[HN Gopher] "No inventions; no innovations" A History of US Steel
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       "No inventions; no innovations" A History of US Steel
        
       Author : gok
       Score  : 166 points
       Date   : 2023-12-29 17:35 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.construction-physics.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.construction-physics.com)
        
       | erehweb wrote:
       | Reminiscent of the business school joke - What does US Steel
       | make? The answer is not "steel", but "money", that being the
       | point of any company.
        
         | pjscott wrote:
         | Although it's true, that's a hazardous way of thinking. If they
         | had put more of their focus on making steel, keeping up with
         | the technological advances rather than being dragged along
         | grudgingly, perhaps they'd be making more money these days.
        
           | sgt101 wrote:
           | It's a very successful strategy in any corporate. Focus on
           | the books, produce results, take the bonus and then jump.
           | 
           | When things go pear shaped do not be found holding the bag.
           | If later questioned: "it was all great when I was there, it's
           | so sad that it went south - it was a great place and there
           | was a lot of value on the table."
           | 
           | Strangely the big investors don't seem to ever cotton on to
           | this - the big pension funds and sovereign wealth seem to
           | respond by getting out of the equity markets and investing in
           | things like property.
        
             | hef19898 wrote:
             | The oposite is true as well so: don't focus on the books,
             | bottom line and so on and the company goes bust as well.
             | 
             | Any successful company has to do both.
        
               | sgt101 wrote:
               | you are quite correct - it becomes a plague when one is
               | addressed to the exclusion of the other. As they say
               | "don't run out of cash".
        
             | swexbe wrote:
             | This comment reads like it was written in the 70s. Even
             | with the interest rate hike, this is still the age of VCs
             | with infinite pockets, companies that don't plan on going
             | profitable for decades, every company in sp500 throwing
             | money in the AI money hole, etc.
        
               | sgt101 wrote:
               | Yes, let us exclude tax scams and money laundering and
               | address the real economy where things get made and real
               | people get paid.
        
           | atrus wrote:
           | It reminds me of that old quote that democracies die when the
           | citizens realize they can vote themselves money. It's the
           | same with these companies, the upper managements realizing
           | they can just give themselves more money and coast on their
           | companies momentum.
           | 
           | It's not the innovators dilemma, it's the c-suite lines their
           | pockets while the company burns dilemma.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | It's the eternal principal/agent problem. Those things go
             | in cycles. When management goes too far off the rails then
             | corporate raiders and private equity eventually take over
             | to replace management and unlock latent value.
             | Unfortunately, the managers who caused the problem still
             | often end up fabulously wealthy while regular employees get
             | screwed.
             | 
             | This problem can be somewhat ameliorated by compensating
             | executives primarily using equity with long vesting or
             | lock-up periods. That keeps their interests aligned with
             | long-term shareholders.
        
             | scotty79 wrote:
             | It doesn't really fit the modern collapse. Democracies seem
             | to decline when oligarchs extract so much wealth that the
             | entire economy suffers and common people flock to strong
             | political figures to bring back order and prosperity.
             | 
             | > citizens realize they can vote themselves money
             | 
             | Although this certainly sounds true if you consider just
             | the richest citizens and by "vote" you mean inflence the
             | votes.
        
           | feoren wrote:
           | As other replies have pointed out, your problem is with the
           | word "they". There is no "they" at a publicly traded
           | corporation. The key decision-makers are only there for 2 to
           | 5 years, however long it takes them to suck out the blood of
           | the company before they scurry off to parasitize a juicier
           | host. Nobody with decision-making power ever gave two shits
           | whether US Steel was going to make lots of money in N
           | decades.
        
         | araes wrote:
         | Had a thought the other day, that the natural course of many
         | businesses is towards becoming a bank and eventually a casino.
         | If it were Pokemon, all corporations final form would be
         | casinos with executives gambling investors money.
         | 
         | It fits the economy surprisingly well. Harvard, arguably a bank
         | not a school. US Steel, joke is they produce money not steel.
         | Airlines are trying to avoid flying airplanes, and operate air
         | miles banks. Hasbro no longer produces toys, only money.
         | Article today where the main commentary on Intel was the
         | finance bros took over a long time ago.
        
           | feoren wrote:
           | Car companies making their money off of financial instruments
           | only loosely related to the cars people drive off their lots
           | ...
        
