[HN Gopher] Intel Foundry Services and Arm announce collaboratio...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Intel Foundry Services and Arm announce collaboration on SoC design
        
       Author : mepian
       Score  : 354 points
       Date   : 2023-04-12 13:09 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.intel.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.intel.com)
        
       | DeathArrow wrote:
       | So Intel might use TSMC's better process for some of its own CPUs
       | while fabbing ARM CPUs in its foundries?
        
         | sharedbeans wrote:
         | These are processes several years down the line. Intel is
         | saying their processes will be competitive at that point.
        
       | vrglvrglvrgl wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | spiralpolitik wrote:
       | Huge world-view shift from Intel. Likely the precursor to
       | splitting the fab part of Intel from the design part with the
       | intention of spinning one or the other off.
       | 
       | It also underscores the reality that Intel doesn't think it can
       | keep its fabs busy/profitable with just its own designs anymore.
        
         | belval wrote:
         | > Intel doesn't think it can keep its fabs busy/profitable with
         | just its own designs anymore
         | 
         | Intel has been saying so for the last 2-3 years.
        
         | smoldesu wrote:
         | Not super unexpected though. Pat Gelsinger has been teasing
         | this move[0] for as long as he's been CEO, and it makes sense.
         | The industry is verging on RISC again, and Intel _does_ have
         | meaningful knowledge they can apply here. If their business
         | model is right, it could be a profitable side pot.
         | 
         | Honestly, this says less about Intel's desperation to me and
         | more about ARM's. Just a few months ago they were rushing to
         | renegotiate their contracts, and there have been rumblings for
         | a while about ARM's eventual response to RISC-V. They know they
         | need buy-in from legacy companies to make ARM a lasting ISA,
         | simply trusting Apple not to throw them under the bus will get
         | them PowerPC'd in an instant.
         | 
         | [0] https://www.macworld.com/article/677947/intels-ceo-wants-
         | app...
        
           | adrianmonk wrote:
           | Now that you mention RISC-V, maybe a bolder move from Intel
           | would have been to throw their weight behind RISC-V and try
           | to be the leader of the new tech instead of a co-leader of
           | the old tech.
           | 
           | On the other hand, ARM is very popular right now, and maybe
           | Intel feels like what it needs right now is to take some of
           | that market to deprive competing fabs of revenue and give
           | itself better economies of scale.
        
             | Dalewyn wrote:
             | >a bolder move from Intel would have been to throw their
             | weight behind RISC-V
             | 
             | Intel axed their involvement with RISC-V.[1]
             | 
             | [1]: https://www.theregister.com/2023/01/30/intel_ris_v_pat
             | hfinde...
        
               | snvzz wrote:
               | They will still release some devboard with chips co-
               | designed with SiFive, and offer their foundries to
               | clients who want to fab chips based on RISC-V.
               | 
               | Just not under the Pathfinder program.
        
       | klelatti wrote:
       | This seems absolutely inevitable.
       | 
       | If IFS is serious it needs to be fabbing SoC's with Arm CPUs and
       | to be as competitive as possible with TSMC.
       | 
       | Nothing forces IFS to make Arm CPU's that compete with Intel's
       | desktop and server products.
       | 
       | Of course, the two companies have a long history of collaboration
       | including Intel having an Arm architecture license via StrongARM.
       | There is an interesting anecdote from Robin Saxby of Arm about
       | when Steve Jobs phoned him and tried to persuade him to block the
       | sale of StrongARM to Intel but Saxby convinced Jobs otherwise.
        
         | pavlov wrote:
         | Intel sold off Xscale (nee StrongARM) just before the
         | touchscreen smartphone boom started. Seems like they would have
         | been well positioned to take the lead in this market. Probably
         | Apple would have used an Xscale SOC for the iPhone if Intel had
         | taken it seriously.
         | 
         | Strategic blunder of the century so far?
        
           | anecdotal1 wrote:
           | Intel actually designed a CPU for the iPhone. Apple didn't
           | use it because it failed to meet their performance/thermal
           | requirements. Intel was not happy about this.
        
             | pavlov wrote:
             | Was it an x86 core rather than Xscale?
        
             | sharedbeans wrote:
             | Sourcing for this? This is a very under-reported story IMO,
             | the main source we have is self-serving comments from the
             | guy who screwed it up saying "we passed because it wasn't
             | going to be profitable at the projected volumes". But I
             | don't see how Intel would have even been capable of being
             | the sort of partner that mobile SoC development requires.
        
           | DeathArrow wrote:
           | But Intel did respond with x86 SoCs for smartphones.
           | Merrifield, Moorefield and Airmont.
        
             | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
             | And they were plagued with compatibility and performance
             | problems.
             | 
             | Almost bought my niece an Android tablet with an x86 CPU.
             | They were priced super low. Turns out there was a reason
             | for that. Apps ran like shit and any games written using
             | the Android NDK just straight-up didn't work.
        
             | unethical_ban wrote:
             | I still have an Asus android tablet with an Intel CPU,
             | circa 2014.
             | 
             | It wasn't that great then and it deserves death now. Zero
             | ability to upgrade or get third party OS on it due to those
             | processors not taking off.
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | Intel doesn't invest in anything besides x86. They let XScale
           | languish while they owned it and even if the iPhone used
           | XScale, Intel still would have found a reason to under-invest
           | in it.
        
           | helsinkiandrew wrote:
           | Xscale sale was announced 7 months before the iPhone was
           | announced, but presumably way after work had started and
           | Apple had asked Intel for a processor. A truly poor decision.
           | 
           | > There was just one problem: The PC era was about to end.
           | Apple was already working on the iPhone, which would usher in
           | the modern smartphone era. Intel turned down an opportunity
           | to provide the processor for the iPhone, believing that Apple
           | was unlikely to sell enough of them to justify the
           | development costs.
           | 
           | https://www.vox.com/2016/4/20/11463818/intel-iphone-
           | mobile-r...
        
