[HN Gopher] Full ignition for ESA's reusable rocket engine
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Full ignition for ESA's reusable rocket engine
        
       Author : ZacnyLos
       Score  : 125 points
       Date   : 2023-06-23 16:06 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.esa.int)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.esa.int)
        
       | Proven wrote:
       | [dead]
        
       | cgeier wrote:
       | Question for the space nerds: how impressive is this?
        
         | ericd wrote:
         | According to the wikipedia article (
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prometheus_(rocket_engine) ),
         | they're aiming for 3-5 reuses, which I believe is significantly
         | fewer than SpaceX's Falcon 9 engine, Merlin. But maybe they'll
         | get more in practice.
         | 
         | It's a methalox/methane-oxygen engine, like SpaceX's Raptor, as
         | opposed to RP-1 kerosene, like Merlin. One nice aspect of this
         | is that methalox doesn't deposit so much soot on the inside of
         | the engine, so reuse should be simpler (this is one of the
         | reasons for SpaceX's newer Raptor engines also using methalox).
         | 
         | It's got an open gas generator cycle, which means that it's
         | likely less efficient than SpaceX's full-flow staged combustion
         | Raptors, since it means it loses a few percent of its fuel to
         | just running the turbopumps and the exhaust spitting off the
         | side, rather than than heading down into the combustion
         | chamber.
         | 
         | It sounds like it's much cheaper to build vs. their last
         | generation of engine, but we'll see how it ends up in practice.
         | 
         | Getting something like this working is impressive, but who
         | knows if it will end up being competitive, SpaceX is still
         | iterating really quickly. Not an expert, but the design feels a
         | little dated already, in comparison in comparison to Raptor,
         | and Raptor is already flying.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | Diederich wrote:
           | > this is one of the reasons for SpaceX's newer Raptor
           | engines also using kerosene
           | 
           | Typo there :)
        
             | ericd wrote:
             | Oh good catch, thanks!
        
         | frederikvs wrote:
         | I'd say it's pretty impressive. Building and igniting a rocket
         | engine is hard. For more detail, I can recommend watching "Why
         | starting a rocket engine is so hard" by Tim Dodd [0].
         | 
         | It's not "never been done before" impressive, they're a few
         | years behind e.g. SpaceX's Raptor engine, which uses the same
         | propellants, and is also reusable. But still, a new rocket
         | engine is no small feat - the engine is probably the hardest
         | part of a rocket. This is quite literally rocket science.
         | 
         | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAUVCn_jw5I
        
           | chroma wrote:
           | They're more than a few years behind SpaceX. SpaceX reached a
           | similar milestone back in 2016, when they test fired a
           | subscale Raptor engine[1] that produced 1 meganewton (~100Tf)
           | of thrust.[2]
           | 
           | By 2019, they'd tested their full size Raptor at 1.5
           | meganewtons (172Tf) of thrust.[3] The current production
           | version of Raptor produces 2 meganewtons (225Tf)[4]. SpaceX
           | has successfully tested a newer version of Raptor that
           | produced 2.4MN (269Tf) for 45 seconds.[5]
           | 
           | 1. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/780275236922994688
           | 
           | 2. "With a thrust of 1MN (225klbf) at sea level, this was to
           | be the first methane full flow engine to ever reach a test
           | stand." https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2016/10/its-
           | propulsion-evolu...
           | 
           | 3. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1093424663269523456
           | 
           | 4. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1295498964205068289
           | 
           | 5. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1657249739925258240
        
         | breput wrote:
         | Positives:
         | 
         | * Uses liquid methane and oxygen for fuel, which is far easier
         | to work with than the current Vulcain hydrogen/oxygen fueled
         | engine and burns cleaner than kerosene/oxygen engines, which is
         | better for reusability.
         | 
         | * This is an engine that might work well on a small to medium
         | reusable launcher, which ESA no longer has access to after
         | their Vega rocket repeatedly failed and they lost access to
         | Russia's Soyuz rockets[0].
         | 
         | * ESA is at least trying to do reusability after dismissing the
         | idea for years.
         | 
         | Negatives:
         | 
         | * "100-tonne thrust class" is half the thrust of either
         | SpaceX's Raptor or Blue Origin's BE-4 engines, which will be
         | similarly reusable and using the same fuels.
         | 
         | * Additive layer manufacturing sounds cool but I'm not sure it
         | has any real benefits over conventional engine manufacturing
         | techniques. SpaceX is reportedly close to building one Raptor
         | engine _per day_ without 3D printing.
         | 
         | * They are undecided on the fuel ("A version using liquid
         | hydrogen-liquid oxygen is also being developed."). That is an
         | entirely different engine and ground support infrastructure,
         | but they are presumably doing it so it could be used directly
         | in the Ariane 6 rocket?
         | 
         | * Arianespace/ESA is at least a decade[1] behind SpaceX in
         | reusability and due to rocket failures and retirements, and the
         | delays with Ariane 6, won't have _any_ flying rockets until
         | 2024. So they are far behind and do not have a good track
         | record with speedy development.
         | 
         | [0] https://spacenews.com/europe-grappling-with-space-access-
         | cha...
         | 
         | [1] https://www.space.com/europe-no-reusable-rocket-until-2030s
        
           | frederikvs wrote:
           | The thrust of 100 tonne isn't really that important IMO. The
           | Raptor has far less thrust than the F-1 engine used on the
           | Apollo missions, but if you strap 33 Raptors to a rocket,
           | they can beat five F-1s.
        
