[HN Gopher] Goodreads was the future of book reviews, then Amazo... ___________________________________________________________________ Goodreads was the future of book reviews, then Amazon bought it Author : pseudolus Score : 416 points Date : 2023-07-03 16:11 UTC (6 hours ago) (HTM) web link (www.washingtonpost.com) (TXT) w3m dump (www.washingtonpost.com) | CaptainZapp wrote: | > By joining Amazon, Goodreads has accelerated their mission to | delight customers with the help of Amazon's resources and | technology. | | Seriously, reading the diarrhea vomited out by corporate PR | shills nowadays seriously makes my teeth hurt. | | Do those people actually believe the bullshit they're spouting to | the general public? | bacchusracine wrote: | >Do those people actually believe the bullshit they're spouting | to the general public? | | With the kinds of salaries they make? Absolutely! I'll believe | your butt makes chocolate ice cream for the kind of money those | people make ^1. | | ^1 testing the theory on the other hand...not so much. | CrampusDestrus wrote: | Amazon's resources and technology to display a static web page | with a few low resolution images and a bunch of text. | hospitalJail wrote: | At least Apple's marketers will say things like | | "While I don't like that they do X, they are the best at Y, and | they need to do X for your safety" | | You get what you pay for. | garciansmith wrote: | I wish news organizations would not give direct quotes when | pure marketing nonsense was written. Just say something like | "Amazon did not give us any substantive comment on the matter." | batch12 wrote: | I suspect it's a case of one hand washing another. They | publish the fluff so they can be on the list of publications | that get early dibs on 'news' that will drive engagement. | cratermoon wrote: | Don't forget the Jeff Bezos owns the Washington Post. If | they didn't give Amazon's side unquestioned, someone would | be in trouble. | chipotle_coyote wrote: | The article's entire theme is "was this purchase a good | thing" and the subhead ("raises questions about | [Goodreads'] longtime owner") strongly implies the answer | is no. | | I get why "well, journalists never critically report on | the people who directly or indirectly sign their | paycheck, dontcha know!" is such a popular take | (particularly in cynical times with a skeptical crowd), | but the history of news shows journalists reporting on | things that could potentially piss off their owners | pretty repeatedly, and the _Washington Post_ reporting on | things relating to Amazon doesn't seem to be a serious | exception. | | Amusingly, I just did a DuckDuckGo search on "washington | post reporting on amazon", intending to see if there were | critical takes on said reporting, and what came up | instead was: a plethora of WaPo articles with headlines | like "Bernie Sanders launches investigation into Amazon | labor practices", "Lawmakers: Amazon may have lied to | Congress", "Perspective: How Amazon shopping ads are | disguised as real results", "FTC sues Amazon over Prime | enrollment without consent", "Amazon's OSHA data shows | its workers injured at higher rates than rival | companies", and "Tour Amazon's dream home, where every | appliance is also a spy". | deanCommie wrote: | I wish people also learned some critical reading: | | Amazon spokesperson Ashely Vanicek said that "<exact quote>" | | Is journalistically neutral. Amazon was asked about what we | wrote. Here's what they said. You decide if you believe us, | or Amazon. | | I see nothing wrong with this, unless the headline of this | story was "Goodreads' accelerated mission in delighting | customers with the help of Amazon's resources and | technology." | cratermoon wrote: | It's not "Is journalistically neutral". It's being a | purveyor of propaganda. Just like when journalists quote | cops using CopSpeak. It lets the interested party defined | the terms of the debate. By constraining the terms, it can | become literally impossible to say some things. | archgoon wrote: | [dead] | unethical_ban wrote: | I see both peoples' points. Yes, journalism can objectively | report the fact that Amazon said something. I think it is | _also_ fair to wish for informationally bankrupt statements | to be called out by decent institutions. As you say, the | headline suggests an opposition to Amazon 's position, so | maybe that's enough. | CaptainZapp wrote: | I really liked Hunter S Thompson's gonzo journalism take | in that regard. | | It went along the lines: | | "The defence secretary said that we're fighting a | righteous and humane war in Vietnam. The defense | secretary is full of shit!" | | Nowadays they send their spokes drones and have the spin | masters cook up even more ridiculous shit. | | Hunter S Thompson (RIP) must be spinning in his grave. | | e: added quotes around Hunter's fictious statement | monktastic1 wrote: | Not giving substantive comments makes it sound more honorable | than what was actually said. I actually prefer them exposing | the nonsense that corporations spew, so that their | disingenuity is in plain sight and on the record. | RoyGBivCap wrote: | Devil's advocate: What if they gave a comment the publication | didn't like (but readers would) and hid it? | | Publishing what was said is more "just the facts, please" | than editorializing the response, as shitty PR-speak as it | is. | tracerbulletx wrote: | No. Most of the political and corporate apparatus communicates | as an occupation, what they believe has no correlation with | what they say. | Lolaccount wrote: | I've found that "delight customers" is the key phrase. | | Just write a script that excludes any articles which mentions | that phrase for a better life. | | That's been a pretty reliable indicator over the last decade. | hospitalJail wrote: | Nah, better marketers know to pretend to be a frustrated | human who relents because 'this is the best we got and | everything else sucks even more'. | JohnFen wrote: | I agree. There are a handful of red flag phrases that can | reliably predict whether or not you're being sold a bill of | goods. "Delight customers" is one of them. As soon as a | company says anything like that, I know to avoid them like | they're radioactive. | JKCalhoun wrote: | Greetings, fellow customer! | JohnFen wrote: | > Do those people actually believe the bullshit they're | spouting to the general public? | | I don't know. but I do know that the best marketers I've worked | with all had one trait in common: they believed their own | bullshit. One told me outright that the first thing he has to | do when taking on a new account is to convince himself that the | story he needs to tell is true because that stops him from | having to lie. | goodthrowreads wrote: | hi i worked at goodreads and this comment is giving me gell | mann amnesia. | | ask any engineer there, this is basically true in the sense | that amazon drastically professionalized what had been a deeply | fly by night company. the way software was written and product | cycles were done pre acquisition was hilariously bad. | | the reason goodreads still looks so ancient today is that even | a decade of amazon engineers trying to salvage it haven't been | able to climb out from under the mountain of tech debt the | company accrued pre acquisition. | | amazon should have just scrapped and rebuilt the entire thing | after the acquisition. or just not bought it and finished | building their competitor to it that was in progress. either | would have been more successful what they did. | ims wrote: | Seems like the existing user base, reviews, and lists were | the main source of value. I don't want to be "that guy" but | I'm curious what made it so hard to rewrite some or all of | the CRUD aspects? | intesars wrote: | Agree, it was a preemptive buy to keep the competition out. | FalconSensei wrote: | Amazon buying it is one problem. But the other is the users, | review-bombing books they haven't even read | NotYourLawyer wrote: | But Amazon is otherwise so good at rooting out fraudulent | reviews! | pessimizer wrote: | This article starts off pretending to be a criticism of Amazon, | and this is highlighted in the headline. After a few vague | critical gestures towards Amazon in the first four paragraphs, it | gets to its real point: Goodreads, a social network, has woefully | inadequate _censorship,_ which can lead to financial losses to | authors and publishers. | | According the the WaPo, Amazon's crime with Goodreads seems to be | that it hasn't kept the site up with changes in _censorship_ | standards and technology, and just lets whoever say whatever | about books. | NelsonMinar wrote: | Preventing fraud, not censorship. Writing a fake review of a | book that hasn't even been finished written yet is fraud. | pessimizer wrote: | A review of a book that hasn't been published that explains | why I don't think the subject is appropriate for a book, how | I don't like the author, and what I think about the author's | previous opinions about the subject isn't "fake" or "fraud," | it's discussion that virtually all intelligent people can | handle. | | "Fake" and "fraud" are words that you're adding to the | article. | | ----- | | edit: | | I feel like it's important to mention that the only reason | this "review bombing" is painted as bad is because _it | convinces people._ This is yet another case of (calling for) | censoring speech _because_ it is convincing. It convinced the | Eat, Pray, Love author not to publish at all. | mcpackieh wrote: | If your review "of a book" is actually a review of the | author, I agree that it's not quite right to call it a fake | review, nor fraud, but neither is it truly a review of the | book. Ideally there would be a way to rate authors so that | people don't feel compelled to categorize their author | reviews as book reviews for books they haven't read. People | are going to leave these kind of reviews, so the system may | as well be set up for it. | | Generally, I'm wary of attempts to address 'review bombing' | (besides standard anti-botting measures) because it seems | like accusations of review bombing have become a sort of | general cope employed by creators whenever their thing gets | a negative reception. It's common to de-legitimize contrary | points of view by calling people dehumanizing terms like | 'troll', when in fact those people probably earnestly feel | that way (they aren't trolling.) If I know the earth is | round but I _pretend_ to think the earth is flat to get a | rise out of people, that 's trolling. But if I'm a halfwit | who earnestly thinks the earth is flat, and I say so, | that's not trolling. The difference between these won't | necessarily be apparent from the text of the review itself; | how then do you separate the trolls from the people you | disagree with? On an individual basis you can go with your | gut or look that person up, but that doesn't scale up to | classifying thousands of reviews. What creators are really | asking for is the privilege to curate the reviews | themselves, but that isn't a reasonable privilege to grant | because it would completely devalue reviews for consumers. | | Do what needs to be done to combat botting, use captchas or | account verification or whatever works. But after that? Let | the reviews fall where they may. Creators will cry that the | bad reviews aren't legitimate because the reviewers are | [dehumanizing term], but there's nothing that can | reasonably be done about this. | drxzcl wrote: | That's only true for extremely small values of "censorship". | pessimizer wrote: | The values that include _commenting on writing in general_ | aren 't small to most people. I can't imagine a larger value. | | edit: hopefully somebody reading the WaPo has some sort of | connection to Amazon, and can really commit to making sure | that people's inappropriate opinions on the quality of books, | the subjects of books, or whether books should have been | written at all - will be corrected promptly and repeat | offenders banned in future. | lkbm wrote: | Do you consider it censorship when Amazon removes fake | reviews from their products? This is something most people | are in favor of. | | You can write what you want about books elsewhere. On | Amazon, product reviews and ratings should be from people | who have used the product. On Goodreads, reviews should be | by people who have read the book. | pessimizer wrote: | > Do you consider it censorship when Amazon removes fake | reviews from their products? This is something most | people are in favor of. | | This isn't about fake reviews, this is | | 1) partially about reviews from people who haven't read | the book, but object to the subject matter or something | else about the book, and | | 2) about "review-bombing," a phrase that is used a lot in | this article without an argument being made as to exactly | what constitutes review bombing (do the people involved | have to collude?), or whether it's illegitimate. It just | assumes that it is. | | You've said "fake reviews" in this comment when the word | "fake" wasn't used in the article a single time. They | depend on you doing that for them. | JohnFen wrote: | > partially about reviews from people who haven't read | the book, but object to the subject matter or something | else about the book | | Which is a fake review in my view. Or, at least, an | irrelevant review. A review is supposed to be about the | particulars of that book, not about whether or not the | reader thinks the subject matter is objectionable. | Presumably, people who dislike the subject matter won't | be reading the book anyway, so such a review is | worthless. | | If you haven't read the book, you cannot possibly write a | legitimate review of it. | pessimizer wrote: | If it's a "fake" review for values of fake that don't | include dishonesty, you can easily choose not to read it. | | This is not that. The big example cited is a bunch of | people registering their objection to a light book being | written about Soviet Ukraine while there's a war on. This | is a real objection that a lot of (silly, annoying) | people have. _The reason the book was not published is | because they thought that this objection would go viral | and affect the sales of the book._ | | That has nothing to with fake or false. That has to do | with suppressing financially