[HN Gopher] Sea life bounced back fast after the 'mother of mass...
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       Sea life bounced back fast after the 'mother of mass extinctions'
        
       Author : gmays
       Score  : 126 points
       Date   : 2023-02-15 14:56 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | lkrubner wrote:
       | In his book Metazoa, Peter Godfrey-Smith mentions that life in
       | the ocean was more diverse than life on land, until a 130 million
       | years ago, when diversity on land became exceptional, mostly
       | driven by a feedback loop between insects and plants, as plant
       | diversity allowed insect specialization and insect diversity
       | allowed plant specialization. (Until finally we arrived at a
       | situation where every species of fig tree had a specialized
       | species of wasp responsible for pollinating that species of fig
       | tree.)
       | 
       | https://www.amazon.com/Metazoa-Animal-Life-Birth-Mind-ebook/...
        
       | mistrial9 wrote:
       | also not all water is healthy water
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anoxic_waters
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bioaccumulation
       | 
       | rediscovering ancient sea states, this Blue Planet went through
       | extreme anti-fertile stages. "recovery" necessarily includes
       | devolving to those states as a possible outcome
        
       | bannedbybros wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | dpflan wrote:
       | In 1 million years.
        
         | hw-guy wrote:
         | Is that all? That makes me feel a lot better about the next
         | climate-related mass extinction.
        
         | FireBeyond wrote:
         | Right, exactly. One of the challenges with this is the
         | soundbite. For those whose agenda is suited, they'll latch on
         | to the word 'quickly'. "Hey, no problem, even if everything
         | goes to hell, it'll recover just fine. No big deal, carry on as
         | usual", entirely ignoring that it's "quickly" on a geologic
         | time scale, not a human.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | At least with palaeontologists, you can ~always adjust the
         | adjectives in one direction.
         | 
         | Vs. with astronomers, physicists, and such...a phrase like
         | "extremely bright" could mean "the comet will be visible with
         | binoculars, if you know exactly where to look". Or, it could
         | mean "if there were any Earth-like planets in that
         | galaxy...well, there aren't now".
        
         | wwwpatdelcom wrote:
         | Whew...relax guys, with the current ocean acidification going
         | on[1], we will only have to wait about a million years for
         | recovery, not ten million like you were probably thinking.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.noaa.gov/education/resource-collections/ocean-
         | co...
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | Nice image of a fish fossil from this discovery here:
       | 
       | https://www.sci.news/paleontology/guiyang-biota-11644.html
       | 
       | Also see the related (linked) discussion of the cause of the
       | Permian extinction:
       | 
       | > "The team's findings showed that volcanic eruptions in Siberian
       | Traps released immense amounts of carbon dioxide into the
       | atmosphere. This release lasted several millennia and led to a
       | strong greenhouse effect on the late Permian world, causing
       | extreme warming and acidification of the ocean."
       | 
       | > "Dramatic changes in chemical weathering on land altered
       | productivity and nutrient cycling in the ocean, and ultimately
       | led to vast de-oxygenation of the ocean. The resulting multiple
       | environmental stressors combined to wipe out a wide variety of
       | animal and plant groups."
       | 
       | It's worth noting that current fossil fuel emission rates of CO2
       | to the atmosphere are as much as 14X the rates during the Permian
       | extinction, although humans have only really been at it for 150
       | years or so, compared to thousands of years during the Permian
       | era.
        
         | toss1 wrote:
         | >> current fossil fuel emission rates of CO2 to the atmosphere
         | are as much as 14X the rates during the Permian extinction,
         | although humans have only really been at it for 150 years or
         | so, compared to thousands of years during the Permian era.
         | 
         | And a rate of 14x times 150 years yields the equivalent of 2100
         | years of Siberian Traps pollution.
         | 
         | Current knowledge is that this activity preceded the Permian
         | extinction for 250K years [0]. That might seem like "Oh, we're
         | only around 1% there".
         | 
         | But, critically, the authors of the paper point out:
         | 
         | "We don't know if a little erupted for 250,000 years, and right
         | before the extinction, boom, a vast amount did, or if it was
         | more slow and steady, where the atmosphere reaches a tipping
         | point, and across that point you have mass extinction, but
         | before that you just have critically stressed biospheres,"
         | 
         | We are creating serious danger here with this massive
         | uncontrolled experiment on the climate. Once the food web
         | breaks, we're fooked, with no way to recover in time.
         | 
         | [0] https://news.mit.edu/2015/siberian-traps-end-permian-
         | extinct...
        
