tonnes of CO2.
               | Compare to 5 tonnes for an average passenger car per
               | year. So a leak is like four years of driving a car.
               | 
               | Is it a disaster when an invisible odorless gas escapes
               | and no-one notices? Or when a tree falls in forest? Not
               | on its own, but our entire crisis is a pile of sand
               | grains each too small to count.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | My real point was accident vs disaster. Whether anyone
               | knows about it or not (someone will know when the AC
               | doesn't work and the repair tech sees it being empty). If
               | one house looses coolant, then I'd call it an accident.
               | If a vendor has a major problem during manufacturing so
               | that the majority of units fail, then maybe we can use
               | bigger words.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | The issue isn't just the 1st one that breaks the issue is
               | the other 100,000+ that do.
        
               | dashundchen wrote:
               | The newer refrigeratants that require higher pressures
               | are much better for ozone and have a lower global warming
               | potential.
               | 
               | Pentane and isopentane, R601 being one of them (of course
               | flammability is a problem) and R744 which is just CO2.
        
               | kazen44 wrote:
               | aluminium also has the problem that it is a dissimaler
               | enough metal from most other plumbing hardware (being
               | either made of brass, copper or steel) that it will
               | result in the buildup of a lot of gunk because the
               | aluminium disolves.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | That's galvanic corrosion, but it's usually an issue in
               | water. I don't know that it would be a problem with
               | refrigerants, likely not.
        
               | pjc50 wrote:
               | Copper has long been the choice for piping because it's
               | soft enough to bend without cracking. The obvious #2
               | choice, stainless steel, is often even more expensive.
               | 
               | (I don't like the standard HN analysis technique of
               | assuming that another field has made a really basic error
               | that can be spotted by an autodidact from outside)
        
               | etrautmann wrote:
               | While I generally agree with your response to the
               | perceived arrogance - shouldn't we all ask if we can do
               | better than assuming someone else is an expert and has
               | fully optimized a solution? As long as we approach new
               | domains with a sense of humility and respect I think it's
               | desirable to always be looking for better solutions.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | > _assuming someone else is an expert and has fully
               | optimized a solution?_
               | 
               | I wasn't offering my own singular expert [0] opinion, but
               | rather pointing out what I've observed the entire
               | industry has seemingly converged on. Despite being
               | subject to the hyper-cost-optimization of the consumer
               | market, every refrigeration appliance I've seen still
               | uses copper heat exchanger tubes and copper piping.
               | 
               | I would welcome someone chiming in saying something like
               | "actually I work in HVAC and things are moving towards
               | aluminum heat exchanger tubes and stainless piping" or
               | "that's already the case for most new building-scale
               | systems", because I'd learn something new. But "just
               | asking questions" based on one single material property
               | isn't particularly helpful.
               | 
               | And yeah, copper has gotten expensive. That has helped
               | some new technologies displace it (eg PEX), but copper is
               | also still used where it's needed (eg PEX and PEX
               | fittings over 1" nominal (which is equivalent to 3/4
               | copper) are prohibitively expensive for some reason).
               | 
               | [0] In fact, I'm not a refrigeration professional, and
               | have yet to pretend to be one. I just tend to look at how
               | things are built.
        
               | eloff wrote:
               | First off, I was upfront about my ignorance. Secondly,
               | copper is way more expensive than stainless steel, unless
               | I'm missing something. More than 8x according to random
               | websites on Google.
               | 
               | I'm sure there is a reason copper is used, but if the
               | industry has to find an alternative, it would likely be
               | cheaper.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | Stainless sucks at heat transfer, and has to be welded.
               | Copper can be soldered (low temperature), or I believe
               | refrigeration lines are commonly brazed (higher
               | temperature).
               | 
               | Material cost doesn't tell the whole story. Stainless is
               | harder to work with, therefore costs more to manufacture.
               | And even if it ended up being less expensive in the long
               | run, there would a lot of capital equipment to recover.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | jasonwatkinspdx wrote:
               | FWIW there does seem to be a certain blind spot about PEX
               | as an alternative in the US.
               | 
               | A friend redid his whole house with it himself to great
               | success. He mentioned one of the contractors he got a bid
               | from while deciding his plan, when asked about PEX, said
               | "Well that just saves you time and money" in tone of
               | dismissal.
               | 
               | I think there's something similar going on with ductless
               | heat pumps in the US. They're a fantastic option in my
               | area but still uncommon. Part of that seems to be the
               | installers make more from other options.
               | 
               | I very much agree with you about the tendency of HN's
               | community to assume other industries are simply obvious
               | idiots, rather than realizing they're just ignorant of
               | that industry's reality.
        
         | FuriouslyAdrift wrote:
         | Scroll compressors have come down in cost a bunch in the last
         | few years. There's really very few reasons not to get a heat
         | pump, now, for new construction.
        
           | nightski wrote:
           | The main reason in my area is that a.) these fancy new
           | efficient ones aren't available easily and b.) no contractors
           | in the area to install/service them. I just got a new gas
           | furnace and really wanted to add a heat pump to the mix but
           | after several quotes all of them either said no or strongly
           | avoided the question. I couldn't get a straight answer.
        
           | bityard wrote:
           | Even in areas where natural gas is much cheaper than
           | electricity?
        
             | FriedPickles wrote:
             | Id love to see a combined heat and power system that burns
             | natural gas to drive a heat pump compressor, and recovers
             | the combustion heat. I wonder what multiplier it would get
             | on a therm.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | There are refrigerators that run directly off of propane.
               | https://www.ferrellgas.com/tank-talk/blog-articles/how-
               | propa...
               | 
               | The working temperatures of ammonia are probably wrong
               | for a heat pump, but perhaps something similar could be
               | devised.
        
