[HN Gopher] US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it ... ___________________________________________________________________ US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles Author : bloak Score : 153 points Date : 2023-06-06 18:04 UTC (4 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com) | madspindel wrote: | Can we rule out UT? Ultraterrestrial, meaning "they" are from | this Planet Earth, but maybe left due to an event (the flood?) | many millions years ago, or maybe just 12 000 years ago (the | younger dryas impact?). | tiffanyh wrote: | My thoughts exactly, which is why I asked the question of "how | did the government come into possession of this aircraft". | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36218316 | strangattractor wrote: | It's the perfect grift. If the DoD denies having evidence then | they are hiding something. If they show you the evidence they | possess then they are hiding stuff anyway. The grifter gets | payback/attention in either case because it is all indisputable | and unprovable. Legally you are untouchable because the proof for | or against is unobtainable. The X-Files poster says it all "I | want to believe." | elric wrote: | Sounds like a social experiment to see how fast rumours spread or | something. Next up: hysteria. Give it a week and the papers will | say that there are big bad aliens in Moscow or some such. | tikwidd wrote: | We now know that exoplanets and the conditions for life abound in | the universe. Where the conditions for life abound, the null | hypothesis ought to be that life abounds. In discussions of alien | life and intelligence, we are often biased by earlier states of | knowledge about the universe and our position in it. When we | first started digging up dinosaur bones, we came up with | fantastical notions of creatures to explain these artifacts that | were mysterious to us. Notions that fit into our existing | worldview, drawn from folk knowledge and cultural history. Once | archeologists started studying the bones carefully, they gave us | stories more fantastical than we could have ever imagined in the | framework of our folk knowledge. I suspect the same will turn out | to be true of UAPs. | | For example, UAP stories are often ridiculed on the premise that | intelligent alien life would not bother to come all this way just | to hide out in the ocean. That's our folk knowledge of aliens: | they like to travel, are eager to make contact with other life | forms and are capable of doing so. But the elusive behaviour of | UAPs is exactly what we would expect from an "unmanned" | scientific probe. The home planet would be dozens or hundreds of | light years away, so the craft would need to be completely | autonomous in the absence of any communication system. Where does | an autonomous probe go to look for signs of life? Oceans. | tedivm wrote: | Knowing that life _may_ be common is a lot different than | knowing that intelligence is. | boringuser2 wrote: | Would anybody with even an ounce of critical thinking faculty | believe this even if they explicitly came out and said "yep, | we've got aliums, folks"? | | There's literally no level of evidence I would accept because the | premise is contrary to numerous, basic logical inferences. | viraptor wrote: | > There's literally no level of evidence I would accept because | the premise is contrary to numerous, basic logical inferences | | Sounds like you'd accept something that breaks the basic known | science then. If they could demonstrate any tech which does not | exist, or is wildly outside of the current limits, would that | convince you? For example energy use allowing interplanetary | travel in a vehicle of unreasonably small size. | api wrote: | How is it fundamentally illogical? I mean I'm skeptical as | hell, but one possible answer to the Fermi paradox is that | there is no paradox because there are aliens here. | yeeeloit wrote: | You are correct. The reactionary and emotional comments in | here are extraordinary. | | Sit back and enjoy the ride. | notJim wrote: | Alliums are delicious and their flowers are quite nice as well. | bsaul wrote: | What would those logical inferences be ? I'm not sure i got | your point right | boringuser2 wrote: | I'm willing to put aside literally every mechanical | interpretation of probability here, ignoring really poignant | questions, in favor of one overarching question: | | Do you really, really think a species capable of interstellar | travel would have vehicles or crafts that we could recognize | as such? That feels more like a technology 100-200 years | ahead of us, akin to science fiction, than the reality of a | species hundreds of thousands or MILLIONS of years ahead of | us technologically, whose existences would simply be fucking | incomprehensible to the human eye or mind. | | The conception that such entities are travelling the galaxy | in dinky little craft is completely absurd. | | They could probably scan our fucking souls and create | replicas of our qualia with technology from the interstellar | equivalent of a Walgreens. | | Or, more likely, they simply have technologies that we can in | no capacity conceive of or understand at all. | ethanbond wrote: | The fundamental issue is that people really have no | intuition as to how unfathomably gigantic space is. | | Traveling Mars to Earth would require some decent tech. | Traveling from the next star over requires some mind- | bending tech. An entity traveling from the next galaxy over | would necessarily be in possession of just some truly | incomprehensible technology and would probably exist on | spatial and temporal scales that just cannot be loaded into | our ape brains via our sensory organs. | boringuser2 wrote: | Now, imagine their dinky little arts and crafts UFOs are | "crashing" due to something trivial like gravity. | Solvency wrote: | Just playing devils advocate though: okay, but couldn't | they also just have really high-tech ships in a primitive | shape (like a sphere, for aesthetic reasons) with really | fast engines and really strong hulls, too? Maybe we're | simply too limited in our naive essence to understand the | technology behind such a simple premise. | boringuser2 wrote: | "Ships" feels really really anthropomorphic. | ethanbond wrote: | I mean, sure, the odds are not zero. But they seem very, | very, very, very close to zero (to me). | | And then the odds go down further that they have tech | that can move them 10,000+ light years in a palatable | amount of time/energy for them to visit Earth. | | Then the odds go down further by the fact that, if they | exist with that broad a view of the universe, Earth is | almost certainly not worth visiting. | | Then the odds go down further by the fact that we have | allegedly detected and recovered them? | | Not zero but it really is astronomically low, even if you | have high conviction the universe is actually teeming | with life. | boringuser2 wrote: | Can you imagine recovering alien technology, and the best | we have to show for it is an iphone, with East Asia | starting to lap us in things like semiconductor | manufacturing? | | You'd sure thing ALIUM technology would be useful for | Intel to leapfrog Asia's foundaries. | | Weird, where is that stuff? | Solvency wrote: | Oh I never said anything about them visiting us. Or | finding us. Or wanting to. | | Just the super fast super durable aesthetic spheres. | bsaul wrote: | I think a modern jet is similar enough to a bird that | animals created millions of years ago (prehistoric birds) | can have some basic understanding on how it behaves. | | What makes you think just because it's millions of years | more evolved we wouldn't be able to get the general gist of | what it does ? (not how it does it, of course) | boringuser2 wrote: | Apologies: This comment is a terrible analogy. | | Try explaining quantum physics to Aristotle. | | That's a mere 2-3000 years of technology with large | periods of stagnation. | | Give Churhill/Stalin/Hitler an iPhone. | | They now have access to a device of unparalleled ability | compared to anything they could have conceived of, and | they will simply be completely incapable of understanding | or utilizing it outside of performing basic tasks. | | That's 60 years of the accelerated age of technology we | live in. | incrudible wrote: | You can give an infant an ipad and they will figure out | how to use it pretty quickly. They will have an | understanding of its purpose. You merely extrapolate from | our advances of 5000 years that there must be technology | that is _inconceivably_ advanced. | | Though he did not believe in it, Aristotle was aware of | the concept of atoms (that he had no hope of observing). | I am sure he would have gotten the gist of quantum | physics too. | thatjoeoverthr wrote: | I'd be happy to explain any of this to Aristotle. "It's a | picture that draws its itself. Here, touch it." We do | this every day with children. Ten thousand years o | development and you're caught up in five. It's fine! | boringuser2 wrote: | My point is that our relative distance in time and | technology is basically zero, yet we're already seeing | massive gaps in capability. | | Yes, Aristotle would likely be able to pick up on the new | monke uptake given that he was a unparallelled mind. That | was a pretty weak analogy given it didn't impart the | information that I intended. | andrewflnr wrote: | > Do you really, really think a species capable of | interstellar travel would have vehicles or crafts that we | could recognize as such? | | Yes. That is, they almost certainly use objects made out of | actual atoms to travel it or whatever the hell. There are | almost no hints, with the possible exception of dark | matter, in even the most speculative of well -grounded | physics, of anything else they could be using. So that's | the the null hypothesis. And the mere presence of that | object in an interaction is enough to recognize it with | high confidence as a vehicle. | | People get too obsessed with the idea of technology | indistinguishable from magic. Physics is still real, still | imposes hard constraints on technology, and our tech is | already sufficiently shaped by those constraints that other | things within those constraints will at least be | recognizable with some effort. We may not know how it works | right away, but that's a very different question. | boringuser2 wrote: | Quick question for you. | | Have you heard of a really smart guy named "Isaac | Newton"? | | Well, his ideas are only ~300 solar years established and | observations in quantum mechanics have opened a realm of | complete impossibility to a Newtonian worldview. | Beldin wrote: | While I completely agree with you on interstellar travel, | I'd like to add the nuance that you seem