       | davidthewatson wrote:
       | I'm happy to see the link here as I was curious about the subject
       | given that my career started in US Steel's data center in
       | Pittsburgh.
       | 
       | I'm saddened by the fact that this retelling seems mostly
       | negative and ignores a large part of US Steel's evolution into
       | USX. The retelling is subtractive whether you view Marathon Oil's
       | involvement as a positive complementary asset play at the time or
       | a negative given the history of its divestiture.
       | 
       | I can say that there was innovation in the data center where I
       | worked in the evolution from manual human mainframe era data
       | center operations to token ring networks of PC API's along with
       | abstraction and automation via glue code.
       | 
       | The minimization of manual human labor as people retired is
       | likely lost to the history books unless one of my old technical
       | collaborators decides to write a book in retirement.
       | 
       | The CMU kids I worked with at US Steel's data center in
       | Pittsburgh were just as smart as the ones I worked with in the
       | software industry from Boston to Seattle.
        
         | WhitneyLand wrote:
         | I don't doubt you at all, but what kind of innovation was
         | there?
         | 
         | Did it tend to be strategic or tactical?
         | 
         | How closely was tied to their core competencies?
         | 
         | How many innovations were industry firsts?
         | 
         | What percent impact did they have on profits / growth / market
         | share?
         | 
         | From the article it sounds like innovation and investment were
         | consistently blocked by short term financial goals.
         | 
         | I can easily believe there were lots of very smart people, with
         | transformative ideas, that were never given a chance to thrive.
        
         | Digory wrote:
         | I had the same feeling at the end. Of all the ways to spend the
         | 20th century, being tied to US Steel wasn't exactly a bad ride.
         | 
         | "Arguably, the Harvard system was a disappointment every day
         | since 1636..."
        
       | a1o wrote:
       | Wasn't US Steel who commissioned the books from a SciFi
       | illustrator to ensure that lots of reference drawing
       | illustrations would have steel in the future and got these books
       | for free available to anyone who called, and they ended up
       | getting famous in the film industry so people ended up always
       | designing futuristic movies with things made of steel like ships
       | and vehicles?
        
         | aresant wrote:
         | Yes you are thinking of Syd Mead - here's the series
         | 
         | https://sydmead.com/category/gallery/us-steel/
        
           | BasilPH wrote:
           | Syd Mead did the designs for Blade Runner and Tron, and
           | absolute legend.
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | Gotta say, I'd live in that steel modular house in a
           | heartbeat.
        
             | csours wrote:
             | There's a reason that house isn't pictured in the snow.
        
               | genman wrote:
               | I can be insulated. People have built small houses from
               | marine containers for long time.
        
             | sbierwagen wrote:
             | Then you'll love the article OP wrote about Lustron
             | stamped-steel houses: https://www.construction-
             | physics.com/p/the-lustron-home
        
           | fudged71 wrote:
           | You're telling me the Stanford torus space colony that has
           | filled my dreams for my entire life was propaganda for US
           | steel?
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | Anybody since the 70s designing those radial supports out
             | of anything that isn't a polyester isn't paying attention.
        
               | scotty79 wrote:
               | Starships in After Earth have very cool designs with a
               | lot of threads and fabrics and membranes instead of rigid
               | steel.
        
         | k7sune wrote:
         | Makes me wonder who supplies the stainless steel used for the
         | starships and cybertrucks. US steel might just turned out to be
         | prescient.
        
       | cturner wrote:
       | Clayton Christensen talk about the steel industry, and how
       | businesses resist change -
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpkoCZ4vBSI&ab_channel=Sa%C3...
        
       | legitster wrote:
       | My grandfather worked in a metal shop for 30 years after he
       | served in Korea. I remember him telling me they switched to
       | Chinese made steel in the 70s because of the quality problems
       | they were having with American made steel. Being out West, they
       | were somewhat more free from the political/social/union pressure
       | to use American commodities.
        
         | SoftTalker wrote:
         | Probably meant Japanese, I don't think China had much of a
         | steel industry in the 1970s and given the politics of the time
         | I don't think it would have been imported in the USA even if
         | available.
        
           | margalabargala wrote:
           | China started pushing for a large domestic steel industry in
           | the late 50s.
           | 
           | It did not go well.
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backyard_furnace
        
         | altairTF wrote:
         | The paradox of rights(don't quote me, i just made this up). In
         | wealthier societies, demands for greater worker rights from the
         | government increase. This can lead to more bureaucracy and
         | higher labor costs, potentially making third-world countries
         | with lower regulations more attractive for importing goods or
         | outsourcing production. Countries already operates in a
         | libertarian interaction with each others. I find these global
         | economics aspects fascinating
        
       | hammock wrote:
       | Plenty of innovation by US Steel. Just in operations, not in
       | materials.
        
