[HN Gopher] US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact
       alien vehicles
        
       Author : bloak
       Score  : 153 points
       Date   : 2023-06-06 18:04 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | madspindel wrote:
       | Can we rule out UT? Ultraterrestrial, meaning "they" are from
       | this Planet Earth, but maybe left due to an event (the flood?)
       | many millions years ago, or maybe just 12 000 years ago (the
       | younger dryas impact?).
        
         | tiffanyh wrote:
         | My thoughts exactly, which is why I asked the question of "how
         | did the government come into possession of this aircraft".
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36218316
        
       | strangattractor wrote:
       | It's the perfect grift. If the DoD denies having evidence then
       | they are hiding something. If they show you the evidence they
       | possess then they are hiding stuff anyway. The grifter gets
       | payback/attention in either case because it is all indisputable
       | and unprovable. Legally you are untouchable because the proof for
       | or against is unobtainable. The X-Files poster says it all "I
       | want to believe."
        
       | elric wrote:
       | Sounds like a social experiment to see how fast rumours spread or
       | something. Next up: hysteria. Give it a week and the papers will
       | say that there are big bad aliens in Moscow or some such.
        
       | tikwidd wrote:
       | We now know that exoplanets and the conditions for life abound in
       | the universe. Where the conditions for life abound, the null
       | hypothesis ought to be that life abounds. In discussions of alien
       | life and intelligence, we are often biased by earlier states of
       | knowledge about the universe and our position in it. When we
       | first started digging up dinosaur bones, we came up with
       | fantastical notions of creatures to explain these artifacts that
       | were mysterious to us. Notions that fit into our existing
       | worldview, drawn from folk knowledge and cultural history. Once
       | archeologists started studying the bones carefully, they gave us
       | stories more fantastical than we could have ever imagined in the
       | framework of our folk knowledge. I suspect the same will turn out
       | to be true of UAPs.
       | 
       | For example, UAP stories are often ridiculed on the premise that
       | intelligent alien life would not bother to come all this way just
       | to hide out in the ocean. That's our folk knowledge of aliens:
       | they like to travel, are eager to make contact with other life
       | forms and are capable of doing so. But the elusive behaviour of
       | UAPs is exactly what we would expect from an "unmanned"
       | scientific probe. The home planet would be dozens or hundreds of
       | light years away, so the craft would need to be completely
       | autonomous in the absence of any communication system. Where does
       | an autonomous probe go to look for signs of life? Oceans.
        
         | tedivm wrote:
         | Knowing that life _may_ be common is a lot different than
         | knowing that intelligence is.
        
       | boringuser2 wrote:
       | Would anybody with even an ounce of critical thinking faculty
       | believe this even if they explicitly came out and said "yep,
       | we've got aliums, folks"?
       | 
       | There's literally no level of evidence I would accept because the
       | premise is contrary to numerous, basic logical inferences.
        
         | viraptor wrote:
         | > There's literally no level of evidence I would accept because
         | the premise is contrary to numerous, basic logical inferences
         | 
         | Sounds like you'd accept something that breaks the basic known
         | science then. If they could demonstrate any tech which does not
         | exist, or is wildly outside of the current limits, would that
         | convince you? For example energy use allowing interplanetary
         | travel in a vehicle of unreasonably small size.
        
         | api wrote:
         | How is it fundamentally illogical? I mean I'm skeptical as
         | hell, but one possible answer to the Fermi paradox is that
         | there is no paradox because there are aliens here.
        
           | yeeeloit wrote:
           | You are correct. The reactionary and emotional comments in
           | here are extraordinary.
           | 
           | Sit back and enjoy the ride.
        
         | notJim wrote:
         | Alliums are delicious and their flowers are quite nice as well.
        
         | bsaul wrote:
         | What would those logical inferences be ? I'm not sure i got
         | your point right
        
           | boringuser2 wrote:
           | I'm willing to put aside literally every mechanical
           | interpretation of probability here, ignoring really poignant
           | questions, in favor of one overarching question:
           | 
           | Do you really, really think a species capable of interstellar
           | travel would have vehicles or crafts that we could recognize
           | as such? That feels more like a technology 100-200 years
           | ahead of us, akin to science fiction, than the reality of a
           | species hundreds of thousands or MILLIONS of years ahead of
           | us technologically, whose existences would simply be fucking
           | incomprehensible to the human eye or mind.
           | 
           | The conception that such entities are travelling the galaxy
           | in dinky little craft is completely absurd.
           | 
           | They could probably scan our fucking souls and create
           | replicas of our qualia with technology from the interstellar
           | equivalent of a Walgreens.
           | 
           | Or, more likely, they simply have technologies that we can in
           | no capacity conceive of or understand at all.
        
             | ethanbond wrote:
             | The fundamental issue is that people really have no
             | intuition as to how unfathomably gigantic space is.
             | 
             | Traveling Mars to Earth would require some decent tech.
             | Traveling from the next star over requires some mind-
             | bending tech. An entity traveling from the next galaxy over
             | would necessarily be in possession of just some truly
             | incomprehensible technology and would probably exist on
             | spatial and temporal scales that just cannot be loaded into
             | our ape brains via our sensory organs.
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | Now, imagine their dinky little arts and crafts UFOs are
               | "crashing" due to something trivial like gravity.
        
               | Solvency wrote:
               | Just playing devils advocate though: okay, but couldn't
               | they also just have really high-tech ships in a primitive
               | shape (like a sphere, for aesthetic reasons) with really
               | fast engines and really strong hulls, too? Maybe we're
               | simply too limited in our naive essence to understand the
               | technology behind such a simple premise.
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | "Ships" feels really really anthropomorphic.
        
               | ethanbond wrote:
               | I mean, sure, the odds are not zero. But they seem very,
               | very, very, very close to zero (to me).
               | 
               | And then the odds go down further that they have tech
               | that can move them 10,000+ light years in a palatable
               | amount of time/energy for them to visit Earth.
               | 
               | Then the odds go down further by the fact that, if they
               | exist with that broad a view of the universe, Earth is
               | almost certainly not worth visiting.
               | 
               | Then the odds go down further by the fact that we have
               | allegedly detected and recovered them?
               | 
               | Not zero but it really is astronomically low, even if you
               | have high conviction the universe is actually teeming
               | with life.
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | Can you imagine recovering alien technology, and the best
               | we have to show for it is an iphone, with East Asia
               | starting to lap us in things like semiconductor
               | manufacturing?
               | 
               | You'd sure thing ALIUM technology would be useful for
               | Intel to leapfrog Asia's foundaries.
               | 
               | Weird, where is that stuff?
        
               | Solvency wrote:
               | Oh I never said anything about them visiting us. Or
               | finding us. Or wanting to.
               | 
               | Just the super fast super durable aesthetic spheres.
        
             | bsaul wrote:
             | I think a modern jet is similar enough to a bird that
             | animals created millions of years ago (prehistoric birds)
             | can have some basic understanding on how it behaves.
             | 
             | What makes you think just because it's millions of years
             | more evolved we wouldn't be able to get the general gist of
             | what it does ? (not how it does it, of course)
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | Apologies: This comment is a terrible analogy.
               | 
               | Try explaining quantum physics to Aristotle.
               | 
               | That's a mere 2-3000 years of technology with large
               | periods of stagnation.
               | 
               | Give Churhill/Stalin/Hitler an iPhone.
               | 
               | They now have access to a device of unparalleled ability
               | compared to anything they could have conceived of, and
               | they will simply be completely incapable of understanding
               | or utilizing it outside of performing basic tasks.
               | 
               | That's 60 years of the accelerated age of technology we
               | live in.
        
               | incrudible wrote:
               | You can give an infant an ipad and they will figure out
               | how to use it pretty quickly. They will have an
               | understanding of its purpose. You merely extrapolate from
               | our advances of 5000 years that there must be technology
               | that is _inconceivably_ advanced.
               | 
               | Though he did not believe in it, Aristotle was aware of
               | the concept of atoms (that he had no hope of observing).
               | I am sure he would have gotten the gist of quantum
               | physics too.
        
               | thatjoeoverthr wrote:
               | I'd be happy to explain any of this to Aristotle. "It's a
               | picture that draws its itself. Here, touch it." We do
               | this every day with children. Ten thousand years o
               | development and you're caught up in five. It's fine!
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | My point is that our relative distance in time and
               | technology is basically zero, yet we're already seeing
               | massive gaps in capability.
               | 
               | Yes, Aristotle would likely be able to pick up on the new
               | monke uptake given that he was a unparallelled mind. That
               | was a pretty weak analogy given it didn't impart the
               | information that I intended.
        
             | andrewflnr wrote:
             | > Do you really, really think a species capable of
             | interstellar travel would have vehicles or crafts that we
             | could recognize as such?
             | 
             | Yes. That is, they almost certainly use objects made out of
             | actual atoms to travel it or whatever the hell. There are
             | almost no hints, with the possible exception of dark
             | matter, in even the most speculative of well -grounded
             | physics, of anything else they could be using. So that's
             | the the null hypothesis. And the mere presence of that
             | object in an interaction is enough to recognize it with
             | high confidence as a vehicle.
             | 
             | People get too obsessed with the idea of technology
             | indistinguishable from magic. Physics is still real, still
             | imposes hard constraints on technology, and our tech is
             | already sufficiently shaped by those constraints that other
             | things within those constraints will at least be
             | recognizable with some effort. We may not know how it works
             | right away, but that's a very different question.
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | Quick question for you.
               | 
               | Have you heard of a really smart guy named "Isaac
               | Newton"?
               | 
               | Well, his ideas are only ~300 solar years established and
               | observations in quantum mechanics have opened a realm of
               | complete impossibility to a Newtonian worldview.
        
             | Beldin wrote:
             | While I completely agree with you on interstellar travel,
             | I'd like to add the nuance that you seem to assume that
             | there is no life in the Solar system other than on Earth.
             | 
             | That could very well be true... but we're not even
             | confident ruling out life on Mars completely, and we landed
             | there and took soil samples and explored.
             | 
             | Honestly, if there are extraterrestrials on Earth, I'd
             | wager my hat that they're from somewhere in the Solar
             | system. Just because the alternative is _even more_
             | unlikely -- as you rightly argue.
        