threatening speech. | lkbm wrote: | > you can easily choose not to read it. | | I cannot easily exclude it from the ratings. There's a | pretty widespread understanding that star ratings are | meant to aggregate the opinions of people who read the | book. | AlbertCory wrote: | > But Goodreads allows any user, not just those who've received | advance copies, to leave ratings months before books are | released. Authors who've become targets of review-bombing | campaigns say there's little moderation or recourse to report the | harassment. Writers dealing with stalkers have pointed to the | same problem. | | "Problem": chicken-and-egg problem. Until it's actually | published, there's little or no way for a review site to verify | that you actually got it, let alone read it. | | Once it's published, people look at the reviews to decide whether | to buy it. So where are those reviews going to come from, for a | self-published book? | | Solution: the publisher gives advance review copies to readers. | Yes, the system IS ripe for abuse. But if you're reading a | review, it ought to be apparent whether the reviewer actually | read the book, or whether they have anything interesting to say. | | And Goodreads _should_ remove the bad ones. | atlasunshrugged wrote: | That implies people will read the reviews rather than just | seeing something with a star rating lower than a 4 and | automatically discount it (or that it won't be dramatically | deprioritized in Amazon's recommendations because of it). | prox wrote: | There is also a problem with quotes; you have these nobody | self-help book writers adding hundreds (?) of quotes that are | very poor, and gamed with upvotes. So you some see some nobody | authors quote next to Plato. | AlbertCory wrote: | What does that last sentence mean? | | Edit: the current comment is not what I was responding to. | It's clearer now after editing. | prox wrote: | I changed the wording. Basically you get noname brand | authors quotes next to really legendary figures quotes | because it's all gamed. | agloe_dreams wrote: | The thing is that it is a pretty easy to solve problem. Print | advance copies with a QR code that contains a link to the | publisher's site with a GUID in the params. The publisher would | have a page, authenticated with the GUID, with authenticated | links to private review pages. This allows for knowing the | person had the advance copy. Just that line will kill 95% of | review bombing. You can also use the publisher side to collect | analytics on books before retail. | | Why am I telling you this? It's a not-half-bad B2B startup one | could MVP over a week or so and your first publisher could get | you in the door with the review sites who would love to have | verified reviews. | AlbertCory wrote: | It's half-solved. I used a service to send out review copies, | so I have a record of who downloaded from the email and who | didn't. Which means the service does, and Amazon / Goodreads | could easily use that. | fn-mote wrote: | Why stop at that? Why not have every book contain a QR code | (crypographically secure GUID) and you have to be an | "authenticated buyer" in order to participate. The ones that | go to libraries could either be tagged specially or have the | reviews scrutinized / shadowbanned until vouched for. | | This started out as /s but now I just feel like all of my | information and every daily habit is going to end up (sold) | online anyway. | | We're still hoping the owner of the New Goodreads doens't | sell the ability to remove bad reviews. But what's the | incentive not to? Hoping I see something better in the | comments here. | AlbertCory wrote: | Good idea. Maybe YCombinator would back it. | manuelmoreale wrote: | Potentially good alternative is https://literal.club/ | | Not affiliated, just a happy user of the site. | mighmi wrote: | Do you know of any good forums or discussion places about books | overall, or is literal good for it? | manuelmoreale wrote: | Don't know about forums unfortunately. I use literal | primarily for book tracking and discovery and I have no idea | if it's any good to also discuss books with other people. | jamilton wrote: | There's also Storygraph. Looks like both sites support | exporting data from Goodreads, and Literal.club supports export | from Storygraph. | | Storygraph is pretty good, the UI is a little wonky but I | prefer it to Goodreads largely because it isn't Amazon. I use | it mostly for tracking reading, not so much for | recommendations, but I have gotten some good recs from it. | crossroadsguy wrote: | I don't think GoodReads has any real alternative. Amazon knew | that. That's why they bought it. | pavel_lishin wrote: | Storygraph is _fine_, but the UX is worse. (And that's saying | something, because imo the Goodreads UX is just barely | serviceable.) | manuelmoreale wrote: | It's been 10 years since Amazon bought it. Maybe it's time | for alternatives to go online. | sidmitra wrote: | As others have pointed out, alternatives do exist. They | just lack the network effect. | | I've recently moved to Bookwyrm. | | I was able to move import my Goodreads list, although many | books were missing. Any new books i'm reading, go on | Bookwyrm first. I had to add the ISBN details etc. for | some. It's a bit of work initially, but atleast i feel my | contribution is going to a non-walled garden. | | ---- | | https://joinbookwyrm.com/ - Social Reading and Reviewing, | Decentralized | | >BookWyrm is a social network for tracking your reading, | talking about books, writing reviews, and discovering what | to read next. Federation allows BookWyrm users to join | small, trusted communities that can connect with one | another, and with other ActivityPub services like Mastodon | and Pleroma. | gaius_baltar wrote: | Beware that Bookwyrm is neither Open Source (as per OSI | definition) nor Free Software (per FSF definition). It is | legally impossible for a lot of people to deploy it, I | think it even include myself (I am employed by a company, | does it counts as "laboring for myself" in my country?) | sidmitra wrote: | Doh! | | I went and looked at the license. | https://github.com/bookwyrm- | social/bookwyrm/blob/main/LICENS... | | Comment from the author. https://github.com/bookwyrm- | social/bookwyrm/issues/2152 | meesles wrote: | I think we're seeing increased scrutiny towards any social | network remaining after Reddit and Twitter have been anti- | consumer in their monetization practices. | | Personally, I've taken a great interest in ultimate-guitar.com, | which I consider the equivalent of Goodreads for guitar and other | music tabs. Networks like UG and Goodreads are the juiciest | targets for corporate takeovers, and both those sites were | entirely started on the contributions of non-employees. It | doesn't matter if they have now started to produce the content | themselves, they wouldn't have had the chance to without the work | put in by others already. | | I encourage you, reader, to look into the social networks you use | and to think about how you can archive the data submitted by the | public. UG caught my attention because I refuse to allow them to | steal their users' content after the fact just because they added | some lines to their ToS. I don't know that that's their plan, but | based on everything I've seen it seem inevitable. | | I hope someone else is looking to download all of Goodreads' data | to make it available to future hobbyists and grassroots websites. | MandieD wrote: | This is the sort of thing the folks behind ArchiveTeam.org live | for. I've not looked at their site in awhile because it's | heartbreaking what they didn't get the chance to archive, but | they've managed to rescue an awful lot, and provide the means | for even not-very technical people to help out. | sidibe wrote: | My absolutely inane contribution I'm sharing only because it | contrasts with everyone else commenting: | | I think Goodreads is fine, I do glance at it before any book I | read to see what kind of reviews it has. | | The Amazon site I used all the time that sucks now is IMDb. | r721 wrote: | >The Amazon site I used all the time that sucks now is IMDb. | | Did you try enabling "Show reference view" setting? (Account | Settings -> Content Settings) | raydiatian wrote: | Washington Post was the future of news then Jeff Bezos paywalled | it | pentagrama wrote: | I hope no corporation buys https://letterboxd.com which is | currently similar to the good old Goodreads but for movies. | AniseAbyss wrote: | [dead] | mg wrote: | For me, it was always more important to discover authors than to | discover books. | | When I find a author whose thoughts and theories I am interested | in, I usually read everything from this author. Usually their | most popular book is the best one. | | How is this for everybody else here? Any examples of books you | discovered on GoodReads where the book itself was the important | discovery and not the author? | hnburnsy wrote: | I've always suspected that journalists get story ideas from | Hackernews top posts... | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36533153 | ZacnyLos wrote: | Now Bookwyrm is the future of book reviews. Because it's FOSS and | federalised with ActivityPub protocol. | gaius_baltar wrote: | > Because it's FOSS | | It's not FOSS, my other comment on the issue: | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36578294 | nologic01 wrote: | Came here to say the same. | | Bookwyrm is a good example of how the fediverse architecture is | more profound than social media (and definitely more profound | than mastodon that is in the end of the day a twitter | imitator). | | People may tire of social media inanity, whether it is | centralized or decentralized. But there will always be | communities that want to exchange information, thoughts, | feelings, whether that is about movies, books or any other | creative artifact. | | Its important that those conversations don't take place inside | a giant automated vending machine. | sidmitra wrote: | One caveat for new users is that it requires some effort to | use it. In many cases, if you're reading non mainstream books | then it's on you to add those books and ISBN details + cover | page etc. You're essentially contributing to the site | content, but hopefully it's worth it. | | My profile is here, as an example: | https://bookwyrm.social/user/sidmitra | fastball wrote: | Eh, Goodreads has always suffered from the same problem that | plagues every other review system which uses "score out of X" | ranking. | | Humans just aren't very good at ranking things on a normal | distribution, so you invariably end up with every item (books in | this case) being ranked somewhere in the 3.5-4.5 range (since | Goodreads is out of 5). For IMDB the rankings all hover around | 8ish. When in reality the average book should have a 2.5. If you | _don 't_ rate like this then you just end up with garbage. | | Just allowing a boolean rating (ala Rotten Tomatoes when | aggregated) is much better, _assuming_ you can get enough reviews | for that system to actually work (probably > 30 is required for | most applications). | | I think "aggregated personal Elo" would be a fun way to rank | things: I just give you two books that you've read and you tell | me which is better. Do this loads of times and eventually you | have a solid ranking of every book you've ever read. Aggregate | everyone's rankings and you have a much more robust system then | "please rate this book out of 5 stars". | bstpierre wrote: | See https://www.criticker.com/explain/ -- it works sort of like | what you're suggesting. You _rank_ movies from 0-100, which is | different from _rating_ them. Your percentile ranking scores | are compared to other users ' rankings, and then it can suggest | movies that it thinks you will rank highly. | | IMO the real problem with something as subjective as books or | movies is that even completely honest, well-reasoned reviews | are going to be all over the map. My review of a Pride and | Prejudice movie is going to be maybe 3/10, but my wife would | give it 7/10, while we have the opposite reactions to something | like The Hunt for Red October. | | I don't care about reviews from experts _or_ the unwashed | masses. I don 't even really care about reviews that much -- | I'm more interesting in ratings from people who like the same | kind of stuff I do. | fourmajor wrote: | I disagree that stars should be evenly distributed between 1 to | 5 stars. I think it's quite possible that most books that | people choose to read end up being a 3 (good with some flaws) | or 4 (good but not all-time great). It's kind of like the same | thing with pizza. I'd give most pizza a 3 or 4. Very few 1s and | 5s to be sure. 1 doesn't have to mean bottom 20% of pizzas. It | can mean "awful, couldn't finish," where very few pizzas would | fall into that category. 