         | darth_avocado wrote:
         | So in other words, short term value for the shareholders?
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | Define short term. 120 years?
           | 
           | US Steel's vertical integration practices changed the game
           | and influence goes all the way to Apple and Tesla today.
           | 
           | Their way of standardizing manufacturing processes inspired
           | Henry Fords assembly line.
           | 
           | Their Research Lab paved the way for the establishment of
           | similar, famous labs at IBM, Bell, Xerox and others.
           | 
           | Their corporate structure set a precedent for large-scale
           | corporations, influencing the development of conglomerates
           | like GE to diversify various industries under a single
           | corporate umbrella
        
       | ganzuul wrote:
       | Steel remains a technology with huge potential for future
       | development. Some keywords: eutectic solution, bulk metallic
       | glass, and boron steel.
       | 
       | It seems crazy to me that any first world nation would let it's
       | steel production fall into foreign hands. As a machinist for 5
       | years in my country I would have been excempt from military
       | service even in total war.
       | 
       | If US steel is unable to innovate and foreign ownership is
       | somehow not a problem, this development is probably a good thing.
       | The Zaibatsu system is a good fit for what steel is.
        
         | araes wrote:
         | America has started to have the appearance of griefing their
         | own enlisted. I'm not sure if America actually cares about
         | those types of war and military considerations any longer. Have
         | you looked at ship construction times lately?
         | 
         | On the materials side. Totally agree. However the issue there,
         | is that's not what corporations tend to optimize. The story
         | itself really spells it out pretty clearly (it may be biased,
         | never worked at US Steel personally). However, the article's
         | description is:
         | 
         | US Steel became a monopoly, and immediately acted like a
         | monopoly. Innovation ceased. Money extraction began. Commanding
         | obedience was the norm. Convincing themselves all competitors
         | would fail was the norm. And US Steel did not want to invest in
         | anything outside its own sunk costs.
        
           | vGPU wrote:
           | Which they are likely sorely regretting as tensions flare
           | higher with China and our navy is struggling to protect
           | shipping around Israel.
        
             | stjohnswarts wrote:
             | They really aren't struggling. But yeah, China will soon
             | outstrip our naval numbers by a large amount within the end
             | out of the decade. We still have better tech but what do we
             | do when they launch, at the same time, 200 "good enough"
             | cruise missiles at each aircraft carrier sitting in the
             | Taiwan Straight?
        
             | stjohnswarts wrote:
             | They really aren't struggling we have plenty of firepower
             | there. But yeah, China will soon outstrip our naval numbers
             | by a large amount within the end out of the decade. We
             | still have better tech but what do we do when they launch
             | 200 "good enough" cruise missiles at each aircraft carrier
             | sitting in the Taiwan Straight?
        
           | ren_engineer wrote:
           | >I'm not sure if America actually cares about those types of
           | war and military considerations any longer. Have you looked
           | at ship construction times lately?
           | 
           | it's kind of funny because the US won WWII by the ability to
           | churn out huge volumes of decent quality goods but now our
           | military seems to be adopting the German idea that small
           | numbers of expensive wunderwaffen will turn the tide
        
             | stjohnswarts wrote:
             | And Chinese military build out seems to be "perfect is the
             | enemy of good enough" and "quantity has a quality all its
             | own", so soon we're likely to be the ones playing catch up
             | despite our huge military budget and outlays.
        
             | sbierwagen wrote:
             | Well, what will a future war look like?
             | 
             | We're never going to fight WW2 again, because all the great
             | powers have nuclear weapons now. The US army will never
             | take the field in a straight up slugfest against Russia or
             | China.
             | 
             | So that leaves non-nuclear regional powers. But you simply
             | don't need a whole-of-society mobilization to fight Iran.
             | The phase of active combat against Iran will not take
             | years-- it won't take months.
             | 
             | If we really needed to, we could be building millions of
             | Jeeps again. But we don't need to, and won't need to.
        
         | mkoubaa wrote:
         | US steel and steel production in the USA are not the same
         | thing. The company's name is that of a legal entity, not an
         | accurate description of what it is.
        
       | hyperthesis wrote:
       | At that propitious 1900 banquet, perhaps pricing power was
       | discussed?
       | 
       |  _People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for
       | merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a
       | conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise
       | prices._
        
       | WhereIsTheTruth wrote:
       | I wasn't too far off
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38689019
        
       | WhitneyLand wrote:
       | Well written, informative, worth reading.
       | 
       | It's fascinating how so many business mistakes from the last 100
       | years continue to be relevant and continue to be repeated.
        
       | hyperthesis wrote:
       | Reminds me of the Wright Brothers. After their incredible
       | invention of controlled heavier-than-air flight (using a wind-
       | tunnel - did they invent that too?), the focus was on patent
       | royalties, while others innovated.
        