               | boringuser2 wrote:
               | No, that can't be it.
               | 
               | No local drones or Dyson spheres, but we're cohabitating
               | with a species capable of intra-solar travel?
               | 
               | Seems highly suspect. They'd need to be at roughly our
               | level of technological development, which, if true, would
               | be more likely to believe in a concept of "God"
               | engineering that outcome than any kind of organic alien
               | life.
        
             | bartislartfast wrote:
             | > That feels more like a technology 100-200 years ahead of
             | us, akin to science fiction
             | 
             | So my theory is in about 150 years, DJI will release a
             | drone with a time-travel capability, and the UFOs we see
             | now are people in 2170 trolling us.
        
           | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote:
           | Given the enormity of the universe and the seeming[0]
           | impossibility of FTL travel, plus the complete absence of
           | astronomical observation of extraterrestrial civilization,
           | and the incredibly tiny (on astronomical scales) window of
           | time in which we have data, any other explanation for pretty
           | much any phenomena we care to observe will be more likely
           | than "aliens did it".
           | 
           | [0] _extremely_ well supported
        
             | rngname22 wrote:
             | Even if we pretended aliens wouldn't be able to surpass
             | FTL, Von Neumann probes only take half a million years to
             | spread across an entire galaxy, which is a grain of sand of
             | time in cosmological timescales.
             | 
             | "Let's take a look at one of John von Neumann's most
             | fascinating contributions to science: the Von Neumann
             | probe. Simply put, a Von Neumann probe is a self-
             | replicating device that could, one day, be used to explore
             | every facet of the Milky Way in a relatively small window
             | of time.
             | 
             | The general idea is to build a device out of materials that
             | are readily available and easily accessible out in space,
             | like on rocky planets or small moons. Once it finds a
             | suitable destination, it lands and mines the material it
             | needs to build even more devices, which, in turn, land on
             | other planets and moons and build even more.
             | 
             | The system is very effective, and by some estimates, it
             | would take around half a million years to dispatch millions
             | of probes across our galaxy, assuming each one travels at
             | approximately 1/10th the speed of light, or 18,640 miles
             | (30,000 km) per second (though the real number could be
             | closer to ten million years, which is still no time at all
             | in the grand scheme of things)."
        
             | paulddraper wrote:
             | Even without FTL, time dilation makes travel conceivable,
             | no?
             | 
             | You can get halfway across the galaxy in less than 50,000
             | years.
        
             | axxto wrote:
             | Here are some things that were, at some point, long
             | considered to be physically impossible:
             | 
             | -Deep sea exploration
             | 
             | -DNA sequencing and cloning
             | 
             | -Flight
             | 
             | -Long-range electric power
             | 
             | -Microbes
             | 
             | -Organ transplants
             | 
             | -Solar panels
             | 
             | I understand the enormity of the proposition of things such
             | as FTL travel. But just saying "it doesn't have a fit
             | within our current framework of understanding, so it's
             | impossible and a moot point" seems a little...conceited,
             | given all the historical precedents of exactly the opposite
             | becoming true, eventually, given enough public interest.
        
         | birdyrooster wrote:
         | Considering the grift between DoD and Skinwalker Ranch, I am
         | sure we can expect similar fraud throughout. New York Post did
         | a 4 part expose that uncovers this. I highly suggest it. See:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwfaAz9kxcc
         | 
         | Basically Federal agents became "convinced" that paranormal
         | stuff is happening at Skinwalker ranch, but that is/was because
         | of significant conflict of interest where they earn income from
         | entertainment enterprises (like History Channel) by leaking
         | information to them -- even information which is completely
         | falsified.
        
         | TechBro8615 wrote:
         | The paradox of ufology is that we can't trust the government
         | because they've been covering up aliens for 70 years, but now
         | we know aliens are real because the government says so.
         | 
         | The only fact I know for certain is that the federal government
         | and military industrial complex has a history of lying and
         | waging information warfare on American citizens. If they tell
         | me aliens are here, there's no way I will believe them. As much
         | as I want to believe, I simply can't, unless I personally have
         | some experience with an alien.
         | 
         | And remember... no matter what happens, no matter what the
         | government or the "aliens" tell you... _do not get on the
         | ships_!
        
           | avgcorrection wrote:
           | Ufology is an FBI astroturf which is supposed to be a more
           | exciting alternative to listening to a 90 minute lecture on
           | the Sandinistas by Chomsky.
        
             | ChainOfFools wrote:
             | Now why the hell didn't anyone tell me, when I was say age
             | 11 or 12 or so, that a career path existed whereby one
             | might be able to get a job with the FBI which consists of
             | deliberately trolling people into believing that UFOs
             | exist, with access to effectively limitless resources to
             | make it stick. For actual money, including a government
             | pension.
        
               | smolder wrote:
               | If that's someone's job specifically, it's probably a
               | small part, and not at all fun, in-context. I think it's
               | also safe to say they wouldn't have unlimited resources.
        
           | RajT88 wrote:
           | I think the best evidence against Aliens is if the government
           | had any, they would have been trotted out for a rally by now
           | by the last guy.
        
             | unethical_ban wrote:
             | Ever watch Independence Day?
             | 
             | "Plausible deniability"
        
             | adventured wrote:
             | It's exceptionally likely Trump was kept away from as much
             | intel as they could reasonably keep him from. We know that
             | from things that leaked out after the fact, eg by how
             | General Milley behaved (gave orders to disobey nuclear
             | launch commands coming from Trump).
        
               | Sharlin wrote:
               | From what I've heard, it's not like he was even
               | interested in the intel he was _supposed_ to be
               | interested in.
        
           | boringuser2 wrote:
           | I would also reject personal experiences with an "alien" as
           | manufactured.
        
         | paulddraper wrote:
         | > the premise is contrary to numerous, basic logical inferences
         | 
         | How so?
         | 
         | The argument for no aliens is lack of evidence, not evidence of
         | their lack.
        
         | DoreenMichele wrote:
         | _" yep, we've got aliums, folks"?_
         | 
         | And now I'm trying to imagine aliens that look like members of
         | the onion family.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion
        
         | somekyle2 wrote:
         | If they brought in some trustworthy skeptical folks with some
         | tools and enough background to know what compelling nothing
         | looks like, and they came out saying, "Oh man. oh wow. I'm
         | trying to come up with another explanation, but it really seems
         | like they have it." I'd start taking it seriously. "Guy who
         | seems trustworthy said it's real and he saw the proof" is so
         | very normal, for aliens, ghosts, various religious phenomena.
         | "Someone was convinced" isn't compelling to me. "The specific
         | trustworthy non-believers who were given access to the evidence
         | were convinced" would shake me. That moves it from "might be a
         | delusion or hoax" to "if it's a hoax/fraud, it's a very good
         | one".
         | 
         | Although, "specific physical / recorded evidence made publicly
         | available for study" would be even better if the evidence is
         | strong. Once you're at "if it's a hoax/fraud, the perpetrator
         | has advanced science we don't" it's a world-changing thing;
         | maybe it's not an alien, but whatever it is it's amazing.
        
           | teawrecks wrote:
           | Nothing remotely close to that will ever happen, because the
           | people who care about this don't care. In the same way that
           | you want extraordinary evidence to back up these
           | extraordinary claims, they are prepared to disregard any and
           | all evidence to the contrary in order to continue believing
           | all of those same claims.
           | 
           | If you haven't, I recommend watching the YT minidoc "In
           | Search of a Flat Earth" by Folding Ideas. It's not about the
           | aliens, it's not about the earth being flat, it's about the
           | conspiracy and who is behind it. If you dig deep enough, it's
           | always rooted in some racist or antisemitic world view.
        
             | boringuser2 wrote:
             | Really great post, really terrible conclusion.
        
       | NickC25 wrote:
       | Won't happen.
       | 
       | Why? The most obvious questions will be asked, and those
       | questions will hurt the financial interests of the powers-that-
       | be.
       | 
       | Questions like "how did they get here?" and "what is the energy
       | source that powers these crafts?" Politicians with stock
       | portfolios chock full of Oil&Gas stocks will certainly not want
       | that info seeing the light of day. Same with those who hold
       | defense stocks - all those trillions spent and they can't shoot
       | down a small craft?
       | 
       | That's nothing to say of the major religious organizations that
       | will inevitably whine and cry that their gravy train is also now
       | also permanently derailed. No more tithing or mandatory donations
       | to a god when there are now species from another planet coming
       | and going as they please, and are likely thousands of years ahead
       | of us.
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | Your understanding of incentives is backwards. Politician's
         | stock portfolios aren't fixed in stone. They can sell their Oil
         | & Gas and then short it, or more importantly invest in whatever
         | single company they would steer the commercialization of a new
         | power source to. Defense stocks go _up_ , not _down_ , when
         | people discover there is a new threat we need to arm ourselves
         | against with newer weapons because the old ones were
         | inadequate. And major religious organizations wouldn't suffer
         | at all if aliens exist - I know of no major religion that
         | denies the existence of alien life. Meanwhile, during turmoil,
         | more people turn to religion.
        
         | dumpsterdiver wrote:
         | > No more tithing or mandatory donations to a god when there
         | are now species from another planet coming and going as they
         | please, and are likely thousands of years ahead of us.
         | 
         | While certainly there would be tension caused by the canonical
         | issues, I don't think people will stop making pleas to what
         | they perceive as higher powers. I would expect that such a
         | shocking revelation would cause more people to flock to the
         | church because they suddenly realize how small and powerless
         | they are.
        
           | NickC25 wrote:
           | Yes, but the whole thing about "(insert deity of your choice
           | here) made man in his own image" that seems to be quite
           | prevalent throughout most major religions gets debunked
           | almost immediately if there's some bipedal creature that
           | predates our entire civilization showing up in a hyper-
           | advanced spacecraft.
           | 
           | There are no higher powers if someone rolls up being able to
           | do what our current understanding of physics calls magic or
           | has no way to explain it.
        
