[HN Gopher] War Is a Racket (1935)
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       War Is a Racket (1935)
        
       Author : pasquinelli
       Score  : 301 points
       Date   : 2023-05-25 19:16 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (archive.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (archive.org)
        
       | omginternets wrote:
       | I've only skimmed this essay, and plan to read it more carefully
       | later, so please be charitable if I've overlooked an important
       | passage.
       | 
       | Butler's argument appears to be conflating two questions:
       | 
       | 1. Does anyone unfairly profit from war?
       | 
       | 2. Is the unfair profit the result of a racket?
       | 
       | I think few people would argue that the answer to #1 is "yes",
       | but I don't think he's made a convincing argument that the unfair
       | spoils of war are either necessarily or overwhelmingly the result
       | of a racket.
       | 
       | Here I would like to note that the Butler's definition of
       | "racket" is rather loose. The strongest interpretation of his
       | definition, I think, is that a racket is something that is
       | orchestrated covertly by few, for their own benefit, and at the
       | expense of the many.
       | 
       | There is another word for this: a conspiracy. The American
       | Heritage Dictionary has what I consider to be a fair definition
       | for conspiracy: "an agreement to perform together an illegal,
       | wrongful, or subversive act."
       | 
       | So to show that war is indeed a racket, Butler would have to
       | demonstrate that one of two things is true:
       | 
       | 1. War can only emerge from conspiracy
       | 
       | 2. The overwhelming majority of wars have historically emerged
       | from conspiracy
       | 
       | Demonstrating a conspiracy in turn is a two-part enterprise: (1)
       | showing the act was illegal, wrongful or subversive, and (2)
       | showing that a group of people agreed to perform it together. As
       | far as I can tell, we are only shown instances of profiteering,
       | and perhaps individual corruption in the form of draft-dodging
       | and whatnot. This is outrageous, to be sure, but falls short of
       | demonstrating that a "racket" is at play. And while I can think
       | of recent examples of wars that _do_ qualify as a racket (at
       | least, IMO), Butler 's more general claim that "War is
       | (effectively always) a racket" seems like hyperbole.
        
         | angry_albatross wrote:
         | You probably meant to say that few people would argue that the
         | answer to #1 is "no"
        
       | Barrin92 wrote:
       | _> A racket is best described, I believe, as something that is
       | not what it seems to the majority of the people. Only a small
       | "inside" group knows what it is about. It is conducted for the
       | benefit of the very few, at the expense of the very many. Out of
       | war a few people make huge fortunes._
       | 
       | Just because people make fortunes from war doesn't mean that this
       | is the essential characteristic of war. People make fortunes out
       | of everything regardless of its cause.
       | 
       | War is a historic universal, and in fact it was most intense in
       | pre-modern societies. Aboriginal cultures went to war not just
       | for material reasons, but also for cultural reasons, ritualistic,
       | and religious reasons. Long before we had organized commercial
       | activity or opportunity for rackets we had warrior cultures.
       | 
       | The conspiratorial idea that war is largely driven by shadowy
       | elites doesn't really hold up to anthropology. Far from it elites
       | often even have to reign the flames of war in as populations whip
       | themselves into a frenzy. The fact that war generally benefits
       | few people, or sometimes even nobody at all doesn't imply that
       | the majority of people weren't genuinely enthusiastic about it,
       | although they'll typically deny it later.
        
         | mrguyorama wrote:
         | >The conspiratorial idea that war is largely driven by shadowy
         | elites doesn't really hold up to anthropology.
         | 
         | Of course not, Bush jr and his administration made up a war
         | right in public. That we had no business in the middle east is
         | not conspiracy. That Bush wanted to go to war in the middle
         | east is also not conspiracy. Those WMDs never existed, and they
         | knew that, yet off to war we went. How is that not elites
         | driving war?
        
         | graublau wrote:
         | Blackrock approves this comment
        
         | chrisco255 wrote:
         | > Aboriginal cultures went to war not just for material
         | reasons, but also for cultural reasons, ritualistic, and
         | religious reasons.
         | 
         | Those are always just emotional excuses for gaining more power
         | over resources. If you ignore incentives and take everyone's
         | word at face value, then we're all saints and nary a sin has
         | ever been committed in the name of some righteous cause. Mutual
         | misunderstandings, is all, I suppose.
         | 
         | > People make fortunes out of everything regardless of its
         | cause.
         | 
         | Author took care to mark the fortunes of companies at peacetime
         | vs war time and noted that fortunes increased by an order of
         | magnitude in some cases, as a result of war. If your net worth
         | or social standing is due to jump one or two orders of
         | magnitude as a result of a war or two, your subconscious mind
         | will find more reasons than are rational to justify and support
         | a war. You'll say it's to _save_ your people. You 'll say it's
         | self-defense. You'll say it's necessary and just. You'll ignore
         | any path to peace that might avert such a disaster, in
         | particular if you never have to enter the fox holes yourself.
         | That's the author's point.
         | 
         | Rackets aren't always some men conspiring to gain power or
         | money or fame in smoke-filled parlor rooms. Often, they are
         | emergent properties of incentivized systems.
         | 
         | > The conspiratorial idea that war is largely driven by shadowy
         | elites doesn't really hold up to anthropology.
         | 
         | The only part that is wrong about that statement is the idea of
         | the elites being 'shadowy'. No, they conduct their racket right
         | out in the public eye. This isn't a particularly insightful
         | phenomenon, by the way. Power always follows a power law of
         | distribution. Of course the elites are primarily responsible
         | for war. If the elites are ever against war, it just means that
         | the incentives of the moment are temporarily more favorable for
         | peace.
         | 
         | As a blatant example, let's take the American Civil War for
         | example. Well over 90% of white southerners didn't own slaves.
         | So why would they go to war and lay down their life, by the
         | hundreds of thousands, if they stood to gain almost nothing?
         | Most of these kids were raised on subsistence farms and didn't
         | even know how to read. Of course, to those boys it was a
         | cultural cause, defense of their homeland, states rights, yadi
         | yadi. That's what they were sold. But the ones really pulling
         | the strings in that war, were the rich Southern elites, who did
         | in fact own many slaves and stood to lose a great deal over
         | Lincoln's election.
         | 
         | Again, this is true of the vast majority of wars and battles in
         | human history. Pick your time and place in history.
        
           | mrguyorama wrote:
           | >cultural cause, defense of their homeland, states rights,
           | yadi yadi.
           | 
           | It was explicitly to enforce the white mans superior position
           | over the black man. That's what many confederate soldiers
           | wrote about, that's what pastors gave sermons about, that's
           | what the confederate government discussed in their
           | legislative chambers. It wasn't even "states rights to own
           | slaves", but explicitly that most of the southern population
           | believed it was by god's will that the white man guide the
           | black savage. They believed the north was morally wrong to
           | elevate the black man as an equal. They were fighting to
           | maintain their societal hierarchy.
        
             | chrisco255 wrote:
             | Let's take a couple more recent examples then circle back
             | to the Civil War. If I take your interpretation, which is a
             | single side of a complex multi-dimensional conflict that
             | involved millions of participants, and apply it to more
             | recent conflicts: the American soldiers who fought in the
             | War on Terror in Afghanistan and Iraq were totally just
             | trying to dominate the middle eastern man. In fact, they
             | owned cars and stood to gain from having access to cheap
             | oil. Many people texted about it, saying we should keep the
             | oil and bomb the whole lot. Sermons about the risks of
             | Islam, etc were spoken, in Christian churches.
             | 
             | And if you choose to discard all the other sides of the
             | die, that's all there is to the story. Those words were
             | spoken at various times. People earnestly meant them on
             | some level. But it's not the whole picture. It's a flat, 2D
             | perspective. It's jingoistic in the opposite extreme.
             | 
             | But what we do know from the so-called "War on Terror"
             | (itself a propagandistic title), is that elites went so far
             | as to even make up stories about fake nuclear weapons in
             | order to drum up support for that war. We actually caught
             | them in this blatant lie, for once. None of those people,
             | of course, have gone to jail for it, but I digress. If you
             | think that every war in history isn't similarly manipulated
             | to drum up popular support, you don't know the first thing
             | about war or propaganda.
             | 
             | But we also know, from a certain perspective, that in the
             | wake of 9/11, there was some popular sentiment to do
             | _something_ in retaliation for the innocent lives lost.
             | Nevermind that Iraq had nothing to do with 9 /11. It was
             | pitched as an extension of the War on Terror. And having
             | been swept up in that, I can tell you, I didn't disagree
             | with it at first either. The war was supported on both
             | sides of the political aisle.
             | 
             | As for the Civil War, can you find damning documents if you
             | look for them? Of course. But that doesn't tell you the
             | whole story. My own brother was drafted into the War on
             | Terror, not because he wanted to, but because he was a
             | member of the National Guard. Similarly, in the South and
             | the North and most wars in history: young men don't get a
             | _choice_ , they get drafted. If they don't go to war, and
             | are fully capable, they get arrested or executed. Desertion
             | is also punishable by death. But there's also softer
             | influences. Your own brother is going to war, your cousins,
             | your neighbors and best friends. Why wouldn't you go with
             | them, to have their back? They would have yours, wouldn't
             | they? Reciprocation is another extremely important
             | influence in human psychology.
             | 
             | We actually have recordings of Civil War veterans taken
             | from the early 20th century, when they were still alive:
             | https://youtu.be/swifvJEOF6s?t=160
             | 
             | "I didn't feel much interest in it, because I felt kindly
             | towards the darkers, and they were kindly towards me, and
             | towards my family."
             | 
             | "Now, attending school, in Spring of '61, when news came
             | war was declared...there was a rally among 75-100 boys at
             | school. Well right then, about half of our pupils, boys
             | around 18, quit school...I wanted to go too! But my father
             | said I was too young, but if the war lasted long enough,
             | you may have an opportunity."
             | 
             | "Well, so I rested. War began. And I heard about it. And I
             | heard about at Williamsburg, some of my classmates fell in
             | the battle there, and I grieved about it because the boys I
             | had been brought up with. They were a little older than I,
             | and I felt sorry they were killed."
             | 
             | "Then in 1862, General Lee began to need more men,
             | naturally. Although the biggest battles had not come
             | yet...I a boy, of 16 1/2 years old, joined a cavalry
             | company."
             | 
             | "It was a great curse on this country that we had slavery,
             | and I thank God that I did not bring up my boys and girls
             | under a system of slavery which I was brought up under."
             | 
             | You can see in Howell's own retrospective about it. He was
             | convinced it was about state's rights. He saw Virginia as
             | his homeland moreso than even the U.S.A. In the 1860s, most
             | men around the world would have done the same for wherever
             | they resided, whatever tribe they belonged to, whatever
             | monarch was in power and whatever cause was presented.
             | 
             | But that instinct that men have to fight for their tribe,
             | well that has been tapped successfully by elites for
             | millenia.
        
       | nickpinkston wrote:
       | Note that he was possibly also asked to lead a coup against FDR
       | [1] which was never substantiated, but rhymes with other stuff
       | going on at that time such as that covered by "Invisible Hands: A
       | narrative history of the influential businessmen who fought to
       | roll back the New Deal." [2]
       | 
       | These conservative groups were also heavily involved with
       | extremist anti-communist and oft times pro-fascist efforts, even
       | involving the CIA such as that covered by "The Devil's
       | Chessboard: Allen Dulles, the CIA, and the Rise of America's
       | Secret Government" [3] that shows how Dulles & Co. supported
       | these same rightist American elites' business interests. One of
       | these was Fred Koch - ie father of the infamous Koch Brothers,
       | who expanded his campaign massively to this day.
       | 
       | Eisenhower's "Military Industrial Complex" final speech [4]
       | actually was made because he was heavily pressured by these same
       | groups to both profit from fighting the Cold War and as well as
       | encourage its anti-communism to remove the threat to their
       | wealth.
       | 
       | Anti-communism in the West can largely be viewed as wealthy
       | businessmen being scared of getting their assets seized and
       | making a long-term scare campaign to get the public onboard. I'm
       | not saying I like communism at all, but their reaction was often
       | very bad for the American people and the world in general, and it
       | continues in forms to this day.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Plot
       | 
       | [2] https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/2751831
       | 
       | [3] https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/24723229
       | 
       | [4]
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eisenhower%27s_farewell_addres...
        
         | ly3xqhl8g9 wrote:
         | Also a reminder that after the 1932 German presidential
         | election [1], won by Paul von Hindenburg, 84 years old, with
         | 53%, he appointed as chancellor one Adolf Hitler in 1933
         | following the advice of Franz von Papen, the conservative
         | chancellor who served in 1932 and who would have rather see the
         | Nazi Party in power than the Communist Party (KPD) led by Ernst
         | Thalmann. In 1934 Hitler dissolves the presidency and calls
         | himself Fuhrer und Reichskanzler. Ernst Thalmann will be
         | executed under Hitler's orders in 1944, after 11 years of
         | solitary confinement. That's how the Nazis torture (Hans Litten
         | [2], the lawyer who stood against Hitler in the 1931 Eden Dance
         | Palace trial, was also tortured for 5 years, 1932-38).
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1932_German_presidential_elect...
         | 
         | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hans_Litten
        
           | pastacacioepepe wrote:
           | Of course capitalists prefer fascists, they will preserve the
           | private property AND provide a subservient workforce.
           | Communists on the other hand will seize their means of
           | production.
           | 
           | Fascism and capitalism are complementary, communism excludes
           | both.
        
             | ly3xqhl8g9 wrote:
             | Right, but who's communism? Certainly not Stalin's. Perhaps
             | Eugene V. Debs' [1]? Speaking of persons who were
             | imprisoned and indirectly, but not really, killed for their
             | anti-war stance. ( _Back in the USSA_ [2] tells an
             | alternate history of USA as communistic after 1917, perhaps
             | too reliant on the actual history and general
             | intertextuality).
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugene_V._Debs
             | 
             | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Back_in_the_USSA
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | For the entirety of the 20th century, ALL communism was
               | conflated with Stalin's "Communism" for political
               | purposes. Plenty of people advocating for socialism would
               | have been executed in the USSR because to Stalin,
               | "Communism" meant a Stalin based monarchy with a good
               | propaganda arm.
        
       | sorokod wrote:
       | Smedley Butler, previously on HN
       | 
       | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu...
        
       | TheFreim wrote:
       | It's interesting to observe people repeat the "war is racket"
       | line while also supporting wars because "their" side is allegedly
       | the virtuous one (and anyone pointing this out is peddling
       | "propaganda" of "the enemy" in the totally virtuous war).
        
         | l33t233372 wrote:
         | Wars of defense are entirely different in my opinion.
        
           | cubefox wrote:
           | Those are not up for debate, as the US has never been
           | properly attacked, as far as I know. (The Japanese attack on
           | Pearl Harbor might be an exception, but that wasn't the US
           | mainland, though the US attack on Japan did involve the
           | Japanese mainland, so this probably doesn't count as a purely
           | defensive war.)
        
             | paulddraper wrote:
             | The U.S. was "properly attacked" in the War of 1812, Pearl
             | Harbor, and 9/11.
             | 
             | ---
             | 
             | There are conspiracy theories (which I don't believe) that
             | the latter two were known, but deliberately permitted to
             | happen.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearl_Harbor_advance-
             | knowledge...
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9/11_conspiracy_theories
        
               | cubefox wrote:
               | I'm not an expert im American history, but the War of
               | 1812 was first declared by the US against the UK. It
               | doesn't sound like a purely defensive matter. 9/11 was a
               | terrorist attack which is not something one could fight a
               | defensive war against.
        
             | juve1996 wrote:
             | Are you really going to suggest an attack that killed 2,403
             | Americans, sunk five U.S. battleships & damaged 4 others
             | ships, and destroyed 188 aircraft, is not a proper attack?
             | because it wasn't on the "mainland?"
        
