[HN Gopher] Full ignition for ESA's reusable rocket engine ___________________________________________________________________ Full ignition for ESA's reusable rocket engine Author : ZacnyLos Score : 125 points Date : 2023-06-23 16:06 UTC (6 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.esa.int) (TXT) w3m dump (www.esa.int) | Proven wrote: | [dead] | cgeier wrote: | Question for the space nerds: how impressive is this? | ericd wrote: | According to the wikipedia article ( | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prometheus_(rocket_engine) ), | they're aiming for 3-5 reuses, which I believe is significantly | fewer than SpaceX's Falcon 9 engine, Merlin. But maybe they'll | get more in practice. | | It's a methalox/methane-oxygen engine, like SpaceX's Raptor, as | opposed to RP-1 kerosene, like Merlin. One nice aspect of this | is that methalox doesn't deposit so much soot on the inside of | the engine, so reuse should be simpler (this is one of the | reasons for SpaceX's newer Raptor engines also using methalox). | | It's got an open gas generator cycle, which means that it's | likely less efficient than SpaceX's full-flow staged combustion | Raptors, since it means it loses a few percent of its fuel to | just running the turbopumps and the exhaust spitting off the | side, rather than than heading down into the combustion | chamber. | | It sounds like it's much cheaper to build vs. their last | generation of engine, but we'll see how it ends up in practice. | | Getting something like this working is impressive, but who | knows if it will end up being competitive, SpaceX is still | iterating really quickly. Not an expert, but the design feels a | little dated already, in comparison in comparison to Raptor, | and Raptor is already flying. | [deleted] | Diederich wrote: | > this is one of the reasons for SpaceX's newer Raptor | engines also using kerosene | | Typo there :) | ericd wrote: | Oh good catch, thanks! | frederikvs wrote: | I'd say it's pretty impressive. Building and igniting a rocket | engine is hard. For more detail, I can recommend watching "Why | starting a rocket engine is so hard" by Tim Dodd [0]. | | It's not "never been done before" impressive, they're a few | years behind e.g. SpaceX's Raptor engine, which uses the same | propellants, and is also reusable. But still, a new rocket | engine is no small feat - the engine is probably the hardest | part of a rocket. This is quite literally rocket science. | | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAUVCn_jw5I | chroma wrote: | They're more than a few years behind SpaceX. SpaceX reached a | similar milestone back in 2016, when they test fired a | subscale Raptor engine[1] that produced 1 meganewton (~100Tf) | of thrust.[2] | | By 2019, they'd tested their full size Raptor at 1.5 | meganewtons (172Tf) of thrust.[3] The current production | version of Raptor produces 2 meganewtons (225Tf)[4]. SpaceX | has successfully tested a newer version of Raptor that | produced 2.4MN (269Tf) for 45 seconds.[5] | | 1. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/780275236922994688 | | 2. "With a thrust of 1MN (225klbf) at sea level, this was to | be the first methane full flow engine to ever reach a test | stand." https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2016/10/its- | propulsion-evolu... | | 3. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1093424663269523456 | | 4. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1295498964205068289 | | 5. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1657249739925258240 | breput wrote: | Positives: | | * Uses liquid methane and oxygen for fuel, which is far easier | to work with than the current Vulcain hydrogen/oxygen fueled | engine and burns cleaner than kerosene/oxygen engines, which is | better for reusability. | | * This is an engine that might work well on a small to medium | reusable launcher, which ESA no longer has access to after | their Vega rocket repeatedly failed and they lost access to | Russia's Soyuz rockets[0]. | | * ESA is at least trying to do reusability after dismissing the | idea for years. | | Negatives: | | * "100-tonne thrust class" is half the thrust of either | SpaceX's Raptor or Blue Origin's BE-4 engines, which will be | similarly reusable and using the same fuels. | | * Additive layer manufacturing sounds cool but I'm not sure it | has any real benefits over conventional engine manufacturing | techniques. SpaceX is reportedly close to building one Raptor | engine _per day_ without 3D printing. | | * They are undecided on the fuel ("A version using liquid | hydrogen-liquid oxygen is also being developed."). That is an | entirely different engine and ground support infrastructure, | but they are presumably doing it so it could be used directly | in the Ariane 6 rocket? | | * Arianespace/ESA is at least a decade[1] behind SpaceX in | reusability and due to rocket failures and retirements, and the | delays with Ariane 6, won't have _any_ flying rockets until | 2024. So they are far behind and do not have a good track | record with speedy development. | | [0] https://spacenews.com/europe-grappling-with-space-access- | cha... | | [1] https://www.space.com/europe-no-reusable-rocket-until-2030s | frederikvs wrote: | The thrust of 