[HN Gopher] As the public begins to believe Google isn't as usef...
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       As the public begins to believe Google isn't as useful, what
       happens to SEO?
        
       Author : DASD
       Score  : 89 points
       Date   : 2023-11-01 13:32 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theverge.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theverge.com)
        
       | michael1999 wrote:
       | The reverse-takeover of Google by DoubleClick is the Fall. The
       | poison apple. All else is commentary.
        
       | thegrim33 wrote:
       | This is a meta-level comment, but a technique I've been using for
       | a while now, which I've found pretty helpful/useful, is that if
       | an article starts off with an anecdote I immediately know not to
       | bother reading it. It shows you that the author is more
       | interested in pushing a feeling/emotion/story rather than
       | relaying actual information. They're trying to manipulate how you
       | think about the topic from the very beginning. It's really hard
       | to describe the pattern but once you see it you can never unsee
       | it. Just food for thought.
        
         | j7ake wrote:
         | Also a lot of (newbie) start up pitches are like this.
        
         | rexpop wrote:
         | This is a standard rhetorical technique for illustrating in
         | personal terms what's difficult to imagine at a systemic or
         | statistical level. It doesn't mean they're trying to manipulate
         | you any more than you're trying to manipulate us, ie writing is
         | pleading.
        
         | dustincoates wrote:
         | A "fun" game I like to play with articles from the Verge is how
         | many words until there's a first person pronoun. (It's almost
         | always in the first sentence.) Maybe I'm getting old, but I
         | don't need the journalist's backstory before I get the meat of
         | the article.
        
         | escapedmoose wrote:
         | There's more than one reason to read an article. Often the
         | story is the point.
        
           | robertlagrant wrote:
           | That's true, but not great. "I'm here for you to subtly
           | impute how I should feel about something by bypass my
           | critical faculties" is a poor substitute for people who want
           | to be informed.
        
         | zztop44 wrote:
         | This one might be a false positive. The article contains
         | lengthy first person descriptions of conversations with SEO
         | "pioneers" and reflections on how they've shaped the internet.
         | 
         | I'd also question the heuristic in general. Anecdotes serve a
         | range of purposes. And in any case, it's quite easy to subtly
         | push a feeling/emotion/story without anecdotes if that's what
         | you want to do.
        
         | pier25 wrote:
         | > _They 're trying to manipulate how you think about the topic
         | from the very beginning._
         | 
         | Isn't giving context exactly that?
        
       | sysadm1n wrote:
       | 'The People' when really it's mostly bots these days, and getting
       | smarter with LLMs too. Only a few blogs/articles are written by
       | actual humans, and something strange has happened to my cognitive
       | abilities lately; is discerning whether an article is written by
       | an LLM or a human. I regularly play a game called 'bot or not'
       | now.
        
       | heshiebee wrote:
       | This article is surprisingly(for the Verge) unbiased, really well
       | written and balanced. The title is definitely misleading making
       | it seem like the author will be taking the authoritarian side.
       | 100% worth the read.
        
       | ilrwbwrkhv wrote:
       | The internet was ruined when it was de anonymized by Facebook and
       | LinkedIn etc. I remember growing up in a completely anonymous
       | internet. You could be who you are, say what you want and explore
       | digitally. Then you would go back to society as the real you and
       | temper yourself a bit to fit in and work with others and that was
       | ok because you could blow off steam on the internet.
        
         | amadeuspagel wrote:
         | There are many anonymous websites, like 4chan, and you are free
         | to create your own, which is itself something you can do
         | anonymously.
        
           | lukas099 wrote:
           | I'd even wager that the number of people posting content
           | anonymously has only grown in absolute terms.
        
           | postalrat wrote:
           | How are people you to find your forum if sites indexing sites
           | like google apparently won't link to your site:
           | https://www.google.com/search?q=anonymous+English-
           | language+i...
        
         | asdfman123 wrote:
         | The internet was ruined when your normie older relatives got on
         | it, unfortunately
        
           | bdw5204 wrote:
           | They were using the internet before 2008 or so but mainly for
           | sending and receiving emails. Younger people who weren't that
           | into computers mainly used them to message their friends on
           | AIM and pirate music on Napster then Kazaa then Limewire (the
           | platforms kept getting shut down). In the post-2008 world,
           | Facebook replaced email and AIM and Spotify/Netflix replaced
           | piracy. The difference is, the people who used to just use
           | the internet for email now spend far more time online because
           | Facebook is designed to be addicting.
        