       | pomian wrote:
       | One of the ideas that seems to be missed from the study of
       | history and economy, was the effect on the total destruction of
       | the Japanese and German industrial base - during WWII. Britain
       | and USA, were left with their archaic industrial systems. After
       | WWII, the Japanese and the German steel industry had to be
       | completely reborn. (At the cost of primarily USA financing.)
       | Those two countries had no more relics of the past, and started
       | over, necessarily, with the most modern technology and science.
       | North American industry was in a slow evolution from the 1900's,
       | but Germany and Japan, had a hot start from the 1950-60's. No
       | wonder everyone was impressed by their modern approach to
       | construction, design, manufacturing, which more or less started
       | to out perform USA and Britain in the 70's. China, started it's
       | industrial rebirth even later.
        
         | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
         | Solution for the future of American industry: Bomb US Steel?
         | 
         | Maybe this would also be an effective way of clearing out
         | NIMBYs blocking the routes for high-speed rail lines?
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _Solution for the future of American industry: Bomb US
           | Steel?_
           | 
           | Plenty of places are bombed into oblivion. What makes the
           | rebirth is the rebuilding. The marshalling of public
           | resources. You can replicate that without the bombs with a
           | public-spending initiative.
        
             | Fatnino wrote:
             | How do you spend away a bunch of NIMBYs? Their whole thing
             | is that they refuse to cooperate with that.
             | 
             | Bombs would solve that, but come with a host of other...
             | issues.
        
               | pstuart wrote:
               | Eminent domain is the best we've got.
        
             | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
             | The OP's contention was that Japan and Germany had an
             | advantage _due to their steel industry being bombed_ ,
             | which is apparently easier than upgrading legacy production
             | facilities that haven't been blown to rubble.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | It's often easier to rebuild rubble using other people's
               | money than to modernize in-place using your own.
               | 
               | Beyond just the "whose money is buying?" is that the
               | latter costs you current production while the bombed-out
               | scenario has no current production to forego.
        
           | altairTF wrote:
           | Every 100 years, the government send a warning and carpet
           | bomb a city to the ground. This for sure would remove all the
           | past vicious of the region affected. That would be something
        
             | tandr wrote:
             | Sounds like a good plot for a (short) sci-fi story.
        
           | yetanotherloss wrote:
           | You jest but my friend is a professor in Toyama, Japan, and
           | makes the occasional dark joke about moving the people out
           | for a few days and having the US raze it again from time to
           | time.
           | 
           | Sometimes getting rid of ossified organizations is a good
           | thing, but there are probably better ways than high
           | explosives.
        
             | Aloha wrote:
             | Arguably the Occupation of Japan was more important than
             | the carpet bombing for changing Japanese culture.
             | 
             | We brought in many new ideas - both in business and in
             | government - most of which persist in some form today - and
             | the Japanese in many cases have taken those ideas, refined
             | them mightily, infused them with some Japanese culture -
             | and re-exported them to us.
             | 
             | The best example of this that I can think of, is Kaizen -
             | the various scientific management techniques exported to
             | Japan by W. Edwards Deming - which was re-exported to us as
             | Kaizen.
        
             | nerdponx wrote:
             | This concept is related to the idea of "creative
             | destruction":
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creative_destruction
        
         | hef19898 wrote:
         | >> (At the cost of primarily USA financing.)
         | 
         | The Marshall Plan was one of the best foreign policy ideas ever
         | so.
        
           | kevbin wrote:
           | I'd like to see Chris Nolan follow-up "Oppenheimer" with
           | "George (Marshall)" and "(William) Knudsen"
        
         | ProjectArcturis wrote:
         | Similar to many cities having catastrophic fires (New York,
         | Chicago) which allowed them to rebuild their streets on a grid
         | system. Vs Boston, which never had a great fire but which is
         | known today for the phrase "You can't get there from here."
        
           | turndown wrote:
           | Chicago had a grid system before the great fire, maybe NY is
           | a good example of this but I do not know. See this[0] 1869
           | map which shows Chicago was already quite regularized
           | 
           | 0: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a8/1869_B
           | la...
        
             | ericjmorey wrote:
             | It's not. The older parts of NYC are still not on a grid,
             | there was no massive fire in NYC that needed to be rebuilt.
             | They may have been thinking of London `-\\_(tsu)_/-`
        
           | caboteria wrote:
           | We've had a couple of big fires:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Boston_Fire
           | 
           | Somehow they didn't result in exchanging grids for winding
           | streets.
           | 
           | The back bay, though, is newer than other parts of the city
           | and it's a grid.
        
           | technofiend wrote:
           | Re, Boston: The way I heard it was "Three rights make left,
           | except in Boston."
        