to assume that | there is no life in the Solar system other than on Earth. | | That could very well be true... but we're not even | confident ruling out life on Mars completely, and we landed | there and took soil samples and explored. | | Honestly, if there are extraterrestrials on Earth, I'd | wager my hat that they're from somewhere in the Solar | system. Just because the alternative is _even more_ | unlikely -- as you rightly argue. | boringuser2 wrote: | No, that can't be it. | | No local drones or Dyson spheres, but we're cohabitating | with a species capable of intra-solar travel? | | Seems highly suspect. They'd need to be at roughly our | level of technological development, which, if true, would | be more likely to believe in a concept of "God" | engineering that outcome than any kind of organic alien | life. | bartislartfast wrote: | > That feels more like a technology 100-200 years ahead of | us, akin to science fiction | | So my theory is in about 150 years, DJI will release a | drone with a time-travel capability, and the UFOs we see | now are people in 2170 trolling us. | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote: | Given the enormity of the universe and the seeming[0] | impossibility of FTL travel, plus the complete absence of | astronomical observation of extraterrestrial civilization, | and the incredibly tiny (on astronomical scales) window of | time in which we have data, any other explanation for pretty | much any phenomena we care to observe will be more likely | than "aliens did it". | | [0] _extremely_ well supported | rngname22 wrote: | Even if we pretended aliens wouldn't be able to surpass | FTL, Von Neumann probes only take half a million years to | spread across an entire galaxy, which is a grain of sand of | time in cosmological timescales. | | "Let's take a look at one of John von Neumann's most | fascinating contributions to science: the Von Neumann | probe. Simply put, a Von Neumann probe is a self- | replicating device that could, one day, be used to explore | every facet of the Milky Way in a relatively small window | of time. | | The general idea is to build a device out of materials that | are readily available and easily accessible out in space, | like on rocky planets or small moons. Once it finds a | suitable destination, it lands and mines the material it | needs to build even more devices, which, in turn, land on | other planets and moons and build even more. | | The system is very effective, and by some estimates, it | would take around half a million years to dispatch millions | of probes across our galaxy, assuming each one travels at | approximately 1/10th the speed of light, or 18,640 miles | (30,000 km) per second (though the real number could be | closer to ten million years, which is still no time at all | in the grand scheme of things)." | paulddraper wrote: | Even without FTL, time dilation makes travel conceivable, | no? | | You can get halfway across the galaxy in less than 50,000 | years. | axxto wrote: | Here are some things that were, at some point, long | considered to be physically impossible: | | -Deep sea exploration | | -DNA sequencing and cloning | | -Flight | | -Long-range electric power | | -Microbes | | -Organ transplants | | -Solar panels | | I understand the enormity of the proposition of things such | as FTL travel. But just saying "it doesn't have a fit | within our current framework of understanding, so it's | impossible and a moot point" seems a little...conceited, | given all the historical precedents of exactly the opposite | becoming true, eventually, given enough public interest. | birdyrooster wrote: | Considering the grift between DoD and Skinwalker Ranch, I am | sure we can expect similar fraud throughout. New York Post did | a 4 part expose that uncovers this. I highly suggest it. See: | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwfaAz9kxcc | | Basically Federal agents became "convinced" that paranormal | stuff is happening at Skinwalker ranch, but that is/was because | of significant conflict of interest where they earn income from | entertainment enterprises (like History Channel) by leaking | information to them -- even information which is completely | falsified. | TechBro8615 wrote: | The paradox of ufology is that we can't trust the government | because they've been covering up aliens for 70 years, but now | we know aliens are real because the government says so. | | The only fact I know for certain is that the federal government | and military industrial complex has a history of lying and | waging information warfare on American citizens. If they tell | me aliens are here, there's no way I will believe them. As much | as I want to believe, I simply can't, unless I personally have | some experience with an alien. | | And remember... no matter what happens, no matter what the | government or the "aliens" tell you... _do not get on the | ships_! | avgcorrection wrote: | Ufology is an FBI astroturf which is supposed to be a more | exciting alternative to listening to a 90 minute lecture on | the Sandinistas by Chomsky. | ChainOfFools wrote: | Now why the hell didn't anyone tell me, when I was say age | 11 or 12 or so, that a career path existed whereby one | might be able to get a job with the FBI which consists of | deliberately trolling people into believing that UFOs | exist, with access to effectively limitless resources to | make it stick. For actual money, including a government | pension. | smolder wrote: | If that's someone's job specifically, it's probably a | small part, and not at all fun, in-context. I think it's | also safe to say they wouldn't have unlimited resources. | RajT88 wrote: | I think the best evidence against Aliens is if the government | had any, they would have been trotted out for a rally by now | by the last guy. | unethical_ban wrote: | Ever watch Independence Day? | | "Plausible deniability" | adventured wrote: | It's exceptionally likely Trump was kept away from as much | intel as they could reasonably keep him from. We know that | from things that leaked out after the fact, eg by how | General Milley behaved (gave orders to disobey nuclear | launch commands coming from Trump). | Sharlin wrote: | From what I've heard, it's not like he was even | interested in the intel he was _supposed_ to be | interested in. | boringuser2 wrote: | I would also reject personal experiences with an "alien" as | manufactured. | paulddraper wrote: | > the premise is contrary to numerous, basic logical inferences | | How so? | | The argument for no aliens is lack of evidence, not evidence of | their lack. | DoreenMichele wrote: | _" yep, we've got aliums, folks"?_ | | And now I'm trying to imagine aliens that look like members of | the onion family. | | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion | somekyle2 wrote: | If they brought in some trustworthy skeptical folks with some | tools and enough background to know what compelling nothing | looks like, and they came out saying, "Oh man. oh wow. I'm | trying to come up with another explanation, but it really seems | like they have it." I'd start taking it seriously. "Guy who | seems trustworthy said it's real and he saw the proof" is so | very normal, for aliens, ghosts, various religious phenomena. | "Someone was convinced" isn't compelling to me. "The specific | trustworthy non-believers who were given access to the evidence | were convinced" would shake me. That moves it from "might be a | delusion or hoax" to "if it's a hoax/fraud, it's a very good | one". | | Although, "specific physical / recorded evidence made publicly | available for study" would be even better if the evidence is | strong. Once you're at "if it's a hoax/fraud, the perpetrator | has advanced science we don't" it's a world-changing thing; | maybe it's not an alien, but whatever it is it's amazing. | teawrecks wrote: | Nothing remotely close to that will ever happen, because the | people who care about this don't care. In the same way that | you want extraordinary evidence to back up these | extraordinary claims, they are prepared to disregard any and | all evidence to the contrary in order to continue believing | all of those same claims. | | If you haven't, I recommend watching the YT minidoc "In | Search of a Flat Earth" by Folding Ideas. It's not about the | aliens, it's not about the earth being flat, it's about the | conspiracy and who is behind it. If you dig deep enough, it's | always rooted in some racist or antisemitic world view. | boringuser2 wrote: | Really great post, really terrible conclusion. | NickC25 wrote: | Won't happen. | | Why? The most obvious questions will be asked, and those | questions will hurt the financial interests of the powers-that- | be. | | Questions like "how did they get here?" and "what is the energy | source that powers these crafts?" Politicians with stock | portfolios chock full of Oil&Gas stocks will certainly not want | that info seeing the light of day. Same with those who hold | defense stocks - all those trillions spent and they can't shoot | down a small craft? | | That's nothing to say of the major religious organizations that | will inevitably whine and cry that their gravy train is also now | also permanently derailed. No more tithing or mandatory donations | to a god when there are now species from another planet coming | and going as they please, and are likely thousands of years ahead | of us. | HWR_14 wrote: | Your understanding of incentives is backwards. Politician's | stock portfolios aren't fixed in stone. They can sell their Oil | & Gas and then short it, or more importantly invest in whatever | single company they would steer the commercialization of a new | power source to. Defense stocks go _up_ , not _down_ , when | people discover there is a new threat we need to arm ourselves | against with newer weapons because the old ones were | inadequate. And major religious organizations wouldn't suffer | at all if aliens exist - I know of no major religion that | denies the existence of alien life. Meanwhile, during turmoil, | more people turn to religion. | dumpsterdiver wrote: | > No more tithing or mandatory donations to a god when there | are now species from another planet coming and going as they | please, and are likely thousands of years ahead of us. | | While certainly there would be tension caused by the canonical | issues, I don't think people will stop making pleas to what | they perceive as higher powers. I would expect that such a | shocking revelation would cause more people to flock to the | church because they suddenly realize how small and powerless | they are. | NickC25 wrote: | Yes, but the whole thing about "(insert deity of your choice | here) made man in his own image" that seems to be quite | prevalent throughout most major religions gets