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Ukraine Invasion Day 327: decisive strategic action in the next six months, maybe [1]

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Date: 2023-01-15  

Nearly 80% of Russian prisoners recruited by Wagner Group killed, injured, captured by Ukraine. The Institute of the Study of War (ISW) continues to assess that the forced deportation of Ukrainian citizens to the Russian Federation likely amounts to a deliberate ethnic cleansing campaign.

The Kremlin is likely preparing to conduct a decisive strategic action in the next six months intended to regain the initiative and end Ukraine’s current string of operational successes. Russia has failed to achieve most of its major operational objectives in Ukraine over the past eleven months. Russian forces failed to capture Kyiv, as well as Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, and to maintain gains in Kharkiv Oblast or hold the strategic city of Kherson. The Russian air and missile campaign targeting Ukrainian critical infrastructure under Army General Sergey Surovikin in late 2022 also failed to generate significant operational effects or demoralize Ukrainian society, as the Kremlin likely intended. Putin and senior Kremlin officials continue reiterating that Russia has not abandoned its maximalist objectives despite Russian defeats on the battlefield. [3] While Putin has not changed his objectives for the war, there is emerging evidence that he is changing fundamental aspects of Russia’s approach to the war by undertaking several new lines of effort.

www.understandingwar.org/…

Russians are now on the defensive on the Novopavlivka, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson fronts. At the same time, they are conducting offensive actions on the Bakhmut and Avdiivka fronts, as well as trying to improve their tactical position on the Kupiansk and Lyman fronts.

Source: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Facebook, information as of 18:00 on 15 January

Quote: "Russians continue to focus their main efforts on attempts to occupy the full territory of Donetsk Oblast. Russians are conducting offensive actions on the Bakhmut and Avdiivka fronts, as well as trying to improve their tactical position on the Kupiansk and Lyman fronts. On the Novopavlivka, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson fronts, the Russians are on the defensive."

www.pravda.com.ua/...

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/1/15/2147427/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-327-decisive-strategic-action-in-the-next-six-months-maybe

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