[HN Gopher] Jared Diamond: A Reply to His Critics
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       Jared Diamond: A Reply to His Critics
        
       Author : rufus_foreman
       Score  : 42 points
       Date   : 2023-06-09 20:25 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blog.daviskedrosky.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blog.daviskedrosky.com)
        
       | the__alchemist wrote:
       | I had a hard time interpreting the various criticisms from
       | academics of Diamond in a way other than: _This goes against our
       | field 's dogma, so I will fight it_. Ie, I'm suspicious that,
       | given the conclusions he came to, they would argue against it
       | regardless of methods or the strength of his case. Eg, _He
       | underplays the role of culture? He 's wrong._
        
       | kgwxd wrote:
       | So like... Diamond is Jared's last name? I can't be the only one
       | just finding this out today.
       | 
       | Edit: Oh, this person has nothing to do with a jewelry store that
       | I mistakenly thought was called Jared Diamonds. I'd like to leave
       | this here in shame.
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | > Diamond also attempts to explain why European, rather than
       | Chinese, conquerors were the ones who did all the colonizing.
       | This is a simple balkanization theory--Europe divided into many
       | areas conducive to states, China formed a great homogenous core--
       | that does not need lengthy restatement. Europe has a highly
       | indented coastline with multiple large peninsulas, all of which
       | developed independent languages, ethnic groups, and governments,
       | plus two large islands.
       | 
       | Roberts' "The Triumph of the West"
       | 
       | https://www.amazon.com/Phoenix-Triumph-West-Press/dp/1842124...
       | 
       | has a quite different take on this. He says the difference comes
       | from a different cultural perspective. It's been a long time
       | since I read it, but I'll try to summarize it with the Chinese
       | perspective was that phenomena could not be modeled. Everything
       | was a unique creation. I.e. the behavior of a model could not be
       | extrapolated to explain other behaviors, while the European
       | perspective was always trying to explain things with models.
       | 
       | Another cultural difference was the European notion (intentional
       | or otherwise) of free markets. This is expounded upon by another
       | book, "The Victory of Reason" by Stark
       | 
       | https://www.amazon.com/Victory-Reason-Christianity-Freedom-C...
       | 
       | My own observation of history is that the key factor is
       | recognition of and protection of the rights of life, liberty and
       | the pursuit of happiness produce massive technological progress
       | and the uplifting of society.
       | 
       | Societies that recognize these rights thrive, those that do not,
       | fall by the wayside as they are unable to compete.
        
         | soperj wrote:
         | > > Diamond also attempts to explain why European, rather than
         | Chinese, conquerors were the ones who did all the colonizing.
         | This is a simple balkanization theory--Europe divided into many
         | areas conducive to states, China formed a great homogenous core
         | --that does not need lengthy restatement. Europe has a highly
         | indented coastline with multiple large peninsulas, all of which
         | developed independent languages, ethnic groups, and
         | governments, plus two large islands.
         | 
         | It's like he knows nothing about China. There's lots of
         | different dialects, Mandarin wasn't the main language used by
         | Government until around the time that the Americas were being
         | colonized by the Europeans.
        
           | civilized wrote:
           | Nothing in the quoted passage suggests that China does not
           | have different dialects. But it doesn't take a history
           | professor to recognize that China has been under centralized
           | governments of much more comprehensive reach in space and
           | time than Europe ever has, and it is with these periods of
           | unity and stability that Chinese culture most identifies
           | itself.
        
             | contingencies wrote:
             | This is true _now_. But before, most people would have been
             | loyal firstly to their area, speak a (quite possibly non-
             | Chinese or even Sino-Tibetan) language or dialect only
             | understood in their area, and at would at most have heard
             | the names of some far-off places. It was not that different
             | to Europe. And that 's the relatively Chinese areas. Don't
             | forget also that up until the 20th century large areas of
             | present-day China were demonstrably _not Chinese_ , in that
             | nobody could speak or read Chinese in the area and they had
             | adopted virtually zero Chinese language or culture.
        