               | nanomonkey wrote:
               | I've been contemplating the same thing. Something like
               | the WhisperGen stirling engine hot water heater should be
               | available to everyone. Hell even a water cooled honda
               | generator that runs off natural gas, and pumps the
               | radiator fluid into your home for heating purposes would
               | be nice. It seems weird that we aren't producing
               | electricity when ever you burn natural gas for heating.
        
             | icedistilled wrote:
             | yes. Because Global warming/climate change is real and
             | installing new furnaces bakes in decades of additional
             | natural gas usage. Also, that natural gas price may change.
        
             | dgacmu wrote:
             | A heat pump is likely to have an average efficiency of near
             | 300% - call it 250 if you want to hedge. A high efficiency
             | condensing gas furnace gets about 95%. So on a per-watt-
             | hour basis (equiv., BTUs), your gas must cost less than
             | roughly 1/3 what your electric costs.
             | 
             | There are additional savings if your gas furnace is the
             | only gas appliance in your house and you can remove gas
             | service entirely, saving the monthly customer fee.
        
               | pandaman wrote:
               | And to get to 250% COP in heating on average you'd expect
               | to have, at least, 8.5 HSPF2 rating on your heat pump
               | (it's still just the heating performance w/o de-frosting
               | cycles as far as I understand so the real world COP of a
               | 8.5 HSPF2 will be lower than 2.5)
        
         | raverbashing wrote:
         | > The higher pressurizations require more expensive components
         | and compressors
         | 
         | Sure, that sounds like an acceptable compromise for those who
         | need the lower operating temperatures
         | 
         | And maybe technology can get those compressors at the same
         | price point of current compressors
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | But then current compressors would end up cheaper and a
           | difference would still exist.
        
             | szundi wrote:
             | Or not produced anymore and prices go up for legacy system
             | maintenance. Like try to buy 4MB of EDO RAM
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | I don't think that will happen. The price difference will
               | be substantial due to the changes required and volume
               | will probably not be enough to offset those.
        
               | abracadaniel wrote:
               | Your point should stand, but it did make me discover that
               | people make new 30pin 4MB simms, which were very
               | difficult to get for years because they were commonly
               | used in ATMs and only available used.
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | > then the boiling point of the refrigerant must be below -20F
         | 
         | This isn't the limiting factor for choice of refrigerant...
         | There is _always_ a low enough pressure that anything boils.
         | 
         | The problem is that at very low pressures (think a few
         | millibars), gasses need huge diameter pipes and huge pumps to
         | move even a small number of kilowatts of heat.
        
           | brilee wrote:
           | Another issue is that at pressures below one atmosphere, the
           | system will suck in ambient air, causing condensation to
           | collect inside your refrigeration circuit, which creates ice
           | crystals, etc... nobody does that.
        
             | londons_explore wrote:
             | Plenty of systems work below atmospheric pressure. For
             | example, Fridge freezers most commonly use isobutane
             | (R600a), and when operating with the freezer at -20C, the
             | pressure will be half an atmosphere (ie. -0.5 bar below
             | atmospheric).
             | 
             | The systems are filled using a vacuum pump to ensure there
             | is very little atmospheric air in them, and they also use a
             | 'filter dryer', which is a chemical compound chosen to trap
             | any remaining water and various other common contaminants.
        
       | a_square_peg wrote:
       | We need heat pump that work below -20F like we need an electric
       | car that can go 1000 miles in a single charge - which is we
       | really don't for the 99% of the use case. What's needed is a heat
       | pump that's cheaper to install than gas furnace or oil boiler for
       | the 80% of the population. On few days of the year when it's -20F
       | or below, it's ok to use resistive heater as a back up.
        
         | loloquwowndueo wrote:
         | Millions of Canadians would disagree with that assessment.
        
           | a_square_peg wrote:
           | I'm Canadian myself. Heat Pump is actually very popular in
           | the eastern maritime provinces and is gaining in popularity
           | elsewhere also.
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | I think a cheap heat pump and a cheap wood stove for
         | emergencies would be ideal. Depending on resistive heat can be
         | dangerous if power goes out.
        
         | scojomodena wrote:
         | Sort of, but really we need both. Yes cheaper for most people.
         | But as someone who lives in Minnesota, we definitely get below
         | those temps. By code we require full backup resistive heaters
         | for a heat pump at such a rating which increases the full cost
         | and installation cost. Plus, it is much less efficient than a
         | heat pump (though efficiency lowers as the temp gets colder due
         | to defrost cycles).
        
         | mindslight wrote:
         | AFAICT one of the main difficulties with heat pumps is that
         | they want to use low temperature heat emitters, similar to
         | condensing boilers. This is a general thermodynamic rule, but
         | hits sources aiming for high efficiency extra hard, since
         | they've been designed around exploiting it.
         | 
         | So you can't just take a decades old system with oil/gas using
         | finned radiators, just replace the boiler, and have it supply
         | enough heat on the coldest day ("design day"). Rather you'd at
         | least need to add some additional emitters, greatly increasing
         | the scope of the project for a professional installer.
         | 
         | What I haven't been able to find an answer to is that everybody
         | says hydronic heat pumps need low delta T of 5-10 degree F
         | (implying high flow rate for given heat transfer). But I would
         | think the real constraint would be just on their leaving water
         | temperature, and a heat pump (load side) that took in 100F and
         | put out 120F (at say 5GPM) would be happier and more efficient
         | than one that took in 110F and put out 120F (at 10GPM). But
         | I've yet to find anything that confirms this.
        