             | LeifCarrotson wrote:
             | > 7 months before the iPhone was announced, but presumably
             | way after work had started and Apple had asked Intel for a
             | processor
             | 
             | You say that as if Intel should have known that the iPhone
             | would be an explosive hit. They probably assumed it would
             | be yet another Blackberry competitor, not really a threat
             | to their desktop hegemony.
        
               | sumtechguy wrote:
               | That at that time would not have been a bad take.
               | 
               | The big telcos were handing out data in miserly amounts
               | and eye bleeding prices (think 50 bucks for 1MB then
               | another 30-50 for SMS). AT&T was willing to pair with an
               | unlimited plan set the iPhone wildly ahead of all the
               | other phones in that category. VZ messed up big on that
               | one. They were touting how amazing their network was
               | meanwhile their competition was letting people surf the
               | net from their phone. VZ was meanwhile still charging
               | silly rates for SMS. Meanwhile I could open a connection
               | on an iPhone and use an online chat service or the
               | unlimited SMS. All of the other phones from that time
               | could do similar things. It was the per month charge that
               | people balked at to do simple internet things. Then on
               | top of that it was _apple_ so it had a bit of cool to go
               | with it. I personally think though without that data plan
               | the thing would have been a dud.
        
               | nordsieck wrote:
               | > The big telcos were handing out data in miserly amounts
               | and eye bleeding prices (think 50 bucks for 1MB then
               | another 30-50 for SMS). AT&T was willing to pair with an
               | unlimited plan set the iPhone wildly ahead of all the
               | other phones in that category.
               | 
               | From what I recall, the original iPhone only supported
               | 2G, while contemporary phones supported 3G. I remember a
               | lot of criticism around the iPhone web experience because
               | of that, even though the interface was clearly superior
               | to everyone who used it.
               | 
               | It looks like there were relatively competitive data
               | plans available[1] that offered unlimited data. I'm not
               | really convinced that that was the problem.
               | 
               | ---
               | 
               | 1. https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2007/04/data-plans-
               | the-barri...
        
               | faeriechangling wrote:
               | Think of why the iPhone existed in the first place. It
               | was because Jobs saw the writing on the wall and knew
               | that cell phones were bound to destroy the market for the
               | iPod, Apple's moneymaker. Before making the iPhone, he
               | made the Rokr and Jobs threw massive amounts of resources
               | into the iPhone at large risk to Apple. He bought up the
               | patent for multi touch back in 2005.
               | 
               | I honestly think people overlook this aspect of Jobs
               | leadership, basically from the time he returned on Apple
               | he doubled down on mobile computing repeatedly throwing
               | 50% of Apple's marketing budget into the unproven iPod
               | for instance. Why was Jobs able to see the writing on the
               | wall and not Intel? I think Steve Jobs himself said it
               | best:
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P4VBqTViEx4
               | 
               | Intel itself was NOT totally blindsided by the mobile
               | revolution. Intel Atom development started in 2004. Intel
               | Atom could have dominated the market. There were Intel
               | Execs pushing Atom. But all the R&D was pumped into the
               | desktop and server business, the quality silicon was
               | reserved for the desktop and server business, Intels
               | execs didn't want these inexpensive chips for what were
               | presumed to be peoples secondary computers to cannibalise
               | its expensive desktop and server chips, and the strategic
               | vision was simply bad. You can apologise for it but the
               | mistake may have doomed the entire business and plenty of
               | companies did not make the same mistake.
               | 
               | Intel wouldn't even exist if they didn't already make
               | such a shift away from the memory market into the
               | microprocessor market firing most of the their company in
               | the process. Intel had leaders with strategic vision and
               | guts back in the day, and the senior leadership simply
               | weren't good enough to commit to mobile when that bridge
               | had to be crossed.
        
               | helsinkiandrew wrote:
               | They didn't have to know that the iPhone would have been
               | an explosive hit, but they should have seen that Smart
               | Phone/PDA like device sales were increasing at 30-50% a
               | year at that time, and there was a definite feeling that
               | this was the future.
               | 
               | Even if the iPhone wasn't an explosive hit and the
               | smartphone growth didn't explode, 10% of Blackberries
               | market would have meant millions of processors sold to
               | Apple in the first years and any other Blackberry
               | competitor that was interested,
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | > there was a definite feeling that this was the future
               | 
               | Some people thought that, yeah. But not everybody, and
               | not on the same places Intel sold their chips to.
               | 
               | Anyway, Intel sold their foundry exactly because its
               | unitary profit was way too small for them. Since then,
               | the company only got more expensive, so they wouldn't be
               | able to keep it.
        
               | gumby wrote:
               | I don't want to defend Intel, but Apple's own announced
               | hope at the time of the iphone introduction was to
               | "eventually reach 1% of the phone market".
        
               | Nevermark wrote:
               | Apple was just reassuring customers and the market, by
               | telling them that their tiny size and newbie market
               | status was an advantage, not a disadvantage.
               | 
               | But they clearly had high ambitions for their new
               | revolutionary ergonomic mobile "phone" + "music player" +
               | "internet". They wanted to define a new indispensable
               | market and they wanted to own it. They already had a
               | multi-year product path and design pipeline for regular
               | major upgrades in place.
               | 
               | The iPhone was intended to be a "next big thing" from the
               | start.
               | 
               | And it seems unlikely Steve was selling Intel on doing a
               | new chip for 1% of the phone market. He was telling Intel
               | this was the future, in some form.
               | 
               | Apple was an objective market demonstration, with no
               | ambiguity, that there was now a need for low-power first
               | (as apposed to speed first) that would got to other
               | suppliers if Intel didn't move.
               | 
               | This was a leadership failure at Intel. They happen.
        
               | hollerith wrote:
               | I always thought it was a response to other cell-phone
               | makers integrating music-player functionality into their
               | cell phones, threatening Apple's music-player revenue
               | stream.
        
               | gumby wrote:
               | Me too. Ballmer's reaction to the iphone was not
               | obviously stupid at the time, especially given Microsft's
               | business model of direct enterprise sales.
        
             | petra wrote:
             | ARM is open. So that means they would have to compete with
             | the whole world both on chip design, and fabbing, for a low
             | power chip, with margins lower than what they are used to.
             | 
             | Sucsess(as measured in valuation back than, not today,
             | that's how managers measure themselves), was far from
             | certain.
        