               | cubefox wrote:
               | The point is that the US war against Japan wasn't a
               | purely defensive war.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | But it absolutely was, and the idea that an attack isn't
               | an attack and responding to it isn't defense if it isn't
               | on the "mainland" is ludicrous. (Also, Japan attacked the
               | US mainland during WWII, and did so before any US attacks
               | on Japan proper, so you'll need to move the goalposts
               | farther.)
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombardment_of_Ellwood
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | An attack made with the explicit purpose to prevent the
               | US from putting up a fight as Japan took internationally
               | recognized US territory.
        
       | m463 wrote:
       | Also, Eisenhower's farewell address...
       | 
       |  _" In the councils of government, we must guard against the
       | acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought,
       | by the military-industrial complex."_
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eisenhower%27s_farewell_addres...
        
         | beebmam wrote:
         | The dominance of the US military, for all its faults (and there
         | are plenty), is the reason there's a mostly peaceful world.
         | Deterrence has been an absurdly powerful force towards that
         | goal, and we have the military-industrial companies in the US
         | to thank for that. Yes, they're also profiting from it. That's
         | a win-win, in my opinion.
         | 
         | In my 20+ years in software engineering, I've yet to meet a
         | Chinese or Russian colleague who thinks it would be better if
         | China or Russia had more military/political power. I've even
         | argued in favor of that position in the past (that the world
         | would be better off if there was more multipolarity), and they
         | fervently opposed my position. They are keenly aware of the
         | kind of crimes their ex-governments engage in.
         | 
         | US military dominance is hegemonic, yes, but it would be far
         | worse to have it any other way currently.
        
           | boredpeter wrote:
           | What an embarrassingly privileged comment. The US funds
           | terror around the world for their own benefit. Millions die
           | because of the actions of the US or are effectively enslaved
           | for the benefit of US capitalists to sell overpriced products
           | to wealthy consumers such as yourself. The CIA regularly
           | destabilizes 3rd world countries for the benefit of US
           | corporations (see United fruit company and Guatemala). To
           | suggest the world is a "peaceful" place simply because you
           | live in a country that has never seen war in its homeland
           | during your lifetime is ludicrous especially given the wars
           | the US has started and participated in. Frankly this comment
           | reeks of propaganda, I wouldn't be surprised if you worked
           | for the fed or a company profiting from the military
           | industrial complex.
        
             | goatlover wrote:
             | Please provide sources for the millions of deaths. Your
             | post sounds like an anti-capitalist screed more than an
             | argument against US military hegemony. Consider that
             | alternative of world war and Russian or Chinese
             | imperialism.
        
               | makeitdouble wrote:
               | It's weird to set Chinese imperialism as the worst
               | alternative, when the US is China's most prominent
               | provider of technology, and first consumer of
               | manufacturing and services. In exchange China is of
               | course also the biggest holder of US dollar.
        
           | Animatronio wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pax_Romana
        
           | inconceivable wrote:
           | > I've yet to meet a Chinese or Russian colleague who thinks
           | it would be better if China or Russia
           | 
           | lmao the ones who live in america? yeah, of course. they
           | don't want to get deported.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Initiative
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wen_Ho_Lee <-- taiwanese lolol
        
           | morby wrote:
           | That doesn't excuse the crimes committed, nor does it negate
           | the need to control the MIC. The Vietnam and Iraq wars should
           | never have happened, among many other things. We shouldn't
           | have PMCs running about committing crimes, either.
           | 
           | Edit: nor does any of what you've said negate the sentiment
           | Eisenhower was advocating, which relates directly back to the
           | Vietnam and Iraq wars. Having power and wielding it
           | responsibly are not the same.
        
             | goatlover wrote:
             | What makes the justification for the Korean War different
             | from Vietnam?
        
           | 7sidedmarble wrote:
           | well that's convenient
        
           | myshpa wrote:
           | All those wars and military conflicts are a way to make
           | profit. Pretty stupid way. It's a racket.
           | 
           | No wars are good. Killing people with drones based on
           | metadata, in foreign countries, without fair trial, is
           | extremely immoral. Every killed father will make several more
           | enemies.
           | 
           | "In 2016, America dropped at least 26,171 bombs authorized by
           | President Barack Obama. This means that every day in 2016,
           | the US military blasted combatants or civilians overseas with
           | 72 bombs; that's three bombs every hour, 24 hours a day" http
           | s://old.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/x332z...
           | 
           | I'll let talk someone much smarter than me - Carl Sagan
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/embed/BYdxFKTYJIQ
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWPFmdAWRZ0
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KcoPODwvW4
           | 
           | And Charlie Chaplin
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8HdOHrc3OQ
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_United_States_mili.
           | .. (Read it all, I dare you)
           | 
           | Imagine foreign power's drones over your country, over your
           | city. Imagine hearing explosions of homes in your town, maybe
           | few homes over. Imagine unmarked millitary man going through
           | your home with their rifles scaring your children. You
           | cannot, can you? Would you feel save and glad? Children there
           | play outside only when it's cloudy, they're afraid of blue
           | skies.
           | 
           | Imagine foreign powers overturning your democraticaly elected
           | leaders and instead putting in their figurines, all for
           | profit, of course.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_CIA_controversies
           | 
           | I know a man who worked for your government, at a black site,
           | in a third country. He's a shadow of a man. Torturing people,
           | in third countries ... that's deterrence?
           | 
           | With 5+millions of millitary contractors, many of them here,
           | maybe this quote will fit.
           | 
           | "It Is Difficult to Get a Man to Understand Something When
           | His Salary Depends Upon His Not Understanding It"
        
           | kornhole wrote:
           | One thing to consider about your anecdotal encounters with
           | people of those countries is that they were probably in your
           | country. They were probably emigres. If you spoke to people
           | within those countries who are happy with their country, the
           | sentiment would probably be quite different.
        
           | dirtyid wrote:
           | >mostly peaceful world
           | 
           | Except it hasn't been. Pinker's "long peace" theory with
           | respect to global conflict is bad statistics - 20th-21st
           | century under US military hegemony had a comparable if not
           | higher number of conflicts, see Max Roser's work documenting
           | global conflicts over the past 600 years. What has changed is
           | that war now is generally shorter and less deadly especially
           | towards combatants, but that's more reflective of the pace of
           | modern war enabled by modern weapons. High intensity wars
           | don't last for 20+ years anymore because you can pretty much
           | destroy nations in 1-5, and belligerents are quicker to
           | exhaust and forced to settle. In aggregate war fatalities is
           | down, but not # of conflicts. US hegemony didn't stop USSR
           | and RU from warring in their periphery, nor PRC border
           | skirmishes pre 90s when US had vast more naval power
           | asymmetry. When countries want to fight for their interests,
           | especially regional, they still do. His conjectures on QoL
           | indicators around the world are improving, and we can credit
           | some of that to US/western innovation, but it's also a
           | byproduct of technology disseminating as societies develop.
           | 
           | As for the opinion of your colleagues, consider some sort of
           | self-selection bias happening - I've not met many from PRC
           | that don't think China needs better military and regional
           | hegemony to forward her interests the same way US does hers,
           | especially post Belgrade embassy bombing in 99 by US/NATO.
           | And frankly even among PRC diasporas, most people I know
           | except very liberal types are increasingly unabashedly pro
           | PRC military power - they're just too polite to say so. See
           | how PRC students in the west generally become more pro China
           | the more they're exposed to western society. Many are smart
           | enough to not voice "objectionable" opinions.I can't speak
           | for RUs.
           | 
           | Ultimately, US military dominance is good for US+LIO
           | interests, but hard to extrapolate anything more. IMO
           | multipolarity will increase the chance of "smaller" conflicts
           | as poles assert their own interests for sure, but it's going
           | to be greater than the baseline of conflicts that's
           | consistently been simmering throughout history. The fear is
           | increasing large-scale conflict between poles/blocks - ending
           | the cyclic gap between major wars among major powers - but
           | that's what happens when declining hegemon pushes their
           | interests to the exclusion of others too intensely for too
           | long.
        
           | VoodooJuJu wrote:
           | Absolutely this. This comment [1] hit me hard when I read it:
           | 
           | >I never understood the good effects of American hegemony
           | until they started breaking down.
           | 
           | The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a harbinger of what a
           | world without American hegemony looks like. In that world,
           | you're going to have a very bad time.
           | 
           | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27565836
        
             | makeitdouble wrote:
             | Russia's power also came from American hegemony and its
             | military was built in direct reaction to it. Or how the
             | middle east is a mess in huge part because of the US. Or
             | Latin America after all the meddling.
             | 
             | I really don't see an argument for US influence being
             | better than the status quo, except for the US. It didn't
             | stop wars or ethnic cleansings either when it was at its
             | peak.
        
             | myshpa wrote:
             | Did you heard about americans in humvees running around
             | ukraine-russian border and provoking russians, few years
             | before the conflict ?
             | 
             | How would your government react to russians trying to
             | establish military bases in mexico, on your border? Oh, we
             | know ... we can look what you did to Cubans. Are they still
             | in blockade?
             | 
             | I don't endorse what Russians are doing. But somebody was
             | helping them to decide to attack. If it was successfull or
             | not, we'll never know.
        
               | anonuser123456 wrote:
               | To make your argument symmetric, we need to imagine
               | Mexico inviting Russia after we 1) poison their President
               | with polonium, 2) seize the Baja peninsula and 3) arm and
               | support border incursions from Texas separatists and 4)
               | have those separatists shoot down a civilian airliner.
               | 
               | So kinda not the same.
        
               | myshpa wrote:
               | Your country does immoral things, Russians do immoral
               | things, Chinese too, every big "power" does. That's not
               | the point. Point is, how would you react to the foreign
               | powers on your border ?
               | 
               | Would you go south or not?
        
               | NAG3LT wrote:
               | Please, stop repeating russian propaganda. They wanted to
               | control and reconquer their former imperial colonies.
               | Their claimed Casus Belli were just lame excuses, not
               | actual reasons.
        
               | myshpa wrote:
               | I don't have it from russians, I'm not pro-russia, far
               | from it. But those concerns that US (maybe) wants war on
               | european continent was pretty often repeated in all media
               | in EU then.
        
               | cpursley wrote:
               | God forbid we use a little empathy, nuance and historical
               | perspective in our opinions.
               | 
               | And I know I'm a bit out there, but perhaps the people in
               | the disputed territories should get a vote?
        
           | cpursley wrote:
           | Do you think hegemonic mono-culture mono-ideal is preferable
           | to a multi-polar world of competing ideas and systems? If so,
           | how do you prevent the hegemon from transmutating to the very
           | thing we feared in the first place?
        
         | jnsie wrote:
         | I must confess...I detest the phrase military-industrial
         | complex while acknowledging that it was likely defined and
         | definitely used by people much smarter than I. It's too
         | abstract and sounds like a phrase your tinfoil-hat wearing
         | conspiracy-theorist uncle would rant about. Would much rather
         | we spoke in terms of real-world organizations (start with the
         | big players and go from there) that benefit from forever
         | wars...
        
           | karaterobot wrote:
           | The specific players change, though. You wouldn't call it
           | (for example) the "Reagan-Raytheon Complex", since that's
           | just a specific, temporary instance produced by a more
           | systemic pattern of behavior. Even though the more specific
           | framing seems more actionable, getting rid of those
           | particular players would not solve the problem if the next
           | set just did the same thing. So, it's actually more useful to
           | think of this as a warning about systems rather than
           | entities.
        
           | nonethewiser wrote:
           | Its a massive oversimplification driven by pessimism.
        
           | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
           | I've been thinking that we ought to stop using county names
           | to refer to wars. Vietnam is a place, people live there, but
           | when I hear its name I just think about how messed up my
           | grandpa is because of his experiences in that war.
           | 
           | So I think that instead of "Afghanistan" we should call it
           | "Lockheed's War" or something like that.
        
             | all2 wrote:
             | And Iraq would the be the Bush/Cheney/Haliburton War. I'm a
             | fan of this naming convention.
        
             | goodpoint wrote:
             | War? Product placement campaign.
        
           | rufus_foreman wrote:
           | >> It's too abstract and sounds like a phrase your tinfoil-
           | hat wearing conspiracy-theorist uncle would rant about
           | 
           | That's why it was so important that it come from someone like
           | a 5 star general and Supreme Commander of the Allied
           | Expeditionary Force in Europe during World War II. No one was
           | going to mistake Eisenhower for a tinfoil-hat wearer, a
           | pacifist, or an appeaser.
        
         | Fervicus wrote:
         | It's a bit sad to see the comment section here fighting about
         | left/right, Democrat/Republican, and whose fault this mess is
         | instead of focusing on the military-industrial complex.
        
         | rgrieselhuber wrote:
         | One of the most disappointing things in American politics in
         | the last ten to fifteen years has been watching the left
         | abandon their antiwar fervor.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | goodpoint wrote:
           | More like the left abandoned American politics. At least
           | compared to the rest of the world the US have 2 right-wing
           | parties.
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | American politics abandoned the left, not the other way
             | around. We decided to make McCarthyism a national sport.
             | Being against Vietnam was unpatriotic and wrong. Being
             | against Afghanistan was unpatriotic and wrong. Being
             | against unregulated capitalism was unamerican and wrong.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | Predictably, this comment started a partisan political
           | argument that took over the thread like kudzu.
        
           | CalChris wrote:
           | One of the most disappointing things in American politics in
           | the last ten to fifteen years has been watching the right
           | cozy up to Putin.
        
             | nonethewiser wrote:
             | Im familiar with the argument in favor of this within the
             | past couple years. But what case is there that they started
             | 15 years ago?
        
               | CalChris wrote:
               | "I looked the man in the eye. I found him to be very
               | straightforward and trustworthy," Bush said. "I was able
               | to get a sense of his soul."
        
           | labster wrote:
           | We on the left realized that John Brown got it right.
           | Sometimes you have to march to the sea to get basic human
           | rights.
        
           | hayst4ck wrote:
           | > watching the left abandon their antiwar fervor.
           | 
           | As left people gain political maturity, they understand that
           | those in power will not give up their power willingly, so
           | force is required.
           | 
           | As a liberal person I am suspicious of any liberal who does
           | not believe in gun rights, and I am even more suspicious of a
           | liberal person who does not believe in unions, which is the
           | 2nd amendment of labor rights. Neither the 2nd amendment nor
           | unions can be used for their purpose within the bounds of the
           | law.
           | 
           | Believing in human rights means believing in defending human
           | rights with force, otherwise what is to stop someone from
           | violating human rights?
           | 
           | If a powerful person uses their power against you, your
           | choices are submit or fight. Leftists are slowly
           | understanding:                 1. There are powerful people
           | 2. They will arbitrarily use your power against you       3.
           | Those people use their power to influence law so the law will
           | not protect you       4. You can't solve this problem within
           | the bounds of the law
           | 
           | It's not hard to look at Ukraine and see that justice cannot
           | be achieved without war and that you don't get to decide when
           | you are at war.
        
             | sushisource wrote:
             | The problem with this whole thought process is it's
             | hilariously abstract. The people in power have F-35s. What
             | is your collection of (admittedly, unnecessarily powerful)
             | guns going to do against that?
             | 
             | It also assumes that such disagreements _require_ force to
             | be resolved, and that 's just demonstrably not always true.
             | Even if it sometimes is.
        
               | sparselogic wrote:
               | > The people in power have F-35s. What is your collection
               | of (admittedly, unnecessarily powerful) guns going to do
               | against that?
               | 
               | Military inventory, while powerful, isn't the end-all.
               | Just ask Afghans about their experiences with two
               | superpowers' machinery.
        