           | sokoloff wrote:
           | Your intuition is correct on the last point. Where the
           | "everybody says" side is coming from is the _average water
           | temperature_ in the emitters (and therefore heat flux from
           | emitters to the building) will be higher if the flow (supply)
           | is 120degF and return is 110degF than if the flow is 120degF
           | and return is 100degF.
           | 
           | That's why designers are often specifying lower delta-Ts for
           | low-temperature emitters: to allow the flow temperatures to
           | remain as low as possible [for efficiency] at a given average
           | water temperature [for effective heating].
        
             | mindslight wrote:
             | It's definitely in line with general thermodynamics. One
             | would expect lower entering water temperature to be more
             | efficient (especially with the condenser being
             | counterflow). I'm just not sure if there's something
             | specific about the design of real world heat pumps that
             | makes it so that higher delta T across the pump is
             | problematic. I thought I would have come across some
             | hydronic professional explaining this a bit more in depth
             | while focusing on each variable, but so far I have not.
             | 
             | Maybe it never comes up in practice because heat pump
             | systems inevitably need some kind of buffer tank. If you're
             | designing a system from scratch then you design for lower
             | delta-T in the emitters to keep the max water temperature
             | down. And if you're using existing emitters then you just
             | live with the inefficiency due to higher max water temp,
             | but still keep the flow from the heat pump to buffer tank
             | high regardless (to keep the max water temp from being even
             | higher).
        
               | a9h74j wrote:
               | There is a YT video with Matt Risinger
               | discussing/promoting "Thermafloor"(IIRC) which uses 25mil
               | aluminum over the full surface of the flooring panels.
               | They discuss some of the benefits of lower water
               | temperature, but not all of the variables.
        
           | amluto wrote:
           | > What I haven't been able to find an answer to is that
           | everybody says heat pumps need low delta T of 5-10 degree F
           | (implying high flow rate for given heat transfer)
           | 
           | I don't see why this would matter at all. Maybe the heat
           | exchanger would need to be sized differently for a different
           | flow rate, but in general a lower entering water temperature
           | on the hot side seems preferable.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | sigmar wrote:
         | I'm not an expert on the topic, but I imagine that a heat pump
         | that can handle -20F is also much more energy efficient when
         | the temp is 0F (in comparison to a heat pump that was rated
         | only for -5F, operating at 0F).
        
         | Someone1234 wrote:
         | Isn't the primary issue not the cost of installation, but
         | rather the cost of the fuel? Natural gas in most of the US is
         | far cheaper than electricity, and even if heat pumps are
         | theoretically more efficient than natural gas (energy in:heat
         | out), if the fuel is two or three times cheaper none of that
         | matters.
        
           | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
           | In most places in the US, in normal working conditions, Heat
           | Pumps are 30%+ cheaper than a gas furnace to run.
           | 
           | However, in some really cold places like Chicago,
           | Minneapolis, etc - the days where current heat pumps are
           | inefficient might be enough to make it cheaper to always run
           | gas.
           | 
           | OP is proposing to have both systems and only run the gas
           | furnace on extreme days - which would lead to a ~30%
           | reduction in running costs.
           | 
           | I suspect the CapEx of having two heaters wouldn't make
           | sense, though.
           | 
           | It'd be better to just have a hear pump that can run
           | efficiently at colder temps.
        
             | mrep wrote:
             | You generally have an air conditioner though as well as a
             | furnace and you can get those that can also work as a heat
             | pump. Mine supposedly works as both but they only set it up
             | for cooling and my gas furnace does all the heating :(
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | Scoundreller wrote:
             | I think it's the opex of 2 grid connections that messes
             | with the numbers.
             | 
             | Depends on how your utility charges, but I feel like
             | many/most sell you the gas roughly "at cost" and then some
             | fixed monthly delivery/connection charge that covers their
             | regulated rate of return on their network equity.
             | 
             | Oil or propane supplemental heat might be cheaper than
             | Natgas supplemental heat. My money is on wood pellet stoves
             | for supp heat for those that don't require full automation.
             | Or maybe even dirty coal...
        
             | BobbyJo wrote:
             | Also, the capex of gas delivery. Not needing infra to
             | deliver gas to each and every house would likely be a
             | pretty big win.
        
           | Epa095 wrote:
           | Unless gas is subsidised I don't really understand how gas
           | can be cheaper. A modern heat pump can give 3-5 kWh of heat
           | using 1 kWh of electricity. And a modern gas generator is
           | roughly 50% effecient at creating electricity (according to
           | the Internet). So by using electric and a heat pump you
           | should be able to get 1.5-2.5 times more heat from the same
           | gas by making electricity of it first compared to burning it
           | directly.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Modern residential gas furnace is 90% or more efficient.
        
               | Epa095 wrote:
               | Makes sense (I would have guessed closer to 99%
               | actually). But 99% is still less than both 150% and
               | 250%:-P
        
               | happyopossum wrote:
               | You seem to assume that energy cost is the same no matter
               | how it's delivered. Here in California, electricity is
               | much more expensive than natural gas for the same amount
               | of potential energy.
        