100 tonne isn't really that important IMO. The | Raptor has far less thrust than the F-1 engine used on the | Apollo missions, but if you strap 33 Raptors to a rocket, | they can beat five F-1s. | panick21_ wrote: | What really matters at the end of the day for actual rocket | building is thrust per area of nozzle size. Or how much | thrust can you put under a rocket of some core size X. | | Raptor is by far the best engine ever built according to | that measure. | | Prometheus doesn't seem that impressive but we don't have | all the information on it as far as I can find. | TaylorAlexander wrote: | > What really matters at the end of the day for actual | rocket building is thrust per area of nozzle size. | | What? I am a casual observer but I believe specific | impulse is most important - how much thrust do you get | per unit of fuel. The amount of fuel you have to carry | has a huge impact on how much. Of course things like ion | thrusters have high ISP but not enough thrust for launch | - but once you get enough thrust to launch a rocket, you | want a high ISP. High ISP means way less fuel required | which means even with less thrust you will be okay. So | thrust per nozzle area isn't strictly that important if | the engine is so inefficient you need to carry twice as | much fuel. | panick21_ wrote: | If you have a high ISP engine that is low thrust, your | rocket will either not get of the ground or if it does | get off the ground it will suffer from a very high amount | of gravity loses. High ISP on the engine doesn't matter | when your rocket spends a long time just fighting | gravity. | | High thrust to weight ratio is important for a rocket. | The higher your TWR the less gravity loses your rocket | suffers. | | There is a reason most rockets main liftoff comes from | lowers ISP RP-1 engines or solids rocket. High ISP | hydrogen engines just result in losses. | | SpaceX Raptor actually deliberately reduced its ISP to | increase its thrust. | marcosdumay wrote: | There are quite a few important numbers here. | | Weight/thrust is important; thrust/area is important; ISP | is important; thrust/dollar is important... | lamontcg wrote: | > thrust/dollar is important. | | something more like that is probably the most important | variable. | | all the rest of them impress space nerds, the ones ending | in per-dollar are the ones that impress accountants and | finance people. | dotnet00 wrote: | ISP isn't everything, even in space, as you don't have | infinite time to get places, transfer burns etc are more | efficient when closer to being instantaneous (in terms of | dV) and capture burns need to happen within a fixed | timeframe. | | Also I think what they meant is that the engine's thrust | dictates the height above it that it can lift. So lots of | larger low thrust engines = short and stubby rocket, | which adds all sorts of limitations (construction, | transportation, aerodynamics). | pfdietz wrote: | High Isp is actually a bad thing in a first stage. That | stage is done almost immediately, so high Isp doesn't buy | much, but low propellant density (which tends to go with | high Isp) makes the stage larger and more expensive. This | is why launchers tend to use hydrocarbons, not hydrogen, | as fuel in the first stage. Low propellant density also | makes the pumps larger and so reduces the thrust/mass | ratio of the engines. | ericd wrote: | That's a good point, I'm guessing the bigger issue is that | the chamber pressure is 1/3 of the Raptor 2's (100 bar vs | 300 bar), which I assume means much lower ISP and therefore | fuel efficiency, and therefore cargo lifting capacity after | carrying additional necessary fuel. | mezeek wrote: | Additive layer manufacturing has major benefits... unless you | want to have a super-high production rate like Raptor. So | it's a positive for them. | hutzlibu wrote: | Like normal 3D printers, they are slow, but the benefits | are, that you can change the design quickly and improve it | - and then in the end you can invest into optimizing | production with a different manufacturing process. | | (But that is of course hard, to get the same results) | panick21_ wrote: | Pretty hard to reproduce the exact same design coming out | of a 3D printer with other methods. Unless you put real | effort into making sure the part is build-able with other | methods you could run into real problems. | ByThyGrace wrote: | I also wonder about durability of materials. Will the | engine last shorter or longer due to being additive-layer- | manufactured, all else being equal? Compared, say, to the | Raptor? | panick21_ wrote: | Today there are lots of different metals that can be 3D | printed. Some have very high capability. Are there any | that compete with custom forged parts used in Raptor? I | don't know, I don't think people outside of industry | really have this information. | | We know that SpaceX has its own material science team | developing its own alloys specifically for their use | case. This material doesn't seem to be designed for 3D | printing (as far as we know). | | What if SpaceX had instead invested that money in | superior material for 3D printing instead? | | Maybe somebody who is doing their PhD on material science | in rocketry can comment. | | I would also consider