[HN Gopher] RoboCat - A Self-Improving Robotic Agent
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       RoboCat - A Self-Improving Robotic Agent
        
       Author : l1n
       Score  : 105 points
       Date   : 2023-06-20 16:07 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.deepmind.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.deepmind.com)
        
       | rhogar wrote:
       | Performance on so few examples is impressive, paired with
       | generalizability across broader tasks, and multiple embodiments +
       | environments (and from just visual goals rather than complex
       | verbal instructions) is quite a jump from where we saw Gato at
       | last spring. If representative, seems a strong step toward
       | meaningful autonomous skill acquisition/transference in realistic
       | settings.
        
       | aliljet wrote:
       | I really really really want to play with robotics at home, but
       | I've discovered it's super expensive to get things like robotic
       | arms at home. Are there robotics platforms that are DIY ready? I
       | really just want to teach a robotic arm to make my coffee in the
       | morning. And I'll apply my life's effort to achieving this only
       | if the cost of the robotics platform is stupid low.
       | 
       | Yes. I know that's absurd. :)
        
         | jjk166 wrote:
         | Elephant robotics has arms starting around ~$500. I've had good
         | success with their myCobot280-pi. The reach and payload are a
         | bit limited but it's fine for playing around.
        
         | tomp wrote:
         | It's just normally expensive, not really really expensive. You
         | can get a robot arm for as cheap as 4k (comparable to 2
         | MacBooks or 1 GPU)
        
           | juliangoldsmith wrote:
           | "...as cheap as..." doesn't really fit with an item that
           | costs almost the 2020 median salary in the US.
        
             | tomp wrote:
             | What about median _programmer_ salary?
        
               | flangola7 wrote:
               | Who said anything about programmers?
        
               | tomp wrote:
               | How are you gonna use a robot hand if you don't know how
               | to program?
        
         | nomel wrote:
         | The cheapest is to strap things onto a 3 axis 3d printer. They
         | can be had for < $200, which is much less than you could ever
         | build one for.
         | 
         | Beyond that, it's DIY, with a set of strong servos and a few
         | budget microcontrollers/motor controllers, from Alibaba,
         | and...a 3d printer to manufacture the rest, for something like
         | an arm.
        
       | JimtheCoder wrote:
       | Was I the only one expecting a robotic cat? I am a little
       | disappointed...
        
         | ivankirigin wrote:
         | "We demonstrate shredded furniture RoboCat had never previously
         | seen"
        
       | itissid wrote:
       | What more would it take for google to succeed at something like:
       | 
       | "robot can plant, water and harvest food that only poor laborers
       | from other countries did, replacing whole job categories in agro
       | business along with other things like making blue collar
       | immigration moot"?
        
         | tomp wrote:
         | Robots becoming 100x cheaper, or humans becoming 100x more
         | expensive.
        
           | red75prime wrote:
           | > Robots becoming 100x cheaper
           | 
           | That is DeepMind succeeding on building robots that can build
           | robots.
        
           | loandbehold wrote:
           | Unitree sells robot similar to Boston Dynamics Spot for
           | $2700. If you add robotic gripper to it can do things like
           | picking strawberries cheaper than minimum wage worker. Say if
           | robot costs $3500 and minimum wage is $10/hour then robot
           | needs to only complete 43 8-hour shifts over it's lifetime to
           | displace human worker.
        
             | breakds wrote:
             | That is the basic version. The EDU version which opens more
             | API/interface to the user cost much more. Also training a
             | whole-body (quadruped + robotic arm with gripper) to do
             | something like picking strawberries remains challenging
             | today.
        
               | loandbehold wrote:
               | It's challenging but looks like Boston dynamics is able
               | to do that kind of tasks. For instance they have a build
               | in feature for spot with robotic hand that can open a
               | door by turning door handle. And apparently it works with
               | most doors.
        