             | panick21_ wrote:
             | What really matters at the end of the day for actual rocket
             | building is thrust per area of nozzle size. Or how much
             | thrust can you put under a rocket of some core size X.
             | 
             | Raptor is by far the best engine ever built according to
             | that measure.
             | 
             | Prometheus doesn't seem that impressive but we don't have
             | all the information on it as far as I can find.
        
               | TaylorAlexander wrote:
               | > What really matters at the end of the day for actual
               | rocket building is thrust per area of nozzle size.
               | 
               | What? I am a casual observer but I believe specific
               | impulse is most important - how much thrust do you get
               | per unit of fuel. The amount of fuel you have to carry
               | has a huge impact on how much. Of course things like ion
               | thrusters have high ISP but not enough thrust for launch
               | - but once you get enough thrust to launch a rocket, you
               | want a high ISP. High ISP means way less fuel required
               | which means even with less thrust you will be okay. So
               | thrust per nozzle area isn't strictly that important if
               | the engine is so inefficient you need to carry twice as
               | much fuel.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | If you have a high ISP engine that is low thrust, your
               | rocket will either not get of the ground or if it does
               | get off the ground it will suffer from a very high amount
               | of gravity loses. High ISP on the engine doesn't matter
               | when your rocket spends a long time just fighting
               | gravity.
               | 
               | High thrust to weight ratio is important for a rocket.
               | The higher your TWR the less gravity loses your rocket
               | suffers.
               | 
               | There is a reason most rockets main liftoff comes from
               | lowers ISP RP-1 engines or solids rocket. High ISP
               | hydrogen engines just result in losses.
               | 
               | SpaceX Raptor actually deliberately reduced its ISP to
               | increase its thrust.
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | There are quite a few important numbers here.
               | 
               | Weight/thrust is important; thrust/area is important; ISP
               | is important; thrust/dollar is important...
        
               | lamontcg wrote:
               | > thrust/dollar is important.
               | 
               | something more like that is probably the most important
               | variable.
               | 
               | all the rest of them impress space nerds, the ones ending
               | in per-dollar are the ones that impress accountants and
               | finance people.
        
               | dotnet00 wrote:
               | ISP isn't everything, even in space, as you don't have
               | infinite time to get places, transfer burns etc are more
               | efficient when closer to being instantaneous (in terms of
               | dV) and capture burns need to happen within a fixed
               | timeframe.
               | 
               | Also I think what they meant is that the engine's thrust
               | dictates the height above it that it can lift. So lots of
               | larger low thrust engines = short and stubby rocket,
               | which adds all sorts of limitations (construction,
               | transportation, aerodynamics).
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | High Isp is actually a bad thing in a first stage. That
               | stage is done almost immediately, so high Isp doesn't buy
               | much, but low propellant density (which tends to go with
               | high Isp) makes the stage larger and more expensive. This
               | is why launchers tend to use hydrocarbons, not hydrogen,
               | as fuel in the first stage. Low propellant density also
               | makes the pumps larger and so reduces the thrust/mass
               | ratio of the engines.
        
             | ericd wrote:
             | That's a good point, I'm guessing the bigger issue is that
             | the chamber pressure is 1/3 of the Raptor 2's (100 bar vs
             | 300 bar), which I assume means much lower ISP and therefore
             | fuel efficiency, and therefore cargo lifting capacity after
             | carrying additional necessary fuel.
        
           | mezeek wrote:
           | Additive layer manufacturing has major benefits... unless you
           | want to have a super-high production rate like Raptor. So
           | it's a positive for them.
        
             | hutzlibu wrote:
             | Like normal 3D printers, they are slow, but the benefits
             | are, that you can change the design quickly and improve it
             | - and then in the end you can invest into optimizing
             | production with a different manufacturing process.
             | 
             | (But that is of course hard, to get the same results)
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | Pretty hard to reproduce the exact same design coming out
               | of a 3D printer with other methods. Unless you put real
               | effort into making sure the part is build-able with other
               | methods you could run into real problems.
        
             | ByThyGrace wrote:
             | I also wonder about durability of materials. Will the
             | engine last shorter or longer due to being additive-layer-
             | manufactured, all else being equal? Compared, say, to the
             | Raptor?
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | Today there are lots of different metals that can be 3D
               | printed. Some have very high capability. Are there any
               | that compete with custom forged parts used in Raptor? I
               | don't know, I don't think people outside of industry
               | really have this information.
               | 
               | We know that SpaceX has its own material science team
               | developing its own alloys specifically for their use
               | case. This material doesn't seem to be designed for 3D
               | printing (as far as we know).
               | 
               | What if SpaceX had instead invested that money in
               | superior material for 3D printing instead?
               | 
               | Maybe somebody who is doing their PhD on material science
               | in rocketry can comment.
               | 
               | I would also consider that engine likely has other places
               | that would be more likely to put a limiting factor on
               | durability so maybe it doesn't matter so much.
        