5 doesn't need to mean "best 20% of | pizzas," it can mean "telling strangers about it the next day," | again where very few pizzas would fall into that category. | [deleted] | kortilla wrote: | "Normal distribution" doesn't mean evenly distributed. Most | being in the middle is a normal distribution. | LVB wrote: | I had a debate on the Criticker site about this topic since | they try hard to turn your raw ratings into a normalized | span. The fact is that _because_ of ratings sites, I 'm very | rarely watching 1-star movies. That's good! So the low end | was dominated by a 2.5/3 type ratings, which per my scale | meant "just OK," but they were mapping it to "bad," somehow | inferring that my rating range is 3-5. | tim-fan wrote: | _I just give you two books that you 've read and you tell me | which is better._ | | I played around with a tool for sorting through my personal | photos based on that idea. | | It gets interesting when you start thinking of how to optimally | choose pairs to compare, to maximise signal and minimize | redundant comparisons. This becomes more important as the size | of the set of objects you are comparing becomes large. | | https://github.com/tim-fan/image_sorting | nextos wrote: | There's also TrueSkill, by Microsoft Research, which turns Elo | into a proper generative model: | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TrueSkill | | It'd be definitely interesting to see a book review site like | this. In the meantime, for math books, I trust curated rankings | by MAA: https://www.maa.org/press/maa-reviews | pizza_pleb wrote: | We use this at https://languageroadmap.com, but for | difficulty rankings between titles in the context of language | learning using media. It does seem to work pretty well and we | disclaim rankings with the confidence score. | | As for the grandparent comment: recency bias, as pointed out | by another commenter is a thing, as is the tediousness of | doing a bunch of pairwise decisions. I think a happier medium | is to have everyone fill in tier charts (with variable number | of tiers) and build the pairwise rankings from that. | pessimizer wrote: | > I just give you two books that you've read and you tell me | which is better. | | I've always been so for this in situations where the users also | have a database of their own history on the site, like | Goodreads or Boardgamegeek.com, for example. Just throw up | modals every once and a while comparing two books that you know | the user knows, and make it easy to opt out of. I probably | wouldn't opt out, because it would appeal to my ego and feel | like a game. | | > Humans just aren't very good at ranking things on a normal | distribution, so you invariably end up with every item (books | in this case) being ranked somewhere in the 3.5-4.5 range | (since Goodreads is out of 5). For IMDB the rankings all hover | around 8ish. When in reality the average book should have a | 2.5. If you don't rate like this then you just end up with | garbage. | | Just normalize the users against themselves. I wouldn't be | giving a 4-star review, I'd be giving a _pessimizer_ (4-star | review). | mahoho wrote: | Well rating scales don't have any absolute meaning, only that | which is attributed to them either by the reviewer or the | audience. On any aggregate review site the scale of the | aggregate score will take on its own semantics, which is the | aggregate of all the users' own semantics they use for their | individual scores. | | And for most people, it seems like the semantics of rating | scales don't align with a normal distribution about the 50% | mark, but something more like letter grades where 70% is | decent/mediocre, while 50% is a failure (in the US). | | IMO this makes at least as much sense as centering around 50%; | if you only score 50% of the points on a test I don't think | you're competent in a subject, and if your book only meets 50% | of the criteria for a great book then it might be a bad book. | But again, it's all arbitrary and only makes sense in the | context of the particular reviewer or aggregate community. | TRiG_Ireland wrote: | > I just give you two books that you've read and you tell me | which is better. | | I can't wait to compare _The Pickwick Papers_ against _The | Unfolding of Language_. | gavmor wrote: | A solid point: books may excel at one dimension while not | even attempting another. I suppose one might have to | ascertain what genre, exactly, a book falls in, and how it | fares in its own genre. But then you're not comparing | pairwise, and we lose the benefits of our visual cortex or | whatever neural system is so good at pairwise comparisons. | | Constraining pairings within their genres might suffice, if | possible. There are several standard ontology for books, and | it's not a trivial problem. | [deleted] | waspight wrote: | I have thought about this relative rating as well. Would it be | possible to use? I mean, does it scale? I also have seen some | ratings where you can only rate between 5 - 10, I guess since | no one ever rates below 5 anyway. I think it kind of works. | ohlookcake wrote: | > the average book should have a 2.5 Disagree on this. This | assumes that people read books completely at random. In | reality, people read blurbs/summaries or get a recommendation | and the typical book you read is likely to be better than the | midpoint between the worst book you've read and the best book | you've read (I'm assuming a linear scale mental model). | CSMastermind wrote: | > This assumes that people read books completely at random. | | I'm not sure it implies that. I think that if: | | 1. Book quality follows a normal distribution. | | and | | 2. People are capable of accurately assessing the quality of | books relative to other books. | | then you'd end up with an average rating of 2.5. | | It doesn't matter if people are disproportionately reading | the better books and rating them highly because an increasing | number of reviews on a book would only give you more | confidence in its rating, not change the rating of the book | relative to other books. | | To illustrate this we can imagine a world with only 100 books | in it and only 100 people in it. | | Let's assume that a single person from that group reads all | 100 books and per the two assumptions above correctly rates | them on a normal distribution. | | Then the other 99 people read only a single book which the | first person recommends as a 5. And per the two assumptions | above they all also rate it as a 5. | | Now there are 99 books with only 1 rating normally | distributed between 1 and 5 and there is 1 book with 100 | ratings - all 5s. | | Does this change the average rating of books on the platform? | | Nope the average rating is still 2.5. In fact the one book | could have a million ratings or a billion 5 star ratings and | the average rating of books on the platform would still be a | 2.5. | | What we see on sites like goodreads is that either book | quality doesn't follow a normal distribution and/or people | are not capable of accurately assessing the quality of books | relative to other books. | therealdrag0 wrote: | Good points. But do we have evidence GR is not a normal | distribution. GP's comment does apply to views of ratings, | so we might have an impression if higher average rating | because the books we look at are more often better than | avg. | throw0101a wrote: | For a while now I've though that maybe only three rankings are | needed: | | * Recommend this thing | | * Neutral opinion | | * Do not recommend this thing | | Not sure how much "neutral" would be used: kind of like thumbs- | up/down or up-down-vote mechanic: if you're neutral you may | simply not vote at all. | ROTMetro wrote: | In medicine they use a pain scale with faces when they need to | find out from kids how much pain they are in. Something like | that might be a better system? | xhevahir wrote: | This article about Microsoft's research on recommendation | algorithms was interesting. It's from several years ago, so I | imagine some people have begun using it. | https://news.mit.edu/2017/better-recommendation-algorithm-12... | dreamcompiler wrote: | And in many such systems the peer pressure to give a 5 is | tremendous, which further devalues the rating system. Uber | drivers for example have told me that if more than a few | customers give them a 4 they will be effectively fired. | Restaurants, tour companies etc have asked me to please give | them the maximum number of stars on Yelp, Google, Tripadvisor, | etc lest there be dire consequences for them. | | This is of course Goodheart's Law in action but I don't have | any ideas for fixing the problem. | tecleandor wrote: | Seems like this is culturally different for some things. And | corporations can influence too. | | I have a friend who has four restaurants in Tokyo, and I've | been several times there. If you keep attention to the | restaurant reviews in Google Maps, Japanese people is very | hard. They'd go like "The food is great, incredible service, | surprising flavors, very good experience, best Spanish food | I've had in a long time..." and then they go "...but I know | they can do better and have space to improve. 2/5". | | In Spain we would be like "Nice beer, they gave us some tapas. | 5/5" | | Gig economy corporations also have made this worse. You're | scared to score your driver, your server or your hotel by less | than a 5/5 or somebody might get punished or fired (and maybe | they didn't even had a contract in the first place). | | And this becomes a snake biting its own tail. Now I rarely go | to a place with a score of less than a 4/5, and I'll score | relatively high because I know I could influence votes out of | what people consider "worthy to visit". | JohnFen wrote: | > I rarely go to a place with a score of less than a 4/5 | | I have a simpler heuristic. I ignore all customer ratings | entirely, and refuse to leave any. | [deleted] | yurishimo wrote: | 100% it's cultural. In the Netherlands, companies brag about | a 7 or 8 out of ten as proof of their amazing customer | service. When I lived in America, it seemed the consensus of | anything under a 9 is killing puppies. | | Coincidentally, NPS is entirely based on this fact. 8+ is | required for a "happy customer". 7 is given a little wiggle | room to win them back and under 6 is a lost cause. | autarch wrote: | At my last employer they ran regular eNPS surveys using | this 1-10 response scale where only 9 or 10 were considered | positive. After much complaining from me that this was | batshit crazy (I phrased this more appropriately at work), | they finally switched to using just three possible | responses. The question was something like "Would you | recommend an acquaintance or friend with the appropriate | skills to apply for a job at $Company?". The three | responses were "No", "Maybe", and "Yes". | MandieD wrote: | Fun related fact about 1-5 survey responses in Germany: | make sure you specify that 5 is the top mark and 1 is the | bottom, otherwise you're liable to get some really odd | results. | | This is because 1 is the highest grade (mark) in school, | and 5 is failing, as is the even-worse 6. | | And even so informed, or accustomed to 1-5 scale used by | everyone else, Germans are more likely than Americans to | give a 4 instead of a 5 to something that they were happy | with, but was not the best they'd ever experienced. | user_7832 wrote: | > In the Netherlands, companies brag about a 7 or 8 out of | ten as proof of their amazing customer service. | | Huh, could you give an example of it? I am new to the | Netherlands and hadn't realized this yet. | yurishimo wrote: | Sure. I was looking up energy price comparisons last | night and came across this. | | https://www.overstappen.nl/energie/vergelijken/ | | Under "Beste energievergelijker" | | > Onze klanten beoordelen ons daarom met gemiddeld een | 8,6. | | If you scroll further, you can see their ratings for | other services; none reach even an 8. | | Compare that to Nerd Wallet's "Best Life Insurance | Companies" (a segment that is nearly identical from all | providers if you purchase term life). | | https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/insurance/best-life- | insur... | | 5/5 across the board for all parties. I get that it's a | "best of" list, but you seriously mean to tell me all of | these companies are exactly the same? The rest of Nerd | Wallet's top pick lists are the same. | dahwolf wrote: | How we rate things in the Netherlands is a reflection of | the rating system used in schools. | | 1-5. Ranging from pathetic to inadequate, in any case you | didn't pass. | | 6. Adequate, the minimum needed to pass. A culturally | important number as it expresses the "zesjescultuur", a | phenomenon where somebody is intentionally doing the | absolute bare minimum to not get into trouble. | | 7. More than adequate. | | 8. Good. Even if near-perfect, few Dutch people would | rate above this number because we don't want you to get | all cocky. | | 9. Excellent. In service, only awarded when you did | something completely unexpected or memorable. | | 10. Perfect, flawless. | cratermoon wrote: | The insiders say never to rent from AirBnB if the property | isn't at least 4.8 stars. These days those ranking systems | don't truly start from 0 or 1. The statistically significant | range is much smaller. I don't personally know have the stats | chops to do it, but I'm sure determining that range can be | done. | CamperBob2 wrote: | The important thing is to actually read the reviews. A | five-star place that's located 2 blocks away from a | railroad crossing that's active all night won't yield a | five-star experience, but the host can hardly be expected | to mention that. | | The last AirBnB I rented was a five-star house where the | host had installed one of those Nest smoke detectors with | the motion-sensing night light directly above the bed. He | still got a five-star rating, but I went well out of my way | to mention the night light in my review. | cratermoon wrote: | > Humans | | There's the problem there - assuming human input makes up an | important part of the rankings. | hospitalJail wrote: | The Modern Zelda reviews are a prime example of this. | | The non-industry people reviewing Zelda have 4 options, 7/10, | 8/10, 9/10, 10/10. | | A 7/10 means the game was bad and you had a hard time finishing | it, and won't be playing again. | | 8/10 means the game was also bad, but you had fun for a few | minutes/hours. | | 9/10 means the game meet minimum expectations. | | 10/10 means you enjoyed the game, but there were countless | flaws that took away from enjoying the game. | | 10/10 Greatest game of all time means, the game was above | average. | | Now, this same system applied outside Nintendo's curve, you | knock these numbers down 2. | | Its incredibly hard to figure out if a Nintendo game is good, | if you treat them like other companies. Even Nintendo believes | this and will yank early access/ads/etc... from gaming websites | if you don't comply with the Nintendo curve. | afterburner wrote: | > The non-industry people reviewing Zelda have 4 options, | 7/10, 8/10, 9/10, 10/10. | | Did you mean the industry people? Plenty of user reviews are | 1/10. It's the industry guys that are always rating stuff 7+ | yurishimo wrote: | Devils advocate; Is it not possible that Nintendo just makes | good games? | | They spend a lot of time on development, don't rush things, | the trailers are honest about gameplay and what to expect. | | I can understand it's not your cup of tea or arguments that | their online service is shit (it is) but reviewing a video | game in isolation, many of them seem to be good games | objectively. Games that don't appeal to the average CoD fan | sure, but that doesn't mean they are bad games. | hospitalJail wrote: | Nah, you can see it on subreddits as people discuss the | game. Complaining about a few enemies, copypaste world, | etc... Its not a 10/10, but it will still be reviewed like | this. | | Imagine you got rid of the Zelda skins and Zelda name, | released it on Xbox. What would it get then? | | Don't get me wrong, I religiously play all the zelda's and | find ways to enjoy them. I am under Nintendo's spell, but I | also know these are the corporate mascots I grew up with. | Nintendo markets to children, we basically need therapy if | we want to be free from their grip. | mcpackieh wrote: | > _Imagine you got rid of the Zelda skins and Zelda name, | released it on Xbox. What would it get then?