               | mdellabitta wrote:
               | ARM is not open... You can license the IP.
        
               | vlovich123 wrote:
               | Right. Big company disease caused Intel to miss the
               | biggest CPU market and relegated to big metal servers
               | because they got undercut. It's still a miss for the
               | business and the CEO regardless of how managers/VPs
               | measure themselves. CEOs are supposed to take a longer
               | term strategic view. Since the mobile revolution Intel
               | stock peaked at 2x from before 2007 while Qualcomm has
               | done about 2x better than them. Of course part of that is
               | cellular chips / licensing. But there's also other CPUs
               | that were competing with Qualcomm. Maybe that's why Intel
               | didn't bother to compete (Qualcomm SoC is CPU+cellular if
               | I recall correctly).
               | 
               | It's still a lesson on the importance of keeping a
               | foothold for the lowest volume market even if you're not
               | making any money as long as the cost is sustainable -
               | cutting every unprofitable part of the business leaves
               | you for disruption. Same thing happened to Microsoft with
               | smartphones and Google with social.
        
               | szundi wrote:
               | Sadly staying in everything is death by a thousand cuts.
               | It is hard to have all the strategies at once.
               | 
               | Magic is finding out what of those can fly and it is not
               | a manager but a leader quality to do well with new
               | fields. Although sometimes managers feel the obvious
               | moves for the short term sometimes better.
        
               | jacobr1 wrote:
               | It is also a lesson for the cost-cutting that is popular
               | right now. Sure, trim fat and waste - but R&D and and
               | test projects in new areas are important for future
               | potential markets. Keep some of that alive even it
               | currently isn't profitable so that you have paths to
               | future markets.
        
               | mepian wrote:
               | >Of course part of that is cellular chips / licensing.
               | But there's also other CPUs that were competing with
               | Qualcomm. Maybe that's why Intel didn't bother to compete
               | (Qualcomm SoC is CPU+cellular if I recall correctly).
               | 
               | Intel had a cellular modem business which they formed in
               | 2011 and sold to Apple in 2019.
        
               | qwytw wrote:
               | > ARM is open
               | 
               | Qualcomm still has a 60-70%+ market share in the $300+
               | Android phone market and their gross profit margin was
               | similar to Intel until last year so it's obviously
               | doable. And XScale/Intel was probably the best positioned
               | company to dominate the ARM SoC market back in the mid
               | 2000s.
        
               | stefan_ wrote:
               | Well they also have success in WiFi & Cellular,
               | ironically two markets that Intel also participated in
               | _and never succeeded in doing anything, ever_. Truly an
               | astonishingly mismanaged company.
        
               | szundi wrote:
               | I feel that when every management book starts do bring up
               | a company as an example, one should just sell the stocks
               | in 2-3 years. Like Intel and its OKRs.
        
           | oblak wrote:
           | It only cost Otellini his cushy job
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
           | Non-touchscreen smartphone boom been going for years prior.
           | 
           | The problem was that embedded OS-es like Symbian, A200,
           | PalmOS were running circles around Windows Mobile. Most of
           | them used Samsung SoCs which were few times slower than
           | StrongARM.
           | 
           | StrongARM was seen exclusively in the context of it being
           | used to "lift" extremely bloated WinMo smartphones, and was
           | otherwise thought as an overkill for other uses.
        
           | omneity wrote:
           | To me this seems to be an attempt to leverage their dominant
           | position at the time to further strengthen it, and eventually
           | failing to strong-arm the industry.
        
           | baq wrote:
           | The biggest mistake of Paul Ottelini for sure. The world
           | would look very, very different if he said yes.
        
             | lr1970 wrote:
             | Before becoming Intel's CEO Paul Otellini served as
             | executive VP of sales and marketing. This uber-blunder is a
             | great example what happens when you let a "bean-counter"
             | run a tech company.
             | 
             | EDIT: corrected factual error. Paul was never a CFO but
             | much of his career was in sales and marketing. Sales do
             | count as "bean-counters" because their main metric are
             | counting PaL.
        
               | bushbaba wrote:
               | Disagree. The Sales leaders are generally also looking
               | for continued growth 3 years out. Sales know there's
               | sprints but you are also running a marathon where
               | continued growth YoY is expected. They should have seen
               | the smartphone potential and started chipping away to
               | grow their base long term.
               | 
               | Similar to why the best sales leaders only do deals where
               | there's renewal possibilities in 2-3 years out.
        
               | klelatti wrote:
               | That's not correct. Otellini did not serve as CFO at any
               | time and did not have a finance background. Please check
               | your facts before making a comment like this.
               | 
               | Edit: I see you've changed your comment without
               | acknowledgment. Still wrong 'sales and marketing' isn't
               | 'bean counting' and Otellini had extensive 'tech'
               | experience.
        
               | lr1970 wrote:
               | Thanks for pointing out a factual error. I corrected it
               | and added explicit EDIT paragraph.
        
               | svnt wrote:
               | I mean you should probably just own the whole mistake --
               | in no world are bean-counters sales people.
               | 
               | https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/bean-
               | cou...
        
               | voidfunc wrote:
               | Have their been any successful major companies run by
               | former CFOs? My experience here is that it is often a
               | death sentence via a long road or stagnation.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Some of their worst years were under Krzanich, who had an
               | engineering background... I think it is hard to guess
               | who'll be a good CEO for a tech company. Someone like
               | Lisa Su with a background in engineering but also lots of
               | R&D seems like the best pick. The CEO doesn't need to do
               | the i-dotting, t-crossing engineering stuff anyway,
               | having a good idea conceptual of what is upcoming and
               | possible is more important.
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Seems like what you need is a triumvirate... an idea guy
               | (The Jobs), a tech guy (The Wozniak), and a 3rd person
               | who's main job is to keep the first two from killing each
               | other, and ideally a sense for operations and PR.
        