         | drivebycomment wrote:
         | The Internet is more useful than it ever was for a lot more
         | people. It has more information on more stuff, and you can do a
         | lot more than you ever could, and a lot more people benefit
         | from it in more ways than ever. Is it universally better in
         | every way ? No. Could it be better in many important ways? Yes.
         | But hyperbolic statements like "the Internet was ruined" is
         | just nostalgia and hyperbole.
        
         | leptons wrote:
         | > You could be who you are, say what you want and explore
         | digitally.
         | 
         | You can't even really do that on HN without getting your
         | account deleted. I don't think the blame belongs solely on
         | Facebook and Linkedin so much as anyone who has any kind of
         | power online using it on others as they see fit.
        
         | StableAlkyne wrote:
         | Which is ironic, considering the Internet was also "ruined" in
         | 1993 when ISPs gave everyone Usenet access, flooding the Reddit
         | equivalent of the day (if Reddit were the only real forum) with
         | anonymous users who cared not for cultural norms. Prior to
         | that, it was mostly people posting under their real name with
         | their real workplace or college in their email address.
        
         | smeagull wrote:
         | Get this - you can have an anonymous facebook and linkedin
         | account too.
        
       | phendrenad2 wrote:
       | "The internet" doesn't really exist, now, now does it? 99% of
       | users are living in an AOL-style world, where they live within
       | walled gardens. Why leave
       | twitter/facebook/instagram/youtube/tiktok/reddit? There's nothing
       | out there but a wasteland of crumbling has-been sites. Sometimes
       | you'll find yourself on a blog or news article, but you just
       | click/tap the back button to go back to the walled garden. Nobody
       | is subscribing to your RSS feed. And what really did this is
       | mobile devices. And it isn't necessarily a bad thing, although I
       | do miss the old vbulletin discussion days.
        
         | asdfman123 wrote:
         | There's lots of good content out there, but the problem is
         | finding it. A Google replacement wouldn't be any better,
         | because everyone's attention would be directed into optimizing
         | new replacement site.
         | 
         | It frustrates me when people say "Google should search reddit
         | by default." The reason reddit is still halfway decent is there
         | isn't as much money in gaming it, but there would be if the
         | entire world was sent to it.
        
           | bdw5204 wrote:
           | I think the best path to a "Google replacement" is probably
           | to reinvent Yahoo or dmoz. You'd still have to human curate
           | the worthwhile sites through a ton of SEO spam and, if you go
           | the dmoz route of volunteer curators, that's an attack vector
           | for spammers but I think it'd be much more manageable than
           | trying to build an index of the entire web and search it. A
           | new general purpose web directory would also help mitigate
           | probably the biggest harm that Google's algorithm has caused
           | to the web: the death of the "links" page as a standard part
           | of a web site due to sites trying to increase their pagerank
           | by reducing outbound links.
        
             | asdfman123 wrote:
             | That kind of web directory would work if it were just used
             | by a small group of adherents.
             | 
             | But it would encounter the same problems typical to big
             | tech once any "real" money started flowing in.
        
         | superkuh wrote:
         | Your perception is how the vast majority of people see the web.
         | But you're completely wrong about "nothing out there" and
         | "Nobody is subscribing to your RSS feed." Just because you're
         | trapped in the gardens doesn't mean there aren't communities of
         | people who never went in them in the first place.
         | 
         | Yes, there's a thick layer of for-profit walled garden crap on
         | top but the actual web of websites (not applications) is still
         | out there and it's bigger than ever despite being
         | proportionally much smaller compared to the smartphone/megacorp
         | users.
        
       | dang wrote:
       | Related ongoing thread:
       | 
       |  _Some thoughts about The Verge article on SEO_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38104407
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | SEO has always been a moving target. So now it's all about social
       | media optimization. Think channels, not search results.
        