             | breput wrote:
             | I considered putting it as both a positive and negative,
             | but I consider it overall a negative until the technology
             | is proven to be as strong and reliable as traditional
             | manufacturing techniques - not to mention faster and less
             | expensive.
        
           | dotnet00 wrote:
           | One example of additive layer manufacturing I remember
           | reading about when it comes to engines (and I think Raptor
           | does use it) is the ability to reduce weight and potential
           | failure points by combing parts which would otherwise have to
           | be separated with methods of connecting them adding to weight
           | and failure points. IIRC the engine cooling solution also
           | becomes much easier to engineer and manufacture with 3d
           | printing.
           | 
           | When it comes to mass production, 3d printing isn't that
           | problematic, as you can just have several printers.
        
             | panick21_ wrote:
             | Lots of space companies have different opinions on 3d
             | printing. Relativity Space uses it a lot. Firefly doesn't
             | as much. 3d printing is just one way of combining parts
             | there are others.
             | 
             | > 3d printing isn't that problematic, as you can just have
             | several printers.
             | 
             | The faster you want to manufacture the more printers you
             | need. Its ok for most engine plant but for SpaceX Raptor
             | manufacturing line, it would be challenging.
        
       | causality0 wrote:
       | _testing will continue at the end of 2023 at the German aerospace
       | agency DLR's test site in Lampoldshausen, Germany._
       | 
       | Uh, so what are they spending the next six months doing?
        
         | AlgorithmicTime wrote:
         | [dead]
        
         | martin8412 wrote:
         | Preparations for test flight of Ariane 6.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | frederikvs wrote:
       | ESA really needs to work on how they present this kind of thing.
       | Igniting a brand new rocket engine is a sensational event - I
       | would have expected at least a video of the full 12 second burn,
       | from a good viewpoint. Ideally from multiple camera angles.
       | 
       | But we just get one still image, taken from what looks like the
       | worst position.
       | 
       | ESA is doing really cool stuff, but they're doing a bad job of
       | convincing people that they're doing cool stuff.
        
         | aeroman wrote:
         | The PR part also applies to Earth Observation Satellites (ESA
         | and EUMETSAT). (Almost) any time you see a wide area picture of
         | the Earth from Space (particularly around a weather event), it
         | comes from NASA's MODIS instrument [e.g. 0].
         | 
         | The European (approximate) equivalent, AATSR, had a lot of
         | really nice scientific qualities, but it was missing a blue
         | channel, meaning that the 'true-colour' images it produced
         | always had a blue tint to the clouds. There was a similar
         | problem with the European geostationary satellite imager
         | (SEVIRI) [1].
         | 
         | Scientifically, SEVIRI was incredibly useful (and far in
         | advance of the American equivalent at the time), but the lack
         | of a blue channel meant that it was never really used for those
         | shots that made it onto the news (and neither was AATSR). When
         | you have spent multiple billions on a satellite programme, you
         | generally want the public to see it.
         | 
         | I remember being told at one point that this was considered
         | such an issue that the Europeans would 'never launch a
         | satellite without a blue channel again' - although that might
         | be overstating it a little.
         | 
         | [0] - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-11901718
         | 
         | [1] - https://www.cloudsandclimate.com/blog/got_the_blues/
        
         | breput wrote:
         | They do a similar thing for their launch webcasts - they barely
         | show or talk about the rocket and focus mostly on the pan-
         | European cooperation aspects. It might be a cultural thing but
         | they also know who is paying their bills.
         | 
         | Always. Show. The. Rocket.
        
           | localplume wrote:
           | [dead]
        
           | carstenhag wrote:
           | On the other hand, I was at CERN once, and they were just
           | giving us slides like no tomorrow (and of course also a
           | tour). If I was a billionaire (or a politician) I would have
           | given them lots of money
        
         | voidfunc wrote:
         | I think it's a European cultural thing. They're not good at
         | selling sizzle.
        
         | mytailorisrich wrote:
         | In Europe we say that Americans know showmanship, which is not
         | always meant as a compliment.
         | 
         | This is a cultural difference.
        
         | lamontcg wrote:
         | > ESA is doing really cool stuff, but they're doing a bad job
         | of convincing people that they're doing cool stuff.
         | 
         | Why does it matter?
         | 
         | They don't need to convince you that they're doing "cool
         | stuff", they need to convince the people who want to put up
         | satellites that they're going to offer cheap cost-competitive
         | launch vehicles.
        
           | MrDresden wrote:
           | ESA is a government run entity and as such definitely needs
           | the public behind it when it comes to funding.
           | 
           | Not realising that would be gross incompetence on their part.
        