_ | | You're right, but to be fair sort of 'reskin and re-rate' | test would decimate the reviews of most sequels, remakes, | adaptations, etc. Not just in video games, but movies, | books, etc. Would Peter Jackson's The Lord of the Rings | trilogy have been half as culturally relevant if it | weren't standing on the shoulders of a very popular | series of books? | yurishimo wrote: | That's fair. I would take a minor issue with your framing | (someone who didn't play BotW wouldn't find the map a cop | out and I'm glad they put the effort in for the 2 other | layers of the map) but you could make those same | arguments against COD or Destiny. | | I do think it's worth noting how many of the ideas from | BotW have been copied in the past 6 years in other games. | | I guess my point is, I can understand the 10/10s but I | also find it entirely reasonable to view it closer to a 7 | or 8. | | We're also not thinking about things in a vacuum in this | discussion. Is the Xbox game released as if BotW never | happened? Nintendo certainly uses its brand to buy | marketing influence but importantly, I don't think the | company is pissed when games fail. | | Skyward Sword was a good example of that actually. It's | failure literally led to BotW. Nintendo got off their | laurels and reinvented their "tried and true" formula and | now it's paying off. | | I am closer your position for games like 2D Mario. Zero | innovation and I'll be eagerly watching the reviews for | the new game later this year. | delecti wrote: | A simple point that address a lot of that is just that bad | games usually get fewer reviews. There are still plenty of | 6/10 and below games getting reviewed, but (contrary to the | idiom) you can often accurately get a decent gauge of media | ahead of time. People want to experience good media, and so | better media tends to have a gravity of critic and audience | attention. Most reviews don't go below 7 because reviewers | are people who, just like the rest of us, want to enjoy good | media. | | A couple examples: Lord of the Rings Gollum (a recent, high- | profile, but poorly received game) has 36 critic reviews on | metacritic for an average of 39, Forspoken (another similarly | high-profile and poorly-received game) has 7 for an average | of 63, and Tears of the Kingdom has 139 for an average of 96. | Someone with more free time and motivation could pull a | better spread of data to really show how the two data points | relate, but I'd be shocked if there weren't a strong | correlation between score and review count almost across the | board. | sedatk wrote: | Yes, one person I knew rated my book 2/5 because, as he said, | it was beginner/mid-level-oriented and he wasn't aware when he | purchased it (clearly stated on the book's page, and pretty | much everywhere). A star rating system gives more emphasis on | an individual's own preference of what a good rating should be | which works against the consumer. | berkes wrote: | I really like the idea of relative ratings. | | But that also amplifies a problem that exists with any rating: | recency bias, or any sort of time bias. | | I change over time. An album that I loved when I was 15 could | get a 1/5 from me today. Or a book that I hated in my teens, | may now be my favorite. It's complicated. | aleksiy123 wrote: | Elo/Trueskill sounds like a solid idea. | | When you go to rate a book the system asks you if it was better | or worse (maybe same) then a book of you previously read | closest in rating or some hidden matchmaking rating (MMR). | | I think having books having both a personal and global score | would be nice as well. | | I don't think it would be possible for someone to change their | rating but that may be a feature. | | I also don't think this solves recommendation though it may be | useful as a feature. | kmos17 wrote: | As much as the IMDB rankings are obviously gamed (especially | when a movie or series just came out) I find the ratings fairly | accurate over time, a 7+ is usually pretty decent to great for | 8+, ratings of 6 are usually pretty average and 5 and below are | truly awful. | therealdrag0 wrote: | Agree. Except for Indian movies. Their ratings aren't | trustworthy. Lots of 8+ movies they're mediocre or bad | (despite high production costs). | jsmith99 wrote: | It's not just because humans are bad at distributions. I would | rate almost all the books I read at least 3/5 because I pick my | books carefully. There are plenty of terrible books deserving | 1/5 but they are often obvious from a distance. | | With eg movies a much greater investment is required to tell if | it's terrible. | [deleted] | glitcher wrote: | > Humans just aren't very good at ranking things on a normal | distribution | | Anecdotally this feels correct, the more common user rating | distributions I see are an inverted bell curve - lots of 5's | and 1's, not too many 3's. | | But as far as the same problem that plagues every other review | system goes, I would say the paid/fake reviews are the far | bigger problem. | thebigspacefuck wrote: | IIRC they initially gave you a text for each star like | | 1 - I hated it | | 2 - It was okay | | 3 - I liked it | | 4 - It was great | | 5 - I loved it | | I thought it was helpful for framing what a score would be but | I haven't seen this in the app or anywhere for a long time. At | least it avoids the problem of Amazon where a review is like | "Best book I've ever read but the copy I received had a rip on | the dust jacket - 1/5". | | Learned through experience to skip anything below a 4 or very | high 3 now. Probably missing some interesting stuff but I don't | read that often anyway. | [deleted] | zerkten wrote: | Is there a relationship between the application of product | management "techniques" and the outcomes for many of these sites? | It seems that many of these sites hit this wall when they get | acquired. It feels like they start experimenting incoherently | with things that don't align with the vision, or even the goals | of the acquirer. | | My personal theory is that this stems from many disjointed | experiments where the experimentation is viewed as being more | important than anything else. Their mission is to deliver | revenue, or some other metric, that isn't visible to users, so | perhaps they do achieve their goals. | [deleted] | frankfrank13 wrote: | WaPO covering Amazon's Goodreads acquisition is really something. | garfieldnate wrote: | I don't really understand the sentiment in the article about | Amazon not doing anything with it. When Goodreads was acquired, | general opinion was "oh no, I hope they don't ruin it -- don't | worry, Amazon is known for acquiring working businesses and | letting them be." I don't want new social functions on Goodreads; | I get an email digest with activity of my friends, and I keep the | friend list very, very short so I'm not overloaded with activity. | And why on Earth does the author of the article want Amazon to | get _more_ involved with detecting bad reviews? As if their track | record on their main site would provide any evidence of their | being good at that! | flenserboy wrote: | Iron Law of User Orientation: User-driven & -oriented sites & | organization will inevitably be taken over, worn like a skin- | suit, & used by corporations for their own ends. | arvidkahl wrote: | Besides Goodreads falling into complete disarray, it is equally | painful to know that Amazon owns the .book TLD | (https://icannwiki.org/.book) and has yet to make that available | to anyone. | | A lot of Amazon's publishing-related acquisitions tend to stray | from what they were intended to be. | JohnFen wrote: | > Amazon owns the .book TLD | | I'm actually fine with that, because it lets me reliably know | that site is affiliated with Amazon, so I know to avoid going | there. | arvidkahl wrote: | Making the best of it :D | triangleman83 wrote: | Maybe I am behind but isn't ChatGPT a great option for an automod | which can read reviews and determine whether or not they should | remain up? I tried it on a few examples with a simple prompt and | it gave great reasoning why the nasty reviews I fed it should be | removed. | charles_f wrote: | Goodreads had already stopped innovating before it was acquired | by Amazon. What's sad is that they have a good user base, data on | who reads what, I'm sure they could do a good recommendation | engine, but somehow the closest they ended up with is poorly user | curated lists. | stevebmark wrote: | What's the insider report on the Goodreads technical staff? Did | they all quit after the site was bought? Did they stay, and | they're just coasting? Did Amazon nix the tech team? The site has | received almost no technical improvements, so there's clearly not | an effective tech team anymore. Can someone at Amazon share the | the gossip? | ggwareago wrote: | Nothing salacious. People left over time. Maybe higher turnover | than other Amazon orgs because change is harder there. | | >The site has received almost no technical improvements, | | Not true. Theyre under the surface or not webfacing. (Like | Kindle integration) | | The biggest technical issue with Goodreads is this: the site | was originally built as a giant pile of Rails spaghetti with | views mixed with business logic and such and then a fuck ton of | weird features built and left to sit there. Like way WAY more | than you'd think unless you actively hunted through the webmap. | | There is an ongoing metaproject to detangle the spaghetti into | an api that sits in front of the databases and deprecate the | Rails hell pit (derisively called 'the monolith' internally). | It's taken years. It is still in progress. It was started far | too late in the game. When people talk about tech debt at | Goodreads thats mainly what they mean. | phillipcarter wrote: | As a certifiably "normie" book reader, I find Goodreads useless. | Whenever I look at a book's reviews to figure out if it's worth | it to buy, the reviews are filled with book enthusiasts (and | often enthusiasts of that author). It makes sense, since they're | probably the most likely to write a review of a book online in | the first place. | habosa wrote: | I'd love to move off of Goodreads but their export function is | pitiful, to the point that I'd say it's deliberately hobbled. | | All I do is mark books 1-5 stars and record the date I read it. I | recently tried to export to StoryGraph and 1/3 of my books were | missing finished dates. | | If youre owned by Amazon and can't put a date in a CSV I suspect | malicious intent over incompetence. | javier_e06 wrote: | A WaPo article talking about Amazon exploits. What a bizarre | world we live in. I made the mistake to join Goodreads. Makes | reading a books a some sort of sport. I was not aware that it was | owned by Amazon but now it makes sense on how the approach the | action of reading a book into a data mining affair. | riazrizvi wrote: | It's a good sign to me that the Washington Post, a Jeff Bezos | company, is able to criticize a Jeff Bezos business. | [deleted] | hospitalJail wrote: | This is small fries though. | | I'm sure a truly critical post about Amazon's cash maker | wouldn't make it past the editors. | boxcarr wrote: | Goodreads seems to be the Craigslist of the book world: many | attempts by others to make a better Goodreads, but none good | enough to displace it. | jillesvangurp wrote: | Given that the article is on the Washington post, it's worth | pointing out that that is another thing that Jeff Bezos owns. | CalRobert wrote: | I interviewed with Goodreads in 2012. If there's one thing I | learned it's that when you give people weird gimmick problems | ("How many Starbucks are there in Manhattan?") in an 8 hour | interview that was supposed to be 2 hours, you're going to | produce an awful lot of ill will when you reject people because | they're "too technical". The whole thing was the most bizarre | interview experience of my life. | registeredcorn wrote: | I'd love to hear a bit more about the interview, if you're | willing to share. Weird interviews are always fun to listen to! | :) | Leires wrote: | I'm sorry you went through that. I had an interview recently | that asked no technical questions, only logic puzzles like | "princess is behind door number 1, monster is behind door | number 2" scenario shit. I mentioned I'm extremely bad at | these, but I have ten years of experience that I can speak to. | I went ahead and did the quiz and got ghosted anyways. The | silver lining is we get to watch companies like this become | landfills. Cheers. | hospitalJail wrote: | I had a 1 hour interview go for 3 hours because they couldn't | get the HR, hiring manager, and engineer at the same time. | | Ended up telling the sameish stories 3 times. | | They offered me a job, then covid happened, then they offered | me it at a 10% decrease, then they canceled the contract, then | they called me 6 months later. I already had a job at that | point and they were begging me to leave. | JohnFen wrote: | > because they couldn't get the HR, hiring manager, and | engineer at the same time. | | I think you dodged a bullet. If a company doesn't have their | act together enough to actually gather the people they need | for a meeting that they themselves set up, it hints that | there are deep management-level problems there. | hospitalJail wrote: | For sure, the company was a Zombie company, but the title | was somewhat impressive for my age. I even worked at that | company 8 years before, they were so petty when I didn't | take a pay cut to be a direct hire, and they got rid of me. | (Got a 30% raise at my next job, doh!) | | Ended up getting my dream job to be a