               | fnovd wrote:
               | F-35s aren't particularly useful for collecting taxes,
               | for maintaining a state. You can't use them to intimidate
               | an individual, it's a huge waste of resources for the
               | owner of the F-35. What's more dangerous than an F-35 is
               | a group of guys with guns driving around in a pickup
               | truck. Guns and trucks are just so much cheaper than
               | fighter jets, so much more deployable... not to mention
               | the entire logistical and manpower apparatus that goes
               | into getting an F-35 in the air. If you want to win a war
               | of attrition you use cheap, effective tools, not the
               | flashy stuff. Flashy weapons are great for blowing up
               | some other country's infrastructure, it's not very useful
               | if the enemy is your own people. If you blow up all your
               | own people and infrastructure, what do you have power
               | over?
               | 
               | If you and everyone in a 10-mile radius of where you're
               | sitting right now decided to ignore some federal law,
               | like maybe the one against cannabis, what the heck is an
               | F-35 going to do about it? Blow up a building, is that
               | supposed to help? No, you get some guys with guns and
               | trucks and then you can start going door to door,
               | threatening people, looking around, collecting stuff,
               | whatever. You can set up checkpoints and block off
               | bridges, the whole shebang, because you're trying to
               | establish control, not just blow things up.
               | 
               | Blowing things up has its uses but if you want to
               | intimidate someone to the point where you have power over
               | them, you need to be a little more intimate. You can't
               | just be a fleck in the sky and you can't just show up do
               | to the big stuff. You need to be in their face as a
               | persistent, immediate threat. That's what influences
               | human behavior and that's how power is established.
               | That's exactly why small guns are such a sticking point
               | in the USA, they're a very effective counter to this
               | intimate threat.
        
               | hayst4ck wrote:
               | I wonder what the Vietnamese would think of your argument
               | or the Ukrainians. I wonder if the people in Tiananmen
               | wish they had had guns. I wonder if people in Hong Kong
               | wish they had had guns. I wonder about the people in
               | Myanmar or the educated class in Cambodia, or Afghani, or
               | Iranians wish they had more guns.
               | 
               | "Who are the 2nd amendment protected guns theoretically
               | meant to be used against? When are they supposed to be
               | used? Can the 2nd amendment ever be used to protect a
               | free state within the bounds of the law?" are pretty
               | major critical thinking questions that it are probably
               | worth meditating on, especially for liberal people.
               | 
               | What would have happened if Trump won is a question every
               | liberal person needs to contemplate.
               | 
               | When the rule of law (the idea that powerful people
               | cannot arbitrarily exercise their power) fails, it
               | becomes might makes right. Would you rather be in a might
               | makes right society where you have a gun or where you
               | don't? I think that answer is obvious.
               | 
               | > Even if it sometimes is.
               | 
               | If you want peace prepare for war.
        
           | jasmer wrote:
           | Where is the 'war fervor' of the Left?
           | 
           | What does helping Ukraine defend themselves have to do with
           | 'war fervor'?
           | 
           | Putin invaded Ukraine in 2014 and Obama/Trump reaction was to
           | ignore it - which directly resulted in a much bigger war.
           | 
           | The US Military Industrial Complex is why there are no wars
           | against rich allied states. If Ukraine were part of the
           | system and had a well managed, functional military - Putin
           | could not have invaded, in fact he never would have tried.
        
             | mistermann wrote:
             | > What does helping Ukraine defend themselves have to do
             | with 'war fervor'?
             | 
             | For me: the manner in which it is done (the rhetoric in
             | media, etc).
        
             | all2 wrote:
             | This is incomplete. Ukraine was supposed to be a buffer
             | between NATO and Russia. As soon as Western folks started
             | talking about getting cozy with Ukraine, Putin saw the
             | eventuality where US/joint bases would be on his border and
             | he didn't want that. He would rather start a war with
             | Ukraine than go toe-to-toe with the US and NATO.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Any ideology that doesn't allow Ukraine to make their own
               | destiny is unacceptable. Ukraine told Russia it wouldn't
               | join NATO, tried to set itself up to join the EU instead,
               | and got invaded anyway, back in 2014.
        
               | epgui wrote:
               | Other people making friends is not really a good reason
               | to start killing them, either way.
               | 
               | I know it's not what you're saying exactly, but it's what
               | Putin's actions boil down to.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | watwut wrote:
               | Russia has borders with NATO and had them for years. The
               | buffer theory makes zero sense, considering Ukraine was
               | not even trying to get to NATO and there is pretty long
               | border between Russia and NATO anyway.
               | 
               | NATO basis were next to Russia for decades.
               | 
               | Plus, one does not need to commit genocide to achieve
               | safety. Anand Putin just happen to be committing
               | genocide.
        
               | jnwatson wrote:
               | NATO was already on his border.
        
           | wouldbecouldbe wrote:
           | The Korean War began and was fought under a Democrat. It was
           | ended by a Republican.
           | 
           | The Vietnam War began under one Democrat, escalated and
           | spread beyond Vietnam under his Democratic successor, and
           | then under a Republican. It was ended by another Republican.
           | 
           | The Persian Gulf War was entirely a Republican affair.
           | 
           | The Bosnian war and the bombing of Serbia were overseen by a
           | Democrat.
           | 
           | The "war on terror" was started by a Republican who invaded
           | Afghanistan and Iraq and continued for nearly 8 more years
           | under a Democrat.
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | you're confusion "the left" with "democrats".
             | 
             | democrats are centrist relative to the left.
        
               | graublau wrote:
               | The left in america votes blue no matter because idpol
               | and maybe climate, the only nationally palitable Left
               | ideas since Marxism any class are anathema to USA,
               | particularly since fall of USSR.
        
               | bdamm wrote:
               | Nah; the 2016 election saw many "leftists" that were
               | dedicated to Sanders go on to vote for Trump.
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | Sanders is Marxist?
        
               | graublau wrote:
               | "Drain the swamp" leftists are separate category to DSA
               | members and almost nonexistent post-COVID (RFK JR.
               | maybe). Is this beyond explanation why someone would do
               | that?
        
               | wk_end wrote:
               | I know establishment Dems liked to whine about that, but
               | is there any evidence that this actually happened in
               | meaningful numbers?
        
               | WhatWorkingOn wrote:
               | I and many other people I know did. I saw Sanders get
               | snubbed and schemed against by the DNC, to the point
               | where Hillary got the questions ahead of time. So many
               | gaffes in this campaign between two "equal" Democratic
               | candidates that we just don't talk about anymore.
               | 
               | No, I refuse to play that game and I'd rather burn the
               | place to the ground and suffer together than walk
               | willingly to my own execution.
        
               | smolder wrote:
               | Thanks. I've never met a single person who flopped from
               | Sanders to Trump. I can't for the life of me figure out
               | how you'd make that leap. I thought that the stories
               | about people doing that were mostly BS, but I guess there
               | are a few of you out there, assuming you didn't make this
               | account to LARP as a Bernie turned Trump voter.
        
               | singleshot_ wrote:
               | "I think I should have more of my richer neighbors' money
               | and if I don't get it I'll vote for trump ahaha" isn't
               | the own that you probably think it is, but this is very
               | illustrative nevertheless.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | kodah wrote:
               | I think there's a good amount of debate in leftist
               | circles whether Sanders is actually a global leftist or
               | if he's just an American progressive. The two are
               | categorically unalike, which would agree with other
               | comments that any form of Democrat and Republican are
               | just symbiotes attached to the same thing.
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | That's the "insider/outsider" thing. Trump is a rightist
               | outsider, Bernie a leftist outsider. Both are favoured by
               | "anti-establishment" types.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | Trump merely coopted the fig leaf of outsider to sway
               | voters, since he did get full support of the GOP
               | establishment unlike Sanders.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | This isn't true under the current terminology, where
               | Democrats have assigned themselves the title of "the
               | left" with the enthusiastic agreement of Republicans. And
               | while that's a new situation, we're also currently
               | experiencing a vast majority of people who identify as
               | "left" falling under two categories: _Obama socialists_ ,
               | who were enthusiastic supporters of candidate Obama and
               | were disappointed in the absolutely traditional run of
               | his presidency, esp. its second term; and _Clinton
               | socialists_ , who went along with the catastrophe of the
               | 2016 Democratic primary because they let themselves be
               | convinced that while they mostly agreed with Sanders, H.
               | Clinton was the only one who could defeat Trump (and they
               | resent the party for this.)
               | 
               | These aren't intellectual positions at all, they're just
               | soap opera stuff. If they've picked up anything about
               | political economy, it was because they were in _left-wing
               | spaces_ during the rise of the Sanders campaign. As far
               | as I can tell, all they took away from it is the slur
               | "tankie," which they think has something to do with
               | Tienanmen Square and should be screamed at anyone anyone
               | to the left of Bill Kristol.
        
               | Aloha wrote:
               | Tankies are the people who I'd loosely call
               | neostalinists, they're seemingly for a Soviet style
               | violent revolution of the proletariat - they're also the
               | people who are often reflexively anti-american, and pro-
               | russia, because america is the force of imperialism.
               | There are many socialists who are fine with achieving
               | socialism via electoral means those people are not
               | tankies - tankies are generally not okay with waiting for
               | that.
        
               | carlosjobim wrote:
               | Will this "true" left you're talking about criticize
               | democratic party leaders for their wars with the same
               | fervor that they criticize republican party leaders?
               | 
               | When Trump was campaigning for his first presidency
               | everybody was saying he would start a bunch of wars and
               | nuke the whole world. When none of that happened he had
               | to be a traitor since he didn't start any beautiful
               | patriotic wars. Reality is of no consideration to the
               | uneducated and educated masses. War is peace, peace is
               | war.
               | 
               | I will not be mutilated by mortar in a ditch or send my
               | children to die in a trench, no matter who is president.
               | War is a racket, I feel truly sorry for those who suffer
               | and will suffer for following their "leaders".
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | >When none of that happened he had to be a traitor since
               | he didn't start any beautiful patriotic wars
               | 
               | Find me a quote of someone on the left saying Trump was
               | bad for not starting a war
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | I bet you if Trump somehow served an extra 1.5 years,
               | you'd have plenty of such people - the ones that today
               | love to use the term "acquiesce" to criticize careful
               | handling of a conflict that could easily spiral into end
               | of the world with one press of a button.
        
               | carlosjobim wrote:
               | You are misunderstanding. When Trump turned out to not be
               | a crazed war monger, the narrative changed to that he was
               | a traitor taking orders from Russia. If you can't find
               | quotes for that, you are offline.
               | 
               | I am fully aware that most leftist (which means most of
               | HN) think that Trump is an insane war monger, even though
               | he served four years as president without starting any
               | wars. Like I wrote, reality does not matter at all
               | anymore to anyone.
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | Well, there was an exchange of Missiles with Iran. That
               | almost went full war, until Iran shot back and they were
               | like 'Wuuuut, they can do that?'.
               | 
               | And missiles shot at Syrian air base, where
               | Russian/Syrian planes were luckily moved just in time,
               | very conveniently, almost like it was a good PR stunt.
        
               | carlosjobim wrote:
               | Yes, the United States will always be at war. Trump waged
               | much less war than what is convenient for a US president
               | and way less than everybody said he would. Compared to
               | other US presidents he was a man of peace. I know the
               | power of denial is much stronger than that fact.
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | He had press conferences where he openly 'colluded' with
               | Russia, I can't believe that isn't brought up more. It
               | was live, recorded video. I saw it on the news, in a live
               | press conference. Its just that nobody believes what he
               | is saying, so he gets away with saying anything he wants.
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | Diplomacy is collusion now? That's a pretty hawkish
               | stance.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | "If any Russians are listening please hack my political
               | opponent"
               | 
               | How is that diplomacy?
        
               | wk_end wrote:
               | ...which is particularly egregious in the context of wars
               | like Vietnam - or even the war in Iraq - which the left
               | was famously outspoken against compared to most
               | Democrats.
        
               | jasmer wrote:
               | The missing artifact from the comment is that Republicans
               | and Democrat Left/Rightism as we understand it is a
               | modern thing established (edit: I should say
               | 'consolidated' - because the shift started earlier) under
               | Reagan.
               | 
               | The 'Democrats' were very popular in the South in the
               | 1950's among people who would now refer to themselves as
               | 'conservative'. (Edit: look at the electoral maps for mid
               | century US - Democrats/Republicans were not Left/Right)
               | 
               | Not that Left/Dem are different things today, they are
               | effectively the same, it's just that policy is
               | constrained by the other side, which has a dampening
               | effect on legislation.
        
               | hackernoteng wrote:
               | JFK would be considered a right-wing extremist by todays
               | democrat party (the political powerful left wing, not the
               | average voter)
        
               | reducesuffering wrote:
               | Well he did try to invade Cuba
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | He also put nuclear missles in turkey which were then
               | used as part of the negotiation to get USSR to dismantle
               | their Cuban bases so we wouldn't invade.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | Other way around. He put missiles in Turkey and Italy,
               | USSR responded by putting missiles in Cuba, then both
               | parties agreed to deescalate and withdraw. Then of course
               | a few years later none of this matters because ICBMs
               | become a thing and the soviets and americans can just
               | launch over the north pole.
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | And he was critical of the CIA and FBI.
        
               | wouldbecouldbe wrote:
               | I think everyone is confused of what is the left / right.
               | 
               | Traditionally the left has been associated with social
               | policies (stemming from socialism/communism vs
               | capitalism)
               | 
               | And there always was a part of the left which was anti-
               | war, and always was a more "totalitarian" version of the
               | left that felt it was morally justified.
               | 
               | But in every society the meaning of left and right has
               | been fluid.
        
               | bboygravity wrote:
               | You're missing the point that
               | left/right/democrat/republican religions are a divide and
               | conquer strategy to distract from the realization that
               | there is no democracy.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | Uh, no? Left and right are generalized terms used to
               | describe political philosophies. Democrat and republican
               | are terms used to describe political parties- those
               | parties don't fully overlap with left and right, and in
               | fact the parties have completely changed their overlap
               | over time.
               | 
               | We (Americans) live in a representative democracy (for
               | choosing public officials) and that democracy gives a
               | great deal of influence and power to
               | capitalists/industrialists (the "racket"), which has been
               | absolutely successful in establishing and maintaining the
               | existence and wealth of the country.
               | 
               | If you want to argue there is no democracy, find another
               | person to argue with; my premise begins with the US being
               | a representative democracy.
        
               | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
               | It _is_ a representative Democracy. I vote directly for
               | all of my representatives. Anyone arguing it 's not is
               | moving goalposts or arguing No True Scotsman.
        
               | mistermann wrote:
               | For semantic clarity: are you saying that it ticks the
               | boxes for being a "representative democracy", but not
               | extending the meaning of the word representative to
               | encompass _representative of the will of the
               | constituents_?
               | 
               | > Anyone arguing it's not is moving goalposts or arguing
               | No True Scotsman.
               | 
               | With this be considered rhetoric?
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Looking from outside as a non-American, I feel that
               | Democrats and Republicans are really first and foremost
               | sports clubs. Any actual political leanings are mostly
               | based on what is most likely to keep support of their
               | existing fans, and secondarily a matter of inertia.
               | 
               | And nowhere in these splits - neither in
               | Democrat/Republican, nor in left/right - is there any
               | notion of actually looking at the problem and trying to
               | find an actual, effective, efficient solution, that
               | maximizes the desired impact and minimizes undesired
               | second-order effects.
        
               | kodah wrote:
               | That is exactly how it works, just none of the
               | constituents think that's how it works on their team, so
               | we're in this sort of stasis. The unsolved and repeatedly
               | retrodden problems are called wedge issues and they're
               | key to these teams staying in power collectively.
        
               | shigawire wrote:
               | When you ignore domestic politics entirely I can see how
               | it would look that way.
               | 
               | But there is a very real difference in policy between
               | rural Alabama and Chicago. In no small part because of
               | different parties exercising control in those localities.
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | tinco wrote:
               | Trump's election proved beyond a shadow of a doubt that
               | the elections are as fair as they could ever be. Not in a
               | million years would anyone in any establishment left or
               | right have wished for Trump to be president in 2016. Yet
               | it happened anyway.
        
               | njarboe wrote:
               | Maybe you could say that for the 2016 election. Trump
               | lost in 2020.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Which just goes to show that the system was robust even
               | against tampering from the administration (in that case
               | at least).
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | To be specific, it proved that the elections are "fair"
               | in the sense that they follow the rules as written. They
               | don't, for example, fairly represent the populace.
        
