[HN Gopher] Why dark matter feels like cheating (and why it isn't)
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       Why dark matter feels like cheating (and why it isn't)
        
       Author : spekcular
       Score  : 29 points
       Date   : 2023-02-11 16:49 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (4gravitons.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (4gravitons.com)
        
       | thriftwy wrote:
       | The photons of CMB has lost near the same order of magnitude of
       | energy as the postulated dark energy, if I'm not mistaken. This
       | happened via red shift.
       | 
       | I wonder where that energy went and they acquired that much
       | energy in the first place.
        
       | d--b wrote:
       | What about dark energy? Dark matter seems quite solid.
       | 
       | But then dark energy does feel like a hack, right? Throwing the
       | whole "dark thing" concept under the bus.
        
         | lisper wrote:
         | > Dark matter seems quite solid.
         | 
         | So to speak :-)
         | 
         | >But then dark energy does feel like a hack, right? Throwing
         | the whole "dark thing" concept under the bus.
         | 
         | Yes, dark energy really is nothing more than a mathematical
         | hack (at least for now). There's a reason that a certain
         | personality type chooses to go into physics and not marketing,
         | with the result being that the market for physics often leaves
         | something to be desired.
        
       | kloch wrote:
       | > For dark matter, we keep those standards. The evidence for some
       | kind of dark matter, that there is something that can't be
       | explained by just the Standard Model and Einstein's gravity, is
       | at this point very strong.
       | 
       | Option 1: Do more research on Gravity to see what we might be
       | missing there. The difficulty in measuring G, and the flyby
       | anomaly would be good places to start.
       | 
       | Option 2: Make up fully unconstrained variable 'X' that can take
       | any value you want at any location or time in the universe[1].
       | This is amazing because it can perfectly solve so many difficult
       | problems!
       | 
       | Obviously many people will and should be skeptical of throwing
       | full confidence at option 2 in it's current state.
       | 
       | [1] Unlike neutrinos or black holes, there is no theory for what
       | dark matter is made of, and how it is created or destroyed. Thus
       | there are no constraints on how much you can have at any given
       | location or time.
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | The point of the article is that dark matter is the result of
         | doing 1, not 2. What's this "fully unconstrained" nonsense? We
         | have outrageous amounts of data that need to be fit. Why is
         | "the flyby anomaly" a useful place to start and not a century's
         | worth of galactic rotation and mass estimates?
         | 
         | Dark Matter persists _precisely because_ it 's the best theory
         | that fits the available observations. Arguments against it are
         | the bits predicated on squishy stuff like "aesthetics".
         | 
         | No one thinks we have all the answers, but demanding we throw
         | out the best model we have is going backwards.
        
           | kloch wrote:
           | being "skeptical of throwing full confidence at option 2 " is
           | not the same as "demanding it be thrown out". It just means
           | show us something more than "magic variable 'X' fits all
           | curves."
        
             | ajross wrote:
             | You want... _more_ from a theory than that it fit the data?
             | That 's not how theories work.
             | 
             | I think what you're asking for is a lab-testable prediction
             | from a dark matter theory. And no, we don't have that. It
             | would be nice if we did, but we don't. We don't have it
             | from MOND either, though, so I still don't get your
             | denialism. If you don't want us to do science to figure
             | this out, what are you asking for?
        
       | teddyh wrote:
       | God of the gap matter.
        
       | awinter-py wrote:
       | > we can map dark matter's location
       | 
       | this has always felt circular to me -- someone drops an astronomy
       | paper like 'we found a galaxy with no dark matter' and I wish
       | someone would rewrite it as 'dear non physicist, here are ten
       | critical takes you just thought of and why we discarded each'
       | 
       | this is mostly a knock on my own knowledge, and slightly a knock
       | on pop science press, but I don't know the steps between 'mass as
       | inferred from light doesn't explain galactic rotation curves' and
       | '80% of mass is ghosts'
        
       | remote_phone wrote:
       | The fact that dark matter has never been seen "but it must be
       | there!" is basically the same argument that religious people
       | make. It's 100% a religious, faith-based argument and non-
       | scientific. There I said it.
       | 
       | There's an explanation for all of this behavior that we are
       | measuring but saying that it's something we can't see but it's
       | there!! is objectively absurd.
        