programmer instead of | a (real) engineer. Now I make more money than ever, as you | can imagine. | ar_lan wrote: | I think sharing a Washington Post article about Amazon is... | probably not a good thing to do at all. This article probably | isn't worth reading, to be honest, the bias is too high. | dvt wrote: | Calling "contextualizing a piece of literature in its broader | sociopolitical context" review-bombing is pretty myopic. For | example, if you decided to write a book on how awesome the Nazis | were, you would rightfully raise some eyebrows. But in any case, | the problem with crowd-sourced reviews is that this is a "live by | the sword, die by the sword" kind of game. It's great when a | bunch of lemmings love your book, cause it to catapult in | ratings, and go viral. But, some are now discovering that it can | go both ways: the masses being "negatively viral" or purposefully | trolling, or brigading. | | You can't have your cake and eat it, too. This is the main reason | I've never seriously used Goodreads as a source for pointed | literary criticism. Like most social media, it's a bunch of self- | important folks trying to be more self-important. | chiefalchemist wrote: | While I understand Bezos is not Amazon (and vice versa), am I the | only one grinning at the irony of this coming from The Washington | Post? | birdymcbird wrote: | article puts goodreads problems on amazon. partially true but | lazy journalism. | | much goodreads leadership same as when amazon bought them. i know | because i work close to them before i leave amazon. | | tech was outdated ruby on rails. the engineering org has very low | technical bar and love inventing things that amazon already solve | at scale. more energy put into resisting amazon than thinking | about innovation. lots and lots of waste. | | i do wonder how amazon layoffs affected goodreads. i would clean | house. | kunalgupta wrote: | I don't think amazon gas touched their UX much since 1998 so it's | not like Goodreads is receiving unpreferential treatment | koboll wrote: | Here's what Amazon.com looked like in 1998: | https://web.archive.org/web/20060522143937/http://www.amazon... | notatoad wrote: | i've been "using" goodreads since long before amazon bought it, | and it's always just been kind of terrible. It was a clunky, not | terribly nice to use site full of absolutely garbage-tier book | reviews. the only redeeming quality was the authors who would | leave honest reviews on each other's books. | | i wish there was a site like goodreads, but good. but goodreads | was not on track to be that site before amazon took it over. | jbaber wrote: | I've been liking the recommendations from | https://thestorygraph.com a lot. They can import your goodreads | reviews. | dopa42365 wrote: | 80% of reviews being "got the ebook for free before release in | exchange for a very honest review" or "here're my 10000 words | thoughts on spoiler spoiler spoiler" and overuse of goddamn | inline gifs everywhere made the review section unreadable. It's | more like a social network with gamification of book reviews. | | Looking at a random book: 4.36 stars, 74 ratings, 28 reviews. | Release date: 18. July 2023 (in 15 days) | | No comment on that required heh. | | Goodreads is semi-useful to keep track of upcoming book releases, | but don't bother reading the reviews, and the score is at best a | vague indicator (and definitely misleading until months after the | book is actually available). | doh wrote: | Imagine if Goodreads (or similar) only allowed ratings for | unreleased books if the publisher submitted the ebook into the | system. The system then embeds it into GPT4 and if one wants to | submit a review they have to answer a question (or multiple) | about the book to verify they actually read it. | kawera wrote: | Not to mention reviewers with 3k+ reviews. Who in their right | mind properly read and review 3k books? | qingcharles wrote: | WTF. I spent 10 years in jail reading endlessly and only | managed about 900 in total. And I had LITERALLY nothing else | to do. | therealdrag0 wrote: | You read 90 a year. I've read 75 a year while going to | school or working full time. So it's possible to read more, | and for more than 10 years. | | (However I might lose my mind if I did that. Even at 75 I | started to feel like I was wasting my life with over | consumptions.) | [deleted] | costanzaDynasty wrote: | FAANG, because it sucked the internet dry. | ryzvonusef wrote: | For anime we have myanimelist.com, for (asian) dramas we have | mydramalist.com; and both seems to work, for both tracking and | for recommendations... but something like that for books does not | exist _. | | Goodreads acts as the tracker for me, but a recommendations | engine it absolutely sucks. It has never recommended me a book | ever, I have to rely on /r/fantasy to churn out new | recommendations for me. | | In the age of AI and LLM and whatever bullshit, how hard is it | for Amazon (owner of AWS) to see my read list (which I diligently | update) and recommend me something based on the things I've read | before, give more weight to my latest reads, and match the | sentiments with the text of other books (which they have access | too, and it's just text no audio/video bullshit)? | | If Youtube can do it, if god damn Twitter can do it, why can't | Amazon? | | ---- | | _(we do have mybooklist.com, but it simply does not work | properly, it just seems to be a simple and literal "list" | aggregator, from other sources, like newspaper etc.) | linusg789 wrote: | https://ghostarchive.org/archive/kp8A4 | vvpan wrote: | I know it is really easy to disparage blockchain but in my | opinion smart contracts can mitigate much of the startup buy-up | problem. They allow describing a system as an autonomous protocol | that is not "owned" by an entity. Yes, the company that builds | tooling around the protocol could be bought but unless the | protocol is explicitly backdoored nobody can pull the rug from | under the users' feet and data ownership remains in the protocol | participants' hands. Blockchain UX is not yet where most people | would like it to be but it is improving fairly quickly and I | think we could see adoption of autonomous protocols in the next | couple of years. | mt_ wrote: | What happened to Book Depository was disgusting. | muhammadusman wrote: | what happened to them? | mkl wrote: | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35439673 | electroagenda wrote: | OMG... Did not know Amazon was the owner of Goodreads. There is | practically no way you can buy a book online outside the Amazon | ecosystem. | jamilton wrote: | There's Smashwords. I wish more authors used it, I don't know | why they don't. | Nicholas_C wrote: | There are certainly ways, I switched to a Kobo reader instead | of a Kindle and haven't bought a book off Amazon in years. | NelsonMinar wrote: | There's a little bit of discussion from when I posted this a few | days ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36550687 | steedsofwar wrote: | Bezos also owns the Washington Post. Make of that what you will. | moomin wrote: | I think large corporations are typically fine with criticism | that doesn't affect their bottom line. | mcpackieh wrote: | https://www.librarything.com/ | synetic wrote: | No well done review site will remain good once it reaches a | critical mass. Private, small scale networks of friends are the | future of trusted reviews and recommendations. | NelsonMinar wrote: | https://archive.is/TVPWD | crazygringo wrote: | Goodreads wasn't "the future of book reviews", it was a good | review site that might have innovated great new things or might | not have at all. | | But regardless, Amazon should _never_ have been allowed to | acquire it -- it was _incredibly_ anti-competitive. | | Amazon never wanted to do anything with Goodreads at all -- as | demonstrated by the fact that it _hasn 't_ done anything. It was | a purely defensive move to _prevent anyone else_ from acquiring | or partnering with Goodreads, because their database of books and | reviews could be used to instantly start competing with Amazon 's | book business. Amazon snuffed out that threat of competition in | an instant. | grecy wrote: | > _It was a purely defensive move to prevent anyone else from | acquiring or partnering with Goodreads_ | | I think there's another angle you're missing here - Amazon | wanted to stop paying so much in affiliate sales. At their | size, they were easily taking in tens of millions a year from | all the Amazon affiliate links. | | Now Amazon own it, they don't have to pay that out. | weego wrote: | Goodreads was the future of aggressively biased people shouting | their opinions to other people with no discernable value in | theirs over others. | | Rose tinted view. | abc_lisper wrote: | Can't tell your post is sarcastic or not. Good reads is a | valuable resource, especially for avid readers - without it I | wouldn't have read as many good books as I did. | BaseballPhysics wrote: | You mean like what you're doing right now? | pfdietz wrote: | You do realize that's both an ad hominem argument and an | admission he's correct, right? | BaseballPhysics wrote: | First, it's not an argument, it's an observation, as | there's no argument the be had. Why? Because... | | Second, the observation is that you can literally | characterize every online discussion forum that way. It's | a pointless comment that borders on tautology. Put people | in a space together to share their thoughts, and some of | them will end up behaving badly. | | Third, it was an observation of the silliness and, | frankly, hypocrisy of simultaneously complaining about | the behaviour of shouting baseless opinions on discussion | forums by shouting a baseless opinion on a discussion | forum. | smeagull wrote: | There's no admission that he's correct there at all. The | existence of one bad faith actor doesn't make everyone a | bad faith actor. | cratermoon wrote: | Amazon's inshittification of everything continues. They also | own AbeBooks, have their own cargo airline, Twitch, Audible, | Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, Kindle, Ring, Whole Foods, IMDb, Zappos, | Egghead, the late lamented DPReview, and a few others. | | > _incredibly_ anti-competitive. | | A description of Amazon in general. | CobaltFire wrote: | DPReview was bought and saved, at least. So let's not label | them late and lamented yet! | | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36409566 | jurassicfoxy wrote: | Whaaat I didn't know they owned AbeBooks. I love AbeBooks. I | wonder how much of a cut they take from booksellers? | jzonedotcom wrote: | In my opinion Amazon's purchase and immediate dismantling of | the vaunted Stanza was most egregious & anticompetitive. I | loved that app. And then poof gone. | cratermoon wrote: | That purchase would not have been allowed to go through in | the pre-Reagan monopoly legal era. | nemo44x wrote: | Vertical integration at its finest. They pay the authors to | write the books they publish which get sold in their store that | they link to from the site they own that reviews the books and | pays the reviewers an affiliation bonus. No one is buying books | with bad reviews. Brilliant! | RoyGBivCap wrote: | Full disclosure, I'm an author who has self published a few | things on Amazon and setup author stuff on amazon and | goodreads. | | > _as demonstrated by the fact that it hasn 't done anything._ | | There are links between the two. You can buy my books on amazon | (the dropdown supports other vendors) from their Goodreads | pages. | | But to your point about anticompetitive, I completely agree. | | Why are corporations even allowed to just buy other | corporations, _at all?_ | | A shitty bank bought my bank and promptly made everything about | it shittier. Why is this even allowed at all? Companies buying | other companies is about the most fundamentally anti- | competitive thing there is. | abc_lisper wrote: | Can this not be reversed. Force amazon to spin it out? | biggoodwolf wrote: | And who would do that? Even if technically possible, there is | no one willing to do it. | RoyGBivCap wrote: | FTC, if they weren't captured. | [deleted] | AlbertCory wrote: | I think this is correct. The acquisition was anti-competitive, | and Lina Khan's FTC would probably challenge it. | crossroadsguy wrote: | You mean in retrospect? Is that a thing? If so, how do you | folks (assuming here) trigger it - some petition? Or FTC | picks its own bespoke fights if at all? | AlbertCory wrote: | Verb tense. Should have said "would have." | TheRealPomax wrote: | Why? The FTC has shown time and again it has no interest in | enforcing the rules, whether that's under Pai, Khan, or going | back every administration since the Microsoft anti- | competition days. | atlasunshrugged wrote: | In general historically I'd agree with you but the FTC | under Khan has been prolific, not to mention there was | recently news that they specifically are going to target | Amazon for a large antitrust case and Khan wrote what is | considered her most important paper specifically on Amazon. | | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-29/amazon- | ma... | | https://www.yalelawjournal.org/pdf/e.710.Khan.805_zuvfyyeh. | p... | TheRealPomax wrote: | Prolific in what, though? Actual fines instead of | peanuts? Preventing mergers of companies that at the | federal level don't lead to monopolies, but at every | local level do? It speaks volumes to how little power the | FTC has in the modern day if it still doesn't have enough | on Amazon to have forced them into reform on Khan's first | day in office. Their business practice isn't exactly a | secret. | | It's not that they haven't gotten better, but "better" | and "what they should be" are _very_ different things. | One only hopefully leads to the other. | sdfghswe wrote: | Why do you think that Amazon is concerned that a database is | enough to threaten their business? | tivert wrote: | > Why do you think that Amazon is concerned that a database | is enough to threaten their business? | | Didn't the GP already answer the question you asked of them? | | >> It was a purely defensive move to prevent anyone else from | acquiring or partnering with Goodreads, because their | database of books and reviews could be used to instantly | start competing with Amazon's book business. Amazon snuffed | out that threat of competition in an instant. | | A catalog of user reviews is a pretty important feature for a | successful eCommerce site. To the point where I've seen some | "review sharing" between non-Amazon sites (the specific case | was an eCommerge platform showing reviews from their own site | _and_ the manufacturer 's direct-to-customer site). Goodreads | was ready-made to provide that to a competitor, which would | give them a shortcut around that moat. | mikestew wrote: | _Didn 't the GP already answer the question you asked of | them?