             | notaustinpowers wrote:
             | As someone raised southern baptist but no longer religious,
             | they'll just change the meaning behind the phrase.
             | 
             | "He made us in his own image in the sense of our spirit"
             | 
             | "He is imperceivable and therefore He may take many forms"
             | (I.E. when God was a flaming bush)
             | 
             | Or my fave, "He works in mysterious ways".
             | 
             | The church will adapt as it always has for millennias.
        
             | Firmwarrior wrote:
             | "Surely THIS piece of logic will be the one which topples
             | the concept of Religion"
        
         | bostonsre wrote:
         | Successful conspiracies seem hard to keep a cap on when they
         | get too big. If this is the first leak of something true
         | related to actual materials, it could spur the few non-evil
         | congressman to dig further and cause further leaks. If this is
         | a true conspiracy and they had complete control, all of this
         | UAP stuff wouldn't have popped up in the media and in congress
         | in the past few years.
        
       | devwastaken wrote:
       | The X planes project was intentionally obscured by the idea of
       | "aliens" to hide the unhideable. It's no different here.
        
       | bragr wrote:
       | Tangential, but there's some great analysis and debunks of the
       | video the headline photo is taken from:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsEjV8DdSbs
       | 
       | Simulation: https://www.metabunk.org/gimbal/
        
         | heavyset_go wrote:
         | Mick West has consistently put out the best videos examining
         | the UAP phenomenon.
        
       | LargoLasskhyfv wrote:
       | In https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hangar_18_(film) !
        
       | orbital-decay wrote:
       | Aliens just seem to love the USA, don't they? Just like giant
       | prehistoric sea monsters seem to love Japan. It's totally not a
       | cover-up for another black project.
        
         | tru3_power wrote:
         | What about the Middle East sighting nasa publicly spoke about?
        
         | haswell wrote:
         | FTA:
         | 
         | > _"Retrievals of this kind are not limited to the United
         | States. This is a global phenomenon, and yet a global solution
         | continues to elude us."_
        
         | stonepresto wrote:
         | The USA loves aliens. And money. And my money is on this guy
         | being a grifter.
        
         | kypro wrote:
         | The only thing aliens love more than the USA is to troll
         | fighter pilots and military bases. Somehow despite all of the
         | cameras and tracking technology these vehicles and locations
         | have, the aliens still manage to avoid being caught on camera
         | and only make their appearance obvious to a few first-hand
         | observers.
        
         | crazygringo wrote:
         | Culturally, Godzilla in Japan very much came out of the fear of
         | nuclear weapons and radiation post-Hiroshima and Nagasaki -- a
         | monster awakened and empowered by nuclear weapons [1].
         | 
         | I've never been super clear on what the cultural reason for
         | aliens <-> USA is though. Although I suppose it's different in
         | that Godzilla was an intentional fictional creation, while the
         | fascination with aliens hopes they're actually real.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Godzilla
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | There have been reports of aliens, alien crashes and
           | recovery, etc. all over the world[0]. The reason it's
           | primarily seen as an American phenomenon is that the whole
           | culture and mythos originated in the US, first in the late
           | 1940s with the Kenneth Arnold sighting[0] (where the term
           | "flying saucer" originated) and later Close Encounters of the
           | Third Kind and Whitley Streiber's Communion codified the
           | "grey alien/abduction" motif (although there were prior
           | stories like the Pascagoula abduction, notable for the aliens
           | described as looking nothing like greys) and of course the
           | X-Files. The rest of the world likely absorbed the UFO
           | archetype through cultural osmosis. Also Americans simply
           | aren't going to be aware of UFO reports from other countries
           | unless they go out of their way to look for them.
           | 
           | [0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zanfretta_UFO_Incident
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ant%C3%B4nio_Vilas-Boas
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rendlesham_Forest_incident
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Varginha_UFO_incident
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan_Air_Lines_Cargo_Flight_1.
           | ..
           | 
           | [1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kenneth_Arnold_UFO_sighting
           | 
           | [2]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascagoula_Abduction
        
         | paulddraper wrote:
         | Or maybe the USA has observed them more.
        
         | thatjoeoverthr wrote:
         | Supposing (for sake of argument) they're real, Americans' broad
         | deployment of advanced avionics could mean we're simply more
         | likely to detect them. Secondly, cultural factors could
         | increase risk of leaks, compared to Russian and Chinese
         | detections. Third, tight control of Russian and Chinese media
         | can suppress any serious discourse. That's enough to give an
         | impression that UFO encounters are an American thing.
        
         | esprehn wrote:
         | You might appreciate Superman Red Son which explores what could
         | have happened if Kal-El landed on a Ukrainian farm instead of
         | Kansas. It's obviously got bias but it's fun to think about
         | what happens if all the hero "stuff" didn't happen in the US.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superman:_Red_Son
        
           | Krasnol wrote:
           | I could totally imagine a Ukrainian farmer pulling a UFO with
           | his tractor on TicToc.
        
         | Madhouse61 wrote:
         | Off topic but somewhat related... As of late, I've really
         | enjoyed watching FPV racing drone footage on YouTube. And it's
         | made wonder - if commercial drones currently on the market are
         | capable of this:
         | 
         | https://youtube.com/shorts/mMmBC2nwcjY?feature=share3
         | 
         | What do you get when you have a multi-billion dollar defense
         | budget and some of the best engineers on the planet?
        
           | zakki wrote:
           | An UFO?
        
           | incrudible wrote:
           | > What do you get when you have a multi-billion dollar
           | defense budget and some of the best engineers on the planet?
           | 
           | A huge waste.
        
         | moomoo11 wrote:
         | If I came across a planet of smart monkeys and one monkey state
         | had the most baddest mfers with the most insane tech and
         | research, I'd want to learn about them.
         | 
         | Everyone's already encountered the starting conditions in most
         | other countries. US is the only one winning Civilization Earth.
         | I'm a naturalized US citizen, for example. Could have ended up
         | anywhere but it's best here in terms of opportunity and making
         | new stuff.
        
           | robofanatic wrote:
           | lol ... you are assuming aliens think like humans. Its almost
           | impossible to tell what aliens consider "baddest mfers" or
           | "insane tech and research".
        
             | adventured wrote:
             | The most advanced tech and research, as an overall, would
             | be trivial for an advanced alien to decide. And the US has
             | been leading in those categories for 80 years at least.
             | 
             | The notion that it's impossible to figure out whether an
             | advanced alien would think Afghanistan or the US have more
             | advanced tech/research/science, is absurd. And if you can
             | make that distinction, you can keep going.
        
               | SturgeonsLaw wrote:
               | Colonists with muskets and cannons didn't care which
               | tribe had the best bows and spears
        
               | zakki wrote:
               | I thought alien is looking for resources. They don't care
               | with the technology because they know they are more
               | advanced.
        
               | marci wrote:
               | For a species advanced enough for trivially navigating
               | the universe, the difference between the US and
               | Afghanistan would be trivial. If they are more in the
               | individuality side of thing (in contrast to hive mind),
               | the dumbest of their lot would probably be smarter than
               | the smartest person we can find here, probably looking at
               | us the way we look at other intelligent species.
               | 
               | To measure us, would they look at the capacity to produce
               | tech or consume tech (they would probably be more
               | interested in East-Asia than North-America)?
               | 
               | If they look at introducing themselves and communicate
               | peacefully, what metrics would they look at to determine
               | what society they want to deal with?
               | 
               | If they look for dominance, once again they would hit
               | where we produce tech, and hit our means of
               | communication, which are worldwide.
        
           | tazjin wrote:
           | Satirical posts on HN have a whole different flavour to them!
        
             | moomoo11 wrote:
             | The truth is out there. Somewhere in the middle.
        
           | woodruffw wrote:
           | To an alien without our particular brand of 21st century
           | capital ethics, I'm not sure that the US _is_ winning
           | Civilization Earth.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | It likely would be the biggest threat given the weapons
             | tech though. You generally want to study the things that
             | pose the biggest threat for self preservation.
        
               | gtop3 wrote:
               | This is highly speculative on both of our parts. I do
               | think it's presumptuous to assume we'd be a threat to an
               | entity that traveled >4ly. It sounds a lot like picking
               | which classical civilization to study based on how strong
               | their bows are when you are traveling in a stealth
               | bomber.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | "I do think it's presumptuous to assume we'd be a threat"
               | 
               | You don't have to _be_ a threat, just appear as the
               | biggest _possible_ one.
               | 
               | "based on how strong their bows are when you are
               | traveling in a stealth bomber."
               | 
               | One has to know what a bow is and that they only have
               | bows to come to that summary conclusion. If you have no
               | knowledge of the capabilities, caution is warranted -
               | whether we're talking about civilizations or a new
               | species of spider.
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | You'd think that would go to the country or countries
               | with tenuous chains of custody over their nuclear
               | weapons, not the US.
               | 
               | (I'm saying that mostly for the sake of argument, not
               | because I think your reasoning is incorrect.)
        
           | dahwolf wrote:
           | You think extraterrestrial life is impressed with ad tech? If
           | anything, they'd land in Veldhoven.
        
           | netfortius wrote:
           | Assuming they don't check Florida first.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | > _If I came across a planet of smart monkeys and one monkey
           | state had the most baddest mfers with the most insane tech
           | and research, I'd want to learn about them._
           | 
           | Sounds like they'd care more about China/South
           | Korea/Japan/Taiwan/etc then.
        
             | HL33tibCe7 wrote:
             | Not really, most great tech originates in the US. China etc
             | are good at copying. I know that's an unfashionable
             | statement, but let's do away with this false modesty for
             | once
             | 
             | Btw I'm not from the US.
        
             | VirusNewbie wrote:
             | > China/South Korea/Japan/Taiwan/etc then.
             | 
             | Well, if they care about software, all of the above have
             | inferior software compared to the US.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | merek wrote:
               | Sounds like an internet connection would suffice.
        
