(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Ukraine Invasion Day 565: do 30 to 45 days of “fighting weather” remain [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2023-09-10 Ukrainian forces may have 30 to 45 days of “fighting weather” left. Ukrainian forces continued to advance south of Robotyne in western Zaporizhia Oblast and reportedly advanced ‘near’ Bakhmut on September 10 Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Head Kyrylo Budanov stated on September 10 that Ukrainian forces will continue counteroffensive operations into late 2023. [4] Cold and wet weather will affect but not halt active combat, as it has done in the first 18 months of the war. Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley stated on September 10 that Ukrainian forces probably have 30 to 45 days of “fighting weather” left.[5] Seasonal heavy rains and heavy mud in late autumn will slow ground movements for both sides, and low temperatures impose a variety of logistics challenges. The start of such seasonal weather is variable, however.[6] While weather considerations will affect Ukrainian counteroffensive operations, they will not impose a definite end to them. A hard freeze occurs throughout Ukraine in the winter that makes the ground more conducive to mechanized maneuver warfare, and Ukrainian officials expressed routine interest in exploiting these weather conditions in winter 2022–2023.[7] Ukrainian forces continued to advance south of Robotyne in western Zaporizhia Oblast and reportedly advanced near Bakhmut on September 10. Geolocated footage posted on September 10 shows that Ukrainian forces have advanced east of Novoprokopivka (18km southeast of Orikhiv).[1] Ukrainian Tavriisk Group of Forces Spokesperson Oleksandr Shtupun noted that Ukrainian forces continue to advance near Robotyne (12km south of Orikhiv) and have liberated 1.5 square kilometers of territory in this direction.[2] The Ukrainian General Staff and Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Ilya Yevlash reported that Ukrainian forces achieved unspecified success near Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut) in Donetsk Oblast.[3] ⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - SEP 10 8:6 🇷🇺/🇺🇦 added by @oryxspioenkop 🇳🇱 - 7:6 after corrections/duplicates VISUALLY CONFIRMED: 2.7x losses to date ➡ 1.7x during 2023 counteroffensive ➡ 1.7x 30-day average ⬇ 📈 https://t.co/JErEzGAfri pic.twitter.com/9hNOzZ4qkk Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast) Russian forces reportedly continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line but did not make any confirmed advances on September 10. Russian sources claimed on September 9 that Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Synkivka (9km northeast of Kupyansk), Petropavlivka (7km east of Kupyansk), and in the direction of Kyslivka (20km southeast of Kupyansk).[27]...[28] Russian sources claimed that Russian and Ukrainian forces skirmished near Novoselivske (15km northwest of Svatove), Karmazynivka (13km southwest of Svatove), and in the forests west of Kreminna.[29] Geolocated footage published on September 6 indicates that Russian forces advanced south of Kreminna sometime in August.[30] Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations near Bakhmut on September 10 and reportedly advanced. The Ukrainian General Staff and Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Ilya Yevlash stated that Ukrainian forces achieved unspecified success near Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut).[34] The Ukrainian 2nd Mechanized Battalion of the 3rd Assault Brigade stated on September 9 that it had pushed Russian forces out of an unspecified area in the Bakhmut direction.[35] Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Bakhmut on September 10 but did not make confirmed or claimed advances. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive operations near Berestove (25km northeast of Bakhmut), Orikhovo-Vasylivka (11km northwest of Bakhmut), Bohdanivka (5km northwest of Bakhmut), Klishchiivka, and Kurdyumivka.[37] Russian sources claimed on September 9 that Russian forces attacked near Dubovo-Vasylivka (6km northwest of Bakhmut) and improved their positions near the Berkhivka Reservoir (about 2km north of Bakhmut).[38] Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian objective: Maintain frontline positions and secure rear areas against Ukrainian strikes) Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area on September 10 but did not advance…. Russian sources additionally claimed that positional battles are continuing near Urozhaine and Staromayorske, both about 10km south of Velyka Novosilka.[49] Russian sources claimed that Russian forces conducted limited counterattacks in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area on September 10 and reportedly regained some lost positions. [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/9/10/2192602/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-565-do-30-to-45-days-of-fighting-weather-remain Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/