_ | | Do you really that the question was asked in good faith? I | know, I know, HN guidelines, but that question was asked to | rephrase the question in overly simplistic terms, willfully | ignoring that there is more to Goodreads than a mere DB. | sdfghswe wrote: | It pains me to learn that I'm so dumb you can't even | conceive I'm asking in good faith. | sdfghswe wrote: | > Didn't the GP already answer the question you asked of | them? | | You think that to start an Amazon competitor you need a | book database? | SoftTalker wrote: | Weirdly I've rarely bought a book based on reviews on the | selling site. | | I don't go to Amazon and browse for books, reading reviews. | I go to Amazon when I've already determined from other | sources which book(s) I want to buy. | | Maybe I'm in the minority. | dageshi wrote: | Amazon's carousel of books related to the book being | viewed is fairly decent at finding books in the same | genre you might like in my experience. | | I have found and read a fair few from that method. | mynonameaccount wrote: | Weirdly, I ONLY even look at books are best sellers. If I | had to wade through books randomly, I'd rather not read a | book at all. | andsoitis wrote: | On Goodreads, the Buy button allows you to buy from: | | - Amazon | | - Audible | | - Barnes & Noble | | - AbeBooks | | - Walmart | | - Libraries | scrum-treats wrote: | Amazon, Audible, and AbeBooks are owned by Amazon. | tivert wrote: | > On Goodreads, the Buy button allows you to buy from: | | Interestingly, 3/6 of the places you list are owned by | Amazon. | | And all those options are hidden behind a menu. I checked | a few books on that site, the button itself is always | either "Buy on Kindle" or "Buy on Amazon" (if Kindle | isn't available). | michaelmrose wrote: | Presumably if it is effective enough people might start their | search for a book on the site and if so why not finish it | there? The vertical integration is fairly obvious you | basically need a buy link and a way to deliver. With kindle | if I understand correctly all you need is the email address | required to send to it. If you had enough customers you could | work with other ebook reader hardware as well. | blackoil wrote: | Its not database but customer gateway that matters. If | Goodreads has B&N link prominently some customers will move. | atlasunshrugged wrote: | It also gives them significant power over authors (and | therefore publishers). If you know that a huge portion of | demand via Amazon purchases (where many people will | purchase your book) will be correlated to the goodreads | review, you're going to optimize for that platform. I've | seen this before with friends who are new authors that send | out their books and their biggest ask is to give it five | stars and a good review on goodreads... which drives more | traffic to Amazon and creates a flywheel for them. Plus, | the direct integration after you read a book on Kindle to | quickly give a book a star rating means that you want your | Kindle version to be optimized/prioritized not just because | of the market of Kindle readers, but because it'll send | more traffic to feed into your rankings and therefore | affect your demand more. | teamspirit wrote: | Unfortunately that's exactly why so many startups get bought. | Not to become part of the parent company's business, no, just | not to become a competitor later. Would stronger (and enforced) | anti trust laws be a solution? I believe businesses would just | lie and say they _are_ going to be part of the business but | then just bury them anyway. | ethbr0 wrote: | > _Would stronger (and enforced) anti trust laws be a | solution?_ | | Stronger employee control and delayed decision-making would | be a solution. | | To take a spin at it: | | - Any business that merges would be subject to two binding | votes (x+2 & x+5 years) with "We wish to remain merged" or | "We wish to spin off," voted upon by anyone who has been | employed in the merged business at any time between the | merger and vote (subject to some voting power apportionment, | but resolutely not using share ownership) | | - The federal government is obligated to perform an x+5 & | x+10 year review of the merger's effect on the competitive | landscape, with the power to forcibly unwind the merger | | It would decrease valuations of M&A-targets, and decrease M&A | activity, but I don't think anyone would argue that's | intrinsically a bad thing in the modern competitive | landscape. | afterburner wrote: | > that's exactly why so many startups get bought. | | It's also why so many startups get started in the first | place. Buyout being the goal. | fsckboy wrote: | > _I believe businesses would just lie and say they are going | to be part of the business but then just bury them anyway._ | | That's where my pet antitrust solution succeeds where others | fail: ban all M&A. Companies only engage in mergers to | consolidate market share, but their market share | consolidation (i.e. monopolization) not only decreases | competition, but also comes at the expense of employees and | customers of the acquired businesses. Nobody wins except the | monopolist, and monopolies are already bad, so why help them? | | (I think of monopoly and market concentration on a gradient | scale, from a little bit monopolized to completely | monopolized, so don't get stuck on a monopoly being a single | entity) | unreal37 wrote: | Company A is 6 days away from going out of business. They | will shut their doors. All employees will lose their jobs. | All customers will lose access to whatever Company A does | that they find helpful. | | But then Company B agrees to buy them for $1 so that they | continue running. Pays the employees, and continues running | the service for customers. | | Ban it? | lcnPylGDnU4H9OF wrote: | If a blanket ban runs into this problem, what about a | "ban by default"? Basically just flip the script so it | doesn't require a denial based on circumstances but | instead an approval based on circumstances. | hakunin wrote: | This doesn't work in practice due to typically severe | time constraints. You cannot expect a business that has 6 | days of life left to wait for such an approval process. | These things never happen fast. | ClumsyPilot wrote: | > You cannot expect a business that has 6 days of life | left to wait for such an approval process. | | A homeless man that has 6 hours left to live in the cold | winter often cant get shelter, because instead we are | really concerned with caterting the entire fabric of | society to fictiontion problems that might one day affect | a mismanaged business. | flangola7 wrote: | The FTC had no problem running FTX on less notice. | turmacar wrote: | What M&A are you familiar with that they can typically | happen in a 6 day timeframe? | | I know this is already a stressed straw man in the first | place but M&A are aren't a short simple process anyway. | Adding some oversight isn't going to change that. | | Yes there are tradeoffs to more regulation vs total | anarchy/free market. That doesn't mean they're not worth | it. "Good" is not the enemy of "perfect" and all. | akiselev wrote: | _> What M &A are you familiar with that they can | typically happen in a 6 day timeframe?_ | | Youtube, for one: https://techcrunch.com/2011/10/30/the- | entire-1-65b-acquisiti... | | Android as well, if I'm remembering correctly. | | They don't necessarily need to complete the acquisition | in a week, just get the broad details negotiated and | agreed to. Given the GP's bankruptcy example, if they | thought it was worth the risk the acquirer can extend a | bare minimum amount of credit to keep the company alive | while they do the rest of due diligence and finish the | acquisition, folding it into a breakup fee. | fsckboy wrote: | I like the way you think. | wussboy wrote: | If the market can be relied upon to determine the | winners, it must also be relied upon to determine the | losers. | | I support the "no M&A" policy. | fsckboy wrote: | > _Company A is 6 days away from going out of | business...But then Company B agrees to buy them for | $1...Ban it?_ | | versus scenario 2, Company A is profitable. Company B is | smaller, but up and coming. An announcement is made that | A will buy B and everything will be better. Layoffs | ensue, product lines are dropped, employees and customers | are very unhappy, but prices and profits are up. | | Since scenario 2 is quite common today, and scenario 1 is | relatively uncommon, yes, ban it, that's a better way to | run markets. | | We're conducting a thought experiment here. So we think | through the implications and try to figure out if there | is a way to achieve benefits for all, benefits that we | know exist. Don't be scared of a single negative | scenario, have to look at the big picture, what is better | overall. I'm glad billionaires have the freedom to build | kooky submarines that other multimillionaires can climb | aboard and go on dangerous adventures, sometimes ending | in the ultimate sacrifice. Why a whole bunch of other | people who were uninvolved engage in weeks of hand- | wringing, I can't grok at all. | kbenson wrote: | > that's a better way to run markets. | | I'm highly skeptical that heavily restricting buying and | selling of companies in general will be a better way to | run a market when it seems your goal is to prevent | monopolies (or put another way, ensure competition). | | Laser focused policies work for a short periods but tend | to be worked around quickly as the thing they regulate | falls out of favor in lieu of something functionally the | same but different enough it doesn't match. Blanket | policies tend to stifle the market in general, causing | other problems. Rather than assuming that any specific | law actually "solves" the problem, we'd probably be much | better off setting criteria we're trying to match and and | reassessing regulations regularly to try to meet that | criteria. Anything unresponsive will be routed around. | | The real problem is that we have things that do that (the | SEC and FTC) and they're broken. We should fix them, not | swap to a sledgehammer as the only tool available. | fsckboy wrote: | > _I 'm highly skeptical that heavily restricting buying | and selling of companies in general will be a better way | to run a market when it seems your goal is to prevent | monopolies (or put another way, ensure competition)_ | | ah, the markets I am talking about are goods and services | markets. Financial markets, they take care of themselves, | and at the same time garner no sympathy from the majority | who don't participate in them. | | if monopolies emerge some other way, sure, break 'em up | just the same. | itsrobforreal wrote: | Yes, absolutely. Company B would have to compromise the | service and change the rules. | | Company B can instead spin up its own business and ask | Company A to advertise for them, but anything else is | just selling out users. | hcal wrote: | I'm not advocating for banning M&As, but I think that | could be addressed by only allowing acquisitions under | specific bankruptcy conditions. | | Again, though, I'm not advocating for that position. I'd | hate to spend part of my life building a business and not | be able to cash out when the time comes for me to retire. | Curvature5868 wrote: | Is it possible for private companies to pay dividends? | Let's say you retire and you own a portion of a small but | thriving company. Could that company potentially provide | you with dividends as a form of income? | bstpierre wrote: | Yes, a private company can pay dividends. Or you could | loan it the money to buy out your shares and collect | interest as it pays back the loan. Or a mixture of the | two, with a thousand little variations on terms. I | believe I ran into an employee-owned company once that | had gone through some version of the loan scenario. | kortilla wrote: | They can still go bankrupt and company buys the assets | without employees ever losing pay. Many bankruptcies work | this way. | herval wrote: | So the rule would be that companies can only get acquired | after they go bankrupt? | | Would anyone ever invest in startups, in that scenario? | meepmorp wrote: | There's still IPOs, isn't there? Maybe it cuts down some | of the stupid money going into tech, too, which wouldn't | be the worst thing. | | And, hey, if the business is successful, you own part of | a successful business. | floren wrote: | A decade+ of acquisition as the default "exit" (and the | idea that you have to be driving for an "exit" in the | first place) made people straight up forget how companies | normally work, apparently. | meepmorp wrote: | Seriously, why not just do something well and make a | living from it? I've seen the word enshittifcation plenty | lately, and it strikes me that the focus on exits and | payouts is a big part of the problem. | | I feel old and you goddamn kids better be off my lawn by | the time I get back with the shotgun. | floren wrote: | Well, for a long time, you would just get an MVP up and | then collect as many users as possible by offering free | accounts, and if you were somewhat aligned with something | Facebook or Google was vaguely interested in, you'd get | acquired for $100m. Getting $100m for two years of work | is a lot more lucrative than working hard for a decade to | build a self-sufficient company, so I can't really blame | people for doing it. | collaborative wrote: | Plus, in the case where you'd choose to build a real | business, now you'd have to meet user expectations of | everything being free because that's what they get | everywhere else. | JohnFen wrote: | This is a factor you need to take into account, but in my | experience, people overstate it. It's not actually that | hard to get people to pay for