               | HFguy wrote:
               | Hasn't 2000 Mules been debunked multiple times? It is
               | basically "election was stolen" nonsense. Why do you
               | think it is true?
               | 
               | https://www.texastribune.org/2022/10/07/texas-ken-
               | paxton-200...
               | 
               | https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/11/2000-m
               | ule...
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | I don't know about the debunking. I do know what I saw
               | with my own eyes; the video shows people stuffing ballots
               | in boxes all across the country. There's also the weird
               | phenomena where ballot counting was shut down in four
               | states simultaneously and then restarted. Suddenly there
               | was a statistical anomaly of hundreds of thousands of
               | votes for Biden. And there's other weird stuff that I
               | honestly should have been keeping track of.
               | 
               | I don't think the election was fair, I think it was
               | rigged. And I think it smells so badly that I suspect our
               | elections have been rigged for a long, long time.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | "Saw for my own eyes" ... "Video"
               | 
               | Were those videos in context? Were those videos
               | accurately described? Why do all the judges across the
               | country think those claims were a farce? Are they part of
               | the deep state too?
               | 
               | There were no "statistical anomalies" during that
               | election, yet there are a surprising number of people who
               | have never taken a stats class in their life absolutely
               | sure there were.
        
               | u801e wrote:
               | > I do know what I saw with my own eyes
               | 
               | What did you see with your own eyes. Were you a first
               | hand witness of a ballot box stuffing incident? When and
               | where did it happen? Did you take a video of it with
               | sound?
               | 
               | > video shows people stuffing ballots in boxes all across
               | the country
               | 
               | How do you know when those videos were made? Who recorded
               | those videos? Where was each video taken (which voting
               | district and when)?
               | 
               | > where ballot counting was shut down in four states
               | simultaneously and then restarted
               | 
               | Which four states? What what was the date and time the
               | ballot counting stopped? What was the date and time the
               | ballot counting resumed?
               | 
               | > And there's other weird stuff that I honestly should
               | have been keeping track of.
               | 
               | Like what? Any concrete examples?
               | 
               | > I don't think the election was fair, I think it was
               | rigged.
               | 
               | Yet you're very non-specific about your reasoning and
               | evidence. Typically, people cite sources that support
               | their argument, but you did not.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | Please, share some reliable evidence that this is the
               | case. So far, nobody has managed to anything but cast
               | doubt on a process that seems to be fair and mostly
               | working.
        
               | RajT88 wrote:
               | Indeed "Leftists" mostly vote Democratic for lack of a
               | more viable alternative, but many do not consider
               | themselves Democrats.
               | 
               | Even really smart and educated people I know are
               | surprised to discover most voters in the US do not have a
               | party affiliation.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | There aren't really political parties in the US. In other
               | countries, people pay membership dues to their political
               | parties and get membership cards. Here, we just declare
               | our allegiance to these private organizations on twitter.
        
               | RajT88 wrote:
               | That's not true.
               | 
               | We poll the hell out of our populace and ask, "What do
               | you identify as?" That's how we know how people identify.
               | 
               | > In other countries, people pay membership dues to their
               | political parties and get membership cards. Here, we just
               | declare our allegiance to these private organizations on
               | twitter.
               | 
               | Some states in the US have state-level party
               | organizations which you join and receive a card. Not all.
        
               | the_only_law wrote:
               | How does these polls work? What's the selection process?
               | I've never been asked what I politically identify as, and
               | I imagine anyone who asks would be disappointed that I
               | would refuse place myself as something fitting whatever
               | binary/trinary categories they have in mind.
        
               | shigawire wrote:
               | Generally polling organizations poll a random sample of
               | Americans via phone calls or online polls. There is a lot
               | of process to try to guarantee a representative sample.
               | 
               | I don't think a pollster would be disappointed that you
               | don't have a party affiliation. In fact some of biggest
               | emphasis in election season is on independents or
               | undecided voters.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Many states allow you to pick a party affiliation when
               | you register to vote, and some require a declared
               | affiliation before you can take part in primaries.
        
             | reso wrote:
             | Hard agree. Democrats pay lip service to anti-war voices
             | when they are out of power, then often rule as hawks.
             | 
             | It's not necessarily meaningful to call one party more or
             | less hawkish than the other. It often comes down to the
             | leader, era, and coalition behind them. Bush/Cheney were
             | definitely more aggressive than Gore would have been, but
             | HRC was positioning herself to be much more hawkish than
             | Trump ended up ruling as. That's why in the post-2016 era
             | many infamous hawks like Bill Kristol and David Frum have
             | been Democrat-aligned.
        
             | greedo wrote:
             | US involvement in the Vietnam war started with Eisenhower,
             | who last I checked was a Republican...
        
             | FrustratedMonky wrote:
             | Sometimes Democrats get backed into a corner. Like with
             | Korea, Vietnam. No matter what they do, Republicans call
             | the Democrats communists/evil/Satan. So when there is a
             | communist country in the mix, then they better damn well go
             | to war, or it proves they are stooges of those same
             | communist countries. Because Democrats can't appear weak on
             | communists, they might fight them harder than a Republican
             | would, (see recent history where Republicans are backing
             | Russia, which is like bizzaro world).
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | What real-world circumstance does this theory explain?
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | Korea, Vietnam. If Communist China wasn't involved, we
               | probably wouldn't be either. It was a policy of
               | containment. And yes, Democrats went along with it. What
               | could they do, say "no we're siding with China"? They
               | would be voted out.
        
               | colpabar wrote:
               | So they don't actually have any principles?
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | Why the down votes? Republicans love war, sometimes
               | Democrats go along with it. It's called compromise. You
               | mean, why do Democrats sometimes bend their principles in
               | the face of gun toting Republican's calling for a coup? I
               | don't know, to thread the needle to keep the peace. When
               | half the country is ready to re-enact the Civil War, what
               | is to be done? It isn't like Lincoln didn't compromise
               | when needed.
        
             | sillywalk wrote:
             | I gotta nitpick :)
             | 
             | Ignoring the whole background of Korea, it's occupation by
             | Japan, and split at the end of WW2, the Korean War began
             | when the North invaded the South.
             | 
             | For Vietnam, the war ended when the North Vietnam 'won' and
             | the South collapsed.
        
             | nonethewiser wrote:
             | > The "war on terror" was started by a Republican who
             | invaded Afghanistan and Iraq and continued for nearly 8
             | more years under a Democrat.
             | 
             | And ended by a Republican
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | Is Biden a Republican? What president ended the war for
               | you?
        
               | cpursley wrote:
               | Trump started the legal process of ending that war, like
               | him or not.
        
               | mcculley wrote:
               | The Republicans keep saying that Biden improperly
               | withdrew from Afghanistan.
        
               | mc32 wrote:
               | One committed the country to the withdrawal the other
               | executed the withdrawal.
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | And Democrats keep pinning it on Trump.
               | 
               | Regardless, who is there when they withdrew is not the
               | same as who made the plan and started the withdrawal. The
               | Doha Agreement was drafted and signed under Trump. Biden
               | didnt renege on the agreement and executed it.
               | 
               | We have no idea if he would have drafted such an
               | agreement but his track record in that regard isnt good.
               | Obama and Biden increased troops as another commenter
               | noted.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | The reality is that there was no path to a good exit from
               | Afganistan, and we should condemn Bush for starting it,
               | condemn Obama for doubling down, condemn Trump for not
               | pulling out earlier, and same for Biden.
        
               | mullingitover wrote:
               | Afghanistan is a wash, nobody gets to take credit for
               | ending that. Trump entered into the surrender agreement,
               | but delayed the execution of the agreement past the end
               | of his term, so if he doesn't take the blame for the
               | fallout he doesn't get credit for ending it either.
               | Meanwhile Obama surged troops while he was in office,
               | sure, but then tried to steeply draw down and was blocked
               | by republicans[1]. They also blocked his effort to close
               | the human rights embarrassment at Guantanamo[2]. This is
               | basically an 'everyone sucks here' situation, at best.
               | 
               | [1] https://thehill.com/homenews/286787-gop-questions-
               | obamas-afg...
               | 
               | [2] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-defense-
               | guantanamo/ho...
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | Trump drafted and signed the agreement and Biden executed
               | it. That's about as fair as you can put it.
               | 
               | As you noted, Obama and Biden increased troop count
               | before Trump signed the Doha agreement to end the war.
        
               | mjevans wrote:
               | Trump, denying they lost the election, refused to support
               | any transfer of power or awareness to the incoming
               | administration as traditionally happens. This combined
               | with the agreement taking effect very shortly after the
               | new term enhanced the scale of the damage, particularly
               | with the new administration's cabinet bootstrapping
               | during the same period.
        
             | sesuximo wrote:
             | I think it's fair to say American politics are violent, and
             | it's not really a partisan thing
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | rad88 wrote:
               | Blowing up buildings, murdering jews, plotting
               | assassinations etc. is substantially damaging. It is
               | "extremist".
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | I'm unfamiliar with these. Sources?
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Bombing abortion clinics used to be a fun pastime. Go
               | read a newspaper from the 70s or 80s.
               | 
               | The FBI has considered right wing extremism a serious
               | threat to the US since before Ruby Ridge and Waco. The
               | turner diaries was written before either.
               | 
               | And the KKK was exactly a militant right wing political
               | group, with members being politicians, sometimes openly.
        
               | watwut wrote:
               | Majority of violence is done by right wing. It is beyond
               | cynical to lie so much and try to pin it on the left. The
               | right is the ones who are the biggest and actual threat
               | to both freedom and democracy - and actual perpetrators
               | of murders and terrorist attacks.
               | 
               | And no, j6 were no tourist not peaceful. They were
               | literal violent attempt to prevent votes count.
        
               | hotpotamus wrote:
               | It sounds like the left is much more powerful than the
               | right then given that they can overpower them with no
               | repercussion. I think it would probably be best to give
               | into their demands so the right are not further
               | victimized if this is the case.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Ain't it amazing how powerful the left is and yet we
               | can't even raise the debt ceiling?
        
           | jscipione wrote:
           | [flagged]
        
           | sangnoir wrote:
           | > One of the most disappointing things in American politics
           | in the last ten to fifteen years has been watching the left
           | abandon their antiwar fervor
           | 
           | You might be mixing up anti-imperialism with antiwar
           | sentiment. In the past, the 2 were typically hand-in-hand due
           | to the geopolitics of the day, but it is not a given -
           | depending on the circumstances[0].
           | 
           | It's interesting how the American right is also taking up an
           | anti-war stance, while maintaining pro-imperialist
           | attitudes[1]
           | 
           | 0. Cf. The left's attitude towards the Vietnam war vs. the
           | Apartheid government in South Africa.
           | 
           | 1. With Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the "peace with
           | North Korea at all costs" under Trump
        
             | nonethewiser wrote:
             | Its about not wanting to fight other people's wars.
             | 
             | Republicans are a lot more interested in the militarization
             | of the pacific and southern border.
        
           | KerrAvon wrote:
           | Like a lot of things, it went off like a light switch when
           | Obama was elected. It was crushing. I thought it was genuine
           | anti-Iraq-war sentiment, not merely well-deserved hate for
           | Bush. But a lot of it turned out to be a cudgel to beat the
           | other guys.
           | 
           | COVID is similar; Trump fucked it up because everything he
           | touches turns to shit, not a surprise. Biden continues to
           | fuck it up to this day and... crickets from Democrats.
           | 
           | Thankfully, Biden is doing the right thing, very skillfully,
           | with Ukraine. I wish he could get it together on domestic
           | policy. Making his bumblefuck COVID czar his chief of staff
           | was a incredibly bad decision, though.
        
             | lizardking wrote:
             | The outcome of the conflict will be the only metric that
             | matters for assessing Biden's performance. If we end up
             | spending hundreds of billions of dollars and have nothing
             | to show for it except Russia controlling the territory they
             | originally intended to seize, it will be difficult to
             | consider anything we are doing as 'skillful'. Dumping money
             | and weapons into the proxy war du jour is the default
             | policy of D.C.
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | Biden shouldnt be judged on the outcome of Ukraine. And
               | im no fan of Biden. But its just not in his power nor all
               | of NATO, unless we got in a direct conflict with Russia.
               | 
               | And sadly, this is more normal than peace when it comes
               | to Russian border states.
        
               | lizardking wrote:
               | American leadership deserves to be judged if they commit
               | hundreds of billions of dollars to cause with no benefit
               | to the American public. A Russian victory that we are
               | spending huge sums to prevent doesn't bring any benefit
               | to the American public.
        
             | digging wrote:
             | > Biden continues to fuck it up to this day
             | 
             | In what way? Don't get me wrong, I think Biden sucks. But
             | when wearing a mask became an issue of deepest political
             | ideology before Biden was elected, it's a tough task to
             | change public opinion when you're a politician.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | There's something to be said that we literally lost the
               | war on covid and just kinda pretended that it ended, but
               | I'm not sure what other option there was. If democrats
               | pushed to keep fighting covid with gusto, it would not
               | have been popular and would easily lead to Republicans
               | running everything in the next decade.
               | 
               | History books will hopefully acknowledge just how
               | terribly the entire world handled it.
        
               | digging wrote:
               | Yeah I agree but, like I say, we were defeated by COVID
               | before Biden was elected, just like we were defeated in
               | Afghanistan before he was elected. He could have pulled
               | off something excellent in either case, but that would
               | have been very difficult and I don't know how he would
               | have done it.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | How was this country defeated by covid? What could he
               | have done otherwise? Hospitals aren't overwhelmed today,
               | that was the entire concern of the pandemic.
        
               | nonethewiser wrote:
               | Covid is over. It might still be around but we are done
               | melting down over it.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | We won the war on covid though, it was always about
               | hospital capacity.
        
             | chasd00 wrote:
             | > Biden continues to fuck it up to this day
             | 
             | what is there left to do on COVID? The healthcare system is
             | not collapsing and lockdowns have ended. Remember, the
             | lockdowns where there only to prevent the healthcare system
             | from collapsing. We even have vaccines and a host of other
             | treatments widely available. If you're expecting total
             | eradication of an airborne respiratory virus I don't think
             | you're being realistic.
        
             | pstuart wrote:
             | Obama doubled down on Afghanistan from the get-go -- I
             | consider that fiasco as much his as his predecessors.
             | 
             | As an "anti-war leftist", I find myself cheering on the
             | assistance to Ukraine, as that is the first war in my
             | memory that seemed worth fighting.
             | 
             | Still no love for the Military Industrial Complex though...
        
               | CalChris wrote:
               | I'm a _huge_ Obama fan but Afghanistan was his biggest
               | mistake. In fairness, he got sold a bill of goods by the
               | Pentagon and with the economy in a shambles, he was
               | somewhat distracted. The Republicans greeted anything he
               | did with stubborn resistance with McConnell pledging to
               | make him a one term President. McCain prevented him from
               | closing Guantanamo.
               | 
               | But he was still Commander in Chief.
        
               | pstuart wrote:
               | Yes, he was sold a bill of goods, but in his 8 years
               | never re-evaluated the situation.
               | 
               | I'm going to guess that he was wary of the political
               | attacks over doing so -- if all it took was french
               | mustard or a tan suit, imagine the outrage of "cutting
               | and running"
        
               | graublau wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | digging wrote:
               | I'm a different anti-war leftist, but IMO it's a lose-
               | lose. This is more about mitigation than doing what's
               | good. The MIC wins whether or not we support Ukraine - if
               | Russia conquered Kyiv, you think the MIC wouldn't be
               | ramping everything up in preparation for further
               | invasions of NATO allies?
               | 
               | It's not like Ukraine is some socialist utopia I want
               | preserved at all costs. But it's a free nation that's
               | less fascist than Russia, and it deserves to exist, and
               | more importantly the Ukrainian people deserve to exist.
               | If Russia wins, we'll be looking at genocide on a huge
               | scale (because we're actually currently dealing with
               | genocide on a "small" scale). So, I'm more anti-genocide
               | than I am anti-MIC, and I think it's a good thing we're
               | helping Ukraine fight back against Russia.
        