           | soperj wrote:
           | > And a rate of 14x times 150 years yields
           | 
           | There's a vast difference between what we were releasing 150
           | years ago, or even 50 years ago compared to now.
        
             | toss1 wrote:
             | Yes, I understand that the rate isn't constant. This is a
             | brief post looking at the scale of the issue, not an
             | exhaustive dissertation.
             | 
             | The output is also accelerating, despite efforts to contain
             | it. The only thing that seemed to cause a dip was the
             | beginning of the pandemic.
             | 
             | But by all means, please continue to provide an example of
             | the kind of dismissive opposition that is and will be faced
             | by people trying to fix the problem, even when the food web
             | is already collapsing.
        
               | soperj wrote:
               | Wow snark.
               | 
               | > And a rate of 14x times 150 years yields the equivalent
               | of 2100 years of Siberian Traps pollution.
               | 
               | From your original comment you display no understanding
               | that the rate isn't constant.
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | Again: absence of evidence isn't evidence of absence;
               | brief posts tend to omit many obvious factors.
               | 
               | Perhaps instead of lamely defending your original post,
               | you could instead add to the discussion by digging up the
               | actual historical rate of increase and using it to rework
               | the calculation for a more detailed result, and then
               | project the current rate of increase into the future for
               | the next few centuries and see how much of a dent that
               | makes. Come to think of it, why didn't you do that in the
               | first place?
               | 
               | But, thanks for again demonstrating Vladmir Lenin's
               | thesis on how effective Useful Idiots can be in derailing
               | progress. Keep right on helping ensure that no one can
               | make a point that disturbs the status quo, and make sure
               | that nothing changes...
               | 
               | sheesh
        
               | soperj wrote:
               | > But, thanks for again demonstrating Vladmir Lenin's
               | thesis on how effective Useful Idiots can be in derailing
               | progress.
               | 
               | That's a lot of words for name calling.
               | 
               | > Perhaps instead of lamely defending your original post
               | 
               | You made a simple error, and yet I'm the one defending?
               | You're projecting. Honestly, it's people like you that
               | put people off doing things climate change related. Self
               | important, with a smart aleck response for everything.
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | Your anti-climate-action attitude needs no encouragement
               | from me; you demoed it just fine by showing up doing the
               | easiest thing in the world -- only finding fault -- and
               | doing it by adding purposeful obtuseness as if you're
               | trying to implement the CIA Sabotage Handbook [0]
               | 
               | Your entire point is dithering about values of 0.005 vs
               | 0.01 and I was noting that we're somewhere around two
               | orders of magnitude within the greatest climate disaster
               | and extinction in the planet's history, but sure, let's
               | waste our time over that 50% error.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.cia.gov/stories/story/the-art-of-simple-
               | sabotage...
        
               | soperj wrote:
               | > Your anti-climate-action attitude needs no
               | encouragement from me;
               | 
               | I don't have one. You're encouraging other to though.
               | Finding fault is part of Science, it has nothing to do
               | with disagreeing with your world view.
        
       | jbottoms wrote:
       | Is there a chart or charts for the time vs evolution velocities?
        
       | GalenErso wrote:
       | Sea life may bounce back, but gigantic aquatic fauna seems to be
       | on a permanent decline. Megalodon, mosasaurus, liopleurodon, and
       | dunkleosteus are extinct and... nothing like them is evolving
       | again? All the above animals evolved after the Tr-J mass
       | extinction event. So why are we not seeing similarly large
       | animals evolve today? Blue whales and Carcharodon Carcharias are
       | cool, for sure, but they're just not the same.
        