           | orbital-decay wrote:
           | _" The notion of invasions by aliens was a projection of the
           | aggressive traits of the predatory, barely civilized ape-man.
           | If he himself willingly did unto others as he would rather
           | not be done by, then he pictured the Advanced Civilization on
           | much the same principle. Flotillas of galactic battleships
           | were supposed to fall upon unsuspecting little planets, to
           | lay hands on the local dollars, diamonds, chocolates, and, of
           | course, beautiful women -- for whom aliens had about as much
           | use as we did for female crocodiles."_
        
           | finexplained wrote:
           | The deltas between the military/technology of the worlds top
           | economies might not even be noteworthy to a species capable
           | of interstellar travel. From there perspective we might just
           | all look the same.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | >US is the only one winning Civilization Earth.
           | 
           | I don't know. I feel like the countries without constant gun
           | violence, where the government is actually capable of passing
           | legislation, where the people actually accept that they live
           | in a _society_ with some acknowledgement of social
           | responsibilities, and can access healthcare and education
           | without incurring a lifetime of crippling debt, are currently
           | winning at civilization a bit harder.
           | 
           | Being the richest and the most capable at propaganda and
           | world-ending violence isn't the same as being the most
           | civilized.
        
             | kelnos wrote:
             | I guess it depends on how you define "winning". I like your
             | definition and analysis better, but some people...
        
           | arcticbull wrote:
           | > US is the only one winning Civilization Earth.
           | 
           | Depends what you mean by winning. Other countries have
           | different priorities, for instance the health and welfare of
           | the population over individual wealth. That doesn't make one
           | right or wrong, but it really this reflects on your
           | priorities more than anything else. And that's ok! I'm just
           | saying it's subjective, not objective, and there's no reason
           | to believe that some aliens would share your personal beliefs
           | in re: superiority and therefore prioritize observations
           | there.
        
             | Dalewyn wrote:
             | The US is winning (or has won and keeps on winning) the
             | Conquer Victory, the Diplomacy Victory, and the Culture
             | Victory.
             | 
             | I think that's the main means of winning Civilization? Been
             | years since I played one.
        
               | arcticbull wrote:
               | Last time I got nuked by Ghandi so it's hard to say.
        
         | baron816 wrote:
         | Could be the case that it was found in the Pacific, or by an
         | allied country and handed over/"liberated".
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | https://qz.com/911990/the-cottingley-fairy-hoax-of-1917-is-a...
       | 
       | 'nuff said
        
       | mberning wrote:
       | The MIC wants to juice defense spending again.
        
       | zoogeny wrote:
       | I saw an interview with this guy just yesterday. He didn't see
       | anything himself. His claim is that some people, and he believes
       | them to be trustworthy, confided in him and showed him some
       | documents. So, at best his testimony is hearsay.
       | 
       | All of this stuff reeks of some kind of psyop. My belief is that
       | for some reason, the US government used psychology tests to
       | identify a select few people who naturally "want to believe".
       | These individuals would take vague evidence and through their own
       | nature would exaggerate and fill in the blanks. They then nudged
       | those individuals with carefully curated credible fake evidence.
       | Then they just sat back and waited for a few of those guys to
       | "leak" the information.
        
         | transducers wrote:
         | I share the opinion that it is psyop and it is a very long
         | running project. At one level it is a nice psyop _platform_ -
         | like Star Trek for the psychological warfare professionals.
         | Over the years they have influenced American thought about the
         | government to a great degree. X-Files. For example, most
         | Americans, and this "whistleblower" here, now accept that
         | elements in the US government are operating entirely outside of
         | the overview and control of the government, where the executive
         | and legislature do not have "the clearance" to be informed
         | about it.
         | 
         | Emotionally it is also slowly preparing humanity for the
         | possibility of a confrontation with a power that we possibly
         | _can not resist and must obey_. Aliens may turn out to have
         | strong theological and sociological views that they want to
         | share with us. This is more than just slowly boiling the
         | constitutional frog in the cauldron of "national security".
         | Somewhat  /g more far fetched but definitely one reason to have
         | ex intelligence grandees from Mosad and CIA (and now this man)
         | come and tell us all about aliens in our midst.
        
         | markus_zhang wrote:
         | Wait, that David Grusch guy never saw those stuffa despite that
         | he led the analysis? This is weird. How can you do analysis
         | without seeing the real thing?
        
         | heavyset_go wrote:
         | > _I saw an interview with this guy just yesterday. He didn 't
         | see anything himself. His claim is that some people, and he
         | believes them to be trustworthy, confided in him and showed him
         | some documents. So, at best his testimony is hearsay._
         | 
         | This is the same MO as Stephen Greer's grift about the same
         | thing. Greer claims that he was given access to classified
         | documents and information that say the government is hiding
         | their knowledge of, and interactions with, aliens and UFOs.
        
         | fnordsensei wrote:
         | To what end?
        
           | GartzenDeHaes wrote:
           | Is it conspiracy theory time?
           | 
           | "... the conspiracy theory Project Blue Beam, which concerns
           | an alleged plot to facilitate a totalitarian world government
           | by destroying traditional religions and replacing them with a
           | new-age belief system using NASA technology."
        
             | VincentEvans wrote:
             | Take my money
        
           | typeofhuman wrote:
           | More funding from Congress.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | I thought this was obvious...distract from the lizard people.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | It's a conspiracy theory that exalts the government/military
           | and a narrative that they control. Why wouldn't you want
           | skeptical populations thinking that they can trust you, that
           | you're skilled and competent, and for whom you can use slight
           | of hand to easily influence and distract?
           | 
           | US adversaries can easily turn their drones into a panic when
           | they fly in US airspace, and I believe that the instances
           | where actual drones are involved, those are attempts at
           | adversaries to surveil our military and government and to
           | scare the populace. That's to say adversarial drones have an
           | additional use as psyops weapons against civilians and
           | military members. Being able to send whatever you want into
           | US airspace and the US being unable to do anything about it
           | can be perceived as being threatening and scary.
           | 
           | A counter narrative to that can involving some UFO/alien
           | mystery can quell panic and instead foster wonder and
           | distraction.
        
           | api wrote:
           | Some speculations:
           | 
           | To spook enemies of the US and create a mystical aura of
           | superiority around the US military and its capabilities.
           | They're literally creating the impression that the US
           | military has technology beyond the "Clarke threshold." (The
           | Clarke threshold refers to Arthur C. Clarke's maxim that "any
           | sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from
           | magic.")
           | 
           | To shake out moles, spies, and unreliable people / leakers.
           | 
           | As a cover for very terrestrial extremely advanced technology
           | such as hypersonic weapons, drones, laser and directed energy
           | weapons, etc.
           | 
           | To repeatedly float the idea of "alien disclosure" and then
           | dash everyone's hopes in order to discredit the idea of
           | extraterrestrial life and visitation. Why? Maybe they're
           | concerned that we will eventually detect aliens and they want
           | to blunt the cultural impact by making the public skeptical.
           | Maybe they _actually do_ have evidence of aliens (but maybe
           | less sexy than crashed UFO parts) and want to keep it quiet,
           | so they want the topic to be discredited and marginalized.
           | Maybe there 's some ideology at play like religious
           | fundamentalism. Why knows.
        
             | afpx wrote:
             | the US military have been caught off guard several times
             | with newer tech, showing that they're actually well behind
             | the curve. I don't think there's much evidence that they
             | have any advanced tech.
        
               | api wrote:
               | They probably both have advanced technology _and_ are
               | caught off guard by other peoples ' advanced technology.
               | With China we are already back in a multipolar world.
        
           | hervature wrote:
           | Why would the organization that would be expected to protect
           | our skies want to make people believe there is something to
           | protect our skies?
        
           | TheSpiceIsLife wrote:
           | Demonstration of psyops capabilities; entertainment.
        
           | zoogeny wrote:
           | I have no idea on the specifics for this particular
           | operation, but in the general case [1]                   The
           | purpose of United States psychological operations is to
           | induce or reinforce behavior perceived to be favorable to
           | U.S. objectives.
           | 
           | In the context of UFOs, UAPs or whatever ... some
           | possibilities are to hide advanced defense programs or to
           | confuse potential enemy intelligence efforts. In fact, for an
           | operation like this I would guess there are probably a dozen
           | strategic objectives and not just one.
           | 
           | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychological_operations_(Un
           | it...
        
         | bragr wrote:
         | Why does it have to be a conspiracy? Some small but significant
         | portion of the population is mentally ill, and it seems likely
         | few would hear a joke ("we keep the alien space ships through
         | that door, I'd show you but I'd have to kill you"), take it way
         | too literally, and it becomes the focus of their mental
         | illness. That seems not only possible but probable given the
         | size the military industrial complex.
        
           | xref wrote:
           | > likely few would hear a joke... take it way too
           | literally...
           | 
           | This is the premise of about half of _I Think You Should
           | Leave_ skits
        
         | quickthrowman wrote:
         | > All of this stuff reeks of some kind pf psyop.
         | 
         | In this case, I agree. I usually try to avoid conspiratorial
         | thinking and conspiracy theories, but the DoD and related
         | agencies have been putting out all kinds of information about
         | UFOs in the past few years. My question is: why? The DoD isn't
         | known for their public relations.
         | 
         | My best speculative guess is that they're claiming they've
         | found alien craft and exotic alien materials because the US is
         | testing aircraft that appear alien with exotic materials and
         | don't want other nation states to assume it is even terrestrial
         | so they don't attempt to replicate the technology.
         | 
         | There must be a reason behind the UFO media blitz that has
         | happened lately, it's not like they're releasing the info to
         | keep the public informed. Anyone have other ideas? It could be
         | grifters looking to sell a story, mentally ill people
         | misunderstanding jokes or inventing things out of whole cloth,
         | etc.
         | 
         | P.S. I believe intelligent life may exist elsewhere in the
         | universe, but that we've never been visited and will never be
         | visited due to the distances involved.
        
           | jameshart wrote:
           | "The DoD isn't known for their public relations"
           | 
           | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/43168/top-
           | gun-2s-exten...
           | 
           | The DoD got Tom Cruise to _pay them_ to make a 2hr 10m ad,
           | and then audiences paid $1.5bn at the box office to watch it.
           | 
           | The DoD is _amazing_ at PR.
        
           | bagels wrote:
           | But who is the messaging intended for? Foreign military
           | intelligence agencies can draw the same conclusions, that
           | this is some kind of misdirection, and that it's more likely
           | a cover for US or Chinese weapons tech, they're not dumb.
        
             | quickthrowman wrote:
             | You make a very good point, I'm going to stick with the
             | grifter/liar/mentally ill thesis instead.
        