that engine likely has other places | that would be more likely to put a limiting factor on | durability so maybe it doesn't matter so much. | breput wrote: | I considered putting it as both a positive and negative, | but I consider it overall a negative until the technology | is proven to be as strong and reliable as traditional | manufacturing techniques - not to mention faster and less | expensive. | dotnet00 wrote: | One example of additive layer manufacturing I remember | reading about when it comes to engines (and I think Raptor | does use it) is the ability to reduce weight and potential | failure points by combing parts which would otherwise have to | be separated with methods of connecting them adding to weight | and failure points. IIRC the engine cooling solution also | becomes much easier to engineer and manufacture with 3d | printing. | | When it comes to mass production, 3d printing isn't that | problematic, as you can just have several printers. | panick21_ wrote: | Lots of space companies have different opinions on 3d | printing. Relativity Space uses it a lot. Firefly doesn't | as much. 3d printing is just one way of combining parts | there are others. | | > 3d printing isn't that problematic, as you can just have | several printers. | | The faster you want to manufacture the more printers you | need. Its ok for most engine plant but for SpaceX Raptor | manufacturing line, it would be challenging. | causality0 wrote: | _testing will continue at the end of 2023 at the German aerospace | agency DLR's test site in Lampoldshausen, Germany._ | | Uh, so what are they spending the next six months doing? | AlgorithmicTime wrote: | [dead] | martin8412 wrote: | Preparations for test flight of Ariane 6. | [deleted] | [deleted] | frederikvs wrote: | ESA really needs to work on how they present this kind of thing. | Igniting a brand new rocket engine is a sensational event - I | would have expected at least a video of the full 12 second burn, | from a good viewpoint. Ideally from multiple camera angles. | | But we just get one still image, taken from what looks like the | worst position. | | ESA is doing really cool stuff, but they're doing a bad job of | convincing people that they're doing cool stuff. | aeroman wrote: | The PR part also applies to Earth Observation Satellites (ESA | and EUMETSAT). (Almost) any time you see a wide area picture of | the Earth from Space (particularly around a weather event), it | comes from NASA's MODIS instrument [e.g. 0]. | | The European (approximate) equivalent, AATSR, had a lot of | really nice scientific qualities, but it was missing a blue | channel, meaning that the 'true-colour' images it produced | always had a blue tint to the clouds. There was a similar | problem with the European geostationary satellite imager | (SEVIRI) [1]. | | Scientifically, SEVIRI was incredibly useful (and far in | advance of the American equivalent at the time), but the lack | of a blue channel meant that it was never really used for those | shots that made it onto the news (and neither was AATSR). When | you have spent multiple billions on a satellite programme, you | generally want the public to see it. | | I remember being told at one point that this was considered | such an issue that the Europeans would 'never launch a | satellite without a blue channel again' - although that might | be overstating it a little. | | [0] - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-11901718 | | [1] - https://www.cloudsandclimate.com/blog/got_the_blues/ | breput wrote: | They do a similar thing for their launch webcasts - they barely | show or talk about the rocket and focus mostly on the pan- | European cooperation aspects. It might be a cultural thing but | they also know who is paying their bills. | | Always. Show. The. Rocket. | localplume wrote: | [dead] | carstenhag wrote: | On the other hand, I was at CERN once, and they were just | giving us slides like no tomorrow (and of course also a | tour). If I was a billionaire (or a politician) I would have | given them lots of money | voidfunc wrote: | I think it's a European cultural thing. They're not good at | selling sizzle. | mytailorisrich wrote: | In Europe we say that Americans know showmanship, which is not | always meant as a compliment. | | This is a cultural difference. | lamontcg wrote: | > ESA is doing really cool stuff, but they're doing a bad job | of convincing people that they're doing cool stuff. | | Why does it matter? | | They don't need to convince you that they're doing "cool | stuff", they need to convince the people who want to put up | satellites that they're going to offer cheap cost-competitive | launch vehicles. | MrDresden wrote: | ESA is a government run entity and as such definitely needs | the public behind it when it comes to funding. | | Not realising that would be gross incompetence on their part. | booi wrote: | this is definitely something SpaceX does right. Even the most | mundane launches is a multi-hour professional production with | high quality cameras in multiple angles.. even when the thing | explodes it feels like it went well. | GuB-42 wrote: | ESA maybe does too little, but SpaceX does too much, at least | to my taste. | | Looking at SpaceX streams sometimes feel more like a sporting | event