               | glogla wrote:
               | I would say, they are both complicated.
               | 
               | Afghanistan shows that trying "nation building" on a
               | place where they don't actually want any nation doesn't
               | really work. But it did work for Japan and Germany after
               | WW2, so maybe it was worth trying. I'm sure the women who
               | are now forbidden to learn to read liked the Americans
               | more than they like Taliban, but does that mean extending
               | the war was worth it?
               | 
               | As for Iraq, the WMDs were a complete lie and Bush and
               | Cheney just wanted more war - some say Cheney was the
               | mind behind and Bush was just idiot, some say Bush wanted
               | to finish what his father started - but average Iraqi is
               | now better off than with Saddam. That doesn't help those
               | who died in the war, of the people who could have has
               | better lives for the money the war had cost though.
               | 
               | It was actually Ukraine that changed my opinion on Iraq,
               | because the arguments "Iraq under Saddam's brutal
               | dictatorship wasn't that bad, there was no reason to war"
               | started resonate with "don't help Ukraine, their lives
               | aren't going that bad under Putin's brutal dictatorship,
               | tell the to surrender" little too much. Was Iraq
               | different from Ukraine only because in one the dictator
               | was status quo and in the other it wasn't?
               | 
               | Yeah, complicated.
        
               | pstuart wrote:
               | But they emphatically said they weren't nation-building,
               | and armies are only good for fighting and destroying
               | things, not building things (with an exception to the
               | Corp of Engineers).
               | 
               | There was never a plan, more so, never a formal
               | declaration of what the hell victory was _supposed to
               | look like_.
        
           | BrotherBisquick wrote:
           | [flagged]
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | Hell, plenty on the right want Trump as king, with his son
             | as next in line. I don't think that is broadly popular
             | Republican policy though, despite their official policy
             | being "Do whatever Trump wants"
        
             | 3192029941 wrote:
             | > ...or rallying to the defense of the Duchess of Sussex, a
             | literal princess married to a family of billionaires
             | 
             | FWIW, nobody I know (either left-leaning or right-learning)
             | cares about her at all. I'm curious where you're hearing
             | this from.
             | 
             | > while kicking poor white workers in the teeth
             | 
             | How?
             | 
             | > the latter are suspicious that a man belongs in a woman's
             | locker room.
             | 
             | Well, I'm glad that we can all agree that trans men are
             | okay, then!
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | I'm actually not sure anymore which side of the aisle, if
               | any, anyone in this conversation joins, but in the US,
               | both the Democrats and Republicans have spent the last 70
               | years selling the average worker down river, whether by
               | trade agreements that made it profitable to do all
               | manufacturing in China or decades of successful anti-
               | union and anti-"socialism" propaganda or banking
               | deregulation, or letting coal mines poison you while also
               | letting them write the textbooks that tell you you should
               | be thankful for being poisoned, to embroiling us in
               | middle east nonsense, to the war on drugs, to stabbing
               | important unionized transportation workers in the back
               | directly (Both parties have an explicit case of this!!!)
               | 
               | The republicans switched to ideological and religious
               | stuff mid century, and the democrats seemingly responded
               | by just.... walking away from the common man? It's weird.
               | If you want to vote for workers empowerment in the US,
               | you don't have an option.
        
           | vlovich123 wrote:
           | How do you mean? Seems like the left is still pretty antiwar.
           | Also, not all war is equal. Otherwise you're in the paradox
           | of tolerance. It should be a last resort but it necessarily
           | must remain an option. Unprovoked wars of aggression (US
           | Iraq) are different from provoked wars (e.g. Germany in
           | WWII). The other problem is when there's provoked aggression
           | but the response is disproportionate (9/11 Afghanistan
           | considering Afghanistan offered to remand Bin Laden into US
           | custody). There's a lot more nuance in the real world too
           | (e.g. how should Israel respond to inbound rocket attacks
           | which are provoked but failure to respond with outsized force
           | tends to cause attackers to get more emboldened).
        
             | nonethewiser wrote:
             | No one is antiwar. Its a non-sensical position. There are
             | just people who want de-escalation in a subset of cases.
             | 
             | Antiwar doesn't really make any sense because you can't end
             | wars without fighting in wars. Or surrendering but that
             | proves the "doesnt really make sense" point. It also just
             | encourages more wars in the future. There can be diplomatic
             | solutions but you still have to embrace the war until then.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | "Anti-war" is a sensible coherent position relative to a
               | country making war. It only seems ambiguous these days
               | because Russia is trying to tap into existing anti-war
               | sentiment against the US (caused by elective wars the US
               | created), to undermine western support for Ukraine in a
               | war that Russia created. The actual anti-war position on
               | Ukraine is "Russia, stop making war in Ukraine" - which
               | can be expressed by citizens of Russia and anyone else.
               | Russia however is not stopping (just as the US didn't
               | stop in Iraq), and so war continues.
        
             | psychphysic wrote:
             | The paradox of tolerance can not be used here.
             | 
             | It requires fiat control of the situation.
             | 
             | That control of sovereign entities can only be attained by
             | threat or actualised violence.
             | 
             | Putting it another way.
             | 
             | That you even consider yourself entitled to tolerate a
             | sovereign nation requires that you believe you are entitled
             | a degree of control it.
             | 
             | Anti-war thinking requires not just that you consider war a
             | last resort. But you consider that you have no option at
             | all. War is not another just lever.
             | 
             | If it is then you do not have anti-war beliefs you just are
             | more adverse to it than some hawks.
        
               | vlovich123 wrote:
               | > That control of sovereign entities can only be attained
               | by threat or actualised violence.
               | 
               | Treaties are signed regularly having nothing to do with
               | any kind of threat of violence. Breaking of treaties
               | often even has legal redress mechanisms within
               | international courts of law, all without military
               | threats. Instead economic sanctions are often the
               | recourse.
               | 
               | Re "paradox of tolerance" it's a pretty close analogy so
               | I'm really not sure what you're going on about. An
               | absolute anti-war position puts you in the position of
               | tolerating wars. Thus any group that wants can engage in
               | violence to acquire more resources. At the limit it can
               | even overpower you although that's not so important
               | because your tolerance of the war has a net result in
               | having caused more war and violence. In military circles
               | it would be called appeasement* but it's the same basic
               | philosophy.
               | 
               | * Interesting side note is that there are some historians
               | that suggest that Chamberlain's appeasement strategy
               | wasn't because he thought it would work to pacify Hitler
               | but because he was desperately trying hard to avoid
               | Britain getting sucked into a conflict until they were
               | properly staffed up (Stalin did the same btw).
               | Additionally the appeasement strategy arguably was
               | helpful in also pulling America into the European theater
               | because domestic supporters of Germany couldn't claim
               | that Hitler's expansion was somehow legitimate given that
               | every grievance raised by Germany had a legitimate
               | attempt to redress.
        
               | psychphysic wrote:
               | What are you blathering on about? Intolerance, treaties,
               | Hitler?
               | 
               | Your comment is the best example of Godwin's law I've
               | seen in a while.
               | 
               | I'll take your sprinting away from the point at hand to
               | mean you're not interested in the original discussion?
               | 
               | To tolerate suggests you could not tolerate it. That
               | requires control.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | Left politicians have never been antiwar.
           | 
           | Truman, Johnson, Clinton, Obama, etc.
           | 
           | The only difference between now and the 70s is that the
           | politicians have more control over the left.
        
             | hayst4ck wrote:
             | The progressives (bernie, AOC, etc.) had very very
             | disappointing responses to Ukraine that showed they are not
             | ready to rule. I was particularly devastated by AOC's
             | response.
        
             | rufus_foreman wrote:
             | >> Truman, Johnson, Clinton, Obama, etc.
             | 
             | The Carter presidency is in the running for the most
             | peaceful modern presidency. He did start arming the rebels
             | in Afghanistan, and ordered what I guess amounts to a brief
             | invasion of Iran, but overall, pretty peaceful. It's either
             | him or Trump.
        
           | mnky9800n wrote:
           | What about when the entire left voted for going to Iraq
           | twenty years ago? (Except Bernie Sanders I believe)
        
             | runarberg wrote:
             | > The dramatic, much-debated vote on Joint Resolution 114
             | was taken on Oct. 11, 2002. It passed the Senate by a vote
             | of 77 to 23, and the House of Representatives by a vote of
             | 296 to 133. In the end, 156 members of Congress from 36
             | states had enough information and personal insight and
             | wisdom to make the correct decision for our nation and the
             | world community.
             | 
             | > Six House Republicans and one Independent joined 126
             | Democratic members of the House of Representatives in
             | voting NAY. In the Senate, 21 Democrats, one Republic, and
             | one Independent courageously voted their consciences in
             | 2002 against the War in Iraq.
             | 
             | https://www.thoughtco.com/2002-iraq-war-vote-3325446
             | 
             | Worth mentioning among the NAY votes is Barbara Lee
             | representative of California's 12th congressional district
             | (9th during the vote) who has announced she'll be running
             | to take Dianne Feinstein's (who voted YAY) seat in the 2024
             | senate race, and is a favorite among many progressives
             | (i.e. left wing Democrats).
        
             | nonethewiser wrote:
             | I still don't understand why people think it was the wrong
             | decision.
        
               | runarberg wrote:
               | I'm sorry for the snark, but Major General Smedley Butler
               | offers a generic explanation for wars in general in his
               | 1935 essay _War is a Racket_.
               | 
               | But for the Iraq war specifically (a part from the
               | racketeering) why many people think it was the wrong
               | decision is in large part based on the lies and
               | deceptions that were used to justify the invasion.
               | 
               | At the time many people believed those lies and thought
               | they were justifiable reasons for the invasion. When it
               | later turned out there were no weapons of mass
               | destruction, that ties of the Ba'ath party to terrorist
               | organizations were none, that the USA imposed government
               | was corrupt and offered little benefits to regular people
               | over Saddam's dictatorship, etc. etc. When this all
               | became common knowledge, on top of all the war crimes,
               | the torture scandals, the massacres, after Chelsea
               | Manning and Julian Assange went to prison for revealing
               | some of those war crimes, many of these people who
               | previously believed the war was justified, changed their
               | opinion of it.
        
       | DirectorKrennic wrote:
       | "I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow
       | for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only
       | that which they defend." _Faramir_ , "The Lord of the Rings: The
       | Two Towers"
       | 
       | "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket
       | fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who
       | hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed.
       | This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending
       | the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the
       | hopes of its children. The cost of one modern heavy bomber is
       | this: a modern brick school in more than 30 cities. It is two
       | electric power plants, each serving a town of 60,000 population.
       | It is two fine, fully equipped hospitals. It is some 50 miles of
       | concrete highway. We pay for a single fighter plane with a half
       | million bushels of wheat. We pay for a single destroyer with new
       | homes that could have housed more than 8,000 people. This is not
       | a way of life at all, in any true sense. Under the cloud of
       | threatening war, it is humanity hanging from a cross of iron."
       | _Eisenhower_
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | Schools, homes, power plants etc are pretty meaningless if
         | they're stolen or destroyed by a foreign power. I understand
         | there's a balance to be made but spending on national defense
         | is necessary. The money spent on the deadbolt on my front door
         | could have bought me lunch but I still bought the deadbolt.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | No one will disagree with that. (Well, I guess there is
           | Defund the Police...)
           | 
           | There are, however, plenty of people who say with a straight
           | face wAr Is GoOd FoR tHe EcOnOmY
        
         | globalise83 wrote:
         | Totally fair, and yet, the incidental fruits of WW2 such as
         | radar, powerful long-range aircraft, all kinds of advances in
         | electronics, radio communications, atomic energy etc. led to 60
         | years of incredible subsequent technological progress and
         | economic development that without any question raised enormous
         | numbers of people out of starvation, abject poverty and misery.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | A lot of that is from world governments adopting centrally
           | planned economic and scientific goals. We could do this
           | whenever. We don't need a war for it. Its just our leaders
           | favor things like rugged individualism and privatizing what
           | should be public works instead today, probably because that
           | leads to outsized benefits to certain connected individuals.
        
             | toast0 wrote:
             | Sure, we could adopt centrally planned goals and the will
             | to carry them out (the goals are much easier than the
             | carrying them out), but war, cold or hot seems to be just
             | about the only means to generate that will.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | In some sense that's okay. We shouldn't bypass democratic
               | means easily. It's similar to how democratic societies
               | have "state of emergency" powers and just as dangerous,
               | and also why armed pacifism should be a good default for
               | democratic society. You should not cause war, but if
               | someone brings war to your door, you have a duty to your
               | people to protect them and prevent occupation.
               | 
               | Important in this ideology is that flying a boeing into a
               | building and killing 3000 people is not bringing war to
               | your doorstep.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | The thing that is bad about democracy as we experience it
               | today, is that while in theory you get an equal choice at
               | the ballot between different options, the sources of
               | information you have to rely on to form an opinion to
               | vote a certain way are not providing information on
               | options at equivocal levels, or in an unbiased manner. It
               | begs the question, is this really your vote, or did
               | someone successfully convince you to vote in their
               | interests thinking they are your own? Considering the
               | massive incentives behind the ability to control voting
               | in a democratic country, it should be expected various
               | interests are working tirelessly to influence your voting
               | behavior. It makes you wonder if the end product would be
               | very different whether we bothered with the performance
               | of elections or not. Certainly at least people believe
               | they chose this government having cast the vote, so maybe
               | that's the benefit of maintaining the system for elites:
               | not to have the public shape government, but to have the
               | public believe they have shaped government, and don't
               | need to try and shape it through other means that might
               | disrupt the order of things.
        
           | DubiousPusher wrote:
           | I recommend checking out the fantastic, "The Rise and Fall of
           | American Growth". The book provides very strong evidence that
           | the era of American growth which produced our modern standard
           | of living starts in 1870 and actually ends in 1940, though
           | there was also an era of less important but still strong
           | growth from 1940-1970.
           | 
           | Furthermore, this is a bit of a counterfactual as we don't
           | actually know the trajectory of technology without the war.
           | Some thing we know for certain though, mass electrification
           | and public health were well underway before the war and
           | continued through it. These being probably the two most
           | important developments that improved productivity and the
           | quality of life for most people.
        
             | asdff wrote:
             | Its crazy how little this country has really changed since
             | 1970, when you remove the superficial fluff like iphones or
             | flat screen tv. Take a neighborhood in socal. It might be
             | full of dingbat apartments. 50 years ago in 1973 it
             | probably looked exactly the same since thats when those
             | apartments where built. Go back another 50 years though,
             | and you have a former spanish ranchero with cattle, oil
             | derricks, or fruit orchards depending on what block of
             | southern californian suburbia you are considering. The
             | world was growing and changing rapidly then basically
             | stalled out. much more restrictive zoning separating
             | degrees of use (e.g. apartment versus a home) versus type
             | of use (residential vs industrial) came in to replace
             | redlining in effort to limit movement of the working poor
             | into certain neighborhoods so as not to affect real estate
             | valuations, and now we have our world today, full of 50+
             | year old apartments and 70+ year old single story "starter"
             | californian homes going for over $1000 a square foot thanks
             | to our inability to add more housing to an in demand area.
        