           | onetimeusename wrote:
           | One theory is that a lot of the buzz is just some former
           | intel officers like Luis Elizondo of To the Stars trying to
           | get donations. Grusch happens to be a former intel officer.
           | Who knows? maybe they are disgruntled or want to cash in on
           | their former jobs. Although Grusch does not appear to be
           | involved with an NGO that does this kind of thing, maybe he
           | will release a book soon? This is speculation.
           | 
           | Another is that maybe we are in something of a Cold War right
           | now, as predicated by the weather balloon incident, but the
           | USG wants to keep it secret. If people spot UAPs there is a
           | counter narrative now about aliens that drowns out talk of
           | war. It seems like knowing we were being spied on could cause
           | reactions the government would rather not deal with.
           | 
           | et cetera...
        
       | ivoras wrote:
       | Or is this another instance of "UFOs appear when we are close to
       | a nuclear crysis"?
        
       | DoreenMichele wrote:
       | I'm trying to think of any sci-fi stories where the aliens are
       | lost tourists or similar. They are usually presumed to be
       | scientists or government representatives checking out Earth
       | and/or humankind.
       | 
       | Maybe ET? -- I don't think that's explained? It's been a lot of
       | years since I saw it.
       | 
       | The reality is that the government is interested in unexplained
       | phenomenon primarily for security reasons. That statement does
       | not say nor imply "Belief in aliens means you're a nutter!" I
       | just get really tired of people acting like "They study this
       | stuff because they know there really are aliens visiting Earth!"
        
         | generalizations wrote:
         | That sounds like Transition, by Ian Banks.
        
         | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
         | Predator?
         | 
         | Hunting tourism is a thing.
        
           | DoreenMichele wrote:
           | OMG. I can't believe I didn't think of that.
        
         | shrimp_emoji wrote:
         | Like Twoflower from the other side of the Discworld, an "in
         | sewer ants" agent on vacation, visiting a medieval society.
         | 
         | Zogg from Betelgeuse?
         | 
         | Invader Zim?
        
           | DoreenMichele wrote:
           | I'm not familiar with those. Thanks.
        
         | ancientworldnow wrote:
         | Roadside Picnic, the inspiration behind Stalker, has aliens
         | using Earth much like a family on a long drive might pull over
         | for a scenic picnic site.
        
           | asimovfan wrote:
           | They actually just shoot stuff in the direction of the earth
           | inadvertently if i recall correctly, they dont actually visit
        
       | huijzer wrote:
       | What about the US military pretending to see UFO's instead of
       | admitting they have their own stealth airplanes and drones?
       | 
       | This suggestion was made at the recent Required podcast about
       | Lockheed Martin.
        
         | thoughtstheseus wrote:
         | The sensor apparatus needed to "find" these UFOs is the same as
         | the one needed for missile and drone defense.
        
         | geraldwhen wrote:
         | It's exactly this. It's not just aircraft, either, but aircraft
         | designed to disrupt other aircraft's instrumentation.
         | 
         | There is a white hat team somewhere in the DoD whose only job
         | is to develop technology and software to make other aviation
         | software instrumentation fail or perform incorrectly. It would
         | be absurd if this were NOT the case.
        
       | DrBazza wrote:
       | Never in human history have we had so many high quality cameras
       | in the hands of so many people.
       | 
       | And still no pictures of ufos. Or Bigfoot. Or Nessie.
        
         | postalrat wrote:
         | Anything that doesn't have an explanation is labeled a fake
         | unless it's from an official source like the military.
        
         | BasedAnon wrote:
         | Actually we do have good pictures of Nessie, which is how
         | figured out 'she' was actually just a whale penis
         | 
         | Edit: apparently this is actually bs
        
           | lcnPylGDnU4H9OF wrote:
           | Serious question: are there any whale species which inhabit
           | Loch Ness?
        
         | uhtred wrote:
         | there are some pretty convincing videos and photos of UFOs out
         | there, the problem is when they are good enough to look real
         | people call them fakes.
        
           | pengaru wrote:
           | Or when they're good enough to actually try identify objects,
           | they're birthday balloons like the mylar batman one with its
           | very distinctive profile.
        
         | simmerup wrote:
         | Apart from the ones released by the US military
        
       | tmn wrote:
       | I find this subject fascinating. As the article states, Navy
       | pilots are on record as eye witnesses for this stuff, along with
       | the various radar feeds, etc. I'm curious what HN thinks of the
       | following:
       | 
       | There are 3 comprehensive possibilities (correct me if you think
       | differently):
       | 
       | 1. These crafts are ET origin
       | 
       | 2. These crafts are human origin (secrete military tech or
       | similar)
       | 
       | 3. This is a psyop
       | 
       | Due to the supposed feeds and eye witness accounts, it seems
       | infeasible there is a 'weather balloon' type explanation
       | 
       | Any of these 3 possibilities is very interesting. I have my own
       | take for what is most likely. But I'd like to hear thoughts of
       | others.
        
         | clashmoore wrote:
         | Are the Navy pilots actual eye witnesses to seeing these crafts
         | or are they eye witnesses to whatever is electronically
         | displayed to their HUDS/Helmets/lenses?
         | 
         | It seems every video I've come across, it was all electronic so
         | it has me thinking just a software error.
        
           | whinenot wrote:
           | How about cell phone video?[0]
           | 
           | [0]https://www.dvidshub.net/video/843620/navy-2021-flyby-
           | video
        
           | black6 wrote:
           | Every video I've seen, too, has been from some sort of
           | electronic sensor. The US Navy was working on Project NEMESIS
           | at least as far back as 2019, which sought to (and likely
           | did) develop the means to spoof electronic signatures.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | heavyset_go wrote:
         | > _As the article states, Navy pilots are on record as eye
         | witnesses for this stuff, along with the various radar feeds,
         | etc._
         | 
         | Watch the introduction to the 4 hour UAP panel that NASA hosted
         | a few days ago[1], they address this.
         | 
         | According to NASA, even highly trained and experienced pilots
         | can easily be fooled, and often reported UAPs are artifacts of
         | the technology that detects them, or are indeed things like
         | weather balloons. For example, NASA even used the example of
         | Navy pilots being fooled by a procession of commercial
         | airplanes queueing to land at an airport 40+ miles away from
         | their base.
         | 
         | They also emphasize that radar, detection systems, etc are not
         | scientific instruments that are suitable for the detection or
         | analysis of this phenomenon. They emphasize that the technology
         | that the Navy et al. use are strictly optimized for
         | defensive/offensive interception of conventional weapons.
         | That's to say that they're calibrated for war and not for
         | accurate scientific observation.
         | 
         | Going back to the procession of airplanes waiting to land,
         | according to the instruments available to pilots and their own
         | observations, those airplanes were doing things that were
         | impossible to do without bending the laws of physics. Yet all
         | they were were just a bunch of airplanes doing what all
         | airplanes do.
         | 
         | > _Due to the supposed feeds and eye witness accounts, it seems
         | infeasible there is a 'weather balloon' type explanation_
         | 
         | Pilots and their system are fallible, you'd have to assume some
         | argument from authority to believe otherwise, which is why I
         | think the military loves this conspiracy theory. It shifts
         | criticism or suspicion of government and power to a narrative
         | that they control and that inflates the military's competence
         | and abilities, and assumes that the military is looking out for
         | us and willing to tell us the truth.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQo08JRY0iM
        
         | notatoad wrote:
         | why is it always the navy pilots that always see the aliens,
         | and not the commercial pilots. is it because navy pilots are
         | more likely to be flying at some combination of high speed, bad
         | weather conditions, or darkness that tends to make ordinary
         | occurrences look more mysterious?
        
           | haswell wrote:
           | There have been reports from commercial pilots in the past
           | few years as well.
           | 
           | That aside, it could make logical sense that the military is
           | seeing these more often for a few reasons:
           | 
           | - The nature of their missions, flight speed, equipment, and
           | flexibility to investigate further
           | 
           | - If it's a terrestrial adversary, it makes sense that they'd
           | fuck with military
           | 
           | - If it's ET, it makes sense that they'd pay more attention
           | to military jets than passenger jets if it's some kind of
           | recon
        
           | whinenot wrote:
           | Commercial pilots don't get scrambled to get eyes on radar
           | anomalies in the middle of nowhere. They get paid to go from
           | point A to point B using a pre-determined amount of fuel.
        
           | detrites wrote:
           | Because commercial pilots are in control of aircraft flying
           | over densely populated areas, and often responsible for the
           | lives of hundreds on board. A navy pilot typically just has
           | the expensive aircraft and is somewhat expected to be crazy.
           | 
           | So, if a commercial pilot does see such things, they'd be far
           | less likely to report them, as it may well ruin their career.
           | Navy pilots, on the other hand may well get some commendation
           | for identifying an unusual, or anomalous thing (enemy tech?).
        
         | lisasays wrote:
         | 4. A bunch of well-fed military-industrial complex types, some
         | lying, some naive and sincerely deluded -- stovepiping and
         | embellishing each other's BS as usual.
        
         | krapp wrote:
         | 4. Misinterpretation and/or equipment malfunction and/or
         | hoaxes.
         | 
         | A few probably are secret military tech (nothing like
         | antigravity, but I think most people - even in the military -
         | probably don't have a good grasp of what true cutting edge
         | technology is capable of,) but I think there are UFO true
         | believers within the government trying to stir up publicity for
         | funding[0]. To me that is the most intriguing, and plausible,
         | explanation for a lot of this.
         | 
         | Because remember we _just_ went through this with the Chinese
         | balloon shit.  "Sources" in the government making the same
         | claims. Rumors about craft defying physics. But it all turned
         | out to be balloons and paranoia and hype.
         | 
         | It's never aliens. It's _never_ aliens.
         | 
         | [0]https://nypost.com/2023/03/21/ufo-believing-pentagon-
         | bosses-...
        
         | petilon wrote:
         | 4. Time-traveling humans from the future. Don't discount that
         | possibility!
        