               | Epa095 wrote:
               | Yeah delivery cost might be a factor, maybe it costs more
               | to deliver 1 kWh of electricity through a wire than (the
               | equivalent of) 1 kWh of gas with a truck (that's what you
               | use right?). Gas, if its stored in a big tank under your
               | house, also had the advantage of beeing "locally cached",
               | so you don't have to dimension the system for the max
               | load in the same way.
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | Many urbanized areas in the US have natural gas
               | distribution pipelines.
               | 
               | Rural areas rely on propane delivery, which is roughly 2x
               | the cost of the piped natural gas (per unit of energy).
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | What is the efficiency of the power generation system?
               | The whole system costs matter not just the individual
               | HVAC unit
        
             | chordalkeyboard wrote:
             | > A modern heat pump can give 3-5 kWh of heat using 1 kWh
             | of electricity.
             | 
             | At lower temperatures the modern heat pumps cannot attain
             | this COP, which is why they are working on heat pumps that
             | work at lower temperatures.
        
             | njarboe wrote:
             | At least in the US, electricity rates and natural gas
             | prices are highly regulated for retail customers. Thus the
             | wholesale price of gas does not generally correlate to the
             | retail price of electricity. In places like California
             | electricity prices are very high due to renewable
             | generation requirements. You would definitely want to have
             | your own solar installation before converting over to all
             | electricity in that state.
        
               | DoneWithAllThat wrote:
               | We're being forced to. After 2030 no more gas water
               | heaters or furnaces can be sold. The cost of heating your
               | house and water here is going to probably triple or more,
               | and will fail every time there's a blackout.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Maybe the gas is cheap, but the monthly and up-front
           | connection costs mess with the economics.
           | 
           | And that cost will only go up as people cut the gas cord.
           | 
           | Depends on how your utility bills out it's infrastructure:
           | some charge minimal monthly connection fees, others a lot.
           | 
           | I honestly wouldn't want to own a residential-focussed gas
           | distribution company unless someone revolutionizes stirling
           | engines or micro cogen systems and people start cutting their
           | electric cord.
        
             | lizknope wrote:
             | I live in a pretty standard suburban subdivision in the US.
             | All the houses are 25 years old. I have about 60 coworkers
             | in very similar situations. I think everyone of us has
             | natural gas that was installed when the original company
             | built all the homes in the subdivision over the course of a
             | year. Stuff gets a lot cheaper when everything is put into
             | the ground at the same time. My monthly gas connection fee
             | is $10 so that in the summer my bill is around $19 which is
             | $9 for the water heater and $10 for the connection fee.
        
           | kube-system wrote:
           | The thing with heat pumps is that they can be as much as 300%
           | efficient (effectively) or more. This is because they can get
           | "free" heat from the environment.
           | 
           | So even if per unit of energy gas is way cheaper, heat pumps
           | can _still_ come out ahead.
        
             | anikom15 wrote:
             | This is true when it's warm enough outside that you don't
             | need the heat pump anyway. When the temperature becomes
             | cold, it's a different story.
             | 
             | Heat pumps might make sense when you have a well-insulated
             | house, like the kinds in Northern Europe, to trap heat and
             | reduce the power required to heat the room. American houses
             | in most places are far too drafty.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Heat pumps might make sense when you have a well-
               | insulated house, like the kinds in Northern Europe, to
               | trap heat and reduce the power required to heat the room.
               | American houses in most places are far too drafty.
               | 
               | If you need significant heating _or_ cooling in a home,
               | the first thing you need is to deal with is insulation,
               | otherwise nothing you do is going to work well.
        
               | anikom15 wrote:
               | That's true, but unless you are doing some kind of
               | industrial work (including running very hot computers),
               | you shouldn't need significant heating or cooling in most
               | of America.
               | 
               | The idea that indoors needs to be between 72deg (F) and
               | 75deg at all times is unsustainable.
               | 
               | The other problem is that if you _do_ decide to insulate
               | the house, then you may end up needing to use A /C
               | because the house can no longer be wind-cooled to an
               | acceptable temperature, and you will need to update the
               | heating system as traditional methods of heating
               | (fireplace, stove, simple furnaces) depend on external
               | air circulation.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > That's true, but unless you are doing some kind of
               | industrial work (including running very hot computers),
               | you shouldn't need significant heating or cooling in most
               | of America.
               | 
               | > The idea that indoors needs to be between 72deg (F) and
               | 75deg at all times is unsustainable.
               | 
               | The WHO recommends a general minimum household
               | temperature of 64degF for all populations for health
               | reasons, with a higher minimum for sensitive groups
               | including children and the elderly; maximums are more
               | regionally variant because acclimitization (which takes
               | years) plays more of a factor in high-heat health risks,
               | but even in extreme regions seems to top out at about
               | 90degF for the general population.
               | 
               | Lots of the US spends lots of time significantly out of
               | at least one end of that range (and, especially given
               | that the top gets lower in colder regions, lots of the US
               | spends lots of time significantly out on both ends of the
               | scale.)
               | 
               | > The other problem is that if you do decide to insulate
               | the house, then you may end up needing to use A/C because
               | the house can no longer be wind-cooled to an acceptable
               | temperature
               | 
               | If you have a house that is insulated well _and also_
               | lacks doors and windows that can be opened, sure.
               | 
               | But... that presents other problems, too.
        
             | Epa095 wrote:
             | Modern heat pumps can be up to 500% efficient (using 1kWh
             | of energy gives 5 kWh of heat) at optimal temperature.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | Yes, I went with "300 or more" because that's a more
               | typical number for a run-of-the-mill unit.
        