         | booi wrote:
         | this is definitely something SpaceX does right. Even the most
         | mundane launches is a multi-hour professional production with
         | high quality cameras in multiple angles.. even when the thing
         | explodes it feels like it went well.
        
           | GuB-42 wrote:
           | ESA maybe does too little, but SpaceX does too much, at least
           | to my taste.
           | 
           | Looking at SpaceX streams sometimes feel more like a sporting
           | event than the coverage of a space mission. I mean, is it
           | really necessary to cheer at every successful phase of the
           | launch even though these are pretty much nailed down, that
           | the mission is still underway, and that the hard part (like
           | the landing when it wasn't a routine thing) is up ahead?
           | 
           | For me, NASA is the best. They show the things as they are,
           | without trying to pump up the hype. I mean, rocket launches
           | are maybe the most awe inspiring thing humanity can do,
           | alongside nuclear explosions (imagine nuclear rockets if we
           | ever make them). Some of the most iconic footage from NASA is
           | technical footage, not originally intended for the public, so
           | really, let the thing speak for itself, no need for SpaceX
           | cheerleaders.
        
           | palata wrote:
           | > this is definitely something SpaceX does right.
           | 
           | To me (european), I don't like how SpaceX shows off. The
           | technology is cool though, but when I see their kind of
           | communication, to me it sounds like "US marketing".
           | 
           | So yeah... cultural thing maybe.
        
             | reaperducer wrote:
             | I don't think of it as showing off. I think of it as
             | documenting for posterity.
             | 
             | We're at an inflection point when it comes to space
             | exploration. Ar this rate, future generations will have
             | days of video and documentation of the accomplishments in
             | America, and a footnote along the lines of "Europe did some
             | things, too. Visit the sub-basement of a library in an
             | office building in Paris for more information."
        
               | palata wrote:
               | Not sure who will spend days watching the same rocket
               | takeoff and land :-).
               | 
               | Also at this rate, future generations will have to focus
               | on _surviving_ with _much_ less fossil fuels (we 're
               | passed peak oil), in a world that basically wants to kill
               | them due to global warming.
               | 
               | Chances are that days of video of the accomplishments of
               | the generation that actively destroyed their world (while
               | being fully aware of it) won't be their main concern.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | Rockets are one of the things where we simply have to use
               | fossil fuels, and its a drop in the bucket.
               | 
               | The resulting services and sats actually help in any
               | reasonable climate change strategy.
               | 
               | > Not sure who will spend days watching the same rocket
               | takeoff and land :-).
               | 
               | Here is the thing. Anytime can be the first time for
               | somebody. If you don't make an effort to show everything
               | you do, nobody will ever know you exists.
               | 
               | Yes some space obsessed people will watch everything, and
               | that's fine also. But you never get those people if they
               | don't see something first time.
               | 
               | I am European too and I like how transparent SpaceX is,
               | and they don't even have to be. Arianespace literally
               | tried to hide for 1 year that they had major issues with
               | Ariane 5. When asked why it wasn't launching they were
               | basically saying 'everything is ok'. But eventually
               | journalist got wind off the fact that there were major
               | issues in the fairings.
               | 
               | The culture of secrecy and non-transparency has done
               | nothing but harm to European space flight.
               | 
               | Its not barging to show a video of a test fire or a test
               | launch.
        
               | palata wrote:
               | > Rockets are one of the things where we simply have to
               | use fossil fuels, and its a drop in the bucket.
               | 
               | Well it's more than you may think (don't take only the
               | fuel for the flight, but consider the whole construction
               | of the thing).
               | 
               | But more importantly, they are making space a business.
               | The first plane was a drop in a bucket, but it enabled
               | modern aviation. If SpaceX hits their target of 10M per
               | flight... rich people will go have lunch in space.
               | 
               | > The resulting services and sats actually help in any
               | reasonable climate change strategy.
               | 
               | What? I very strongly disagree. But I won't elaborate
               | more than you did.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | > Well it's more than you may think
               | 
               | Currently, no its not.
               | 
               | > don't take only the fuel for the flight, but consider
               | the whole construction of the thing
               | 
               | Making them reusable is a huge gain in efficiency.
               | 
               | > What? I very strongly disagree. But I won't elaborate
               | more than you did.
               | 
               | Earth observation sat measure climate change. We measure
               | the atmosphere with sats. We conduct planetary science.
               | Sat imagery is vital when looking at ecosystems like the
               | Amazon. Space based monitoring is valuable for all kinds
               | of application and can increase efficiency of farming,
               | mining, infrastructure and so on. Weather satellites are
               | vital in many way, including preventing harm people. GPS
               | is a vital technology for so many industries. Space based
               | communication brings modernity to many people who don't
               | live close to major infrastructure.
               | 
               | You simply can't separate modern humanity from space.
               | 
               | Granted space isn't anywhere close to the most important,
               | but it does play an important role. Generally energy
               | production, heating, transport and steel/cement are the
               | real issues. And where the overwhelming focus should be.
               | 
               | > If SpaceX hits their target of 10M per flight... rich
               | people will go have lunch in space.
               | 
               | Just like with aviation we need to consider what
               | regulation we want to apply to these things. I am not
               | against regulating these things.
               | 
               | Your attitude of nobody is allowed to show any pride in
               | anything related to fossil fuels and its general bad and
               | shouldn't be done is simply no way to go forward.
        