               | mepian wrote:
               | Jobs wasn't too bad at tech, he passed Al Alcorn's job
               | interview at Atari after all.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | > The collaboration will focus on mobile SoC designs first, but
         | allow for potential design expansion into automotive, Internet
         | of Things (IoT), data center, aerospace and government
         | applications.
         | 
         | Take a note on the wording. They are definitely making a mobile
         | SoC for somebody, with Qualcomm being the likeliest client.
         | 
         | But then they instantly dilute it with other buzzwords, and try
         | to break the line of thinking how it will compete with Intel's
         | own products.
        
           | klelatti wrote:
           | 'Data center' doesn't necessarily mean Xeon competitors.
        
         | okdood64 wrote:
         | From what I understand Arm for servers is not really a thing
         | right now. What sorts of industry shifts would it take for this
         | adoption? What would be the challenges?
        
           | franga2000 wrote:
           | It's very much a thing! AWS and GCP and Oracle have had it
           | for years, probably others as well. Just a few days ago,
           | Hetzner launched Ampere based VPS.
        
           | qwytw wrote:
           | Why? AWS has Gravitron and Ampere seems to be growing fast
           | both seem to be very competitive in certain uses cases.
        
         | hashtag-til wrote:
         | This is the definitive comment in this thread ^.
        
         | systemvoltage wrote:
         | IFS needs to branch off of Intel's umbrella as an independent
         | Fab competing with TSMC, vertical integration for Intel has
         | failed to compete in last 5 years.
        
         | TylerE wrote:
         | I recently went from a massive Intel gaming rig (10000 series
         | i9, 3080, and the 1200w powersupply to match) to a the basic
         | $1999 Mac Studio (albeit joined with the several 2TB external
         | SSDs from the old machine).
         | 
         | Night and day... and the Mac is actually faster for programming
         | type stuff and the audio stuff I mess around with - on top of
         | being a much more pleasant environment for both.
         | 
         | Even for gaming it's a lot more competent than you'd expect,
         | especially for games that have been ported to Silicon. WoW runs
         | at over 100fps (NB: 1440p, 165hz gaming monitor) with settings
         | turned up pretty high. Factorio runs awesome, and just got a
         | silicon port that bumped performance another 20% or so.
         | 
         | Obviously it's not so good at AAA games, but I have a PS5 for
         | that, anyway. A lot more of my Steam library was avilable than
         | I expected.. all the Paradox grand strategy stuff, lots of
         | tycoon/city/base builders...
         | 
         | On a day to day level it's just so much more plesant...
         | effectively silent (not recording studio silent, there's a very
         | very slight noise, but it's well below the noise floor if the
         | household HVAC is running, or you have any sound at all
         | playing.
         | 
         | Even maxed out (like a chess engine using all cores) the fans
         | barely come off idle and the machine temp peaks in the high
         | 50s. At idle, it sites in the very low 30s, only 10c above
         | ambient - and things that are on the edge of the SoC, like the
         | RAM, are only 5c above ambient.
         | 
         | Then old i0 beast would idle in the 60s and go all the way into
         | the 90s under load, with fans sounding like jet turbines.
        
           | pjungwir wrote:
           | I'm curious if anyone has a similar story but running Linux
           | instead of macOS? I have a DIY AMD 5600X system (128 GB RAM,
           | two M.2 drives) that is fast but warm. In the summer it can
           | be uncomfortable in my upstairs office, despite A/C. I could
           | be tempted into trying an ARM workstation if I thought it
           | would make a big difference on heat.
           | 
           | I don't really do gaming, except occasional Minecraft with
           | the kids. My GPU is a 10+ years old GeForce GTX 560, and it
           | seems fine. (But maybe that only works with x64? I don't
           | know.)
           | 
           | I've already had a taste of Apple's ARM speeds with my M1
           | Macbook Air. Running `make clean && make` on Postgres is
           | practically instant. I don't understand what's going on there
           | to make it so fast. But for my daily work I'd rather be in
           | Xubuntu. Is anyone out there doing something similar?
        
             | robberth wrote:
             | No experience myself but I've heard good things about Asahi
             | Linux (https://asahilinux.org/). Not sure how usable it
             | already is as a daily driver.
        
           | hammyhavoc wrote:
           | Counterpoint to the "but I have a PS5 for that": if you
           | develop video games or work in CAD every day, Macs just
           | aren't a sensible option.
           | 
           | Regarding recording studios, PCs are generally kept in a
           | machine room away from everything else.
           | 
           | Great that it works for you, but for a lot of creative
           | industries, the Mac doesn't make sense in 2023.
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | Yea, I'm aware how recording studios work. Those of us
             | making amateur recordings at home don't always have the
             | luxury.
        
             | amelius wrote:
             | I'm really curious what is holding CAD companies back to
             | port their software to the Mac?
        
               | hammyhavoc wrote:
               | This is a great question that people were asking even
               | 15-20 years ago, likely even before then too, but it was
               | before my time in asking it.
               | 
               | Essentially, the demand for CAD on Mac just isn't high
               | enough to justify it, especially when anybody serious
               | about CAD wants the absolute cutting edge of hardware,
               | and the ability to expand upon it as soon as the rest of
               | the industry is able to take advantage of the latest GPU.
               | Being competitive is everything.
               | 
               | It's never been a case of software needing to be ported.
               | Some CAD apps have come and gone on Mac, but the demand
               | just isn't there in terms of sales to make it worthwhile.
               | That's not to say that there aren't CAD apps on Macs,
               | there are, but the big boy industrial toys are elsewhere.
               | 
               | Keep in mind we used to run Parallels and Bootcamp in the
               | '00s to get Windows software on Macs!
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Plus the dominant platform (Soludworks) is totally built
               | using MS UI libraries... ribbon, etc.
        
               | andromeduck wrote:
               | I thougt autocad was ported to M1?
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | No one uses autocad anymore. It's as relevant to the
               | modern CAD world as MS Basic is to us. Even the
               | architects have moved on to stuff like Revit.
        
               | terafo wrote:
               | I'd assume their rendering enigne is written for single
               | API, such as OpenGL or Vulkan. Porting it to metal would
               | be quite large project.
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | Isn't there a reasonable OpenGL shim on top of Vulkan?
        
