[HN Gopher] Not Even a Recession: The Great German Gas Debate in... ___________________________________________________________________ Not Even a Recession: The Great German Gas Debate in Retrospect [pdf] Author : cribbles Score : 20 points Date : 2023-05-23 20:58 UTC (2 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.econtribute.de) (TXT) w3m dump (www.econtribute.de) | H8crilA wrote: | The winter was exceptionally warm, and no one could really | predict that. | | But putting that aside, this whole episode was making me uneasy. | To this day so many people in Europe cannot engage in strategic | thinking. I think they simply do not believe that bombs can ever | land on their own roofs. The understanding of foreign governments | and their real intentions is often at a comical level, even when | applied to actors that pretty much lay out their own plans in | public then execute on them, decade after decade. | | Effective international policy requires tools, but before that it | requires an even basic understanding of the situation and | courage/resolve. That means sacrificing something small (like a | gas shortage) for something valuable (no major war in Europe). | mperham wrote: | From the article: Moreover, the country did | not simply get lucky with particularly mild winter | temperatures, as often alleged. The average winter temperature | in the 2022/23 winter of 2.9degC was actually slightly colder | than the average temperature over the four previous winters. | sho_hn wrote: | > To this day so many people in Europe cannot engage in | strategic thinking. | | Much more troubling: Few people worldwide have the attention | span and stamina to read a text of the length off an academic | paper and engage its contents. | | That this thread is for the moment mostly hurried comments | desperate to control the message shows as much. Andp it's | tightly related to inability to do strategic thinking. | toomuchtodo wrote: | Europe lucked out and bought a year of time to scale up more | energy supplies. Germany was foolish to think they could tame | Putin with a long term gas contract. You cannot logic with | people who aren't driven by logic. | cyberlurker wrote: | I have not read the entire article, but one factor that helped | was the moderate winter. | nhavlt wrote: | [flagged] | nmklt wrote: | [flagged] | propagandamach wrote: | [flagged] ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2023-05-23 23:00 UTC)