[HN Gopher] Historians have an increasingly strong incentive to ...
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       Historians have an increasingly strong incentive to tell dramatic
       stories
        
       Author : jseliger
       Score  : 69 points
       Date   : 2023-09-03 19:00 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.ian-leslie.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.ian-leslie.com)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | DanielBMarkham wrote:
       | I love history but I'm just a layman.
       | 
       | I get quite angry when people get reductionist about history,
       | usually because of story or narrative (pre-templated story
       | patterns re-applied over and over again)
       | 
       | The beauty of history is that the same event can have multiple,
       | conflicting, powerful narratives associated with it. Looking at
       | these narratives challenges our understanding of our own
       | humanity. If we're smart, we end up realizing as Solzhenitsyn
       | did, that "...If only there were evil people somewhere
       | insidiously committing evil deeds, and it were necessary only to
       | separate them from the rest of us and destroy them. But the line
       | dividing good and evil cuts through the heart of every human
       | being. And who is willing to destroy a piece of his own
       | heart?..."
       | 
       | And then we _really_ begin our study of history, humanity,
       | wisdom, and the rest of it.
       | 
       | It's far too powerful to buy into a story and get blinders on. I
       | think it's probably a great thing when beginning your journey,
       | but you should never stay there. And if you're a historian stuck
       | in a version of a story I'd argue you don't know your own
       | profession.
        
         | bdw5204 wrote:
         | There's nothing wrong with stories, either in history or
         | elsewhere. But good vs evil stories are bad history and almost
         | always bad writing too. Reality is almost always either
         | different shades of gray or blue and orange morality.
         | 
         | If you can't get beyond your own personal view of morality to
         | be capable of understanding a different perspective, you're
         | probably incapable of doing good history or creating good
         | fiction because you're inevitably going to end up writing
         | unbelievable comic book evil kind of characters for your
         | villains.
        
           | drewcoo wrote:
           | > There's nothing wrong with stories
           | 
           | I disagree. When there's pressure to piece together a story,
           | it can easily become a search for facts to fit a narrative,
           | motivated reasoning. Data that doesn't fit that narrative
           | must just be outliers. New details not substantiated by facts
           | enter the picture because they improve the story. Stories
           | tend to lose some truth. That's dangerous.
        
           | DanielBMarkham wrote:
           | I generally agree.
           | 
           | As I learn more, I realize how much we teach kids younger in
           | their lives is oversimplified, bowlderized BS, no matter the
           | topic.
           | 
           | I think that's unavoidable. You have to learn some comic book
           | version of, say, physics before you're ready to talk about
           | the Kuhn and paradigm changes and so forth. But there's also
           | a real danger here: whatever your dumbed-down version of a
           | topic is, it had better be a positive one, one that engages
           | and challenges students to learn more.
           | 
           | Negative stories and narratives have the self-destruction of
           | passionate learning built into them. It's poor-quality
           | pedagogy. If I teach a class of fourth graders that clowns
           | are evil, have always been evil, circuses are the work of the
           | devil, and so forth? I can guarantee you that nobody in that
           | classroom will ever become an expert on the fascinating
           | history of circuses, animal shows, clowns, and so forth. It's
           | extremely tough to get students wound up enough to spend a
           | huge amount of time diving in somewhere, but it might take
           | ten seconds to turn them off to an entire area of future
           | study.
           | 
           | And frankly, those simplistic good-vs-evil stories are not
           | only bad history, they're boring. They make consumers dumb.
           | They make for idiotic public discussion. (Like I said, I tend
           | to rant. I feel that we are cheating an entire generation out
           | of the deep and beautiful vista of the humanities in our
           | endless search to sell stuff to one another)
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | It's a tool of abstraction, I think? If you study almost any
         | major historical event in detail, I think you inevitably
         | discover deep layers of nuance and complexity. But we can't
         | really manage such depth and breadth at the same time as hoping
         | to eke out meaningful lessons to be propagated into the future.
         | So a moral is distilled and committed to story and song.
         | 
         | History is written by the victor... or the bard.
        
       | drewcoo wrote:
       | I strongly considered pursuing a PhD in history a couple of
       | decades ago. I figured there was so much disprovable BS published
       | following dominant narratives that it would be easy to make a
       | mark as a debunker.
       | 
       | Then I realized that if the problem was so widespread, I'd be up
       | against the whole educational ecosystem.
        
         | Apocryphon wrote:
         | Plenty of opportunity to [for a
         | book](https://www.amazon.com/Lies-My-Teacher-Told-
         | Everything/dp/07...) or [two](https://www.amazon.com/Lies-
         | Across-America-Historic-Sites/dp...)
        
