[HN Gopher] Cause of Fatal 2021 Tesla Wreck Was "Excessive Speed...
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       Cause of Fatal 2021 Tesla Wreck Was "Excessive Speed" and "Alcohol
       Intoxication"
        
       Author : jo6gwb
       Score  : 52 points
       Date   : 2023-02-09 20:36 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.ntsb.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.ntsb.gov)
        
       | cs702 wrote:
       | "Excessive speed" and "alcohol intoxication" -- two common causes
       | of human driver failure.
       | 
       | Other causes of human driver failure include driving while tired
       | or exhausted, falling asleep at the wheel, driving while angry or
       | upset, getting bored while driving, using the car's infotainment
       | system while driving, using a mobile phone while driving, getting
       | distracted by passengers, smoking pot while driving, being a
       | recklessly immature teenager (or a grown-up idiot), lacking the
       | bare minimum of driving skills that every driver on the road is
       | supposed to have, and so on. The list of causes of human driver
       | failure is long. There are a lot of horrifically dangerous human
       | drivers -- look around you next time you're on the road.
       | 
       | Notably, machines are immune to all these human failure modes.
       | 
       | I'm looking forward to the day in which cars drive themselves
       | well enough to rid the roads of so much dangerous human driving.
        
         | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
         | Me too, but that's not this day. I hope it comes soon, but I
         | think it's important that car companies promise and deliver in
         | a rock solid fashion like Mercedes is doing instead of
         | grandiose near future predictions that everyone knows won't be
         | met. Not commenting on this incident in particular, just the
         | general landscape of self driving.
        
       | jo6gwb wrote:
       | I'm not sure why they don't explicitly write in the report that
       | the driver may have been trapped in the back seat, and was unable
       | to locate or use the mechanical release to escape. While that
       | wouldn't be a contributing factor to the wreck, it would be a
       | contributing factor the the driver's death, and important for
       | Tesla and their passengers to know about.
       | 
       | The report states:
       | 
       |  _The frontal impact with the tree resulted in a power loss of
       | the car's 12-volt system, which runs the non-traction power
       | systems. During normal operation, the front door latches operate
       | electronically with the pull of the interior lever. In the event
       | of a 12-volt system power loss, the interior front doors open as
       | usual using the interior door handles. The rear doors also have
       | both electronic and mechanical latches; however, mechanically
       | opening the rear door during a power loss requires additional
       | steps. According to the owner's manual, during a loss of 12-volt
       | system power, a rear-seated occupant must locate a small cutout
       | in the carpet beneath the seat cushions and pull the mechanical
       | release cable tab toward the center of the vehicle to manually
       | open the rear door. Inspection of the door latches and locking
       | hardware was limited by postcrash fire damage._
       | 
       | Edit: Must add that this assumes the front door was jammed and
       | couldn't be opened mechanically.
        
         | shadowgovt wrote:
         | I don't think they have sufficient evidence one way or the
         | other to draw that conclusion. The driver's cause of death was
         | BFT with thermal damage and smoke inhalation; I don't know they
         | have reason to believe he was conscious and trying to escape
         | the vehicle.
        
       | sowbug wrote:
       | This was the one where the media reported that because nobody was
       | found in the front seat it must have been the fault of the self-
       | driving feature. The NTSB found that none of the driver-
       | assistance features were activated, and the driver was probably
       | tossed into the backseat from the impact:
       | 
       |  _Although the driver's seat was found vacant and the driver was
       | found in the left rear seat, the available evidence suggests that
       | the driver was seated in the driver's seat at the time of the
       | crash and moved into the rear seat postcrash. Specifically,
       | residential security video showed both the driver and passenger
       | getting into the front seats prior to driving away from the
       | residence. In addition, the EDR data showed active accelerator
       | pedal inputs consistent with driver activity in the 5 seconds
       | prior to the impact with the tree, and that the driver's seat
       | belt was connected at the time of the crash. Finally, the
       | steering wheel examination conducted by the NTSB Materials
       | Laboratory indicated an impact to the upper left quadrant,
       | consistent with the driver loading the steering wheel during a
       | frontal crash._
       | 
       | The entire journey appears to have lasted less than a minute
       | (9:07pm is mentioned both as the time the car left the driveway,
       | and as the time of the crash), so it's unlikely the driver jumped
       | into the back seat as a stunt while driving.
       | 
       | https://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/AccidentReports/Reports/...
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | Worth pointing out that the most recent Tesla crash freakout
         | was similarly thinly sourced. We have one line in a police
         | report saying AP was in use, and no statements from the driver
         | nor telemetry from the vehicle. And that was enough to drive
         | thousand-comment threads right here on HN.
         | 
         | (And yeah, I'm on record saying that it's extremely unlikely
         | autopilot commanded the lane change in that Bay Bridge
         | accident. It just doesn't work like that, the blinkers came on
         | simultaneous with the motion. That's a human driver for sure.)
        