               | neerajsi wrote:
               | > Not sure who will spend days watching the same rocket
               | takeoff and land :-).
               | 
               | Have you met a small child?
        
             | Aeolun wrote:
             | On the balance, I much prefer having the stream to not
             | having it. I can always turn the sound/commentary off.
        
           | lo_zamoyski wrote:
           | I wonder if they use canned cheering, or get/hire a claque.
        
         | throw_pm23 wrote:
         | It is a US/Europe difference in attitude that can be seen
         | across all fields.
        
           | adventured wrote:
           | Perhaps, however I would expect they would understand the
           | immense value of selling it to the European public by
           | properly showing them what they're paying for. Getting the
           | European public excited about space is half the battle (for
           | funding), NASA has understood that for well over half a
           | century. Somehow ESA is still oblivious (which helps explain
           | their budget).
        
             | goethes_kind wrote:
             | They don't need to sell it to the public because the public
             | has less than zero say. They need to sell it to the funding
             | agencies and that is what they are doing. Also, the
             | bombastic American style marketing comes off as insincere
             | to most of us.
        
               | Aeolun wrote:
               | > Also, the bombastic American style marketing comes off
               | as insincere to most of us.
               | 
               | It does. But I also enjoy me rocket videos. Having a nice
               | video instead of a still image would not appreciably move
               | the meter of my bullshit detector.
        
               | roarcher wrote:
               | They're being paid by the public to build something.
               | Showing them that it actually works is "bombastic
               | American style marketing"? In the US we would call it
               | accountability.
               | 
               | Modesty is great and all, but this comes across more like
               | "thanks for the taxes, now fuck off".
        
               | xyzzyz wrote:
               | You're right in principle, this is indeed how it should
               | work in theory. In practice, though, it's all very much
               | "thanks for the taxes, now fuck off", and US is not much
               | better here.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | There is nothing here they could hype without sounding
               | bombastic because the only novel bit is it's European.
               | Europe produces great marketing when it has something
               | worth promoting.
        
               | roarcher wrote:
               | Nobody is asking for "hype" or "bombastic marketing".
               | Just a video of it in operation. It's a rocket, it's
               | cool, people like to see rockets. If you used their money
               | to build it, that doesn't seem like too much to ask.
               | 
               | I'm not a European taxpayer so nobody owes me a video.
               | I'm just perplexed by the attitude of the (I presume)
               | Europeans in this thread. Being proud of the fact that
               | your government doesn't care if you're happy with their
               | use of your taxes is...I'm not sure what it is, but it
               | isn't modesty.
               | 
               | And before anyone (correctly) points this out: Yes, the
               | US government doesn't much care what we think either,
               | though it does a better job of pretending to. But you'd
               | be hard pressed to find an American who will brag about
               | it. And at least NASA releases cool videos.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | As a European from an ESA member state. Shaking my head
               | at how ESA and Arianespace operate is just so frequent
               | that I risking whiplash. I can't get bothered by every
               | single instance where they do a bad job on minor things
               | like this.
               | 
               | I wouldn't even mind if they sucked at things like this
               | if they would actually have the right strategy and do the
               | large things correct. Sadly they are really bad at the
               | large things and the small things.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _perplexed by the attitude of the (I presume) Europeans
               | in this thread_
               | 
               | It's deflection. ESA and ArianeSpace have left a massive
               | strategic hole in Europe's capabilities, in large part
               | due to the arrogance of their leadership.
               | 
               | I haven't met a capable European (and yes, I think I can
               | speak that broadly to this) who couldn't communicate why
               | they'd be good at a job or why a job done was done well.
               | When people say they're eschewing promotion out of
               | humility, it's usually because they don't have anything
               | promotable or are bad communicators.
        
               | Aeolun wrote:
               | > I haven't met a capable European
               | 
               | Or maybe you've just been unable to appreciate it for the
               | ones that didn't promote themselves _your_ way?
               | 
               | I do a really good job, but there's no reason to make a
               | big deal out of it because that's what I'm hired for.
        