than the coverage of a space mission. I mean, is it | really necessary to cheer at every successful phase of the | launch even though these are pretty much nailed down, that | the mission is still underway, and that the hard part (like | the landing when it wasn't a routine thing) is up ahead? | | For me, NASA is the best. They show the things as they are, | without trying to pump up the hype. I mean, rocket launches | are maybe the most awe inspiring thing humanity can do, | alongside nuclear explosions (imagine nuclear rockets if we | ever make them). Some of the most iconic footage from NASA is | technical footage, not originally intended for the public, so | really, let the thing speak for itself, no need for SpaceX | cheerleaders. | palata wrote: | > this is definitely something SpaceX does right. | | To me (european), I don't like how SpaceX shows off. The | technology is cool though, but when I see their kind of | communication, to me it sounds like "US marketing". | | So yeah... cultural thing maybe. | reaperducer wrote: | I don't think of it as showing off. I think of it as | documenting for posterity. | | We're at an inflection point when it comes to space | exploration. Ar this rate, future generations will have | days of video and documentation of the accomplishments in | America, and a footnote along the lines of "Europe did some | things, too. Visit the sub-basement of a library in an | office building in Paris for more information." | palata wrote: | Not sure who will spend days watching the same rocket | takeoff and land :-). | | Also at this rate, future generations will have to focus | on _surviving_ with _much_ less fossil fuels (we 're | passed peak oil), in a world that basically wants to kill | them due to global warming. | | Chances are that days of video of the accomplishments of | the generation that actively destroyed their world (while | being fully aware of it) won't be their main concern. | panick21_ wrote: | Rockets are one of the things where we simply have to use | fossil fuels, and its a drop in the bucket. | | The resulting services and sats actually help in any | reasonable climate change strategy. | | > Not sure who will spend days watching the same rocket | takeoff and land :-). | | Here is the thing. Anytime can be the first time for | somebody. If you don't make an effort to show everything | you do, nobody will ever know you exists. | | Yes some space obsessed people will watch everything, and | that's fine also. But you never get those people if they | don't see something first time. | | I am European too and I like how transparent SpaceX is, | and they don't even have to be. Arianespace literally | tried to hide for 1 year that they had major issues with | Ariane 5. When asked why it wasn't launching they were | basically saying 'everything is ok'. But eventually | journalist got wind off the fact that there were major | issues in the fairings. | | The culture of secrecy and non-transparency has done | nothing but harm to European space flight. | | Its not barging to show a video of a test fire or a test | launch. | palata wrote: | > Rockets are one of the things where we simply have to | use fossil fuels, and its a drop in the bucket. | | Well it's more than you may think (don't take only the | fuel for the flight, but consider the whole construction | of the thing). | | But more importantly, they are making space a business. | The first plane was a drop in a bucket, but it enabled | modern aviation. If SpaceX hits their target of 10M per | flight... rich people will go have lunch in space. | | > The resulting services and sats actually help in any | reasonable climate change strategy. | | What? I very strongly disagree. But I won't elaborate | more than you did. | panick21_ wrote: | > Well it's more than you may think | | Currently, no its not. | | > don't take only the fuel for the flight, but consider | the whole construction of the thing | | Making them reusable is a huge gain in efficiency. | | > What? I very strongly disagree. But I won't elaborate | more than you did. | | Earth observation sat measure climate change. We measure | the atmosphere with sats. We conduct planetary science. | Sat imagery is vital when looking at ecosystems like the | Amazon. Space based monitoring is valuable for all kinds | of application and can increase efficiency of farming, | mining, infrastructure and so on. Weather satellites are | vital in many way, including preventing harm people. GPS | is a vital technology for so many industries. Space based | communication brings modernity to many people who don't | live close to major infrastructure. | | You simply can't separate modern humanity from space. | | Granted space isn't anywhere close to the most important, | but it does play an important role. Generally energy | production, heating, transport and steel/cement are the | real issues. And where the overwhelming focus should be. | | > If SpaceX hits their target of 10M per flight... rich | people will go have lunch in space. | | Just like with aviation we need to consider what | regulation we want to apply to these things. I am not | against regulating these things. | | Your attitude of nobody is allowed to show any pride in | anything related to fossil fuels and its general