[HN Gopher] US aircraft shoots down new airborne object over Canada
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       US aircraft shoots down new airborne object over Canada
        
       Author : vinni2
       Score  : 53 points
       Date   : 2023-02-11 22:25 UTC (34 minutes ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.com)
        
       | marcell wrote:
       | How much if this is just awareness bias, where the media reports
       | commonplace events that were previously ignored?
        
         | mancerayder wrote:
         | It's much more likely that the US government is wanting to tell
         | the press, leak to the press and get the spin cycle going.
         | There are spy events all the time, it's rare something gets
         | actually reported proportionally.
        
         | avalys wrote:
         | The response is certainly novel. The F-22 had zero recorded
         | air-to-air kills a week ago, and as of today has three.
         | 
         | Whether these intrusions by unknown objects were commonplace
         | and previously had been ignored, is something I've wondered
         | about myself.
        
         | jpalomaki wrote:
         | Based on quick search, these have been happening also before.
         | 
         | "an official revealed during a briefing on Saturday that the
         | U.S. was aware of three other instances during the prior
         | administration and one instance earlier in the Biden
         | administration that such an apparatus "transited" the country."
         | 
         | [1] https://thehill.com/policy/defense/3844511-chinese-
         | balloons-...
        
       | POiNTx wrote:
       | I wonder what the cost is of sending such a balloon vs shooting
       | it down. If I was China I would be sending thousands of these.
       | It's not going to cause an all out war, but it does impose some
       | security threat which should be dealt with and can't be ignored.
        
         | digdigdag wrote:
         | I don't see how China would willfully continue send these
         | balloons without expecting a symmetrical escalation. Sure, they
         | managed to send a few relatively undetected until the past
         | recent weeks, but continued attempts would surely produce a
         | physical response from NATO states, whether that's sending
         | balloons of their own or overflying Chinese territory with
         | other aircraft, or increased signals intelligence operations.
        
           | interestica wrote:
           | >symmetrical escalation
           | 
           | So like what, a similar but bigger balloon?
        
             | anigbrowl wrote:
             | More colors, unlike the boring monochrome available under
             | Communism
        
             | babyshake wrote:
             | "Mr. President, we must not allow a balloon gap!"
        
         | legitster wrote:
         | The last two objects shot down were not balloons.
        
           | infradig wrote:
           | Source for that?
        
             | Rebelgecko wrote:
             | The press conference yesterday, the WH spokesman explicitly
             | corrected someone who called the second object a balloon.
             | They're being a bit cagey about whatever it actually is
        
         | anigbrowl wrote:
         | This is the wrong question. Large militaries spend a fortune
         | anyway on firing ordnance anyway for training purposes. Doing
         | so in actually uncertain conditions is in many ways more
         | valuable than pre-planned exercises. There's also a political
         | attention focusing effect that allows rapid realignment of
         | priorities away from status0quo maintenance towards novel
         | readiness postures. So in strategic terms, it can be a net
         | benefit rather than a net cost.
         | 
         | The flip side of this is adversarial observer(s) can learn all
         | sorts of things about readiness, detection networks, response
         | times, and tactical doctrine if well-prepared in advance to
         | acquire and integrate that information.
         | 
         | Kinda wish I had a way to bet on the popularity of search terms
         | because I can practically hear the rattle of doctrinal articles
         | being furiously drafted at military institutions of higher
         | learning right now.
        
         | ALittleLight wrote:
         | I've not looked into it - but it's possible there is zero or
         | negative cost to shooting down a small number of balloons.
         | Imagine each pilot needs X hours of training or to fire Y
         | missiles in training. A couple balloon missions could just
         | replace training exercises, on net saving money because we
         | wouldn't need to setup the target.
        
       | abduhl wrote:
       | So the F-22 is now 3-0 against balloons? And people had the
       | audacity to call this plane a "failure"!
        
         | deadlydose wrote:
         | Would you prefer they only shoot down living targets or are you
         | just here for the snark?
        
           | drekipus wrote:
           | I think it was a joke dude.
        
         | vba616 wrote:
         | Who called the F-22 a failure? Are you thinking of the F-35?
         | 
         | And anyway, isn't the F-22 due to be retired before the end of
         | the decade, so wouldn't debating its merits be beating a dead
         | horse?
        
       | none_to_remain wrote:
       | So how long has the CCP been sending these balloons and what
       | caused the USG to start talking about them?
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | There was a big one easily observed by ordinary people which
         | got news attention. This is why it's being talked about now.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | userbinator wrote:
       | ...with Canada's permission; I think that should be said
       | explicitly.
        