         | richforrester wrote:
         | Plus a lot of it has been about semantically correct formatting
         | of your content and code.
         | 
         | It's a moving target in that a lot of orgs try to "game the
         | system", or at least exploit it as best they can :)
         | 
         | Good content will mostly rise to the top because that's what
         | search engines strive to optimise.
         | 
         | Nothing really changes that much probably. Just semantics.
        
       | zeruch wrote:
       | I cant foresee a scenario where an endlessly growing mass of AI-
       | generated noise, stacked upon itself, will be useful to anyone.
       | Humans will invariably find a less contentious path (maybe its
       | seeking out more localized options, maybe its balkanizing into
       | various specialized domains, maybe its $NEWTHINGYETTOBESEEN, or
       | all of the above. But the current trajectory cannot hold.
       | 
       | Someone else mentioned the "reverse-takeover of Google by
       | DoubleClick is the Fall" and I find that spot on.
       | 
       | The Dionysian appetites of adtech will be its own downfall.
        
         | w0m wrote:
         | Eventually; someone will create an index to sort through the AI
         | output and determine what's true/relevant and return it to the
         | consumer.
         | 
         | Call it 'airank' maybe?
        
           | cyanydeez wrote:
           | yeah definitely not truth value.
           | 
           | probably a "exploit" trigger. hard to think how reality and
           | predictive power are going to be mediated through some kind
           | of source index.
        
           | lobochrome wrote:
           | Yahoo!
        
       | viburnum wrote:
       | This is maybe the worst-written article I've ever read. So much
       | random detail about dresses and Canadian hometowns and almost
       | nothing to say about the actual topic.
        
       | haltist wrote:
       | An art project making it obvious why the economic engine
       | (advertising) that pays for Google's electricity bills is not
       | sustainable: https://hn.algolia.com/?q=Google+will+eat+itself
        
       | zenincognito wrote:
       | SEO agency owner here. Have been in the agency game for over 15
       | years. For whatever it's worth, here are my 2 cents.
       | 
       | Business is booming. Not exactly dying as indicated here in the
       | HN circles because obviously HN crowd is much further ahead in
       | the curve. SEO is still the number one opted channel by most
       | ecommerce stores because keywords like "red party dress" or
       | "green shoes" are still immensely more valuable and bring ton of
       | revenue every day.
       | 
       | Ofcourse, Google is trying hard to monetize every little real
       | estate but still a ton of keywords don't have any advertisers at
       | all. Optimizing for these has been the number#1 revenue maker in
       | the past 3 years.
       | 
       | The other aspect of this the "paid ads" also immensely valuable
       | to advertisers. We have people spending 3 million dollars a month
       | on paid ads returning 8X ROAS. Google & FB are still the most
       | lucrative channels for ecommerce.
        
         | rgrieselhuber wrote:
         | As a SaaS / data vendor in the space, I can confirm.
        
         | preommr wrote:
         | > because obviously HN crowd is much further ahead in the curve
         | 
         | Do you actually think this or is this just a polite way of
         | saying lots of HNers are out of touch?
        
         | btown wrote:
         | > still a ton of keywords don't have any advertisers at all.
         | Optimizing for these has been the number#1 revenue maker in the
         | past 3 years.
         | 
         | The more Google trains its normal users that "generic queries
         | will get you spoon-fed generic-ness, so you have to be specific
         | to get what you want..." the more valuable placement on long-
         | tail keywords will become. People aren't going to stop
         | searching, they'll just hate Google more when doing so. And
         | they'll begrudgingly adapt.
         | 
         | The SEO industry will be fine. Startups that naturally breathe
         | long-tail SEO will excel. Incumbent advertisers will see
         | keyword costs rising across the board, though, and perhaps pass
         | costs to customers. That's not inherently a bad thing - but
         | there's a lot more to the debate there than just this aspect.
        
         | userinanother wrote:
         | The SEO industry has been the big winner from the crapification
         | of Google. No surprise there
        
       | ge96 wrote:
       | I don't get the argument about gpt replacing a search engine. If
       | gpt trains from search engine data how does it get new data? I
       | guess the usage of gpt over time.
        
         | postalrat wrote:
         | Why would gpt train from search engine data instead of the
         | actual documents being indexed?
        
