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Hurricane Lee has blown up to CAT 4. Slight risk of East Coast landfall Sept 14-17 [1]

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Date: 2023-09-07  

Just a Thursday evening update on Hurricane Lee. It intensified FAST. From 80mph at dawn to 105mph at 11am to 130mph (Category 4) as of 5pm Eastern time. Lee may become a Category 5 overnight or tomorrow morning, at this rate. It will be traveling over Atlantic waters that have been setting new high-temperature records for that region.

Note, the map above looks intimidating for the East Coast. But the current models have a general consensus that Lee will likely turn northward and then northeast, curving up and out to sea, possibly grazing New England or Nova Scotia mid to late next week.

Here’s another look at the “spaghetti models” from Axios.

This is a massive storm, so there will likely be dangerous surf conditions up and down the Atlantic coast shortly. And as for the storm’s actual path, again due to its size and strength (a) even a graze off the NE coast would be deeply felt, and (b) the models are sometimes wrong, so it will be wise for East Coasters to keep informed until the possibility of US landfall is zero.

We’ll probably know more by Sunday.

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/9/7/2192073/-Hurricane-Lee-has-blown-up-to-CAT-4-Heading-very-slowly-toward-Eastern-US

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