               | a9h74j wrote:
               | And even the low-temperature-capable heat pumps reduce
               | toward 100% at the low temperature end, IIRC.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Yep, here's a spec sheet for a unit I'm looking at as a
               | drop-in ducted replacement for my existing system -- it
               | has all of the models listed, but I'm looking at the
               | 4-ton unit (12k btu per ton, so 4-ton = 48k BTU, hence
               | the MDU180 _48_ ): https://mrcool.com/wp-
               | content/dox_repo/mc-uni-perf-ss-en-01....
               | 
               | It takes 7kw at 17oF to provide 48k BTU. There are
               | 0.293W/hr per BTU so 7,000W = 25k BTU "in" and 48k BTU
               | "out" or a COP of 1.9. At -15oF, it's using 5.9KW but can
               | only produce 28,500. So a COP of ~1.4. Still better than
               | electric resistive heating but not by much. At 40oF, the
               | COP is more like 3.3 which is in line with the very
               | efficient numbers.
               | 
               | Fortunately my 99% design temp is ~8oF and my area only
               | sees 20hrs below zero per year, so this will work just
               | fine for me.
        
           | a_square_peg wrote:
           | Interesting thing here is that natural gas is about 1/3 the
           | cost of electricity per energy unit, so when the COP is above
           | 3, it's cheaper to heat home using heat pump.
           | 
           | The reason why natural gas is about 1/3 of the cost of
           | electriciy is because most natural gas power plants run at
           | thermal efficiency of about 30%.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | Combined cycle natural gas plants have an efficiency of
             | about 60% (lower heating value). Even simple cycle NG
             | plants are about 40% efficient (again LHV).
        
         | doikor wrote:
         | Yup. And at least here in Finland the pumps come with the
         | resistive heater included so it automatically switches over to
         | it once it gets too cold.
         | 
         | Which where most people live here averages to less then 1 day
         | per year so not a big deal.
         | 
         | Way bigger issue here is some fall storm destroying the power
         | lines and being without electricity for multiple days when it
         | already is cold enough they one needs heating.
        
           | kube-system wrote:
           | That's an issue even with gas furnaces here in the US, as
           | they won't run without electricity.
        
             | dahfizz wrote:
             | True, but furnaces have a much lower power draw. They are
             | easy to run off a generator, which are common in areas that
             | frequently lose power.
        
             | jacamera wrote:
             | Yes but it only requires a couple hundred watts to power
             | the blower motor and electronics of a gas furnace. They're
             | easy to power off of a small portable generator or even a
             | cheap inverter hooked up to your car. The same cannot be
             | said of a heat pump or resistive heater.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | They are, and I have a contingency plan for this myself,
               | but few people have the tools and knowledge required to
               | accomplish this.
        
         | AuryGlenz wrote:
         | Eh, for the first time I got an alert message on my cell phone
         | asking people to reduce their electricity usage during a
         | blizzard here in rural Minnesota.
         | 
         | If everyone is suddenly using electric heat when it's -20 in an
         | area there might be load issues.
        
           | mirrorlake wrote:
           | The number of electric devices added to the grid is likely a
           | predictable percent increase every day/month/year, and
           | likewise, the acceleration of that change is probably
           | somewhat predictable, too.
           | 
           | This is not to say we shouldn't be concerned, but denying
           | yourself the most energy efficient technologies available
           | (EVs, heat pumps, etc) because you're afraid of power outages
           | 5-10 years from now seems like overkill.
        
         | bowow wrote:
         | If everyone uses resistive heat during that 1% of the time that
         | it's -20F or below, the electric grid goes down and then no one
         | gets heat. Consider what just happened in the southeast with
         | TVA and rolling blackouts. That was precisely because it was
         | too cold for heat pumps and so everyone's resistive heat
         | engaged at the same time. I don't think your EV range
         | comparison is a particularly good one. You can control your
         | stops on a road trip, you can't control when it's colder than
         | -20F outside.
        
           | ledauphin wrote:
           | If they can manage the grid granularly enough and isolate
           | critical environments like hospitals, nursing homes, etc., I
           | really don't see a good reason for us to overbuild to handle
           | the third standard deviation of electricity demand. It makes
           | a lot more sense to set the expectation that on the coldest
           | days of the year, your house may spend a few hours
           | disconnected from the grid in order to shed load. Not only
           | does the avoid overbuilding, but it also contributes to less
           | overall fragility in society, because black swan events that
           | happen once every 50 or 100 years are the sorts of things we
           | can't build for anyway, so it's better if people are prepared
           | to endure the unexpected from time to time anyway.
        
       | yosito wrote:
       | Meanwhile, most people in the US don't even know what a "heat
       | pump" is, and think that "air conditioners" are inherently
       | wasteful and bad for the environment.
        
         | Scoundreller wrote:
         | It is kinda a concern with heat pump rollouts in Europe: now
         | that people that didn't have air conditioning before will have
         | it and will adopt it.
         | 
         | Having said that, too much of my EU family still thinks air
         | conditioning makes you sick... and a lot of the latest germ
         | theory (aerosol transmission or respiratory viruses) is
         | confirming they might be right. Ugh. At least the rental cars
         | usually have AC nowadays.
        
           | newZWhoDis wrote:
           | That's absurd, AC doesn't "make you sick". What basis could
           | anyone have for such a claim?
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | AC evaporators and condensate pans can breed bacteria and
             | mold. At best this can be smelly, at worst it can make you
             | seriously sick. See the history of Legionnaires disease.
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | If you have individual room split units you just clean
               | them yearly or so. Just open the interior unit and spray
               | it with the cleaning solution. Smells nice too :)
               | 
               | Whole house a/c systems like the US has are an entirely
               | different matter... don't know how you clean all those
               | ducts.
        
               | anikom15 wrote:
               | I've never seen anyone clean their A/C system.
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | Put "air conditioning cleaning spray" in Amazon. You open
               | the plastic cover of the indoor part and spray the
               | internal radiator.
               | 
               | There's stuff for cars too.
        