         | KMag wrote:
         | See the movie "The Mouse That Roared". Having seen the results
         | of Germany and Japan being bombed and rebuilt by the US, a
         | small fictional country comes up with the brilliant development
         | plan of intentionally starting and losing a war with the US.
         | Spoiler alert: they end up having to deal with the tragedy of
         | accidentally winning the war. As I recall, part of it was they
         | just assumed their generals would lose, so the generals weren't
         | in on the plan.
        
           | l33t7332273 wrote:
           | A small country winning the war against post WW2 USA seems
           | like it would be a bit of a plot hole.
        
             | loloquwowndueo wrote:
             | Vietnam.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | It's a comedy, one I feel I ought to watch at some point.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mouse_That_Roared_(film)
        
               | morkalork wrote:
               | Peter Sellers playing 3 different roles. Poor guy really
               | did get type cast in the weirdest way.
        
               | robertlagrant wrote:
               | "Comedies involving diamonds and/or nuclear weapons"
        
               | vanderZwan wrote:
               | Also one movie with him in brownface that oddly enough is
               | actually extremely popular in India and Pakistan (to the
               | point where I was introduced to it on a New Year's Eve
               | party hosted by a friend from Pakistan).
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Party_(1968_film)#Racia
               | l_c...
        
             | sjfjsjdjwvwvc wrote:
             | Which war did the US win post WW2? Afaict they all ended in
             | stalemates and eventual retreat
             | (Korea,Iraq,Vietnam,Afghanistan,..)
        
               | delecti wrote:
               | That's mostly because we keep going into situations with
               | political goals, and military means (when all you have is
               | a hammer, every problem looks like a nail). If a small
               | country declared war on us, we could easily bomb them
               | back into the iron age. Though in 20 years, the young
               | adults there would probably provoke us into another dumb
               | situation like the above.
        
               | Beijinger wrote:
               | "with political goals, and military means"
               | 
               | True
               | 
               | "If a small country declared war on us, we could easily
               | bomb them back into the iron age."
               | 
               | Putin probably thought the same about Ukraine.
               | 
               | Military objectives were achieved in Afghanistan, but not
               | in Korea and Vietnam. And based on Clausewitz: "War is
               | politics by other means" And our politics changed....
        
               | nostrademons wrote:
               | Military objectives were achieved in Korea and Vietnam in
               | the sense that we killed lots of people. What we learned
               | (and really, already knew from WW2, where we very
               | intentionally did not invade the Japanese home islands)
               | is that killing lots of people on an enemy's home soil
               | just turns a lot more people against you.
        
               | fodkodrasz wrote:
               | > "If a small country declared war on us, we could easily
               | bomb them back into the iron age."
               | 
               | > Putin probably thought the same about Ukraine.
               | 
               | I doubt, as Ukraine is far from being a small country. It
               | is the second largest European country (counting Russia
               | as an European country, as is common in geography). (he
               | most likely had other miscalculations leading to the
               | current situation)
        
               | mnau wrote:
               | First gulf war would qualify.
        
               | jonplackett wrote:
               | I think that's more like quitting while you're ahead
        
               | KMag wrote:
               | I would argue both Iraq wars and the war in Afghanistan
               | were cases of losing the peace in equal measure to easily
               | winning the war.
        
               | nostrademons wrote:
               | This all depends on victory conditions. The U.S. "won"
               | Korea, Iraq, Vietnam, and Afghanistan in the same sense
               | that they "won" WW2 - those countries were bombed back
               | into the stone age and the existing governments fell. But
               | WW2 was fought as the U.S. was an ascendant (but not
               | dominant) power among a number of peer rivals, and the
               | U.S. was not the aggressor. It _felt_ like a victory,
               | because we emerged as the dominant power, with the only
               | industrial base that wasn 't destroyed, and then enjoyed
               | the economic fruits of rebuilding a country that had been
               | bombed back into the stone age and then capitulated.
               | Additionally, Germany and Japan _expected_ that U.S.
               | occupation would be absolutely terrible, that we would be
               | tyrants in the same way that their militaristic
               | governments of the time were, and so when it turned out
               | we just wanted to make money, that was a huge relief to
               | them.
               | 
               | With all the post-WW2 wars, we've gone in as a dominant
               | power, as the aggressor, to a country that is far smaller
               | and less developed. In terms of casualties, they've been
               | even more lopsided victories than WW2. The second Iraq
               | war killed about half a million Iraqis and displaced
               | about 1.8M, vs. < 1000 Americans killed, for a kill ratio
               | of ~500:1. But what does it even _mean_ to achieve
               | victory here? We go in as a bully and ruin our world
               | reputation. The average American sees zero benefit from
               | killing Iraqis; it just means higher oil prices, larger
               | government debt, more inflation, reduced civil liberties,
               | and a lack of focus on domestic problems (...which may be
               | the point). Defense contractors make out like a bandit,
               | and the executive branch gets to consolidate power
               | (...which, again, may be the point), but there isn 't
               | room to grow the way there was after WW2.
        