bad and | shouldn't be done is simply no way to go forward. | neerajsi wrote: | > Not sure who will spend days watching the same rocket | takeoff and land :-). | | Have you met a small child? | Aeolun wrote: | On the balance, I much prefer having the stream to not | having it. I can always turn the sound/commentary off. | lo_zamoyski wrote: | I wonder if they use canned cheering, or get/hire a claque. | throw_pm23 wrote: | It is a US/Europe difference in attitude that can be seen | across all fields. | adventured wrote: | Perhaps, however I would expect they would understand the | immense value of selling it to the European public by | properly showing them what they're paying for. Getting the | European public excited about space is half the battle (for | funding), NASA has understood that for well over half a | century. Somehow ESA is still oblivious (which helps explain | their budget). | goethes_kind wrote: | They don't need to sell it to the public because the public | has less than zero say. They need to sell it to the funding | agencies and that is what they are doing. Also, the | bombastic American style marketing comes off as insincere | to most of us. | Aeolun wrote: | > Also, the bombastic American style marketing comes off | as insincere to most of us. | | It does. But I also enjoy me rocket videos. Having a nice | video instead of a still image would not appreciably move | the meter of my bullshit detector. | roarcher wrote: | They're being paid by the public to build something. | Showing them that it actually works is "bombastic | American style marketing"? In the US we would call it | accountability. | | Modesty is great and all, but this comes across more like | "thanks for the taxes, now fuck off". | xyzzyz wrote: | You're right in principle, this is indeed how it should | work in theory. In practice, though, it's all very much | "thanks for the taxes, now fuck off", and US is not much | better here. | JumpCrisscross wrote: | There is nothing here they could hype without sounding | bombastic because the only novel bit is it's European. | Europe produces great marketing when it has something | worth promoting. | roarcher wrote: | Nobody is asking for "hype" or "bombastic marketing". | Just a video of it in operation. It's a rocket, it's | cool, people like to see rockets. If you used their money | to build it, that doesn't seem like too much to ask. | | I'm not a European taxpayer so nobody owes me a video. | I'm just perplexed by the attitude of the (I presume) | Europeans in this thread. Being proud of the fact that | your government doesn't care if you're happy with their | use of your taxes is...I'm not sure what it is, but it | isn't modesty. | | And before anyone (correctly) points this out: Yes, the | US government doesn't much care what we think either, | though it does a better job of pretending to. But you'd | be hard pressed to find an American who will brag about | it. And at least NASA releases cool videos. | panick21_ wrote: | As a European from an ESA member state. Shaking my head | at how ESA and Arianespace operate is just so frequent | that I risking whiplash. I can't get bothered by every | single instance where they do a bad job on minor things | like this. | | I wouldn't even mind if they sucked at things like this | if they would actually have the right strategy and do the | large things correct. Sadly they are really bad at the | large things and the small things. | JumpCrisscross wrote: | > _perplexed by the attitude of the (I presume) Europeans | in this thread_ | | It's deflection. ESA and ArianeSpace have left a massive | strategic hole in Europe's capabilities, in large part | due to the arrogance of their leadership. | | I haven't met a capable European (and yes, I think I can | speak that broadly to this) who couldn't communicate why | they'd be good at a job or why a job done was done well. | When people say they're eschewing promotion out of | humility, it's usually because they don't have anything | promotable or are bad communicators. | Aeolun wrote: | > I haven't met a capable European | | Or maybe you've just been unable to appreciate it for the | ones that didn't promote themselves _your_ way? | | I do a really good job, but there's no reason to make a | big deal out of it because that's what I'm hired for. | kergonath wrote: | The public does not vote directly on any of this, and | science in general is far down the list of priorities and | thus get very little time in debates and campaigns. None | of the regular citizens watching this can realistically | do anything if they don't like it. | | The ESA is at its core all about cooperation and has to | navigate an international landscape very far from the US | government. It's a technocratic agency; it cannot be used | for communication purposes by politicians. Their job is | to do the work and leave the communication bits to | journalists. On one hand I'd like them to do more | outreach towards the general population, because history | has proven time and time again that you cannot trust | journalists for vulgarisation. On the other, I don't want | this to turn into a political circus and funding to | fluctuate as political parties get interested or not. | | The good side of this is that science gets done