       | startupsfail wrote:
       | * After observing 1000 human-controlled demonstrations, collected
       | in just hours, RoboCat could direct this new arm dexterously
       | enough to pick up gears successfully 86% of the time. *
       | 
       | Interesting, but this doesn't sound like something that can be
       | useful. For practical industry applications, you need high
       | success rates. Assume you are running operations where
       | dropping/flips/damages to the items that a robot handles are
       | costly and not acceptable.
       | 
       | Its only for a hobbyist pick-and-place, dropping a Lego block or
       | wasting some components is not a big deal.
        
         | jjk166 wrote:
         | > Assume you are running operations where
         | dropping/flips/damages to the items that a robot handles are
         | costly and not acceptable.
         | 
         | Such operations are rare and in those cases you're probably not
         | picking them out of a bin to start with. For most items
         | dropping or flipping the object a few times is perfectly
         | acceptable, indeed that's probably how they got into their
         | current position to start with.
        
         | wilg wrote:
         | This is research! The point is this is possible now, and can be
         | improved upon.
        
         | traverseda wrote:
         | > Assume you are running operations where
         | dropping/flips/damages to the items that a robot handles are
         | costly and not acceptable.
         | 
         | Alright, let's assume we're not too though, just for
         | completeness sake.
         | 
         | Plenty of industrial applications where an 86% success rate is
         | fine, especially if you can try more than once.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | Do you have any obvious examples in mind?
        
             | digdugdirk wrote:
             | Plenty of manufacturing environments that involve heavy
             | items. Even with a lift assist, they'll still need 2-3
             | people to help lift or guide something to the next cell or
             | next place in the line. Lift assists are still expensive,
             | and if that could be replaced with a robotic arm and cut
             | out 2-3 employees at the same time? There's going to be a
             | big market for this. Certainly big enough to keep a company
             | afloat while they continue to refine the product and reduce
             | costs.
        
               | nomel wrote:
               | I would assume bridge cranes handles the majority of the
               | cases to replace human effort. It seems that
               | "successfully 86% of the time" and "heavy items" usually
               | means "destruction". Some secondary system to verify grip
               | would be required.
        
             | jjk166 wrote:
             | Fasteners (screws, rivets, etc)
             | 
             | Metal and plastic Stock
             | 
             | Castings and billets
             | 
             | Clothing
             | 
             | Bulk sacks of material
             | 
             | Lumber
             | 
             | Items to be recycled
             | 
             | Most consumer goods after packaging
             | 
             | Hand tools (wrenches, pliers, etc)
             | 
             | Most food items
        
       | RajT88 wrote:
       | Next up: Teach it to be a fruit ninja.
        
       | robocat wrote:
       | I too am a self-improving agent - but I wouldn't call myself a
       | robot.
        
         | kendalf89 wrote:
         | Your user name says otherwise.
        
       | neilv wrote:
       | How much is a real cat is wired _a priori_ vs. learned?
       | 
       | And is some of the learning from observing other cats?
        
       | itissid wrote:
       | I had a more general noobish version of it in my head how all
       | this plays out.
       | 
       | Now that AI based task planning can learn from so few examples
       | and can do extremely general tasks like say the instruction:
       | 
       | "Summarize my gmail twice a day at 7:00 AM and 5:00 PM filtering
       | spam and stuff I don't read" would spawn an agent with a plan to
       | do exactly what you want. And if it could not you could show it
       | once like "recording" a super smart "macro" only this time with
       | AI agents instead of Selenium.
       | 
       | This would be an "inversion" of API way to do things. Pretty soon
       | people are writing tons of these "bots" and multiple cases land
       | in the some(supreme?) court over what is a bot and what is
       | personal property.
        
         | itissid wrote:
         | I mean I am not blind, there are plenty of no code platforms
         | that work on B2B space. But nothing in the B2C for general
         | purpose domain that do this in a privacy safe manner, at least
         | not one that will shake up the tech companies.
        
           | imachine1980_ wrote:
           | this will probably be b2b where you are the product, like
           | social media
        
       | bheadmaster wrote:
       | Wow, I'm really excited about new autonomous mechanical beasts!
       | What could possibly go wrong?
        
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       (page generated 2023-06-20 23:00 UTC)