             | soperj wrote:
             | > China formed a great homogenous core--that does not need
             | lengthy restatement. Europe has a highly indented coastline
             | with multiple large peninsulas, all of which developed
             | independent languages, ethnic groups, and governments, plus
             | two large islands.
             | 
             | This right here more than suggests that China speaks one
             | language, also suggests that it's never split apart, which
             | it has multiple multiple times.
        
           | swombat wrote:
           | I read Diamond a long time ago but what he was contrasting
           | was that the Chinese Empire was centralised and so when they
           | decided not to expand, that applied to the whole empire,
           | while the Europeans were fragmented so even if Germany and
           | France and England didn't want to send any ships, Portugal
           | and Spain could be convinced to take a risk.
        
             | peterfirefly wrote:
             | Columbus' 3 small ships were also vastly cheaper than Zheng
             | He's large fleet that had some really large ships in it
             | (even if we dismiss the reported sizes as utterly
             | unrealistic).
             | 
             | There's also the fact that the European ships at the time
             | were more robust than the Chinese ships -- because robust
             | ships had been really useful for sailing along the Atlantic
             | coast for trade/fishing.
        
             | soperj wrote:
             | I also wonder which two islands are considered large out of
             | GB, Ireland, Iceland, Corsica, Sicily... I feel like
             | there's a couple of big islands around China too... Taiwan,
             | some in Japan, Borneo, Philippines for instance. Indigenous
             | Taiwanese settled the whole south Pacific.
        
         | swombat wrote:
         | The Roberts explanation is subsumed by the Diamond explanation.
         | 
         | More fragmentation meant more competition. This helped ensure
         | that states which, like China, might have sub-optimal belief
         | systems (like "it's not worth trying to explain things") were
         | outcompeted and conquered by states that did. Similarly, states
         | with markets that were more free outcompeted those that were
         | less free, and so the innovation spread. The Dutch invented the
         | modern stock market and the public company, and ruled the world
         | for 100 years with that, but soon enough that spread to the UK,
         | and then rest of the western world, and gave them all a huge
         | competitive advantage compared to countries that didn't have
         | that.
         | 
         | And all that comes from the fragmentation. No need to postulate
         | cultural differences - the cultural advantages come out of the
         | fragmentation.
        
           | WalterBright wrote:
           | N & S America civilizations were quite fragmented, as well as
           | African ones.
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | This is too abstract to be an explanation of anything. Chinese
         | philosophers and logicians, before the arrival of formal logic
         | in China (or the world probably) made _constant_ references to
         | the  "sage kings" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Sovereig
         | ns_and_Five_Empe...) to justify every argument, because 2500
         | years ago, that's how argumentation worked. Almost _purely_ by
         | model.
        
         | TeMPOraL wrote:
         | > _He says the difference comes from a different cultural
         | perspective. It 's been a long time since I read it, but I'll
         | try to summarize it with the Chinese perspective was that
         | phenomena could not be modeled. Everything was a unique
         | creation. I.e. the behavior of a model could not be
         | extrapolated to explain other behaviors, while the European
         | perspective was always trying to explain things with models._
         | 
         | This makes me believe Diamond over Roberts even more. I don't
         | think cultural philosophical beliefs matter _that much_. They
         | can be arbitrary and stick around for long if they don 't make
         | much of a difference in daily lives - but anything that _does_
         | make a difference will get more accurate with time rather
         | quickly. This is to say, humans aren 't dumb - and because of
         | that, economics is stronger than faith or custom.
         | 
         | > _My own observation of history is that the key factor is
         | recognition of and protection of the rights of life, liberty
         | and the pursuit of happiness produce massive technological
         | progress and the uplifting of society._
         | 
         | I'm a much less experienced observer, but my current view is
         | that... it's mostly the other way around. Life, liberty and
         | pursuit of happiness is the kind of stuff that mostly flows
         | from people's emotions and social intuitions. People try to
         | pursue those naturally. How far they go is determined by their
         | economic situation - Ancient Rome afforded for different levels
         | of "life, liberty and pursuit of happiness" than early agrarian
         | settlements did; different still than what was possible in
         | Feudal Europe, and different from what was possible after the
         | Industrial Revolution.
         | 
         | Technological progress reshapes the economical landscape,
         | allowing people to achieve more "life, liberty and pursuit of
         | happiness". Specialization of labor, agriculture optimization,
         | the printing press, industrialization, engines, washing
         | machines, electricity - all created conditions that allowed
         | people having _more_ rights, liberty and happiness than they
         | could 've before.
        