reliably, | on predictable budgets that span decades and not years, | even the unsexy science that would not set crowds on | fire. True, it reduces enthusiasm but you cannot have | everything. | panick21_ wrote: | > Their job is to do the work and leave the communication | bits to journalists. | | Yeah but here is the thing. If you systematically exclude | journalist. Don't give them any access. Hide everything | you are doing and not even provide basic video footage of | a engine test, they don't have anything to work with. | | And of course that is even more true when Arianespace is | flat out hiding damaging information that tax payers | should know. And ESA supports them in that. | | Major issues with Ariane 5 fairings were hidden from the | public and it took a long time until it came out. | | Lets face the facts, ESA has constructed a space monopoly | and the monopolist is doing everything to hide its | failures from the public, not giving journalist access so | they can't talk about it. Journalist that are known to | ask critical questions are routinely not invited to | events. | | If that is the kind of society you want to live in, be my | guest. But I prefer that we actually have some | accountability from our tax pair funded agency and | monopolist. | | > The good side of this is that science gets done | reliably, on predictable budgets that span decades and | not years | | That's just not really true. ESA has as many project go | over budget as anybody else. The Ariane 6 is a massive | delayed and has a massively increased budget (and no end | in sight). And we could talk about many other projects | too. | | The idea that ESA is some unpolitical agency that just | executes perfectly is what they want you to believe and | they downplay all the issues. Journalist that report on | these issues have to find the details the hard way. But | because space is so uninteresting in Europe there is not | much good reporting on it. | | Its also not true that ESA is humble and unpolitical. If | they have something to brag about they do so pretty | relentlessly. Go read ESA and Arianespace comments about | SpaceX around 2015-2019, the were basically all over them | selfes talking about how much superior they were. | | And reticently they have done a lot of political lobbying | to increase their budget and pushing for European space | flight. | | They do all these things, its just less visible to the | public because the public cares less then in the US. | Dylan16807 wrote: | A video (or two) of the rocket surely isn't too | bombastic? | noselasd wrote: | And that's the difference | masswerk wrote: | I guess that will happen, when they have a functioning | system, i.e. a product. (Showing off with some in-between, | not fit for purpose stage may be deemed somewhat | embarassing, compare cultural differences.) | panick21_ wrote: | Its not cultural. Lots of European aerospace startups act | not much different then American ones. In some cases they | are even more over the top then American startups. | | This is more about ESA culture then European culture in | general. | palata wrote: | I like to think that ESA tries to do mostly research (even | though they also like manned missions, which are mostly for | fun). | | SpaceX, on the other hand, is building a very polluting | business, which IMHO should be forbidden in 2023. But there | I would think that the people in the EU are more aware of | the problem than in the US. | martin8412 wrote: | ESAs budget for 2023 is a measly EUR7.08B coming from the | member states which is in return invested proportionally | into contracts in the member states. | | The US spends four times the amount of tax money per | capita. | panick21_ wrote: | This engine development for example, is something that in | the US startups who don't get much government money are | doing. And there are like 10+ companies working on | comparable technology. | | Yes ESA budget is small compared to NASA but they also do | far less things. | | And when they do things its not efficient. Ariane 6 for | example is a minor upgrade over Ariane 5 with mostly | parts that were developed for Ariane 5 ME. And yet | somehow it cost will easily pass 5 billion $ and that | doesn't include even e new engine. And a lot of cost is | also hidden on other balance sheet, a full accounting | would be likely more. | | That might be about 2x as much as the complete Falcon 9 | (+ Falcon Heavy) + Merlin + Re-usability program cost. | | So yes, a comparative small budget, but that doesn't | actually explain many of the issues. | aardvarkr wrote: | How does SpaceX pollute? | rqtwteye wrote: | Self promotion is just way more accepted in the US vs most | European countries. You notice this in ESA vs NASA. I also | notice it when I read resumes. Resumes from European | countries are way more subdued than ones from the US. | fastball wrote: | ESA isn't avoiding self-promotion, they're just bad at it. | causality0 wrote: | I have to agree with you. They're more than happy to | label anything "NASA/ESA" when the ESA's project | contribution was fifty Euros and a can of spray paint. | martin8412 wrote: | Hey, that spray paint was load bearing! | panick21_ wrote: | This is just overplayed. If you look at European rocket | startups, they