things online. | | The way you do it is the way it's always been done | historically: offer a value proposition that justifies | the money. And _don 't_ offer it for free at the | beginning. People rightfully get very angry if you change | the deal after they've come to rely on your product or | service. | TeMPOraL wrote: | You've actually made a good argument _for_ the M &A ban. | | Consider: if it is as you're implying, that investors | expect their returns to be realized mainly through | acquisition, and if it's indeed common that startup | acquisitions are done to kill a potential competitor, | then... all the investors are doing is _extorting large | corporations_. If you include IPO in the picture, they | 're also alternatively _robbing the public_. | | If it's just rich getting richer by pulling money out of | megacorps and large populations, then this is... | literally the _opposite_ of useful, valuable contribution | to the society. | | The way I see it, the above isn't 100% true, but it seems | _true in majority of cases_ , which makes me inclined to | support the "M&A ban" idea. | JohnFen wrote: | > Would anyone ever invest in startups, in that scenario? | | Because they are expecting that the startup will turn | into a profitable business, maybe? | | Being acquired is very far from the only way that an | investor can see returns. | eichin wrote: | There are lots of early-investor-to-later-investor exit | paths; it would just cut down on the "built-to-flip" | model, which is a distraction anyway. | [deleted] | sigstoat wrote: | this sounds like it was dreamt up by a bunch of lawyers | trying to get themselves more work. there's a lot more | paperwork and bullshit involved in going into bankruptcy | than just being bought out. | jacquesm wrote: | > there's a lot more paperwork and bullshit involved in | going into bankruptcy than just being bought out. | | Not necessarily. | | In fact, based on my experience I'd wager that in the | bulk of the cases a bankruptcy would be far simpler from | a paperwork perspective (but harder on the creditors). | fsckboy wrote: | the point is not the thin edge case of bankruptcy vs | merger, the point is that the fat part of the market | would have been better off if Instagram was competing | with Facebook, not part of Facebook, if video streaming | services competed for eyeballs instead of being | consolidated under Google who already controls eyeballs, | etc. | | little fish companies will be less likely to go out of | business, and the economy will be more agile when they do | if we stop allowing these big fat catfish to swallow | everything in their pond. | TeMPOraL wrote: | This example sounds nice _on paper_ , but has anything | even remotely similar _ever_ happened, within living | memory? I have my doubts. | | So while possible _in theory_ , if it's impossible to | happen in practice, it's not a valid counterargument to a | practical proposal. | [deleted] | adalacelove wrote: | https://www.marketwatch.com/story/santander-buys- | struggling-... | libraryatnight wrote: | I agree generally, I'm sure an actual solution is more | nuanced but coming from the angle of no M&A seems like a | good ideal. My personal issues with business after having | worked in it for awhile as an employee and not a | capitalist: | | 1) building a business with a goal of being acquired often | builds lazy unsustainable businesses built only to be | cashed out, often at the expense of employees. | | 2) buying good businesses seems frequently to do what you | said: they get absorbed and lost and the social cost is a | lost source of jobs, innovation, and competition. | | I know the companies I worked for acquired wonderful | smaller companies doing decent things, made happy speeches | about their future, then they were gradually pushed out and | shut down. Would they have failed anyway? Maybe, but I'd | like to see more businesses rise and fall rather than | cannibalize each other. | | I'm not a smart man, so I don't know what to do | specifically, but I definitely see the problem this | solution is getting at - I hope some day society has | figured out a good answer. | idopmstuff wrote: | So what happens to the mom and pop hardware store that's | been running for 30 years when mom and pop want to retire? | They just have to shut their doors? | | Banning all M&A would run into a brick wall of unintended | consequences. If no one can sell their business, then a | significant percent of potential small business owners just | wouldn't start businesses. | | Then what would happen? Those people would go get jobs. | Instead of them owning the things they create, those things | would be owned by their employers. Instead of having the | issue where someone goes and creates Goodreads but it gets | bought by Amazon, nobody would ever create Goodreads. All | you've done is save Amazon the acquisition cost. | thomasahle wrote: | > So what happens to the mom and pop hardware store | that's been running for 30 years when mom and pop want to | retire? They just have to shut their doors? | | They could sell it to another mom and pop? It's only an | M&A if the shop is bought by / becomes part of another | business. | | If nobody wants to continue running the independent shop, | it doesn't make much difference to consumers if a chain | buys it, or if it closes down and the chain just opens a | new shop there. | yibg wrote: | So only businesses under a certain size can ever be sold. | If you happen to do well and the business is worth say 10 | million, which mom and pop can buy it? | idopmstuff wrote: | If the only people who can buy businesses are | individuals, you've cut the potential acquirer pool, and | thus the value, by an enormous amount. | | > If nobody wants to continue running the independent | shop, it doesn't make much difference to consumers if a | chain buys it, or if it closes down and the chain just | opens a new shop there. | | You're pointing out exactly why banning M&A would be good | for big businesses. Now instead of having to buy out the | little guy, they just wait for it close and then buy all | the assets (can assets be sold under this regime? do you | just have to throw everything away?) and reopen under | their own name. Now the mom and pop lost a bunch of money | and the big company got a new location at a big savings. | Apocryphon wrote: | Why is a buyout even the only option? Just find new | management. Keep it in the family. Turn it into a co-op. | There's also such as a thing as community businesses, | apparently. | idopmstuff wrote: | I'm guessing you've never run a small business? | | Sometimes people want to exit. They want to retire, move | onto a new chapter of their lives and not be involved in | the business anymore. | | Finding new management doesn't allow that - they can take | on the day to day, but you still own the place and are | ultimately responsible. | | Keeping it in the family isn't an option if you don't | have family that want it. If you have multiple family | members that want it, you can give it to one and probably | cause conflict, or you can have them share | management/ownership of it and probably also cause | conflict. | | Turn it into a co-op? What if the owners have no idea how | to do this? What if they don't want to? | | Why should people who have created a business not be | allowed to sell it and cash out? Why can't they get a | payoff for their investment and move on? The solutions | you're proposing are all about the community and totally | ignore the actual people who spent years of their life | getting the business going and probably took meaningful | financial risk to do so. Why should we just ignore their | desires and tell them what they're allowed to do with | their business? | Apocryphon wrote: | Fortunately in a democratic society, the hoi polloi need | not actual experience to have a say- nor to have a vote | on changing policy. | Yoofie wrote: | Ok, we can ban M&A for all businesses who exceed $x | million in revenue. Mom & pop can still put the work in | and cash out, but bigger businesses are prohibited from | eating eating their competitors and preventing disruptive | businesses from growing and having a fair shot in the | market. | | The $x million limit can be decided upon based on the | industry and other factors. | | >nobody would ever create Goodreads | | Lots of people create of businesses and pursue non- | profitable enterprises for non-profitable reasons. | zeroonetwothree wrote: | This would reduce consumer value quite a bit in some cases. | Let's not throw the baby out with the bath water. | tooltower wrote: | I've actually thought about this. But there are cases when | mergers can help customers. E.g. when a vertical merger | happens, that can absorb some of the profit margins between | a supplier and manufacturer. Ideally, regulators should | analyze the market for problematic dynamics. | | But I agree that the vast majority of mergers that make the | news are not good for consumers. | golergka wrote: | I don't even need to know what unintentional consequences | of this will be, but I know that they will be catastrophic. | crazygringo wrote: | No, that's throwing the baby out with the bathwater. | | There's no problem if a company with 2% of the market | merges with another company with 2% -- it tends to lower | prices by removing inefficiencies. It's only a problem when | prices rise or innovation stops when there are only ~2 | competitors left, or when the a single player has 40%+ | market share. | | Also a large proportion of mergers have nothing to do with | market share -- they're acquiring a supplier for vertical | consolidation, they're buying a product because it's faster | than building it in-house, etc. These are generally | entirely legitimate as they enable companies to compete | _more_ , not less -- which is _good_ for consumers. | fsckboy wrote: | Vertical consolidation is also monopolistic, it reduces | competition by removing a buyer and a seller from a | healthy marketplace. | | what is actually good for consumers is fierce competition | spoiling the sleep of capitalists. | crazygringo wrote: | It's still the same rules though. | | If you're buying a supplier for 5% of the marketplace | it's perfectly fine. | | If you're buying a supplier for 65% of the market then | that's a problem. | spoonjim wrote: | A lot of technologies are brought to a much bigger audience | through an acquisition. PASemi for example wouldn't have | had nearly the impact they did if Apple had not acquired | them and made them the foundation of Apple Silicon. | paulddraper wrote: | > ban all M&A | | That makes about as much sense as banning marriage. | | M&A is fundamental and important. | Joker_vD wrote: | > That makes about as much sense as banning marriage. | | Banning marriage actually makes a _lot_ of sense, | according to some. Why is the state even involved in such | private matters in the first place anyhow? | paulddraper wrote: | Same reasons it's involved in medicine, housing, | education, etc etc. | enriquec wrote: | Nothing about this would succeed. Do only monopolies | perform mergers? | ardacinar wrote: | By the way, acquisitions are easier to defend IMO. There | are definitely cases of "Business X acquires business Y" | that have no anti-competitive intent or anti-competitive | consequences. But at least anecdotally, I can say mergers | that do not lead to anti-competitive behavior are quite | rare. | fsckboy wrote: | > _Do only monopolies perform mergers?_ | | companies merge to concentrate market share, i.e. | eliminate competition, i.e. increase prices, i.e. monopol | _ize_. Let 's not ban just monopol _ies_ , let's also ban | monopol _ize_. | unreal37 wrote: | Unprofitable companies get bought out to simply continue | existing. | | Like Twitch and YouTube. | ethbr0 wrote: | Companies also acquire and merge to vertically integrate. | gAI wrote: | Lazy, entitled companies should pull themselves up by | their bootstraps and build their own supply chains from | scratch. Maybe if they had some work ethic, they wouldn't | need all that hard-earned tax money - corporate welfare | queens. | | All joking aside, supply chain shenanigans are a | nightmare. | fsckboy wrote: | So, for example Coca Cola has saturated the drinks | market, and they vertically integrate by buying bottling | companies... which means their competitor Pepsi can no | longer buy from that bottling company because Coke has | decreased competition in that market? | | Here's what they teach in business school: if you have a | cloud computing business, and you have an advertising | business, and your cloud business wants to advertise its | services, should the cloud business get a discount on the | ads, maybe the ad business has some surplus capacity you | could soak up for free? Nope. The cloud business taking | advantage of "free" ads from your ad business will make | the health of the cloud business look better than it is. | It will cover up overcapacity in the ad business, hiding | the poor way it is being run. To properly assess your two | businesses so you can make internal investing decisions, | you need a clear picture of how those two businesses are | operating in their respective markets. If a competitor is | selling ads cheaper than you are, your cloud business | should buy them. | | So, if this is how managers and cost accountants are | trained to think rationally, well guess what, that's what | markets are good at. | | Vertical integration is part of the monopolization | problem. | ethbr0 wrote: | That's an overly simplistic situation. | | Maybe the bottler bottles for multiple companies. Maybe | Coca Cola _could_ redesign their own bottles to target | specialized bottle-filling machines, and Coca Cola would | have enough volume to use all of that bottler 's | capacity. | | But the bottler won't invest in the machines, because | they don't want to only bottle Coca Cola products. And | absent that, the bottles never get redesigned and the | efficient machines never get bought. And absent that, | Coca Cola is more expensive than it could be. | | Or maybe absent an integration, the product offering | isn't what the market really wants, because it doesn't | want to have to combine two things. | | Vertical integration can breed efficiency. | | It can also breed monopoly, but you need to address the | iron man if