(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Ukraine Invasion Day 412: will an anticipated counteroffensive crush Russia’s 'aspirations' [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.', 'Backgroundurl Avatar_Large', 'Nickname', 'Joined', 'Created_At', 'Story Count', 'N_Stories', 'Comment Count', 'N_Comments', 'Popular Tags'] Date: 2023-04-10 The prospect of pouring billions of dollars into a military stalemate with only incremental gains in one direction or another could weaken the resolve of Kyiv’s backers in Europe and in the United States, possibly sharpening calls for negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow. Strategy, priorities, and mechanisms for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine are being discussed today both within the country and on various international platforms in multiple formats. At the same time, the emphasis is on finding sources and instruments for financing rebuilding projects in the war-damaged country. There is a consensus among Ukraine's allies today to use frozen Russian funds for this. Thus, financial sanctions have become a kind of tool for mobilizing recovery funds. This means that the sanctions policy of today must be explicitly written in the context of Ukraine's post-war economic recovery. Read also: EU launches ad hoc group on use of Russia’s frozen assets Economic sanctions against Russia and Belarus are the most vital tool to counter Russian aggression. Their goal is to undermine the economic ability of Russia and Belarus to wage war against Ukraine. It is expected that military defeats and financial problems caused partly by sanctions will force the aggressor to cease hostilities and abandon the aggressive policies they have been pursuing. In doing so, several important points should be considered. For the first time, the sanctions have targeted a country well-integrated into the world economy and occupying, if not dominant, then significant positions in a number of markets, both as an exporter and an importer. Russia is a member of the UN Security Council with veto power and has one of the largest nuclear arsenals in the world. At the same time, this sanctions policy is being implemented in an era of globalization, which creates opportunities for developing and implementing various schemes to circumvent sanctions restrictions. news.yahoo.com/… JPMorgan Chase, with expertise in capital markets and contacts with major investors, is expected to establish connections between Ukraine and private investors interested in financing the rebuilding and modernization of the country. It will also advise the Ukrainian government on managing its finances and stabilizing its economy. www.voanews.com/… A few threshold questions come to mind: How much of Ukraine will postwar Ukraine possess—and hence need to rebuild? Will it be everything up to the February 24 lines? The Ukrainian army’s advance suggests Kiev will control more than it controlled when Putin launched his war. Will it be everything except a chunk of southeastern Ukraine? Will it be all of Ukraine except Crimea? Again, that seems possible, given the Ukrainian army’s stunning gains—and Russia’s staggering retreat—in recent weeks. Or will it be the whole of pre-2014 Ukraine, including Crimea? That will be more difficult, given that Russia has deeper roots on the peninsula. But again, it’s a distinct possibility. There are reports that Russian government personnel and their families are evacuating Crimea. This is prudent given that the Ukrainian military could soon take up positions allowing its missilery and artillery to range all of Crimea—and strike Russian military bases, intelligence nodes, lines of communication and transportation infrastructure (especially the Kerch Strait Bridge). sagamoreinstitute.org/... [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/4/10/2163174/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-412-will-an-anticipated-counteroffensive-crush-Russia-s-aspirations Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/