         | sgtnoodle wrote:
         | I suspect it has to do with a decline in atmospheric pressure.
         | The pressure is lower now, and it makes the physics of large
         | living creatures more difficult.
        
         | 988747 wrote:
         | I wonder if the fact that we have much lower oxygen content now
         | than 100-50 millions years ago might be a factor here. Also,
         | the fact that despite "climate change" we are living in one of
         | the coolest periods in Earth's history:
         | https://www.climate.gov/media/11332
        
           | mistrial9 wrote:
           | this is "cold comfort" .. plenty of long geological eras were
           | highly poisonous or unstable. It is annoying-or-worse to see
           | a one-liner that implies that rapid increase in overall
           | temperatures is OK or even "normal"
        
         | TSiege wrote:
         | The blue whale is the largest known animal to have ever existed
         | on this planet not just today. We had plenty of very large
         | (larger than extant) land animals until the holocene
         | extinctions began. The Paraceratherium (a extinct animal like a
         | rhino) was head to toe 24feet! (7.4m). (perhaps higher oxygen
         | levels as others might have pointed out played a role too in
         | sheer size.)
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_extinction
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paraceratherium
        
       | DanCarvajal wrote:
       | Oceans as an ecosystem are fascinating. This is simplified but on
       | land the food chain is usually something like Plant-Herbivore-
       | Predator but in the ocean the food chain is much longer, algae-
       | Zooplankton--Predator-Predator-Predator-Predator-Predator-
       | Predator-Predator. There's so much opportunities in the predator
       | niche in the oceans that land animals keep going back to the
       | ocean, because the evolutionary challenges were regularly worth
       | it. This truly is a blue planet.
        
         | wardedVibe wrote:
         | I mean, if you start including insects the tree on land is way
         | deeper. There's more size niches in land photosynthesizers for
         | whatever reason, so there's more variety in herbivore size too.
        
         | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
         | One of the most awesome experiences was being able to see an
         | Orca in person closeup. It was truly humbling to realize that
         | in all the vastness and diversity of the ocean, this was the
         | apex predator!
        
           | DanCarvajal wrote:
           | Got to see my first whale earlier this year (Gray Whale) and
           | on the way home I kept tying to hype my SO up on the fact
           | that it's a privilege to be alive on this planet at the same
           | time as the largest animals ever (the whales specifically the
           | Blue). Hoping to see some Orcas later this year on a PNW
           | trip.
        
             | kridsdale1 wrote:
             | I did so on a trip to Orcas Island WA this summer! Our boat
             | travelled farther north than Victoria BC (no border at sea)
             | to find them, then we tailed them back south. The pod
             | located some porpoise and hunted them with encirclement and
             | charges. The mom was training her baby and they rammed the
             | prey so hard it flew at least 20 feet in the air. Probably
             | broke all the bones in its body.
        
           | abraae wrote:
           | We sometimes have pods of orcas hunting stingrays around
           | here. In their urgency to get away, the rays will sometimes
           | hurl themselves up out of the water and onto the rocks.
           | Apparently (though I've never seen it) the orcas will
           | sometimes chase them up onto the rocks.
        
           | bcrosby95 wrote:
           | Another fascinating thing is that, as far as we know, the
           | Blue Whale is the largest animal that has ever existed.
        
         | TheSpiceIsLife wrote:
         | You mean fungi / bacteria > bacteriophage / virus > herbivorous
         | insects > predatory insects > plants / fungi > microogranisms
         | more generally > plants / fungi > insects > reptile > birds >
         | plants > birds > insects > reptile / birds > herbiverous
         | mammals > insects <> bird eating spiders > birds > plants >
         | predatory mammals > bacteria / fungi <> viruses ...
         | 
         | You're over simplying it because you think the oceans are more
         | complicated or something.
        
         | at_a_remove wrote:
         | I think there's room for Corpse-Scavenger subloops in there.
         | 
         | After the mother of all extinctions, it would be a field epoch
         | for the scavengers.
        