               | DubiousPusher wrote:
               | Yeah. I think that a lot of these changes after 1940 are
               | much more to do with socio/political factors than growth.
               | By 1940 you have the GDP to support a middle class. It's
               | the collective experience of the Great Depression, WWII
               | and the rheotric of the New Deal that produce a populace
               | that just wouldn't put up with significant imbalance in
               | the riches of society.
               | 
               | People who fought in and justified WWII contrasted it
               | with WWI. The claim being that WWI was a war fought on
               | behalf of the old world system. And WWII was a true war
               | for Democracy. I think it would've been very hard after
               | that kind of mobilization, sacrifice and rhetoric to re-
               | instute the Gilded Age ethos of a system which the rules
               | of the game were sacred about the outcomes.
               | 
               | In this way American Democracy is born of the FDR era. I
               | don't mean this in the narrow sense of the size of the
               | electorate though that is important. At every level,
               | America's systems Democratized. From the way the Supreme
               | Court interpreted the law, to the choices of industry in
               | what to produce, to how the rewards of production were
               | distributed. There was a broad transition from the notion
               | that institutions existed to maintain rules towards a
               | notion that these institutions in their largest sense
               | needed to serve the people.
               | 
               | I think a lot of what has happened since 1970 is a
               | transition back to a way of looking at the world through
               | the pre-democratic lense. The biggest difference being
               | that now there is a plurality which is the upper half of
               | the middle class who have some similar interests to the
               | wealthy in protecting their wealth.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | >I think a lot of what has happened since 1970 is a
               | transition back to a way of looking at the world through
               | the pre-democratic lense. The biggest difference being
               | that now there is a plurality which is the upper half of
               | the middle class who have some similar interests to the
               | wealthy in protecting their wealth.
               | 
               | I agree although I believe that the upper middle class
               | and the capital class still don't actually have similar
               | interests if you think about things that are actually in
               | the upper middle class's best interest. In the context of
               | a propaganda model (1), most people just aren't exposed
               | to opinions that even align with their true economic
               | interests. They are often exposed to opinions that
               | actually kowtow the economic status quo that benefits the
               | existing elite establishment more than anything. Mass
               | media has been able to stratify labor: it has divided the
               | working poor among right and left on cultural
               | considerations versus unifying it through economic
               | arguments, and made the white collar class which still
               | has to sell their labor for wages believe they are no
               | longer of the working class, and have little need to
               | organize themselves. Labor as a unified movement has been
               | divided and effectively conquered. A sad state of
               | affairs.
               | 
               | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propaganda_model
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | The people who got into power in the 70s basically still
               | haven't left. Plenty of our politicians were born before
               | the civil rights act.
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | I think its even more insidious than that. The political
               | party machine on both the GOP and Dem side control what
               | candidates are even put in front of us. Populist
               | antiestablishmentism doesn't get you far because both the
               | media and the political party itself are working against
               | you. So you will still see younger politicians who hold
               | these opinions in positions of power, because these are
               | the opinions of the elite more than anything
               | generational, and these are the candidates who receive
               | the most support and most air time in front of voters.
        
         | scrlk wrote:
         | To add to the Eisenhower quote - I highly recommend watching
         | his 1961 Farewell Address, where the term "military-industrial
         | complex" was first used:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OyBNmecVtdU
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Butler's experience was from the period when the United Fruit
       | Company more or less ruled Central America.[1] At times U.S
       | Marines were used to enforce US authority, and Butler was a
       | leader in some of those operations. That's why he says war is a
       | racket.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Fruit_Company
        
         | beambot wrote:
         | > [War's] bill renders a horrible accounting. Newly placed
         | gravestones. Mangled bodies. Shattered minds. Broken hearts and
         | homes. Economic instability. Depression and all its attendant
         | miseries. Back-breaking taxation for generations and
         | generations.
         | 
         | Still as relevant to today's veterans as in 1935.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Not really. Wars are mostly money-losers today. They're more
           | likely to be a power trip for some leader.
        
             | joe_the_user wrote:
             | I'm not understanding your comment.
             | 
             | Wars have generally been money losers for the nations
             | involved and money-makers for businesses and individuals
             | connected to power (Krupps to United Fruit to Wagner Group
             | to etc). Wars have generally involved the egos of leaders
             | but these leaders nearly always consider their friends
             | who'll get rich through it.
        
         | throwuwu wrote:
         | Good thing corporations are no longer deeply involved in and
         | profiting from war, right? Right?
        
         | joe_the_user wrote:
         | That's certainly not the only reason he says war is a racket.
         | He provides many examples (WWI notably).
        
         | keroro wrote:
         | What do you think has been happening for the past couple
         | centuries in the Congo (and various other countries of the
         | global south)? US imperialism is alive and well and The Jakarta
         | Method [1] by Vincent Bevins is a damning account of it from
         | the cold war to present day.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Jakarta_Method
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | One need only look at the map of military bases. Its a really
           | modern way to rule and avoids the issues of old imperialism
           | while reaping the benefits. You have people thinking they are
           | self governing themselves, but they are actually on a pretty
           | tight leash, and should a regime change occur guess what side
           | the US and all her allies will back with money and arms: the
           | side that favors letting the US keep their military bases and
           | preferential trading relationship. Its basically imperialism
           | through the transitive property. A country like the
           | Phillipines is still basically a US colony, Japan is still
           | basically occupied by the US, the northern border of south
           | Korea is still defended by the US military. There's only been
           | a few times the US was ever rooted out from a country, like
           | during the fall of Saigon, or recently when the US abandoned
           | Bagram airbase.
        
       | agumonkey wrote:
       | And societies never learn.
        
       | w10-1 wrote:
       | He came from generations of influential Quaker's (pacifists) but
       | defied his father in signing up for the Spanish-American war
       | before he left school. He lied about his age to be commissioned
       | as an officer.
       | 
       | It's no surprise the military didn't meet his idealistic
       | expectations.
       | 
       | His awards were probably not legitimate. At the time, his father
       | was the chair of the House Naval Affairs Committee, overseeing
       | the budget of the Marines. E.g., one award was for a spy mission
       | that consisted of taking a train incognito into Mexico.
       | 
       | His claims in "War is a racket" were designed to elevate his
       | reputation as a truth-teller and good guy, an unwitting
       | accomplice.
        
         | mrguyorama wrote:
         | I don't think the world gives the US enough flak for the
         | Spanish-American war. It was an invented war to steal
         | territory. No wonder he became cynical.
        
       | jasmer wrote:
       | The people driving the wars generally don't profit from the wars,
       | and it's generally not true that the war profiteers have that
       | much influence over spending during war time, rather, they are a
       | bit like doctors during a plague and have huge pricing leverage
       | once a war starts.
       | 
       | There are almost zero wars which are profitable even for the
       | antagonist.
       | 
       | 'Making needed weapons during war is exceedingly profitable' -
       | yes it is, and often nations are in ruin after the fact, which
       | will lead to profiteering like 'a racket'. And the proceeds will
       | indeed go to very few.
        
       | leobg wrote:
       | There's also The War Racket by Harry Browne (2004).
        
       | wyldberry wrote:
       | In Marine Corps bootcamp, this man is lionized for his
       | accomplishments during service. After my service ended I read war
       | is a racket and it profoundly changed a lot of my viewpoints.
        
         | einpoklum wrote:
         | > I read war is a racket ... After my service ended
         | 
         | If only we could get US marines to read this before their
         | service started. :-(
        
           | wyldberry wrote:
           | That would likely require a return to mandatory service.
        
             | carpet_wheel wrote:
             | I'd love to see it. Probably the quickest way to end
             | imperialism would be to force Americans to do the dirty
             | work themselves.
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | This has been in my head for awhile. It would give a
               | "common ground" or "common understanding" that Americans
               | seem to lack at this point. I would hope something like
               | this would provide a framework to communicate for wildly
               | differing political ideas.
        
             | einpoklum wrote:
             | Return to mandatory service is a possible action of the US
             | (federal) government, I was talking about an oppositionary
             | initiative.
        
               | wyldberry wrote:
               | I understand where you are coming from, it's just naive
               | to think that a nation state won't form a counter action
               | to preserve it's ability to wage war.
        
             | milkytron wrote:
             | Switzerland has a mandatory service requirement for men,
             | and the people there experience fewer gun deaths per capita
             | despite having a relatively high gun ownership rate.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | This thread is not about gun control or lack thereof.
        
               | RajT88 wrote:
               | Even ignoring that part - it's weird bringing up War and
               | Switzerland.
               | 
               | All those wars Switzerland has fought...
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | That's actually an important point though. The kind of
               | isolationist neutrality that Switzerland has is only
               | possible if you can make it seem like conquering you is
               | impossible to justify. Switzerland will protect its
               | neutrality by force if necessary. They also have a
               | military industrial complex, so is that one a racket?
        
               | lmm wrote:
               | Isn't that exactly the point, that it's possible to be
               | neutral and isolationist?
        
               | tmtvl wrote:
               | Hey, when I was young Swiss mercenaries were considered
               | truly elite troops. Remember the battle of Nancy.
        
             | jollyllama wrote:
             | It's not going to happen. You couldn't get enough able-
             | bodied people to show up or communities to enforce it. The
             | ideals that made this possible for Vietnam will die with
             | the boomers.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | After 20 years of blowing things up in a far away desert,
               | the US military is struggling to find enough volunteers
               | to meet it's requirements. Nobody wants to go die in the
               | desert. Maybe if we had spent the past 20 years not doing
               | that, the US would have a bit more gusto from the
               | youngins.
               | 
               | If we go to war with China, and it's not just some minor
               | skirmish, I expect there to be a draft.
        
               | giantrobot wrote:
               | You mean the Boomers' _parents_. Because those were the
               | ones that were fine with the draft. The Boomers were the
               | ones being drafted.
        
               | Jotra7 wrote:
               | [dead]
        
       | mikece wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
         | kibwen wrote:
         | This is likely being downvoted because the US isn't donating
         | weapons to Ukraine, it's leasing them to Ukraine in the same
         | manner that the US leased weapons to the UK during WWII. The UK
         | only finished repaying that debt in 2006.
        
           | glogla wrote:
           | It is being downvoted (hopefully) because it is known Russian
           | propaganda point.
        
           | keonix wrote:
           | > US isn't donating weapons to Ukraine, it's leasing them
           | 
           | Could you kindly support your statement with the source?
           | AFAIK most aid provided to Ukraine is not under lend-lease
           | but donated to them
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | Most aid takes the form of cash for humanitarian support,
             | ~disposing of~ donating old hardware to Ukraine, or a loan
             | for the express intent of buying a modern system.
             | 
             | The vast majority of the "billions" given to Ukraine is
             | made up of stuff that we actively are trying to throw away.
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | What you're citing is really all Russian propaganda.
         | 
         | There's also a lot of financial support to pay for basic
         | services, which doesn't directly translate into machine guns,
         | but is vital for Ukraine's war effort.
         | 
         | But the fact is, there are no missing howitzers or HIMARS.
         | That's just Russian propaganda meant to dissuade western
         | support.
        
           | mrguyorama wrote:
           | So not only has Russia destroyed more HIMARS systems than
           | were sent to Ukraine, but those destroyed systems never made
           | it to Ukraine in the first place because """corruption""".
           | 
           | Just a firehose of bullshit. It's insane how easily people
           | want to buy it.
        
         | yakshaving_jgt wrote:
         | Is it your intention to discourage the free world from arming
         | Ukraine? Because that's usually the intention of those who push
         | this narrative.
         | 
         | I wonder, too, if you would be doing the same thing if you saw
         | a russian missile flying towards you.
        
           | jbm wrote:
           | If the parent is to be believed, there are intermediaries who
           | may be robbing Ukraine of 3 bullets for every one they get.
           | 
           | On the contrary, what benefit would accrue to you for
           | stopping an investigation of these blood suckers?
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | Seeing as there is no evidence of these "blood suckers",
             | what are we supposed to investigate?
        
               | jbm wrote:
               | First, I make no claim that the 4x or 20x numbers are
               | true. Sans an investigation, any such claim should be
               | viewed with suspicion. However, the claim that financial
               | irregularities are almost certainly there can't possibly
               | be controversial.
               | 
               | If I was forced at gunpoint to point out the obvious,
               | Ukraine was one of the most corrupt countries in Europe
               | prior to the war. Unless you are saying that - magically
               | - the people who were syphoning money and treasure from
               | the Ukrainian people were all killed or "vanished", the
               | same appetites for corruption still exist while large
               | amounts of resources are being poured in. This is
               | literally the opportunity of a lifetime for
               | aforementioned bullet-stealing bloodsuckers.
               | 
               | The US has never been good at tracking money or getting
               | value for money. Even during the Civil War, Union
               | capitalists initially looted the Union with broken
               | weapons and badly made uniforms. Haliburton is a more
               | recent example of this poopstain on the American economy.
               | 
               | While the amount of corruption is in question, given the
               | above two, there is every reason to believe financial
               | corruption is happening. Those who disingeously pretend
               | everything is normal are frankly suspicious.
               | 
               | Honestly, I can't believe I need to make this clear in a
               | discussion about "War Is A Racket". Then again, a weaker,
               | poorer America that isn't able to murder brown people for
               | fun and profit is in my personal benefit, so maybe your
               | ignorance is beneficial. Yes, please don't investigate;
               | any such suggestion was clearly made by Russian bots.
        
         | mrguyorama wrote:
         | Can you provide sources for these claims? I haven't seen any
         | reports that stuff was going "missing" instead of making it to
         | the front lines. There's a lot of stuff that's been "promised"
         | that hasn't been delivered yet, but that's not corruption,
         | that's just certain groups dragging their heels.
        
       | mikece wrote:
       | Written by one of the very few (only?) people to have received
       | two Medals of Honor. Dude knew a thing or two about war.
        
         | Ancapistani wrote:
         | He claimed also to have been approached to be installed as
         | dictator of the US. He immediately exposed the plot.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Plot
        
           | Eumenes wrote:
           | FDR was a borderline dictator, so this is ironic.
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | Even if he was, he clearly represented the national/public
             | interest. These guys wanted an entirely different flavor of
             | dictator.
        
               | Eumenes wrote:
               | yeah no doubt, he was popular, mostly because of great
               | depression social programs and war ... but he also
               | expanded executive power and ultimately led us on a path
               | to the welfare state status we're at today.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Calling the modern USA a welfare state is laughable.
        
               | pphysch wrote:
               | It is remarkable that the totally ahistorical narrative
               | of "FDR ruined the US (economy), Reagan saved it" is
               | still popular outside of the elite whom it benefits.
               | Propaganda works.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | "Welfare queen" stereotypes are still alive and well on
               | the Right, despite there NEVER BEING A WELFARE QUEEN. It
               | was a complete fabrication. Maybe they haven't had a
               | great grip on reality for quite some time, or at least a
               | willingness to ignore it.
        
               | timschmidt wrote:
               | > led us on a path to the welfare state
               | 
               | You may be interested in this pamphlet written by
               | founding father Thomas Paine:
               | 
               | https://www.ssa.gov/history/tpaine3.html
        
               | Eumenes wrote:
               | I wasn't aware of this paper, thank you for sharing.
               | Paine is an interesting character and mused on alot of
               | subjects. Way more utopian in his ideas compared to his
               | peers at the time. Obsessed with Revolution. Wouldn't say
               | economics was his strength.
        
               | timschmidt wrote:
               | On the contrary, it seems to me that his reasoning about
               | taxation - that it is unjust to coerce via force from the
               | living and thus infinitely preferable to collect from the
               | dead since they no longer need it, whereas the elderly
               | and young do - to be unmatched in halls of power to this
               | day.
        
               | Eumenes wrote:
               | And its not unjust for the state to seize inheritance in
               | the name of equity? I think there are limits ... I'd like
               | to give my children my wealth when I pass, but I am a
               | modest person, not Bill Gates or Jeff Bezos. We pay tax
               | on our income, things we buy, our property, our
               | investments, etc - now we must fork over what is left to
               | the state to divvy out? There's a reason only 6 people
               | attended Paine's funeral - he was advocating for a
               | Peoples Monarchy.
        
               | timschmidt wrote:
               | Mr. Paine answers all your concerns in his wonderfully
               | well thought-out pamphlet. If more people read it, the
               | world would be a better place. Here's the full text:
               | http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Paine1795.pdf
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | You mean, Corporate Welfare. The right often bemoan the
               | welfare state for people, but love welfare for
               | corporations.
        
               | mullingitover wrote:
               | > ultimately led us on a path to the welfare state status
               | we're at today
               | 
               | That's one way of looking at it. Another way would be: he
               | made enough basic concessions to the working class to
               | prevent an outright socialist revolution. We weren't very
               | far from it at that point in history.
               | 
               | The welfare state is a safeguard. Every modern state has
               | social supports, just like every modern road system has
               | traffic control devices and other safety measures. The
               | alternative, as we've seen repeatedly, is to allow
               | unchecked profit motive to grind the masses down to the
               | point that they start erecting guillotines.
        