       | whatshisface wrote:
       | I guess it's impressively bad that a blatant conspiracy theory
       | made it past peer review and into Wikipedia, but this article is
       | a summary of a review of a rebuttal to a bad paper.
        
         | supazek wrote:
         | >made it past peer review
         | 
         | I don't think that's an especially difficult thing to do. It
         | seems any paper dealing with social sciences or history that
         | fits the current narrative is lauded and "reviewed" favorably.
         | I think the mechanism which facilitates this is relatively
         | simple and similar to how USSR officials would rather bring
         | good news than bad facts
        
           | cauch wrote:
           | But how could the reviewers have found the errors in this
           | article?
           | 
           | The article can tell "Cort was informed about the new
           | techniques from a family member back from Jamaica". How do
           | you verify that? The only way is to redo the all work from
           | scratch, refound all the historical references and cross-
           | validate each of them. It's a huge work.
           | 
           | This article was later debunked by experts who have taken
           | time and effort to do that. But peer-reviewing does not allow
           | reviewers to pause they own work to do such extensive checks.
           | 
           | More realistically, the article passes the peer-reviewing
           | process because the peer-reviewing process does what it is
           | supposed to do: the article is "believable", it does not have
           | things that looks not coming from the scientific process. The
           | reviewers don't have time and it is in fact not even their
           | jobs to redo the study. All they do is to check if the
           | guidelines seem to be respected. If you want more than that,
           | you want a "replication study", which is the next step in the
           | scientific process of building trust on a study (and which
           | also have difficulties).
           | 
           | And, sure, they may have flagged that some conclusions may
           | need more convincing demonstration, but it is a Gaussian
           | curve: sometimes they do, sometimes they don't, some passes
           | through the gaps.
           | 
           | I think there is a problem with layman people who don't
           | understand that the peer review process is not a magical tool
           | that remove all the incorrect studies (on top of that, due to
           | statistical fluctuation, some studies are false while the
           | authors have done 100% everything perfectly).
           | 
           | I'm not saying it's the case here, but this is one
           | explanation that should not be ignored.
           | 
           | Ironically, it is a bit funny that for your conclusion you
           | jumped immediately on the story you wish to be true: social
           | sciences or history are ideologically biased. This is a valid
           | hypothesis, but not the only one explaining what we observe.
        
             | Apocryphon wrote:
             | > The article can tell "Cort was informed about the new
             | techniques from a family member back from Jamaica". How do
             | you verify that? The only way is to redo the all work from
             | scratch, refound all the historical references and cross-
             | validate each of them. It's a huge work.
             | 
             | Since this is about checking textual references, as opposed
             | to laboratory work, would it be possible for an LLM to do
             | that? Seems like the hardest thing would be for the A.I. to
             | log into the requisite gateways for the databases hosting
             | the papers.
        
               | cauch wrote:
               | I doubt it is so naively simple as "querying a database".
               | For example, before the publication of this article, the
               | majority of the "databases" were simply saying "the
               | inventor is Cort", which is one example of thing that the
               | A.I. will get trivially "wrong" when reviewing the paper.
               | 
               | And if it is true, then this A.I. review method can also
               | be applied to mathematics, theoretical physics, computer
               | science, ...
               | 
               | And even if it is doable, you will still have things that
               | will pass the review process when ideally it should not.
               | It is just an hard limitation, same as the one in
               | "justice" (impossible to not sometimes judge a guilty
               | person "innocent" or an innocent person "guilty", anyone
               | who thinks otherwise just don't understand how
               | complicated it is)
        
           | OfSanguineFire wrote:
           | I provide language revision for academics who are non-native
           | speakers of English, so I read a hell of a lot of papers,
           | theses, and grant applications, while also continuing to
           | publish and peer-review in my own field. My impression is
           | that peer review in the social sciences and history isn't
           | necessarily the major force for conformance to whatever
           | contemporary social narratives. Papers often deal with
           | minutiae, and both author and peer reviewers alike are nerds
           | who like delving into those minutiae. They don't necessarily
           | want to be drawn into any wider topic like in the case of the
           | paper discussed in this article.
           | 
           | Rather, the force for ideological conformity may instead be
           | funding bodies. I have seen so many grant applications where
           | the author(s) clearly want to explore minutiae, but are
           | forced to appeal to some grand social-justice cause in order
           | to secure funding. I've participated through series of
           | revisions of grant applications where 2-3 paragraphs claiming
           | the research would benefit some minority or another, are
           | inserted at a late stage after someone mentions that the
           | application would stand no chance without them.
        