       | j-bos wrote:
       | I guess this is the historians' orangutan.
        
       | thatoneguy wrote:
       | All those words and not a peep about his board game Darwinopoly.
       | I played it in college with some members of my anthrpology class
       | as part of a class exercise and let me tell you, asking random
       | classmates if they want to have sex and then rolling for
       | paternity is a thrill that's hard to replicate 20 years later.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | aslfjiasf wrote:
         | This review suggests that the game is now called "Tribes":
         | https://amzn.com/dp/1556343558, but the author is not Jared
         | Diamond. Is this the game you remember?
        
       | worik wrote:
       | > But Guns, Germs, and Steel--which is explicitly anti-racist
       | 
       | Reminds me of: "I'm not racist, but...."
        
       | 1letterunixname wrote:
       | It's frustrating when people take scientific inquiry and
       | dispassionate plausible explanation of historical circumstances
       | as some sort of identity politics cudgel to bash a scientist over
       | the head with erroneous value judgements like they're canceling a
       | Neonazi.
       | 
       | GGS was a good book. Independently, 2 MDs at my gym also came up
       | and mentioned they thought it was a fascinating work. And my dept
       | chair also thought it was a insightful work. In fairness, the
       | last 1/3 of it kind of falls flat. Collapse isn't all that
       | engaging.
        
       | George83728 wrote:
       | I never bought into the claims that Jared Diamond is some sort of
       | racist; he book is plainly anti-racist and anybody who says
       | otherwise probably never read it. Honestly.
       | 
       | That said, some of Jared Diamond's arguments are really lame..
       | just poorly thought out. For instance, is claim that the use of
       | wheels for transportation is in some way gated by the
       | availability of pack animals. This guy has never used a wheel
       | barrow I guess... of course he has and mentions them much later
       | in his book, but dismissing the point as a "puzzling non-
       | invention". This realization doesn't seem to have him question
       | his earlier assertion that wheels for transportation would only
       | be invented where pack animals are available.
       | 
       | I think it's got nothing to do with pack animals, and the truth
       | is that wheelbarrows, and wheels for transportation generally,
       | are one of those inventions that are obvious only in retrospect.
       | Even after you've invented wheels on toys, it isn't necessarily
       | immediately obvious that wheels could have practical applications
       | as well. A very small handful of people in the history of
       | humanity had this idea and most people never did (and just copied
       | it from other people). It's not because of geography or ecology,
       | just shear dumb luck.
        
         | seanalltogether wrote:
         | > For instance, is claim that the use of wheels for
         | transportation is in some way gated by the availability of pack
         | animals. This guy has never used a wheel barrow I guess...
         | 
         | I pulled up a PDF of GG&S to search through and I can't see
         | this argument in the book. What I can see is him making the
         | observation that the wheels invented in mesoamerica didn't make
         | their way north or south to be paired up with pack animals, and
         | that this showed how hard it was for technological discoveries
         | to travel vertically through climates.
        