               | timschmidt wrote:
               | This is a very important point.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | wyldberry wrote:
           | The real question is: if it's true, what do you think those
           | who tried learned from it? Did they find a way to achieve
           | their goal without any outright observable changes from the
           | public's perspective?
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | It sure puts the 60s in a new light.
        
             | z3c0 wrote:
             | Yes, mostly through the ideas of Edward Bernays and Ivy
             | Lee.
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | Nobody went to jail, the united states is primarily run by
             | business interests since the 80s, and facism is alive and
             | well in the states. It sounds to me like they got exactly
             | what they wanted, just had to be patient.
        
               | knute wrote:
               | > the united states is primarily run by business
               | interests since the 80s
               | 
               | The 1880s.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Arguably the revolution was heavily motivated by business
               | interests. Arguably.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | The 1780s.
               | 
               | And earlier, but then it was _Britain_ being run by
               | business interests, and the main reason for the US
               | becoming independent was conflict between local and
               | remote business interests. (Particularly, North American
               | interests and regulation serving the East India Company.)
        
           | maksimur wrote:
           | Dictator of the US. That's one of the weirdest things I have
           | ever heard. But I know once upon a time that word had no
           | negative connotation. Just like fascism after all.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | tonetheman wrote:
             | Not really Trump was planning the same thing a few years
             | ago.
             | 
             | Hopefully the Republicans choose an adult this time who
             | will not try that again but that is doubtful given the
             | choices so far.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | The two front runners are Trump again or wannabe
               | Theocratic Dictator. There's no hope.
        
           | VagueMag wrote:
           | The movie AMSTERDAM which came out recently touches on the
           | Business Plot, and themes of sub rosa fascists and Nazis in
           | the American ruling class more generally. Fairly worth a
           | watch if you're interested in history viewed through this
           | sort of parapolitical lens.
        
       | swayvil wrote:
       | But when the bad guys are doing all kinds of bad stuff. When your
       | good friends in the media are telling you all about all this bad
       | stuff that the bad guys are doing. When all your friends are hot
       | to go out and fight these bad guys. What can a right-thinking
       | person do but join the fight?
        
         | joe_the_user wrote:
         | Style note: I can't tell if you're echoing propaganda or
         | parodying it.
        
           | swayvil wrote:
           | Stripped of context, it certainly does look suspicious.
        
           | phone8675309 wrote:
           | Tie always goes to the echo side when dealing with propaganda
        
             | operatingthetan wrote:
             | That's why satire tends to be exaggerated to an extreme
             | degree.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | Parody
        
       | EA-3167 wrote:
       | What do you figure he had to say after 1945?
        
         | TremendousJudge wrote:
         | What would you expect?
        
         | swayvil wrote:
         | I appreciate the brevity but what exactly are you saying? That
         | WW2 wasn't a racket? Is that your thesis here?
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | I'd interpret the question as: "given the copious evidence
           | that the US did not enter WWII intentionally to make money
           | for industrialists, is Smedley's thesis that _all_ war is a
           | racket reasonable? To what extent are humanitarian or
           | democratic concerns as important as war profits in the
           | decision to go to war? "
           | 
           | (with the unstated assumption that the US was just in its
           | choice to fight the Axis)
           | 
           | I actually don't think Smedley would have changed his message
           | at all; I think he started from a false premise that he was
           | 100% convinced of, and would have pointed at the enormous
           | profits made by war industrialists in the US during WWII. He
           | might not also notice that post-war US was the most
           | economically productive country of all time, that it opened
           | up huge options of African Americans, or even really
           | recognize quite what motivated Hitler and the Nazis.
        
             | lagolinguini wrote:
             | > given the copious evidence that the US did not enter WWII
             | intentionally to make money for industrialists
             | 
             | The USA started selling weapons to the allies long before
             | it entered the war.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | The USA sold weapons to the allies largely because the
               | president genuinely believe hitler would invade
               | everything if not stopped. Congress wouldn't let him
               | enter the war, because the US has a strong Isolationist
               | vibe, but the President believed if we didn't go stop
               | hitler in europe, hitler would eventually find his way to
               | coming after the US and by that point we wouldn't have
               | any allies left.
               | 
               | This is AFTER the allies attempted appeasement. If a
               | foreign country wants to war, you can't not war. The only
               | alternative is to roll over and accept new ownership, but
               | usually new ownership disagrees with the people on how
               | things should be done, so that "solution" largely isn't.
               | 
               | There was a period were Germany seemed unstoppable
               | remember.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | I'm referring to our entry into the war. That the US is
               | an arms merchant is well understood- and didn't have the
               | costs (to Americans) that Smedley describes.
        
             | lubesGordi wrote:
             | Just because it's a racket, doesn't mean its unjustified?
        
             | mythrwy wrote:
             | Maybe the US didn't enter WWII with the idea of making a
             | profit. I don't know.
             | 
             | But what is undeniable is the US exited WWII in a very good
             | position and lots of profits were made.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | What does that matter though? Should we have bombed
               | ourselves because germany and japan couldn't do it?
        
             | swayvil wrote:
             | So, yes. You are saying "nuh uh smedly, ww2 was a proper
             | justified fight"
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | Actually, the only thing I said above was that I think he
               | started from false premises.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | WW2 was a fight against evils of an absolute and appalling
           | nature.
        
             | krapp wrote:
             | A lesser evil against a greater evil. And then the lesser
             | evil became the greater evil.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The US has death camps? The US was prepared to have 70
               | million citizens commit glorious smashed-jewel suicide
               | rather than surrender?
               | 
               | Your facile equivalence is rejected with prejudice.
        
               | krapp wrote:
               | >Your facile equivalence is rejected with prejudice.
               | 
               | It's your facile equivalence, that because these specific
               | things don't apply to the US, American imperialism was
               | morally justified.
               | 
               | You could just read the Wikipedia article on American war
               | crimes, or learn about how much of the Nazi's ideology
               | was based on American eugenics and racial segregation, or
               | take even a glance at the last several decades of
               | American militarism throughout the Middle East, but I
               | guess you won't.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | The US absolutely had a purposeful genocide of native
               | americans, and directly implemented prison camps and some
               | property confiscation of japanese immigrants and
               | citizens.
               | 
               | This is explicitly not a support of the parent's comment.
               | The US was not great, and even had explicit segregation,
               | but was not trying to spread it's own abysmal ideals to
               | all of europe. Hitler was clearly trying to spread facism
               | through all of europe, and eventually the world. His
               | desire to do so was broadly popular in Nazi Germany, so
               | the country's people were never going to stop him. Going
               | to war to grind Nazi Germany into the dust was the only
               | option. It is justified. We also didn't preempt anything.
               | We sacrificed two sovereign countries hoping to avoid
               | that war, which should be clearly not acceptable.
        
         | micromacrofoot wrote:
         | "told you so" -- WWII was one of the best things to happen to
         | the US from an economic standpoint. Before joining the war
         | effort the US was selling weapons to the allies and making
         | piles of money doing so. Post WWII the US had the largest
         | economic boom in history.
        
           | pmoriarty wrote:
           | It was also one of the worst things to happen to Europe, the
           | Soviet Union, and Japan.
           | 
           | All of them were completely devastated, while the US was
           | largely unscathed.
           | 
           | I really wonder what the world would look like today if
           | they'd managed to avoid this senseless war and/or the first
           | World War.
        
             | lizardking wrote:
             | This is one of the main reasons for our economic prosperity
             | post WW II. You have room for a lot of excess in your
             | economy when your global competition are all living in
             | smoldering piles of rubble.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | > WWII was one of the best things to happen to the US from an
           | economic standpoint
           | 
           | Sadly, that is true.
           | 
           | > the US was selling weapons to the allies and making piles
           | of money doing so
           | 
           | Indeed.
           | 
           | War Is a Racket.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | General Rule: If a war is existential, then countries which
         | want to keep existing usually find ways to turn down the
         | "racket" aspects.
        
         | mythrwy wrote:
         | I suspect he may have had a preemptive opinion on that even
         | though he wasn't around any more when it started.
         | 
         | "WAR is a racket. It always has been. It is possibly the
         | oldest, easily the most profitable, surely the most vicious. It
         | is the only one international in scope. It is the only one in
         | which the profits are reckoned in dollars and the losses in
         | lives." - SB
         | 
         | We are told a version of things, and maybe that version is even
         | mostly true, but I'm less sure about this now then I was when I
         | was a kid in grade school.
        
           | lagolinguini wrote:
           | We are often told that the conflict in WW2 was a conflict
           | between a clearly good side and a clearly evil side. While
           | it's true one of the sides was certainly the a much greater
           | evil, it would be disingenuous to hide the short comings of
           | the "good" side. The USA was a country that at the time still
           | practiced segregation, and was the only country to use
           | nuclear weapons. The British, French and Belgian empires and
           | their conduct in India and their African colonies was not far
           | off from what the Germans were accused of. It's not good to
           | whitewash these facts.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | So, resisting attack isn't allowed unless you're pure as
             | the driven snow? This is nonsense.
        
               | lagolinguini wrote:
               | The points I am trying to make is that it isn't black and
               | white as "resisting attack", and that the history that is
               | taught shouldn't be whitewashed. The Indians fought in
               | the 2 world wars for the freedoms of others while their
               | own freedoms were not guaranteed under British
               | colonialism. 1/6th of all the "British" forces in ww2
               | were Indian, while India was suffering British induced
               | famines due to redirection of supplies and scorched earth
               | policy of the British in the south east Asian theatre. Do
               | you think it's fair to them to not acknowledge this fact
               | and teach it in history?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | We were talking about WW2. It absolutely was black and
               | white. Trying to deny that is itself a despicable act, in
               | the same spirit as Holocaust denial. Pointing to other
               | acts of evil alters that not one whit.
        
         | DubiousPusher wrote:
         | I think it's complicated. I don't think Butler believed that
         | every single war was unjustified. When reading 'War is a
         | Racket', you have to look at the context of war in which we
         | lived. He was too young to fight in the American Civil War. So
         | his consistent experiences of war were those fought in
         | America's most blatantly Imperial phase. Even compared to
         | Vietnam, Iraq, etc, the wars of the turn of the century were
         | cravenly driven by capital and imperial ambitions.
         | 
         | And to that matter, some of what brought the U.S. into the
         | orbit of WWII was a lower key version of the kind of foreign
         | policies of that earlier era. Disrupting Japanese interests in
         | Asia was very much about economic benefit and power balance in
         | the mode of realpolitik.
         | 
         | And in the end, the Roosevelt administration remains unique in
         | American history for how hard it pushed against colonialism.
         | Truman was much more aligned with British interests in this way
         | than FDR. So while the war is justified in the name of stopping
         | two monstrous regimes, its precursors and its aftermath do
         | carry a fair amount of the same taint that Butler thoroughly
         | observed in his time.
        
           | meteor333 wrote:
           | There are always at least two parties involved in a war, an
           | aggressor and a defendant. 'War is a Racket' is always true
           | or war unjustified in case of the aggressor. Defendant
           | usually doesn't have much choice in it.
           | 
           | Even the example you've taken for WWII, UK and US weren't the
           | aggressor. The war already at their door for British, so they
           | had a little choice in it. Similarly for US they knew, if
           | they don't do something early enough, they could end up being
           | a victim or suffer from it eventually. So they had to support
           | Britain in the war.
        
         | Bran_son wrote:
         | Maybe "We may have been fighting the wrong enemy all along." -
         | https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/36062/did-gen-p...
        
         | thsksbd wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | DDSDev wrote:
         | For anyone curious, Smedley Butler died in 1940[1]
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smedley_Butler
        
           | jhbadger wrote:
           | Which was probably good for his reputation. Some people die
           | at the right time. Had he lived a bit longer he might have
           | come out against entry into WWII, which would not have aged
           | well.
        
             | buildsjets wrote:
             | He was an Anti-Fascist, but wanted to prevent a war with
             | the Fascists. In fact, he was so Anti-Fascist, that the US
             | Government apologized to Benito Mussolini on his behalf,
             | and court-martialed him over his Anti-Fascist comments
             | about Mussolini.
             | 
             | Source: New York Times.
             | 
             | https://www.nytimes.com/1931/01/30/archives/united-states-
             | ap...
        
               | allemagne wrote:
               | Sounds like he won a moral victory over the US Government
               | and the Fascists, and then the US Government (ever full
               | of contradictions) later helped depose the actual
               | Fascists through the war he wanted to avoid.
        
               | buildsjets wrote:
               | Also, record of the apology from the Department of State.
               | 
               | https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1931v02
               | /d6...
        
           | deeg wrote:
           | To anyone just passing through the comments, the Wiki article
           | on Butler is a worthy read. He was an interesting person.
        
             | DicIfTEx wrote:
             | The YouTube series _Knowing Better_ had a very good episode
             | about Butler and this essay too:
             | https://www.yewtu.be/watch?v=74wrX8rKtzw
        
       | celtoid wrote:
       | "I suspected I was just part of a racket at the time. Now I am
       | sure of it. Like all the members of the military profession, I
       | never had a thought of my own until I left the service. My mental
       | faculties remained in suspended animation while I obeyed the
       | orders of higher-ups. This is typical with everyone in the
       | military service." - Major General Smedley Butler, USMC, 1933
       | speech
        
       | mkadlec wrote:
       | Smedly Butler!
        
       | major505 wrote:
       | Smedley Butler, the writer of this book, latter in life claimed
       | he was sought in a facist conspiracy to lead and overthown
       | Franklin Roosevelt and assume power.
       | 
       | He claimed to had stayed in the conspiracy long enough to find
       | out the identity of the conspirators (owners of big america
       | monopolies), and denounced their plans to the president.
        
       | rektide wrote:
       | Shout out to @floydnoel for citing this yesterday in the _F-35
       | Malpractice_ submission.
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36056584
       | 
       | Very apt then, & what a crazy topic! How the government has payed
       | a ton of money to develop & purchase jets it basically
       | doesnt/can't own operate or repair. Right to repair/upgrade at
       | the highest level. A racket!
        
       | jmartrican wrote:
       | I have mixed feelings about this. The problem is that if you are
       | being attacked, you will gladly allow people to make big profit
       | if they save lives. You can try to fight the war without profit
       | but you might not like the results. Ultimately, wars are started
       | by governments. They cajole the resources of the nation to fight
       | the enemy. Each country has the things they are good at it and
       | they will use those things to their advantage. In the US we are a
       | free market society and happily give out big rewards (aka
       | profits) to those that can make a difference and build things
       | that the nation wants.
       | 
       | So the reason I say I have mixed feelings is because I can
       | imagine a world where the entities that make profit off of war
       | can use their influence to prod the nation into war. And this
       | should be prevented. I suspect this has happened in the past.
        
         | VWWHFSfQ wrote:
         | I'm often very conflicted about USA's history of military use
         | in the last 100+ years. Imperialistic? I don't know. But what I
         | do know is that I would rather be a South Korean than a North
         | Korean. And post-defeat Japan has been one of the preeminent
         | countries in the entire world.
        
           | waffleiron wrote:
           | South Korea was a brutal dictatorship for quite some time,
           | just because they aren't now doesn't mean the US's military
           | intervention is to thank for that.
        