               | scotty79 wrote:
               | I don't think any other country considers any of those
               | cases to be wins ... Perhaps maybe wars in Iraq or
               | Jugoslavia.
               | 
               | I think eventual loss in Ukraine will be last nail in the
               | coffin of US military reputation.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | The US isn't fighting in Ukraine so that'd be a strange
               | result. Especially since our surplus weapons with novice
               | operators have laid waste to the invasion force of what
               | was considered to be the 2nd or 3rd strongest army on the
               | planet..
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | The fight isn't over yet and there is trouble in the Red
               | Sea and it could all turn into WW-III at some point.
        
               | scotty79 wrote:
               | > The US isn't fighting in Ukraine
               | 
               | Same way that russia is not fighting a war but commencing
               | special military operation.
               | 
               | US is doing it with both hands tied behind their back but
               | it will make defeat no less devastating.
               | 
               | In reality US is fighting their penultimate war right now
               | if it ends in a loss.
               | 
               | > what was considered to be the 2nd or 3rd strongest army
               | on the planet..
               | 
               | That was summarily debunked about two weeks into the
               | conflict. And noone but russians believes it today.
        
               | dmurray wrote:
               | > The U.S. "won" Korea, Iraq, Vietnam, and Afghanistan in
               | the same sense that they "won" WW2 - those countries were
               | bombed back into the stone age and the existing
               | governments fell.
               | 
               | This might be taught in US schools, but outside the US we
               | have a rather different take on how the Vietnam war ended
               | - the _US-backed_ government fell and the North
               | Vietnamese government took over the rest of the country.
               | And we learned that the Korean war ended in some kind of
               | stalemate, where the government structures on both sides
               | exist largely intact today.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | You're missing the forest for the trees. Reality is the
               | US won it's war against communism by the early 1970's.
               | There wasn't much reason to continue the war in Vietnam
               | after that. Not the least because the communists in
               | Vietnam had no intention of being a Russian or Chinese
               | vassal state. Suited the US just fine.
        
               | kriro wrote:
               | In my opinion, this is a misrepresentation of the Vietnam
               | war. The country was not "bombed back into the stone
               | age". The U.S. merely used extremely despicable tactics
               | like Agent Orange, My Lai etc.
               | 
               | I'm also not aware of the existing Vietnamese government
               | falling (depends on which one you consider the existing
               | one but it was not the government the U.S. wanted to fall
               | that fell). The country resisted a superior invader like
               | it did in the past (China) and I'm pretty sure most
               | people would consider Vietnam the winner of the war (if
               | there's a winner in war).
        
               | AdamH12113 wrote:
               | The government of North Korea did not fall or surrender.
               | You can argue that it was a political win if the goal was
               | defending South Korea, but militarily, it was a
               | stalemate.
               | 
               | North Vietnam conquered South Vietnam after we withdrew.
               | It was in no way a victory for the United States.
               | Afghanistan was arguably pretty similar, although we did
               | install a new government while we were there.
               | 
               | Germany and Japan, on the other hand, surrendered
               | unconditionally. Saying that Germany and Japan were
               | "bombed back into the Stone Age" is a wild exaggeration,
               | though -- strategic bombing famously failed to cripple
               | Germany's wartime industrial production. (Strategic
               | bombing in general is overrated.)
               | 
               | Your number for US deaths in Iraq is low by at least a
               | factor of four.
               | 
               | You may wish to learn the actual histories of these wars
               | before trying to draw big conclusions.
        
               | robertlagrant wrote:
               | The US picks extremely difficult battles to fight in a
               | way its citizens deem acceptable, and they aren't wars of
               | conquest. Those factors are going to make it very hard to
               | point at a simple winner.
        
               | beambot wrote:
               | Technically, the US hasn't fought _any_ wars since WWII
               | -- as a declaration of war is a Congressional function.
               | All of the other things people think of or refer to wars
               | were technically  "conflicts".
        
               | bejk22 wrote:
               | I'm unsure the US can unilaterally decide if it's in a
               | war or not. Do the opposite side consider it a war? Do
               | the international community consider it a war? Semantic
               | games internal to a single side do not matter much.
        
               | tshaddox wrote:
               | That's not even correct on a technicality, because you
               | switch mid-sentence from discussing "war" to discussing
               | "declaration of war." A declaration of war is plainly
               | different from a war. Declarations of war are frequently
               | made well after a war has begun or well before any
               | fighting takes place. And as you state, many wars are
               | fought without any declaration of war.
        