           | wizofaus wrote:
           | I do. If it were possible we'd surely see them everywhere.
           | Even if time travel was a one-way trip there's enough future
           | billions of us that there'd be massive numbers with the sort
           | of incurable fascination seth the past that they'd be
           | motivated to travel back and see what it was like. Doesn't
           | really seem any more or less likely than alien intelligence
           | at any rate.
        
             | petilon wrote:
             | Time traveling humans is more likely for the following
             | reason: It requires only one thing: worm hole or some other
             | yet-to-be-invented mechanism for traveling to the past. For
             | this to be alien intelligence, two things are required:
             | First alien intelligence has to exist, and second, they too
             | need a mechanism for speedy travel, to travel to another
             | galaxy such that they can reach the destination within an
             | individual alien's lifetime.
        
               | kalkaran wrote:
               | And they have to want to
        
               | spywaregorilla wrote:
               | describing something as yet-to-be-invented to
               | contextually imply that it exists and will be invented is
               | a strange proposition
        
               | wizofaus wrote:
               | I'm probably more positive alien intelligence exists than
               | I am that humanity will last long enough to discover such
               | a mechanism. To be clear, I'd say both are quite likely -
               | I just very much doubt the mechanism actually exists.
        
             | tzs wrote:
             | That reminds me of an amusing story I read in Analog
             | several years ago. I don't remember the name or author.
             | 
             | It was about the first time travel trip. The team that
             | developed the first time machine decided to send the first
             | traveler to visit Shakespeare, figuring that Shakespeare
             | had a flexible enough mind to not be freaked out by the
             | visit.
             | 
             | When the traveler got to Shakespeare they were right that
             | he did not freak out. In fact he took it entirely in
             | stride. The time traveler was a little confused that
             | Shakespeare was taking it so well. Shakespeare even asked
             | what gift the time traveler had brought, saying that "all
             | the early ones brought gifts".
             | 
             | The time traveler had in fact brought a gift--a nicely
             | bound volume of Shakespeare's collected works. Shakespeare
             | looked at it, said something about maybe he could sell the
             | binding, then said probably not, and tossed it on a pile of
             | books, which the traveler realized was a pile of similar
             | books.
             | 
             | Shakespeare noticed that the traveler was now throughly
             | confused and realized that the traveler was in fact one of
             | the very earliest, and explained that most of early
             | travelers brought books.
             | 
             | The traveler was still confused over the idea that
             | Shakespeare had met other time travelers, saying "but I'm
             | the first time traveler!". Shakespeare told him that he may
             | have been the first to leave, but he certainly wasn't the
             | first to arrive, and said at some stages in his life he was
             | being visiting frequently by time travelers, which was
             | actually annoying--although not as annoying as it was for
             | Jesus, who Shakespeare says another time traveler decided
             | to introduce them once.
             | 
             | At that point numerous other time travelers started
             | arriving. They were reporters from throughout the timeline
             | popping in to try to get an interview with the first time
             | traveler. The first time traveller is now close to
             | completely losing it, and Shakespeare says he can handle it
             | and steps in to act as a press agent for the first time
             | traveler.
             | 
             | If backwards time travel turns out to possible my guess is
             | that there will be some limitation that prevents scenarios
             | like the one in that story from happening. My guess is
             | either (1) the time machine will only be able to go back to
             | when it was created (think of it like going back to a save
             | point in a game), or (2) when a time machine goes back to
             | some point in spacetime it creates some sort of exclusion
             | zone in a region around that point that precludes any other
             | time machine from arrive at a point in that exclusion zone.
        
             | detrites wrote:
             | Maybe every instance of time travel the universe splits in
             | two, to prevent all the causal loop paradoxes etc?
             | 
             | Ie, time is always a tree branching, and traveling back in
             | time doesn't change that?
        
         | WalterBright wrote:
         | The eye and your brain are easily fooled. So are instruments.
        
         | worik wrote:
         | 4. It is optical illusions
        
         | shrimpx wrote:
         | After taking the pilots' accounts on face value, this analysis
         | gave me new insight:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsEjV8DdSbs
         | 
         | The pilots claim they saw a flying saucer that was rotating in
         | weird ways, and provide a grainy video that's kind of
         | convincing. The analysis proves it was lens flare.
         | 
         | There are additional debunked UAP videos released by the
         | military, including one that is lens bokeh around starlight,
         | which is debunked by showing the configuration of the "triangle
         | UAPs" matches the positions of stars at that time, including
         | additional evidence that the camera used on those ships has
         | triangle aperture.
         | 
         | This tells me there's a chance of a disappointing but realistic
         | option 4: military incompetence. They take these videos, they
         | don't know what they are, so they go into some data pipeline
         | and categorized as UAP. Then people/congress become aware that
         | there are "UAP videos", and we go through this declassification
         | song and dance, only to get these bokeh and lens flare videos,
         | that the military themselves do not know they are bokeh/lens
         | flare, and they have to find out about it on YouTube.
         | 
         | Giving the military more benefit of the doubt, the likely
         | option is 3: psyop. They spread UAP rumors to confuse
         | adversaries, knowing these UAP videos they have are BS. When
         | they release these easily debunked videos, the adversaries
         | could be further confused, still not knowing what they _really_
         | have.
        
           | 2-718-281-828 wrote:
           | for context: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34746738
        
         | kipchak wrote:
         | It could also be some combination of the three, for example a
         | craft that is human origin but derived from ET bits being
         | presented in a pysop manner for some reason. The Navy's claimed
         | operable AGRAV/room temperature superconductor patents and
         | Salvadore Pais[1] add another layer of huh to the whole thing.
         | 
         | [1]https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/29232/navys-
         | advanced-a...
        
         | Avshalom wrote:
         | N+1. They're 25 and they've just popped some amphetamine (now
         | modafinil) to get them through the hangover from getting shit
         | faced on shipboard moonshine last night.
        
         | jredwards wrote:
         | This reminds me of the "Liar, Lunatic, or Lord" argument that
         | religious people use regarding Jesus. Let's not railroad the
         | options, here. There's room for nuance (like combinations or,
         | frankly, just misunderstandings).
        
           | spywaregorilla wrote:
           | what kind of nuanced compromise exists that does not paint
           | jesus as a liar, lunatic, or lord exclusively?
        
             | jredwards wrote:
             | That he believed a falsehood? Does that make him a lunatic?
             | Would that not necessarily make billions of people
             | lunatics?
        
         | yellow_lead wrote:
         | What about
         | 
         | 4. A collection of shadows, mistakes, pilot fatigue, and
         | instrument malfunction?
        
           | belval wrote:
           | Not really into UFOs myself, but that's not what the article
           | (the whistleblower) is claiming:
           | 
           | > "We are not talking about prosaic origins or identities,"
           | Grusch said. "The material includes intact and partially
           | intact vehicles."
           | 
           | There is a difference between claiming to have seen the
           | modern equivalent of the Loch Ness monster and saying "they
           | have its body in a hangar".
        
             | spywaregorilla wrote:
             | Yeah. For example, in the Loch Ness example, they're at
             | least claiming to have seen it.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | wizofaus wrote:
           | I'd even suggest a good percentage of reports are either
           | deliberate hoaxes themselves or genuine reports of hoaxes
           | carried out by others. If not hoaxes, then deliberate
           | misreporting to cover up worse truths. Ultimately almost any
           | other such explanation is vastly more likely than advanced
           | alien species having crossed the galaxies (undetected) to
           | visit us only to crash land on our little ball of rock.
        
           | v0idzer0 wrote:
           | Too coincidental for pilot fatigue/shadows AND instrument
           | malfunction to always happen at the same time in all of these
           | cases. There are hundreds of reported instances in the past
           | few years. This is simply not a serious explanation.
        
             | SonicScrub wrote:
             | Strongly disagree. The sheer number of flight hours
             | performed by all the world's professional pilots multiplied
             | by the average percentage of a flight that a pilot could be
             | considered to be "fatigued", multiplied by the odds of a
             | cosmetic/minor sensor blip occuring is still an
             | astronomically large number. That confluence of events
             | probably happens quite regularity. This can be acendotealy
             | verified hanging out at any general aviation flight club,
             | and asking pilots about the times they got temporarily
             | confused by some aerial phenomenon that turned out to be a
             | strange reflection off a cloud. Happens literally all the
             | time.
        
         | Eji1700 wrote:
         | You're missing 4, which is eye witnesses are reading
         | instruments wrong.
         | 
         | "Yes I saw it move impossible in the camera"
         | 
         | "Yep you've got a speck on your camera. "
         | 
         | This stuff happens all the time mixed with "yeah crazy visual
         | stuff happens"
         | 
         | When the alternative is that an unfathomable amount of energy
         | was used to cross a mind boggling amount of space, you need a
         | very bullet proof argument
        
           | LinuxBender wrote:
           | Perhaps number 5 could be partial hypoxia leading to
           | hallucinations and delusions _as it pertains to pilots_. I
           | would not be surprised if a pilot swore they saw a Klingon
           | bird of prey.
        
         | jackmott wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | JPLeRouzic wrote:
         | * From another univers (in multivers)
         | 
         | * From deep in Oceans
         | 
         | * From subterranean
         | 
         | * From millions of years in past
         | 
         | * From millions of years in future
        
           | twic wrote:
           | * From hell (the Operation Trojan Horse theory)
           | 
           | Functionally, all of these can be classified under the first
           | option, "ET origin", because they all involve the revelation
           | that some advanced intelligence unknown to the mass of
           | humanity is active on Earth.
           | 
           | But there is a fourth:
           | 
           | * These craft are of natural origin
           | 
           | Some very strange analogue of St Elmo's Fire which results in
           | the formation of metallic spheres of unknown composition in
           | the vicinity of jet fighters.
        
             | JPLeRouzic wrote:
             | > " _These craft are of natural origin. Some very strange
             | analogue of St Elmo 's Fire_"
             | 
             | " _we humans are property of some more highly evolved
             | beings that live in a realm that we cannot see. Those
             | invisible beings are immaterial: they are made of energy
             | and Russell compares them to ball lightning._ "
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinister_Barrier
        
         | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
         | > Navy pilots are on record as eye witnesses for this stuff
         | 
         | Yeah!
         | 
         | I used to work with someone who was a Marine F/A-18 weapons
         | officer (back seat guy; I may have the aircraft type wrong). He
         | knew everything there was to know about air combat & ground
         | attack, but outside that, he was a complete moron. I mean, he
         | seriously believed that we stole aircraft technology from
         | aliens, because "there is no way that humans are that smart."
         | 
         | Let's just say I have my doubts.
        