           | gamblor956 wrote:
           | The NHTSA is on record as saying FSD was "definitely" engaged
           | during the recent Bay Bridge accident in the tunnel.
           | 
           | And notably, Musk did not chime in to blame the driver like
           | he always does when the driver is at fault, which is very
           | strong circumstantial evidence that FSD was engaged.
        
         | anonporridge wrote:
         | > This was the one where the media reported that because nobody
         | was found in the front seat it must have been the fault of the
         | self-driving feature.
         | 
         | And the fact that this was media disinformation won't matter
         | much, because the damage to the Tesla brand and the idea of
         | self driving cars in the public's collective consciousness has
         | already been done, and won't easily be undone by these newly
         | revealed facts.
         | 
         | "A lie makes it halfway around the world before the truth even
         | gets its boots on."
        
           | bena wrote:
           | It wasn't "media disinformation", it was the local constable
           | and his accident investigators being wrong.
           | 
           | https://www.khou.com/article/news/local/tesla-spring-
           | crash-f...
           | 
           | And even in that article, there's an addendum a couple of
           | months later stating that a person was seen getting in the
           | driver's seat and that the NTSB reenactment wasn't able to
           | engage the autosteering when trying to replicate the crash.
           | 
           | I don't know what more you want from the press. They reported
           | what they were told by the authorities. And then when new
           | information came in, they reported that as well.
        
             | dboreham wrote:
             | > it was the local constable and his accident investigators
             | being wrong
             | 
             | Possibly it's the media's job to question when law
             | enforcement comments seem implausible?
        
             | shadowgovt wrote:
             | What most people actually want is better attention from the
             | public, not better reporting from the media.
        
           | BoorishBears wrote:
           | Tesla is damaging the idea of self-driving cars in spite of
           | the media, not because of it.
           | 
           | Self driving cars were billed as the cool new thing. Then
           | Tesla started charging people for "Full Self Driving" with a
           | system that regresses from basic LKA that was shipping in the
           | mid 2000s in terms of safety by using public roads for beta
           | testing an intentionally hamstrung* L2-billed-as-L5 driving
           | stack.
           | 
           | It's frustrating to watch as someone working in the AV space,
           | and it's silly to act like this one case was isolated enough
           | that the fact it was wrong changes any of that reality. We
           | know Tesla's stack has killed people: it became normalized
           | once the first few times it happened they were able to get
           | away with victim blaming. By 2021 it was already accepted,
           | this incident was already business as usual.
           | 
           | *humans just need eyes so self driving cars just need cameras
        
             | ajross wrote:
             | > a system that regresses from basic LKA that was shipping
             | in the mid 2000s in terms of safety
             | 
             | Cite? Everyone likes to throw around the word "safety" as a
             | qualitative thing, but the only data we have points to the
             | system being extremely safe.
        
               | BoorishBears wrote:
               | Mid 2000s LKA was passive systems in the US market: they
               | were backups that vibrated the seat or steering wheel, or
               | provided mild outputs. _That meant they couldn 't
               | actively put the driver into danger, making them
               | inherently safer than a system that will gladly drive
               | onto a sidewalk_
               | 
               | Now what about active systems from back then? Almost _20
               | years ago_ Lexus had learned the lessons that Tesla
               | kicked and resisted until about 2 years ago on. _You need
               | to watch the driver to ensure they 're full attentive_:
               | https://lexusenthusiast.com/2007/09/08/a-look-at-the-
               | lexus-l...
               | 
               | In markets with LKA, that same module was used to ensure
               | that drivers were actively watching the road while it was
               | activated.
               | 
               | In other words a 2007 Lexus did a better job on the one
               | thing that Tesla is _still_ getting dinged on
               | (https://www.consumerreports.org/car-safety/tesla-driver-
               | moni...)
               | 
               | Tesla blamed a man for playing Candy Crush when his Tesla
               | drove into a barrier and killed him. Lexus had solved the
               | problem that killed this man over a decade prior.
               | 
               | A 2007 Lexus would have used it's Driver Awareness Module
               | to recognize the man was not paying attention and stopped
               | lane centering. The solution was not complex, not
               | expensive, iirc Tesla even had interior facing cameras by
               | then but was still resisting turning them on until much
               | more recently.
               | 
               | Tesla put their not-marketing ahead of human life,
               | because if they had enabled more aggressive awareness
               | monitoring than capacitance sensing or silly steering
               | wheel jiggles, Elon wouldn't get to tweet about how
               | "you're just there for regulatory reasons"
               | 
               | -
               | 
               | Also slightly off topic, but I think my biggest internet
               | pet peeve is when people ask for a citation on a complex
               | problem that requires critical thinking. I can't chew and
               | pour the conclusion for you, but you're free to research
               | before making low effort commentary like "Cite"
        