               | Gracana wrote:
               | Cad programs barely work on the systems they're designed
               | for. I love solidworks, but it's a real turd if you
               | aren't using one of the correct "certified" driver for
               | your graphics card.
        
           | smolder wrote:
           | How does this description of your hardware purchases relate
           | to the post you replied to? Or to the news article?
           | 
           | Yes, the 10900k as the biggest 14nm consumer chip was a power
           | guzzler and is bad compared to Intel/AMD/Apples current line
           | up on new processes.
        
             | oblak wrote:
             | These 10900k or 11 series anecdotes always crack me up. I
             | switched from M1 Pro to Ryzen 6800H and it feels just as
             | fast as the much more expensive apple laptop. It's not even
             | using TSMC 5nm like the new Zen 4 parts.
        
               | greenknight wrote:
               | I think the majority of what made the M1 lineup so
               | successful, was that they were on TSMC's 5nm before
               | anyone else, and had that exclusivity.
               | 
               | November 2020 the m1 mac mini was released... September
               | 2022 was when Zen4 came along, the next CPU to use the
               | same node. Nearly a full 2 years.
               | 
               | Cinebench scores... The M1 Ultra got 24189
               | multithreaded... not that impressive but its tdp is
               | 60w... at 65w the 7950x (eco mode) scored 31308 in the
               | same test, down from 38291 at full power usage (170w).
               | 
               | It will be interesting to see if apple pushes for another
               | exclusivity deal with TSMC for 3nm.
        
               | oblak wrote:
               | AMD is yet to release a TSMC 5nm mobile part (low power
               | 5nm), so the exclusive foundry lead Apple's been paying
               | for is more like 2.5 years. It is my understanding that
               | things are pretty much the same with TSMC's 3nm node.
               | Apple's lead is all but guaranteed for at least a couple
               | more years.
        
           | pkaye wrote:
           | > Even for gaming it's a lot more competent than you'd
           | expect, especially for games that have been ported to
           | Silicon. WoW runs at over 100fps (NB: 1440p, 165hz gaming
           | monitor) with settings turned up pretty high. Factorio runs
           | awesome, and just got a silicon port that bumped performance
           | another 20% or so.
           | 
           | WoW doesn't need much hardware to run. What is the fps on the
           | gaming rig for comparison?
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | About the same. It's cpunlikited not gpu. But either is
             | plenty of gps combined with an adaptive refresh rate
             | monitor... even the studio hits the monitors 165hz cap
             | indoors, and it's 100+ in most out door zones... some of
             | the ones with tons of fog get it down into maybe the 80s,
             | but it's still really smooth... no jitter or
             | microstuttering.
        
           | a_carbon_rod wrote:
           | I made a similar transition as you earlier this year from a
           | i7 8700k/GTX 1080 Ti Windows desktop to a Mac Studio and much
           | like you I'm very happy with that decision for a lot of the
           | reasons you already described.
           | 
           | One of the more interesting aspects of the switch I hadn't
           | considered though is that it actually (positively) impacted
           | my power bill - I'm paying about $5-$10 less per month since
           | the switch.
           | 
           | The difference in form factor is welcome as well - some days
           | I find myself astonished at how much power fits in such a
           | (relatively) small box on my desk.
        
             | faeriechangling wrote:
             | The Mac Studio was a bit of a sleeper. For AI inferencing
             | at 128gb it is higher performance than any affordable
             | consumer solution with that much memory available, it's
             | quiet, it's small, it's power efficient, it supports 5
             | displays. It costs a lot less than an equivalent MBP.
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | It's the desktop a lot of us having been waiting for...
               | no built in screen, no forced purchase of hundreds of
               | dollars in "magic (i.e. garbage) keyboard/mouse), and
               | ports out the wazoo... even the base model I have has 4x
               | Thunderbolt 4, 4x USB 3 (two Type C on the front, 2 Type
               | A on the back), 10Gb eth, even a headphone jack and SD
               | slot.
        
               | IndrekR wrote:
               | Interesting comment about the Apple keyboard. I have
               | bought Apple Magic keyboards for all my Windows machines.
               | Need a correct driver to make the fn key work and remap
               | the delete key, but otherwise I have not yet found a
               | better TKL keyboard.
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Hotswap mechanical or nothing for me. I hate low travel
               | keys (and flat keycaps).
               | 
               | I actually just bought this last week for the work
               | machine..
               | 
               | https://www.keychron.com/products/keychron-k8-pro-qmk-
               | via-wi...
               | 
               | Not as good as the board on my personal PC, but that is a
               | highly tweaked out, kit built, full metal gasket mount
               | board that I have _mumble_ hundreds of dollars in to...
        
             | margorczynski wrote:
             | Still the performance vs price seems pretty bad. From what
             | I see their 10 core 500GB SSD + 32GB RAM costs as much as a
             | 7950X (16 cores) + RX 7900XT + 64GB RAM + 1TB SSD which
             | should have better performance and you can actually play
             | AAA games (at very high performance and quality, also 4k).
             | 
             | I like Apple stuff (I have an iPhone, MBP) but their high-
             | end stuff is really overpriced for what it offers.
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Well, let's try to compare like for like...
               | 
               | 7950x = $599 7900XT = $800 64GB of RAM = $150
               | 
               | Thats' $1550 right there, before motherboard, storage,
               | case, cooling, powersupply, etc. By the time you add all
               | that (plus labor, either in dollars or in time) I bet
               | you're in the $3500 range with those specs.
               | 
               | You have to consider the total package... the Studio is
               | 7" x 7" x 4"... that's smaller than a microATX board,
               | never mind some giant dual slot graphics card (Which also
               | draws 300w btw, over 3x what the entire Studio draws).
               | 
               | Lack of noise, heat, and power efficiency has real value.
               | Some of us are at a point where we want stuff that _just
               | works_ , not to fiddle with components and BIOs settings.
               | Plus, frankly, nobody on the PC side has anything even
               | close to Applecare.
        