               | anjel wrote:
               | Granada and Panama.
        
               | sbierwagen wrote:
               | Gulf War 1. Invasion of Panama. The 1994 invasion of
               | Haiti, debatably. The Kosovo war, kinda.
        
             | achates wrote:
             | The diplomat in charge of central Europe thinks their
             | declaration of war is a practical joke from another
             | department, so nobody notices when their army (of about 10
             | crossbowmen) shows up in New York and grabs a fictional
             | doomsday device out of a secret lab.
        
           | CrazyStat wrote:
           | They "win" the war by accidentally kidnapping a scientist
           | with a powerful new nuclear weapon. No actual fighting
           | happens.
           | 
           | It's an excellent movie though.
        
             | vanderZwan wrote:
             | A satirical movie involving nuclear weapons and Peter
             | Sellers plays three roles? Where have I heard that one
             | before?
             | 
             | (actually, it looks like it is five years older than Dr.
             | Strangelove? This looks like it could be turned into a very
             | mean pubquiz trivia question, hahaha)
        
           | lisper wrote:
           | Reminds me of "The Producers."
        
         | sjfjsjdjwvwvc wrote:
         | The German industrial base was not totally destroyed after WW2.
         | Especially in western Germany most of it was still good and
         | they had to rebuild little to get it going again. The myth of
         | the Trummerfrau rebuilding Germany into a Wirtschaftswunder
         | from total destruction is exactly that, a myth.
         | 
         | Edit: also the effect of Marshallplan is usually vastly
         | overstated - due to the massive bureaucracy involved it had
         | relatively little impact.
        
           | WalterBright wrote:
           | Much larger shares of the MP money went to Britain and
           | France.
        
         | robocat wrote:
         | Can we set up a system to occasionally bomb our industrial base
         | to get these benefits?
         | 
         | Your point is mostly irrelevant. US steel could have innovated
         | or even copied - but it didn't.
         | 
         | The idea that poor US steel couldn't compete because other
         | startups had an advantage is assinine. That is a core message
         | of the article itself.
        
         | boringuser2 wrote:
         | I don't really like this claim because we are perfectly capable
         | of blowing up our own factories, but people generally agree
         | that it probably isn't a good idea.
        
         | hulitu wrote:
         | > North American industry was in a slow evolution from the
         | 1900's, but Germany and Japan, had a hot start from the
         | 1950-60's
         | 
         | You forgot that US took every German and Japanese engineer as
         | prisoner. As a friend said, US chemical industry worked 40
         | years after the WWII with German patents.
        
           | justrealist wrote:
           | > You forgot that US took every German and Japanese engineer
           | as prisoner.
           | 
           | This is not even slightly true.
        
         | dhdudbd wrote:
         | white man's burden
         | 
         | never change hn
        
       | ApolloFortyNine wrote:
       | I'm not sure innovation is really the issue, this article never
       | actually goes into the alloys US Steel developed (of which there
       | are many), and alloys are what makes steel steel really. It's
       | always been fascinating to me how the just a tiny percent of
       | another element in a metal can have an absolutely dramatic affect
       | on the strength/resilience of the material.
       | 
       | And they tried more complicated alloys, for instance they
       | developed Corten steel, the biggest example of which is probably
       | the US Steel building in Pittsburgh, [1]. It's a steel where it's
       | 'rust' essentially works as a protective layer.
       | 
       | More than anything this article shows US Steel simply couldn't
       | compete with foreign suppliers. It's interesting to me that they
       | don't even mention the Steel Workers Union, which was/is one of
       | the largest and most powerful unions in the U.S. I'm not saying
       | the cause, but if you need 5% more steel to cover the
       | deficiencies in foreign steel in strength, but it's 20% cheaper,
       | than it's simply cheaper to import more foreign steel.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weathering_steel
        
         | rhapsodic wrote:
         | _> And they tried more complicated alloys, for instance they
         | developed Corten steel, the biggest example of which is
         | probably the US Steel building in Pittsburgh. It's a steel
         | where it's 'rust' essentially works as a protective layer._
         | 
         | Also worthy of mention is the New River Gorge Bridge. [1]
         | 
         | And the recently-collapsed Fern Hollow Bridge in Pittsburgh.
         | [2]
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_River_Gorge_Bridge
         | 
         | [2] https://www.carboline.com/solution-spot/posts/pittsburgh-
         | bri...
        
           | steveklabnik wrote:
           | Or... the US Steel Tower
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Steel_Tower
        
         | shrubble wrote:
         | Is Corten used in shipping containers (I seem to recall that it
         | is)?
        