           | ge96 wrote:
           | Not just documents, everything, every website that becomes
           | searchable information. How would that work in the future if
           | people don't use search engines, how does the gpt/llm bring
           | that info in. Not saying it's not possible, would there be an
           | API people submit their content into...
           | 
           | Edit: actually I wonder if wikipedia will make one (model)
           | they have so much info
        
       | adhesive_wombat wrote:
       | It's always surprised me that confirmed SEO shenaniganery doesn't
       | bring an instant ion-cannon strike from Google. I know they are
       | apparently allergic to having a human ever decide anything ever.
       | It's just that if I were them, with an infinite data lake to find
       | the vendors' traces, trillion-dollar C-suite morals and the SEO
       | was messing with the bottom line, there would be no quarter when
       | a nest is uncovered. Delist everything to do with them, delete
       | all their accounts and salt their persistent data profiles. Most
       | of them are abroad and will struggle to do anything about it.
       | After all, occasional Gmail or Android developer bans are meted
       | out with various levels of capriciousness.
       | 
       | I guess it's good that they're not obviously going Judge Dredd
       | left, right and centre, but it's still surprising to me that you
       | can run up to them, slap them in the virtual face and stay online
       | to do it again.
       | 
       | Or perhaps it is not messing with the short-term bottom line
       | because the SEO sites are crawling with ads? And until ChatGPT
       | what were you going to do? Use Bing?
        
         | qvrjuec wrote:
         | Isn't this what happened with rap genius around a decade
         | ago[0]? Maybe this was long before their policy of zero human
         | intervention.
         | 
         | [0] https://www.theverge.com/2013/12/25/5243716/rap-genius-
         | plumm...
        
           | spookie wrote:
           | Their lengthy apology is.... I don't know how to describe it.
           | It reminds me of relationship I had, in a bad way.
           | 
           | The part where they go on to say "We messed up" cracked me
           | up. You don't "mess up" when you are fully aware of your
           | actions, and perform them as planned.
        
         | spookie wrote:
         | They'll only start noticing when it's too late. For now, I
         | assume, the bling is still flowing enough to be as addictive to
         | them as the SEO spam is for most.
        
         | Nextgrid wrote:
         | SEO doesn't mess with the bottom line though. If anything, it
         | could _improve_ the bottom line by making the ads look more
         | attractive if the organic search results have all been polluted
         | to hell.
        
       | fsckboy wrote:
       | I'm old, very educated, very experienced, technical, etc. My
       | assistant is young and none of the above. She finds everything
       | very quickly through internet searches. However-it-is that google
       | is interpreting search terms, that's how her brain works. I told
       | her about a house I drove by that looked like a cool Halloween
       | house. While I was still telling her basics about it, she was
       | already pulling up pictures of it. I had said the house looked
       | like it was melting, so she typed in "melting house", I think.
       | Not that that's genius or quirky or anything, but I would never
       | dream of typing in something I was thinking "informally", and her
       | approach is more like "whatever whackadoo thing I'm thinking,
       | probably other people think just like me" and she finds anything
       | I ask her about. (I've pretested that query, and turns out that
       | there are melting houses all over the world, just gotta look in
       | your neighborhood)
       | 
       | so to the point here, I lament that Google doesn't work any more,
       | but she doesn't, she thinks it works great. Now if I can just get
       | her to stop finding restaurant recommendations on TikTok...
        
         | wildrhythms wrote:
         | How would you have phrased that query?
        
         | Raidion wrote:
         | I think Google still deserves a ton of credit. Online shopping
         | is tricky, but information is incredibly easy to access,
         | especially if you do know how to avoid clicking on Quora or
         | WebMD style sites.
         | 
         | Google does a great job of shepherding you towards information
         | and at the very least gives you additional context that you can
         | use to corroborate or tune your search.
        
       | mushufasa wrote:
       | I can see AI decrease some of the traffic for content writers who
       | relied on SEO taking a hit; like political blogs or various sites
       | that paid for ads to drive traffic and then essentially sell more
       | ads to those users on their own site. But the writers/platforms
       | that have great content can also use AI to improve their own
       | content, so I don't think this is going to be a 'fall off a
       | cliff' style event.
       | 
       | I don't think that SEO is going to be decreasing anytime soon for
       | e-commerce, which is probably the best use of SEO. AI generation
       | images and content are no substitute for physical goods, like
       | shoes.
        
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