don't act much different. Some of them are | even more prone to hype and exaggeration then American | equivalence. | | Its just that ESA in particular has that culture. | JBorrow wrote: | No it's not, this even goes to things like reference | letters. US letters for the same candidate are always | much stronger and use very different language. | teajunky wrote: | You watch this video about the excitement level of NASA vs | ESA: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mtOGcgWozd4 | lo_zamoyski wrote: | Even in resumes/CVs. Americans tend to exaggerate and play up | their experience in a manner you don't see that much of in | Europe. | semessier wrote: | very impressive and competitive - if it were 2010 | | Note that the Raptor 3 is at 269 tons thrust (vis-a-vis 100 tons) | and 350 bar chamber pressure (with 100 bar for the Prometheus). | The raptor is state-of-the-art full-flow staged combustion which | is described as very tricky, Prometheus dated open-cycle. Raptor | has been extensively tested and refined for years now and is | getting very close to real flight heritage. Once Prometheus has | flight models the Raptor will be at least a decade ahead, | probably continuing to move rapidly. Taking a guess Raptor is | probably much cheaper to produce and operate than Prometheus. It | appears like a failed design by plan similar to a decision to | continue expendable Arianes provided that 'there are only 10 or | so launches per year' and implicitly that the system is set up to | produce throw-away rockets that need lots of resources to produce | each example. | dotnet00 wrote: | As cool as Raptor is, I feel that ESA, as a government | organization, making any effort towards a truly reusable engine | is very good when over here in the US, NASA is still forced to | pour billions into resuscitating the RS-25 while Boeing | continues to embarass itself with Starliner and ULA rushes full | speed into using reusable engines in the least effective ways. | panick21_ wrote: | NASA doesn't need to invest in its own engines. RS-25 is just | something congress forced on them. In reality the private | companies are developing lots of engine, Raptor is just one | example. I have documented this in my top level post. | | NASA and DoD are both committed to buying rockets on | commercial rockets, and all of the competitors view engine | development as a majorly important. | | There are at least 10 major reusable engines in development | in the US. And of course Merlin is already flying and | Prometheus has a very, very long way to go until to reach it. | | > while Boeing continues to embarass itself with Starliner | | True but that's a fixed price contract. Boeing is spending | its own money to finish that program. | | NASA actually has crewed spaceflight, something Europe never | even came close to. | | > ULA rushes full speed into using reusable engines in the | least effective ways | | Not sure what you mean? ULA is adopting a pretty modern | engine. That engine took a while to develop but that isn't so | surprising. And it isn't ULAs fault. | cubefox wrote: | After Ariane 5, ESA should probably award fixed price contracts | to private European rocket startups rather than doing it | together with Arianespace. But I suspect this wouldn't work | well with EU funding, since those startups are only located in | certain member states. | panick21_ wrote: | There are a whole host of issues with the idea that ESA could | do things like NASA does them now. Politics is one issue, but | there are many others. | | > But I suspect this wouldn't work well with EU funding | | Just FYI, while EU funds some of ESA. ESA is independent and | most of its budget is directly from member states. | Aeolun wrote: | EU startups would get _huge_ 500k grants! Maybe even up to | 2M. And the only thing they need to do in return is develop a | reusable rocket engine. | | The reason nothing happens in Europe. | sottol wrote: | This is clearly geo-strategic. Also never hurts to have | competition, see eg Amazon or Google what happens when the | innovator becomes a monopoly. | martin8412 wrote: | The goal of ESA is to have independent space capabilities. | panick21_ wrote: | Well actually their STATED GOAL was to be highly | competitive in the international launch market as well. | When Ariane 6 was greenlit there was much talk about that | this investment needed to be made to be competitive and so | on and so on. | | And of course now 10 years later its all like 'all we | wanted is independent space access'. | | Of course if that was the case just flying Ariane 5 would | have been better. Not having 3 different rockets would have | been better. | trompetenaccoun wrote: | And sadly they're behind even China at this point, which is | a bit of a joke if we're honest. | | ESA is a perfect example for what a bureaucratic monster | Europe is these days. With a similar budget as CNSA but no | clear vision and goals, the funds have mostly been wasted | in recent years. They have the engineers, a good spaceport, | the knowledge, etc... everything they'd need. But the | stagnating political culture is holding them back. The US | went through something similar, but at least with the | private spaceflight boom the Americans seem to have snapped | out of