debunked | almost immediately if there's some bipedal creature that | predates our entire civilization showing up in a hyper- | advanced spacecraft. | | There are no higher powers if someone rolls up being able to | do what our current understanding of physics calls magic or | has no way to explain it. | notaustinpowers wrote: | As someone raised southern baptist but no longer religious, | they'll just change the meaning behind the phrase. | | "He made us in his own image in the sense of our spirit" | | "He is imperceivable and therefore He may take many forms" | (I.E. when God was a flaming bush) | | Or my fave, "He works in mysterious ways". | | The church will adapt as it always has for millennias. | Firmwarrior wrote: | "Surely THIS piece of logic will be the one which topples | the concept of Religion" | bostonsre wrote: | Successful conspiracies seem hard to keep a cap on when they | get too big. If this is the first leak of something true | related to actual materials, it could spur the few non-evil | congressman to dig further and cause further leaks. If this is | a true conspiracy and they had complete control, all of this | UAP stuff wouldn't have popped up in the media and in congress | in the past few years. | devwastaken wrote: | The X planes project was intentionally obscured by the idea of | "aliens" to hide the unhideable. It's no different here. | bragr wrote: | Tangential, but there's some great analysis and debunks of the | video the headline photo is taken from: | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsEjV8DdSbs | | Simulation: https://www.metabunk.org/gimbal/ | heavyset_go wrote: | Mick West has consistently put out the best videos examining | the UAP phenomenon. | LargoLasskhyfv wrote: | In https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hangar_18_(film) ! | orbital-decay wrote: | Aliens just seem to love the USA, don't they? Just like giant | prehistoric sea monsters seem to love Japan. It's totally not a | cover-up for another black project. | tru3_power wrote: | What about the Middle East sighting nasa publicly spoke about? | haswell wrote: | FTA: | | > _"Retrievals of this kind are not limited to the United | States. This is a global phenomenon, and yet a global solution | continues to elude us."_ | stonepresto wrote: | The USA loves aliens. And money. And my money is on this guy | being a grifter. | kypro wrote: | The only thing aliens love more than the USA is to troll | fighter pilots and military bases. Somehow despite all of the | cameras and tracking technology these vehicles and locations | have, the aliens still manage to avoid being caught on camera | and only make their appearance obvious to a few first-hand | observers. | crazygringo wrote: | Culturally, Godzilla in Japan very much came out of the fear of | nuclear weapons and radiation post-Hiroshima and Nagasaki -- a | monster awakened and empowered by nuclear weapons [1]. | | I've never been super clear on what the cultural reason for | aliens <-> USA is though. Although I suppose it's different in | that Godzilla was an intentional fictional creation, while the | fascination with aliens hopes they're actually real. | | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Godzilla | krapp wrote: | There have been reports of aliens, alien crashes and | recovery, etc. all over the world[0]. The reason it's | primarily seen as an American phenomenon is that the whole | culture and mythos originated in the US, first in the late | 1940s with the Kenneth Arnold sighting[0] (where the term | "flying saucer" originated) and later Close Encounters of the | Third Kind and Whitley Streiber's Communion codified the | "grey alien/abduction" motif (although there were prior | stories like the Pascagoula abduction, notable for the aliens | described as looking nothing like greys) and of course the | X-Files. The rest of the world likely absorbed the UFO | archetype through cultural osmosis. Also Americans simply | aren't going to be aware of UFO reports from other countries | unless they go out of their way to look for them. | | [0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zanfretta_UFO_Incident | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ant%C3%B4nio_Vilas-Boas | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rendlesham_Forest_incident | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Varginha_UFO_incident | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan_Air_Lines_Cargo_Flight_1. | .. | | [1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kenneth_Arnold_UFO_sighting | | [2]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascagoula_Abduction | paulddraper wrote: | Or maybe the USA has observed them more. | thatjoeoverthr wrote: | Supposing (for sake of argument) they're real, Americans' broad | deployment of advanced avionics could mean we're simply more | likely to detect them. Secondly, cultural factors could | increase risk of leaks, compared to Russian and Chinese | detections. Third, tight control of Russian and Chinese media | can suppress any serious discourse. That's enough to give an | impression that UFO encounters are an American thing. | esprehn wrote: | You might appreciate Superman Red Son which explores what could | have happened if Kal-El landed on a Ukrainian farm instead of | Kansas. It's obviously got bias but it's fun to think about | what happens if all the hero "stuff" didn't happen in the US. | | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superman:_Red_Son | Krasnol wrote: | I could totally imagine a Ukrainian farmer pulling a UFO with | his tractor on TicToc. | Madhouse61 wrote: | Off topic but somewhat related... As of late, I've really | enjoyed watching FPV racing drone footage on YouTube. And it's | made wonder - if commercial drones currently on the market are | capable of this: | | https://youtube.com/shorts/mMmBC2nwcjY?feature=share3 | | What do you get when you have a multi-billion dollar defense | budget and some of the best engineers on the planet? | zakki wrote: | An UFO? | incrudible wrote: | > What do you get when you have a multi-billion dollar | defense budget and some of the best engineers on the planet? | | A huge waste. | moomoo11 wrote: | If I came across a planet of smart monkeys and one monkey state | had the most baddest mfers with the most insane tech and | research, I'd want to learn about them. | | Everyone's already encountered the starting conditions in most | other countries. US is the only one winning Civilization Earth. | I'm a naturalized US citizen, for example. Could have ended up | anywhere but it's best here in terms of opportunity and making | new stuff. | robofanatic wrote: | lol ... you are assuming aliens think like humans. Its almost | impossible to tell what aliens consider "baddest mfers" or | "insane tech and research". | adventured wrote: | The most advanced tech and research, as an overall, would | be trivial for an advanced alien to decide. And the US has | been leading in those categories for 80 years at least. | | The notion that it's impossible to figure out whether an | advanced alien would think Afghanistan or the US have more | advanced tech/research/science, is absurd. And if you can | make that distinction, you can keep going. | SturgeonsLaw wrote: | Colonists with muskets and cannons didn't care which | tribe had the best bows and spears | zakki wrote: | I thought alien is looking for resources. They don't care | with the technology because they know they are more | advanced. | marci wrote: | For a species advanced enough for trivially navigating | the universe, the difference between the US and | Afghanistan would be trivial. If they are more in the | individuality side of thing (in contrast to hive mind), | the dumbest of their lot would probably be smarter than | the smartest person we can find here, probably looking at | us the way we look at other intelligent species. | | To measure us, would they look at the capacity to produce | tech or consume tech (they would probably be more | interested in East-Asia than North-America)? | | If they look at introducing themselves and communicate | peacefully, what metrics would they look at to determine | what society they want to deal with? | | If they look for dominance, once again they would hit | where we produce tech, and hit our means of | communication, which are worldwide. | tazjin wrote: | Satirical posts on HN have a whole different flavour to them! | moomoo11 wrote: | The truth is out there. Somewhere in the middle. | woodruffw wrote: | To an alien without our particular brand of 21st century | capital ethics, I'm not sure that the US _is_ winning | Civilization Earth. | giantg2 wrote: | It likely would be the biggest threat given the weapons | tech though. You generally want to study the things that | pose the biggest threat for self preservation. | gtop3 wrote: | This is highly speculative on both of our parts. I do | think it's presumptuous to assume we'd be a threat to an | entity that traveled >4ly. It sounds a lot like picking | which classical civilization to study based on how strong | their bows are when you are traveling in a stealth | bomber. | giantg2 wrote: | "I do think it's presumptuous to assume we'd be a threat" | | You don't have to _be_ a threat, just appear as the | biggest _possible_ one. | | "based on how strong their bows are when you are | traveling in a stealth bomber." | | One has to know what a bow is and that they only have | bows to come to that summary conclusion. If you have no | knowledge of the capabilities, caution is warranted - | whether we're talking about civilizations or a new | species of spider. | woodruffw wrote: | You'd think that would go to the country or countries | with tenuous chains of custody over their nuclear | weapons, not the US. | | (I'm saying that mostly for the sake of argument, not | because I think your reasoning is incorrect.) | dahwolf wrote: | You think extraterrestrial life is impressed with ad tech? If | anything, they'd land in Veldhoven. | netfortius wrote: | Assuming they don't check Florida first. | heavyset_go wrote: | > _If I came across a planet of smart monkeys and one monkey | state had the most baddest mfers with the most insane tech | and research, I'd want to learn about them._ | | Sounds like they'd care more about China/South | Korea/Japan/Taiwan/etc then. | HL33tibCe7 wrote: | Not really, most great tech originates in the US. China etc | are good at copying. I know that's an unfashionable | statement, but let's do away with this false modesty for | once | | Btw I'm not from the US. | VirusNewbie wrote: | > China/South Korea/Japan/Taiwan/etc then. | | Well, if they care about software, all of the above have | inferior software compared to the US. | [deleted] | merek wrote: | Sounds like an internet connection would suffice. | orbital-decay wrote: | _" The notion of invasions by aliens was a projection of the | aggressive traits of the predatory, barely civilized ape-man. | If he himself willingly did unto others as he would rather | not be done by, then he pictured the Advanced Civilization on | much the same principle. Flotillas of galactic battleships | were supposed to fall upon unsuspecting little planets, to | lay hands on the local dollars, diamonds, chocolates, and, of | course, beautiful women -- for whom aliens had about as much | use as we did for female crocodiles."