         | zen_of_prog wrote:
         | His arguments definitely don't have the same academic rigor as
         | someone in their own field, but I felt like they were pretty
         | defensible.
         | 
         | Looks like the oldest wheelbarrow that we know if is from ~200
         | BCE, the oldest chariots from ~2000 BCE.
         | 
         | You're right that it often comes down to dumb luck, but I think
         | those lucky moments are usually facilitated by other factors.
         | That's why there are often simultaneous and independent
         | inventions (multiple discovery). Ox-drawn plows are also at
         | least 4000 years old, and I feel like seeing an animal pulling
         | a plow all day begs for wheels so you can pull anything
         | anywhere, much more than the combination of a wheel and a stick
         | to apply mechanical advantage.
        
       | wahnfrieden wrote:
       | Graeber/Wengrow's Dawn of Everything is a good critical
       | examination
        
       | jrh3 wrote:
       | Wow. I read that book in college. No idea a backlash like that
       | developed... That is crazy if that is how skewed university's
       | have become. Guns, Germs, and Steel is an incredible academic
       | work. Dang.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | angst_ridden wrote:
         | I think Diamond's greatest fault as a researcher is his
         | reliance on reductivism. Anyone can cherry-pick history to
         | support "5 simple rules that explain X" if the rules are even
         | reasonably sane.
         | 
         | It may be satisfying and entertaining to read, but human
         | history is much more complex than just a few rules.
        
           | jrh3 wrote:
           | I took his rules as high level observations of the
           | environment's impact on human evolution. But human experience
           | is much more nuanced like you say. I do remember thinking
           | some of the observations could come across as very blunt.
           | 
           | There is a video on the internet of him trying to shoot an
           | old style gun... pretty funny... needless to say it's not his
           | greatest skill.
           | 
           | Jared Diamond Funny video: https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxm-
           | OUN3XNSdXmZ_fkXs1zZUQziwjaLZN...
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | civilized wrote:
           | I bet I can take anyone's favorite history books and paint
           | them as reductivist.
           | 
           | The charge of reductivism can be made against anyone who
           | attempts to explain big patterns in comprehensible ways.
           | 
           | In fact, isn't it reductionist to claim that a historian's
           | entire view on a topic can be reduced to theories they
           | developed in a single book?
        
             | FrustratedMonky wrote:
             | Exactly. Have you seen how many WWII or Civil War books
             | there are. Do I need to read them all before I am allowed a
             | valid opinion? All history gets condensed and interpreted.
             | This thread isn't really do a very good job arguing that
             | Jared is wrong, it seems much more like they disagree with
             | some particular point politically, thus he must be wrong.
        
         | ren_engineer wrote:
         | the irony is that I've seen Guns, Germs, and Steel get trashed
         | by people on the right for downplaying the idea that Western
         | culture was/is special and the key to success/wealth/innovation
         | and attacking Diamond for saying it was only due to geography
         | and other random factors rather than Western culture itself
         | 
         | Universities and academics have shifted so far left that they
         | are increasingly eating their own, the entire point of the book
         | was to try and say that race and Western culture wasn't a
         | factor. It's a pretty obvious argument against most right wing
         | talking points, but apparently that isn't enough anymore in
         | academia
        
           | shrimp_emoji wrote:
           | Yep. It said Europe's balkanized geography (islands,
           | peninsulas) begat literal balkanization, which begat
           | competition, which begat innovation, which begat exploration
           | and technology which dominated the world despite all other
           | European failings.
           | 
           | Meanwhile, Asia's geography lent itself to unifying
           | monopolization, which begat immense totalitarian states which
           | were more complacent.
           | 
           | Both geographies fostered dense cities with draft animals,
           | creating plagues and immunity to those plagues, which let the
           | Old World dominate the New in numbers, technology, and
           | immunology (nevermind that they had a few thousand years'
           | head start in technology since they didn't have to switch
           | continents).
        
         | vanderZwan wrote:
         | Are you active in any of tho relevant fields? If not, then why
         | do you think you are better qualified to judge the academic
         | quality of his work than actual academics with the proper
         | background?
        
       | angst_ridden wrote:
       | I always found McNeill's "Plagues and Peoples" a much better read
       | than Diamond's book on semi-overlapping topics.
        