               | jupp0r wrote:
               | You need to maintain these systems. Otherwise
               | refrigerators, sinks and toilets also make you sick.
        
             | Scoundreller wrote:
             | There are hazards to recirculating air (instead of opening
             | a window), e.g. aerosol viruses, off-gasing and some of
             | these people smoke like chimneys.
        
       | pitaj wrote:
       | It was down to -8F (not including wind chill) a couple days ago
       | here. I have a small, old house but I'm considering replacing the
       | old system I have now with a heat pump.
       | 
       | My concern is two-fold:
       | 
       | - my house is not well air sealed
       | 
       | - my house is not well insulated
       | 
       | So I worry that I'll need an extremely oversized heat pump in
       | order to have enough capacacity for the coldest days.
       | 
       | I suppose having a backup heating source would prevent needing
       | such a large unit. Plus it would provide some amount of
       | redundancy of the heat pump were to fail in the winter.
       | 
       | The question then is, should I use electric backup heat, or stick
       | with my existing gas connection? Electric is simpler and there's
       | no exhaust fumes or CO risk to worry about, but gas is still
       | cheaper here I think.
        
         | Scoundreller wrote:
         | What are your no-use natural gas costs like? Might make a wood
         | stove, oil, wood pellets or maybe even propane cheaper. And
         | then you're not depending on two grids for standby/supplemental
         | heat.
        
         | coryrc wrote:
         | The best ROI is to insulate and air seal.
        
           | hn_go_brrrrr wrote:
           | And if you can only do one, air sealing is almost always
           | preferable.
        
         | jebarker wrote:
         | We live in the Colorado Front Range in a 50 year old house that
         | isn't particularly well insulated. We have a Mitsubishi high-
         | efficiency air source heat pump distributing air through our
         | existing duct work. We have electric backup inside the air
         | handler. Last week it got down to -15F overnight. The heat pump
         | ran throughout and there was only really activity from the
         | electric backup during the occasional defrost cycle. We keep
         | our house pretty warm too as we have a baby.
         | 
         | In winter the heat pump seems to have no issues meeting our
         | heating needs albeit at quite a bit higher overall utility cost
         | compared to our old gas furnace. In summer the heat pump is
         | much more efficient than our old AC unit and our solar panels
         | cover >100% of our usage from ~April-Oct.
         | 
         | Prior to installing the heat pump we did as much insulating as
         | we could (mostly attic) and I think that was important for
         | enabling the heat pump to keep up in the cold. The nature of
         | the heating is lower level and continuous compared to the
         | occasional blasting from a gas furnace, so you do want to
         | prevent rapid leakage of heat from the house.
        
         | sokoloff wrote:
         | My 2 cents: Find your local "design heating temperature" and
         | then determine your tolerance for the house falling a few
         | degrees below the setpoint during the 1% of hours that the
         | outside temperature will be below that. Most people would be
         | fine if their house fell to 67degF or 68degF for a few hours,
         | especially since some of those hours are bound to be at night
         | (where other people are setting their stats back to those
         | levels anyway and you might well be asleep and never notice).
         | 
         | If you have no other gas appliances and generally reliable
         | electric supply, I'd be inclined towards going with electric
         | backup. That avoids the $10-15/month gas meter charge, which
         | pays for a fair amount of the more costly electric heat. If you
         | have other gas appliances and cheap [at least for now] natural
         | gas supply, going with a natural gas backup allows you to use
         | the cheaper source of heat for both backup and/or in case
         | electricity rates go up substantially versus gas.
         | 
         | CO risk is minimal and you should have a line-powered CO meter
         | in the mechanical room and some CO meter on each level of the
         | house anyway.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | > have a line-powered CO meter
           | 
           | Thank you for stating this. If your furnace requires
           | electricity to run, you don't need a battery-powered or
           | battery backup CO meter. Unless you have a wood stove or
           | light fires indoors when it gets chilly. Otherwise you're
           | just wasting batteries.
        
         | r0m4n0 wrote:
         | I'm in a very similar predicament but the temperature where I'm
         | at only go down to the 30s-40s mostly during the winter. I get
         | some rebates where I'm at to replace a furnace so that brings
         | replacement costs to be about equal between furnace and heat
         | pump. I don't have solar, kw per hour costs are around 13
         | cents. My AC is non op needing to be replaced (it regularly
         | gets into the 100s for months on end) and my furnace is
         | functioning at 25 years old and no problems, although when it
         | turns on it sounds like a small bomb exploding in my ducts. I
         | have 50% of my house with extremely drafty single pane windows,
         | the other 50% have been replaced. House was made in the 1930s
         | out of brick and appears to be well insulated otherwise though.
         | 
         | I am afraid that my overall utility expenses will go up
         | drastically with a heat pump though. Can a heat pump even keep
         | up with a house that loses heat like crazy out of the windows?
         | I seem to get contradicting information from the salespeople,
         | the internet, etc. if anyone has any anecdotal info it would be
         | greatly appreciated
        
           | Qwertious wrote:
           | If your main heat problem is the single-pane windows, perhaps
           | you could use the bubble-wrap trick?
           | 
           | https://www.builditsolar.com/Projects/Conservation/bubblewra.
           | ..
        