             | l3mure wrote:
             | Multiple brutal dictatorships, which were a direct
             | continuation of Japanese colonial control, and which
             | massacred their own people with US support and approval.
             | 
             | > In the fall of 1946, the US military authorized elections
             | to an interim legislature for southern Korea, but the
             | results were clearly fraudulent. Even General Hodge
             | privately wrote that right-wing "strong-arm" methods had
             | been used to control the vote. The winners were almost all
             | rightists, including [Syngman] Rhee supporters, even though
             | a survey by the American military government that summer
             | had found that 70 percent of 8,453 southern Koreans polled
             | said they supported socialism, 7 percent communism, and
             | only 14 percent capitalism. [...]
             | 
             | > Chung Koo-Hun, the observant young student of the late
             | 1940s, said of the villagers' attitude: "The Americans
             | simply re-employed the pro-Japanese Koreans whom the people
             | hated." [...]
             | 
             | > Seventy of the 115 top Korean officials in the Seoul
             | administration in 1947 had held office during the Japanese
             | occupation.
             | 
             | > In the southern city of Taegu, people verged on
             | starvation. When 10,000 demonstrators rallied on October 1,
             | 1946, police opened fire, killing many. Vengeful crowds
             | then seized and killed policeman, and the US military
             | declared martial law. The violence spread across the
             | provinces, peasants murdering government officials,
             | landlords, and especially police, detested as holdovers
             | from Japanese days. American troops joined the police in
             | suppressing the uprisings. Together they killed uncounted
             | hundreds of Koreans.
             | 
             | > American anthropologist Cornelius Osgood, spending much
             | of 1947 in a village west of Seoul, watched as police
             | carried young men off to jail by the truckload. A "mantle
             | of fear" had fallen over once peaceful valleys, he wrote.
             | The word "communist," he said, "seemed to mean 'just any
             | young man of a village.'" On August 7, 1947, the US
             | military government outlawed the southern communists, the
             | Korean Worker's Party. Denied a peaceful political route,
             | more and more leftist militants chose an armed struggle for
             | power.
             | 
             | quotes from _The Bridge at No Gun Ri_
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gwangju_Uprising
        
             | VWWHFSfQ wrote:
             | > just because they aren't now doesn't mean the US's
             | military intervention is to thank for that.
             | 
             | The alternative was that the entire peninsula would be
             | "North Korea". And then there would never be any chance of
             | formulating a functional democratic society.
        
               | waffleiron wrote:
               | You don't know what the alternative would be. US
               | intervention and the massive amounts of civilian deaths
               | caused in Korea are a major reason why North Korea is so
               | anti-West.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | There is no good north korea timeline. The entire
               | revolution that created it was for the express purpose of
               | putting an idiot dictator in charge, one who immediately
               | went to work on forcing the population to consider him a
               | god king and putting his equally selfish, stupid,
               | paranoid, and vile progeny in charge.
               | 
               | Unless you believe a unified korea without US
               | intervention but still with USSR support would suddenly
               | overthrow that repressive regime, that was never going to
               | produce a free society.
        
               | boeingUH60 wrote:
               | [flagged]
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | throwuwu wrote:
               | Why would they be less authoritarian if they weren't anti
               | West? This sounds a lot like the argument that the only
               | reason communist countries terrorize, murder and starve
               | their own people is because of the evil capitalist in
               | other countries who aren't doing that to their people. If
               | only we could execute all of the kulaks together there'd
               | be no need for the NKVD, comrade!
        
           | anticodon wrote:
           | Without USA there would be no division of Korea. Also, before
           | US sanctions, North Korea was more successful than South
           | Korea.
           | 
           | How people seriously can blame North Korea for poverty if it
           | is deliberately being suffocated by USA for decades?
        
             | threeseed wrote:
             | North Korea could simply abandon their nuclear weapons
             | program, stop antagonising their neighbours and then the
             | sanctions would be lifted.
             | 
             | Also having actually been to the country the issue isn't
             | sanctions. It's the lack of foreign investment and
             | restrictions on business. Many China businesses for example
             | would love to have broader access to the North Korean
             | market not just for exports but as a source of cheap
             | labour. But this is not happening because North Korea is
             | fearful of their population being 'indoctrinated'.
        
               | pastacacioepepe wrote:
               | > North Korea could simply abandon their nuclear weapons
               | program, stop antagonising their neighbours and then the
               | sanctions would be lifted.
               | 
               | Stop resisting and I'll stop choking you.
        
               | zdragnar wrote:
               | Yes, that is how subduing a belligerent person works.
        
               | pastacacioepepe wrote:
               | A person that wouldn't be belligerent in the first place
               | if you didn't make it so?
        
               | asdff wrote:
               | Kim Jong Un isn't belligerent. The north koreans have a
               | different playbook for foreign policy than you might be
               | used to but its a playbook nonetheless. For their people
               | the program is akin to something like the Apollo program
               | in terms of national pride. Its also a dead man's switch
               | effectively. The ruling family obviously wants to
               | maintain their life of idyllic luxury and nuclear weapons
               | and belligerent public addresses are a good way to make
               | people second guess just steamrolling you over. In effect
               | they are just playing a hand thats already dealt to
               | continue their positioning.
        
               | threeseed wrote:
               | More like stop trying to attack your neighbours and I'll
               | stop choking you.
               | 
               | And nobody in this world including the US wants North
               | Korea to continue to be a relic from the 1970s.
               | Prosperity lifts us all.
        
               | pastacacioepepe wrote:
               | Then lift the sanctions. How are sanctions going to
               | protect anyone from nuclear attacks anyway, if NK already
               | has an arsenal?
        
               | VWWHFSfQ wrote:
               | Flood them with Yankee dollars. Fidel Castro would have
               | been ousted immediately. Kim Jong Il would have been
               | murdered.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | North Korea actually already makes millions (at least) of
               | passable US currency. North Korea isn't impoverished
               | because of lack of resources, but rather because the Kim
               | regime would rather spend those resources on themselves.
        
               | metadat wrote:
               | They did it for a 3 year period from 2002-2005.
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korea%E2%80%93Unite
               | d_S....
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | Without reservation, I can.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_imperialism
        
           | ThorsBane wrote:
           | [dead]
        
           | threeseed wrote:
           | Also look at what is happening in Europe and the Ukraine war.
           | 
           | After the weak and inept leadership shown by France and
           | Germany in their response to Russia's aggression the hopes
           | for a EU defense capability is all but finished. Eastern
           | European countries would rather have the US to defend them
           | [1].
           | 
           | And I think more appreciation needs to be given to the US for
           | supporting Ukraine in those early days because if Russia
           | over-ran Kyiv it's quite possible that Belarus, Moldova,
           | Estonia etc could have been next. US military leadership can
           | credibly be argued to have saved Europe.
           | 
           | [1]
           | https://twitter.com/ulrichspeck/status/1661710156944535554
        
             | jmartrican wrote:
             | > US military leadership can credibly be argued to have
             | saved Europe.
             | 
             | more than once
        
             | pphysch wrote:
             | [flagged]
        
               | threeseed wrote:
               | Because Lukashenko is dying.
               | 
               | And countries like Poland are seeing a unique opportunity
               | to fill the power vacuum in order to change the
               | government to one that isn't interested in being part of
               | Russia's sphere of influence.
               | 
               | If Putin was successful in Ukraine it's not inconceivable
               | he would have rather have invaded rather than risk it
               | becoming pro-EU, joining NATO etc.
        
               | timschmidt wrote:
               | https://news.yahoo.com/russia-belarus-strategy-
               | document-2300...
               | 
               | A leaked internal strategy document from Vladimir Putin's
               | executive office and obtained by Yahoo News lays out a
               | detailed plan on how Russia plans to take full control
               | over neighboring Belarus in the next decade under the
               | pretext of a merger between the two countries. The
               | document outlines in granular detail a creeping
               | annexation by political, economic and military means of
               | an independent but illiberal European nation by Russia,
               | which is an active state of war in its bid to conquer
               | Ukraine through overwhelming force.
               | 
               | "Russia's goals with regards to Belarus are the same as
               | with Ukraine," Michael Carpenter, the U.S. ambassador to
               | the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe,
               | told Yahoo News. "Only in Belarus, it relies on coercion
               | rather than war. Its end goal is still wholesale
               | incorporation."
               | 
               | According to the document, issued in fall 2021, the end
               | goal is the formation of a so-called Union State of
               | Russia and Belarus by no later than 2030. Everything
               | involved in the merger of the two countries has been
               | considered, including the "harmonization" of Belarusian
               | laws with those of the Russian Federation; a "coordinated
               | foreign and defense policy" and "trade and economic
               | cooperation ... on the basis of the priority" of Russian
               | interests; and "ensuring the predominant influence of the
               | Russian Federation in the socio-political, trade-
               | economic, scientific-educational and cultural-information
               | spheres."
        
           | carlosjobim wrote:
           | > And post-defeat Japan has been one of the preeminent
           | countries in the entire world.
           | 
           | Imagine if they weren't defeated. Because they where one of
           | the most preeminent countries in the world before defeat as
           | well.
        
             | all2 wrote:
             | And brutal. As empires go, the Japanese had no regard for
             | the lives of humans who weren't ethnically Japanese. This
             | old-world way of doing war saw some 250,000 [0] Chinese
             | killed for aiding American pilots after their bombings of
             | targets in Japan. [1]
             | 
             | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zhejiang-Jiangxi_campaign
             | 
             | [1] https://www.historynet.com/jimmy-doolittle-and-the-
             | tokyo-rai...
        
         | micromacrofoot wrote:
         | It's called the military industrial complex and it happens all
         | the time.
        
         | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
         | Wars are fought by governments, but often started by
         | individuals with massive leverage over the war-fighting
         | apparatus of governments. Industry veterans hired to patronage
         | positions in high office, who then push the government into a
         | war that will benefit the industry or company. Or media
         | companies, headed by executives seeking to push their own
         | political will on nations, that harangue the public with fear
         | and anger to instill a desire for war.
         | 
         | Governments have basically no agency or will of their own.
         | They're like a mecha suit from an anime. Lots of
         | infrastructure, but where they go and what they do is up to
         | whomever's at the controls at the time.
        
           | jasmer wrote:
           | "who then push the government into a war that will benefit
           | the industry or company."
           | 
           | Where is the evidence for this ?
           | 
           | Wars are generally not started by the arms makers, rather,
           | the profiteer off of the situation.
           | 
           | Obviously there might be influence but I don't think that
           | industrial complex is in charge of anything really.
        
             | mrburkins wrote:
             | "Industry veterans hired to patronage positions in high
             | office, who then push the government into a war that will
             | benefit the industry or company."
             | 
             | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney seem to fit this mold
             | squarely
        
           | isk517 wrote:
           | Probably more appropriate to compare it to the type of mecha
           | Power Rangers use, except unlikely to be piloted by a group
           | of people that both A) want to work together and B) want to
           | work towards the common good.
        
         | hammock wrote:
         | >The problem is that if you are being attacked, you will gladly
         | allow people to make big profit if they save lives.
         | 
         | Reminds me of the covid pandemic. Pfizer made $100 billion last
         | year
        
           | threeseed wrote:
           | Pfizer was making on average $50b revenue [1] before COVID.
           | 
           | And the profits they generated by COVID could well save
           | countless more lives given that their MRNA technology is
           | successfully being applied to other use cases.
           | 
           | [1]
           | https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PFE/pfizer/revenue
        
             | nonethewiser wrote:
             | Thats a massive difference in absolute and relative terms.
             | $50B and 100%
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | COVID vaccines are estimated to have saved 20 M lives world
             | wide. In the US, the statistical value of a human life is
             | $9 M, so (extending that to the global population, which is
             | perhaps problematic) the value is $180 T. Making a measly
             | $50 B is chump change in comparison.
        
               | bratwurst3000 wrote:
               | Where did that 9 million come from? Pls
        
               | all2 wrote:
               | The value is something the US Transportation Admin. has
               | calculated [0]. It's rather cold-blooded, but it makes
               | sense.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.transportation.gov/office-
               | policy/transportation-...
        
               | H8crilA wrote:
               | It seems a bit excessive, but if you assume someone
               | working from 25 to 65, that is 40 years, at $50k per year
               | then they're "worth" >= $2M to the economy. Really more
               | than that because they will do some things for free to
               | other people, such as family members. So it is probably
               | at the right order of magnitude.
        
               | goodpoint wrote:
               | By your logic there would be nothing wrong in charging
               | $100 or more for an insulin injection.
               | 
               | Instead https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-
               | rankings/cost-of-i...
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The problem with insulin, at least in the US, has been
               | elaborations (still under patent protection) on it that
               | are slightly better than the old versions. But doctors
               | have to prescribe the best treatment. There's no
               | quality/cost tradeoff.
        
               | VagueMag wrote:
               | Are the people who were saved by COVID vaccines never
               | going to die from any other cause? I believe the $9M
               | figure is actually just a reference to what the FAA
               | considers a reasonable threshold for imposing a new
               | expense on aircraft manufacturers and airlines in order
               | to make flying safer?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | So, saving a life has no value unless the person was
               | already otherwise immortal?
               | 
               | Ridiculous.
        
               | VagueMag wrote:
               | No that isn't what I said, and yes it would be just as
               | ridiculous as attributing the same value to preventing a
               | 90 year old nursing home patient from dying of an endemic
               | respiratory virus as we do to preventing deaths in plane
               | crashes.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | That's going to alter the number by less than an order of
               | magnitude. The benefit still is massively larger than the
               | cost.
        
               | hammock wrote:
               | Typically the way it is done is by calculating how many
               | years of healthy life you saved
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Which would, of course, bring the "money saved by
               | vaccines" number down a bit.
               | 
               | On the other hand, if we were able to factor in the
               | benefit of milder cases and less long COVID/other side
               | effects, I guess the number would go up a bit.
               | 
               | I suspect it is just too complicated for us to work out
               | here.
        
           | mrguyorama wrote:
           | The agreement was $20 a vaccine, which IMO is perfectly fine.
           | Making a profit from doing a necessary thing is very
           | capitalism. Remember that shareholders were very upset they
           | didn't make MORE profit.
        
             | ipaddr wrote:
             | Canada paid $175 per dose.
             | 
             | https://www.oxfam.ca/news/vaccine-monopolies-make-cost-of-
             | va...
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | That's likely the price executives and shareholders would
               | have wanted for the US. I wonder what leverage Trump held
               | over Pfizer to get the $20 price. It's a genuine
               | negotiating win from someone who considers just not
               | paying your contractors to be good business and
               | negotiating.
        
             | hammock wrote:
             | Pfizer also got billions of dollars in free and taxpayer-
             | funded advertising
        
           | glogla wrote:
           | They also saved millions of lives.
        
             | ipaddr wrote:
             | [flagged]
        
             | pastacacioepepe wrote:
             | And caused many unnecessary deaths by witholding the
             | vaccine from less rich countries that couldn't outcompete
             | richer ones, since the supply was very limited in the
             | moments of most need.
             | 
             | If they really wanted to save lives they should have
             | liberalized the vaccine's production, but all they cared
             | for was profit, the life saving just a coincidence.
        
               | glogla wrote:
               | Eh, it's not like you people would share SinoVac, even if
               | it worked properly.
        
         | einpoklum wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
           | 3192029941 wrote:
           | I'm genuinely asking--what's the alternative to appeasement
           | in this situation, aside from fighting?
        
             | einpoklum wrote:
             | I can't believe I have to explain that joke, but ok. There
             | is no "appease or defend" choice - neither of these
             | alternatives are real. The US is not being attacked at all,
             | or attacked in the way the empire in Star Wars is attacked:
             | While it attacks/oppresses everywhere and all the time,
             | occasionally it meets violent resistance.
        
               | 3192029941 wrote:
               | Sorry if I'm being thick here, but I'm still confused.
               | Why is neither alternative real? I get that the US isn't
               | being attacked. However, appeasement in the 1930s wasn't
               | a policy enacted by countries that were being actively
               | attacked yet. It was a policy enacted by other countries.
               | 
               | I guess, in my head (and I'd love to hear your take on
               | this), the US doing nothing _is_ appeasement.
        
       | steviedotboston wrote:
       | [flagged]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Lammy wrote:
       | I agree with Butler's point but think he's missing the forest for
       | the trees by focusing on territory acquisition and profits from
       | production of war materials. The real point of war is that it's a
       | way to farm us (the masses) for rapid development of promising
       | _new_ technologies, e.g. --
       | 
       | -- US Civil war: Rifles, telegraph, railroads
       | 
       | -- World War 1: Optics, radio communication, aviation, tracked
       | vehicles
       | 
       | -- World War 2: Computers, cryptography, atomic energy, radar and
       | microwave communication, global logistics (fuels,
       | containerization, etc)
       | 
       | -- Cold War: SPAAAAACE
        
       | nipponese wrote:
       | This has to be the most re-posted piece on HN
       | 
       | https://hn.algolia.com/?q=War+Is+a+Racket
        
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