             | davidktr wrote:
             | Interesting perspective, thanks for sharing.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | > _this article is a summary of a review of a rebuttal to a bad
         | paper_
         | 
         | I think it manages to be a bit interesting a bit beyond that.
         | 
         | The title is baity so I replaced it with a somewhat
         | representative sentence from the article.
        
       | demondemidi wrote:
       | Predictably, HN commenters despise historians. I wasn't here when
       | HN was formed but is this hatred persistent from day one, or is
       | it a consequence of the recent shit-flooding of all channels to
       | turn everyone into nihilists that can be easily led by
       | ideological emotional-string pulling?
        
         | rectang wrote:
         | There's great synergy between critics of non-mainstream
         | "historians" and the voting apparatus of HN which ensures that
         | unpopular perspectives are rendered unreadable.
        
         | lsmeducation wrote:
         | I just hate everybody if you need an anecdote that HNers don't
         | hate historians in particular.
        
         | iepathos wrote:
         | Historians aren't hated here, rather sensationalism at the
         | expense of facts and logic are despised here. Finding people
         | leaning towards sensationalism across media types and
         | disciplines unfortunately. Techies here are especially
         | sensitive to click-bait and articles devoid of evidence to back
         | up their claims.
        
       | tpmx wrote:
       | It feels like almost every history-related research news item
       | I've come across on HN lately on closer inspection appears to
       | involve lots of guessing and wishful thinking, often in 3+
       | convoluted steps.
       | 
       | I suppose only the most sensational things make it here and they
       | probably tend to be more bogus than the non-sensational findings.
        
       | dotancohen wrote:
       | > The discipline, or a sub-set of it, has become helplessly in
       | thrall       > to one of the archetypal narrative forms: Good vs
       | Evil. Naturally,       > the academics are on the side of the
       | Good.
       | 
       | I find that this sums up more academic works that I feel
       | comfortable admitting. And not just in the arts, but also in some
       | of the less rigorous sciences as well, such as history and
       | psychology.
        
         | zogrodea wrote:
         | That excerpt you quoted reminds very much of Herbert
         | Butterfield's The Whig Interpretation of History.
         | 
         | The introduction starts by directly talking about that topic,
         | on page 3 of the following PDF if anyone cares to read a
         | little.
         | 
         | http://seas3.elte.hu/coursematerial/LojkoMiklos/Butterfield,...
        
         | rectang wrote:
         | I think that "helplessly in thrall to one of the archetypal
         | narrative forms: Good vs Evil" sums up everyone commenting on
         | this page who claims that _their_ version of history is
         | objective, while that of [insert opponent here] is not.
        
       | simbolit wrote:
       | I think the authors confuses stories and /grand stories/
       | (sometimes called "meta-narratives").
       | 
       | I don't see how it is possible to do history without stories.
       | That literally is what history is, telling stories about the
       | past. Yes, the stories should have a factual basis, and some
       | don't, but that's not a problem with stories as such.
       | 
       | The problem lies with the desire for all stories to fit a /grand
       | story/. Such a grand story is comforting, perhaps even
       | pleasurable, when it gives a feeling of omniscience, of
       | everything falling in place. But it is seldom helpful as a tool
       | for prediction and problem-solving.
       | 
       | But what is helpful is small stories. The world is messy and
       | contradictory, everywhere and all the time. Without simplified
       | stories we can't make proper sense of it (it is far too complex
       | for individual humans to 'understand').
        
         | stephendause wrote:
         | Agreed. Surely the authors don't mean that stories qua stories
         | make you stupid. The love of your own stories combined with
         | confirmation bias, perhaps.
        
         | jowea wrote:
         | And I naively thought meta-narratives in history were supposed
         | to be over decades ago.
        
         | coldtea wrote:
         | > _But it is seldom helpful as a tool for prediction and
         | problem-solving._
         | 
         | I'm not that sure. Perhaps that is the prejudice of an age with
         | lesser historical ambitions.
        
           | simbolit wrote:
           | Can you please elaborate? what grand stories (or meta-
           | narratives) historically shown to be good tools for
           | prediction and problem-solving do you have in mind?
        
         | zeroCalories wrote:
         | I have mixed feelings on this. While trivially it's true that
         | we need to compress the world with stories, I do think there is
         | a problem with people constructing grand narratives. We should
         | be moving away from "story" and towards "hypothesis" so that we
         | don't commit too strongly to a story that isn't supported by
         | evidence.
        