         | cbrozefsky wrote:
         | Others have said it, but it bears repeating. Do the air sealing
         | and then insulation ASAP. It increases comfort and the ROI is
         | way higher than moving to a heat pump.
         | 
         | I started with my old Vermont home with minimal insulation,
         | single pane metal frame windows that would ice up, and drafts
         | everywhere. After our first winter, we had the local efficiency
         | program recommend a contractor who came out and measured air
         | exchange and identified the order of work. New windows, sealing
         | attic, re-insulating attic. We got a considerable tax credit
         | for the work, and the comfort improvement was astounding.
         | 
         | Just this last summer we made the jump to mini-split heat
         | pumps. They are working well, but I doubt that would be the
         | case without the air sealing. We keep them set at their lowest,
         | 61F, and supplement with a wood stove in the living room, maybe
         | burning 2 cords a year.
         | 
         | As an aside, this is our first winter, and our bill for
         | December was 300 dollars, at $0.18/kWh. That's about 25% lower
         | than our estimated oil charges last year for the same period.
         | However, this year oil is ~$4.6, almost 50% higher, so that
         | hedge against fossil fuel price is really paying off. Add in
         | the AC comfort that is largely offset by our solar array, and
         | they are a worthy investment (oh, and 0% financing).
         | 
         | None of this would be working without that critical investment
         | in air sealing and insulation.
        
         | pinkorchid wrote:
         | It may be worth insulating it first. It cost me just about
         | $1500 to go from effectively no attic insulation to R60 for a
         | thousand sq ft, and besides making a massive difference in
         | comfort it reduced energy usage by about 50%.
        
       | hooverd wrote:
       | How expensive would it be to run source water to an entire
       | neighborhood for heating and cooling? Have one heating/cooling
       | plant and per building heat pumps.
        
         | projectazorian wrote:
         | This is called district heating and is not uncommon, some
         | cities in the US have it (it's used in Manhattan for example)
         | but it's more popular in Europe and Asia, especially in
         | Scandinavia and former socialist countries.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/District_heating
        
           | hooverd wrote:
           | Lots of colleges have steam tunnels too. With individual heat
           | pumps you probably lose some efficiency but the source
           | doesn't have to get as hot or as cold. Doing a residential
           | retrofit sounds like herding cats but in somewhere like
           | Phoenix or Tucson the efficiency gains might be worth it.
        
         | mlsu wrote:
         | This is frequently done when you have a (very hot) boiler in a
         | power plant or chemical process nearby. A natural gas turbine
         | can't generate electricity very efficiently on even 212f steam,
         | so instead of building some gigantic turbine to get that last
         | bit out, you route the waste heat into a nearby neighborhood.
        
       | PreInternet01 wrote:
       | Having heat pumps that can operate during arctic freezes is of
       | course, and pardon my pun, pretty cool, but I wonder which
       | percentage of the consumer market actually requires this?
       | Especially keeping in mind that your pump not actively heating
       | its internal storage for a few hours every day is not a huge
       | issue: it only becomes problematic when the external heat
       | exchange is unavailable for 6-8 hours or so.
       | 
       | Another comment in the article, regarding electricity grid
       | impacts during peak demand periods, is more interesting to me.
       | Currently, there is no mechanism whatsoever for heat pumps to
       | automatically shift their grid draw (or re-delivery) to certain
       | time slots, and/or to coordinate those slots with other units
       | nearby. Both of these would greatly help to balance the grid, but
       | won't be available until standardization gets off the ground and
       | expensive retrofits are done. That's a shame, really...
        
         | eternityforest wrote:
         | It's usually about 35F to 22F daytime when I turn on the
         | heater, so efficiency at low temperatures would be the main
         | thing that matters. It doesn't get to -20F that often most
         | years, but it does hover around -5F for days at a time on
         | occasion.
         | 
         | Current generation heat pumps are probably still worth it but
         | ultra low temp performance would be nice.
        
         | therealcamino wrote:
         | There may be no existing, comprehensive central management of
         | electrical demand from heat pumps but that doesn't mean there
         | are no mechanisms whatsoever, because there are systems already
         | for regulating AC demand. In our region of the US, residential
         | customers can opt in to a system where the electric utility can
         | remotely disable their air conditioning compressor during times
         | of peak load, in exchange for discounts. There are agreements
         | on how long that can remain in effect, which would probably
         | have to be stricter for heating systems, and probably have
         | other safeguards added. There are also non-centralized AC
         | mechanisms through Nest thermostats, where they can pre-cool
         | buildings early in the morning to spread load out more evenly
         | during the day.
        
           | rainsford wrote:
           | Maybe just as important, whether or not there is a
           | centralized mechanism for dealing with it, utilities already
           | have exactly the same load problem with AC in the summer and
           | have more or less figured out how to deal with that. It may
           | be different in places where AC is less widespread, but in
           | most of the US I wouldn't expect heat pump load issues to be
           | much of a problem in the winter.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Winter is worse than summer, because Delta-t is much
             | bigger. 130f to 70f is 60 degree difference, while -30f to
             | 70f is 100 degrees difference.
        
         | altacc wrote:
         | There's quite a big market for this, such as a lot of the
         | Nordics, where -15C for a few days is common enough that not
         | having heating then would rapidly become an issue as homes
         | freeze quickly. At those temperatures you have heating on 24/7
         | to keep the cold at bay. Electricity costs on those cold days
         | are indeed high due to the constant demand of heating.
        
         | rektide wrote:
         | House heating tends to have controls from thermostats or other
         | devices; I'd tend to look to them for grid-related time-
         | shifting.
         | 
         | I did run across a release on a new generation of a heat-pump
         | hot-water heater, which does seem to have some kind of grid-
         | shifting built in. A. O. Smith's Voltex AL,
         | https://cleantechnica.com/2022/12/21/all-i-want-for-christma...
        