         | cozzyd wrote:
         | I'd say a combination of 2 and 3 is most likely, if it's not
         | just a complete fabrication/mirage/misunderstanding (which is
         | maybe even more likely...)
        
         | nso wrote:
         | 4. Dust, misidentifications, radar ghosts. David Grunch is a
         | liar.
        
           | JPLeRouzic wrote:
           | David Charles Grusch
        
         | TrainedMonkey wrote:
         | Probably a combination of 2 & 3 along with weird natural
         | phenomena + the fact that human brains run on error prone
         | wetware, are full of hacks, and make shit up all the time...
         | 
         | In short, given prevalence of aliens in popular culture +
         | brains being predictive machines + existence of things that are
         | hard to explain = it would be far more surprising if there
         | weren't people claiming aliens.
         | 
         | Note 1: actual aliens would be really exciting, but Occam's
         | Razor...
        
       | andrewstuart wrote:
       | Science fiction, literally.
        
       | gumballindie wrote:
       | Dont get my hopes high. I have the feeling it will be a
       | disappointment. Also why would aliens only visit the us? Surely
       | other countries would be in possession of alien tech if the us
       | was.
        
         | v0idzer0 wrote:
         | The article states they happen all over the world and the
         | whistleblower suggests other nations do have them. Give it a
         | read!
        
         | pie420 wrote:
         | Because the internet and everything you use every day was
         | invented in america, the waterways are controlled by american
         | aircraft carriers, the moon is american, the silicon you use is
         | made in the american pseudo-colonies of japan, south korea, and
         | taipei. America is the invisible roman empire, and the american
         | corporate oligarchy is Caesar. Weapons systems generations
         | ahead of the competition. All trade done in dollars, all
         | entertainment and science conducted in english. All data flows
         | through american megacorps that answer only to the american
         | oligarch. Pure hegemony so strong most people aren't aware that
         | it exists.
        
         | jossclimb wrote:
         | It's for the same reason when you find yourself being forced to
         | enter a 'state' on a website address form , yet you're not from
         | the US.
        
           | gumballindie wrote:
           | Most likely. It find it funny when aliens in movies almost
           | always land in the us. It may be the world's most awesome
           | country, but wouldnt at least some of these aliens be curious
           | about german beer or south korean food?
        
             | mywittyname wrote:
             | You can clearly see the electric lights of population
             | centers from space. If aliens were doing surveillance,
             | they'd probably stick to the darker spots.
             | 
             | After all, out planet is surrounded by artificial
             | satellites, and we make no attempt to hide them. So clearly
             | some humans are capable of putting things into orbit, and
             | those things could be weapons.
        
             | Firmwarrior wrote:
             | That's weird, when I watch Japanese TV shows a
             | disproportionate amount of the aliens go to Japan
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | Countries besides the US also have states.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | My old country had several smaller countries nested inside
             | it, but no states.
        
               | kagevf wrote:
               | South Africa?
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | Teyrnas Unedig Prydain Fawr
        
               | krapp wrote:
               | Countries with states:                   Australia
               | Austria         Brazil         Germany         India
               | Malaysia         Mexico         Micronesia
               | Myanmar         New Zealand         Nigeria         Palau
               | South Sudan
        
         | DrBazza wrote:
         | Technology to fly light years. But not the technology to land
         | on earth without crashing.
        
           | LargoLasskhyfv wrote:
           | Miscalculated lithobrake because of different atmosphere and
           | gravity.
           | 
           | Surprise!
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | I don't believe that there are any alien vessels, intact or
         | otherwise. But I would imagine that a superpower with global
         | reach and a stealth program could (and would) gather craft
         | before the countries where they were located knew they were
         | there.
        
           | gumballindie wrote:
           | > I don't believe that there are any alien vessels, intact or
           | otherwise.
           | 
           | Me neither, but as the saying goes: "i want to believe".
           | Guaranteed there's nothing more than a guy that's either
           | crazy or marketing a book.
           | 
           | > But I would imagine that a superpower with global reach and
           | a stealth program could (and would) gather craft before the
           | countries where they were located knew they were there.
           | 
           | By traveling to china or russia and snatching ufos from right
           | under their nose? I doubt it. I think if anything remotely
           | alien would visit earth everyone would know.
        
             | mywittyname wrote:
             | Right, America has trouble retrieving it's own equipment
             | when it is downed near (not in) adversarial territory.
             | That's with the advantage of knowing exactly when and where
             | the equipment went down and with the benefit of advanced
             | planning for a potential recovery.
             | 
             | There's no way they are suddenly so much more competent
             | when the downed equipment is "alien." If this stuff is so
             | easily tracked, then it's not so easily hidden from the
             | public.
             | 
             | And if this stuff went down in a smaller country, you can
             | bet there are plenty of people out there ready and willing
             | to pay for it just because. We have difficulty enough
             | charging wealthy people with real crimes, much less putting
             | them away for buying alien technology.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | markus_zhang wrote:
             | Maybe Afghanistan? OK this is sci fi materials...
        
         | MSFT_Edging wrote:
         | There's sightings all over, other countries are similarly
         | secretive/in the dark.
        
       | fintechie wrote:
       | I guess if they can convince the populace that men can get
       | pregnant they'll have no issue bringing some little green men to
       | the show. Global IQ getting lower at an alarming pace.
        
         | nessbot wrote:
         | Since IQ is designed to be a normal distribution, isn't the
         | average IQ the same (100) year after year?
        
           | fintechie wrote:
           | We've probably peaked in the western side of the world...
           | 
           | https://phys.org/news/2023-03-online-iq-scores-century.html
        
       | thekevan wrote:
       | Am I missing something or is the only thing that makes this
       | different than so many other "insider" claims is that this guy
       | has a career history that implies he isn't just another crackpot
       | spewing theories?
       | 
       | It reads just like so many claims like we have heard in the past,
       | but this time people think the guy is more reliable.
       | 
       | It is pretty funny that the one of the people often quoted who
       | backs up Grusch's claims is Jonathan _Grey_.
       | (https://www.imdb.com/title/tt2241801/)
       | 
       | I'd love to think that alien contact is possible, but as I
       | attempt to learn more and more about physics, travel approaching
       | the speed of light, the mechanics that transformed us from a
       | basic life form to a life form with a consciousness, it just seem
       | incredibly unlikely sadly.
        
         | hermitcrab wrote:
         | Which is more likely?
         | 
         | a) An alien civilization has overcome the massive problems of
         | interstellar travel and is visiting us right now.
         | 
         | or
         | 
         | b) The people making these claims are wrong.
         | 
         | While a) isn't impossible, b) seems so much more likely.
         | 
         | Also if they have the technology to cross interstellar space,
         | surely they have the technology not to be detected by us?
        
           | postalrat wrote:
           | c) An alien civilization can trivial visit Earth and has been
           | for thousands of years.
           | 
           | You make a lot of assumptions how difficult it wouldv be to
           | visit and even why they would be here.
        
             | hermitcrab wrote:
             | I assume that interstellar travel is really difficult for
             | any civilization. That assumption is based on my knowledge
             | of physics (relativity in particular).
        
           | tomatotomato37 wrote:
           | Extend that too: a) An alien civilization has overcome the
           | massive problems of interstellar travel and is able to visit
           | in a manner that _doesn 't_ create a second sun in the sky
           | 
           | Seriously people underestimate the ludicrous energies
           | involved in near-c travel. Even with engines off at those
           | speeds the interstellar dust undergoing nuclear fusion off
           | your hull will give you away
        
             | paulddraper wrote:
             | But what if it's 0.5c travel?
             | 
             | That's a massive difference from 0.99c travel
        
         | Simon_O_Rourke wrote:
         | I'm no body language expert, but I did notice him shaking his
         | head when he says something to the (opposite) effect that "we
         | categorically have non human craft".
         | 
         | Games within games. Insiders playing credible dupes.
        
         | sibeliuss wrote:
         | > but as I attempt to learn more and more about physics, travel
         | approaching the speed of light, the mechanics that transformed
         | us from a basic life form to a life form with a consciousness,
         | it just seem incredibly unlikely sadly
         | 
         | As if humanity's knowledge circa 2023 is the end-all of things!
        
         | oldstrangers wrote:
         | "the mechanics that transformed us from a basic life form to a
         | life form with a consciousness"
         | 
         | If those mechanics are known I'd love to hear them.
        
         | throwanem wrote:
         | > this guy has a career history that implies he isn't just
         | another crackpot spewing theories
         | 
         | I love the optimism in assuming that being a crackpot and
         | having a career in intelligence are incompatible!
        
           | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote:
           | He could have been driven to crackpottery also.
           | 
           | Consider this hypothetical: A person in intelligence knows
           | something you would rather didn't get out, but you suspect
           | there's a chance they will leak it. Maybe they have a
           | personality that leads you to believe they can't in good
           | conscience keep that secret, or maybe you're just callous and
           | paranoid, doesn't really make a difference.
           | 
           | One thing you could do is convince them of something
           | completely ridiculous that no one will take seriously. Even
           | easier if there is a large existing community of nutters that
           | already believe that (possibly you manufactured that too,
           | just for such an occasion). Put on some little shows, make
           | sure they see some documents they "weren't supposed to", and
           | when they've bought into it enough have someone all but
           | confirm it to them in person.
           | 
           | Then, if they're in a leaking mood, they'll discredit
           | themselves for you.
        
             | johnea wrote:
             | I always thought this was the point of alex jones...
             | 
             | Some real conspiracies are revealed, but they're mixed in
             | with so much super psycho that everything gets
             | discredited...
        
               | asfarley wrote:
               | It's called a limited hangout
        
             | Georgelemental wrote:
             | I'm pretty sure there are documented, widely-recognized
             | case of this happening. Can't remember the details, but I
             | think it was an amateur radio operator that found a secret
             | broadcasting station, and was thrown off the trail when
             | said station decided to broadcast fake stuff about aliens.
             | And another case where the government needed to test
             | animals for radiation following a nuclear test, so secretly
             | stole them from farms in a way that suggested UFO
             | abduction?
             | 
             | I can't remember where I read/heard this, but sure it is on
             | the internet somewhere.
        