           | throwaway5752 wrote:
           | Nothing that was talked about in the parent post is unique to
           | marine ecosystems, is it?
           | 
           | The terrestrial food chains information is just incorrect.
           | Fungi are absent in that description. Insects are eaten by
           | countless prey species, apex predators have multiple trophic
           | levels below them. There are countless insect, fungal, and
           | animal carrion feeders.
           | 
           | A post that is so factually inaccurate should not be so
           | upvoted. We shouldn't meta comment, but the rapid decrease in
           | submission and comment quality on Hacker News is really a
           | problem.
           | 
           | And the fact that land animals evolve to marine lifestyles is
           | just expected, oceans are more than 70% of Earth's surface.
           | The lack of marine, pelagic animals is notable in that sense.
        
             | DanCarvajal wrote:
             | Well I did say that I was simplifying somethings, which I
             | think is useful as this is kind of a classic shorthand way
             | of comparing example food chains for the layperson. My goal
             | was to not lose the forest for the trees.
             | 
             | Come to think of it, I talk to a lot of five years olds
             | which has definitely impacted how I approach topics.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | canadianfella wrote:
               | [dead]
        
         | ramesh31 wrote:
         | >but in the ocean the food chain is much longer, algae-
         | Zooplankton--Predator-Predator-Predator-Predator-Predator-
         | Predator-Predator.
         | 
         | And some of the algae and the predators even gang up on the
         | zooplankton: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zooxanthellae
        
         | culi wrote:
         | Interesting, I wouldn't really think the ocean food chain is
         | "more complicated". Soil ecosystems themselves are extremely
         | complex and much more tightly integrated with what's happening
         | above ground than we often realize for example
         | 
         | But I do agree there's some really interesting key differences.
         | For one, speciation on land is often driven by geological
         | barriers that split populations apart. But these types of
         | barriers are much less common in the ocean where this only
         | really happens to organisms that are restricted to shallow
         | waters (and even then "island-hopping" happens much more
         | commonly)
        
           | gtvwill wrote:
           | Temperature and depth are your barriers in the ocean. Water
           | can be shallow and swimmable but if it's too cold to live in
           | for a species it may well be a brick wall.
        
         | Lammy wrote:
         | We should also thank the Moon for its tidal energy :)
         | 
         | "Ages ago, life was born in the primitive sea. Young life forms
         | constantly evolved in order to survive. Some prospered -- some
         | did not. All sorts of life ebbed and flowed like the tide. In
         | the quiet rhythm of the mother sea, life grew, always seeking
         | to survive and flourish."
        
           | olivermarks wrote:
           | Also the phytoplankton in the oceans that process the air we
           | breath.
           | 
           | https://www.nationalgeographic.org/activity/save-the-
           | plankto...
        
         | canadianfella wrote:
         | There is a lot less life in the oceans than you may imagine.
         | 
         | " there is roughly 80 times more biomass on land than in the
         | oceans. "
         | 
         | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6016823/
        
           | swores wrote:
           | That same link says that it's plants that make up the
           | majority of biomass on land, and that "Bar-On et al. (1)
           | estimate that more than 70% of global animal biomass is found
           | in the ocean".
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | I suppose in economic terms there is a lot of "liquidity"
         | (pardon the pun). Species can move around very freely and find
         | their ideal niche.
        
           | deepsun wrote:
           | I can argue the other way.
           | 
           | When I dived in different oceans, I was surprised to see the
           | same fish (most popular ones). It's hard to imagine the same
           | on land. Finding a niche is much easier on land, especially
           | in mountains.
        
       | timst4 wrote:
       | Cool. They'll bounce back fast after this mass extinction that's
       | happening right now. That is, unless humans succeed in
       | terraforming Earth into a Mars clone. Then all life is screwed.
        