_ | finexplained wrote: | The deltas between the military/technology of the worlds top | economies might not even be noteworthy to a species capable | of interstellar travel. From there perspective we might just | all look the same. | [deleted] | krapp wrote: | >US is the only one winning Civilization Earth. | | I don't know. I feel like the countries without constant gun | violence, where the government is actually capable of passing | legislation, where the people actually accept that they live | in a _society_ with some acknowledgement of social | responsibilities, and can access healthcare and education | without incurring a lifetime of crippling debt, are currently | winning at civilization a bit harder. | | Being the richest and the most capable at propaganda and | world-ending violence isn't the same as being the most | civilized. | kelnos wrote: | I guess it depends on how you define "winning". I like your | definition and analysis better, but some people... | arcticbull wrote: | > US is the only one winning Civilization Earth. | | Depends what you mean by winning. Other countries have | different priorities, for instance the health and welfare of | the population over individual wealth. That doesn't make one | right or wrong, but it really this reflects on your | priorities more than anything else. And that's ok! I'm just | saying it's subjective, not objective, and there's no reason | to believe that some aliens would share your personal beliefs | in re: superiority and therefore prioritize observations | there. | Dalewyn wrote: | The US is winning (or has won and keeps on winning) the | Conquer Victory, the Diplomacy Victory, and the Culture | Victory. | | I think that's the main means of winning Civilization? Been | years since I played one. | arcticbull wrote: | Last time I got nuked by Ghandi so it's hard to say. | baron816 wrote: | Could be the case that it was found in the Pacific, or by an | allied country and handed over/"liberated". | WalterBright wrote: | https://qz.com/911990/the-cottingley-fairy-hoax-of-1917-is-a... | | 'nuff said | mberning wrote: | The MIC wants to juice defense spending again. | zoogeny wrote: | I saw an interview with this guy just yesterday. He didn't see | anything himself. His claim is that some people, and he believes | them to be trustworthy, confided in him and showed him some | documents. So, at best his testimony is hearsay. | | All of this stuff reeks of some kind of psyop. My belief is that | for some reason, the US government used psychology tests to | identify a select few people who naturally "want to believe". | These individuals would take vague evidence and through their own | nature would exaggerate and fill in the blanks. They then nudged | those individuals with carefully curated credible fake evidence. | Then they just sat back and waited for a few of those guys to | "leak" the information. | transducers wrote: | I share the opinion that it is psyop and it is a very long | running project. At one level it is a nice psyop _platform_ - | like Star Trek for the psychological warfare professionals. | Over the years they have influenced American thought about the | government to a great degree. X-Files. For example, most | Americans, and this "whistleblower" here, now accept that | elements in the US government are operating entirely outside of | the overview and control of the government, where the executive | and legislature do not have "the clearance" to be informed | about it. | | Emotionally it is also slowly preparing humanity for the | possibility of a confrontation with a power that we possibly | _can not resist and must obey_. Aliens may turn out to have | strong theological and sociological views that they want to | share with us. This is more than just slowly boiling the | constitutional frog in the cauldron of "national security". | Somewhat /g more far fetched but definitely one reason to have | ex intelligence grandees from Mosad and CIA (and now this man) | come and tell us all about aliens in our midst. | markus_zhang wrote: | Wait, that David Grusch guy never saw those stuffa despite that | he led the analysis? This is weird. How can you do analysis | without seeing the real thing? | heavyset_go wrote: | > _I saw an interview with this guy just yesterday. He didn 't | see anything himself. His claim is that some people, and he | believes them to be trustworthy, confided in him and showed him | some documents. So, at best his testimony is hearsay._ | | This is the same MO as Stephen Greer's grift about the same | thing. Greer claims that he was given access to classified | documents and information that say the government is hiding | their knowledge of, and interactions with, aliens and UFOs. | fnordsensei wrote: | To what end? | GartzenDeHaes wrote: | Is it conspiracy theory time? | | "... the conspiracy theory Project Blue Beam, which concerns | an alleged plot to facilitate a totalitarian world government | by destroying traditional religions and replacing them with a | new-age belief system using NASA technology." | VincentEvans wrote: | Take my money | typeofhuman wrote: | More funding from Congress. | paulddraper wrote: | I thought this was obvious...distract from the lizard people. | heavyset_go wrote: | It's a conspiracy theory that exalts the government/military | and a narrative that they control. Why wouldn't you want | skeptical populations thinking that they can trust you, that | you're skilled and competent, and for whom you can use slight | of hand to easily influence and distract? | | US adversaries can easily turn their drones into a panic when | they fly in US airspace, and I believe that the instances | where actual drones are involved, those are attempts at | adversaries to surveil our military and government and to | scare the populace. That's to say adversarial drones have an | additional use as psyops weapons against civilians and | military members. Being able to send whatever you want into | US airspace and the US being unable to do anything about it | can be perceived as being threatening and scary. | | A counter narrative to that can involving some UFO/alien | mystery can quell panic and instead foster wonder and | distraction. | api wrote: | Some speculations: | | To spook enemies of the US and create a mystical aura of | superiority around the US military and its capabilities. | They're literally creating the impression that the US | military has technology beyond the "Clarke threshold." (The | Clarke threshold refers to Arthur C. Clarke's maxim that "any | sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from | magic.") | | To shake out moles, spies, and unreliable people / leakers. | | As a cover for very terrestrial extremely advanced technology | such as hypersonic weapons, drones, laser and directed energy | weapons, etc. | | To repeatedly float the idea of "alien disclosure" and then | dash everyone's hopes in order to discredit the idea of | extraterrestrial life and visitation. Why? Maybe they're | concerned that we will eventually detect aliens and they want | to blunt the cultural impact by making the public skeptical. | Maybe they _actually do_ have evidence of aliens (but maybe | less sexy than crashed UFO parts) and want to keep it quiet, | so they want the topic to be discredited and marginalized. | Maybe there 's some ideology at play like religious | fundamentalism. Why knows. | afpx wrote: | the US military have been caught off guard several times | with newer tech, showing that they're actually well behind | the curve. I don't think there's much evidence that they | have any advanced tech. | api wrote: | They probably both have advanced technology _and_ are | caught off guard by other peoples ' advanced technology. | With China we are already back in a multipolar world. | hervature wrote: | Why would the organization that would be expected to protect | our skies want to make people believe there is something to | protect our skies? | TheSpiceIsLife wrote: | Demonstration of psyops capabilities; entertainment. | zoogeny wrote: | I have no idea on the specifics for this particular | operation, but in the general case [1] The | purpose of United States psychological operations is to | induce or reinforce behavior perceived to be favorable to | U.S. objectives. | | In the context of UFOs, UAPs or whatever ... some | possibilities are to hide advanced defense programs or to | confuse potential enemy intelligence efforts. In fact, for an | operation like this I would guess there are probably a dozen | strategic objectives and not just one. | | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychological_operations_(Un | it... | bragr wrote: | Why does it have to be a conspiracy? Some small but significant | portion of the population is mentally ill, and it seems likely | few would hear a joke ("we keep the alien space ships through | that door, I'd show you but I'd have to kill you"), take it way | too literally, and it becomes the focus of their mental | illness. That seems not only possible but probable given the | size the military industrial complex. | xref wrote: | > likely few would hear a joke... take it way too | literally... | | This is the premise of about half of _I Think You Should | Leave_ skits | quickthrowman wrote: | > All of this stuff reeks of some kind pf psyop. | | In this case, I agree. I usually try to avoid conspiratorial | thinking and conspiracy theories, but the DoD and related | agencies have been putting out all kinds of information about | UFOs in the past few years. My question is: why? The DoD isn't | known for their public relations. | | My best speculative guess is that they're claiming they've | found alien craft and exotic alien materials because the US is | testing aircraft that appear alien with exotic materials and | don't want other nation states to assume it is even terrestrial | so they don't attempt to replicate the technology. | | There must be a reason behind the UFO media blitz that has | happened lately, it's not like they're releasing the info to | keep the public informed. Anyone have other ideas? It could be | grifters looking to sell a story, mentally ill people | misunderstanding jokes or inventing things out of whole