           | PreInternet01 wrote:
           | > House heating tends to have controls from thermostats or
           | other devices; I'd tend to look to them for grid-related
           | time-shifting
           | 
           | Not for heat pumps. In a typical configuration (large heat
           | reservoirs combined with under-floor heating in a well-
           | insulated house), temperature-setpoint changes take 12-24
           | hours to propagate.
           | 
           | So, governing the (in-room) target temperature settings is
           | unreliable/unpredictable. Whereas the in-pump storage
           | temperature is a whole lot more manageable.
           | 
           | The old advice "turn your thermostat down at night" therefore
           | also doesn't apply to most heat pump installations -- in
           | fact, it might be disadvantageous. "Select the average
           | temperature you need and don't touch it" is much better
           | advice. Need localized heat/cold? Use another solution for
           | that...
        
             | a9h74j wrote:
             | > don't touch it" is much better advice
             | 
             | Saw one heat pump controller discussed which had a curve
             | set for demand vs outside temperature, and the "thermostat"
             | was to set a delta relative to this.
        
         | mindslight wrote:
         | The standard large buffer tank is 120 gallons, which stores
         | about 20kBTU at 20F dT. So to last 4 hours you'd need your
         | design heating load to be 5kBTU/hr, which I think is out of the
         | realm of even new construction.
         | 
         | You could raise the max water temp and install a few tanks to
         | get in the ballpark, but that's an assumption that most systems
         | won't have. Also I wouldn't be surprised if "operates down to
         | -20F" includes reduced efficiency/output that already relies on
         | the buffer/storage to compensate for.
        
       | agentwiggles wrote:
       | My Senville mini split claims to work at temps down to -22F.
       | During this recent winter storm, temps got down to about -10
       | where I am, and it managed to keep my garage around 50F. Nowhere
       | near comfortable, but pretty damn impressive to be able to keep
       | my relatively poorly insulated garage 60 degrees above the
       | weather.
       | 
       | I was quite happy that this storm occurred while I was in
       | Christmas PTO, since my garage is my office. I could have made it
       | workable with a supplemental space heater but it was nice not to
       | have to!
        
       | therusskiy wrote:
       | I am lost.
       | 
       | Are heat pumps the same thing as split air conditioners that can
       | heat air?
        
         | zip1234 wrote:
         | A mini split is usually a heat pump system although some of
         | them use resistive heating. They have been getting much better
         | in recent years.
        
         | Qwertious wrote:
         | Heat pumps are also known as "reverse cycle air-conditioners".
        
           | downvotetruth wrote:
           | outside source(d) heater
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | ARandumGuy wrote:
         | Air conditioners are heat pumps. They move thermal energy from
         | the inside to the outside to cool a space.
         | 
         | In this context, a heat pump refers to the same type of system,
         | but in reverse. Instead of moving thermal energy from inside to
         | outside, you're moving that energy from outside to inside. This
         | can work even when it's cold out, because cold outside air
         | still has a lot of thermal energy that can be moved.
         | 
         | The main benefits of heat pumps for heating are twofold:
         | 
         | 1) It's significantly more efficient then electric resistive
         | heat, because heat isn't being generated, simply moved around.
         | 2) Heat pump systems can be configured to work to both heat and
         | cool a space. There are very few changes needed to make this
         | happen, meaning that if you need AC, you might as well get a
         | heat pump to do both jobs.
        
       | throw0101c wrote:
       | -22F / -30C capable heat pumps already exist, e.g.:
       | 
       | * https://www.spacepak.com/solstice-inverter-extreme
        
       | Scoundreller wrote:
       | I think the ultimate combo will be heat pumps + wood pellet stove
       | as supplemental heat.
       | 
       | Then you can cutoff the gas grid connection and its associated
       | standby/account/blah blah charges. It's a big sunk cost in a lot
       | of places that messes with the economics of switching to heat
       | pump as primary heat.
       | 
       | Pellet stoves are semi-automated. Around 90% efficient. If you
       | already have central heat pumps, you can install one and let your
       | HVAC circulate the heat around. Can stockpile as much fuel as you
       | want. Cheaper than oil or propane and not much more expensive
       | than firewood once accounting for improved burn efficiency. Just
       | need to empty the ash gray once a week or so, and dump a nice
       | smelling bag in for every ~24h of operation.
       | 
       | Relatively straightforward install: just need a wall to punch
       | through and a standard power outlet. Minimal clearance
       | requirements. Fun to watch the fire tornado.
       | 
       | Big downside is they need some electricity (mainly for for the
       | powered vent). Hit or miss when it comes to insurance companies
       | that think explosive gas systems or high current electric devices
       | are safer.
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | Pellet stoves require electricity to run the auger. Also-
         | nobody gives away free pellets but it's pretty easy to come by
         | free wood people are giving away.
        
         | inthepipe wrote:
         | Gas heaters also have around 90% efficiency, I think. It seems
         | like gas is strictly better?
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Depends on your constraints. The CO2 round trip is a lot
           | longer for gas.
        
       | sandworm101 wrote:
       | Cool. But it hit -39c in my area a couple weeks ago. They still
       | have some way to go.
        
         | Qwertious wrote:
         | If you run copper tubing underneath the frost line, a heat pump
         | can still run at that temperature. Problem is, that's a whole
         | lot of expensive construction for relatively minor energy
         | savings. I hear they're doing it in Alaska, where it's used
         | much more frequently once it's installed.
        
       | svdr wrote:
       | A nice explanation of the working of heat pumps from Technology
       | Connections: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7J52mDjZzto
        
         | a9h74j wrote:
         | Great channel. Doesn't he lament that US installers are still
         | charging "don't bother me" enormous premiums on heat-pump
         | installs?
        
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