               | kergonath wrote:
               | The public does not vote directly on any of this, and
               | science in general is far down the list of priorities and
               | thus get very little time in debates and campaigns. None
               | of the regular citizens watching this can realistically
               | do anything if they don't like it.
               | 
               | The ESA is at its core all about cooperation and has to
               | navigate an international landscape very far from the US
               | government. It's a technocratic agency; it cannot be used
               | for communication purposes by politicians. Their job is
               | to do the work and leave the communication bits to
               | journalists. On one hand I'd like them to do more
               | outreach towards the general population, because history
               | has proven time and time again that you cannot trust
               | journalists for vulgarisation. On the other, I don't want
               | this to turn into a political circus and funding to
               | fluctuate as political parties get interested or not.
               | 
               | The good side of this is that science gets done reliably,
               | on predictable budgets that span decades and not years,
               | even the unsexy science that would not set crowds on
               | fire. True, it reduces enthusiasm but you cannot have
               | everything.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | > Their job is to do the work and leave the communication
               | bits to journalists.
               | 
               | Yeah but here is the thing. If you systematically exclude
               | journalist. Don't give them any access. Hide everything
               | you are doing and not even provide basic video footage of
               | a engine test, they don't have anything to work with.
               | 
               | And of course that is even more true when Arianespace is
               | flat out hiding damaging information that tax payers
               | should know. And ESA supports them in that.
               | 
               | Major issues with Ariane 5 fairings were hidden from the
               | public and it took a long time until it came out.
               | 
               | Lets face the facts, ESA has constructed a space monopoly
               | and the monopolist is doing everything to hide its
               | failures from the public, not giving journalist access so
               | they can't talk about it. Journalist that are known to
               | ask critical questions are routinely not invited to
               | events.
               | 
               | If that is the kind of society you want to live in, be my
               | guest. But I prefer that we actually have some
               | accountability from our tax pair funded agency and
               | monopolist.
               | 
               | > The good side of this is that science gets done
               | reliably, on predictable budgets that span decades and
               | not years
               | 
               | That's just not really true. ESA has as many project go
               | over budget as anybody else. The Ariane 6 is a massive
               | delayed and has a massively increased budget (and no end
               | in sight). And we could talk about many other projects
               | too.
               | 
               | The idea that ESA is some unpolitical agency that just
               | executes perfectly is what they want you to believe and
               | they downplay all the issues. Journalist that report on
               | these issues have to find the details the hard way. But
               | because space is so uninteresting in Europe there is not
               | much good reporting on it.
               | 
               | Its also not true that ESA is humble and unpolitical. If
               | they have something to brag about they do so pretty
               | relentlessly. Go read ESA and Arianespace comments about
               | SpaceX around 2015-2019, the were basically all over them
               | selfes talking about how much superior they were.
               | 
               | And reticently they have done a lot of political lobbying
               | to increase their budget and pushing for European space
               | flight.
               | 
               | They do all these things, its just less visible to the
               | public because the public cares less then in the US.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | A video (or two) of the rocket surely isn't too
               | bombastic?
        
             | noselasd wrote:
             | And that's the difference
        
             | masswerk wrote:
             | I guess that will happen, when they have a functioning
             | system, i.e. a product. (Showing off with some in-between,
             | not fit for purpose stage may be deemed somewhat
             | embarassing, compare cultural differences.)
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | Its not cultural. Lots of European aerospace startups act
               | not much different then American ones. In some cases they
               | are even more over the top then American startups.
               | 
               | This is more about ESA culture then European culture in
               | general.
        
             | palata wrote:
             | I like to think that ESA tries to do mostly research (even
             | though they also like manned missions, which are mostly for
             | fun).
             | 
             | SpaceX, on the other hand, is building a very polluting
             | business, which IMHO should be forbidden in 2023. But there
             | I would think that the people in the EU are more aware of
             | the problem than in the US.
        
               | martin8412 wrote:
               | ESAs budget for 2023 is a measly EUR7.08B coming from the
               | member states which is in return invested proportionally
               | into contracts in the member states.
               | 
               | The US spends four times the amount of tax money per
               | capita.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | This engine development for example, is something that in
               | the US startups who don't get much government money are
               | doing. And there are like 10+ companies working on
               | comparable technology.
               | 
               | Yes ESA budget is small compared to NASA but they also do
               | far less things.
               | 
               | And when they do things its not efficient. Ariane 6 for
               | example is a minor upgrade over Ariane 5 with mostly
               | parts that were developed for Ariane 5 ME. And yet
               | somehow it cost will easily pass 5 billion $ and that
               | doesn't include even e new engine. And a lot of cost is
               | also hidden on other balance sheet, a full accounting
               | would be likely more.
               | 
               | That might be about 2x as much as the complete Falcon 9
               | (+ Falcon Heavy) + Merlin + Re-usability program cost.
               | 
               | So yes, a comparative small budget, but that doesn't
               | actually explain many of the issues.
        
               | aardvarkr wrote:
               | How does SpaceX pollute?
        
           | rqtwteye wrote:
           | Self promotion is just way more accepted in the US vs most
           | European countries. You notice this in ESA vs NASA. I also
           | notice it when I read resumes. Resumes from European
           | countries are way more subdued than ones from the US.
        
             | fastball wrote:
             | ESA isn't avoiding self-promotion, they're just bad at it.
        
               | causality0 wrote:
               | I have to agree with you. They're more than happy to
               | label anything "NASA/ESA" when the ESA's project
               | contribution was fifty Euros and a can of spray paint.
        
               | martin8412 wrote:
               | Hey, that spray paint was load bearing!
        