cloth, | etc. | | P.S. I believe intelligent life may exist elsewhere in the | universe, but that we've never been visited and will never be | visited due to the distances involved. | jameshart wrote: | "The DoD isn't known for their public relations" | | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/43168/top- | gun-2s-exten... | | The DoD got Tom Cruise to _pay them_ to make a 2hr 10m ad, | and then audiences paid $1.5bn at the box office to watch it. | | The DoD is _amazing_ at PR. | bagels wrote: | But who is the messaging intended for? Foreign military | intelligence agencies can draw the same conclusions, that | this is some kind of misdirection, and that it's more likely | a cover for US or Chinese weapons tech, they're not dumb. | quickthrowman wrote: | You make a very good point, I'm going to stick with the | grifter/liar/mentally ill thesis instead. | onetimeusename wrote: | One theory is that a lot of the buzz is just some former | intel officers like Luis Elizondo of To the Stars trying to | get donations. Grusch happens to be a former intel officer. | Who knows? maybe they are disgruntled or want to cash in on | their former jobs. Although Grusch does not appear to be | involved with an NGO that does this kind of thing, maybe he | will release a book soon? This is speculation. | | Another is that maybe we are in something of a Cold War right | now, as predicated by the weather balloon incident, but the | USG wants to keep it secret. If people spot UAPs there is a | counter narrative now about aliens that drowns out talk of | war. It seems like knowing we were being spied on could cause | reactions the government would rather not deal with. | | et cetera... | ivoras wrote: | Or is this another instance of "UFOs appear when we are close to | a nuclear crysis"? | DoreenMichele wrote: | I'm trying to think of any sci-fi stories where the aliens are | lost tourists or similar. They are usually presumed to be | scientists or government representatives checking out Earth | and/or humankind. | | Maybe ET? -- I don't think that's explained? It's been a lot of | years since I saw it. | | The reality is that the government is interested in unexplained | phenomenon primarily for security reasons. That statement does | not say nor imply "Belief in aliens means you're a nutter!" I | just get really tired of people acting like "They study this | stuff because they know there really are aliens visiting Earth!" | generalizations wrote: | That sounds like Transition, by Ian Banks. | HeyLaughingBoy wrote: | Predator? | | Hunting tourism is a thing. | DoreenMichele wrote: | OMG. I can't believe I didn't think of that. | shrimp_emoji wrote: | Like Twoflower from the other side of the Discworld, an "in | sewer ants" agent on vacation, visiting a medieval society. | | Zogg from Betelgeuse? | | Invader Zim? | DoreenMichele wrote: | I'm not familiar with those. Thanks. | ancientworldnow wrote: | Roadside Picnic, the inspiration behind Stalker, has aliens | using Earth much like a family on a long drive might pull over | for a scenic picnic site. | asimovfan wrote: | They actually just shoot stuff in the direction of the earth | inadvertently if i recall correctly, they dont actually visit | huijzer wrote: | What about the US military pretending to see UFO's instead of | admitting they have their own stealth airplanes and drones? | | This suggestion was made at the recent Required podcast about | Lockheed Martin. | thoughtstheseus wrote: | The sensor apparatus needed to "find" these UFOs is the same as | the one needed for missile and drone defense. | geraldwhen wrote: | It's exactly this. It's not just aircraft, either, but aircraft | designed to disrupt other aircraft's instrumentation. | | There is a white hat team somewhere in the DoD whose only job | is to develop technology and software to make other aviation | software instrumentation fail or perform incorrectly. It would | be absurd if this were NOT the case. | DrBazza wrote: | Never in human history have we had so many high quality cameras | in the hands of so many people. | | And still no pictures of ufos. Or Bigfoot. Or Nessie. | postalrat wrote: | Anything that doesn't have an explanation is labeled a fake | unless it's from an official source like the military. | BasedAnon wrote: | Actually we do have good pictures of Nessie, which is how | figured out 'she' was actually just a whale penis | | Edit: apparently this is actually bs | lcnPylGDnU4H9OF wrote: | Serious question: are there any whale species which inhabit | Loch Ness? | uhtred wrote: | there are some pretty convincing videos and photos of UFOs out | there, the problem is when they are good enough to look real | people call them fakes. | pengaru wrote: | Or when they're good enough to actually try identify objects, | they're birthday balloons like the mylar batman one with its | very distinctive profile. | simmerup wrote: | Apart from the ones released by the US military | tmn wrote: | I find this subject fascinating. As the article states, Navy | pilots are on record as eye witnesses for this stuff, along with | the various radar feeds, etc. I'm curious what HN thinks of the | following: | | There are 3 comprehensive possibilities (correct me if you think | differently): | | 1. These crafts are ET origin | | 2. These crafts are human origin (secrete military tech or | similar) | | 3. This is a psyop | | Due to the supposed feeds and eye witness accounts, it seems | infeasible there is a 'weather balloon' type explanation | | Any of these 3 possibilities is very interesting. I have my own | take for what is most likely. But I'd like to hear thoughts of | others. | clashmoore wrote: | Are the Navy pilots actual eye witnesses to seeing these crafts | or are they eye witnesses to whatever is electronically | displayed to their HUDS/Helmets/lenses? | | It seems every video I've come across, it was all electronic so | it has me thinking just a software error. | whinenot wrote: | How about cell phone video?[0] | | [0]https://www.dvidshub.net/video/843620/navy-2021-flyby- | video | black6 wrote: | Every video I've seen, too, has been from some sort of | electronic sensor. The US Navy was working on Project NEMESIS | at least as far back as 2019, which sought to (and likely | did) develop the means to spoof electronic signatures. | [deleted] | heavyset_go wrote: | > _As the article states, Navy pilots are on record as eye | witnesses for this stuff, along with the various radar feeds, | etc._ | | Watch the introduction to the 4 hour UAP panel that NASA hosted | a few days ago[1], they address this. | | According to NASA, even highly trained and experienced pilots | can easily be fooled, and often reported UAPs are artifacts of | the technology that detects them, or are indeed things like | weather balloons. For example, NASA even used the example of | Navy pilots being fooled by a procession of commercial | airplanes queueing to land at an airport 40+ miles away from | their base. | | They also emphasize that radar, detection systems, etc are not | scientific instruments that are suitable for the detection or | analysis of this phenomenon. They emphasize that the technology | that the Navy et al. use are strictly optimized for | defensive/offensive interception of conventional weapons. | That's to say that they're calibrated for war and not for | accurate scientific observation. | | Going back to the procession of airplanes waiting to land, | according to the instruments available to pilots and their own | observations, those airplanes were doing things that were | impossible to do without bending the laws of physics. Yet all | they were were just a bunch of airplanes doing what all | airplanes do. | | > _Due to the supposed feeds and eye witness accounts, it seems | infeasible there is a 'weather balloon' type explanation_ | | Pilots and their system are fallible, you'd have to assume some | argument from authority to believe otherwise, which is why I | think the military loves this conspiracy theory. It shifts | criticism or suspicion of government and power to a narrative | that they control and that inflates the military's competence | and abilities, and assumes that the military is looking out for | us and willing to tell us the truth. | | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQo08JRY0iM | notatoad wrote: | why is it always the navy pilots that always see the aliens, | and not the commercial pilots. is it because navy pilots are | more likely to be flying at some combination of high speed, bad | weather conditions, or darkness that tends to make ordinary | occurrences look more mysterious? | haswell wrote: | There have been reports from commercial pilots in the past | few years as well. | | That aside, it could make logical sense that the military is | seeing these more often for a few reasons: | | - The nature of their missions, flight speed, equipment, and | flexibility to investigate further | | - If it's a terrestrial adversary, it makes sense that they'd | fuck with military | | - If it's ET, it makes sense that they'd pay more attention | to military jets than passenger jets if it's some kind of | recon | whinenot wrote: | Commercial pilots don't get scrambled to get eyes on radar | anomalies in the middle of nowhere. They get paid to go from | point A to point B using a pre-determined amount of fuel. | detrites wrote: | Because commercial pilots are in control of aircraft flying | over densely populated areas, and often responsible for the | lives of hundreds on board. A navy pilot typically just has | the expensive aircraft and is somewhat expected to be crazy. | | So, if a commercial pilot does see such things, they'd be far | less likely to report them, as it may well ruin their career. | Navy pilots, on the other hand may well get some commendation | for identifying an unusual, or anomalous thing (enemy tech?). | lisasays wrote: | 4. A bunch of well-fed military-industrial complex types, some | lying, some naive and sincerely deluded -- stovepiping and | embellishing each other's BS as usual. | krapp wrote: | 4. Misinterpretation and/or equipment malfunction and/or | hoaxes. | | A few probably are secret military tech (nothing like | antigravity, but I think most people - even in the military - | probably don't have a good grasp of what true cutting edge | technology is capable of,) but I think there are UFO true | believers within the government trying to stir up publicity for | funding[0]. To me that is the most intriguing, and plausible, | explanation for a lot of this. | | Because remember we _just_ went through this with the Chinese | balloon shit. "Sources" in the government making the same | claims. Rumors about craft defying physics. But it all turned | out to be balloons and paranoia and hype. | | It's never aliens. It's _never_ aliens. | | [0]https://nypost.com/2023/03/21/ufo-believing-pentagon- | bosses-... | petilon wrote: | 4. Time-traveling humans from the future. Don't discount that | possibility! | wizofaus wrote: | I do. If it were possible we'd surely see them everywhere. | Even if time travel was a one-way trip there's enough future | billions of us that there'd be massive numbers with the sort | of incurable fascination seth the past that they'd be | motivated to travel back and see what it was like. Doesn't | really seem any more or less likely than alien intelligence | at any rate. | petilon wrote: | Time traveling humans is more likely for the following | reason: It requires only one thing: worm hole or some other | yet-to-be-invented mechanism for traveling to the past. For | this to be alien intelligence, two things are required: | First alien intelligence has to exist, and second, they too | need a mechanism for speedy travel, to travel to another | galaxy such that they can reach the destination within an | individual alien's lifetime. | kalkaran wrote: | And they have to want to | spywaregorilla wrote: | describing something as yet-to-be-invented to | contextually imply that it exists and will be invented is | a strange proposition | wizofaus wrote: | I'm probably more positive alien intelligence exists than | I am that humanity will last long enough to discover such | a mechanism. To be clear, I'd say both are quite likely - | I just very much doubt the mechanism actually exists. | tzs wrote: | That reminds me of an amusing story I read in Analog | several years ago. I don't remember the name or author. | | It was about the first time travel trip. The team that | developed the first time machine decided to send the first | traveler to visit Shakespeare, figuring that Shakespeare | had a flexible enough mind to not be freaked out by the | visit. | | When the traveler got to Shakespeare they were right that | he did not freak out. In fact he took it entirely in | stride. The time traveler was a little confused that | Shakespeare was taking it so well. Shakespeare even asked | what gift the time traveler had brought, saying that "all | the early ones brought gifts". | | The time traveler had in fact brought a gift--a nicely | bound volume of Shakespeare's collected works. Shakespeare | looked at it, said something about maybe he could sell the | binding, then said probably not, and tossed it on a pile of | books, which the traveler realized was a pile of similar | books. | | Shakespeare noticed that the traveler was now throughly | confused and realized that the traveler was in fact one of | the very earliest, and explained that most of early | travelers brought books. | | The traveler was still confused over the idea that | Shakespeare had met other time travelers, saying "but I'm | the first time traveler!". Shakespeare told him that he may | have been the first to leave, but he certainly wasn't the | first to arrive, and said at some stages in his life he was | being visiting frequently by time travelers, which was | actually annoying--although not as annoying as it was for | Jesus, who Shakespeare says another time traveler decided | to introduce them once. | | At that point numerous other time travelers started | arriving. They were reporters from throughout the timeline | popping in to try to get an interview with the first time | traveler. The first time traveller is now close to | completely losing it, and Shakespeare says he can handle it | and steps in to act as a press agent for the first time | traveler. | | If backwards time travel turns out to possible my guess is | that there will be some limitation that prevents scenarios | like the one in that story from happening. My guess is | either (1) the time machine will only be able to go back to | when it was created (think of it like going back to a save | point in a game), or (2) when a time machine goes back to | some point in spacetime it creates some sort of exclusion | zone in a region around that point that precludes any other | time machine from arrive at a point in that exclusion zone. | detrites wrote: | Maybe every instance of time travel the universe splits in | two, to prevent all the causal loop paradoxes etc? | | Ie, time is always a tree branching, and traveling back in | time doesn't change that? | WalterBright wrote: | The eye and your brain are easily fooled. So are instruments. | worik wrote: | 4. It is optical illusions | shrimpx wrote: | After taking the pilots' accounts on face value, this analysis | gave me new insight: | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsEjV8DdSbs | | The pilots claim they saw a flying saucer that was rotating in | weird ways, and provide a grainy video that's kind of | convincing. The analysis proves it was lens flare. | | There are additional debunked UAP videos released by the | military, including one that is lens bokeh around starlight, | which is debunked by showing the configuration of the "triangle | UAPs" matches the positions of stars at that time, including | additional evidence that the camera used on those ships has | triangle aperture. | | This tells me there's a chance of a disappointing but realistic | option 4: military incompetence. They take these videos, they | don't know what they are, so they go into some data pipeline | and categorized as UAP. Then people/congress become aware that | there are "UAP videos", and we go through this declassification | song and dance, only to get these bokeh and lens flare videos, | that the military themselves do not know they are bokeh/lens | flare, and they have to find out about it on YouTube. | | Giving the military more benefit of the doubt, the likely | option is 3: psyop. They spread UAP rumors to confuse | adversaries, knowing these UAP videos they have are BS. When | they release these easily debunked videos, the adversaries | could be further confused, still not knowing what they _really_ | have. | 2-718-281-828 wrote: | for context: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34746738 | kipchak wrote: | It could also be some combination of the three, for example a | craft that is human origin but derived from ET bits being | presented in a pysop manner for some reason. The Navy's claimed | operable AGRAV/room temperature superconductor patents and | Salvadore Pais[1] add another layer of huh to the whole thing. | | [1]https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/29232/navys- | advanced-a... | Avshalom wrote: | N+1. They're 25 and they've just popped some amphetamine (now | modafinil) to get them through the hangover from getting shit | faced on shipboard moonshine last night. | jredwards wrote: | This reminds me of the "Liar, Lunatic, or Lord" argument that | religious people use regarding Jesus. Let's not railroad the | options, here. There's room for nuance (like combinations or, | frankly, just misunderstandings). | spywaregorilla wrote: | what kind of nuanced compromise exists that does not paint | jesus as a liar, lunatic, or lord exclusively? | jredwards wrote: | That he believed a falsehood? Does that make him a lunatic? | Would that not necessarily make billions of people | lunatics? | yellow_lead wrote: | What about | | 4. A collection of shadows, mistakes, pilot fatigue, and | instrument malfunction? | belval wrote: | Not really into UFOs myself, but that's not what the article | (the whistleblower) is claiming: | | > "We are not talking about prosaic origins or identities," | Grusch said. "The material includes intact and partially | intact vehicles." | | There is a difference between claiming to have seen the | modern equivalent of the Loch Ness monster and saying "they | have its body in a hangar". | spywaregorilla wrote: | Yeah. For example, in the Loch Ness example, they're at | least claiming to have seen it. | [deleted] | wizofaus wrote: | I'd even suggest a good percentage of reports are either | deliberate hoaxes themselves or genuine reports of hoaxes | carried out by others. If not hoaxes, then deliberate | misreporting to cover up worse truths. Ultimately almost any | other such explanation is vastly more likely than advanced | alien species having crossed the galaxies (undetected) to | visit us only to crash land on our little ball of rock. | v0idzer0 wrote: | Too coincidental for pilot fatigue/shadows AND instrument | malfunction to always happen at the same time in all of these | cases. There are hundreds of reported instances in the past | few years. This is simply not a serious explanation. | SonicScrub wrote: | Strongly disagree. The sheer number of flight hours | performed by all the world's professional pilots multiplied | by the average percentage of a flight that a pilot could be | considered to be "fatigued", multiplied by the odds of a | cosmetic/minor sensor blip occuring is still an | astronomically large number. That confluence of events | probably happens quite regularity. This can be acendotealy | verified hanging out at any general aviation flight club, | and asking pilots about the times they got temporarily | confused by some aerial phenomenon that turned out to be a | strange reflection off a cloud. Happens literally all the | time. | Eji1700 wrote: | You're missing 4, which is eye witnesses are reading | instruments wrong. | | "Yes I saw it move impossible in the camera" | | "Yep you've got a speck on your camera. " | | This stuff happens all the time mixed with "yeah crazy visual | stuff happens" | | When the alternative is that an unfathomable amount of energy | was used to cross a mind boggling amount of space, you need a | very bullet proof argument | LinuxBender wrote: | Perhaps number 5 could be partial hypoxia leading to | hallucinations and delusions _as it pertains to pilots_. I | would not be surprised if a pilot swore they saw a Klingon | bird of prey. | jackmott wrote: | [dead] | JPLeRouzic wrote: | * From another univers (in multivers) | | * From deep in Oceans | | * From subterranean | | * From millions of years in past | | * From millions of years in future | twic wrote: | * From hell (the Operation Trojan Horse theory) | | Functionally, all of these can be classified under the first | option, "ET origin", because they all involve the revelation | that some advanced intelligence unknown to the mass of | humanity is active on Earth. | | But there is a fourth: | | * These craft are of natural origin | | Some very strange analogue of St Elmo's Fire which results in | the formation of metallic spheres of unknown composition in | the vicinity of jet fighters. | JPLeRouzic wrote: | > " _These craft are of natural origin. Some very strange | analogue of St Elmo 's Fire_" | | " _we humans are property of some more highly evolved | beings that live in a realm that we cannot see. Those | invisible beings are immaterial: they are made of energy | and Russell compares them to ball lightning._ " | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinister_Barrier | HeyLaughingBoy wrote: | > Navy pilots are on record as eye witnesses for this stuff | | Yeah! | | I used to work with someone who was a Marine F/A-18 weapons | officer (back seat guy; I may have the aircraft type wrong). He | knew everything there was to know about air combat & ground | attack, but outside that, he was a complete moron. I mean, he | seriously believed that we stole aircraft technology from | aliens, because "there is no way that humans are that smart." | | Let's just say I have my doubts. | cozzyd wrote: | I'd say a combination of 2 and 3 is most likely, if it's not | just a complete fabrication/mirage/misunderstanding (which is | maybe even more likely...) | nso wrote: | 4. Dust, misidentifications, radar ghosts. David Grunch is a | liar. | JPLeRouzic wrote: | David Charles Grusch | TrainedMonkey wrote: | Probably a combination of 2 & 3 along with weird natural | phenomena + the fact that human brains run on error prone | wetware, are full of hacks, and make shit up all the time... | | In short, given prevalence of aliens in popular culture + | brains being predictive machines + existence of things that are | hard to explain = it would be far more surprising if there | weren't people claiming aliens. | | Note 1: actual aliens would be really exciting, but Occam's | Razor... | andrewstuart wrote: | Science fiction, literally. | gumballindie wrote: | Dont get my hopes high. I have the feeling it will be a | disappointment. Also why would aliens only visit the us? Surely | other countries would be in possession of alien tech if the us | was. | v0idzer0 wrote: | The article states they happen all over the world and the | whistleblower suggests other nations do have them. Give it a | read! | pie420 wrote: | Because the internet and everything you use every day was | invented in america, the waterways are controlled by american | aircraft carriers, the moon is american, the silicon you use is | made in the american pseudo-colonies of japan, south korea, and | taipei. America is the invisible roman empire, and the american | corporate oligarchy is Caesar. Weapons systems generations | ahead of the competition. All trade done in dollars, all | entertainment and science conducted in english. All data flows | through american megacorps that answer only to the american | oligarch. Pure hegemony so strong most people aren't aware that | it exists. | jossclimb wrote: | It's for the same reason when you find yourself being forced to | enter a 'state' on a website address form , yet you're not from | the US. | gumballindie wrote: | Most likely. It find it funny when aliens in movies almost | always land in the us. It may be the world's most awesome | country, but wouldnt at least some of these aliens be curious | about german beer or south korean food? | mywittyname wrote: | You can clearly see the electric lights of population | centers from space. If aliens were doing surveillance, | they'd probably stick to the darker spots. | | After all, out planet is surrounded by artificial | satellites, and we make no attempt to hide them. So clearly | some humans are capable of putting things into orbit, and | those things could be weapons. | Firmwarrior wrote: | That's weird, when I watch Japanese TV shows a | disproportionate amount of the aliens go to Japan | krapp wrote: | Countries besides the US also have states. | ben_w wrote: | My old country had several smaller countries nested inside | it, but no states. | kagevf wrote: | South Africa? | ben_w wrote: | Teyrnas Unedig Prydain Fawr | krapp wrote: | Countries with states: Australia | Austria Brazil Germany India | Malaysia Mexico Micronesia | Myanmar New Zealand Nigeria Palau | South Sudan | DrBazza wrote: | Technology to fly light years. But not the technology to land | on earth without crashing. | LargoLasskhyfv wrote: | Miscalculated lithobrake because of different atmosphere and | gravity. | | Surprise! | HWR_14 wrote: | I don't believe that there are any alien vessels, intact or | otherwise. But I would imagine that a superpower with global | reach and a stealth program could (and would) gather craft | before the countries where they were located knew they were | there. | gumballindie wrote: | > I don't believe that there are any alien vessels, intact or | otherwise. | | Me neither, but as the saying goes: "i want to believe". | Guaranteed there's nothing more than a guy that's either | crazy or marketing a book. | | > But I would imagine that a superpower with global reach and | a stealth program could (and would) gather craft before the | countries where they were located knew they were there. | | By traveling to china or russia and snatching ufos from right | under their nose? I doubt it. I think if anything remotely | alien would visit earth everyone would know. | mywittyname wrote: | Right, America has trouble retrieving it's own equipment | when it is downed near (not in) adversarial territory. | That's with the advantage of knowing exactly when and where | the equipment went down and with the benefit of advanced | planning for a potential recovery. | | There's no way they are suddenly so much more competent | when the downed equipment is "alien." If this stuff is so | easily tracked, then it's not so easily hidden from the | public. | | And if this stuff went down in a smaller country, you can | bet there are plenty of people out there ready and willing | to pay for it just because. We have difficulty enough | charging wealthy people with real crimes, much less putting | them away for buying alien technology. | [deleted] | markus_zhang wrote: | Maybe Afghanistan? OK this is sci fi materials... | MSFT_Edging wrote: | There's sightings all over, other countries are similarly | secretive/in the dark. | fintechie wrote: | I guess if they can convince the populace that men can get | pregnant they'll have no issue bringing some little green men to | the show. Global IQ getting lower at an alarming pace. | nessbot wrote: | Since IQ is designed to be a normal distribution, isn't the | average IQ the same (100) year after year? | fintechie wrote: | We've probably peaked in the western side of the world... | | https://phys.org/news/2023-03-online-iq-scores-century.html | thekevan wrote: | Am I missing something or is the only thing that makes this | different than so many other "insider" claims is that this guy | has a career history that implies he isn't just another crackpot | spewing theories? | | It reads just like so many claims like we have heard in the past, | but this time people think the guy is more reliable. | | It is pretty funny that the one of the people often quoted who | backs up Grusch's claims is Jonathan _Grey_. | (https://www.imdb.com/title/tt2241801/) | | I'd love to think that alien contact is possible, but as I | attempt to learn more and more about physics, travel approaching | the speed of light, the mechanics that transformed us from a | basic life form to a life form with a consciousness, it just seem | incredibly unlikely sadly. | hermitcrab wrote: | Which is more likely? | | a) An alien civilization has overcome the massive problems of | interstellar travel and is visiting us right now. | | or | | b) The people making these claims are wrong. | | While a) isn't impossible, b) seems so much more likely. | | Also if they have the technology to cross interstellar space, | surely they have the technology not to be detected by us? | postalrat wrote: | c) An alien civilization can trivial visit Earth and has been | for thousands of years. | | You make a lot of assumptions how difficult it wouldv be to | visit and even why they would be here. | hermitcrab wrote: | I assume that interstellar travel is really difficult for | any civilization. That assumption is based on my knowledge | of physics (relativity in particular). | tomatotomato37 wrote: | Extend that too: a) An alien civilization has overcome the | massive problems of interstellar travel and is able to visit | in a manner that _doesn 't_ create a second sun in the sky | | Seriously people underestimate the ludicrous energies | involved in near-c travel. Even with engines off at those | speeds the interstellar dust undergoing nuclear fusion off | your hull will give you away | paulddraper wrote: | But what if it's 0.5c travel? | | That's a massive difference from 0.99c travel | Simon_O_Rourke wrote: | I'm no body language expert, but I did notice him shaking his | head when he says something to the (opposite) effect that "we | categorically have non human craft". | | Games within games. Insiders playing credible dupes. | sibeliuss wrote: | > but as I attempt to learn more and more about physics, travel | approaching the speed of light, the mechanics that transformed | us from a basic life form to a life form with a consciousness, | it just seem incredibly unlikely sadly | | As if humanity's knowledge circa 2023 is the end-all of things! | oldstrangers wrote: | "the mechanics that transformed us from a basic life form to a | life form with a consciousness" | | If those mechanics are known I'd love to hear them. | throwanem wrote: | > this guy has a career history that implies he isn't just | another crackpot spewing theories | | I love the optimism in assuming that being a crackpot and | having a career in intelligence are incompatible! | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote: | He could have been driven to crackpottery also. | | Consider this hypothetical: A person in intelligence knows | something you would rather didn't get out, but you suspect | there's a chance they will leak it. Maybe they have a | personality that leads you to believe they can't in good | conscience keep that secret, or maybe you're just callous and | paranoid, doesn't really make a difference. | | One thing you could do is convince them of something | completely ridiculous that no one will take seriously. Even | easier if there is a large existing community of nutters that | already believe that (possibly you manufactured that too, | just for such an occasion). Put on some little shows, make | sure they see some documents they "weren't supposed to", and | when they've bought into it enough have someone all but | confirm it to them in person. | | Then, if they're in a leaking mood, they'll discredit | themselves for you. | johnea wrote: | I always thought this was the point of alex jones... | | Some real conspiracies are revealed, but they're mixed in | with so much super psycho that everything gets | discredited... | asfarley wrote: | It's called a limited hangout | Georgelemental wrote: | I'm pretty sure there are documented, widely-recognized | case of this happening. Can't remember the details, but