               | margorczynski wrote:
               | I think you went way overboard with the costs - a good
               | AM5 MOBO is around $200, case $150, AIO cooling or good
               | fan $100 and a good PSU would be $200. That's a total of
               | $650. Add to that assembly and sanity checking for let's
               | say $100 (many times it comes free for these upper end
               | setups) and we get $750.
               | 
               | That's a total, with your estimates for the CPU and GPU
               | prices, of $2300 which is around $1000 lower than the
               | Studio while having more power. I agree the power
               | efficiency is worse but also note that the Mac simply
               | doesn't have access to the same compute power. Also the
               | CPU and GPU are redlined by default and going down to
               | almost 50% TDP only causes a 5% drop in performance so it
               | is not that bad.
               | 
               | Of course there are advantages that you mentioned (form
               | factor, better support) but, at least for me, that is not
               | worth a $1k+ premium. Also using MacOS for me at least is
               | a pain compared to Linux.
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | You're comparing against the ultra. I'm using (and
               | talking) about the base model Max, which is $1999 all in.
               | (The Ultra is 20 core, btw. It's essentially two Maxes
               | fused together.)
               | 
               | I will agree that the Ultra ($3999) is probably not a
               | great value for most people, since outside of synthetic
               | benchmarks, it's usually more like 10-20% faster, not
               | 100%, as outside of editing 8k video or AI, there really
               | isn't much that scales well to that many threads.
        
           | faeriechangling wrote:
           | Chess Engines I've got to say are an argument against Apple
           | Silicon, at the same power draw any AMD or Intel solution is
           | going to beat the pants off of it.
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | Seems super fast to me? Benchmarking now...
             | 
             | bench 1024 8 26 in latest stockfish (well, whatever brew
             | installed two days ago)
             | 
             | Total time (ms) : 128108 Nodes searched : 1605433485
             | Nodes/second : 12531875
             | 
             | 12,531,875 NPS is competitive with a 2950x threadripper,
             | which is an $1100 cpu with a TDP of 180w. The M1 Max has a
             | power draw under load of about 90w max (and that's the full
             | SoC), but under typical high loads it's more like 50-60w.
        
               | faeriechangling wrote:
               | 2950x is a weird comparison when it was two generations
               | older than what AMD had available at the time. Also the
               | 2950x still did 37422972 NPS which is still roughly 3x
               | higher. I think it goes without saying that if you look
               | back enough generations you will eventually find an
               | AMD/Intel product that gives less performance/watt.
               | 
               | The 5950x was also available for sale at the time, a
               | system based on it was cheaper, and it does 54029460 NPS
               | in stockfish which is over 4x faster.
               | 
               | It's not like the Mac Studio is too slow for chess
               | engines to be usable for purposes like analysis, but the
               | thing is if you make that argument than why not get a
               | much cheaper Ryzen 5 or Intel i5 based system which is
               | still faster than the Mac Studio? Say a Ryzen 5600g which
               | is also pretty power efficient and can fit in a nice
               | little box and push a few displays?
               | 
               | https://openbenchmarking.org/test/pts/stockfish&eval=7596
               | 252...
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Because running chess engines is like 0.5% of what I use
               | a computer for.
        
           | nine_k wrote:
           | I'd say that much of the M2 speed comes from its ultrawide
           | RAM interface, only possible because RAM is soldered
           | basically directly to the CPU die(s). It can't scale to
           | server sizes, but it makes perfect sense for a laptop or a
           | smaller desktop.
        
         | ChancyChance wrote:
         | The only real Arm competitor to Intel servers is Ampere. There
         | are literally thousands of customers to TSMC that Intel can
         | serve, as long as they don't just focus on whales. Gelsinger
         | needs to realize intel isn't in the pole position and hasn't
         | been for a years, but he keeps acting like it.
        
       | HPsquared wrote:
       | "Competition is for losers"
        
       | meragrin_ wrote:
       | Intel Foundry Services (IFS) specifically.
        
         | mepian wrote:
         | The original title says "Intel Foundry" but I had to make it
         | fit into HN's character limit.
        
           | primer42 wrote:
           | Ahhh another example of the hardest problem in CS - naming
           | things!
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | I wonder if this can be solved by coming up with the
             | acronym you want (because let's be honest, the clever
             | acronym is what matters) and asking ChatGPT to work out
             | what it means.
        
               | AstixAndBelix wrote:
               | It's solved by asking Dang for a charitable exception
        
           | mepian wrote:
           | I can't edit the parent comment anymore so just for the
           | context, my original title was "Intel and Arm Announce
           | Multigeneration Collaboration on Leading-Edge SoC Design" and
           | someone changed it to the current title.
        
           | Rexogamer wrote:
           | "Intel Foundry Services and Arm to collaborate on SoC
           | design?"
        
           | neogodless wrote:
           | I might have abbreviated "Collab" instead.
        
       | mnau wrote:
       | I hope they can make money from IFS, because based on Intels
       | lastest earnings, they can't even make money on their own designs
       | made in their own fabs.
        
       | tgtweak wrote:
       | Glad that Pat is making good on his strategy to offer IFS to
       | everyone, even bleeding edge process nodes. I really think this
       | is the only way to truly mitigate the dependance on fabs that are
       | entirely in the East China Sea region. If Intel can ensure that
       | IP is safe between IFS and a potential competitor to Intel, then
       | I think this is all for the better.
        
       | lizknope wrote:
       | I read the press release twice and it doesn't really say much.
       | I'm a digital physical design engineer.
       | 
       | What it probably means is that ARM will port their standard cells
       | and memory compiler to Intel's process. The other IP like the ARM
       | CPU's are delivered as Verilog RTL and a customer can synthesize
       | them to standard cells using any foundry's standard cell library.
       | 
       | When I worked at ARM they would work with any foundry even those
       | that made competing IP. If my fabless semiconductor company
       | decided to use Intel as our fab then we would still be using ARM
       | CPUs in our chips. We aren't going to use Intel though based on
       | Intel's prior history over the last 20 years of saying they will
       | be a fab to external customers and then backing away and
       | cancelling those plans. Based on talking to former coworkers most
       | of the people talking to Intel as a fab are using it to negotiate
       | lower prices with TSMC or Samsung.
        