             | panick21_ wrote:
             | This is just overplayed. If you look at European rocket
             | startups, they don't act much different. Some of them are
             | even more prone to hype and exaggeration then American
             | equivalence.
             | 
             | Its just that ESA in particular has that culture.
        
               | JBorrow wrote:
               | No it's not, this even goes to things like reference
               | letters. US letters for the same candidate are always
               | much stronger and use very different language.
        
             | teajunky wrote:
             | You watch this video about the excitement level of NASA vs
             | ESA: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mtOGcgWozd4
        
           | lo_zamoyski wrote:
           | Even in resumes/CVs. Americans tend to exaggerate and play up
           | their experience in a manner you don't see that much of in
           | Europe.
        
       | semessier wrote:
       | very impressive and competitive - if it were 2010
       | 
       | Note that the Raptor 3 is at 269 tons thrust (vis-a-vis 100 tons)
       | and 350 bar chamber pressure (with 100 bar for the Prometheus).
       | The raptor is state-of-the-art full-flow staged combustion which
       | is described as very tricky, Prometheus dated open-cycle. Raptor
       | has been extensively tested and refined for years now and is
       | getting very close to real flight heritage. Once Prometheus has
       | flight models the Raptor will be at least a decade ahead,
       | probably continuing to move rapidly. Taking a guess Raptor is
       | probably much cheaper to produce and operate than Prometheus. It
       | appears like a failed design by plan similar to a decision to
       | continue expendable Arianes provided that 'there are only 10 or
       | so launches per year' and implicitly that the system is set up to
       | produce throw-away rockets that need lots of resources to produce
       | each example.
        
         | dotnet00 wrote:
         | As cool as Raptor is, I feel that ESA, as a government
         | organization, making any effort towards a truly reusable engine
         | is very good when over here in the US, NASA is still forced to
         | pour billions into resuscitating the RS-25 while Boeing
         | continues to embarass itself with Starliner and ULA rushes full
         | speed into using reusable engines in the least effective ways.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | NASA doesn't need to invest in its own engines. RS-25 is just
           | something congress forced on them. In reality the private
           | companies are developing lots of engine, Raptor is just one
           | example. I have documented this in my top level post.
           | 
           | NASA and DoD are both committed to buying rockets on
           | commercial rockets, and all of the competitors view engine
           | development as a majorly important.
           | 
           | There are at least 10 major reusable engines in development
           | in the US. And of course Merlin is already flying and
           | Prometheus has a very, very long way to go until to reach it.
           | 
           | > while Boeing continues to embarass itself with Starliner
           | 
           | True but that's a fixed price contract. Boeing is spending
           | its own money to finish that program.
           | 
           | NASA actually has crewed spaceflight, something Europe never
           | even came close to.
           | 
           | > ULA rushes full speed into using reusable engines in the
           | least effective ways
           | 
           | Not sure what you mean? ULA is adopting a pretty modern
           | engine. That engine took a while to develop but that isn't so
           | surprising. And it isn't ULAs fault.
        
         | cubefox wrote:
         | After Ariane 5, ESA should probably award fixed price contracts
         | to private European rocket startups rather than doing it
         | together with Arianespace. But I suspect this wouldn't work
         | well with EU funding, since those startups are only located in
         | certain member states.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | There are a whole host of issues with the idea that ESA could
           | do things like NASA does them now. Politics is one issue, but
           | there are many others.
           | 
           | > But I suspect this wouldn't work well with EU funding
           | 
           | Just FYI, while EU funds some of ESA. ESA is independent and
           | most of its budget is directly from member states.
        
           | Aeolun wrote:
           | EU startups would get _huge_ 500k grants! Maybe even up to
           | 2M. And the only thing they need to do in return is develop a
           | reusable rocket engine.
           | 
           | The reason nothing happens in Europe.
        
         | sottol wrote:
         | This is clearly geo-strategic. Also never hurts to have
         | competition, see eg Amazon or Google what happens when the
         | innovator becomes a monopoly.
        
           | martin8412 wrote:
           | The goal of ESA is to have independent space capabilities.
        
             | panick21_ wrote:
             | Well actually their STATED GOAL was to be highly
             | competitive in the international launch market as well.
             | When Ariane 6 was greenlit there was much talk about that
             | this investment needed to be made to be competitive and so
             | on and so on.
             | 
             | And of course now 10 years later its all like 'all we
             | wanted is independent space access'.
             | 
             | Of course if that was the case just flying Ariane 5 would
             | have been better. Not having 3 different rockets would have
             | been better.
        
             | trompetenaccoun wrote:
             | And sadly they're behind even China at this point, which is
             | a bit of a joke if we're honest.
             | 
             | ESA is a perfect example for what a bureaucratic monster
             | Europe is these days. With a similar budget as CNSA but no
             | clear vision and goals, the funds have mostly been wasted
             | in recent years. They have the engineers, a good spaceport,
             | the knowledge, etc... everything they'd need. But the
             | stagnating political culture is holding them back. The US
             | went through something similar, but at least with the
             | private spaceflight boom the Americans seem to have snapped
             | out of it.
        