I | think it was an amateur radio operator that found a secret | broadcasting station, and was thrown off the trail when | said station decided to broadcast fake stuff about aliens. | And another case where the government needed to test | animals for radiation following a nuclear test, so secretly | stole them from farms in a way that suggested UFO | abduction? | | I can't remember where I read/heard this, but sure it is on | the internet somewhere. | ttpphd wrote: | I cackled. | erdos4d wrote: | There is the fact that Grusch gave sworn testimony to congress | on it, he's going to prison for perjury if he's lying. Doesn't | prove it, but it's more than just saying it in an interview. | clint wrote: | He also could just be mentally ill and doesn't believe he's | lying. It doesn't mean what he's saying is true. | krapp wrote: | People lie to Congress all the time without any consequences. | That depends more on the political necessity of having a | scapegoat/figure to tar and feather than the actual law. | mostlysimilar wrote: | > People lie to Congress all the time without any | consequences. | | Examples? | anon223345 wrote: | Mark McGwire | jjoonathan wrote: | "does the NSA collect any type of data at all on millions | or hundreds of millions of Americans?" "No, sir." | "It does not?" "Not wittingly. There are cases | where they could inadvertently perhaps collect, but not | wittingly." | | So, do people lie to Congress all the time? Not | wittingly, but in the sense that this phrase means | "absolutely yes, all the damn time." | toomuchtodo wrote: | Citations: | | https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo- | way/2013/07/02/198118060... | | https://youtu.be/QwiUVUJmGjs | | https://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/jun/06 | /ve... | amanaplanacanal wrote: | Does anybody _ever_ go to jail for lying to congress? | kadoban wrote: | https://www.propublica.org/article/five-trump-cabinet- | member... | | There's many, many more. | smolder wrote: | Brett Kavanaugh when he said "boofing" meant farting. | [deleted] | seanw444 wrote: | Darn. Guess I need to be distracted from Biden's corruption now. | Darn you, diversion tactics! | kgwxd wrote: | Sounds like you were already distracted by someone else's | diversion. | jacknews wrote: | Sounds like Grusch is upstanding, but I suspect he's been trolled | by the rest of them. | | You can just imagine; "hey Eagle, the UFO guy's coming to ask | about that UAP report, you know, the one where the IR tracker | locked-on to a speck of dust. Let's mention the (nudge, hehe) | black-ops alien testing site we saw when we went to file the | report" | gfodor wrote: | You don't troll someone to the point of letting them go testify | under oath to the IG. | paulddraper wrote: | Epic troll | yeeeloit wrote: | We, the general public, simply do not have enough information | at this point to judge this man's testimony, or the evidence | that he provided. | 2-718-281-828 wrote: | i like that option ;D | 1970-01-01 wrote: | Forensic evidence? No. | | 1080p 30fps video? No. | | High resolution photos? No. | | Any evidence to back up the extraordinary claims? No. | | Sorry, but you are crazy if you believe this. | tiffanyh wrote: | If true, I'm curious to know how the government even came into | possession of such non-human aircraft. | | E.g. | | - did they shoot it down? (this seems to contradict the claims | that the aircraft can perform unrealistic maneuvers like massive | acceleration / extreme changes in vector) | | - did some random farmer stumble upon the craft? (then why didn't | the farmer post photos of it online and/or speaking out about it) | | - where was it found and where is it today? | | Note: I'm not saying there isn't ET. But some first principle | questions seems like they need to be answered before people jump | to conclusions. | generalizations wrote: | Or it crashed of its own accord, but instead of a farmer | finding it, they'd been tracking it carefully and got there | first. | 100pctremote wrote: | Like an enemy weather balloon | vlod wrote: | Here's an interesting video clip of Lex interviewing Pilot Ryan | Grave [0], ~10 months ago (~27 mins. Note: not full interview). | | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hT6av8ZFCks&t=184s | beefman wrote: | Aliens have never crashed here. Aliens have never even visited | our solar system. | | The truth is more interesting: the galaxy is emptier than it | should be. | detrites wrote: | Maybe it's emptier than it should be because that's how the | universe is always made to appear to emergent civilisations at | the dangerous and volatile point of evolution we presently find | ourselves at? | merpnderp wrote: | If you look at all the crazy coincidences that were required | for life to develop on Earth, it starts to make sense that | we're alone. Single star in the system, need a big Jupiter to | block space rocks, our target is a rocky planet close to star, | but needs to be hit by an abnormally large moon right as the | lithosphere is cooling, ripping out 1/3rd of it so that the | planet can have giant continents barely covered with water part | of the time, then submerged the rest of the time to the cadence | of this moon, oh and has to be the right star type, and etc etc | etc. | | If it takes something like all that for life to spontaneously | erupt, we're likely alone. | misterprime wrote: | Beefman, could you tell us more about how you know this? | soVeryTired wrote: | The Drake equation? We can see the stars, we can see the | planets (and there are _lots_ of them). We can infer the | number of earth-like planets. So where 's all the intelligent | life? | orwin wrote: | Does the drake equation takes into account the timeline | earth-like planet have to be inhabitable to carbon-based | lifeforms? | bostonwalker wrote: | I wouldn't go so far as to claim that we have hard evidence of | aliens crashing here or visiting our solar system, but you're | going completely the other way and making an extraordinary | claim without evidence. Absence of evidence is not evidence of | absence. | FredPret wrote: | I read somewhere that all of our radio signature would fade | away to the point that it's indistinguishable from background | noise within five lightyears. | | Plus, we've been around for ages and only briefly let out a | bunch of radio waves. I image we might not even generate that | many anymore. | | By that logic, you could easily image that the universe is | teeming with intelligent life that happens to not have sent a | powerful radio signal out here, or whose tech development | timeline never included wide public radio signal broadcasting. | [deleted] | thedangler wrote: | The fact of the matter is the implications if this is real. Which | it probably is to a point. Free energy devices and instant travel | would decimate the economy that keeps the elite in power. | | "We already have the means to travel among the stars, but these | technologies are locked up in black projects and it would take an | act of God to ever get them out to benefit humanity." -- Ben Rich | CEO Lockheed Skunk Works | mywittyname wrote: | I would think the "wealthy elites" would be dying to get their | hands on the tech so they can turn it into a product that | generates even more wealth. | | Market forces are stronger than government forces. | devwastaken wrote: | Free energy is not real, you've been watching too much | conspiracy material designed by said elites. | dekhn wrote: | well, gibbs free energy is real | zamadatix wrote: | Why would it decimate the economy and oust those in power when | every other new advancement seems to grow the economy and | concentrate wealth on those already able to invest in it? | d1str0 wrote: | Exactly. You don't think the US or whatever nation state | would absolutely use these technologies to try and conquer | the rest of the world or acquire power/money? | [deleted] | erulabs wrote: | The "elite" who brings the world infinite power will be the | most famous and remembered and respected human who ever lived, | and will live immortal in the history books. | | Call me naive but I don't think the desire to keep the status | quo is greater than the desire to be the literal savior. | Gud wrote: | The "elite" in many cases aren't part of the ruling class due | to some intrinsic greatness, but because they were usually | born into it. | erdos4d wrote: | Assuming this is legit, what makes you believe they understand | anything about this tech? They might literally have been | scratching their heads all this time with this stuff. We might | simply not understand the physics by which it operates and have | no ability to do anything with it except dust it off | periodically and let another team of eggheads strike out. I | can't think of any major technology we currently have which | doesn't have a totally legit origin story and which the | prevailing scientific and engineering ability of the time | didn't enable, so I doubt any real advances have ever come out | of this. | postalrat wrote: | We been studying biology for many years and can't figure it | out. Cells are basically alien technology to us. | minutillo wrote: | The "source" of that Ben Rich quote is a MUFON article by Tom | Keller, more amazing quotes: | https://www.columbiatribune.com/story/opinion/editorials/201... | ben_w wrote: | > Free energy devices and instant travel would decimate the | economy that keeps the elite in power. | | If free energy had that effect, electricity prices wouldn't | sometimes go negative. | | Also, why would instant travel (at what resource cost?) be any | worse than e.g. telepresence robots for humans and just-in-time | delivery for goods? | chasd00 wrote: | Well, you could "instant travel" an IED into your political | adversary's bedroom. That would be pretty bad. | ben_w wrote: | Can do that with a tube filled with any of a wide range of | fuels and oxidisers, too. | dogman144 wrote: | Because to phrase it in a certain way - the final 10 yards of | power are exerted in meatspace. | | You can video chat with dissidents around the world? Cool, | the state can still kick in your door or shut off your ISP or | shut off your cross-border financing at the ISP or.. | | You can travel to join those dissidents and come back as you | please, wherever whenever? Where can the State able to | enforce final power there? It's much more limited. | ben_w wrote: | > Cool, the state can still kick in your door or shut off | your ISP or shut off your cross-border financing at the ISP | or.. | | Or use a drone, hence why that's clearly not sufficient | technology to undermine the Illuminati or whoever it is | that's supposed to benefit from suppressing space magic | rapid transit. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2023-06-06 23:00 UTC)