       | trustingtrust wrote:
       | I wonder how this affects TSMCs business in the long run and if
       | this is a move that is specifically geared towards foundries to
       | come under US ownership. Interesting regardless.
        
         | MangoCoffee wrote:
         | more competition is better since Global Foundries drop out of
         | 7nm and Samsung isn't doing any better.
        
         | scarface74 wrote:
         | Intel's first announced partnership to be a third party fab is
         | to manufacture chips based on processes that were state of the
         | art in 2013.
         | 
         | TSMC doesn't have much to fear in the near future.
         | 
         | Edit: I see where the confusion lies.
         | 
         | https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickmoorhead/2022/08/10/inte...
         | 
         | This was announced two years ago. Intel hasn't proven that it
         | can be a third party manufacturer for anything close to cutting
         | edge
         | 
         | Intel announced they would be producing chips for MediaTek two
         | years ago.
        
           | pedrocr wrote:
           | Are you perhaps confusing 18A with 18nm? 18A is 1.8nm and is
           | scheduled for the second half of 2024.
        
             | sct202 wrote:
             | They're referencing the first round of IFS which launched
             | in 2013 and never really became much of anything but had a
             | lot of announcements and fanfare at the time. Their foundry
             | would have been the most advanced available foundry
             | processes at the time had it launched as planned. From Feb
             | 2013: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-altera-intel-
             | manufacturin...
        
               | scarface74 wrote:
               | Actually I was referencing the MediaTek announcement
               | 
               | https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickmoorhead/2022/08/10/i
               | nte...
        
           | Aromasin wrote:
           | What on earth are you talking about? The article is
           | discussing partnering with Arm using their 18A node. At 20A,
           | Intel will be transitioning from its FinFET design over to a
           | new type of transistor, known as a Gate-All-Around
           | transistor, or GAAFET. In Intel's case, the marketing name
           | they are giving their version is RibbonFET. This is a
           | technology that only started to come to a head in early 2020.
           | The other arm of Intel's 20A and onwards design is what the
           | company is calling 'PowerVia'. This is usually referred to as
           | 'backside power delivery' in the industry. Although slightly
           | older, we're still only talking about 2017 at the earliest.
           | 
           | Intel has its 2nm node (called 20A, followed by 18A six
           | months later) lined up for production to start in the first
           | half of 2024, which compares to TSMC's equivalent node
           | (called N2) which is scheduled for the second half of 2025.
           | 18A will be half a node denser than N2, while also being 12
           | months earlier to market.
           | 
           | As to IFS as a concept, it's only recently been revamped in
           | 2021 after a lackluster attempt in 2013 as you mentioned. So
           | far they've announced partnerships with Arm, MediaTek,
           | Qualcomm, AWS, and the DoD. That's a pretty heavy hitting
           | pack, not including all of Tower Semiconductors customers.
           | Intel wouldn't be building another 3 fabs if it wasn't
           | serious this time about building capacity for other
           | companies.
        
             | aDfbrtVt wrote:
             | Looks like Intel 4nm will only start shipping 2023H2. I'm
             | not sure I see Intel 2nm shipping less than 6 months later,
             | especially given Intel's recent history of stumbling on
             | execution. How firm do you believe the 2024H2 delivery date
             | of N2 to be?
        
             | genmud wrote:
             | Intel has missed so many deliverables that I take any of
             | their statements with a healthy dose of skepticism.
             | 
             | Like their 7nm process has been delayed, what? 4 times?
             | Have they even shipped it? Its the same story they had with
             | the 10nm process too. IIRC they were behind like 5-6 years
             | on that one too.
        
               | artimaeis wrote:
               | Intel Raptor lake CPUs are widely available these days
               | and are built on Intel 7N. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wik
               | i/Raptor_Lake?cmdf=intel+13th+...
        
               | monocasa wrote:
               | Intel 7 isn't their 7nm process, but their renamed 10nm
               | process.
        
               | jjoonathan wrote:
               | TSMC 7nm HPC:    66M Transistors/mm^2         TSMC 7nm
               | Mobile: 96M Transistors/mm^2         Intel 7:        100M
               | Transistors/mm^2         TSMC 7nm+:      115M
               | Transistors/mm^2
               | 
               | It was perfectly fair for them to rename it, but yes, in
               | the context of deliverables it's the same slipped process
               | that used to be called 10nm.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | baq wrote:
               | Yeah Intel has had a great roadmap for the past decade.
               | They haven't executed most of it and when they did, they
               | were years late to market. They have a couple years to
               | fix that or they'll live on government subsidies.
        
             | nsteel wrote:
             | > Arm, MediaTek, Qualcomm, AWS, and the DoD
             | 
             | Remember that unlike the others, Arm won't be an actual
             | customer here. They don't require any capacity themselves.
        
             | fbn79 wrote:
             | Interesting to know that "2nm" and "20A"(Armstrong) are
             | just marketing names, they don't reflect physical sizes
             | 
             | - see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2_nm_process#:~:text=T
             | he%20ter...
        
               | smolder wrote:
               | Probably an autocorrect mishap, but in 20A the A is for
               | angstrom.
        
               | gibspaulding wrote:
               | My understanding is that hasn't been the case for a long
               | time now. Wikipedia is saying the last node actually
               | measured by transistor length was from 1994.
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semiconductor_device_fabr
               | ica...
        
             | klelatti wrote:
             | > 18A will be half a node denser than N2, while also being
             | 12 months earlier to market.
             | 
             | It would be interesting to hear what the consensus view is
             | on Intel actually being able to meet this timetable. Surely
             | a strong degree of scepticism is warranted given their
             | recent record.
        