it. | jackmott42 wrote: | It isn't at all clear yet that their open cycle engine is | dated. Raptor has yet to prove reliable. Perhaps it will be, | perhaps it will not. It is fundamentally harder to start the | full flow staged combustion cycle, so time will tell if they | can make this work as reliably as they have the merlin. | | SpaceX still makes all of their money with a simple open cycle | rocket engine, and it burns RP1 which is expensive to clean up. | Prometheus would be better in that regard. | carabiner wrote: | This engine is going into their reusable demonstrator Callisto. | Callisto is a copy* of SpaceX's Grasshopper that flew... _11 | years ago_ | | * https://satelliteobservation.net/2018/06/02/cnes-director- | of... | | > Callisto is Grasshopper. The Chinese are also building a | similar prototype, I have no problem saying we didn't invent | anything. | 908B64B197 wrote: | What's crazy is that, unlike this ESA engine and prototype | rocket, Raptor and Starship R&D is all privately funded by | SpaceX's profits. | | Starship will fly payloads to LEO before this European rocket | reaches the Karman line. | martin8412 wrote: | Considering that SpaceX keeps raising cash from private | investors, I doubt that very much. | panick21_ wrote: | What do you doubt? | | Private investors are private funding. | | And of course they are raising cash, they have literally | have the most advanced rocket and satellites projects in | development at the same time. | | I can't find when CALLISTO is supposed to fly, some | information says its 2022 but yeah I don't think they | will make that. Starship isn't really in a race with | CALLISTO so its kind of irrelevant. | carabiner wrote: | Yes 2022 launch date would be difficult. Some type of | gravity field manipulation to create a closed time like | curve would be required. | panick21_ wrote: | Its certainty an interesting engine but for a very advanced space | program, as they Europeans want to be, it isn't anything ground | breaking. If some US startup would announce something like this | everybody would shrug and call it par for the course and not | particularly innovative. | | Europe has never developed first stage close cycle engine. The | Soviets have mastered close cycle engines as far back as the 60s | and even today (at least until the Ukraine war) great | Russian/Ukrainian engine were for sale. And today many even | startups are working on close cycle engines. | | This engine is another open cycle engine while the world for real | competitive launch vehicles is moving to more advanced engines. | And those that do not, are not doing it because they want their | next generation rocket to be there as soon as possible. While a | European rocket with this engine is at least a decade or more | out. | | It is targeted at being reusable and that is good of course but | pretty much every modern engine program is gone be restartable | and reusable. We don't have much information how many times it | will be reusable, what its startup mechanism and we just | generally don't have that much information. | | So the thing that's kind of stunning here is that Esa/Arianespace | is developing this one next generation engine and keep hyping it | and building it up as this next generation engine for Europe. But | its really nothing special, there are many engines in development | (some much further along) in the US that are just gone be as | advanced or more advanced. ESA here looks more like a random | startup, rather being a leader in technology: | | Relativity Space Aeon-R: | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W91fO97WAPo | https://www.relativityspace.com/terran-r | | RocketLab Archimedes: | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archimedes_(rocket_engine) | | Or how about Launcher E-2: | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Th1mP0bU9L8 | https://launcherspace.squarespace.com/engine-2 | | Ursa Major: | | https://www.ursamajor.com/engines/arroway | | SpaceX Raptor 3: | | https://youtu.be/h_5ltDjun3g?t=72 | | BlueOrigin BE-4: | | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdS4azOaF2M | | There are more that we could mention. | | So Europe hear is more like a small fish in a big pond. And | compared to efforts like Raptor, this is many generations behind. | | This is not big ambition from Europe, but doing the bare minimum | to have something that is somewhat modern. But by the time they | will get it into a launch vehicle it will look old compare to the | competition. | | The problem is that engine development in Europe is just very | slow, and integrating engines to rockets is even slower. Consider | the fancy new Vinci Upper Stage engine. It has been in | development for over 20 years now, and will likely be 25 year of | total time from start of development to first flight. | | And the worst of it is, the Ariane 6 Upper Stage mass is so heavy | that Vinci amazing performance is held back by a terrible | structural design. So even as they have this advanced engine, | they resulting rocket isn't really great. | | ESA has a very, very long way ahead if they want their rocket to | be more then just launcher military launches from its member | states. ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2023-06-23 23:00 UTC)