         | hulitu wrote:
         | > More than anything this article shows US Steel simply
         | couldn't compete with foreign suppliers
         | 
         | Because the only inovation came from stolen patents from
         | eastern europe.
         | 
         | You can survive doing nothing until your competitor comes with
         | something new.
        
       | tmm wrote:
       | Seems fitting to leave this here:
       | 
       | https://youtu.be/1D2Q9-1EmB4?si=gXwIO3FzpSKkp3VV
       | 
       | US Steel, Tom Russell
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | Something like 70% of US steel production is now from scrap. Part
       | of this was moderation of growth. In steady state, nearly all
       | steel could come from scrap (limited by contaminants, I guess.)
       | 
       | I expect aluminum to displace more steel in the future. Witness
       | what's happening with "gigacasting" at Tesla and elsewhere.
        
         | kube-system wrote:
         | Whether or not an application can use aluminum or remelted
         | scrap depends on how picky an application is for the material.
        
       | KMag wrote:
       | It would have been interesting to get the take from my dad's
       | cousin, who did early powdered metallurgy work research as an MIT
       | undergrad in the 1940s, and later became a VP at US Steel.
       | Unfortunately, he's no longer with us.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | For an overview of how Nucor became #1 in the US steel industry,
       | see "American Steel" (1992) by Richard Preston. The author was
       | present for the building and startup of Nucor's first continuous
       | thin sheet casting mini-mill. Nucor bought a new experimental
       | continuous caster from a German company, after trying to build
       | their own, and built a mill around it. This plant could turn
       | scrap metal into sheet steel. "You could punch garbage cans out
       | of it all day." Gradually, the quality improved, and soon they
       | were making steel for auto parts. Previously, steel recycling
       | just produced lower grade steel - cars in, rebar out. So this
       | closed the recycling cycle.
       | 
       | The amount of steel in use per capita in developed countries
       | seems to have reached a constant level. About 69% of steel
       | produced in the US is the same steel going round and round. If
       | you ignore rebar, low-grade steel stuck inside concrete, it's
       | even higher. It's the developing countries that are still making
       | and using new steel. They don't have enough steel infrastructure
       | yet.
       | 
       | "Mini-mill", in this context, means "smaller than a square mile".
       | Here's Nucor's Crawfordsville plant.[1] It's not small. Compare
       | with US Steel's Gary Works.[2] That century old plant is just
       | about their last remaining big plant in the US.
       | 
       | US Steel somehow missed this change.
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://earth.google.com/web/@39.97805108,-86.8271336,264.41...
       | 
       | [2]
       | https://earth.google.com/web/@41.62932676,-87.36187513,174.7...
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | A very good book, although being 31 years old some of the
         | characters are dead now (like the then-head of Nucor.)
         | 
         | The chapter describing the accident (where a ladle of molten
         | steel fell and the steel drained into a depressed area with
         | standing water) is horrific. It's fortunate the body count
         | wasn't higher.
        
       | pseudolus wrote:
       | For individuals interested in the steel industry who are visiting
       | or living in the Northeast of the United States, the National
       | Museum of Industrial History (affiliated with the Smithsonian)
       | situated in Bethlehem, PA is a great place to visit [0]. It's
       | located in one of the repair shops of the now defunct Bethlehem
       | Steel plant and offers a wide ranging introduction to the
       | production of steel in the US as well as various types of
       | industrial machinery. As a bonus visitors can stroll the grounds
       | of a largely intact, but derelict, steel plant. Interestingly,
       | that particular area of Pennsylvania was also a center for the
       | production of silk and more women were employed in the production
       | of silk in that region then men were employed by steel plants.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.nmih.org/
        
       | petermcneeley wrote:
       | This analysis does not seem properly include wage/labor costs.
       | 
       | "By 1958 some steelmakers in Germany and Japan were able to
       | compete on price with US producers, and by the mid-1970s input
       | costs for Japanese steel (ore, labor, coking coal, etc.) were
       | nearly half those of US costs."
       | 
       | So the input costs were half almost certainly all due to labor
       | either directly or indirectly.
       | 
       | Viewed in this light the fall of US Steel is no different than
       | any other manufacturing process in the USA.
        
       | jmclnx wrote:
       | >The American steel industry responded to the rise of foreign
       | producers not by trying to improve their operations, but by
       | demanding government protection from "unfair" foreign trade
       | practices
       | 
       | I remember this happening in school. Plus the teacher of a class
       | (70s) I was in blamed the Steel Problems on the Marshall Plan.
       | Until I saw this article I believed that.
       | 
       | Now I know it seems to point to the usual US trend of profits
       | before anything else.
        
       | aslgbb wrote:
       | Ticker symbol is "X". I wonder who gets that when US Steel is no
       | longer traded . . .
        
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