       | rectang wrote:
       | I would find this piece more convincing if it had sampled stories
       | from different sources in service of its thesis rather than
       | focusing on a single work the author finds particularly galling,
       | as there is no shortage of fictional narratives anywhere -- look
       | no further than US state-approved high-school history textbooks.
       | 
       | Given the narrowness of the material cited, this piece seems to
       | me like unequal application of skepticism and status-quo
       | gatekeeping.
        
         | next_xibalba wrote:
         | > look no further than US state-approved high-school history
         | textbooks.
         | 
         | Care to practice what you preach? Which textbooks,
         | specifically? How are they ahistorical?
        
           | rectang wrote:
           | Here's an article which compares meta-narratives in Texas vs.
           | California:
           | 
           | https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/01/12/us/texas-
           | vs-c...
           | 
           | Fights over textbook content are ancient and written about
           | constantly. Since these battles are more heavily scrutinized
           | outright falsehoods won't be found easily -- rather meta-
           | narratives are achieved by omission or emphasis.
           | 
           | I would not argue that these meta-narratives are
           | "ahistorical", though -- rather, I would say that they
           | reflect the interests of certain parties. Perspective is
           | inseparable from "history".
        
         | bsder wrote:
         | There is, sadly, a _vast_ difference in accuracy between a
         | "state-approved high school textbook" and a "peer-reviewed
         | scholarly publication".
         | 
         | A state-approved high-school textbook is subject to myriad
         | business and political agendas that practically, by definition,
         | compromise its truth and accuracy.
         | 
         | A peer-reviewed scholarly publication is supposed to have a
         | chain back to actual sources and facts that anchors it _in
         | spite of_ any agenda or narrative it may propound.
         | 
         | The issue here is that Bulstrode presented a bunch of claims
         | with no evidence or even _contradicting_ evidence in the actual
         | sources she cites. There are also some engineering issues:
         | sugar mill rollers are oriented differently from steel mill
         | rollers because they serve very different purposes.
         | 
         | The comment from here was good:
         | https://www.ageofinvention.xyz/p/age-of-invention-cort-case
         | 
         | > Historians, myself included, often make leaps of intuition
         | from limited evidence. But speculation ought to be explicitly
         | signalled as such, rather than presented as certainty.
         | Especially when that certainty creates a narrative so
         | compelling that it makes major newspaper headlines. Bulstrode's
         | narrative requires multiple smoking guns to work, none of which
         | are in the evidence she presents.
        
       | troupe wrote:
       | Increasingly? Herodotus comes to mind.
        
       | verisimi wrote:
       | History is written by the victors, and then endlessly rewritten
       | after that. At present, historians are very busy writing the
       | history of subaltern voices - ie introducing stories from
       | marginalised perspectives into the historical record. At the
       | other end of this sausage factory are the consumers who are fed
       | this information which is presented as fact - hardly ever are we
       | presented with the raw evidence that these stories are based on.
       | 
       | I'm very glad that this angle on history is receiving greater
       | attention; it is absolutely equivalent to the replication crisis
       | in science. It seems that all academic endeavours are politicised
       | and bent towards some ends that are predetermined - rather than a
       | natural unfolding of ever increasing understanding.
        
         | rectang wrote:
         | This piece does the _opposite_ of acknowledging that history is
         | written by the victors. It it is an attack on the credibility
         | of a particular perspective, striving to paint the author 's
         | opponents as fictional story tellers while the author is
         | objective and rational.
        
           | verisimi wrote:
           | History ought to be an evidence driven practise - the
           | evidence (primary, secondary, tertiary) should drive the
           | theory. It ought to be the scientific method applied to
           | historical evidence.
           | 
           | As I read this post, the author is saying that Bulstrode had
           | very little or no evidence to claim the story that was then
           | widely circulated in many media outlets. The author is using
           | that one example to illustrate a wider principle in play -
           | that not many of the historical stories are based in sound
           | reasoning. This is my assessment too.
           | 
           | If there is little or no evidence, where is the greater bias?
           | Is it in the person that conjures up the story (Bulstrode) or
           | in the author who is saying the story is not well supported?
        
         | nextaccountic wrote:
         | > History is written by the victors
         | 
         | Not necessarily; history is written by those that are literate.
         | Here's some threads about it
         | 
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/xcqgc/they_a...
         | 
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/1903ac/is_hi...
         | 
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/516t6c/is_hi...
         | 
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/2becnq/i_hea...
         | 
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/history/comments/5grjf1/how_true_is...
         | 
         | A selected quote
         | 
         | > well, in case of the Vikings it was mostly the other way
         | round. The monks who got plundered were the "literate class" of
         | their time, hence in this case it was written by the "losers".
        