         | jackmott42 wrote:
         | It isn't at all clear yet that their open cycle engine is
         | dated. Raptor has yet to prove reliable. Perhaps it will be,
         | perhaps it will not. It is fundamentally harder to start the
         | full flow staged combustion cycle, so time will tell if they
         | can make this work as reliably as they have the merlin.
         | 
         | SpaceX still makes all of their money with a simple open cycle
         | rocket engine, and it burns RP1 which is expensive to clean up.
         | Prometheus would be better in that regard.
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | This engine is going into their reusable demonstrator Callisto.
         | Callisto is a copy* of SpaceX's Grasshopper that flew... _11
         | years ago_
         | 
         | * https://satelliteobservation.net/2018/06/02/cnes-director-
         | of...
         | 
         | > Callisto is Grasshopper. The Chinese are also building a
         | similar prototype, I have no problem saying we didn't invent
         | anything.
        
           | 908B64B197 wrote:
           | What's crazy is that, unlike this ESA engine and prototype
           | rocket, Raptor and Starship R&D is all privately funded by
           | SpaceX's profits.
           | 
           | Starship will fly payloads to LEO before this European rocket
           | reaches the Karman line.
        
             | martin8412 wrote:
             | Considering that SpaceX keeps raising cash from private
             | investors, I doubt that very much.
        
               | panick21_ wrote:
               | What do you doubt?
               | 
               | Private investors are private funding.
               | 
               | And of course they are raising cash, they have literally
               | have the most advanced rocket and satellites projects in
               | development at the same time.
               | 
               | I can't find when CALLISTO is supposed to fly, some
               | information says its 2022 but yeah I don't think they
               | will make that. Starship isn't really in a race with
               | CALLISTO so its kind of irrelevant.
        
               | carabiner wrote:
               | Yes 2022 launch date would be difficult. Some type of
               | gravity field manipulation to create a closed time like
               | curve would be required.
        
       | panick21_ wrote:
       | Its certainty an interesting engine but for a very advanced space
       | program, as they Europeans want to be, it isn't anything ground
       | breaking. If some US startup would announce something like this
       | everybody would shrug and call it par for the course and not
       | particularly innovative.
       | 
       | Europe has never developed first stage close cycle engine. The
       | Soviets have mastered close cycle engines as far back as the 60s
       | and even today (at least until the Ukraine war) great
       | Russian/Ukrainian engine were for sale. And today many even
       | startups are working on close cycle engines.
       | 
       | This engine is another open cycle engine while the world for real
       | competitive launch vehicles is moving to more advanced engines.
       | And those that do not, are not doing it because they want their
       | next generation rocket to be there as soon as possible. While a
       | European rocket with this engine is at least a decade or more
       | out.
       | 
       | It is targeted at being reusable and that is good of course but
       | pretty much every modern engine program is gone be restartable
       | and reusable. We don't have much information how many times it
       | will be reusable, what its startup mechanism and we just
       | generally don't have that much information.
       | 
       | So the thing that's kind of stunning here is that Esa/Arianespace
       | is developing this one next generation engine and keep hyping it
       | and building it up as this next generation engine for Europe. But
       | its really nothing special, there are many engines in development
       | (some much further along) in the US that are just gone be as
       | advanced or more advanced. ESA here looks more like a random
       | startup, rather being a leader in technology:
       | 
       | Relativity Space Aeon-R:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W91fO97WAPo
       | https://www.relativityspace.com/terran-r
       | 
       | RocketLab Archimedes:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archimedes_(rocket_engine)
       | 
       | Or how about Launcher E-2:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Th1mP0bU9L8
       | https://launcherspace.squarespace.com/engine-2
       | 
       | Ursa Major:
       | 
       | https://www.ursamajor.com/engines/arroway
       | 
       | SpaceX Raptor 3:
       | 
       | https://youtu.be/h_5ltDjun3g?t=72
       | 
       | BlueOrigin BE-4:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdS4azOaF2M
       | 
       | There are more that we could mention.
       | 
       | So Europe hear is more like a small fish in a big pond. And
       | compared to efforts like Raptor, this is many generations behind.
       | 
       | This is not big ambition from Europe, but doing the bare minimum
       | to have something that is somewhat modern. But by the time they
       | will get it into a launch vehicle it will look old compare to the
       | competition.
       | 
       | The problem is that engine development in Europe is just very
       | slow, and integrating engines to rockets is even slower. Consider
       | the fancy new Vinci Upper Stage engine. It has been in
       | development for over 20 years now, and will likely be 25 year of
       | total time from start of development to first flight.
       | 
       | And the worst of it is, the Ariane 6 Upper Stage mass is so heavy
       | that Vinci amazing performance is held back by a terrible
       | structural design. So even as they have this advanced engine,
       | they resulting rocket isn't really great.
       | 
       | ESA has a very, very long way ahead if they want their rocket to
       | be more then just launcher military launches from its member
       | states.
        
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