           | ttpphd wrote:
           | I cackled.
        
         | erdos4d wrote:
         | There is the fact that Grusch gave sworn testimony to congress
         | on it, he's going to prison for perjury if he's lying. Doesn't
         | prove it, but it's more than just saying it in an interview.
        
           | clint wrote:
           | He also could just be mentally ill and doesn't believe he's
           | lying. It doesn't mean what he's saying is true.
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | People lie to Congress all the time without any consequences.
           | That depends more on the political necessity of having a
           | scapegoat/figure to tar and feather than the actual law.
        
             | mostlysimilar wrote:
             | > People lie to Congress all the time without any
             | consequences.
             | 
             | Examples?
        
               | anon223345 wrote:
               | Mark McGwire
        
               | jjoonathan wrote:
               | "does the NSA collect any type of data at all on millions
               | or hundreds of millions of Americans?"         "No, sir."
               | "It does not?"         "Not wittingly. There are cases
               | where they could inadvertently perhaps collect, but not
               | wittingly."
               | 
               | So, do people lie to Congress all the time? Not
               | wittingly, but in the sense that this phrase means
               | "absolutely yes, all the damn time."
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | Citations:
               | 
               | https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-
               | way/2013/07/02/198118060...
               | 
               | https://youtu.be/QwiUVUJmGjs
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/jun/06
               | /ve...
        
               | amanaplanacanal wrote:
               | Does anybody _ever_ go to jail for lying to congress?
        
               | kadoban wrote:
               | https://www.propublica.org/article/five-trump-cabinet-
               | member...
               | 
               | There's many, many more.
        
               | smolder wrote:
               | Brett Kavanaugh when he said "boofing" meant farting.
        
               | [deleted]
        
       | seanw444 wrote:
       | Darn. Guess I need to be distracted from Biden's corruption now.
       | Darn you, diversion tactics!
        
         | kgwxd wrote:
         | Sounds like you were already distracted by someone else's
         | diversion.
        
       | jacknews wrote:
       | Sounds like Grusch is upstanding, but I suspect he's been trolled
       | by the rest of them.
       | 
       | You can just imagine; "hey Eagle, the UFO guy's coming to ask
       | about that UAP report, you know, the one where the IR tracker
       | locked-on to a speck of dust. Let's mention the (nudge, hehe)
       | black-ops alien testing site we saw when we went to file the
       | report"
        
         | gfodor wrote:
         | You don't troll someone to the point of letting them go testify
         | under oath to the IG.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | Epic troll
        
         | yeeeloit wrote:
         | We, the general public, simply do not have enough information
         | at this point to judge this man's testimony, or the evidence
         | that he provided.
        
         | 2-718-281-828 wrote:
         | i like that option ;D
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | Forensic evidence? No.
       | 
       | 1080p 30fps video? No.
       | 
       | High resolution photos? No.
       | 
       | Any evidence to back up the extraordinary claims? No.
       | 
       | Sorry, but you are crazy if you believe this.
        
       | tiffanyh wrote:
       | If true, I'm curious to know how the government even came into
       | possession of such non-human aircraft.
       | 
       | E.g.
       | 
       | - did they shoot it down? (this seems to contradict the claims
       | that the aircraft can perform unrealistic maneuvers like massive
       | acceleration / extreme changes in vector)
       | 
       | - did some random farmer stumble upon the craft? (then why didn't
       | the farmer post photos of it online and/or speaking out about it)
       | 
       | - where was it found and where is it today?
       | 
       | Note: I'm not saying there isn't ET. But some first principle
       | questions seems like they need to be answered before people jump
       | to conclusions.
        
         | generalizations wrote:
         | Or it crashed of its own accord, but instead of a farmer
         | finding it, they'd been tracking it carefully and got there
         | first.
        
           | 100pctremote wrote:
           | Like an enemy weather balloon
        
       | vlod wrote:
       | Here's an interesting video clip of Lex interviewing Pilot Ryan
       | Grave [0], ~10 months ago (~27 mins. Note: not full interview).
       | 
       | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hT6av8ZFCks&t=184s
        
       | beefman wrote:
       | Aliens have never crashed here. Aliens have never even visited
       | our solar system.
       | 
       | The truth is more interesting: the galaxy is emptier than it
       | should be.
        
         | detrites wrote:
         | Maybe it's emptier than it should be because that's how the
         | universe is always made to appear to emergent civilisations at
         | the dangerous and volatile point of evolution we presently find
         | ourselves at?
        
         | merpnderp wrote:
         | If you look at all the crazy coincidences that were required
         | for life to develop on Earth, it starts to make sense that
         | we're alone. Single star in the system, need a big Jupiter to
         | block space rocks, our target is a rocky planet close to star,
         | but needs to be hit by an abnormally large moon right as the
         | lithosphere is cooling, ripping out 1/3rd of it so that the
         | planet can have giant continents barely covered with water part
         | of the time, then submerged the rest of the time to the cadence
         | of this moon, oh and has to be the right star type, and etc etc
         | etc.
         | 
         | If it takes something like all that for life to spontaneously
         | erupt, we're likely alone.
        
         | misterprime wrote:
         | Beefman, could you tell us more about how you know this?
        
           | soVeryTired wrote:
           | The Drake equation? We can see the stars, we can see the
           | planets (and there are _lots_ of them). We can infer the
           | number of earth-like planets. So where 's all the intelligent
           | life?
        
             | orwin wrote:
             | Does the drake equation takes into account the timeline
             | earth-like planet have to be inhabitable to carbon-based
             | lifeforms?
        
         | bostonwalker wrote:
         | I wouldn't go so far as to claim that we have hard evidence of
         | aliens crashing here or visiting our solar system, but you're
         | going completely the other way and making an extraordinary
         | claim without evidence. Absence of evidence is not evidence of
         | absence.
        
         | FredPret wrote:
         | I read somewhere that all of our radio signature would fade
         | away to the point that it's indistinguishable from background
         | noise within five lightyears.
         | 
         | Plus, we've been around for ages and only briefly let out a
         | bunch of radio waves. I image we might not even generate that
         | many anymore.
         | 
         | By that logic, you could easily image that the universe is
         | teeming with intelligent life that happens to not have sent a
         | powerful radio signal out here, or whose tech development
         | timeline never included wide public radio signal broadcasting.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | thedangler wrote:
       | The fact of the matter is the implications if this is real. Which
       | it probably is to a point. Free energy devices and instant travel
       | would decimate the economy that keeps the elite in power.
       | 
       | "We already have the means to travel among the stars, but these
       | technologies are locked up in black projects and it would take an
       | act of God to ever get them out to benefit humanity." -- Ben Rich
       | CEO Lockheed Skunk Works
        
         | mywittyname wrote:
         | I would think the "wealthy elites" would be dying to get their
         | hands on the tech so they can turn it into a product that
         | generates even more wealth.
         | 
         | Market forces are stronger than government forces.
        
         | devwastaken wrote:
         | Free energy is not real, you've been watching too much
         | conspiracy material designed by said elites.
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | well, gibbs free energy is real
        
         | zamadatix wrote:
         | Why would it decimate the economy and oust those in power when
         | every other new advancement seems to grow the economy and
         | concentrate wealth on those already able to invest in it?
        
           | d1str0 wrote:
           | Exactly. You don't think the US or whatever nation state
           | would absolutely use these technologies to try and conquer
           | the rest of the world or acquire power/money?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | erulabs wrote:
         | The "elite" who brings the world infinite power will be the
         | most famous and remembered and respected human who ever lived,
         | and will live immortal in the history books.
         | 
         | Call me naive but I don't think the desire to keep the status
         | quo is greater than the desire to be the literal savior.
        
           | Gud wrote:
           | The "elite" in many cases aren't part of the ruling class due
           | to some intrinsic greatness, but because they were usually
           | born into it.
        
         | erdos4d wrote:
         | Assuming this is legit, what makes you believe they understand
         | anything about this tech? They might literally have been
         | scratching their heads all this time with this stuff. We might
         | simply not understand the physics by which it operates and have
         | no ability to do anything with it except dust it off
         | periodically and let another team of eggheads strike out. I
         | can't think of any major technology we currently have which
         | doesn't have a totally legit origin story and which the
         | prevailing scientific and engineering ability of the time
         | didn't enable, so I doubt any real advances have ever come out
         | of this.
        
           | postalrat wrote:
           | We been studying biology for many years and can't figure it
           | out. Cells are basically alien technology to us.
        
         | minutillo wrote:
         | The "source" of that Ben Rich quote is a MUFON article by Tom
         | Keller, more amazing quotes:
         | https://www.columbiatribune.com/story/opinion/editorials/201...
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | > Free energy devices and instant travel would decimate the
         | economy that keeps the elite in power.
         | 
         | If free energy had that effect, electricity prices wouldn't
         | sometimes go negative.
         | 
         | Also, why would instant travel (at what resource cost?) be any
         | worse than e.g. telepresence robots for humans and just-in-time
         | delivery for goods?
        
           | chasd00 wrote:
           | Well, you could "instant travel" an IED into your political
           | adversary's bedroom. That would be pretty bad.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Can do that with a tube filled with any of a wide range of
             | fuels and oxidisers, too.
        
           | dogman144 wrote:
           | Because to phrase it in a certain way - the final 10 yards of
           | power are exerted in meatspace.
           | 
           | You can video chat with dissidents around the world? Cool,
           | the state can still kick in your door or shut off your ISP or
           | shut off your cross-border financing at the ISP or..
           | 
           | You can travel to join those dissidents and come back as you
           | please, wherever whenever? Where can the State able to
           | enforce final power there? It's much more limited.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | > Cool, the state can still kick in your door or shut off
             | your ISP or shut off your cross-border financing at the ISP
             | or..
             | 
             | Or use a drone, hence why that's clearly not sufficient
             | technology to undermine the Illuminati or whoever it is
             | that's supposed to benefit from suppressing space magic
             | rapid transit.
        
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