         | willio58 wrote:
         | To preface what I'm about to say, I'm anti-mass extinction and
         | I definitely agree that as a planetary society we need to
         | continue pushing to slow down and eventually reverse climate
         | change.
         | 
         | But I really think the "all life is screwed" mantra is damaging
         | to us, especially our youth. There needs to be a balanced take
         | on this, because saying that all life is screwed gives no hope
         | or even purpose to the kids growing up now who will
         | _inevitably_ need to fix what we 're leaving them. I'm mid-20's
         | and I grew up with some level of media telling me that the
         | world was ending, but it was pretty muted and didn't make me
         | feel like there was no way we could fix things.
         | 
         | I'm not saying people won't die or people won't have to
         | massively change how they live to adapt to climate change in
         | the future, but we need to stop basically saying that every
         | single human dying is an inevitability with climate change.
         | 
         | As a thought experiment: Let's say in ~50 years 10% of humans
         | die in a 5 year span due to catastrophic climate change (~800
         | million based on current pop.). What is the incentive at that
         | point for governments to NOT force radical regulation
         | legislation to go through? Money? In the past few years we've
         | gotten to the point where renewable energy is simply cheaper
         | than the alternative. Now imagine we have better batteries
         | years down the line. Exactly who is profiting at that point?
         | The oil companies? They can just invest in renewables and save
         | the money they'd lose fighting uprisings from the people in
         | their countries who have lost, in this thought experiment, 800
         | million fellow humans.
         | 
         | All this to say, climate change is a BIG DEAL. But let's stop
         | wallowing in that fact, and let's focus all that energy in
         | pushing for governments to force companies to do the right
         | thing.
        
           | amilios wrote:
           | I think the issue is feedback loops. You're right that
           | eventually governments will be "forced" to do the "right
           | thing", but the problem is that it is likely going to be too
           | little too late, and the climate feedback loops already set
           | in motion may indeed "finish the job" and make the planet too
           | inhospitable for any humans to feasibly live on.
        
           | dogcomplex wrote:
           | Agreed. We should also consider the context that - yes - the
           | damages of climate change are disproportionately going to
           | affect developing nations and increase natural disaster risk
           | and food security, but these dangers are coming in against a
           | strong trend of those risks going down for many people.
           | Things were bad in the past - and they're still bad in many
           | places now - but that has been shrinking rapidly. Climate
           | change could very-well slow or even reverse this trend for a
           | time, but barring a complete destruction of our technological
           | progress, people in the future in general will still be far
           | better off than now, even with this mess, and even in
           | developing countries.
           | 
           | Now, of course, this doesn't mean these benefits will be
           | evenly distributed (this is going to even further increase
           | wealth inequality and be a deadly disaster for many people),
           | and we are pretty terrible at prioritizing e.g. protecting
           | natural ecosystem biodiversity. There will certainly be
           | irreversible (in human timescale) losses to our ecosystem and
           | therefore the knowledge and potential of future civilizations
           | from this. And there are even some truly catastrophic death
           | spiral scenarios possible. But it's likely that even the
           | cynical reality will end up being something of a widespread
           | unfairly distributed uptick in disaster risk and continuation
           | of the mass extinction we've already started - slowing
           | quality of life improvements for much of the world, but not
           | stopping them - with an eventual strong recovery in all areas
           | if/when we engage our new levels of technological advancement
           | and begin re-wilding programs to purposefully regrow thriving
           | natural habitats. (This is somewhat inevitable if/when the
           | average quality of life of people is high enough they have
           | room to care about such things. Industrial processes applied
           | to helping nature thrive would do a lot)
           | 
           | This is the "human nature sucks and we're slow to change
           | course" cynical view but with a "technology and industry is
           | crazy good in the long term at achieving its goals and
           | uplifting people" bullish caveat prediction - which I believe
           | to be the age-old trend. We clearly need better global-level
           | response organization to deter the worst effects of climate
           | change and help distribute risk so it's not all falling on
           | the poorest people, but industry-wise - if we have to dump a
           | trillion into something stupid-inefficient like direct carbon
           | capture machines, we will. (My preferred solution is mass-
           | farming kelp - far cheaper per CO2 ton and numerous
           | additional beneficial products that basically make it pay for
           | itself at scale). The world isn't coming to an end. It's
           | coming to a recession/depression - which will be felt to
           | different degrees very unfairly - and it's spurring new
           | responses.
        
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