           | verisimi wrote:
           | But do you realise that the research you present here is not
           | actually evidence? It is a link to a historian's opinion. It
           | would be like reading a quote from the guardian about how
           | Bulstrode is presenting remarkable research.
           | 
           | Meta analysis such as this, based on hearsay rather than
           | personal verification and assessment of the actual evidence,
           | is assuredly not the way to get to the truth of the matter.
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | "I never discuss anything else except politics and religion.
         | There is nothing else to discuss." -GK Chesterton
         | 
         | Every thought is subject to the ideology in the thinker's mind.
        
           | verisimi wrote:
           | It is. But academic fields (perhaps all fields across
           | society) are all bent towards a progressive liberal outlook.
           | This outlook is also highly intolerant of divergent views -
           | if they disagree with your voice, they will not fight for
           | your right to speak anyway - you will be deplatformed. That
           | intolerance is the most pernicious element to me.
        
       | 23B1 wrote:
       | One thing this article doesn't address is the pressure that many
       | academics are under in the process of their research, and the
       | 'meta-narrative' of their careers writ large.
       | 
       | When you are competing for eyeballs, attention, grants, and
       | tenure - when the community you work in is so small and so
       | tightly networked - there can be a ton of pressure to make leaps
       | of logic or narrative in order to paint a picture that resonates
       | within that community.
       | 
       | I'm not excusing this behavior, but I understand it. It's the
       | same reason UX designers build dark patterns they know will
       | degrade the experience, it's the same reason we vote along party
       | lines, it's the same reason trends are adopted and movies become
       | mega-blockbusters.
       | 
       | In most cases - even in academia - the stakes are low and so it
       | doesn't really matter. But the stakes are much greater when that
       | academic research influences policy - especially in the medical
       | and political fields. Supposedly peer review & professional codes
       | of conduct are supposed to solve for much of this - but, to me
       | anyway, doesn't seem sufficient these days for those higher-
       | stakes fields of study...
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Recent and related. Others?
       | 
       |  _Does history have a replication crisis?_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37306078 - Aug 2023 (20
       | comments)
        
       | Mr_Modulo wrote:
       | Today we have news for conservatives and different news for
       | liberals. That's stupid. News doesn't need built in commentary.
       | Now it seems like history is going the same way. We will have
       | conservative history and liberal history. But I hope not.
        
         | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
         | Fairly sure this is wrong, on both fronts.
         | 
         | History is story telling about a period of time for which we do
         | not have easy access to all the information, nor full access to
         | the participants and their motivations and self-conceptions. In
         | addition, even with the benefit of hindsight, it is common to
         | be unable to identify conclusively which possible elements of
         | the story are the most significant (and as a corollary, which
         | are cotemporal but irrelevant). Consequently, there are
         | different ways to tell the story, and no "objective" set of
         | rules to decide which to choose. Like all human story telling,
         | history must come with a point of view that is critical in
         | framing the elements used in the telling.
         | 
         | Now repeat everything I've just said, but substitute "news" for
         | "history".
        
           | lsmeducation wrote:
           | I'll do you you one better, replace everything with
           | "bullshit".
           | 
           | History is susceptible to narratives because anything that
           | isn't clear cut (slavery, holocaust, etc) is open to
           | subjective interpretation.
           | 
           | It's the conspiracy theorists that are the real wildcard in
           | all of this. They will take the clear cut (slavery,
           | holocaust) and make _that_ open to subjective interpretation.
           | 
           | Funny stuff.
        
             | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
             | I tend to think of subjective interpretation as "That was
             | good" or "This is bad".
             | 
             | But there's something required beforehand: definining what
             | _this_ or _that_ is. It 's not really a subjective process,
             | but it certainly isn't objective either.
             | 
             | Before you can decide whether or not William the
             | Conqueror's invasion of the British Isles was a good or a
             | bad thing, you first need a description of how the invasion
             | was carried out and "all" the consequences. But there is no
             | "objective" or "clear cut" version of this. What do you
             | include? What do you exclude?
        
         | lsmeducation wrote:
         | It feels like you just described war propaganda. Americans lie
         | one way, the Russians the other. The better question is why are
         | we in a war over current events (to your point over the news).
         | Left propaganda and Right propaganda, for some invisible war.
         | 
         | The low hanging fruit to me appears to be the fact that
         | propaganda is profitable, ::shrugs::
         | 
         | Just one more war machine that got repurposed for civilian use.
        
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