               | chasil wrote:
               | A recent interview with Shang-Yi Chiang, former Vice
               | President of R&D at TSMC (also held positions at TI, HP,
               | and SMIC) had insightful commentary on the speed of
               | bringing up a new node.
               | 
               | "We all take two years to develop one generation, how
               | come you guys can do it in one or one-and-a-half year?"
               | And they asked if some of your customer transfer
               | technology to you or what not? And I told him, "No," I
               | told him that, "That's not true." I think he probably
               | implied we steal technology from customer, the way he
               | talk.
               | 
               | And I say, "I'll tell you why." I said that, "When we
               | develop one node, basically you have some learning
               | cycles. First, you do some simulation. And you have some
               | idea, then you run wafers to prove that. So, you run a
               | group of wafers according to simulation and you have some
               | splits. The wafer runs through the fab, they come out and
               | you measure them, you analyze them, and you try to
               | improve and you run this again. This again, you run. So,
               | this is learning cycle." At that time, "It takes about
               | six learning cycle, roughly, to complete one generation."
               | Of course, you had some short loops and not just one. I
               | said that, "My R&D wafer in the fab run much faster than
               | yours, because my R&D engineer works three shifts and you
               | only work one shift. So, your R&D wafer move eight hours
               | a day, my work/move 24-hours a day. So, my wafers go
               | three times faster, even if you are twice smarter than
               | me, I still beat you up." <laughter>
               | 
               | https://www.computerhistory.org/collections/catalog/10279
               | 267...
        
               | smolder wrote:
               | Some skepticism, but not too much. There's a decent
               | possibility the self-sabotage at Intel stopped after new
               | CEO Pat Gelsinger took over.
               | 
               | Previous leadership was seriously mismanaging things. The
               | following comment sheds some light on their stagnation
               | during the 10nm/'Intel 7' node development period:
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31759034
        
             | scarface74 wrote:
             | Intel's _first_ announcement when they decided to
             | manufacture for third parties wasn't ARM it was MediaTek.
             | 
             | Intel has a long way to go to prove they can catch up.
             | 
             | https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickmoorhead/2022/08/10/int
             | e...
             | 
             | Intel isn't dabbing cutting edge chips from them
        
         | lumb63 wrote:
         | This is huge. For one, it can decrease geopolitical risks for
         | US-based firms. It also offers a chance to obtain higher-end
         | silicon. Some companies can't afford to use TSMC's latest and
         | greatest silicon because big companies have soaked up all the
         | capacity. This offers an alternative route for them. Hopefully
         | it will make the environment much more competitive.
        
           | galangalalgol wrote:
           | Is anyone trying making IOT type devices in geopolitically
           | stable places (in so far as there are any). Espressif seems
           | like a pretty clear leader right now, but perhaps that is
           | only from a hobbyists perspective? If bad things happened we
           | would have bigger problems then wifi enabled toothbrushes,
           | but it seems like a niche someone should make more robust and
           | diverse.
        
             | swamp40 wrote:
             | Future US made IOT devices will mostly be ARM Cortex M33
             | and M0+ microcontrollers. They have the latest cryptography
             | and safety features built-in and nice libraries. It's
             | surprisingly difficult to find out what fabs build them.
             | Maybe someone here can chime in?
        
               | galangalalgol wrote:
               | Those things mostly don't have built in wifi which is
               | annoying, because then you need a separate chip for the
               | wifi. Atmel is the exception, arduino even makes a dev
               | board with it, but it is $35 vs $8 for a esp32 devboard.
        
             | consp wrote:
             | Can't IoT devices be made on older fab's like the 32/40nm
             | and up fab's available in for instance Germany (GloFo)?
             | There are more of them in other more-or-less stable
             | regions.
        
               | blackoil wrote:
               | Shouldn't IoT be most sensitive for power consumption?
        
               | galangalalgol wrote:
               | Usually more sensitive to price I think? Many IOT devices
               | plug into wall outlets. For those that don't, I would
               | expect the wireless capability to dwarf the power
               | consumption of the chip itself, but it seems like newer
               | fabs would definitely be a good thing.
        
               | Groxx wrote:
               | Yeah. Depends on a lot, but only small independent things
               | really care about power. For the rest, put a bigger
               | battery on it or plug it in... and nearly the entire
               | consumer market for IOT can just plug it in.
        
               | selectodude wrote:
               | Of course, but I imagine Intel's spare 14nm+++++++++++
               | capacity is pretty significant at the moment, which is
               | best in class (non-TSMC division).
        
           | agloe_dreams wrote:
           | This is totally true, Esp. if Intel can be competitive. The
           | dark side outcome is if it is really successful, it can
           | really destabilize Asia by making the outcome of invading
           | Taiwan less important to the west.
        
             | Dalewyn wrote:
             | >making the outcome of invading Taiwan less important to
             | the west.
             | 
             | That's the whole point of the recent semiconductor
             | investment boom, though. Reduce dependence on Taiwanese
             | silicon so that we can care less about the geopolitics of
             | the region.
             | 
             | The west essentially is getting tired of playing bodyguard
             | to Taiwan; because as has been evident with the Ukraine
             | invasion, the west is not willing to go to war to protect
             | peace.
        
             | SCUSKU wrote:
             | I would imagine TSMC and the Taiwanese government are
             | keeping a really close eye on this and doing everything
             | they can to mitigate their the erosion of their Silicon
             | Shield. I wonder what exactly though...
        
           | alimov wrote:
           | > Some companies can't afford to use TSMC's latest and
           | greatest silicon because big companies have soaked up all the
           | capacity.
           | 
           | Apple is single handedly bankrolling the latest and greatest
           | from TSMC. If it wasn't for them, the latest and greatest
           | would likely be even more expensive/out of reach for "some
           | companies".
        
             | smoldesu wrote:
             | Not single-handedly, Nvidia also puts up multi-billion
             | dollar investments in TSMC's fab technology. That's what
             | put them on the 4nm node so early.
        
       | Maursault wrote:
       | Glad to hear Leading Edge is back in the game![1]
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leading_Edge_Products
        
       | helsinkiandrew wrote:
       | Interesting to see Intel (or atleast a part of Intel) 'working
       | with' a competitor.
       | 
       | Although this might help Intel become more of a foundry player
       | like TSMC this could help ARM get a greater share of the the
       | server market over Intels xeon processors.
        
       | phendrenad2 wrote:
       | So what does this mean for RISC-V?
        
         | snvzz wrote:
         | Not much.
         | 
         | All we've learned here is that Intel foundry will fab some ARM
         | chips.
        
       | [deleted]
        
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