       | FrustratedMonky wrote:
       | Knew there were some detractors, didn't know it was so wide
       | spread and vindictive. Glad this sets out more current arguments.
        
       | yyyk wrote:
       | The author needs to look at this in a wider context. _GG &S_ may
       | be defensible, but _Collapse_ is pretty horrible, trying to force
       | environmental explanations at the cost of downplaying European
       | slave raids (Easter Islands) or utter absurdity (Diamond 's
       | suggestion that Viking Greenlanders preferred to starve than to
       | eat fish). Diamond had a thesis and forced the facts to fit in
       | the expense of integrity. After _Collapse_ , it made much more
       | sense to look askance at _GG &S_.
        
         | api wrote:
         | I always get a little suspicious of big nonfiction books
         | arguing some big thesis that arrive with fawning reviews from
         | all the right places and whose authors immediately get crowned
         | as important public intellectuals.
         | 
         | These books often seem to have a life cycle: sensation, canon,
         | "but wait a minute," and then lastly forgotten.
         | 
         | I figure the initial splash might mean the author just knows
         | the right people in New York. They seem like the nonfiction
         | equivalent of what someone I know once called a "tobadny" which
         | stands for "trendy overhyped book about dysfunctional New
         | Yorkers." These are the occasional literary fiction sensations
         | about... well... dysfunctional New Yorkers that arrive with
         | gushing reviews in The New Yorker.
         | 
         | A merely very talented author outside the New York scene
         | usually has to wait until they are dead to be noticed.
         | 
         | In our scene the equivalent would be an overhyped overfunded
         | startup run by someone who knows the right people in the Valley
         | that is the hot thing for five minutes. Meanwhile someone in
         | Nebraska who invented a working Alcubierre Drive will never get
         | funding.
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | This seems more like sour grapes. Is "A Brief History of
           | Time" in this category? Who's to say. There are a ton of non-
           | fiction books that are written for popular audiences that do
           | not make it big. If they are all equal, than all the ones
           | that don't make it should also end up being wrong. That
           | doesn't seem right, why is it only the ones that do become
           | popular must turn out wrong.
           | 
           | This seems more like moralizing on the public being idiots,
           | and so if a book is popular it must be wrong.
        
         | FrustratedMonky wrote:
         | It is hard to tell because in the current political climate,
         | there is such animosity against anybody mentioning human
         | impacts on the 'environment', that someone could just state
         | something obvious, like maybe we should stop polluting so much,
         | and be called a 'woke liberal elitist'.
         | 
         | So is his book Collapse forcing an environmental theory, or are
         | you so against any theory of 'human caused environmental
         | problems', that you can't see past your own bias. It is hard to
         | tell online. I mean, his book was totally about environmental
         | problems, so to criticize it for outlining environmental
         | problems is bit much.
         | 
         | It has been awhile but think the Vikings had more variables,
         | like weather that prevented fishing. And, don't think slave
         | raids negates there were other variables, why can't slave trade
         | and environment both have contributed. So he didn't highlight
         | what you wanted to hear about enough, isn't an argument that
         | slave raids contributed more.
        
         | czzr wrote:
         | I agree his later books were not as good, but this argument is
         | ridiculous - evaluate GGS on its own terms, those don't change
         | if the author later writes poorer books.
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | > Diamond absolves Europeans of blame for the crimes of
       | imperialism through his geographical determinism, since the
       | conquerors couldn't help but seize the helpless Americas.
       | 
       | Running through the article is the notion that somehow Europeans
       | were uniquely interested in brutal empire building. I can only
       | infer that such notions stem from never having read history books
       | about other cultures.
       | 
       | For example, "Empire of the Summer Moon", by Gwynne
       | 
       | https://www.amazon.com/Empire-Summer-Moon-Comanches-Powerful...
        
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       (page generated 2023-06-09 23:00 UTC)