you're making an argument. | vGPU wrote: | Except in reality, the cloud business would "buy" ads | from the ad business, and now you have an "expense" | despite the fact that the money never went anywhere. | | Shuffle here, shuffle there, viola! Tax evasion. | dustingetz wrote: | that would essentially ban the stock market, i think. | Shares have value because if you accumulate enough of them | you control the company, or can sell them to someone else | who wants to control the company. If you prevent the buyer | from using the company to benefit their interests then | there won't be any buyers. and poof, the entire startup | finance appratus evaporates. | cwp wrote: | It doesn't come at the expense of the employees of the | acquired business. They often get rich, or at least land a | well-paying and career-enhancing gig at the acquiring | company. | | This is important, because it means that new companies that | compete with the monopolies have many paths to success. If | the only possible outcomes are "beat Amazon" and "fail | hard", you won't get many attempts; it's better to get an | entry-level job at Amazon and climb the ladder. | | So yeah, monopolies are bad, but banning M&A only helps | them. | londons_explore wrote: | You could have other restrictions on mergers... For | example, "All IP (trademarks, copyright, patents) from one | of the two merged companies gets released to the public" | | Or perhaps "Anyone with contractual obligations to one of | the merged companies is released from those obligations". | | Both of those would be half way to just dissolving one of | the companies and re-hiring the staff by the other company | to release a similar product. | GTP wrote: | > "All IP (trademarks, copyright, patents) from one of | the two merged companies gets released to the public" | | This sounds very extreme to me, sometimes acquisitions | are done exactly because the buyer is interested in the | other company's IP. This would be a showstopper even in | the cases where the buyer really wants to use the IP it | is going to aquire. | int_19h wrote: | > sometimes acquisitions are done exactly because the | buyer is interested in the other company's IP | | How many of those cases produce an outcome that is | beneficial to the public? | kortilla wrote: | M&A should be allowed for vertical integration and | efficiency improvements there. Fewer intermediaries is | better for everyone (except the intermediaries). | | Agree on scrutinizing M&A of competitors. | somenits wrote: | There is an optimal number of firms in competition with | each other. It could be that for a particular industry, 10 | firms means everyone is losing money and unable to make new | investments, while 8 firms means that there's a healthy | amount of profit that can sustain R&D and growth. Sure, | eventually it might all work out as firms go bankrupt or go | into a new business, but you can lose decades in waiting | that out. | | Also, this is easily circumvented by just buying the | crucial assets of a competitor, like trade secrets, | factories, offices, patents, etc. | fsckboy wrote: | > _10 firms means everyone is losing money and unable to | make new investments, while 8 firms means that there 's a | healthy amount of profit that can sustain R&D and | growth._ | | don't confuse economic profit with accounting profit: the | promise/goal/benefit of competitive markets is that | economic profit goes to zero. (quickest way to describe | the difference is, there are dry cleaners dotting the | landscape in competition with each other, they make | income which pays the owner's living including saving for | retirement, kids college fund, etc. That's accounting | profit. That's not economic profit, which is why you | don't see VCs and investment banks investing in dry | cleaning startups.) | | Another important aspect of competitive markets is that | weak companies die, and new companies enter, what | Schumpeter called creative destruction. The 10 firms | "losing money" is 10 firms competing, some of whom will | fail. The 8 firms making healthy profits with fat (and | lazy) R&D departments is attractive for disruption. | somenits wrote: | I'm not confused. But you are introducing unnecessary | concepts here. A firm needs to make some profit in the | long run, whatever you want to call it, to be able to | sustain investment. If there's too many firms in the | market, that can be undermined. That's why you don't see | five dry cleaners right next to each other in the same | strip mall. | | And your second paragraph fails to address my point too. | I acknowledged that in the long run, the health of the | industry could be restored by some of the firms failing. | But that can take way too long, and in the meantime, all | of them are capital-starved and unable to invest in | improving their businesses. | hinkley wrote: | A lot of my disillusionment with startups come from this. | Being lied to repeatedly by different owners about how | selling should be our goal to really start to win, only for | the purchase to be the moment where we really start to lose. | | It breaks something precious. | florbo wrote: | Well, the owners win. That's usually who they're referring | to when they say "our", "us", etc. | hinkley wrote: | And every spring, there's a new batch of suckers who | haven't learned what 'we' means. | | Old programmers are discriminated against because they | point out when you're taking managerial shortcuts or, as | in this case, outright lying. | reaperducer wrote: | _Unfortunately that 's exactly why so many startups get | bought._ | | Unfortunately that's exactly why so many startups are | founded. | | I can't say what things are like today, but in Seattle in the | 2010's, it seemed like 90% of the startups existed solely to | get bought by Microsoft. | ameister14 wrote: | We don't need stronger laws - just the enforcement part. | berkes wrote: | Even if they'd lie, that's still a lot more effort and a lot | more risk than not having to lie in the first place. | hbarka wrote: | After the acquisition has there been any other startup trying | to duplicate the value prop of GoodReads? What are the | barriers to entry for them? | saghm wrote: | Network effects, I assume? It would be hard to get everyone | to move over without having some sort of draw, and I guess | nobody had a successful enough idea for what that would be | to get it to happen. | dexterdog wrote: | Which is why founders should have a network where one creates | good reads and sells to Amazon and then one of the others | starts a better good reads right away. Then when founder A's | handcuffs come off he goes and makes a new version of the | most recent thing that sold to one of the FAANGs. | carlosjobim wrote: | > Unfortunately that's exactly why so many startups get | bought. | | Everything that gets bought gets sold as well. The founders | of the companies are willfully and eagerly selling the | companies they created. Who are you to ban it? Then you have | to chain them to their desks and force them to try to | dedicate the rest of their lives to the business. | tivert wrote: | > Would stronger (and enforced) anti trust laws be a | solution? I believe businesses would just lie and say they | are going to be part of the business but then just bury them | anyway. | | Stronger anti-trust laws would just block many of these sales | in the first place (e.g. identify that Goodreads competes | with Amazon's existing _dominant_ user book-review feature, | and kill the acquisition for that reason). | [deleted] | ljm wrote: | One version of that even got its own jargon: acquihire. | | One incredible journey later and the product is already on | the sunset. | rtbathula wrote: | "should never have been allowed to acquire it?" It's very funny | the way you put it. Already government has too much power and | you want further they take over the economy and do pulls and | pushes. | | Free market means, freely allowing people to trade using | persuasions -- not government using its coercion. People also | often forget other side of the picture. | | 1. Why don't they attack smaller companies who are ready to | sell their companies to Amazon or Microsoft. 2. Why don't they | ask government to put people in jail who are buying products | from Amazon and making Amazon big? | | Recently EU also making plans to regulate the battery | replacement. I covered that here briefly in my site political- | ledger dot com | f-securus wrote: | Free market capitalism only works when there is competition. | Big companies buying out the competition to limit consumer | choices and effectively stall innovation is exactly the | things the government should be protecting against to keep | the 'free market' thriving. | bobbylarrybobby wrote: | The free market elected a government with an FTC, so... | canadianfella wrote: | [dead] | lkbm wrote: | Ten years of no improvement and gradually getting slower and | slower (perhaps because my "Read" lists is now several thousand | items), and it's still the number one spot. | | I've tried a few other places, but my friends use Goodreads, so | if I want to evaluate books based on ratings from friends whom | I know have similar taste, Goodreads is the only viable option. | | Goodreads is the present of book reviews, and in the past it | was the future of book reviews. | matthewfcarlson wrote: | It hasn't done nothing with it. Not nearly as much I'd like but | when reading a book on my kindle, it's easy to hit the button | to mark as currently reading and progress updates as you go | through the book. | bryan0 wrote: | And this wasn't Amazon's only acquisition in this space. They | bought Shelfari before this and also drove it into the ground. | scrum-treats wrote: | Same thing with Book Depository, AbeBooks, and Avalon Books. | And more generally Whole Foods, Alexa Internet, IMDB, | Fabric.com, Woot, Zappos, Evi, Graphiq... | | When will consumers have protection against this degrading of | the marketplace already? | paganel wrote: | I'm still very bitter about what Amazon did to Book | Depository. | jimmySixDOF wrote: | You skipped Audible which I would add to the list of give | it just enough oxygen to stay alive but no innovation | allowed strategies. You can't even connect your Audible | account to your GoodReads. Audible is the app I would most | like to replace that I use almost everyday. | Mordisquitos wrote: | If you are based in the UK you may be interested in | XigXag as a replacement for Audible: | https://xigxag.co.uk/ | | As a disclaimer, I have never used it myself but I have | heard good things of it. | scrum-treats wrote: | We see this with Amazon Music offerings as well. Focus on | acquisition and accumulation, not innovation. | | For Books, Amazon has (1) Kindle, (2) Kindle Unlimited | (... a direct competitor to Audible), (3) Kindle Vella | (somewhat of a Goodreads competitor), (4) Audible, (5) | Amazon.com (retail), (6) Prime Reading, and externally | (7) Abe Books, (8) Comixology, (9) Book Depository. And | then there are Children's versions... | | For Music, Amazon has (1) Amazon Music Unlimited, (2) | Prime Music, (3), Amazon Music Free, (4) Amp, and has | just acquired (5) Wondery. | | I'm cool with checking out audiobooks from Libby, and | whatever music app opens consistently when I want it to | (i.e., not Amazon Music). Support your local libraries! | majormajor wrote: | The outcome we got is probably in the middle, badness-wise. | | Better would be an independent Goodreads with incentives to | find features that fight spam and such. | | But it's hard to imagine them being able to make much money | doing that, and them going under would be worse. | | And honestly I'd MUCH rather have a Goodreads that Amazon does | nothing with than a Goodreads that chased growth from VC money | or PE or whatever to try to turn into another retail site and | abandoned the "your reading history" angle. | vxNsr wrote: | Goodreads was a profitable business based on affiliate | marketing links mostly to amazon. Amazon bought them to save | money (basically the profit that GR was making). It didn't | just make sense from a protect our core business perspective | it also made sense from a straight monetary perspective. | garfieldnate wrote: | As I recall, there were arguments at the time saying that it | would be _good_ if Amazon did nothing with it. People wanted | Amazon to leave the product alone and not mess with it. And I | still feel that way. What would you have wanted them to do with | it? | crossroadsguy wrote: | I see many startups claiming, and in fact starting their | existence with the very declaration or on the pretext, that "We | are not like X. We are not going anywhere. We are not for sale" | et cetera, I am pretty sure most of those founders would have | been spending sleepless nights giddy fantasising about the | moment when X acquires them. | | So now any social network kind of service, which isn't legally | non-profit and open source and preferably federated, doesn't | get any cookie from me including the ones like LetterBoxd and | StoryGraph. | | But the problem is federated services, where you have to | "choose" an instance among other frictions and all, are kinda | doomed to fail. So I just use the established ones until they | are unusable and keep my data regularly exported if it's worth | exporting, that is. It's just sad. | rtbathula wrote: | "should never have been allowed to acquire it?" It's very funny | the way you put it. Already government has too much power and | you want further they take over the economy and do pulls and | pushes. Free market means, freely allowing people to trade | using persuasions -- not government using its coercion. People | also often forget other side of the picture. | | 1. Why don't they attack smaller companies who are ready to | sell their companies to Amazon or Microsoft. 2. Why don't they | ask government to put people in jail who are buying products | from Amazon and making Amazon big? | | Recently EU also making plans to regulate the battery | replacement. I covered that here briefly in my site political- | ledger dot com | adolph wrote: | Or it could have gone the way of Wirecutter if NYT bought it. | Nothing is permanent. Centralization is "better is worse." ___________________________________________________________________ (page generated 2023-07-03 23:00 UTC)