       | le-mark wrote:
       | This is third shoot down we've been told about. First was the
       | Chinese balloon, second was the small less maneuverable vehicle
       | off of Alaska, and this third one in Canadian airspace. Feels
       | like some cold conflict we've been unaware of is heating up.
        
       | rgbrenner wrote:
       | I think China erred by sending such a large balloon that was
       | visible to the naked eye, causing the American public to demand
       | it be shot down.
       | 
       | There's no hard rule about where national airspace ends and space
       | begins.. a lot of times they fly too high for planes to reach,
       | and under certain circumstances balloons are allowed through
       | national airspace.. so if the balloon isn't causing a problem
       | (like being a hazard to air traffic), people just ignore it...
       | weather balloons fly through our airspace all the time.
       | 
       | But the US public saw this massive balloon and demanded it be
       | shot down, even if it caused an international incident.. and
       | luckily nothing serious happened. So now that the cat is out of
       | the bag, we're going to shoot down every balloon that hasnt filed
       | all of the required paperwork that enters out airspace that's
       | reachable by our aircraft... because 1) the public demands it; 2)
       | it'll become political fodder if the white house doesn't; and 3)
       | the international issue it generates is easier for the white
       | house to handle than the political criticism.
       | 
       | If China never sent that large balloon.. they could have sent a
       | dozen more small ones and no one would have cared.. just like we
       | never cared about the 3 during the previous administration.
        
       | cebu wrote:
       | Jets seem to be eclipsing balloons as the dominant air combatant
        
         | FormerBandmate wrote:
         | Those Wright Brothers might be onto something. Wonder if you
         | could use their "aeroplane" to travel across the world
        
       | Multicomp wrote:
       | Surely this is not the world's slowest declaration of war?
       | 
       | Whoever country is sending whatever these artificial objects are,
       | what can they possibly gain from this?
        
         | enra wrote:
         | Could be for observing the response of US.
         | 
         | Russia did, and I guess still does, this a lot. Flying their
         | planes constantly in European airspace to see if what the
         | response is and also make it more normal occurrence. If they
         | one day attack it's harder to tell if this again one of those
         | random times or an actual attack
        
           | partiallypro wrote:
           | That is one of the reasons the US left the Open Skies treaty,
           | Russia kept breaking the agreement doing things like that
           | making the entire thing a handicap to the US.
        
         | hindsightbias wrote:
         | Trolling is cheap
        
           | drekipus wrote:
           | Trolling is a art
        
         | lsh123 wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Genetrix
        
         | bullfightonmars wrote:
         | War? Chill with the historonics. Surveillance is not war.
        
           | bagels wrote:
           | Shooting missiles at aircraft can be though.
        
         | ajsnigrutin wrote:
         | I was joking in the other thread, that soon people will be
         | buying weather baloons and setting them off "for the lulz"
         | (youtube videos, tiktok, or whatever) :)
        
           | ALittleLight wrote:
           | I would watch a TikTok of "F22 shoots down my balloon."
        
         | zabzonk wrote:
         | usa vs canada!
         | 
         | it has happened before.
        
       | option wrote:
       | are Canada's air forces non existent?
        
         | capableweb wrote:
         | Second paragraph:
         | 
         | > Both Canadian and US aircraft were scrambled to track down
         | the object which Trudeau says was taken out by a US F-22.
         | 
         | So clearly not.
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | The article answers the question pretty early on: both air
         | forces scrambled fighters.
         | 
         | NORAD is NORAD. They collaborate very closely and it becomes
         | kind of moot who specifically does what.
        
         | berkut wrote:
         | Their F-18s can't fly as high (without doing zoom climbs) as
         | the F-22 (which has very large control surfaces which help with
         | this).
        
           | Rebelgecko wrote:
           | Does the plane have to be at the same altitude to launch the
           | missiles?
        
         | arecurrence wrote:
         | It was shot down in the Yukon, jets from Alaska were likely the
         | closest to the target.
        
         | version_five wrote:
         | Canada contributes to North American air defence and it's F-18s
         | (to become F-35s) fly norad missions. Americans also
         | contribute, and obviosuly have more fighters. The article says
         | both countries dispatched planes, the americans ended up
         | shooting it down. It was over the Yukon which is very close to
         | Alaska so not surprising both were present. It would have been
         | a bit odd if it was over saskatoon or something
        
         | kzrdude wrote:
         | Compare with UK and Ireland, where Ireland indeed has a non
         | existant air force and UK a right to defend.
        
         | lom wrote:
         | In the article it said both forces scrambled to down it, but it
         | seems like the americans just got luckier.
        
         | Yoric wrote:
         | According to the article, they were also dispatched.
         | 
         | I guess the US air forces received order to shoot earlier?
        
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       (page generated 2023-02-11 23:00 UTC)