       | lll-o-lll wrote:
       | Dark Matter is unintuitive for the layman (which I am), and
       | extremely intuitive for the physicist, which I suspect is where
       | the origins of this problem lie. This article is another in long
       | line of _you just don't get it man_ , which is true. Sabine
       | Hossenfelder has some great videos that actually explain the
       | concepts in a way that the layman can grasp, while also pointing
       | out a number of problems with the standard orthodoxy.
       | 
       | The problems don't indicate that Dark Matter (the theory) is
       | wrong necessarily. MOND is much better at explaining a number of
       | observations of large scale (better meaning simpler in this
       | case), but Dark Matter is better for other observations at
       | smaller scale. Unfortunately it seems that the physicist
       | community (outside of a small subset) is unwilling to research in
       | the MOND space; it has the _taint_. So physicists just pile on a
       | bunch of extra variables to make Dark Matter fit certain
       | observations, when MOND describes those observations very simply.
       | 
       | Sabine argues long and hard that modern particle physicists have
       | made no fundamental progress for 50 years due to poor scientific
       | method, and she's acerbic and popular with the plebs (such as
       | me). I'm glad she's a voice out there, but I'm sure she has put
       | herself offside with a number (maybe most) working particle
       | physicists.
       | 
       | It's unfortunate. The phenomenon that MOND and Dark Matter seek
       | to explain are really interesting, and the depths have clearly
       | not been plumbed. The continual search and failure to find the
       | Dark Matter particle is not doing physics any favours.
        
         | throwawaymaths wrote:
         | Why exactly is dark matter unintuitive to the layperson? (Any
         | more so than say, germ theory, or praying to an interventionist
         | god)?
        
       | nitwit005 wrote:
       | Let us imagine the view of a "normal person". Pop open a science
       | textbook, and it will likely suggest the scientific method
       | requires you to state your hypothesis, and test it as best you
       | can.
       | 
       | So this normal person looks to see if this has happened, finds
       | there are several rival theories, and no experiment done on Earth
       | had produced results. Naturally, they start to doubt.
        
         | imiric wrote:
         | But doubt what, exactly? All science tells us is that there
         | should be something there, but we don't know what it is.
         | Nobody's asserting the contrary.
        
           | mdorazio wrote:
           | Doubt that magic pixie dust is the correct answer to "what's
           | there?".
        
         | throwawaymaths wrote:
         | Moreover they find that alternatives have made many _specific
         | predictions_ that have panned out (linear Tully-fisher with a
         | specific slope, EFE, early galaxies), whereas mainline dm
         | theories make fewer a priori predictions, but lots of a
         | posteriori explanations. Notably, efe was shown by a group that
         | set out to measure that it wasn 't there to try to support
         | LCDM. So, what is a layperson to do?
        
       | college_physics wrote:
       | Maybe it is not "cheating" but it certainly casts a dark shadow
       | over the otherwise fairly cooky stance of fundamental physics
       | that "we have figured things out"
       | 
       | As an explanatory concept is has very low utility: there is not
       | much else you can do with it except plug what you find missing.
       | You can't say, for example, that because of this and this aspect
       | of dark matter I predict this cool effect and then go search for
       | it and either falsify or strengthen the confidence of your
       | thought framework
        
         | mr_mitm wrote:
         | Sure you can.
         | 
         | Example: you observe wonky rotation curves of galaxies. You
         | reckon there might be some extra invisible matter. From that
         | you predict that you should also see this extra matter in
         | lensing observations. You make the lensing observations and lo
         | and behold, you see the same amount of extra matter that is
         | needed to explain the rotation curves.
         | 
         | I wrote a longer comment on this before:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34365591
        
         | lisper wrote:
         | That's not true. There have been many hypotheses advanced
         | regarding the nature of dark matter (WIMPs, MACHOs) and the all
         | have made experimental predictions. The problem is that none of
         | those predictions have actually been confirmed by experiment,
         | and we're running out of ideas. But this is not much different
         | than the situation on the eve of the discovery of relativity
         | and quantum mechanics at the beginning of the 20th century. So
         | all of this is just business as usual for cutting-edge physics.
        
           | college_physics wrote:
           | Every plausible but failed hypothesis (its been half a
           | century now?) bakes-in an intractability that may become
           | permanent for any relavant timescale. There is still some
           | hope as cosmological observations feel less exhausted than
           | particle physics. But its a very awkward admission of defeat
           | after some fairly triumphant decades last century.
        
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