             | kmeisthax wrote:
             | The thing is, I would have thought that Tesla's stance on
             | repairability alone would have made their brand
             | _radioactive_ to the average Hacker News commenter, way
             | before the Pedo Guy accusations or Elon Musk burning a
             | bunch of money to make Twitter worse. Tesla is everything
             | we claim to hate about Apple.
        
               | a4isms wrote:
               | If Apple owned Tesla, there wouldn't be enough room in
               | this comment to list all the reasons HN would hate it:
               | 
               | 1. What do you mean, the OS and all its software is
               | proprietary? Why can't I sideload my own fart app?
               | 
               | 2. Highest margins in the industry? No we won't praise
               | their business genius, we'll complain that they're
               | charging a Tesla Fanboi Tax.
               | 
               | 3. Like you said, RIGHT TO REPAIR, this is John Deere
               | stuff, only it's a car and not a tractor.
               | 
               | 4. Shit build quality would have us raving about
               | butterfly keyboards 2.0.
               | 
               | And so on, and so forth. Steve Jobs had a "reality
               | distortion field." So does Elon Musk, and it's aimed
               | squarely at a certain very obvious demographic.
        
               | bjelkeman-again wrote:
               | From a business perspective, a demographic bigger than
               | the HN readership.
        
           | Smoosh wrote:
           | Conspiracy theory: Autonomous driving is being undermined by
           | traditional car companies who see that if it is successful,
           | it would hugely change personal transportation and greatly
           | reduce total sales of vehicles.
        
           | 8f2ab37a-ed6c wrote:
           | Related to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brandolini%27s_law
        
           | tablespoon wrote:
           | > And the fact that this was media disinformation won't
           | matter much, because the damage to the Tesla brand and the
           | idea of self driving cars in the public's collective
           | consciousness has already been done, and won't easily be
           | undone by these newly revealed facts.
           | 
           | The "damage to the Tesla brand and the idea of self driving
           | cars" wasn't caused solely by this one incident.
           | 
           | > "A lie makes it halfway around the world before the truth
           | even gets its boots on."
           | 
           | It's not a lie to say cigarettes kill people by lung cancer,
           | even if it's later proven that one smoker who died in some
           | study actually got lung cancer from a different cause.
        
       | mjfl wrote:
       | The whole idea of being drunk and getting in a car with the
       | intention of driving as fast as possible seems so stupid that
       | I've never in my life even had the smidgen of a thought to do it,
       | even if especially drunk. People really do have different brains.
        
       | nashashmi wrote:
       | Does NTSB investigate every car crash with a death? Or just
       | Tesla?
        
         | sp332 wrote:
         | I think they picked it up because it might have involved
         | autopilot, the driver's seat was empty, and the data recorder
         | had been destroyed in the crash.
         | 
         | The full list is here
         | https://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/Pages/Investigations.asp...
         | You can see it's been a while since since they investigated a
         | Tesla.
        
       | foobarbecue wrote:
       | How can a Tesla can even be old enough to drink
        
         | brookst wrote:
         | Tesla is further ahead in AI than any of us thought!
        
           | jonsen wrote:
           | Artificial Ingestion?
        
             | Smoosh wrote:
             | Artificial Intoxication.
        
       | kdamica wrote:
       | Almost 43,000 people died in car-related deaths in the US in 2021
       | (and millions more worldwide). I hope we can stop focusing on the
       | small number of deaths from this one car company that has self-
       | driving features.
       | 
       | Relevant: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man_bites_dog
        
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       (page generated 2023-02-09 23:01 UTC)